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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-23-16 | Mets +147 v. Marlins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
The Mets won the opener of this series last night to pull within a half-game of the Marlins and the chances are good that they leapfrog them after tonight. New York has alternated wins and losses ever since the All Star Break which would indicate a loss upcoming here but we are not buying that trend which will eventually be broken. Miami has been a solid bounceback team following a loss but it is tough to trust the Marlins at this price in this particular pitching matchup. Jose Fernandez takes the hill for Miami and we all know what he has done at home in his career has been nothing short of remarkable as the winning percentage is off the charts. The one blemish that we have seen this season has been a lack of run support as he has gotten just 3.6 rpg and runs will be even tougher to come by here. While we know Fernandez is what he is, Jacob deGrom cannot be ignored at this price. His numbers nearly match those of Fernandez so while the underdog spot is solid, it is even better based on the high price. The Mets have won four of his last five starts with him being an underdog and going back, they are 13-4 in his last 17 starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (959) New York Mets |
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07-23-16 | Cubs v. Brewers +152 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 152 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The Cubs took the series opener last night to make it two straight wins overall to remain 6.5 games ahead of the surging Cardinals in the National League Central. Chicago has been average since a remarkable start to the season and it is overpriced in this particular spot. The Brewers meanwhile have lost two straight games and while they have dropped three straight at home going back to prior to the All Star Break, they are right at .500 at Miller Park. John Lackey goes for the Cubs and he has been struggling. After a run of 10 straight quality starts, he has posted a 6.75 ERA over his last five starts with only one resulting in a quality performance. While it is hard to say fatigue may be setting in, it is a legitimate argument for Lackey as he is up to 124.2 innings on the season. Milwaukee givers the ball to Zach Davies who is having a solid rookie season. He made six starts at the end of last season, posting a 3.71 ERA and 1.21 WHIP and through 16 starts this year, his numbers are nearly identical. He is coming off a gem against Cincinnati and has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. After starting 0-3, the Brewers are 6-1 in his last seven home starts. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-22-16 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan +6 | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
We are going contrarian with this play as Saskatchewan comes into this game winless while Ottawa has yet to lose and those records are dictating this line. The Roughriders are coming off a home loss against B.C. last week as they blew a 13-point second quarter lead and a 12-point third quarter lead. They were outscored 14-1 to end the game but for the second straight week, they were in a winnable position and continue to move in the right direction. The other home game this season resulted in a loss against Toronto despite Saskatchewan winning the yardage battle by 137 total yards. Mitchell Gale will get the start at quarterback for the Roughriders after Darian Durant got hurt last week and Gale was solid as he threw for 247 yards and a touchdown on 17-of-30 passing. Ottawa meanwhile is off to a 3-0-1 start showing last year was no fluke. The RedBlacks are a perfect 3-0 on the road so keeping that pace up will be difficult and there has to be a lookahead here playing a winless team with a four-game homestand upcoming and this is the final road game until September. They have helped road teams dominate the league as a whole as the visitors are an amazing 13-3-1 through the first 17 games so the home field advantages will be coming out at some point and this could be exactly where it starts in an upset. The points are in our favor nonetheless. 10* (124) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-22-16 | Dallas Wings v. Atlanta Dream -3.5 | Top | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
It has been an up and down season for Atlanta as it opened up 8-3 before a six-game losing streak that has been followed up by a 4-3 run to get it back to .500. This is the final game for the Dream before a month off because of the Olympics and they no doubt want to end on a good note. They are coming off a loss at Minnesota on Wednesday but come in riding a three-game home winning streak including a huge win over Los Angeles last time out. Atlanta is 5-1 ATS this season as a favorite of seven or fewer points and has covered 11 of its last 15 games against teams from the Western Conference. Dallas has been struggling of late with losses in five straight games to fall to six games under .500 on the season. The Wings have defeated only one team the entire season that is currently .500 or better and that was Indiana way back in the first game of the season. Since then, they are 0-9 against such teams and remain shorthanded. Dallas will be without Glory Johnson until after the break because of a foot injury and that is a big loss that has already shown to be an issue as it has dropped all four games without her in the lineup. The Wings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams from the Eastern Conference. 10* (604) Atlanta Dream |
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07-22-16 | Mets v. Marlins -134 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Miami has been one of the pleasant surprises in the National League this season as it is currently sitting in one of the two Wild Card spot while trailing Washington by just 4.5 games in the National League East. This is the first home game since the All Star Break and the Marlins were successful with a 5-2 roadtrip and now bring in a five-game home winning streak. The Mets dropped two of three against the Cubs after taking two of three against the Phillies to square up their roadtrip at 3-3 and remain .500 overall on the highway. However, the Mets are 1-6 in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Miami hands the ball to Adam Conley and he has quietly put together a solid season with a 3.61 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 19 starts and those numbers get significantly better at home. The Marlins have won his last four home starts with Conley posting a 1.07 ERA in those four games. The Mets go with Logan Verrett who has had a few good starts in his limited action but the majority have been the other way. Overall, he has a 4.21 ERA but that jumps up to 5.20 only counting his seven starts. The Mets have dropped four of his five road starts where he possesses a 5.28 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. 10* (908) Miami Marlins |
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07-20-16 | New York Liberty v. Washington Mystics +3.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
**Note 11:30 AM ET Start** As the WNBA season heads into a month-long break because of the Rio Olympics, New York and Washington are heading in opposite directions. The Liberty sit atop the Eastern Conference with a 17-7 record but despite being 10 games over .500, they are outscoring their opponents by just 3.4 ppg and while they are 9-3 on the road, they are outscoring opponents by a mere 1.8 ppg on the highway. Washington meanwhile has dropped five straight games but all of those came on the road so a return home for the final two games before the break is needed. They are coming off an 80-51 blowout loss at Seattle on Friday so motivation will certainly be high. Washington hosts Los Angeles on Friday so this game is even more important as going into the time off on a seven-game losing streak is far from ideal. Going back, the Mystics are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Eastern Conference while the Liberty are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (602) Washington Mystics |
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07-19-16 | Chicago Sky v. Phoenix Mercury -3.5 | Top | 79-77 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
Both Chicago and Phoenix are two of the biggest disappointments in the league this season and both will be looking to win their third straight game. The Sky defeated Seattle on Sunday by three points and while it was a needed victory, they are just 1-4 in their last five games following a win. Chicago will be without centers Erika de Souza and Clarissa Dos Santos. Both players left the team to represent Brazil in the Summer Olympics and will not return until after the WNBA's month-long break for the Summer Games. The Sky are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win. Phoenix took care of Washington and San Antonio at home to move to 7-5 on its home floor to gain some much needed momentum. Diana Taurasi will be back in the lineup after missing the last game because of a suspension for receiving her seventh technical foul of the season. She leads the Mercury with 19.1 ppg to go along with a team high 93 assists so her return is big. Phoenix won the first meeting at home this season last month before losing to the Sky in Chicago nine days ago. The Sky are just 1-5 ATS this season as a single-digit underdog. 10* (654) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-19-16 | Brewers v. Pirates -128 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
The Pirates opened the second half with a series loss against the Nationals but they remain right in the thick of the National League Wild Card race thanks to a 10-4 run since the end of June. While the home field has not been great this season, Pittsburgh has dominated the current situation of late as the Pirates are 45-17 in their last 62 home games against teams with a losing record. Milwaukee remains on the road after a series loss at Cincinnati over the weekend to fall to 16-29 on the highway, the second worst record in the National League. The Brewers have really struggled in these spots, similar to how the Pirates have flourished, as they are 15-37 in their last 52 road games against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh welcomes back Jameson Taillon who is coming off the disabled list after a stint because of shoulder fatigue. Taillon threw an extended bullpen session Thursday and a side session Saturday and said he felt excellent which is a great sign. His pinpoint command has been evident (4.4-percent walk rate), which separates him from many of the other top pitching prospects in the game. The Brewers are 17-40 in their last 57 road games against right-handed starters. Milwaukee turns to Junior Guerra who has been exceptional in his rookie season with a 3.06 ERA in 13 starts and most shocking is that Milwaukee is 6-0 in his six road starts and that unblemished mark finally comes to an end tonight. 10* (954) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-17-16 | Connecticut Sun v. New York Liberty -7.5 | Top | 76-83 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
New York is coming off a humbling loss at Minnesota on Friday as it lost by 18 points which gave a little validation of how much better the Western Conference is at the top. The Liberty are still in first place in the Eastern Conference 16-7 record which is 4.5-games clear of Atlanta and they have done the job in their own conference. They are 8-1 against conference foes while going just 8-6 against the Western Conference. Connecticut is coming off a loss against Los Angeles Friday but it was a great effort as it lost in overtime to the best team in the WNBA and going back, the Sun have now covered six of their last seven games which is playing into this line as it seems off. These teams met last month in Connecticut and New York was an eight-point favorite there and now comes home as the same favorite which does not make sense with the venue switch. The Sun are just 3-7 on the road and an even worse 1-8 against the Eastern Conference which is the complete opposite of the Liberty. Going back further, the Sun are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games within the Eastern Conference while the Liberty are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. New York has yet to cover a game at home this season against a losing team but after losing two other games by double-digits earlier this season, it came back to blow out the next opponent and the situation calls for it again here. 10* (604) New York Liberty |
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07-17-16 | Royals v. Tigers -141 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
The Tigers dropped Game Two of this series on Saturday as Mike Pelfrey got lit up early but they come back today in hopes of winning this series with a much better pitching matchup. Detroit is now just a half-game ahead of Kansas City in the American League Central but more importantly, in the Wild Card race so these games are becoming bigger as the season goes along. The Tigers are 14-6 in their last 20 home games against teams with a winning record. The Royals have been underachieving all season and despite the win yesterday, the road has been the issue as it is 17-31 on the highway while the situation here is a bad one as the Royals are 2-14 in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Tigers turn to Michael Fulmer who has been one of the standout stories of the season as the rookie has been sensational with a record of 9-2 and an ERA of 2.11 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has allowed one run or less in nine straight starts and of his 13 overall starts, 10 have come on the road which makes the work even more impressive. Detroit is 8-0 in his last eight starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Yordano Ventura has not been good this season and he has really struggled away from home with a 5.67 ERA and 1.57 WHIP and the Royals are 0-6 in his last six road starts against teams with a winning record. 9* (966) Detroit Tigers |
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07-16-16 | BC v. Saskatchewan -1.5 | Top | 40-27 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Saskatchewan may be 0-2 to start the season but it has played pretty well thus far despite being winless. The Roughriders lost their opener against Toronto by 13 points but won the yardage battle by 137 total yards as costly mistakes hurt them in their first game. Last week, they took defending Grey Cup Champion Edmonton to overtime but fell by a field goal so all-in-all, not a bad start for a team that won just three games all of last season. While they are allowing 34.5 ppg, some of the big scores are equally on turnovers by special teams or the offense as they are on the Roughriders defense. B.C. is coming off its first loss of the season after opening the year with a pair of victories against Calgary and Hamilton. The Lions lost to Toronto by 11 points at home so it may be difficult to predict which B.C. teams comes to the field on Saturday. There is already a quarterback controversy brewing after Jonathon Jennings was yanked in favor of Travis Lulay last week against the Argonauts. That is never a good sign early in the season and Jennings will unfortunately be looking over his shoulder. While the Lions possess a solid defense, they will be tested here and the home field for the Roughriders gets the job done. 10* (308) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-16-16 | Blue Jays -124 v. A's | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Blue Jays lost a tough one last night as they blew a 7-2 to fall to Oakland 8-7 and now sit three games behind Baltimore in the American League East. They have been a solid bounce back team however as they have won 13 of their last 18 games following a defeat. Oakland has been just the opposite as it has been unable to get anything going as it has lost four straight games following a win and despite the victory last night, it is 8-20 in its last 28 home games against teams with a winning road record. Oakland sends Sonny Gray to the mound and he has had a very tough season as he has a 5.16 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 16 starts with just half of those being quality outings. His numbers are even worse at home and Oakland has won just one of his last eight starts. Additionally, the Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine games against right-handed starters. R.A. Dickey counters for Toronto and while his season has pretty solid, he is going through the best stretch of his season. He has posted a 3.02 ERA over his last eight starts and the Blue Jays have gone 14-6 in his last 20 starts after posting a quality outing in his last start. 10* (915) Toronto Blue Jays |
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07-15-16 | Marlins v. Cardinals -136 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
