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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-03-21 | Western Kentucky -1 v. UTSA | Top | 41-49 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our C-USA Championship Winner. A magical season ended abruptly for UTSA as it brought a perfect 11-0 record into its season finale and got housed by North Texas in a game that was not even as close as the final 22-point deficit. The Roadrunners came out of the gates by covering eight of their first nine games but then they came back to earth with a 10-point win over 3-9 Southern Mississippi as 32.5-point favorites, a three-point win over UAB and then the loss to the Mean Green. For having such a good record, UTSA has been overly average on the field as it is ranked No. 36 in total offense and No. 41 in total defense and that was against a schedule ranked No. 124 in the country. Taking nothing away from winning but the overrated Roadrunners could be in for a long night here. Western Kentucky has been absolutely rolling as it has won seven straight games following a 1-4 start that saw three one-possession losses that was culminated with a loss at home against UTSA so revenge is in play here. The Hilltoppers offense nearly unstoppable as they are ranked No. 1 in the country in total offense and has averaged 45.3 ppg during its winning streak but it is the defense that could be the deciding factor here. They have allowed only 18.9 ppg over these last seven games and while they did allow 52 points against UTSA prior to that, they outgained the Roadrunners by 106 yards but penalties a couple costly turnovers did then in. The Hilltoppers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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12-02-21 | Texas-San Antonio +14.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Grand Canyon is 6-1 to open the season but it does not deserve to be laying a number like this which is right on plane with a pair of early season wins over North Florida and Prairie View but this is a step up and are actually laying more tonight. The Lopes won the WAC last season and earned a trip to the NCAA Tournament but things are different with a big transition of trying to replace four starters and they were the top four scorers on the team. They have covered four of six games but this is a massive number to try and get over tonight. The Roadrunners are coming off a win to move to 5-3 on the season but at times there was little ball movement and UTSA would struggle for stretches at a time. UTSA will have to rely on their defense and rebounding to help jump-start things offensively and they are in a good matchup here. This is the lone game they play in a week which means they no chance for a lookahead and the focus will be there on the road for the first time since playing at Oklahoma but they are not playing the Sooners tonight. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (771) UTSA Roadrunners |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas is coming off a loss on Thanksgiving as it fell in overtime against the Raiders in a penalty filled game that could have gone either way. The Cowboys have lost two straight and three of their last four games and have seen their lead in the NFC East shrink to two games over Washington. Obviously this is a big game for Dallas but it is big for both sides and the public perception is still on the Dallas side despite a 1-3 ATS stretch that followed up a 7-0 run against the number to open the season. The offense is still ranked No. 1 in the league but the defense remains a liability as it is now No. 26 in the NFL and might have another tough time here against a quarterback that has seen limited action but gives them a whole different look. The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Saints are also coming off a Thanksgiving loss as they were hammered by the Bills which prompted the quarterback change to Taysom Hill after a bad recent run. New Orleans is now 5-6 following four straight losses yet it is still alive in the Wild Card in the NFC with eight teams having five or six wins vying for a spot. As of this week, the Rams and 49ers are the favorites for the first two spots and the Saints in the lead for the third slot over Minnesota. The offense could get a boost with Alvin Kamara back in the lineup but it is the defense that needs to regroup after the Bils game and they should with a lot on the line. The Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites averaging 4.5 or more rushing ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 111-63 ATS (63.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) New Orleans Saints |
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12-02-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Bucks have won eight straight games to move to into a tie for second place in the Eastern Conference. It took a while and it is hard to go against a team like this especially playing a struggling team. Milwaukee has moved up in all categories including on the road where it is now 7-4 and is in the top ten in both Effective Field Goal Percentage. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Toronto has struggled with three straight losses to fall to 9-13 and while the offense had a nice run, the Raptors have struggled with three straight games of going under 100 points in their last three straight games. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 playing a winning team. This situation is 55-26 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-01-21 | Michigan v. North Carolina +2 | Top | 51-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. North Carolina opened the season 3-0 before suffering a pair of back-to-back losses against Purdue and Tennessee in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament. The Tar Heels bounced back with a victory against UNC-Asheville and now hosts Michigan in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge looking for its first cover of the season as they have gone 0-6 against the number. They have three starters back along with a mix of highly touted transfers to get them back in the mix in the ACC in the first season with head coach Hubert Davis after a couple subpar seasons. Through six games, they have five players averaging double-digits in scoring and three of those are grabbing 6.3 rpg or more which given them a big edge down low. North Carolina is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games. Michigan is in a transition year after winning the Big Ten Championship last season with a 14-3 record and advancing to the Elite Eight. The Wolverines brought back just two starters and it has been an uneven start at 4-2. An early loss to Seton Hall was not a bad defeat but a recent loss against Arizona by 18 points exposed a defense that can be vulnerable to good offenses and that is what it will be facing here. They are coming off a win over Tarleton St. which should have been a blowout but it was just by 11 points and now Michigan hits the highway for its first true road game of the season. The Wolverines are shooting just 66.9 percent from the free throw line which is No. 268 in the country. Michigan is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outrebounding opponents by seven or more rebounds per game, after a game outrebounding their last opponent by 20 or more. This situation is 53-23 ATS (69.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (728) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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12-01-21 | 76ers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month. Philadelphia is coming off a win over Orlando which is not saying much especially when it came by just five points against a team that is now 4-18 on the season. The Sixers are a game over .500 and are four games behind Brooklyn in the NBA Atlantic Division while sitting on the outside looking for the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. They have been dominant at home over the last few years but are just 5-5 this season on their floor and have actually been better on the road with a 6-5 record and will be looking to break their 0-4 divisional record tonight. Joel Embiid had a rough game against Orlando, going just 4-16 from the floor and had only 16 point following up a 41-point performance in his first game back after missing 11 days because of COVID. The Sixers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Boston is coming off a win at Toronto which snapped a two-game slide and it is also 11-10 heading into tonight. The Celtics had won three straight prior to that and while it included a win over the Lakers, the other two came against Houston and Oklahoma City, which are a combined 10-30 on the season. The Celtics are seventh worst in Effective Field Goal Percentage at home and while their defense has always been a strength, they are on that same ranking at home and they could be without Jaylen Brown who is still listed as questionable for tonight. The Celtics are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play against home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .500 on the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (545) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-01-21 | Canucks v. Senators +106 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA SENATORS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Ottawa has lost five straight games, the last four coming on a four-game west coast road trip and the first coming against Calgary at home which is in first place in the NHL Pacific Division and tied for first place in the Western Conference with Minnesota. The Senators catch a one-game break here before playing 12 of their next 14 games against teams with winning records so things could get ugly rolling into 2022 but we feel they are in a good spot here. Ottawa has just one road win and comparing that to only three home victories might not seem much the schedule prior to what is upcoming has been nearly as bad as it has already played the third toughest schedule in the league. Ottawa is 12-4 in its last 16 home games after playing two consecutive road games. Vancouver is coming off a win at Montreal on Monday after losing four straight games, the last three coming on the road as part of this five-game eastern roadtrip. The Canucks are averaging just 2.31 gpg on the road, which is ninth lowest in the league while defensively, they allow 3.69 gpg which is eighth worst in the NHL. Coming off a game where they allowed one goal is encouraging but they faced a Montral team that is third worst in the league on the power play and Ottawa has been better in that category. Vancouver has allowed a league-high 13 power play goals on the road and its penalty kill percentage is the third worst in the league which again put it in a bad spot here. The Canucks are 1-11 in their last 12 games following a win. Here, we play against road favorites against the money line with a winning percentage between .300 and .400 off a road win, playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 28-12 (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (66) Ottawa Senators |
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11-30-21 | Pistons v. Blazers -9.5 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Home court has not been more important than any other team than Portland as the host has gone 19-2 in the Blazers 21 games this season. The Blazers are 9-1 at home and just finished a 0-3 roadtrip by losing to Utah by 22 points on Monday. The defense was once again atrocious as they allowed 124 ppg and they remain dead last in the NBA in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage on the road at 59.1 percent but that comes down to 52.0 percent at home where they allow 104.4 ppg which is a respectable No. 10 in the league. On offense, Portland is No. 3 in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage at home and its True Shooting Percentage is also No. 3 in the league. The Blazers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Detroit is 4-16 and has dropped its last six games, including a 110-106 loss to the Lakers on Sunday. The Pistons are 2-8 both at home and on the road and the away numbers have been awful. They are third to last in both Effective and True Shooting Percentages on the road on offense while sitting fourth to last in both categories on defense. Detroit has covered the last two on the road but those were big lines and while this one is on the cusp, this is an awful spot with Portland heading back home after the blowout from last night. The Pistons are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams off three or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (538) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-30-21 | Clemson v. Rutgers -1.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. After a 3-0 start to the season, Rutgers has dropped three straight games by a combined seven points. Two of those were on the road and while a home loss against Lafayette was inexcusable, it should provide some big motivation with this being its first home game since that defeat. The lass loss was especially tough as the Scarlet Knights blew a 15-point lead with under 10 minutes left and lost on a three-pointer at the buzzer by Massachusetts. Rutgers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season and won its first tournament game since 1983 and it happened to come against Clemson so while there is revenge for the Tigers, doing it on the road is a different story. Rutgers is 31-7 in its last 38 home games. The Tigers are 5-2 and coming off a blowout win over Charleston Southern to improve to 4-0 at home. They went 1-2 on a neutral floor at the Charleston Classic and this will be their first true road game of the season. Clemson leads the ACC and is third nationally in three-point shooting at 44.1 percent so the perimeter defense of Rutgers will be tested but should be fine as it is allowing just 30.3 percent from long range at home. One huge deficiency is that Clemson is shooting just 66.4 percent from the free throw line which is No. 281 in the country. Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams after two straight losses by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (630) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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11-30-21 | Capitals v. Panthers -132 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Florida is riding a two-game losing streak that includes a home loss against Seattle, its first defeat on home ice this season. The Panthers lost at Washington in their previous game which sets a revenge game for Tuesday. Florida is doing it on both sides here, averaging 4.25 gpg while allowing just 2.25 gpg and those are No. 3 and No. 6 respectively in the league at home. The last defeat was especially shocking as Seattle entered that game with a 1-7-1 road record and Florida managed just one goal which is a season low. The Panthers face a dangerous team as they try to regroup but having an extra day off is a good advantage. The Panthers are 23-4 in their last 27 home games. Washington has been rolling by going 9-1-1-0 over its last 11 games and has moved into a first place tie with Toronto in the Eastern Conference with 33 points. Following the win over Florida, the Capitals defeated Carolina on Sunday, the third best team in the conference and they have been winning without strong special teams. They have gone just 6-29 on the power play over this 11-game stretch and they have been poor on the road all season, converting just three goals in 29 opportunities and that 10.3 percent clip is fourth lowest in the NHL on the road. Florida has an 83.3 percent penalty kill at home so it will have the edge, making the even strength and defensive rush a big part tonight. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after a blowout loss by three goals or more in their previous game going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 197-136 (59.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (42) Florida Panthers |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks +1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has lost two straight and five of its last six games but three of those came against three of the top four teams in the NFC and most of those were without Russell Wilson who is back for his third game and should be healthier. The Seahawks have scored just one touchdown since his return but they do face a defense that has struggled this season especially against the pass where they are ranked No. 30, allowing an average of 270 ypg. The Seahawks cannot afford another loss, as dropping to 3-8 would most certainly knock them out of any playoff hope. This offense is too good to be held down and the absence of Chase Young is a big one as the offensive line is in a better spot. Seattle is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Washington finds itself on a two-game winning streak, including an upset of the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers. They had lost four straight prior to that and while they can build off this recent run, we are not sure which team to buy at this point. This line has been bet down considerably and the majority of the action remains on Washington as everyone is down on the Seahawks at this point. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has been playing well but may be without two of his top receivers behind Terry McLaurin with Curtis Samuel and Adam Humphries listed as questionable. Heinicke had a passer rating of 84.3 in the first eight games of the season before catching fire but we are not sure if this is sustainable. Washington is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl and after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl. This situation is 22-6 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota is coming off a double overtime win at Philadelphia on Saturday and the Timberwolves have now won six of their last seven games to get back to .500 at 10-10 overall. They are now three games behind Utah in the NBA Northwest Division while sitting tied for seventh place in the Western Conference, two games out of fourth place. Minnesota is 6-6 at home yet has won four straight here following a three-game losing streak at the Target Center but those losses came against the Clippers twice and the red hot Suns. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Pacers went 1-2 at home leading up to tonight, the most recent decision a 118-100 loss to Milwaukee on Sunday. They are coming off a win in their most recent road game at Chicago to snap a three-game losing streak on the highway and they are just 3-9 on the road this season. Indiana has struggled from long range all season as it is hitting at a clip of just 33.4 percent and the challenge will be difficult here as the Timberwolves are allowing an average of 31.9 percent from behind the arc which is third-best in the NBA. Indiana has failed to cover three of its four road games this season following a loss. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won five or six of their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-29-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres +130 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Seattle is coming off just its second road win of the season and it was a big one at that as it defeated Florida 4-1 as a +174 underdog. It was the first loss on home ice this season for Florida. It has been an up and down season overall for the Kraken in their first year in the league and now they come in as a road favorite for just the second time this season and the first one resulted in a loss to then winless Arizona. Seattle is averaging 2.30 gpg on the highway which is eighth fewest in the league while giving up 3.70 gpg which is tied for seventh most. Special teams have been better but this is a tough spot with the recent road schedule. The Kraken are 0-5 in their last five games against teams with a losing record. The Sabres lost on Saturday at Detroit in overtime and they are now 1-4-1-0 over their last six games. The overall damage has been on the road where they are 2-5-2-0 compared to a respectable 6-5-1-0 at home and that home slate has been a brutal one of late. Buffalo had lost four straight home games prior to a win over Montreal in its last game on home ice but those four losses came against Toronto, Calgary, Columbus and Boston which are a combined 51-24-6-0 so those defeats should not come as much of a surprise. Home wins against Tampa Bay and Edmonton do show they can compete against the better teams yet take a step down in class here as a great price. Buffalo is 12-5 against the money line in its last 17 games after losing their previous game in overtime. Here, we play against road favorites against the money line off a road win by three goals or more, playing their 3rd road game in four days. This situation is 23-9 (7.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (34) Buffalo Sabres |
