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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston had a golden opportunity to not be playing tonight as it had a 13-point lead with about six minutes remaining but the Hawks closed the game on a 23-8 run to force a Game Six. It was Trae Young that pretty much did it alone down the stretch as he scored the final 14 points for Atlanta and for a defensively sound team like Boston to let that happen is completely out of character. The Celtics outshot the Hawks by nearly seven percent from the floor yet could not come up with the needed stops and the moist frustrating thing for Boston has been the success of the offense that has not given it the results. Over the last four games, the Celtics have shot 52.4 percent from the floor yet have split those games and for the series, they are outshooting Atlanta 51.3 percent to 45.4 percent with the difference being the Hawks putting up 36 more field goal attempts. We are seeing early value here as this one could rise similar to Game Four. Here, we play on road teams revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of seven points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (537) Boston Celtics |
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04-27-23 | Yankees v. Rangers +155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS for our MLB Ultimate Underdog. The Yankees snapped a three-game losing streak with a 12-6 win over the Twins Wednesday afternoon as the bats finally going after scoring a total of eight runs in their previous five games. Texas was on a 6-1 and heading to face the worst team in the National League and were swept by the Reds with all three losses being blown leads in the eighth inning or later by the bullpen. Gerrit Cole has been outstanding thus far with a 0.79 ERA and 0.80 WHIP through five starts, four of which have been quality outings but this is just his second road start of the season. He is in a tough spot against the highest scoring offense in baseball in a hitters park on a warm night. Andrew Heaney opened the season with an awful performance against Baltimore where he allowed seven runs on seven hits in just 2.2 innings but has been lights out since as he has posted a 1.12 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last three starts and faces his former team from 2021. Here, we play against American League road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with an OBP of .320 or worse and starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing going up against a starting pitcher with a WHIP between 1.30 and 1.35. This situation is 42-19 (68.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (970) Texas Rangers |
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04-26-23 | A's +200 v. Angels | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Oakland has the worst record in baseball at 5-19 and after taking the series opener on Monday, it dropped Game Two last night 5-3 and it hopes to get the offense going tonight before facing Shohei Ohtani on Thursday. The young roster has struggled on both sides and hopes are the pitching gets a boost tonight with the Angels having nothing to work off of. Los Angeles opened the season 7-5 but have been the opposite since, going 5-7 over its last 12 games and has been no sure thing when laying numbers this big, going 2-3 when favored by -190 or more. Luis Medina will be making his Major League debut after getting recalled from AAA. He is the No. 18 prospect in the organization and can provide a spark to a struggling rotation. He has a huge arm as his fastball can hit 100 MPH and a nearly unhittable curveball with an above average changeup as he just has to limit some control issues. Patrick Sandoval was off to a great start with a 1.23 ERA through his first three starts but was hit hard against an injury plagued Yankees lineup last time out, allowing five runs over four innings and the Angels have lost his last three starts as the offense has not given him anything, scoring only nine runs in those three games. 10* (919) Oakland A's |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Star Attraction. We had Memphis on Monday and it was looking good for a Grizzlies cover and then overtime hit and we all know what can happen with an overtime underdog and that came to fruition. The Grizzlies took the lead late in regulation on an end-to-end sequence on a defensive block that led to a breakaway with 10.8 seconds remaining but LeBron James made a layup with less than a second remaining to force overtime. Memphis fell to 0-18 as a road underdog this season so winning this series could be a problem as it will be dogged again in Game Six should they survive here and we see it as a blowout heading back home. The Grizzlies are 36-7 at home, outscoring opponents by 10 ppg and are laying a very reasonable number in a must win game and this is the game Ja Morant needs to take over after scoring only 19 points on 8-24 shooting and the offense as a whole has been trash the last three games, shooting a combined 39.9 percent from the floor. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 42-12 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-26-23 | Marlins +147 v. Braves | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Braves have won two straight games following a four-game losing streak and with an elite top half of the rotations, playing against them when we hit the bottom portion is where the value lies, especially with a Cy Young winner on our side. Miami had a nice run going as it had won eight of ten games before a series closing loss against Cleveland and then coming to Atlanta where it has been outscored 18-4 in the two games. The Marlins are still at .500 on the season and winning when pitching has been at its best. Sandy Alcantara has not gotten off to a good start as it was mainly one bad start at Philadelphia that has inflated his numbers but he does own a complete game shutout and he has the stuff to reproduce another gem. Bryce Elder has been surprisingly good as he has allowed no earned runs in three of his four outings but this is not sustainable despite what has been a solid carryover from last season where he posted a 3.17 ERA in nine starts. Here, we play on National League road underdogs averaging 3.8 or more rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better. This situation is 27-10 (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (905) Miami Marlins |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland was able to salvage a split at home after a Game One loss but it was thoroughly embarrassed in the two games in New York as it held no more than a four-point lead in either game and now it is in a rough situation needing to win three games to avoid the series upset. The Cavaliers have relied on their defense all season but it was not on display in New York as they allowed 47 percent and 45.2 percent but the offense was more to blame as they scored just 79 and 93 points and they have been held under 100 points in all three losses. If there is any hop, Donovan Mitchell needs to take over this offense as after scoring 38 points in Game One, he has put up 50 points total over the last three games and this comes after scoring 40 or mire points in his last four regular season games that he played. This has not been a good matchup this season for Cleveland with the Knicks winning six of the eight meetings but now it is time for the Cavaliers to find out who they are. Here, we play on home favorites averaging between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg, after a combined score of 205 points or less two straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-25-23 | Clippers +12.5 v. Suns | Top | 130-136 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. After losing the first game of this series, the suns have taken control by winning the last three games and can close it out on Tuesday but are being asked to lay a huge number in doing so. They no doubt want to end it here and get all the rest they can but even down an insurmountable margin, the Clippers will not go away easy. They are without their top two players in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George but the one player that has stepped up and will always go full force is Russell Westbrook and he kept them around in Game Four as the Clippers were down by just a bucket halfway through the fourth quarter before Phoenix pulled away late. The difference in that last game was from the free throw line as Phoenix was 21 of 27 from the stripe while Los Angeles was just 8 of 10 and it will need to make this more even which it should simply based on returning to the median. Norman Powell was a big factor in Game Three but was only 4-15 from the floor and his performance will be key as well. Teams down 3-1 in a series are not in good spots but there is too much value here in this elimination game. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss against opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 108-65 ATS (62.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -13 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. While this game is a similar situation to the Clippers/Suns game, Atlanta just seems to be done after not being in Game Four for the most part and now they will be without Dejounte Murray who has been suspended for bumping a referee after the game on Sunday and that is a massive blow. So far in the playoffs, Murray has totaled at least 23 points and played in at least 35 minutes in each game against Boston. The Celtics defense came up big in Game Four after allowing the Hawks to shoot 56 percent from the floor in the previous game as they allowed just 43.9 percent shooting. Going under the radar has been the Boston offense as it is shooting 51 percent in the series and it was able to do a better job on the boards on Sunday after it was outrebounded 48-29 in Game Three. If the Celtics take care of business in Tuesday night, it will have done what it needed to set up its series with the Sixers who were hardly challenged against the Nets and with Philadelphia already done in its opening series, the Celtics would like the extra rest as well. Here, we play against teams when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 39-11 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Boston Celtics |
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04-25-23 | Rangers v. Reds +141 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 141 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Cincinnati snapped a six-game losing streak with a 7-6 win in this series opener on Monday and those seven runs were one more than it scored during that losing streak combined. The Reds improved to 7-6 at home compared to being just 1-9 on the road. The Rangers were on a 6-1 run prior to the defeat on Monday and they remain 2.5 games in front of the Astros in the American League West at 14-8 overall. They also had a four-game road winning streak snapped and are again laying a big number after closing last night as a small favorite. Martin Perez has been solid but has yet to make it through six innings and he is coming off his worst start in four outings, allowing season highs in hits and runs allowed and this marks his fourth straight road start. Luke Weaver is making just his second start of the season and third in a year and a half. He allowed four runs in the first inning against the Pirates but settled down after that and should be fine. Here, we play against road teams batting .315 or better over their last five games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 30-13 (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (974) Cincinnati Reds |
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04-25-23 | Dodgers v. Pirates +112 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Pirates are off to a surprising 16-7 start following a seven-game winning streak prior to its day off on Monday. The pitching has led the way during this stretch as Pittsburgh has allowed three runs or less in those seven games and that will be on display again. Conversely, the Dodgers are off to an average start at 12-11 but they are coming off a 3-1 series win at Chicago and are obviously listed as the favorites here based on who they are and not what they have done early in the season. Johan Oviedo has gotten off to a solid start as after a poor opening outing, he has tossed three straight quality starts, posing a 0.92 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in those games. It is no fluke as he was great last season after coming over from St. Louis with a 3.23 ERA in seven starts. Noah Syndergaard is coming off a pair of quality outings but those were at home and he was shelled in Arizona in his lone road start of the season. He faced a weak Pirates team once last season and was hit hard, allowing five runs in 5.2 innings. Here, we play on home teams after a combined score of three runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 55-27 (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (952) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our Western Conference Game of the Month. The Lakers came through for us on Saturday as it was a wire-to-wire beatdown with Los Angeles never trailing in the game while building a 35-9 lead after the first quarter. The Grizzlies made the game look closer than it actually was as they outscored the Lakers 33-23 in the fourth quarter, including 24 points from Ja Morant in a 45-point performance, but it was too late for any shot at a victory. Clearly, Memphis has to open the game better and with a lot more intensity to avoid going back home down 3-1 in the series which looks to be an insurmountable deficit in what is not a typical 2/7 matchup. Take away the game from Morant and the rest of the team was 23-67 (34.3 percent) from the floor including 7-29 (24.1 percent) from long range. The ejection of Dillon Brooks was the big storyline but Memphis was trailing big at that time as he was having a horrible game offensively so it mattered none and he will play a big part in this one defensively after avoiding a suspension for Game Four. We are going against the grain and the public here as despite 89 percent of early money on the Lakers, the line has not moved despite the Grizzlies being 0-17 on the season as road underdogs which is what the public will be looking to continue. Here, we play on teams failing to cover six or more of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 149-97 ATS (60.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (515) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-24-23 | Astros +137 v. Rays | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Ultimate Underdog. Tampa Bay has gotten off to an incredible 19-3 start which includes a 13-0 record at home but it has faced a very favorable schedule as it has played only one team that is more than one game over .500 and that resulted in a series loss against Toronto. Overall, the Rays have played the easiest schedule in baseball. Houston is coming off a sweep at Atlanta and has won four straight games to improve to 12-20 on the season and it is now just two and a half games behind the Rangers in the American League West. Taj Bradley has gotten his Major League career off to a solid start as he has posted a 2.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his first two starts. He is the No. 1 pitching prospect in the organization after posting a 1.83 ERA in 2021 in Single A and a 2.83 ERA in 2022 in Double A. He was average in his opener against the Red Sox and was fortunate to face the Reds in his second outing as Cincinnati has scored a total of six runs over its last six games. Jose Urquidy counters for the Astros and he was trending the right way before a shaky outing in his last start where he allowed four runs in 4.1 innings against Toronto. Here, we play against teams averaging 5.1 or more rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better. This situation is 44-29 (60.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (907) Houston Astros |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We lost with Boston on Friday and we are coming back with the Celtics here after one of their worst defensive performances of the season. Atlanta shot 56 percent from the floor which was just the fourth time Boston has allowed an opponent to shoot 50 percent or better in its last 25 games and it worst showing since January 3 when Oklahoma City shot 59.2 percent and hung 150 points against the Celtics. Defending the pick and roll has been a solid trait for this defense but that was not on display in Game Three and there will not be any adjustments to put into the plan tonight, it is all about effort. Atlanta used the high energy crowd crown to build a big early lead only to see it diminish and then eventually pull away but the Celtics have been one of the better road teams in the league as they are 25-17 and have not lost back-to-back road games since late January and they are 16-9 this season following a loss. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a loss as a favorite against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (505) Boston Celtics |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Game Two was another example of role players stepping up in the absence of a star player as Memphis was without Ja Morant and rode six players scoring double digits to go alone with a lockdown defense on their strong home floor to even up this series heading to Los Angeles. The Grizzlies got the benefit of an extra day of rest and Morant was a full participant in practice on Friday and while listed as questionable, he is likely going to go and the line is telling us likewise. Should he be a late scratch, that only benefits us here if bet early as this line will jump significantly if that happens. One of the stories getting a lot of pub heading into this game is Dillon Brooks challenging LeBron James to score 40 points and James is smart enough to not let that change his game as this offense revolves around Anthony Davis. With Davis on the floor, James averages 27.8 ppg on 17.9 attempts in Lakers wins, but 23.5 ppg on 16.3 attempts in losses. Memphis is now 36-7 at home but just 16-25 on the road and while the Lakers are just above average at home at 24-18, they have dealt with injuries and a very slow start. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 71-44 ATS (61.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Los Angeles Lakers |
