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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-17-16 | Oklahoma -4.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
We lost a tough one on Saturday with Oklahoma as it was unable to shoot the ball early in the game as the Sooners shot just 26.7 percent from the floor but still trailed by only eight points. They were unable to pull away in the second half however and could not avenge the triple overtime defeat in the first meeting. Now it is time to regroup and bounce back on the road to keep pace in the Big XII and while catching the Jayhawks is going to be a challenge, grabbing second place is important as well. Oklahoma has rebounded with a victory following its first three losses this yet the Red Raiders will be no easy out. They are riding a two-game winning streak, both coming as underdogs against Iowa St. and Baylor, the latter coming by 18 points on the road so it was a massive upset on Saturday. It has been an up and down season for Texas Tech as it is now just 5-7 in the conference and while it is 11-3 at home, it is 1-3 both straight up and against the number as a home underdog. The Red Raiders will be out to avenge a 24-point loss in Norman earlier this season but the talent is not there to get it done in this spot with the Sooners expected to be completely focused after Saturday. 10* (735) Oklahoma Sooners |
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02-17-16 | Northern Iowa v. Loyola-Chicago +3.5 | Top | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Winning games in the Missouri Valley Conference rarely provoke a letdown situation but when the win comes against Wichita St., that is the rare occasion where the situation can take place. Northern Iowa took out the Shockers on Saturday as a 14.5-point underdog on the road no less which snapped a 43-game home winning streak. The Panthers have now won six straight games to improve to 8-6 after a dreadful 2-6 start in the MVC and they have also covered all six of those games on top of it. Loyola-Chicago opened the conference season with five consecutive losses but has been playing a lot better since then, going 5-4 over their last nine games and the only bad loss over that stretch came at Wichita St. The Ramblers lost by a point at home against Evansville in their last game and they have gone a perfect 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. They have been horrid as favorites this season but are a perfect 3-0 ATS as home underdogs. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ramblers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (730) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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02-17-16 | Massachusetts v. Fordham -2.5 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
We played against Massachusetts on Sunday but the Minutemen were able to make a big second half run and take out Duquesne in overtime. That was the second straight victory as a significant underdog, the first coming against VCU as an 11-point underdog. Now they head to the Bronx to take on Fordham and this will be a tough one to get up for based on the recent upsets and the quality of the opponent. Fordham got off to a great start this season as it opened at 9-1 before things started going downhill quickly. The Rams have dropped 10 of their last 13 games and while that run is not good, they have defeated the teams they were supposed to and have been playing better of late. Fordham has been favored just twice of this 13-game stretch and won both of those games and its last two losses were by just four points each against St. Bonaventure and Richmond. The other victory over this stretch came against Massachusetts on the road but we will not buy into the road revenge here based on the situation. The Rams are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Minutemen are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (716) Fordham Rams |
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02-16-16 | Iowa State v. Baylor -2.5 | Top | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 32 h 30 m | Show |
Baylor was cruising along with a 6-2 record in the Big XII with the only losses coming against Oklahoma and Kansas but the Bears have hit a mini slump as they have dropped three of their last four games. This includes an uncalled for home loss against Texas Tech by 18 points on Saturday as a 10-point favorite but that puts them in a great bounce back spot on Tuesday. They have covered only once in their last seven games and because of that, we are getting a very manageable number here. Baylor is still 14-3 at home despite a pair of consecutive losses at the Ferrell Center. Iowa St. has seen its season take a turn for the worst as well as it has gone 2-3 in its last five games that also includes a loss against Texas Tech. The Cyclones are coming off a win at home over Texas and while they will be out to avenge a home loss against Baylor back on January 9th, road revenge is not a great angle here. Their three conference road wins have come against Kansas St., TCU and Oklahoma St., which are 3-9, 2-10 and 3-9 respectively in the Big XII. After this, Baylor has Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma and West Virginia in its last five games which makes this a huge must win contest. 10* (550) Baylor Bears |
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02-16-16 | Richmond v. Davidson -2.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
A pair of middle of the pack teams in the Atlantic Ten square off on Tuesday with conference tournament seeding the main focus right now. Davidson and Richmond are both 6-6 and it is the Wildcats that have the significant edge tonight based on the home court advantage. They are 12-1 at home with the lone loss coming against VCU at the end of January and while there are not many quality home wins, this has always been one of the toughest environments in the country. Davidson is coming off a road loss but it is 6-2 this season following a defeat. Richmond owns a very solid road win over George Washington in overtime but its other two conference road wins were at Fordham and St. Louis, both of which are 3-9 in the Atlantic Ten. The Spiders other three wins are not any more impressive even though they were at home as those came against Fordham, LaSalle and Massachusetts with the Minutemen being the best of the bunch at 4-8. The Wildcats won the first meeting this season on the road and going back, the Spiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. We will lay the short number as Davidson bolsters its postseason hopes with a big victory. 10* (504) Davidson Wildcats |
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02-16-16 | Creighton v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
We played against Butler Saturday and it got trounced at home to Xavier and the Bulldogs are now a surprising 6-7 in the Big East. It is surprising as they came into the season picked to finish second behind Villanova and after an 11-1 start, the Bulldogs were on pace. But an erratic start in the conference has led to inconsistency throughout and they have struggled against the top teams. Six of seven losses have come against teams that are in fifth place or better including a loss at Creighton in the first meeting which sets up a revenge situation in the rematch. The Bluejays have been fairly inconsistent as well but they come in riding a three-game winning streak including a road win at Marquette on Saturday. For the most part though, the road has not been kind as Creighton is 4-5 on the highway with three of those victories coming against the three worst teams in the Big East. The Bluejays have been the opposite of surprise as they were picked to finish dead last in the conference and are in a very bad spot here against a team in desperate need of a quality victory. Butler still has a better RPI but is on the NCAA Tournament bubble as one of the first four teams out. 10* (516) Butler Bulldogs |
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02-15-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 143.5 | Top | 67-94 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
We are going contrarian with this total as we are getting exceptional value based on recent results from both sides. Oklahoma St. has gone under the total in 14 of 23 games this season including its last six games. The Cowboys do not push the ball as they are ranked near the bottom of Division I in possessions per game but the opposition has played a role in that as they have faced teams ranked 179th, 142nd, 227th and 271st of late while Kansas comes in ranked 113th in pace. The Jayhawks have gone under the total in 15 of 23 games this season including its last four games. They are coming off a game against fast paced Oklahoma and that game likely would have gone over if the Sooners did not shoot so horribly in the first half. Going back further, Kansas has gone under in nine of its last 10 conference games and the only one that went over was the first meeting at Oklahoma St. With Kansas getting blown out there, it will be up to return the favor so pushing the ball here is very likely and the Jayhawks score a ton here anyway, averaging 87.3 ppg at home including 85.6 ppg in conference games. The over is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the over is 9-3 in the Jayhawks last 12 Monday games. 10* Over (707) Oklahoma St. Cowboys/(708) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-15-16 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Green Bay -1.5 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Green Bay was unable to make it through a five-game roadtrip by winning its final road game as it lost at Oakland by 18 points on Saturday and now it is up to Milwaukee to try and end a roadtrip with a victory. I do not see it happening here either. The Panthers are playing their fifth straight road game after losing at Detroit on Saturday and this trek is over a span of just 12 days. While the travel is not far as teams are congested pretty tight in this conference, it still takes its toll. Green Bay has to be glad to be back home as it has been a tough schedule thus far as it has played 17 road contests this season, the second most road games of any Division I school in the nation, behind only IUPUI which has played 18 games. The Phoenix are 7-2 at home including a 3-1 record in the Horizon League and this marks the first of five straight home games to end the season. Milwaukee has been decent on the road with a 7-5 record but it is just 1-3 on this current trip as fatigue can be playing a big factor. The Phoenix will be playing with revenge after suffering a tough one-point loss in Milwaukee against their rival and going back, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (706) Green Bay Phoenix |
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02-14-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Florida State | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Florida St. and Syracuse played a big game on Thursday which was considered a must win for both as far as NCAA Tournament aspirations go and after a blowout loss, the Seminoles are one of the last four teams out in the tourney. A win here can change that however as Florida St. is in need of another quality win as wins over VCU, Florida, Virginia and Clemson show what they are capable of but could still use to add to it. Miami has been consistent all season as it now trails North Carolina by just one game following its third straight victory on Tuesday over Pittsburgh. While they have dominated at home, the Hurricanes are just 4-3 on the road and while that is considered decent, the last three road wins have come against Georgia Tech, Boston College and LaSalle, which are 3-9, 0-11 and 1-11 in their conferences respectively. Florida St. is playing for payback following a 13-point road loss last month and it has the talent to get it done and at a great price. The Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record while Florida St. is 7-3-1 ATS following an ATS loss. 10* (860) Florida St. Seminoles |
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02-14-16 | Massachusetts v. Duquesne -7 | Top | 108-99 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Duquesne is in the middle of the pack in the Atlantic Ten and a win today gets it back to .500 and into a tie for sixth place. The Dukes remaining schedule is not very easy so this is a must win game and they are coming off in a great effort at Dayton where they lost by just a bucket. Half of their conference losses have come against Dayton and VCU which are a combined 21-3 and they have beaten the teams they should have beaten with a swing game against Davidson being the exception. The good news is there will be no letdown from that Dayton loss as it was back on Tuesday as we find Massachusetts in a horrible spot coming off an upset win over VCU on Thursday. The Minutemen have struggled all season as they are just 10-13 including a 3-8 conference record. They are 1-4 on the road with the lone victory coming at 1-11 LaSalle which happened to be their first conference game of the season. The Dukes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Minutemen are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. 10* (850) Duquesne Dukes |
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02-14-16 | Indiana v. Michigan State -7 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Depending on the line, which did a complete 180, Michigan St. covered its fifth straight game based on the closing number although it was favored for a good portion of the time at Purdue. The Spartans rallied from a huge deficit only to lose in overtime but now they head back home with a 7-5 record in the Big Ten which is good for just eighth place despite the Spartans coming into the week ranked No. 8 in the nation. They are 10-2 at home, losing to Iowa and Nebraska in consecutive home games which was part of their three-game January skid. Indiana is coming off a huge win over Iowa on Thursday and thanks to the Maryland loss on Saturday, the Hoosiers are now tied with the Hawkeyes for first place in the Big Ten. That was the first real quality win as Indiana has played a pretty tame schedule within the conference. They are 4-3 on the road and while a win at Michigan was solid, a loss at Penn St. was dreadful. Indiana leads the all-time series but Michigan St. has won 10 of the last 13 meetings and under head coach Tom Izzo, the Spartans are 16-1 at home against the Hoosiers. 10* (844) Michigan St. Spartans |
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02-13-16 | Pepperdine v. Pacific +4 | Top | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on PACIFIC for our Saturday Enforcer. The West Coast Conference has been unpredictable at times with a few major upsets along the way but what has held true is the fact that letdowns continue to come into play. That is the case here with Pepperdine which has been all over the place and is coming off a road upset win at St. Marys on Thursday. This is the second time this season the Waves have defeated the Gaels, which only have three conference losses, and Pepperdine followed up that first one with a loss at Santa Clara next time out. Pacific has been a disappointment this season as it is just 5-8 in the WCC and showing how inconsistent it has been, the Tigers lost at lowly San Diego last Thursday only to win at BYU on Saturday. They catch Pepperdine at a perfect time and it is also a game the Tigers will be highly motivated for. They lost against Loyola-Marymount on Thursday at home and will be out to snap a three-game home losing streak while also out for payback from a loss in Pepperdine last month. Going back, the Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (662) Pacific Tigers |