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11-29-21 | Iowa v. Virginia +2 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Virginia opened the season with a stunning eight-point loss at home against Navy as a 15-point favorite and while a team from the ACC, especially with this pedigree, should never lose a game like that, it was a situation that was not overly surprising. The Cavaliers had another great season last year but they were bumped in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and brought back only one starter from 2020-21. After the Navy loss, Virginia did bounce back with a win but then were blown out by a very good Houston team. Since then, the Cavaliers have won four in a row including impressive wins over Georgia and Providence and they now seem to have the rhythm in play as it took a few game for new players to gel. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Iowa is off to a 6-0 start and while it too is dealing with a lot of attrition, notably losing one of the best players in program history in Luka Garza, it has had the benefit of playing a very easy schedule. All six wins were at home so this is the first road game for the Hawkeyes and they come in with a schedule ranking of No. 353 out of 358 teams so this is clearly their biggest challenge of the season. The Hawkeyes are just one of four remaining undefeated teams in the Big Ten but their counterparts have played more daunting schedules so the fact Iowa possesses the highest scoring in the nation is skewed based on who it has played and now faces a real defense. The Hawkeyes are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (806) Virginia Cavaliers |
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11-28-21 | Fresno State +2.5 v. California | Top | 57-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Fresno St. is off to a 5-0 start, its best mark to start a season since 2015-16, following what was rough year last season where it never got on track because of numerous stoppages. The Bulldogs have all five starters back and are picked to contend in the MWC after going 9-11 with one of the youngest teams in the country. The Bulldogs are led by center Orlando Robinson who is averaging 19.4 ppg and 9.4 rpg and has scored at least 16 points in every game. He is a big part of the reason they are +9.8 in rebounding margin which is one of the best in the country. Additionally, Fresno St. has assists on 39 of 62 field goals (62.9 percent) during its past three games. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. California is coming off pair of losses in Fort Myers albeit against top 25 teams and they are in a tough matchup here once again. The Golden Bears averaged just 9.0 turnovers per game in their first three games, but have given it up 14.7 times over the past three games on average. After just three conference wins last season, they are again picked to finish last in the Pac 12. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 55 points or less in two straight games, with two or more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 48-21 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (733) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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11-28-21 | Maple Leafs v. Ducks +164 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Anaheim is coming off a 4-0 win over Ottawa which snapped a three-game losing streak and the Ducks are now one point ahead of Vegas for third place in the NHL Pacific Division. They are 8-3-1-0 at home and the defense has led the way as they are allowing just 1.67 gpg at home which is the lowest average in the league in home games. Anaheim has allowed just three power play goals and its 90.32 penalty kill is tied for fourth best in the NHL. On the other side, the Ducks have converted 28.6 percent of their power plays which is also good for No. 4 in the league. Anaheim is 6-1 against the money line after a win by two goals or more this season. Toronto has won three straight games and looks to make it four straight on this four-game road trip but the Maple Leafs are overpriced here in the toughest matchup of this trek. They are right in the middle of the stats on both sides and despite putting up 13 goals over the last three games, they are not going to get the chances in Anaheim. Here, we play on home teams against the money line with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having lost three of their last four games, in the first half of the season. This situation is 82-29 (73.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (32) Anaheim Ducks |
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11-28-21 | Eagles v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFC East Game of the Year. The Eagles have won their last two games and coupled with the Dallas loss on Thursday, they are now just two games behind the Cowboys in the NFC East. They hit the road where they are 4-2 on the season which is the best road record in the NFL besides the three top teams in the NFC West which have killed it on the highway. Philadelphia continues to run the ball effectively as it has outgained its last five opponents on the ground while putting up an average of 201 ypg over that stretch. Despite the recent road success, the Eagles have struggled in the first of consecutive road games and going back Philadelphia is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games in the second half of the season against teams who give up 24 or more ppg. New York is coming off a forgettable game in Tampa Bay which led to the firing of offensive coordinator Jason Garrett and a new look, even though it is Freddie Kitchens, could provide a needed spark. The Eagles defense has been below average as they are allowing 23.6 ppg so New York can be effective with the offense remaining healthy. On the other side, The Giants rushing defense has been adequate and they are coming off a good game where they allowed only 94 yards against Tampa on just 3.5 ypc and it was a game where the Buccaneers ran the ball than normal. The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won two out of their last three games, a playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (256) New York Giants |
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11-27-21 | Penn State v. Michigan State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 121 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Game of the Year. Michigan St. is coming off an absolute disaster of a game as it went to Columbus and got shellacked by Ohio St. 56-7. The Spartans allowed 655 total yards and 36 first downs while getting outgained by a total of 431 total yards. This game was over a minute into the second quarter as Ohio St. built a 28-0 lead and it scored a touchdown on its first seven possessions. The Spartans can either carry that over or be highly motivated to bounce back and we are expecting the latter after the embarrassment this past Saturday. Despite the effort, the Michigan St. offense has improved by over 14 ppg and the defense has improved by close to 10 ppg from the 2-5 record from last season. While a bowl game was out of the question last season when these teams met in the season finale, Michigan St. will be out for revenge after blowing a 21-10 lead at halftime, getting outscored 29-3 in the second half in the 39-24 defeat. The Spartans are 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Penn St. had lost three of four games and then recorded its best defensive effort of the season as it shut out Rutgers while giving up only 160 total yards, 67 yards on the ground and 93 yards through the air while allowing just 10 first downs. That was the Nittany Lions final home game of the season and now they hit the road where they are 2-2 on the season. Penn St. is getting outgained 387-359 away from home and the big problem has been the running game as it has averaged only 71 ypg on 2.5 ypc on offense. The Nittany Lions are dealing with the flu going through the roster which could have an effect going into the final regular season game. There is not a ton at stake for Penn St., which at this point is likely headed to either the Music City Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl or the Pinstripe Bowl, certainly not what it was looking for when it opened the season 5-0. Penn St. is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. 10* (224) Michigan St. Spartans |
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11-26-21 | Oregon State +4 v. Wake Forest | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Game of the Week. If this line were posted at the beginning of the season, it would be flipped and the Beavers could be favored even more than that but early season records are altering the number. Oregon St. is off to a disappointing 1-4 start and it is not hard to forget that the Beavers were an Elite Eight team last season. They finished 20-13 so they were no juggernaut and because of that, they tend to be forgotten. The Beavers are expected to be better this season despite the loss of leading scorer Ethan Thompson as the backcourt of Jarod Lucas and Gianni Hunt has the potential to be one of the best in the conference and with Warith Alatishe down low, this is a solid team despite the early season struggles. They have failed to cover any game and are coming off a pair of one-point losses but with four days in-between games, this is a new start. The Beavers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Wake Forest is 5-0 and yet to leave its home floor until now. The five victories are one short of their season total from all of last season and turnaround is skewed for sure. The best teams they Demon Deacons have played is maybe William & Mary based on it was the lowest spread in all games and they have been favored by at least 15 points in all five games. Through yesterday, they have played the No. 358 ranked schedule in the country and putting this in perspective, there are 358 Division I teams. While the confidence might be there, the step up in competition is a bigger factor and Wake Forest will have it hand full for the first time this season. 10* (875) Oregon St. Beavers |
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11-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +3 | Top | 118-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Suns are coming off a win at Cleveland on Wednesday pushing their winning streak to 14 straight games and they still trail the Warriors by a game in the NBA Pacific Division. They improved to 7-1 on the road with the victory over the Cavaliers and while this streak is impressive, they have not exactly dominated, going 1-5 ATS over their last six games and with a pretty low number here, the public is riding Phoenix yet again. Phoenix has been one of the most surprising teams going back to last season while making a trip to the NBA Finals and this will be a tough spot as they have a game at Brooklyn tomorrow, the top team in the Eastern Conference. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Knicks defeated the Lakers last time out and while they have been somewhat inconsistent after a red hot start, a couple days off following the Los Angeles win is a benefit as they have following up their last five wins with losses. New York is 3.5 games out of first place in the conference and a win here would be big with a pair of road games upcoming against the Hawks and Nets. The Knicks are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning % above .600. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive wins, a playing teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 63-30 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (540) New York Knicks |
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11-26-21 | Panthers v. Capitals -108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Florida has won four straight games to get back on track following a four-game losing streak and it now has a two-point lead over Toronto in the NHL Eastern Conference. The Panthers hit the road where all four of those losses occurred and home ice has been the difference in their games as the home team has won 11 in a row in their games. They did open the season 3-0 on the road and are now 3-2-1-2 so things have a taken a turn the wrong way and over the last six road games, Florida has averaged just 2.33 gpg in regulation. Washington has won three of it last four games and seven of its last nine to remain in a tie with Carolina atop the NHL Metropolitan Division while sitting in a tie for second place in the Eastern Division and a win here would propel the Capitals into a tie for first place. On offense, they have averaged 4.14 gpg in those seven wins but it has been the other side that has been the strength as they allowing a fourth best 2.35 gpg overall and that has been even better on home ice. The Washington defense has spurned its 6-1-3-0 record as home as it is allowing only 2.20 gpg which is sixth fewest in the league. The Capitals have allowed only three power play goals this season at home which is tied for fifth fewest and that is a good situation here as the Panthers have scored only three power play goals on the road and their .130 power play percentage is eighth lowest in the league. The Capitals are 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams against the money line that are allowing 2.55 or fewer gpg on the season, after two straight wins by one goal. This situation is 28-8 (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (58) Washington Capitals |
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11-26-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 10 m | Show |
this is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Game of the Month. Arkansas is coming off a tough loss against Alabama as it fell by a touchdown and at 7-4 it will be looking for its most regular season wins since 2011. The Razorbacks have already matched their win total from the three previous years combined and will be playing their first bowl game since 2016. Three of the Razorbacks four losses have come against ranked teams (Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss) and the other came against Auburn, its only home loss of the season. Arkansas has a strong offense that is ranked No. 29 overall including No. 14 in rushing offense, averaging 222.7 ypg on the ground and it will be able to take advantage in this matchup. Arkansas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Tigers are coming off a one-point victory over Florida in overtime which got Missouri bowl eligible and it has now posted at least a .500 record in five straight years. They have won two straight games but both of those came at home and the Tigers are just 1-3 on the road with the only win on the highway being a 37-28 victory at Vanderbilt which enters this week with a 2-9 record. Despite the winning record, the Tigers are ranked next-to-last in the SEC in scoring defense; allowing 34.7 ppg which is only ahead of the Commodores. The biggest weakness for Missouri is the rushing defense that is dead last in the conference, which as mentioned, is the Arkansas strength on offense. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on conference favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in the first half of the season that are averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (132) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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11-25-21 | Bills -4 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 75 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo got manhandled at home against the Colts for its second loss in three games as Jonathan Taylor went off by rushing for 185 yards and scoring five touchdowns. The Bills are now in second place in the AFC East, a half-game behind the Patriots with a home game against New England on deck so there is definitely a sense of urgency to bounce back from that loss. The 26-point defeat was bit deceiving as mistakes killed Buffalo as it lost the turnover margin 4-0 and that is not recoverable. Buffalo still is near the top of the league on both sides of the ball as it averages 391.7 ypg on offense and allows 283.7 ypg on defense., No. 5 and No. 1 in the NFL respectively. Buffalo is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 road games after allowing 35 points or more last game while going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. New Orleans has now suffered three straight losses to fall to 5-5 and it recent surge up the playoff ladder has taken a big step back. The normally strong rushing defense was gashed for 242 against the Eagles and they have a better matchup here but the Saints will have trouble slowing down the Buffalo passing game especially with Josh Allen coming off a rough game in some poor weather. The injury list is a long one for New Orleans and Trevor Siemian has struggled for the most part and shows he has trouble leading this offense with a passer rating of 88.9 while completing only 56.9 percent of his passes. A return home would seem to be an edge but the Saints are just 1-2 in the dome this season. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 45-13 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (109) Buffalo Bills |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi has won three straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and with a win here, the Rebels will post the highest regular-season win total in school history. They are coming off a lackluster effort against Vanderbilt but they were just going through the motions looking forward to this game. They have the best player on the field in quarterback Matt Corral who is 233-345 for 3,100 yards passing and 19 touchdowns with just three interceptions while rushing for another 10 touchdowns and he has become a Heisman candidate. It is just not about the passing however as Mississippi has rushed for 231.1 ypg, and have had six games of more than 250 yards including four in the SEC. The Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Mississippi St. has won four of its last five games to become bowl eligible for the 12th straight season although last season comes with an asterisk as the Bulldogs were 4-6 but with COVID, they were able to get into the Armed Forces Bowl because of a lack of teams. The Bulldogs have a solid quarterback of their own as Will Rogers has averaged 390 ypg over his last four games but he has a tough test here. Mississippi has given up an average of 259 ypg through the air in SEC games and has only allowed more than 300 yards just once this season. In a Mike Leach offense, the Bulldogs passing game is no surprise but they could use some balance here yet that is unlikely. Mississippi St. had just its second 100-yard game on the ground last week but that was against Tennessee Tech of the FCS. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) Mississippi Rebels |
