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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-11-17 | Colorado State +4.5 v. Nevada | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
**Approx. 6:00 ET Start** Nevada is rolling along with eight straight wins and it has covered all of those games as well which is more impressive considering it has been favored in every one of those. The Wolf Pack come in favored once again but it is an overinflated number based on the streak and it has already gone up from opening. Nevada won the regular season MWC Championship on the final day when it defeated Colorado St. at home in the lone meeting between the two teams. It ended up being an easy victory for the Wolf Pack on their home floor where they suffered only one loss all season and they have not been nearly as dominant away from home against quality teams. The Rams fit that category as they took down San Diego St. last night and they have been nearly as hot, winning 12 of their last 14 games. The loss against Nevada was surprising considering how big it was but it was all due to cold shooting in the second half as the Rams actually carried a two-point lead into the half. We expect this game to come down to the final moments which makes the heavy line very underdog friendly. 10* (747) Colorado St. Rams |
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03-11-17 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -4 | Top | 60-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
**Approx. 1:00 ET Start** Rhode Island came through yesterday with a win over St. Bonaventure but it is still hanging on the bubble and has to continue its current run. While the Rams catch a Davidson team that is coming off an upset over Dayton, they would have been better off playing the Flyers which are the No. 27 ranked team in the RPI and that would have given them another opportunity for a quality win should they not gain the automatic bid with a championship. Rhode Island has won six straight games so peaking at the right time is on its side and going back, the Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Wildcats pulled off the upset yesterday to get a quality win in their corner but that was the first of the season away from home. That was actually just the second victory of the entire season as underdogs against seven losses and the first away from home. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog while the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. 10* (734) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-10-17 | Raptors v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Atlanta is just 2-3 on its current homestand and could use a big win prior to heading out on a two-game trip against Memphis and San Antonio. The Hawks have failed to cover any of these five games and they have dropped six straight against the number which is adding value to the number tonight. Atlanta trails Washington by 4.5 games in the Southeast Division but more importantly, it trails Toronto by three games for the ever-important fourth spot in the Eastern Conference, adding to the importance of this final game of the homestand. Toronto is 2-1 on this current roadtrip including a win last time out in New Orleans to keep pace with Boston in the Atlantic Division. The Raptors are two games over .500 on the road but they have struggled going back further as they are just 6-12 in their last 18 games on the highway. Only one of those six wins came against a winning team while the other five came against the Nets (twice), Lakers, Knicks and aforementioned Pelicans. The Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. 10* (508) Atlanta Hawks |
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03-10-17 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
**Approx. 7:00 ET Start** Vanderbilt is coming off a pretty easy win yesterday against Texas A&M and looks to sweep the Gators but Florida will have a say in that. The Commodores all but locked up an NCAA Tournament berth with the victory yesterday thanks to some quality wins and playing the third toughest schedule in the nation. Two of those wins came over Florida so there will be plenty of motivation on the Gators side tonight. Florida lost just four SEC games all year with the other two coming against Kentucky and South Carolina and the last loss against the Commodores came in the final regular season game so it is still fresh. The Gators didn't finish the season ranked No. 1 in the league in any of the prominent statistics, but they show up in the top five of 15 of them which shows how balanced this team is and a win here likely locks up a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament and a short trip to Orlando which is a huge edge. Florida is 8-1 ATS this season as a single-digit favorite and going back, the Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games as a favorite while the Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games as an underdog. 10* (558) Florida Gators |
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03-10-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -4 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
**Approx. 7:00 ET Start** Duke made a strong comeback yesterday and took out Louisville for its second win in two days and now gets a chance to defeat North Carolina following a loss to end the regular season. The Blue Devils won Thursday despite getting outshot 48.3 percent to 44.1 percent but were fortunate that the Cardinals missed 17 of 21 three-pointers and struggled down the stretch by not making a shot over the final 3:43 of the game. They obviously have a tough matchup once again and while the motivation will be high, the motivation for North Carolina is on another level. With Kansas losing to TCU yesterday, the Tar Heels could make a case for the overall No. 1 seed with an ACC Tournament title. Yesterday against the Hurricanes, the Tar Heels blew open a 34-31 game by shooting 53 percent from the floor, including six threes, after halftime and holding Miami to 30.0 percent shooting. Because of the blowout win, North Carolina was able to ease up late and that is significant playing with no rest while this will be the third game in three days for Duke. The Blue Devils are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win while going 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of fewer than seven points while the Tar Heels are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games as a favorite. 10* (570) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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03-10-17 | Michigan State v. Minnesota | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** We won with Michigan St. yesterday and it feels like once again that when the postseason comes along, the Spartans step it up and that is attributed to head coach Tom Izzo. The Spartans rolled over Penn St. and got the best draw in the quarterfinals facing a Minnesota team that not only has overachieved but they have a significant matchup advantage. The Gophers big men, specifically starting center Reggie Lynch, cannot stay out of foul trouble against Nick Ward and their attacking offense had trouble against Michigan St. in both meetings this season. Minnesota went 11-7 in the conference thanks to an eight-game winning streak prior to a season ending blowout loss against Wisconsin. Of those eight wins, six came against teams that will not be in the NCAA Tournament. Michigan St. played the toughest schedule of all Big Ten teams and this is time of season it pays off as losses early in the year against Arizona, Kentucky, Baylor and Duke only helps now in the postseason. 10* (519) Michigan St. Spartans |
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03-10-17 | St Bonaventure v. Rhode Island -4.5 | Top | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** St. Bonaventure has had a solid season as it picked up its 20th win yesterday against Massachusetts but the body of work to get there has been suspect. The Bonnies have won 12 Atlantic Ten games including the victory yesterday but not one of those came against a team with an above .500 record in conference play. They are one of only three teams in the entire conference that has just one victory over a top 100 team as the Bonnies are 1-10 against such teams and overall have played the easiest schedule of all Atlantic Ten teams. Rhode Island was expected to contend for the conference title and finished just two games out, going 13-5 and 21-9 overall. Despite this, the Rams are not guaranteed of an at-large NCAA Tournament bid as they are currently the last team out so they need to make a run in this tournament meaning a loss here likely sends them to the NIT. They have won five straight games so they have momentum coming into Friday while the Bonnies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. 10* (528) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-10-17 | Georgia +10 v. Kentucky | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
**Approx. 1:00 ET Start** Georgia survived against Tennessee yesterday and now gets a third crack at Kentucky in a game it essentially has to win to make an argument at an NCAA Tournament bid. The Bulldogs came in as the No. 8 seed in the SEC Tournament but are one of six teams in the conference with an RPI in the top 50. The problem has been they have very few quality wins but they have been so close to at least having a few. Georgia lost to Kentucky twice this season but both came down to the final seconds and in addition to the Kentucky losses, it fell to Florida on the road in overtime and lost to South Carolina twice by a combined seven points. The Bulldogs got forward Yante Maten back, who is second on the team with 18.4 ppg, after missing four games and his presence is huge. Kentucky is the class of the SEC as evidenced by this line but it is again inflated because of who the Wildcats are and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. Georgia is 5-0 ATS as an underdog of 7.5 or more points while going 10-2 ATS this season away from home against teams with a winning record. 10* (553) Georgia Bulldogs |
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03-09-17 | San Diego State -1.5 v. Boise State | Top | 87-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
**Approx. 11:30 ET Start** One of the biggest busts of the season, not only in the MWC but in the entire country, was San Diego St. which was expected to win the conference. Instead, the Aztecs lost their first three conference games and while they won eight of their next 11 games, a closing 1-3 stretch sent them to a 9-9 record and in need of running the table in the MWC Tournament. Things were not looking good last night as they trailed by 21 points in the second half but something clicked and they went on a huge run and won by 10 points in overtime. The 21-point second half comeback is the largest comeback after intermission in the history of the program and that effort can vault them a long way. Closing the game has been an issue as in five of its nine league defeats, it owned a lead of at least 11 points. Last night, they closed the other way. Boise St. closed the season with a win over Air Force to finish 12-6 to grab the No. 3 seed. While it was a solid year, the Broncos won the games they were supposed to but did not play great against the better teams down the stretch as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (789) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-09-17 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +4 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
**Approx. 9:30 ET Start** Many are saying that Virginia is peaking at the right time as after its win yesterday, the Cavaliers have won four straight games. However, one of those came against NC State while two others came against a poor Pittsburgh team. While the win over North Carolina was impressive, it was a huge revenge game and Virginia played arguably its best game of the season. Now the Cavaliers come in as a surprisingly big favorite that finished ahead of them in the standings and it seems to be overpriced. Notre Dame lost its regular season finale at Louisville after six straight wins and seems poised to make another tournament run. The Irish lost at home to Virginia back in January which was their worst loss of the season so they will be out for some retribution from that. As a matter of fact, Notre Dame has lost five straight to the Cavaliers, not covering once, so have that contrarian revenge angle going as well. We expect a tight game this time around and the favorable price gives a ton of value to the underdog. The Irish have covered six of their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (718) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-09-17 | Cavs -4.5 v. Pistons | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Cleveland is coming off a pair of losses against Miami but the circumstances were tough. LeBron James and Kyrie Irving sat out the first meeting while in the second meeting, Andrew Bogut broke his leg a minute into the game and James said the energy left the building at that point. The Cavaliers eventually fell behind by points and could not recover. Overall, Cleveland has now dropped four of its last six games and will be highly motivated to get back on track here after having two days off. The Pistons lost in Indiana last night and while this looks like a possible bounce back spot, they have not been good in the role of underdog, going 9-21 straight up and 11-19 ATS. Additionally, they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games playing with no rest. They have been solid at home but the schedule has played a part. Detroit has won 20 games at home but only six have come against winning teams and while one of those came against Cleveland the day after Christmas, LeBron James sat that one out. It is well documented Cleveland has struggled on the road against losing teams but this is a different situation. 10* (701) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-09-17 | New Mexico +2.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
**Approx. 5:30 ET Start** 2017 is looking a lot like 2016 for Fresno St. and the Bulldogs hope they can repeat what they did a season ago. Fresno St. enters the 2017 MWC Championships on a season-long five-game winning streak. Last season, the Bulldogs ended the regular season on a six-game winning streak before winning the 2016 MWC Championship. Momentum is on their side right now but they get a tough matchup in their opener with New Mexico which is back at full strength. Senior forward Tim Williams, who is averaging 17.5 ppg, missed two games in December due to concussion protocol and seven in February due to a stress reaction on his left foot. He is back after playing the last game against San Diego St. and while he was out, other players stepped up in his absence which makes this a very deep team heading into the tournament. New Mexico has proven that it can be strong away from home as it became the first team in Mountain West history to take down San Diego St., Colorado St. and Boise St. on the road in a single season. 10* (785) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-17 | Penn State v. Michigan State -5 | Top | 51-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** It was a pretty average season by Michigan St. standards but scheduling had a lot to do with that as it played the No. 15 ranked schedule in the nation. After a 4-4 start in the Big Ten, the Spartans won six of their next eight games including some quality wins and while they dropped their last two, both of those were by just three points. This young team has grown up a bunch since early season losses to Arizona, Kentucky, Baylor and Duke. Penn St. is coming off a taxing overtime win over Nebraska yesterday which snapped a five-game slide. The Nittany Lions will have a tough time regrouping for the revenge minded Spartans. The Spartans and Nittany Lions played once during the regular season, with the Nittany Lions winning, 72-63, back on Jan. 7 in a game played at The Palestra in Philadelphia. Michigan St. turned the ball over 17 times against the aggressive Nittany Lions and now that it is one-and-done season, it cannot afford that many missed opportunities on offense. 10* (722) Michigan St. Spartans |
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03-09-17 | Duke v. Louisville -2 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** Duke was able to make a second half push against Clemson to pull out a second round win and now faces a much stiffer test with Louisville which comes in rested with four days off. The Blue Devils struggled in the first meeting in the ability to get shots off and that will be the Cardinals goal again as they will want to keep this one slow paced and win with their defense. The Cardinals are 14th in the nation in field goal percentage defense (.395), 11th in blocked shots (5.5 per game) and 14th in three-point field goal defense (.307) while sitting sixth in the nation in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted defensive efficiency. Louisville has been great as a favorite this season, winning 20 of 23 games while covering 15 of those and converting five of six on the season against the number when laying seven or fewer points. The Blue Devils are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. 10* (714) Louisville Cardinals |
