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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-04-18 | Rockies v. Mets -112 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Mets got off to an 11-1 start but have dropped 11 of their last 17 games including three in a row against the Braves as part of a three-game sweep. They were shutout the last two games while the pitching allowed 18 runs so nothing has been going right of late. New York is in a good spot tonight however based on those two shutouts and going back, they are 7-3 in their last 10 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Colorado took two of three games in Chicago against the Cubs as it won the last two including an 11-2 win on Wednesday. Prior to that, the Rockies had scored a grand total of seven runs in their previous five games and they have had one of the most disappointing offenses this season as they are hitting just .226 which is ahead of only Baltimore and Miami after leading the National League in hitting last season. The Mets hand the ball to Zack Wheeler who has been inconsistent with a bad outing against St. Louis, but he has turned in three strong performances. This includes a quality outing in his lone home start against the Nationals. He faces the worst hitting offense against right-handed pitching in baseball as Colorado is hitting just .212. Colorado counters with German Marquez who has been more inconsistent than Wheeler as he has two quality outings over his six starts. He is coming off a quality game last time out which was his best start of the season, but he still walked three and his control has been a problem which has ballooned his WHIP to 1.57. Here, we play against road teams after allowing two runs or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after getting shut out two straight games. This situation is 46-20 (69.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) New York Mets |
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05-03-18 | 76ers -3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Sixers came up small in Game One of this series as they looked lethargic and had no sense of urgency to take an early lead in this series. Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons both played well but no one else showed up as take away their 18-32 shooting, the rest of the team went 17-51 (33.3 percent) including a horrid 3-21 (14.3 percent) from long range. Defensively, the Sixers were just as bad as they allowed 17 three-pointers while Terry Rozier, Al Horford and Jason Tatum all posted postseason career highs in scoring. Amazingly, it was the first time that three Celtics players scored 25 or more points in a non-overtime postseason game since Boston's original Big Three of Larry Bird, Kevin McHale and Robert Parish did so in 1987. The Sixers appeared to come in overconfident after their easy series win over Miami while Boston had to go the distance against Milwaukee, so it was human nature to come in and not take a team as serious as they should. We expect the effort to be much different tonight and it is going to be a tough task for Boston to play as good as it did in the opener. Philadelphia has responded well in the past as it is 19-6 in its last 25 games coming off a double-digit road loss and is has a solid situation in its favor as we play against home underdogs after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 69-35 (66.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Philadelphia 76ers |
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05-03-18 | Twins v. White Sox -102 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Twins and White Sox have gotten off to disappointing starts and while the latter was expected due to a rebuild, the Minnesota struggles are concerning. The Twins were able to salvage their final game of their homestand yesterday where they finished 2-4. Minnesota is just 3-9 on the road including seven straight losses and going back, the Twins are 2-9 in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The White Sox have lost four straight games and they head back home where they are just 2-10, which is a big reason they are slight underdogs here. The starting rotation for the White Sox has been horrible this season with a 5.23 ERA which is tied for fifth worst in baseball, but the one bright spot has been Reynaldo Lopez who has been sensational to start the season. He has a 1.78 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through five starts, four of which have been quality outings. He has allowed two runs or less in all five starts and he has been even better as home, allowing only one earned run in two starts over 12 innings. He carried this over from a good spring and we can expect one of the top prospects to continue to pitch well. Jake Odorizzi was a significant signing for the Twins rotation, but he has disappointed thus far. He has a 3.94 ERA which is not bad, but he has struggled with control as his 1.38 WHIP indicated which comes with a 27:16 K:BB ratio. Over his last five starts, he has tossed two quality outings, but both of those came at home and he has a 4.80 ERA in three overall road starts. Here, we play on American League home teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage of .410 or worse on the season, after two straight one run losses. This situation is 66-35 (65.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (964) Chicago White Sox |
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05-02-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -125 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SHARKS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The series is on the line tonight for San Jose as falling behind 3-1 will put it in a hole that it will not be able to come out of as winning in Vegas twice in the final three games is a near impossible task. The Sharks had a chance to snag home ice advantage but lost in overtime after rallying from a two-goal deficit in the fourth quarter as it was unable to carry that momentum into the extra period. San Jose fells to 27-13-4 at home and despite the loss on Monday, the Sharks are 8-2 in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. Vegas continues to defy the odds but at this point, we must face facts that it is a threat to win the Stanley Cup, but it is most vulnerable on the road and San Jose must take advantage. The Golden Knights have won five of the seven meetings this season, but it has been a closely contested series with five games being decided by one goal, four coming in overtime including the last two following a 7-0 blowout opening games in this series. The promising fact for the Sharks is that they outshot Vegas in each of the last two games 47-29 and 42-33 and they need to continue to pepper the net. San Jose is 20-9 this season after allowing four or more goals and it falls into a great situation where we play on favorites against the moneyline that are revenging a loss of one goal, off a home loss. This situation is 219-95 (69.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (58) San Jose Sharks |
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05-02-18 | Yankees v. Astros +115 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Wednesday Revenge Annihilator. The Astros lost a brutal game last night as Justin Verlander dominated for eight innings as he did not allow a run while striking out 14. He was pulled, and Houston allowed a three-run home run to Gary Sanchez and while many scrutinized not walking him with first base open, he came in with a .212 average, so it was just a bad beat. The Astros look to bounce back tonight and should do so with a pitching edge despite being a slight underdog. The Yankees had their nine-game winning streak snapped in this series opener but were able to bounce back last night to even the series. The bullpen did the job last night as after Jordan Montgomery was forced to leave after one inning with elbow tightness as they went eight innings and that puts a lot of pressure on Luis Severino. He is favored because he is having a great start to the season with a 2.61 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, but his success has come at home as his road numbers jump up to a 4.08 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. That is not even the big disadvantage mentioned earlier as in four career starts against the Astros, he has a 7.16 ERA. Dallas Keuchel is coming off a poor outing against Oakland as it was the first time in six starts he allowed more than three runs. Facing the Yankees has been no issue as he has a 1.59 ERA in nine career starts including a 0.76 ERA in three home starts. The Astros are 9-1 in his 10 starts against teams with a winning percentage of .620 or better. Additionally, we play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing two runs or less four straight games going up against an opponent after scoring two runs or less two straight games. This situation is 39-14 (73.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Houston Astros |
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05-02-18 | Jazz +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. Houston took Game One of this series on Sunday, but we felt good with the Utah pick even though it did not cover, and it is good enough to back the Jazz again. Utah shot 50 percent from the floor which was close to five percent higher than the Rockets, but the difference was long range shooting as Houston hit 53.1 percent of its shots from beyond the arc compared to just 31.8 percent for the Jazz. We do not expect that to happen again while we expect the two-point shooting to hold form although maybe not as extreme as Utah held the edge there on Sunday 57.4 percent to 40 percent and that is a huge variance for a much higher percentage shot. The Jazz played better than what the final score indicated as a lot that could be attributed to first game jitters as they got behind big early and could not recover. We saw a similar situation last night as New Orleans trailed by 21 points at halftime in Game One but responded with a solid effort in Game Two. A similar outcome should be expected tonight. Houston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after covering three straight games as a favorite and Utah falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. This situation is 53-32 (62.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) Utah Jazz |