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11-24-21 | Heat +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Minnesota on Monday as it took care of New Orleans, jumping out to a 26-point lead and never looking back but things get tougher here at home. Part of the reason we played the Timberwolves was because of their success against the poor teams in the league and after that victory Minnesota is 1-6 against the top 16 in the league while now 7-3 against teams below that. Minnesota has won four straight games to move a game under .500 and this includes a 5-6 record at home. The Timberwolves are 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Miami is coming off a win over Detroit last night and it has now won five of its last six games to keep its lead in the Southeast Division lead by a half-game over Washington. The Heat defense has picked things up after a bit of a lull as they have allowed fewer than 100 points in four of their last five games and are now allowing 101.8 ppg overall which is second best in the NBA. They are ninth in the league in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and this is easily the best defense that the Timberwolves have faced over this recent winning streak. Playing on a back-to-back has been no issue for Miami as the Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games playing on no rest. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Miami Heat |
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11-24-21 | Rangers v. Islanders +110 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play in the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The welcome home has not gotten off to a good start for the Islanders. After dropping their final four games of a 13-game roadtrip to open the season, they have lost their first two games in their new arena falling to Calgary 5-2 and then getting shutout by Toronto 3-0. The last game was a disaster as they were outshot 40-20 by the Maple Leafs and two days off since then can only help. The unfortunate schedule has played its toll as the Islanders are averaging just 2.07 gpg which is second worst in the NHL and the power play has been to blame as their 12.2 percent success rate is third worst in the league. Facing their biggest rival should have them ready to go. The Rangers are coming off a 5-4 win over Buffalo to make it five wins over their last six games to move into a tie for fourth place with Tampa Bay in the NHL Eastern Conference. They are 5-1-1-0 at home but have dropped five of 11 on the road while averaging just 2.55 gpg. While the Islanders power play has been off, the Rangers could be the cure as they have allowed seven goals in 17 chances over their last eight games while converting just four goals on their own end. Going back, the Rangers are 1-4 in their last five road games. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 that are getting outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg, after allowing three goals or more in five straight games. This situation is 140-79 (63.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (34) New York Islanders |
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11-24-21 | Connecticut v. Auburn +3.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
11-23-21 | Oilers +100 v. Stars | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Edmonton has won two straight games and remains one point behind Calgary in the NHL Pacific Division and it closes with Dallas and Arizona before the holiday break and both are very winnable to keep pace with the Flames. The Oilers put up five goals in their previous game and are third in the NHL with 3.88 gpg and their power play remains the best in the league by a significant amount. They are at 39.6 percent and their 21 man up goals are easily the most. Even more impressive is the fact that Edmonton has been better on the road with a 41.7 percent power play success rate and on the other side, the Oilers have allowed only two power play goals in 21 chances and that 92 percent penalty kill is the best on the road. The Oilers are 8-0 in their last eight games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Dallas has won three of its last four games with all of those wins coming at home and the Stars are now at 16 points overall which is six points out of third place in the NHL Central Division. The scoring has picked up of late but Dallas still has only 43 goals on the season which is third lowest in the Western Conference. The Stars have relied on defense for a while but they have given up 3.13 gpg which is in the bottom half of the league and the penalty kill is sixth worst at 76.4 percent. They have allowed a power play in all but two home games this season. The Stars are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams against the money line off a win by three goals or more over a division rival, with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 41-19 (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (15) Edmonton Oilers |
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11-23-21 | Oregon -2 v. St. Mary's | Top | 50-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Oregon got a good draw in the first round of the Maui Invitational, that is actually being played in Las Vegas, as it faced Division II Chaminade and it was a much needed 73-49 blowout which came after a disastrous performance against BYU as it got hammered 81-49, shooting 32.1 percent and getting outrebounded 33-22. The Ducks step up in competition here but should be ready for the challenge. Strong defensive play and teamwork were the stories in the second half, with the Ducks shooting 61 percent on 14 assists while holding Chaminade to 34.6 percent. The offensive numbers overall dipped because of that game against the Cougars but this is a balanced team with four double-digit scorers and eight players averaging at least 10 minutes per game. The Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. St. Mary's snuck by Notre Dame in a three-point win to improve to 5-0 on the season with the other four wins coming against nobody of significance. The Irish had their chances as the game remained close over the last five minutes but they failed to make a single field goal over the final 3:29 of the game to let the Gaels escape. They will have a tough challenge here with the potent Oregon backcourt and that is where these games can be decided. This is an experienced team but even playing some poor teams, the offense has not produced as the Gaels are No. 198 in scoring and No. 137 in shooting offense. The Gaels are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (657) Oregon Ducks |
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11-23-21 | Buffalo v. Ball State -6.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our XFB Tuesday Enforcer. The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing performance last week against Central Michigan as they had a chance to grab their sixth win of the season on their home field but lost by 20 points. Hope is not lost however as Ball St. is still vying for its second straight bowl bid with a win tonight to improve to 6-6 and it can make every team in the MAC West Bowl eligible. It is Senior Night and a big one at that as The Cardinals have 10 All-MAC selections from last season will be playing their final home game with a lot on the line. This group helped to win the MAC Championship last season and go to a bowl game for the first time since 2013 and they want a repeat of a bowl game before they move on. The passing game will be important for the Cardinals against a suspect Bulls passing defense as they are 3-1 when passing for more than 200 yards, the only exception being a seven-point loss to Miami. The Bulls had their chances as they were 4-4 through eight games and had a golden opportunity to add to that but lost at home to 3-8 Bowling Green by 12 points as a 13.5-point favorite then got hammered at Miami. They did their best to keep the six-win goal alive last week but fell in overtime to Northern Illinois and Buffalo was eliminated from bowl contention and clinched its first losing season since 2016. There may be motivation from losing the MAC Championship last season to the Cardinals but the recent rough stretch will have the Bulls in a tough spot here. Buffalo has struggled in this spot this season as they are 0-3 on the road when getting points, getting outscored by an average of 20.7 ppg. The Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (102) Ball St. Cardinals |
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11-22-21 | Providence +2.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Providence is coming off a 69-58 win over New Hampshire on Thursday to improve to 4-0 on the season. Three wins have come against some overmatched teams but the Friars so own a solid quality victory over Wisconsin on the road. They went 13-13 last season including 9-10 in the Big East Conference and they should be much improved this season. Providence is loaded with experience as they not only return four starters from last season and the top six players have combined for 558 games played. The Friars are led by super senior center Nate Watson who is averaging 19.3 ppg and 6.5 rpg and he is a tough matchup for any team especially the Wildcats who have not faced a team as physical as Providence. The Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Northwestern is also 4-0 and has won each game by at least 16 points. However, those games were against Eastern Illinois, High Point, New Orleans and Fairleigh Dickenson, all from smaller conferences. The Wildcats do bring back experience as well but are down a starting guard as Chase Audige, who averaged 12.3 ppg last season has yet to take the court. Forward Pete Nance leads the team with 18 ppg and 8.5 rpg while guard Boo Buie has provided solid backcourt play with the absence of Audige as he is averaging 15 ppg and 6.8 apg. This has come against a schedule ranked No. 352 in the country so the real test starts now. The Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (873) Providence Friars |
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11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. After a pair of bad losses, the public will be backing the Buccaneers on Monday night despite laying a huge number. Tampa Bay is coming off losses against Washington and New Orleans sandwiched around its bye week to drop its record to 6-3 on the season and with the Saints loss Sunday, the Buccaneers have a game and a half lead in the NFC South. They have struggled with inconsistency on offense and that is because of players being in and out of the lineup due to injuries. Tight end Rob Gronkowski and wide receiver Chris Godwin are both questionable and not at 100 percent should they play. On the other side, the Tampa Bay defense allowed 16 first-half points in each of the last two weeks and defensive lineman Vita Vea is doubtful. The Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. The Giants are coming off their bye week following wins in two of their last three games to improve to 3-6 following a 0-3 start. Three of those six losses have been by three points or less and while the defense was shredded by the Cowboys and Rams in back-to-back games, they have allowed just 13 ppg over this recent three-game stretch and New York has allowed 21 points or fewer in five of its last seven games. The Giants have allowed only allowed three touchdowns in 13 red zone drives. While keeping up in a shootout would be unlikely, the New York offense is getting healthier. Running back Saquon Barkley was officially listed as questionable for the game after practicing all week. Additionally, wide receivers Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney were not listed on the injury report. The Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off a home win. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (477) New York Giants |
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11-22-21 | Wolves -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Minnesota has won three straight games while covering its last four and now it is two games under .500 on the season. The Timberwolves are 2-3 on the road with the losses coming against the Grizzlies, Warriors and Clippers and the two wins coming against the Bucks and Lakers which are all .500 or better so the road schedule has been a tough one. They are averaging 110 ppg on the highway and come into this one playing well on offense, averaging 120 ppg during their three-game winning streak. Overall, Minnesota is 1-6 against the top 16 in the league but 6-3 against teams below that. The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite. New Orleans is coming off a 17-point loss at Indiana on Saturday to fall to 3-15 on the season. The Pelicans have won two straight games at home after a 0-6 start with the defense allowing 108.1 ppg which is ninth most in the league. Overall, they are No. 26 in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage including No. 23 at home. Unlike the Timberwolves, New Orleans has struggled of late on offense as it is averaging just 95.3 ppg over its last three games and has failed to hit 100 points in any of those three games. Going back further, the Pelicans has scored 100 or fewer points in eight of their last 10 games. The Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after one or more consecutive wins, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 40-14 (74.1 percentage) over the last five seasons. 10* (571) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-22-21 | Golden Knights v. Blues -148 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our Western Conference Game of the Month. St. Louis returns home following a loss at Dallas on Saturday which was its fifth loss in its last six games. The Blues have fallen into third place in the NHL Central Division, three points behind Minnesota. Despite similar records at home and on the road, the statistical numbers are better on home ice as they average 3.38 gpg while allowing 2.50 gpg which are both No. 9 in the league. The power play has led the way on offense as the Blues are 8-26 in man up situations and that .308 percentage is good for third best in the NHL. The Blues are almost back to full strength, with only forward Brayden Schenn still sidelined and they are in much better shape than Vegas. The Blues are 5-2 in their last seven games as a home favorite. The Golden Knights are coming off a successful six-game homestand where it went 5-1-0-0 and now they hit the road for the first time in over two weeks. Vegas now has 22 points and sits in fourth place in the NHL Pacific Division, five points behind first place Calgary. They have gone three straight games without a power play goal and that has been an issue all season as Vegas is 5-41 (12.2 percent) which is third worst in the league. The Golden Knights have had this success despite having numerous injuries and players on the shelf because of COVID. Max Pacioretty is still out while William Karlsson, Jonathan Marchessault, Shea Theodore and remain out. Jack Eichel has yet to suit up since being acquired from Buffalo. Here, we play on home favorites of -200 or less against the money line in the first half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having lost three of their last four games. This situation is 59-17 (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (4) St. Louis Blues |
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11-21-21 | Colorado State -2.5 v. Creighton | Top | 95-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Colorado St. defeated Bradley in the first round of the Paradise Jam as it was led by senior David Roddy, the Preseason MWC Player of the Year, who poured 30 points on 10-14 shooting. The other First Team All-MWC selection Isaiah Stevens had a rough game as he was just 2-12 from the floor and scored a season low five points after coming in averaging 17.3 ppg in his first three games. The Rams ended the 2020-21 season in the NIT, advancing to the final four and finishing 20-8 overall record, including 14-4 in the MWC and are picked to win the conference behind five returning starters and nine letterwinners in total. There is a ton of motivation on this team that was left out of the NCAA Tournament and a win here would be a start to bump up the nonconference resume. Colorado St. has six opponents and two other possible opponents that played in the postseason in 2020-21. The Blue Jays are also 4-0 following a win over Brown on Friday. They made a trip to the Sweet 16 last season but there is a ton of turnover as this is a young team that has to replace all five starters. The Bluejays like to play at a faster pace and with that has comes some early season mistakes as Creighton has averaged 16.5 turnovers per game including 17 against Brown. As mentioned in that preview, Creighton struggles at the free throw line as it is hitting just 57.4 percent from the stripe which is No. 352 in the country. Here, we play on favorites in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, with all five starters returning from last year in the first five games of the season. This situation is 191-122 (61 percent) since 1997. 10* (759) Colorado St. Rams |
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11-21-21 | Texans +10.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our AFC South Game of the Year. This is an ugly play for sure but Houston actually is in a great spot here. The Texans have lost eight straight games and have the worse offense and third worst defense in the NFL but they are coming off their bye week which came at good time to help heal some injuries. Houston lost its last game in Miami but won the yardage battle as it was hurt by four turnovers including three interceptions by Tyrod Taylor who was pressured a ton and faced a great group of corners. That will not be the case this week as Tennessee is No. 27 against the pass and was torched for 298 yards by Trevor Siemian which was the fourth most in his very below average career. This is a game that the Texans will be fired up for and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Is it possible for a team to have won six straight games and be overrated? In this case yes. The Titans have improved their record to an AFC best 8-2 but during their six-game winning streak, they have been outgained four times and in the two times they won the yardage battle, they were by 33 and 35 yards. On the season, Tennessee is getting outgained by 19 ypg overall and while that may seem miniscule, for a team that is 8-2 and missing the best running back in the league, it is a big deal. While the Houston injury report is in decent shape, the Titans have a whopping 27 players that are either questionable, out indefinitely or on IR. With the Patriots on deck in New England, if ever there is a game to go through the motions, this is it. The Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after eight or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Houston Texans |
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11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings +8 | Top | 123-105 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. After opening 1-2 in the first three games of a five-game homestand, the Jazz took out Philadelphia and Toronto by 35 and 16 points respectively in the last two games. Utah hits the road for a one-game trip to Sacramento and it comes in with a 4-3 record on the highway and this includes a loss at Orlando in its last road game. The Jazz are outshooting opponents by just 1.5 percent on the road and while the adjusted rankings have been better, this is a big number to be laying on the road. The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Kings have lost two straight games including a 19-point setback against Toronto last night and they have now dropped three straight games at home. They managed only 89 points last night but are still averaging 109.3 ppg on the season which is sixth most in the league. They have been able get it done inside as Sacramento is third in the Western Conference with 48.6 ppg in the paint. Sacramento is 3-0 ATS this season when getting 6.5 or more points and all of those were on the road making this the biggest number it has seen on its home floor. The Kings are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games playing with no rest. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (546) Sacramento Kings |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Utah hosts Oregon in its biggest home game in recent memory in what looks like a preview of the Pac 12 Championship. The Utes are 4-0 at home including three conference wins, all by double-digits, and all three against teams with winning Pac 12 records going a combined 13-5 outside of the Utah losses. The Utes are outgaining opponents by 85.5 ypg at home and they have been dominant here going 18-2 in their last 20 home games. Since Cameron Rising took over as the full-time starter at quarterback, the Utah offense has been much better in every aspect as his 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions has opened up the running game which ranks third in the conference. The Utes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Oregon has won five straight games to improve to 9-1 on the season and the Ducks remain No. 3 in the latest CFP Rankings. Yet they come in as underdogs and the public is on the side of Oregon based on that. The Ducks are ranked No. 32 in total offense and No. 57 in total defense which is nothing special compared to where they are ranked and this is a tough spot in a hostile environment. Oregon did win at Ohio St. in the season opener but that was before the Buckeyes hit their stride and since then, the Ducks have gone 2-1 on the road which includes a three-point win over UCLA and a 10-point win over 3-4 Washington. Taking away the game against 3-7 Colorado and Oregon has not outgained any opponent by more than 70 yards over the last seven games. The Ducks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (372) Utah Utes |
