For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-30-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Boston Red Sox +165 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 165 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
The White Sox are the hottest team in baseball with seven straight wins to move one game under .500 and remain in the playoff hunt. Their ace goes tonight so things are looking even better but of course, there is as price to pay and we will go against that run and the public opinion once again. Chris Sale is having a fantastic season and while being favored on the road is a common occurrence, tonight is the most he has been favored by on the highway all season long. Despite a 12-7 record in his starts, the White Sox are just +1.2 units and they have gone 1-5 in his last six starts in Game Four of a series. The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last eight games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 and they send Steven Wright to the mound. His numbers are far from awe inspiring but he has been pretty solid in his starts with the exception of one poor one against the Angels and here he gets a good matchup. He has allowed three runs or less in his other five starts and his issue has been the long ball where he has allowed 10 home runs in just 52.2 innings but the White Sox have hit the third fewest home runs in baseball. 10* (968) Boston Red Sox |
|||||||
07-30-15 | Detroit Tigers +149 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 9-8 | Win | 149 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
We won with the Tigers yesterday afternoon as they snapped a three-game losing skid and were able to pick up a game in the American League Wild Card race where they are now three games back. It still might be too little, too late for Detroit this is a good price as it is 3-2 as dogs of +140 or more since June with two of those wins coming against Corey Kluber and Chris Archer. Alfredo Simon is 2-0 in those games and he takes the hill tonight coming off a promising performance in his last start which ended a streak of six straight non-quality starts. Despite average numbers overall, the Tigers are 11-8 in his 19 starts and winning is the obvious important factor here. Going back, the Tigers are 6-0 in Simon's last six starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Miguel Gonzalez counter for the Orioles, winners of five in a row, and for a pitcher that has been just as inconsistent, he is heavily overpriced here. This is actually the most he has been favored by all season with Baltimore losing the only other time he was favored by more than -130. Since late June, he holds a 5.45 ERA over six starts. 10* (965) Detroit Tigers |
|||||||
07-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds +165 v. St. Louis Cardinals | Top | 1-0 | Win | 165 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Reds won last night, snapping a six-game skid to the Cardinals, and will go for the series win tonight. St. Louis is by far the biggest public play tonight and we get a great price because of it. Anthony DeSclafani gets the ball for Cincinnati and he is quietly having a solid season with a 3.98 ERA over 19 starts. He has been much better on the road than at home as he has a 2.67 ERA in 10 starts with six being quality outings. He has allowed three runs or less in four straight on the highway and the Cardinals have yet to see him which is a big edge. John Lackey counters for St. Louis and he has been a huge part of the success this season. He has a 2.88 ERA overall including a 1.97 ERA at home and the big price is due to that. He is undefeated in day starts and St. Louis is 4-0 in those games but just a pedestrian 8-8 in 16 starts under the lights. Going back, the Cardinals are just 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (909) Cincinnati Reds |
|||||||
07-29-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers +133 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 133 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
The Yankees spotted the Rangers a 5-0 lead after one before erupting for 11 runs in the second and going on to win 21-5. That puts Texas in a great bounceback position at a great price as well. Colby Lewis has been very consistent this season even though his ERA may not show it. His WHIP of 1.19 does in fact show he is having a great season. He has tossed 13 quality outings over his 20 starts including nine of his last 10. He had a pair of poor outings against the Indians and Angels and take those out and his ERA is 3.31 over his other 18 games. The Rangers are 9-2 in Lewis' last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Masahiro Tanaka goes for the Yankees has been pretty solid since coming back from injury and he is currently on a four-game quality start run. He has never faced the Rangers which is good for him however this is his first trip to hitter friendly Rangers Ballpark. Additionally, this is his first stat on the road since June where he allowed six runs in five innings against the Astros. 10* (918) Texas Rangers |
|||||||
07-29-15 | New York Liberty v. Indiana Fever OVER 149 | Top | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Indiana is playing the second of a back-to-back set after having a game that was postponed last week due to airport issues rescheduled for last night. The Fever ended up beating Connecticut but it took overtime and that along with the travel back home could have them fatigued and in a tough spot defensively. It was the third straight games that went under the total for Indiana but all of those were on the road and it is riding a three-game over streak at home. The offense was the story in those home contests as the Fever scored 83, 83 and 88 points and overall they are averaging 77.4 ppg at home. New York brings in one of the top defenses in the league but it struggled to stop Indiana in the first meeting this season at home as the Liberty allowed 80 points. They went under the total in their last game prior to the break and have gone under in three of four. They went over in five straight games previous to that as their own offense put together an average of 81.4 ppg during that run. I expect to see something similar here against a tired Indiana defense. The over is 8-3 in the Liberty's last 11 games against teams with a winning record while the over is 8-3 in the Fever's last 11 games playing on no rest. 10* Over (603) New York Liberty/(604) Indiana Fever |
|||||||
07-29-15 | Detroit Tigers +156 v. Tampa Bay Rays | Top | 2-1 | Win | 156 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
It has been a hugely disappointing season for Detroit as it is now four games under .500 following its third straight loss last night. The Tigers chances of winning the division are done but the Wild Card is still in reach. Justin Verlander has had a trying season as he is winless on the season while the Tigers are 0-7 in his seven starts. He has never gone longer without winning but he is coming off one of his best performances of the season as he tossed eight innings and allowed just one run while issuing no walks. He has pitched solid in Tropicana throughout his career and expect a carryover from his last outing plus the Rays are 7-17 in their last 24 games against right-handed starters. Chris Archer has been very inconsistent after a great start to the season although he is coming off a pair of quality outings. Since posting a 0.84 ERA through his first five starts, he has a 3.22 ERA since which is still good but far from the early dominance. Tampa Bay is just 6-5 in his 11 home starts and I feel he is overpriced once again. 10* (911) Detroit Tigers |
|||||||
07-28-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks +153 v. Seattle Mariners | Top | 8-4 | Win | 153 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
Arizona took the opener of this series last night and expect that to carry over into tonight as the Diamondbacks are getting a great number here. They have won three straight games and send rookie Zack Godley to the hill for his second career start. He tossed six shutout innings in his first outing and it was no fluke as he posted a 2.72 ERA with 86 strikeouts over 89.1 innings between High-A and Double-A. The Mariners are just 5-13 in their last 18 home games against right-handed starters and counter with Hisashi Iwakuma. He is coming off a solid start against the Tigers but he has tossed just two quality outings over his seven starts overall and the Mariners are 1-3 in his four home starts. He is likely on the trading block which can be a good or bad thing depending how it is looked at. Seattle is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two daytime starts but just 1-4 with a 5.22 ERA in five nighttime starts. 10* (979) Arizona Diamondbacks |
|||||||
07-28-15 | Chicago Sky v. Phoenix Mercury -4.5 | Top | 87-89 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Even though Phoenix closed the first half of the season with a winning record, it was considered a disappointment for the Mercury. Going 9-7 was not what was expected but considering they played the first seven games without Brittney Griner, all in all it wasn't horrible. Phoenix closed the first half with consecutive losses against New York and Los Angeles so will come out hungry tonight. Chicago will get its first shot at Phoenix since dropping three straight in last year's WNBA Finals so the Sky will be highly motivated as well but playing road revenge is never a favorite of mine. Chicago closed the first half with consecutive wins and is 6-1 over its last seven games. Only one of those wins came on the road however where the Sky are 4-5 overall. They were able to trade disgruntled center Sylvia Fowles who had yet to play this season as she was sent to Minnesota while getting Erika de Souza. Her availability for tonight is still in question however. Phoenix has not lost three straight games in exactly two years and I don't expect it happen again here. 10* (652) Phoenix Mercury |
|||||||
07-28-15 | Atlanta Braves +170 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
We lost a tough one on Atlanta last night in extra innings but will come back with the Braves at an even better price. Julio Teheran gets the ball and after a very inconsistent start to the season, he has been a lot more stable. He has a 2.81 ERA over his last four starts and while his overall numbers are not great, Atlanta has won 11 of his 20 starts including eight of 10 under the lights. Ubaldo Jimenez was having a solid season, up until the All Star break that is. His two starts have been horrible as he has allowed seven runs in each game, covering just a combined seven innings. He is certainly more solid at home than on the road however the Orioles are 2-9 in his last 11 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Additionally, the Braves are 5-2 in their last seven games as an underdog of +151 to +200. 10* (973) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-27-15 | Milwaukee Brewers +156 v. San Francisco Giants | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
There is an 11.5-game difference between these two teams but the home/road splits cut that to just five games which makes this line very overinflated despite a very solid Giants run. Kyle Lohse is coming off a poor outing against the Indians in his first start after the break and while his ERA sits at lofty 6.29, his WHIP of 1.45 is a better indication of the tough luck he has had along the way. His ERA comes down by close to two runs when pitching on the and his WHIP of 1.20 in nine road outings is better than respectable. Chris Heston counters for San Francisco and he made a name for himself after tossing a no-hitter against the Mets back in June and while he has not allowed more than three runs in any start since, the Giants are just 4-3 in those games as he has been absolutely killed by the bullpen which has allowed 20 runs over that stretch. The record could be worse if not for some solid run support. 10* (905) Milwaukee Brewers |
|||||||
07-27-15 | Atlanta Braves +170 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
This is by far the most perplexing line of the night as Baltimore has no business laying this number with Kevin Gausman on the hill. He did toss a quality outing against Texas in his only home start this season but he has had mixed results in four starts this year as he carries an overall 5.18 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP into tonight. Going back, the Orioles are 0-5 in his last five starts against losing teams. Alex Wood put up a quality outing against the Dodgers in his first start after the break which came after a rare poor road outing in Colorado. It was a weird situation though as he started two days after tossing just two pitches because of a rainout. He looks to add to his solid road work where he has a 3.11 ERA in 12 starts, seven of which have been quality games. Going back, the Braves are 5-2 in Wood's last seven starts following a quality outing in his last game. 10* (915) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-26-15 | Texas Rangers +181 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
One of the big stories in los Angeles has been the emergence of Andrew Heaney who has been as good as the Angels could have asked for. He has made five starts and has been as consistent as possible with all five being quality outings and all five games being won by the Angels. It is a huge surprise as he was horrible in Miami last season in limited action. They are one of the bigger consensus plays of the day because of his emergence and thus, they are paying the price as Heaney is by far laying the biggest number he has had to all season. Nick Martinez counters for the Rangers and after an outstanding start to the season, he has nit been as consistent. Three poor starts have hurt his numbers including his last one in Colorado where he was tagged for seven runs in just four innings. Look for a bounce back though as he has owned the Angels with a 2.08 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five career starts. 10* (975) Texas Rangers |
|||||||
07-26-15 | Atlanta Braves +214 v. St. Louis Cardinals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 214 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with the Braves last night as they allowed just two hits but were defeated 1-0 and will turn to rookie Matt Wisler to avoid the sweep and a fourth straight loss overall. He has been solid as he is 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in six starts and while his road numbers are not nearly as good as his home numbers, I like the bounce back aspect here after allowing four runs last time out. Like Carlos Martinez last night, Michael Wacha has been having a great season that is showing up in the win column. His numbers are not as good but he still has 11 wins despite a 3.20 ERA. He has been inconsistent of late however as he has a 4.61 ERA in his last nine starts going back to late May. He has been bailed out by solid run support but the Cardinals are just 5-4 in those games and are now laying a monster number. The Braves are 12-4 in their last 16 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 10* (955) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-25-15 | Atlanta Braves +195 v. St. Louis Cardinals | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Shelby Miller has put up awesome numbers this season as he has a 2.33 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 19 starts and after going 9-4 through his first 13 outings, the Braves have dropped his last six which puts us in a contrarian situation loaded with value. Seven of his 10 starts on the road have been quality performances and there will be some added motivation for Miller as he faces his former team for the first time since he was traded in the offseason. Carlos Martinez has been the biggest surprise in the Cardinals rotation and while the wins have come at a greater pace, his numbers are actually worse than those of Miller. He is listed as a huge favorite tonight based on what St. Louis has done overall and in his starts so he adds to the contrarian nature of this wager. The big upset is far from out of the question here. 10* (907) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-25-15 | Washington Nationals +135 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 9-3 | Win | 135 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Washington has lost the first two games of this series and turns to Gio Gonzalez to snap that skid. He has been one of the more consistent starters of late as he has tossed four straight quality outings and going back further, he has compiled a 2.81 ERA in seven starts since the beginning of June. The Pirates have been on of his favorite teams to face as he is 3-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in six career starts with Washington a perfect 5-0 in his five starts with them. A.J. Burnett is having his best season ever as far as ERA goes with a 2.44 ERA through 19 starts and while that ERA drops to 1.58 at home, the Pirates are just 5-4 in his nine home starts. He is coming off a poor outing against the Royals in his first start after the break as he allowed six runs in six innings but the offense bailed him out. He won't be as fortunate tonight. 10* (903) Washington Nationals |
