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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-29-20 | Panthers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-28-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State +17.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -111 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS ST. BOBCATS for our CFB Sun Belt Game of the Year. Coastal Carolina is the first team in Sun Belt Conference history to hold an 8-0 record and the Chanticleers are coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Appalachian St., which was its lone remaining barrier to win out. This presents a big letdown for Coastal Carolina and it is laying an overpriced number on the road. Texas St. is coming off a win over Arkansas St. which snapped a seven-game losing streak and that momentum can come into play for playing spoiler. The Bobcats have covered four straight games as the lines continue to be too high priced. Texas St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (226) Texas St. Bobcats |
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11-27-20 | Stanford v. California +2.5 | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Stanford and host California take winless records into the annual Pac 12 rivalry Friday afternoon in the 128-year history of one of the greatest rivalries in college football. This is the first home game for the Golden Bears after losing at UCLA in their opener and then at Oregon St. despite outgaining the Beavers by 79 total yards. Stanford is also off to a 0-2 start and has now lost six straight games going back to last season as this once top level program has taken a tumble. Stanford has dropped seven straight games against the number while the Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams being outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 43-20 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) California Golden Bears |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford and the offense is coming off a tough outing as they were shutout in a 20-0 loss against the Panthers. The Lions have lost three of their last four games and at 4-6 are mathematically alive for the postseason making this a must win game. It was the first time Detroit has been shut out in 11 years so we can expect a bounce back here. They face a Houston defense that is ranked second to last in the NFL. The Texans have won two of three games since their bye and are coming off a 27-20 win over the Patriots. The Texans announced a slew of players will not make the trip to Detroit for the game including receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (122) Detroit Lions |
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11-25-20 | UCLA -3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 58-73 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCLA BRUINS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. UCLA has been picked to win the Pac 12 for the first time since 2011-12 as it returns a huge amount of talent. The Bruins, who finished 19-12 last season, return five starters and added a key transfer in 6-foot-6 shooting guard Johnny Juzang, from Kentucky. UCLA is returning 86.2 percent of its total rebounding production and 91.3 percent of its total assists from last year. UCLA is led by senior shooting guard Chris Smith, who was named the Pac-12 Conference's Most Improved Player of the Year last season after averaging a team-high 13.1 ppg and 5.4 rpg. San Diego St. had a special season going last year before the season was halted as it was 30-2 heading into the MWC Tournament. The Aztecs return only two starters from the team that finished ranked No. 6 nationally. Malachi Flynn, the Mountain West Conference Player of the Year, departed for the NBA and was drafted in the first round by the Toronto Raptors. Yanni Wetzell transferred to Vanderbilt and fellow senior K.J. Feagin is pursuing a professional career in Germany. 10* (685) UCLA Bruins |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-20-20 | New Mexico v. Air Force -7 | Top | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -1.5 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State -23.5 | Top | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -3 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Blowout Game of the Year. Army is off to a 6-1 start and became the first team to accept a bowl invitation this season when it reached six victories by defeating Mercer 49-3 on Oct. 24. The Black Knights are scheduled to face a Pac-12 opponent in the Independence Bowl. They have won four straight games but three of those were against FCS teams and the other three victories teams that are a combined 6-17. Tulane has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season. With Tulane, its passing defense has been bad but that will not come into play here against a basic run only team. The improved play of the Tulane run defense and especially its defensive line has been important the last two weeks. The Green Wave held Temple to 77 rushing yards on 36 attempts, then limited East Carolina to 35 yards on 29 rushes. Tulane has the No. 3 rushing offense in the AAC, averaging 230.8 ypg. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc, after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (204) Tulane Green Wave |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. We won with Iowa last week but will be going against the Hawkeyes this week as a road chalk. The Iowa defense made life miserable for Michigan St. quarterbacks last week, producing two sacks, three interceptions and five quarterback hurries while forcing the Spartans into 21 incompletions in their blowout victory. Minnesota defeated host Illinois 41-14 on Saturday behind a standout performance from running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who rushed 30 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is 16-6 as a starter and has completed 61.6 percent of his passes this season, completing 45-of-73 passes for 602 yards. The Gophers are second in the Big Ten with 15 touchdowns through three games and they are averaging 36.3 ppg, which ranks fourth in the conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (128) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Western Michigan was able to tune up with a nearly flawless 58-13 performance against Akron. The Broncos run defense might get hit for a big dash or two this week, but overall, the defense is just strong enough to a lot of bending, but not a lot of breaking. Coming into the season, Western Michigan quarterback Kaleb Eleby was targeted to solve all of his Broncos offensive concerns if he is as good as advertised. He did not disappoint in the opener as he went 12-16 for 262 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Toledo is coming off an equally impressive performance as it hammered Bowling Green, 38-3, scoring 21 first quarter points and never looking back. The Broncos will have to get off to a fast start against Toledo after the Rockets took a 24-7 halftime lead and held on for a 31-24 win last season in Toledo. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 10* (120) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-07-20 | Houston +13.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Saturday AAC Game of the Year. Houston got blasted at UCF last week 44-21 as it was outgained by 247 total yards. That will not instill a lot of confidence on the Cougars but they are in a great spot while catching a huge number. Houston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a double-digit underdog including 8-1 ATS when sitting at .500 or better. After crushing a good SMU team, Cincinnati exacted a measure of revenge against Memphis last Saturday, rolling to a 49-10 victory over the Tigers. Memphis handed the Bearcats a pair of losses last season, including a 29-24 decision in the AAC Championship one week after beating Cincinnati in the season finale. The Bearcats defense is excellent as they are No. 18 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is by far their strength but Houston does possess a solid offense even without receiver Marquez Stevenson. Cincinnati has put together two straight near perfect games so putting up another one is a stretch in what clearly is a letdown situation. 10* (327) Houston Cougars |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. BYU comes in with a perfect 7-0 record, winning all but one of its games by double digits. This will be the biggest test to date however even though Boise St. has played just two games. BYU did not practice on Sunday, per its own rules, and by NCAA dictates could not practice on Tuesday so that means BYU had and has three days to get ready. Boise has already disassembled Utah St. and Air Force, taking those victories with the same ease and comfort the Cougars have taken theirs. While Zach Wilson is having a fantastic season as the BYU quarterback, the Boise St. pass defense has been solid so far, allowing just 80.5 ypg which is No. 1 in the country. Boise St. is 7-3 all-time against BYU, including an unblemished 5-0 record on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium and the Broncos will be playing with revenge following a 28-25 loss at BYU last season as a touchdown favorite. Boise St. is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival while the Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home underdogs after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Boise St. Broncos |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State +3.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Colorado St. is coming off a 21-point loss despite getting outgained by just 60 total yards. As the teams get ready for the 112th rendition of the Border War, the Rams are deciding between two quarterbacks as coach Steve Addazio said he has already decided on a starter between Patrick O’Brien and Todd Centeio, but it is not being made public and that is a big disadvantage for the Wyoming defense in preparation for this one. Achieving a balance between the two could undoubtedly pay dividends against Wyoming especially given the difficulty of devising a sound multi-quarterback game plan for opposing defenses. Colorado St. will get back one of its more explosive athletes in receiver/kick returner Dante Wright, who was not available for the opener. Aside from a couple of substantial bursts from Ronnie Rivers, Colorado St. contained the Fresno St. rushing attack to an encouraging extent upon holding the Bulldogs to a mere two ypc on 43 attempts. The Rams are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (306) Colorado St. Rams |