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11-20-21 | Tulsa v. Rhode Island -4.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Rhode Island has started the season 3-0 as it is coming off a win over Boston College, handing the Eagles their first loss of the season and the Rams did it on defense once again. They allowed just 49 points on 25 percent shooting and 18 of those points came from the free throw line. Rhode Island has allowed just 58.3 ppg and opponents are shooting just 28.9 percent from the floor which is the lowest shooting percentage allowed in the country. Offensively, the Rams are shooting 48 percent and face a horrible defense on Saturday. Last season was a tough one as Rhode Island lost a lot to graduation and transfers and it showed with their 10-15 record but this season they have four starters back, all of which are averaging double-digits in scoring. The Rams are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Tulsa improved to 2-1 with a win over Oregon St. on Monday which followed up a bad home loss against Air Force as 14.5-point favorites. The Golden Hurricane bring back just two starters from the team that went 11-12 and they are picked to finish eighth in the 11-team AAC. Overall, eight players were lost from last season with eight newcomers joining the roster. The offense runs through forward Jeriah Horne who leads the team with 20.0 ppg and 8.0 rpg and guard Sam Griffin is the only other players averaging double figures. As a team, the Golden Hurricane are shooting just 40.9 percent which is No. 270 through the early part of the season and things will not get any easier here. The Golden Hurricane are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a win by six points or less, with just two starters returning from last year in the first five games of the season. This situation is 103-52 ATS (66.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (670) Rhode Island Rams |
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11-20-21 | Flames v. Islanders -108 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. The moment has finally arrived for the Islanders as after opening the season with 13 straight road games, they are back home for their first game at UBS Arena. It was a bad finish to the roadtrip as New York dropped its last four games and after the trek, it is in last place in the Metropolitan Division at 5-6-2. The Islanders clearly ran out of gas toward the end as they were outscored 19-4 in those four games and they have had three days off to get ready for this one. We can throw out all of the stats here with every game being played on enemy ice but one strength has been the penalty kill as the Islanders have stopped 30 of 36 attempts and that 83.3 percent is good for No. 11 in the league. Calgary is coming off a 5-0 over Buffalo on Thursday and this will be the sixth game of a seven-game roadtrip for the Flames. They are 2-1-2-0 so far but have yet to win back-to-back games and you have to go all the way back to the end of October for the last time they won consecutive games and they have dropped four straight games in overtime in November. This is a tough road test and while their last two road wins were both shutouts, those came against the Sabres and Senators, two of the four worst teams in the Eastern Conference. Yes, New York is part of that group but again, this is a whole different situation. The Flames are 1-4 in their last five games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 off a road win by two goals or more going up against an opponent off two consecutive road losses by two goals or more. This situation is 29-12 (70.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (42) New York Islanders |
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11-20-21 | Texas v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas has lost five straight games which is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss last week against Kansas, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. The body language of the Texas players after the loss last Saturday shows that they may be done even though a bowl berth is still on the line by winning out. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 41 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 106 in total defense and No. 107 in scoring defense. The Longhorns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. West Virginia is also two wins away from bowl eligibility and despite losses in its last two games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma St., those teams are a combined 16-4 and the Mountaineers are in much better shape. This is the final home game of the season for West Virginia and it will be fired up knowing that this will be last home game against Texas as part of conference action with the Longhorns pending move to the SEC. The offense has struggled over the past two games but West Virginia has the athletes on offense to put up big numbers and run away with this game. The Mountaineers are ranked in the middle of the pack in most Big XII defensive categories and can limit the opposing offense. The Mountaineers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg on offense going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (348) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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11-19-21 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +131 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE KRAKEN for our NHL Friday Breakaway. We played on Seattle Wednesday and it could not hold off a hot Chicago team as it lost 4-2 for its fifth straight loss. The Kraken have lost three straight at home after a promising 3-2 start and the defense continues to be the liability. The Kraken have averaged just under 3.2 gpg over their last six games but the defense has allowed at least four goals in each game during the five-game losing streak including seven goals given up to Anaheim. The problem was the penalty kill where they are ranked No. 31 in the NHL but have gone three straight games without allowing a power play goal. They are still near the top of the league at even strength in fewest scoring chances per minute and overall scoring chance ratio. Colorado has won three straight games as the offense has been humming with an average of 5.7 gpg during the winning streak. The Avalanche has scored six power play goals during this stretch and while all of this looks to be bad news for Seattle, we are catching a great number as this is the biggest moneyline it has received since facing Edmonton back on the first of the month. Colorado is averaging just 2.83 gpg on the road compared to 4.14 gpg at home which is third most in the league. Colorado is 2-6 against the money line in its last eight road games off a road win scoring four or more goals. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after allowing two goals or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after allowing four goals or more four straight games. This situation is 25-12 (67.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (28) Seattle Kraken |
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11-19-21 | Wichita State +9 v. Arizona | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Friday Game of the Month. The Shockers head to Las Vegas 3-0 but the offense will need a boost after some struggles from the floor. Wichita St. will be at full strength as head coach Isaac Brown says Tyson Etienne has practiced and will play on Friday night against Arizona. He was out on Tuesday due to an illness and this is a big boost as the 2020-21 AAC Player of the Year was a question mark coming in. The Shockers have three starters back including Morris Udeze and Dexter Dennis on top of Etienne. Dennis was on the 2019-20 AAC All Freshman Team and Wichita St. also has another player who earned that honor last season with Ricky Council IV so not only is there great experience but talented experience. Arizona has had plenty of issues over the last few years and the Wildcats are just an average team that is picked to finish in the middle of a top heavy Pac 12 Conference. The Wildcats have cruised through their first three games as they have dominated all statistical categories against a bunch of cupcakes and will now face a real defense for the first time. Arizona is averaging 94.0 ppg on shooting 50.3 percent from the floor, including 39.0 percent from long range while holding opponents to 27.6 percent shooting which is best in the country. The early results have inflated this line to go along with the fact that Arizona is a public team despite the recent struggles. Here, we play against neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem that are averaging 78 or more ppg and after allowing 55 points or less going up against teams averaging between 63 and 67 ppg. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (887) Wichita St. Shockers |
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11-19-21 | Air Force v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Both Air Force and Nevada come into this Friday matchup on the same path as they are 7-3 including 4-2 in the MAC and both are one game out of first place in their respective divisions. The Wolf Pack had a chance to take over first place in the MAC West but lost by two points at San Diego St. last week and they will need to win out and get some help along the way. Both conference losses came by two points and both were on the road where they are 2-3. Nevada is playing its final home game before travelling to Colorado St. next week in the season finale and the Wolf Pack look to end the season 6-0 at home and extend the overall home winning streak to 10 games going back to last season. The Wolf Pack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Colorado St. last Saturday. Like Nevada, they have to win out and get some help to take the MWC East Division but with Utah St. facing Wyoming and New Mexico, both of which are 1-5 in the conference, that seems unlikely. Air Force comes in a perfect 4-0 on the road but only one of those has been against a team with a winning record. The Falcons lead the country in rushing, averaging 311.1 ypg but they are ranked No. 51 in third down conversion percentage which has hurt keeping drives alive and the ability to score more than they should. Nevada is one of the top team in third down conversion percentage, allowing just 35.9 percent including 28.3 percent at home. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-19-21 | Pacers +2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Charlotte has won four straight games to improve to 9-7 on the season and is now just two games behind Miam in the NBA Southeast Division. The Hornets defense has improved considerably as they have allowed 98.3 ppg over their last four games during this winning streak after allowing 118.3 ppg through their first 12 games. They gave up a season low 87 points against Washington last time out as the Wizards were bricking from long range as they were 8-42 (19 percent). Charlotte is ranked No. 23 in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage while sitting No. 24 in Opponent True Shooting Percentage so the Hornets are not out of the woods yet on that side of the floor. Indiana has lost their past two games, failing to score 90 points in either of them and part of the issue has been a lack of physicality. Easy buckets were the norm early on but they have not come of late and despite the recent regression, Indiana is still ranked No. 6 in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage. Additionally, the Pacers are No. 8 in overall shooting percentage at 46.3 percent. They are just 2-8 on the road but have played much better than that record shows as five of those losses have come by four points or less so they have been in the majority of those games. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams averaging between 104 and 108 ppg after scoring 95 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Indiana Pacers |
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11-18-21 | Nevada +7.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. It has been a tough start for Nevada as it is 1-2 to open the season as it is coming off a pair of losses, and bad ones at that. The Wolf Pack lost to San Diego at home by seven points as a 14-point favorite and then hit the road and gut pummeled by Santa Clara by 22 points as a short chalk. With those results, we are now getting excellent value on Nevada which is expected to contend for another MWC Championship. The rough start is surprising as the Wolf Pack have all five starters back and nine of their top 10 scorers return from a team that was 16-10 last season including 10-7 in the conference. The offense has been adequate but the defense has been a disaster as they are ranked near the bottom in points allowed and defensive shooting percentage in the country. The good news is that this is a quick turnaround after the Santa Clara disaster which will put fire under them to get this right. The Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. San Francisco is off to a 4-0 start but three of those have come against some cupcake teams and while a win over Davidson looks good, it was a very inefficient game and this is now its biggest test despite what the Nevada record shows. San Francisco was picked to finish fifth in the 10-team preseason West Coast Conference poll and while it is off to a hot start, the Wolf Pack can take advantage. The Dons have allowed 63.8 ppg which is respectable but that is against a schedule ranked No. 187 in the country. While we do not often look at road revenge as an angle, this one is in play as Nevada is out to avenge a 25-point loss at home last season against San Francisco. The Dons are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, with all five starters returning from last season. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (741) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New England seems to be hitting its stride as it has won four straight games and has covered all of those, three by double-digits with two of those beating the number by over 33 points. The Patriots have won all four road games this season but three of those came against the Jets, Texans and Panthers which are a combined 8-20 and the record is part of the reason this line has gone up by 2.5 points in some places. They are still just a half-game behind Buffalo in the AFC East with games against the Titans, Colts and Bills twice upcoming in the next four games. Overall, they have played the second easiest schedule in the NFL and the backend will present a challenge and Thursday is no easy out. The Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games against passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse in the second half of the season. This is just the second home game for the Falcons since October 3rd as they have played three road games as well as a game in London. Atlanta has won three of its last five games and one of those victories definitely was not last Sunday as it got embarrassed at Dallas 43-3, getting outgained by 217 total yards. While Atlanta played like garbage, that was more of a statement game for the Cowboys that was coming off a bad game against the Broncos. The Falcons are 4-5 on the season and there are now six teams with record between 5-4 and 4-6 so the Wild Card race is still wide open. Atlanta is -5 in turnover margin which is the big reason it is getting outscored by over nine ppg. The Falcons are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10* (312) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-18-21 | Spurs +2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. San Antonio has lost three straight games including a 14-point loss at the Clippers on Tuesday that dropped their road record to 2-6 on the season but most of those losses have come against winning teams and they have a great chance to bounce back here. Overall, the Spurs are 1-7 against the Top 16 teams in the NBA and Minnesota is far from part of that group. The offense has played well as San Antonio is ranked No. 12 in scoring offense and No. 5 in shooting offense and while those do come down on the road, again, that is based on the schedule played. Minnesota 11-25 ATS in its last 36 home games against teams shooting 46 percent or better from the floor. The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing home record. Minnesota snapped a two-game skid with a 10-point win over Sacramento last night and that put a temporary halt to a 1-8 run where the Timberwolves were outscored by double-digits. To their credit, the opposition was strong but that being said, the Timberwolves have actually struggled against the poor teams in the league, especially on their home floor. Going back, the Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are getting outscored by their opponents by 3.0 or more ppg going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 61-32 ATS (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (505) San Antonio Spurs |
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11-18-21 | Stars v. Wild -128 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Dallas has won two straight games following a 1-5-0-1 stretch and it won those games by identical 5-2 scores. Both of those came at home however which has inched up the scoring but the Stars are putting up just 2.25 gpg on the road where they are 3-4-0-1 on the season and that scoring average tied for seventh lowest in the NHL. They have allowed eight power play goals in 29 chances and that 72.4 percent power kill is seventh worst in the league in road games. Dallas is 0-7 against the money line in its last seven road games after playing two consecutive home games. Minnesota is coming off a 4-1 loss against San Jose which stopped a 5-1 run and the Wild now sit a point behind Winnipeg in the NHL Central Division. Minnesota is 4-2-0-0 at home and it is averaging 3.83 gpg on home ice which is fourth most in the league and the Wild are second in the NHL with 37.3 shots per game, trailing Calgary by just a half-shot so the more scoring opportunities the better. They have struggled with the power play with just four goals but they have had only 22 chances which is one of the lowest in the league and a lot of that is not under their control. As mentioned, Dallas has struggled on defense in the power play as they have been one of the most undisciplined teams in the league. Minnesota is 19-7 against the money line in its last 26 games off a home loss. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after two straight wins by three goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. This situation is 35-12 (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (16) Minnesota Wild |