|||||||
07-24-15 | Baltimore Orioles +138 v. Tampa Bay Rays | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
The Orioles continue their roadtrip after getting swept in New York against the Yankees. They are now two games under .500 and are seven games back in the American League East but now face another struggling team and going back, the Orioles are 13-4 in their last 17 against teams with a losing record. The Rays are back home following a 2-4 roadtrip and the home field hasn't been great as they are two games under .500 at Tropicana Field. Additionally, the Rays are 0-7 in their last seven games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. Chris Tillman hasn't been having a great season but he is getting wins which is what counts. Baltimore has won seven of his last eight starts and pitching here has been good to him as he has a 2.95 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in seven career starts. The Orioles are 22-8 in Tillman's last 30 starts against teams with a losing record. Chris Archer is making his first home start in close to a month but he has been inconsistent here as just five of his 10 home starts have been quality outings. Baltimore has been tough on him as he is 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA in six career starts. 10* (965) Baltimore Orioles |
|||||||
07-24-15 | Chicago White Sox +156 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 6-0 | Win | 156 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
The White Sox took the opener of this series yesterday which snapped a four-game skid and look for them to carry that into today. The victory improved them to 8-3 in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record. Cleveland has dropped five of its last eight games going back to before the break as the home struggles continue. The Indians are just 19-27 at home and while their ace takes the hill tonight, he has been one of the least profitable pitchers in baseball. Corey Kluber has been pitching very well but the wins are not coming thanks to little to no run support. He is getting just 2.65 rpg including a mere 2.33 rpg at home where Cleveland has gone just 3-6 in his nine starts. Additionally, the Indians have dropped his last eight starts within the division. Jose Quintana has not been getting the wins either but he has actually been more consistent than Kluber. 14 of his 19 starts have been quality performances including eight of 10 on the road. This includes a run of seven straight and in five career starts in Cleveland, he is 4-1 with a 1.21 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Excellent value tonight for the White Sox. 10* (967) Chicago White Sox |
|||||||
07-23-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. New York Mets +199 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
The Dodgers were able to salvage a game against Atlanta yesterday to get back to .500 on this current roadtrip but they are still four games under .500 on the road for the season. The offense has been extremely inconsistent this season and more recent, they are averaging just 3.4 rpg over their last nine. The Mets road woes continued with another series loss in Washington and have gone 8-17 over their last 25 road games. Citi Field has been much kinder to New York as it is 32-14 here on the season and the Mets have won five of their last six games following a loss. Los Angeles is a huge favorite because of Clayton Kershaw on the mound and while he has been churning out quality starts, the wins simply aren't coming. He is again dominant at home and while his road numbers aren't bad, the Dodgers are just 4-6 in his 10 road starts, all of which he has been favored in and overall, they have dropped 7.1 units. Bartolo Colon started the season red hot and has cooled off but has still pitched very well at home. Seven of nine starts have been quality and overall, New York has won six of those nine. 10* (904) New York Mets |
|||||||
07-23-15 | Washington Nationals +161 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
Washington took Game Three against the Mets yesterday to win its series to close out a disappointing 3-3 homestand. The Nationals remain in first place in the National League East by three games over New York and look to get over .500 on the road with a victory tonight. The Pirates had a rough roadtrip after the break as they lost five of six games but they have been rock solid at home. Pittsburgh is paying the price because of that tonight as it is a big favorite with Francisco Liriano on the hill. He ha put up very good numbers but he is just 5-6 and the Pirates have won only eight of his 18 starts overall. The Pirates are 2-6 in Liriano's last eight home starts against teams with a winning record. Washington counters with Doug Fister who has been pretty inconsistent this season but certainly has the ability to keep Washington in this one. He has allowed just one run in 12.1 combined innings over two starts against the Pirates since coming to Washington and the Nationals are 9-3 in his last 12 starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. A definite take with a quality team in a big dog spot. 10* (901) Washington Nationals |
|||||||
07-23-15 | Baltimore Orioles +138 v. New York Yankees | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
The Orioles lost their second straight one run game in this series last night but we will be on their side this afternoon in what is their biggest underdog price thus far. The losses have dropped them to 6.5 games behind the Yankees in the American League East but going back, the Orioles are 20-9 in their last 29 games after losing the first two games of a series. The Yankees are 4-1 since the break with all of those wins coming by just a single run so they can be considered clutch or just plain lucky but either way, they are overpriced here because of Masahiro Tanaka. The Yankees have won his last three starts which all came at home but he still possesses a pedestrian 4.32 ERA at Yankee Stadium but has been winning because of strong run support. I don't see that happening today with Ubaldo Jimenez taking the hill for Baltimore. He was lit up by the Tigers in his first start after the break as he allowed seven runs in 4.2 innings but that was a surprise as he had gone eight straight starts of allowing three runs or fewer. He has made five daytime starts and possesses a solid 1.41 ERA. 10* (911) Baltimore Orioles |
|||||||
07-22-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Chicago White Sox +138 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
The Cardinals took the opener of this series last night and will look to even the season series with a win tonight but I feel they are severely overpriced here despite owning the best record in baseball. Chicago has now dropped three straight games and is 1-4 since the break but I like its position tonight to even this two-game set. As was the case during his first four seasons with the Cardinals, Lance Lynn is once again pitching dominant at home but not so much on the road. This season he is 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in nine home starts but just 2-4 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in eight road starts. Overall, he has a 2.64 ERA and 1.14 WHIP at home and a 4.12 ERA and 1.42 WHIP on the highway. Only half of his eight road starts this season have been quality and going back, the Cardinals are 2-6 in Lynn's last eight road starts against teams with a losing record. John Danks is similar as he is better at home as six of nine starts here have been quality with Chicago going 6-3 in those games. The White Sox are 5-1 in Danks' last six home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (978) Chicago White Sox |
|||||||
07-22-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Philadelphia Phillies +152 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 152 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
The Phillies had their four-game winning streak snapped with a 1-0 loss last night but I expect them to bounce back this afternoon. Tampa Bay has now gone nine straight games without scoring more than four runs and has managed just nine runs total during the first five games of this roadtrip. Jake Odorizzi get the ball for the Rays and he was lit up in his last start, allowing six runs in just 4.1 innings at Toronto. Overall, his numbers are solid but Tampa Bay is just 7-7 in his 14 starts as he is receiving only 2.36 rpg of support and with the recent offensive struggles, look for that to continue. Adam Morgan counters for the Phillies who got torched by the Dodgers in his final start before the break but allowed just three runs over 12.2 innings in his two starts prior to that. He bounced back last time out by allowing just two runs in 6.1 innings against Miami and in two home starts, he possesses a 2.25 ERA covering 12 innings. The Rays are 2-9 in their last 11 Interleague games against left-handed starters. 10* (972) Philadelphia Phillies |
|||||||
07-22-15 | Connecticut Sun +8 v. Minnesota Lynx | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The WNBA All Star break begins tomorrow and it is coming at a good time for both of these teams but for different reasons. Connecticut opened the season with a loss against Washington but then reeled off seven consecutive wins to take the early lead in the Eastern Conference. Nothing has gone right since then however as the Sun have dropped their last six games. Only one of those however, a 20-point loss at Chicago, was a blowout so they have at least remained competitive. Minnesota has won four straight games to improve to 12-3 overall and has a 3.5-game lead over Phoenix and Tulsa in the Western Conference. The problem for the Lynx has been injuries though as they lost Seimone Augustus for a month because of a knee injury and last game, Lindsay Whalen left with an eye injury and has been downgraded to doubtful for today. Connecticut has been solid in the underdog role, going 8-3 ATS on the season and going back, it has covered 15 of 22 games following a cover loss. Look for the Sun to stay within this number this afternoon as it will be out to head into the break with some positive momentum. 10* (601) Connecticut Sun |
|||||||
07-21-15 | Phoenix Mercury v. Los Angeles Sparks OVER 151.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
We are getting some significant value in this total based on recent results. These teams played here just over two weeks ago and the over/under closed at 156 but now we are seeing a drop by close to four points despite it going over by nearly 30 points. Phoenix had its six-game winning streak snapped at home against New York on Saturday which was its third straight game that stayed below the number albeit not by much. That game stayed under by just a point while the previous game stayed under by only a bucket. Los Angeles meanwhile has lost five straight games dating back to that most recent meeting with the Mercury with the last four contests staying below the number. The offense has been hit or miss but the defense remain the problem as the Sparks are allowing opponents to shoot 44.8 percent from the floor, the second highest percentage in the WNBA. This is something that Phoenix can take advantage of again as it is averaging 82.2 ppg over its last five games. The last four meetings in this series taking place in Los Angeles have all gone over the total and by a significant margin as the average final has seen just under 174 ppg scored and tonight we are catching the lowest posted number of them all. 10* Over (657) Phoenix Mercury/(658) Los Angeles Sparks |
|||||||
07-21-15 | Baltimore Orioles +111 v. New York Yankees | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Baltimore and New York both opened the second half with series wins and the Orioles remain on the road in a great situation to capture this series opener tonight. They are four games behind the Yankees in the American League East despite having a higher run differential and despite the road being a disappointment this season as a whole, they have won 10 of their last 15 games on the highway. New York has been a pleasant surprise all season despite a pretty average offense and a starting rotation that has posted a 4.22 ERA. Nathan Eovaldi has been part of that latter issue despite him posting a record of 9-2. He has a 4.50 ERA and 1.52 WHIP through 18 starts and the losses have been minimized thanks to a ton of run support as he has gotten 5.6 rpg including 7.3 rpg at home. Don't expect that kind of output tonight however as Wei-Yin Chen is having a spectacular season despite a losing record. He has a 2.78 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 17 starts with 12 of those being quality outings. He has allowed two runs or less in seven straight starts and part of the reason he has such few wins is because of the opposing starters he has faced. He has gone up against the likes of Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber and Dallas Keuchel (twice) so he takes a big step down in class here. He has tossed three straight quality games against the Yankees including both starts this season. 10* (911) Baltimore Orioles |
|||||||
07-20-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves +138 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 138 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
The Dodgers opened the second half with a series win in Washington highlighted by another shutout performance from Zack Greinke yesterday. They remain 3.5 games ahead of San Francisco in the National League West but are still just three games under .500 on the road. The Braves offense could get nothing going in the final two games against the Cubs as they managed just one run over the weekend. Atlanta is still a solid five games over .500 at home and going back, the Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record. Matt Wisler takes the hill for the Braves and he has been pretty solid since entering the rotation. He is 3-1 with a 3.10 ERA in five starts and he is making his first home start since the first day of the month. He has been extremely efficient at home as he has allowed just one run over 13.1 combined innings against the Nationals and Mets. Brandon Beachy will be making his second start since coming off another Tommy john surgery, his second in three years. His first outing was not a good one as he allowed three runs on five hits and three walks in just four innings. He is overpriced once again, especially being on the road tonight. 10* (956) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-19-15 | Minnesota Lynx v. Tulsa Shock +4 | Top | 79-72 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Tulsa remains in second place in the Western Conference, two games behind Minnesota, as it looks to snap a two-game skid however both of those games were on the road. Going back, the Shock have dropped five of their last seven games but six of those Came away from home and this has been a different team at BOK Center where they are a perfect 6-0. The bad news for Tulsa was the loss of Skylar Diggins to a season ending knee injury but the return of Odyssey Sims has helped make up for some of that. She missed over a month with a knee issue, but has averaged 16.4 ppg since her return three games ago. Tulsa went 0-3 with both players out. The Lynx announced prior to Friday's game that Seimone Augustus underwent arthroscopic surgery on her right knee and will be out indefinitely and that is certainly a big loss. Her teammates made up for her absence against Chicago as they rolled to an 18-point win, their third straight overall to move to a league-best 11-3. They are 5-2 on the road but wins have come against teams a combined 26-478 with Indiana and Connecticut being the lone teams that were .500 or better. Additionally, Minnesota has played only three teams with a winning record at the time and failed to cover all three of those games. The Lynx are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against winning teams while the Shock are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. 10* (602) Tulsa Shock |