It was a disappointing first half for the Cardinals as they are four games over .500 and it was the home/road split that was most surprising. They are 11 games over .500 on the road but just seven games under .500 at home and that has been the main story for the struggles. The break came at a great time as St. Louis now needs to get going at home to keep pace in the National League Wild Card race. Miami is tied with the Mets for the second Wild Card spot thanks to a home sweep prior to the break and the Marlins come into tonight a game over .500 on the road. However, the Marlins are 1-5 in their last six road games against teams with a winning record. Jaime Garcia gets the ball for the Cardinals and while he has been up and down, his home numbers are solid with a 3.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in nine starts. He has been hurt by poor run support overall but St. Louis has put up an average of 7.7 rpg over his last three starts and that should keep going. Wei-Yin Chen has been all over the place this season and despite a quality start in his last outing, he has a 6.00 ERA over his last six starts. 10* (960) St. Louis Cardinals |
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07-15-16 | Brewers v. Reds -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
The Reds concluded a 10-game roadtrip prior to the All Star Break so this makes it their first home game in July and while the home field has not been great, only 17 of their 46 games at Great American have come against teams with a losing record. Cincinnati has won 10 of those and this is just the second series since early May against a team with a losing record. Milwaukee dropped two straight at home against St. Louis prior to the break and while it is still above .500 at home, it is just 15-27 on the road and more recent, the Brewers are 4-12 in their last 16 road games. The Reds turn to Anthony DeSclafani who has been sensational since entering the rotation in June. He has a 2.23 ERA in six starts including a 0.64 ERA in two home starts, both resulting in Cincinnati victories. The Reds are 4-0 in his last four starts during Game One of a series. Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza who turned in a pair of quality outings in his first two starts but has posted an 8.44 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over his last two starts and going back, the Brewers have dropped seven of his last nine road starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (956) Cincinnati Reds |
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07-15-16 | Orioles v. Rays -126 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -126 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
The Orioles entered the All Star Break with a two-game lead over Boston and Toronto in the American League East which has been anchored by a baseball-best 33-14 record at home. The road has been a different story however as Baltimore is just 18-22 on the highway and the Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Tampa Bay was not expected to do much this season but it has been worse than expected as it comes in 20 games under .500 and its 34-54 is just two games better than Minnesota for worst in the American League. Preseason Cy Young candidate Chris Archer has been a big reason for that as he has had a tough season with just four wins and a 4.66 ERA in 19 starts. He has been awful on the road with a 6.75 ERA and 1.71 WHIP but has been solid at home with a 2.70 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. He has gotten little run support at Tropicana Field but that changes tonight as Yovani Gallardo takes the hill and he has struggled in limited action. In nine starts, he has just one quality outing and while his 5.82 ERA overall is bad enough, it balloons to 7.83 on the road. 10* (968) Tampa Bay Rays |
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07-15-16 | Atlanta Dream v. Indiana Fever -4 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Atlanta was picked to finish dead last in the WNBA but has surpassed expectations by a lot as it is sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference, one game over .500. The Dream have had their struggles of late however as they have dropped seven of their last 10 after an 8-3 start and that solid beginning is a little deceiving. Three of the wins came in overtime, two others came against Connecticut which is the worst team in the Eastern Conference and another came against San Antonio which is the worst team in the Western Conference. Indiana is not very intimidating right now as it has been on a tough first half run. The Fever are just 9-12 after representing the Eastern Conference in the WNBA Finals last season, coming a victory away from winning it all. The home floor has not been kind as they have dropped five in a row and while three of those came by just one possession, the last defeat was their worst of the season as they fell to Connecticut by 18 points on Wednesday. If that is not enough motivation to turn things around here, there is none anywhere. The Fever are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss while Atlanta has covered just twice in its last eight Eastern Conference games. 10* (604) Indiana Fever |
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07-14-16 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +3.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The road team has won nine of the 12 CFL games thus far (75 per cent excluding the tie) and that is an unprecedented winning percentage by the visitors. Two of the last three games of the weekend are favored by the road team including this one as Edmonton looks to build off its first win of the season. The Eskimos are coming off another overtime game as they defeated Saskatchewan after losing in overtime against Ottawa to open the season. They have some defensive deficiencies, allowing a league high 40.5 ppg through just two weeks and it is no coincidence. Six new starters, including three who made their first career CFL starts this season, and a new defensive scheme are big factors into why the defense has yet to perform. Winnipeg is also coming off its first win of the season and will try to build some much needed momentum from it as the Blue Bombers are looking to get back to being a CFL powerhouse. Last week, the Blue Bombers did not allow a point in the final quarter and in the fourth quarter this year, they hold a 25-3 scoring edge. They held Montreal to only a field goal, held Calgary without a first down and forced two Hamilton fourth quarter turnovers. After two home games and a bye week, this is the first time Edmonton has had to hit the road which is not a good situation to open the season. 10* (304) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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07-13-16 | LA Sparks v. Chicago Sky +5.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
One of four afternoon WNBA games takes place in Chicago as the Sky host the top team in the league as they look to keep a small amount of momentum going. Chicago defeated Phoenix on Sunday which snapped a two-game slide and they may have found something using their fifth different starting lineup of the season. Cappie Pondexter came off the bench due to being in a multi-game slump prior to the last game and going back she had started all 342 WNBA games that she has played but had no issues in her new role. The road has been the issue for Chicago which is 3-7 on the highway but is a much more respectable 5-4 at home. Los Angeles is a league-best 18-1 overall including wins in seven straight games but finds itself in a tough and unique situation today. The Sparks are coming off a six-game homestand and this game starts a nine-game roadtrip that goes into September and this is the first of five games in ten days prior to the Olympic break. Going back, the Sky are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while the Sparks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (656) Chicago Sky |
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07-10-16 | Washington Mystics +9.5 v. LA Sparks | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
We played against Los Angeles on Wednesday and will do so again here with another large point spread. Los Angeles opened the season 11-0 before losing against Minnesota but has now won six straight games and leads the Western Conference by two games over the Lynx. The schedule has set up will for the Sparks who are their sixth game of a six-game homestand before embarking on a nine-game roadtrip over a span of nearly two months overlapping the Rio Olympics. The Sparks have yet to cover this season at home against a team with a losing record, going 0-5 ATS and going back, they are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Washington got off to a horrible start this season with losses in six of its first eight games but went on a 7-2 run to get back on track but have now lost two straight, both coming on the road. Surprisingly, both came against losing teams and going back, the Mystics are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. While road revenge is never a big factor in playing on a team, Washington lost at home by 30 points to the Sparks in the first meeting and that is hard to forget. 10* (659) Washington Mystics |
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07-10-16 | Nationals v. Mets -132 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -132 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
The Mets are in jeopardy of losing their third straight game and falling six games behind Washington in the National League Central but today presents a great opportunity for a bounceback. They have managed only two runs over the last two games but those came against Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg so no real harm there. The matchup is much better today and despite the two-game winning streak, Washington is just 4-4 over its last eight games and going back, the Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games. After going with their top two aces, they send Gio Gonzalez to the hill and he has been struggling. He is coming off a quality start in his last game but overall he has a 4.79 ERA which includes a 5.05 ERA in eight road starts, six of which have been lost by the Nationals. It has been a horrible run overall as the Nationals are 1-8 in his last nine starts. The Mets turn to Steven Matz who has been solid although unspectacular. He has a 3.54 ERA overall and his 1.22 WHIP is really good which goes down further at home and even further in day games. The Mets are 8-1 in his last nine starts following a quality start in his last outing while the Nationals are 0-4 in their last four road games against left-handed starters. 10* (902) New York Mets |
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07-10-16 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -161 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
The win by Detroit yesterday snapped the Blue Jays seven-game winning streak but we can expect Toronto to rebound here and grab a victory before the break. The offense was held to just two runs Saturday after averaging 7.7 rpg during the winning streak and the Blue Jays are 40-16 in their last 56 home games against teams with a losing road record. Detroit was not expected to do much this season but it has held up pretty well as it is now four games over .500 but still trails the Indians by 6.5-games in the American League Central. They have not been great on the road and are 2-7 in their last nine road games against teams with a winning record. The Tigers turn to Anibal Sanchez once again only because they are out of options and he has been struggling. He was sent to the bullpen after posting a 6.667 ERA through 11 starts and the relief role actually was good for him but he has had to make two spot starts since then and neither were good so we can expect similar struggles today. R.A. Dickey counters for Toronto and while his season has been average, he is going through the best stretch of his season. He has posted a 3.49 ERA over his last eight starts and the Blue Jays have gone 13-6 in his last 19 starts after posting a quality outing in his last start. 9* (916) Toronto Blue Jays |
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07-09-16 | Mariners v. Royals -115 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
It has been a tough first half for the reigning World Series Champions as Kansas City fell to 44-42 following a loss on Friday and it is now on a poor 1-5 run. The problems have come on the road however where the Royals are 16-30 but even with the loss last night, they are 28-12 at home and have lost consecutive games at home only once, going 10-1 in the previous 11 home games following a home loss. Seattle is a game under .500 on the road and had lost four straight games previous to last night and 10 straight road games as well. Edinson Volquez goes for the Royals and after getting shelled by Houston for 11 runs in just one inning, he has put together a pair of decent outings and looks to build on that. His home numbers are skewed by that one bad start but six of his 10 home outings have been quality performances and going back, the Royals are 21-7 in his last 28 home starts. Wade Miley counters for Seattle and he is coming off a quality game last time out but those have been few and far between this season. He has only five all season and has followed up his last three with non-quality efforts in his next start. 10* (976) Kansas City Royals |
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07-09-16 | Cardinals -150 v. Brewers | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
St. Louis won its final game of its homestand against the Pirates but failed to build any momentum off of that as it lost the series opener in Milwaukee last night. Still, the Cardinals are 25-16 on the road which is the second best road record in baseball and they are now are 8-2 in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee improved to 23-20 at home but even with the victory last night, the Brewers are 19-39 in their last 58 games against teams with a winning record. Carlos Martinez gets the ball for St. Louis and he has been a tough luck pitcher of late. He has a 1.33 ERA over his last four starts but all have resulted in Cardinals losses as the offense has given him little while the bullpen has allowed 11 runs. He has posted seven straight quality starts and has owned Milwaukee the last two years with a 0.39 ERA in three starts at Miller Park. The Brewers turn to Chase Anderson who has been horrific of late with a 12.66 ERA in his last three starts and Milwaukee has dropped his last four starts. Additionally, the Brewers are 0-5 in his last five starts against teams with a winning record. 9* (951) St. Louis Cardinals |
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07-08-16 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton -9.5 | Top | 36-39 | Loss | -115 | 60 h 3 m | Show |
After a Week One loss to Ottawa, the reigning Grey Cup champs will be looking to grab their first win of the season on Friday. Edmonton lost to a revenge-minded Ottawa team in the season opener which was the rematch from the Grey Cup last season and the RedBlacks prevailed in overtime. That loss snapped a 10-game winning streak for the Eskimos that closed last season and after a bye in Week Two, they should be out to do some damage this week. Saskatchewan was the biggest disappointment in the CFL last season as high expectations were zapped early as it went on to finish 3-15. Finding ways to lose has already carried over into this season as the Roughriders fell to Toronto in their season opener after a Week One bye. They outgained the Argonauts by 137 yards but still lost by 13 points so that backward result does not bode well going forward here. Darian Durant had a solid season opener for Saskatchewan after missing all but one game last season with a torn Achilles but he is still overshadowed by Mike Reilly in this matchup who had a great game in the losing effort. Edmonton has been solid in these spots as going back, the Eskimos are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Roughriders are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 road games and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games within their own division. 10* (128) Edmonton Eskimos |
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07-08-16 | New York Liberty v. Chicago Sky -1 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
New York snuck out a win over Seattle on Wednesday and hits the road where it has an 8-2 record on the highway which is tied for second best in the WNBA. The Liberty have won all six road games when they are favored but come in as the underdog here and when getting points, they are just 2-4, both straight up and against the number. They have covered just twice in their last seven games following a win and going back, the Liberty are 1-4-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record. Chicago has had a tough first half of the season as it is now just 7-10 after a loss at Minnesota on Tuesday. Similar to the Liberty being favored, the Sky have struggled as underdogs, losing all six games in that role but have won four of five games when favored at home. The extra time off only helps as the Sky are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on two days of rest. They lost the first meeting in New York by a point and will be getting their revenge tonight. 10* (654) Chicago Sky |
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07-06-16 | Indiana Fever +11 v. LA Sparks | Top | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