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02-13-16 | Texas v. Iowa State -6 | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on IOWA ST. for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The Cyclones are coming off a tough overtime loss at Texas Tech and the losses are starting to pile up. Iowa St. has now dropped three of its last four games and what was once thought of as a possible No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, the Cyclones are getting to the verge of falling out of the No. 4 slot. This is a huge game as running the table at home is necessary with road games at Baylor, West Virginia and Kansas remaining. Texas is making a move despite a loss last time out. The Longhorns were on a 7-1 run before losing at Oklahoma on Monday but it was a tough defeat and they have now covered seven straight games which is adding value to the home side. The Cyclones have five losses in the Big XII and they have all been close as they have all been by five points or less, with two of those coming in overtime. One of those overtime losses was at Texas in mid-January so payback will also be in play tonight. The Cyclones have covered five of their last seven conference games10* (504) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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02-13-16 | Fresno State v. Nevada -4 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on NEVADA for our MWC Game of the Year. While this is a play on Nevada, this is a very strong play in going against Fresno St. The Wolf Pack are 6-5 in the MWC following a victory over Air Force on Wednesday at home and this is just the second time this season they have played back-to-back conference home games. The first time it resulted in a loss following a win but that came against San Diego St. Nevada is 8-2 at home and will be out to avenge a 22-point loss against the bulldogs last month, easily its worst MWC loss of the season. Fresno St. is a game better in the standings following a pair of wins at home and it is because of those wins that makes this a great go against spot. The Bulldogs defeated UNLV as a home underdog and followed that up with another home dog win, this one against San Diego St., the first conference loss for the Aztecs this season. The letdown and revenge factors are huge here and adding to that, the Bulldogs are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (620) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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02-13-16 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Detroit +1 | Top | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
The Horizon League is turning into a runaway by Valparaiso after the two teams on its tail lost on Thursday so now it is about seeding position for the upcoming conference tournament. Milwaukee took out Oakland on the road which at the time was a game and a half back and it kept the Panthers in a tie for fourth place. That was by far their best road conference win as the others came against Youngstown St., Cleveland St. and Illinois-Chicago which are the three worst teams in the conference and a combined 8-28. This is now the fourth straight road game for Milwaukee as Detroit looks to bounce back from a tough one-point loss against Green Bay on Thursday. That snapped a three-game winning streak for the Titans which can pull back to within a game of fourth place with a victory here and a loss by the Phoenix. The Schedule is a tough one and this marks the final home game of the season for Detroit, a rarity for any team this early in the season but a great spot to play on. 10* (552) Detroit Titans |
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02-13-16 | Xavier +2 v. Butler | Top | 74-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Xavier is coming off a loss at Creighton on Tuesday which snapped a five-game winning streak and this has turned into a must win situation. The Musketeers are now 9-3 in the Big East which puts them two games behind Villanova with a meeting left after losing the first one to the Wildcats. Xavier is still a very solid 6-2 on the road which includes quality wins against Michigan and Providence and while this is no easy place to win for visitors coming in, the Musketeers has what it takes. Butler is riding a three-game winning streak including a pair of road wins in its last two games and on the season, the Bulldogs are 10-2 at home. However, they do not have a quality home win to speak of as the best victory is against Georgetown while the two teams better than that, Villanova and Providence, resulted in losses. This is a revenge game for Butler but it just doesn’t have what it takes in this matchup. 10* (541) Xavier Musketeers |
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02-13-16 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -3.5 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Oklahoma and Kansas meet for the second time this season with the Sooners looking to even the score following a thrilling three-overtime loss in Lawrence last month. Kansas had a lackluster run after that victory as it went just 3-3 with all three losses coming on the road and by double-digits. The Jayhawks have since won and covered four straight games but only one of those was on the road and that was at 2-9 TCU and their only other road conference win came at 4-7 Texas Tech. Oklahoma has been getting by with a lot of close conference wins this season, four by three points or less, but that is what makes a good team great. The Sooners are perfect at home with a 12-0 record and going back to last season, they have won 19 consecutive games inside the Lloyd Noble Center. I think we are getting a very reasonable number her based on the current Kansas run and the fact that Oklahoma is on a 4-10 ATS slide. 10* (524) Oklahoma Sooners |
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02-13-16 | Georgetown v. Providence -3.5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on PROVIDENCE for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. We lost with Providence on Wednesday as it lost in double-overtime at Marquette. It was the third straight loss for the Friars which were at a disadvantage with point guard Kris Dunn not seeing the floor in the second overtime after following out. They are now just 6-6 in the Big East after expecting to make a run at Villanova and while making the NCAA Tournament is very likely, this team needs to right the ship in a hurry with difficult road games at Xavier and Seton Hall up next. Georgetown has been fairly inconsistent as well and while it owns an impressive road win at Xavier, four of its seven conference wins have come against St. Johns and DePaul which are 0-12 and 2-10 in the conference respectively. After a 9-0 start at home, Providence has lost four of its last five home games including two straight against Xavier and Villanova but going back, the Friars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, the Hoyas are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (506) Providence Friars |
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02-12-16 | Dayton -1.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
We played on California last night in a similar situation as this one where we have a ranked road team as a slight favorite over an unranked home team. The difference here though is Rhode Island does not have close to the same home court advantage as the Golden Bears do so defending it in this spot will be difficult. The Rams are off to a 6-5 start within the Atlantic Ten and while they are 1-4 on the road and 5-1 at home, it is a bit skewed. Those five home victories came against teams with records of 14-41 combined and none of which possess a winning conference record. On top of that, the lone road win was against 1-10 LaSalle. Granted, LaSalle is the only team to defeat Dayton in the Atlantic Ten but we can chalk that one up as an anomaly. The Flyers have won eight straight games since then and while this will be no easy task, they are the better team by a significant amount. Dayton is the only team in the conference with a winning record against top 50 teams while Rhode Island is 0-5 against those teams. The Flyers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record while the Rams are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (859) Dayton Flyers |
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02-11-16 | Oregon v. California +1.5 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Oregon has come out of nowhere this season as they entered the season unranked and are now up to No. 11 in the country thanks to six straight wins in the Pac 12. This includes impressive victories over Utah, Colorado, Arizona and USC and along with the straight up wins, the Ducks have covered all of those games as well. They lead the conference with a 9-2 record which is a game and a half ahead of USC but they are 3-3 on the highway and despite the recent win at Arizona, I do not think Oregon should be favored here. California has been a major disappointment this season despite a 15-8 overall record as it is 5-5 in the Pac 12 but that comes down to where the Golden Bears play. They are 5-0 at home and 0-5 on the road but that latter record could be better as all of those losses have been by single digits and those were against teams with combined home records of 58-9. Overall, California is 14-0 at home and took out Arizona in its only game as a home underdog this season. The Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last six games following a win while going 6-1 ATS in their last six home games and are in an excellent spot to get back over .500 in conference play. 10* (754) California Golden Bears |
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02-11-16 | Iowa v. Indiana -1.5 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
The college basketball season always brings big surprises in the major conferences and in this case, it is also one of the bigger surprises in the entire nation. Iowa came into the season unranked, receiving only six AP votes, and picked to finish eighth in the Big Ten by Blue Ribbon but the Hawkeyes are now leading the conference with a 10-1 record and have vaulted all the way to No. 4 in the country. It has been a very impressive run with numerous quality victories but the recent run of three straight victories does not include any and this is not an ideal situation tonight. Indiana once led the conference with a 7-0 record but it is just 2-2 over its last four games with both losses coming on the road by a combined eight points, one taking place in overtime. The most recent loss at Penn St. was uncalled for but it came right after a huge upset at Michigan so the letdown spot was in play for sure. Indiana remains perfect at home with a 13-0 record and since 2011-12, the Hoosiers are 77-11 at home. Some will consider the Hoosiers schedule being soft thus far, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (756) Indiana Hoosiers |
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02-11-16 | Wizards v. Bucks -1 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
Milwaukee is coming off a solid but what might be considered fortunate win over the Celtics on Tuesday as the Bucks blew a 19-point lead in the final quarter but won in the final second to snap a five-game losing skid. Milwaukee is still a disappointing 11 games under .500 but the issues have been on the road where it is 7-24 compared to being 14-8 at home. You can see a nine-game difference there so the schedule has not been on the Bucks side and because of this, they have played the toughest schedule in the Eastern Conference. The Wizards are coming off a victory against the Knicks in their last game on the road despite getting outshot but the difference was their 16 made three-pointers compared to just eight for New York. Washington is now a game over .500 on the road which is a reason the line is as low as it is. But stringing together consecutive wins has been a problem of late as the Wizards are 0-4 in their last four games following a win while going 3-7 in road games following a win in their last road game. Additionally, the Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game while the Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (704) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-11-16 | UTEP v. Florida International -4 | Top | 84-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Conference USA is basically a three-team race right now but there are seven teams that are separated by just two games for the all-important fourth place position which comes with a first round bye in the C-USA Tournament. Both of these teams are in that mix with UTEP and Florida International sitting at 5-6, coming into these records from different directions. UTEP has won two straight games at home over Marshall and Western Kentucky but those were by a combined eight points, one coming in overtime. On the season, the host is 10-1 in Miners games, the lone home team not winning was UTEP losing at home against Florida International. That sets up a revenge spot for the Miners but that is tossed out considering they are 0-7on the road this season. The Golden Panthers have lost four straight games, the last three coming against the top three teams in the conference based on power ratings. They are coming off road losses at UAB and Middle Tennessee which are a combined 19-3 but those defeats were by only six points combined. The Miners are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record while the Golden Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. 10* (726) Florida International Golden Panthers |
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02-10-16 | Baylor v. Kansas State | Top | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
The Big XII has been one of the most competitive conference in the nation and they lead the country with six teams ranked in the top 25. Those six teams are all within two games of each other and one of those is Baylor which is two games behind West Virginia for first place. The Bears are 6-4 in the conference no thanks to a pair of losses in their last two games including one against West Virginia. All four losses have come against those ranked teams A win at Iowa St. is the lone conference win over a ranked Big XII opponent but it is 5-0 against unranked foes and that is where Kansas St. falls. We won on the Wildcats Saturday as they upset Oklahoma at home which presents a great letdown opportunity here to fade them. Kansas St. is just 3-7 in the conference with all seven losses coming against ranked teams, including a loss at Baylor last month in overtime. That actually helps here as the closeness of the game will have the Bears taking no chances at a lookahead especially with 3-7 Texas Tech on deck. Baylor has gone six straight games without a cover and that is giving us contrarian value here as the Bears should be marginally favored. 10* (555) Baylor Bears |
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02-10-16 | Jazz v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
While Golden St. remains the hottest team in the NBA with ten straight victories, the second hottest team may come as a surprise as it is the Utah Jazz following their seventh consecutive victory last night against Dallas in overtime. The Jazz have won three straight games on the road, two of those coming against Phoenix and Brooklyn, both of which are 14-39, but they have won only nine games on the highway the entire season. To their credit, they are now over .500 for the first time since being 8-7 in late November but coming off a tough battle last night makes tonight's game a tough challenge. New Orleans has had a tough season but it is 14-14 following a brutal 5-18 start so the latter part of the first half has been a lot better. The Pelicans are coming off a win at Minnesota last time out and they return to New Orleans on a 6-3 run to move over .500 on the season at home. The Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Pelicans have covered five straight against Northwest Division teams. 10* (516) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-10-16 | Grizzlies -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