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03-08-17 | Washington State +10 v. Colorado | Top | 63-73 | Push | 0 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
**Approx. 9:00 ET Start** Two of the biggest disappointment square off in the first round of the Pac 12 Tournament and Colorado looks to be very overpriced here. The Buffaloes opened 0-7 within the conference but closed on an 8-3 run to gain some momentum to try and make a postseason run but six of those wins came at home and against some poor opposition. These teams split their two regular season meetings and while Colorado won the second meeting at home in blowout fashion, the line has been overadjusted here based on their second half of the conference season which as mentioned, it overrated. The Buffaloes have a significant home court advantage based on being used to the elevation but this is a below average team when playing outside of Boulder and they come down to the level of the completion. Washington St. opened 2-0 in the Pac 12 but it was downhill from there although the Cougars played well over the final two weeks with a couple of wins and a solid game against UCLA. Washington St. was 8-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog while the Buffaloes are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win. 10* (557) Washington St. Cougars |
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03-08-17 | Duquesne v. St. Louis +2.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
**Approx. 8:30 ET Start** The second game of the first round of the Atlantic Ten Tournament and the feeling here is that the wrong team is favored. St. Louis was picked to finish last in the conference but put together a solid run after a 1-7 start as the Billikens went a very respectable 5-6 over their final 11 games. Five of the losses came on the road however all were against teams above them in the conference standings. This was a very undervalued team throughout the season as St. Louis went 13-3 ATS over their last 16 games. Additionally, the Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Duquesne was also picked to finish near the bottom of the conference and the Dukes finished dead last with a 3-15 record. They lost 13 of their last 14 games so they come in with zero momentum and they were favored away from home only once and that resulted in an outright loss at St. Louis. The Billikens were 5-2 ATS this season as a single-digit underdog while the Dukes are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (568) St. Louis Billikens |
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03-08-17 | Pistons v. Pacers -4 | Top | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Indiana carries a four-game home losing streak into the All Star Break but was able to snap that in the first game back with a 10-point win over the Grizzlies. The Pacers were unable to carry that momentum onto the road however as they went just 2-3 on their five-game roadtrip. They are still a very solid 21-10 at home including going 16-3 when favored. Detroit is riding a two-game winning streak and sits just a game behind Indiana in the Eastern Conference playoff race as it looks to avoid getting swept in the season series after dropping the first three meetings. The Pistons are just 11-20 on the road with eight of those wins coming against teams with a losing record. They have been unable to put together any significant winning streaks this season as they are just 3-9 following consecutive wins including a 1-4 record on the road. Detroit is just 5-11 ATS when getting fewer than five points and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (514) Indiana Pacers |
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03-08-17 | Jazz v. Rockets -7 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Houston is coming off a tough loss against San Antonio on Monday by a bucket but looks to get it back tonight and extend its lead over Utah to five games for the No. 3 spot in the Western Conference. The Rockets have been the best team in the NBA following a loss this season, going 17-2 straight up and 15-4 ATS and overall they have dominated the Western Conference with a 25-12 ATS record. Utah has certainly held its own and have quietly put together a three-game winning streak but it has been quiet due to the fact it has come against three teams that will not be making the playoffs. This has been a common trend all season as the Jazz have won the games they should be winning and losing the games against the better teams. While they are a solid 18-12 on the road, the favorite has won 25 of those 30 games while going 20-10 ATS. Utah has won just two games on the highway when getting points and all 10 losses have come by at least nine points and by an average of 12.6 ppg. Going back, the Jazz are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (516) Houston Rockets |
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03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB -6.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
**Approx. 6:30 ET Start** Game Three of the first round of the Conference-USA Tournament features Charlotte and UAB with the latter needing to run the table to make the Big Dance. While the Blazers were never a lock, they opened the conference season 7-2 and were well on their way to finish at or near the top as predicted but the wheels fell off with a 2-7 finish to fall into the No. 7 seed. This is a team that can make a run at the top seeds because this is a very veteran team as UAB's current roster has a total of 33 games of experience in Conference-USA tournament play, which is the most of any team in the league. Charlotte did not close well either as it finished on a 3-7 run over its final 10 games which included just one victory away from home. The 49ers lost by 13 points at UAB in the lone meeting this season and a big difference was they were manhandled on the boards and that is a significant matchup edge again tonight. The best aspect of course is that this game is being played on the Blazers home court which is a big edge in the early round as a lot of the other marginal school fan bases will not be traveling very well. The 49ers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (536) UAB Blazers |
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03-07-17 | Blazers v. Thunder -6.5 | Top | 126-121 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
We played against the Blazers last night but their game in Minnesota got postponed due to condensation on the floor. We will be going against them tonight in what is an even better spot. As mentioned yesterday, Portland remains part of the Western Conference playoff picture as it sits just two games behind Denver for the eighth slot thanks to a pair of wins on Thursday and Saturday. Those came at home however where the Blazers are 16-13 but the road has been a different story as they are just 10-22 including losses in three of their last four games on their most recent roadtrip. Oklahoma City is coming off a three-game roadtrip that did not go well as it lost all three games and all three came against teams sitting outside of the playoffs including the first one coming against Portland setting up a quick revenge turnaround. The Thunder have won four straight home games and going back, they are 12-2 in their last 14 games at Chesapeake Energy Arena. They are 14-3 ATS at home against teams with a losing record while the Blazers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (702) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-07-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | Top | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia Tech won for us exactly a week ago in this same matchup but unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, they lost next time out in Syracuse putting some pressure on them this week. Georgia Tech is hanging on by a thread to make the NCAA Tournament as it is currently one of the last four teams out making this a must-win game and likely tomorrow as well. The Yellow Jackets are 2-4 in their last six games including an additional pair of road losses in Miami and Notre Dame and the one home loss against NC State really hurt them. Pittsburgh was close to the bubble as well but a run of four straight losses to end the regular season doomed the Panthers. They will be out to play spoiler but it has been a huge disappointment this season so the energy level tonight may be light. The feeling here is that the wrong ream is favored with a lot of that based on name and not what is at stake. The Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. 10* (712) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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03-06-17 | Pacers v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
The Hornets are back in Charlotte for the first time in three weeks as they have not played a home game since February 13th. The seven game roadtrip was wrapped around the All Star Break and while it resulted in just a 3-4 record, the road has been a problem for them all season. Charlotte will be out to snap a three-game skid at home where it is three games over .500 overall and has won 16 of 23 games when favored. Indiana has gone 2-2 on its current roadtrip including a win yesterday afternoon in Atlanta but now is in a very unfavorable situation. The Pacers are just 3-10 this season when playing with no rest, covering only two of those games and they are 0-4 straight up and ATS when playing back-to-back road games. Indiana has failed to cover its last five games in Charlotte which puts the Hornets in place to gain ground in the Eastern Conference playoff race. 10* (514) Charlotte Hornets |
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03-06-17 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 112-98 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Philadelphia is coming off a rare home blowout loss and we say rare because it has been very solid in this role all season, covering 23 of 30 games as a home underdog. The Sixers lost by 30 points against the Pistons on Saturday but are still a profitable 20-5 ATS this season when getting fewer than seven points. They have lost consecutive games against the number only once since before Christmas. Milwaukee has won two straight games against a pair of playoff-bound teams and it has been a case of playing up or down to the competition all season. The Bucks have failed to cover four of their last five games as a road favorite and going back, they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Meanwhile, the Sixers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (506) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-05-17 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -7.5 | Top | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
At one point, Wisconsin was a clear top 10 team and shooting for a No. 2 seed and possibly even a No. 1 but the Badgers have fallen on hard times and are in need of something big before the Big Ten Tournament. Wisconsin has lost three straight games and five of its last six to fall into a tie for third place in the conference. The Badgers are coming off a last second loss against Iowa last time out but still sit at 14-2 at home and they have won 20 of their last 22 games at the Kohl Center. The Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a winning road record. Minnesota has been on the opposite type of run as it has won eight straight games to solidify its spot in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. While the run has been solid, the schedule has played a role as only two of those victories are against teams that will be part of the Big Dance. Four of the last five wins took place at home and the Gophers bring in an average 5-4 road record and the spot and situation are not good as the Gophers are 3-18 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (836) Wisconsin Badgers |
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03-05-17 | Celtics -6 v. Suns | Top | 106-109 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Boston opened its five-game roadtrip with a relatively easy win over the Lakers as it avoided a letdown following a home victory over Cleveland. With upcoming games against the Clippers and Warriors on Monday and Wednesday, the Celtics cannot let this game slip away and they have been sensational in these spots all season. While Boston is 0-9 ATS when favored by eight or more points, it is 24-11 ATS when favored by less than that which includes a 13-4 ATS mark when favored on the road. Phoenix has been playing well as it has won two straight games while going back prior to the break, it has won three straight home games but is still a disappointing 11-17 at home. The Suns are just 4-15 following a win this season and going back, they are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win. Boston has a chance to move to within two games of the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference and should do so with relative ease on Sunday. 10* (827) Boston Celtics |
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03-04-17 | Grizzlies +8 v. Rockets | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Memphis took to the road last night in Dallas and lost by four points as a small chalk and tonight we are seeing a double-digit line switch which is very aggressive. The Grizzlies have been playing well since the end of January as they are 9-5 over their last 14 games including a 6-3 record on the road. This is the fourth and final regular season meeting with Memphis having a 2-1 edge including a win here back in January and it matches up well here as one of the slower teams in the league. The Rockets bounced back after a loss to Indiana with a 19-point win over the Clippers on Wednesday and they are now 17-2 this season following a loss. While Houston has been solid at home, it has had a tough time covering the now inflated numbers and on the season, it is 1-8 ATS when favored between 7 and 11 points. The Rockets have struggled against solid competition at home as they are 4-11 ATS against teams with a winning record and while playing great off a loss, they are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. Memphis is 9-4 ATS this season when playing with no rest, winning 10 of those games outright. 10* (511) Memphis Grizzlies |
