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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-12-16 | Seton Hall +7 v. Villanova | Top | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Villanova survived a temporary scare from Providence yesterday and it was fortunate that Ben Bentil was not even a factor as he fouled out midway through the second half and scored just three points which came after a 38-point effort against Butler the previous day. The Wildcats secured a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament win or lose here and while winning the Big East Tournament championship is still the goal, winning by this much is a stretch. They are clearly the best team in the conference but Seton Hall is playing some of the best basketball in the Big East right now. The Pirates have won 11 of their last 13 games following a tough two-game stretch where they dropped back-to-back games against Villanova and Xavier. While they lost both meetings this season against the Wildcats, both were more competitive than expected which we should see again today. The Pirates are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. 10* (743) Seton Hall Pirates |
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03-12-16 | Connecticut v. Temple +2.5 | Top | 77-62 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Connecticut survived an epic four-overtime game yesterday against Cincinnati that included a half-court buzzer-beater and those extra minutes will be a factor. The Huskies needed that game badly as they were on the outside looking in for an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament but they are now one of the last four teams in so while a win here cements the berth, a loss is not going to kill them. Temple had a much easier game Friday as it took out South Florida by 17 points to make it four straight wins. Aside from a 19-point loss at Tulsa, the Owls have been exceptional by going 144 over their last 18 games with two of the other losses coming by five combined points and the other coming against Villanova. The defeated Connecticut in both of the regular season meetings and while beating a team three times is difficult, the matchup is in their favor as is the situation of the games that took place yesterday. Connecticut is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against winning teams while Temple 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games against teams above .500. 10* (740) Temple Owls |
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03-12-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +1 | Top | 112-105 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
*2:05 ET start* Indiana is coming off a very impressive win over San Antonio in its last game but it will be hard to carry any momentum forward from that as the Pacers have had four days off since that victory. Rest is good in this league but too much rest can be a problem and Indiana is heading to Dallas at the wrong time. The Mavericks are struggling with losses in four straight games, three of which have come at home. Dallas is now tied with Houston for seventh place in the Western Conference and is just three games up on Utah which is sitting in ninth place following its win over Washington last night. After today, Dallas hits the road to face the surging Hornets and the Cavaliers on Monday and Wednesday so this has turned into a very big game. Indiana won the first meeting at home by 26 points so the Mavericks will be out to avenge that loss and despite that win, the Pacers are just 8-18 ATS against the Western Conference this season. Additionally, the Pacers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (702) Dallas Mavericks |
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03-12-16 | LSU +7 v. Texas A&M | Top | 38-71 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
We won with LSU yesterday as it pulled away from Tennessee in a game that was close throughout and as mentioned, the road to the NCAA Tournament is still not horrible. The Tigers have to win out and his is a very winnable game despite what the line may be suggesting. Texas A&M also won a game that was tight as the Aggies took advantage of Florida that was ice cold from long range, going just 3-19 from beyond the arc. They have now won seven straight games which is a big part in the size of this number. LSU and Texas A&M split their regular season series with both teams winning on their home floor but looking at those lines shows the value that the Tigers are getting here. While LSU is known for having one of the best players in the nation in Ben Simmons, the balance on this team is huge and it showed yesterday with all five starters scoring in double figures. Expect a closer than anticipated game today. 10* (725) LSU Tigers |
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03-11-16 | Memphis v. Tulsa -4 | Top | 89-67 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Many teams are still fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives and one of those is Tulsa. Despite a 12-6 record and a tie for third place in the AAC, the Golden Hurricane are on the outside looking in. A lack of quality wins may be to blame but they have victories over Wichita St., Connecticut, SMU, Cincinnati and Temple so there are plenty of good victories. The issue is not bad losses either as five of those defeats came against the five teams at the top of the conference with the sixth loss coming on the road against Memphis setting up a big payback spot to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Memphis has once again disappointed as the elite days are a thing of the past. The Tigers finished 8-10 in the AAC and has some very bad losses along the way. This will be the second straight season missing the NCAA Tournament and while Memphis is coming off a win last time out, it was against lowly East Carolina and the Tigers are 4-11 ATS this season following a victory. 10* (544) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-11-16 | Wolves +12.5 v. Thunder | Top | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Minnesota is coming off a pair of losses against Charlotte and San Antonio as it hits the road to take on another surging opponent. Surging may not be the right word for Oklahoma City at this point but it has won two straight games following a brutal 2-6 run coming out of the All Star break. We won with the Thunder in their last game as they defeated the Clippers by 12 points in a revenge game from a week prior where they blew a 22-point lead. We could certainly see a letdown from the payback victory and on top of that, they travel to San Antonio for the primetime ABC game tomorrow night. Getting up for the below average Timberwolves will be difficult to do but you can expect to see Minnesota get up for Oklahoma City as it has been a Thunder punching bag for a while now with 10 consecutive losses in this series. The Timberwolves have excelled in these situations this season as they are 11-3 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record and have covered four straight when getting double-digits. Going back, the Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win while going 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (509) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-11-16 | Providence +9 v. Villanova | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Villanova took the Big East Conference regular season championship by two games and is in line for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament which it will probably get win or lose this tournament. The Wildcats easily took care of Georgetown yesterday for their fourth straight victory but the Hoyas have been playing horrible and now they catch a team that could be peaking at the right time. Additionally, they are favored by only 2.5 fewer points here and that line adjustment does not make sense. Providence defeated a very solid Butler team Thursday without much of a problem which was also its fourth straight win following a tough 1-5 stretch. The Friars are a tough matchup this time of year with a strong high/low game and should again give Villanova fits. The teams split the season series and if not for Providence not being able to find the hoop in the first half of the second matchup, a sweep could have been in order. Providence is 7-3 ATS this season away from home against winning teams while the Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. 10* (565) Providence Friars |
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03-11-16 | Tennessee v. LSU -4.5 | Top | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
LSU is not getting into the NCAA Tournament unless it wins the SEC Tournament and things got a little easier for the Tigers for that to happen. It looked as though they were going to have a tough matchup with Vanderbilt but the Commodores lost to Tennessee yesterday and possibly played themselves out of the big dance. Now, LSU gets to play Tennessee and a win here gets it a step closer to what would not be an unconceivable run. The Volunteers have won their first two games here after an awful ending to the regular season where they dropped four straight and six of seven. While they shot pretty poor yesterday, they committed only six turnovers and a repeat of that is not going to happen. The Tigers closed the regular season with a brutal loss at Kentucky but have new life and going back, the Tigers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss while the Volunteers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. 10* (548) LSU Tigers |
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03-11-16 | Richmond v. Dayton -4.5 | Top | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
Dayton has the best RPI in the Atlantic Ten Conference but now is the time that it needs to step up its games. The Flyers have not been playing very well as they are 3-3 over their last six games with two wins coming in overtime and the other coming by just a single point. That victory happened to come against Richmond but it was on the road and this is a great position for Dayton as it is 10-3 on the highway this season. The Spiders are well down in the conference RPI following an unimpressive win over Fordham on Thursday. That snapped a two-game slide but they are still just 2-5 over their last seven games but are still getting a relatively small number here. A big reason for this is due to the fact Dayton has not covered a game since February 6th, going 0-7-1 ATS over that stretch and this is a streak we love going against. Despite not cashing tickets of late, Dayton is a perfect 3-0 ATS as a favorite in this price range and expect that to continue Friday. 10* (530) Dayton Flyers |
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03-11-16 | Michigan +7 v. Indiana | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
Michigan picked up a big win over Northwestern yesterday in overtime in what was a must win situation for the Wolverines. While many think they are now in the NCAA Tournament, I think they are still in need of one more victory to be assured of an at-large berth. This is a great opportunity for a quality victory over an overrated team. Typically, the regular season winner of the Big Ten is up for No. 1 seed discussions but that is not the case here. Indiana pull off a surprise with the regular season championship but right now it is being projected as a No. 3 seed and a reason for that is due to a soft schedule. The Hoosiers played the second easiest Big Ten schedule behind Illinois and the feeling is they are overpriced here. Plus, you take the Hoosiers way from their home court where they went 17-0, they become a much less dominating team. Additionally, the Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. 10* (521) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-10-16 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -2.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show |
Seton Hall is playing some of the best basketball in the Big East Conference as it has won nine of its last 11 games with both losses coming against Butler. Of the Pirates other conference losses, two came against Villanova, another came against Xavier while the last came against Creighton at home by 15 points in its biggest conference loss of the entire season. Seton Hall came out of nowhere this year and after the meltdown at the end of last year, not much was expected of the Pirates this season but they have definitely been a surprise. They own the third best RPI in the conference and can enhance their NCAA Tournament seeding with a big tournament run. Creighton meanwhile had a good season after a disaster from a season ago where it went just 4-14 in the conference. The Bluejays improved by five games but that is still not enough for a legitimate shot at a tournament bid. They would have to win this tournament and that will not be happening. Creighton is just 3-9 against the top 50 and while a win over Seton Hall was one of those, that was a fluke as the Pirates were just 15-28 from the free throw line. 10* (732) Seton Hall Pirates |
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03-10-16 | Suns +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Phoenix was riding a two-game winning streak heading into last night but got thumped at home against the Knicks by 31 points and the Suns hit the road again where it has struggled this season. However, the two previous wins came on the highway and this is another winnable game so we will be grabbing the generous pointspread here. Injuries have hurt this team all season long but they Suns are on the cusp of getting a big player back. Brandon Knight has not played since January 19th with a groin injury and he is getting closer to his return which could take place tonight after missing again last night even though he was listed as probable. Denver has been playing well as it is 3-1 over its last four games, all games taking place at home where the Nuggets are also 3-1 against the number in those games. This is a team that cannot be trusted laying a number this big as they are 1-4 ATS this season as favorites with the lone cover coming by just 1.5 points. Denver has won only eight of 25 games following a victory this season and taking a step down in class is not a good thing as the Nuggets are 14-35-2 ATS in their last 51 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Meanwhile, the Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (705) Phoenix Suns |
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03-10-16 | Alabama +3 v. Ole Miss | Top | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