|||||||
07-19-15 | Texas Rangers +156 v. Houston Astros | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
After losing the series opener on Friday, Texas followed that up with a victory on Saturday and will look to win the series with a victory today. Prior to the All Star break, the Rangers lost seven of eight games, all of which came at home but being on the road is not a liability as their win differential from road to home is 10 games which is the biggest in all of baseball. They are 27-21 on the highway and their +19.5 units won are by far the most in baseball. Houston remains a game and a half behind the Angels in the American League West as it has now dropped seven of its last eight games but comes in as a huge favorite today because of the starter. Dallas Keuchel is having a Cy Young type of season and we are going contrarian here as he has yet to lose at home this season. He is 8-0 with a 1.24 ERA and 0.94 WHIP and he is paying the price because of it. The Rangers have given him some fits as only four of his last nine starts against them have been quality. Going back, the Astros are 0-7 in Keuchel's last seven starts with seven or more days of rest. Yovani Gallardo counter for Texas and he is having a solid season as well as he went into the All Star break with a 2.62 ERA and 1.23 WHIP and has given up just four runs in his last 37.1 innings. The Rangers are 5-0 in his last five starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (923) Texas Rangers |
|||||||
07-18-15 | Atlanta Dream v. Seattle Storm OVER 147 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show |
Both Atlanta and Seattle are coming off wins as small underdogs over Los Angeles earlier in the week and meet here for the second and final time this season. While the Storm will be out for revenge from the first meeting earlier this month, we are concentrating on the total in this second matchup. Both teams have seen the majority of their games go under the total this season and in Atlanta's case, it is not overly surprising as eight of its 15 games has seen totals in the 150's with the under coming in five times in those. The Dream have gone under the total in their last two games but not by a lot as they stayed below the number by just 2.5 and 4.5 points. Seattle has also stayed under the total in its last two games but by a much wider margin, 17 and 19.5 points and that is creating the most value for Saturday. Additionally, the first meeting's total closed at 147.5 and that stayed under by a double-digit margin. Expect a much higher scoring game in this rematch. 10* Over (653) Atlanta Dream/(654) Seattle Storm |
|||||||
07-18-15 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers v. Calgary Stampeders -9 | Top | 25-26 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 11 m | Show |
Calgary is coming off a closer than expected win last week against Toronto as it won by five points as a seven-point favorite despite outgaining the Argonauts by 126 total yards. The Stampeders are off to a 2-1 start and are in the midst of a stretch where they can put a lot of pressure on the other teams from the West Division. This is the second game in a span where four of five games are at home and the lone road game is at Ottawa so a 6-1 start is far from out of the question. The big thing for our concern however is that Calgary is 0-3 against the number so we have yet to see them play at the level they are capable of playing and I think that changes this week. Winnipeg is also off to a 2-1 and its start has been a lot more fortunate even though the margin of victories are about the same as those for Calgary. The Blue Bombers have been outgained in all three games and by an average of 110.0 ypg which is a horrific disparity at this point. The defense has been the big culprit as they are allowing a whopping 462.3 ypg which is the worst in the CFL. Calgary's defense is 135 ypg better and will prove to be the difference here as the Stampeders offense looks to get back on track. The Stampeders lost only two home games last season, one coming by a single point against British Columbia and the other coming against Winnipeg and that has not been forgotten. 10* (328) Calgary Stampeders |
|||||||
07-17-15 | B.C. Lions v. Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
It has not been the start to the season Saskatchewan was hoping for as it has dropped its first three games. After winning the 2013 Grey Cup, the Roughriders stumbled last season as a strong stat was followed by a 1-6 record over their last seven games including a loss at Edmonton in the Divisional Semifinals. They were supposed to get back on track in 2015 but now it will be an uphill battle although the season is far from done. The Roughriders have blown leads in the fourth quarter in all three games this season so while they sit 0-3, they could easily be 3-0 so if there is good news, they have been right there. The last two losses have come in overtime including a 35-32 loss at British Columbia last Friday so the revenge angle comes into play this week. The Lions opened the season with a loss at Ottawa and were fortunate to bounce back last week as they stopped a quarterback sneak in the fourth quarter which opened the door. They hit the road again where going back to last season, they have dropped five of their last six and they are facing the wrong opponent at the wrong time. Roughriders head coach Corey Chamblin said that team has reset after losing its first three regular season games by a combined nine points and that makes this one huge. The offense has been the strength and it is up to the defense to starting getting things turned around and that starts Friday. 10* (326) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
|||||||
07-17-15 | Texas Rangers +140 v. Houston Astros | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
Neither Texas nor Houston ended the first half they way they would have liked so the All Star break came at an opportune time. The Rangers lost seven of their final eight games ,all of which came at home but being on the road is not a bad this as their win differential from road to home is 10 games which is the biggest in all of baseball. They are 26-20 on the highway and their +19.3 units won are by far the most. Houston meanwhile dropped six straight and eight of nine games but those games were on the road where they are now under .500 on the season. Playing at home has been much better where they are 12 games over .500 but the Astros find themselves out of first place in the American League West for the first time since April 18th. The Astros starting rotation has been very solid this season but Colin McHugh has been up and down. He has a 4.50 ERA and 1.26 WHIP overall but his ERA balloons to 5.74 at home through seven starts with just two of those being quality outings. Martin Perez will be making his season debut after coming off Tommy John surgery so he may be considered a risk here but he made six rehab starts and while his ERA was 4.56, that isn't a big concern. His command was outstanding as he posted a 25:3 K:BB ratio over 25.2 innings. 10* (923) Texas Rangers |
|||||||
07-17-15 | Miami Marlins v. Philadelphia Phillies +143 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 143 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
The All Star break came at a perfect time for the Phillies as they lost their last five games by a combined score of 38-9. The rest was needed for the bullpen which tossed 294 innings, second moist in the league. While still under .500 at home, Philadelphia is much better here than on the road and much better than Miami is on the road at 14-28. The Marlins who two straight prior to the break, both at home, and are on a four-game road losing streak. Jose Fernandez has been outstanding since his return as he has tossed a pair of quality outings but those games were both in Miami. Fernandez has been outstanding at home throughout his career, so outstanding he has never lost. He is 14-0 with a 1.17 ERA in 22 starts with the Marlins going 19-3. The road has been a different story though and while his ERA is a decent 3.93, Miami has gone just 6-10 in his 16 outings on the highway. Adam Morgan counters for the Phillies who got torched by the Dodgers in his final start before the break but allowed just three runs over 12.2 innings in his two starts prior to that. This will be his second home start and his first came against the Cardinals so the class of offense is a big step down here. 10* (902) Philadelphia Phillies |
|||||||
07-17-15 | Indiana Fever v. Washington Mystics -3 | Top | 50-68 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
Indiana defeated Tulsa on Wednesday to make it five straight wins, the longest winning streak for the Fever in three years. The last four were all at home and going back, they have won three straight road games after opening the season 0-3 on the highway. This game sets up a great opportunity to go against them as they have not hit the road yet this month and the opponent will be out for some redemption. Washington is stuck on a three-game slide following a 28-point loss at Chicago Wednesday. That was its second loss of at least 23 points during this skid which were sandwiched around a tough three-point home loss to New York in overtime. That 23-point defeat came at Indiana at the beginning of the month which adds to the redemption scenario that is in effect on Friday. The Mystics have covered just one game at home this season and their 3-9 ATS record is the worst in the WNBA but all that does is add to the value here. So much so that they were actually favored by more at Indiana in that last meeting than they are on Friday at home so the change in venue that normally plays a part in the line switch is not even close here. We take advantage. 10* (602) Washington Mystics |
|||||||
07-16-15 | Connecticut Sun v. New York Liberty UNDER 147 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
Connecticut is in desperate need of a victory and the only way for that to happen is to shore up the defense. After a 7-1 start, the Sun are in danger of their first five-game losing streak since dropping seven in a row in August 2013. The problem has been stopping their opponents as Connecticut has given up 87.5 ppg during the losing streak including 90.5 ppg the last two games. To no surprise, both of those games have gone over the total and going back further, the Sun have gone 6-1 to the over their last eight games. This after not going over once in their first five games. New York meanwhile has won four of its last five games and most important for us, all five of those games have gone over the total with an average of just over 157 ppg scored. We are now seeing a bigger than expected total because of it and one that has been driven up after opening at 145.5. The fact the last five games have gone over is surprising considering the Liberty have the best shooting defense and the second best scoring defense in the WNBA. Connecticut meanwhile is fifth in points allowed so we have two defenses capable of a very low scoring game. Pace is also a factor as both teams allow fewer attempts than the league average. Look for the over streaks to come to an end tonight. 10* Under (653) Connecticut Sun/(654) New York Liberty |
|||||||
07-15-15 | LA Sparks v. Seattle Storm +1.5 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
An early start in Seattle matches up the two worst teams in the Western Conference and this is a good spot for the home squad. There isn't a whole lot going for either side here but the one thing that certainly sticks out is the fact that Los Angeles is favored despite not having won a road game all season long. Typically, that is a contrarian angle which we would take a long look at but in this case, it is a team overpriced because of the name and not what is on the floor. Los Angeles has dropped three straight games and has yet to cover a game as a favorite at any time this season, going 0-3 ATS. Nine of Seattle's 12 losses have come against the top three teams in the Western Conference, Minnesota, Tulsa and Phoenix, which possess a combined record of 29-12. Another loss came against a winning team from the Eastern Conference so the Storm have only two losses against losing teams and both came on the road and were by a combined 10 points. When you add it all up, Seattle has played the toughest schedule in the WNBA. The Storm already have two wins against the Sparks this season so revenge is a factor but road revenge is not an angle we are a proponent of. 10* (606) Seattle Storm |
|||||||
07-14-15 | Minnesota Lynx v. Connecticut Sun +7 | Top | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
We played against Minnesota on Friday in a similar situation and we will go against the Lynx once again. They lost that game in Chicago but did follow up with a win at home against San Antonio on Sunday and now they hit the road yet again in a rare scheduling spot in the WNBA to have three games in five days. The Lynx are 4-2 on the road but those four wins have come against teams a combined 15-38 with Indiana being the lone team that is at .500 or better. Additionally, Minnesota has played only two teams with a winning record at the time and failed to win or cover either of those games. After seven straight wins, Connecticut has fallen on some hard time with losses in three straight contests including its last two at home against Chicago and Indiana. The Sun are percentage points ahead Chicago for first place in the Eastern Conference, one that is separated by just two games between first place and last place. Defense has been the strength of both teams and it is the Sun that are in need to get back to how they were early on as Connecticut has given up an average of 88.3 ppg during the losing streak after allowing 68.4 ppg in winning its previous seven. The Sun are 8-1 ATS this season as underdogs including a perfect 4-0 ATS as home underdogs. 10* (652) Connecticut Sun |
|||||||
07-13-15 | Toronto Argonauts v. Calgary Stampeders -7 | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
The defending Grey Cup Champions hardly look like the team that was hoisting the trophy last November. The Stampeders opened the season with a one-point win over Hamilton as they needed a 50-yard field goal on the final play of their season opener and then last week they got beat pretty badly against Montreal by a 29-11 score. Now they have had 10 days off to get ready for this one and the extra time will be important. We played against Toronto last week following opener its season with an upset win over Edmonton. The Argonauts pulled off another upset last week as they went on the road and defeated Saskatchewan in overtime despite getting outgained by 220 total yards. They had a 100-yards interception return for a touchdown, took advantage of key Saskatchewan turnovers and forced four field goals. The early schedule remains not on their side as this is the third of five consecutive games away from Rogers Centre to start the season for Toronto, who does not play at home until August 8th because of the Pan Am Games. Defense will be key here as the Stampeders held the Tiger Cats offense out of the endzone, but watched Rakeem Cato, in his first-career CFL start, complete 20-of-25 passes with three touchdowns last week. This week it is Trevor Harris they will try and stop as he has been solid as a backup to Ricky Ray but the defense will be the best he has seen this season. Calgary has not lost consecutive regular season games since 2012, going 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS following a loss that includes 10 straight covers. Those wins have come by an average of 14.9 ppg. 10* (128) Calgary Stampeders |
|||||||
07-12-15 | St. Louis Cardinals +157 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
After winning the opener of this four-game series, the Cardinals have dropped the last two games and will be out to even it up and add to their 3.5-game lead prior to the All-Star break. St. Louis owns the best home record in baseball but they can hold their own on the highway where they are four games over .500. Pittsburgh would like nothing more than to trim the Cardinals lead heading into the break but while getting St. Louis as an underdog is one thing, getting them as underdogs of more than +150 is another. Tim Cooney will be making his third spot start of the month and the first two have been solid as he has a 2.38 ERA over 11.1 innings. He allowed just one run in 5.1 innings at Chicago against the Cubs so facing another strong offense will not be a problem. Francisco Liriano is the main cause for the high moneyline but he has actually been better on the road than at home and the Pirates possess a losing record at PNC Park with him on the hill. Also, the Pirates are 1-6 in Liriano's last seven home starts against teams with a winning record and since the start of last season, he has a 4.70 ERA in four home starts against the Cardinals. 10* (961) St. Louis Cardinals |