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05-01-18 | Cavs v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Many are calling this the biggest playoff game in Toronto history and it is hard to argue that fact. The Cavaliers have dispatched the Raptors each of the last two years, winning in six games in the 2016 Eastern Conference Finals and sweeping them in the second-round last season. Setting the tone in the opening game is huge for Toronto in trying to solve the postseason problems with Cleveland. One huge edge going into tonight is the fact the Raptors will be the more rested team, having wrapped up their first-round series against the Wizards in six games on Friday while Cleveland needed seven games to defeat Indiana which ended on Sunday. The Cavaliers are not a very good team right now as it is LeBron James and that is about it and while he can take over a game by himself, the challenge will be more difficult here. They struggled in all three games in Indiana and now they face the team with the best record in the Eastern Conference as Toronto is now 37-7 at Air Canada Centre including three wins over Washington in the first round. The Cavaliers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning home record and while Cleveland has been very good as an undog this season, it has been an underdog of six points or more only once and that resulted in a loss and non-cover in Portland. The Raptors fall into an excellent playoff situation as we play against underdogs as a No. 4 seed in the playoffs, in the 1st game of a playoff series. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (558) Toronto Raptors |
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05-01-18 | Phillies +101 v. Marlins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Phillies opened the season with a 16-9 record but have since dropped three straight while going 2-5 over their last seven games. This is still a team on the rise and this recent stretch is just a small bump as Philadelphia looks to rebound from the series opening loss last night. Despite giving up 18 runs over the last two games, the pitching has led the way with a 3.76 ERA which is 10th best in baseball. The Phillies are 7-1 in their last eight games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The Marlins have won three straight games and five of their last six after a 5-17 start that saw them win consecutive games not a single time. We expect this run to come to a crashing halt tonight as the Marlins are 0-7 in their last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Zach Eflin was recalled and will be making his season debut for the Phillies. While his career numbers are nothing to get excited about, injury issues have hurt him as he had tendonitis in both knees and a stress fracture in his foot, but he is now healthy and facing Miami in his first start is ideal. In 2016, he had a six-game stretch where he posted a 1.93 ERA with 21 strikeouts and two complete games. He had another impressive four-game stretch last season with an ERA of 3.00 with opponents hitting .245 against him. Miami turns to Jarlin Garcia who has been solid through his first three Major League starts as he has allowed just one run over 17 innings. He did make seven relief appearances and his worst came against the Phillies where he allowed two runs in four innings. The Phillies are 15-3 in their last 18 games against left-handed starters. 10* (953) Philadelphia Phillies |
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04-30-18 | 76ers -3 v. Celtics | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. Philadelphia is coming off a 4-1 series win over Miami and it dominated with three of those wins coming by 13, 20 and 27 points and this team is peaking at the right time. The Sixers have now won 20 of their last 21 games while going back, they are 31-6 over their last 37 games so this is a very dangerous team for the teams ahead of them in the standings. Philadelphia had the most efficient starting five in the NBA this season and while Boston got the best of Philadelphia during the regular season as it won three of four meetings, the last one came in mid-January and both teams are much different since then. The Celtics survived a hard-fought series against Milwaukee with the home team winning all seven games. Boston is an elite defensive team however Philadelphia will be a much harder team to defend than Milwaukee. Philadelphia uses constant movement offensively, has an inside game to complement their outside shooters and it hits the offensive boards hard, something Milwaukee did not do. The Jaylen Brown injury for Boston is significant as it was able to produce without him against the Bucks, but it will be a much bigger challenge in this matchup as he is listed as doubtful for tonight. coming off a big win is no issue for the Sixers as they are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit win and they have a great situation on their side where we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent after a cover as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (555) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-30-18 | Pirates v. Nationals -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The slow start for Washington continued this past weekend as it lost its series against Arizona which was its third straight series loss and after a 4-0 start to the season, the Nationals are just 8-16 over their last 24 games. Home field has not been kind as they are just 4-9 at Nationals Park compared to sitting a game over .500 on the road but this will turn around and this is the time to back them as we get to buy low with great value. It has been a streaky season for the Pirates as they opened the season by going 11-4 through their first 15 games but then lost seven of their next eight games before winning their last five games. This included a home sweep over the Cardinals to maintain their half-game lead over the Cubs in the National League Central. Going back, the Pirates are 2-12 in their last 14 road games after allowing three runs or less in two straight games while going 2-11 in their last 13 games after two straight wins by four runs or more. Washington hands the ball to Tanner Roark and he has been a tough luck pitcher. He has a 3.77 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts but Washington is 1-4 in those games as it has been a mix of poor run support and the bullpen allowing 11 runs in his starts. The Nationals are 19-8 in his last 27 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. James Taillon counters for Pittsburgh and after a good start in three outings, he has posted a 20.25 over his last two starts. His only good road start came against Miami and those recent struggles continue tonight. 10* (902) Washington Nationals |
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04-29-18 | Jazz +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 96-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Houston cruised in its first-round series against Minnesota as it lost just the one game on the road and while the opponent now may not seem like a big roadblock heading toward the faceoff against Golden St., it is not going to be easy. Everyone expected Houston to be here but not the same group expected Utah to be here, but this is a sneaky Jazz team that plays the patented playoff basketball. The Jazz won 29 of their last 35 games in the regular season, with the league's best defense (by a wide margin) and the 11th ranked offense over that time. The loss of Ricky Rubio is not ideal for sure but that only gives Donovan Mitchell the opportunity to step up even more. Rubio played only seven minutes on Friday before leaving with a hamstring injury, so Mitchell took over with 38 points and these opportunities look to be right in his wheelhouse. The Houston offense has been the focal point for most of the season, but it is the only team in the playoffs that is getting outshot on the season and no one is paying attention to that. The Jazz took 75 percent of their shots from the restricted area or three-point range and only the Rockets (81 percent) had a higher rate in the first round. Houston took all four meetings this season against Utah by double-digits but three of those took place in 2017 when Utah was a different team while the final game in February was closer than the final score indicated. Here, we play on double-digit road underdogs that are revenging a home loss after a cover as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 40-18 (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Utah Jazz |
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04-28-18 | Mets v. Padres -127 | Top | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Mets took the opener of this series last night behind another strong pitching performance from Jacob deGrom but the pitching advantage shifts to the other side tonight. New York snapped a two-game losing streak with the victory and since an 11-1 start to the season, it is just 5-7 over its last 12 games while going 0-5 in its last five games following a victory. The pitching has taken a big hit since the strong start and we will see a piece of that tonight. San Diego has dropped three straight games, five of its last six and eight of its last 10 but it was an underdog in all those games as the competition and the opposing starter put the Padres at a big disadvantage. Because of this, the offense has been held in check and it puts them in a strong situation explained later. They get to face Jason Vargas who is making his first start of the season after having surgery on his non-throwing hand to treat a spring training injury. He made one rehab start in Las Vegas and it was not great as he allowed three runs on three hits and two walks in four innings. San Diego turns to Joey Lucchesi who is a top pitching prospect and he is already showing why. He did not allow a run in the Cactus League until his final outing and has been strong through five starts, posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.12 WHIP to go along with a 29:8 K:BB ratio. His numbers are even better at home and faces a Mets team hitting just .222 against left-handed pitching. The situation in play is to play on National League home teams with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse while hitting .215 or worse over their last 15 games. This situation is 102-62 (62.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (912) San Diego Padres |
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04-28-18 | Sharks +158 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-3 | Win | 158 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SHARKS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. After rolling through Anaheim in a four-game sweep by a combined score of 16-4, San Jose got lit up in the opener of this series in a 7-0 loss. It was the worst playoff loss for San Jose in over two decades and it will be up to the players to respond and not let the series get away. We cannot take much from Game One which was over before it started so we can come back to normalcy tonight and give the Sharks a defensive and special teams edge. The Golden Knights, 11th in the league at 21.4 percent on the power play during the regular season, were just 1-for-12 against the Kings, the NHL's best penalty kill. The Sharks were second best on the penalty in the regular season, at 84.8 percent. Clearly, Sharks goalie Martin Jones was rusty after being off for a week and being on the road in a hostile environment did not help. Jones had allowed four goals in four games to the Ducks in the first round, and it took less than half a period for that total to be matched by the Golden Knights. Vegas goalie Marc-Andre Fleury was in a similar rest circumstance, but his situation was different as he was at home and was given a four-goal lead which took any sort of pressure off him. As far as value goes, we have it as Vegas closed Game One at -150 and now is as high as -180 in some spots for Game Two. San Jose is 19-9 after allowing four goals or more this season and we play against favorites coming off three consecutive divisional wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 58-37 (61.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (89) San Jose Sharks |