We are taking the big underdog of the night as Indiana comes to Los Angeles looking for something good to happen after a disappointing stat to the season. The Fever are coming off a loss at home against San Antonio in overtime, allowing the Stars to win their first road game of the season after starting 0-8. That shows how disappointing it has been, especially after coming just one game away from the WNBA Championship last season. Los Angeles opened the season 11-0 before losing against Minnesota but has now won five straight games and leads the Western Conference by a game and a half over the Lynx. The schedule has set up will for the Sparks who are their fifth game of a six-game homestand before embarking on a nine-game roadtrip over a span of nearly two months overlapping the Rio Olympics. Indiana is 4-1 ATS this season when getting five or more points while the Sparks are 1-5 ATS as double-digit favorites and yet to cover this season at home against a team with a losing record and going back, they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, the Fever are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss while going 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on three or more days of rest. 10* (655) Indiana Fever |
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07-05-16 | Seattle Storm v. Atlanta Dream -4.5 | Top | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
After a surprisingly great start to the season, Atlanta has fallen on some tough times as it has dropped six straight games after an 8-3 start. The schedule has not been on their side however as four of those games came on the road while one home loss came against Phoenix and the other came against New York in overtime. The spot is goof here though as they are playing with revenge while going back, the Dream are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing with one day of rest while going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against the Western Conference. Seattle lost its last game against Dallas which snapped a two-game winning streak and now the Storm hit the road following a four-game homestand with this being the first game in 19 days. They are just 2-5 on the highway straight up and have failed to cover four of their last five on the road. Playing with a long layoff does not help matters either as the Storm are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games playing on three or more days of rest. Atlanta has a decisive edge on the boards as it is second in the league in rebounding while the Storm are dead last in that category. 10* (602) Atlanta Dream |
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07-01-16 | Washington Mystics v. Chicago Sky -4 | Top | 84-86 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
After a rough start to the season, Washington has turned things around with wins in five of its last six games as well as victories in seven of its last nine. The schedule has set up well however as the Mystics have played their last five games at home with the last road game coming on June 14th. From a betting perspective, they have covered eight of their last nine games which sends the value to the other side. Chicago has been a major disappointment this season as it is 6-9 overall which includes a run of 1-5 over its last six games. The Sky have covered just once over that stretch and the schedule has been pretty much the opposite of Washington as eight of their last 11 games have come on the road. Their six home games is the fewest in the WNBA and while they are just 3-3 in those games, two losses came against Minnesota and Los Angeles which are a combined 28-4. Chicago has easily taken the first two meetings this season and we can expect a repeat of that here. 10* (654) Chicago Sky |
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06-30-16 | Giants -137 v. A's | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
The Giants took five of six meetings last season against Oakland but is in jeopardy of getting swept this season after losing two games at home to start the week and then dropping the first game in Oakland last night 7-1. Despite the defeat, the Giants are still 10 games over .500 on the road and are tied with St. Louis for the second best road record in baseball. They have won 21 of their last 29 games on the highway and while Oakland took the first game here last night, it is still five games under .500 at home and its -46 run differential is third worst in the American League. Additionally, they are 3-7 in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Madison Bumgarner tossed another quality outing in his last start which was his 13th straight quality performance but it was his second straight tough luck loss as his offense managed to score just two runs, the fourth straight game it has scored three runs or less with him on the hill. The good news is that the Giants are 7-0 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. Oakland counters with Dillon Overton who is making just his second career start. He missed a quality outing by just one-third of an inning in his first start but it was not a great one as he allowed three home runs in 5.2 innings and now faces a Giants team that is 11-3 in its last 14 games against left-handed starters. 10* (921) San Francisco Giants |
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06-29-16 | New York Liberty v. Minnesota Lynx -10.5 | Top | 95-92 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
After a record breaking 13-0 start to the season, Minnesota has dropped its last two games including an embarrassing 24-point loss at Washington last time out. The Lynx are now back home where they may be laying a big number against a quality opponent but in this case, it is justified. They had their eight-game home winning streak ended against Los Angeles almost a week ago so motivation will not be an issue tonight. New York is coming off an overtime loss against Phoenix, its third overtime game in its last four and that defeat snapped a six-game winning streak. The Liberty have lost only once on the road this season which came against another quality team, the Sparks, and that resulted in a 23-point setback. They have played a soft schedule for the most part and have struggled against the better completion as they have failed to cover all three games this season when playing as underdogs and going back, the Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. They head to Minnesota at the worst possible time so laying the big number here is a non-issue. 10* (656) Minnesota Lynx |
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06-28-16 | A's v. Giants -139 | Top | 13-11 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
We lost with the Giants last night as they have now dropped two of their last three games following a four-game winning streak as well as a 12-1 run over their previous 13 games. Losing streaks have been rare as they have gone 9-2 in their last 11 games following a loss including wins in four straight and we have a good price behind them tonight. Oakland has now won four of its last five games, all coming on the road where they are still four games under .500 for the season. Despite the win on Monday, they are just 8-23 in their last 31 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. San Francisco sends Albert Suarez to the hill and he has been very solid in his limited action with a 3.68 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over four starts and six relief appearances. He has been exceptional at home with a 2.12 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 17 innings. Kendall Graveman gets the ball for Oakland and while he has been having a solid season, the schedule has dictated a lot of that. In his 14 starts, only two have come against teams that are currently over .500 and he was shelled both times, allowing 11 runs in just seven combined innings. This is not good news for him or his team as the Giants are 23-5 in their last 28 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. We should see another solid rebound from the Giants tonight before hitting the road for two games in Oakland. 10* (930) San Francisco Giants |
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06-26-16 | Rays v. Orioles -138 | Top | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
The Orioles remain red hot as they won again yesterday to make it four straight victories to increase their lead in the American League East to three games over Boston. Baltimore improved to 30-13 at home which is the best home record in baseball and going back, the Orioles are 48-22 in their last 70 home games against teams with a losing road record. Tampa Bay is now 11 games under .500 no thanks to a current 10-game slide. The Rays are 3-12 in their last 15 games after losing the first three games of a series so avoiding the big sweep has not happened much, The Orioles send Tyler Wilson to the hill and he has been a pretty solid addition to the rotation. In 11 starts, he has allowed three runs or fewer eight times and while the Orioles have only lost 13 home games, five have come with Wilson on the hill which gives us the contrarian value. Tampa Bay turns to Drew Smyly who has been beat around after a promising start to the season. He has posted a 6.60 ERA over his last eight starts after putting up a 2.72 ERA in his first four outings. Going back, the Rays are 0-4 in his last four road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (920) Baltimore Orioles |
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06-26-16 | Padres v. Reds -131 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
The Padres have won three straight games and six of their last seven but they are still 10 games under .500 on the season. San Diego trails the Giants by 15 games in the National League West and despite a 4-1 record on this current roadtrip, it is 15-21 on the highway overall and going back, the Padres are 7-20 in their last 27 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Cincinnati has dropped four straight games and while the overall record is worse, this looks like an excellent spot to avoid the series sweep before hosting the Cubs for a three-game series. Anthony DeSclafani will be making just his fourth start of the season since coming off the disabled list and he has been extremely solid. He allowed just two runs in seven innings at Texas last time out. Overall, he has a 2.30 ERA and going back to last season, the Reds are 4-1 in his last five starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Padres counter with Luis Perdomo who has been a major disappointment. After starting the season in the bullpen, he has made four starts with just one of those being quality. Overall, he has a 9.00 ERA including an 8.83 ERA in those four starts. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-25-16 | A's v. Angels -138 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -138 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
We are going contrarian here on two levels with the Angels as they have been struggling of late as have their starting pitcher for tonight. Los Angeles has dropped five straight games, getting swept at Houston and then dropping the first two games of this four-game set against Oakland. They are sitting in last place in the American League West and have the second worst record in the American League but we are backing them here based on the opposition. Oakland is just a half-game better following the back-to-back wins but prior to this, it went 4-13 over a 17-game stretch and this is the first time since April that they have won consecutive road games. The Angels go with Jhoulys Chacin who has had his share of struggles since coming over from Atlanta but we should see a bounceback here after his worst performance of the season. He has faced some potent offenses in his defense and this is not one of them and going back, Oakland is 10-27 in its last 37 games against right-handed starters. Dillon Overton will be making his Major League debut tonight after a solid run through the minors but he is likely coming up a little too quick which is due to the Oakland injuries on its staff. He is the fourth starter to be making his big league debut for Oakland which tells us a lot. 10* (978) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-25-16 | Blue Jays -125 v. White Sox | Top | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
The Blue Jays dropped the opener of this series last night which was their fourth loss in five games and are now 3.5 games behind Baltimore in the American League East. This came after a four-game winning streak where the Blue Jays put up 44 runs compared to just 17 runs over the last five games and this is a good spot to bust out. The White Sox are back to .500 overall thanks to a 4-1 run but the offense remains a question as they have scored three runs or less in six of their last eight games and have nowhere near the same production ability as Toronto. R.A. Dickey has been getting a lot of bad press for not living up to expectations but he has not been that bad this season all despite a 4-8 record. He has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his 15 starts but his run support has been minimal as he has gotten just 2.9 rpg on the season. The White Sox are 6-17 in their last 23 games against right-handed starters. They turn to Miguel Gonzalez who has been inconsistent with just four quality outings in his nine starts this season His first start this season came against Toronto and he was shellacked for five runs on 11 hits in just 5.1 innings and going back, the Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 10* (967) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-24-16 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -2 | Top | 22-14 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Things are different in Winnipeg this season as it made numerous changes to help get this team back to respectability. The Blue Bombers have not been relevant for a few years now but if everything falls into place, that should change in 2016. Winnipeg scored a league-low 309 points on offense in 2015, and as a result missed the playoffs for the fourth straight year. In December the team kickstarted their offseason makeover by replacing offensive coordinator Marcel Bellefueille with former Bombers head coach Paul LaPolice. Winnipeg suffered some close losses in 2015 that could have been wins if field goals were made, which made the signing of the CFLs most accurate kicker Justin Medlock a top priority. Of their 13 losses, six came by one possession so with all of the improvements, those losses could turn into wins this season. Montreal went through seven quarterbacks last season but this year they signed 37-year old Kevin Glenn to take over the job and the veteran is certainly an improvement but he has not done a lot in his career as he is a .500 player that has played for every CFL with the exception of just one. The offensive line is the biggest issue as a pair of rookies will be starting so Glenn could be in for a long night. Winnipeg was favored just once all of last season and that resulted in a win and we should see a repeat of that here. 10* (124) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-24-16 | Phoenix Mercury +2 v. Washington Mystics | Top | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
There are two winless teams on the road in the WNBA, one being San Antonio which is not a surprise but you would not expect Phoenix to be the other. The Mercury are 0-6 on the highway and while two losses came against Minnesota and another against Los Angeles, there really is no excuse for them to lose to Dallas, Seattle and Indiana. Overall, they have dropped three straight games but face a Washington team they have defeated six of the last seven meetings including a 93-77 win at the end of last month. The Mystics have been on a solid run with three straight wins and victories in five of their last six overall. They have covered all six of those games and that gives us value going the other way as does the fact that the last two wins have come by 30 and 14 points. While Phoenix has underachieved thus far, it has five players averaging double-figures in points scored so the potential is obviously there. On the other side, despite a .500 record, the Mystics are eighth in the WNBA in points per game (81.7) and seventh in the points allowed (84.3). Look for the Mercury to finally break through on the road tonight. 10* (651) Phoenix Mercury |
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06-23-16 | San Antonio Stars +10 v. Dallas Wings | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
After a six-game losing streak starting toward the end of last month, Dallas has now won three straight games including a pair of upsets over Phoenix in its last two contests. The Wins have covered four straight games and are seeing a pretty gig line to cover tonight. While they were favored by more points in the first meeting last month, they failed to cover as they defeated the Stars by just five points. San Antonio has dropped three straight games but covered the last two and while it has a league-worst 2-10 record, six of those losses came by single digits while another came in overtime. While San Antonio is winless on the road, it has covered four of the five games which shows it has been competitive with the lone exception being a loss at Phoenix earlier this month. San Antonio has shot above 40 percent from the field in the last four games after failing to reach that percentage in six of its first eight games. On the season, the Stars are getting outshot by just 2.7 percent while Dallas is getting outshot by 7.0 percent and that is a significant variance. The Stars are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Wings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (601) San Antonio Stars |
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06-23-16 | Hamilton v. Toronto -4.5 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