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03-04-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -6.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
After holding Virginia to a season low 41 points in the first meeting this season, North Carolina was held to a season low 43 points against the Cavaliers in its last game. It will be out to bounce back from that but more importantly, it will be out to avenge a loss at Duke in the first meeting this season as well as guarantee an outright ACC regular season championship. The Tar Heels lead Notre Dame by one game and the Irish are at Louisville earlier in the day so the it might already be decided but that is not going to take away any motivation for this one. The Blue Devils are coming off a win at home against Florida St. which snapped a two-game losing streak which came after winning seven straight. It has been an up and down season for Duke and it has dropped five of its eight ACC road games and now comes the biggest test of them all. Motivation will be high on the Blue Devils side as well but North Carolina is one of eight teams in the country to be undefeated at home and it wants to keep that intact. North Carolina has played Duke seven previous times under Roy Williams in the final game of the regular season with first place in the ACC at stake and it is a perfect 7-0. 10* (628) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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03-04-17 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech -2 | Top | 89-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Virginia Tech will be making its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2007 thanks to a 10-7 record in the ACC and a loss here would match their conference record from last season and it did not get an invite which shows how strong of a season it has been this year. The Hokies have four wins against the top 50 and they bring in a 15-1 record at home to Senior Day. They have quality wins here against Duke, Syracuse, Virginia and Miami and the lone home defeat came against Notre Dame by just five points and going back to last season, they have won 20 of their last 21 home games. The Hokies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Wake Forest could use a win to punch a ticket into the Big Dance as it is one of the last four teams in heading into the weekend. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games including a home upset win over Louisville on Wednesday. Those were both at home however where Wake Forest is 6-3 in the ACC but on the road, it is 2-6 with the win coming against Boston College and NC State which are a combined 6-29 in the conference. The Demon Deacons are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up win. 10* (594) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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03-04-17 | Xavier -7 v. DePaul | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
We played on Xavier is it last home game of the season and it fell behind early because of a hot shooting Marquette team, which finished hitting 61.1 percent from the floor, and sent the Musketeers to their sixth straight loss. They were an NCAA Tournament lock a month ago but that is no longer the case as they are teetering on the bubble and can ill afford another loss especially against an opponent like this. This is the longest losing streak for Xavier since 1982 and while laying a big number on the road is never easy, DePaul has very little home court advantage. The Blue Demons were picked to finish last in the Big East and they have not disappointed as they come in at 2-15 with those two wins coming by a combined three points. To their credit, they have had a share of close losses here but three of their last four home losses have been by at least 13 points. We are getting some value in this number because of the Xavier losing streak as well as the fact that DePaul has covered five straight games. Going back, the Musketeers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. 10* (535) Xavier Musketeers |
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03-04-17 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -3.5 | Top | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The bubble watch is on for many teams that need to win and make some conference tournament runs to make it to the Big Dance and one of those is Kansas St. The Wildcats are on the outside looking in despite a 7-10 record in the Big XII but they actually have a relatively high RPI as they possess three wins over top 50 teams. Kansas St. is 10-5 at home but this record includes four straight losses so it will be out to snap that streak in its final home game of the season. Texas Tech was on the bubble for a while but losses in five of its last six games has knocked the Red Raiders out and a championship in the Big XII Tournament is the only way they will get in. Part of the issue has been the inability to win on the road as Texas Tech is 1-8 on the highway including a winless 0-8 record in the conference. A loss by the Wildcats will knock them completely out of the conversation and they will be forced to take the entire Big XII Tournament which is certainly a longshot. The home team has dominated this series over the years and that continues this Saturday on Senior Day in Manhattan. 10* (532) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-03-17 | Pacific -4 v. Pepperdine | Top | 89-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Pepperdine was supposed to take a step forward this season after two straight 18-win seasons but instead, it took a couple steps back as it heads into the WCC Tournament with just nine wins overall. The Waves have lost their last four games which came after winning three straight games but the wind came out of their sails right after their winning streak with the loss of forward Chris Reyes who is one of three players averaging double-digits in scoring. After Reyes went down, Pepperdine has been outscored by 118 points over three-plus games. Pacific has not had much better success this season as it has just one more win overall and actually finished with one fewer victory in the conference. The Tigers have lost three straight games but were able to cover all of those as they cashed a huge number against Gonzaga while their last two losses came by a point apiece against Santa Clara and Loyola-Marymount. Overall, five WCC losses came by five points or less and they head into the tournament in much better shape. Pepperdine is 4-15 ATS this season as an underdog of three points or more and the Tigers have had similar results with the favorite winning 22 of 28 lined games this season. 10* (879) Pacific Tigers |
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03-03-17 | Cavs -3 v. Hawks | Top | 135-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
After sweeping Atlanta in the 2014-15 Eastern Conference Finals, Cleveland won all three regular season meeting last season as well as sweeping the Hawks in the playoffs once again but Atlanta was finally able to snap the slide, winning in November to halt the 11-game losing streak. Even though it was long ago, the Cavaliers certainly have not forgotten that loss and coupled with the loss in Boston on Wednesday, they will be giving a full out effort tonight. Cleveland has won its last four games following a loss and after its lead in the Eastern Conference has been cut to just three games, this is now a big game especially with a home-and-home on deck against red hot Miami. Atlanta dropped its first two games out of the break but has won two straight since then to keep pace with Washington in the Southeast Division. The Hawks are 2.5 games behind the Wizards but despite the recent wins, they are just 8-8 over their last 16 games including a meager 4-4 record at home. Cleveland has won 12 of 17 games this season following a loss while winning 13 of 18 games when favored on the road and on the other side, the Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. 10* (827) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-03-17 | Loyola-Chicago -3 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Loyola-Chicago was the most snake bit team during the regular season and there should be plenty of motivation for the Ramblers heading into the MVC Tournament. They finished 8-10 but it could have and should have been a lot better. Of those 10 losses, six came by four points or less, two coming in overtime, including four defeats by two points or less. Conversely, of the eight wins, six were by double-digits. To show how unfortunate they were, they outscored opponents by 6.9 ppg while Illinois St., which finished the season 17-1, outscored opponents by just 8.5 ppg. Loyola is 0-8 this season in games decided by five points or less and is tied for seventh in the nation with six losses by three points or less. Two of the close losses came against Southern Illinois, including a two-point loss in the regular season finale, so there is the revenge factor as well. The Salukis finished the regular season with a .500 record but were outscored on the season and they fall into the situation of going against teams in conference tournaments trying to defeat the same team for a third time. The Ramblers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (865) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers -1 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Here we have two teams coming off opposite schedules since before the All Star Break and this is one where Portland can take advantage of heading home. The Blazers are coming off a three-game roadtrip including three games since the break and they put up a 1-3 record to fall to 10-22 on the highway. They are just a game over .500 at home and will be looking to snap a three-game slide at the Moda Center and their recent record of 3-4 includes three close losses while going back, the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Oklahoma City meanwhile is coming off a four-game homestand where it went a perfect 4-0 to improve to 23-8 on its home floor which is the second best home record in the Western Conference. The Thunder are just 12-17 on the road however and playing on the road has been a rarity of late as only four of their last 14 games have been away from home an all four of those have resulted in losses. It has been 17 days since the Thunder have had to travel and going back, they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. The home team has won the last eight meetings and we see that continuing here. 10* (706) Portland Trailblazers |
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03-02-17 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis -5.5 | Top | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
UC Davis is one of eight teams in the country that possess an undefeated record at home and that is on the line tonight. The Aggies are one win away from posting its second undefeated home record in the last three seasons, and providing the perfect ending for five graduating seniors, J.T. Adenrele, Darius Graham, Brynton Lemar, Georgi Funtarov and Lawrence White. They are a half-game behind Cal Irvine for first place in the Big West Conference and that is where they head on Saturday so a loss here means they will not be able to win the conference outright. Hawaii comes in riding a two-game winning streak and it is coming off its final home game of the season with an overtime win over CS Fullerton. The final home game is a guarantee considering the Warriors are ineligible for the postseason so they are just playing out the string in these final two games. They are 3-3 on the road but the three wins came against three of the four bottom teams in the conference and going back, the Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Meanwhile, the Aggies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (746) UC Davis Aggies |
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03-02-17 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -1 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a pretty big weekend for UTSA as it can finish as high as seventh in the C-USA standings with a pair of victories and some help this week. The Roadrunners are 7-9 in Conference-USA so getting to .500 would be a huge accomplishment for a team that was picked to finish dead last in the conference following a 5-27 record last season. They are getting the job done at home as they are 10-2 with the two losses coming against Middle Tennessee St. and Louisiana Tech which are a combined 28-5 in the conference. Following a four-game roadtrip, the Roadrunners are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. It has been just the opposite for Charlotte on the road as it is 2-8 with one win coming in the non-conference slate over Elon and its lone conference win came against 2-14 North Texas. Additionally, only one of its conference losses came by fewer than 13 points. The 49ers just came off their final home game of the season which resulted in a loss so this is a tough spot to get up for and it is a horrible spot as they are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (722) UTSA Roadrunners |
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03-01-17 | Nets v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Sacramento opened the second half without DeMarcus Cousins with a win over Denver but has since dropped its last two games against Charlotte and Minnesota but it has a great chance tonight to even the homestand at 2-2. Going back, the Kings are 5-3 over their last eight home games and while the roster is different now, they are catching a very solid number. On the season, Sacramento is 3-1 straight up and ATS at home as a favorite of three points or less with the lone loss coming against Indiana. Additionally, the Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Brooklyn was able to cover its last game against Golden St. but the Warriors were not playing at full throttle with the whole roster getting court time. The Nets have lost 16 straight games including seven straight on the road where they have won just twice all season. They seem to be getting too much credit here against a Sacramento team that despite the roster moves, is just two games out of the eighth spot in the Western Conference so there is plenty to be playing for. 10* (522) Sacramento Kings |
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03-01-17 | Marquette v. Xavier -3 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
We played on and lost with Xavier on Sunday as the Musketeers had every chance to pull away and win the game but turned the ball over too many times late in the game and thus, were outscored 19-8 to end the game. They have lost two straight home games for the first time since 2011 and with this being the final home game of the season, we will be a solid bounce back effort to stop that skid as well as an overall five-game losing streak. Included in that is a 22-point loss at Marquette so there is the revenge factor as well. The Musketeers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Marquette is just 3-6 on the road this season so it could use another win on the highway to bolster a possible berth into the NCAA Tournament but this is not the place to do it. The Golden Eagles host Creighton in their final game of the season so there is still a chance after this not to mention the Big East Tournament. The problem they are caching Xavier at the wrong place at the wrong time and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (552) Xavier Musketeers |