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04-28-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The home team has held serve in all six games of this series thus far and we expect that to continue through the final game. Typically, this could be a good contrarian play to back the Bucks but there is too much going on the Celtics side especially with Milwaukee coming off a hot shooting night. The last game played here on Sunday was a very similar setup with the Bucks coming off a game where they shot 52.1 percent from the floor which was over 10 percent better than the Celtics. Boston locked down on defense which we anticipate happening again tonight as Boston looks to improve upon its 30-14 home record. Three-point shooting has been a main ingredient to the success of the home team in this series as Milwaukee shoots 7.6 percent better at home than on the road while the Celtics are almost identical with a 7.3 percent differential favoring the home floor. During the regular season, the Celtics were No. 1 in the league allowing teams to shoot just 33.9 percent from long range and after allowing the Bucks to hit just 27.3 percent at home in Game Five, we will another strong defensive effort. While history cannot dictate future outcomes, it is important to note how big home court is in series elimination games as there have been just 26 Game Seven road winners in 128 games in NBA playoff history with the home team winning close to 80 percent of the time. Boston has lost 10 games this season by double-digits where it has had a chance for payback. It has gone 9-0 ATS in the previous nine opportunities with the tenth being tonight. 10* (702) Boston Celtics |
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04-27-18 | Reds v. Twins -113 | Top | 15-9 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Twins are back home from a roadtrip they wish they never took as they went 0-7 including a brutal loss yesterday as the Yankees hit a three-run walkoff home run for a 4-3 win. They fell to 3-9 on the highway but are back home where they are 5-3 which includes a 4-2 record against the Indians and Astros. Minnesota takes a big step down in competition here and it has won four straight home games after a roadtrip of seven or more days while going back, it is 8-0 in its last eight Interleague home games. The Reds are not a good team despite a mildly successful 2-2 split with the Braves at home but now they hit the road where they are 2-11. Take your pick as to what has been worse as Cincinnati is hitting .218 while the pitching has a 5.25 ERA in those 13 games. The Reds 5.3 rpg allowed on the road and 2.9 rpg score on the road are both second worst in the National League. Phil Hughes had a rough first outing with the Twins as his command was off, but he has a great chance to rebound here. His best days are long gone but we can pick his spots, and this is one of those, especially at this price which is ridiculously undervalued. The Twins have won nine of his last 11 series openers. Luis Castillo takes the mound for Cincinnati and he has just one quality outing through his first five starts. Overall, he has a 6.51 ERA and 1.45 WHIP and making this one even tougher is the fact this will be his fifth straight start on the road. 10* (980) Minnesota Twins |
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04-27-18 | Cavs v. Pacers -1 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Pacers came through on Wednesday as they rallied from a 12-point deficit and had a chance to pull off the upset but a no call on a goaltend by LeBron James set up the game winning possession for the Cavaliers. James finished with a 44-10-8 line and was 15-15 from the free throw line and yet it still took a last second shot to win which shows how dependent Cleveland is on just one player and that is not a good sign in the postseason. As mentioned on Wednesday, this has been an Indiana dominated series based on the fact the Cavaliers have not run away with any game. Cleveland and Indiana have played nine times this season with five of those games resulting in wins by the Pacers, three of those games resulting in wins by the Cavaliers by three, three and four points and the final game resulting in a Cleveland win by seven points. Indiana has covered four of the five games in this series and it could be five-for-five, but it blew a golden opportunity in Game Four at home to take a 3-1 series lead so now it needs to take care of business at home to extend. The Cavaliers are 11-22 ATS this season against teams shooting 46 percent or better from the floor and we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 (that are allowing 103 or more ppg, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 94-49 ATS (65.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (512) Indiana Pacers |
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04-26-18 | Celtics +5 v. Bucks | Top | 86-97 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We won with Boston on Tuesday in the pivotal Game Five as the Celtics grabbed a 3-2 series lead heading back to Milwaukee. The key to the victory was defense. The Bucks shot 54.2 percent from the floor heading into Game Five and over the last three decades, only three other teams shot better through the first four games of a playoff series. On Tuesday, they hit only 36.7 percent of their shots and it was no coincidence. The return of Marcus Smart was the main cause as his offensive line was average but there was the defense on Khris Middleton, who had shot the lights out in the four previous games but was held to 23 points on 21 shots. Semi Ojeleye was inserted into the starting lineup not for his offense as his strength and positioning kept Giannis Antetokounmpo off balance as he was unable to drive and was held to just 16 points on 10 shots. That defense will be important again tonight. Boston went 17-13 while Smart was sidelined with his hand and thumb injury and it is 41-16 with him in the lineup. The Celtics have covered four of the five games in this series which has extended the recent situations as Boston is now 28-14 ATS against winning teams while Milwaukee is 8-18 ATS in its last 26 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Bucks are 4-15 ATS as home favorites of six points or less this season. 10* (501) Boston Celtics |
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04-26-18 | Penguins v. Capitals -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. The Penguins and Capitals will face off in the second round for the third consecutive year with the core groups changed only slightly. It is well documented that Pittsburgh has had the Capitals number as going back, it has won the previous three series despite not having home ice advantage, twice winning Game Seven in Washington on the way to capturing the Stanley Cup. The Capitals have home ice again and this time, they look to take that advantage into a series win but it is Game One that is pivotal. Pittsburgh looks to be more vulnerable this year as the last two seasons, they finished the regular season with 22-15-4 and 19-15-7 road records. This year, the Penguins went just 17-20-4 on the highway and while they did win three games in Philadelphia, this is a bigger challenge with Washington coming in with a 29-11-4 home record. Pittsburgh will also be without Evgeni Malkin, who led the team with 98 points, for at least Game One. Penguins goalie Matt Murray has been up and down against Washington in his brief career and is coming off a Philadelphia series in which he flip-flopped between great (two shutouts) and not-so great (allowing four-or-more goals twice). On the other side, Braden Holtby has only allowed 10 on 137 shots in four-plus games since replacing Philipp Grubauer and he gets the advantage heading into this series. Washington is 18-1 in its last 19 home games after a win by three goals or more. 10* (88) Washington Capitals |
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04-26-18 | Mariners v. Indians -103 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Cleveland is coming off a split with the Cubs as it lost the first game but came back on Wednesday with a 4-1 to finally get some aspect of revenge after blowing a 3-1 lead in the 2016 World Series. The Indians are now 7-3 at home and going back, they have won 40 of their last 53 home games. The offense remains inconsistent as they are hitting just .218 on the season which is second to last in all of baseball and that is keeping this line lower than it should be. The Mariners are coming off a pair of series wins against the Rangers and White Sox, but those teams are a combined 19 games under .500. they are 8-5 on the road which looks good however, all road games have come against teams with losing records, so this is a whole new situation starting tonight. James Paxton is coming off a great season in 2017 but he has yet to find that form this year as he has a pair of quality starts but he has also been blown up in two other starts which includes his season opener against Cleveland where he allowed six runs in 4.2 innings. He squares off against Mike Clevinger who is coming off his first career shutout as he allowed just two hits against the Orioles. He has been average at home because of one poor outing against the Blue Jays and going back, the Indians have won seven of his last eight home starts. 10* (912) Cleveland Indians |
