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10* NCAA TOURN FREE PICK (Florida State -8.5)
I'll take my chances with the Seminoles covering the 8.5-point spread against the Catamounts. No disrespect to Vermont, who is a quality team, the Catamounts don't stand a chance against Florida State.
First of all, I think the Seminoles are a lot better than people realize. I think they get overlooked a bit because of the fact they play in the ACC, where Duke, Virginia and UNC are all No. 1 seeds. They definitely check the box of a team playing it's best coming into the tournament.
FSU went 12-1 over their final 13 regular-season games and then won back to back over ranked teams in Va Tech and Virginia to get to the ACC title game. They would end up losing by 10 to Duke, but were tied at the half and only lost by 2 at home early in the year when the Blue Devils had Zion Williamson.
They had wins over both LSU and Purdue, who won or shared the SEC and Big Ten titles. Also beat the likes of Florida by 21 and St Louis by 22, both of which are tournament teams.
This is also a massive advantage in size for Seminoles. The Catamounts have one guy who plays significant minutes that is taller than 6'6 and often play 6'6 Anthony Lamb at center. Everyone is FSU's starting five is at least 6'5, which includes a 6'8 forward and massive 7-4 center in Christ Koumadje. Not to mention another big in 6'10 Mfiondu Kabengele. One of Vermont's biggest strengths is rebounding. No way they are outrebounding FSU.
Not to mention Vermont's offensive efficiency ranks 104th and FSU has the 12th best defensive efficiency. Catamounts are 91st in defensive efficiency and 237th at defending the 3-pointer. Seminoles have the 35th ranked offensive efficiency.
Vermont is not a deep team (basically played 6 guys in their conference title game). Florida State subs frequently and goes as many as 10-deep. Their goal is to wear down the opposition. I think they will and if they get Lamb in foul trouble it's going to get real ugly. Either way I think the Seminoles win by 10+. Give me Florida State -8.5!
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802 Gardner Webb & Virginia
Because Virginia hasn't fared as well as expected in the Big Dance we are getting nice value on the far superior team. The country as a whole knows the Cavaliers are the only #1 seed to ever lose to a #16 seed. Therefore small sample sizes and recentcy bias help us with the number here.
Gardner Webb allows opponents to take 45% of its shots from long range, and Virginia makes 40.9% of its shots from beyond the 3 point line. The underdog does attempt 43% of its shots at the rim, Virginia only allows teams to take 31.8% of its shots from close range. Virginia has a huge advantage in rebounding in this game. So fewer shots overall and less shots specifically for the underdog.
1* Free Sharp Play on Wofford -2½ -110
My money is on the Terriers to cash in an easy win and cover against Seton Hall. I think there would be a lot more hype around this Wofford team if it wasn't for the fact that they are set to meet up with Kentucky this weekend. It's a shame cause this Terriers team has the goods to make the Sweet 16. Wofford has covered 14 of the last 21 where they have been listed as the favorite and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games during the month of March over the last 2 seasons. Terriers are also a perfect 6-0 ATS this season after their 15th game in road games against a team with a winning record. Bet Wofford -2.5!
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #811 Washington over Utah State (6:50p.m., Friday, March 22 TNT) Utah State is one of the surprise teams in the country and making it to the NCAA Tournament is already a great accomplishment for them. That being said, this team has had very little success in the NCAA Tournament over the years and this year will be no different. Washington did not perform well down the stretch, but they still won the PAC-12 and not playing Oregon will benefit them a great deal. Utah State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Washington is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports NCAA Tournament selections this week featuring our NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. This pick has won the last two years and it is one of the most sought out games in the entire country.
This 1st Round of the NCAA BIG DANCE is by far the highest-rated I have ever put out. Be sure to be on my NCAAB 66-25 CONSENSUS, 28-6 BLUE CHIP, 5-0 INSIDER INFO, 14-2 MVP, ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, and my 8-1 ANNIHILATOR on Thursday and have the best opening round you ever had.
Thursday FREE NCAAB TOURNEY WINNER:
6:57 pm pst.
Baylor has dropped 4 in a row SU and has only covered once over their L11 contests. Meanwhile, Syracuse is back at full strength with the return of leading scorer, Tyus Battle (17.2 PPG). While the Bears can rebound, I just don't see their lackluster offense coming to life against the frustrating "D" of the orange (65.7 PPG allowed). Baylor is 1-5 ATS the L6 NCAA Tourney games and 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the ACC. Syracuse is 4-0 ATS the L4 NCAA Tourney games and 5-2 ATS the L7 vs. the Big 12. Take the Orange. Thank you.