Alabama had snuck into the NCAA Tournament conversation with wins in six of its last eight games while going on a 7-3 run following a 1-5 start in the SEC. Two of the recent three losses have come on the road at South Carolina and Kentucky so those are considered quality losses but a defeat at home against Mississippi St. really hurt the Tide. That was a bad spot however as Alabama was coming off a pair of road upsets at Florida and LSU and a home upset over Texas A&M. A loss to Arkansas dropped the Tide back out of the at-large conversation so now they need a huge run in the SEC Tournament. Mississippi was never in the conversation despite a winning conference record because of a poor RPI that was not helped by playing the easiest schedule in the conference. Both teams were great at home and average on the road and we are getting value with the Tide because of five straight cover losses. Despite that, the Tide are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS loss while going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (753) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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03-10-16 | Georgia Tech +10 v. Virginia | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Georgia Tech survived round two of the ACC Tournament as it erased an 18-point second half deficit to force overtime and eventually take out Clemson. The Yellow Jackets could be in for a letdown as is often typical but I do not think it happens here as they are a very tough out and could make some noise the next couple days if they catch some breaks. Georgia Tech is not an easy team to take out in tournament play as it possesses both inside and outside strength on both ends of the floor and getting a line this big is just icing on the cake. Virginia has been playing exceptional right now as it has won 11 of its last 13 games with the two losses coming on the road by a combined four points. The Cavaliers are in line for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and they are certainly deserving of it but this is not a great matchup. They are at a big disadvantage on the boards and that was evident in the first meeting this season at Georgia Tech as they were outboarded by 13 in their upset loss. While Virginia has been on a roll, the Yellow Jackets have won six of their last seven games with the lone loss coming at Louisville by only three points. 10* (721) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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03-10-16 | Colorado +7.5 v. Arizona | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Arizona is not having a typical Arizona season and a lot of that can be due to some injuries that took place but the Wildcats are definitely still vulnerable. They are a very hefty favorite here and a big reason for that is based on name alone and that cannot be taken into consideration during this time of year. Granted, Arizona is a top 25 team while Colorado is not but opinion polls are meaningless. Based on power rankings, Arizona is No. 25 and Colorado is No. 31 according to the ESPN Daily RPI report and that does not equate to a spread this big. The Wildcats went just 3-6 against the top 50 while the Buffaloes went 4-8 which is not that much better but again diffuses the size of this number. Arizona lost in Boulder last month which is definitely an angle for revenge but avenging losses this time of year is overrated based on other factors. A big one for Colorado is that it could use one more quality victory to ensure an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. While it is in, other tournament upsets could still come into play. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Buffaloes are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (775) Colorado Buffaloes |
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03-10-16 | Arkansas v. Florida -2.5 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 22 h 60 m | Show |
Florida has played itself out of the NCAA Tournament but since it is the fifth team out at this point, the Gators can play their way right back in. they were looking good up until a four-game losing streak sent them reeling. The losses were against South Carolina, Vanderbilt, LSU and Kentucky and while they all count as quality defeats, even one win out of those would have them in much better position. An early exit cannot happen and while a win over Missouri to end the regular season was far from a quality victory, at least it provided some much needed momentum heading to Nashville. Arkansas ended the season just the opposite way as it had a four-game winning streak heading into the regular season finale but got crushed at home against South Carolina. Two of those wins came on the road but it is hard to ignore the fact that the Razorbacks went just 3-11 away from home this season. The Gators will have to face Texas A&M on Friday, which is the No. 1 seed, so going 2-0 could be enough to vault them up barring any sort of major upsets here or in other tournament championships. 10* (750) Florida Gators |
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03-09-16 | Arizona State v. Oregon State -3 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 34 h 36 m | Show |
Oregon St. is sitting right on the bubble for an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament as right now it is the first team out despite a 6-3 record over its last nine games. A 9-9 record within the conference could have something to do with it but a .500 record in the conference this season is not that bad considering how strong it has been. One thing in their favor is that the Beavers possess three wins against top 25 teams which is tied for the most with three other teams including Oregon and Utah. Additionally, Oregon St. has not forgotten the 18-point loss at Arizona St. earlier this season so despite a 5-13 Pac 12 record, it will not be taking the Sun Devils lightly. Arizona St. opened the season 10-3 after non-conference action but it was all downhill after that as it lost six of its first seven games in the Pac 12 and it could never recover. The Sun Devils only won once away from home in the conference and that was a victory at 1-17 Washington St. so asking them to win on a neutral floor is a tall task. Going back, the Beavers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (546) Oregon St. Beavers |
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03-09-16 | Clippers v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a pivotal game for Oklahoma City due to the criticisms it has been getting for losing to really good teams while blowing leads in doing so. The Thunder lost down the stretch against Golden St. for a second time and in-between those was a 22-point blown lead against these Clippers exactly one week ago. They have now dropped six of their last nine games and while it can be argued that they have played six of those games on the road, the three home games have all resulted in losses which makes this game even that much bigger. Oklahoma City is still a very solid 25-8 at home and it will certainly be out for revenge here. The Clippers defeated Dallas on the road two nights ago and they have been a very strong road team as their 20-10 record is third best in the NBA. The problem in this spot as they are just 3-6 on the road when getting points in contrast to going 17-4 when playing as a road favorite. Additionally, the Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win while the Thunder are 27-9-2 ATS in their last 38 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (512) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-09-16 | UCLA v. USC -2 | Top | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
The Pac 12 is stronger than it has been in years and it can send as many as seven teams to the NCAA Tournament. One of those takes place in this matchup as USC takes on rival UCLA in the first round of the Pac 12 Tournament. This is essentially a must win game for the Trojans as they are one of the last few teams in and with all of the upsets taking place in other tournaments, teams like Valparaiso and Monmouth could slide in front of USC should the Trojans lose in the first round. They have defeated the Bruins twice this season and while defeating a team three times is tough, they have a solid matchup advantage here. UCLA comes in riding a four-game losing skid as the season has completely unraveled. Only half of their six conference wins have come against teams that will be playing in the NCAA Tournament so wins over Kentucky and Gonzaga early in the season mean little now. Bryce Alford is listed as questionable due to a jaw injury but if he goes, he will not be at 100 percent. UCLA is just 8-16 ATS this season against teams with a winning record while USC has won 17 of 22 games this season as a favorite. UCLA will not back down but the Trojans have too much on the line to let this slip away. 10* (544) USC Trojans |
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03-09-16 | Pistons v. Mavs -2 | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Dallas has lost three straight games, including two at home, and is now just a game and a half ahead of Houston for seventh place in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are now a half-game behind Portland for sixth place which is an important spot as that seed avoids both Golden St. and San Antonio in the first round of the playoffs. But the fact of the matter is that the Mavericks just need to pick up a victory and they are catching a solid number here based on the recent skid. Detroit meanwhile is coming off a victory at home against Portland by 20 points to move eight games over .500 at home but on the road, the Pistons are seven games under .500 while going 10-20 over their last 30 games on the highway. The Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games while the Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Dallas has won 22 of 30 games this season when favored showing it has defeated the vast majority of teams it should be defeating while covering five of seven games in this price range. 10* (510) Dallas Mavericks |
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03-09-16 | Pelicans +9 v. Hornets | Top | 113-122 | Push | 0 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Charlotte has won four straight games to move to six games over .500 to remain in sixth place in the Eastern Conference. It has been a great turnaround from a dreadful 4-14 run in December and January but this is not an elite team but the line is reflecting that the Hornets are just that. They have rarely been favored by this many points and when so, it has been against worse teams than the Pelicans. New Orleans has been an underdog of nine or more points nine times this season and the list of the opposing teams is petty elite. San Antonio twice, Oklahoma City twice, Golden St., Cleveland, Los Angeles, Toronto and Atlanta. Granted, Atlanta does not fit but that was way back in November when it was thought the Hawks were elite like last season. Basically, Charlotte does not fit into this list despite what is considered a nice season. New Orleans defeated Sacramento in its last game to snap a four-game skid but it is important to note than it covered all three games as an underdog and is 4-1 ATS in its last five games when getting points. 10* (503) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-09-16 | Minnesota v. Illinois -7 | Top | 52-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
It is pretty safe to say that Minnesota has tossed in the towel this season. After a pair of wins over Maryland and Rutgers at home, the Golden Gophers suspended three players for the rest of the season including leading scorer Nate Mason and they have dropped their last three games by 13, 13 and 23 points. The last one came at Rutgers which gave the Scarlet Knights their first conference win of the season and that is nearly impossible to recover from. Now Minnesota heads into the Big Ten Tournament where it has won just one game away from home which happened to come against Missouri St. all the way back in November. It has been a disappointing season for Illinois which record just five conference wins but the Illini had a lot of close calls. Two losses came in overtime while two others came by just a bucket so they were a lot closer to a .500 record than many may think. Additionally, Illinois has had solid wins over Yale, UAB and Purdue and a pair of close nonconference losses against Notre Dame and Providence. The Illini took care of Minnesota in both meetings this season and in this spot, a third should not be an issue. The Golden Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record while the Illini are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (554) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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03-08-16 | Magic -3 v. Lakers | Top | 98-107 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Laying points on the road in not usually a way to go but when the situation calls for it, we can take advantage. Orlando is coming off a hard fought effort last night in Golden St. as it lost by six points but it was more of a hard fought comeback as the game was not close until the very end. While it was a disappointing loss, the Magic were not expected to compete, let alone win, so they can carry some positive momentum into Tuesday. The Lakers meanwhile beat that same Warriors team the previous day as they won by 17 points as a 17.5-point underdog. It was the biggest upset in over two decades so if there is ever a letdown situation, this is it. Los Angeles is just 3-9 this season following a victory including a 2-8 record when it won that first game as an underdog. Even worse, the Lakers are a meager 4-25 this season coming off a cover win. Going back further, the Lakers are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Magic have won six of their last seven games following a loss. Additionally, Orlando is 11-2 ATS this season when laying fewer than five points. 10* (711) Orlando Magic |
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03-08-16 | North Dakota State v. South Dakota State -6 | Top | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
The Summit League Championship is a rematch of the title game from last season and South Dakota St. will be out for some revenge. The Jackrabbits nearly did not make it here tonight however as they snuck out a one-point win over Denver in what was nearly an epic letdown. South Dakota St. was up by eight at halftime but the Pioneers started the second half on a 23-2 run with the two points that the Jackrabbits scored coming from the free throw line. They then survived a missed free throw with no time left to advance and will be out to avenge a one-point defeat to North Dakota St. in this same arena nearly one year ago. The Bison pulled off the upset last night against IUPU - Ft. Wayne as they came back from a 15-point halftime deficit thanks to converting a layup with four seconds remaining to them their only lead of the game. South Dakota St. has won five straight games and two huge factors have been its rebounding dominance and the fact it has hit 84.9 percent from the free throw line over that stretch. Despite the win last night, the Bison are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Jackrabbits are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. 10* (736) South Dakota St. Jackrabbits |
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03-07-16 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Of the eight teams that are playing in the first round of the MAC Tournament, Toledo is the best of the bunch so the fact it comes in as a small road favorite or a pickem should be no surprise. The Rockets finished the regular season with an 8-10 record no thanks to a 0-3 finish while also losing five of their last six games. Those final three defeats came by a total of just 12 points with the last one coming at home against Eastern Michigan on Friday which sets up an immediate revenge situation. The Eagles evened their record at 9-9 in the conference thanks to two straight wins to end the season and grab one of the first round home games. They defeated Toledo twice this season, both coming over their final five regular season games but both were close and defeating a team three times in a season is never an easy task. While Eastern Michigan is 13-3 at home, four of those wins came against non-Division I teams which definitely hurts its overall rankings and numbers. That leaves the Eagles just 13-14 against everyone else and Toledo is 7-1 ATS this season when playing against teams with a losing record. According to the power rankings, Toledo is the second best team in the MAC and it moves on to Cleveland. 10* (523) Toledo Rockets |
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03-07-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Cavs | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
After suffering a pair of losses on the road, the Cavaliers have run off three straight wins at home and are now three games ahead of Toronto for first place in the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a big win over Boston on Saturday as they won by 17 points after trailing by as many as 18 points and they look to make it four straight before embarking on a four-game west coast roadtrip. Memphis had a three-game winning streak snapped with a loss yesterday and going back, the Grizzlies are 5-2 over their last seven games with both defeats coming against Phoenix of all teams. The Grizzlies are still 12 games over .500 overall as they sit in fifth place in the Western Conference. They have had some struggles on the road but sit just a game under .500 overall and this is the first time this season that Memphis is getting double-digits. One factor that led to the loss against the Suns yesterday is the possible lookahead to this game as the Grizzlies have had this one circled since their opening game this season when they lost at home to the Cavaliers by 30 points. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record while the Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. 10* (503) Memphis Grizzlies |