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04-22-23 | Reds +140 v. Pirates | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Divisional Game of the Month. The Pirates went into Colorado and swept the Rockies by a combined score of 33-9 and returned home to take the first two games of this series 4-3 and 4-2 as the pitching has allowed three runs or less in five straight games. They are now a surprising 14-7 overall to keep pace with the Brewers in the National League Central. Cincinnati has lost four straight games which included a pair of shutout losses to red hot Tampa Bay prior to the two losses to open this set as the offense has been nonexistent with those five total runs but they catch a good matchup here to get it going again. Rich Hill is coming off a pair of quality starts as the ageless lefty has rebounded from two poor outings to open the season. One thing that has not gotten better is giving up the long ball as he has allowed seven home runs in four starts. Luis Cessa got lambasted in his last start, allowing 11 runs on 14 hits in three innings against the Phillies so it is safe to assume he can only be better and has a good matchup here. Here, we play on road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 hitting .250 or worse going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better, in April games. This situation is 31-16 (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (907) Cincinnati Reds |
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04-22-23 | Suns v. Clippers +7.5 | Top | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. The bad news for the Clippers is that they will once again be without Kawhi Leonard who is out with a knee injury but the good news is that they will have had more than a half day to prepare for the situation unlike Thursday when he was ruled hours before tipoff. Los Angeles fought hard in the Game Three loss and that will be the case again with the series on the line. Norman Powell was exceptional in his absence and arguably played a better game than a less than 100 percent Leonard would have as he scored a team high 42 points. This was not out of the blue however as he started in eight games during the regular season and ranked fourth in the NBA in total points off the bench. The Clippers have more depth and the quick turnaround from Thursday night to Saturday afternoon benefits them as Phoenix starters logged 189:15 minutes. Kevin Durant and Devin Booker have played 85:56 and 89:19 respectively in the last two games alone. The Clippers bench has outscored the Suns bench 103-41 overall in the series. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with +/- 3 ppg scoring differentials, after a combined score of 245 points or more. This situation is 61-22 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-21-23 | Cavs +2 v. Knicks | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Star Attraction. Defense has been the story in this series thus far and Cleveland responded with a Game Two victory to even the series and it again came up strong on the defensive end. They have held the Knicks to 39.5 percent shooting, backing up their No. 1 ranked unit in efficiency and they have held the opponent to 44 or less shooting in five of their last nine games. on the other side, New York did well in Game One on defense but opponents have shot 49 percent or better in six of their last seven games. Cleveland made some key rotation changes in Game Two on offense and it made a huge difference. The lack of offense from forward Isaac Okoro in Game One, who scored only six points on 1-6 shooting despite constantly being open forced a switch as the Cavaliers shifted toward a more spread out offense, playing either Evan Mobley or Jarrett Allen at center with four perimeter players completing the rotation. It will not be surprising to see Okoro out of the starting lineup for Game Three. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing between 104 and 108 ppg after two or more consecutive unders, going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (557) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-21-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Playing a team coming home in a 2-0 series deficit is typically a good move considering the desperation at hand and while the Nets did not come through last night against Philadelphia, they had their chances but could not close against a much stronger roster. The Hawks are in the same situation but the way this series has opened, their chances of winning any game looks dire as the Celtics defense has dominated through the first two games. Coming in, Atlanta had the fourth-best offensive rating in the NBA since the All-Star Break but the Celtics held the Hawks to fewer than 100 points for just the third time this season in Game One and in Game Two, the Hawks used a late surge in garbage time to surpass 100 points. Trae Young has shot just 35 percent from the floor on 40 attempts including 23.1 from long range and while he said he will be better at home, Derrick White and Marcus Smart will have something to say back about that as they have bottled him up and forced him to a team high 10 turnovers. Boston easily won both regular season meetings here and they will be too much again. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 when trailing in a playoff series. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Boston Celtics |
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04-21-23 | White Sox +160 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WITE SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. It has been a rough start for the White Sox which are 7-12 to open the season and after opening with a series split against Houston, Chicago has lost its last five series, all two games to one, and it will be get easier here but it opens with the best pitching matchup for the weekend before facing ace Shane McClanahan tomorrow. Tampa Bay continues to dominate as it opened 13-0 but has leveled out by going 3-3 over its last six games despite coming off a pair of shutout wins at Cincinnati to close that series. This is a big price with a fill in starter for tonight, however. Calvin Faucher will be making his second start of the season as he went 2.2 innings against Toronto in his first outing as an opener and will be looking to get stretched out to four innings if the reliever can make it that long which will be a challenge. He has not been a starter since 2014 when he was a freshman in college. Michael Kopech had a horrible opening start against the Giants where he allowed five home runs but has settled down with a pair of good outing, posting a 3.27 ERA in those games. He is looking for a breakout season after having a 3.54 ERA in 25 starts in 2022. 10* (961) Chicago White Sox |
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04-21-23 | Reds +130 v. Pirates | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Pirates went into Colorado and swept the Rockies by a combined score of 33-9 and returned home to take the opening game of this series last night 4-3 as all four runs were scored in the first inning yet Pittsburgh had just four hits the entire game. They are now a surprising 13-7 overall to keep pace with the Brewers in the National League Central. Cincinnati has lost three straight games which included a pair of shutout losses to red hot Tampa Bay and the Reds get that game from last night back with a solid pitching matchup here. Graham Ashcraft is showing his potential as he has been strong thus far, posting a 1.42 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through his first three starts following an absolute gem in his final spring training game that solidified him in the top of the rotation. In 19 starts last season, he went 5-6 with a 4.89 ERA and that ERA went up late in the season when he allowed 16 earned runs in 12 innings in his last three starts. Mitch Keller has pitched well also as he has tossed three straight quality outings after getting hit hard in his opening start which happened to come against the Pirates, a team he has struggled against with a 6.88 career ERA. 10* (953) Cincinnati Reds |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. While this series is not over, the Warriors are in a must win situation as they head home down 2-0 to the Kings where they had a chance to even this series on Sunday, the ejection of Draymond Green came at a horrible time and he treated it as being it a motivator. Golden St. was down four points at the time and while it made a later charge to get within a point. The Warriors could not make crucial stops with the absence of Green who is now suspended for Game Three and we are getting line value with that. Golden St. fell to a miserable 11-32 on the road but is back home where it is 33-8 and needs both of these next two games. This is where Jordan Poole needs to step up as he has scored 21 points on 5-17 shooting with nine of those points coming from the free throw line. The Kings were the higher seed but came in as series underdogs even after the Game One win and are still just -170 favorites as their defense is an issue as they were outshot in both of those games. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 100 or more points off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (550) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. This series has started the wrong way for the Nets as they have been blown out in the first two games, never leading Game One and then blowing an early 10-point lead in Game Two. They head home in probably the best chance for a win as a 3-0 deficit will completely deflate them. Brooklyn finished 23-18 at home and while this is a different roster than what it began the season with, it played well down the stretch. The Sixers are on a dominant path thus far but hitting the road up 2-0 can be a lethargic scenario. Philadelphia has dominated this season series with wins in all six games, four of which were at home. The Nets lost by three points in one of their home meetings and while the other home meeting resulted in a 29-point loss, it was the final game of the regular season where it was all reserves. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Brooklyn Nets |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Milwaukee lost Game One of this series as Giannis Antetokounmpo exited the game after playing only 11 minutes with a lower back contusion and it is difficult for a team to see that happen and prepare on the fly as the Bucks were never in the game after that. He did not practice on Tuesday, and the Bucks officially listed him as doubtful for Game Two but with no structural damage and an extra day in between games, head coach Mike Budenholzer said he was still feeling encouraged he could to play. We are not counting on that and this line is reflecting that as it peaked at 9.5 and is down to 6 in most places Wednesday morning so we are getting value betting this game early with the added bonus that he could suit up. Bobby Portis will replace him if he does not go and the Bucks are 11-6 in his absence when all other starters are available and Portis has averaged over 17 ppg and 10 rpg as his replacement. Being overshadowed is that the Heat lost Tyler Herro to a broken hand in the game as well and this is the game where the rest of the Milwaukee players step up. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (542) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +1 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis is another team that lost its star player as Ja Morant suffered a wrist injury and that completely took the sails out of the Grizzlies as the Lakers went on a game-ending 15-0 run three minutes after Morant went to the locker room. He is questionable and is a gametime decision and this is another instance where we are catching a line with him not playing as this one got to Memphis -3 in some spots and has settled into the Grizzlies getting a point Wednesday morning so we bet this now which will create exceptional value should Morant suit up. Again, we are not banking on that but it would just be an added benefit and Memphis has had time to prepare in his absence and this is where the remaining roster steps up in a must win situation. The Lakers have already captured home floor even with a split so there is hardly as much of a needed win for them here and are still playing in one of the toughest places in the league and the Grizzlies are 11-6 L17 games without Morant and all other starters playing. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-19-23 | Rangers v. Royals -108 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. The Rangers won their third straight game to maintain their two-game lead over the Angels in the American League West and look to complete the three-game sweep before heading home for a weekend series with Oakland. The Royals have dropped five straight games and look to get things right before embarking on a 10-game roadtrip which could already see them playing for last place in the American League Central. Kansas City has gone cold on offense with just 12 runs scored during this skid but we see a rebound here despite what the pitching numbers tell us. Brady Singer looked good in his opening start against Toronto but has been hit hard in his last two outings but he is a solid pitcher that closed last season allowing two runs or less in 10 of his last 14 starts. Martin Perez was the ace of the staff a season ago and he has started right where he left off with a 2.87 ERA through his first three starts but has been fortunate to limit the damage as he has a 1.60 WHIP with his strikeout numbers decreases over each outing. Here, we play on home teams batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who has allowed five or more runs in his last two outings. This situation is 56-30 (65.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (964) Kansas City Royals |
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04-18-23 | Braves v. Padres +125 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. We lost with San Diego last night as it is off to a slow start as it has lost five of its last six games including getting shutout in its last two games to fall to 8-10 on the season. The offense continues to struggle and the Padres will be getting Fernando Tatis, Jr. back on Thursday but until then, and as mentioned yesterday which did not happen, the rest of this potent lineup has to step up. The Braves have won seven straight games following the 2-0 victory last night and four of the other six wins have come by just one run so they have been fortunate and clutch at the same time. Atlanta is now 12-4 and has a two-game lead over the Mets which have tried to keep pace with five straight wins and the Braves pitching has led the way. Spencer Strider will not be an easy task for the Padres as he has been solid but his last two starts have been average as he has allowed three runs over five innings in each of those and those two games have accounted for two of those one run victories. The Padres counter with Blake Snell and the former Cy Young winner has gotten off to a slow start with a 6.92 ERA and 2.15 WHIP through three starts and while his best one was his last one, it still was not great as he allowed three runs in five innings against the Mets in New York. He returns to Petco Park after two road starts where he has posted a 3.16 ERA and 1.09 WHIP since coming to the Padres. 10* (908) San Diego Padres |