We lost with Memphis on Monday as the Grizzles fell in overtime against Portland which was their second straight loss in overtime. Tonight presents a great opportunity to bounce back from that to avoid three straight losses going into the All Star break and also evade their first three-game losing streak since November. Since then, Memphis is 12-4 following its last 16 losses while going 4-0 in its last four games following consecutive losses. Brooklyn picked up a rare win on Monday as it won in the final seconds against Denver and that was just its 14th win of the season. The Nets have won two straight games at home but have won here only 10 times all season long and winning consecutive games has been a challenge as they are 2-11 following a victory. They have won only nine of 28 games as home underdogs but of those nine wins, only three of those have been against teams with a winning record. The Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win while the Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (509) Memphis Grizzles |
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02-10-16 | Kings -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a very odd situation for Sacramento as reports surfaced that head coach George Karl was going to be fired and yesterday those rumors were rescinded and Karl will remain with the team. Changes within the coaching policies and leadership will be taking place and this is a really big game for the Kings that need a victory before heading into the All Star break as they have dropped four straight games and eight of their last nine. Back-to-back losses against Boston and Cleveland was not surprising but a loss here against the lowly Sixers will put them in a bad spot heading into their off time. Philadelphia is coming off a loss against the Clippers in overtime in their last game and was able to grab its second straight cover. The Sixers are 3-4 in their last seven home games and have covered seven of their last nine games here but that is keeping this number within reason. There should be some extra motivation for the Kings as they surrendered one of the three Philadelphia road wins this season and certainly that is game they have not forgotten. 10* (503) Sacramento Kings |
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02-10-16 | St. Joe's v. George Washington -2.5 | Top | 84-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
Right now the Atlantic Ten is controlled by two teams, VCU and Dayton, which are both 9-1 in the conference but three other teams remain in the hunt and two of those square off here. St. Josephs is in third place at 8-2 and it surprisingly has been a lot better on the road than at home. The Hawks are just 3-2 on their home floor but a perfect 5-0 on the road and those goes to 8-0 when taking into account nonconference games. The five Atlantic Ten road wins however are all against teams that are .500 or worse so this will be the biggest test to date. George Washington is a game behind the Hawks so it can move into a tie with a victory here. The Colonials are 12-1 at home this season with the lone defeat coming in overtime as they faced a Richmond team that could not miss, hitting 60 percent from the floor including 57.9 percent from long range. They are coming off a huge road win at VCU and while that normally could spell letdown, that will not be the case here with everything at stake. We are catching a great line here because of the Hawks road success and they finally go down on the highway. 10* (536) George Washington Colonials |
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02-10-16 | Providence -1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
It has been a very up and down season for Providence as it has won some games it really should not have while losing some games it has no business losing. This includes a loss during the recent two-game skid at DePaul as the Friars fell by seven points and could not rebound at home against Villanova, the No. 1 ranked team in the country which they actually beat on the road in the first meeting. That loss to DePaul was their first road loss of the season so winning away from home is not an issue and motivation will be high here to not only snap the losing streak but get some payback from a one-point home loss to Marquette last month. The Golden Eagles have been very inconsistent this season as they also have dropped two straight games which came after a three-game winning streak that followed a three-game losing streak. Two of the four Marquette conference wins came against 0-12 St. Johns which makes the road win over Providence that much more surprising. The Golden Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Friars are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (545) Providence Friars |
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02-09-16 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State +1 | Top | 46-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
Arkansas is in the rare role of a road favorite which is a little too aggressive in this spot. The Razorbacks have won three of their last four games to move to 5-5 in the SEC, good for a seventh place tie. The venue has had a lot to do with wins and losses as they are 4-1 at home and 1-4 on the road and on the entire season not counting neutral court games, the host is 17-3 in Arkansas games. The Razorbacks have covered four straight games and that is helping with the value. Mississippi St. is coming off a loss at LSU on Saturday and it too has struggled on the road with a 1-7 record, the lone victory coming at Missouri which is the only team that Arkansas has defeated on the road as well. The Bulldogs are 6-4 at home including just a 1-3 record in the conference but those three losses came by a total of just eight points while its only other home loss which came in nonconference action was by just four points. This is a revenge game for the Bulldogs which loss in Fayetteville last month by 14 points and they are in good position to avenge that defeat. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss while the Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (752) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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02-09-16 | Spurs v. Heat +7 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
San Antonio begins its annual rodeo roadtrip and the good part is that it is wrapped around the All Star Break so at least there is come break up to it. The Spurs have won four straight games and going back to just after Christmas, their only two losses have come against Golden St. and Cleveland to the run has been pretty outstanding. Going against them here may seem irrational but laying this big of a number to a quality team on the road is a tad aggressive. The Heat lost their last game on Sunday against the Clippers but to their credit, the recent schedule has been brutal. 14 of their last 17 games have been on the road and this is the first time since January 4th and 6th they have been able to remain home for back-to-back games. Miami has won two of three games outright as a home dog, defeating Atlanta and Oklahoma City. The loss home underdog took place in that last game against the Clippers and on the season, the Heat have won 14 of 22 games following a defeat. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game while the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. This is the final game for Miami prior to the break while the Spurs play tomorrow which is a big motivational edge for the Heat. 10* (702) Miami Heat |
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02-09-16 | Wizards v. Knicks -1.5 | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Losses in five straight and nine of their last 10 games was the breaking point for Knicks head coach Derek Fisher who was fired on Monday. Kurt Rambis takes over on an interim basis and this is a great spot to play on New York as teams playing their first game with a new coach tend to pick up the energy level and we should see that tonight at home from the Knicks. They are now 4.5 games out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference but there is confidence from Rambis for a playoff run and it is all about staying healthy. New York is 23-24 with Carmelo Anthony in the lineup and 0-7 without him. Washington is coming off a loss on Saturday against Charlotte and it too has been struggling with losses in eight of its last 11 games including three of four on the road. The Wizards have actually been better on the road than at home as they are 11-11 on the highway but four of those wins came when they were favored. Going back, the Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win. So with a new coach and this being the final game before the break, the Knicks are in an excellent spot to break out of their skid. 10* (704) New York Knicks |
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02-09-16 | Michigan State v. Purdue +1 | Top | 81-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
Michigan St. and Purdue, along with Michigan, are tied for fourth place in the Big Ten at 7-4 but are also just a game out of eighth place so there is not a lot of wiggle room making this big for both sides. The Boilermakers are coming off a loss at Maryland on Saturday which was their third road loss within the conference and coming in, they are 13-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Iowa which sits atop the conference at 10-1. Since the start of last year, Purdue is now 26-4 at home, having won 19 of its last 20 games at Mackey Arena. The Spartans are rolling right now with four straight wins which came after a three-game skid and the outright winner has now covered the last nine games they have played. Michigan St. is 5-2 on the road and while the most recent win at Michigan was impressive, the other wins over Northwestern, Penn St., Minnesota and Northeastern were far from it. There is plenty of motivation for the home side as Purdue has dropped seven straight meetings in this series but this is one of the best Boilermaker teams over this stretch. Going back, the Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss while going 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (718) Purdue Boilermakers |
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02-08-16 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -1.5 | Top | 89-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Clemson returns home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 1-2 to fall into a tie for fifth place in the ACC. This is a wide open conference as heading into Monday, 10 teams have winning records with just 2.5 games separating all of them. The Tigers are 11-2 at home including a perfect 5-0 within the conference, four of which coming as underdogs and all five of those wins were against teams currently ranked in the RPI top 50. Only Kansas, Virginia and Oregon have more wins over teams ranked in the RPI top 50. Notre Dame is coming off an upset win over North Carolina on Saturday to improve to 12-1 at home but is just 3-3 on the road including losses in two straight. This is now a big letdown situation and the Irish have struggled recently, going 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a victory. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The winner of this game moved into solo fifth place in the conference and this is a big one for Clemson as after this, five of its last six games are against teams 2-8 or worse in the conference so this is the first of only two opportunities to add a quality win to the record. 10* (530) Clemson Tigers |
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02-08-16 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 112-106 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Portland shook off a loss against Toronto on Thursday, which snapped a five-game winning streak, as it took care of Houston on Saturday by 17 points. That was the biggest road win of the season for the Blazers and while it was the third time they have won consecutive games on the road, they have yet been unable to make it three straight. Memphis has been on a roll as it has gone 14-5 over its last 19 games and while winning the Southwest Division is not going to happen, the Grizzlies are fifth in the Western Conference. They are coming off a loss against Dallas on Saturday and they have been a great bounceback team this season, going 14-6 following a defeat including going 5-0 over the last five. The Grizzlies have covered 11 of their last 14 games at home while the Blazers are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, the Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (518) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-08-16 | Nuggets v. Nets +2 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
We played against Brooklyn on Saturday as the Nets were a rare underdog against the Sixers. They are now back home in the underdog role for the 28th time this season but this is an overadjusted line based on what Denver has done lately. The Nuggets have been playing better after a brutal start to the season as they have covered 13 of their last 15 games but most of those games have been at home and in the five road games, they have been the underdog. This includes a game yesterday against the Knicks which they won by five points but they are still six games under .500 on the highway and this marks just the second time they have been favored on the road. Denver has not won consecutive road games since mid-December as it is 0-5 since then and this is not the ideal spot to break that coming off a game just yesterday afternoon. The Nets took care of Sacramento in their last home game and this is just the third losing team to visit Brooklyn in a month. 10* (510) Brooklyn Nets |
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02-08-16 | Bulls +6 v. Hornets | Top | 91-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The Bulls conclude their roadtrip tonight with no chance to make it a winning one but are in need of a victory here. Chicago is 2-4 through the first six game of this trek and the latest defeat was a tough one against Minnesota the Timberwolves closed the game on a 12-0 run in the final 2:55 to deal the Bulls a 112-105 defeat. They are getting a pretty big number against a team that rarely wins big but it is due to the absence of Jimmy Butler, which is big for Chicago but Derrick Rose has picked up the slack as he is averaging 19.5 ppg and 9.5 apg in the two games with Butler out. The Hornets took out Washington on Saturday to make it three wins in their last four games but this is a team that cannot be trusted laying this number, the biggest they have been favored by since November. Charlotte is 1-6 ATS this season when favored by five or more points while going 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. 10* (501) Chicago Bulls |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +6 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 249 h 32 m | Show |
