*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Miami Heat are coming off an ugly loss to the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Miami has been excellent at bouncing back from losses. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 following a loss. 

Washington is one of the worst teams in the league and they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. They are also on the second end of a back to back. Washington picked up a surprising win over the 76ers last night. They got 25 points from Bertans and 27 points from Hachimura in that win. I don't see Washington repeating that performance.

Washington is 12-29-1 ATS in their last 42 road games against a team with a winning record. Miami is a good team who is unbeaten at home this year. Washington has drastic splits. They are much better on their home court.

Miami is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as a home favorite. The Heat are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 following a loss by 10 points or more. Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle.

Take Miami. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Central Michigan Chippewas rank 4th in the nation in tempo so far this year. Central Michigan has consistently wanted to push the tempo over the past few seasons. This team will do the same again this season. The Chippewas have scored over 100 points in four games already this year. It wouldn't be stunning if they scored 100 here either. 

Tennessee Martin ranks 353rd out of 353 teams in the country in defensive efficiency. They rank 353rd in effective field goal percentage defense as well. They are consistently terrible too. Martin was 351st in that category last year as well. This is an awful defense. 

UT Martin doesn't turn the ball over much. They are also great on the offensive glass. They'll get second chance points against a Central Michigan team that has been very weak on the defensive boards in recent seasons. Central Michigan also ranks in the top 75 in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage. UT Martin is weak on the defensive glass. A lot of second chance points for both teams.

I don't normally take overs this high, but my number is several points higher than this.

Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* This Pac 12 title game between Utah and Oregon will be played on Friday night in Santa Clara. Utah has a lot on the line here. If LSU beats Georgia, the Utes have a real chance to sneak into the playoffs this year. Utah would be well served to not only win, but be impressive in winning.

The Oregon offense hasn't been good against quality defenses this year. Oregon has had long droughts against good defenses. The Ducks were only 4th best in the Pac 12 in yards per play on offense. Utah was easily first in the conference in yards per play allowed. In fact, Utah was 4th best out of 130 teams in the nation in yards per play allowed. Utah doesn't give up big plays. The Utes should do a great job keeping Oregon in front of them.

The Utah offense relies on the running game. Utah runs the ball on nearly 66% of their offensive plays. Utah has also played at the single slowest pace of any team in the nation this year. They take a lot of time off the clock even when they do score. Oregon ranks 13th in the nation in yards per carry allowed.

Both of these teams are far stronger on defense than offense. 

The forecast in Santa Clara calls for rain all week. On Friday night, rain and some winds are in the forecast. Levi's Stadium has been good for unders to begin with, and this weather would help the under quite a bit.

Take the under.