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04-18-23 | Cubs v. A's +161 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. After a 1-3 start, the Cubs have won seven of their last 10 games including a 10-1 victory last night in this series opener. This followed a 2-1 series win at the Dodgers as the pitching has dominated on this roadtrip thus far, allowing a total of seven runs and they come in as huge favorites tonight. Oakland has lost five straight games which is its second losing streak of the young season of at least five games to fall to 3-14 overall. The A's offense has been one of the worst in baseball but it has been streaky where it has shown positive results and prior to the recent stretch of scoring six runs in their last three games, they averaged 7.3 rpg in their previous four. Marcus Stroman is showing signs of some of his best years as he has started the season with three straight quality starts, including two games where he allowed no runs and overall he has posted a 1.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP covering 18 innings but this is not sustainable. Ken Waldichuk got off to a horrendous start as he posted a 14.54 ERA over his first two starts but he rebounded last time out against a potent Orioles lineup, as he tossed a quality outing in Baltimore in an 8-4 win. He did not allow a home run after giving up seven in those first two starts and faces a below average power team here as Chicago has hit only 20 home runs on the season and is back in a non-power ball park. 10* (930) Oakland A's |
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04-18-23 | Pirates v. Rockies +103 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Colorado has lost six straight games including a 14-3 beatdown against the Pirates last night to open this series. The offense put up 10 runs in the final two games of its most recent homestand that started this skid but the bats have cooled off considerably as the Rockies have managed just eight runs over the last four games. Pittsburgh is off to a surprising 10-7 start and despite the outburst last night, the offense is sill not a good one as the Pirates scored four more runs Monday than they did in their previous four games combined. They were shoutout twice over that stretch and have scored two runs or fewer six times this season. Vince Velasquez opened the season with a pair of rough outings before his last start where he did not allow an earned run over six innings against St. Louis and we can chalk that up to an anomaly as he has been below average his entire career with a 4.94 ERA and since being traded from the Phillies in late 2021, he has made only 16 starts and we can see regression here with his 5.18 ERA in his career at Coors Field. It has been a rough start for Jose Urena who four runs in each of his first two outings while not getting out of the third inning in either of those but he bounced back with a better game last time out as he allowed three runs in five innings against a potent Cardinals offense. 10* (906) Colorado Rockies |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. New York was able to snag home court advantage with its Game One win on Saturday and Cleveland cannot get itself into a 2-0 hole. The Knicks were able to exploit the best defense in the NBA in the first quarter with 30 points but the Cavaliers clamped down the rest of the way by allowing just 71 points for the rest of the game and overall, they held the Knicks to only 42 percent shooting including 28 percent from long range. As expected, Donovan Mitchell paced the offense with 38 points on 14-30 shooting but the rest of the team shot only 41.5 percent and had just 22 made field goals. The good news is every one of the starters who was on the injury report as questionable played and have now had an extra day of rest. New York has taken the last four meetings this season, all outright as an underdog, after an October win by Cleveland so this is where the Cavaliers clamp down to keep this series within reach. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-17-23 | Warriors -1 v. Kings | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. A viable and value worthy bet in this series was Sacramento Game One/Golden St. Series +310 and half that leg is complete with the other half in a good place still as this is where the Warriors experience will take over. Golden St. is still favored to win the series at -150 despite losing Game One and that defeat was far from deflating as they had to take a game in Sacramento and it does not matter which one it is. The victory for the Kings opened them as favorites for Game Two but the line has quickly flipped to Golden St. being the slight favorite in a game where a win likely means a cover. One factor we mentioned in Game One was Andrew Wiggins coming back and likely being a non-factor which was the case as he scored 17 points off the bench but was just 7-16 from the floor including 1-8 from long range and we expect a bigger game from him with that first game under his belt. Give Sacramento credit as it trailed for the better part of the game but stayed focused and made some crucial late stops on defense which is not what it is known for as the Kings are No. 25 in defensive efficiency and that will come back and haunt them. Here, we play against home underdogs after a win by three points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 99-56 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (523) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-17-23 | Braves v. Padres +141 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Braves have opened the season red hot as they improved to 12-4 following their sixth consecutive win on Sunday that included series sweeps against the Reds and Royals and now they step back up in competition again. They hosted San Diego prior to this streak and lost the series 3-1 so there is revenge but that is not in play. San Diego meanwhile is off to a slow start as it has lost four of its last five games including getting shutout 1-0 on Sunday against the Brewers to fall to 8-9 on the season. The offense continues to struggle and the Padres will be getting Fernando Tatis, Jr. back on Thursday but until then, the rest of this potent lineup has to step up. Max Fried is back on the hill for Atlanta after one short outing as he went on the IL with a hamstring injury that forced him to miss over two weeks. We do not see him getting stretched too much here after tossing only 43 pitches in that first start and the bullpen, which is very solid, has been overused the last week. Ryan Weathers has been strong through two starts as he has a 2.70 ERA and 1.10 WHIP and has gone five innings in each outing with his command in good form, not throwing more than 90 pitches in each. 10* (958) San Diego Padres |
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04-17-23 | Brewers v. Mariners +133 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Both Milwaukee and Seattle are coming off 1-0 shutout wins on Sunday and Seattle remains home and now as an underdog due to the starting pitching matchup. The Mariners have had a streaky start to the season as they opened 1-4 and then went 3-1, 0-3 and have now won four straight games to get back to .500 for the first time since the first two games of the season. Milwaukee took three of four in San Diego as it got a gem from Wade Miley on Sunday and the Brewers are now 11-5 on the season as they continue this 10-game roadtrip. Milwaukee has gotten it done with outstanding pitching all around as its 2.94 ERA is good for No. 3 in baseball with the bullpen leading the way with a 2.26 ERA. Corbin Burnes is the ace of this staff and he shook off two bad outings to open the season as he tossed eight shutout innings at Arizona in his last start but faces a much better offense on Monday that has underachieved through 16 games. Chris Flexen opened the season with a pair of solid outings, although neither were quality, but he got roughed up by the Cubs on Tuesday as he could not hold onto a 7-0 lead as he gave up eight runs in the third inning while recording just one out. The last two seasons shows he can and will bounce back. 10* (976) Seattle Mariners |
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04-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. The Clippers won their final three games of the regular season to claim the No. 5 seed in the Western Conference to finish one game behind Phoenix but these teams are heading into the postseason pretty far from each other. The Clippers at +2,000 are ahead of only Minnesota to win the conference and remain at not full strength with Paul George out of the lineup which is a big blow going into the postseason. They have to rely on Kawhi Leonard, who has done it before by himself, but they catch a horrible first round draw facing this Suns team at the wrong time. Phoenix closed the season with two losses but both meant nothing as it had the No. 4 seed locked up and it played both of those games without their starters so this team is well rested and ready to make a run with arguably the best top to bottom roster in the postseason. Injuries were the story all season with Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton missing 17, 21 and 13 games respectively not counting those final two games while having newly acquired Kevin Durant out of action for most of his time but Phoenix is now as healthy as it has been since the start of the season and having added one of the best players in the league. This is a statement game to put the rest of the NBA on notice. Here, we play on favorites (revenging a home loss, off a home loss. This situation is 113-51 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Phoenix Suns |
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04-16-23 | Brewers +153 v. Padres | Top | 1-0 | Win | 153 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Ultimate Underdog. Milwaukee won the first two games of this series before losing Game Three on Saturday and the Brewers will be out to win their fifth consecutive series to open the season. Milwaukee leads the National League Central by a game over the surprising Pirates and the offense has a shot to bounce back at a great price as the Brewers lead the Majors with a .284 average against right-handed pitching. San Diego snapped its three-game losing streak with the 10-3 victory and this was just the third time this season this expected potent offense has scored eight or more runs. The Padres have the seventh lowest batting average in baseball as they are hitting only .236 and have another tough series on deck against Atlanta. Wade Miley has been solid thus far as he has a 2.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over his first two starts and he looks to keep rolling after an injury plagued season with the Cubs last year. He has been very underrated when healthy as he has a 3.56 ERA in his last two full seasons and including the two games this season. Yu Darvish had a solid opening start against Arizona but struggled last time out against the Mets, allowing five runs in 6.1 innings in a 5-0 loss and does not catch a break facing another potent lineup. It could take him a while to find some rhythm as he did not pitch in the Cactus League because of his participation in the WBC. 10* (909) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-16-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 128-112 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers are a sleeper pick to win the Western Conference and win the entire NBA Title as their odds have reflected that as they are currently +650 to win the west, the fourth best odds despite being a No. 7 seed and without having a home court edge in any series. This Game One line is showing the overreaction to that as well as the publicly backed Lakers lines being shaded throughout. Los Angeles was unimpressive in its play-in game win over Minnesota and opens this series in one of the toughest environments in the NBA and while there is experience, the athleticism will be tough to match up with. Memphis closed the regular season with losses in two of its last three games which were all meaningless as it has the No. 2 seed wrapped up for a while and all of those were on the road as were four of the last five with that lone home game coming against Portland so this is the first meaningful home game since March 31 so expect a crazy atmosphere. The Grizzlies finished 35-6 at home which was the best home record in the NBA and the best home record in the NBA since the 2016-17 Warriors. Here, we play on teams failing to cover six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 148-96 ATS (60.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (516) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Late Night Annihilator. Sacramento is coming off a magical season after clinching a playoff spot for the first time since 2006 so this is the biggest game in the franchise in close to two decades. Sacramento got a tough draw in the first round by playing the defending World Champions so winning this series will be a challenge but this is a great spot to take the opener based on sheer energy alone. The Kings finished as the No. 3 seed with a 48-34 record and while they come in with three straight losses, those mean nothing since they meant nothing. Golden St. was in jeopardy of missing the postseason altogether at one point but finished strong by going 8-2 over its last 10 games to earn the No. 6 seed and it avoided the play-in tournament by two games. The Warriors will not have home court advantage in any series should all higher seeds win and they have struggled on the road with an 11-30 record. They get Andrew Wiggins back for the postseason but could be a non-factor early until he gets back into basketball form. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, playing five or less games in 14 days. This situation is 65-33 ATS (66.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (508) Sacramento Kings |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The end of the regular season was meaningless for both New York and Cleveland as they had their seedings locked in place entering the final few games. The Cavaliers grabbed the No. 4 seed and home court thanks to an 11-5 run over their last 16 games and that includes a season ending loss against Charlotte where starters were held out or limited in minutes played. The key player to get healthy was Donovan Mitchell who missed the last two games with a sprained finger and while questionable, he will be good to go. He failed to score 20 points only 15 times this season and just six times in his 39 playoff games, where he is averaging 28.3ppg in the postseason. New York lost its final two meaningless games and while it has been a solid road team this season at 24-17 but the injury news is not as good. Julius Randle, who is averaging 25.1 ppg and 10.0 rpg, has missed the last 5 plus games with a left ankle sprain and will be out until later this month. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having won three of their last four games, playing only their 2nd game in seven days. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-15-23 | Mets v. A's +168 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Ultimate Underdog. Following a 4-2 homestand, the Mets opened its 10-game roadtrip by pounding Oakland 17-6 on only 11 hits as they benefitted from getting walked 17 times so they cannot expect anything like that again. New York is now 8-6 on the season as the offense remains a concern despite last night as it No. 28 in baseball with a .224 average and that dips to .221 on the road. Oakland has lost two straight and eight of its last nine games even though the offense has shown signs of life after a brutal start. After scoring one runs over a three-game span against Tampa Bay and Baltimore, the A's have averaged 7.3 rpg over their last four games and can continue the success on Saturday. Both starters are coming in in awful form which makes this line too big for Carlos Carrasco. He has allowed five runs in each of his first two starts which have covered only 8.2 innings total. He closed last season strong but still cannot be trusted. Shintaro Fujinami has been equally bad and is now pitching to keep his spot in the rotation. He is on a unique schedule as he is slated to pitch every Saturday so he has been getting plenty of rest which is the one benefit coming into today. Here, we play against road favorites hitting .250 or worse and batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games going up against teams with a bullpen ERA of 5.00 or worse. This situation is 23-9 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (976) Oakland A's |