Public reaction and recent results are playing a big role in this Super Bowl line which is the case every year considering this is the most wagered on game across all sport by a wide margin. Carolina rolled through the playoffs with very impressive home wins as they destroyed Arizona after jumping up on Seattle 31-0 the previous week. Conversely, Denver escaped with a pair of close wins at home against Pittsburgh and New England so those games alone are going to inflate this line. The Panthers have just one loss this season which is a big reason they are a significant favorite but of course that one loss came away from home and of their seven wins, only one came against a playoff team when they scored a late touchdown to take care of the Seahawks. There is a very interesting dynamic in this game and it is based on recent results and how the linesmakers need to open and move lines based on those results. Since 2004, 15 teams have scored 40 or more points in a playoff game with another playoff game upcoming and the results have not been good for those teams. The team that scored 40 or more points has gone on to lose 9 of the next 15 playoff games outright while going just 2-12-1 ATS. One of those covers came in last year's Super Bowl which was just a yard away from being a different result while the other ATS win came back in 2010 when the Packers defeated the Bears 21-14 in a game where Jay Cutler was lost to injury and Chicago was down to third string quarterback Caleb Hanie. Additionally, of those six outright follow up wins, that Green Bay win was the only one by more than four points. Denver is the 12th team in history to enter the Super Bowl with the top scoring defense in the NFL and 9 of the previous 11 left with an outright victory. Listening to the TV talking heads, many are shocked the line is this low and they are saying this one has the look of the Denver and Seattle Super Bowl from two years ago. That's what we like to hear. 10* (102) Denver Broncos |
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02-07-16 | Houston v. Tulsa -7 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Tulsa is coming off a tough loss against Temple which was its second loss in three games, both coming on the road. The Golden Hurricane are now back home where they are 4-1 this season in AAC action and will be out to bounce back from that loss as well get some payback from a week and a half ago. During the Thursday deflating defeat at Temple, the Golden Hurricane led by as many as 12 points in the second half and was up three before giving up a late three-pointer and ultimately falling in overtime. Houston is coming off an upset win at home over SMU as the Cougars inconsistent season continues. They are now on a three-game winning streak following four straight losses which came after five straight wins. The losing team will have five losses in the American Athletic Conference, putting championship and postseason hopes further out of reach. Tulsa lost in Houston by 15 in the first meeting so there will be no lack of motivation today. The Golden Hurricane are 8-2 ATS as favorites this season while the Cougars are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. 10* (872) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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02-07-16 | Hawks v. Magic +3 | Top | 94-96 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Atlanta is the biggest consensus play of the day by the betting public as 80 percent of the action is behind the Hawks. It is pretty obvious why with Atlanta riding a three game winning streak both straight up and against the number and Orlando currently on a three-game skid. This is where our contrarian rationale comes into play by backing the Magic in the first game of this home-and-hone set that concludes tomorrow night. While the Magic have struggled over an extended period of time as well, the damage was mostly done on the road. 10 of their last 16 games have come on the highway and they went a dismal 1-9 in those games. The Hawks are a game under .500 on the road this season and are just 4-7 over their last 11 with two of those wins coming over the Sixers. Of the 14 teams in the NBA with losing records, Orlando actually has the third best scoring differential at just -1.6 ppg which shows the difference between winning and losing has not been much. Orlando is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog this season while the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (856) Orlando Magic |
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02-06-16 | Colorado +1.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on COLORADO for our Saturday Enforcer. The Pac 12 is as wide open as it has been in years as six teams are separated by just two games for first place. Oregon holds down the top spot and Colorado is one of the three teams that is 6-4 and tied for fourth place following a 20-point loss to the Ducks in Eugene on Thursday. That dropped the Buffaloes to 4-3 on the road which is pretty respectable considering their struggles on the road in the past. They have been a great team on the rebound this season as they have gone 4-1 in their previous five games following a loss. Oregon St. meanwhile is coming off a win over Utah, which snapped a two-game slide and while the Beavers own quality home wins over California, Oregon and USC, they have failed to follow any of those up with a victory next time out. They are playing with revenge from a 17-point loss in Boulder but the situations on both sides completely negate that. Going back, the Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss while the Beavers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (679) Colorado Buffaloes |
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02-06-16 | Nets v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
We are playing on the Sixers here as they are in a pretty good situation coming off a loss last night in Washington. They are in a rare spot as the favorites as this is just the third time all season they have been laying points and it is once again a small number. The first time it resulted in a 12-point win over the Lakers and the second time it was a 10-point win over Phoenix close to two weeks ago. Philadelphia has gone 8-19 ATS this season against winning teams but a solid 14-8 ATS against teams with a losing record. Brooklyn is coming off a rare win as it defeated the Kings last night following five straight losses. While the Sixers have been the laughing stock of the league, the Nets are only 5.5 games better so there is not much of a difference between these two teams especially considering their 4-18 record on the road. Brooklyn is 2-10 this season following a victory while going just 2-7 playing with no rest. The Sixers have covered six of their last eight games following a loss while going 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing record. 10* (510) Philadelphia 76ers |
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02-06-16 | Detroit v. Youngstown State +4 | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
Youngstown St. has dropped two straight games including its last one at home against Oakland by 22 points as the Golden Grizzlies were avenging a home loss to the Penguins last month. Their last four losses have come against 8-3 Oakland, 8-3 Wright St. and 9-1 Valparaiso twice so it has not been an easy stretch but they catch a break on Saturday as they catch Detroit which is just one game better in the Horizon League. The Titans are coming off their first road win of the season after suffering eight consecutive losses away from home. Some of those have been close but overall are getting outscored by nearly 10 ppg. There is revenge in play tonight for Youngstown St. as it lost the first meeting in Detroit this season by nine points and has now dropped five straight meetings with the Titans but this is definitely one of the better spots over that stretch with the prior games and the fact that the Penguins are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (652) Youngstown St. Penguins |
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02-06-16 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State +5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
Oklahoma has retained the No. 1 ranking in the AP Poll for three straight weeks as the one loss over this stretch came after the poll came out on January 18th and followed that up with a big road win at Baylor later in the week. The Sooners have won four straight games since that with over Iowa St. including a huge comeback at LSU last Saturday and while this may seem like an easy test, it should not be especially with the fact they could be looking ahead to their home game against Texas on Monday. Kansas St. has had a very disappointing season as it is just 2-7 in the Big XII after an 11-2 non-conference record. The schedule has not been on the Wildcats side however as their five road games have come against the top five teams in the conference while two home games have come against two of the top six teams. Granted, Oklahoma falls into this category but now Kansas St. is getting its biggest number at home. The Wildcats are 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (628) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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02-06-16 | Portland v. Loyola Marymount -2 | Top | 92-78 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT for our WCC Game of the Year. Portland and Loyola-Marymount come into this game with pretty similar records overall and within the conference but it is the venue and the converging situations that heavily favor the Lions. They are 6-4 at home but are coming off a blowout loss against Gonzaga on Thursday by 29 points but that does not come as a total surprise as the Bulldogs have been rolling. Overall, Loyola-Marymount has lost three straight games overall while three of four home losses have come against the Big Three in the WCC. Portland was riding a four-game losing streak before defeating Pepperdine Thursday night on the road as a 10-point underdog. That was just the second road victory for the Pilots with the first coming against rival Portland St. and all seven losses have been by at least eight points. Portland was expected to have a decent season but that has not been the case and stepping down in class has been a big issue as the Pilots are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (630) Loyola-Marymount Lions |
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02-06-16 | Florida v. Kentucky -6 | Top | 61-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
After losing just one game last season, Kentucky has already dropped seven games this season including two straight games at Kansas last Saturday and at Tennessee on Tuesday. The Wildcats have not lost consecutive games since the end of the 2013-14 season and I expect a big bounce back here to avoid the first three-game losing streak under head coach John Calipari. Florida on the other hand has won two straight games and five of his last six games but four of the last five have all come at home. The Gators are just 2-5 on the road with the wins coming against Mississippi and Navy so this is another big test that I do not expect them to pass. Kentucky has won all 12 home games this season by an average of nearly 18 ppg and catching the Wildcats with a spread this low is pretty rare. Going back, the Gators are 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win while the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. 10* (590) Kentucky Wildcats |
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02-06-16 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +4 | Top | 91-71 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on WAKE FOREST for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Wake Forest got off to a solid start this season as it won nine of its 12 non-conference games which included solid victories over Indiana and LSU while two of the losses were against Vanderbilt and Louisville, the latter being a lot closer than expected. What has happened since then is a mystery as the Demon Deacons are 1-9 in the ACC with the lone victory coming against NC State. The schedule of late has been very tough however as the last five games have come against North Carolina, Miami, Virginia, Notre Dame and Clemson, all of which are at least 6-4 in the conference. Florida St. has won three in a row including a pair of home wins in their last two games. This is now a tough spot for the Seminoles against a very desperate Wake forest team than finally catches a team it can legitimately defeat. Going back, the Demon Deacons are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home and they catch a very favorable number here. 10* (528) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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02-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
Cleveland is coming off a pretty uninspired effort at Charlotte on Wednesday which snapped a five-game winning streak but now it heads home to add to its 19-3 record at home. Boston has won two straight games and seven of its last eight but only two of those have been against teams with a winning record. While the Celtics have a winning record on the road, only four of those have come against winning teams and only one since the start of December. Boston has gone 26-12 against teams not ranked in the top ten in the NBA but is just 3-10 against the top ten in the league. Conversely, the Cavaliers are 26-9 against those non-top ten teams and a much more solid 9-4 against the top ten. Two of those four losses came against Golden St., another against San Antonio and the last against Toronto, three of which came on the road. On the season, the Cavaliers are 15-8 ATS against teams with a winning record including 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Look for Cleveland to bounce back from that loss and move to 9-4 following a defeat this season. 10* (860) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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02-05-16 | Grizzlies v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
The Grizzlies are in the midst of their best run of the season as they have gone 13-4 over their last 17 games to go from a 16-16 start to their current 29-20 record which is good for fifth in the Western Conference. But the schedule has been in their favor as only six of those 17 games have been on the road where they have gone just 3-3. Memphis is 10-13 on the highway overall and six of those have come against teams with a worse record than the Knicks. New York is in a bad run right now with losses in two straight and six of its last seven games going into Thursday and with the lone victory coming against lowly Phoenix, things are not good. Four of those losses have come against teams ranked in the top six in the NBA so while no losing is good, at least the Knicks have been falling to the elite teams. And on top of it, they have been banged up along the way and are now back to nearly full health. The Knicks own 11 outright wins against teams ranked in the top 16 in the league which is tied for eighth most in the entire league. The Grizzlies are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games while the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (862) New York Knicks |
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02-04-16 | Raptors +1 v. Blazers | Top | 110-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
After 11 straight wins, Toronto had a pretty ugly loss at Denver but it bounced back with a victory over a hapless Phoenix team and as unimpressive as it looked, a win is a win and it was needed. The Raptors still have four games remaining on this current roadtrip, three prior to the All Star Break and one after. They currently possess a five-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division and with the Cleveland loss last night, they trail the Cavaliers by just 2.5 games in the Eastern Conference. Portland has won five straight games which is its longest winning streak of the season but it is a non-quality streak as all five of those wins have come against teams with a losing record including three teams that are 11, 21 and 31 games under .500. The Blazers have gotten back into the Western Conference playoff race as they are in eighth place but the schedule has helped with 11 of their previous 14 games all being at home and the three road games coming against losing teams from the Eastern Conference. They are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games against teams with a winning straight up record and on the season, the Raptors are 10-4 ATS as underdogs. 10* (705) Toronto Raptors |
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02-04-16 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -3 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