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04-25-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma City closed the regular season strong by going 11-5 over their final 16 games with all five losses all coming by four points or less and it then took Game One of this series against Utah. It has been all downhill since then as the Thunder have dropped the last three games to fall behind 3-1 and now must reel off their own three-game winning streak to win this series and they are more than capable of doing that. Russell Westbrook is unfairly taking the blame for this meltdown and while his shots have not been falling, he is doing the other things which he has done all season. Carmelo Anthony is doing nothing for Oklahoma City yet is not taking nearly as much flack despite going 17-46 (37 percent) from the floor including 4-19 (21 percent) from long range and grabbing a total of just 19 rebounds and handing out zero assists during this three-game slide. The due factor is never part of backing a team since there is no substance behind it but Anthony is due more than anybody which would be an added bonus. Westbrook and Paul George can take over a game and we expect that here as the Thunder are not prepared to go home yet. We are seeing a reverse line move in this one as this game opened at -3 and has gone to -3.5 despite a huge percentage of the money coming in on the Jazz. 10* (716) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-25-18 | Maple Leafs +160 v. Bruins | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The only series to go the distance concludes tonight in Boston with the Bruins and Maple Leafs tied at three games each. Toronto has a 6-4 lead in the season series after taking three of four regular season games as well as the final two games to tie the series after falling behind 3-1. The Bruins are going to be a very public play tonight as 58 percent of bets and 62 percent of money placed are on them as of Wednesday morning. Boston has just nine regulation losses at home this season and Toronto is responsible for two of those including one in Game Five so the confidence is there to win on the road in an elimination game. After scoring 12 goals in the first two games, the Bruins looked as if they would dominate the series, but they have managed only nine goals over the last four games. In the three Toronto wins, Frederik Andersen made 116 saves while giving up six goals and he has been the best player for Toronto which is a perfect situation for a team going into a Game Seven. He looks quick, poised and locked into an understanding of how to prepare for Boston's offensive attack. The Bruins have dominated shots on goal overall, but it has meant little as the team with the fewer shots has won the last five games. Toronto falls into a great underdog situation as we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 revenging a road loss by two goals or more, playing a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. This situation is 34-23 (598.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (25) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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04-25-18 | Pacers +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 95-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. The Pacers let one get away on Sunday and according to some of the media gasbags, they lost their chance to win this series which is the furthest from the truth. Cleveland and Indiana have played eight times this season with five of those games resulting in wins by the Pacers, two of those games resulting in wins by the Cavaliers by three and four points and the final game resulting in a Cleveland win by seven points. Clearly, the Cavaliers are again overpriced as Indiana has shown all season that it can play with and beat Cleveland, but this number is priced on home team public action. This is a situation where most of the betting tickets are on the Pacers by a 2-1 margin but the money on the Indiana side is 90 percent, indicating the smart money is on the Pacers side. While Cleveland has struggled with Indiana this season except for one win by seven points, it has struggled in this situation all season against most teams. The Cavaliers are 11-21 ATS this season against teams shooting 46 percent or better from the floor while going 3-16 ATS as home favorites between 6.5 and 12 points. Indiana meanwhile is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against winning teams and it has covered six straight games following a loss. Additionally, we play on road teams allowing 103 or more ppg, after trailing their last two games by double-digits at halftime. This situation is 150-89 ATS (62.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (711) Indiana Pacers |
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04-25-18 | Braves -103 v. Reds | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Braves nearly pulled off the great comeback last night as they scored four runs in the ninth inning to tie the game only to eventually lose in overtime. Atlanta has lost the first two games of this series as the pitching has uncharacteristically struggled by allowing 19 runs, but we expect a better effort tonight. The Reds have now won consecutive games for the first time this season, but they are at a huge disadvantage tonight. Matt Wisler will be making his second start on the season after a great opener. He allowed one run on two hits, no walks and eight strikeouts in seven innings against the Mets and he became the first and still only Braves starter to hit the seven-inning mark this season. He made two starts at Gwinnett, carrying a no-hitter into the sixth inning of his second outing and observers said it was the best he had looked in a long time. He pitched in 20 games last season, making one start, and posting an 8.35 ERA with 22 strikeouts and 14 walks. He allowed 30 earned runs in 32.1 innings but has a new attitude this season and has become more aggressive on the mound. The Reds counter with Brandon Finnegan who is making his third start as injuries have derailed him the last tow years. He sustained a strained left trapezius last April after three starts. Upon his return in June, he strained the teres major muscle near his left shoulder in the fourth inning of his comeback outing. He opened this year on the DL and his first two starts have been awful as he has allowed nine runs in 7.1 innings. 10* (955) Atlanta Braves |
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04-24-18 | Nationals -111 v. Giants | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has been a miserable start for the Nationals as they are now 10-13 following their third straight loss in the series opener last night against the Giants. The offense, which should be one of the best in baseball, has scored just five runs during this recent losing skid and they are hitting only .230 on the season. They are without a couple key pieces but going back, they are 13-4 in their last 17 road games after batting .200 or worse over a five-game span. The Giants have also been bad to open the season as they are 10-12 and are already 5.5 games out of first place in the National League West. They have won two straight games but going back, they are 9-20 in their last 29 after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Washington hands the ball to Tanner Roark who has pitched very well with a 3.24 ERA and 0.92 WHIP through four starts, posting quality outings in three of those. Both road starts have been quality performances and the Giants have been a favorite target as he has a 1.00 ERA in four starts, all resulting in victories. Ty Blach has been pretty good through five starts as he has a 4.10 ERA, but he has a 1.59 WHIP and his numbers go up a lot more at home where the Giants are 0-2. Here, we play against National League underdogs that are allowing 3.5 or fewer rpg, after allowing four runs or less three straight games. This situation is 83-33 (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (911) Washington Nationals |
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04-24-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -3 | Top | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The home team has held serve through the first four games of this series and we expect that to continue Tuesday. The Celtics are 29-14 at home while the Bucks are five games under .500 and on the season, Boston is 14-7 ATS at home against winning teams. One key factor Boston has dominated in this series is the offensive glass. The Celtics have won the offensive rebounding battle against the Bucks in all four games and by a combined 53-21. This sets up a lot more second chance opportunities where they need to continue to take advantage of. During the regular season, the Celtics were No. 1 in the league allowing teams to shoot just 33.9 percent from long range. In the playoffs, they are dead last, allowing the Bucks to shoot 43.6 percent. Milwaukee was no where near that percentage during the regular season, so we can expect some regression. On the flip side, Boston is shooting below its average from beyond the arc and the last two games have been especially bad, so the return home will help. Boston is 18-4 ATS this season revenging a loss where the opponent scored 100 or more points while Milwaukee is just 18-30 ATS in its last 48 games coming off a home win. Additionally, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Boston Celtics |
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04-24-18 | Braves -118 v. Reds | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Cincinnati Picked up a rare win last night in this series opener as the offense tied a season-high with 10 runs as it broke open a close game with a five-run sixth inning. The Reds are off to the worst start in franchise history as they are now 4-22 and have yet to win consecutive games, going 0-3 following a win and getting shut out twice in the process. The Braves are still three games over .500 and trail the Mets by 2.5 games in the National League East. They have been a great bounce back team, going 7-1 following a loss and going back, they are 9-1 in their last 10 games revenging a loss where the opponent scored 10 or more runs. Brandon McCarthy gets the ball for Atlanta and he has been a great addition to this rotation as he has posted a 2.91 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in four starts, all resulting in Braves wins. His numbers are better on the road than at home as he has allowed just four runs in 11 innings against the National and Rockies. The Reds received a great first start from Tyler Mahle, but he has struggled over his last three starts, posting a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. The Braves have a great situation on their side as we play against home underdogs with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last five games. This situation is 81-32 (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (901) Atlanta Braves |
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04-24-18 | Twins +130 v. Yankees | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Yankees handed Minnesota a 14-1 loss in this series opener, the first meeting since they defeated the Twins in the A.L. Wild Card last season. New York is starting to get the offense grooving as it has scored 28 runs during its three-game winning streak but the pitching should be overshadowed as they have allowed only three runs to improve to 12-9 on the season. Minnesota has lost four straight games to fall under .500 for the first time since losing opening Day. The pitching has been atrocious as the Twins have allowed 40 runs during this recent skid, but they turn to their ace tonight to put an end to the bleeding. Jose Berrios takes the hill for his fifth start and he has been sensational as he has a 1.63 ERA and 0.58 WHIP through four starts. He had a poor outing against Seattle, but his other three starts resulted in no runs allowed over 23 innings. He faced the Yankees twice last season and allowed just four runs in 10 innings. C.C. Sabathia continues to pitch well as he has a 2.70 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in three starts but he has not gone past five innings as he has been pulled before serious damage occurs. The Twins are hitting well against lefties and they are 5-1 in their last six games against left-handed starters. Here, we play against home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are outscoring opponents by 1 or more rpg on the season, after scoring 10 runs or more. This situation is 36-22 (62.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (915) Minnesota Twins |