The CFL season kicks off Thursday with a game between East Division rivals Hamilton and Toronto. Both finished 10-8 last season and made the playoffs but both come into this season a little different. Argonauts quarterback Ricky Ray is finally healthy for the first time in years which is a huge boost for Toronto. After undergoing shoulder surgery, he was only able to play the final three games last season and while he went just 1-2 in those games, the two losses were by just five points combined including a three-point loss at Hamilton in Divisional Semifinals. The Tiger-Cats had the Argonauts number last year by winning all four meetings so there is the revenge factor going tonight. On the other side, Hamilton quarterback Zach Collaros will start the season on the sidelines after having knee surgery following 11 starts there he went 8-3. The Tiger-Cats turn to Jeremiah Masoli, who was pretty solid last year in a pair of starts but does not bring nearly the same explosiveness that Collaros does. It is fitting that the 2016 season kicks off in Toronto as the Argonauts will be playing their first game in their new home at BMO Field after spending 27 years at the Rogers Centre. The outdoor stadium is smaller but brings in a much better fan experience and the energy will be on hand tonight. 10* (122) Toronto Argonauts |
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06-22-16 | Rockies v. Yankees -140 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
The Yankees dropped the opener of this two-game set last night and will be out today to avoid the four-game season sweep after dropping two games in Colorado last week. The pitching had been roughed up for 27 runs in the three games but that should change today. The Rockies have won two straight games but are still under .500 on the road where they are hitting just .207 against left-handed pitching. They will face C.C. Sabathia who has been outstanding this season after a run of three pretty poor years in New York. He has a 2.20 ERA in 11 starts and has allowed no more than three runs in any of those games. The Yankees are 14-5 in his last 19 interleague starts while the Rockies are 29-69 in their last 98 road games against left-handed starters. Colorado turns to Jon Gray who is on a run of five straight quality starts but has struggled to get wins despite outstanding run support the majority of the time. However, the Rockies have given him just one run in three of his five road starts and going back, they are 2-8 in his last 10 road starts. 10* (918) New York Yankees |
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06-22-16 | New York Liberty v. Atlanta Dream +2.5 | Top | 90-79 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Atlanta is coming off a humiliating loss at Washington by 30 points, allowing the Mystics to win their first home game of the season. The Dream are now back home for this afternoon matchup and are catching a good number. They are 4-2 at home this season and at 8-4, they are tied with New York for first place in the Eastern Conference. This is a good bounceback opportunity as going back, the Dream are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. The Liberty have won four straight games and the brutal schedule may seem to come to an end but it does not get any easier. This is the sixth road game over the last seven games overall and of the next five games, three are on the road. The opposition really makes it difficult as New York has Chicago, Phoenix twice, Minnesota and Los Angeles in that stretch so the possibility of a lookahead is certainly there. While the Liberty have been solid on the road, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (652) Atlanta Dream |
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06-19-16 | Cavs +5 v. Warriors | Top | 93-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
We have won three of the last four games with the Cavaliers in this series, which on the large scale has been a pretty awful series. The first six games have been decided by double-digits which is something you would not expect with the two best teams in the NBA and the though here is they are saving the best for last in this decisive Game Seven in Golden St. The Warriors are the public favorite and are the public consensus but it is important to note that this line has come down a full point from the opener of this series and while a point may not seem like much, when it comes to value and the reasoning behind the line adjustment, it is extremely important. History is not on the side of Cleveland as no team has ever come back from a 3-1 deficit in the NBA Finals but in the last game, it was facing the fact that only two of 32 teams that were down 3-1 had even forced a Game Seven so history was meaning less then and it is again now. The Cavaliers are fully aware they can win this after seeing the Warriors come back from the same deficit against Oklahoma City in the Western Conference Finals. Golden St. is feeling the pressure now just like the Thunder were last series and with so much on the line, they are in a very difficult spot to get a runaway win. The Cavaliers are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 and while the outright win may not come, we should, and hope, to see a game that comes down the wire tonight. 10* (513) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-19-16 | Rangers v. Cardinals -138 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with St. Louis yesterday as Texas scored two in the eighth and two in the ninth for a 4-3 victory to make it five straight wins for the Rangers. Meanwhile the Cardinals have dropped four straight games and will look to avoid a second straight sweep at home prior to heading to Chicago for a big three-game set with the Cubs. Typically, this has been a solid spot for St. Louis as the Cardinals are 35-16 in their last 51 games after losing the first two games of a series. They turn to Mike Leake today who has been exceptionally solid of late as six of his last seven starts have been quality outings and in all of those, he allowed two runs or fewer. Possibly even more impressive, six of those games came on the road so he has been limited in his home starts but the lone start at Busch Stadium was arguably his best one where he did not allow a run over seven innings against the Diamondbacks. Martin Perez had a nice run going as well as he had a four-game quality start streak going before allowing four run in his last outing against Oakland. Those four quality games were all at home however and his road ERA is over a run and a half higher than his home ERA. That is an issue that has been ongoing as the Rangers are 0-5 in his last five road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (980) St. Louis Cardinals |
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06-18-16 | Atlanta Dream v. Washington Mystics -3 | Top | 65-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Washington is still in search of its first home win on the season as it comes in 0-5 compared to having a very solid 5-2 record on the road. Two of those home losses have come against Minnesota and Los Angeles which are both off to 11-0 starts and while today will be a tough test as well, the situation is a great one. The Mystics are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. Atlanta is 8-3 which is good enough for first place in the Eastern Conference. The Dream have won two straight games including a 101-97 victory at home over Chicago last night in overtime to coming off of that will be a challenge. This is just the second road game this month for Atlanta and this is the only instance all season where it will be playing on back-to-back days. Going back, the Dream are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing with no rest while Washington has been off for three days giving it a big edge on that front. Look for the Mystics to finally break through on their home floor tonight. 10* (602) Washington Mystics |
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06-18-16 | Rockies v. Marlins -128 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Miami took the opener of this series last night and has now won five of its last seven games at home to move within a game of .500 at Marlins Park. Going back further, the Marlins are 7-2 in their last nine games at home against teams with a losing record and the victory last night moved them to within just a half-game out of first place in the National League Wild Card spot. The Rockies had a four-game winning streak snapped with the loss last night while a solid 8-2 run was also halted in the 5-1 defeat. They have held their own on the road which is due mainly to one starting pitcher that we go contrarian against tonight and looking back they are 22-59 in their last 81 road games against teams with a winning record. Tyler Chatwood missed most of 2014 and all of 2015 because of Tommy John surgery but has come out of nowhere to put up some very impressive early season numbers. He has a 2.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 13 starts and those numbers go down much more on the road where the Rockies are a perfect 6-0 in his six starts on the highway. This is where we get the contrarian value with Miami which sends Wei-Yin Chen to the hill. He was the big free agent signing for the Marlins but a slow start has lessened the hype. He has a 4.68 ERA but his WHIP of 1.26 shows he has not been that bad and Miami has won his last four starts at home. 10* (904) Miami Marlins |
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06-17-16 | Phoenix Mercury +9 v. LA Sparks | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Los Angeles is one of two remaining undefeated teams in the WNBA as it is riding a perfect 10-0 record which is actually a half-game behind Minnesota for the best record in the league. Seven of those 10 wins have come by double-digits and they have failed to cover just two games all season as the Sparks are riding a four-game undefeated ATS streak. That is giving us value on Phoenix which is finally playing better after opening the season 0-4. The Mercury have yet to win on the road which is a big reason this line has gotten higher since its opening and the public is riding that. Los Angeles failed to cover its lone home game against a team with a losing record and going back, the Sparks are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a losing straight up record. There is also a huge lookahead factor here as Los Angeles has back-to-back games against Minnesota on deck. 10* (655) Phoenix Mercury |
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06-17-16 | Brewers v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
The Dodgers lost a tough one last night as they rallied from a 6-3 deficit to tie the game only to give up two runs in the top of the ninth for an 8-6 loss. It was the fourth loss in six games for Los Angeles which now trails San Francisco by 6.5 games in the National League West despite being just five runs behind the Giants in run differential. Despite the defeat last night, the Dodgers are still 10-4 in their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. Milwaukee snapped a three-game slide with the victory last night and winning on the road has not come in bunches as it is 3-6 this season on the road immediately following a road win. Additionally, the Brewers are 9-27 in their last 36 road games against teams with a winning record. The Dodgers send Julio Urias to the hill and while his overall numbers are not great, he has been getting more comfortable and throwing the ball a lot better. Plus, this is by far his easiest test after facing the Mets, Cubs, Rockies and Giants in his first four starts. The Brewers are hitting just .201 on the road against left-handed pitching. Zach Davies has tossed three straight quality outings but all of those came at home and he hits the road for the first time in nearly a month where he has a 7.82 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in three starts. The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine home games against right-handed starters. 10* (960) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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06-17-16 | Angels -134 v. A's | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -134 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
We played on the Angels Monday as they dropped the series opener against the Twins but they were able to make up for it by taking the final two games and winning the series. Now it is time to start winning on the road where Los Angeles is on a four-game losing skid but this is just the third road series on the season that is coming against a losing team. Oakland took the series opener against Texas on Monday but lost the final three games by a combined score of 22-12 and now sits 12 games under .500. The 27-39 record is the second worst in the American League while its 14-19 home record is also second worst which includes a 5-12 run against teams with a losing record. The Angels send Matt Shoemaker to the mound and he is having a significant turnaround after a very rough stretch in April. Four of his last five starts have been quality outings where he has posted a 1.88 ERA and even more impressive is his 46:1 K:BB ratio over his stretch. Going back, the Angels are 14-3 in his last 17 road starts against teams with a losing record while Oakland is 6-24 in its last 30 games against right-handed starters. Oakland counters with Kendall Graveman who has been up and down all season with the latter being more prominent. He has a 5.28 ERA overall with just three of 12 starts being quality and Oakland is now 0-9 in his last nine starts with four days of rest. 10* (973) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-16-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -2 | Top | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
The Cavaliers staved off elimination with a very impressive win at Golden St. which was without Draymond Green and it definitely showed. Cleveland now returns home in another must win game but can we expect to have the same production from LeBron James and Kyrie Irving who each scored 41 points? That is very doubtful but the home floor should provide enough energy and motivation tonight for the Cavaliers to extend this series to the decisive Game Seven on Sunday. While many may feel the pressure is still on Cleveland, it is actually the opposite right now as the Warriors are feeling it based on their expectations from their record-breaking regular season as well as teams never losing a series after being up 3-1. Only two of 32 teams down 3-1 in NBA Finals have managed to take the series to seven games, the last time in 1966 so history is against Cleveland but that matters none now. The Cavaliers motivation not only comes from staying alive in this series but also with the fact that Cleveland lost for just the ninth time at home last Friday as well as losing Game Six at home last season which gave the Warriors the championship. The Cavaliers have covered six of their last seven games at home and they add to that tonight setting up the final game of the season on Sunday. 10* (512) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-16-16 | Yankees -134 v. Twins | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
The streaky Yankees are at it again as after a five-game winning streak, they have dropped four in a row heading into the opener of this four-game series in Minnesota. They lost both games in Colorado to open the week and going back they are 2-7 over their last seven road games but tonight sets up a great opportunity to get rid of that horrible highway run. The Twins have been one of the biggest disappointments in baseball as it is 25 games under .500 after finishing four games over .500 last season and there is no looking ahead to anything positive tonight. Minnesota has a 12-21 record at home which is the worst home record in the American League and going back, the Twins are a dismal 13-41 in their last 54 games following a loss. C.C. Sabathia left the Yankees prior to the end of last season to enter rehab and while many questioned the time of the move, it is paying huge dividends now. He has been outstanding this season as he has not allowed more than three runs in any start while posting a 2.28 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 10 starts. His numbers have been even better on the road and going back, the Yankees have won six of his last seven starts against the Twins. Kyle Gibson looks to turn around what has been a disastrous start to the season. He went on the DL after four starts with a shoulder issue and came back by allowing five runs in 5.2 innings against the Red Sox. Facing the Yankees is not ideal as he is 1-3 with a 10.72 ERA in five career starts against them. 10* (915) New York Yankees |
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06-16-16 | Rangers -115 v. A's | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
After getting swept last month by Oakland, Texas has a chance to come close to returning the favor today and continue its hot run where it is 19-6 over its last 25 games. A win here would make it five straight series wins on the road which is always a huge part of overall success in the league. Last night- the Rangers rallied from a 5-0 deficit and that only gives them more momentum heading into today before rolling into St. Louis for a three-game weekend series. Oakland has been on a horrific run as a five-game winning streak has been followed up by a 2-9 run that has put it 11 games under .500 for the season. They are four games under .500 at home and going back, they are 11-27 in their last 38 home games against teams with a winning road record. Texas gives the ball to Colby Lewis who has been sensational this season and has yet to lose a game as he is 5-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. The Rangers are 9-4 in his 13 starts and only one of those has been a poor one as of those, 11 have been quality performances. He has owned Oakland as well with six straight quality starts, posting a 1.58 ERA in the process. Oakland counters with Daniel Mengden who is coming off an uneven start against the Reds in his Major League debut and will have a much tougher time facing a stronger offense. The Rangers are 10-3 in their last 13 games against right-handed starters. 10* (911) Texas Rangers |