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11-17-21 | Cal-Riverside v. San Diego -2 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. We won with UC Riverside two games back when it hit a miracle three-point shot at the buzzer to stun Arizona St. and while the cover would have happened even if that shot did not go in, it went viral and now the Highlanders hit the road again in their first lined game since and they are now overvalued. They are coming off a win over La Sierra (?) in-between these two games and despite a pair of wins, the offense remains a concern as they are shooting just 39.8 percent from the floor which is No. 289 in the country and that has contributed to averaging only 63.7 ppg, good for No. 302 in the nation. Free throw shooting is also a factor as UC Riverside is hitting only 63.3 percent from the stripe. The Highlanders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. San Diego opened the season with an easy win and then had to face Nevada and California on the road and the results were above expectations. The Toreros won outright against the Wolf Pack as 14-point underdogs and then gave the Golden Bears all they could handle in a five-point loss. This team is deep with 10 players averaging at least 12 minutes per game with nine of those averaging at least 15 minutes and these are not garbage minutes based on the last two games. The backcourt is loaded while the frontcourt has gotten stronger with newcomers Marcellus Earlington and Terrell Brown who are averaging a combined 22 ppg and 14 rpg. The Toreros are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in their first five games of the season with a winning percentage between .200 and .400 from last season, after losing eight or more of their last 10 games, playing a team that had a winning record last year. This situation is 47-21 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (700) San Diego Toreros |
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11-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Seattle Kraken -145 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE KRAKEN for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. It has been a rough 11 days for Seattle. First, the Kraken gave Arizona its first win of the season after opening with 11 straight losses and they have dropped three straight since then including a pair of home losses against Anaheim and Minnesota in their last two games. Seattle has now fallen into last place in the Pacific Division with just nine points overall after a promising start in its inaugural season in the league. The Kraken have averaged 3.4 gpg over their last five games but the defense has allowed at least four goals in each game during the four-game losing streak including seven goals given up to Anaheim. The problem has been the penalty kill where they are ranked No. 31 in the NHL but at even strength, they have allowed the fewest scoring chances per minute in the league with 22.4, and they rank sixth in overall scoring chance ratio at 53.7 percent. Chicago has played better of late but it is at 4-9-2 even after three consecutive one-goal victories. All of those were at home including two that went into extra time and the Blackhawks enter Wednesday winless on the road with six losses to open the season. They have been outscored 4.17 to 1.83 on the highway and that offensive output is second worst only to Arizona and the goals allowed per game are only ahead of Pittsburgh. Special teams have been the only positive but facing the Kraken at even strength is going to pose a big issue. The Blackhawks are 3-13 in their last 16 games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after having lost four of their last five games, in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage of .300 or worse in the first half of the season. This situation is 30-3 (90.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (70) Seattle Kraken |
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11-17-21 | Celtics v. Hawks -4 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. After six straight losses, the Hawks have won two straight, an impressive 20-point win over Milwaukee and then an 18-point win over Orlando to follow that up. Atlanta has been slid at home and awful on the road and on the season, the home team is 13-2 in Hawks games. That has played into the spread as well as Atlanta is just 1-8 ATS on the road, with the lone cover coming against 2-13 New Orleans while going 5-1 against the number at home. The Hawks are averaging 116.7 ppg at home on 48.6 percent shooting and they are third in the NBA in Effective Field Goal Percentage and second in True Shooting Percentage on their home floor. Overall, Atlanta has played the third toughest schedule in the NBA and it is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 home games off a home win. Boston has been playing much better as it has gone 5-2 over its last seven games after opening the season with an opposite 2-5 mark. The Celtics have been great to their backers as they have covered all seven of those games with the two losses coming as underdogs where they lost by two and three points and managed to get the money by just a half-point each. Boston has been better on the road with a 5-4 record but a win over Miami is the only solid victory. The Celtics have clamped down on defense as they have allowed only 91.9 ppg over their last seven games but they have a big challenge tonight against this Hawks offense. Here, we play against road underdogs after allowing 95 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 78-40 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (568) Atlanta Hawks |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our MAC Game of the Year. Northern Illinois improved to 5-1 in the MAC with a one-point win over Ball St. last week and now the West Division is theirs to win. A victory over Buffalo secures the title and a trip to the MAC Championship as they cannot be caught no matter what Ball St. and Central Michigan do down the stretch as the Huskies own both tiebreakers. Northern Illinois has been outrushed in its last two games which are the only two times it has been outrushed against non-Power Five teams. Still, the Huskies are averaging 220.4 ypg on the ground which is No. 15 in the country and face a porous defense when trying to stop the run. Northern Illinois is 3-2 on the road with one loss coming against Michigan and the other coming against 4-2 Kent St. by five points. The Huskies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. There is motivation for Buffalo as it will become bowl eligible if it wins its final two games but there is not a lot of confidence backing the Bulls here. In their four wins, one came against Wagner of the FCS, two other came against Old Dominion and Ohio by one point apiece and the last one came against Akron which is 2-8 on the season including 1-5 in the MAC. The Buffalo defense has been solid at home by allowing only 365.6 ypg but that is a severely skewed average as included is a 97-yard defensive effort in that Wagner game. The Bulls allow 4.6 ypc on the ground in their five home games and 4.8 ypc overall. On offense, they do run the ball well but a lot of that is due to play calling as they average just 4.4 ypc. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-33 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (309) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-16-21 | George Washington v. CS-Fullerton -3 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAL ST. FULLERTON TITANS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Cal St. Fullerton is coming off a pair of losses to open the season and if there is such a thing as good losses, that is the case here. The Titans lost to Santa Clara by seven points and to San Jose St. by two points, both coming on the road and they open the home portion of their schedule tonight. They went 6-10 last season with a very young team that played with very little uniformity especially on the defensive end where they ranked as one of the worst teams in the country in most defensive categories. The Titans have four starters back and they also brought in some transfers and through the two games, they have five players averaging double-digits in scoring. One of those transfers is forward E.J. Anosike who leads the team with 15 ppg and 9.5 rpg and the Maddox duo in the backcourt is a big strength. Geroge Washington is 1-2 with a narrow three-point win over St. Francis (PA) as its lone victory and while it played Maryland tough, the Colonials are coming off a 20-point loss at San Diego. They have just two starters back including guard James Bishop who the offense revolved around last season but he has gotten off to an awful start, averaging just 8.7 ppg on 20.9 percent shooting. As a team, they are shooting just 38.7 percent which is No. 306 in the nation to go along with a horrible A/TO ratio of 0.70 which is No. 296 overall. George Washington does have size issues as it is getting outboarded by close to 10 per game and this is a tough matchup for that to get any better. The Colonials are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400.Here, we play against underdogs off a road loss by 10 points or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .250 and .400 last season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (650) Cal St. Fullerton Titans |
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11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets -3 | Top | 117-99 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Tuesday TNT Blockbuster. Brooklyn is back home following a 5-1 road trip and it has now won nine of its last 10 games as the Nets are now gelling after slow start where they lost three of their first five games. Brooklyn is a half-game behind Washington for first place in the Eastern Conference and while it has played a relatively easy schedule, this is a good spot in its first home game since November 3rd. Kevin Durant was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Week after averaging 32.3 ppg, 7.8 rpg, and 4.5 apg and has another chance to knock off his old team after winning both meetings last season by 17 and 26 points. While Durant and James Harden are the headliners and it is the second unit that has really propelled the Nets as they are seventh in both offensive rating and effective field goal percentage off the bench, and eighth in net rating. The Nets are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. The Warriors are 11-2 after Charlotte snapped their seven-game winning streak, 106-102 on Sunday. While the schedule has been easy for the Nets, Golden St. has played the No. 29 ranked schedule in the NBA so a lot of the success can be attributed to that. Stephen Curry is having a monster season but after that, only three other players are averaging double-digits in scoring. Golden St. is ranked in the top three in both offensive and defensive efficiency but playing nine of the first 13 games at home has helped and two of the three road wins have come against teams with a losing record. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. This will be just the second time for Durant and Harden to face Golden St. together and the first at home. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season. This situation is 64-24 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Brooklyn Nets |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -114 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Michigan snapped a two-game losing streak with a closer than expected win over Akron last Tuesday but they are still unable to win the MAC West because of tiebreakers. If the Broncos win out, including a victory at first place Northern Illinois next week, they will finish 5-3 but there is no chance to surpass them because of upcoming matchups. Against the Zips, Western Michigan rushed for 316 yards on the night, led by Sean Tyler with 16 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, while adding a receiving score and a 96-yard kick return for a touchdown. Overall, the Broncos are No. 29 in total offense and No. 34 in rushing defense and will face an Eagles defense that is ranked No. 103 and No. 107 in those categories respectively. Western Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. Eastern Michigan entered last week 3-2 in the MAC West and had the possibility to control its own destiny for the title but lost against Ohio and have been mathematically eliminated. The Eagles were outrushed for the fifth time in six games, the one was dead even, and they are losing the rushing battle by an average of 136.2 ypg. Eastern Michigan, while struggling mightily in stopping the run, cannot get it done on offense either as they are ranked No. 109 in rushing offense. The Eagles have lost two straight home games and of the three wins, one came by just one point against Miami while the other two came against St. Francis of the FCS and Texas St. which is 3-7 on the season. Eastern Michigan is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-16-21 | Flames v. Flyers +108 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 108 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA FLYERS for our NHL Nonconference Game of the Month. Calgary had lost three straight games and five of its last six but caught a schedule break on Sunday as it visited Ottawa which came in 4-9-1-0 and defeated the Senators 4-0. The Flames are 6-2-1-0 on the road and their success has come on defense where they are allowing only 2.00 gpg which is tops in the NHL. They have stopped 29 of 34 opponent power play situations and that .853 penalty kill percentage is sixth best in the league. With the Sunday win, Calgary has notched five shutouts in its eight wins this season and in three of the four previous follow up games, they have allowed 3.3 gpg. The Flames are 6-14 in their last 20 games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Philadelphia was coming off an upset win over Carolina on Friday but followed that up with a 5-2 loss at Dallas on Saturday. While it was a three-goal loss, the Flyers outshot the Stars 33-30 and are now back home where they are averaging 3.5 gpg, which is tied for eighth most in the league in home games. Philadelphia has lost six games this season and has followed up the previous five with a victory, outscoring opponents 18-6 in the process. This includes a 2-0 record at home, winning by a combined score of 9-1. In the first meeting, the Flames, fresh off an undefeated five-game road trip, returned home in style with a 4-0 victory setting up a solid revenge situation here. The Flyers are 22-5 in their last 27 games following a loss of three or more goals. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after allowing two goals or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after allowing five goals or more. This situation is 99-55 (64.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (54) Philadelphia Flyers |
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11-15-21 | Rams -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a bad loss against Tennessee but it really was not as bad as the score shows. Los Angeles outgained the Titans by 153 total yards as the defense allowed only 194 yards and 14 of the 28 points allowed were off of back-to-back interceptions. San Francisco fell to 3-5 and the schedule has been the reason this record is even this good. The three wins came against teams a combined 7-20-1 with the wins coming by an average of 8.3 ppg while the losses have come against four winning teams and those defeats are by an average of 8.4 ppg. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. One key stat in this matchup that shows these teams are closer than the records indicate is that the Rams are averaging 6.4 yppl on offense while the 49ers are averaging 6.3 yppl. Defensively, both teams are allowing 5.5 yppl and when it comes to total yards, Los Angeles is +50 ypg in differential while San Francisco is +27 ypg and that difference is pretty insignificant. That being said, the 49ers are stepping on their own feet and the point differential shows that. San Francisco is No. 24 in points allowed and No. 17 in points scored and that due to mistakes as the 49ers have the worst turnover margin in the NFL. For the Rams, the loss of Robert Woods is big but he has a capable replacement in Van Jefferson who has averaged 5.2 targets per game and he has three games of 80-plus receiving yards. Odell Beckham Jr. could provide a spark as well. On the other side, Von Miller is expected to make his Rams debut. The Rams are 15-6 ATS after a loss under Sean McVay. Here ,we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after having lost four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (265) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-15-21 | Suns v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 99-96 | Win | 101 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Phoenix has won eight straight games, covering its last seven, and now hits the road after a win last night in Houston and this will also be its third road game in four nights. The Suns are now 4-1 on the road and overall, they have played the No. 28 ranked schedule in the league and the public is all over them again based on the short number and the opponent they are facing. The offense has been rolling as they are now averaging 112 ppg on 47.7 percent shooting, third and first respectively in the NBA. The is an optimal letdown spot as the Suns head back home after this to face Dallas twice and then Denver. The Suns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games playing on no rest. Minnesota is coming off a 27-point loss against the Clippers which capped a 1-3 roadtrip and the Timberwolves have now lost seven of their last eight games. The home floor has not been kind but Minnesota has been outscored by just five ppg. The big three has been solid for Minnesota as Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 22.2 ppg and 9.3 rpg and D'Angelo Russell is averaging 17.4 ppg and 5.6 apg while Anthony Edwards is coming around, averaging 24.1 ppg over the last 10 games. Towns could continue his solid play as the Suns will be without center Deandre Ayton once again with a with a right lower-leg contusion. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a bad team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. this situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (544) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-15-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -120 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Columbus enters Monday off a pair of home losses against the Capitals and Rangers, two of the top four teams in the Eastern Conference, and it is in a good bounce back spot here. Those losses snapped a three-game winning streak for the Blue Jackets and put an end to its 5-1-0-0 home record to start the season. They are averaging 3.50 gpg at home which is tied for seventh most in the NHL while their shooting percentage of 11.5 percent is good for fourth overall in the league. On the other side, one positive aspect of their game of late has been the penalty kill as Columbus has allowed just one goal in its last 13 man down opportunities. This 0-2 run is the first time season that Columbus has dropped back-to-back games and we do not see it hitting three straight. The Blue Jackets are 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite. Detroit capped a 3-1-0 stretch on home ice Saturday with a 3-2 overtime victory over the Canadiens and it has now won four of its last five games after losing four straight games prior to that. The Red Wins are now 5-2-2-0 at home but come in just 3-4-0-0 on the road where they average only 2.71 gpg while allowing 3.86 gpg which is tied for sixth worst in the NHL. They have the second worst penalty kill in the league on the road, allowing power play goals at a 60.9 percent clip and this is where Columbus needs to take advantage. The Red Wings are 10-22 in their last 32 games following a win. Their first meeting saw Detroit dominate as they outshot the Blue Jackets 45-23 in a 4-1 victory setting up a solid revenge spot. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 revenging a loss of three goals or more, off two consecutive losses against division rivals. This situation is 62-27 (69.