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11-05-20 | Packers -5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers |
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11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +13.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Northern Illinois opens the season at home and as a significant underdog with a lot of this based on the results from last season. While the Huskies lost Tre Harbison, their leading rusher in 2019, they return quarterback Ross Bowers, who threw for 2,130 yards on 166-for-287 passing last season, and averaged 236.7 yards per game while throwing for at least 200 yards in seven of the nine games in which he played. With a multi-dimensional offense, playmaking at both running back and wide receiver, and a strong-armed quarterback, Northern Illinois distinguishes itself positively from Bulls offense. Buffalo comes into this season with high expectations as they finished with the best overall record in the MAC last season but 8-5 overall is nothing to get overly excited about. Buffalo has no clear starting quarterback as it took almost up to game time to name the starter. This is a run first team and the Huskies front seven has the capability to slow them down as the passing attack will not be able to take over. Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS as home underdogs in MAC games over the last two seasons. 10* (294) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +13 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens |
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10-31-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -2 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -117 | 71 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big Ten Game of the Year. We are only one game into the Big Ten season, yet we are seeing overreactions, and this is one of those. Iowa got upset by Purdue in its season opener and it hopes to avoid their first 0-2 start in over a decade. The Hawkeyes return home and while home field advantage is not the same as it is in normal years, it is still a thing and Iowa is very undervalued here. While the Hawkeyes lost to Purdue, they outgained the Boilermakers by 74 yards but two lost fumbles were costly as were 10 penalties for 100 yards so it was a game they should have won. Northwestern is coming off a blowout victory over Maryland and it looks for their first 2-0 start since the 2015 season. The Wildcats offense rolled up 537 yards and the defense held the Terrapins to just 207 yards on 4.1 per play. A big win for sure but Maryland is arguably the worst power five team in the country. The offense will play with tempo and look to keep defenses off balance as it did against Maryland, but Iowa is a different animal in this situation which has turned into a must win spot. Under Kirk Ferentz, the Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. 10* (162) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii -1 v. Wyoming | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Hawaii is coming off a win in its season opener at Fresno St. as the Warriors racked up 552 total yards with 323 on the ground, while the defense forced four turnovers for a plus-3 ratio. The Warriors hit the mainland for a second straight week which is typically not a great thing, but the matchup situation is on their side again. The Hawaii offense is led by quarterback Chevan Corderio, as he led the team in rushing with 116 yards and two touchdowns while going 20-31 through the air for 229 yards. The Warriors outgained the Bulldogs by 143 yards. Wyoming lost at Nevada in overtime, but the game was not that close as the Cowboys were outgained by 135 total yards. Wyoming quarterback Levi Williams is stepping into the starting role in place of Sean Chambers following yet another injury to Chambers. There is plenty of room for improvement for the offense after the Cowboys struggled to muster much of anything last week before a big fourth quarter. This will be just the second career start for Williams, and this will be the second straight game to begin the season for Hawaii to face an inexperienced quarterback in its war dog defense. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (141) Hawaii Warriors |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama is 3-2 on the season following a pair of wins the last two weeks. It is a very skewed record however as the Jaguars have defeated Texas St., UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi which are a combined 2-16 this season. This is a horrible scheduling situation as South Alabama has played four straight home games so this will be its first road game in 56 days, and it has to do it on a short week. South Alabama is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Georgia Southern is coming off a loss to fall to 3-2 on the season with the losses coming against Coastal Carolina and Louisiana which are a combined 9-1. Georgia Southern averages 248.6 ypg on the ground which in No. 13 in the country, and South Alabama has given up 396 rushing yards in its two losses so the Panthers will be able to control the line of scrimmage similar to last season where they rushed for 310 yards. The Panthers will have to pass the ball to open up that running game and they will have success here against a Jaguars defense that is horrible against the pass. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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10-27-20 | Rays +126 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Rays stole Game Four but gave it back on Sunday as they allowed the Dodgers to jump out to a 3-0 lead after two innings. Tampa Bay actually outhit the Dodgers but could not get the clutch hit, going just 1-7 with runners in scoring position. We are expecting the Rays to extend the series and take it to a decisive Game Seven. This was the Game Two pitching matchup, and we can expect a similar result. The Rays jumped on Tony Gonsolin early and went ahead 5-0 to hold on for a 6-4 win. Gonsolin went just 1.1 innings in that start and the Dodgers will be in trouble with a similar outing. The Dodgers bullpen has not been shutting the Rays down as they have a 5.57 ERA in the World Series. Blake Snell no-hit the Dodgers for 4.2 innings in Game Two before running into trouble and he has the stuff to go much longer and needs to get into the sixth inning. Here, we play against any National League team that are averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better, in October games. This situation is 71-40 (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (961) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays +150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers threw away Game Four from us, literally, last night and allowed Tampa Bay to even the series at 2-2. This is a pitching rematch from Game One and while the Dodgers easily got that one, it could easily flip here. Tyler Glasnow is coming off his worst start of the postseason as while he allowed just three hits, he gave up six runs in large part because of six walks. He has been inconsistent this postseason, but he can deal and with what happened last night, he does not want to give that game right back. The Dodgers will send Clayton Kershaw to the mound for the second time this series. In Game One, he threw six innings and held the Rays to a run on two hits and a walk. He also struck out eight batters. Now the bad news. He has struggled against teams in the postseason seeing him a second time. In subsequent postseason appearances, Kershaw has tossed 65.1 innings and has allowed 34 earned runs including 11 home runs for a 5.44 ERA. Here, we play on American League teams averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg going up against a National League starter with an ERA of 3.00 or better, after scoring eight runs or more. This situation is 31-11 (73.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-24-20 | Dodgers -160 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. This is a tough spot for Tampa Bay based on the starting pitching matchup. The Dodgers took a 2-1 series lead after taking two of three from the Rays top three aces and now they get to face the Rays bullpen game rather than one of those big three. Actually, those three Rays starters put up an 8.78 ERA in their three starts, and none made it out of the fifth inning so essentially, Tampa Bay has already had three bullpen games. Ryan Yarbrough will be asked to pitch the bulk of the early innings and he is in a very tough spot here against potent Dodgers lineup. Julio Urias last started on Oct. 14, nine days ago, where he lasted five innings and 101 pitches, which made him ready to pitch three scoreless innings to close out Game Four. He has given up only one earned run in 16 innings this postseason, he is fully rested, and he is in the perfect position to put the Dodgers a win away from a title. The Rays are 2-5 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 while the Dodgers are 45-18 in their last 63 games following a win. 10* (957) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers v. Rays +147 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Tampa Bay was able to even up this series with a win in Game Two behind a solid pitching effort from Blake Snell. While the Dodgers seem to have the pitching edge in Game Three, that is not necessarily the case. Walker Buehler had another great season where he posted a 2.91 ERA but has just two wins as he was not able to go deep in games and that could hurt here with the Dodgers going to their bullpen early on Wednesday. While his last start against the Braves was great, his command has been off as he issued 11 walks in his first three postseason outings. Charlie Morton has had a career resurgence as since 2017, he is 47-18 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while striking out 10.6 batters per nine innings. His postseason record since then is 7-1. In this postseason alone Morton has given up one earned run and struck out 17 over 15.2 innings. He limits damage by keeping the ball in the yard as he has allowed only four home runs this season over 53.2 innings including none in the postseason. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better, in October games. This situation is 70-39 (64.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (956) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +2.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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10-21-20 | Rays +124 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-4 | Win | 124 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We lost with the Rays last night but will back them tonight to get this series evened up. Tampa Bay manager Kevin Cash was uncharacteristically lenient with the leash for his starter, granting Glasnow a season-high 112 pitches, even as he walked six batters. Tampa Bay turns to Blake Snell who has allowed just three runs over his last two starts. The Dodgers do hit righties better than lefties, which is a modest lift for Snell. The Dodgers are among the worst teams in baseball at making contact against curveballs and sliders from lefties in the strike zone. Tony Gonsolin counters for the Dodgers and he struggled in his lone postseason start as he allowed five runs in 4.1 innings against the Braves. He is pitching on two days rest after going two innings in Game Seven where he allowed two runs while throwing 41 pitches. Here, we play against teams averaging 5.0 rpg going up against an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better, after a win by four runs or more. This situation is 72-39 (64.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (953) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-20-20 | Rays +161 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Tampa Bay nearly lost a 3-1 series lead but took Game Seven of the ALCS while the Dodgers came back from a 3-1 series deficit with three straight wins to make their trips to the World Series. Tyler Glasnow went 5-1 with a 4.08 ERA in the regular season and is 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA in four postseason starts. He is coming off his worst outing of the postseason, allowing four runs and striking out just five over six innings against the Astros in Game Four of the ALCS. He struck out 91 batters in 57.1 innings in the regular season, and the Rays were 9-2 in his 11 starts. Clayton Kershaw will be on regular rest for Game One. In his NLCS Game start start, pushed back two days because of back spasms, he allowed one run over the first five innings but was charged with four runs after allowing three runs in the sixth inning. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or more, in October games. This situation is 69-39 (63.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (951) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-18-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -148 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. It all comes down to Game Seven in the National League Championship Series as the Dodgers have won the last two games to stay alive. After fending off elimination twice already, history is on the Dodgers side to complete the comeback. Of the 17 teams to force a Game Seven after trailing, 3-1, in a best-of-seven series, 13 have gone on to win that last game. Ian Anderson goes for the Braves, making this his second start in the series. The Dodgers did not score off Anderson in four innings in Game Two, but they walked five times and ran his pitch count to 85. Dave Roberts would not commit to a starter after Game Six, but he did say Tony Gonsolin would take down a good bit of the innings. With starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw, Julio Urias and Dustin May available, there could be an opener. The Dodgers are 70-36 against the money line in their last 106 games as a favorite of -125 to -175. 10* (910) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions |
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10-17-20 | Astros v. Rays -113 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Astros came through for us yesterday, but we are going the other way Saturday. After another defeat filled with pitching woes, questionable managerial decisions and defensive mistakes that would have seemed improbable just three days ago for the best record in the American League during the regular season, the Rays are also one loss away from matching the worst playoff collapse in 116 years of postseason baseball. Charlie Morton gets the ball for Tampa Bay and he is the pitcher you want in this spot. He pitched two seasons and won a World Series ring with the Astros before joining Tampa Bay last year. He has allowed just one run over 10 innings in his two postseason starts. Lance McCullers counters for Houston and he is coming off a decent outing, but the long ball has been an issue as he has allowed five home runs in his two postseason starts. The Astros are 2-11 in their last 13 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game while the Rays are 21-5 in their last 26 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (908) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB SEC Game of the Year. Texas A&M kicked a field goal on the final play last week against Florida, notching its first win over a top-five team since 2014. This spells a big letdown for the Aggies and they are now favored on the road. After handing reigning national champion LSU its first loss since Nov. 24, 2018, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two contests to Arkansas and Kentucky. The Bulldogs fell to the Wildcats 24-2 last week but had a 18-10 first down edge and 295-157 total yard advantage but were -5 in turnovers. A loss like that can provide great motivation especially when the coach calls out the players after. The Aggies allowed have allowed 897 passing yards and nine touchdowns through the first three games of the season so we can expect Mississippi St. to get back on track on offense. Texas A&M is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of -2 per game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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10-16-20 | Astros +126 v. Rays | Top | 7-4 | Win | 126 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. After dropping the first three games of this series, Houston has won the last two to get back into it and winning the whole thing is not on its side based on history, momentum has clearly shifted. After a lackluster offensive regular season (.264 average with a 92 OPS+ and five homers), Carlos Correa is now hitting .342/.457/.816 with six homers in the playoffs. The pitching matchup is the same as Game One with Blake Snell going for the Rays and Framber Valdez getting the ball for the Astros. Valdez, who has pitched to a 2.00 ERA in 18 postseason innings this year is on full rest following a great start against Tampa Bay, but his offense could not back him up. Snell was decent as well, but he has allowed four home runs over his last two postseason starts and he has not made it through six innings in all of his 14 starts this season. Here, we play on American League underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season, after scoring and allowing five runs or less last four games. This situation is 31-18 (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (901) Houston Astros |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave |
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10-15-20 | Dodgers v. Braves +205 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 205 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers came through for us last night in a record setting way with an 11-run first inning, but the Braves are in a good position to bounce back from their first postseason loss. Only 25 percent of teams that fell behind 2-0 in a best-of-seven series and won Game Three have come all the way back to win the series, and none of the last 17 did it. Clayton Kershaw will get the start after being scratched from Game Two because of back spasms. He had a solid season, but the Braves present a problem. He had the highest first-pitch strike percentage (69.7 percent) of any pitcher in baseball in the regular season but the Braves .788 slugging percentage on the first pitch was the best in MLB. Additionally, he thrives with his breaking ball but faces a Braves team whose .429 slugging percentage against breaking balls was the highest in MLB this year. Atlanta pitching has struggled over the last 12 innings, allowing 22 runs but the bullpen is still in decent shape. Starter Bryse Wilson allowed just one run in three starts and if he can get through four innings, that will be a win for the Braves and the bullpen. Here, we play on teams after allowing 12 runs or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more two straight games. This situation is 50-28 (64.