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06-15-16 | Tigers v. White Sox -170 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
After opening the season with a 23-10 record, the White Sox have fallen off considerably as they have won just nine of their last 32c games but are still in the hunt in the American League Central. Chicago trails Cleveland by just 3.5 games and today is a pretty big game considering it heads to Cleveland for a three-game set before going to Boston for four games. The Tigers took the game last night as they have scored 20 runs in the first two games of this series but that offensive outburst should come to a halt tonight. With the White Sox now a game under .500, the Tigers are 1-6 in their last seven games against teams with a losing record. Chris Sale gets the ball tonight and he should be more than ready to break out of what has been a rough four-game stretch where he has allowed 17 runs. This comes after a remarkable start to the season where he won his first nine starts with just one of those being a non-quality outing. Despite the recent slump, he has the chance to become the first 11-game winner in the bigs and he has dominated the Tigers overall in his career but especially at home. The White Sox are 6-1 in his last seven home starts where he owns a 2.89 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 108 career games. Mike Pelfrey counters for Detroit and he has been pretty average in his first season here. He is 1-6 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 12 starts with only three of those resulting in quality outings. On the road, his ERA is actually better but his WHIP is worse and Detroit is just 1-5 in his six road starts. 10* (968) Chicago White Sox |
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06-14-16 | Reds v. Braves -123 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
The Braves dropped the opener of this series last night to make it three straight losses to add to their Major League worst record but playing the team with the second worst National League record gives them an opportunity to bounce back today. They have just seven home wins on the season but a look at the schedule shows it has been a tough one but Atlanta has won five of its last 11 at home so it has certainly gotten better. The Reds are the second worst team in the National League and they are coming off a very rare road victory and even though it was their third straight going back to their previous roadtrip, they are just 8-20 on the highway. Going back, the Reds are 20-50 in their last 70 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game and hand the ball to Brandon Finnegan who is having a decent season but has not been getting the wins to go along with it. In 13 starts, he is just 2-4 while Cincinnati has gone just 3-10 in those 13 starts as the bullpen has really hurt him late in games. The Reds own a 6.43 bullpen ERA which is by far the worst in baseball which goes along with the fact that they are 0-8 in his last eight starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Braves have an identical 3-10 record in the 13 starts from Julio Teheran which is due to low run support which will change tonight. He has an outstanding 2.85 ERA and 1.02 WHIP and the fact Atlanta is 0-7 in his seven home starts gives us contrarian value. 10* (906) Atlanta Braves |
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06-14-16 | Washington Mystics v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 161.5 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
We are going with the contrarian total based on the number itself as well as the season history, namely Washington. The Mystics and Sun both have poor defenses which would tend to make us believe that this should be a high scoring game but the offenses may not be able to take advantage. Both teams shoot just 41.5 percent from the floor so if that trend continues, touching this total will likely not happen. After opening the season with two unders, Connecticut has gone over the total in five of its last eight games but a lot of those came against teams with efficient offenses. The real contrarian kicker here though is the fact that Washington has gone over the total in all 11 games this season. However, some have been right near the total while two took overtime to push over so we certainly have the law of averages on our side. One of those overtime games came in this matchup back on May 21 where the total went over by just 3.5 points despite the extra session after regulation. 10* Under (653) Washington Mystics/Connecticut Sun |
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06-14-16 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -213 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
The Blue Jays look to rebound from a bad loss last night as they were shut out by the Phillies following three straight wins over Baltimore. They are still just three games out of first place in the American League East thanks to going 16-8 over their last 24 games and the biggest part of that is they have only had a multiple-game losing streak only once as they are 7-1 in their last eight games following a loss. Philadelphia snapped a four-game skid with the win last night and the struggles go further back than that. The Phillies are just 6-17 over their last 23 games, scoring two runs or less 11 times. Going back, they are 2-11 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record while going 0-6 in their last six games following a win. Marcus Stroman is in dire need of a big effort and this is the team to end what has been a horrible run. He has posted a 9.37 ERA over his last three starts and his ERA has gone up by close to a run and a half over his last five starts. He has fared well this season against poor offenses as take away three starts against Boston, his ERA goes from 4.94 to 3.76. The Phillies are 29-60 in their last 89 road games against right-handed starters and they turn to Zach Eflin who is making his Major League debut and he is being thrown into a difficult situation. He has been solid in Triple-A but this is a whole different animal and going back, the Blue Jays are 39-19 in their last 58 home games against right-handed starters. 8* (926) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-13-16 | Twins v. Angels -128 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
The Angels have gotten off to a very disappointing start this season as they are nine games under .500 and currently sit 12 games behind Texas in the American League West. They were not expected to win the division but they were expected to stay in the hunt for a possible Wild Card spot and they are not even close to that right now. That being said, they have played a brutal schedule as nine of their last 10 series dating back to early May have come against teams with a winning record so they finally catch a break to start this week. The Twins have been an even bigger disappointment as after finishing four games over .500 last season, they are currently 24 games under .500 and their 19-43 record is second worst in baseball. Minnesota has only seven road wins on the season and this situation is not good as the Twins are 0-8 in their last eight road games against teams with a losing record. Ricky Nolasco gets the ball for Minnesota and like most starters on this team, he has been very inconsistent. He has a 5.17 ERA overall and while his road ERA is a lot better, just three of his six road starts have been quality outings. Jered Weaver has not been much better but is in a good bounce back spot after allowing six runs last time out. Weaver has allowed four runs or more on five different occasions this season prior to this most recent time and has followed those up with a quality outing in his next start four times. 10* (966) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-13-16 | Cavs +6 v. Warriors | Top | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This line has come down a bucket because of the Draymond Green suspension and that is putting even more of the public behind the home team to close out this series and win its second consecutive NBA Championship. Game Four on Friday saw the fourth consecutive game decided by double-digits which continues to be puzzling that the two best teams in the NBA have not been able to play a close game but with Cleveland having its back squarely against the wall, we will see an all-out effort from the Cavaliers. The suspension of Green is a big one for both sides and Cleveland should get a big boost because of it especially offensively as his defensive presence has been frustrating for the Big Three. LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love are a combined 14-39 (35.9 percent) when being defended by Green. On the other side of the ball, Green has scored in single digits five times in the postseason and four of those resulted in Golden St. losses so his presence is not only huge but his offensive production is very important for the Warriors to succeed. This is a golden opportunity for the Cavaliers to extend the series and send it back to Cleveland and it has to take advantage even though most think this series is done. Going back, the Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game while Golden St. is just 3-6 ATS when favored in this shorter than normal price range. 10* (509) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-12-16 | Seattle Storm v. Indiana Fever -5.5 | Top | 90-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
After representing the Eastern Conference in the WNBA Finals a season ago, Indiana is off to a surprisingly slow start this year as it comes in with a 4-5 record. This is a similar start to last season when the Fever opened 3-6 but then caught fire the rest of the way and today present a great opportunity to start a repeat run. They are coming off a home loss against Chicago on Friday but going back, the Fever are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. We played against Seattle on Friday as it lost in Connecticut, giving the Sun their first home win on the season. Seattle is 1-3 on the road and has been outscored by 10 ppg in those four games and the road has been an issue for a long time now. Looking back to the 2014 season, the Storm are 7-31 over their last 38 games on the highway and they catch Indiana at the wrong time. Earlier this month, Indiana was coming off a nine-point loss to Atlanta and took care of Seattle here by 10 points and we can expect an even bigger blowout tonight as the Storm are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Indiana. 10* (604) Indiana Fever |
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06-12-16 | Indians -156 v. Angels | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Laying a number this big on the road may seem a little too much but this is a great situation for the Indians to bounce back from a lough loss last night. They trailed 3-0 going into the ninth inning and tied the game only to allow a run in the bottom of the frame to lose 4-3. Cleveland would like to get out of here with a series win before heading to Kansas City tomorrow for a big three-game series. The Angels snapped a five-game losing streak with the victory last night as it has been a tough season. They are just 13-18 at home as both offense and pitching have been inconsistent and they have won just one of their last six games following a win. Los Angeles turns to journeyman David Huff who is making just his third start since 2013 which show how bare the cupboard is for the Angels. This is his second start this season after he was lit up for five runs in 3.2 innings against the Yankees. Overall he has made 56 starts and 63 relief appearances and has posted a dreadful 5.15 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Danny Salazar has been extremely efficient with a 2.24 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 11 starts and he has allowed two runs or less in six of his last seven outings. The Indians are 21-9 in his last 30 starts against teams with a losing record while the Angels are 7-22 in their last 29 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 9* (925) Cleveland Indians |
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06-12-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -167 | Top | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
We are going for three in a row with Toronto as it won again yesterday, putting up five runs in the sixth inning to blow open a close game. The Blue Jays are now 3.5 games behind the Orioles in the American League East and can cut into that by another game which is big at this point. Toronto heads to Philadelphia for a four-game set after this so it can turn into a huge run before the Blue Jays and Orioles meet again next weekend. Baltimore fell to 12-14 on the road and those 26 games are still nine game fewer than it has played at home and those 35 home games are the most of any team in baseball for it has had a fortunate scheduling break. Going back, the Orioles are 4-12 in their last 16 games during game four of a series. Aaron Sanchez has been excellent this season as he is 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 12 starts, 10 of which have been quality. Toronto has won six of his last eight home starts going back to last season. Baltimore counters with Ubaldo Jimenez and he is having a dicey season. He has a 6.21 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 12 starts with only three of those resulting in quality performances. His numbers are even worse on the road where he has a 7.85 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in four starts, all losses. 9* (916) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-11-16 | Dodgers v. Giants -127 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The Giants ran into a buzzsaw last night as it was their second straight game where they had to face the top guy in the rotation and while they survived David Price on Wednesday, they could not get past Clayton Kershaw last night. The loss sent them to 1-4 over their last five games with the Dodgers now sitting just three games back in the National League West. Despite the defeat last night, the Giants are an incredible 17-4 in their last 21 divisional games. The Dodgers got the win despite another poor offensive effort and their struggles at the plate are one of the most surprising of the season. Los Angeles is hitting just .231 on the season which is ahead of only the Phillies so it has been the pitching that has kept this team in the running. Obviously Kershaw is the main ingredient but Scott Kazmir has been solid as his return from what looked like a career ender back in 2011 has turned into a great story. He has had his ups and downs as only five of his 12 starts have been quality outings including just two of six on the road. One team has had his number and that is the Giants as they have tagged him for 10 runs in eight innings over two starts. Jeff Samardzija has been awesome this season and while he is coming off his worst start of the season, his previous poor outing was followed up by a gem. Only four of 12 starts have come at home where he possesses a 2.93 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. 10* (960) San Francisco Giants |
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06-11-16 | Minnesota Lynx v. Washington Mystics +7.5 | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Connecticut came through for us last night as the Sun won for the first time on their home floor which leaves Washington as the only team in the WNBA yet to win on its home court. Getting that maiden victory against the defending WNBA Champions will not be easy but with the line given to us, we are not even concerned about the outright win. The Mystics enter this game with a 0-4 record at home which is pretty baffling considering their 4-2 road record that includes two straight wins. Washington is a very young team and it needs to be noted that three of the four home losses came in its first three games of the season when the team had not had a chance to gel and since then, the schedulemakers have done no favors with six of the last seven games taking place on the highway. Minnesota is coming off a win last night in Atlanta and it was not even close as the Lynx won by 22 points and that was without Seimone Augustus who is expected to return tonight after going through concussion protocol. The Lynx are battling with the Sparks as the only two remaining undefeated teams in the league and this is a big reason the line is what it is. This is the first time all season Minnesota is playing with no rest so it is in a difficult spot and going back, the Lynx are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Mystics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (652) Washington Mystics |
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06-11-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -150 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