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03-01-17 | Nuggets v. Bucks -2.5 | Top | 110-98 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Milwaukee remains in the playoff hunt in the Eastern Conference as it sits two games behind Detroit for the eighth and final spot. The Bucks are coming off a loss to Cleveland which came in the second game of a back-to-back where they decided to rest Khris Middleton who is slowly but surely coming back to full health. The Bucks have been pretty solid at home this season despite just a .500 record as they have lost some close games along the way, dropping 10 of those by six points or less, seven of those coming against winning teams. Denver is coming off a win in Chicago last night as it shot 56.2 percent from the floor and had a 22-9 advantage from the free throw line. That was just the 11th road win on the season for the Nuggets and they have not won consecutive road games all season. Additionally, Denver has not won any back-to-back games in a month as it has gone 0-6 in its last six games following a victory, failing to cover any of those games on top of it. Also, the Nuggets are 3-10 this season when playing with no rest. 10* (512) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-01-17 | Knicks +1.5 v. Magic | Top | 101-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
The Knicks are coming off a tough loss on Monday as they lost to Toronto by a point on a last second shot, sending the Raptors to their fourth straight victory. The loss was not a surprise as New York was coming off a win and it has not won consecutive games in over two months, going 0-9 in its last nine games following a victory. We should see a motivated bunch tonight as the Knicks will get Kristaps Porzingis back in the lineup. Orlando is off a rare win as it took out Atlanta on Saturday and the Magic have not won consecutive games many times this season as they are 6-15 following a victory including seven straight losses. Orlando has not been favored much this season and when it is, the results are not good as the Magic are 2-9-1 ATS in 12 games when laying points. The Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400 while the Magic are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (501) New York Knicks |
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03-01-17 | Michigan v. Northwestern | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
While Northwestern is still pretty much guaranteed to make its first ever NCAA Tournament appearance, the Wildcats are not doing themselves any favors to make it a lock. They have lost five of their last seven games 9-7 in the Big Ten and they are currently projected as a No. 10 seed which seems pretty safe but losing their final two games as well as their first game in the Big Ten Tournament will put the decision in the hands of the committee. That is something they do not want so a win here is imperative with the final game of the season coming against Purdue. The Wildcats are 13-3 at home and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Michigan has clawed its way into the right side of the NCAA Tournament bubble thanks to five wins over its last six games including big victories over Michigan St., Wisconsin and Purdue but those all came at home where it is 15-3. The Wolverines played their final home game and won against Purdue so it will be tough to get up here and they 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (530) Northwestern Wildcats |
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02-28-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
While winning the Mountain West Conference is a stretch, Boise St. is still mathematically alive as it sits a game behind Colorado St. and Nevada who face off against each other in the final game of the season. The Broncos are coming off a win over San Jose St. on Saturday to make it six wins over their last eight games including their fourth straight home win where they are 11-2 on the season and have won 64 of their last 74. While winning the conference may be a stretch, Boise St. currently sits in third place which is a huge spot as it avoids the No. 4-No. 5 matchup in the first round of the upcoming MWC Tournament and a win here guarantees at least a No. 3 spot. The Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of fewer than seven points. Fresno St. has won three straight games to move two games over .500 in the conference and could be peaking at the right time similar to last year when it made a run into the NCAA Tournament. This team has been much more inconsistent however and the Bulldogs have struggled on the road for the most part, going just 5-9 including a 2-6 record in the conference. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (754) Boise St. Broncos |
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02-28-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Georgia Tech is hanging on by a thread to make the NCAA Tournament as it is currently one of the last four teams out meaning it will have to likely win out as well as win a game or two in the upcoming ACC Tournament. The Yellow Jackets are 1-3 in their last four games including a pair of road losses in Miami and Notre Dame and the one home loss against NC State really hurt them and they cannot lose another home game against a non-quality opponent. This is the last home game of the season so coupled with the must win scenario, Georgia Tech is in a great spot laying a short number. Four home wins against ACC teams heading to the tournament shows they can get it done here. Pittsburgh has had a very rough season but it was expected. The Panthers are a game over .500 but are just 4-12 in the ACC including a 1-6 record on the road and that win came against 2-14 Boston College. They are coming off their final home game of the season on Saturday which resulted in a blowout loss against North Carolina so they are now just playing out the string. The Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. 10* (748) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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02-28-17 | Blazers v. Pistons -4.5 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
With the Miami loss last night, Detroit moved a game and a half ahead of the Heat for the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference and it looks to increase that to a full two games tonight. The Pistons lost here to Boston on Sunday but have been playing well at home for the most part as they are 9-3 over their last 12 games. They have been very solid as mid-range favorites, going 12-6 ATS when favored between four and seven points and are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. The Blazers are in the playoff hunt in the Western Conference despite being 10 games under .500 as they trail Denver by a game and a half for the final spot. They have been average at home but dreadful on the road as their 21 road losses are tied for fourth most in the NBA. Portland has lost 15 of its last 18 road games as an underdog and it has not been covering very often as well in this range as it is 3-12 ATS in its 15 games this season when getting fewer than six points. This is a big one for both sides but we give the significant edge to the home team based on the big home/road split variances. 10* (704) Detroit Pistons |
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02-28-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan +2 | Top | 109-81 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is the final home game of the season for Central Michigan which was looking good to possibly steal the MAC West but has dropped five straight games to fall into a tie for last place in the division. The losing run also includes five straight losses against the number and that is a big reason the Chippewas are home underdogs here despite playing a team with a losing record overall and the same record in the conference. This is likely the final home game for NCAA leading scorer Marcus Keene who is a junior but is projected to be a second round pick in the upcoming NBA Draft. Central Michigan will be out to avoid a four-game home losing streak before hitting the road to end the season. The Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Eastern Michigan rolled on Saturday over Northern Illinois which snapped a six-game losing streak as well as a seven-game ATS losing skid. The road has been a real problem however as the Eagles are 4-10 overall including four straight losses. Additionally, the Chippewas will be out to avenge a 22-point loss against Eastern Michigan from last month. 10* (730) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-27-17 | Heat v. Mavs +1.5 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Miami has caught fire yet again as after a 13-game winning streak, the Heat dropped a pair of games before winning their final game before the break and since then, they have added another pair of blowout wins. Wins over Atlanta and Indiana were both double-digit victories and with the incredible 16-2 stretch, Miami is now just a game behind Detroit for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. While the Heat have been better on the road, they have been road favorites only four times, twice each against Brooklyn and Philadelphia. Dallas may not be a whole lot better than those two teams record-wise, the Mavericks are significantly better rating-wise. After a loss at Minnesota to open the second half, Dallas came back with a win over New Orleans on Saturday to make it seven wins over its last nine home games. The Mavericks are a game over .500 at home for the season and they are 10-2 ATS at home against teams with a losing record while going 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (512) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-27-17 | North Carolina v. Virginia +3.5 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
North Carolina has won four straight games since a loss at Duke to move to 25-5 overall and it has clinched at least a share of the regular-season ACC championship with a 13-3 record in conference play. The Tar Heels have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the upcoming ACC Tournament so this game means little at this point and with a revenge game against Duke on deck in its final home game, it will be hard for them not to be looking ahead to that game. Virginia snapped a four-game slide with a win over NC State on Saturday to improve to 9-7 in the conference to move into a tie for seventh place in the loaded ACC. Should the Cavaliers win out, they have a shot of getting into the top four which comes with a double-bye but they will need some help along the way. They are 10-4 at home with three losses coming within the conference but one came in overtime, another by two points to Florida St. and the last coming against Duke which came two days after an excruciating overtime loss against rival Virginia Tech by a bucket. Virginia lost at North Carolina just over a week ago as it was held to a season low 41 points and the top defense in the nation would love to return that favor tonight. The Tar Heels are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (516) Virginia Cavaliers |
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02-26-17 | Jazz v. Wizards -2.5 | Top | 102-92 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Washington closed out with three straight wins prior to the break but lost momentum with the time off as it opened the second half with a loss at Philadelphia. The road has been the real issue for the Wizards which are now just 10-15 on the highway but they have been exceptional at home, especially of late. Washington is 24-7 at home on the season including a 19-1 record over its last 20 games here with the lone loss coming against Cleveland in overtime nearly three weeks ago. They are catching a favorable price here as they look to add to their stellar 16-5 ATS record as favorites of fewer than six points. Utah opened the second half with a win over Milwaukee on Friday to improve to 16-11 on the road. Most of those victories have come against inferior teams however as only three of those 16 wins have come against teams with a winning record. Utah has defeated the teams is should as it is 32-9 as a favorite but it has struggled against the better opposition as it is 2-12 as an underdog, covering just three of those games. Going back, the Jazz are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (806) Washington Wizards |
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02-26-17 | Butler v. Xavier +2 | Top | 88-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Butler is coming off an upset win at Villanova and the Bulldogs have handed the Wildcats two of their three losses this season so they certainly want no part of the Bulldogs come Big East Tournament time. Butler improved to 22-6 overall including 11-5 in the conference to remain in second place, a spot it is likely to stay in come the end of the regular season. After that is where it gets really interesting. Six teams are within two games of each other and only two of those teams will be locking down an extra day off in the tournament which comes with possessing a No. 1 though No. 4 seed. Xavier is in the mix as it sits in the No. 4 slot but is also just a half-game out of the No. 5 spot. The Musketeers have lost four straight games starting with a home loss against Villanova and then dropping three straight on the road. Xavier is 12-2 at home, the other loss coming against Creighton, so it will have to protect its home court here to avoid a second straight home loss for the first time since December of 2011. Xavier has won five straight games at home in this series and going back, the Musketeers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (836) Xavier Musketeers |
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02-26-17 | Middle Tennessee v. UAB +6 | Top | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
UAB was picked to finish second in Conference-USA but that will not be happening and now the Blazers goal is to get back into the top four to receive a first round bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They opened C-USA play with a loss at Middle Tennessee St. before running off five straight wins but is has been an up and down ride since then as UAB has gone just 3-6 over its last nine games. However, five of those losses came on the road (0-5) so a return home here is big as the Blazers are 10-3 on their home floor and this is the start of a three-game homestand to close out the season and UAB has not lost consecutive games at home since 2014. Middle Tennessee wrapped up the regular season championship with a win at Marshall last Saturday and while it can still finish with the same record as Louisiana Tech, it owns the tiebreakers and while closing the season against 6-10 FAU and 2-14 FIU. We do not see a ton of motivation on the side of the Blue Raiders considering this being their last true road game of the season and for what little is at stake. It is much more meaningful to the Blazers who will also be out for revenge after being held to a season low 49 points in the first meeting. The Blazers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (822) UAB Blazers |
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02-25-17 | Long Beach State v. UC-Davis -4.5 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