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04-14-23 | Angels v. Red Sox +108 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 108 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Boston went into Tampa Bay and got swept in four games by the Rays who are on an historical run and now heads home at 5-8 and in last place in the American League East. Both offense and pitching were poor with the exception of one game each and now the Red Sox are catching a good number at home to get back on track. The Angeles were off on Thursday following a series win against Washington to improve to 7-5 which is good for a first place tie with Texas in the American League West. Pitching has been the strength for Los Angeles and that will be on display here with Patrick Sandoval on the hill. He has allowed one run in each of his first two starts but he has not been missing many bats as he has posted only two strikeouts in each of those first two games. Boston counters with Tanner Houck who is also off to a solid yet unspectacular start but has been responsible for two of its five wins. In 32 games last season, he posted a 3.15 ERA and should fit right into this rotation. Here, we play against teams averaging 5.1 or more rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season going up against teams with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better. This situation is 41-27 (60.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (918) Boston Red Sox |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami learned a hard lesson in its play-in game against Atlanta that if you give up 63 rebounds, you are not going to win so expect a big effort on the boards Friday. The Heat remain home where they are 18-6 over their last 24 games and they have a big travel edge as they remain home after playing on Tuesday and the Bulls have to hit the road again following their game on Wednesday. One key factor for Miami is Jimmy Butler who tends to step up in the postseason but had a bad game against Atlanta on Tuesday. After averaging 21.4 ppg during the regular season last year, he averaged 27.4 ppg in his 17 playoff games and after 6-19 performance against the Hawks, he is ready for a massive game. Give the Bulls credit for coming back from a 19-point deficit against Toronto in their first play-in game and they were fortunate Toronto could not make a free throw. The Raptors went 18-36 from the stripe but Chicago now faces a team that is No. 6 in the league for free-throw rate while hitting 83.1 percent of their attempts, second best in the NBA. Here, we play on favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 90-48 ATS (65.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Miami Heat |
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04-13-23 | Brewers v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Runline Dominator. San Diego is coming off a 4-3 east coast roadtrip culminated by a 5-2 loss to the Mets on Wednesday afternoon and the Padres have gone 7-4 following a 0-2 start. They are back home where they are 3-3 and they continue a stretch of 14 consecutive games against teams that will be competing for divisional championships. Milwaukee has dropped three of its last five games following a six-game winning streak and the pitching rotation is already going through challenges with two starters, Brandon Woodruff and Adrian Houser, sitting on the IL. The Brewers have still gotten some overachieving starts but that should end tonight. Nick Martinez has struggled in his first two starts as he has allowed four runs in each and is coming off an outing where he went only 4.2 innings against Atlanta but has gotten an extra day of rest in a rotation that has gone six deep through the first two turns. Milwaukee counters with Eric Lauer who has been moved up a day as he was originally scheduled to start on Friday and he struggled in his last start against St. Louis, allowing six runs on seven hits in just four innings. Here, we play on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher where they draw four or more walks per game, after scoring two runs or less. This situation is 87-24 (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs |
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04-13-23 | Red Sox +200 v. Rays | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. Tampa Bay is coming off another win to move to 12-0 on the season as it owns the third best start in Major League history and the best since 1987 and it has done it from both sides. The Rays are ranked No. 1 or No. 2 in runs, batting average, OPS and home runs for and against which is something unsustainable. Boston has lost three straight games following a three-game winning streak as it has managed only two runs in the first two losses but the bats came alive yesterday as expected. The Red Sox have scored two runs or less in four of their games but has tallied six runs or more in seven games including nine runs or more four times. One former Cy Young winner got hammered yesterday and Boston hopes to get a better performance from another one today with Corey Kluber who has also gotten off to a shaky start. However, his damage was in his first outing and he settled down last time out, allowing one run on three hits in five innings against the Pirates. This is a revenge outing after starting 31 games for the Rays last season. Jeffrey Springs is another starter that has gotten off to an incredible start as he has yet to allow a run in two starts over 13 innings but those games were against Oakland and Detroit. He is an ace on a lot of teams coming off a 2022 season where he had a 2.46 ERA over 25 starts and eight relief appearances, hence, the massive line being laid here. 10* (959) Boston Red Sox |
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04-12-23 | Thunder v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Give Oklahoma City a lot of credit for being in this situation to begin win. The Thunder have the youngest roster in the NBA and were picked to finish in the range of anywhere between No. 13 and No. 15 but exceeded expectations to finish No. 10 and make the postseason. They still finished with a losing record and with such a young team, the pressure could get to them here. Oklahoma City closed the season with two wins two get here but went 2-6 prior to that and come in 16-25 on the road. New Orleans finished only two games better but dealt with a lot of injuries throughout the course of the season with obviously Zion Williams being the biggest loss as he has missed 53 games but the Pelicans also were without second leading scorer and assist leader Brandon Ingram for 37 games. They started off solid but then went through a 30-game stretch in January and February by going 8-22 but are playing some of their best basketball right now as they have won nine of their last 12 games. They are 27-14 at home and last year, they needed to win one game at home and one game on the road in the play-in tournament and will need to do the same so that experience helps. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 92-57 ATS (61.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) New Orleans Pelicans |
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04-12-23 | Nationals +152 v. Angels | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Interleague Game of the Month. Washington won the series opener against the Angels 6-4 on Monday but then ran into Shohei Ohtani last night as he dominated over seven innings, allowing only one hit and no runs. The Nationals are now 4-8 with three of those losses coming against undefeated Tampa Bay so it has not been all that bad. The Angels are off to a 6-5 start which is decent and the average start is not surprising for a team that has been average at best for a few years and has done basically nothing to improve behind Ohtani and Mike Trout. This is a team that should not be laying a number like this in a toss-up pitching matchup. Griffin Canning is making his first start of the season and his first start in 21 months for that matter as he has missed time with a lower back stress fracture. He missed the first part of the season with a groin injury and while healthy, it is unknown how far he can actually go and the bullpen has struggled. Mackenzie Gore will be making his third start and has been very impressive. He allowed just one run in 5.1 inning against Atlanta in his opener and two runs in six innings against Colorado on Friday and both resulted in victories. He brings in a 2.38 ERA and a ton of confidence into this one. 10* (929) Washington Nationals |
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04-12-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Runline Annihilator. After a 15-3 win on Monday, the Phillies lost game two of this series last night 8-4 and are in a good bounce back spot to win big and we will be on the runline at + money. Philadelphia is off to a rough 4-7 start but are still being priced based on last season so there is no value in its moneyline which is why laying the -1.5 runs is the way to go here. Miami has won four of seven after a 1-4 start and it is coming off its best offensive showing of the season last night with the eight runs scored and it was just the second time all season the Marlins have scored more than five runs. They are 2-3 on the road with the pitching being the big liability with a 7.29 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Zack Wheeler had a rough first outing at Texas but bounced back with a decent but not dominant effort against Cincinnati as he allowed two runs over 5.1 innings. He has excellent stuff as proven by his last two full seasons here with ERAs of 2.78 and 2.82. Miami counters with Edward Cabrera who has allowed only two runs in each of his first two starts but has not gone far as he has tossed only 4.0 and 2.2 innings in those games for a 5.40 ERA. He was solid last season as a late season callup as he allowed no runs in his first four starts but then struggled at the end. 10* (908) Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs |
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04-12-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies +155 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. Colorado won the series opener on Monday 7-4 but lost game two last night 9-6 as it blew a 6-2 lead by allowing four runs in the seventh and three in the ninth. The Rockies are now 5-7 including 3-3 at home and are getting a good number here based on the starting pitching numbers early on. St. Louis is now just 4-7 and the potential is there for a big run but something is just not right yet. The Cardinals broke out late last night but the offense is still bottom third in the league in scoring despite hitting the ball well as it has been unable to get good in the clutch. Jack Flaherty has been solid through two starts with a 1.80 ERA but his command has been awful as he has given up 13 walks but the damage has been limited to lack of hits from the opposition. Now he heads to the thin air of Colorado where things could get dicey and in 100 career starts, this is surprisingly his first one ever at Coors Field. It has been a rough start for Jose Urena who has allowed four runs in each of his first two outings while not getting out of the third inning in either of those. He is a veteran pitcher who has dealt with this before and looks to settle down today. 10* (904) Colorado Rockies |
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04-11-23 | Wolves +8 v. Lakers | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Play-In Game of the Year. Minnesota was able to secure the No. 8 seed in the play-in tournament by winning its final three games to finish two games over .500. It had an internal scuffle during the game on Sunday as Rudy Gobert threw a punch at Kyle Anderson and has subsequently been suspended for this game but it provided a spark as Minnesota came back from a 14-point deficit and that performance can bring in some huge momentum. The Timberwolves were one of the most underachieving teams in the NBA with 16 of their losses to the bottom 10 teams in the league. Making that harder to stomach is the fact that if they had four more wins, they would have the No. 4 seed and home court advantage in the first round. The Lakers are playing excellent with the best record in the Western Conference since the All Star break but the markets will continue to overreact to that and with the public being a Lakers favorite. Los Angeles is 23-18 at home which is nothing spectacular and face a team that has been solid on the road with the Timberwolves going 20-21 which is tied for the third best record on the highway in the Western Conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential, after a combined score of 245 points or more. This situation is 60-22 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (563) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-11-23 | Red Sox +162 v. Rays | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Tampa Bay won a 1-0 game last night thanks to a solo home run in the eighth inning to remain undefeated on the season, becoming just the seventh team in MLB history to open a season 10-0. This was also the third straight shutout for the Rays after beating Oakland 11-0 in consecutive games. The Red Sox has a three-game winning streak snapped with the loss but are catching a favorable price with the markets needing to adjust. Garrett Whitlock is making his first start of the season after starting the season on the IL. He has made two rehab starts and all has been positive and in his last one, he allowed one run on one hit, one walk, and eight strikeouts in six innings with Double-A Portland. He was solid in nine starts last season before being dominant in the bullpen near the end of the season in August and September. Shane McClanahan has made two starts and both have been quality outings but those were against two of the worst offenses in baseball in Detroit and Washington and while Boston has not been crushing the ball, it has been above average. The Red Sox are top ten in runs scored and OPS while hitting lefties well and coming off the shutout outs them in a good spot. 10* (967) Boston Red Sox |
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04-11-23 | A's +177 v. Orioles | Top | 8-12 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. It has been a tough stretch for Oakland as after a season opening win, it has lost eight of its last nine games including five straight following a 5-1 series opening loss last night. The A's have scored just one run over their last three games after coming off a stretch of four games averaging 6.0 rpg. Baltimore snapped a two-game losing streak with the victory and it has gotten off to an inconsistent start at 5-5. Last night was the first time being favored this season and the number has risen for the game tonight coming off that victory with the value being on the other side. Oakland sends Kyle Muller to the hill for his third start this season and the opening day starter has been solid through two starts, posting a 2.53 ERA and 1.13 WHIP and was responsible for that first win of the season against the Angels. Baltimore counters with Grayson Rodriguez who was decent in his opening start, allowing two runs on four hits over five inning against Texas in a 5-2 loss. He was called up a little sooner than expected with an injury to Kyle Bradish as the No. 12 overall prospect in baseball really struggled in the spring trying to make the rotation with a 7.04 ERA over 15.1 innings and the pressure is on making his home debut. 10* (965) Oakland A's |
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04-11-23 | Astros v. Pirates +166 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 166 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. After opening the season 1-2, Pittsburgh has won five of its last seven games despite an 8-2 loss last night to open this three-game series. The Pirates have been inconsistent on both sides but have shown flashes with both the offense and pitching and are catching a good price against a public favorite. It has been a rough start for the reigning World Series champions as Houston is off to a 5-6 start despite coming off a pair of wins and while this could provide some momentum, the Astros seem to be going through the typical championship hangover. Christian Javier has made two starts including a quality outing in his last one against the Tigers, tossing six innings while allowing one run on five hits. This is his first start on the road where he has not been as effective throughout his short career as he has a 2.57 ERA in 43 home games compared to a 3.66 ERA in 37 games on the road. Mitch Keller is in his third season as a full time starter with the Pirates and after struggling with a 6.17 ERA in 2021, he improved significantly last season with a 3.91 ERA over 29 starts. He was roughed up in his opener against Cincinnati but shut down the Red Sox in his second outing, allowing just one run on four hits in seven innings. 10* (976) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies +131 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 131 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Underdog Dominator. St. Louis has gotten off to a slow start at 3-6 including a 2-1 series loss at Milwaukee over the weekend to open this six-game roadtrip. Steven Matz was hit hard in his first start as he allowed four runs on 10 hits in 5.1 inning against the Braves in a four-run loss. Now he heads to Colorado where a lot of pitchers struggle and Matz has had his issues here as he has a 9.20 ERA in three career starts. Colorado is also off to a poor start at 4-6 which included a series split against Washington after opening the season with six road games. German Marquez opened the season with a quality outing against the Padres and then had a poor start against the Dodgers but both were on the road against elite offenses. He makes his first home start where he has not been great over his career but he has the familiarity on his side and faces a team he has dominated with a 2.83 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in eight career starts. Here, we play against National League road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher allowing 4.5 or more rpg on the season going up against an opponent allowing 5.5 or more rpg on the season. This situation is 24-10 (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (908) Colorado Rockies |