|||||||
07-12-15 | New York Liberty v. Atlanta Dream -1.5 | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
This is a big game for Atlanta which looks to end its four-game homestand with a victory prior to hitting the highway for a six-game roadtrip starting Tuesday. The Dream are coming off a home loss to Tulsa in their last game this past Tuesday to fall to 4-4 at home which is definitely a disappointing record given the fact they lost only four games all of last season. New York meanwhile has been playing very well as it is riding a three-game winning streak following an overtime win at Washington on Thursday. That was the second straight road upset as an underdog for the Liberty and they come in as the third best cover team in the league, going 8-3 against the number. This is also a double-revenge game for Atlanta which has lost the first two meetings to the Liberty this season including a nine-point loss here less than three weeks ago where the line was over double than it is now. The Liberty has covered five straight games in this series going back to last season, winning all of those outright as underdogs but the streak comes to an end this afternoon. 10* (602) Atlanta Dream |
|||||||
07-12-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Miami Marlins +135 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 135 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
Miami has taken two of the first three games of this series following yesterday's 14-3 rout and I look for them to carry that over into today. The win improved the Marlins to 23-23 at home where they have won five of six and going back, they are 6-2 in their last eight games after scoring six runs or more in their previous game. The Reds dropped back to 11 games under .500 on the road where they have obviously struggled all season and not just against the good teams as they are 2-9 in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record. Johnny Cueto is the only reason Cincinnati is favored by so much here but it is overpriced on the road. The Reds are 6-1 in his seven home starts but just 4-5 on the road and the fact he is coming off a two-hit complete game shutout on the road at Washington only sweetens it up more to go against. Dan Haren is having a very solid season and at home he has been even better, posting a 2.98 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in nine starts with the Marlins going 6-3. Additionally, the Marlins are 5-0 in Haren's last five starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (954) Miami Marlins |
|||||||
07-11-15 | LA Sparks +4.5 v. Tulsa Shock | Top | 67-82 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Here we have the best team in the WNBA against the spread going up against the second worst covering team in the league and the line is taking that into consideration. Tulsa is coming off a win at Atlanta to put an end to a three-game losing streak and improve to 9-4 overall and 10-3 ATS. The Shock have yet to lose at home but this is their first home game start since losing Skylar Diggins to a season ending knee injury against Seattle in their last home contest. Los Angeles had won two in a row following a franchise worst 0-7 start but has given those back with two straight losses including a seven-point loss at San Antonio three nights ago. The Sparks are 0-5 on the road so we are going against the grain and the 10-0 home/road splits between the two but that is where the value emerges. These teams played a week ago with Los Angeles closing as a 5.5-point favorite so the line swing is a huge one with the change of venue but it is definitely too big in my opinion. An outright upset for Los Angeles is far from out of the question here. 10* (651) Los Angeles Sparks |
|||||||
07-11-15 | Oakland A's +155 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 5-4 | Win | 155 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
Cleveland is on a four-game winning streak following a win in the series opener last night but it remains a struggling team at home. The Indians are five games under .500 at home but still come is as significant favorites here and going back, they are 2-5 in their last seven games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Oakland is now three games under .500 on the road but that is better than their 18-26 home record and it looks to snap a three-game losing skid today behind Chris Bassitt who has been very sharp in two recent spot starts. He made five relief appearances in April and May but was optioned to the minors and he has been recalled two other times to make starts where he has posted a 2.53 ERA over 10.2 innings. The Indians counter with Carlos Carrasco who was lit up by the Astros in his last start, allowing five runs on 10 hits over four innings. He has been extremely inconsistent this season and pitching at home has been no advantage as he has a 5.11 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in nine starts, only four of which have been quality. The Indians are just 7-18 in his last 25 home starts. 10* (919) Oakland A's |
|||||||
07-11-15 | Atlanta Braves +136 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Colorado has won the first two games of this series by identical 5-3 scores but today the Rockies are getting a little too much respect. The Rockies are 12 games under .500 on the season including just 19-24 at home but they are hefty favorites and they have not been favored this much since mid-June. They have been -140 favorites for times prior and have gone 1-3 in those games with the lone win coming against the lowly Phillies. Atlanta has dropped three straight since winning its first two games of this roadtrip but look for the Braves to bounce back behind Matt Wisler who is making his fifth start. He has a poor start against the Nationals at Washington but has put together a 1.89 ERA in his other three starts with all of those resulting in wins. Jorge De La Rosa gets the ball for the Rockies and he is the reason for the big number but his 4.46 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the season is nothing special. He has been solid over his last three outings but at home this season, he has a 6.81 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in eight starts with only two of those resulting in quality performances. 10* (903) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-10-15 | Milwaukee Brewers +153 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
Milwaukee salvaged a game against the Braves at home and hit the road where it has actually been very solid. The Brewers are 16-28 at Miller Park, the worst home record in baseball but they are just a game under .500 on the highway. The Dodgers as we know are a very solid home team but betting them here mean paying the price and that is the case tonight in a very inflated line based on teams more so than pitching. The Dodgers are 2-5 in their last seven games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and send Michael Bolsinger to the mound and he has been pitching very well under the radar with a 3.09 ERA on the season. Los Angeles is just 6-6 in his 12 starts however and only four of those have been quality outings including none in his last five. Jimmy Nelson has a couple bad starts in June against the Cardinals and Nationals but he has been pretty good other than that with an ERA that sits at 3.71 in his other 15 starts. The Brewers are 5-2 in Nelson's last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (959) Milwaukee Brewers |
|||||||
07-10-15 | Minnesota Lynx v. Chicago Sky +2.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota has won three straight games to take over the top spot in the Western Conference as it is now 8-2 overall. The Lynx are 4-1 on the road but those four wins have come against teams a combined 14-33 with Indiana being the lone team that is at .500. Additionally, Minnesota has played only one team with a winning record at the time and failed to win or cover that game. Chicago comes in at 6-5 which is considered average but the schedule has played a big role in that. The Sky have played eight of those 11 games on the highway and they are a very respectable 4-4 in those games. They are 2-1 at home with the lone defeat coming in their last home game against New York so they will be out to make up for that here tonight. Chicago has failed to cover its last three games which is playing into this line and while it has failed to cover as an underdog in two tries, both of those were on the road. Look for a big effort tonight from the Sky as they look to snap a three-game slide against Minnesota. 10* (604) Chicago Sky |
|||||||
07-10-15 | Montreal Alouettes v. Winnipeg Blue Bombers -3 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
After a surprising loss to Ottawa at home to open the season, Montreal bounced back to clobber defending Grey Cup Champion Calgary last week. Now the Alouettes hit the road for the first time this season and will be facing a pretty fired up Winnipeg team out for some redemption. The Blue Bombers have had the opposite start as they upset Saskatchewan on the road in Week One only to come home and get destroyed against Hamilton last week by 26 points. It was a very strange season a year ago for Winnipeg as it opened 5-1 but was able to win only two more times over the final 12 games, thus missing the playoffs. Going back to last season, the Blue Bombers have dropped five straight home games with the last victory coming way back last August and happened to come against Montreal. Going back, Winnipeg has covered four straight in this series while going 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings played at home. Winnipeg has had one extra day to get ready for this game which may seem insignificant but actually is a solid edge. 10* (124) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
|||||||
07-10-15 | Chicago White Sox +155 v. Chicago Cubs | Top | 1-0 | Win | 155 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
The White Sox are coming off a series win over Toronto which concluded a solid 5-2 homestand and ran their current streak to 7-2 over their last nine games. The Cubs split with St. Louis following a loss on Sunday and going into this series with the rival White Sox, they are 1-6 in their last seven Interleague home games against teams with a losing record. Kyle Hendricks has been one of the lesser known pitchers in the Cubs rotation but he has been solid with a 3.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 16 starts but he has not received much run support so he is just 4-4 which they have won only nine of 16 starts. He has not allowed a run in his last two starts which is the perfect time to go against. Carlos Rodon does not have as good of numbers but that is due to two bad starts where he allowed a combined 12 runs over 7.2 innings. Take those out and his ERA drops from 4.18 to 2.73 in his other eight starts which shows he has been more consistent than not. 10* (975) Chicago White Sox |
|||||||
07-09-15 | Tampa Bay Rays +127 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Rays look to avoid the four-game sweep today in Kansas City following a 9-7 loss last night, their 10th defeat in their last 11 games. The offense has been a big concern as Tampa Bay has scored three runs or less in six of those games but it can be encouraged by last night's display. The pitching has been roughed up during this series and during the recent skid but that changes today. Kansas City has won four in a row following a 1-5 run where the offense could find very little success. They look to keep it going and despite taking down ace Chris Archer last night, it will be a challenge today against Nathan Karns. The run support issue has taken its toll on him as the Rays have scored just 11 runs over his last six starts but he has kept them around by allowing two runs or less in five straight starts, four of which have been quality. He has a 2.02 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in seven road starts. Kansas City counters with Yordano Ventura who is making his first start since June 12th because of ulnar neuritis in his pitching hand. While not serious, an injury like that is a concern and can linger. He has not been on top of his game following a very successful rookie season as only four of 12 starts have been quality. Going back, the Royals are 1-6 in Ventura's last seven starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (913) Tampa Bay Rays |
|||||||
07-09-15 | New York Liberty v. Washington Mystics -4 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
**11:30 AM ET** New York and Washington are both coming off extended layoffs prior to this key Eastern Conference matchup in a Thursday matinee. The Liberty have been off for nine days while the Mystics haven't played in a week so there will be no issue with fatigue here. Both teams are 6-4 which is good for a second place tie in the conference and the difference has been the two Washington victories earlier this season against the Liberty so while revenge will be in play, I like the bounceback factor for the Mystics. They were blown out by 23 points at Indiana in their most recent game as the offense was stymied. After averaging 81.6 ppg in its previous five games, Washington put up just 16 points in the second half and shot 18.6 percent over the final three quarters. New York has a two-game winning streak going and it will be getting Epiphanny Prince into the lineup for the first time this season as she is back from playing in the EuroBasket tournament for Russia. While it is a big deal having her back, fitting into the rotation and knowing the system could still be an issue. While Washington is 0-6 ATS following a win this season, it is 3-0 ATS following a loss and the Liberty are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a win. 10* (652) Washington Mystics |
|||||||
07-08-15 | Los Angeles Sparks v. San Antonio Stars +3 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
After losing seven straight games to open the season, a franchise worst start, Los Angeles turned things around with two straight wins but gave one back in its last game on Sunday in an overtime loss at home against Phoenix. Now the Sparks hit the road again where they are winless at 0-4 but come in as a road favorite tonight which is a head scratcher. San Antonio comes in with the same exact record straight up and against the spread so there is no edge either way there. The home floor is a significant advatnage and that is where the Stars have won both of their games including one against Phoenix, one of the top teams out west. The spread in that game is the same as it is tonight, another head scratcher. San Antonio last played a week ago Thursday which happened to come at Los Angeles in a five-point loss which happened to be the closing number. Now San Antonio is getting a bucket less despite the change of venue so the value is clearly on the other side. The Sparks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record while the Stars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest. 10* (604) San Antonio Stars |
|||||||
07-08-15 | Miami Marlins +165 v. Boston Red Sox | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
After winning in Chicago against the Cubs to open this roadtrip, the Marlins have dropped three straight games including this series opener last night. They allowed three runs in the seventh on a three-run single with two outs no less for their 27th road loss. Miami was a huge underdog last night and is a big dog against tonight but there not much justification here. The Red Sox are playing a lot better as they have won three straight games and seven of their last nine but they are still a game under .500 at home. Additionally, they are 1-4 in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. It has been a disaster of a season for Rick Porcello who came over from Detroit as a very solid 2014 season. He has a 6.08 ERA which is by far the worst ERA in the American League among qualified starters. He has allowed six runs or more in four of his last eight starts and has gotten very little run support on top of that. Miami counters with Tom Koehler who is having a very solid season. He has a 3.52 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 15 starts with the Marlins winning nine of those games. They have won six of his last seven starts including three of four on the road. The lone defeat came at Toronto, the league's best offense. 10* (975) Miami Marlins |