UC Davis is tied with UC Irvine atop the Big West Conference and the Aggies travel to face the anteaters in the regular season finale so the next two games are very important to make that last game have any meaning. UC Davis defeated Northridge in its last game which halted a two-game slide but both of those were on the road including an overtime loss at Long Beach St which sets up a nice revenge spot here. The Aggies are a perfect 9-0 at home, winning those games by an average of 12.5 ppg and 11 of those victories have been by at least nine points. The 49ers are just two games out of first place but they are coming off an awful loss at home against 4-9 Cal Poly which was just their second home loss of the season. The road has been the problem as they are 3-14 and while a lot of those came early on against powerhouses to try and get them ready for conference action, it has backfired. The 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (656) UC Davis Aggies |
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02-25-17 | Hawks -2.5 v. Magic | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
The Hawks let us down last night but we will back them tonight in a very favorable situation. Prior to Friday, you have to go all the way back to early December to find the last time Atlanta has suffered consecutive losses. The Hawks fell behind early and big last night so no player registered more than 28 minutes which is a big factor heading into a game with no rest. Going back, the Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing with no rest while going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Orlando played Thursday and lost for the sixth time in seven games as Portland beat the Magic by nine points. The home floor has provided no advantage all season as Orlando is 9-19 here including losses in nine of its last 11 games. The Magic have been home underdogs numerous times this season and it has not been a good role as they are 3-14 straight up and 4-13 ATS. Atlanta is 20-9 this season against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league and it gets back into the win column in a big way tonight. 10* (503) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-25-17 | Iowa v. Maryland -7 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
After opening the season 20-2, Maryland has hit a rough patch as it has dropped four of its last six games including two in a row. The first one was a loss at Wisconsin which was expected but the last one came at home against Minnesota by 14 points and that one was certainly uncalled for. The Terrapins are now 10-5 in the Big Ten which is still good for solo third place so winning out will keep them in that spot and avoid a drop all the way down to sixth place in the conference. Iowa is coming off an overtime win at home over Indiana which snapped a three-game slide and the Hawkeyes are just playing spoiler at this point as they knocked the Hoosiers outside the bubble. While they have been solid at home, they have been dreadful on the road, going just 1-7 with the lone victory coming against 2-14 Rutgers. All but one of the seven road losses have been by double-digits and they are getting outscored by over 11 ppg on the highway. Going back, the Hawkeyes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Terrapins are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (572) Maryland Terrapins |
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02-25-17 | West Virginia v. TCU +4.5 | Top | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
TCU hung around with Kansas for a half but eventually ran out of gas as it lost by 19 points in Lawrence and saw its losing streak reach four games. Three of those came on the road and the other came at home against Oklahoma St. and all four losses were against teams heading to the NCAA Tournament. The Horned Frogs will be facing another tournament bounce team on Saturday and an upset win here will more than likely secure their own berth into the Big Dance despite a losing conference record. Their two other home conference losses came against Baylor and Kansas and both were competitive games until the end so they can hold their own again here. West Virginia is just 4-2 in February with three wins coming against teams not heading to the tournament and the fourth coming against Texas Tech in overtime and the Red Raiders are still a bubble team as well. The Mountaineers are 5-3 on the road and could once again be without second leading scorer Esa Ahmad who was injured two games back. The Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (522) TCU Horned Frogs |
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02-25-17 | Bradley v. Drake -3 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
This is the final regular season game for Bradley and Drake as they look to position themselves for the final four seedings in the upcoming MVC Tournament. The Bulldogs are tied with Evansville and Indiana St., who are also playing each other this Saturday, for eighth place so a win here guarantees they will not be the lowest seed. They have dropped eight straight games with half of those coming on the road and three of the four coming at home against the top three teams in the conference. The other loss was just a three-point setback against Missouri St. Drake is 6-8 at home which is nothing great but this is the last home game of the season and it comes in a revenge game. Bradley has won its last two games but both of those came at home and on the season, the Braves are 2-10 on the road including a 1-7 record within the conference. Only one of those losses was a single-digit loss and they are getting outscored by nearly 14 ppg on the road. The Braves are 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win while the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (544) Drake Bulldogs |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
Texas Tech has seen its NCAA Tournament hopes take a hit over the last week with a pair of overtime losses against West Virginia and Iowa St. The Red Raiders are now just 5-10 in the conference but they still have a relatively high RPI thanks to a pair of quality wins over West Virginia and Baylor while suffering some tough defeats. They have lost two other games by one point and another two games by four points so their record could be a lot better had they been able to close out some of these close games. They have a shot at winning out and then making a small run in the Big XII Tournament to enhance their chances. Oklahoma St. has been playing some of the best basketball in the conference as its 9-3 record over the last 12 games is second best only to Kansas. The schedule has been on the Cowboys side for sure though as seven of those conference wins have come against teams that are either in the bubble or have no chance of making the Big Dance. While road revenge is not a huge angle to go after, Texas Tech will be out to avenge it biggest conference loss of the season and one of only three losses at home. The Red Raiders have covered six of their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (549) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-25-17 | Florida State v. Clemson -1 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
Clemson has had this game circled for close to three weeks as it went to Tallahassee and got hammered by Florida St. 109-61. That has sent the Tigers on a 1-5 downward spiral yet despite being just 4-11 in the ACC, they are still considered a bubble team. That shows how bad the rest of the country is right now as far as average teams go and Clemson does deserve some credit despite this recent skid. Three of their last four losses have come by two points or less while the other came at Miami by just six points so the Tigers have been more than competitive. Florida St. bounced back from a pair of road losses with a win over Boston College which is far from impressive. The Seminoles have lost five of their last six road games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. This is a must win for Clemson to have any shot at the TNCAA Tournament as the final two games are against NC State and Boston College so no quality wins would come from those. 10* (520) Clemson Tigers |
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02-24-17 | Nets v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 109-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
We are getting our first back-to-back opportunity of the second half and this is a big edge for Denver following a lengthy layoff. The Nuggets lost at Sacramento last night by 16 points but that helps going into Friday as it was able to shake any rust off from the time off while heading home on top of it. The Nuggets are just 14-13 at home but they are 12-7 when favored and have won eight of their last 10 here while going back, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. The Nets possess the worst record in the NBA by a wide margin and they are currently riding a 14-game losing streak. While the All Star break typically helps teams that are in a funk, this is a completely different situation and no lengthy time off can help this mess. Brooklyn has lost 20 of its last 21 road games and on the season, it is 2-23 on the highway with those losses coming by an average of 12.4 ppg and nearly half of those coming by at least 12 points and by an average of 20.1 ppg. While it may not seem like a game Denver will be getting up for, the fact it has lost six straight meetings to the Nets, including the first meeting this season, will give it plenty of motivation. 10* (858) Denver Nuggets |
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02-24-17 | Heat v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 108-90 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Miami pulled off one of the most surprising first half runs as after opening the season 11-30, it ran off 13 consecutive victories before coming back to earth and dropping a pair of games over the Magic and Sixers. The Heat did rebound with a win at Houston prior to the break so any positive momentum has been lost from this solid five-week run. Prior to this, the Heat were 1-12 in their previous 13 road games and they heat to Atlanta to face a Hawks team that is in a prime spot tonight. Atlanta is 3.5 games behind Washington in the Southeast Division as it closed the first half with a loss at the Clippers. After suffering through a seven-game losing streak in November and December, the Hawks have been unbeatable after suffering a loss as they are a perfect 12-0 in their last 12 games following a defeat. They have won nine of their last 14 home games with all four losses coming against winning teams. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a 23-point loss in Miami to start February but that game came right after its epic four-overtime game against the Knicks. The Hawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (848) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-24-17 | Grizzlies v. Pacers +1 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
The All-Star break could not have come at a better time for Indiana as the Pacers limped into the extended time off with six consecutive losses. To their credit, the schedule was not easy as two of those losses came against Washington which is one of the hottest teams in the NBA while two others came against Cleveland and a fifth against San Antonio. A home loss to Milwaukee was inexcusable but the Bucks were an unconscious 17-31 from long range. Now Indiana has a chance to get things going right and something says Paul George will have a say in that following all of the trade rumors yesterday. Memphis started the season 18-9 but is just 16-15 since then as the Grizzlies have been a pretty average team over the last two months. They have won two straight on the road but looking at their recent road wins shows victories over teams a combined 74-153. The Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Pacers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. It is time for the losing streak to finally come to an end. 10* (842) Indiana Pacers |
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02-23-17 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine +19 | Top | 78-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
St. Mary's has won two straight games following its second loss of the season to Gonzaga and because of the Bulldogs win last weekend, the Gaels are officially eliminated from winning the West Coast regular season title. There is not a whole lot of incentive for them now as the goal is to stay healthy and make a run at Gonzaga in the West Coast Conference Tournament. This is the final road game of the season for St. Mary's making its game on Saturday at home against Santa Clara is its final home game which is something to look ahead to. The Gaels are now laying a monster number on the road which is unjustified in this spot. Pepperdine is coming off a three-game roadtrip where it lost all three games to fall to 1-12 on the road for the season. The Waves are now back home for the weekend to play their final two home games and they are a much better 7-5 at home including a solid win over BYU in their last home game. They were getting nine points in that game and it is questionable whether or not the Gales should be favored by 10 points more. The Waves are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (554) Pepperdine Waves |
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02-23-17 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
After a pair of losses last week, Wisconsin bounced back with a victory over Maryland at home on Sunday to remain a half-game behind Purdue for first place in the Big Ten. While the Badgers have had their share if blowout victories, they have also been involved in closer than anticipated games as three wins have come by five points or less while another three have come in overtime. One of the big victories was against Ohio St. by 23 points which sets the Buckeyes up for a payback situation tonight. Ohio St. is a disappointing 5-10 in the conference and just the opposite of Wisconsin, it has suffered some close losses along the way. Of those 10 defeats, four have come by five points or less including three by just one possession. All three of those were at home and the only other home conference loss was against Maryland by only six points in a game it was down by just a point with two minutes left. The Buckeyes covered their only game this season as a home underdog while the Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. Take advantage of Ohio St. getting its biggest home underdog line of the season. 10* (548) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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02-23-17 | UCLA v. Arizona State +11.5 | Top | 87-75 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
UCLA is one of three Pac 12 teams ranked in the top six in the nation but that will change by the end of the weekend and that actually affects this game. The Bruins have a date with Arizona on Saturday which will go a long way in deciding the Pac 12 title and on top of it, they will be out for some payback following an 11-point home loss against the Wildcats last month so a lookahead to that is inevitable. UCLA is also coming off a 32-point annihilation of rival USC which capped a three-game homestand which equals a letdown-lookahead spot. Arizona St. has been pretty average this season as it has lost games it had no business losing but on the flip side, it has played some big games against solid opposition. The Sun Devils suffered a pair of road losses at USC and Oregon by just four points combined so when motivated, they can play with the best. They have won two of five games outright as home underdogs and are now catching a very overinflated number here. Going back, the Bruins are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a road favorite while the Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (546) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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02-23-17 | Rockets v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 129-99 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