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04-09-23 | Pelicans v. Wolves -2.5 | Top | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Star Attraction. Both New Orleans and Minnesota are in the postseason but the outcome of this game will determine the head-to-head tiebreaker, which will come into play if Minnesota wins. The Timberwolves have won two straight to remain one game out of the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and a win here puts them into a tie with the Pelicans and they would get a home game in the play-in tournament thanks to the season series win over New Orleans. The Pelicans have also won two straight and going back have won nine of 11 and have a chance to move up out of the play-in but that is unlikely with the three teams ahead of them all double-digit favorites on Sunday. New Orleans comes in just 15-25 on the road. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite. This situation is 43-11 ATS (79.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (558) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-07-23 | Warriors -4 v. Kings | Top | 119-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Star Attraction. It is a very interesting situation for Golden St. heading into its final two games of the regular season. The Warriors have won six of their last eight games to move into a tie with the Clippers for the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference but both of those teams are just one game up on the Lakers and Pelicans which are in the top two spots in the play-in tournament. Obviously, Golden St. wants to avoid that drop into the play-in games and a win here accomplishes that but passing the Clippers is not ideal as the Warriors would rather face Sacramento in the first round instead of climbing to No. 5 and facing Phoenix. Win here and lose Sunday gets that done. Sacramento ended the longest playoff drought among all sports while also capturing the Pacific Division basically by default with all four other teams getting hit hard by injuries all season. The Kings have locked up the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference and with nothing left to play for, the roster will be short handed tonight with four double-digit scorers likely sitting led by De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis who are No. 1 and 2 with a combined 44.4 ppg. 10* (519) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-07-23 | Knicks v. Pelicans -7.5 | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Knicks regular season is complete with two games remaining as they have cliched the No. 5 seed and will face Cleveland in the first round of the playoffs with plenty of rest upcoming. They have some momentum going right now with five straight wins but at this point, staying healthy heading into the postseason is more important. New York will be starting that rest early as Jalen Brunson will be sitting tonight after he missed the previous game against Indiana and there is no reason to rush him back. RJ Barrett is also likely going to sit again and any starters that open the game will not be pressed. New Orleans is playing solid right as it has won eight of its last 10 games following a horrible 7-20 run that nearly knocked the Pelicans out of the postseason. They are not only guaranteed a spot in the playoffs but still have an outside shot at getting into the top six and avoiding the play-in tournament as they are tied with the Lakers at No. 7 and trail the Warriors and Clippers by one game for the No. 6 slot. They close the season at Minnesota on Sunday and this could possibly be their final home game of the season depending on seeding as they could not host a play-in game should they remain in that group and the come in 26-14 at home. 10* (514) New Orleans Pelicans |
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04-07-23 | A's +220 v. Rays | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Underdog Dominator. We feel it is about time for this Tampa Bay run to come to an end as the Rays are the lone remaining undefeated team in baseball at 6-0. They have faced a very favorable schedule with this being their third straight series to open the season against a team not going to contend for a division title or the playoffs. While that means they should be winning these games, which they have, they are now being overpriced and in a massive way tonight. Zach Eflin made his Rays debut and was solid against the Tigers after spending his first seven seasons in Philadelphia but was nothing but average with a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 127 games and does not warrant a price this big. Oakland is 2-4 and the offense has picked it up by averaging 6.3 rpg in its last three games after scoring only three runs in its first three games. Ken Waldichuk was lit up against the Angels in his season opener but he should settle down here. Here, we play against American League teams averaging 5.1 or more rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better on the season going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better. This situation is 36-19 (65.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (961) Oakland A's |
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04-06-23 | Thunder -6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We have ridden Utah the last two games as the Jazz lost to Brooklyn and Los Angeles but covered both and those two losses by a combined three points were devastating and they have to be out of gas at this point. They have lost three straight and seven of their last eight to fall out of playoff contention as injuries have killed them at the wrong time. Utah is down three starters which are also their top three scorers and even though this is a must win or stay home game, the spot is not a good one. Oklahoma City has also lost three straight games but it remains in the driver's seat as if it wins its final two games, it makes the play-in tournament thanks to owning the tiebreak with Dallas. The Thunder have failed to cover their last eight games which is a streak we like to go against and they catch a break after playing Phoenix and Golden St. in their last two games. This number is reflecting the problem on the Jazz roster as Oklahoma City is seeing a 14-point swing from its last game against the Warriors but for good reason. Here, we play on road favorites after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 124-79 ATS (61.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (579) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-05-23 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. The Lakers remain on fire but last night took a lot out of them as they defeated Utah but nearly blew a late 10-point lead and needed overtime to secure the two-point win. Los Angeles has won four straight games, all on the road, and is 7-1 over its last eight games to move into the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference with the Clippers and it trails Golden St. by only a half-game to move into the No. 5 or slot so it is looking really good to avoid the play-in tournament but tonight will be challenge where four starters played over 38 minutes including over a combined 80 minutes from LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Sitting at .500 on the road is impressive but now is in a tough spot playing a team in the same situation. The Clippers have been off since Saturday so there will be no load management scenarios coming into play tonight. They possess the same record as the Lakers at 41-38 and like their counterpart, they can move into the No. 5 spot but the loser tonight takes a step back and will be only one game ahead of Minnesota and New Orleans, or tied with the Pelicans should New Orleans defeat Memphis on Wednesday. The Clippers have lost two straight games and would love nothing more that grab the 4-0 season sweep. 10* (572) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-05-23 | Kings v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 119-123 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This could be one of the epic falls of all time as Dallas was hovering around .500 and looked to make a splash by landing Kyrie Irving but that has gone the wrong way. The Mavericks are coming off a loss against Atlanta, but did cover, and are now 8-16 since the acquisition of Irving and while he and Luka Doncic have both missed time with injuries, they should not be this bad. There have been rumors of the two being shut down for the season but that is not going to happen just yet as the Mavericks are just a half-game out of the play-in tournament with three home games remaining so catching Oklahoma City is still a very good possibility. The Kings are coming off a win over New Orleans last night and have won three of their last four games and five of their last seven while clinching the Pacific Division with that victory on Tuesday. One more Memphis victory and they cannot get the No. 2 seed so there is hardly anything left to play for except to stay healthy and see who their first round matchup will be against. Sacramento improved to 25-14 on the road which is the best road record in the Western Conference but this is a tough back-to-back spot against a team with a lot more on the line. 10* (570) Dallas Mavericks |
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04-05-23 | Raptors v. Celtics -5 | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Star Attraction. Boston is coming off a loss against Philadelphia last night and it was a bigger game for the Sixers than the Celtics as they were at home looking to keep their hopes of the No. 2 seed alive and avoid the 4-0 season sweep against their rival. While a Celtics victory last night would have locked up the No. 2 seed, they have a lot more wiggle room as all they need is one more victory to get it which would secure home court advantage against Philadelphia should the two teams advance past the first round. This is the first of three straight home games to close the season so the situation is great for Boston to close it now and get some rest the remainder of the way. Toronto is coming off a 20-point win at Charlotte last night, the second consecutive 20-point victory over the Hornets and the Raptors are locked into a spot in the play-in tournament and improved to just 14-25 on the road. The only thing they are playing for is getting a No. 7 or No. 8 seed to be able to play host to the first and second game but playing two straight games in Boston and finishing with a game against Milwaukee could pose a problem although they could face some resting teams over the last two games. 10* (562) Boston Celtics |
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04-05-23 | Mets +121 v. Brewers | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Underdog Dominator. The Mets opened the season 3-1 but have been shutout their last two games against the Brewers and have a tough spot here against the Milwaukee ace but he was vulnerable in his opener. New York send David Peterson to the hill and while he was responsible for that lone loss during the 3-1 start, he pitched well as he allowed just one run over five innings, a solo shot from Jorge Soler, and looks to build off that outing here. He was solid last season before being relegated to the bullpen in mid-September as he allowed three runs or less in 15 of 19 starts and looks to cool down a hot Milwaukee lineup. The Brewers have put up 28 runs over their last three games after scoring three runs in their first two games and have now won four straight games. Corbin Burnes won the 2021 Cy Young award and he tailed off somewhat last season although it was still a very solid year with a 2.94 ERA over 33 starts. In his season opener this year, he allowed four runs in five innings against the Cubs and now faces one of the most potent lineups in baseball despite coming off a pair of shutouts. Here, we play on National League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 allowing 4.5 or more rpg on the season, after getting shut out in two straight games. This situation is 35-14 (71.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (955) New York Mets |
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04-04-23 | Rockies +230 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Dodgers are off to a 3-2 start following a 13-4 series opening win over the Rockies last night and they have averaged over 10 rpg in those three victories while scoring only one run in each of its two losses, both of which followed a victory. Julio Urias takes the hill for Los Angeles following a quality start in his season opener as he went six innings while allowing two runs in the 6-2 victory over Arizona. He is a sleep Cy Young candidate and while the price reflects that, it is too much of an adjustment. The Rockies are now 2-3 as they came away with a split against the Padres prior to the Monday loss and they have now dropped three straight games which puts them in a good bounce back spot here at a great price. German Marquez counters for Colorado and he is also coming off a quality outing as he went six innings against San Diego, allowing only two runs as he remains much more effective on the road. He has a 3.75 career ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the road as opposed to a 5.08 ERA and 1.40 WHIP at Coors Field. Last season was the epitome of this where he had a 6.70 ERA and 1.60 WHIP at home compared to a 3.34 ERA and 11.14 WHIP on the road. 10* (909) Colorado Rockies |
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04-04-23 | Lakers v. Jazz +9 | Top | 135-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. This is a big game for both teams yet the line is over adjusted on the Lakers because they are playing well and are a very publicly backed team to begin with. Los Angeles has won three straight games, all on the road, and is 6-1 over its last seven games to move into the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and it trails Golden St. and the Clippers by only a half-game to move into either the No. 5 or No. 6 slot and avoid the play-in tournament. The Lakers are a game under .500 on the road still and are laying just a couple buckets less than what they were laying against the 19-60 Rockets two days ago. Utah is playing for their playoff lives as the Jazz have lost two straight games and six of their last seven to fall into the No. 12 spot in the Western Conference, trailing the Thunder by a game and a half for the final play-in tournament berth. The Jazz are 22-16 at home to open this three-game homestand needing to pretty much win out but we are getting a substantial amount of points to at least get a cover. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 50-23 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Utah Jazz |
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04-04-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 123-105 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. Chicago has won two straight games to put itself in position to clinch a spot in the play-in tournament with a victory tonight as a win eliminates Orlando. With Milwaukee on deck, this is a game they know they need to take and they remain home after defeating Memphis by 21 points on Sunday to improve to 21-18 at home with two games remaining in Chicago to go along with a pair of road contests. Going back, the Bulls have won nine of 12 to get into this situation so they are playing some of their best basketball in a while. Atlanta defeated Dallas on Sunday in overtime and is guaranteed a spot in the postseason, most likely the play-in tournament but still have an outside shot at the No 6 spot which is unlikely. We have been riding this Hawks roller coaster for some time now and are going against them again as they improved to 39-39 on the season and it has now been 33 straight games where they have been within one game of .500. They have dropped their last five games following a win while covering just one of those. Here, we play against road teams after allowing 120 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 80-43 ATS (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Chicago Bulls |