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03-06-16 | Mavs -3 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-116 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Typically, we do not look at road favorites but the Mavericks are in a great spot today as they look to bounce back from a bad home loss against Sacramento on Thursday. Dallas is now 33-29 on the season and sit a half-game ahead of Portland for sixth place in the Western Conference making every game at the point of the season matter a great deal. The Mavericks have been a solid team when laying points as they are 22-7 as favorites including a perfect 6-0 when laying points on the road. Additionally, they have won 18 of 28 games coming off a loss. Denver lost on Friday at home against the lowly Nets which was its sixth loss over its last eight games. The Nuggets are 1-4 at home over this stretch with the only home victory coming against the 12-51 Lakers and they are seven games under .500 at home on the season. Dallas only has nine wins against the top 16 teams in the league which is the fewest of any team ranked in the top 25 but the Mavericks are 24-7 against everyone else. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while going back, the Nuggets are 20-42-3 ATS in their last 65 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (827) Dallas Mavericks |
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03-06-16 | Maryland +5.5 v. Indiana | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Indiana captured the Big Ten Conference regular season title with its win at Iowa earlier this week so while the Hoosiers are playing their final home game, there is little on the line. The Hoosiers have won four straight games including that victory over the Hawkeyes and they head back home where they are undefeated yet overvalued here. Indiana has been favored in every Big Ten home game this season but this is its biggest test as the only other two home games against elite opposition were with Iowa and Purdue. Indiana is actually favored by more here against what is a much better team than those other two opponents. Maryland has played the second toughest schedule in the conference, compared to the second easiest for Indiana, and the Terrapins are an undervalued team at this point. In their six losses, they have either been favored or have been underdogs by fewer than what they are getting here. A No. 3 seed in the Big Ten Tournament is also on the line and going in with a win is a big thing. The Terrapins are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and the outright win is far from out of the question here. 10* (879) Maryland Terrapins |
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03-05-16 | Rockets v. Bulls +1.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
Chicago returns home after dropping a pair of games in Florida to stretch its losing streak to four games and falling back to .500 on the season. It has been a very turbulent season for the Bulls which are now outside of the playoff standings and are in desperate need of a quality win. The Bulls will receive a big boost tonight as Jimmy Butler will return to the lineup after missing 11 games with a knee injury. His absence was definitely felt as the went 3-8, including the game in which he strained his left knee, in Denver on Feb. 18. Houston is also having an up and down season but is coming off a win at home against New Orleans. Since a five-game winning streak at the start of January, the Rockets have gone just 9-11 over their last 20 games and have gone only 3-6 following a victory. They are 4-7 on the road over this stretch and two of those wins came against lowly Phoenix and while Chicago has been slumping, it is still a solid 19-11 at home while winning five of nine games outright as a home underdog. The Rockets are just 6-14 ATS against the Eastern Conference this season and they find themselves in another very tough spot tonight. 10* (514) Chicago Bulls |
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03-05-16 | VCU v. Dayton -1 | Top | 67-68 | Push | 0 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on DAYTON for our Saturday Star Attraction. Dayton has won 34 of its last 37 games at UD Arena, including 20 of 22 in Atlantic 10 action. This year Dayton is 13-3 and showcases victories over Top 100 programs George Washington, Davidson, Alabama and William & Mary. Those two home losses happened to come in their two most recent home games and going back, the Flyers have not lost three consecutive home games since January 2014. A win here gets them into at least a share of the regular season A-!0 Title and they are at full capacity which is key as they are 10-0 this season with their full roster. VCU can take the conference outright with a victory here but the Rams are just 5-3 over their last eight games and that includes a 1-2 record on the road with bad losses at Massachusetts and George Mason. Even though they lead the conference, they are just fourth in RPI ranking with Dayton leading the way and the strength of its home floor, especially coming off two losses and this being Senior Night, will show here. The Flyers have not covered a game since February 6th and that is giving us a good number with excellent value. 10* (626) Dayton Flyers |
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03-05-16 | Oregon v. USC +1.5 | Top | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on USC for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Oregon can wrap up the Pac 12 title with a win on Saturday but this is one of the toughest road tasks it will have encountered in conference play. The Ducks have won four straight games following a victory at UCLA on Wednesday which moved them up to 4-5 on the road for the season. We played against Oregon on Wednesday and UCLA failed to put up the expected fight and while the Ducks own a solid win over Arizona on the road, USC is 16-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Utah which is also still fighting for the Pac 12 Championship. The Trojans have had a remarkable turnaround as many will forget that they went just 3-15 in the conference last season and are already six games better than that this year. USC is going to make the NCAA Tournament no matter what happens here or in the Pac 12 Tournament but the goal now is to enhance its seeding while winning its final home game on Senior Day. Going back, the Trojans are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and a win here means another cover as well. 10* (572) USC Trojans |
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03-05-16 | George Washington v. Davidson -1 | Top | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on DAVIDSON for our Saturday Enforcer. We have backed the Wildcats a few times on their home floor this season and it has proved once again to be a tough place for opponents to come into and win. Davidson is 14-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against VCU in January and now playing their final regular season home game will provide a great opportunity to roll into the postseason. The Wildcats are coming off a pair of losses but those were on the road and a win here gets them to 10-8 in the conference which will be good for either a No. 6 or No. 7 seed in the upcoming Atlantic Ten Tournament. George Washington is still fighting for an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament as it is currently the seventh team out and a loss or a win here will not make a difference as it will need a big run in the A-10 Tournament. The Colonials have been a solid road team but have not been overly dominating and they only own one victory within the conference against a team with a winning record. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. 10* (560) Davidson Wildcats |
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03-05-16 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
Texas Tech is the seventh team from the Big XII that is currently in line for an NCAA Tournament bid but a loss here will drastically hurt that. The Red Raiders have been the surprise of the conference and while their 8-9 record may not seem too solid, they own some quality wins. They own seven wins against top 100 teams including four against top 25 teams and they have pulled off an 18-11 overall record by playing the top ranked schedule in the nation according to the ESPN power index. Texas Tech has gotten the job done at home for the most part as it is 13-3 with the losses coming against Kansas, Baylor and West Virginia, the latter two coming by three and four points respectively. Kansas St. does not fall into the same class as the Wildcats are 5-12 in the Big XII and the spot here is a great one to go against them as they are coming off a 25-point win against TCU in their final home game of the regular season on Senior Night. They have won only two road games this season and have failed to cover their last five games following a win. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (558) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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03-05-16 | Creighton v. Xavier -9.5 | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Xavier pulled off a home upset against Villanova two games back and talks of a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament started but that quickly went away as four days later, the Musketeers lost at Seton Hall. A Big East Tournament Championship could get them that top seed still but this game means a lot for a couple reasons. Obviously it wants to go into the tournament with some momentum and the Musketeers have been seething since that loss to the Pirates as they have been off since then. Additionally, they will be out for payback following a 14-point loss at Creighton last month. The Bluejays have had a decent season as they are 18-12 overall including 9-8 in the conference but they have really struggled on the road. They are 4-7 but three of those wins have come against St. Johns, DePaul and Marquette, three of the four worst teams in the conference. Creighton has dropped four of its last five games away from home and while it is getting a big number, the Bluejays are 1-4 ATS when underdogs of five or more points. Meanwhile, the Musketeers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (552) Xavier Musketeers |
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03-05-16 | West Virginia v. Baylor -2 | Top | 69-58 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
West Virginia and Baylor are part of seven teams from the conference that will be heading to the NCAA Tournament. The home floor has been huge in the Big XII this season as of those seven teams, only one has more than three losses at home. That team is Baylor which may seem that its home court is not the strongest but it only has four losses and all against quality opponents. West Virginia certainly fits that category but it has not fared well on the highway as it is 4-0 against the teams not going to the NCAA Tournament and 2-4 against those that are. The Mountaineers won the first meeting between these two teams at home back in early February which sets up a solid revenge situation for the Bears in their final home game of the season. The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The huge comeback they had against Oklahoma in their last games, despite it resulting in a two-point loss, will provide excellent momentum for this one. 10* (556) Baylor Bears |
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03-05-16 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 83-60 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on TENNESSEE for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. It was a hugely disappointing season for Tennessee as it will miss the postseason once again unless it can run the table at the SEC Tournament. The Volunteers have lost three straight games to fall to 6-11 in the conference but two of those were on the road against NCAA Tournament bound teams. Despite the struggles, they have been pretty solid at home with a 12-3 record which includes quality wins against Kentucky, LSU, South Carolina and Florida. We won with Mississippi on Wednesday but the Rebels were at home in a revenge game against rival Mississippi St. and they have struggled on the road. Mississippi is 2-6 on the SEC highway with the wins coming against 5-12 Auburn and 3-14 Missouri. Granted Tennessee is not a lot better but as mentioned, playing at home is a different story. The Volunteers have covered four of their last five here and on the season, they are 6-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. While the SEC Tournament is important, this is arguably the biggest game for the Volunteers in a while. 10* (528) Tennessee Volunteers |
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03-04-16 | Texas -2.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
A rare Big XII game takes place Friday with Texas travelling to Oklahoma St. to take on the Cowboys in the regular season finale for both sides. The Longhorns are coming off an embarrassing 30-point loss at home against Kansas so while there is no bye for any of the top six teams in the upcoming Big XII Tournament, they will be out to end the season with a win heading into the postseason. They have been excellent in this spot all season, going 8-2 in its 10 games following a loss. Oklahoma St. already knows its postseason schedule so winning or losing this game means little with the lone goal being trying to win its final home game of the season. The Cowboys are locked into the No. 9 seed in the Big XII Tournament and they will face Kansas St. in the first round on Wednesday. While Oklahoma St. is 11-5 against teams ranked outside the top 50, it is just 1-13 against top 50 teams which makes that one win over Kansas being more and more of a headscratcher as time goes on. The injury list is huge as the Cowboys played their last game without the services of four regular starters - Jawun Evans, Phil Forte, Jeffrey Carroll and Leyton Hammonds. Those four players combined for 120 career starts and 44.8 ppg this season. Evans and Forte are ruled out while Carroll and Hammonds are questionable. Going back, the Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home while the Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. 10* (861) Texas Longhorns |
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03-04-16 | Wizards v. Cavs -8 | Top | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Cleveland is getting a lot of bad press right now, some toward the chemistry of the team and some toward the coaching change that took place. Since opening with two wins right after the All Star break, the Cavaliers are just 2-3 since then and it was the last loss where the criticisms came out and that was a 14-point loss at Washington. Granted, LeBron James sat that game out but it was the second loss this season against the Wizards with the first coming at home back on December 1st so there will be some double revenge in play on Friday. Washington has backed up that win over Cleveland with a pair of victories to make it four straight overall and while the Cavaliers win was a quality one, two of the others came against the woeful Sixers. Washington is just 6-18 this season against teams ranked within the top ten and while a third of those came against the opponent on Friday, this spot is a very poor one. The Wizards are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game while the Cavaliers are 3-1 ATS this season when playing with three or more days of rest. 10* (832) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-04-16 | Blazers +5 v. Raptors | Top | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