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (42) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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11-15-21 | Illinois -9 v. Marquette | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Illinois hits the road for the first time as it faces Marquette in a Gavitt Tipoff Games matchup at the Fiserv Forum so this is not an on-campus game for the Golden Eagles. The Illini comes in ranked No. 11 in the country following a pair of blowout wins to open the season and while it is considered a road contest, they will have travelling fans to Milwaukee. Illinois has played tough defense through the first two games, holding opponents to just 50 ppg on 33.6 percent from the field and 31.3 percent from three-point range. While they take a step up in class against a major conference, this is not the Marquette of old. Illinois went 16-4 in the conference last season and it is expected to contend against this year. The Illini are without Kofi Cockburn for one more game but this team is loaded and going back, the Illini are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Golden Eagles are 2-0 and coming off a 75-70 win over New Hampshire on Friday night after beating SIU Edwardsville in their season opener. Marquette has only two players back that played any significant minutes last season, it has to replace all five starters and lost 82 percent of its scoring and 79 percent of its rebounding. Darryl Morsell has gotten off to a great start and has been their key three-point shooting but take his numbers away and the rest of the Golden Eagles have combined to 8-41 (19.5 percent) from long range. The Golden Eagles are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. 10* (811) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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11-14-21 | Idaho State v. Seattle University -3.5 | Top | 51-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE REDHAWKS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Seattle is coming off an average season where it went 12-11 overall and 4-5 in the WAC but in hindsight, it was deemed a successful campaign. The Redhawks had just 21 percent of their production back from the shortened 2019-20 season so they did not have much to work with but that is not the case this season. Seattle has all five starters back and that includes two players, Darrion Trammell and Riley Grigsby, who finished first and second in the conference in scoring at 20.5 ppg and 17.8 ppg respectively. Both are coming off poor shooting efforts in their most recent game on Friday in an 18-point loss at Washington St. The Redhawks shot just 35 percent from the floor and the starting five went only 9-35 (25.7 percent) but things will get easier here as they return home and this will be the first ever basketball game to be played in Climate Pledge Arena. Chris Victor has taken over as head coach after Jim Hayford was forced to resign but this is his fifth season here so it is a seamless transition. They are 15-6 in their last 21 home games and the Redhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Idaho St. is coming off a competitive game against Pepperdine but ultimately lost to the reigning CBI Champions. The Bengals bring back an experienced team as well with most of their production returning but are in a tough travel spot here having played Friday in California and now heading to Washington with just one day of rest. The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 10* (692) Seattle Redhawks |
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11-14-21 | Devils +133 v. Rangers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW JERSEY DEVILS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. The Rangers are coming off a win over Columbus on Saturday to make it two straight wins following a three-game losing streak. New York is 2-1-1-0 at home after defeating Florida 4-3 last Monday which was its fourth straight win over Eastern Conference foes but two of those came against Montreal and Ottawa, the two worst teams in the conference. Scoring remains an issue despite yesterday as the Rangers are averaging 2.71 gpg which is ninth lowest in the league. Following up big efforts has been an issue as the Rangers are 5-11 in their last 16 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. The Devils are coming off a 5-2 loss to Boston yesterday at home to fall to 7-4-1-1 on the season and their 16 points are three games behind the Rangers for third place in the Metropolitan Division. The loss against the Bruins was their first against an Eastern Conference opponent this season after winning their first four to open the season. New Jersey is 2-1-1-0 on the road and the big surprise could be the fact it has five points on the road without registering a single power play goal as it is 0-15 with the man advantage. The Devils face a Rangers team that has struggled with the penalty kill, allowing four goals in their last 10 opportunities. Here, we play against teams against the money line playing five or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600 in the first half of the season. This situation is 20-7 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (29) New Jersey Devils |
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11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. We played against New Orleans and played on Tennessee last week and now we are going opposite this week as they match up against each other. Tennessee has won five straight games and to no surprise, the public is all over the Titans (looking at consensus sites and offshore numbers). The last four wins have come against teams all in playoff contention and all of those wins were outright as underdogs. Now they come in as a small home favorite which is part of the reason for the public sentiment and despite this, the line has not moved. Tennessee has the No. 4 ranked rushing offense but Derrick Henry is out and it managed only 69 yards on the ground against the Rams last week and now faces the top ranked rushing defense in the league. the Titans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Saints lost to the Falcons at home last week which snapped a three-game winning streak. At 5-3, New Orleans is a game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South and the Saints bring in a 3-1 road record that includes three straight victories. The offense has been inconsistent but face a below average Titans defense that allowed 347 yards but benefitted from a pair of costly Rams turnovers. New Orleans has allowed only 19.4 ppg and while it has been outpassed in six of eight games, the Saints face the No. 26 ranked passing offense in the league. The Saints are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record and this is credit to head coach Sean Payton. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (249) New Orleans Saints |
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11-13-21 | Flyers v. Stars -145 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Dallas has dropped two straight games and six of its last seven overall. The Stars are in sixth place in the NHL Central Division with 10 points and they trail third place Nashville and Winnipeg by seven points so while it is still early, this is a big game for Dallas. Scoring was a big concern early on and while it has not busted out, Dallas has scored three regulation goals in three of its last four games and relies on an above average defense but one that has struggled over the last two games. The Stars are the only team remaining in the NHL without a regulation win, as all four of their wins have come in overtime or a shootout. The Stars are 8-3 in their last 11 games against the Metropolitan Division. Philadelphia is coming off an upset win at Carolina last night and going back, the Flyers have dropped their last three games following a win. They have been solid on the road at 4-1-1-0 but are averaging only 2.17 gpg away from home and that is the Stars need at this point from a team coming in. Philadelphia is only 2-19 on the power play on the road which is directly affecting the scoring and Dallas is a very solid 2-11 on the penalty kill at home. The Flyers are 1-7 in their last eight games playing on no rest. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 that are getting outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg, after allowing three goals or more in five straight games. This situation is 138-79 (63.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (20) Dallas Stars |
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11-13-21 | Ohio v. Cleveland State +1.5 | Top | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Ohio made some noise last season when it upset Virginia in the first round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to Creighton in the second round. The Bobcats are expected to make a run at the MAC title this season after posting a 9-5 record a season ago. They bring back four starters but are short one of those heading into the season as the Bobcats are without starting forward Dwight Wilson III who averaged 15.2 ppg and 7.3 rpg last season and that is a big blow as the competition gets tougher. Ohio had no issues with Belmont as it won 12 points in its season opener and now it hits the road in a tough matchup against a team out for some serious revenge. Cleveland St. lost its season opener at BYU but put up a solid effort in a tough environment in the 10-point loss despite going just 4-16 from long range. The Vikings committed just six turnovers and now they are back in Cleveland for their home opener. They bring back all five starters from the team that went 19-8 overall including and 16-4 in the Horizon Conference and they are picked to win a second straight championship. Overall, Cleveland St. brings back 89 percent of its offense and 86 percent of its rebounding as 14 players are back. As for the revenge factor, the Vikings went to Athens last season and were humiliated 101-46 as they were outshot 59 percent to 23 percent and outrebounded 47-21. To put it into greater perspective, Ohio began the second half on a 35-0 run and the Vikings have not let that one go. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (634) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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11-13-21 | UAB v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our C-USA Game of the Year. Marshall is in a tie for first place in the C-USA East Division with Western Kentucky at 4-1 so this is a must win game with Charlotte on deck and then the finale against the Hilltoppers. Marshall has outgained its opponent in eight of nine games this season with the lone exception coming against Appalachian St. where it lost by just one point. The Thundering Hern own the best defense in the conference in terms of scoring as they are allowing 19 ppg which is No. 19 in the nation. The lone conference loss came against Middle Tennessee St. despite winning the yardage battle by 193 total yards. Marshall committed six turnovers including four fumbles, one which was returned 90 yards for a touchdown. The Thundering Herd are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Blazers are 4-1 in the C-USA West Division with the loss coming against Rice as a 23.5-point favorite and they bounced back with a win over Louisiana Tech last week. The defense has been solid but they have allowed 30 or more points in three of their last five games and while they have two shutouts, one came against Jacksonville St. from the FCS and the other came against 1-8 Southern Mississippi. This will be the toughest test for the defense as Marshall is No. 8 in total offense. UAB is 3-1 on the road but those three wins have come against teams that are a combined 5-22. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (204) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 79 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Boise St. is still alive in the MWC Mountain Division after a pair of road wins as it now trails Utah St. by one game for first place. The Broncos have had an up and down season and they are favored by their biggest amount since a September game against UTEP. They are just 1-3 at home which is the most losses in over a decade so the intimidation factor is no longer there. To put it is perspective, Boise St. has lost 13 home games since 2000 and three of them have come this season. Not much has been going good on either side of the ball as the Broncos are No. 81 in total defense and No. 76 in total offense and the running game rankings are even worse at No. 96 and No. 117 respectively. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Wyoming had lost four straight games before coming off a big win against Colorado St. last week for its first conference victory. While the Cowboys are just 1-4 in the MWC, they are still in line for a bowl game after coming into the season with a shot at winning the division so they have definitely underachieved but the win over the Rams can build some much needed confidence. The offense gained a season high 477 total yards last week and the defense remains a strength as Wyoming is No. 21 overall and No. 4 against the pass which is the strength of the Boise St. offense so they should be in good shape here. The rushing game on offense will need to keep up its recent success as it is No. 37 in the country. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (119) Wyoming Cowboys |
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11-12-21 | Knicks -1 v. Hornets | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Charlotte is coming off a win over Memphis on the road which snapped a five game losing streak and what opened at a great start to the season has taken a backward turn. The Hornets opened the season 5-2 but the defense, which was bad to begin with, has gotten even worse as they have allowed 120.2 ppg during this recent 1-5 run. Overall, they are allowing 117.5 ppg which is dead last in the league and they are second worst in Defensive Efficiency and third worst in Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage. Charlotte has dipped on offense as well, falling to No. 18 in Effective Field Goal Percentage. The Hornets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. New York is coming off a 12-point loss against Milwaukee which was its fourth loss in six games and the Bucks clearly came into that game more motivated following the home loss they suffered to the Knicks less than a week ago where there was a 43-point swing that took place. The Knicks are 5-1 on the road and they are No. 6 in the league in Effective field Goal Percentage on offense away from home while also sitting No. 6 in points scored overall. New York can definitely take advantage of this awful Charlotte defense and has averaged 116 ppg against teams ranked in the bottom 10 on defense. The Knicks are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home underdogs off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, with a losing record. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) New York Knicks |
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11-12-21 | Flames +155 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Calgary is coming off a 4-2 loss at Montreal last night to make it four losses over its last five games. After a loss in its first road game of the season, the Flames had won five straight road games prior to last night and are now averaging 3.57 gpg away from home. Overall, Calgary is putting up 3.31 gpg which is tied for seventh best in the NHL and the defense has been just as solid, allowing 2.31 gpg which is good for second best in the league. The Flames only had one power play opportunity last night after averaging 4.4 per game over their previous five games. Calgary is three points behind Edmonton for first place in the NHL Pacific Division which is also three points back in the entire Western Conference. The Flames are 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog. Toronto is coming off a 3-0 win over Philadelphia on Wednesday and has won six of its last seven games to improve to 8-5-1-0 on the season. The 17 points are good for second place in the NHL Atlantic Division but despite the winning record, the Maple Leafs are still getting outscored on the season. They have improved gradually as they are averaging 3.0 gpg in regulation over this recent seven-game stretch but are still at 2.57 gpg overall which is ninth lowest in the league. Additionally, their shooting percentage is at 7.45 percent which is fifth lowest in the NHL. The Maple Leafs are 0-5 in their last five games against teams with a winning record. Here, here play against home favorites of -200 or less against the money line after shutting out their opponent in their previous game going up against an opponent after allowing four goals or more. This situation 39-23 (62.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (59) Calgary Flames |
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11-11-21 | Pacers v. Jazz -9 | Top | 111-100 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Indiana is coming off a loss at shorthanded Denver last night as it came in as a favorite because of the absence of Nikola Jokic who was serving a one game suspension. The Pacers fell to 1-6 on the road and they have a bigger test tonight against the second best team in the Western Conference. Indiana is ranked No. 18 or worse in overall offense and defense as well as shooting offense and shooting defense. The Pacers have dropped six of their last nine games with five of those losses coming against teams at .500 or better. Indiana could be without Caris LeVert again as he is dealing with back issues and he is third on the team in scoring and second in assists. The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Utah is coming off a win over Atlanta on Tuesday which snapped a two-game slide. The Jazz remain home where they are 4-0 and outscoring opponents by close to 13 ppg. This is one of the most efficient teams in the NBA as they are ranked No. 6 in effective field goal percentage on offense and No. 4 in effective field goal percentage on defense. Utah is also ranked in the top four in both offensive and defensive true shooting percentage. After a slow start, Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29.8 ppg over his last six games after putting up just 20.0 ppg in his first four games. This is a big game for the Jazz as their next three games are against the Heat, Sixers and Raptors before a breather where they play their next six games against teams with a losing record. The Jazz are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114. This situation is 62-31 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Utah Jazz |
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11-11-21 | Cal-Riverside +10 v. Arizona State | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the UC RIVERSIDE HIGHLANDERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. UC Riverside opened the season with a loss at San Diego St., which is going to contend in the MWC again after a 23-5 season, but hung tough and missed the cover by a half-point. The Highlanders are coming off their best season a year ago as far as winning percentage as they finished 14-8 including an 8-4 record in the Big West Conference. They had a bad shooting night against the Aztecs but should get better tonight against a subpar defense. UC Riverside brings back six of their top eight scorers with three starters back as well as another player, center Callum McRae, who was a starter but sat out 2020-21 and was the leading scorer in their opener. The backcourt is talented and deep and an off shooting night from long range where they were just 6-22, will come around. The Highlanders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. Arizona St. won its opener against Portland by 16 points but failed to cover the 22-point number. The Sun Devils should have rolled over a Pilots team that went 6-15 overall and 0-11 in the WCC and return no starters but Arizona St. let them hang around before pulling away late. The Sun Devils lost three key starters, their three leading scorers, one to the NBA draft and two others that transferred. They increased their size by bringing in some transfers but the backcourt is a major concern with the three starters gone and they have to rely on youth and incoming transfers. The public is all over Arizona St. because of the name but it is not going to be easy. The Sun Devils are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. 10* (777) UC Riverside Highlanders |