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04-23-18 | Padres v. Rockies -155 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Rockies lost a tough game yesterday as they nearly rallied from a 6-0 deficit against the Cubs. The defeat was the third in its last four games for Colorado and in those losses, it allowed 10, 16 and 9 points but the pitching is in good position tonight as far as quality starter and facing a poor offense. The Rockies have taken on the Cubs, Pirates and Nationals in their last three series and all three of those teams are ranked in the top half of the league in runs scored. That is not the case with the Padres as they are averaging just 3.65 rpg which is tied for eighth lowest while their .219 batting average is tied for second lowest in MLB. San Diego has lost five of its last six games and the poor offense is to blame as it has managed only 2.8 rpg in those five losses. The Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Chad Bettis takes the hill for Colorado and he is off to a sensational start as he is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in four starts with all of those resulting in Colorado victories. He has dominate San Diego throughout his career as he has a 2.96 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 12 games and going back, the Rockies are 14-3 in his last 17 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Padres counter with Bryan Mitchell who has shown signs of solid pitching but has also blown up in two of his four starts. Overall, he has a 5.03 ERA in four starts, all San Diego losses, and that including allowing five runs in five innings against Colorado and that was at home. This is his first experience at Coors Field. 8* (954) Colorado Rockies |
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04-23-18 | Rockets -6 v. Wolves | Top | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We were on the Timberwolves on Saturday as they cut the Houston deficit in this series in half, but we are expecting the Rockets to respond and retake control. Part of the reason for backing the Timberwolves in Game Three was the fact it was the first home playoff game in Minnesota is 13 years and while letdown may be the wrong term here, there is little chance there is as much energy as there was on Saturday night. As mentioned, the Rockets were unconscious in the first two games of this series from long range, going a combined 38-82 (46.3 percent) but they were just 5-41 (36.6 percent) in Game Three and we expect a reversal of that especially from James Harden who is 4-18 over the last two games from behind the arc. A turnaround on defense can also be expected as Minnesota shot 50 percent from the floor and put up 121 points in Game Three, but the Timberwolves averaged 91.5 ppg in the first two games and shot just 38.8 percent from the field in Game Two. Houston dominated this series during the regular season as well and the loss on Saturday was just the third over the last 23 meetings. The Rockets have been excellent at payback as they are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games revenging a loss while going 18-7 ATS in their last 25 road games after allowing 115 points or more. Meanwhile, Minnesota is 13-26 ATS in its last 39 games after scoring 115 or more points in its previous game. 10* (509) Houston Rockets |
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04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets -105 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for out NHL Monday Breakaway. Washington put an end to the four-game winning streak from the road teams in this series as it won on home ice Saturday in overtime. It was obviously a big win for the Capitals as they had lost four of their previous five home games and they can now win this series without having to win another game in Toronto. They hit the road where they are a solid 23-15-4 including seven straight wins and that is playing into this line. Columbus returns home where it is 26-13-4 and will be out to snap a three-game losing streak on home ice. This is obviously a must win for the Blue Jackets as things have not gone their way after opening the series with a 2-0 lead. They were beaten in double overtime in Game Three at home, struggled in Game Four, and then played possibly their best game of the series on Saturday but were not rewarded. They allowed seven goals in the first two games at home after entering the postseason allowing just 2.37 gpg which is second best in the NBA. This has been a tough spot for the Capitals as they are 9-18 against the moneyline in their last 27 games when attempting to close out a playoff series. Additionally, we play on home teams against the moneyline after allowing four goals or more in a loss to a division rival going up against an opponent after a home game where both teams scored three or more goals. This situation is 32-9 (78 percent) since 1996. 10* (20) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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04-22-18 | Cavs +1 v. Pacers | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland CAVALIERS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Cavaliers are once again in a hole as they lost Game Three and as the series goes on, the games following a loss become that much more important. This series has been made up of runs by both sides as the Pacers had it in Game One, the Cavaliers had it in Game Two, and they shared it in Game Three, with Indiana having it last to take the series lead. Cleveland has been down 3-1 before and came back to win but that is not an ideal situation but the pressure here is on Indiana as a 2-2 series going back to Cleveland puts the Pacers in a bad spot. The Cleveland defense has stepped it up in this series and it is the offense that has looked uneven as LeBron James has been the only consistent threat thus far. There is concern that point guard George Hill could mis this game but that would not be a bad thing as he brings nothing to the table. He is averaging 8.7ppg and 1.7 apg in this series which are horrible for a point guard and when he was out earlier in the season, Cleveland went 4-1 with the lone loss coming by two points at Philadelphia. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 93-49 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (507) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-22-18 | Raptors v. Wizards +2.5 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. We saw how good Washington can be when both John Wall and Bradley Beal are playing well together, and more importantly, on the floor together. They scored a combined 56 points on 52.4 percent shooting on Friday after both sat out for long stretches in Game Two because of foul trouble. The home floor energized the entire team in Game Three and we expect that to carry over where the Wizards are now 4-1 ATS in their last five games at home. Toronto can take over this series with a win and while its 24-17 road record looks good, it is skewed. Going back to December 26, the Raptors are 14-10 in their last 24 road games which is respectable, but they are 11-1 in that stretch against non-playoff teams while going 3-9 against teams that are still playing. Following the Friday loss, the Raptors are 6-11 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record including 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record and they have a situation on their side as we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that have covered six or seven of their last eight games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 76-39 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Washington Wizards |
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04-22-18 | Giants v. Angels -108 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Angels snapped a four-game slide with a win over the Giants last night as they received a strong pitching performance from Garrett Richards while getting the offense going after a dismal four runs being scored during the losing streak. They remain a half-game behind the Astros in the American League West and this is a crucial game to keep the momentum going as Los Angeles heads to Houston for a three-game series starting tomorrow and then is back home for a three-game set against the Yankees. San Francisco has been awful of late as the loss last night dropped it to 6-12 over its last 18 games and on the season, it has scored three runs or less in 12 of its 20 games. The Giants are averaging 3.1 rpg which is second worst in all of baseball, ahead of only the lowly Reds. Jaime Barria will be making his second career start following a very strong MLB debut as he allowed just one run and one hit, which was a home run, in five innings against the Rangers. He broke out in 2017 with an excellent season at three levels: 2.48, 57/13 K/BB in 65 innings in the California League; 3.21, 47/15 K/BB in 62 innings in the Southern League; 2.45, 13/3 K/BB in 15 innings in the Pacific Coast League. Johnny Cueto has been outstanding thus far as he has allowed just one run in three starts yet he is just 2-1 and could be 1-2 as San Francisco has given him one run in two of those games. He faces a tough offense and not having the run support will cost him again. 10* (930) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-22-18 | Penguins v. Flyers +150 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA FLYERS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. The Flyers once again have life as they took down the Penguins on the road to close the gap in this series to 3-2. This is similar to last night as Columbus and Washington had four straight games where the road team won and now this is the case in this series. The Penguins won both games here but now their line is more inflated than it should be and they could be without Evgeni Malkin and at the very least, he is not close to 100 percent. We were waiting for goalie confirmation for this one and we got what we wanted. The Flyers will give Michal Neuvirth a second straight start as he looked to build momentum from his win on Friday. Even though it is a small sample size, Neuvirth will look for his fourth postseason win in his last five appearances as since Game Four of the 2016 series in Washington, he is 3-1 to go along with a 1.33 GAA and .960 save percentage, stopping 144 of the 150 shots he has faced. He helped shut down the five power play opportunities for the Penguins in Game Five. The Penguins are just 19-20-4 on the road this season and while they have won both in this series, this will be the first time not facing Brian Elliott which has been a big advantage for them. 10* (74) Philadelphia Flyers |