We played against Portland on Wednesday in Boston and the Blazers had their three-game winning streak snapped. The Blazers were in a horrible spot as they were playing their fourth game in five nights and it looked as though the fatigue set in during the second half when they were outscored 30-12. Now with a day off and plenty of motivation, we can expect a solid rebound here. Portland is still 14-3 over its last 17 games and one of those losses took place at home against Toronto and while we do not typically play road revenge, it is definitely in play here. The Raptors bounced back from a loss in Detroit at the end of February with a home win over Utah on Wednesday which was the first of a seven-game homestand so this is a great chance to extend their lead in the Atlantic Division over Boston. While Toronto has excelled at home against winning teams, it is not in a good spot with Portland coming off that loss as the Blazers have covered their last five games following a defeat and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (827) Portland Trailblazers |
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03-04-16 | Knicks +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Boston won for us the other night, making it 12 straight home wins for the Celtics to remain 4.5 games behind Toronto in the Atlantic Division and by the look of this spread, making it 13 straight at home should not be a problem. But coming off that win and asking to lay a big price may be too much to ask for especially with a game at Cleveland on Saturday night. This is the third time this season Boston has had a homestand of three or more games and the Celtics have gone on to lose the final games in each of the first two times. As bad as New York has been this season and especially of late, one would expect them to roll over again here but this is a pretty big rivalry and despite the rough last couple years, the Knicks tend to play Boston very tough. New York has won just twice in its last 13 games but the linesmakers are certainly taking that into consideration with this number. The Knicks are 5-1 ATS this season when getting nine or more points and 14-5 ATS when getting six or more points so they do step it up against the better competition. 10* (829) New York Knicks |
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03-03-16 | Stanford v. Arizona State -3.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
Stanford is on a decent roll right now as it has won four of its last five games to move to 8-8 in the Pac 12 which shows how much it struggled early in the season. The Cardinal have only two road wins in the conference however and on the season overall, the host has gone 18-7 in 25 games not counting neutral court games. They are coming off their final regular season home game where they defeated UCLA but they could very well be back there playing in one of the lesser postseason tournaments. Arizona St. has struggled under Bobby Hurley in his first season as it is now a game under .500 overall including just a 4-12 record in the conference. The Sun Devils have lost four straight games but the last three have come on the road and while they are not dominant at home, a 10-5 record is still pretty solid. The three recent road losses were all by double-digits but all came against teams that will be going to the NCAA Tournament. Arizona St. suffered a tough two-point loss at Stanford back in January which brings up the second instance this season playing a revenge home game following a rad defeat and the first resulted in a win over USC. The Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record while the Cardinal are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (552) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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03-03-16 | Spurs v. Pelicans +9 | Top | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
San Antonio is coming off a victory last night at home against the Pistons which made it six consecutive victories to move to 51-9 on the season. The Spurs would normally be getting all of the attention with that record but the Warriors are taking center stage and that is probably what San Antonio actually prefers. The win last night clinched a playoff berth and with this being the second of back-to-back games involving travel, it would not be a surprise to see a possible scratch or two tonight. We are not banking on it but it is possible so wagering this one early is a safe bet. Additionally, all starters have played in the two most recent back-to-back sets so this could be the time to rest. New Orleans is coming off a loss last night which was its second straight defeat as the inconsistent season continues. The Pelicans now return home where they have been playing well, going 9-4 over their last 13 games and on the season they have won five of nine games outright as home underdogs. As crazy as it sounds, New Orleans is just six games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference so there is still plenty to play for. The Pelicans have had the Spurs number at home, covering nine of the last 10 meetings here while going 22-10 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (504) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-03-16 | Charlotte v. Rice +1 | Top | 88-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
Rice had its four-game winning streak snapped at Louisiana Tech on Saturday and the Owls are doing their best to get back to .500 in the conference after a 1-6 start. They have gone 6-3 since then with two of those losses coming against the Bulldogs, which are 11-5 in the conference, and the other this Charlotte team on the road. That is important not for just the loss itself but it was a 29-point loss which is by far their biggest defeat of the season. Rice is 5-2 at home in C-USA with both losses coming against 11-5 teams. Charlotte is 8-8 which is a game ahead of the Owls following a pair of home wins last week against UTEP and UTSA. The 49ers are 4-7 on the road which is somewhat respectable but only two of those were C-USA victories, one coming against 5-11 Southern Mississippi. As mentioned, Charlotte destroyed Rice in the first meeting this season and while that can be a matter of big matchup advantages, it makes for a huge motivator going the other way. One big advantage for the Owls here is free throw shooting as they are shooting 77.8 percent at home while Charlotte is hitting just 59.7 percent on the road and that can be the difference with a line that is this minimal especially if there is the chance of a close game late. We should see a huge effort from Rice tonight. 10* (528) Rice Owls |
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03-03-16 | Georgia v. South Carolina -7 | Top | 74-72 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
We won with Georgia last Saturday as it used a 12-1 run late in the game to pull away from Mississippi to square its SEC record to 8-8 in the conference but it is too little, too late. The Bulldogs opened the season 7-3 but they have struggled within the conference closing out the better teams in the SEC and having success against the teams they should be beating. Georgia is 2-11 against RPI top 100 teams and 13-1 against teams below that which is not a body of work that gets any consideration for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. South Carolina has dropped out of the rankings as a 15-0 start has been followed up by an 8-6 run over its last 14 games. The Gamecocks have lost consecutive games only twice this season and the only occasion was a road loss in the second game following a home loss against Kentucky. That is the only loss at home for South Carolina and this game is its final home game of the season as four seniors will be honored. Revenge is in play following a 13-point loss at Georgia last month and the Gamecocks are 2-0 in revenge games this season, winning by 14 and 26 points. Going back, they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Gamecocks are projected as a No. 9 seed in the NCAA Tournament so they can ill afford to lose a game like this as it could hurt a great deal. 10* (516) South Carolina Gamecocks |
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03-02-16 | Oregon v. UCLA +1.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
It has been a very disappointing season for UCLA which is now just one game over .500 overall and 6-10 in the Pac 12. The Bruins have dropped two straight games, both coming on the road, and the one positive aspect this season has been their play on their home court where they are 11-4. They were beaten badly by USC here but the other two conference losses came by just a bucket apiece against Washington and Utah. On the flip side, they own impressive home wins against Kentucky and Arizona and while this will be another test, they are more than capable of pulling it off. Oregon has been the most consistent team in the conference with a 12-4 record but all four of those loses have been on the road where the Ducks are just 3-5 compared to 18-0 at home. The home team has won seven straight Oregon games with the last three coming during a three-game homestand. The Ducks do own very impressive road wins at Arizona and Utah but they are coming off their final home game of the season and catch a UCLA team out for revenge from a 14-point loss in Eugene. Despite the struggles, the Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss and they are a perfect 2-0 straight up and ATS as home underdogs this season. 10* (758) UCLA Bruins |
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03-02-16 | Blazers v. Celtics -5 | Top | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
We tossed around going against Portland last night and smartly held off to wait until tonight. The Blazers won their third straight game and are now 14-2 over their last 16 games but tonight finds them in a tough situation and one they have not seen over this stretch. This is only the second time they have played back-to-back games and both have come on this current roadtrip which makes this their fourth game in five nights. Portland has won six straight road games which is very impressive but now it catches the best home team on a run over this span. Boston has won 11 straight games at home including the first three on this current homestand as it now trails Toronto by just 4.5 games in the Atlantic Division and has a 1.5-game lead on Miami for third place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Both of these teams are in the top ten in power rankings which is not good for Portland as it has only four wins against top ten teams which is tied for third fewest in the NBA, leading only the Lakers and Sixers and tied with the Pelicans. Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Blazers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (706) Boston Celtics |
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03-02-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Notre Dame -2.5 | Top | 68-50 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 9 m | Show |
Notre Dame is coming off a three-game roadtrip where it went a disappointing 1-2 to fall to 10-6 in the ACC which has it in a tie for fifth place and the goal is to move up into the fourth spot. That could very well happen with a sweep of its final two regular season games with both of those coming at home where it is 13-1 on the season. The lone loss came against Pittsburgh in their home conference opener and since then, have beaten the likes of North Carolina and Louisville since then. A nine-point loss at Miami last month should have them extra motivated here. Miami is coming off a pair of big home wins against Virginia and Louisville to move to 12-4 in the ACC. The Hurricanes close with two straight road games where they are just 3-4 in the conference with all three of those victories coming against losing teams. Three of the four losses came against teams with a winning record and all by at least eight points. They will again be without junior Ja'Quan Newton, one of four double-digit scorers, as he has been suspended for the final three regular season games. The Fighting Irish are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss while the Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (728) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-02-16 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
We played against Mississippi on Saturday as it kept the game close against Georgia but the Bulldogs used a late 12-1 run to pull away. The Rebels are now back home to face their biggest rival where they are 11-2 on the season with one of those losses coming against South Carolina in overtime. Following a four-game losing streak, they have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games and have won their last four games following a loss. It will be a very electric atmosphere as Mississippi will be playing its final home game of the season while playing with revenge following a six-point loss back in January in Starkville. Mississippi St. has won three of its last four games with only one of those coming on the road where it is just 2-8 on the season. It was an upset win at Alabama but the Bulldogs were catching Alabama off a pair of road upsets at Florida and LSU and a home upset over Texas A&M. The other road win came against 3-13 Missouri so they have not been very successful on the highway. While they are playing a bitter rival, the number is not in their favor which is a poor spot as well. As mentioned, Mississippi has been solid of late coming off a loss and going back, the Rebels are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. 10* (740) Mississippi Rebels |
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03-01-16 | Nets v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 101-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
The Lakers are in the rare role of the favorite tonight as they have laid points on only three other occasions this season. It has been a tough stretch for Los Angeles of late as it has dropped eight straight games but the schedule has played a big part of that. The majority of games have come on the road and the home portion of the schedule has been against playoff teams and it has been this way all season as the Lakers have played the toughest schedule in the NBA. That is no excuse for the horrible record it is important to note that they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Nets have had a solid roadtrip as they may be just 2-2 but they have covered all four of those games. Three of those have been as double-digit underdogs and that certainly will not be the case here. Brooklyn played last night and while there is no travel involved, this is still the third game in four nights and the fourth game in six nights. Additionally, the Nets are just 2-8 this season playing with no rest. 10* (510) Los Angeles Lakers |
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03-01-16 | Indiana v. Iowa -4 | Top | 81-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
We played against Iowa on Sunday as it went to Ohio St. and lost, giving the Buckeyes a small glimmer of hope for the NCAA Tournament. Even worse for the Hawkeyes though is that defeat was their third straight loss and fourth in five games following a 10-1 start in the Big Ten. They are part of a logjam of six teams that are within one game of each other for second place in the conference. It is important to get into at least one of the top four slots for the Big Ten Tournament and with a game at Michigan to close the season, this is close to a must win as there is. Indiana is two games up on everyone following its third straight victory, a 27-point win at Illinois on Thursday. One win in its final two games wraps up the regular season championship but the final game of the season is at home against Maryland so it will not be easy. The Hoosiers are just 5-4 on the road and while a win at Michigan was strong, the other victories on the highway have been very unimpressive against horrible teams. Indiana won the first meeting sat home by seven points so revenge is in play as well. The Hawkeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (552) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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03-01-16 | Texas A&M v. Auburn +11.5 | Top | 81-63 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