A couple below average teams from C-USA square off here and the home team has a big edge here. North Texas is just 2-6 in the conference but it has been involved in a very tough stretch as it is coming off three straight road games which came after a home game against Marshall and a close home loss against Western Kentucky. The road has been a problem for the Mean Green as they are 1-8 but a much more respectable 6-6 at home and while covering at home has been few and far between, they are 2-0 ATS in this price range. Southern Mississippi meanwhile is on a two-game winning streak which came during a three-game homestand and like North Texas, the road has been tough as it is 2-6. The Golden Eagles have been solid against the number but are just 1-3 ATS in this price range. Going bac, the Mean Green are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (746) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-04-16 | St. Mary's v. BYU -2.5 | Top | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is a game BYU has been waiting on for over a month as the Cougars opened West Coast Conference action at St. Mary’s and lost by 11 points. They have lost twice since then but both of those came on the road and they bring in an 11-0 home record into this rematch. BYU is two games behind the Gaels in the conference so a win gets it right back in the mix but a loss essentially knocks them out. Going back, the Cougars have won 16 straight home games and have been dominant here for years. Despite the loss of every starter from last season, the Gaels have been outstanding as they are 18-2 overall including 9-1 in the conference. While they opened the season a perfect 12-0 against the number, they have dropped their last five games ATS which is an indication that the linesmakers have finally started to catch up. This is easily their biggest road test of the season and it doesn’t help their cause that the Cougars are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Revenge will be sweet on Thursday night in Provo. 10* (760) BYU Cougars |
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02-04-16 | Ohio State +6 v. Wisconsin | Top | 68-79 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is the first meeting and only this season between Ohio St. and Wisconsin and the Buckeyes have had this game circled since last season as the Badgers came into Columbus and rolled by 24 points, one of just two home losses for Ohio St. The Buckeyes are tied for sixth place in the Big Ten at 6-4 following a loss against Maryland at home on Sunday. They are 2-3. on the road and while the three losses were all by double-digits, they came against Purdue, Maryland and Indian, three of the top five teams in the conference. Wisconsin does not fall into that category despite its best run of the season which currently sits at four straight wins. The Badgers have won against Michigan St. and Indiana here but those were by just four points combined. This is clearly a team that is still reeling from all of the lost talent from last season but because of the recent hot run, they are overvalued here tonight. The Buckeyes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss and look for that roll to continue. 10* (713) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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02-03-16 | Bulls +2 v. Kings | Top | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on CHICAGO for our Wednesday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the status of DeMarcus Cousins and Rajon Rondo who are both on the injury list and while Cousins is a likely go, Rondo is questionable. We are assuming he will go with a day of rest as the Kings look to make it consecutive wins following a victory over Milwaukee on Monday. Sacramento is actually on a 20-20 run following a 1-7 start and currently sit two games out of the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Chicago has not been playing well as it is just 4-9 over its last 13 games following a defeat in Utah Monday in overtime. The Bulls are now two games under .500 on the road but are 6-4 on the highway against teams with a losing record including wins in three of their last four. The Kings typically have an edge on the boards but that is not the case tonight as the Bulls average an NBA-best 48.6 rpg. We mentioned Monday that the tail end of this seven-game roadtrip is important as the last five games were against losing teams and after a loss in the last one, the final four games are now even more important. 10* (519) Chicago Bulls |
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02-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -6 | Top | 61-63 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
A pair of struggling teams square off in Lubbock as Oklahoma St. hits the road for a second straight game. The Cowboys actually won the last road game at Auburn, their first true road win of the season after a 0-4 start. It was predicted to be a rough season for the Cowboys which lost a lot from last season and then took a hit in November when their best player Phil Forte was lost with an elbow injury. The fact this team defeated Kansas by 19 points last month is a complete shocker but the Jayhawks have indeed struggled on the road this season. Texas Tech has lost three straight games and seven of eight after an 11-1 start but the schedule has been brutal. The Red Raiders have lost three straight home games but those came against Kansas, Baylor and West Virginia, the latter two coming by just three and four points respectively. This is the first real winnable game since they defeated Texas in their conference opener. The Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record. While the Cowboys are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (544) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-03-16 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -7 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
Miami started the season 13-1 including a 2-0 record in the ACC but has gone just 3-3 since then although the schedule has been partly to blame. Four of the last six games have come on the road where three of the losses took place. Following a bog home win over Duke last week, the Hurricanes went to NC State and were crushed by 16 points as a five-point road chalk. They have won eight straight games at home though all of which have come by double-digits including three against ACC opponents that are at least .500 in the conference. Now comes another solid test but Notre Dame has been extremely inconsistent this season. The Irish are 15-6 but own only two quality wins which came against Iowa and Duke. They are 6-3 in the ACC but the other five wins have come against Boston College (twice), Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech and those four teams are a combined 7-27 in the conference. The Hurricanes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (530) Miami Florida Hurricanes |
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02-03-16 | Evansville v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
Evansville had an opportunity to take out the big dog at home on Sunday but had one of its worst shooting days of the season and lost big against Wichita St. Now the Purple Aces have to regroup and avoid a letdown from that to keep pace for second place in the MVC. They hit the road where they are 5-3 and the one thing they have done well is bouncing back from losses as they are 4-0 this season following a loss, winning those games by an average of 21.5 ppg. Northern Iowa is the biggest disappointment in the conference this season as it was supposed to contend but has done anything but. The Panthers are 12-11 including 4-6 in the MVC following a 31-4 season last year. Three of those conference wins have come against Bradley twice and Drake, which are a combined 9-36 and 2-18 in the MVC. The home floor has not been great with a 10-point loss to 3-7 Loyola-Chicago proving that. The Purple Aces are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (539) Evansville Purple Aces |
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02-02-16 | Bucks +7 v. Blazers | Top | 95-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on MILWAUKEE for our Tuesday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off its third straight loss last night in Sacramento as it went into the fourth quarter tied with the Kings but allowed 37 points to blow the win and cover, also its third straight setback. They have struggled on the road this season but there is definitely value in this line tonight as they are getting six points more than last night against a team that is just a game and a half better while getting 2.5 points more than Milwaukee got at Memphis last Thursday and the Grizzlies are six games better than Portland. The Blazers have won four games in a row which is certainly playing into the line. All of those wins also came against teams with losing records so there really isn’t much motivation here, especially with a home game against Toronto on deck. The Bucks having played last night could also be a factor in the number but Milwaukee has a young roster that pays off in these situations as the Bucks are 9-4 ATS when playing with no rest. The Bucks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Blazers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on one-day rest. 10* (707) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-02-16 | Wyoming v. Air Force +2.5 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
We played on Wyoming Saturday and won as the Cowboys took out Colorado St. in the Border War which snapped a three-game losing streak. This sets up a great letdown opportunity as they hit the road to face Air Force in a game they should not be very interested in. Wyoming has been a road favorite once this season at San Jose St. and lost outright by seven points. The Cowboys are 3-5 on the road overall which includes a 1-4 record in the conference. Air Force has struggled in the MWC as after a 10-4 start, the Falcons have dropped their last eight conference games. Five of those have come on the road with the last four coming against the top half of the conference while the last two home losses have come by a combined five points. After winning against San Jose St. in their conference opener, the Falcons went to Laramie and lost to Wyoming by 12 points so payback will be in store. Air Force is 8-4 at home so while the home court edge is not as dominant as it used to be, it is still pretty solid. Going back, the Cowboys are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (748) Air Force Falcons |
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02-02-16 | Duke -3.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 80-71 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
Duke is going through one of its worst stretches in recent memory as the Blue Devils have lost four of their last five games following a defeat in Miami over the weekend. They have not had a stretch this bad since losing four straight games to end their season in 2006-07. The first three losses came by 11 points combined and while the loss to the Hurricanes was by that same amount, the game was close late. They are 3-2 on the road and a win here could be a big jump start with three straight home games on deck. Georgia Tech is coming off a close loss at Syracuse on Saturday which was its fourth loss in five games to fall to 2-6 in the ACC. This is not much of a surprise as the Yellow Jackets were picked to finish 14th in the 15-team conference. Georgia Tech has been pretty solid at home as it has wins against Virginia and VCU but it is catching the wrong team and the wrong time on Tuesday. The Blue Devils have won eight straight meetings in this series and going back, the Blue Devils are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss. 10* (751) Duke Blue Devils |
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02-02-16 | Indiana v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
Indiana bounced back from its first conference loss which was an overtime loss at Wisconsin by three points as it defeated Minnesota on Saturday in a closer than expected game. The Hoosiers won that game by just six points but the victory moved them to 13-0 at home and they come into this one with a 3-2 record on the road. Those victories came against Minnesota, Nebraska and Rutgers which are a combined 4-24 in the Big Ten. Overall, the schedule has been very tame as only two teams with winning records, Wisconsin and Ohio St., have been on it. Michigan has won four straight games to move to 6-2 in the conference and has won nine straight games at home following its only home loss of the season back in November against Xavier. The home team has dominated this series with eight straight wins and the home court will be big here as well. While the Wolverines are still without leading scorer Caris LeVert, the Hoosiers have been without second leading scorer James Blackmon Jr. going back, the Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (758) Michigan Wolverines |
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02-02-16 | Heat v. Rockets -5 | Top | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on HOUSTON for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Houston has been one of the streakiest teams this season as the Rockets have had winning and losing streaks of three or more games 10 times. This includes a three-game winning streak a week ago only to be followed up by its current three-game skid. They had tough back-to-back road games at San Antonio and Oklahoma City on the 27th and 29th and then had to face Washington the next night so it was a tough slate with a tough spot added on. Houston has won 12 of its last 17 home games and face a hot opponent as Miami has won four straight games which coincidentally came after a four-game losing streak. Three of the wins came on the road but all were by five points or less and were against a struggling Chicago team as well as Brooklyn and Milwaukee, not exactly quality wins. The Heat are still a game under .500 on the road and they are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games against teams with a winning home record while going 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (704) Houston Rockets |
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02-01-16 | Bulls +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on CHICAGO for our Monday Enforcer. A lot of factors in this game set up great for the Bulls which are coming off a loss yesterday afternoon against the Clippers by 27 points so we should see a pretty inspired effort tonight. After a 4-0 start to January, which was the tail end of a six-game winning streak, Chicago has lost eight of its last 12 games but it has gone 4-1 in its last five games following a loss so avoiding losing streaks has at least stopped more bleeding. The Bulls are now a game under .500 on the road but are 6-3 on the highway against teams with a losing record. Utah has won two straight games, both against struggling teams as Charlotte and Minnesota went 6-11 and 2-14 in January respectively. This is just the eighth tine that the Jazz have won consecutive games season and they have been unable to expand upon that as they are 0-7 this season following back-to-back victories, losing those games by an average of 9.4 ppg. The Bulls remaining five games on this roadtrip, including this one, are all against losing teams so a run is necessary and expected and it starts here. 10* (513) Chicago Bulls |