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (978) Atlanta Braves |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | Top | 52-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. opened the season with a loss at Memphis that was closer than the 13-point deficit indicates and followed that up with a huge upset at Kansas St. Then the pandemic came into play with two straight weeks off before getting blown out by Coastal Carolina, but the Red Wolves bounced back with a 23-point win over Central Arkansas backed by a season high 573 yards on offense. Teams that are playing their fifth game of the season and playing their second straight home game following three straight road games are 15-3-1 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win. Georgia St. opened the season with a pair of losses before blowing out East Carolina by 20 points two weeks ago. The rushing offense leads the way, but the Panthers have been outrushed in two of three games and that is key for Arkansas St. which has been inconsistent in the running game but can get it going here which can help their passing game even more that is currently eighth in the country, averaging 342.5 ypg. The Red Wolves will be out to avenge a 52-38 loss last season where they allowed 722 total yards. The Panthers are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (106) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Coastal Carolina and Louisiana come in at 3-0 but we fell there is a significant edge for the Cajuns as they have played the better schedule and has a better defense. Louisiana is ranked for the first time since 1943 as it owns a big win over Iowa St. to open the season and followed that up with a pair of close wins over Georgia St. and Georgia Southern. Those close wins came as double-digit favorites and now the line is significantly lower based on that and the hot start for the Chanticleers. They have won their three games by an average of 22 ppg albeit against much weaker competition. The Cajuns have a star in quarterback Levi Lewis while featuring a pair of running back weapons in Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell. On the other side, Coastal Carolina has gotten a lot of production from quarterback Grayson McCall, but he is just a freshman, and this will be his biggest test of the season. The Louisiana defense has allowed just a 53.3 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks while allowing less than one passing touchdown per game so far. Here, we play against conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 5fiveseasons. 10* (170) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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10-14-20 | Dodgers -180 v. Braves | Top | 15-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Braves came through for us last night but came close to blowing a 7-0 lead and the Dodgers, despite the loss, carry momentum into Wednesday. Los Angeles needs this game to avoid a 3-0 deficit and it has a significant pitching advantage tonight. The Dodgers have lost back-to-back games only five times all season and are 4-0 following the first four, winning those games by a combined score of 29-12. The Dodgers late offensive awakening after being limited to a single run in the first 15 innings of this series could be a confidence-builder. Julio Urias gets the ball for Los Angeles and he has been solid with a 2.86 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. This is his first postseason start and he has allowed one unearned run with 11 strikeouts in eight innings in the postseason. Kyle Wright threw six scoreless innings against the Marlins in the NLDS but had a 5.21 ERA in eight starts in the regular season. The Dodgers are 48-19 in their last 67 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (973) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills |
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10-13-20 | Braves +156 v. Dodgers | Top | 8-7 | Win | 156 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. We won with the Braves last night as the problems with Walker Buehler were on full display. He has allowed only four runs in 17 innings since returning from the injured list with a blister that originally began in his right index finger, but he has yet to complete six innings during that stretch. Last night messed up the whole rotation as Dustin May had to come in for two innings so he is out of the equation for at least tonight. Clayton Kershaw has been scratched and Tony Gonsolin will take his spot. He went 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA in nine appearances this season, including eight starts so it is not a huge drop-off. However, this is the postseason and a must win so this is the most pressure he has seen and the Braves come in with a lot of confidence and momentum after the four-run ninth inning on Monday. Ian Anderson is young, but he has already shown why he was a first-round draft pick just three years ago. He has worked 11.2 scoreless innings through his first two career postseason starts and has posted a 0.93 ERA over his last five starts. He has been an underdog just once and that was against the Yankees where he carried a no-hitter into the sixth inning. Here, we play on National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg after allowing two runs or less in two straight games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 156-91 (63.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (969) Atlanta Braves |
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10-12-20 | Chargers +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10-12-20 | Braves +128 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-1 | Win | 128 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Both Atlanta and Los Angeles cruised through the first two rounds of the playoffs with neither losing a game. The Dodgers outscored opponents 30-11 while the Braves outscored opponents 24-5 which included four shutouts and pitching rules this time of year. The Dodgers boast a deep and powerful lineup that led baseball in runs scored, but the Atlanta Braves scored just one fewer time than Los Angeles this season. Max Fried is coming off his worst outing of the season as he allowed four runs in four innings, but the offense bailed him out in a 9-5 victory. The Braves are 12-1 in his 13 starts where he is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Walker Buehler had a solid season as well, but he has struggled with command in his two postseason starts. He has not gone deep in games and the Braves have the offense that can get to him and the bullpen. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better, in October games. This situation is 62-32 (66 percent) since 1997. 10* (965) Atlanta Braves |
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10-11-20 | Lakers -5 v. Heat | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Miami was able to avoid elimination with a Game Five win on Friday. The Lakers led by a point with 21.8 seconds left, before two foul shots by Jimmy Butler put the Heat in front. Danny Green missed a late three-pointer to win the game for the Lakers, as the Heat kept the best-of-seven series alive at 3-2. Miami has yet not won consecutive games since mid-September as it is 0-4 in its last four games following a victory while covering just one of those games on a backdoor cover. The Lakers three wins in this series have come by an average of 11.3 ppg so a win likely means a cover based on their dominance when they outplay Miami. The line has come down considerably as it is the lowest it has been in this series since Game One. The Lakers have failed to cover the last four games and that is playing a role in this number. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (711) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-11-20 | Astros +134 v. Rays | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Rays finished the regular season with the best record in the American League, but it took them five games and a late home run to take out the Yankees in the ALDS. Houston finished the 60-game season an underwhelming 14th in runs scored, 16th in OPS, and 19th in home runs. However, the Astros awoke in the ALDS to post 33 runs in a lopsided four-game series with the A's. They are peaking at the right time and they bring in a potent right-handed lineup which is not great news for the Rays and lefty Blake Snell who allowed four runs on six hits in five innings which included three home runs allowed, against the powerful right-handed lineup of the Yankees in his lone ALDS appearance. Framber Valdez gets the Game One start after posting a 1.42 ERA over his past four outings, including a pair of postseason gems. The Houston pitching has been up and down, but the offense has come back to life and it gets a great matchup in this opening game. Here, we play against American League favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70, after a combined score of three runs or less. This situation is 24-10 (70.