It has once again been a bad season for Auburn as it is 11-17 overall including a 5-11 record in the SEC in the second season under head coach Bruce Pearl. He came in knowing it was going to be a rebuilding project and it certainly has been, The Tigers close out their home schedule as they are a respectable 8-6 at Auburn Arena and they own impressive wins against UAB, Kentucky and Georgia so winning here outright is not out of the question. We are getting a big number on top of it against a team that is solid at home and struggles on the road which is the case for a number of teams from this conference. Texas A&M has had a roller coaster season as it opened 17-2 including a 7-0 start in the conference only to go on a 1-5 run but has since won its last four games. This includes an impressive, and lucky, win at home against Kentucky but no other quality wins in the mix. The Aggies are 1-4 in their last five road games and while the losses have been against teams better than Auburn, they were not close to being favored by this much. The Aggies are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (556) Auburn Tigers |
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03-01-16 | Kentucky v. Florida +2 | Top | 88-79 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
As of the latest NCAA Tournament forecast, Florida is the last team in so there is little room for error as it closes out the season. The Gators could desperately use a quality win and while a loss would not be a bad one here, it could very knock them outside. They have dropped three straight games, one coming in overtime at South Carolina and another this past Saturday by five points at LSU. In-between those was a home loss against Vanderbilt by 13 points which was their second straight loss at home and easily the worst of the season. This is the last home game before going to Missouri to close out the season so this is a huge one. Kentucky is also coming off a loss at it fell at Vanderbilt, it second loss in three games and it has also dropped four of its last five road games. Typically, this could be a good spot for a bounce back but not with the way the Wildcats have played on the road and the fact Florida is also out for revenge from a 19-point beatdown in Lexington in early October. Going back, the Gators are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss while the Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (532) Florida Gators |
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02-29-16 | 76ers +12.5 v. Wizards | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
We are going against one of the biggest home consensus teams of the night and for good reason as Washington finds itself in a very tough spot here. The Wizards took care of Cleveland on Sunday afternoon for their second straight victory and fifth over their last seven games. This is still a very inconsistent team and taking out the top team in the Eastern Conference, with or without LeBron, sets up the perfect letdown opportunity. Big wins have been an issue as well as the Wizards are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Sixers are not a good team as we all know but the value is simply too good to pass up here as they have lost eight straight games while failing to cover five in a row. That plays a big part in the huge public backing of the Wizards which failed to cover their only game this season as a double-digit favorite and actually lost it outright at home against the Lakers. Coincidentally, the Wizards were coming off a win over Cleveland the previous day then as well. These teams met here earlier this month and Washington closed as an 8.5-point favorite but now the Wizards are favored by a full four points more which is a huge overadjustment. 10* (703) Philadelphia 76ers |
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02-29-16 | Syracuse +12.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
North Carolina heads home looking to bounce back from a loss at Virginia on Saturday and while winning is the most likely scenario, covering this number is a different story. The Tar Heels are laying double-digits for the 16th time this season and through the first 15 games, they are just 5-10 ATS and will be facing another quality opponent with a lot on the line. Syracuse is coming off a win in its final home game against NC State which kept it in a tie for seventh place in the ACC but with a pair of wins to end the season and the Orange could jump into fourth place which would be huge. Syracuse is still in the mix for the coveted double bye in the ACC Tournament as it is a game behind potential No. 4 seeds Duke and Notre Dame but with tiebreakers over both. Going back, Syracuse has won three of five true road games since losing its first four and one of those victories came at Duke so playing well in a tough environment is more than possible. The Tar Heels are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Orange are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (717) Syracuse Orange |
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02-28-16 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest -2 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Wake Forest is another team that is playing its final home game of the season and since the postseason is out of the question at any tournament level with the exception of an ACC Tournament Championship, this is now the biggest game of the season for the Demon Deacons. They have arguably been the biggest disappointment in the conference this season as they have won only two conference games and were expected to improve upon their five ACC wins from a season ago. Wake Forest does own quality non-conference wins against Indiana, UCLA and LSU but the problem has been close losses as five of their defeats have come within the last minute of regulation or overtime. Virginia Tech meanwhile has been the opposite this season as their seven ACC wins are five more than last year and it is currently on a two-game winning streak. The Hokies are just 3-6 on the rod however as they defeated Radford, Georgia Tech and 0-16 Boston College. They have won just one of seven games this season as a road underdog and a loss here very well means a cover loss as well. The Demon Deacons are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (846) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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02-28-16 | Blazers v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Portland is one of the hotter teams in the NBA as it has won seven of its last eight games following a win in Chicago last night. The Blazers are now three games over .500 on the season and are sitting in seventh place in the Western Conference. They are riding a four-game road winning streak but are still six games under .500 on the highway and overall they have won just eight of 20 games against the Eastern Conference. The Pacers lost a tough one on Friday night against Charlotte as it fell by a point with Kemba Walker scoring the game winner with just 2.4 seconds remaining. The Pacers had won three of four games coming out of the break and with Cleveland on deck for tomorrow, this is a big game now. They are sitting in sixth place in the Eastern Conference playoff race but are just a game and a half out of ninth place so taking care of home court is a must. They will be out for some revenge after a 12-point loss in Portland earlier this season where they allowed a franchise record 18 three-pointers. Going back, the Blazers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (808) Indiana Pacers |
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02-28-16 | Iowa v. Ohio State +4 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
This is a big game for Ohio St. which is on the outside looking in at the NCAA Tournament bubble. The Buckeyes are coming off a big game at home against Michigan St. which resulted in a 19-point loss and that makes this one that much bigger. If the season ended today, Ohio St. would be out but a win here and a win over the Spartans next Saturday along with a solid run in the big Ten Tournament could so wonders. The overall strength of the conference is in their favor but what has not been is the fact they are just 2-8 against teams ranked in the RPI top 100 but the good news is the amount of points they are receiving here. Iowa is on a two-game losing streak which is not a great situation to play against but the linesmakers are still overvaluing the Hawkeyes here. Iowa is just 5-4 on the road and while it is 3-1 as a road favorite, wins over Marquette, Rutgers and Illinois should not even be factored in. The Buckeyes are looking for double revenge from last season and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss while the Hawkeyes are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. This is the final home game of the season for Ohio St. and while there is just one senior on the roster, playing the final home game is always a big thing. 10* (864) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
We played on Pittsburgh on Wednesday in a game it could have won and probably should have won to up its NCAA Tournament body of work. The Panthers led for close to 30 minutes of the game but the Cardinals used a 9-2 run to close it out and send Pittsburgh to its fourth loss in six games. Now the Panthers are in what can be considered another must win spot as this is the final game of the regular season against a quality opponent so a win does a lot of good while a loss coupled with a loss at either Virginia Tech or Georgia Tech could send them outside the bubble. They are 14-4 at home and this being the final home game of the season will have the place amped. And the fact that it is Duke only helps get the energy higher. The Blue Devils are coming off a win over Florida St. which was their fifth win in six games but only one of those came on the road and that was the game at North Carolina that never should have resulted in a victory. The other four road wins came against four of the five worst teams in the ACC. The Blue Devils are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. 10* (826) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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02-27-16 | Fresno State v. New Mexico -7 | Top | 92-82 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on NEW MEXICO for our MWC Game of the Year. The Mountain West Conference race is over as San Diego St. clinched the regular season championship but there is still on lot on the line going further down with tournament seedings. Both of these teams are in that mix fighting for second place and the Lobos can move into a tie for second place with a win over 10-5 Fresno St. while holding the tiebreaker because of the series sweep. New Mexico has dropped two straight but those came on the road and it is 12-2 at home with those defeats coming by a combined three points so The Pit remains one of the toughest environments around. The Bulldogs meanwhile have won three straight games, the final two coming at home where they are 15-2 on the season. Conversely, they are just 4-7 on the road with three conference wins against teams with a losing record in the MWC. They are fighting for second place and have a doable schedule to close the season but this is a difficult spot and the toughest remaining game of the regular season. The Bulldogs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Lobos are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (664) New Mexico Lobos |
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02-27-16 | Warriors v. Thunder +3 | Top | 121-118 | Push | 0 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
Golden St. concludes its seven-game roadtrip at Oklahoma City after winning five of the first six games. The Warriors got away with one on Miami as Stephen Curry bailed them out late and the next night they shot an unheard of 60.2 percent from the floor against Orlando in a 16-point blowout. Now comes the biggest challenge of the trip as the Thunder looks to prove that they are still a contender as well. They have looked pretty bad coming out of the All Star Break as they have dropped three of their four games including two straight at home where they are now 25-7, still a very impressive record. These teams met earlier this month with the Warriors pulling away late for an eight-point win. They were favored by 7.5 points in that game and with the venue change, they are overvalued as this line should be more in the pickem range. While Oklahoma City has not fared well as an underdog this season, going 1-4 straight up and against the number, this is the first time they have been a home underdog and going back they are 7-2 ATS in this role since 2014. The Thunder are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing on one-day rest. 10* (512) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-27-16 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +6.5 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on OKLAHOMA ST. for our Saturday Enforcer. It has been a down year for the Cowboys which typically frequent the top of the Big XII but this season they are just 3-12 in the conference while sitting four games under .500 overall. Oklahoma St. has lost its last three games by double digits and the home floor has not been up to it usual toughness but there have been spots showing what this team can do. The Cowboys defeated Kansas by 19 points and three home losses against Oklahoma, Baylor and Iowa St. came by two, four and five points respectively. They lost at West Virginia by 17 points last month so payback will be in play. The Mountaineers are coming off a big home win over Iowa St. to remain tied with Oklahoma for second place in the Big XII. West Virginia is 5-4 on the road but has been far from dominant as only one of those wins came by more than eight points which was a double-digit win at Virginia Tech. Four previous times this season, West Virginia won a home game with a road game on deck and lost all four of those games outright. The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games and stay competitive here. 10* (622) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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02-27-16 | Notre Dame v. Florida State | Top | 56-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
Hopes of making the NCAA Tournament are pretty much done for Florida St. after coming into the season picked to finish fifth in the ACC. There is a remote chance if the Seminoles win out which means winning the ACC Tournament but that is a longshot as well. Still, Florida St. would like to gain momentum heading into the tournament as it has lost five straight games and closes the regular season with a pair of home games. After this, the Seminoles do not play until next Saturday so there is certainly full focus here and we are catching a solid line because of the recent skid. Notre Dame bounced back from a last second loss at Georgia Tech last Saturday with a win at Wake Forest on Wednesday by 11 points so this makes it the third straight road game for the Irish which is never an easy road. They have exceeded expectations this season after losing so much production from last year but they are just 5-4 on the road with a win at inconsistent Duke being the lone quality victory. Notre Dame is just 6-11 ATS this season following a victory and will have another tough road test here. 10* (612) Florida St. Seminoles |
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02-27-16 | DePaul v. Providence -13.5 | Top | 66-87 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on PROVIDENCE for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Providence on Thursday and the Friars put up an abysmal effort against Seton Hall as they lost by 18 points thanks to a 28.4 percent shooting effort including 16.7 percent from long range. They continue to play themselves out of the NCAA Tournament as they are hanging on by a thread following their fifth loss in their last six games. None of those games resulted in a cover but that should change in a big way Saturday. Providence welcomes DePaul which is coming off only its third win in the Big East against St. Johns which was hardly a big feat. However, pone of those three conference wins came at home against Providence earlier this month so it is safe to say that Providence has had this one circled for a while and the Blue Demons are coming here at the wrong time. Going back, the Friars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Blue Demons are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (582) Providence Friars |