|||||||
07-08-15 | Atlanta Braves +152 v. Milwaukee Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
We won with the Braves on Monday as they snapped the Brewers eight-game winning streak and they then won again last night to make it four straight wins over Milwaukee in this season series. I think they keep it going and at this price, it is a must take. Milwaukee is now a horrid 13 games under .500 at home yet is laying a price like it is 13 games over .500 and there is no rationale for it. The Braves have now won four straight games as an underdog while the Brewers are 8-17 in their last 25 games as a home favorite. It has been an up and down season for Julio Teheran but he is coming off a quality outing where he allowed no earned runs in seven innings against the Phillies. He has been roughed up on the road but against some strong offenses and Milwaukee certainly does not qualify. The Braves are 12-5 in Teheran's last 17 road starts against teams with a losing record. Mike Fiers is also coming off a solid performance and has tossed three straight quality games. That makes this a good spot to go against him because of the price and going back, the Braves are 5-0 in their last five games against right-handed starters. 10* (951) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-07-15 | Houston Astros +161 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Cleveland has the second worst home record in baseball, better only than Milwaukee, but you cannot tell that by the size of this price. Obviously the starting pitcher has a lot to do with that but even still, it is way off. The Indians are 15-24 in 39 home games after dropping the series opener last night and since sweeping the Reds here in early May, they are 6-11 over their last 17 home games. The Astros are still by far the biggest surprise in baseball as they continue to get it done without much fanfare. They snapped a two-game skid with the win last night and they have now won six of their last eight games to keep a hold on first place in the American League West which currently sits at 3.5 games over the Angels. As mentioned, the starting pitcher is a big reason for the big number but Corey Kluber has been pretty average as the reigning Cy Young winner. He has a 3.64 ERA on the season which is certainly solid for most but the fact he has just three wins is a major concern. The Cleveland offense has a lot to do with that and after going 22-12 in his 34 starts a season ago, the Indians are just 4-13 through 17 starts this season. They have dropped five straight with him as favorites of -151 or more. Vincent Velasquez counters for Houston and he has been very solid through five starts but still has not gotten a decision either way. He has allowed just one run in two road starts and expect that success to continue tonight. 10* (915) Houston Astros |
|||||||
07-07-15 | San Diego Padres +140 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with San Diego last night as the Pirates won on a two-out, walkoff single in the bottom of the ninth inning. We are coming back with the Padres tonight though as they look to snap a three-game skid, one that could have gone either way as they have been outscored 7-3 no thanks to scoring just one run in each of those losses. While the road has been under average of late, the Padres are 6-2 in their last eight road games against left-handed starters. Pittsburgh meanwhile has won three straight games and six of its last seven but remains six games behind the Cardinals in the National League Central as it has been impossible to gain any ground. The Pirates have scored just 10 runs through the first four games of this homestand and while Tyson Ross won't put a scare into observers, he has been very solid. He has allowed more than three runs only twice this season including just once over his last 12 starts and it is his offense that has kept his wins down. However, the Padres are 6-1 in his last seven starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Pirates turn to Francisco Liriano who has been solid as well of late but is overpriced here at home where he possesses a 4.10 ERA in eight start. Additionally, the Pirates are 0-7 in Liriano's last seven starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. 10* (903) San Diego Padres |
|||||||
07-06-15 | San Diego Padres +140 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
After taking the final two games against Cleveland, Pittsburgh is now 47-34 which would be good enough to lead four of the other five divisions but it sits six games behind the Cardinals in the National League Central. The Pirates are 26-15 at home which is a solid home field edge but I think they are overpriced in this matchup. San Diego won the first two games of the four-game set at St. Louis but dropped the final two games over the weekend. They are 11-10 over their last 21 road games and while that may seem unimpressive, they have been underdogs the majority of the time and are up money on the road over the entire season. James Shields will be out looking for his first win since June 3rd but he has not pitched bad with the exception of one start. He is coming off a quality outing last time out and on the season, 12 of his 17 starts have been quality. The Padres are 5-2 in Shields' last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Pirates turn to A.J. Burnett who has been even better they have the same amount of team wins with him on the hill as the Padres do with Shields. He has been fortunate more damage has not been inflicted of late as his 1.63 WHIP over his last three starts is ugly. The Pirates are just 3-8 in his last 11 home starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (953) San Diego Padres |
|||||||
07-06-15 | Atlanta Braves +134 v. Milwaukee Brewers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 134 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The hottest team in baseball comes from an unlikely source as the Brewers are coming off a road sweep in Cincinnati for their eighth straight victory. They are still 12 games under .500 overall which shows how bad of a season it really has been and Milwaukee has been a far better road team than it is at home as it is 11 games under .500 at Miller Park. Going back, the Brewers are 4-14 in their last 18 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Atlanta had its four-game winning streak snapped with a loss to the Phillies yesterday as it was unable to get to Cole Hamels. Taking a look at recent Braves losses and you will see a common theme where the opposing starters have all been above quality pitchers. Conversely, the Braves are 4-1 in their last five games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. That is where Kyle Lohse comes into play as he is having a horrible season. Overall, he is 5-9 with a 6.24 ERA where only five of his 17 starts have been quality performances. He has been even worse at home with an 8.16 ERA in nine outings with only one of those resulting in a quality game. The Brewers are 2-7 in his last nine starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Matt Wisler has been pretty solid through three starts with his lone bad start coming at Washington. This will be his first outing against a losing team and he is getting a great price. 10* (957) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
07-06-15 | Cincinnati Reds +136 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 136 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Two teams coming off opposite weekends square off tonight in Washington as the Reds travel to face the Nationals. Cincinnati got swept at home against the Brewers, managing just five runs in the three-game set. That doesn't seem to bode well in now facing one of the hottest teams in baseball but now is the time to play on them as the price is at a premium. Additionally, the Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Nationals swept the Giants at home to make it nine straight wins at home and going back, they are 12-3 over their last 15 games. Washington has been doing it with pitching as the offense remains surprisingly inconsistent. Doug Fister has been hit or miss this season and he h is coming off his fifth non-quality start over his last eight outings. He has a 5.40 ERA over that stretch and the Nationals are 1-6 in his seven nighttime starts where his ERA sits at 5.92. Cincinnati counters with Anthony DeSclafani who is putting together a fine season. He is coming off a start where he allowed six runs but that was just the fourth time in 16 starts he has allowed more than three runs. He allowed six runs one other time and bounced back by allowing just one run over seven innings. He has a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in eight road starts and accounts for four of the Reds 14 road wins. 10* (951) Cincinnati Reds |
|||||||
07-05-15 | San Francisco Giants +150 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
We are going contrarian with the Giants in this series finale as they need a win to close out this so far winless roadtrip before heading back home. They have dropped five straight games and now trail the Dodgers by four games in the National League West. Despite this stretch, they are still a game over .500 on the highway. While that losing streak brings out the contrarian thinking, so does the Nationals current eight-game home winning streak. They have taken control in the National League East with a 4.5-game lead over the Mets and are heavily favored tonight. Jordan Zimmerman is a big reason for that as he is coming off two shutout performances covering 15.2 innings against the Braves. He has been a horse all season but Washington is still just 9-7 in his games including 2-3 over his last five. San Francisco counters with Ryan Vogelsong who has been up and down this season but mostly up since a poor start. He posted a 9.31 ERA over his first five games, three starts and two relief appearances, but has a 2.70 ERA over his last 11 starts. He has allowed eight runs or fewer in eight of those games and the Giants are 6-2 in Vogelsong's last eight starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. 10* (903) San Francisco Giants |
|||||||
07-05-15 | New York Mets +149 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 8-0 | Win | 149 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
The series is on the line today between the Mets and Dodgers and this one is pretty big for New York in terms of confidence. They have fallen on some hard times and will be out to win their first series on the road since winning two of three in Philadelphia in early May. While the odds are not in their favor, the value certainly is. The Dodgers have one of the better home field advantages in baseball this season but early success has contributed to that as they are just 7-8 over their last 15 home games. Overall, the Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win and they turn to Michael Bolsinger who has been solid but has not been able to accumulate many quality starts as he has now gone four straight without one. His last attempt came short because of an illness and he is overvalued here today as this is the highest he has been favored this season against a team with a non-losing record. Steven Matz had a memorable Major League debut and while we won't see a repeat of his offensive explosion, there is no reason to think he won't pitch well again. He posted a 2.19 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 90.1 innings at Las Vegas this season so he is the real deal and is another top Mets pitching prospect. 10* (911) New York Mets |
|||||||
07-05-15 | Toronto Argonauts v. Saskatchewan Roughriders -3 | Top | 42-40 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 40 m | Show |
Toronto won its home opener which was far from home in Fort McMurray, Alta as it defeated Edmonton 26-11. The Argonauts have a very tough first part of the season as they don't play in Toronto until August 8th because of the Pan Am Games taking place. It was a very surprising win for sure as the Argonauts are without starting quarterback Ricky Ray for at least the first six games as he rehabs from shoulder surgery. Making just his second career CFL start, quarterback Trevor Harris was outstanding as he completed 24 of 27 pass attempts for 347 yards. The 88.9 percent completion rate was the second-highest in a single game in Argonauts history which shows how outstanding it was. He certainly isn't going to repeat that here. We played against Saskatchewan last week and won as it lost outright at home against Winnipeg despite outgaining the Blue Bombers. Saskatchewan won the Grey Cup two years ago and is in place to contend again this season. One reason for playing against the Roughriders last week was that it was the first game with new coordinators on both sides of the ball but being the second game now, things will be smoother although they weren't that bad last week. One issue was they lost quarterback Darian Durant for the season after he suffered a season-ending injury. The good news is veteran Kevin Glenn is the new starter and he has been around the league for 11 years. While he threw an interception, he completed over 72 percent of his passes. Coming off a home loss, we will see a huge effort from the Roughriders this week as this is a big game with back-to-back games against British Columbia on deck. 10* (308) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
|||||||
07-05-15 | Seattle Storm +7.5 v. Atlanta Dream | Top | 64-72 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Seattle remains on the road after getting annihilated at Minnesota on Friday night but I expect a much closer game tonight and we are getting value on top of it. The Storm lost by 25 points as the offense managed just 57 points including 24 in the second half which killed our over in that one. It also didn't help that Seattle went to the free throw line only five times or shot a pitiful 27.8 percent from long range. Still, Seattle is nearly equal is shooting percentage against its opponents and the situation today is in its favor. Atlanta has very inconsistent this season and while it is coming off a win, the Dream have been off for eight days so any momentum from that victory has been lost. They are getting a couple players back as Tiffany Hayes and Aneika Henry had been playing for Azerbaijan at the European Games but the club was eliminated in the quarterfinals. This also hurts any sort of chemistry that may have been taking place for Atlanta. The Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss while the Dream are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. 10* (601) Seattle Storm |
|||||||
07-05-15 | Tampa Bay Rays +120 v. New York Yankees | Top | 8-1 | Win | 120 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
It was a heartbreaking 7th straight loss for Tampa Bay on Saturday as it scored two runs in the top of the ninth only to end up losing in the bottom of the frame on a sacrifice bunt, its second straight walkoff loss. The Rays are still just three games back in the American League East and today's game is imperative. The Yankees went from a game out before this series started to two games up in the division following their third straight win but look for that streak to end today. Erasmo Ramirez gets the ball for Tampa Bay and he is having a very solid season. He got lit up by Toronto in his first start of the year but in 10 starts since, he has a 2.25 ERA, allowing three runs or less nine times with Tampa Bay going 8-1 in those games. Ivan Nova goes for the Yankees in his third start since being activated from the disabled list and he has been solid but he has had the luxury of facing the lowly Phillies in his lone home start. He allowed eight runs against the Rays in his last start against them while the Yankees four of his last five against them and going back, they are 4-9 in Nova's last 13 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (915) Tampa Bay Rays |
|||||||
07-04-15 | Minnesota Twins +153 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 153 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