After a brutal loss on Thursday, Toronto came back last night with an extra-inning victory last night and we will ride them again on Saturday in what is another great matchup. The Blue Jays have evened the series at a game apiece to remain 4.5-games behind the Orioles in the American League East while also getting back to .500 at home. A walkoff homerun from Edwin Encarnacion last night can carry right over into this afternoon. As mentioned yesterday, the Orioles had won five straight games prior to last night but have been fortunate to play a home heavy schedule that has featured 10 more games there than on the road where they are now a game under .500. The second go-around in Toronto for J.A. Happ has been a very good one as his 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP do not even tell the whole story. He has had two bad starts, one against the Rays and one against the Tigers last time out and take those away, his ERA drops to 2.10 with all 10 other starts being quality performances. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in his last six starts against teams with a winning record. Mike Wright counters for Baltimore and despite a 7-3 team record in his 10 starts, he has not been good. He is coming off a great start against Kansas City but followed up his previous three quality starts with non-quality games next time out. He is 0-3 with a 7.11 ERA in three career starts against Toronto. 10* (966) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -2 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -103 | 37 h 57 m | Show |
Cleveland came through for us in a big way last night as after three games of the NBA Finals, we have witnessed three awful games. Margins of 15, 33 and 30 points have left many of us scratching our heads as to why these games have not been more competitive but this has been the case the whole postseason as a whole. We are overdue for a close game and this could be the one as Golden St. should come in with a little more fire after one of their worst losses of the season in a game it never even led. Still, the Cavaliers own a big home floor edge and while Game three was a must win, Game Four is right up there as a 3-1 deficit should put an end to the series. Cleveland is now 41-8 at home including a perfect 8-0 record in the playoffs while covering seven straight heading into Friday. In every one of the games prior to Game Three, the Cavaliers were favored by at least seven points and while the opposition was clearly not as strong as the Warriors, home blowouts have been commonplace. The Warriors have been solid this season after a loss and going back the last two years have been great coming off a double-digit loss but this is a different situation. Golden St. is just 3-5 on the road in the postseason with four of those losses coming by double-digits and expect this series to be tied when heading back to Golden St. 10* (508) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-10-16 | Cardinals v. Pirates -145 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Pittsburgh was caught in a tough situation yesterday as it was coming off loss against the Mets Wednesday night and then had to travel to Colorado for an early game yesterday as part of a makeup due to an April rainout. The Pirates not surprisingly lost yesterday but are back home for a night game so there has been plenty of time for rest. Pittsburgh now trails the Cubs by 10 games in the National League Central but is tied for second in the Wild Card standings so it is still in solid shape. The Cardinals come in with an identical 32-28 record following a series win over Cincinnati which was their third straight series win. Things will be more difficult this weekend though as St. Louis has not won a single series on the road against a team with a winning record and going back, the Cardinals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Gerrit Cole gets the ball for Pittsburgh and he has been on a great run. Since getting hit hard by the Cubs on May 2, he has posted a 2.08 ERA in six starts, allowing three runs or fewer each time out. He has never lost to St. Louis at home, going 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA in four starts and the Pirates are 11-3 in his last 14 home starts against teams with a winning record. St. Louis counters with Michael Wacha who is in the midst of his worst season with the team as he is 2-6 with a 5.16 ERA in 12 starts including a pair of rough outings against Pittsburgh. Going back, the Cardinals are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-10-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -131 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with Toronto last night as the Blue Jays blew leads of 4-1 and 5-3 and lost 6-5 in the opener of this all-important four-game set against the Orioles. They now trail Baltimore by 5.5 games in the American League East and are now actually under .500 at home after finishing last season with a 53-28 record here. The good news is that they have avoided losing streaks of late as they are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss. Baltimore has now won five straight games and moved to .500 on the highway with the victory last night. The Orioles have had a fortunate early season schedule as they have played 11 more games at home than on the road and going back, the Orioles are 0-4 in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. They turn to Kevin Gausman to keep the run going but he is not in a good spot as he has struggled in this situation. He opened the season with four straight quality starts but has posted a 4.71 ERA over his last five starts and he has not fared well in Toronto with a 5.40 ERA in two games. The Orioles are 2-9 in his last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Toronto hands the ball to Marco Estrada who had a great first season in Toronto a year ago and is even better this year. He has posted a 2.41 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 11 starts which includes a 1.30 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five home starts, all of which have been quality performances. Going back to last season, the Blue Jays are 9-4 in his last 13 home starts. 10* (918) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-10-16 | Seattle Storm v. Connecticut Sun +2.5 | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Connecticut, along with Washington, are the only teams in the WNBA that have yet to win a game at home. The Sun are 0-4 on their home floor but three of those came against top level competition while the fourth came in overtime against the Mystics in their first home game of the season. The spot tonight sets up very well for Connecticut which will be out for revenge following a 12-point loss at Seattle two weeks ago as a 5.5-point underdog and now being a home underdog represents enormous line value. Seattle has had a wacky season thus far as it has just two other wins in addition to the victory over the Sun and both of those came against Phoenix which is currently off to a very tough start. The Storm are coming off a home loss against New York five days ago and this is just the second road game since May 20. This is the start of a four-game roadtrip and with the 1-2 road record this season, the Storm are 7-30 over their last 37 road games. While this is a different team, and one that has great future potential, making them a road favorite is a little too aggressive despite the early struggles at home for Connecticut. The Sun are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss while the Storm are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (602) Connecticut Sun |
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06-09-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -147 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a big early season series in the American League East and with Toronto trailing the Orioles by 4.5 games, this is a bigger series for the home team to make up ground as well as not to lose too much ground. The Blue Jays caught a break in this four-game series as they will miss Chris Tillman who is the best Orioles starter as he pitched a gem last night against the Royals. Toronto avoided the sweep in Detroit with a 7-2 victory yesterday and after an average start, the Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 14 games. The Orioles have won four straight games and have won seven of their last eight but all of those were at home where they are 24-11 and they come into this one having dropped five of their last seven road games. Marcus Stroman was expected to be the ace of the Toronto staff but he has not been that as of yet. He started strong but has faltered of late as he has been roughed up for 21 runs in his last four starts, yielding six runs or more three times. There should be no concern however and going back, the Blue Jays are 8-2 in his last 10 home starts against teams with a winning record. The Orioles counter with Tyler Wilson who has been decent but inconsistent. He has a 4.39 ERA in eight starts which includes a 6.35 ERA over his last four starts, all resulting in Baltimore losses. 10* (960) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-09-16 | Astros v. Rangers +117 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 117 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
After eight straight losses to open the season against Texas, Houston finally was able to snap the skid yesterday with a 3-1 victory over the Rangers and Yu Darvish. The Astros also snapped a 12-game slide in Arlington but just like that, they come in as a favorite on Thursday afternoon for no apparent reason. They are just 12-18 on the road and have no advantage on the hill so we will take advantage of this home underdog line. The Rangers had a five-game winning streak snapped but remain three games ahead of Seattle in the American League West. They are 23-10 at home which is tied for the second best home record in baseball and that record includes a 10-3 mark as home underdogs. Martin Perez gets the ball today and he is having a very solid season with a 3.24 ERA in 12 starts, eight of which have been quality outings. He does not have a ton of wins due to early season lack of run support but it is picking up and he has been even better at home with a 2.55 ERA in seven starts, all of which have resulted in quality performances. Perez has a 1.71 ERA in six starts against Houston. Colin McHugh has been below average with a 4.97 ERA including a 5.27 ERA in five road starts. The Rangers have won six of their last seven home games against right-handed starters. 10* (956) Texas Rangers |
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06-08-16 | Red Sox v. Giants -112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
The best pitching matchup on Wednesday takes place in the last game of the night as Boston concludes its two-game set in San Francisco. The Red Sox took the opener last night to put a halt to a 1-4 run but they have struggled on the road of late after a hot start as they are just 6-8 over their last 14 games on the highway and encounter one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. The Giants dropped their third straight game last night and are 3-5 over their last eight games following a 15-2 run but do not expect this little skid to last for long. Madison Bumgarner takes the hill for San Francisco and after posting a 4.50 in his first three starts, he has put up a 1.27 ERA over his last nine starts, all of which have been quality performances with the Giants winning his last eight. He has allowed one run or less in five straight starts while the Giants are 19-7 in his last 26 starts against teams with a winning record. David Price counters for Boston and he has been on a solid run as well with five straight quality starts but he has been very average overall with a 4.88 ERA in 12 starts. He has gotten a ton of run support as his 6.42 rpg is third most in baseball but he will not get close to that tonight. 10* (930) San Francisco Giants |
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06-08-16 | Warriors v. Cavs +1.5 | Top | 90-120 | Win | 100 | 36 h 19 m | Show |
The first two games of this series have been horrible to watch and while the Cleveland picks the first two games go along with that, the Cavaliers are the pick in Game Three as it is win now or the door is pretty much shut. Cleveland has been outscored by a combined 48 points through two games, an all-time record for the first two games of an NBA Finals so they have to be thoroughly embarrassed by what has taken shape in the early part of this series. The Warriors are only the third team in NBA history to record victories in both Games One and Two by at least 15 points, joining the 1951 Rochester Royals and the 2005 San Antonio Spurs. For those already saying the Cavaliers are dead, it is interesting to note that both the Royals and Spurs were all taken to seven games before winning their series. A return home can only help and the Cavaliers are now the home underdog in this matchup based on the status of Kevin Love who remains questionable with a concussion. He has not had much of an impact anyway in this series and has been up and down the entire postseason. Cleveland has covered six straight home games and are 18-11 ATS this season at home against winning teams. This is a potential letdown spot for the Warriors and Cleveland keeps its bleak hopes alive on Wednesday. 10* (506) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-07-16 | New York Liberty +8 v. LA Sparks | Top | 77-100 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
The Sparks are one of two undefeated teams in the WNBA, defending champion Minnesota being the other, and they look to make it an 8-0 start as they host New York in the second of two meetings this season. Taking nothing away from the undefeated start but Los Angeles has played a relatively easy schedule as five of seven wins have come against teams projected to finish in the bottom five of the league. A road win a Chicago was very impressive as was the win at New York but they were fortunate there as they came back from an eight-point deficit with just over a minute left in regulation to force overtime. The Liberty are on a two-game winning streak following a three-game skid, two of those losses coming in overtime and the other coming against Minnesota. New York is 2-0 on the road and while this is the biggest road test thus far, we are getting and taking the value with the line here. New York has owned this series over the years and while these teams have changed along the way, the Liberty have done their best on the highway of late, going 9-2 ATS over their last 11 road games while Los Angeles is just 15-35-1 ATS in its last 51 home games. 10* (653) New York Liberty |
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06-07-16 | Rays +156 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Tampa Bay took the opener of this series last night to make it four straight wins. The Rays are still four games under .500 overall but have improved to 15-15 on the road with these last four wins after starting this roadtrip 0-4. Going back, the Rays are 16-7 in their last 23 interleague road games against teams with a losing record. Arizona has now dropped six of its last eight games as the struggles continue for this underachieving team that was expected to make some noise this season with some big acquisitions. Home field has been a real problem as the Diamondbacks are just 9-21 at Chase Field this season. Zach Greinke was supposed to be the savior in the starting rotation and while he has been solid for the most part, he has a few blowups along the way. Arizona is 5-0 in his five road starts but just 3-4 in his seven home starts with only two of those resulting in quality outings. Tampa Bay counters with Matt Moore who has not been the same since coming back from injury last season but the potential is there. This has been a non-pressure role as the Rays are 3-2 in five underdog starts while going just 1-5 in six starts as a favorite. 10* (977) Tampa Bay Rays |
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06-07-16 | Cardinals v. Reds +155 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 155 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
St. Louis won its series over the weekend at home against San Francisco and hits the road again for a six-game roadtrip. The road has not been bad for the Cardinals which are 15-11 on the season but this has been a problem situation where they have won just four of their last 10 series openers. The Reds also won their series over the weekend as they took two of three from the Nationals and overall they have been playing much better as they are 6-3 over their last nine games following an 11-game losing streak. John Lamb is coming off his best start of the season as he allowed just one run in seven innings at Colorado which is certainly not an easy place to perform well at. He now heads home where he has been great, posting a 2.81 ERA in three starts but the offense has let him down which is the reason Cincinnati is 0-3 in those games. In two starts against the Cardinals last season, he did not allow a run over 11 innings of work. The Cardinals go to Mike Leake who is having a decent yet unspectacular season. He has a 3.82 ERA over 11 starts with St. Louis just 6-5 in those games and in five starts as a favorite, he has posted just two quality outings. 10* (956) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-06-16 | Angels +144 v. Yankees | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Despite identical records on the season, the Yankees come in as pretty big favorites in the opener of this four-game set. New York had a tough roadtrip where it went 4-6 and it has been average at home as well where it is just 13-12. The Angels took two of three in Pittsburgh to move over .500 on the road so the issue for them surprisingly has been their play at home. The offense has been solid on the road as their .277 road average is third best in baseball and going back, they have won six of their last seven games on the highway against right-handed starters. Tonight it is Masahiro Tanaka which is a big reason the price is as large as it is as he is a public take and his numbers have been very solid. He is coming off three straight gems, all of which came on the road where his ERA is 1.36 in six starts compared to a 4.55 ERA in five home outings. The Yankees are 2-5 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. Matt Shoemaker gets the ball for the Angels and after a slow start, he has been pitching in top form. He has a 1.59 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in his last three starts which includes 31:0 K:BB ratio. Additionally, the Angels are 14-2 in his last 16 road starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (909) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-05-16 | Cavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 77-110 | Loss | -102 | 62 h 52 m | Show |