After a successful All-Star weekend for the city of New Orleans, the home team can now welcome DeMarcus Cousins to town for his first game with the Pelicans. New Orleans is striving for a playoff spot in the Western Conference as it is currently in the No. 11 spot, 2.5 games behind Denver for the final slot. The Pelicans closed out strong before the break, winning three of their final four games and they are now hoping that the new addition helps lead to a big playoff push. While there is always concern about how a new player gels with the new team, the NBA is one sport that it does not really have a big effect. The Rockets had their four-game winning streak snapped in the final game before the break as they fell at home to Miami. They have been solid on the road this season but have covered just once in their last five games on the highway. Houston has been solid coming off a loss this season but this is not the typical situation of coming off a loss a day or two ago because of the All-Star break as the Rockets have been off for over a week. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on three or more days of rest. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-23-17 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas +10.5 | Top | 85-67 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
North Texas and Louisiana Tech are on opposite ends of the conference standings so clearly the Bulldogs are the better team but laying this number on the road is overaggressive given the situation. They are riding a six-game winning streak including a pair of home wins over the Florida teams last week and while they are 14-2 at home, they are just 5-6 on the road and they have failed to cover their last four games on the highway. Now they are laying double-digits with a big game at Rice on deck. North Texas is one of four teams in the conference that possess either no wins or one win on the road but all four teams are much different on their home floors. The Mean Green are 7-9 at home which is certainly nothing special but they have suffered some tough losses here. They are 1-6 in the conference but that includes a 5-2 ATS mark as three of those losses came by a possession or in overtime and the schedule has been brutal. This is the sixth home game against the top seven teams in the conference and they have certainly held their own. Going back, the Mean Green are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. 10* (544) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-23-17 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte -3.5 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Western Kentucky is coming off a tough three-game homestand where it faced three of the top seven teams in Conference-USA and went just 1-2 but it did conclude with an upset win over UAB on Sunday. Now the Hilltoppers hit the road where they have not been very good by posting a 4-10 record. Three of those wins have been within the conference but all three of those came against teams with losing records where none of the teams has reached double-digit victories overall. Charlotte is certainly no juggernaut but it returns home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 0-3 and like the Hilltoppers, it was a tough stretch as all three games came against the top seven teams in the conference. The big difference though is the 49ers are now home which is a big edge as they are 9-4 overall including wins in three of their last four. Charlotte has won eight of nine games this season when favored and on the season, the favorite is 20-3 in its 23 lined games. Going back, the Hilltoppers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while the 49ers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite. 10* (524) Charlotte 49ers |
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02-22-17 | Oregon v. California +4.5 | Top | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
We won with Oregon on Saturday as it annihilated Colorado at home by 28 points thanks to a 29-2 run late in the first half that put the game away early. That was the final home game of the season for the Ducks which won their 42nd consecutive home game and will carry that streak into next season. Now Oregon must try to get off the emotional high from that game as it hits the road for the final three games of the regular season where it is a modest 4-3. While the Ducks have been solid as road favorites, those games have come against much inferior competition. California has quietly put together a very solid season as it is 18-8 overall including a 9-5 record in the conference which looks to be good enough at this point for an at-large big into the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Bears are coming off a three-game road trip where they went 1-2 including losses in the final two games but are back home where they have a six-game winning streak and their only home conference loss came by just five points against Arizona in the Pac 12 opener. Revenge will certainly on the table as well as California has not forgotten the 23-point loss in Eugene back in January which is by far its worst loss of the season. 10* (744) California Golden Bears |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -5 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Somehow Pittsburgh is still a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament despite a 4-10 record in the ACC. The Panthers are only two and a half games out of last place in the conference yet as of the most recent bracket projections, they are just the seventh team out. Making the Big Dance will take a minor miracle so while motivation will be prevalent, getting the job done on the road will be a task where they are 2-5 on the season. Pittsburgh is coming off a home upset against Florida St. on Saturday which closed a three-game homestand and its only ACC road win was at 2-13 Boston College. Wake Forest is also on the bubble but the Demon Deacons have a much better outlook as they are just two games out of seventh place following a pair of road losses last week. Wake Forest is 4-3 at home in the ACC with a pair of losses coming against Duke and North Carolina and on the season, it is 7-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS following a loss while going 7-2 ATS as favorites of fewer than 15 points. Going back, the Panthers are 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 games following an ATS win. 10* (716) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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02-22-17 | Duke v. Syracuse +4 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Duke has caught fire and is arguably the best team in the ACC right now as it trails North Carolina by just one game for the top spot. The Blue Devils have won seven straight games and while a road win over Virginia was very impressive, four of the last five games have taken place at home. Overall, they are just 4-3 on the road and going back, the Blue Devils are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. This is a huge game for Syracuse as its streaky season continues and right now it is going in the wrong direction. The Orange opened 3-4 in the ACC but then went on win five straight games including impressive victories over Florida St. and Virginia. However, they have dropped three straight games including a pair of losses against Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech which hurt their NCAA Tournament chances but those were both on the road. The lone home loss came against Louisville in overtime which snapped a streak of six straight ACC home wins and going back to last season, they are 12-2 in their last 14 conference home games. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS at home this season against winning teams while going 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (724) Syracuse Orange |
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02-21-17 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -2.5 | Top | 68-56 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
We played against New Mexico on Saturday as it went to Fresno St. and had its two-game winning streak snapped to fall to 9-6 in the Mountain West Conference. The Lobos have a chance to move within a game of first place with a victory but they are two back in the loss column with just three games left so winning the conference is out of the question but staying in the fourth spot is ideal for the upcoming conference tournament. They have been solid this season following a loss as they have won eight of 10 games after a loss and heading home here is big as they are 10-3 at The Pit this season. Colorado St. is tied for first place in the MWC at 10-4 following its fourth straight win on Saturday over Wyoming. Three of those four have come against losing teams however and only two of its 10 overall conference wins have been against winning teams. The Rams are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points while the Lobos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Look for another bounce back win for the New Mexico. 10* (556) New Mexico Lobos |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Northwestern may have been caught looking ahead to this game as it narrowly escaped at home against Rutgers. The lookahead aspect is due to this being an underrated rivalry with this being the 174th meeting and the fact the Wildcats were upset at home against Illinois in the first meeting. Northwestern has just three losses with all five regular starters in the lineup and those have come by a combined 10 points against Butler; Notre Dame and Minnesota. The Wildcats were without leading scorer Scottie Lindsey in the first meeting so it is a different dynamic this time around. Illinois is coming off an upset win at Iowa for just its second road win of the season and it has not fared much better at home, going just 1-4 over its last five home games. While the win over the Hawkeyes was nice, winning a second straight conference game will not be easy as the Illini have lost nine straight regular season games following a Big Ten win. The Wildcats are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of fewer than seven points while the Fighting Illini are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (543) Northwestern Wildcats |
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02-21-17 | Davidson v. Richmond | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a situation where the wrong team is favored and in some cases based on the line, the home team should be more than a pickem. Davidson is riding a two-game winning streak yet is overvalued in this spot and a lot of that is based on name as the Wildcats have been a very public team over the years. They are 5-5 on the road but that comes down to what teams they have played and within the Atlantic Ten they are 0-2 against winning teams. Overall, of the seven Davidson conference wins, only one has come against a team with a winning record and overall it is 1-5 against teams above .500. Richmond is tied with Rhode Island for third place in the Atlantic Ten Conference and while it has the better RPI in this matchup, the Spiders are undervalued. They have lost two straight games which is just the third time all season they have dropped consecutive games and have yet to run that skid into three games. Richmond has five conference losses all of which have been against teams that are above .500 in the A-10 and the Spiders have won seven of 10 games this season following a loss. 10* (538) Richmond Spiders |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The season comes down to the final four games for Texas Tech as it remains on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament following a double-overtime loss at West Virginia on Saturday. The Red Raiders fell to 17-10 overall including a 5-9 record in the Big XII but hope is not lost as they own two wins over the top 50 of the RPI and that is only one less than Oklahoma St., Iowa St. and Kansas St. which are all slated to make the Big Dance. Texas Tech returns home where it is 15-2 with one of those losses coming against Kansas last week by just a point. Iowa St. has been having a very solid season with some strong quality wins and some close losses against elite opposition. The Cyclones have won three straight games to move to 9-5 in the conference which is good for a tie for second place with Baylor and West Virginia so this is a big game for them as well. They are just 4-5 on the road however with some poor losses at Texas and Vanderbilt. The home team is 4-1 ATS over the last five meetings including an Iowa St. cover earlier this year which sets up a revenge situation and the Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Additionally, they are 7-2 straight up and ATS following a loss this season. 10* (716) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-19-17 | Georgetown v. Creighton -6.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It has been a rough stretch since late January for Creighton as it is 3-4 over its last seven games with two of those wins coming against DePaul which is 1-12 in the Big East. The Bluejays were 18-1 prior to that and were being talked of as a sleeper Final Four team and it comes as no surprise that this recent seven-game run coincides with senior point guard Maurice Watson Jr. being out of the lineup. They struggled from long range when he first went down but the Bluejays have regained their shooting stroke in the last four games, draining 50-of-97 three-point shots (51.5 percent). That stretch started not long after a dreadful 1-for-18 showing from long-range at Georgetown on January 25th. They lost that game to the Hoyas by 20 points which is easily their worst loss of the season so payback is in store. Georgetown has been up and down all season and is coming off a revenge win over Marquette at home last Saturday which snapped a two-game slide but the Hoyas are 4-8 ATS this season following a win and they have failed to cover three straight games in the Big East this season. Creighton is 3-1 straight up and ATS following a loss this season with those three victories coming by 13, 17 and 35 points. 10* (858) Creighton Bluejays |
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02-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Marshall +4 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee St. is the class of Conference-USA as it has compiled a 13-1 record to add to its 23-4 record overall. The Blue Raiders have won three straight games following a blowout win at Western Kentucky on Thursday. They are now 6-1 on the road in the conference but five of those wins have come against teams currently under .500 in C-USA. The two games against teams with winning conference records resulted in a loss at UTEP and a win at Rice by just three points. Going back, the Blue Raiders are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Marshall easily took care of UAB at home on Thursday to improve to 12-1 at home and is now tied for third place in the conference with an 8-5 record. The won over UAB was even more impressive as second leading scorer Stevie Browning played only 20 minutes with a balky back so if he is not 100 percent, it should not affect this team much. The Thundering Herd will be out to avenge a12-point loss earlier in the season and they are now 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (604) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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02-18-17 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -2.5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