The Royals snapped their four-game losing streak with a victory on Friday thanks to some solid pitching as the offense remains in neutral. Kansas City has scored just nine runs over its last five games and is averaging just three rpg over its last 12 games. The Royals have a 4.5-game lead in the American League Central with the surprising Twins still hanging around in second place. They have tailed off slightly as it has been just a 3-5 roadtrip thus far but the last two losses have come by a single run. Minnesota has won five of its last six games following a loss and is catching a bigger than expected number here based on the pitching matchup. Additionally, the Royals are 2-6 in their last eight games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Mike Pelfrey started the season on a mission and he has cooled off since then and while he allowed eight runs in his last outing, he also allowed eight runs three starts back and following that up with a gem against the Cardinals. Six of his last eight starts have been quality games and his lone start in Kansas City this season resulted in seven shutout innings. Joe Blanton counters for the Royals and after a couple solid performances, he is also coming off a dud. This will be just his fourth start in close to two years and by no means should he be priced this high. 10* (975) Minnesota Twins |
|||||||
07-04-15 | B.C. Lions -3 v. Ottawa Redblacks | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 59 m | Show |
The 2015 season got off to a great start for Ottawa as it defeated Montreal for just its third win in two years. It also marked the first ever road win for the RedBlacks so they definitely come into this game with a bunch of confidence but I'm saying they do not have the ability or the talent just yet to sustain the winning in this situation. They followed up both wins with double-digit losses last season and while the defense played well last week, the overhauled offense did not play as well as expected and may take more time to come together. British Columbia meanwhile had a bye in Week One so the extra preparation time is a big asset. The Lions were ousted in the Divisional Semifinals last season as they allowed 50 points to Montreal, easily the most points allowed during the entire season. A new head coach was brought in and it is a familiar name in Jeff Tedford, the former California Golden Bears head coach. He is familiar with the Canadian game however as he served six seasons as a quarterback in the CFL before earning his first full-time coaching job with the Stampeders in 1989. He has installed an uptempo offense and everyone has taken hold of it in a positive way. Because of this, it will be tough for Ottawa to prepare in addition to having played last week. The Lions stunk it up here a year ago in a 7-5 win so they will be out to make up for that and the value is here this time as they are favored by six points less now than they were last September. 10* (305) B.C. Lions |
|||||||
07-04-15 | Tampa Bay Rays +159 v. New York Yankees | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Starting pitching is the biggest factor when it comes to making lines in baseball but team name (betting popularity) as well as recent history also plays a factor and that is the case here. The Rays come in riding a six-game losing streak following last night's 7-5 in the series opener. They are now two games behind the Yankees in the American League East and really could use something positive. The Yankees are a heavy public favorite year in and year out and I feel today's line is overinflated partly due to that. They have won two straight following a three-game skid and going back they are just 5-7 over their last 12 games. Michael Pineda gets the ball for New York and while he is coming off a quality outing, string two such efforts has happened only twice this season. Eight of his 15 overall starts have been quality performances and the Yankees are 2-5 in his last seven starts as a favorite. Nathan Karns will be out to stop the bleeding for the Rays and he has been pitching very well his lack of quality outings. In 16 starts, he has just six quality performances but he is four innings short of adding five more to that. He has allowed two runs or less 12 of those 16 games including five of six on the road. 10* (965) Tampa Bay Rays |
|||||||
07-03-15 | Colorado Rockies +157 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
There are not many huge differences between Colorado and Arizona as they are separated by just four games while being separated by only three games in the home/road splits. The Diamondbacks won the opener of this series last night 8-1 with all eight runs being scored in their final three innings at the plate. Thursday was the first time Arizona allowed fewer than four runs in its last 10 games and that does not bode well as the Diamondbacks are 19-40 in their last 59 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Winning streaks in these situations have been non-existent this season for Arizona as it is 4-15 in its next game following a win at home. Colorado's offense has been nonproductive of late but they have a chance to get to Chase Anderson. He has gone two straight starts without a quality performance including allowing eight runs to the Rockies last week. In his last three starts against Colorado, he has an 11.40 ERA, allowing 19 runs in 14 innings. The Diamondbacks are 2-6 in Anderson's last eight starts as a favorite. Kyle Kendrick has not been much better but he has been pitching more efficient on the road of late as three of his last five road starts have been quality outings and he has a very respectable 3.74 ERA over those five games. He has received little to no run support in those games but that changes tonight. 10* (911) Colorado Rockies |
|||||||
07-03-15 | Seattle Mariners +143 v. Oakland A's | Top | 9-5 | Win | 143 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
After posting consecutive shutouts over the Padres, the Mariners were on the other end of a shutout last night as they lost 4-0 in the series opener, managing just two hits against Scott Kazmir. Seattle has been shutout on seven other occasions this season and has bounced back to win the next game five times. Additionally, the Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Oakland is still seven games under .500 at home this season while going just 3-4 on this current homestand. Going back, the A's are 7-19 in their last 26 home games against teams with a losing road record. Jesse Chavez has been hit or miss this season as despite a solid 3.02 ERA, he has only four wins while Oakland has won just four of his 13 starts. The Mariners have been a thorn in his side as he is 0-3 against them in four starts while posting a 4.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. The A's are 1-6 in Chavez' last seven starts against teams with a losing record. J.A. Happ has had some brutal luck of late as he has gone nine straight starts without a victory. He has received the eighth-lowest run support in the league this season at 2.9 rpg which has been the main reason. His last win came against Oakland though and he has a 2.43 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in his career against the A's. Oakland is 7-24 in its last 31 games against left-handed starters. 10* (927) Seattle Mariners |
|||||||
07-03-15 | Seattle Storm v. Minnesota Lynx OVER 145 | Top | 57-82 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Minnesota and Seattle square off for the third time this season and we will be taking a look at this total for tonight. The Lynx have been off since Saturday after defeating Phoenix 71-56 in a game that stayed well below the total. They held the Mercury to 33.3 percent shooting including 25 percent from three-point range while forcing 20 turnovers. Seattle is coming off its first win since June 14th after beating Tulsa at home on Tuesday. It too is coming off a great defensive effort, allowing just 35.4 percent shooting but that was a rarity. In their previous five games, the Storm allowed 81 ppg on 43.9 percent shooting and tonight they face the best shooting team in the league as Minnesota is shooting 46.2 percent on the season. In the most recent meeting, Minnesota held Seattle to 13 points in the final 17 minutes last week but that game still went over the total, the second time in two meetings that the total was surpassed. This is a good number for Seattle as it is 3-1 to the over this season on the road when the total is 150 or less. The time off is a big thing involving Minnesota as it has gone 10-4 to the over in its last 14 games when playing with three or more days rest. 10* Over (651) Seattle Storm/(652) Minnesota Lynx |
|||||||
07-02-15 | San Antonio Silver Stars v. Los Angeles Sparks -4 | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
Los Angeles is off to its worst start in franchise history as it sits 0-7 yet comes in favored in this game. We will bite on that as this is the perfect opportunity to finally get into the win column. The Sparks had a couple good performances on the road at Washington and Connecticut before falling by nine points at New York last time out. If there is good news for Los Angeles, it is the fact it is getting healthier. Nneka Ogwumike missed the first four games with an ankle sprain suffered in the preseason. Kristi Toliver was out for the first six games to play for Slovakia in the EuroBasket tournament but played in her first game Sunday against New York. San Antonio opened the season 0-6 but has turned things around somewhat. The Stars split two games with Phoenix, covering both, while narrowly defeating Seattle by a bucket. They are 0-4 on the road and going back to last season, they are 1-10 over their last 11 road games with the only win coming against Chicago which was resting starters since it was the final game of the regular season. After averaging 60 ppg in four games, the Sparks have averaged 75.3 ppg since Ogwumike returned and San Antonio's shooting defense is the worst in the WNBA. That is a good sign for Los Angeles to win this one and rather easily. 10* (608) Los Angeles Sparks |
|||||||
07-02-15 | Texas Rangers +121 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 2-0 | Win | 121 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Texas will be out to win this four-game series tonight after winning the first two games and dropping last night's contest The Rangers opened up a 2-0 lead Wednesday but failed to hang on despite another solid performance from the starting rotation. They are still a solid 25-20 on the highway which is the best road record in baseball. Baltimore has taken over first place in the American League East in a logjam of four teams all within one game of each other. Pitching came through last night after allowing eight runs in the first two games of this series but the ERA of the starters is still a dismal 4.29 and we can expect the Rangers offense to get going again tonight as they are 11-5 in their last 16 road games against right-handed starters. Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Orioles as he is making just his second start of the season. He held the Blue Jays offense in check over five innings as he allowed just two runs but he has seen very limited action this season as he made only four starts in the minors as well. His command remains a big question mark. Yovani Gallardo is one of the hottest pitchers in baseball right now as he has gone three straight starts without allowing a run and going back, he has allowed two runs or less in seven straight starts. Overall, he has a 2.72 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 16 starts and he has not lost since May 19th. Texas has won his last four starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (967) Texas Rangers |
|||||||
07-02-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Detroit Tigers +123 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
While it hasn't been the season the Tigers expected so far, it is far from over and catching them as a home dog in this spot is a sure take. Detroit has dropped the first two games of this series and will be out to avoid the sweep this afternoon and remain above .500 in the chase of the Royals in the American League Central. Pittsburgh is now a game over .500 on the road after the consecutive wins and the offensive output those two games has been a rarity as the Pirates had scored three runs or less in six straight road games prior to that. The Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 Interleague road games against teams with a winning record and in this battle of southpaws, Pittsburgh is hitting just .238 on the road against lefties while Detroit is hitting .296 at home against left-handed pitching. Francisco Liriano has been awesome this season and his numbers are even better on the road but Pittsburgh can't win for him as he is getting just 2.9 rpg of support in seven starts with the Pirates going just 2-5 in those games. Additionally, the 2-9 in his last 11 starts against winning teams while the Tigers are 25-6 in their last 31 Interleague home games against left-handed starters. Kyle Ryan gets the ball for Detroit and while he has yet to win, one thing that stands out is his 1.06 WHIP in his three starts and I expect him to once again continue the Pirates struggles against lefties. 10* (974) Detroit Tigers |
|||||||
07-01-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks +133 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
The Dodgers took Game Two of this series last night in extra innings to improve to 5-4 on this roadtrip but they are still five games under .500 this season on the highway. They stretched their lead to a game and a half over the Giants in the National League West but they have struggled in these spots, going 4-10 in their last 14 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 2-6 in their last eight games following a win. Arizona fell back to .500 at home with the loss but it has been a good bounceback team of late, going 6-2 in its last eight games following a loss. The Diamondbacks have won six of their last seven games against winning teams and turn to Robbie Ray who has been great since entering the rotation. He has allowed three runs or less in all six starts, two runs or less in five of those, and is an inning and a third away from possessing six quality outings. He allowed just two runs against the Dodgers earlier this month. Los Angeles counters with Brett Anderson who is having a great season but the Dodgers have won just 8 of his 15 starts including just two of seven on the road. He is getting just 2.4 rpg of support on the road. 10* (910) Arizona Diamondbacks |
|||||||
07-01-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Tampa Bay Rays +122 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
We lost with Tampa Bay last night but it is catching another favorable number tonight as it looks to halt its three-game losing streak. The Rays managed only two hits last night and the offense has been held in check during this recent skid but we can expect a bounceback effort tonight. The Indians have won these first two games following a 0-3 stretch as well as losses in seven of their past nine games. As mentioned yesterday, they came into last night as the worst team in baseball when favored and despite the victory yesterday, they are still the worst. Carlos Carrasco is coming off a pair of quality outings but he has been very inconsistent this season, one in which was supposed to be a breakout one. Just seven of his 15 starts have been quality and the Indians are 5-13 in his last 18 starts following a quality outing in his last game while going 4-12 in his last 16 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Alex Colome counters for the Rays as he has been a tough luck pitcher of late. Despite allowing three runs or less in five of his last seven starts, Tampa Bay has dropped all seven of those games as poor run support and the bullpen have hurt him. He breaks the streak tonight. 10* (918) Tampa Bay Rays |
|||||||
07-01-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Philadelphia Phillies +109 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