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04-22-18 | Pirates +122 v. Phillies | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Pirates have come back to earth after a great start to the season as they have dropped the first three games of this series and look to avoid the sweep today. The offense has been completely shut down by Aaron Nola, Ben Lively and Jake Arrieta and while they face another tough arm today, it is the best of the bunch to get the bats going after scoring three runs total in the first three games of this series. The Phillies turnaround continues to flourish as they are one game out of first place in the National League East with a 13-7 record. They have lost just one game at home and while the start to this series has been impressive, the other five home wins have come against the Reds and Marlins which are a combined 8-32. Nick Pivetta gets the ball for Philadelphia and while he possesses a 2.49 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in four starts, he has not been as dominating as those numbers may show. He shut down the aforementioned Reds and Marlins at home, but he was average in his other two starts, both coming against the Braves. He struggled at home last season with a 5.34 ERA and facing a tough offense today that is due is not a good situation. The Pirates counter with Trevor Williams who has been just as dominant and against much stronger offenses. He has a 1.93 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in four starts and it is no fluke as he has a 3.01 ERA in 17 starts since the All Star Break last season. 10* (901) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-21-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +6.5 | Top | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Like the Wizards in their series against a No. 1 seed, the Timberwolves have their backs against the wall, but a return home should energize them and get them back into the series. Houston showed its depth in Game One as James Harden scored only 12 points on 2-18 shooting, but the Rockets were still able to win by 20 points. Second chance points were a big part of that game for Houston and that has to change and the one player than can turn that around is Karl Anthony-Towns. He has been held in check as he has scored just 13 points combined but has decent on the boards but can still improve there as well. The Timberwolves are 30-11 at home and while two of those losses came against Houston, the rockets were unconscious in both of those games from long range, going a combined 38-82 (46.3 percent) and we do not see that continuing here. This is the first home playoff game in 13 years for Minnesota so to say it will be a crazy atmosphere is an understatement. The Timberwolves are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games while the Rockets have failed to cover their last four road games and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight game against the Western Conference. Here, we play on home underdogs after a game where they failed to cover the spread, playing their third game or less games in 10 days. This situation is 105-65 ATS (61.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (722) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-21-18 | 76ers -3 v. Heat | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The Sixers had their 17-game winning streak snapped at home in Game Two of this series because of a memorable performance from Dwyane Wade off the bench as he poured in 28 points, the first time he has scored more than 13 points since early March. He did not come close to backing that up in Game Three and no one on this team has the ability to step up right now. With Joel Embiid back on the floor, Philadelphia showed what a dominant team it has become as it shot 50.6 percent from the floor in its 20-point win on Thursday in Game Three. Miami did defeat the Sixers at home twice during the regular season and a main reason for that was the play of Hassan Whiteside, but he has been nonexistent in this series as he has scored a combined 11 points in the three games as he continues to deal with foul troubles and a place in the doghouse with head coach Eric Spoelstra. The Sixers are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 games coming off a road win and 21-11 ATS in their 32 games this season coming off a double-digit win. Additionally, we play against home teams in April games coming off a home loss by 20 or more points. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (717) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1 | Top | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Washington has dug itself into a 0-2 hole in this series with tonight being a must win situation. We saw the Spurs and Blazers unable to get back into their respective series, but Washington is in a very doable situation as it heads back home. The Toronto offense has been the story of this series as it has averaged 122 ppg on 52.4 percent shooting which has covered up the fact that Washington has been pretty solid on that side of the ball (109.6 points per 100 possessions, fifth-best out of the 16 playoff teams through two games). This is excellent considering Bradley Beal has been absent through the two games and we should see him get his game going tonight. Letting Toronto win the first two games comfortably was surprising as while the Wizards struggled all season with teams with records under .500, they knocked off nine playoff-bound opponents after the All Star Break. Toronto has been a strong road team this season, but the Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 80-43 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (714) Washington Wizards |
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04-20-18 | Twins +117 v. Rays | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Minnesota split with the Indians in its two-game set in Puerto Rico following a 16-inning victory on Wednesday. The Twins are 8-5 to maintain their half-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central. Tampa Bay won its most recent series against Texas but brings in a 1-11 record against winning teams and it is overpriced in this spot. Despite a 5-13 record, Tampa Bay is the favorite for the 10th straight game and that is because of who is on the hill for the Rays but even that is not deserving. Chris Archer is coming off a poor outing last time out and many will be ready to back him here to bounce back but there is no reason to think he will. He is considered the ace of the staff and that moniker does not hold up much anymore. Once considered an ace, Archer's struggles date back to last season when he allowed 18 earned runs in 21.2 innings in September and adding on to this season, he has allowed 36 earned runs in his last 42.1 innings. His best season came in 2015 when he posted a 3.23 ERA in 212 innings, but he has not been able to keep his ERA under 4.00 since then. Lance Lynn finally gets to pitch again as he has been off for 10 days due to multiple postponements, travel and rotation alignment. He got roughed up in his first start with Minnesota but bounced back with a five-inning shutout against the Astros in his last outing. He faces an offense that is averaging just 2.8 rpg at home against right-handed pitching and has scored three runs or less in half of their games. 10* (921) Minnesota Twins |
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04-19-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -105 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. We were on the wrong end of this game last night as the Red Sox won again and have taken the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-1. Boston has won six straight games by an average score of 7.5-1.8 and not many bettors will be getting in its way, but we have seen this moneyline come down despite the majority of the early money coming in on the Red Sox. Going back, Boston is 7-15 in its last 22 games after scoring eight runs or more two straight games. The Angels great start to the season has bene slowed the last two nights as two of their top starters have been bashed while the offense has been completely shut down. The Angels are still 4-1 in their last five games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Eduardo Rodriguez takes the hill for Boston and while he has a solid 3.72 ERA, he has a 1.45 WHIP as his command has not been sharp. This sets up well for the Angels as they are 8-0 in their last eight games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 0-6 in his last six starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Nick Tropeano is making his second start of the season after tossing 6.2 shutout innings in his first outing. Going back, the Angels are 7-1 in his last eight starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (966) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. has dominated the first two games of this series, winning by 21 and 15 points and it is a big public consensus again tonight as not many are giving the Spurs any chance in this series to win a game. This is the game to win as San Antonio heads home where it is 33-8 on the season including 11 straight wins. This recent winning streak includes victories against eight current playoff teams although the win over Golden St. does come with an asterisk as none of the big four played, but all the others were legit. The Spurs offense will have to get better and it has been much more efficient at home this season and they have been a great bounce back team as they are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 home games after three straight games where they shot 42 percent or worse from the floor. Despite the two recent covers, Golden St. is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 while going 3-11 ATS in its 14 games this season coming off two or more consecutive home wins. Additionally, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3, coming off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 80-42 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (528) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-19-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs +107 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Thursday Power Play. Toronto came through for us on Monday and we expect the Maple Leafs to even up this series after tonight as this is the only series where the home team has taken all three games. We played on the Lightning last night and along with the Predators, they were able to take a commanding 3-1 lead with road wins, but this line is telling us Boston is not in the same strong spot as those two teams. While they have been decent on the road, home ice has been great for the Maple Leafs as they are 30-10-2 here, one of only three teams in the league to have at least 30 home wins. Additionally, they have won five straight home games against teams with a winning road record. Boston has now dropped five straight road games and they have struggled against good home teams most of this season as the Bruins have dropped 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a home winning percentage of .600 or greater. The Bruins went 0-1 with the power play on Monday and this has been a strength of Toronto as it is 15-2 in its last 17 games against teams making 17.5 percent or more of their power play chances. The home team has won six of seven meetings this season with the lone road win coming by Toronto in Boston and we are banking on home ice coming through again. 