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02-27-16 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt -1.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky had an unfortunate break last Saturday at Texas A&M as it was called for a late technical foul which aided the Aggies in their two-point overtime win. The Wildcats bounced back with a victory against Alabama at home by 25 points and that victory is typical for what has been going on of late. Kentucky seemed to have flipped a switch after consecutive losses against Kansas and Tennessee as it has won five of its last six games with all of those wins being by double-digits and coming by an average of 23 ppg. Only one of those wins came on the road and now they head to Vanderbilt which is peaking at the right time. The Commodores started 5-5 in the SEC but have won four of their last five games and all of those wins have been by double-digits also. This includes a big win at Florida on Tuesday and now they are back home where they are 12-2. Additionally, they will be out to avenge a 19-point loss in Kentucky last month. Look for Vanderbilt to keep rolling as the winning at the right time continues. 10* (588) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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02-27-16 | Louisville v. Miami (Fla) -3 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
We won with Miami on Monday as it took down Virginia to improve to 11-4 in the ACC. The Hurricanes remain a game behind North Carolina but are also just a game out of sixth place so there is not a lot of wiggle room to stay near the top. Miami remains home where it is 14-1 overall and has not lost since November 27th as it is riding a 12-game winning streak here, nine of which have come by double-digits. They have been off for close to a week which is a good thing here for preparation and making this one even stronger is the fact that this is Senior Day as this is the final home game of the season for Miami. Louisville continues to play inspired basketball as it is playing out the season knowing there is no postseason and that clearly has been a motivator for the Cardinals. They are coming off a win at Pittsburgh on Wednesday which was its third straight win following a pair of losses on the road. The Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hurricanes are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. 10* (544) Miami Hurricanes |
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02-27-16 | Ole Miss v. Georgia -3 | Top | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on GEORGIA for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. It was expected to be a down year in the SEC this season and that has certainly been the case as there are just two ranked teams currently and are projected to put only five teams into the NCAA Tournament. One team at the start of the season that was supposed to make a tournament run was Georgia but that has not happened. The Bulldogs opened the season 7-3 but they have struggled within the conference as they are just 7-8 as they have had a tough time closing out the better teams in the SEC. Making it worse, they are coming off a loss at Auburn last time out which was their third straight loss but while Georgia is 2-11 against RPI top 100 teams, it is 12-1 against teams below that so the loss against the Tigers was the lone one and that will provide a ton of motivation on Saturday. Mississippi is part of that top 100 group but barely and there are more factors that negates that anyway. The Rebels are on a two-game winning streak but those were against the tow worst teams in the conference and now face a Georgia team out for revenge from a one-point loss in Oxford last month. 10* (528) Georgia Bulldogs |
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02-26-16 | Bulls v. Hawks -6.5 | Top | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Everyone was counting the Bulls out after suffering their fifth straight loss in their first game out of the All Star Break against Cleveland but they have gone on to win three straight wins since then. Additionally, they have covered four in a row as they stayed within the number against the Cavaliers but the last three victories came at home and now they hit the road where they have lost four straight and are 1-6 over their last seven games on the highway. Chicago lost at home against Atlanta, its last home defeat, right before the break but we are not worried about road revenge in this situation. The Hawks were talking about breaking this team up heading into the trade deadline a week ago but they held together and have gone on to lose their last three games. Atlanta lost to Miami by four points, lost to Milwaukee in overtime and most recently went down against Golden St. Losses are losses but these were not the worst losses but this is now a great opportunity to get back on track, especially on their home floor where they were once 17-8 but have dropped four straight games. Atlanta now trails Miami by a game and a half in the Southeast Division so the time to bounce back starts here. Derrick Rose missed the last game for Chicago and is questionable with a hamstring issue and that is the reason this line came out late but in or out, Atlanta has the matchup edge as well as the Hawks have comfortably won four of five meetings the last two seasons. The Hawks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (850) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-26-16 | Columbia +9.5 v. Princeton | Top | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
We played on Princeton last Friday as it was able to pull within a half-game of Yale in the Ivy League with a 12-point victory. The Tigers followed that up a double-digit win over Brown the next night to stay within a half-game with still five games remaining. That gives them a lot of time and opportunities to make up ground and all they have to do at this points is win out and they will be guaranteed at least a playoff game for the championship. While the schedule is fairly easy down the stretch, this game presents the biggest challenge remaining. Columbia is just one game out of first place and can leapfrog Princeton with a victory here. The scenario is exactly the same for the Lions because if they win out, they can be guaranteed of no worse than a three-way tie for first place and all three teams going 1-1 against each other. Columbia lost at Yale and at home to Princeton in overtime for its only two conference losses and brings in a 6-5 road record with two of those defeats coming in overtime. The one benefit for the Lions is that they are finally getting over the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a week ago and still managed a pair of blowout wins. The Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive home games while the Tigers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games. Too many points to pass up here with an outright win far from out of the question. 10* (857) Columbia Lions |
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02-25-16 | Nets v. Suns +2 | Top | 116-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Phoenix continues to ride the longest current losing streak in the NBA as it has hit 12 games and going back, the Suns have dropped 18 of their last 19 games. 10 of those 18 losses have come at home which doesn’t seem to bode well here but taking a look at those home losses show that is was a brutal stretch against some quality opponents. Nine of those opponents are heading to the playoffs and the other opponent is Houston, which is just a half-game out in the Western Conference. There are few excuses for losing but the Suns have a legitimate gripe with the recent schedule and overall they have played the second toughest slate in the NBA. Brooklyn opened a nine-game roadtrip with a respectable eight-point loss at Portland but in no way does it deserve to be a road favorite. Even when going to Philadelphia, the Nets were underdogs and on the season they are just 4-20 on the highway including losses in seven straight. While this is certainly a winnable game for Brooklyn, the same can be said for Phoenix which has three more games on deck against future playoff teams. The Nets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (708) Phoenix Suns |
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02-25-16 | North Texas v. Louisiana Tech -12.5 | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
Typically, we stay away from lines this large but this one sets up great that could turn into an absolute blowout. Louisiana Tech had its three-game winning streak snapped with a loss at UTEP on Saturday to fall to 9-5 in C-USA which is good for a half-game lead for fourth place. That is an important spot as the top four teams get a double bye in the C-USA Tournament and the Bulldogs will be out to sweep their final two home games of the season here and against Rice. They are 14-1at home this season with the only loss coming against Old Dominion by just three points and on the season, they are 5-1 following a loss. North Texas meanwhile has been horrific on the road with a 1-10 record with the lone victory coming at UTSA which is 3-12 in the conference and 5-23 overall. While the Mean Green have held their own in a couple road games, seven of those 10 losses have come by 20 or more points. There is also the revenge factor as Louisiana Tech lost at North Texas by 11 points as a road favorite just 19 days ago. The Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss while the Mean Green are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (758) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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02-25-16 | William & Mary -2.5 v. Elon | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show |
William & Mary is in a tie for third place in the CAA with Towson and James Madison and in order to keep hold of that spot, this is a must win game. The Tribe close at James Madison on Saturday in their season finale so closing with a pair of losses could mean a drop down to fifth place which would mean playing a top four team in the first game of the CAA Tournament as opposed to possibly playing the sixth seed. William & Mary has been decent on the road with a 6-6 record with one of those losses coming in overtime against first place UNC-Wilmington. Making the motivation even stronger, the Tribe lost to then 1-14 Drexel on Saturday in their final home game so they will be out for blood. Elon comes in with a 6-10 record in the conference so a seventh or eighth place finish is the likeliest scenario. The Phoenix do own a solid win over James Madison but half of their wins have come against the two worst teams in the conference. They are 8-7 on the road which is nothing special and going back, the Phoenix are 11-28 ATS in their last 39 home games while the Tribe are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. 10* (717) William & Mary Tribe |
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02-25-16 | Providence +5.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
The Big East has turned into a two-team race between Villanova and Xavier but third place to seventh place is wide open, separated by just 2.5 games between the five teams. Two of those square off here as underachieving Providence heads to overachieving Seton Hall in a game that can shake things up. The Friars opened the season 14-1 and rose to as high as No. 8 in the AP Poll but it has been a rough stretch since then as they have gone just 5-7 over their last 12 games and they are currently on a five-game non-cover streak which is helping drive this line up. Seton Hall meanwhile has won two straight and six of its last seven games with a pair of wins over Georgetown and a win over Creighton highlighting that run. The Pirates also won at Providence earlier this season and while we are not playing the road revenge factor, the fact that this line differential is 12 points from the first meeting, it is loaded with value. Providence is 6-3 on the road with quality wins over Villanova, Butler and Creighton so winning on the highway is not a problem. Going back, the Friars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (727) Providence Friars |
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02-24-16 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -8 | Top | 119-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
There are seven games on the board with spreads of eight or more points so while there will inevitably be some close games, I do not expect this to be one of those. Memphis has been on a roll as it has gone 16-7 over its last 23 games and while winning the Southwest Division is not going to happen, the Grizzlies are fifth in the Western Conference. They are coming off a loss against Toronto on Sunday and they have been a great bounceback team this season, going 15-7 following a defeat including going 6-1 over the last seven. The Grizzlies have covered 12 of their last 16 games at home and they are laying a very manageable number here. The Lakers have not been winning but they are keeping this number lower than it should be as they have covered seven of their last eight games but six of those were instances where they were getting more points. The last game resulted in a cover against Milwaukee where Los Angeles was getting nine points but now it is getting fewer points against a team that is nine games better than the Bucks. This is the first of a home-and-home that concludes Friday so there is no lookahead for Memphis so coming off a bad loss at Toronto helps the situation here. 10* (512) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-24-16 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +2 | Top | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
Pittsburgh picked up a big win on Saturday at Syracuse which solidified its spot in the NCAA Tournament brackets but another quality win would not hurt. Facing Louisville and Duke at home in its next two games gives the Panthers a pair of opportunities to grab another quality victory. They are 14-3 at home with all three losses coming by double-digits, which is surprising considering the strong home court edge but it does show that they have the ability to win close games at home. Give a lot credit to Louisville for continuing to play strong despite knowing that there will be no postseason this year. The Cardinals are coming off a big come-from-behind win against Duke on Saturday but it is just 3-2 since the self-imposed ban was announced with both losses coming on the road. Louisville has just three road wins this season, none of which have come against teams with a winning conference record. Pittsburgh lost by 18 at Louisville last month so that will only add to the motivation as a home sweep here and Sunday likely guarantees an at-large tournament bid. 10* (552) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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02-24-16 | Hornets v. Cavs -8 | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Charlotte is playing some of its best basketball of the season as it has won five straight games including two in row coming out of the All Star Break. The winning streak is a season high and has put the Hornets three games over .500 and into a tie for seventh place in the Eastern Conference. Those wins came against not the best of opposition however as road wins over Brooklyn and Milwaukee were against teams a combined 36 games under .500 while two others came at home against struggling Washington and Chicago. Charlotte has 13 losses against teams ranked in the top 16 of the league which is tied for the most defeats against such teams and it is catching Cleveland at a bad time. The Cavaliers are coming off a horrible game against Detroit, snapping their five-game winning streak so they will be ready to bounce back. These teams played back on February 3rd in Charlotte and the Cavaliers were favored by eight points and now they are favored by nearly the exact same amount at home which is not a correct line swing based on venue. Kemba Walker did not play in that game but he is not worth anything close to eight points. Cleveland lost that game by nine points on top of it so revenge will be in play here also. 10* (504) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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02-24-16 | Duquesne +9 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