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11-11-21 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Baltimore is coming off another come-from-behind win to improve to 6-2 on the season and remains in first place in the AFC North. The schedule has been one of the most favorable ones we have seen in a long time as the Ravens have played four straight home games with a bye week sandwiched in-between there and this will be their first road game since October 3rd. During this four-game stretch, Baltimore needed overtime twice to win and were crushed by Cincinnati in another. The Ravens are 2-1 on the road as they lost in overtime against Las Vegas and needed a record breaking field goal to beat lowly Detroit as they had to come back in the last minute. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Dolphins were able sneak out a win against Houston which is not saying much but this is a good spot as they get to remain home on a short week facing a team travelling from home and got the first time in five weeks. Miami snapped a seven-game losing streak and it has been competitive of late as it lost two games by five points combined and was in it against Buffalo until the Bills scored nine points late in the fourth quarter. The Ravens do have a big edge on offense against the Miami defense but the Dolphins can move the ball here as the Ravens defense is nothing special, ranked in the bottom third of the league in total defense and scoring defense. The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense forcing one or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Miami Dolphins |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. North Carolina is coming off a win over rival Wake Forest which put an end to the Demon Deacons undefeated season and a situation like that, the home fans stormed the field everyone is still celebrating which makes playing on a short week that much more difficult. The Tar Heels have lost their last three games following a win and two of those losses were against losing teams that are now a combined 6-12 overall and 4-9 in the ACC. The offense has been solid but they have been unable to stop anyone as the defense No. 96 in total yards allowed with 421.4 ypg while giving up 33.4 ppg which is No. 111 in the nation. This is a real problem going into a hostile environment against one of the top offenses in the country. The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games off a win against a conference rival. Pittsburgh rolled over Duke on Saturday as it reeled off 638 total yards, its fifth game where it put up at least 580 total yards. The Panthers are No. 2 in the country in total offense and No. 1 in scoring offense and over their last six games, they have outgained their opponents by an average of 230.3 ypg. Pittsburgh remains in first place in the ACC Coastal at 4-1, a half-game ahead of Virginia and a game ahead of Miami and North Carolina. Unlike the Tar Heels defense, Pittsburgh actually has a solid unit as it is ranked No. 37 overall and No. 45 in points allowed. Pittsburgh is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-11-21 | Kings v. Senators +100 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA SENATORS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Los Angeles has won six straight games, four coming at home where it is now 5-2 on the season and then an upset win in Toronto and then snuck out an overtime win over Montreal on Tuesday to move to 2-3-1-0 away from home. This winning streak follows up a six-game losing streak and it could be a lot worse as three of the wins came in extra time while another was by just one goal. Despite the winning streak, Los Angeles has converted only two of 23 power play opportunities over its last five games and on the season, the Kings are 1-22 on the road with a man advantage and that 4.6 percent is second lowest in the NHL. The Kings are still averaging only 2.3 gpg on the road which is tenth lowest in the NHL. The Kings are 1-4 in their last five games in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. While the Kings are on a winning streak, the Senators are on a losing streak that has now reached five games. Ottawa is just 1-19 on the power play over this stretch so it has to take advantage of these situations against a team that has been even worse on the road. The Senators have been significant underdogs in four of the five games and while they bring in a five-game home losing streak as well, the opposition has been tough as all five teams are ranked in the top 16, Los Angeles is not, and eight of their 12 games on the season have come against top 16 teams. This is a good spot at a good price for the home team to get back on track. Ottawa is 7-1 in its last eight home games off a road loss against a division rival. Here we play against road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after a three game unbeaten streak playing their 3rd road game in four days. This situation is 21-7 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (36) Ottawa Senators |
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11-10-21 | Heat -4 v. Lakers | Top | 117-120 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. Miami is coming off a loss at Denver that got ugly at the end and we expect a fired up Heat team to make amends on Wednesday. The defense has taken a step backwards as Miami has allowed 115 and 113 points over its two games after keeping opponents to 103 points or less in seven of its first eight games and one of those was because of overtime. The Heat are 7-3 and still possess the No. 5 Effective Field Goal Percentage defense in the NBA and are limiting opponents to a shooting percentage of 41.6 percent which is still the best in the league. Miami is ranked No. 9 in Effective Field Goal Percentage offense and that goes up to No. 5 in True Shooting Percentage. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. The Lakers are coming off an overtime win over Charlotte on Monday which snapped a two-game losing streak to move back over .500 at 6-5. The injury list is extensive as LeBron James remains out while numerous other players are listed as questionable. Los Angeles was able to cover by a half-point which broke a four-game non-cover streak. The Lakers are allowing 112.4 ppg which is the third most points given up in the NBA. Offensively, Los Angeles averaged 115.5 ppg over its first six games but has put up only 106.8 ppg over its last five games and a lot of this has to do with the absence of James in the lineup. The Lakers have covered only two of eight home games and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win by three points or less, in November games. This situation is 30-3 ATS (90.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Miami Heat |
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11-10-21 | Predators v. Stars -138 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Central Division Game of the Month. Dallas lost to Vancouver on Sunday 6-3 to make it five losses over its last six games. The Stars are in fifth place in the NHL Central Division with 10 points and they trail third place Winnipeg by five points and fourth place Nashville by three points so while it is still early, this is a big game for Dallas. Scoring was a big concern early on and while it has not busted out, Dallas has scored three regulation goals in each of its last three games and relies on an above average defense but one that needs to clean up on the penalty kill. The Stars are the only team remaining in the NHL without a regulation win, as all four of their wins have come in overtime or a shootout. This is just their fourth home game of the season and the Stars are 5-2 in their last seven games as a home favorite. Nashville is coming off an overtime loss and is 1-1-1-0 over its last three games following a four-game winning streak. Scoring has been an issue for the Predators as well as they are averaging just 2.58 gpg which is eighth lowest in the league. Nashville is 19th in the Western Conference with 28.5 shots per game and the Predators are 1-1-1 against opponents from the Central Division. They are just 3-15 on the power play over their last five games after registering five goals in 11 opportunities in the three games prior to that. The Predators are 8-22 in their last 30 games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game and there could be a slight lookahead to St. Louis tomorrow night. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after losing their previous game in overtime. This situation is 111-56 (66.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (30) Dallas Stars |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -2.5 | Top | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Central Michigan picked up a big win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as it won by 12 points as a nine-point underdog which has now put the MAC West totally up for grabs. There are four teams separated by just one game and that includes the Chippewas as they are tied for second place, a game behind Northern Illinois which suffered its first loss of the season last week. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home with that lone defeat coming against the Huskies so another loss basically knocks it out of a chance for the representing the division in the MAC Championship. Central Michigan brings in a solid offense and will square off against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Chippewas are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. We won with Kent St. last week as it defeated Northern Illinois to keep its first place lead in the MAC East. The Golden Flashes improved to 4-0 at home with the victory but now they hit the road where they are 1-4, the one win coming against 2-7 Ohio as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage, two of which the Bobcats committed inside the Kent St. redzone. The Golden Flashes do have a strong offense with a solid rushing game but they cannot stop anyone on the other side of the ball as they are dead last in total defense, allowing 495.8 ypg and they are second worst in scoring defense, giving up 34.9 ppg. They have allowed 45.5 ppg in two MAC road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (110) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. We saw one MAC team nearly pull off an upset over Big Ten team last night and there is another possibility tonight with Buffalo heading to Michigan. The Bulls are coming off a 16-9 season including 12-5 in the conference and they are loaded. Buffalo is tabbed as the preseason favorite in the MAC as they bring back four starters including a pair of All-MAC Preseason First Team players in Josh Mballa and Jeenathan Williams. Overall, they bring back 75.6 percent of their scoring from the team that led the MAC in scoring at 81.4 ppg which is certainly a huge edge early on in the season. But this team is also about defense as Mballa is the reigning MAC Defensive Player of the Year and Buffalo led the conference in Adjusted Defensive Rating while finishing No. 77 in the country in that category. Michigan will be vying for its second consecutive Big Ten Championship after going 23-5 overall and 14-3 in the conference. The talent is there but the Wolverines are younger and less experienced as they have nine players on scholarship that are either freshmen or sophomore and they have to replace their point guard with a mid-major transfer. Michigan loses five players from last season, including four of its top six scorers, Franz Wagner, Isaiah Livers, Mike Smith and Chaundee Brown, as well as losing depth at the center position. Come conference time, this will be a team that should be the frontrunner once again but with a plethora of new faces in key positions, it could take some time to come together. 10* (747) Buffalo Bulls |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 101 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. The Clippers have won four straight games and seem to be finally getting use to playing without Kawhi Leonard. This comes after a 1-4 start to the season and while the recent winning has not come against any world beaters, Portland falls into the same grouping. Los Angeles is 3-2 at home and the defense has been solid here, allowing 99.6 ppg on 40.9 percent shooting, fourth and third respectively in the NBA so they are getting it done on that side of the floor. On offense, Los Angeles is averaging 105.6 ppg at home which is middle of the pack but has a favorable matchup here. This is a revenge game for the Clippers as they lost in Portland in their final game in October by 19 points and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Portland has improved to 5-5 on the season following a pair of wins over the Pacers and Lakers and the Blazers are now 5-1 at home but are 0-4 on the road while getting outscored by close to 14 ppg. They have one of the worst defenses away from home as they allow 50.9 percent shooting, second worst in the NBA and are giving up 115.3 ppg, fifth worst in the league. Looking more analytically into it, Portland is dead last in the NBA in effective field goal percentage allowed on the road at 59.9 percent. Their 43 allowed field goals per game is also dead last in the NBA. The Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-09-21 | Kings v. Canadiens -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL CANADIENS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Los Angeles has won five straight games, four coming at home where it is now 5-2 on the season and then an upset win in Toronto last night which was its first road win of the season to move to 1-3-1-0 away from home. This winning streak follows up a six-game losing streak so it has been a tail of two seasons for the Kings and they come back to earth tonight in the second of a back-to-back set. Despite the winning streak, Los Angeles has converted only two of 19 power play opportunities over its last four games and on the season, the Kings are 1-18 on the road with a man advantage and that 5.6 percent is second lowest in the NHL. The Kings are 3-10 in their last 13 games as an underdog. It has been a struggle for Montreal which has lost two straight games and is 3-10-0-0 on the season but this is a great bounce back spot and the public will be riding that Kings winning streak. The Canadiens will likely face Kings backup Calvin Petersen who has struggled with a .898 save percentage. Canadiens goalie Jake Allen has been all over the place as he has allowed goals in bunches but has also put together some great efforts and he will be out for revenge after a 5-2 loss in Los Angeles last month and he will be facing a Kings offense that is averaging 2.2 gpg on the road which is seventh lowest in the NHL. The Canadiens are 37-14 in their last 51 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. Here, we play on home favorites of -200 or less against the money line with a winning percentage of .300 or worse after having lost four of their last five games, playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 77-27 (74 percent) since 1996. 10* (10) Montreal Canadiens |
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11-09-21 | Florida International +10.5 v. Georgia | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL PANTHERS for our CBB Opening Night Winner. Conference-USA meets the SEC in this opening night matchup and the rather short price for the latter will likely get the majority of the action based on name alone. The Bulldogs could be in for a very long season as they lost four starters that transferred and there is very little upside. The Georgia roster features 10 newcomers, five Division I transfers, two JUCO transfers and three true freshmen so this is a complete turnover for the Bulldogs. They are predicted to finish dead last by most outlets in the 14-team SEC and they did not look good against an inferior team that they should have doubled up. In the Bulldogs most recent exhibition game, it was a shaky effort and it could take a while for this team to come around. They defeated Morehouse College 64-49 and needed a 10-0 run to end the game to make it a 15-point win. Florida International is no powerhouse but should be an improved team from the one that suffered through a 14-game losing streak a year ago and finished 2-15 in the conference. The Panthers roster features an almost evenly split mix of returnees and newcomers. Florida International has seven returnees and eight first-year players and newcomers including a pair of Power-5 transfers including Clevon Brown who comes over from Vanderbilt where he averaged 9.0 ppg and 6.0 rpg before suffering a knee injury. Head coach Jeremy Ballard said that this is the biggest, longest, deepest and most talented team he has had in his three years at the program. 10* (619) Florida International Panthers |
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11-08-21 | Bears +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Bears have lost three straight games following a two-game winning streak and they are now 3-5 overall but all hope is not lost. Entering Week Nine, the Bears are only one game back in the win column from the No. Seven seed in the NFC with a lot of football remaining. There is no denying the offense has been up and down and the passing game needs to improve. The magic number is 20 points for Chicago as it is 3-1 on the season when scoring 20 or more points while going 0-4 when scoring fewer than that. Justin Fields had a solid game against San Francisco and he will have to continue his running success if the Bears want to keep the Steelers off balance. Chicago is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Pittsburgh has won three straight games to move to within a game of Baltimore for first place in the AFC South. The Steelers have gotten it done on the defensive end as they have allowed 16.3 ppg over the winning streak after giving up 23.3 ppg through their first four games. The offense continues to be a struggle similar to Chicago as the Steelers have scored more than 20 points in regulation only once in their last six games. Pittsburgh has been favored by more than 2.5 points only twice this season and it has gone 1-1 while failing to cover in that victory as it was a three-point win over Seattle in overtime as a 5.5-point chalk. Fading overpriced favorites that has a limited offense is the way to go. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on road teams averaging 285 or fewer total ypg, after allowing 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (475) Chicago Bears |
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11-08-21 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Brooklyn has won five straight games to pull within a game of the Sixers in the NBA Atlantic Division following a big win over Toronto on Sunday. The Nets have improved on the defensive end of the floor as they used to be awful and this is without Kyrie Irving. Overall, the team has a defensive rating of 103 and they are getting closer to the Bulls (102.6) but are not there yet. One thing they have struggled in is the transition game as Brooklyn is allowing 20.7 ppg of turnovers which is tied for third most in the NBA, the same ranking for fast break points allowed. While going 4-1 against teams outside the top 16, the Nets are a pedestrian 3-2 against teams within the top 16 and while the Nets possess that same record, they do have the advantage of playing at home. The Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Despite a pair of losses in their last two games, the Bulls remain in first place in the NBA Central Division, one game over the surprising Cavaliers. Both of those losses came against the Sixers in a home-and-home and in the most recent game, Chicago struggled in one area they have has success at. While going back to the transition issue for Brooklyn, the Bulls like to push it when they can as they are third in the NBA in fast break points while also third in points off turnovers. Chicago is getting great production from Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan but are still looking for more consistency from Lonzo Ball and Nikola Vucevic with both coming off subpar efforts on Saturday. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. 10* (504) Chicago Bulls |