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04-04-23 | Wolves -1 v. Nets | Top | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. Minnesota was rolling along with four straight victories but it has dropped its last three games to fall a game under .500 and is sitting right in the middle of the play-in tournament in the No. 9 spot but it is not guaranteed a spot yet with Dallas and Utah still alive. The Timberwolves can still move into the No. 6 spot but they have to win out and get some needed help along the way but it is game to game right now and this is a big one to get back on track and get that momentum back. Brooklyn meanwhile has won three straight games and is in good shape to claim the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference as it is ahead of Miami by two games with four games left. All three of the recent victories have been at home where the Nets are now 22-16 and this number has actually flipped with more on the line for Timberwolves which are back to playing with their full starting roster. The Nets have struggled against the better offensive teams, going 15-28 ATS in their last 43 home games against teams shooting 46 percent or better. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-04-23 | Rays v. Nationals +161 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Tampa Bay is off to a 4-0 start after a 6-2 series opening win yesterday against Washington and the Rays are just one of two remaining undefeated teams in baseball. The pitching has been outstanding as they have allowed only five runs in those four games and their 1.00 team ERA is the best in baseball. That could take a hit after tonight as No. 5 starter Josh Fleming takes the hill for his first start after coming off a rough season where he went 2-5 with a 6.43 ERA and spent time between Tampa Bay and AAA because of inconsistency and injuries. He did not have a great spring and kind of backed into this spot because of the injury to Tyler Glasnow who is out for well over another month. The Nationals are 1-3 to start the season as they have been inconsistent on both sides but have a good matchup here. While it is a small sample size still, Washington has struggled against righties with a .127 average while hitting .289 against left-handed pitching. Chad Kuhl gets the ball for the Nationals and before he was dinged up last season, he had a 4-2 record and 3.17 ERA through his first 10 starts and finished the spring strong to grab the final spot in the rotation. 10* (926) Washington Nationals |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our National Championship Enforcer. Connecticut comes in as the big favorite as it again rolled in the NCAA Tournament following a 13-point win over Miami and all five games have been won by at least that amount. That did put some early money on the Huskies as the number opened at -6 and has risen a point and a half as of Sunday night with 81 percent of the money coming in on Connecticut and that will not ease up. The Huskies have used incredible athleticism and length to blowout all five opponents but this is the worst of the two matchups that Connecticut could have gotten from the other semifinal matchup. One stat the no one will want to go against is the fact that Connecticut is 16-0 straight up and 15-1 ATS in nonconference games with the lone non-cover coming by just one point. San Diego St. has not been nearly as dominant in the tournament as it has won its last two games by just one point, the first team ever to win its Elite Eight and Final Four games by a single point. They make a tough matchup for the Huskies as they have the defense that is fully capable to ultimately keep this game close. The Aztecs possess the No. 4 ranked efficiency defense in the country and the last game against Florida Atlantic was the first time in the last nine games they have allowed an opponent to shoot better than 40 percent. San Diego St. is deep which makes opponents adjust and the Aztecs bench points are ranked No. 36 in the country and as long as they can control the pace for most of the game, this one stays close and they are more than capable of the outright victory. 10* (711) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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04-03-23 | Orioles +122 v. Rangers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 122 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for our MLB Underdog Dominator. Baltimore had a rough opening series against the Red Sox from a pitching standpoint as it allowed nine runs in each of the three games with the middle game being a devastating blow as a dropped fly ball that would have ended the game extended it and that resulted in a Boston win. The offense was fine and should continue its surge here. Overall, Kyle Bradish was average last season but he was not 100 percent and was shut down for about six weeks in June and July and that rest made a huge difference. Over his last 13 games, after returning from right shoulder inflammation, he went 3-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while allowing a batting average of .212 and .607 OPS. He missed a lot of bats this spring and while this is not an ideal matchup for his first outing, the line reflects that. Texas is coming off an opening series sweep over the Phillies as the bats that put up 27 runs in the first two games came back down Sunday but the pitching made the difference in the 2-1 win. Jon Gray is coming off a solid spring but faded down the stretch and will be facing a very potent lineup that lit him up in his lone start against Baltimore last season. 10* (963) Baltimore Orioles |
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04-02-23 | Lakers v. Rockets +11.5 | Top | 134-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. As we enter the final week of the regular season, we are seeing lines being overadjusted for teams needing to keep winning to make a playoff push or for teams that have basically packed it in. The Lakers are playing some of their best basketball right now as they have won five of their last six games and are currently in the No. 8 spot and are looking good to remain in the playoffs as they are 2.5 games clear of the No. 11 spot with five games remaining. Los Angeles has been a road favorite only seven times this season and while they are 6-1 in those games, it has been favored by no more than five points in any of those games and now it is laying more than twice that high point. The Lakers were -3 favorites here just over two weeks ago and while there was no LeBron James in the lineup, this adjustment is too big. The Rockets are not a team that has packed it in or is riddled with injuries as they are still playing hard and will do so the rest of the season behind thing young roster of players that is competing for next season. Houston is coming off a win over Detroit on Friday and while the Pistons are horrible, they are seeing close to a 20-point line swing here. Houston is a respectable 8-8 ATS over its last 16 games and on the season, it has caught double-digits at home five times and those were all against some of the best teams in the NBA, not a team that is hovering around .500. 10* (522) Houston Rockets |
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04-02-23 | Phillies +116 v. Rangers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Star Attraction. We are only a couple games into the season but the Texas offense has been bashing as the Rangers have put up 27 runs through their first two games and they lead the league with a .375 average. This is obviously not sustainable despite Texas getting to the top two starters in the Phillies rotation as Philadelphia now turns to Bailey Falter who won a spot in the rotation after a solid spring, mixing his pitches to get easy outs and in his most recent start, he went five shutout innings against the Tigers. He was very strong at the end of last season as he allowed two runs or less in seven of his last nine starts and overall posted a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Texas counters with Martin Perez who is coming off a great season with a 2.86 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 32 starts as he was the most consistent starter in the rotation. He has been limited this spring as it was not a typical camp as he pitched for Team Venezuela in the WBC so he was never on schedule and following a 70-pitch outing, his last appearance was out of the bullpen where he tossed 15 pitches and he is on track to go no more than 80 pitches should he make it that far. The Phillies offense has been overshadowed as they are No. 6 in OPS and No. 9 in average. 10* (929) Philadelphia Phillies |
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04-02-23 | Mavs +4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 130-132 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. This could be one of the epic falls of all time as Dallas work hovering around .500 and looked to make a splash by landing Kyrie Irving but that has gone the wrong way. The Mavericks are coming off a loss against Miami last night and are now 8-15 since the acquisition of Irving and while he and Luka Doncic have both missed time with injuries, they should not be this bad. This is another overreaction line as Dallas is now getting a bucket more than it did last night against a Heat team that is ahead of the Hawks in the standings. Dallas is one game behind Oklahoma City for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference with a remaining schedule that is very doable for a late season sneak into the postseason. We have been riding this Hawks roller coaster for some time now and are going against then again even though this could be considered a bounce back situation. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Brooklyn on Friday to move to 38-39 on the season and it has now been 32 straight games where they have been within one game of .500 so while the losses have not been piling up, neither have the wins. They are currently in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference where they have been for a while and are assured to be in the play-in tournament and the only thing left is who they will be playing. 10* (517) Dallas Mavericks |
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04-02-23 | Jazz +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Brooklyn is coming off a win over Atlanta on Friday which was its second straight victory and the Nets are firmly in the playoffs as they are currently No. 6 in the Eastern Conference and are out to avoid slipping down to No. 7 and force them into the play-in tournament. They are a game and a half clear of that so there is room and moving up is likely not an option as Brooklyn trails the Knicks by 2.5 games for fifth place with only five games left. The remaining schedule shows it should be no issue to remain in this spot as four of those five games are at home with the lone road game taking placed in Detroit. Utah has a lot more to play for but this line is saying otherwise. The Jazz have lost five of their last six games but are coming off a solid effort at Boston on Friday and they have fallen into the No. 12 spot in the Western Conference, a game and a half out of the final playoff spot so they will need to make a final week run but the good news is that three of the final four games are against teams they are chasing so there are possibilities but this is close to a must win even though the line says otherwise as does the public. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home win scoring 110 or more points, playing a losing team. This situation is 58-24 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (511) Utah Jazz |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our Final Four Dominator. Of the Final Four teams, Miami has had the toughest run as the four teams it defeated had a combined seeding of 19, while San Diego St.'s opponents had a combined seeding of 32 and the Connecticut and Florida Atlantic opponents had a combined seeding of 31. The Hurricanes have had to rally from big deficits along the way so while it can be argued that they very well should not even be here, the experience from their Elite Eight exit from last season has been pivotal. This offense has caused problems and have a good matchup here with the unit that is ranked No. 4 in offensive efficiency. Connecticut is the favorite to win the National Championship as it has looked the most dominant and it is currently -125 to bring it home. The Huskies became the seventh team to win all four games by 15 or more points in reaching the national semifinals and these lopsided results have forced them to lay the big number here, the most they have been favored by over the previous three games. Connecticut does have the edge on offense with its No. 9 ranked efficiency unit against an average Miami defense but the Hurricanes have stifled two solid offenses the last two games when it counted down the stretch. 10* (703) Miami Hurricanes |
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04-01-23 | Clippers +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Star Attraction. New Orleans has won six of its last seven games including a 19-point win at Denver on Saturday as the Nuggets were without Nikola Jokic. The Pelicans have moved into a tie with the Lakers for the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference with five games left and while they still have a shot at moving up into the No. 5 spot, they are just two games out of missing the playoffs altogether so this is a big game but it is also a big game on the other side. This is the start of a four-game homestand where New Orleans is 24-13 with the public squarely on its side tonight. The Clippers lost in Memphis last night in the second game of a two-game set there following a nine-point win two nights earlier. Los Angeles basically cashed it in after halftime as Kawhi Leonard, who played 18 minutes in the first half, did not return in the second half as he was given rest so he could go on Saturday which is becoming an absurd trend in the league with this needed rest. The good news is that no starter played for more than 25 minutes last night so the back-to-back situation is not a typical one and with the Clippers now tied with the Warriors, this is a spot to get back to winning after winning eight of its previous 11 games. 10* (503) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. San Diego State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 99 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our Final Four Enforcer. Florida Atlantic is the unlikeliest team to be in the Final Four based on seeding but this team is no joke with 35 wins on the season and has now won 34 of its last 36 games. The Owls rallied from a seven-point second-half deficit, relying on their inside-out game to defeat Kansas St. as the balance remains a strength with four starters scoring in double figures and this balance is key against a great defense. They have already solved one as in their Sweet 16 win over Tennessee who owned the No. 1 ranked efficiency defense, the Owls' scored an impressive 1.07 points per possession and it will not get easier here but it is again doable. The Aztecs also rallied from a seven-point deficit in defeating Creighton that ended on a controversial foul call and they too are playing excellent with eight straight wins. San Diego St. relies on its defense that is ranked No. 4 in efficiency and it will also get a test here as after facing Alabama and Creighton and their No. 41 and 34 offensive efficiency rankings respectively, the Aztecs now square off against the No. 15 ranked efficiency offense. The Owls defense cannot be understated as they are No. 20 in defensive efficiency which makes it tough for the Aztecs which are No. 119 in offensive efficiency. 10* (701) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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04-01-23 | Tigers +165 v. Rays | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Offense was not on full display on Opening Day as six teams were held to either one run or shutout with Detroit being one of the latter as it lost the opener 4-0 despite both teams registering six hits. The Tigers scored the fewest runs in baseball last season and while not possessing an opposing lineup again, there are some great pieces at the top of the lineup and they face Zach Eflin who is making his Rays debut after spending his first seven seasons in Philadelphia and was nothing but average with a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across 127 games and does not warrant a price this big. Spencer Turnbull is the No. 2 guy in the rotation after missing all of last season and making just 20 starts the previous two seasons but there are solid expectations. He has always has electric stuff but injuries have derailed him so now starting out healthy is the time to jump on. His fastball velocity has been good in his spring outings, sitting around 94 mph, while his slider has come around more recently. When he throws strikes and mixes up his stuff effectively, he can be dominant and the Rays have very little to look at. 10* (967) Detroit Tigers |