Fresno St. made a magical run toward the end of last season as it won its final six regular season games and then won three games in three days in the MWC Tournament to make its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2001. It will take another similar run to made it back but the talent is there to give it another shot. The Bulldogs are coming off a win against San Jose St. on Wednesday which snapped a three-game skid to improve to 7-7 in the conference and of those seven losses, four have been decided in the final minute. One of those came at New Mexico in the conference opener back in December and Fresno St. will be out to avenge that and improve upon its 11-2 record at home. New Mexico is a victory away from matching its win total from last season following a home win over Boise St. The Lobos are now 9-5 in the conference and do have some solid road wins but none have come against teams with a similar or better home record than that of the Bulldogs. Overall, they are 5-5 on the road but they are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win while the Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 10* (600) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -11 | Top | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
Oregon remains a game out of first place in the Pac 12 as it improved to 12-2 with a very impressive win over Utah on Thursday. The Ducks are now 16-0 at home this season and have won 41 consecutive games at Matthew Knight Arena. They have had this game circled for three weeks as they went to Colorado and were upended by nine points which snapped their 17-game winning streak and gave them their first conference loss of the season. Not only will Oregon be out for payback, but this is the final home game of the season where it will be honoring three outgoing seniors. The Buffaloes have completely turned their season around as after a 0-7 start in the Pac 12, they have won six of their last seven games. The Oregon win was obviously the big one and there have been no other impressive victories as the other five have come against teams that have won no more than four conference games and are a combined 10-45 in the Pac 12. The only road game against a winning team resulted in an 11-point loss at California and going back, the Buffaloes are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. 10* (556) Oregon Ducks |
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02-18-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -11 | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
West Virginia opened the season 15-2 but it has been somewhat inconsistent since then as it has won just five of its last nine games. The Mountaineers are in a great spot on Saturday however as they will be out to bounce back from a tough loss at Kansas on Monday night in overtime where they blew a 14-point lead with 2:58 remaining. They will also be out to avenge a loss at Texas Tech in overtime which was their first conference loss of the season. This is their third revenge game of the season and they got their payback both times in the first two against Oklahoma and Kansas St. The Red Raiders meanwhile are coming off a home upset over Baylor which came right after losing at home to Kansas by a single point just two days earlier. That is hard stretch to recover from and hitting the road against a team out for serious payback is not ideal. Texas Tech is 4-2 at home in the conference but hitting the highway has not been kind as it is 0-6 on the Big XII Road and going back, it is just 5-36 in its last 41 conference road games. Laying a number this size is not an issue with all of the situations in play here. The Mountaineers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss while the Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. 10* (542) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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02-18-17 | Notre Dame v. NC State +5.5 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Notre Dame is going to be a very popular play here based on not only records but the fact that NC State just fired head coach Mark Gottfried. Gottfried will coach the remainder of the season and he vowed he will not give up on his team and his players are not going to give up on him either. The Wolfpack have dropped six straight games to fall to 3-11 in the ACC and they have failed to cover and of those games on top of it. This is a spot where players step up to back their fallen coach. Notre Dame has won three straight games following a four-game losing streak but two of those wins came at home and the one road win came at 2-12 Boston College by just eight points. That improved the Irish to 4-3 on the road but they are 0-3 ATS on the season as road favorites and are once again overvalued here based on the recent runs and the coaching situation at NC State. The Wolfpack are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Winning this game outright is more than possible so grabbing the hefty pointspread is a huge benefit. 10* (502) NC State Wolfpack |
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02-18-17 | Northern Iowa +15.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 44-73 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
Wichita St. is dueling with Illinois St. for the Missouri Valley Conference championship and with just three games left in the regular season, they are all very important. Winning and covering are separate matters however and once again, the Shockers are saddled with a huge number to cover. They have been favored by big numbers all season and they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games when favored by 15 or more points. They took care of Northern Iowa on the road earlier in the season and that was a game they wanted pretty bad after the Panthers defeated them in the MVC Tournament semifinals last season. That loss by the Panthers was when they were a different team as they were supposed to be in the mix once again this season but stumbled out by losing their first five conference games but have since won nine of their last 10 games to move into third place in the conference. The lone defeat came by just six points at Illinois St. which is also 14-1 in the conference. This is a team no one should want to face right now and they have covered their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (507) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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02-17-17 | California -3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is the 266th edition of the Battle of the Bay and while laying points on the road in a rivalry game in always a tough endeavor, this is a bad matchup for the home team. California checks in with an 18-7 record including 9-4 in the Pac 12 following a loss at Arizona in its last game. The Golden Bears four losses have come against the three top teams in the conference (Arizona twice, Oregon and UCLA) with three of those coming on the road where the combined home record of those three teams is 43-1. This is a big game for California as this would be considered a bad loss and currently projected as a No. 10 seed in the NCAA Tournament, a defeat could push it outside the bubble with a not-so-easy schedule remaining. Stanford has struggled this season as it is a game under .500 including a 4-9 record in the Pac 12. The Cardinal are 8-4 at home which is not very intimidating and they are projected to have their worst home record since 2010-11. Stanford has struggled against the top level teams it has faced as it is 1-10 against teams ranked in the Top 50 RPI while going 10-3 against teams falling below that ranking. Stanford is 2-10 this season as an underdog and going back, it is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games as an underdog. 10* (865) California Golden Bears |
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02-16-17 | UC-Davis v. Long Beach State -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The biggest disappointment in the Big West Conference has been Long Beach St. which came in as the preseason favorite to win the conference but are just 6-5 although all hope is not lost just yet. The 49ers lost at CS-Fullerton on Saturday and the road has been a real issue all season as they are 2-14 on the highway with the majority of those losses coming from a brutal non-conference schedule. They have been a much different team at home where they are 8-1 on the season with the only loss coming against Northridge which happened to come two days prior to a trip to Hawaii. Even though they are just 6-5, a win here moves the 49ers to just a game and a half out of first place. This is the first of two meetings against UC-Davis which leads the conference with an 8-2 record. The Aggies have been overachieving and while they are 8-0 at home, they are just 6-6 on the road and two road losses within the conference were bad ones at Riverside and Cal Poly, two of the three losing teams in the conference. Going back to last season, Long Beach St. is 19-3 in its last 22 regular season home games. 10* (750) Long Beach St. 49ers |
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02-16-17 | Florida International v. Southern Miss +2.5 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Two of the bottom three teams in Conference-USA square off in Hattiesburg and we give a significant edge to the home team. Southern Mississippi has lost three straight games but two of those were on the road while the other came at home against 6-6 Western Kentucky. The road losses were not surprising considering that the Golden Eagles are 0-10 on the road. They have been much better at home as they were 4-2 in their previous six home games prior to Western Kentucky and those two losses came against 10-3 Louisiana Tech and 7-5 Rice. Six of their seven conference home games came against teams .500 or better and they rolled over North Texas in their only game against a losing team. Florida International is coming off a win over North Texas on Saturday which came at home and was just its second conference win of the season. The Golden Panthers are also an identical 0-10 on the road yet they come into this game as road favorites which is the first time they have been in this role all season and it makes little sense. The Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (732) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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02-16-17 | Wizards v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 111-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
We played on the Pacers last night and they failed to come through as they were looking good heading into the fourth quarter but a 25-12 run for Cleveland ended the hopes for Indiana. The Pacers have now lost five straight games and desperately need a win heading into the All Star Break. They failed to grab their 10th road win and they are one of two teams in the entire NBA that have single-digit wins on the road while also possessing single-digit losses at home. They return to Indiana with a 20-9 record at home and will be looking to snap a three-game skid at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Coincidentally, the Wizards are the other team with single-digit losses at home and single-digits wins on the road. Washington has won three straight games and 10 of its last 11 and while this does include four straight road wins, the Wizards are in a bad spot, especially laying points on the road. The Pacers are 0-5 when playing with no rest on the road but are a much better 3-3 when playing at home on the second end of a back-to-back. Washington has been a road favorite seven times but all seven of those games have come against teams with a losing record. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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02-16-17 | William & Mary v. James Madison +4 | Top | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
James Madison is coming off a poor loss on Saturday against Delaware at home and what started out as a good conference season, it has been pretty downhill. It opened the CAA season with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Dukes have gone 2-9 over their last 11 games. Six of those 11 games have been on the road, all resulting in losses and two home losses came against UNC-Wilmington and Charleston which are a combined 21-7 in the conference. William & Mary improved to 8-6 in the CAA with a home win over Charleston which puts it into a tie for fourth place. The Tribe are now 7-0 at home within the conference but that record is close to a reversal on the road where they are 1-6 with the lone win coming in overtime at Hofstra by a bucket. James Madison lost the first meeting by two points on the road as a 6.5-point underdog and now it is getting just over a bucket less at home which does not correlate to the change in venue and the Dukes have covered four straight games as underdogs of fewer than seven points. 10* (718) James Madison Dukes |
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02-15-17 | Knicks v. Thunder -7 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
The Knicks closed their five-game homestand with a win over the Spurs on Sunday which snapped a four-game losing streak and while getting out of MSG can only be a good thing at this point, they are not in a good spot tonight. New York is just 9-18 on the road including a 4-12 record over their last 16 road games with only two of those victories coming against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Oklahoma City has been on a poor run over the last few weeks as it has gone just 3-6 over its last nine games including losses in two straight games. Five of those losses came against teams with winning records including four on the road with the one home loss coming against Golden St. this past Saturday. The Thunder were unable to bounce back from that loss as they fell hard in Washington on Monday but are now in a good spot here as they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. On the season, Oklahoma City is 18-7 ATS when favored by fewer than eight points. 10* (524) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -1.5 | Top | 71-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Both Oklahoma St. and TCU are projected NCAA Tournament teams which is a surprise as both were picked to finish near the bottom of the Big XII. In the case of TCU, it was picked to finish dead last but right now, it is 17-8 overall including a 6-6 record in the conference. Four of those losses came against Baylor (twice), Kansas and West Virginia while the other two came at Texas Tech by just six points and at Oklahoma St. by 13 points which sets them up for a revenge play tonight. The Horned Frogs lost at Baylor on Saturday but they are 13-3 at home including an 11-1 record as home favorites and are now laying a very short price. Oklahoma St. opened the conference season by going 0-6 but instead of tossing in the towel, the Cowboys went on to win five straight games before losing at home against Baylor. They bounced back against Texas on Saturday with a 13-point victory and while they have covered all five games as road underdogs this season, they were getting at least 6.5 points in all of those. 10* (568) TCU Horned Frogs |