If you told the Cavaliers that Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson would combine for 20 points on 8-27 shooting including 4-13 from long range, they would have felt very good about a Game One victory. Instead the Warriors bench dominated to take the opener by 15 points. Golden St. outscored the Cleveland bench 45-10 so now the question is, can Cleveland reverse that in Game Two while holding Curry and Thompson down again? Holding the splash brothers down likely will not happen but Golden St. is not going to get the same effort from its bench, where it shot 75 percent from the three top bench scorers, while the Cavaliers will get more from their bench. As far as line value, Cleveland is catching a bigger number here which is not typical in recent years based on the bounce angle so the Cavaliers have the value and while this is not a must win game, another blowout loss could put them in a very bad place. Looking back to last season, Cleveland lost Game One at Golden St. but bounced back with a Game Two victory despite being decimated by injuries. The Cavaliers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game so a bounce back is imminent in what should be a much closer game on Sunday. 10* (503) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-03-16 | PHO MERCURY -4 v. SEA STORM | Top | 81-95 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
Phoenix is off to a very slow start this season but it is starting to turn the corner. After dropping their first four games of the season, the Mercury have won two in a row and are set up in a great spot to keep that going. Two of those losses came against defending WNBA Champion Minnesota while another came at home by just one points against Seattle which sets up a solid revenge situation tonight and while road revenge is typically not a big factor, the Storm provide very little home court advantage. They are just 1-2 at home this season with the lone win coming against 1-5 Connecticut and while the future is very bright after drafting Breanna Stewart, the Storm are still a year away. Steward and Jewell Lloyd and averaging 18.2 ppg and 18.3 ppg to pace the offense and they are both the No. 1 overall pick the last two seasons which shows how young this team is and how good it will soon become. Phoenix is coming off its most efficient effort offensively last time out as all five starters scored in double-figures and the highest scoring offense should have little trouble here avenging that earlier season loss. Phoenix had won nine straight meetings prior to that and going back, it has covered four straight meetings in Seattle. 10* (607) Phoenix Mercury |
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06-03-16 | Nationals v. Reds +144 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 144 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
After a disastrous start on the road this season, the Reds closed their roadtrip going 4-2, gaining a lot of much needed confidence along the way. The offense exploded for 33 runs in four games in Colorado and even though it was Coors Field, that is a huge momentum boost. The Nationals are coming off a sweep in Philadelphia and have won four in a row to increase their last to three games in the National League East but feel they are a bit overpriced here. Brandon Finnegan has been a tough luck pitcher this season. His numbers are not outstanding but they are very adequate and the Reds have dropped his last eight starts despite him allowing three runs or fewer six times. Of those eight losses, five were one run defeats which shows how they could have gone either way. In the four losses at home during the stretch, he allowed 14 earned runs while the bullpen gave up an astounding 32 runs after his departure. Gio Gonzalez has been surprisingly good on the road because typically his home/road splits are the opposite. Still, he is coming off two horrific outings where he allowed 13 runs over 9.2 innings so his confidence cannot be good right now. He has dropped his last two starts in Cincinnati and going back, the Nationals are 1-7 in his last eight starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (958) Cincinnati Reds |
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06-03-16 | Royals +161 v. Indians | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Kansas City dropped the opener of this series on Thursday as the normally reliable bullpen allowed three runs in the eighth and ninth innings to lose 5-4. That loss snapped a six-game winning streak and decreased their lead to a game and a half over the Indians in the American League Central. The Royals are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss. The Indians made it two straight wins which came on the heels of a three-game slide with both victories coming in walk-off fashion. They are just 3-4 on the current homestand as the pitching has been very spotty. Danny Salazar is having a very solid season as six of ten starts have been quality outings but the Indians have dropped five of his last eight outings. He has had his troubles against the Royals in his career as he is 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 10 starts with only three of those being quality outings. Edinson Volquez counters for the Royals and he has been very solid this season sans two poor outings. His other nine starts have resulted in a 2.48 ERA with seven of those being quality performances. One of those bad starts was here in Cleveland and that should provide plenty of motivation going into tonight. Going back, the Royals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (969) Kansas City Royals |
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06-02-16 | Cavs +6 v. Warriors | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
While many call this a rematch of the NBA Finals from last year, it is only a rematch of the team names as Cleveland comes in healthy as opposed to last season. The Cavaliers did not have Kyrie Irving or Kevin Love for the Finals yet they willed themselves to win two of the first three games in the series but ran out of gas and dropped the final three games to give the Warriors the championship. Golden St. made a huge comeback in the Western Conference Finals, coming back from a 3-1 deficit while many had left them for dead. A huge comeback like that can take a lot out of a team and the Warriors could be ripe for an upset. Cleveland has had an extra three days off and in total, it has been off for six days but rust has not played a role yet as after eight days off, it defeated Atlanta by 11 points and after nine days off, defeated Toronto by 31 points. We can expect to see another big effort out of the gates by the Cavaliers. They are 7-2 ATS this season as underdogs, including a cover at Golden St. earlier in the season. Going back, the Cavaliers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Warriors have failed to cover five of their last six games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (501) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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06-02-16 | Diamondbacks +135 v. Astros | Top | 3-0 | Win | 135 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
While last night was a tough loss with Arizona, the fact it scored three runs in the ninth inning to even get to extra innings should negate any confidence lost with the defeat in 11 innings. The Diamondbacks look to avoid the four-game sweep this afternoon after dropping the previous two games at home in the first two games of this home-and-home set. Houston is slowly moving in the right direction with five straight wins but it still remains four games under .500 overall. The offense continues to be below average as the Astros .235 average is second worst in the American League. They will be hard pressed to have success tonight against Zack Greinke who has been up and down but is in good position as he has won his last three starts, two of which were quality. He has a 1.93 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in four road starts, all resulting in Arizona wins and one of those was his lone daytime start which was his best start of the season where he allowed just one run in eight innings at St. Louis. Dallas Keuchel is having a miserable season as only five of his 11 starts have been quality. Five of the non-quality outings resulted in him allowing at least five runs each time out and Houston is just 2-6 in his last eight starts. 10* (917) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-01-16 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Astros | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Houston is slowly starting to turn its season around as it has won two straight and seven of its last eight games following a sweep of two-game in Arizona to start off this four-game home-and-home set. The Astros remain 7.5 games behind Texas in the American League West so there is still a lot of work to be done. Arizona had a two-game winning streak snapped as it has been unable to get a big run going. While the Diamondbacks have struggled at home with a 9-20 records, they have been above average on the road, going 14-11 through their first 25 road games. Robbie Ray has done his share on the road as he has a 2.63 ERA in five road starts but Arizona has gone just 1-4 in those games due to giving him no run support. Ray is getting just 2.8 rpg in those five starts including receiving three runs or fewer four times. The Diamondbacks are 5-2 in his last seven starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Mike Fiers should be able to help out the Arizona offense as he has been all over the place this season. He is coming off his worst start as he allowed seven runs in just 3.2 innings against the Angels which raised his ERA to 5.20 overall of the season. The Astros are 1-5 in his last six starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (977) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-01-16 | Chicago Sky v. Washington Mystics UNDER 164 | Top | 86-78 | Push | 0 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
We are catching some significant value with this total as linesmakers have been forced to adjust it based on early season results. Because Chicago had the best offense in the WNBA last season, the Sky went over the total in 60 percent of their games and that offense is even better this season, leading Chicago to go over the number in four of six games including its last three. Washington meanwhile has one of the worst defenses in the league which has led it to go over the total in all six of its games. The value really shows on this side as the over/under has increased each game for the Mystics starting at 140.5 in their season opener and having a number tonight that is 25 points higher than that in some places. Another reason we are getting value is league based as only two teams currently have more unders than overs with the over coming in a combined 14 more times. In the season series last year, the under was 3-2 and would have been 4-1 if the number tonight was in play. The under is 4-0 in the Mystics last four games against teams with a losing straight up record while the under is 4-0 in the Sky last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* Under (603) Chicago Sky/(604) Washington Mystics |
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05-31-16 | Reds +175 v. Rockies | Top | 4-17 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
The Reds won yesterday in Colorado to make it two wins in their last three games following an 11-game losing streak that included six straight road losses. After opening this roadtrip by scoring three runs in the first three games, Cincinnati has scored 27 runs over its last four games so the offense has been starting to click. The Rockies have dropped three straight games and are just 3-9 over their last 12 games so putting them at a price this high seems very overaggressive. The significant home field advantage the Rockies used to have in past years is there no more as they have just nine wins at Coors Field this season. Cincinnati will activate Jon Moscot after missing just over a month with inflammation in his surgically repaired non-throwing shoulder. The non-throwing part is the key. He made three rehab starts at Louisville with his last start being solid where he did not allow a run over six innings. Colorado turns to Jon Gray who has been all over the place this season and in his tenure with the Rockies, he has been very shaky and is now laying his highest price of the season by far. Going back, the Rockies are 4-12 in his last 16 starts. 10* (911) Cincinnati Reds |
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05-31-16 | Minnesota Lynx v. New York Liberty +5.5 | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
After winning the WNBA Championship last season which was its third in five years, Minnesota is starting right where it left off as it is 5-0 and looks for its fourth road win of the early season. The Lynx are coming off a win over Indiana where they almost blew a big lead but held on for the three-point victory and tonight will be no easy task. Yet, they are favored on the road once again and while the lengthy layoff may seem beneficial, the Lynx are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games playing on three or more days of rest. New York is off a bigger layoff and has been stewing since last Tuesday. The Liberty lost in overtime at home against Atlanta which was their second straight overtime loss at home following a 2-0 start to the season. The fact they are home underdogs is not surprising based on their opponent but this is one team they have had success against and the matchups do not lie. New York won both meetings last season and is a team that can again shut down the potent Minnesota offense. The Liberty have the best defense in the WNBA, holding teams to 33 percent shooting and that should be the difference tonight. 10* (652) New York Liberty |
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05-31-16 | Padres +162 v. Mariners | Top | 4-16 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
The Padres dropped the opener of this series yesterday and fell to 1-6 on the current roadtrip with the pitching being the biggest liability. San Diego has allowed 23 runs over the last three games but that changes today. The Mariners snapped a three-game slide with the win yesterday after getting swept by the Twins which shows how inconsistent they can be and in no way should they be favored by this amount. Going back, the Mariners are just 3-7 in their last 10 home games. James Shields has been great this season for San Diego but has just two wins which is due to a lack of run support as he has been a very tough luck pitcher. Eight of his 10 starts have been quality outings including three of four on the road where he has a 2.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Shields faced the Mariners twice last season, allowing just three runs in 12.2 innings. Hisashi Iwakuma is coming off a pair of quality outings but he has been inconsistent this season with a 4.33 ERA over his first 10 starts. He has been even worse at home as he has a 5.55 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in four starts with the Mariners going just 1-3 in those games. 10* (927) San Diego Padres |
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05-30-16 | Thunder +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 88-96 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
The Warriors dug themselves into a hole that most teams are unable to come out of but they have gotten back into this series and have a huge edge with the decisive Game Seven taking place at home. We have been on the Warriors the last two games but are switching gears despite the home floor edge as any pressure switch has now turned to Golden St. The Thunder held an eight-point lead to start the fourth quarter in Game Six on Saturday, and were up seven with five minutes to go and failed to close the deal but they are upbeat while remaining confident knowing the fact they have already won once here in this series. One of the big topics has been the fourth quarter struggles for the Thunder as they dropped 14 games this season when going into the final period with a lead but the key here is that we do not need the outright win and a close game should be due with everything at stake. Golden St. looks to become just the tenth team in NBA history to win a series after trailing 3-1 and while the public money will be sided that way, we will be on the road that has covered six of its last seven games following a loss and is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (727) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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05-28-16 | Warriors +2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