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04-01-23 | Twins v. Royals +147 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. The Royals were another team that were shutout on Thursday as they lost 2-0 while managing a mere two hits as newly acquired Pablo Lopez was solid over 5.1 innings. No. 2 starter Sonny Gray gets the ball on Saturday and he is coming off a solid season with a 3.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 24 starts. In those games, he averaged 4.9 innings, his lowest since 2018 when averaged 4.3 innings in 23 starts and seven bullpen appearances for the Reds and the short leash was on display Thursday with Lopez who was pulled after just over five innings. Minnesota was better on offense as it put together ten hits but could only turn that into two runs and is now an even bigger road favorite here than the first game. Zack Greinke was able to limit the damage and the Royals are looking for Jordan Lyles who is making his Kansas City debut. He was not great with the Orioles last season but did have his best season since he was with the Brewers in 2019 and a new start against a lineup he has had success against in the past is a good start to the season. 10* (970) Kansas City Royals |
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04-01-23 | Orioles +144 v. Red Sox | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Underdog Triple Play. Boston lost a tough one on opening day against Baltimore as it fell behind 10-4 and while it scored five runs in the eighth and ninth innings, it was not enough. The Red Sox are looking to rebound but are laying a massive number and one that looks like it should be the from the Cy Young days of Chris Sale and not the 34-yar old Sale who has barely pitched in three seasons. He was the opening day starter in 2018 and 2019 but has been sidelined with Tommy John surgery and a rib fracture and made only 11 starts the last three years. In the spring, his velocity has varied, while results have been shaky at best. Baltimore surprised most last season with a playoff push as the Orioles finished 83-79 and its +2,717 in profits were by far the most in all of baseball and are getting disrespected early again. This lineup is potent as it mashed out 15 hits on Thursday and should do damage again behind Dean Kremer who is part of a non-noteworthy yet high ceiling rotation. He put together a great season last year with a 3.23 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 21 starts and has seen a velocity increase with all pitches and has switched up his pitch mix. 10* (971) Baltimore Orioles |
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03-31-23 | Guardians +152 v. Mariners | Top | 9-4 | Win | 152 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our MLB Underdog Enforcer. The Guardians were shut down by the Seattle pitching on opening day as Luis Castillo and three relievers held them to just four hits and no runs in a 3-0 loss. Cleveland looks to get that back tonight against another solid pitcher in Robbie Ray who won the American League Cy Young in 2021 pitching for Toronto but saw his velocity decrease last season and his ERA went up by nearly a run. All indications are that his velocity is back to where it was two years ago and he is laying a big number against a dangerous offense that looks to break out after the shutout. The Mariners managed only three runs on Thursday against the Guardians bullpen which came on one swing from Ty France who hit a three-run home run to break a scoreless tie in the bottom of the ninth inning. Starter Shane Bieber was solid and Cleveland hopes to get a replication of that from Hunter Gaddis who earned the No. 2 spot in the rotation because of injuries and he will be making just his third start for the Guardians. On Saturday, he tossed 70 pitches in a minor league start so he has been stretched out and can go a while here as long as he remains effective against an offense that did not show much yesterday either. 10* (909) Cleveland Guardians |
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03-31-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Revenge Game of the Year. This is the second game of a two-game set between the Clippers and Grizzlies in Memphis and the first meeting on Wednesday had a shocking result as Ja Morant was listed as questionable coming in while Kawhi Leonard was a late scratch yet Los Angeles won by nine points behind one of the best shooting efforts from Russell Westbrook this season. Leonard is questionable again tonight and whether he goes or not is not a huge concern as Memphis will be out for payback. The Grizzlies had their seven-game winning streak snapped with that loss and this is the second to last home game of the regular season for Memphis and it is a big one for the upcoming postseason. The Grizzlies have a two-game lead over Sacramento with five games left after this one for the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference and home court advantage through the first two rounds of the playoffs. The defeat was just the sixth one at home for Memphis and in its previous five home losses, it played its next game as home twice and won those games by 21 and 15 points. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss. This situation is 230-152 ATS (60.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Memphis Grizzlies |
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03-31-23 | Lakers v. Wolves | Top | 123-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. We won with the Lakers on Wednesday as they built an 18-point lead and coasted the rest of the way. After that victory, they are once again the talk of the Western Conference, being dubbed as the team that can make the run to the NBA Finals but this team still has its issues and they are still far from making the playoffs. With the Pelicans win last night, Los Angeles fell into the No. 9 spot in the Western Conference and five of the six remaining games are against teams vying for either the postseason or playoff positioning. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Phoenix in a controversial officiated game which is becoming the norm in this league and the Timberwolves will be playing with some fire here. They had won four straight games prior to that and are working with a relatively healthy roster for the first time in a long while. They are tied with the Pelicans for the No. 7 spot and trail Golden St. by one game for No. 6 and the all important spot of facing Sacramento in the first round. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won four or five of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 104-61 ATS (63 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Two of the worst teams in the NBA square off tonight as the Pistons and Rockets are both riding seven-game losing streaks. Houston is back home following a five-game roadtrip and its previous two home losses came against the Pelicans and Lakers and this is the first home game over its last eight games against a team not in playoff contention and the last one resulted in a 32-point win over San Antonio laying a very similar number. The Rockets are just 12-26 at home with this being the last winnable home game and this is just the third game all season they are home favorites with the first one also coming against the Spurs way back in December. The Pistons are coming off a pair of covers against Milwaukee and Oklahoma City, both nine-point losses, which followed five straight double-digit defeats. Detroit has six players averaging double digits in scoring and four of those are out tonight and it has been playing with a nine-man rotation over the last three games. They are 3-28 this season following an ATS win. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss as a favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This situation is 140-84 ATS (62.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Houston Rockets |
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03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 130-116 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Cleveland clinched a playoff spot two games back and while it lost to Atlanta in its last game, it was meaningless as this is the big one. The Cavaliers have a four-game lead over the Knicks for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference with five games left so a victory here gives them home court advantage against New York in the first round of the playoffs and they can coast the rest of the way. This is also a double-revenge spot for Cleveland as a victory evens the season series at 2-2 and avoids giving the Knicks the first tiebreaker. New York has won two straight games following a three-game skid to keep those home court hopes alive but it suffered a big loss in the last game as forward Julius Randle left the game early with a sprained ankle and will be out until the postseason which is a big loss as he leads the team in scoring and rebounding so now it is important just for the rest of the team to remain healthy for the next week and a half. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season after two or more consecutive unders with a scoring differential between +3 to +7 ppg going up against teams with a scoring differential between +/- 3. This situation is 44-18 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-30-23 | UABÂ v. North Texas +2 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 33 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our NIT Thursday Dominator. North Texas put itself into a pretty big hole in the first half but the price of the defense that has carried this team took over in the second half as the Mean Green clamped down and held Wisconsin to just 13 second half points and shut the Badgers out for the final nine minutes of the game. as mentioned in that analysis, North Texas is ranked in the top 25 in four major defensive categories as they are No. 24 in Adjusted Defense, No. 8 in Effective Field Goal Percentage, No. 8 in Opponents Two-Point Shooting and No. 20 in Opponents Three-Point Shooting. The Mean Green improved to 16-5 away from home and now the two teams will meet for a rare fourth time this season. UAB needed overtime to take out Utah Valley which was its closest game of the NIT so far and it should be another tight game and we have to give the edge to the underdog Mean Green that will be more inspired after UAB knocked them out of the C-USA Tournament and likely cost them an NCAA Tournament bid. That meeting was decided by free throws as the Blazers outscored North Texas 25-15 from the stripe. That outstanding Mean Green defense will be the difference again as they add to their program record win total. 10* (666) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-30-23 | Celtics +3 v. Bucks | Top | 140-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Star Attraction. While it will not be decided tonight, the top seed in the Eastern Conference will have a lot more clarity after this game. Milwaukee defeated Indiana last night to extend its lead to three games over the Celtics and a victory here all but assures the No. 1 seed with five games remaining for each team. A Boston victory cuts the lead to two games with the Celtics owning the tiebreaker with a 2-1 season series win which will make the final week a big one for both and if for nothing else, this will provide Boston a picture of how it stands up against the Bucks. The Celtics lost a big game at Washington on Tuesday which could have cut into the lead and prior to that defeat, the last four Boston losses were by a combined nine points and they remain on the road where they are 24-15 which is the second best road record in the league. Milwaukee has won two straight and five of its last six but only one of those wins came against a team firmly in a playoff position. The Bucks have been dominant at home at 30-7 and of those 37 games, 10 have come against the top ten and while they have gone 9-1, they have been far from dominant of late as the first four were by 14.5 ppg but the last five were by only 6.4 ppg and two of those were against Toronto by seven and eight points. 10* (549) Boston Celtics |
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03-30-23 | White Sox +147 v. Astros | Top | 3-2 | Win | 147 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Underdog Enforcer. Dylan Cease, the 2002 Cy Young runner-up, get the ball on opening day and is catching a number that he will not see very often this season. He is one of the favorites to win the award this season and he looked in midseason form for his final start of the spring as he shutout Oakland over six innings. He is the perfect example why overall spring training stats should be discounted as pitchers do not care, unless they are trying to make a roster, as Cease finished with a 7.31 ERA but he was making tweaks and working on mechanics and is a big dog because of who he is playing. The Astros are the reigning World Series Champions and are significant favorites on opening day because of that in addition to their own starter who is coming off a great season as well. Framber Valdez finished last season with a 2.82 ERA over a career-high 201.1 innings while posting 194 strikeouts. This number has come down from -170 at opening to around -155 and Houston will be a highly bet team when the game gets closer once the public starts wagering. 10* (979) Chicago White Sox |
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03-30-23 | Tigers +210 v. Rays | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Underdog Dominator. Tampa Bay made it into the Wild Card last season but made a quick exit as it lost both games against Cleveland as the offense managed only one run and scoring should be an issue this season. The Rays come in as the third highest opening day favorite based on last season and who they are playing but we will see a regression. Staff ace Shane McClanahan gets the ball for the opener after a breakout season last year but started to fatigue down the stretch and he tossed only 9.2 innings this spring so he will not be pushed too hard early on. Detroit finished 66-96 last season and its season win total is not much higher for this season but this is a talented, albeit young roster that will show some promise. The Tigers have gotten close to 70 percent of the early money in this game yet the line has slightly increased in some places from its -220 opening. Eduardo Rodriguez will be making his second straight opening day start and after missing two months last season to deal with personal issues, he has a chip on his shoulder and he proved that in the spring, allowing three runs over 18.1 innings. 10* (975) Detroit Tigers |
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03-30-23 | Giants +171 v. Yankees | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Afternoon Underdog. The Yankees are always a highly public bet team and that is not going to change this season. We are seeing it opening day as New York opened -170 and the line is upwards of -180 in some places and this will be commonplace. Last season, the Yankees went 99-63 yet were on the wrong end of the money and they were the only division winner that did not make a profit. Gerrit Cole is the favorite to win the Cy Young award along with Jason deGrom in the American League and he will be solid but he was far from dominant last season with a 3.50 ERA while allowing a career high 33 home runs. The Giants went a disappointing 81-81 last season and unfortunately are stuck in the N.L. West with the Dodgers and Padres which both spent exuberant amounts of money and while no games have been played, a wild Card looks like the option early on. This is a solid roster that will be ready for a quick start behind Logan Webb who has quietly turned into an ace as over the last two seasons, he has posted a 2.93 ERA over the last two seasons covering 340.2 innings. 10* (985) San Francisco Giants |