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02-01-16 | Mavs v. Hawks -6.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on ATLANTA for our Monday Supreme Annihilator. Atlanta went undefeated last January but the 2016 version was not nearly as good as the Hawks went 6-9 including losses in three straight games. The most recent was just last night in Miami as the Hawks fell by 18 points as a three-point road favorite in a game they never led. They are now back home where they have won seven of their last nine and a little added motivation should be there as Atlanta did in fact lose it last home game against the Clippers. Dallas took care of Phoenix last night, which fired head coach Jeff Hornacek after the game, and that was the second straight double-digit win for the Mavericks but those were against two of the worst teams in the NBA. Dallas is a respectable 13-14 on the road but of those 13 wins, only two of those have come against teams with a winning record. It goes back further as the Mavericks are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-01-16 | North Carolina v. Louisville -1 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
Louisville is coming off an awful performance on Saturday against Virginia as it was held to 21 percent shooting from the floor in the first half and could not recover. That was the Cardinals first home loss of the season and a look ahead to this game from a certain possibility and they paid for it. The 16-point margin of defeat was their worst in six seasons at home so motivation will not be missing Monday. North Carolina has won 12 straight games which includes a perfect 8-0 start in the ACC. The Tar Heels were favored in by double-digits in six of those and have not been an underdog over that stretch which says a lot about the ease of the early conference season. As a matter of fact, this is the first time they have been an underdog all season and at the same time, this is the first time Louisville has been favored by fewer than five points all season. Louisville also has some payback to take care of following a 10-point loss in last season’s ACC Tournament. The Cardinals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game while the Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (520) Louisville Cardinals |
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01-31-16 | Celtics v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
We played on Orlando Friday in the first game of this home-and-home and it was clearly a bad call as the Magic were outscored by 10 in the fourth quarter and lost by 19. Now they head home to try and solve the Celtics which have won five straight games as they try and keep pace with the Raptors in the Atlantic Division. Orlando meanwhile has dropped eight straight games and 12 of 13 but the value tonight is too good to pass up. The Magic were getting eight points in Boston and are now getting 4.5 points at home and that line swing is not nearly enough for a venue change. They are still a solid 12-10 at home with two of their last three losses coming in overtime and this is a pretty big game considering they start a two-game roadtrip tomorrow against San Antonio and then finishing with Oklahoma City which are a combined 47-5 at home. Orlando is 6-3 ATS this season as a home underdog while going 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. Additionally, the Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (834) Orlando Magic |
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01-31-16 | Richmond v. St Bonaventure -1.5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
We will be backing St. Bonaventure for the first time this season and we are catching the Bonnies at a great time. After a 4-0 start in the Atlantic Ten, they have dropped their last three games but all came against teams with winning conference records including the last two against VCU and Dayton, the top two teams in the conference and both of those games were very competitive. St. Bonaventure is 8-2 at home with the lone defeats coming against the aforementioned Flyers and Hofstra, which sits atop the CAA. The Bonnies have been off for a week making them even more hungry for a win to break the skid. Richmond meanwhile is coming off a win at George Washington in overtime on Thursday, handing the Colonials their first home loss of the season. This puts the Spiders in a tough letdown spot here and they have dropped four of their last games following a spread win. The Bonnies have covered six of their last eight games and are 7-2 as a favorite so the short price means that a win likely means a cover as well. 10* (858) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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01-30-16 | Spurs v. Cavs +2.5 | Top | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
We played against Cleveland last night with part of the thinking being the Cavaliers would get caught looking ahead to this game but that they did not as they won in Detroit in a game they only trailed early in by two points. They have had this one circled for a little over two weeks after going to San Antonio and walking out with a four-point loss. There is a little extra motivation here as well as Cleveland will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after being given the home underdog role in this one. The Spurs are coming off a blowout victory over Houston on Wednesday following their blowout loss in Golden St. two nights earlier. The win over the Rockets moved them to 25-0 at home while the loss to the Warriors dropped them to 14-7 on the road. That is still an excellent record for the road but the Cavaliers are 18-3 at home and overall are 14-7 ATS against teams with a winning record. Two weeks ago, the Spurs were favored by six at home which would make the Cavaliers roughly a two-point favorite based on venue change but the current line is off by four points compared to that so the value is clearly on the home side. Cleveland is 4-1 ATS as a dog this season and this marks the first time it is a dog at home. 10* (514) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-30-16 | San Diego State v. UNLV -4.5 | Top | 67-52 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on UNLV for our Saturday Enforcer. UNLV is 13-8 overall and 4-4 in the MWC following a home win over Boise St. on Wednesday. While it seems to have been a disappointing season for the Rebels, they have played a lot better than that record indicates. Of those eight losses, six have been by six points or less including five by three points or less. Their four conference losses have come by a combined eight points and this is definitely a statement game to get back at San Diego St. as they have dropped the last six meetings in this series going back the last two seasons. San Diego St. is a perfect 8-0 in the conference but have been far from dominant against much weaker opposition as the Aztecs have won have those games by exactly three points or in overtime. While they have lost only once on the road, their four road conference wins have come by a total of just 16 points. 10* (636) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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01-30-16 | St. Joe's v. Rhode Island -3.5 | Top | 64-55 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on RHODE ISLAND for our Atlantic 10 Game of the Year. Rhode Island is hanging tough in the Atlantic Ten despite the loss of preseason player of the year E.C. Matthews, who injured his knee in the first game of the season. The Rams are 4-3 in the conference and could use a quality win to bolster their postseason chances. The three losses have come by five points or less and all on the road including a loss at St. Joseph's setting up a revenge spot here. The Hawks won their sixth straight game on Wednesday but failed to cover and on the season, they are a perfect 6-0 on the road which puts them in a great contrarian situation. The Rams are 10-2 at home with the only losses coming by two points to Providence and three points to Valparaiso. Excellent spot for the home team here. 10* (604) Rhode Island Rams |
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01-30-16 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -3.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
Colorado St. is one of five teams in the MWC with winning records as it improved to 4-3 with a win over San Jose St., which was its second unimpressive win over the Trojans which are 1-8 in the conference. The Rams are 3-2 on the road with another road win coming against 1-7 Air Force by only four points and the other coming against Northern Iowa by just six points. Wyoming is a disappointing 3-5 in the conference following its third straight loss on Tuesday. The Cowboys have shown signs of excellent play as proven by wins over UNLV and New Mexico but losing at San Jose St. was inexcusable. This is a great spot to snap the losing skid though as this is a big rivalry with it being the 224th meeting in the Border War. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings and expect that trend to continue Saturday. 10* (598) Wyoming Cowboys |
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01-30-16 | Oklahoma v. LSU +5 | Top | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on LSU for our Saturday Star Attraction. LSU came into the season with a ton of hype and a top 20 ranking but it has not quite gone as planned. Ben Simmons is staking his claim for the best player in the country and after some early growing pains, the Tigers are coming together as they have won nine of their last 12 games with two losses coming at Florida and Texas A&M which are a combined 21-1 at home with the other loss being a perplexing home loss against Wake Forest. That is their only home loss of the season and the value is on their side here not only because they are facing the No. 1 team in the country but because they have failed to cover their last six games. Oklahoma is 4-2 on the road with two of those wins coming by just a bucket and his will be its third biggest road test, the first two resulting in losses at Kansas and Iowa St. 10* (576) LSU Tigers |
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01-30-16 | Washington v. USC -7.5 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
While Oregon shocked Arizona on the road Thursday, Washington is arguably the biggest surprise in the Pac 10 as it is tied with the Ducks for first place at 6-2. The Huskies are coming off an upset win at UCLA which was their third conference road win in four tries but all were by four points or less and now comes the biggest test with the exception of playing at Arizona where they lost by 32 points. USC started the season 12-2 before cooling off somewhat but has still won four of its last seven games. A 15-point loss at Oregon St. was a shocker but the other two were by eight points at Oregon and by just two points at Washington to the Trojans will be out to avenge that defeat as well. They failed to cover at home against Washington St. by just a bucket on Thursday but they are 9-2-1 ATS at home on the season. 10* (558) USC Trojans |
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01-30-16 | Charlotte v. Florida Atlantic +3.5 | Top | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
We played against Charlotte Thursday and unfortunately lost as the 49ers defeated Florida International by a bucket to improve to 4-4 in C-USA. They have lost some close games this season but have also been fortunate to win some close ones as well and this has turned Charlotte into a cover machine as it has won the money in 10 straight games. The 49ers win Thursday was just their third road win with the others coming against Appalachian St. and Southern Mississippi. Florida Atlantic is just a game behind the 49ers and just two games out of fourth place in the conference. The Owls lost to Old Dominion at home on Thursday to fall to 3-3 at home as the schedule has not been on their side with 15 of 21 games being on the highway. This is just the second time all season they have had back-to-back home games and they take advantage here. 10* (554) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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01-30-16 | Clemson v. Florida State -3.5 | Top | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on FLORIDA ST. for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Florida St. is back home following a comfortable win at Boston College on Tuesday and is in need of a win to turn its ACC season around. The Seminoles are 3-5 in the conference with all five of those losses coming against the top five teams in the conference. One of those came at Clemson in their ACC opener which was the start of a 0-3 beginning so payback is also at the forefront. Clemson bounced back from a loss at Virginia as it romped over Pittsburgh at home by 13 points as a short favorite. That was the Tigers eighth straight cover with the value now shifting to the side of the Seminoles. Clemson is just 1-4 on the road with the lone victory taking overtime to win against Syracuse. 10* (520) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-29-16 | Cavs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on DETROIT for our Friday Enforcer. Detroit used a big fourth quarter to pull away from the Sixers on Wednesday to earn its second straight win and improve to 15-7 at home. It has been an up and down season for the Pistons but when they show up, they can be very difficult to beat, case in point an 18-point win here against Golden St. less than two weeks ago. The Cavaliers have also won two straight games, taking care of Phoenix and Minnesota which is far from impressive. Cleveland is 21-4 against teams ranked 17th or worse in the league but just an average 11-8 against the top 16. Detroit is 14-12 against the top 16 which isn't especially strong however Detroit owns eight wins over the top ten and those eight victories are fourth most in the NBA behind Golden St., Chicago and Toronto. The Cavaliers could very well be caught looking ahead as they host San Antonio in a revenge game from a couple weeks ago when they lost on the road by four points. Additionally, the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (854) Detroit Pistons |
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01-29-16 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 94-113 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on ORLANDO for our Friday Ultimate Underdog. The Celtics have matched their longest winning streak of the season with four consecutive victories and their most recent win over Denver made it four straight wins at home as well. Trying to keep pace with the surging Raptors is not easy but Boston is doing its best at this point. Now the linesmakers are again catching up as the Celtics laid a big number against the Nuggets and are now laying nearly the same amount here against a team that is better than Denver. Orlando has no doubt been struggling after a very strong start to the season as it has lost seven straight games and 11 of its 12 games in the month of January. During this recent seven-game skid, three of those defeats came in overtime while two others were less than what the Magic are getting tonight. Orlando is capable of turning this around with a very talented roster that has had leads of 16, 9, 19 and 10 points in their last four games but failed to keep those advantages. This has been a home dominated series with the host taking eight straight but the biggest spread of that stretch has been six points. The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the NBA Atlantic while the Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (855) Orlando Magic |
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01-29-16 | VCU v. Davidson +2.5 | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on DAVIDSON for our Friday Enforcer. Note 6:00 PM ET start. VCU comes into Friday as the lone remaining undefeated team in the Atlantic Ten but now comers another tough test on the road. The Rams passed their first road test at St. Joes back on January 5th, handing the Hawks their lone loss in the conference but they were actually getting a point there and were also getting a point in Richmond in its last road game which took overtime to win. Now VCU is favored on the highway which is an overadjusted move based on the winning streak. Davison has had an inconsistent season thus far but has been pretty strong for the most part. The Wildcats are 12-6 overall including 4-3 in the A-10 and are coming off a two-game splits on their most recent roadtrip. All three conference losses have come on the road while their three non-conference losses have come against North Carolina, Pittsburgh and California which are a combined 48-13. Davidson is ranked sixth nationally in assist-turnover ratio (1.63), 10th in free-throw shooting (76 percent) and 17th in three-point field goals per game (9.9). Davidson is now back home where it is 10-0 on the season and going back, the Wildcats have won 15 straight at home and 30 of their last 31 dating back to the 2013-14 season. A sold out game in a nationally televised Friday night game will prove to be the difference here. 10* (872) Davidson Wildcats |