Chip's 'Guaranteed' Top-3 NCAA Tourney Winners
Chip Chirimbes, the 'Big Game Player' and 10-time Las Vegas Handicapping Champion is a 'Documented' 20-7 74% with his last 27 Highest-Rated NCAA Megabucks releases. When the 'Big-Games' and the 'Big-Money' are on the line it is time for 'Big Game Player'...Chip Chirimbes. A true Champion he has NCAA Basketball Handicapping Awards from Las Vegas Hilton, the Stardust and Stations Casinos. Thursday, Receive his 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks winner between Baylor and Syracuse, his Vegas Hotline winner between Murray State and Marquette and his Money Game winner between St. Mary's and Villanova. Get Chip's Triple-Play (3-Pack) of NCAA Best Bet Winners!
Chip's FREE NCAA Tourney Winner
Minnesota vs Louisville
Golden Gophers (+) over Cardinals- All I keep hearing is the revenge that Minnesota is supposed to have because of Rick Pitino getting fired from Louisville and his son and assist coach is now coaching the Golden Gophers...I don't believe so much it that stuff but what the heck, yeah, I'll take Minnesota and you should get on board with Chip's NCAA Megabucks winners...Take the GOPHERS!
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Kansas Jayhawks and the Northeastern Huskies face off on Thursday night and in this game the value lies with the underdog.
The Jayhawks haven't been a good defensive team and Northeastern is a good offensive team for the most part.
Over the last five games Northeastern is averaging 79.4 points per game while shooting over 50 percent from the field.
I don't think the Jayhawks defense will have any answer and that will keep it close.
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Northeastern +6.5
Good Luck, Cappers Club.
**5-2 over the last seven CBB Picks**
** March Madness special! $129.95 for every CBB play released now through the National Championship game!**
March Madness on Thursday and we have 5 big Power systems plays one is a 28-1 6* Side as well as a 19-0 and 13-1 5* plays. We also have the NBA Game of the week. Tournament comp play below.
The NCAAB Tournament comp play is on Seton Hall plus the 2-3 points at 9:40 eastern. The Pirates have been solid and were barely beat by Villanova in the Big East Championship game. Now they take on Southern Conference champion Wofford. Southern conference teams have always been over matched here and they are 3-31 straight up in this Tournament. Wofford is 0-4 ats in the first round and Seton Hall is 5-0 ats vs .600 or better opponents and have covered 20 of 27 on Thursdays as well as 7 straight on Neutral courts and 13-4 vs teams who average 77 or more. Look for Seton Hall to cover. On Thursday we have 5 Big Tournament plays one is a rare 6* From a 28-1 System and we also have 3 big 5* plays along with the NBA Game of the week and a 83-21 NHL System Play. For the Free pick. Play on Seton Hall. RV- GC Sports
This is a Free NCAAB play on the Villanova Wildcats.
Villanova seems to be flying under the radar heading into this year's tournament. They have won two of the last three national championships, and the Wildcats finished first in the Big East and won the conference tournament. They come into this first round game against St. Mary's as just a small favorite, despite the fact that the Gaels are the second best team from one of the weaker conferences in the country. The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. If I was going to set a line for this game I would put it between -7.5 to -9. The bookmakers are asking me to cover just half as many points, putting the value on the favorite.
My 1* Free Play is on the Dallas Stars (5:35 EST).
After back-to-back victories over the Devils and Wild, I think the Avs come up short in this difficult road venue tonight.
The Stars broke a two-game slide with a win over the Panthers on Tuesday and I look for them to carry that momentum over here.
Dallas continues to hold down the top wild card spot in the West and it trails the Blues by only two points in the division.
Colorado took the first two games of this season series, before Dallas answered with a 4-0 win on March 7th, backed by a hat trick from Alexander Radulov.
The Avs remain in the playoff hunt as well, but the fact remains that they’re still a poor 5-14 in their last 19 vs. teams with winning records.
Dallas on the other hand is a sharp 9-2 in its last ten vs. teams with losing records.
I think the home side is definitely worth a second look here.
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