The Phillies look to get back in this series after dropping the first two games and also will be out to stop the road team domination that has now reached nine straight victories in the series. Two runs by the Brewers in the top of the eighth inning were the difference last night and Milwaukee has won three straight games for just the third time all season and has yet to make it four straight. The Brewers are 8-20 in their last 28 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. We are going contrarian with Aaron Harang who has not been at the top of his game but has also had some bad luck along the way. The Phillies have dropped his last eight starts but all of those came against teams with better records against Milwaukee including the last three that have all been against division leaders. He has a 2.19 ERA in his last six starts against Milwaukee. It wasn't that long ago when Kyle Lohse was a dominant pitcher but that is no longer the case. He has been all over the place this season as only five of his 16 starts have been quality and he has allowed four runs or more in 10 of those. The Brewers are 0-5 in his last five starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (902) Philadelphia Phillies |
|||||||
06-30-15 | Tulsa Shock v. Seattle Storm +5.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is the second game of the home-and-home set between Seattle and Tulsa and the Storm look to avenge the road loss on Sunday. The game was theirs for the taking as they took a six-point lead into the fourth quarter but were outscored 24-14 and they were sent to their fifth straight loss and seventh on the season. Tulsa meanwhile has won eight straight games since suffering a season opening loss at Minnesota and while the Shock did lose against the number for the first time this season, they are still undefeated on the road against the spread but they are now favored for the first time on the highway, something that has not happened since 2013. Records can be very deceiving as Tulsa is actually getting outshot by opponents by less than a perfect, roughly the same amount as Seattle. Over the last five games, Tulsa is getting outshot from the floor despite a 5-0 record while the Storm are outshooting opponents over that same stretch despite being 0-5. the difference has been long range shooting but the situations have been different for both sides when attempting threes so those percentages are no doubt skewed. 10* (656) Seattle Storm |
|||||||
06-30-15 | Minnesota Twins +118 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 8-5 | Win | 118 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
The Twins and Mike Pelfrey came up small for us last night although they did not give up after being down 9-1 after three innings. I like their chances tonight of bouncing back and while the underdog number is not as big, the matchup seems to be more in their favor on Tuesday. It has been a poor end of the month for Minnesota but bouncing back here is feasible as the Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The Reds put up a rare offensive display last night as it was the first time they scored more than six runs in close to two weeks. I don't see it continuing with Phil Hughes on the mound. After a couple rough starts against the Red Sox, he has strung together four straight quality outings, posting a 2.43 ERA in the process. His ERA is two runs better at night than during the day and the Twins are 13-2 in Hughes' last 15 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Anthony DeSclafani has been pretty solid this season but he has struggled at home with a 4.58 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in seven starts. His 61:35 K;BB ratio pales in comparison to the 60:9 ratio for Hughes. 10* (973) Minnesota Twins |
|||||||
06-30-15 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves +110 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
We had the Braves in this same pitching matchup last Wednesday and lost a tough 2-1 decision that was decided in extra innings. That loss is part of what is now an eight-game losing streak for Atlanta against the Nationals this season but it needs to be noted that the last six have been in Washington where the Nationals are eight games over .500 compared to right at .500 on the highway. The Braves meanwhile are eight games under .500 on the road while sitting four games over .500 at home so we clearly have the home/road splits in our favor yet are catching the positive side in the underdog role. Shelby Miller allowed just one run on three hits and a walk in seven innings which was his fourth straight quality start. He has been awesome at home with a 1.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts and his domination against Washington doesn't hurt as he has a 0.85 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in five starts. Jordan Zimmerman has been just as solid of late but his road work comes into question where he possesses a 5.40 ERA and 1.61 WHIP over six starts. Washington is just 2-4 in those games and the Braves have won four of their last five home games against right-handed starters. 10* (956) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
06-30-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Tampa Bay Rays +105 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Following a 7-1 loss last night, Tampa Bay remains tied with Baltimore for first place in the American League East with the Yankees and Blue Jays also losing last night. The Rays are still six games over .500 and despite being a couple games under .500 at home, the fact they are home underdogs here is very surprising and we will jump on that value. Cleveland being seven games under .500 overall is part of that surprise and the Indians have been the worst team in baseball when favored as they are 23-31 while losing 19.5 units. Going back, the Indians are 9-23 in their last 32 games following a win. Erasmo Ramirez gets the ball for Tampa Bay and he is having a very solid season. He missed his last start due to a groin strain but his bullpen session went great and he is ready to go. He got lit up by Toronto in his first start but in nine starts since, he has a 3.24 ERA, allowing three runs or less eight times with Tampa Bay going 8-0 in those games. Danny Salazar is coming off a tough start against Detroit to raise his ERA above 4.00 and the Indians are 3-7 in his last 10 road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (966) Tampa Bay Rays |
|||||||
06-29-15 | Minnesota Twins +145 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 7-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The Twins keep falling further back behind Kansas City in the American League Central but it is because the Royals continue to play solid more so than Minnesota playing poor. They are one of just 13 teams in baseball with a positive run differential and being five games over .500, they are certainly not getting the respect they deserve even though they are under .500 on the road. Still, the Twins are 26-11 in their last 37 games against teams with a losing record. The Reds were swept in New York against the Mets and while they are a much better team at home, they have been letting bad performances roll over as they are 2-11 in their last 13 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Cincinnati turns to Mike Leake to stop the bleeding and he has been pretty solid since a horrendous run to end May. We won with him last Wednesday against the Pirates but he was a big underdog then but he cannot be trusted as a big favorite as the Reds are 2-6 in his last eight home starts as a favorite and Reds are 0-6 in his last six starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Minnesota counters with Mike Pelfrey and he is having a very solid season and has tossed six quality outings over his last seven starts. Additionally, the Twins are 6-1 in his last seven starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. 10* (915) Minnesota Twins |
|||||||
06-29-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Philadelphia Phillies +139 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The Phillies snapped their three-game skid with a win over Washington in the second game of their doubleheader on Sunday and look to carry that over into tonight. Since losing four straight games at home in early May, Philadelphia is 11-11 at home which is certainly average but pretty good when considering is has been the home underdog the majority of the time. Milwaukee took two of three against Minnesota over the weekend following a series win over the Mets but now the Brewers hit the road where they are eight games under .500 including losses in five of six. Going back, the Brewers are 8-22 in their last 30 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. They send Jimmy Nelson to the hill and he has been all over the place this season, posting just six quality starts in his 15 outings. He is coming off a quality performance last time out but the Brewers are 0-7 in his last seven games following a quality outing in his last starts. The Phillies counter with Sean O'Sullivan who is coming off one of his worst starts of the season but he tends to bounce back well and his 3.48 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in six home starts is pretty respectable. The list is long for Phillies starters and O'Sullivan has shown the most profit of all of them. Also, the Phillies are 4-0 in his last four starts as a home underdog. 10* (902) Philadelphia Phillies |
|||||||
06-28-15 | Seattle Storm +11.5 v. Tulsa Shock | Top | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Contrarian thinking is always at the forefront and this game sets up perfectly for that. Tulsa has been atrocious since moving from Detroit as it has gone a combined 41-129 since 2010 and has not won more than 12 games in a season but now possesses the best record in the WNBA along with Connecticut. The Shock have improved over the last couple years but this is a dramatic shift and the linesmakers have not been able to catch up. They have covered all eight games this season and now are favored for the first time by double-digits this year, a clear overadjustment. Seattle has not been as fortunate as it is 2-6 including losses in four straight games, the last coming just last night in San Antonio by a bucket. These teams played 19 days ago and since then, this line has doubled, going from 6 to 12. While Tulsa easily covered that game, the value is clearly on the side of the Storm and revenge comes into play following that 23-point thumping. Seattle was held to 23.8 percent shooting while the starters mustered only 16 points and embarrassments like that can bring out the best next time out. 10* (605) Seattle Storm |
|||||||
06-28-15 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies +166 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
**Game One** The Phillies and Nationals were rained out yesterday and while the pitching matchup was favorable then in my opinion, today's is even better. Washington has won seven straight games but six of those came at home and the Nationals are 5-12 in their last 17 road games against teams with a losing home record. Stephen Strasburg is a road favorite for the sixth straight game which is no surprise because he is backed by the public on a regular basis. He is having a very tough season as he has just one quality outing in 11 starts including none on the road in six games. His road ERA is 7.62 and the Nationals are 3-8 in his last 11 road starts against teams with a losing record. Kevin Correia is making his fourth start with the Phillies and he looks to bounce back from a poor outing against the Yankees in his last one. His first two were solid as he was a an inning and a third combined from two quality outings. This included allowing two earned runs in five innings against Baltimore in his only other home outing. 10* (958) Philadelphia Phillies |
|||||||
06-28-15 | Kansas City Royals +147 v. Oakland A's | Top | 5-3 | Win | 147 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
The Royals won yesterday and will be out for the sweep today in Oakland. The A's had won five in a row prior to Kansas City coming to town and they have now lost seven of their last eight games against the Royals. That loss also dropped the A's to just 14-22 at home but they still come into today as a hefty favorite once again. Jeremy Guthrie has some pretty ugly numbers but one really bad start against the Yankees has skewed them. His 5.90 ERA would drop down to 4.77 by taking that out and since May, he has allowed more than three run only three times. One came in his last start and in the previous other two times, he bounced back with gems next time out. Jesse Chavez is also coming off a poor outing where he allowed five runs in five innings against Texas and while he too could bounce back, he is not getting good support. Oakland is averaging just 3.8 rpg in his starts and that is severely inflated by the last two games. The A's are 1-4 in his five daytime starts and 1-7 in his last eight starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (977) Kansas City Royals |
|||||||
06-27-15 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers +7 v. Saskatchewan Roughriders | Top | 30-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
A 6-3 start last season for Winnipeg had the Blue Bombers thinking postseason but an eight-game losing streak closed those playoff doors quickly. Half of those losses came by six points or less so it wasn't a complete meltdown but just the problem of being to close games. They are thinking playoffs again this season but this line is not reflective of the team that will take the field this season. The Bombers will have Drew Wiley behind center for his second season as the starter and a vastly improved offensive line will help him no doubt. Other improvements were made all over the place and Winnipeg plays host to the 103rd Grey Cup in November so the Bombers appear to be going all out to play for a championship in front of their hometown fans. Saskatchewan won the Grey Cup two years ago and is in place to contend again this season. The start of the season could be inconsistent however as head coach Corey Chamblin has two new coordinators in place, Jacques Chapdelaine on offense and Greg Quick on defense. That is never an easy thing to carry over into a new season, especially on both sides of the ball. While Winnipeg lost all three meetings to its rival Saskatchewan last season, all of the losses were by six points or fewer. 10* (127) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
|||||||
06-27-15 | Phoenix Mercury v. Minnesota Lynx -7 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 102 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
The return of Brittney Griner could not come at a better time for Phoenix. The Mercury went 3-4 in her absence and her first game back comes against the other team to beat in the Western Conference in the Minnesota Lynx. Her return however is not all of a sudden going to turn around the poor start for Phoenix as it will take some time to adjust back to game conditions. Lost in the whole Griner suspension is the fact that Phoenix is still without Diana Taurasi who is out for the season and her absence is just as big. Minnesota is off to a 5-2 start following a huge come-from-behind win over Seattle on Thursday. The Lynx held the Storm to 22 points in the second half after the Storm led by 13 after the first quarter and by as much as 10 in the fourth. The 18-point comeback was the biggest in franchise history and should be a huge momentum builder heading back home where they are playing for just the second time in two weeks. Revenge is also at the forefront as Minnesota lost to the shorthanded Mercury earlier this month by 15 points in Phoenix and will be out to avenge the three-game series loss in the playoffs last season. 10* (654) Minnesota Lynx |
|||||||
06-27-15 | Atlanta Braves +155 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Some may call it a chase but I call it value as the Braves look to snap their four-game skid on Saturday with their ace on the hill. Atlanta managed two runs yesterday which was an improvement over their previous four games where it managed one run or less and today presents a good opportunity to get the offense flowing. The Pirates snapped its two-game skid Friday and turns to Charlie Morton to keep it going. He has been unbeatable at home, literally, as he is 3-0 with a 0.84 ERA and 0.589 WHIP in three starts and he has been solid overall in his limited starts up until his last one that is. He is coming off the worst start of his career as he allowed nine runs on eight hits and a walk and failed to make it out of the first inning against Washington. Julio Teheran meanwhile is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed just one hit in seven innings against the Mets and he needs to carry that over and become more consistent which has not been the case this season. The Braves are 4-0 in his four starts against the Pirates. 10* (903) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