We won with the Warriors on Thursday as they kept their season alive with a nine-point win and they are now possessing value in the line tonight. In the previous two games played here, Golden St. closed as the small favorite and while it got blown out both times, the Warriors are now the team catching points which is the result of those first two outcomes at Oklahoma City. While this is a much win game for the Warriors, the pressure has suddenly turned to the side of Oklahoma City. The last thing the Thunder wants is to have to go back to Golden St. to play a Game Seven so they certainly want to close it out here and avoid playing on Monday where they are already an 8.5-point underdog. Stephen Curry came up big in Game Five as after averaging just 21.5 points in the first two games in Oklahoma City, he had his best game of the series Thursday in Oakland, when he collected 31 points. But it was Andrew Bogut and Draymond Green that came up huge and those two will need to play well again. While the home team has dominated this season series, we expect the best team in the NBA to square this series at three games apiece to set up the decisive Game Seven in two days. 10* (723) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-28-16 | Pirates +138 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Pittsburgh took the opener of this series on Friday and has now won five straight games to keep pace with the Cubs in the National League Central. The Pirates are now three games over .500 on the road and going back, they are 6-2 in their last eight road games against teams with a winning record. Texas had its two-game winning streak snapped last night as it remains a game and a half behind Seattle in the American League West. The Rangers have been solid at home and they are excited to finally get Yu Darvish back after him not pitching for 22 months following elbow issues and Tommy John surgery. He is already an overpriced favorite but will be limited to right around 80 pitches tonight. The Pirates counter with Juan Nicasio who has been hot and cold this season but he is in a good spot here as he is as fresh as he has been since his season opener. His Sunday start against Colorado was postponed after one inning, and his rotation turn was skipped so he is pitching on basically 11 days rest. 10* (979) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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05-27-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
The home team has won and covered eight straight in this series going back to the regular season but this should finally be the game we see the road team take control. A lot of people give credit to Toronto as it finished just a game behind Cleveland in the Eastern Conference and while we were on the Raptors the first two games in Toronto, the overall talent takes over here this late in a series. One huge factor is Kevin Love. He was horrific in Toronto for the two games played there but came back home and shined with a team-high 25 points. Another huge factor is Kyle Lowry who started slow last game and finished average as did the team as whole as he and DeMar DeRozan were the only players who scored more than seven points. Both guards shined in the two wins in Toronto but if one has a bad game, the team is done as there is no one else to pick up the slack. We do not like to lay points on the road, especially this many but certain situations call for it and this is one of those. A peaking Cleveland team is arguably the best team in the NBA and coming off a 38-point win, the momentum continues here. 10* (721) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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05-27-16 | White Sox +148 v. Royals | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
*Same play from the Thursday rainout. Chicago rolls into Kansas City after losing the final three games at home against Cleveland and it was a bad homestand overall where the White Sox were just 3-7. Their lead in the American League Central has shrunk to a half-game and it will not be easy to keep hold of it with a tough roadtrip. The Royals meanwhile have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games and are just two games behind Chicago in the division. They have been solid at home but laying this number with this pitching matchup seems a little overaggressive. Danny Duffy made 16 relief appearances this season before coming out of the bullpen to fill in for the injured Kris Medlen. While he has pitched well, he has been extremely limited to how far he can go as he has tossed just 3.0 and 4.1 innings in his two starts, throwing only 48 and 63 pitches respectively. The majority of his work last season came as a starter as he was pretty average. The White Sox counter with Miguel Gonzalez who is making his fifth start since getting called up and he is coming off his best effort of the season. He allowed two runs in six innings while striking out eight and issuing no walks. That happened to come against the Royals so he comes into this follow up start against Kansas City with a lot of confidence. 10* (921) Chicago White Sox |
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05-27-16 | Indiana Fever +11.5 v. Minnesota Lynx | Top | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is the first meeting this season since the WNBA Finals from a season ago when Minnesota defeated Indiana in five games to capture the crown. The Fever certainly have some motivation from that but that is not part of this play at all as road revenge is never a factor but in this case, the line value is too much to overlook. Minnesota is off to a 4-0 start and is again the favorite to win another championship but this is a bad spot with a horrible line it is dealing with. The Lynx are coming off a perfect 3-0 roadtrip but have had just a day to recover from the travel and on deck is a game at New York which is also a revenge game for Minnesota. Indiana has had the luxury of playing its first three games of the season at home but it has had a winning record on the highway each of the last two seasons so this is far from a daunting spot and the motivation level should be at a high level as well. The Fever have not been a double-digit underdog since August of 2014 and there is no reason there should be here. 10* (603) Indiana Fever |
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05-26-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
It is obviously do or die time for the Warriors which are on the brink of elimination after a pair of losses in Oklahoma City that were downright awful. Golden St. has not looked like the same team right now as it seems to be playing with no sense of urgency so the last two games should have provided a wakeup call. Breaking the regular season win record was a great achievement but without a championship to go along with the record, it means not nearly as much. Tuesday was the first time all season that the Warriors dropped back-to-back games as they won their previous 12 games following a loss but remain a perfect 6-0 straight up at home following a loss in their previous game, winning by an average of 18.7 ppg and covering five of those. The Thunder were never in danger of losing at home as they built leads to 41 and 25 points while allowing Golden St. to never lead either game by more than two points so a lot of credit needs to go to them for the way they have held the Warriors in check. Still, they are in a tough spot tonight against the reigning world champions that are in must win mode and ready to send a message. Going back in this series, the home team is 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. 10* (720) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-26-16 | LA Sparks v. Connecticut Sun +9 | Top | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Sparks are off to a perfect 4-0 start, both straight up and against the number but this will not last all season and they are in a tough spot tonight. Los Angeles concludes its four-game roadtrip with a trip to Connecticut and it has been a busy piled into a short time period as this is the fourth game in seven days and knowing they are heading home after this can be mental liability. Going back, the Sparks are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Connecticut has started the season with a 1-2 record following a loss last time out in overtime against Washington which was its home opener. It has been three years since the Sun last made the playoffs but the future is very bright. Their first loss of the season came at Chicago by 23 points but they were without Camille Little who returned for the last two games and the difference has been very evident. Connecticut has put in a new system under head coach Curt Miller and after the preseason and three regular season games, we should see significant improvements. The Sparks are close to a double-digit road favorite which is a huge number to laying on the highway and it is due to the results of the first four games. 10* (652) Connecticut Sun |
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05-25-16 | Raptors v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 78-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
The home team has owned this series with the host winning and covering the first four games and none of the games have been very competitive. The final deficit of six points in Game Four may portray a close contest but it was never an issue as Toronto led by as many as 18 points to even up the series. Now they head back to Cleveland and the Cavaliers all of a sudden have some doubters following two straight losses after opening the postseason with 10 straight victories. There is no doubt Cleveland is still the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and the return to Quicken Loans Arena is going to bring back the positive energy. One player that needs to turn things around is Kevin Love. He was good enough through the first 10 playoff games but the last two have been a disaster. In Game Three, Love shot 1-of-9 and scored three points in 29 minutes and on Monday, he shot 4-of-14 and scored 10 in 31 minutes. Something says he has a big bounce back tonight. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while going 0-4 ATS in their last four games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. 10* (718) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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05-25-16 | Padres +139 v. Giants | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
San Francisco has had the Padres number this season as it has taken all eight meetings thus far and goes for the third series sweep of the season. The Giants are now on a 12-1 run and sitting in first place in the National League West by 4.5 games over the Dodgers. San Diego is now 9.5 games back in the division and looks to snap a three-game skid today before heading to Arizona for a three-game set over the weekend. While the struggles against the Giants are evident, the Padres have a solid edge in the pitching matchup today which is not being taken into account with this line. James Shields has been great this season for San Diego but has just two wins which is due to a lack of run support which should change today. Seven of his nine starts have been quality outings including two of three on the road where he has a 2.14 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Giants counter with Jake Peavy who has only one win and that is due to horrible pitching. In nine starts, he has an 8.21 ERA and 1.90 WHIP and he will not be long for the rotation if this continues. Just one of his five home starts has resulted in a quality performance. 10* (905) San Diego Padres |
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05-25-16 | Cubs v. Cardinals +165 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
The Cubs got to Michal Wacha last night for six runs in the first inning and never looked back on their way to a 12-3 victory. The Cardinals are now a game under .500 at home after finishing last season with the best home record in baseball and certainly have a challenge today to try and win this series. Chicago snapped a three-game slide with the win last night and going back further, it has been on a very inconsistent run. After a seven-game winning streak at the beginning of May, the Cubs are just 5-8 over their last 13 games. There is not much bad to say about Jake Arrieta but we are going with the contrarian value here. Chicago has opened 9-0 in his first nine starts just like the other Chicago did with Chris Sale but dropped his first start last night. St. Louis is the only place where Arrieta does not have a win where he has started more than one game. Carlos Martinez has lost his last four starts after opening 4-0 so there is the contrarian aspect on this side as well. He has not been horrible so there is no reason for concern and going back, the Cardinals are 12-4 in his last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game. 10* (904) St. Louis Cardinals |
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05-24-16 | Warriors -1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 94-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
Similar to Toronto last night, Golden St. can ill afford to lose again and fall down 3-1 in the series and that is what is at stake tonight with the Warriors in pretty much a must win situation. They are coming off a bad loss on Sunday as they fell by 28 points in one of their most lopsided losses of the season but they have been the best bounce back team in the NBA this season as Golden St. is 12-0 straight up following a defeat, covering nine of those, and a win here likely means a cover as well. This is taking nothing away from the Thunder which have been very impressive since a Game One loss against San Antonio, winning six of their last eight games. This includes three straight wins at home but the vulnerability is there after seeing 11 home losses on the season. The Warriors caught a huge break with Draymond Green not being suspended for this game as his groin kick was reduced to a Flagrant 2. Despite the Game Three victory, Oklahoma City is just 2-6 ATS as an underdog of fewer than seven points this season and while the home floor has been kind to the host in this series going back to last season, we will back the Warriors tonight and avoid a 3-1 deficit. 10* (715) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-24-16 | Mets +155 v. Nationals | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
The Mets won the opener of this series last night which was their fourth straight victory to pull to within a half-game of the Nationals in the National League East. Washington has now lost three straight home games and while that typically is a good spot to play on, there is a greater contrarian angle that we are going with. Stephen Strasburg has gotten off to an outstanding start this season as he has accounted for exactly one-third of the Nationals victories. Washington has yet to lose any of his starts as it is a perfect 9-0 in his games and to no surprise, the Nationals are paying the price for it tonight. He is typically a big favorite to begin with but it is overadjusted and too much here against a quality team. Matt Harvey meanwhile has seen some struggles this season. He has allowed three runs or fewer in six of his nine starts but has allowed five or more runs in his other three outings. He is coming off a pair of the latter and it was Washington that lit him up last time out but expect adjustments to be made for a Harvey rebound tonight. The Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning record while the Nationals are 2-7 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning record. 10* (951) New York Mets |
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05-24-16 | Phillies +171 v. Tigers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
While we are not buying the successful start that the Phillies have produced, we are not buying Detroit being favored by this big of a margin because of a recent solid run. The Phillies are five games over .500 after losing the opener of this series last night and with upcoming series against the Cubs and Nationals, the final two games of this three-game set are pretty important. The Tigers have won three straight and seven of their last eight games to move to .500 overall and pull within four games of the White Sox in the American League Central. They hand the ball to Justin Verlander tonight and he is on a run of three straight quality outings, posting a 1.61 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in the process. Seven of nine starts have been quality but in the other two, he allowed seven runs each time out so the possibly of a blowup is always there. Philadelphia counters with Jeremy Hellickson who is coming off a pair of quality starts following an inconsistent start to the season. Five of his nine starts have come on the road and in those, he has a 3.38 ERA and 1.09 WHIP and the Tigers have been one of his favorite opponents over the years as he has a 1.86 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in five career starts. 10* (977) Philadelphia Phillies |
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