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (961) Houston Astros |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -1 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 49 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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10-09-20 | Yankees v. Rays +142 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 142 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. It all comes down to Game Five for the team that was expected to win the American League and the team that finished with the best record in the American League. New York began the series with a 9-3 victory but followed it up with an 8-4 loss on Tuesday and a 7-5 defeat Wednesday when its starting pitching plans faltered. They are able to get Gerrit Cole back on the mound tonight but is coming off an average start in Game One where he allowed three runs in six innings. Tyler Glasnow is pitching on two days of rest, but it is not necessarily a bad thing. If Glasnow is used in an opener role, it is possible Blake Snell could follow with the hopes the Rays can get the lead and hand it to high-leverage relievers Diego Castillo, Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, who were not used Thursday. The Rays are 11-2 in his 13 starts including 10 straight wins. The Rays are 19-7 in their last 26 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (934) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-09-20 | Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS four our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Louisville and Georgia Tech are coming off a bye week while riding two-game losing streaks. After gaining 516 total yards against Miami, the Cardinals mustered just 223 yards against Pittsburgh. Despite their issues, Louisville can score against anyone with its offensive weapons. And the Georgia Tech defense has proven to be one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are allowing 441.3 ypg. Louisville will need to rely on running back Javian Hawkins, who has rushed for 313 yards this season. Hawkins will look to have a big game against Georgia Tech defense that is giving up big yards on the ground as the Yellow Jackets are 51st in rushing defense at 171.7 ypg. In the two losses to UCF and Syracuse, Georgia Tech quarterback Jeff Sims has thrown for a combined two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Yellow Jackets have shown the ability to be able to run the ball, but leading rusher Jordan Mason remains questionable. Georgia Tech is on a 1-10 ATS run as a home dog. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams with turnover differentials of -0.75 or worse, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Louisville Cardinals |
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10-08-20 | Dodgers v. Padres +160 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Padres nearly rallied on Wednesday as they scored two runs in the ninth inning and loaded the bases before just falling short. Instead of potentially going for a series lead Thursday, they are now trying to save their season. The Dodgers have won eight straight games going back to the regular season and are a win away from going to their fourth NLCS in the last five years. The Padres will go with a bullpen game Thursday, opening with Adrian Morejon. He did make four starts this season and did not make it past three innings in any of those so it will be up to the bullpen to keep the San Diego season alive. The bullpen has gone 31 innings during the postseason and has posted a 2.90 ERA. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts waited to name a starter until Thursday afternoon, and he has chosen Dustin May. He threw two scoreless innings of relief in Game One on Tuesday, so he probably will not be asked to pitch too deep into this one. He had a solid regular season but his 4.62 FIP and 3.98 xFIP suggest he overachieved by quite a bit. 10* (928) San Diego Padres |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston -6.5 | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. It will be the season opener for the Cougars, who have had five games delayed or canceled because of coronavirus issues with their opponents. While it may seem a disadvantage, it could work in their favor as Tulane has already played a quarter of its season. The pluses and minuses of having three games under its belt extend to personnel. Tulane lost its top running back, Tyjae Spears, to a torn ACL in its last game. Freshman quarterback Michael Pratt will make his first career start after coming off the bench and was 8-of-18 passing for 142 yards against Southern Miss. Additionally, a pair of freshmen start on the right side of the offensive line. Not only is Houston eager to get onto the field, but it is out for some revenge the Green Wave won last year 38-31 on a 53-yard touchdown pass with three seconds left. They bring back a ton of experience with 19 starters returning that have not forgotten about that game. The Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Houston Cougars |
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10-07-20 | Padres +166 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Los Angeles took Game One of this series despite having just four hits as it benefitted from 10 walks in the 5-1 victory. The Dodgers were held hitless through five innings of Game One, though they did score a run in the fifth on two walks and a throwing error. The offense has struggled as Los Angeles has a team batting average of .186 this postseason and the pitching has bailed it out. Clayton Kershaw gets the ball for the Dodgers and while he out up a gem in his first postseason start, he has been known for some playoff disasters. The Brewers were unable to get anything going but that offense was bad all season and the San Diego offense is one of the best in baseball and is by far the strongest lineup in Padres history. Kershaw is all about fastball or slider on the first pitch and the Padres had the fourth-lowest chase rate in baseball, behind three playoff teams in New York, Los Angeles and Oakland. Zach Davies struggled in his first postseason start but he has been solid as he allowed three runs or less in all of hi 12 regular season starts. Here, we play against teams after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs going up against an opponent after a game where the bullpen threw seven or more innings. This situation is 30-12 (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (919) San Diego Padres |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Miami got back into the series with a Game Three win on Sunday behind an outstanding performance from Jimmy Butler. He had 40 points, 11 rebounds and 13 assists, including 10 points in the fourth quarter as the Lakers were making their last run. A big difference also was keeping Anthony Davis in check. In Game Two, the Lakers attempted an NBA Finals-record 47 three-pointers, which was also their season high. But it made life far too easy for Davis, who started going 14 of 15 from the field. All he had to do was sneak behind the zone and he was almost guaranteed easy points. He averaged 15.5 touches in the paint in his first 17 playoff games, but he got only five in Game Three. He also got into foul trouble and as a team Los Angeles committed 19 turnovers. Now it is time for the Lakers to adjust and we are confident they do so to take the commanding 3-1 lead in the series. Miami is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog while the are 22-7 ATS after having won three of their last four games this season. 10* (707) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-06-20 | Marlins v. Braves -198 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The upstart Marlins will have their work cut out for them in this series and it starts right away in Game One. Miami surprised the Cubs with a two-game sweep led by solid pitching, but Atlanta is a bigger challenge on the offensive end. The second-seeded Braves did not surrender a run in their two-game sweep of Cincinnati, in 22 innings, no less. Max Fried gets the ball for the Braves after he followed up a perfect 7-0 record in the regular season by scattering six hits over seven scoreless innings in a no-decision in Game One of the NL wild-card series on Wednesday. Overall, he posted a 2.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 12 starts, 11 of which Atlanta won. The only loss he allowed just three runs, but the Braves bullpen blew it which was an anomaly. The Braves posted a combined ERA of 3.31, second best in the National League. The Marlins had a bullpen ERA of 5.50, the third worst in the National League. Sandy Alcantara counters for Miami and he is coming off a solid start against the Cubs but he has been inconsistent with his command. Here, we play on National League favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season and averaging 4.7 or more rpg going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 56-7 (88.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) Atlanta Braves |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays +135 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Yankees and Rays both swept their Wild Card Series over the Indians and Blue Jays, respectively. New York comes in as the road favorite behind the arm of Gerrit Cole who was dominant in his first playoff appearance. The Rays finished with the bet record in the American League and Tampa Bay dominated the season series, beating the Yankees in eight out of ten games. While Cole dominated the Rays last season in the ALDS, he struggled against them this season, posting a 4.96 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in three starts, covering 16.1 innings, two of those resulting in losses. Blake Snell pitched Game One against Toronto when he allowed one hit and struck out nine in 5.2 scoreless innings. He was 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA in the regular season and allowed three runs on four hits in eight innings during two starts against the Yankees. The Rays are 10-2 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 after having won two of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won eight or more of their last 10 games. This situation is 52-34 (60.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (902) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | Top | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints |
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10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | Top | 7-40 | Loss | -120 | 72 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Game of the Month. Navy comes in as a road favorite and for very good reason. Air force has yet to play a game this season and a key challenge for the Falcons will be establishing depth. Turnbacks, generally explained as the option to leave the academy for a semester for medical reasons, and in this case, offered to cadets in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, have decimated the football roster, especially on defense. None of the five eligible returning starters are back and four freshmen appear on the two-deep list. And on offense, starting quarterback Donald Hammond III is not expected to suit up, as he is not in good standing as a cadet, the Colorado Springs Gazette reported. Navy put together the largest comeback in school history, scoring 27 unanswered points in the second half to overtake Tulane 27-24 two weeks ago. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is seeking his 100th career victory, and the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series provides an ideal opportunity. Having two games under their belt going up against a depleted roster is a huge edge. Navy is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after a win by three or less points. 10* (131) Navy Midshipmen |
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10-02-20 | Heat +10 v. Lakers | Top | 114-124 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The big story here is that Heat guard Goran Dragic and big man Bam Adebayo are both listed as doubtful for Game Two of the NBA Finals. While they are key losses if they cannot go, Miami has plenty of depth to make up for it and we are getting an inflated line on top of it. Despite all the setbacks, Heat coach Erik Spoelstra and his team have prided themselves on not using excuses throughout the season. That attitude has not changed as the Heat attempt to regroup in the series. Rookie Heat guard Tyler Herro, who has had a breakout postseason individually but had a rough Game One with a team-worst minus-35 in the box score and he will need to play better in the absence of Dragic. Also, Kendrick Nunn, who started for the Heat for most of the regular season before Dragic took over for him in the lineup to begin the playoffs, will have to continue to play well after going 8-11 for 18 points on Wednesday. Forward Jae Crowder will be asked to up his game as well if Adebayo cannot go. Winning will depend on playing harder, better and smarter, something that the Heat have done all postseason long. Miami is 23-8 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season. 10* (703) Miami Heat |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. BYU | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. BYU is off to a dominant start as it has defeated Navy and Troy by a combined score of 103-10 and all that is doing is inflating this line. Due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in Provo, state and local health officials have prohibited fans from attending the BYU game this week in an effort to prevent the spread of the virus. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win to improve to 2-0 on the season. Louisiana Tech began the season with a 31-30 victory at Southern Miss, then routed Houston Baptist 66-38 in its home opener as Luke Anthony threw five touchdowns and ran for another. Louisiana Tech allowed 406 yards passing, but that is not as bad as it might seem. Houston Baptist quarterback Bailey Zappe, who completed 37 of 58 passes against the Bulldogs, had passed for more than 1,000 yards combined with seven touchdowns and no interceptions against North Texas and Texas Tech. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (103) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets |
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10-01-20 | Cardinals v. Padres -151 | Top | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Padres are on the brink of elimination following a 7-4 loss on Wednesday as Chris Paddack got lit up for six runs on eight hits in just 2.1 innings. San Diego got hit with a pair of injuries in their rotation and they are hoping Zach Davies can save their season. He is coming off an excellent season as he went 7-4 with a 2.73 ERA over 12 starts. He allowed three runs or less in all of those starts while allowing two runs or less in seven of those. The Padres were forced to use seven relievers for 6.2 innings Wednesday, so Davies needs to go deep. The ageless Adam Wainwright takes the hill for the Cardinals and he had a solid season as well, posting a 3.15 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over 10 starts. He is 1-4 when pitching in San Diego in six appearances (five starts) with a 3.03 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP and .229 BAA. The Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season and are hitting .230 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 39-8 (83 percent) since 1997. 10* (968) San Diego Padres |
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09-30-20 | Heat +5 v. Lakers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Miami got through Milwaukee in five games and then Boston in six games and the Heat were underdogs in all but one of those games with the exception being the one game against Milwaukee where Giannis did not play. The Heat will be underdogs in every game of this series, but they have proven they can handle the task with the best top to bottom roster in the NBA. Of the 12 victories in the postseason, seven were by at least seven points so they have not narrowly escaped and are clearly playing great basketball. the Heat have outscored opponents by 4.5 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, despite facing two of the three teams that finished the regular season ranked top 10 on both offense and defense. This is a tough matchup for the Lakers and even though Los Angeles won both regular season meetings, this is a different Miami rotation now that features three different starters that did not start those games and two of the old starters are not even getting on the court now. Miami is a much better three-point shooting team and as long as they can play to their average, they can steal a few games in this series. Miami is 8-0 when shooting better than 37 percent from long range as a team and 8-1 when making 13 or more threes in a game. The Heat are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest. 10* (701) Miami Heat |
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09-29-20 | Astros v. Twins -156 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -156 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Minnesota has lost a Major League record 16 consecutive postseason games but that is pretty meaningless especially since its last playoff game was three years ago. Houston has much more playoff experience but is has been a down year for the Astros as they finished with a losing record after losing their final three games over the weekend. Minnesota won the American League Central despite losing two of its final three games of the regular season. Houston went just 9-21 on the road while Minnesota went 24-7 at home this season. Kenta Maeda gets the ball for the opener and he has been outstanding in his first year with the Twins. He went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 66.2 innings, leading the majors with a 0.75 WHIP while limiting opposing hitters to a .168 batting average. He allowed three runs or less in all 11 of his starts. The Astros hit just .228/.288/.383 as a team in September, averaging 3.8 rpg in the process. Zack Greinke started the season strong with a 1.84 ERA in first five starts before tailing off in the second half as he posted a 5.73 ERA in final seven starts. He made five starts in the postseason last year and went 0-2 with a 4.68 ERA. The Astros are 2-10 in their last 12 road games against right-handed starters while the Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 home games against right-handed starters. 10* (934) Minnesota Twins |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-28-20 | Lightning -158 v. Stars | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Monday Breakaway. We won with Dallas on Saturday banking on the fact it would clean up the penalties and it did just that. The Lightning had scored on six of their previous 12 power-play chances in the series. After penalties short-circuited them in their previous three losses, the Stars took just one Saturday, and they killed it. The double-overtime win cut the Tampa Bay series lead to 3-2 but we expect Tampa Bay to come out firing after scoring just two goals on 41 shots in Game Five. The Lightning have continually showed their resilience, and if they do it again, they will win the Stanley Cup for the first time since 2004 and for only the second time in franchise history. Tampa Bay has yet to lose consecutive games this postseason, bouncing back from each of its six losses with a win. The Lightning are 20-3 in their last 23 games when playing their 8th game in 14 days while going 45-8 in their last 53 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season that have 30 or more shots in five straight games and with a starting goalie with a save percentage of .915 or better. This situation is 198-119 (62.