10* (2) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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04-18-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -123 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. The Red Sox continued their torrid start to the season as they are the first team to get to Angels pitcher Shohei Ohtani as they knocked him around for three runs on four hits and two walks in just two innings but a lot of that can be attributed to a blister. Boston is now 14-2 which is the best record in baseball by two games as it has won five straight heading into tonight in the second game of this three-game series. The Angels had their seven-game winning streak snapped last night as they fell behind 8-0 in the third inning and basically tossed in the towel after that. Los Angeles is now 13-4 so it is not far off of the Red Sox so the fact it is favored tonight should not come as a surprise, yet the public is all over Boston. Tyler Skaggs is off to a great start as he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in three starts, all Angels victories. He has battled injuries throughout his career but when healthy, he has a nasty curveball that is a strikeout pitch against either left-handed or right-handed batters. Boston is hitting just .228 against left-handed pitching and going back, the Angels are 8-3 in his last 11 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The Rick Porcello of 2016 has reappeared after a rough season last year as he is 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in three starts. However, two of those starts came against the Rays and the other against the Yankees, two teams he has dominated throughout his career. 9* (926) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-18-18 | Indians v. Twins +112 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 112 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Indians grabbed the first game of this two-game series that is taking place in San Juan, Puerto Rico thanks to a solid performance from Corey Kluber and an offense that is starting to find its way. Cleveland has won six of its last seven games as the pitching has been dominant, allowing more than three runs only once while giving up an average of just 2.1 rpg. But while the offense might be turning the corner, the Indians are still hitting just .208 which is lowest in all of baseball as is its .284 OBP. Minnesota had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss yesterday, but it can hardly be faulted considering it had four days off because of three postponements and a travel day. The Twins are now 7-5 and have won three of their first four games following a loss with that one defeating coming against Justin Verlander. We expect the Indians to continue their offensive struggles tonight against Jose Berrios who is off to a solid start. He has posted a 2.18 ERA and 0.63 WHIP through three starts and it is important to note that he is on normal rest despite all of the off days. He had 139 strikeouts in 145.2 innings last season and this year, he has a 24:1 K:BB ratio in 20.2 innings. Berrios is from Bayamon, which is only a few miles from San Juan, so this is a big game for him. Carlos Carrasco is off to a 3-0 start with a 3.48 ERA and 0.87 WHIP but his lone start away from home was a bad one against Seattle and another dud here would not be a surprise. 10* (924) Minnesota Twins |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland CAVALIERS for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Indiana on Sunday in a wire-to-wire victory, but we will be backing the Cavaliers tonight in a bounce back situation. This goes along with the bounce angle, or zig-zag theory, in the NBA playoffs which has been an up and down philosophy over the years. The theory is to back the team that lost the previous game and while it was highly successful years ago, linesmakers have adjusted more recently so these zig-zag spots have to be chosen more carefully. One of those is tonight. The loser of Game One is just 1-4 ATS in Game Two thus far but tonight we have a situation that involves reverse line movement. As of Wednesday morning, over 60 percent of tickets and money are on the Pacers, yet the line is moving the other way and backing the lesser bet team has paid off in the postseason despite what may seem like a bad line. Since 2005, playoff favorites receiving 40 percent or fewer of spread tickets have gone 31-17-2 ATS (64.6%) when there is reverse line movement, which is the case for Cleveland. The Cavaliers cannot shoot any worse than they did in Game One as they shot 38.5 percent from the floor including a ridiculous 25 percent from outside of five feet. You will hear some media talking about how Indiana shot lights out but that was not the case it shot below its season average and that was against what is considered a bad defense. It comes down to Cleveland shooting tonight. Additionally, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home losses, in April games. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (518) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-18-18 | Rangers v. Rays -109 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. Tampa Bay won the opener of this series prior to Texas tying it up last night as two last place teams conclude the three-game set this afternoon. The Rays won for us two nights ago as they scored a season-high eight runs, but the offense got stymied last night against Matt Moore of all pitchers who came in with an 8.76 ERA. The advantage goes to Tampa Bay tonight as it will be facing a left-handed starter for the third straight game. Texas is now 7-12 on the season as it scored a season-high seven runs last night as its offense has also been a detriment. While the Rays are myriad in a slump that can be broken, the Rangers are dealing with a rash of injuries as Elvis Andrus, Delino DeShields and Rougned Odor are all on the shelf. The Rangers are Rangers are 0-6 in their last six games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Cole Hamels gets the ball for Texas and it is starting to show that his best days are behind him. He is averaging 89.8 mph with his four-seam fastball, the one that is supposed to explode through the strike zone and that has led to his seven home runs allowed, most in the league. Jake Faria has some horrible numbers through three starts but that is attributed to a bad start in Boston as his two starts at home have resulted in a 1.93 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. In eight career home starts, he has allowed one earned run in five of those and three runs or less seven times. 10* (916) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -121 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES KINGS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. This is not what the Kings envisioned as even though they were the underdog in this series, they did not expect to be down 3-0 after three games and making it tougher to swallow is that they were all one-goal losses. They have now lost four straight games and history is not on their side, but they have been part of history. Los Angeles is one of only four teams in NHL history to win a series after falling behind 0-3, doing so in the first round of their Stanley Cup run against the San Jose Sharks in 2014. Additionally, Kings head coach John Stevens coached the 2010 Flyers, one of the other teams to come back from a 3-0 deficit and was associate coach to Darryl Sutter in 2014 so his history is even better. What Vegas has done this season is nothing short of incredible and it no doubt wants to end this series sooner rather than later. The Kings are desperate team and they have 11 holdovers from that 2014 team so there will be no quit. They fall into a situation where we play on home favorites against the moneyline in the second half of the season after losses in four or more consecutive games, winning with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 80-29 (73.4 percent) since 1996. Additionally, Los Angeles is 15-3 in its last 18 games against the moneyline playing with triple revenge while going 15-2 in its last 17 games against the moneyline after scoring two goals or less in four straight games. 10* (56) Los Angeles Kings |
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04-17-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -122 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Cardinals remain on the road fresh off a four-game sweep over the Reds, but Cincinnati is expected to be one of the worst teams in the league and that is already showing. Pitching led the way over the weekend and that has been a bright spot all season as the 3.30 ERA is ninth best in baseball and that is keeping this line within reason. St. Louis has dropped five of its last seven series openers while the Cubs have won nine of their last 12 opening games of a series and they will be ready to go after a second straight rainout yesterday. Chicago rallied from a 10-2 deficit on Saturday which could be the spark it needs after an inconsistent start to the season. Tyler Chatwood gets the ball for the Cubs and after a great opening start, he struggled last time out as he allowed five runs in five innings against the Pirates. This is not a bad thing as over the last two-plus seasons, he has allowed five runs or more nine times and bounced back by allowing three runs or less in eight of those follow up starts. Adam Wainwright counters for the Cardinals and he is coming off a good start against the Brewers after opening the season with a dud against Arizona. This is his first road outing of the season and since coming back in 2016 from an Achilles injury, he has a 6.62 ERA over 30 games on the highway. 10* (960) Chicago Cubs |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Washington played Toronto tough for three quarters but a flagrant foul by Mike Scott early in the fourth quarter gave the Raptors a spark which led to a 7-0 run that eventually put the game away. The win snapped a 10-game losing streak of series opening losses so while that gives Toronto some positive momentum, the Wizards are in a good spot to keep another game close and this time throughout the entire contest. A big key for Washington is John Wall as he put up decent numbers in Game One, but he needs to be more efficient. He needed 20 field-goal attempts to get his 23 points, and his 15 assists came attached to five turnovers. One of the biggest differences in Game One was the shooting from the perimeter, as the Raptors doubled the Wizards with a franchise playoff best 16 made three-pointers on 30 attempts. We expect that percentage to come down in Game Two. Despite the win and cover, the Raptors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, we play on road underdogs after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread going up against an opponent after having covered two of their last three games against the spread. This situation is 178-114 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (705) Washington Wizards |