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01-28-16 | Oregon State v. Arizona State -5 | Top | 68-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on ARIZONA St. for our Thursday Supreme Annihilator. This line may seem off for many but this is a statement game for Arizona St. and I am expecting the Sun Devils to run away from this one. Not much was expected from them in the first season under head coach Bobby Hurley but they have actually played a lot better than what the records are showing. Arizona St. is just 1-6 in the Pac 12 but the two double-digit losses came against two of the best teams in Arizona and USC while the other four losses have been by 7, 4, 5 and 2 points, the last three coming in their last three games. Also, we cannot discount two solid non-conference wins over Texas A&M and UNLV. Oregon St. is coming off a huge 15-point home win over USC to move to 3-4 in the conference and while the Beavers also own very impressive conference wins over Oregon and California, those were also at home. Only two of their first seven Pac 12 games have been on the road and those were both losses. Seven of the final 11 conference games are on the highway and looking at them, all look to be defeats. Going back, the Sun Devils are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss while the Beavers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (754) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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01-28-16 | Hawks v. Pacers -3 | Top | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Both Indiana and Atlanta are coming off two-point home losses against the Clippers in their last game, with the Pacers going down Tuesday and the Hawks losing last night. The extra day of rest should benefit Indiana as it is in desperate need of a victory after what has been a horrible end to the month. The Pacers have lost six of their last seven games which includes two straight home losses but they are still a solid 13-7 at home. It has been a tough stretch for Indiana as with the exception for a couple losses to good teams, it has been falling to teams it should be beating. On the season, the Pacers are 7-12 ATS against teams with a losing record but when the competition rises, so do the Pacers as they are 16-8 ATS against teams with a winning record including 8-3 ATS at home. The Hawks aren't playing great either as they have lost three of their last four and seven of their last 13 after ending December on a 7-1 run. Atlanta is 12-12 on the highway which is decent but going back the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. This season, they are 1-4 straight up and ATS playing with no rest and the second game being on the road. 10* (704) Indiana Pacers |
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01-28-16 | Iowa v. Maryland -4 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on MARYLAND for our Thursday Star Attraction. This game sets up very similar to the play we made against Texas A&M last night as the Aggies went into Arkansas on a very similar path to what Iowa has done. Iowa is ranked No. 3 in the latest AP Poll after coming into the season unranked and received only six total votes so the run has been impressive and swift on top of it. The Hawkeyes lost early to Dayton and Notre Dame to open the season 3-2 but since then they have gone 13-1 with the lone loss coming against Iowa St. by just one point. They are 7-0 in the Big Ten, leading Indiana by a half-game and Maryland and Michigan by a game. Of those seven wins, four have come against Purdue and Michigan St. so it has been a great run. Maryland is still ranked in the top ten as it is 17-3 despite a 2-2 run over its last two games. Those losses came on the road however and the Terrapins are 11-0 at home, winning those games by over 18 ppg. This is obviously a huge test but the spot sets up well with them coming off a loss and Iowa having passed them in the rankings as Iowa has moved from No. 17 to No. 9 to No. 3 in just three weeks. Maryland is 9-0 following a loss the past two seasons as the last time it lost back-to-back games was back in 2013-14. 10* (718) Maryland Terrapins |
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01-28-16 | Charlotte v. Florida International -3 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL for our Thursday Enforcer. Florida International has been one of pleasant surprises in Conference USA as the Golden Panthers are off to a 5-2 start in the conference to hold down the fourth spot on their own. One of those losses was a shocking six-point loss at home against 5-12 Southern Mississippi as a nine-point home favorite but they bounced back with a pair of road wins last week. Keeping up with the top three teams will be difficult but taking care of the teams below them should not be an issue and we get that again tonight. Charlotte comes into town with a 3-4 record which is good for a tie for sixth place with three other teams and we are playing against the 49ers because of their success against the number that has pushed this one down lower than it should be. They have covered 10 straight games which is unheard of but they have played some very close games that have resulted in losses as four of their last five defeated have come by three points or less. This is the spot for the close ones to end however as Charlotte is coming off a four-game homestand and hits the road for the first time since January 9th. While the 49ers are on a huge ATS run, the Golden Panthers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (722) Florida International Golden Panthers |
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01-27-16 | Rockets v. Spurs -10 | Top | 99-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on SAN ANTONIO for our Wednesday Enforcer. San Antonio is coming off an embarrassing loss at Golden St. on Monday but as its typical reaction, it could care less. Head coach Gregg Popovich took a lot of heat for not playing Tim Duncan but he is not playing again tonight so nothing should be read into that. While Duncan is out again, it should be noted that San Antonio is 7-1 this season in games he has missed. The Spurs are coming off just their seventh loss of the season and they have been perfect in bouncing back from a loss not only straight up but against the number as they are 6-0 ATS in their previous six games following a defeat and they have not been close with winning margins of 22, 15, 27, 20, 10 and 25 points. Houston has won three straight games while covering all of those as well and the Rockets are playing a lot better over a significant stretch as they have won nine of their last 12 games. The problem is that those losses came against winning teams while six of the nine wins were against teams with a losing record. Houston is 5-6 in its last 11 road games with only one of those wins against a winning team and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (508) San Antonio Spurs |
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01-27-16 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3 | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on ARKANSAS for our Wednesday Enforcer. Texas A&M started the season unranked in the preseason AP Poll back in November but is now all the way up to No. 5 in the country. The Aggies are 17-2 on the season and are riding a 10-game winning streak so they have some big momentum going. Their last road game resulted in a blowout victory at Georgia but they have not been overly dominant besides that as they won at Tennessee by just four points, won at Mississippi St. by just one point and lost at Arizona St. by 13 points. Now comes another big test and while Arkansas is just 9-10, this is a tough place for opponents to come into. The Razorbacks are 8-2 at home and had their seven-game home winning streak snapped last time out against Kentucky so they will be out to bounce back from that. They will also be out to avenge a 23-point loss suffered earlier this season at College Station in the SEC opener for both teams. The Razorbacks have seen six of their 10 losses come by four points or fewer, including three of those in overtime so the 9-10 record is certainly deceiving. Going back, the Razorbacks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (526) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-27-16 | Massachusetts +13.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on MASSACHUSETTS for our Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. We have two teams heading in opposite directions here and the line is reflecting that. Massachusetts lost a ton of talent from last season and while we knew it was not going to be a great season, not many saw these struggles coming. The Minutemen have dropped five straight games with only one of those games resulting in a push. Conversely, St. Joe's has won five straight games while covering all of those along the way and of the Hawks three losses, two have come at home and while those came against teams we cannot compare to Massachusetts, the line is a big one to cover tonight. The rough stretch for the Minutemen is surprising based on the strength of their backcourt as the starting guard trio Donte Clark, Trey Davis and Jabarie Hinds all rank among the 25 highest scoring players across the Atlantic Ten and this can pose big problems for the Hawks whose backcourt is the big weakness. It will be up to that backcourt to find the basket as Massachusetts is 6-0 this season when scoring 80 or more points but while the outright win would be nice, staying within this huge number is our main goal which the Minutemen accomplish here tonight. 10* (521) Massachusetts Minutemen |
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01-26-16 | Kings v. Blazers -4 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on PORTLAND for our Tuesday Enforcer. Sacramento has been playing some excellent basketball right now as the Kings were riding a five-game winning streak prior to last night where they lost a tough one, falling by a point against Charlotte in double-overtime. Now the Kings have to travel to not only play with no rest but also having to play coming off that extended contest. Sacramento took out some solid teams during that mini winning streak but this one might be too much to ask for as the Kings are also playing their fifth game in seven nights. They come in riding a three-game road winning streak which is a reason we are getting value with Portland. The Blazers defeated the Lakers in their last game which was way back on Saturday so they definitely have the edge as far as fatigue coming into play. They have won five of their last seven games overall including three of four at home where they are now a game over .500. The Rose Garden is far from the same dominant home court edge it used to be but the pointspreads have been taking that into consideration. Portland has been consistent this season depending who it played as it is 8-15 ATS against winning teams while going 15-7 ATS against losing teams. Additionally, the Blazers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing on two days rest while the Kings are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* (714) Portland Trailblazers |
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01-26-16 | Florida v. Vanderbilt -4.5 | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on VANDERBILT for our Tuesday Star Attraction. Vanderbilt is one of the most confusing teams as far as the results we are seeing. The Commodores are one of the most experienced teams in the country and after a 21-14 season last year, big things were expected in Nashville. It hasn't been as expected however as Vanderbilt is just 11-8 overall including a 3-4 record in the SEC with six teams ahead of it. The NCAA Tournament looked like a virtual lock but that is far from the case now so it needs some big wins. To their credit, the first four losses came against future non-conference NCAA Tournament teams and the Commodores will be out to bounce back from a Saturday blowout against Kentucky by 19 points. Florida meanwhile has won three straight games but those were against three of the six worst teams in the conference which are a combined 5-14. The Gators are 2-4 on the road with one of those wins coming against Navy. They did fare well against Texas A&M on the road but this is a bad spot to be facing Vanderbilt. The Gators are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a win while the Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. 10* (754) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-26-16 | Suns v. 76ers -3 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on PHILADELPHIA for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Sixers are in the rare role of favorites tonight as this is just the second time this season they are laying points. The first time it resulted in a 12-point win over the Lakers so while this line may not seem correct to some, Philadelphia definitely has to be favored here. The Sixers are coming off a Sunday loss against the Celtics but have certainly been playing a lot better as after a 0-11-1 ATS run, they have gone 9-5 ATS over their last 14 games. The Suns are coming off a rare win as they upset Atlanta at home as a double-digit underdog which snapped a six-game winning streak. Phoenix has just four road wins on the season and has not won away from home in seven weeks, going 0-10 in their last 10 games while covering just one of those games. Injuries have played a big role in the struggles as Phoenix has four players averaging at least 9.0 ppg that are on the injured list and are either questionable or out for tonight which includes its two leading scorers Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight who are both out. The Suns are 4-15 ATS this season against losing teams including a 1-9 ATS mark on the road against teams with a sub-.500 record while the Sixers have covered four straight games following a loss. The Suns allowed the Sixers their first road win of the season so they will be out for revenge but it won't happen on the road. 10* (704) Philadelphia 76ers |
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01-26-16 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina -7.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on SOUTH CAROLINA for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The SEC is wide open as behind 7-0 Texas A&M, there are nine teams within two games of each other for second place. The Aggies look like the class of the conference and with Kentucky having somewhat of a down season, South Carolina looks like the best bet to claim that second spot. The Gamecocks opened the season 15-0 but have gone just 2-2 since then and while the tow losses were not very close, they were on the road. This includes a nine-point loss at Tennessee Saturday so South Carolina will be out to bounce back in a big way tonight. Mississippi St. is coming off a rare conference win, so rare in fact it was just its first one of the season. The Bulldogs are now 1-5 in the SEC and to their credit, four of those losses have been pretty close but the win on Saturday came against rival Mississippi so this is a big letdown spot. Overall, the Bulldogs are 0-5 on the road and while they are 3-1 ATS in lined road games, the three covers were as double-digit underdogs and the lone loss was by this same pointspread as they fell to Arkansas by 14 points. Big blow out tonight. 10* (732) South Carolina Gamecocks |