St. Bonaventure is coming off a huge win at Dayton on Saturday which followed up a horrible loss at LaSalle in its previous game three days prior. The Bonnies are still on the outside looking in of the NCAA Tournament bubble so they are a team that is in must win mode but they should not be laying a number this big to a quality team. St. Bonaventure is sitting in fourth place in the Atlantic Ten with a 10-4 record but of its last seven wins, only two have come by double-digits. Calling Duquesne a quality team may seem crazy as it is 5-9 in the conference including losses in five straight games but it has been competitive in the majority of losses. The Dukes are 2-2 over their last four road games and those two losses came by a combined five points against Dayton and Rhode Island and this is another situation where they are in a good spot against a team in a bad spot. The Bonnies are playing with revenge from a seven-point loss in Duquesne last month but again, winning and covering are two different things in this case. 10* (527) Duquesne Dukes |
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02-24-16 | Villanova v. Xavier -1.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
Villanova remains the No. 1 team in the country as it has now won six straight games and on the season, the Wildcats are 13-1 in the Big East. The only loss came in overtime against Providence so getting points in this game seems like an easy take. This is by far their toughest test on the road though and they haven’t exactly dominated against quality teams, winning by five at Butler, five at Georgetown and one at Seton Hall. Xavier is a big step up in class over those teams as it comes in 12-3 in the conference and its 24-3 overall record is identical to that of Villanova. Two of the three conference losses came on the road, one at Creighton by 14 points which was a shocking loss and the other came at Villanova by 31 points in the Big East opener so the Musketeers have had this game circled for quite some time. They are just 1-4 in their last five home games but all those lines were nine points or more and on the season, Xavier is 8-1 ATS as a favorite of seven points or fewer. Big revenge win here. 10* (532) Xavier Musketeers |
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02-23-16 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 209 | Top | 124-115 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Orlando has gone over the total in each of its last two games but not by big margins. In the last game, the Magic went over by just four points while in the game prior to that, it took overtime for the total to be surpassed. Thy are right at 50 percent with their over/unders this season but we are getting a lot of value as this is just the third time this season that Orlando has seen a total of higher than 207. The Sixers have gone over the total in each of their last three games as the defense, which is bad to begin with, has been really bad by allowing 114, 121 and 129 points. Philadelphia has been more of an over team this season but by a slight margin and because of the recent run, the value is in its number as well. The Sixers have had larger totals than Orlando but not of significance. The first two meetings this season have seen a split with the over/under but the one game that went over would have stayed under had the total tonight been posted. The under is 13-3 in the last 16 games for Orlando against teams with a losing straight up record including 5-0 to the under against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Additionally, the Magic are 4-0 to the under this season as a road favorite. Meanwhile, the under is 8-2 in the Sixers last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* Under (701) Orlando Magic/(702) Philadelphia 76ers |
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02-23-16 | LSU +4 v. Arkansas | Top | 65-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
Things are looking pretty bleak right now LSU as having lost at Tennessee on Saturday and losing Keith Hornsby in the process, the Tigers have fallen out of the projected NCAA Tournament brackets. Their RPI has fallen to 87 after two straight losses where they were favored in both and they cannot afford any more losses like that. Even though they are underdogs here, this would still be a bad loss as Arkansas has a losing record. We played on the Razorbacks as they took care of Missouri and it was either a win, a loss or a push depending on the line but the fact they snapped a three-game losing streak helps us here. They have been very solid at home which is the reason they are favored here despite possessing an RPI that is 50 spots lower. Arkansas was getting eight points in the first meeting at LSU which makes this a 12-point swing, simply too much. The loss of Hornsby hurts the Tigers but this is where his teammates pick up the slack in what is a must win game with Florida and Kentucky still on deck. The Tigers are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss and this game could very determine their NCAA Tournament fate. 10* (721) LSU Tigers |
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02-23-16 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -4 | Top | 87-74 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
Following a loss at South Carolina on Saturday, Florida is just 4-4 over its last eight games as its value continues to drop. The Gators are now 8-6 in the SEC and they have to take advantage of their home floor here as the final home game of the season is against Kentucky in one week. Florida has been great this season following a defeat as it has won eight of nine games after a loss while covering seven of those. The Gators will be out for revenge here as well as they lost at Vanderbilt last month by a point as they shot just 32.9 percent from the floor. The Commodores bounced back from an ugly loss at Mississippi St. with a win over Georgia on Saturday to improve to 8-6 in the SEC as well. Their RPI is 30 spots lower than Florida and as of right now, Vanderbilt is on the bubble looking in so it desperately needs a win. Its 2-8 record on the road is a huge concern with one of those wins coming against 4-10 Auburn. Going back, the Gators are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Commodores are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. 10* (728) Florida Gators |
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02-23-16 | Clemson +2 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 73-75 | Push | 0 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
At one point, Clemson was a lock for the NCAA Tournament as it has taken out Louisville, Duke and Miami in consecutive games to move to 5-1 in the ACC but it has been a struggle since then. The Tigers are just 4-5 since then but all of those losses came down to the final minutes while the wins were all by double-digits. The Tigers are now in seventh place in the ACC at 9-6 and like so many teams across the country, they can ill afford to lose any games they should be winning even though they come in as the underdog here. They catch Virginia at home and have Boston College on the road to end the season so a 3-0 finish is likely mandatory. Georgia Tech is coming off a last second win against Notre Dame and it is those types of victories that we like to go against next time out. The Yellow Jackets have won two straight games but are still just 5-9 in the conference which is fourth from last place. Georgia Tech will be out to avenge a 14-point loss at Clemson earlier in the season but the situation could not be worse. Additionally, the Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. 10* (731) Clemson Tigers |
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02-22-16 | Pistons +9 v. Cavs | Top | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This line was delayed in coming out due to the uncertain status of Kyrie Irving who left yesterday’s game against Oklahoma City with flu like symptoms after playing just nine minutes. The Cavaliers did not seem to miss him however as they rolled over the Thunder by 23 points which sets up a possible letdown situation tonight. We played on Detroit yesterday and the Pistons were unable to control Anthony Davis who scored over half of the Pelicans points as he put up 59 points to go along with 20 boards. That was the fifth straight loss for Detroit going back prior to the All Star break and the Pistons have not been able to cover any of those games as well. Cleveland is on the opposite end of the streak as it has won five straight games but it has struggled all season in this role, going just 19-27-1 ATS as a favorite including a horrible 10-21 ATS when favored by six or more points. Part of the problem has been playing up or down to the competition as the Cavaliers are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (501) Detroit Pistons |
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02-22-16 | Virginia v. Miami (Fla) -1 | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
We played against Miami on Saturday as it got trounced by North Carolina which was in bounce back mode following a loss to Duke earlier in the week. That loss dropped them to 10-4 in the ACC which is one game behind the Tar Heels and tied with two others for second place. Miami is now back home where it is 13-1 overall and has not lost since November 27th as it is riding a 11-game winning streak here, nine of which have come by double-digits. Virginia is one of the other two teams at 10-4 in the conference following its 20-point win over NC State on Monday. The Cavaliers have won eight of their last nine games with the lone defeat coming against Duke by a points on a last second bucket so they are playing at a high level now. That is keeping this number in check though. The Hurricanes had an eight-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Virginia last month as Miami was held to its lowest point total and 27.3 percent three-point shooting so it will be out to avenge that. The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game while covering 12 of their last 16 home games. 10* (516) Miami Hurricanes |
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02-21-16 | Loyola-Chicago v. Missouri State -2 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
We won with Loyola-Chicago on Wednesday as it defeated Northern Iowa which was coming off a huge road win at Wichita St. but now we are playing against the Ramblers which have struggled following big wins. They are 2-7 over their last nine games following a victory but because they have covered four straight games, they are getting a much smaller line here than anticipated. Two straight road wins is also playing a role but the last came at 3-13 Bradley. Missouri St. has had a disappointing season as an 0-2 start in the MVC was followed by a solid 6-3 only to see a 1-3 record over its last four games. The Bears three losses over that stretch all came on the road against the three hottest teams in the conference including a 31-point drubbing at Wichita St. on Thursday as they caught the Shockers at the wrong time. They have won three straight at home and are laying a great value number here knowing the fact the Bears are 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (836) Missouri St. Bears |
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02-21-16 | Wichita State v. Indiana State +11.5 | Top | 84-51 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Wichita St. can lock up the regular season Missouri Valley Conference championship with a victory here as the Shockers will have a three-game lead over Evansville and Illinois St. with just two games remaining. This is not a good spot however as they are coming off a three-game homestand and are laying double-digits on the road for the fifth time this season but two of those came against Drake and Bradley, which are 1-15 and 3-13 respectively in the conference. The other two resulted in an outright loss at Illinois St. and just a two-point cover at Missouri St. Indiana St. has lost four straight games but three of those were on the road and helping in the pointspread is the fact the Sycamores have filed to cover seven straight games so it makes sense that two-thirds of the public is backing the road team. The host is 19-5 in Indiana St. games this season and going back, the Sycamores are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 home games while going 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (844) Indiana St. Sycamores |
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02-21-16 | Pelicans v. Pistons -5 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
After losing three straight games prior to the All Star Break, the Pistons opened the second half with a poor effort at Washington as they managed just 86 points which was their lowest point total since scoring 82 points at Indiana back on January 2nd. They followed that up a huge effort in their next game which was at home against Orlando in a 24-point victory and I expect another big bounce back effort here. The one bright spot on Friday was newly acquired Tobias Harris who came off the bench to score 21 points in 30 minutes of work. New Orleans won its first game out of the break but that was at home against Philadelphia and it wasn’t exactly a dominating performance as it won by just seven points. The Pelicans hit the road where they are just 3-8 over their last 11 games and are a woeful 6-21 on the season. New Orleans is just 5-10 ATS on the road against teams with a losing record while the Pistons are 8-1 ATS at home against losing teams. Additionally, the Pistons are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points while the Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (804) Detroit Pistons |
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02-21-16 | Northeastern v. Hofstra -7 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
There is a lot of talk this time of the season about must win games and the meanings can be different based on the situations. Hofstra finds itself in one of those today if there is any chance of a CAA regular season title. The Pride trail UNC-Wilmington by a game and a half for first place in the conference so a win here gets them to within a game with a contest at the Seahawks upcoming on Thursday that will play a big role in deciding the title. Hofstra lost the first meeting with UNC-Wilmington by just three points and two other conference losses came against James Madison, both in overtime so it has been a few plays away from being even better. Northeastern has had an up and down season as it is 7-8 in the conference as a six-game losing skid has been followed up by a three-game winning streak including an overtime win at James Madison on Thursday. That is keeping this number within reach and we fully expect Hofstra to regain its home dominance. 10* (828) Hofstra Pride |