06-26-15 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +6.5 v. Calgary Stampeders | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Playing against the Grey Cup champions in the opening week of the season is always a great situational angle even though it did not pan out last season. We played on Hamilton in Week One two years ago and it fell short against defending Grey Cup Champion Toronto, blowing a big early lead and losing by five points. Last season, the Tiger Cats squared off against Saskatchewan in a Grey Cup revenge game and got thumped by 21 points. Now they are out for revenge once again, this time against Calgary after Hamilton dropped its second straight Grey Cup. While the East Division is much weaker than the West, the linesmakers already take that into consideration. While the Stampeders are the reigning champions, this is a different team than last year as there has been some significant turnover and the jury could still be out even though they are the odds on favorite to repeat as champions. Injuries are big for both sides but we should see Hamilton play this one with a chip on its shoulder after Calgary won the Grey Cup last November 20-16 when a punt return touchdown by Hamilton's Brandon Banks in the final moments was called back for an illegal block. Payback. 10* (123) Hamilton Tiger Cats |
|||||||
06-26-15 | Atlanta Braves +190 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
The Braves did us no favors yesterday as they were shutout by the Nationals 7-0 which was their third straight loss to open this six-game roadtrip. The offense has been nowhere to be found of late as they have managed just three runs over the last four games but this is a good time to bust out. The Pirates have dropped two straight games which snapped a seven-game home winning streak and their 22-13 overall record is home is dictating this line because Francisco Liriano has not been very efficient. He has a solid ratio but Pittsburgh is just 4-10 in his 14 starts including a 2-5 record at home. The Pirates are 0-9 in his last nine starts after a loss while the Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Braves counter with Williams Perez who continues to have doubters and continues to defy them. He is coming off an average start where he allowed four runs but it was just the second time in seven starts where he has allowed more than one run so he has been very efficient the majority of the time. The other time be allowed no earned runs in his follow up start and we can expect more of the same tonight. 10* (951) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
06-26-15 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies +195 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
Regulars know that I am an ugly dog bettor as we get some monumental moneylines and that has been the key to success. This certainly goes with that theme as Washington comes in riding a six-game winning streak and it has been the starting pitching that has been the story. The starting pitchers set a new franchise record Thursday, tossing 41.1 straight scoreless innings and while it looks like that should continue tonight, the situation is a perfect one to go against it. Additionally, the Nationals are 4-12 in their last 16 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Phillies took two of three in New York against the Yankees and bring in a respectable 17-19 home record. Max Scherzer nearly pitched a perfect game in his last start but settled for a no hitter, which was his second straight complete game shutout. He has allowed just one hit over that stretch which makes now the time to fade since we can buy high. Aaron Harang gets the ball for the Phillies and it has been a very rough stretch. After posting a 2.02 ERA through his first 11 starts, he has put up a 7.61 ERA over his last four starts which makes this the time to play on. He has tossed seven straight quality starts against Washington, posting a 2.40 ERA. 10* (954) Philadelphia Phillies |
|||||||
06-26-15 | Los Angeles Sparks +6.5 v. Connecticut Sun | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
We won with Los Angeles in its last game as it stayed well within the posted number against Washington but still lost the game outright. The Sparks are now 0-5 to start the season which is the worst start in franchise history but they are slowly getting back to full strength although they are still a way away. They got Nneka Ogwumike back for the first time and she finished with 11 points and six boards against Washington. Her return is big but her sister will not be going against her as reigning rookie of the year Chiney Ogwumike is out for the season with a knee injury. That has not stopped the Sun which are off to one of their best starts in franchise history. After losing its season opener against Washington, Connecticut has won six straight games and on the season, it is a perfect 7-0 ATS. Additionally, going back to last season the Sun have covered 10 straight games and this of course is a perfect setup to go against that run. Los Angeles played just three days ago while Connecticut has been off since Sunday and while that rest is big later in the season, right now all it does it kill the positive momentum. 10* (603) Los Angeles Sparks |
|||||||
06-25-15 | Phoenix Mercury v. San Antonio Silver Stars +3 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
It has been a tough start to the season for San Antonio as it is winless through its first six games following a loss in overtime on Saturday against Chicago. It is the worst start in franchise history and the even more troublesome part is the fact that four of those games were winnable as the Stars were within two points in the fourth quarter at some point but have been unable to close the door. The schedule has been brutal though as they have opened the season by playing defending WNBA champion Phoenix, league finalist Chicago, 2014 Western Conference finalist Minnesota, 2014 Eastern Conference finalist Atlanta and Tulsa, which is tied for the best record in the league. Phoenix is off to a disappointing 3-3 start as they are still without Brittney Griner and Diana Taurasi but this will be the last game for Phoenix without Griner so now if the time to go against. The Stars offense has been the big concern but the Mercury have allowed 68 or more points in five of their six games. San Antonio lost the first meeting in Phoenix this season but it was just by five points and while the Mercury have won three of four in San Antonio, they needed a combined three overtimes to earn two victories there last season. 10* (652) San Antonio Stars |
|||||||
06-25-15 | Ottawa Redblacks v. Montreal Alouettes OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
We are opening the CFL season with a total on Thursday. It is difficult for linesmakers to come up with numbers for opening week as there is nothing current to go off of so it is largely based on last season. That is definitely the case with this total between Ottawa and Montreal as this is a number that should prove to be much too low. It was a tough inaugural year for the RedBlacks as they won just two games and the offense managed a mere 15.4 ppg. They scored more than 20 points only five times so Ottawa had a busy offseason in improving the offense. A new offensive coordinator and many new additions will help get the offense going. The RedBlacks did score only 19 points in two preseason but like the NFL, the offenses are run very generically and quarterback Henry Burris even pointed out that they did not gameplan for either game. Defensively, they did not do much and Montreal can take advantage as the Alouettes bring back a good amount of their offense that finished the season strong last year. All three meeting last season stayed below the total which is another reason this number is low and in the range of what they were in those three meetings a season ago. Look for a much higher than expected scoring game here. 10* Over (121) Ottawa RedBlacks/(122) Montreal Alouettes |
|||||||
06-25-15 | Atlanta Braves +148 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
We lost a tough one on the Braves last night as they rallied to tie the game in the top of the ninth inning only to lose it in the 11th. It was the second straight loss for Atlanta and the third straight game it has scored only one run but I expect that to change today. The Nationals have won five in a row and the pitching has led the way by allowing two runs or less each time out and an average of just 1.0 rpg. Doug Fister looks to keep that going but he is coming off a poor outing in his first start since coming back off the disabled list with a flexor tendon strain. His velocity is way down and his ERA and WHIP are both currently career highs. Washington has dropped four of his last six starts while going 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Matt Wisler was sensational in his Major League debut as he allowed just one run on six hits and no walks in eight innings against the Mets. He posted a 3.53 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in the Minors so he is more than capable of keeping this going. Great value here. 10* (909) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
06-25-15 | Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers +135 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
The Rangers are starting to look like the Rangers many people expected as they have dropped four straight games but are still in second place in the American League West, four games behind the Astros. They now come is as the biggest underdog so far in this series. Oakland meanwhile has won four in a row but is still eight games under .500 and it has been unstoppable on the road with five straight wins. They are big favorites not only because of the streaks but because of Sonny Gray being on the hill and he is always a tough matchup. He is coming off a poor outing in his last start and while many expect a bounce back, it could go either way in my opinion. The fact is, the A's are just 8-7 in his 15 starts despite his 1.95 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Those numbers are certainly impressive but Colby Lewis is not far behind. He has a 4.08 ERA which may seem average but it is backed up by a 1.19 WHIP and that ratio drops to 0.94 in his six home starts. After a horrible stretch to end May, he has tossed four straight quality starts and the Rangers are 4-1 in his last five starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (920) Texas Rangers |
|||||||
06-24-15 | Cincinnati Reds +176 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 5-2 | Win | 176 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Many know that the contrarian way is the best way around here and this game certainly fits into that mold. The Reds lost the opener of this series last night to fall to 12-23 on the road but they have been a solid bounce back team of late after a bad game as they are 4-0 in their last four games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Pirates have won five straight games at home and turn to their ace Gerrit Cole to keep it rolling. He has tossed eight straight quality outings with Pittsburgh winning the last six but the offense has struggled, scoring more than four runs only once. If there is a team Cole hates to face, it is the Reds as he is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA in four career starts, all Pirates losses. The Reds hand the ball to Mike Leake and he can certainly give them a chance at a big price. After a rough end to May, he has posted a 2.42 ERA over his last four starts and pitching on the road has been better than at home where he boasts a 3.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. 10* (951) Cincinnati Reds |
|||||||
06-24-15 | Atlanta Braves +151 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
Not many gave the Braves a chance this season but they are hanging around, sitting just three games behind Washington in the National League East. They lost the opener of this series last night to make it six straight losses against the Nationals but one thing to notice is that the Washington offense has continually declined over that stretch and I expect that to keep going down. Jordan Zimmerman goes for the Nationals and he is having an ok type of season but nothing spectacular and this is a pretty big number for him to be laying in this situation. He has lost three straight games, posting a 7.63 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in the process and while he used to be automatic at home, he is just 3-3 and overall, Washington is just 7-7 in his 14 starts. Shelby Miller has been awesome this season as he has a 1.99 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through 14 starts, 10 of those being quality outings. He missed out on another one last time out by only a third of an inning but I expect the success to continue here. The Braves have won six of his eight road starts and he has a 0.73 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in four career starts against Washington. 10* (953) Atlanta Braves |
|||||||
06-23-15 | LA Sparks +13 v. Washington Mystics | Top | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
We lost with the Sparks on Sunday as they blew a 10-point halftime lead and missed the cover by four points. It is no secret they have been riddled with injuries but they got some solid performances from their reserves on Sunday and had their best shooting performance of the season. Los Angeles is off to its worst start in franchise history but now we are really starting to see the value because of not only its winless straight up start but also its winless against the number record. Washington is off to a solid 4-2 start following a win at Indiana on Saturday. But now the Mystics are being asked to lay a huge number and this is actually the first time they have been a double-digit favorite since 2013. Washington has dropped two straight home games so it will definitely be motivated here but winning and covering are two different things, especially when dealing with a spread this large. While the Sparks may not get their first win outright, they should be able to stay well within range of this inflated number. 10* (651) Los Angeles Sparks |
|||||||
06-23-15 | New York Mets +122 v. Milwaukee Brewers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Winning on the road has been a challenge for the Mets as their 10-24 road record is second worst in baseball but now they face the team with the worst home record in the bigs and are underdogs on top of it. They have lost all five games on this current roadtrip with the offense managing just six runs but I expect them to break out against Mike Fiers. He has been inconsistent through his 14 starts, only four have been quality outings including just two of seven at home. He is coming off his worst start of the season against the Royals and the Brewers are 0-6 in his last six starts as a favorite. Jon Niese has also struggled with consistency as his number are pretty similar however he has put together better starts all around as seven of his 13 have been quality outings including each of the last three so he is on a high level right now. He has a 2.51 ERA in his last five starts against Milwaukee and the Mets are 7-2 in Niese's last nine road starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (909) New York Mets |
|||||||
06-23-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Chicago Cubs +119 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 119 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
We won with the Cubs last night as they were able to get to Clayton Kershaw just enough while the bullpen did a great job after starter Tsuyoshi Wada was forced to leave after two innings after suffering a cramp in his left deltoid. They are dogs again and I do not think it is justified. Yes, Zack Greinke is an elite starter who has flourished on the road with a 1.77 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts but three of those came very early and only two of his last eight outings have come on the highway. This is his first road start against a winning team. The Dodgers are just 3-4 in his last seven starts and Greinke has not won a game since May 5th. Jason Hammel isn't getting enough respect in my opinion. His ERA may be higher at 2.89 but his WHIP is nearly the same as is his K:BB ratio. He has allowed more than three runs only twice in 13 starts and going back, the Cubs are 13-3 in Hammel's last 16 starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (908) Chicago Cubs |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.