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03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost four straight games after a 14-point home loss against Phoenix on Monday and the Jazz are now in a bit of trouble as they trail both the Mavericks and Thunder by a game and a half for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They now go from significant underdogs in their last three games to road favorites but for good reason in this matchup and while they have not been good at laying points this season, they are playing with revenge and look to avoid a 3-1 season series loss against the second worst team in the conference. San Antonio was playing better as after a 16-game losing streak, the Spurs put together a 5-5 run but have now lost their last four games and while those were all on the road, they are now a good home team at 13-25 with six of those wins coming before the end of December. The injury list is piling up as three of their top five scorers are out tonight and they want this season to just be done and remain in the hunt for the No. 1 draft pick. They are 15-30 ATS against the west compared to 15-15 ATS against the east. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Utah Jazz |
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03-29-23 | Lakers -2 v. Bulls | Top | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. The Lakers had won three straight games and got a quicker than expected return from LeBron James in their last game as he came off the bench against the Bulls and of course they lost by 10 points at home. They are now on the road for the start of a five-game roadtrip playing with immediate revenge in hopes of remaining in the Western Conference playoff race. They are currently a half-game ahead of the Thunder for the No. 9 spot and are in position to move up to No. 7 as they are just a game and a half back but need a big road swing which starts tonight. The Bulls had won two straight games but lost to the Clippers by 12 points to close their three-game roadtrip and are back home where they are an average 20-17. Chicago is sitting in the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and will likely stay there as it is 2.5 games ahead of injury riddled Washington with seven games remaining. The Bulls were on a solid 7-2 run prior to that most recent loss but this is not a good spot with a lot of motivation coming from the Lakers side. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (543) Los Angeles Lakers |
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03-29-23 | Mavs v. 76ers -5 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Dallas is coming off a win over an injury depleted Indiana team that was missing its top three scorers to snap a four-game losing streak. They are now 8-13 since the acquisition of Kyrie Irving and while he and Luka Doncic have both missed time with injuries and even though that can be a compelling argument, the fact of the matter is they are not having that success yet because they have not played together to form that chemistry. Dallas is now 15-23 on the road while sitting tied with Oklahoma City for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Philadelphia is coming off a loss at Denver which was its third straight defeat, all on the road against the Western Conference but Joel Embiid he will be back as is the possibility of James Harden coming back after missing four straight games. Philadelphia is back home looking to catch Boston as it trails the Celtics by two and a half games for the important home court edge in the second round of the playoffs if those two advance. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting 46 percent or better on the season, after three straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47 percent or higher. This situation is 82-46 ATS (64.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. New Orleans is coming off a win over the injury riffled Blazers by 34-points to make it five straight wins and covers for the Pelicans as they have moved into the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference. They are now only a half-game out of the No. 6 spot and the avoidance of playing in the play-in tournament but they are in a tough spot here in a back-to-back against a team off a loss. New Orleans is seeing an unheard of 20-point like swing from last night to tonight and for good reason. Golden St. lost to Minnesota by three points on Sunday which snapped a nine-game home winning streak both straight up and against the number and that loss against with the Minnesota win last night put them into a tie with the Timberwolves for the No. 6 slot in the conference. The Warriors are far from out of the clear as they are only two games from missing the postseason altogether and with just six games left, the remaining home games are a must. They have won five of their last six home games coming off a loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games. This situation is 49-22 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Golden St. Warriors |
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03-28-23 | Cavs v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Memphis on Sunday to move to 37-38 on the season and it has now been 30 straight games where they have been within one game of .500 so while the victories have not been piling up, neither have the losses as they have won 12 of their last 18 coming off a loss. They are currently in the No. 8 spot where they have been for a while and are likely in the play-in tournament format should they remain in contention as they are three games from No. 6 and four games from No. 11. Cleveland has won four straight games and the win over Houston on Sunday clinched a playoff spot for the first time since 2018 which puts the Cavaliers in a difficult situation tonight. They are back on the road where they have won four straight but are still just 18-20 on the highway this season and come in as a favorite but it has been bet down. Cleveland has the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference locked up as well and while it can get to No. 3, it is meaningless at this point. Here, we play on underdogs averaging between 114 and 118 ppg and after allowing 120 points or more two straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (522) Atlanta Hawks |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -1.5 | Top | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our NIT Game of the Year. North Texas has been on a mission as it has rolled past Alcorn St. and Sam Houston St. and while both of those were at home, the Mean Green have seen solid away from Denton, going 15-5 following an outright at Oklahoma St. Wisconsin rolled past Bradley in the opener but snuck by Liberty and Oregon in the last two games and come in from has been proven to be a very weak Big Ten Conference. North Texas is ranked in the top 25 in four major defensive categories as they are No. 24 in Adjusted Defense, No. 8 in Effective Field Goal Percentage, No. 8 in Opponents Two-Point Shooting and No. 20 in Opponents Three-Point Shooting. Wisconsin is always known for its tough defense and while it has been solid this season, it is not on the same level as North Texas. On the other side, the Mean Green hold a sizable advantage as they are No. 37 in Adjusted Offense and No. 115 in Effective Field Goal Percentage while the Badgers are ranked No. 295 and No. 287 in those two categories respectively. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after two straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 73-38 ATS (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (662) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Sacramento has won two straight games following a two-game losing streak as it remains in third place in the Western Conference, two games behind Memphis for the No. 2 spot with eight games left on the schedule. The Kings has three home games remaining which they have to take care of if they can climb into second place and they bring in a 23-15 record at home. Sacramento has dominated the lesser teams as it is 26-10 against teams in the bottom half of the league. Minnesota is coming off an upset win at Golden St. on Sunday to make it three straight wins to get back over .500 on the season for the first time since March 4th which happened to come after a victory at Sacramento so the Kings will be playing with revenge. Minnesota is getting healthy at the right time as Anthony Edwards is back after missing a few games and Karl-Anthony Towns is also back after he missed over three months and with this being his first back-to-back after playing 32 minutes last night, he could be limited here or even held out. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, playing eight or more games in 14 days. This situation is 84-48 ATS (63.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Sacramento Kings |
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03-26-23 | Nets v. Magic -2 | Top | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We won with Brooklyn last night as it snapped a five-game losing streak and it overtook Miami for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference and the Nets trail the Knicks by a game and a half for the No. 5 spot. The Nets improved to 21-18 on the road yet come in as underdogs here in the second of a back-to-back set where they have gone 6-6 this season. The remaining schedule sets up well with six of the final seven games taking place at home with the lone remaining road game at Detroit. Orlando has won two straight games including a win over New York on Thursday and while the Magic are in the No. 13 spot in the Eastern Conference, they are still mathematically alive for moving up to the No. 10 spot so it is in still win mode. They are a game under .500 at home but have covered 24 of 41 games including going 13-8 ATS against teams with a winning record and going back, the Magic are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Orlando Magic |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL v. Texas -3.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS for our Elite 8 Game of the Year. The Hurricanes rolled over Houston as Miami was very efficient on offense which has been its strength all season as it shot 51.7 percent from the floor while committing just five turnovers. Texas is not as good defensively as Houston which looks like it might be a problem but the Longhorns bring in a different style of defense as they are long and athletic. The Hurricanes nearly let the Cougars back into the game as Houston cut the deficit two points midway into the second half but Miami went on a 19-4 run to pull away. Texas rolled in its Sweet 16 game as well as it took out a very good Xavier team by 12 points but led by double that midway through the second half so the game was not as close as that final score shows. Surprisingly, this is the first trip to the Elite 8 for the Longhorns since 2008 and they are doing it with an interim coach in Rodney Terry who has done a sensational job. Texas has now won seven straight games that also includes a pair of double-digit wins over Kansas so they are playing even better than that record shows. Forward Dylan Disu will be a question mark but Texas got it done without him Friday as he played only two minutes. 10* (656) Texas Longhorns |
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03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | Top | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Saturday Triple Play. We played against Milwaukee last night in what was a lookahead spot but the Bucks were fully focused in the 28-point victory as they remain 2.5 games ahead of the Celtics in the Eastern Conference. It has won five of its last six games and is an incredible 24-3 over its last 27 games but now comes a big test. They are 23-13 on the road which is the third best road record in the league but have struggled against the top teams as they are 1-6 in seven games against the top six home teams in the NBA. The Nuggets remain in first place in the Western Conference where it has been most of the season as it is three games ahead of Memphis following two straight wins to conclude a 3-2 roadtrip. The Nuggets are 30-6 at home which is the second best home record in the NBA and this is a good litmus test to see where they actually stand. Denver lost the first meeting in Milwaukee but the lineup was depleted as the Nuggets were without Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter, Jr. and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, four of the top five scorers on the team. Here, we play on home teams in March after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 132-77 ATS (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Denver Nuggets |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut -2 v. Gonzaga | Top | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our NCAA Tourney Enforcer. Gonzaga had its game against UCLA in control late in the second half after overcoming a 13-point halftime deficit and nearly blew it against a depleted Bruins team as UCLA played without top defender Jaylen Clark and interior defender Adem Bona. Gonzaga had a commanding 50-26 rebounding edge and collected 16 offensive boards against the undersized Bruins and the Bulldogs will not have that luxury here against the No. 2 ranked total rebounding percentage rate team in the country. Drew Timme had a career game with 36 points and 13 rebounds and will not replicate that against the Huskies frontcourt. Going into the tournament, only five teams were ranked in the top 25 in both offensive and defensive efficiency with Connecticut being one of those and so far it has looked very dominant. The Huskies were No. 6 in offensive efficiency and has a solid edge there but their No. 22 defensive efficiency ranking could be the difference against the top offensive efficiency team in the nation. The Huskies dominated a very athletic Arkansas team as they held the Razorbacks to just 32 percent shooting from the floor and will be tenacious again on Saturday. 10* (653) Connecticut Huskies |
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03-25-23 | Nets +6 v. Heat | Top | 129-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Saturday Triple Play. Miami defeated New York on Wednesday and is 4-1 over its last five games but continues to underachieve as it is only six games over .500 yet is now a game and a half behind the Knicks for fifth place in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 25-13 at home but just 12-24-2 against the number and are still the worst overall ATS team in the NBA at 27-45-2 and are laying a big number here against a team that can catch them in the standings tonight. Brooklyn put together a solid run post trades as it won five of six games but has now lost five games in a row including the last four at home so getting out of town may not be a bad thing. The Nets are 20-18 on the road and while a lot of this record is with a different roster, this is still a solid roster with the pieces to make a run. They trail Miami by just a half-game for the No. 6 spot which would get them out of the play-in tournament and the last four losses have come down to the final minute so they have been right there. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg point differential, after a combined score of 245 points or more. This situation is 57-20 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (551) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-25-23 | Pacers +10.5 v. Hawks | Top | 130-143 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Saturday Triple Play. Atlanta is coming off a loss at Minnesota on Wednesday to move to 36-37 on the season and how average have the Hawks been? It has now been 28 straight games where they have been within one game of .500 so while the losses have not been piling up, neither have the victories. They are currently in the No. 8 spot where they have been hovering for a while and are likely in the play-in tournament format should they remain in contention as they are 3.5 games from both the No. 6 and No. 11 slots. Now they are favored by double-digits which is a huge overreaction based on the other side. Indiana lost in Boston last night by 25 points and has now dropped three of its last four. The Pacers welcomed back Tyrese Haliburton who missed six games with an injury and he was a nonfactor against the Celtic as he scored just 20 points in 28 minutes and he will be needed for the Pacers playoff push. Indiana is tied with Washington for No. 11 in the Eastern Conference, 2.5 games behind Chicago for the final playoff spot. They are catching a point less tonight than what they were getting last night against Boston which is 14.5 games better than the Hawks which is not a big enough adjustment. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg point differential, after a combined score of 245 points or more. This situation is 57-20 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (549) Indiana Pacers |
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