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02-20-16 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -1 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on OKLAHOMA ST. for our Saturday Enforcer. The Cowboys are having an unusually bad season as they are two games under .500 following a 1-4 stretch. They fell to 3-10 in the Big XII after getting blown out by Kansas by 27 points in Lawrence which was a big revenge game for the Jayhawks. Oklahoma St. is back home where it is just 8-5 on the season including a 3-3 record in the conference but one of those wins was the Kansas win and the three losses came against Oklahoma, Baylor and Iowa St. by just 11 points combined. Texas Tech is making some noise in the conference following its third consecutive upset win as it defeated Oklahoma on Wednesday after defeating Baylor and Iowa St. The Red Raiders are now 12-3 at home but just 2-5 on the road and while one of those road wins was at Baylor, the other was at 2-11 TCU. The Cowboys lost in Lubbock in the first meeting this season by a bucket in overtime and without much to play for this season, revenge becomes a big motivator at this point of the season. 10* (644) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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02-20-16 | Warriors -5 v. Clippers | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Golden St. did not come out of the break as expected as it was trounced in Portland last night by 32 points. It was the most one-sided defeat for Golden St. since a 123-84 loss to Denver in April 2012. The Warriors previous worst loss was 114-91 to Dallas on Dec. 30. That was just the fifth loss for the Warriors this season and following their four previous losses, they bounced back with wins by an average of 20.3 ppg. The Clippers meanwhile had last night off following a 19-point victory against San Antonio on Thursday, their fourth win in five games and eighth win in 10 games since late January. Many feel that the Clippers present a tough matchup challenge for Golden St. and we have partly seen that this season as the Warriors won the first two meetings by just four and seven points but those games were way back in November and Golden St. was not coming off a loss, let alone an embarrassing one like last night. They are 6-1 ATS this season when favored by fewer than seven points while going 7-2 ATS on the road against winning teams. Additionally, they are 6-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest while the Clippers are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (507) Golden St. Warriors |
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02-20-16 | Stanford v. Washington -6.5 | Top | 53-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
Washington has dropped its last four games but all were competitive against future NCAA Tournament teams. The Huskies were once in first place in the Pac 12 with a 5-1 record but are now 7-7 which is good for just seventh place. The good news is that they are only one and a half games out of third place and with four games left, there is still time to move up. Washington is 10-5 at home with the three conference losses coming by an average of 4.3 ppg against California, Arizona and Utah. Stanford meanwhile is coming off another victory which was its second straight win and just its second win on the road this season. We played against the Cardinal on Thursday but Washington St. was unable to get out of its funk but all that does is set up a great opportunity to play on a team with a strong home floor that is very desperate for a win, not only for postseason consequences but for confidence levels. The Huskies were swept by Stanford last season, losing at home, on the road and in the Pac 12 Tournament so there will be no lack of motivation from that angle as well. 10* (636) Washington Huskies |
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02-20-16 | Missouri v. Arkansas -10.5 | Top | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
Following three straight losses, Arkansas is now under .500 on the season overall including three games under .500 in the SEC. Coming into the season, the Razorbacks were tagged as a middle of the pack conference team and that is about right where they are now but the issues have mainly come on the road where they are just 1-8, six of those coming within the conference. They had dropped two home games prior to this week, one in the SEC against Kentucky but they lost to Auburn on Wednesday by four points as a 16.5-point favorite. Expect some huge energy on Saturday to make up for that. Missouri meanwhile is coming off an upset victory at home against South Carolina, its second straight win overall and going back, the Tigers have covered four straight games. This includes two covers on the road but those came by a combined two points and on the season, they are winless away from home, going 0-11 which includes a 0-8 record in true road games. Every one of those losses have been by at least nine points and they are getting outscored by 18.3 ppg on the road. 10* (622) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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02-20-16 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -3 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on CINCINNATI for our AAC Game of the Year. We won with Connecticut on Thursday as it defeated SMU to move a game behind Temple for first place in the AAC. Now the Huskies hit the road on a two-game winning streak, both coming at home, and while they own a solid 5-2 road record, neither the situation nor the matchup are in their favor here. Those losses have come against teams that are part of the six-team logjam that are separated by just two games and Cincinnati is part of that group. The Bearcats are 9-5 which is just a half game out of second place following their loss in Tula on Thursday in overtime. Cincinnati is a bubble team right now as it is part of the last four in group and it is hard to fathom that. The Bearcats have eight losses, seven against the RPI top 100, five have been by exactly two points and another by four points. This team has played so much better than the record shows and even though Connecticut is playing with revenge following a one-point loss at home earlier this season, the Bearcats are in a great position for another quality win. 10* (586) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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02-20-16 | Illinois State v. Northern Iowa -6 | Top | 66-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
We played against Northern Iowa on Wednesday for the simple main reason was that the Panthers were coming off a big upset win at Wichita St. in their previous game. They lost outright at Loyola-Chicago which snapped a six-game winning streak but now it is time to get back on track. Northern Iowa was picked to finish second in the MVC but after a 2-6 start, that finish was out of the question but the Panthers made a nice run prior to his week and we have to figure out which team is present and we are making the fair assessment that it is the one that was coming off the winning streak and has just defeated Wichita St. Illinois St. is the team that is currently holding down second place in the conference as the Redbirds have won five straight games which also includes a win over the Shockers, albeit at home. They are just 5-6 on the road which includes a 4-3 road record but three of those wins have come against the three worst teams in the conference including 1-14 Drake and 2-13 Bradley. Northern Iowa had its four-game winning streak against the Redbirds snapped last month on the road so revenge is in play here as well. 10* (580) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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02-20-16 | Miami (Fla) v. North Carolina -6.5 | Top | 71-96 | Win | 100 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on NORTH CAROLINA for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The Tar Heels lost a tough one on Wednesday at home against rival Duke but there is no time for head-hanging as they need to get back up quickly as they have fallen into a first place tie in the ACC with Miami. The rest of the schedule is far from easy as North Carolina still has games at Virginia and Duke so taking care of the home court is essential. The loss against the Blue Devils was their first of the season in Chapel Hill so as long as the effort is there, a second straight loss will not happen. Miami meanwhile has won five straight games and while a home win over Notre Dame was a quality victory, that is the lone quality win of the bunch. The Hurricanes are 3-3 on the road within the ACC with the three wins coming against Boston College, Georgia Tech and Florida St., none of which have winning conference records. Two of the three losses were against winning ACC teams and this marks the beginning of four straight games against ranked teams so the real Miami will be shown in the next two weeks. 10* (526) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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02-20-16 | Florida v. South Carolina -2.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on SOUTH CAROLINA for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. South Carolina opened the season 15-0 and was one of the few remaining undefeated teams at the time but the Gamecocks have since cooled off and are just 6-5 over their last 11 games and are sitting in a three-way tie for third place in the SEC. Four of those losses came on the road and the lone home loss came last Saturday against Kentucky which is rolling right now with four straight blowout victories. Motivation will be huge here as South Carolina wants to make the loss to the Wildcats up to the home crowd while also bouncing back from an embarrassing loss at then 2-10 Missouri on Tuesday. Florida is part of that third place tie as the Gators improved to 8-5 in the conference with a rare road win at Georgia on Tuesday. The only other road wins came at Navy and Mississippi so they have defeated no one that is in the same class as South Carolina. The first time Florida defeated Georgia this season, it followed it up with a blowout loss at Tennessee and the situation will be even more difficult here. 10* (516) South Carolina Gamecocks |
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02-19-16 | Rockets v. Suns +8 | Top | 116-100 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
Handicapping the first full day back from the All Star Break can be very challenging based on the fact that teams are coming back at essentially the same strength with no positive or negative situations in their favor. However, the All Star Break came at a good time for a lot of teams but probably none more so than Phoenix. The Suns limped into the break on a nine-game losing streak while going just 1-15 over their last 16 games. To their credit, they have played one of the toughest over that stretch as of those 16 games, 12 of those teams are currently sitting in a playoff position. Another of those losses came here against Houston two weeks ago by just six points. The Rockets didn’t close the first half very well either as they dropped their final three games while losing six of their final eight games. They have played decent at home this season but are just 11-15 on the road and they have been especially horrible in this role as Houston is 2-8 ATS as favorites of seven or more points this season. Phoenix has covered four of its last six games as a home underdog and all of those have come against playoff bound teams. A week off was needed mentally for the Suns and they come out strong in the second half of the season with a great effort. 10* (860) Phoenix Suns |
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02-19-16 | Yale v. Princeton -3.5 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
We haven’t dived into the Ivy League yet this season but Friday presents a great opportunity. Princeton trails Yale by a game and a half for first place and it looks to close the gap at home in the second meeting between the two this season. The Tigers went to New Haven last month and fell short by four points but have won four straight games since then to keep pace. Yale is undefeated in the conference and can take a big step in wrapping up the championship with just five games left after this, only one coming against a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs have gone 6-0-1 ATS over their last seven games with the lone push coming in that game against Princeton. All of the other six wins have come by double-digits so they are playing at a high level but this will clearly be their toughest road test in the Ivy thus far. Princeton is 8-0 at home this season and are 18-2 at home going back to last season and one of those losses came against Yale so double-revenge is in play Friday. This is the first of four straight home games for Princeton so this is the time to make a move. 10* (874) Princeton Tigers |
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02-18-16 | Spurs v. Clippers +3 | Top | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
The Clippers took out the Spurs in a great seven-game series in the Conference Quarterfinals last season and San Antonio was able to revenge that loss at home back in December. Now the season series shifts to Los Angeles where the Clippers are back home following a solid 3-1 roadtrip prior to the All Star Break. While they are 0-3 as home underdogs this season, one loss came by a point against the Thunder, a loss to Indiana was without Chris Paul and the third came against the Warriors. San Antonio won its final six games before the break and its overall record is what is driving this line. The Spurs are 17-8 on the road which is identical to the Clippers record at home and while a road record can be given more credibility in this league, most of the success has come against losing teams. The Clippers have been on a solid run, winning 15 of their last 20 games while also winning seven of their last nine home games and 12 of their last 16. This is a game that can come down to a final possession so getting home points is very advantageous. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Clippers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (504) Los Angeles Clippers |
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02-18-16 | Stanford v. Washington State +1 | Top | 72-56 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 16 m | Show |
Washington St. returns home in search of snapping its 11-game losing streak but the schedule has been a tough one. The Cougars opened with three straight home games where they went 1-2, losing to a very solid USC team and Washington in overtime but since then, six of their last 10 games have been on the road. Five of those road losses were by double-digits while three of those four home losses were against Arizona, Colorado and Utah, all future NCAA Tournament teams. The other loss at home came against Arizona St. despite outshooting the Sun Devils 46 percent to 36 percent as the difference was turnovers and a 25-8 attempt disadvantage at the free throw line. Stanford is just 5-7 in the conference but is coming off a huge upset against Oregon at home, its third outright win at home as an underdog. The problem has been on the road where the Cardinal are 1-5 so this is a very difficult line to be backing them with. This is arguably the last winnable home game for Washington St. as it hosts California Sunday and then it ends the season with three straight road games. A victory would assure a winning home record on the season as well so we will see a big effort from the Cougars here. 10* (556) Washington St. Cougars |
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02-18-16 | SMU v. Connecticut -3.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The logjam between 2nd and 5th place could get even tighter with a Connecticut win on Thursday and that is what I am expecting here. The Huskies are 8-4 which is a game behind SMU and they are ahead of Tula and Houston by just a half-game so a win here keeps them in the hunt while a loss puts them two and a half games behind first place Temple. Connecticut is 12-2 at home with a one-point loss to Cincinnati and a two-point loss to Temple being the only setbacks so laying a short number here is ideal. The Mustangs are coming off a home win over Gonzaga which avenged a big road loss against the Bulldogs from last season so this is a potential letdown for SMU. Give credit to the Mustangs for playing as good as they are with nothing to play for since there is no postseason in their future but as the season winds down, we should start seeing less effort and we have already started seeing that. They have gone 3-3 over their last six games following an 18-0 start. The Huskies are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. 10* (520) Connecticut Huskies |
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