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Better team, better starting pitcher. That's what Tampa Bay has going here and the Rays opened as a 'dog. The Rays are two games above .500 and in contention for the AL East title. The Pirates are a depressing six games under .500 and likely to be sellers at the trade deadline. Rays starter Alex Cobb finally is healthy - and the results are looking good. Cobb is pitching his best ball going 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts. He is 9-3 with a 2.79 ERA in 14 career interleague starts. I like Cobb much better than Pirates starter Trevor Williams, who has a 5.09 ERA on the season. The converted reliever is not in good form posting a 6.60 ERA and 1.33 WHIP during his last three starts. Williams has surrendered 13 runs in his last 15 innings. The Rays strengthened their middle infield trading for slick fielding shortstop Adeiny Hechavarria, who is scheduled to join the team today. The move frees the Rays to shift Tim Beckham to second base. So the Rays upgrade their shortstop defense and gain pop at second base as Beckham is batting .278 with 10 homers and 31 RBIs. The Pirates have lost seven of their past nine interleague games. This is Pittsburgh's first home game in eight days so its focus could be off as the players get settled back. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover ran his six-day hot streak to 10-2 on his premium/free plays easily cashing his MLB Total of the Year on the under in the Twins-Red Sox game Monday night. Stephen has two more strong totals plays on today's board along with this free selection.)
Nationals vs. Cubs Under 7.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Washington Nationals and the Chicago Cubs face off on Tuesday night, and with the pitching match up on the mound, the under has a ton of value.
On the mound for the Nationals is Max Scherzer who has been downright filthy all year again. In his last two starts he has gone a total of 16 innings and given up a total of six hits and three runs.
He is facing a cubs team that has a lot of big bats but they have gone cold a lot at big times this year. I expect this game will be another game where the bats are icy.
On the mound for the Cubs is Jake Arrieta who has been up and down this year, but comes into this game off a really good start. He went seven innings against the Marlins and gave up one run. He looked really good again and I think he will use that start to have confidence in this game.
Some trends to note. Under is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts on grass. Under is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 on grass.
Back the Under.
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Good Luck, Cappers Club.
Play - Colorado Rockies w/Hoffman vs Cain (Game 911).
Edges - Rockies: Hoffman 3-0 with 1.33 ERA and 0.51 WHIP away as opposed to 8.36 ERA with 2.00 WHIP home this season, and 3-1 vs NL West this season… Giants: Cain 1-6 with 7.07 ERA and 2.01 WHIP last seven overall starts… With the Rockies 9-1 the last 10 games in this series, we recommend a 1* play in Colorado. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Marc’s powerful database has isolated a Super Situation 7* Super Play on Tuesday night’s MLB card. If you’re serious about winning then you know exactly what to do!
Phillies vs Mariners Free Pick June 27, 2017
Philadelphia has the worst road record in the majors, and only San Diego has scored fewer runs than the Phillies this season. Seattle has a solid 25-15 home record, and I like the M's in Game 1 of this series at Safeco.
James Paxton will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been lights out at home. The southpaw is 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA in seven starts at Safeco in 2017. He's also 4-1 with a 3.29 ERA in nine starts under the lights.
The Phillies hand the ball to Aaron Nola, who is coming off one of his best starts of the season. He allowed one run on four hits, striking out eight over 7 1/3 innings in a home win over St. Louis his last time out. He hasn't had as much success on the road, and he was torched for eight runs on 13 hits and four walks over 11 innings in losses to Arizona and St. Louis in his previous two starts.
Philly has lost eight of it's last nine versus American League teams, and 10 of it's last 14 versus Seattle.
The Toronto starting pitching is just strong enough - and their overall defense and power are actually pretty decent. Ranked 14th in the majors with 98 HRs and a middling 4.37 ERA as a team. Toronto needs to keep up their solid field play - with their best, Justin Smoak and Russell Martin.
The O's will continue to struggle all year long - they haven't been able to get their pitching on track with just a 5.10 ERA on the year. And Baltimore has been far less than stellar with a bad road record and their play has been even worse. Baltimore will be in some trouble vs a home team like the Jays.The BLUE JAYS Get the win here at home.Prediction: TORONTO 6-Baltimore 3
1* FREE PLAY over Angels/Dodgers. JC Chavez (5-7, 5.15 ERA) continues his slide down the proverbial crapper, most recently getting rocked for five earned runs over four innings in a fortunate no-decision against the Yanks on Thursday, allowing seven hits and two walks (note that Chavez has been particularly inept on the road this year as well, just 2-4 with an unsightly 6.53 ERA). Kenta Maeda (5-3, 4.70) who has been transitioned back into the starting rotation out of necessity, has been decent at home this year, but note that he sports a poor 4.66 ERA in all “night” contests thus far. The Angels have already seen the total go over the number in all four games they’ve played this year as a road dog in the +175 to +200 range, while LA has seen the total fly above the posted number in 11 of 20 home games as a fav in the -175 to -200 range. Consider the over in this one.
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I'm recommending a play on the Cardinals with Martinez over Walker. We know all about Paul Goldschmidt & the the high scoring Arizona Diamondbacks. But Carlos Martinez has gotten the best of the D-backs in his career thus far and we expect more of the same tonight. Martinez owns a 2.86 ERA in seven appearances, including four starts against Arizona. And Martinez has been Goldschmidt's "cooler," holding him to a .200 batting average in 10 plate appearances. The Cardinal righthander owns a 2.32 ERA in his last 11 starts, going six-plus innings in each of them. Taijuan Walker has found success, but he's fallen a little too much in love with his cutter of late and we expect the Redbirds to take advantage. Combined with Martinez on the bump, we feel we have a solid spot to back the Cardinals on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
The Tampa Bay Rays will look to break their small two game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA on Tuesday night. Tampa has posted a perfect 4-0 record in their last four interleague road games where they faced a team with a losing record and they have gone an excellent 9-2 in their last eleven interleague games overall. The Pirates, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five interleague home games where they faced a right- handed starter and they have lost six of their last ten games where they faced a team from the AL East Division. Throw in the fact that the Rays have won nine of twelve versus a team from the NL Central and that the Pirates are just 4-10 in their last fourteen interleague home games versus a team with a winning % of .500 or better and we'll take the Rays at the pickem or so price to get the road win in Pittsburgh on Tuesday evening.
After last night's game with a crazy come back by the Indians in which I did have on the RL. That is most definitely playing into the line here. Ross will be making his third start of the season and I expect him to settle in now. Clevinger is 6-2 on the season favoring the under. Ross has also had great success against the Indians in three starts with a 1.89 ERA.
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