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11-08-21 | Panthers v. Rangers +100 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Florida is coming off a huge win over previously undefeated Carolina 5-2 on Saturday to move to 10-0-0-1 on the season as it now is the lone team in the NHL not to lose a game in regulation. The Panthers only setback came in a shootout at Boston where they are 3-0-0-1. The overall numbers speak for themselves as Florida is doubling up on opponents 4.2 to 2.1 despite outshooting foes by just over one per game. Special teams has propelled the Panthers as they rank No. 7 on the power play and No. 6 with the penalty kill so there is hardy a weakness but this is not a good spot coming off that win over the Hurricanes and facing a team that is desperate for a win. The Rangers opened their west coast roadtrip with a 3-1 win over Seattle but it was downhill after that as they lost their last three games, two in overtime. The loss to Edmonton was a tough one as they blew a 4-1 lead before dropping the game in extra time and that clearly shook them as they came out flat the next night as were shutout by Calgary 6-0. New York is now 6-3-3-0 overall and has played a tough schedule that has been road heavy with nine of its 12 games taking place away from home. Overall, the Rangers have played the third toughest schedule in the NHL but they are still just three points behind Carolina in the Metropolitan Division with 15 points. The Rangers are 6-2 in their last eight when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams against the money line off a home win by two goals or more going up against an opponent off a road loss where they were shut out. This situation is 21-7 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (2) New York Rangers |
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11-07-21 | Blues v. Ducks +150 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 150 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. St. Louis defeated San Jose on Thursday to improve to 7-1-0-1 on the season and the Blues and one point ahead of Minnesota in the Central Division and they sit in third place overall in the Western Conference. After averaging 5.5 gpg in their first four games, the Blues have averaged just 2.8 gpg over their last five games and the power play has played a big role in this. St. Louis was 6-14 in those first four games but have gone just 2-11 over the last five and it is catching a hot defense on Sunday. The Blues have yet to lose in regulation on the road and that is inflating the price here. The Blues are 2-5 in their last seven games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Anaheim has won three straight games to move to 5-4-2-1 and after a rough defensive start, the Ducks have been clamping down. The have allowed just 2.0 gpg in regulation over their last five games and their penalty kill has stepped to the forefront. Anaheim has allowed just two power play goals in its last 18 chances for a .889 percentage and overall, it is now No. 10. On the other side, the Ducks are No. 8 on the power play at 26.2 percent. Here, we play on teams against the money line off three or more consecutive home wins going against an opponent off a road win scoring four or more goals. This situation is 22-7 (75.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (66) Anaheim Ducks |
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11-07-21 | Bucks -2.5 v. Wizards | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off a home loss against the Knicks as it took a 19-point lead into the second quarter, led by as many as 21 points and eventually fell behind by 22 points in a horrible stretch that has seen the Bucks go 1-4 over their last five games. They are dealing with injuries and COVID issues but Milwaukee saw the return of Jrue Holiday who logged 20 minutes after missing five games with a sprained ankle and he should see an uptake in minutes here. The Bucks fell to 1-4 at home but they are 3-1 on the road and loss like the one that happened on Friday will have them ready to go. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Milwaukee has averaged just 102.2 ppg over this stretch but should have some success against a Washington defense that allowed 113.6 ppg prior to it last game on Friday. Washington is looking to build on a 28-point win over Memphis on Friday, its largest margin of victory of the season. The defense was solid as the Wizards held the Grizzlies to just 35.4 percent shooting from the floor and limited Ja Morant to just 11 points although a lot of that was just a poor shooting night. Here, we play on road favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (571) Milwaukee Bucks |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFC South Game of the Year. The Saints are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last Sunday in a big upset that put New Orleans just a half-game behind the Buccaneers in the NFC South. They did it with Trevor Siemian who was not great but the Saints benefitted from three Tampa Bay turnovers, scoring 17 points off those, and 11 penalties. This offense is not good to begin with a New Orleans is No. 29 in total offense including No. 31 in passing and Michael Thomas is officially done for the season. The defense is playing very well but getting up for a second straight week after that big win will be a challenge. Despite the winning record, the Saints are getting outgained by close to 40 yards per game. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Carolina to fall to 3-5 and the Panthers did catch a break when Matt Ryan got his left hand stomped on and he clearly was not the same. He will be fine this week and the Falcons are getting a bigger number than they should be. After a pair of blowout wins to open the season, Atlanta has been playing much better by going 3-2 over its last five games with the two losses coming by just a possession each. There are six teams in the NFC that are between 3-5 and 4-4 so Atlanta is still very much alive in the Wild Card race and these are those marginal games that need to be one, unlike last week against the Panthers. The Falcons are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-06-21 | Hawks v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 117-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. After opening the season 1-3, Phoenix has won three straight games to move over .500 for the first time this season. Granted, those wins were against Cleveland, New Orleans and Houston and while some victories can paint a false impression, these were big wins in order to restore any resemblance of confidence. The Suns are shooting 47.1 percent from the floor which is fourth best in the league and they have been efficient with the ball with a 1.90 A/TO ratio, good for third in the NBA. They assist on 66.4 percent of their made field goals which is the second best rate in the league. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. Atlanta has lost two straight games and four of its last five to fall a game under .500 for the first time this season. The Hawks are coming off their first home loss of the season and they hit the road where they are 1-4, the lone victory being a three-point victory over New Orleans which is 1-9 on the season. They are getting outscored by over 10 ppg away from home and have yet to cover a game on the road. Atlanta has averaged just 102.0 ppg on the road which is sixth worst in the league and its 43.0 percent shooting is also sixth lowest in the NBA. The Hawks are 0-3 against top ten teams in the NBA and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 30-9 (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (560) Phoenix Suns |
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11-06-21 | Clemson v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals |
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11-06-21 | Wild +109 v. Penguins | Top | 5-4 | Win | 109 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Pittsburgh concludes its eight-game homestand on Saturday hosting Minnesota. It has not been a great run as the Penguins are 3-3-0-1 in the first seven games and they will be shorthanded once again. Sidney Crosby along with defensemen Brian Dumoulin, Marcus Pettersson and Chad Ruhwedel will be out due to COVID not to mention coach Mike Sullivan who also tested positive. Pittsburgh is coming off a 3-2 overtime win over Philadelphia on Thursday which snapped a three-game slide. After scoring seven goals in a win over Toronto on Oct. 23, the Penguins have scored just five regulation goals in their last four games and the power play has been awful this season, going 4-32 and that 12.5 percent success rate is tied for sixth worst in the league. This includes going 2-22 at home. The Penguins are 2-6 in their last eight games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Minnesota has been off since Tuesday after downing Calgary 5-4 in overtime to end a two-game losing streak. The Wild are now 6-3-0-0 on the season and after a 3-0 start on the road, they have dropped their last two and they are certainly catching Pittsburgh at the right time. The Wild are 4-1 in their last five games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 with a money line of -150 or less off a home win scoring four or more goals, playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 80-37 (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (49) Minnesota Wild |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | Top | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Portland is coming off a miserable east coast roadtrip at it lost all three games at Charlotte, Philadelphia and Cleveland and the Blazers were favored in all of those games. They are now 3-5 on the season which includes a 0-4 record on the road but they head home where they are 3-1 and that includes three straight wins by an average of 22.7 ppg against the Suns, Grizzlies and Clippers. Despite the struggles, the offense has been fine as they are averaging 111.0 ppg which is seventh best in the NBA and at home, Portland is averaging 120.5 ppg, second best in the league as is its shooting from long range at 41.4 percent. Damian Lillard is averaging just 19.5 ppg as he has been ice cold from the floor but a breakout here is in the cards. The Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but both of those wins came at home and they are winless on the road at 0-4. The Portland offense should once again flourish here as Indiana comes in with the second worst defense on the road as it is allowing 120.3 ppg which is the second most in the league. The Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two or more consecutive unders, in a game involving teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (550) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-05-21 | Rangers v. Oilers -135 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Edmonton has a one point lead over Calgary in the NHL Pacific Division as the Oilers have won three straight games following their lone loss of the season, a 5-3 setback against Philadelphia at home. They have been a scoring machine this season as they are averaging 4.22 gpg which leads the NHL despite being near the middle of the pack in shots. Their scoring percentage is also tops in the league and a lot of that can be attributed to the potent power play. Edmonton has an unreal .464 percentage and it has scored a power play goal in every game this season, going 13-28 overall. This is its best nine-game start since the 1985-86 team also opened 8-1. The Oilers are 6-0 in their last six games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. The Rangers are coming off a 3-2 loss at Vancouver in overtime at it squandered a 2-0 lead to fall to 6-2-2-0 on the season. This is a sound team defensively but this is the biggest test of the season and offensively, they will not be able to keep pace. They are averaging just 2.40 gpg which is tied for fifth lowest in the league and while Edmonton has the offense, the defense is playing well also, allowing just 2.56 gpg and a 7.32 shooting percentage, good for seventh and sixth respectively. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better after having won four of their last five games, playing team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 in the first half of the season. This situation is 117-55 (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (30) Edmonton Oilers |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Colts are coming off a tough loss against Tennessee on Sunday in overtime as they blew a 14-0 lead and had some costly turnovers down the stretch. They now trail the Titans by three games in the AFC South and they have some work to do to get back into the playoff picture. This is a big two-game home stretch against the Jets and Jaguars and they have to win both and they also need to dominate to get some confidence back before facing the Bills and Buccaneers. The Colts are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. After getting outgained in six of their previous seven games, New York outgained the Bengals by 193 total yards in a 34-31 win. While it was a solid Jets win, it can considered a bad Cincinnati loss as they still seemed to be relishing in their win over Baltimore the previous week. New York is 0-3 in true road games and has failed to cover any of those and has been outgained by close to 200 ypg while getting outscored by 24 ppg. Quarterback Matt White had a game for the ages as he threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns but he comes back down to earth here. In the four major statistical categories, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points per game, the Jets are ranked No. 27 or worse in six of eight of those eight categories on offense and defense. Conversely, Indianapolis is ranked No. 15 or better in those categories. The Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing between 18 and 23 ppg and after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat -7 | Top | 95-78 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Boston snapped a three-game losing streak thanks to a 33-6 run that blew open a tight game but that was Orlando and now the Celtics face one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Boston held Orlando to 79 points on 32 percent shooting, both season lows, but the Magic have one of the worst offenses in the NBA and one game is not going to turn the Celtics defense around. They are second to last in points allowed, barely ahead of Charlotte, and they will be facing a sneaky good offense from a team that is getting headlines for its defense. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Miami is 6-1 to start the season and it has won and covered five straight games. The Heat possess the best defense in the NBA as they are allowing just 98.9 ppg and 39.7 percent shooting from the floor. On the other side, they also lead the league in scoring at 115.6 ppg and they are averaging 119.7 ppg in their six wins. The Heat are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite and are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams off two or more consecutive road wins, in November games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Miami Heat |
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11-04-21 | Lightning +125 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our Atlantic Division Game of the Month. Tampa Bay is catching fire after a slow start to the season as it has won three straight games to move to 5-3-0-1 overall to remain in a tie for second place in the NHL Atlantic Division. The Lightning went five straight games without a power play goal but have tallied one in each of their last two games so hopefully they can keep that going into Toronto. This one could come down to goaltending as well. After a slow start, Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has settled in during the recent win streak as he has a 1.33 GAA and a .954 save percentage over the last three games. While the Maple Leafs have some solid potential with their tandem of Jack Campbell and Petr Mrazek, there is no matching up against the best goaltender in the league. Toronto has also won three straight games albeit against some inferior competition as it was favored by at least -212 in all three of those games. The Maple Leafs have also been struggling with special teams as they are just 2-19 over their last eight games with the power play. The Lightning are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a road underdog while the Maple Leafs are 0-5 in their last five games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after a win by four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in three straight games. This situation is 60-37 (61.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (13) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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11-03-21 | Blues -126 v. Kings | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -126 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. At 6-1-0-0, St. Louis is tied atop the NHL Central Division with Minnesota and Winnipeg. The Blues opened the season 5-0 before suffering their first loss of the season, a 4-3 setback against Colorado, where they were outshot 42-18 and still only lost by one goal but they bounced back with a 1-0 shutout over Chicago on Saturday. St. Louis is getting it done on both ends as it leads the NHL in scoring at 4.14 gpg and on defense, its 2.14 gpg allowed is fourth lowest in the league. Special teams has played a big role in this as the Blues are ranked second with a 35 percent power play percentage and they are tied for second in penalty killing at 91.3 percent. The Blues are 6-1 in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. Following a six-game losing streak, Los Angeles has won two straight games but those came against a struggling Buffalo team and 3-8 Montreal. Unlike St. Louis, the Kings have struggled on special teams as they are fourth worst in the league in penalty killing at 69.2 percent and while the power play has been better, they are still just middle of the pack. This is a tough matchup and while the Kings are laying with double revenge, St. Louis dominated with a pair of home wins by a combined score of 10-3. The Kings are 3-13 in their last 16 games following a win. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 with a winning percentage between .300 and .400 revenging a road loss by three goals or more, playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 23-3 (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (7) St. Louis Blues |
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11-03-21 | Knicks +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. The Knicks are coming off a bad loss against Toronto which snapped a three-game winning streak to fall to 5-2 on the season. They attempted a season low 76 shots but still had a 15-point lead at one point but obviously let that go. They hit the road where they are 3-0 and that includes a win over Chicago which is the Bulls only loss of the season. New York is third in the NBA in road scoring at 116 ppg and its 49.2 percent shooting is good for second best. The Knicks easily lead the league from long range at 46.6 percent and should be able to once again take advantage here. The Knicks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Indiana snapped a four-game losing streak with a 13-point win over San Antonio which has gotten off to a horrible start. The defense remains an issue however as the Pacers allowed 118 point in the victory and they are allowing 113.3 ppg which is No. 27 in the league. It is not a pace issue as Indiana allows opponents to shoot 45.9 percent, which is No. 24 in the NBA and this includes allowing 38.8 percent from long range, No. 26 overall. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 85-47 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) New York Knicks |
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11-03-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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