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01-26-16 | Creighton v. Georgetown -3.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on GEORGETOWN for our Tuesday Enforcer. Tuesday college hoops tips off early at 6:30 between Creighton and Georgetown with second place in the Big East on the line. Right now there are four teams sitting at 5-2 in the conference which is a game and a half behind Villanova for first place so tonight's game is an early big one. The Hoyas are coming off a loss at Connecticut on Saturday in a non-conference game against former Big East rivals and they are now back home for the first time in 10 days. That last home game resulted in a loss against Villanova which was their fourth home loss of the season, not a very good track record but we are getting a good line because of it. Creighton is coming off a home win over Butler on Saturday to remain in the second place bunch. The Bluejays are 3-3 on the road overall with all three of those wins in conference action but all have been against teams with losing Big East records and are a combined 4-17. Georgetown is playing with a little revenge as well as it went to Omaha exactly three weeks ago and lost by 13 points so motivation will not be an issue. 10* (718) Georgetown Hoyas |
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01-25-16 | Pistons +2 v. Jazz | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on DETROIT for our Monday Enforcer. The Pistons have lost two straight games since their upset win at Houston and have lost three of four games since their upset win against Golden St. and I look for them to bounce back here as they close their four-game roadtrip. We played on Detroit Saturday and getting outscored 39-20 in the third quarter was their undoing in a game they really had no business losing. They are a decent 11-12 on the season against the top 16 teams which is where Utah also falls into. The Jazz rolled over Brooklyn on Friday on the road which snapped a two-game skid but they are just 7-14 on the season following a victory and this will be no easy task. Defeating the Nets is one thing but on the season, Utah is just 5-14 against the top 25 and those five wins are tied for fourth fewest in the entire league. The Pistons dealing with a very good number here based on their last games where they closed as a 4.5-point favorite at Denver but are now a 2-point underdog against Utah which is just 2.5 games better than the Nuggets so that 6.5-point line difference is very significant. Going back, the Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (511) Detroit Pistons |
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01-25-16 | Oakland v. Wisc-Milwaukee -3 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on MILWAUKEE for our Monday Enforcer. The Horizon League is bunched up in the middle with six teams within two and a half games each other for third place and two of those square off tonight. Both Oakland and Milwaukee are coming off wins on Saturday but the short turn around edge goes to the Panthers who remain home while Oakland has to hit the road once again. They are coming off an upset win at Green Bay to move to 4-3 in the conference and remain in the midst of a tough part of the schedule with five road games over a six-game stretch. Milwaukee took care of Detroit to hand the Titans their fourth straight loss but it was a closer than anticipated. The Panthers are 5-2 at home with both losses coming in overtime by a combined three points. They have failed to cover in any of its five home games this season but that is far from a bad thing for us as we are getting a great number, the lowest they have been favored by this season. Additionally, Oakland is 8-1 ATS away from home and that is also playing a role in this short price. At 5-2 in the Horizon, Milwaukee can separate itself from the pack for third place with a two-game lead with a victory and the home floor will finally provide a cover for the Panthers. 10* (526) Milwaukee Panthers |
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01-25-16 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | Top | 116-91 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on WASHINGTON for our Monday Supreme Annihilator. Washington defeated Miami by 19 points in its most recent game which happened to take place five days ago. The Wizards had their game on Saturday postponed due to the weather and that is a huge edge here. They were home in that last game so there have been no travel issues and a rested Washington team is a very strong team as it has won all four games this season when dealing with three or more days of rest. It has been a rough start to the season for Washington which was expected to contend Southeast Division but the Wizards are just four games behind Atlanta so there is a lot of time left. On the other side, Boston was affected by the snowstorm as well as the game at Philadelphia was postponed Saturday but was made up yesterday. The Celtics rolled to a win but the travel issues could catch up to them here. When Saturday's game was postponed, the Celtics practiced in Boston then flew to Philadelphia on Sunday morning and now are traveling once again albeit not a very long distance. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Washington will also be out for triple revenge following losses in the first three games this season against Boston. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 15-49 | Loss | -102 | 124 h 58 m | Show |
The favorites have won seven of the first eight playoff games, even though the underdog has covered most of those, so it comes as no surprise that the early public consensus is on both favorites this week and that is likely heightened because the lines are in the field goal range. After the road team won all four Wild Card Round games, the home team took all four Divisional Round games by six or seven points. It was a good indication that the bye teams had a significant edge over the team that had just won on the road the previous week. The dynamic is different this week though as the road teams are coming off home wins with the Cardinals being one of those teams. While it can be argued they escaped with the victory in overtime thanks to Green Bay never seeing the ball, the game really should have never gone into overtime. Arizona was certainly sloppy last week, most notably Carson Palmer who made some poor throws that led to two costly interceptions but he still completed 61 percent of his passes for 349 yards and three touchdowns. The Cardinals bring in a different offense than what Seattle brought into Carolina as they can stretch it out more and have more balance as they were the only team in the regular season to finish in the top ten in both rushing and passing offense. Carolina built a huge lead last Sunday and barely held on while getting outgained by 108 yards as costly mistakes by the Seahawks on the wrong sides of the field did them in. The Cardinals won and covered their only game as an underdog this season and going back, they are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss. Additionally, we play on road underdogs or pickems after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 71-35 ATS (67 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (313) Arizona Cardinals |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | Top | 18-20 | Loss | -101 | 120 h 18 m | Show |
The favorites have won seven of the first eight playoff games, even though the underdog has covered most of those, so it comes as no surprise that the early public consensus is on both favorites this week and that is likely heightened because the lines are in the field goal range. After the road team won all four Wild Card Round games, the home team took all four Divisional Round games by six or seven points. It was a good indication that the bye teams had a significant edge over the team that had just won on the road the previous week. The dynamic is different this week though as the road teams are coming off home wins with the Patriots being one of those teams. The linesmakers were forced to make New England a favorite here knowing what sort of action would be coming in. The first look here is at the home underdog but this is a tough matchup for Denver now that the Patriots are healthy. The offensive line did a great job last week in protection, not allowing a single sack or hit, and it is the quick passing game that will give the Broncos fits this time around. Denver was pretty fortunate to win last week against a depleted Steelers team and the offense clearly cannot carry this team. The Patriots have a very underrated front seven and they are going to force Peyton Manning to win this game with his arm which will not happen. Over the last 30 yards, the No. 1 seed has been a home underdog in the Conference Championship and has lost all three times. While revenge isn't a big factor when it comes to big games like this, the Patriots are 11-1 ATS revenging a same season loss as a road favorite and that comes down to coaching. The home team has won and covered the six meetings in this series with Brady vs. Manning but the latter is not close to the same player from past meetings. 10* (311) New England Patriots |
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01-24-16 | William & Mary v. Hofstra -2 | Top | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on HOFSTRA for our Sunday Enforcer. There is a logjam at the top of the Colonial Athletic Association as going into Saturday, four teams are tied for first place with 5-2 records. That includes both Hofstra and William & Mary which has turned this into a big early season matchup. Hofstra is coming off a big triple overtime win at Northeastern on Thursday which came after an overtime loss last Saturday against James Madison at home which is its lone home defeat of the season. The Pride will be out to carry that momentum from Thursday into Sunday as they will be out to avenge three losses against William & Mary last season, the final one coming in overtime by a point in the CAA Tournament which ended their shot at the NCAA Tournament. All five starters are averaging in double figures for Hofstra through 19 games, one of only two teams to stake that claim. The Tribe are coming off a blowout win over Elon which also came on Thursday so the turnaround time for both teams is the same and hitting the road in the big winter storm could have some adverse effects. William & Mary is 4-4 on the road including 2-1 in the conference with the only big effort coming against 3-15 Drexel. 10* (888) Hofstra Pride |
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01-23-16 | Pistons -3 v. Nuggets | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
Denver has had an interesting homestand as in the first six games, five have been decided by three points or less with the other being decided by six points. So taking the points here would seem like the logical thing to do but after two frustrating losses the last two games, this one could be a tough one for Denver to show up to. The Nuggets are 8-14 at home and they have struggles this season against the better teams in the NBA as they are just 3-11 against teams ranked in the top ten. And yes, Detroit is part of that top ten group. The Pistons are only three games over .500 and are just 2-4 over their last six games but have been consistent for the most part. They are coming off a 16-point loss at New Orleans on Thursday which is actually favorable for us here as the Pistons are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Head coach Stan Van Gundy called out his team's effort after that Thursday loss, one day after opening a four-game trip with a 123-114 win over Houston. While the Nuggets have had a good homestand based on the closeness of games, they are just 17-38-3 ATS in their last 58 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (515) Detroit Pistons |
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01-23-16 | Arizona v. California +4 | Top | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on CALIFORNIA for our Saturday Enforcer. Arizona fell to USC and UCLA in close road games to fall to 1-2 in the Pac 12 but it has kicked it up a notch since then as the Wildcats has won three straight games by 32, 24 and 14 points, that last coming on the road at Stanford. They are now 3-2 on the road and they will be facing their biggest road test since losing top guard Allonzo Trier to injury. Arizona has rolled in the games it is supposed to but has struggled against the better teams and this year's schedule has not been nearly as tough as it has been in recent years. California is coming off a lesser than expected victory over Arizona St. on Thursday as it was likely looking ahead to this one. The Golden Bears are off to a 3-3 start in the conference with the home team winning all six of those games. They are a perfect 13-0 at home and while this will be their biggest test no doubt but this team is loaded and was picked to finish second in the Pac 12. They have some unfinished business as well as California will be out for payback from three losses last season against Arizona by 23, 39 and 22 points. 10* (596) California Golden Bears |
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01-23-16 | Maryland v. Michigan State -3.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on MICHIGAN ST. for our Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan St., once the top ranked team in the nation, has fallen to 3-4 in the Big Ten Conference following its third straight loss on Wednesday at home against Nebraska. The defense has been horrible over this stretch and it won't get any easier Saturday but we can expect to see an all out effort against Maryland. The Spartans are fifth in the nation in shooting defense and fourth in rebounding margin and after allowing Nebraska to shoot 50 percent and barely win the rebound battle, head coach Tom Izzo got their attention. The Terrapins are coming off an overtime win at home against Northwestern which was arguably a letdown after a 35-point drubbing of Ohio St. Maryland has not been great on the road this season as it lost at North Carolina and Michigan while struggling against a poor Wisconsin team and this is now its toughest test thus far. The Terrapins came into East Lansing last season in their first ever Big Ten game and defeated Michigan St. in overtime and the Spartans have not forgotten. Michigan St. has not lost three straight games at home since 2003-04 when it lost to Duke, Oklahoma and Kentucky in the span of 11 days at the Breslin Center. 10* (662) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-23-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -5.5 | Top | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on KANSAS ST. for our Big 12 Game of the Year. It has been a very tough start for Kansas St. in the Big XII as it is 1-5 but the schedulemakers did it no favors. The Wildcats started conference action with a home overtime loss against West Virginia and most recently, they lost in overtime at Baylor. Two other losses came on the road at Texas and Oklahoma and the other was at home against Iowa St. so it has been a real tough slate to start. They catch a break Saturday though as they host Oklahoma St. which is coming off a huge upset win at home against Kansas. The Cowboys have also played a difficult schedule which is a reason they have started 2-4 in the conference but it has been an uphill battle after a 3-0 when it lost their best player Phil Forte. It was expected to be a down year for the Cowboys anyway so the victory over Kansas was a surprise to all. Kansas St. is in dire need of a victory to get something going and with its next four conference games coming against West Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma and Baylor, this is a must win. 10* (640) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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