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02-15-17 | Alabama -4.5 v. Missouri | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Alabama is hanging onto its NCAA Tournament hopes by a thread as it has dropped three of its last four games to fall to 7-5 in the SEC which is good for a tie for fourth place. The Crimson Tide can ill afford to lose many more of its games and especially games like this against the lower echelon of the conference. Alabama is 4-4 on the road and that record includes a pair of solid road wins at South Carolina and Georgia over the past three weeks. Missouri has been playing much better as after a 0-9 start in the SEC, the Tigers have won two of their last three games while covering the game in-between at Texas A&M. In all of those games, the Tigers were sizable underdogs which makes it more impressive but on the season, the Tigers are 1-4 ATS when getting seven points or less and their 6-8 home record is not going to intimidate anyone. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss sand they keep their tournament hopes alive with a needed victory tonight. 10* (561) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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02-15-17 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Indiana was rolling along with seven straight wins to move seven games over .500 but the last week has not been good as the Pacers have dropped four straight games. Three of these losses have taken place at home where they have been very solid with the one road loss taking place at Washington which snapped a three-game road winning streak. Indiana has admittedly been pretty poor on the road overall this season but it has covered four straight on the highway and it has held its own in this series as the Pacers are 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Cleveland is coming off a win last night in Minnesota which was its sixth win over its last seven games but the Cavaliers are now playing their second back-to-back in a week. They have failed to cover their last four games playing with no rest and have dropped all four of those games outright. The starters played heavy minutes last night and even with the All-Star break coming up, some additional rest tonight may take place. 10* (501) Indiana Pacers |
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02-15-17 | Massachusetts v. Duquesne +4 | Top | 66-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Massachusetts is coming off a win at St. Josephs on Saturday which snapped a five-game losing streak and now the Minutemen come into tonight as road favorites which they have no business doing. They have laid points on the road only once this season and that was at St. Louis which resulted in an outright loss. They are just 3-7 on the road and while they are coming off a road win, they opened Atlantic Ten play by dropping their first five road games. Duquesne is sitting in last place in the conference at 2-10 as it has lost eight straight games but the stretch has been brutal. Five of the games have come on the road while the three home games have been against Dayton, Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure which are a combined 26-11 in the Atlantic Ten. Prior to that, their only other home conference games where against St. louis, which the Dukes won, and 11-2 VCU. Now they are a home underdog against a losing team for the first time and we can take advantage of that tonight. 10* (546) Duquesne Dukes |
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02-14-17 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
The Lakers are back home following a five-game roadtrip that concluded with a win at Milwaukee and despite going 2-3 overall, the play was pretty solid with the exception of just one game. It has been a pretty tough slate of late as Los Angeles has played eight of its last nine games on the road and overall, it has played the second toughest schedule in the NBA. There has been a lot of travel in the last three weeks but the Lakers have had three days off and going back, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing with three or more days of rest while going 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Sacramento closed its six-game homestand by winning the final three games so it certainly has some positive momentum going. However, the Kings are just 7-14-1 ATS this season following a win. They have been a short underdog only eight times and are 2-6 ATS when getting fewer than three points including going 0-3 ATS in three road games. 10* (706) Los Angeles Lakers |
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02-14-17 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | Top | 83-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Clemson is in bounce back mode tonight and this is a game it cannot lose. The must-win term can be overused at times but for the Tigers, it fits here. They are coming off a hard-fought loss at Duke which was their third straight loss and despite a 3-9 record in the ACC, they are still on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Clemson has a tough three-game stretch on deck all against teams going to the Big Dance so getting past this one and playing well in that stretch is a must. Of their 10 losses, eight have come by six points or less including five by four points or less. This is a big game for Wake Forest as well as it is on the outside looking in but it is catching Clemson at the wrong time. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 30-point win over NC State which was its sixth win in the conference but only one of those was against a potential NCAA Tournament team and the two ACC road wins came at Boston College and NC State, which are a combined 5-21 in the conference. The Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Demon Deacons are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (712) Clemson Tigers |
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02-14-17 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan +1.5 | Top | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
The MAC West is a wide open race with all six teams separated by just one game. Central Michigan is tied with Ball St., Northern Illinois and Toledo for first place and it has done the job at McGuirk Arena with a 10-1 record on the season including going 4-1 in the conference, the only loss coming against 9-0 Akron by just four points. The Chippewas have played a tough stretch of late with four of their last five games coming on the road and this is the start of three straight home games. They lost on Saturday at Miami Ohio as Marcus Keane, who leads the nation in scoring at 29.3 ppg, was held to a season low 12 points so we should see a huge effort from him. Buffalo comes in with a 7-5 record in the MAC but it trails Akron by four games so winning the MAC East is pretty much out of the question. The Bulls are coming off a win at Bowling Green which was their fourth straight win and fifth straight cover so they are playing at a high level but that helps us out with the line as they are now laying points to a team that has lost at home just once all season. The Bulls are a respectable 6-7 on the road but the Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (722) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-13-17 | Pelicans +2 v. Suns | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
New Orleans lost in Sacramento yesterday as it was unable to win consecutive games for the first time in a month but the Pelicans have been solid following losses over the latter part of the season. They had their chances last night against the Kings but blew a sizable lead and look for a quick turnaround here and improve to 15-9 against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league. The Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Phoenix lost at Houston in its last game on Saturday by 31 points and since back-to-back wins over the Knicks and Raptors, the Suns are 2-9 in their last 11 games. They are in the rare role of favorites as this is just the ninth time this season when laying points and they are 2-6 in their first eight games as a chalk including a 0-5 ATS mark when laying fewer than five points. Phoenix has the fewest home wins in the Western Conference and going back, the Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (515) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-13-17 | West Virginia v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 80-84 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Kansas is back home following a narrow one-point win at Texas Tech on Saturday as it nailed a free thrown in the final seconds to pull out the victory. It was a tough spot for the Jayhawks which were coming off a win over rival Kansas St. and facing a revenge game two days later and in addition, leading scorer Frank Mason was dealing with an illness and ended up fouling out of the game with over three minutes remaining. Kansas will be out to avenge a 16-point loss at West Virginia back on January 24 which snapped an 18-game winning streak. While Kansas will be out for payback, it will also be out to get back on track at home as it had its 51-game Allen Fieldhouse winning streak come to an end in its last home game against Iowa St. West Virginia is coming off a big home win over Kansas St. on Saturday which was also a revenge game so the inevitable letdown can certainly take place here. Going back, the Mountaineers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points and with Kansas going four straight games without a cover, Kansas has value in the home number tonight. 10* (540) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-13-17 | Magic +8 v. Heat | Top | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Miami had its 13-game winning streak snapped on Saturday at Philadelphia and looks to bounce back at home where it still owns an eight-game winning streak. While wins over Golden St. and Houston were impressive during that run, it mostly came against very poor teams. We can categorize Orlando into that group but Miami is just 4.5 games better overall yet the line is telling a different story. During the middle of this winning streak, the Heat were favored by this same number at home over Brooklyn which is 10 games worse than the Magic. Orlando has dropped four straight games which is playing into this number as well but it is in a good spot to break that here, let alone getting the overinflated points. The Magic are the only team in the NBA that has more road wins than home wins and they are just two road wins shy of the number of home wins the Heat have. Clearly, winning this game outright is more than possible but we will grab the points knowing Orlando is 9-3 ATS as underdogs of eight or more points this season. 10* (505) Orlando Magic |
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02-12-17 | Pistons v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Since winning four straight games in mid-January, the Raptors have had a rough go of it as they are just 4-9 over their last 13 games including a loss at Minnesota in their last game on Wednesday. Toronto is 1-6 on the road over this recent stretch but it has won three of its last four home games and on the season, it is 18-9 at the Air Canada Centre. The time off is a benefit as this is the longest rest period the Raptors have had this season and going back, they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following three or more days off. Additionally, they are 20-11 ATS as favorites of five or more points. Detroit has not been over .500 since December 14 when it was 14-13 and it has gone 11-16 since then with the road not being friendly. The Pistons are 3-9 on the highway over this stretch while sitting 9-18 overall and this includes a 2-11 record against teams with a winning record and they have not defeated a winning team on the road since November. Covering has been rare as well as the Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (836) Toronto Raptors |
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02-12-17 | Wichita State v. Loyola-Chicago +9.5 | Top | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Wichita St. has bounced back very well after suffering its first conference loss of the season as it has won seven straight games following a road loss at Illinois St. by 14 points. The Shockers are 6-1 on the road this season including a 5-1 record in the conference but they have covered only two of those games as they continue to be overpriced on the highway. Additionally, the Shockers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Loyola-Chicago comes in at 16-10 but that record does not show that it has been a better team than that. The Ramblers have suffered some excruciatingly close losses this season. Their last four setbacks have come by a combined 12 points, their last three by nine points and their last two by eight points. This year, Loyola-Chicago is 0-6 in games decided by five points or less. The Ramblers have the ability to keep games close because they are such a good shooting team. They are ranked sixth in the nation in field goal percentage at 50.1 percent and they have shot below 45 percent from the field just four times this season. They hung with Wichita St. in the first meeting on the road until the Shockers pulled away late so hanging at home, where they are 11-2, should not be a problem. The Ramblers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (850) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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02-12-17 | Michigan v. Indiana -3 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
A pair of NCAA Tournament bubble teams square off in Bloomington in a huge game for both sides. Indiana remains home following a tough loss against 9-3 Purdue making it two straight losses overall to fall to 5-7 in the Big Ten. That was the Hoosiers second home conference loss with the other coming against 10-1 Wisconsin and on the season, the home team is 18-4 in Indiana games. This team is a lot better than the record shows as this roster is filled with talent proven by the fact Indiana is the first school to have seven players record a double-double in the same season since North Carolina did it in 2009-10. Michigan is coming off a blowout win over rival Michigan St. on Tuesday which snapped a two-game slide. The Wolverines have been similar in the fact that the venue makes a difference as the home team 19-3 in its games this season and this includes Michigan going 0-6 on the road. These teams met just over two weeks ago and despite the Hoosiers shooting 54.5 percent, they were blown out by 30 points as they managed a mere 44 shots. Revenge will certainly be in play here and going back, Indiana has won 17 of the last 18 meetings in Bloomington. The Wolverines are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Hoosiers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (842) Indiana Hoosiers |
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02-11-17 | San Jose State v. UNLV -4 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
UNLV used to be a fixture in the NCAA Tournament but has not been there since 2013 and that is not going to change this year. The Rebels have only 10 wins this season and are on pace for their fewest victories since 2000-01 and that is if they win out. UNLV has lost five straight games including a blowout loss against rival Nevada last time out and it will look to get back on track at home in a very winnable game. The Rebels four home losses within the conference have come against superior teams and we cannot put San Jose St. in that group. It has been a solid turnaround season for the Spartans as they have surpassed their win total from the last two seasons combined thanks to a three-game winning streak, their third such streak of the season. They are coming off a pair of upset wins at New Mexico and at home against San Diego St. and prior to that, it was a home win over UNLV so the Rebels will be additionally motivated here. San Jose St. is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games following a win. 10* (628) UNLV Runnin’ Rebels |
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