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (1) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston avoided leaving the bubble with a win on Friday thanks to a big second half where the Celtics outscored Miami 70-50. While momentum in now on their side, it is up to Miami to get back to what it had done earlier in the series, win the turnover battle and get off more shot attempts. After the Celtics had averaged 4.7 more turnovers per game in the first four meetings, they had two fewer (13-11) than the Heat in Game Five and also, Miami had averaged 6.0 more shots per game than the Celtics before Friday, when Boston held a 93-86 edge. We can expect a big game from Bam Adebayo who shot under 50 percent for the first time since Game One and was held to a series-low 13 points on Friday, accumulating a minus-15 plus/minus after having been in the positive in each of the first four games. The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win while the Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outscoring their opponents by six or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (718) Miami Heat |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Lakers took Game Four of this series with a six-point win on Thursday and they can close the Western Conference Finals with a win tonight, but Denver will have something to say about that. The Nuggets have been down 3-1 in their two previous series, so they have been here before and have thought nothing about it as they came back to win both of those. Winning another series being down 3-1 is a tall task but Denver has been competitive throughout this series as two losses have been by a combined eight points with one of those coming on a last second buzzer-beater from Anthony Davis. Speaking of Davis, he sprained his ankle and while he is likely going to play, he might not be 100 percent. In Game Four, the Lakers 12 offensive rebounds led to 25 second-chance points, which dwarfed six second-chance points for Denver. Nikola Jokic had an off-game by his lofty standards, finishing with just 16 points and seven rebounds on 6-of-13 shooting and we expect a big game from him Saturday night. He and Paul Millsap were in foul trouble early in Game Four, which ultimately reduced their playing time and ability to find a rhythm later in the game. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss while the Lakers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (711) Denver Nuggets |
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09-26-20 | Stars +148 v. Lightning | Top | 3-2 | Win | 148 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. It was a brutal loss for us and the Dallas Stars on Friday night as a controversial tripping call in overtime led to the game winning power play goal for Tampa Bay. This series could very well be tied right now but the Stars now have to win three straight games and they will use that horrible call from last night as motivation. The Lightning used the man advantage to their benefit in Game Four, tying the game twice and eventually winning it on that power play goal. This has been a problem for Dallas over the last three games as it has allowed six power play goals in 12 penalty kill attempts. While the Stars played some wild series earlier in the postseason, they eliminated the Golden Knights and won the West on the strength of their defense and goaltending, allowing three goals against just once in five games. The blame cannot be put on goalie Anton Khudobin as he has been put in some tough situations. And it is possible Ben Bishop gets the start in this back-to-back as he was seen on the ice during the morning skate. Tampa Bay is 6-16 after playing two straight games where seven or more total goals were scored this season while the Stars are 16-7 in their last 23 games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. 10* (29) Dallas Stars |
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09-26-20 | Florida International v. Liberty -7.5 | Top | 34-36 | Loss | -106 | 47 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. The Flames took to the road as 15-point underdogs and won outright against Western Kentucky, winning the time of possession by almost 10 minutes and the yardage battle by 196 yards without turning the ball over. They have quarterback Malik Willis, who was the Auburn second-string quarterback in 2017 and 2018 so you know he has legit talent. He proved that in his debut rushing for 168 yards, three touchdowns while also completing 13 of 21 passes for 133 yards. The Liberty offensive line is its under-the-radar weapon. Florida International begins its season finally and it will be looking for young inexperienced players to continue its recent success under head coach Butch Davis. Quarterback James Morgan and cornerback Stanley Thomas-Oliver were drafted in the fourth and seventh round of the 2020 NFL Draft, respectively. Thomas-Oliver and Sage Lewis were selected as second-team All-C-USA for the 2019 season. The Panthers did not have any spring practices, so it might be tough to keep up with Willis and the Flames who have a game under their belt. Here, we play on favorites of a touchdown or more in their second game of the season coming off a win as a double-digit underdog. This situation is 11-5 ATS since 1996. 10* (442) Liberty Flames |
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09-25-20 | Heat v. Celtics -3 | Top | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Boston is officially in must win mode now as it trails three games to one in the Eastern Conference Finals after a three-point loss in Game Four. The three losses have come by an average of 3.7 ppg so this series has been closer than the deficit shows. Taking care of the ball has been the big issue for the Celtics as they are averaging 15.8 turnovers per game in the Conference Finals compared to the Heat's 10.5 turnovers per game. They lost the turnover battle 19-8 in Game Four yet were still in it so that is a huge factor tonight. They also need to get Jayson Tatum involved early as he could not get anything to fall in the first half of Game Four, heading into halftime with zero points on 0-for-6 shooting from the field and 0-for-4 from three-point range. Miami got a huge game from Tyler Herro who scored 37 points to save the game for Miami and we do not expect anything like that again. The Celtics have had eight winning streaks of three or more games this season, including the playoffs. Winning a few games in a row is more than doable for a third-seed and it starts tonight. The Celtics are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. 10* (716) Boston Celtics |
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09-25-20 | Lightning v. Stars +141 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Stars trail 2-1 in this series following a 5-2 loss on Wednesday and their 1-0 series lead has vanished into what is now a must win situation. Dallas has found itself in trouble all too often, lacking discipline, and it paid the price in each of the last two games. On the flip side, the Stars have been as good as the Lightning during most of the five-on-five play, but miscues and penalties have derailed their hopes. The first and third Tampa goals were scored following Dallas turnovers. The fourth was scored on perhaps the most hapless line change of the series. Dallas goalie Anton Khudobin coughed up five goals on 29 shots, and all of the big guns scored for the Lightning, including C Steven Stamkos, who made his playoff debut, albeit briefly. Tighten up and the Stars are back in the series and it has to be this game. Dallas is 16-7 ATS revenging a loss of two goals or more this season. 10* (28) Dallas Stars |
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09-25-20 | Astros -174 v. Rangers | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -174 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Houston needs one win over the weekend to clinch a playoff spot. The Astros opened tis series with a 12-4 win over the Rangers last night as the offense exploded for the first time in a while. Jose Urquidy has a 2.78 ERA on the season, and he has posted three consecutive quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA during that stretch with 10 strikeouts against five walks and a .490 OPS allowed over 19 innings. The Rangers have been out of it for a while now and they own the worst record in the American League at 19-38. This will mark the fifth start and eighth appearance of the season for Kyle Cody, who limited the Astros to one run on four hits and two walks with one strikeout over three innings on Sept. 15. He has been pretty solid, but he does not go deep in games which is bad with the Rangers bullpen possessing a 4.72 ERA. Here, we play against American League underdogs of +150 or more with a team batting average of .260 or worse after allowing seven runs or more three straight games. This situation is 54-8 (87.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (913) Houston Astros |
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09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA -6.5 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA Roadrunners for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. UTSA is off to a 2-0 start and while the schedule has not been tough, confidence goes a long way. The Roadrunners have outgained opponents by an average of 89.5 ypg and they get another great matchup here on Friday night where they have edges on both sides of the ball. While they have been outpassed in both games, the running game has been tough to defend. Middle Tennessee St. returned just five starters on defense and it is showing as the Blue Raiders are dead last in both yards allowed and points allowed per game. They were outgained by 184 yards against Army and 255 yards against Troy last week. The big issue has been the run defense as they are allowing 290.0 ypg and this is another horrible matchup as UTSA is averaging 282.5 ypg with is seventh in the country. The offense is not much better as they are also dead last in total yards and points scored and the opposition has not been overwhelming. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in five consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* 456) UTSA Roadrunners |
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09-24-20 | Lakers -6 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Game of the Year. Denver won Game Three as it withstood a late Lakers run to get back into the series. After an easy series opening win, Los Angeles has not looked nearly as good and could very well be down 2-1 if not for the Anthony Davis buzzer-beater in Game Two. The Nuggets outrebounded the Lakers (35-21) because of hustle. And the Lakers committed 16 turnovers and 21 fouls because of sloppiness. They were able to cut the lead to three points, but the Lakers made only one out of seven shots in the final 6:07. Now it is time for the best team in the league with the best player to step up. LeBron James did have a triple-double but his play down the stretch was erratic as he had a team high six turnovers. Just like the Jazz and Clippers before them, the Lakers played against the Nuggets as if they would coast to a win. As the Jazz and the Clippers already experienced, the Lakers were then proven wrong. The Lakers are 20-7 ATS after having won three of their last four games this season while the Nuggets are 4-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games this season. 10* (709) Los Angeles Lakers |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We like what we have seen out of Miami as it fought hard in two divisional losses. This is a team on the rise, and this is its first winnable game of the season and quite frankly, should not be an underdog here. These teams are even in the power rankings and the three points assigned for home field advantage is overinflated since the stadium will seat only 14,000 fans and this is one of the worst home field advantages anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his career as an underdog coming off consecutive losses. The Jaguars can be considered impressive as well, but it is a bit misleading. They defeated the Colts in the season opener, but they were outgained by 204 total yards. It was a narrow loss last week against Tennessee, but it was more the Titans letting the foot off the gas as they had a 30-17 lead after three quarters but allowed Jacksonville to sneak back in it. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Miami Dolphins |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We like what we have seem from South Alabama thus far as we won with them in their opener against Southern Mississippi and then lost by just three points against Tulane. There are some new faces from the squad that got slaughtered by UAB last season, and maybe that is a good thing. Chance Lovertich will take over at quarterback and he has played in both games this season, completing 20 of 32 passes for 311 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. The Jaguars have a solid running back in Carlos Davis who is averaging 5.4 ypc to go along with a veteran offensive line. The Blazers will also start a new quarterback on Thursday in redshirt freshman Bryson Lucero, who replaces the injured Tyler Johnston, out indefinitely with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. The defensive line for the Blazers has shown susceptibility against the run as the rebuilt defensive line has yet to get it going. Here, we play on teams off a home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (418) South Alabama Jaguars |
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Boston bounced back from losing the first two games of this series with a resounding 117-106 win that was not as close as that score indicates as the Celtics led by as many as 20 points and Miami never had the lead. The problem here is that Game Three was on Saturday and with three days off, any momentum gain has been lost with the time off. The Heat are insisting that there will be more urgency at the beginning as first quarters have been their problem. In the 36 minutes of first-period action against the Celtics, the Heat have led roughly one-sixth of the time. Boston has won the first quarters by a combined score of 88-68, shooting 54% percent to 32 percent for Miami. From the start, we have said that top to bottom, Miami has the best roster in the NBA and that will make a difference in a rebound win. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 outscoring their opponents by six or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (714) Miami Heat |
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09-23-20 | Lightning -150 v. Stars | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Tampa Bay avoided a 2-0 hole in this series as it won on Monday 3-2, jumping out to a 3-0 lead in the first period before hanging on. Tampa Bay recorded its sixth straight game of outshooting its opponent and its fifth straight game of allowing fewer than 30 shots. The Lightning are just 3-3 over this stretch as the power play was a letdown, going 0-14 during a four-game stretch prior to converting two of four opportunities on Monday. While the goalies are most important during the postseason, and rightfully so, the Lightning have the best player on the ice in Nikita Kucherov. He set the franchise record for most points in a single postseason (28), and in Game Two, the Lightning had a ridiculous 1.26-to-0.02 expected goals ratio with Kucherov on the ice, according to Natural Stat Trick. Here, we play on teams against the money line in the second half of the season with a goalie with a save percentage of 91.5 percent or better and the offense having five straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. This situation is 196-118 (62.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (25) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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09-23-20 | Cardinals -125 v. Royals | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We won with St. Louis last night and we will be backing the Cardinals again tonight in what is another big game. They are a game over .500 and are sitting in second place in the National League Central which is an automatic playoff spot this season. St. Louis is a game ahead of Milwaukee and they will play a four-game series which will determine who moves into the postseason and who could likely be left out. Carlos Martinez allowed five runs, though only one was earned, in his last start against Pittsburgh. He will be facing the Royals for the first time this season. For his career, he is 1-0 with a 1.02 ERA against Kansas City, allowing two earned runs on 16 hits in 17.2 innings. Danny Duffy counters for the Royals and he has been hit or miss this season. He has really struggled of late with a 7.04 ERA and 1.89 WHIP over his last three starts, covering just 15.1 innings. Here, we play on road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 batting .190 or worse over their last five games, with a bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.00 the last five games. This situation is 53-16 (76.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (925) St. Louis Cardinals |
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09-22-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Lakers stole Game Two away from Denver as Anthony Davis hit a game-winning three-pointer at the buzzer to give Los Angeles a 2-0 series lead in the Western Conference Finals. While Denver could have won the game, two things took away an even better chance as the Nuggets hit just 3 of their 13 attempts from three in second half and missed eight free throws on the night. That was a huge, missed opportunity and the Lakers, as we have seen in this postseason, take advantage of these situations of busting out after a close game or a loss. Here, we play against underdogs off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 70-21 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (707) Los Angeles Lakers |
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09-22-20 | Cardinals -110 v. Royals | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. St. Louis lost the opener of this series 4-1 on Monday which snapped a four-game winning streak. The Cardinals are a game over .500 and are one of three teams vying for two playoff spots and those teams are separated by just one game so every game is huge in this final week of the regular season. They have been able to adjust as the Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven games during Game Two of a series. The Royals are 10 games under .500 and are just playing out the season meaning a lot of young players are getting looks. The Royals are 2-6 in their last eight Interleague games against teams with a winning record. Austin Gomber gets the ball for St. Louis and he has been solid with a 2.37 ERA over 19 innings which includes two starts. He likely will not go deep but will hand off to a St. Louis bullpen that has been solid of late. Brady Singer is coming off a pair of impressive starts, but he has a 6.75 ERA in three home starts. 10* (969) St. Louis Cardinals |
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09-21-20 | Astros -134 v. Mariners | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Houston is coming off a 4-2 homestand including wins in two straight games to pretty much lock up a playoff spot. The Mariners are four games behind the Astros for second place in the American League West. Since the Astros already have clinched the season series against Seattle it is actually a five-game deficit as Houston owns the tiebreaker. Houston is 24-2 over the last 26 meetings and it send Lance McCullers to the hill to get a playoff clinching win here. He is coming off a great outing where he allowed no runs on two hits and no walks over seven innings. He is 7-2 with a 2.95 ERA in 13 career starts against Seattle. Marco Gonzales counters for the Mariners and he is coming off a rough outing where he allowed five runs in six innings where he allowed two home runs. He has struggled against the Astros, going 0-5 with a 7.22 ERA in eight career appearances, including seven starts. Here, we play against underdogs with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse and batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. This situation is 63-14 81.8 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (919) Houston Astros |
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