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04-16-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -105 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. This play sets up very similar to the Minnesota play yesterday as Toronto went to Boston and nothing went right as it lost both games by four goals each. Now, the Maple Leafs are in must win mode as a 3-0 deficit in this series means it is over. While they have been decent on the road, home ice has been great for the Maple Leafs as they are 29-10-2 here including a perfect 6-0 record when coming off a divisional loss by two goals or more. Additionally, they have won four straight home games against teams with a winning road record. Boston hits the road where it has lost four straight games and the eight-goal scoring differential in the first two games has kept this moneyline lower than it should be based on the bounce angle. They have struggled against good home teams moist of this season as the Bruins have dropped nine of their last 13 games against teams with a home winning percentage of .600 or greater. They also fall into a negative situation as we play against road teams against the moneyline that are coming off two consecutive home wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent off a road loss by three goals or more. This situation is 30-9 (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (28) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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04-15-18 | Jets v. Wild -100 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. We played on Minnesota Friday thinking it could get back into the series and steal a game in Winnipeg but the Wild gave it away late after a strong start defensively. They were outshot 44-17, after getting outshot 40-20 in Game One, so a shift to home ice is important to avoid what many are thinking will be a runaway series for Winnipeg. Minnesota is 27-6-8 and those six regulation losses are the fewest in the NHL, so it is in good shape to get back into this series. The Wild have lost three straight games only once this season and they are 13-1 following consecutive losses including going 6-0 following consecutive road losses. The Jets have now won seven straight games, the last four coming at home, and while it has been a solid road team this season, most of the success has come against non-playoff teams. Over its last 29 road games, the Jets have 13 wins but only four of those have been against current playoff teams. Winnipeg is 1-7 on the road this season following three consecutive wins and it falls into a negative situation where we play against road teams when the moneyline is -100 to -150 off a win by two goals or more over a division rival going up against an opponent off a loss by three goals or more to a division rival. This situation is 26-10 (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (22) Minnesota Wild |
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04-15-18 | A's -112 v. Mariners | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Seattle has won four straight games to improve to 8-4 on the season and it looks to keep the momentum rolling along before a visit from Houston starting Monday. The Mariners bats have woken up as they have scored 29 runs over this recent four-game stretch but do not see that continuing today. Going back, Seattle is 9-20 against the moneyline in its last 29 home games against A.L. starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. Oakland looks to salvage a game from this series and avoid the sweep today following a 10-8 loss last night. The starting pitching has been a real struggle for Oakland and has played a big role in its 5-10 start, but we are expecting a reversal of that today with Sean Manaea taking the hill. He is off to a strong start with a 1.74 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through three starts. He is the real deal and while looking back at last season as seeing his 4.37 ERA might not show that, three bad starts inflated that. Take those out and his ERA drops to 3.51 so looking just at the big picture can skew numbers as he allowed three runs or less in 21 of 29 starts. The public is all over Felix Hernandez as a slight underdog, but he is no longer the dominating pitcher he used to be. He is off to a rough start this season with a 6.60 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three starts with none of those being quality outings. His 8:8 K:BB ratio shows his overpowering days are a thing of the past. 10* (975) Oakland A's |
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04-15-18 | Pacers +7 v. Cavs | Top | 98-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Many are predicting the Cavaliers to once again make it our of the east and while that is not a bold statement, the gap between the Cavaliers and every other team has shrunk. They are laying a number they do not deserve to be laying as the power rankings do not call for it and neither does the Cleveland history from this season as it is 3-14 ATS as a home favorite between 6.5 and 12 points. The Cavaliers have 19 wins over top 16 teams in the league and that is tied for third fewest among all playoff teams (Indiana has 21). The Pacers bring some momentum into the postseason as they have won seven of their last 10 which includes the season ending loss where the starter sat and going back, they are 14-7 since the start of March and 18-9 since mid-February. Indiana held its own against the Cavaliers this season, winning three of the four meetings which could make this a very interesting series and one that will not be as easy as some may think and a lot of that will come down to the poor Cleveland defense. Here, we play against home favorites after allowing 100 points or more in five straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 59-26 (69.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (511) Indiana Pacers |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We won with the Blazers in their final regular season game as they were able to lock down the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference but more importantly, they put an end to their four-game losing streak. It was a difficult stretch leading up to Wednesday as seven of their previous nine games were on the road where they finished 21-20 on the season. Portland has to take advantage of its home floor and it has been hot, covering 20 of their last 27 home games. Additionally, they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg with the average scoring margin being more than 10 ppg. New Orleans won its final five games of the regular season to nail down a playoff spot. Three of those games were on the road and while a win over Golden St. was good, the Warriors have not been the same team. The Pelicans lost their previous three road games against playoff teams and while the road has been good overall, they are just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games coming off a double-digit win. They fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a divisional win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (508) Portland Trailblazers |
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04-14-18 | Phillies v. Rays -119 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We played on Tampa Bay last night and lost a tough 2-1 game as the Phillies scored the game winning run in the ninth inning. We are backing the Rays again tonight for many of the same reasons. As mentioned yesterday, they have played a tough schedule thus far and while the offense has struggled but they have faced some tough starters and speaking of starters, Tampa Bay owns a 2.59 ERA at home from its starting pitching after another strong start from Jake Faria. The Phillies picked up just their second road win last night as they are 2-4 on the highway. Philadelphia is hitting only .184 on the road and has scored just 16 runs in those six games and it faces another tough starter tonight. Chris Archer has not been at his best yet this season, but he faced the Red Sox and Yankees in his first two starts where he allowed eight runs in 11 innings. He is coming off his best start against the White Sox as he was a third of an inning short of a quality outing. He is back home where he has dominated with a career 3.24 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 812 starts. Jake Arrieta gets the ball for the Phillies and he is coming off an average opening start against the Marlins where he allowed three runs in just four innings. His dominating days may be behind him. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse, after two straight one run losses. This situation is 66-35 (65.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (930) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-13-18 | Wild +175 v. Jets | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Winnipeg won the first game of this series on Wednesday as it rallied from a 2-1 deficit in the third period to win the first playoff game in franchise history. That is a letdown if there ever was one but more importantly, the Jets remain overpriced as they finished just 13 points ahead of Minnesota and that does not warrant a 2-1 favorite. They closed at -200 in Game One but the first series opening home playoff game in Winnipeg in over a decade made that price permissible. Minnesota has lost seven games since mid-March with five of those coming by one goal or in a shootout while its six wins over that stretch have all been by more than one goal so there has been some tough luck involved. This is the third straight season Minnesota has lost the opening game and it has dropped the previous two series, so this is a big game and the experience puts the Wild in a good spot as this is their sixth straight year playing in the postseason. The home/road splits are making Winnipeg a huge public consensus tonight but going back, it is 3-13 in its last 16 games coming off consecutive divisional wins. Meanwhile, Minnesota is 14-4 in its last 18 games off a road divisional loss and 14-5 in its last 19 games after allowing three goals or more in two straight games. 10* (53) Minnesota Wild |
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04-13-18 | Brewers +115 v. Mets | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple play. The Mets have been the surprise in the early part of the baseball season as they own the best record at 10-1 and they can attribute that to the second-best starting rotation and second-best bullpen in the National League. They have a 3.17 ERA from the starters, while the bullpen has posted a 1.49 ERA while going 5-0, the only undefeated bullpen in MLB. The offense has not been very good as they are hitting .240 and we expect that offense to struggle tonight. Milwaukee is in second place in the National League Central following a series win in St. Louis to begin the week. The Brewers are now 5-1 on the road thanks to both solid pitching and offense and both categories can shine tonight. The only loss on the season for the Mets came at home with Steven Matz on the hill and it was a game where he did not pitch well. He allowed three runs on four hits and three walks in just four innings against the Cardinals. Along with Matt Harvey, he has been the one of the two most inconsistent starters the last two seasons as he has a 5.71 ERA in 15 starts. The Brewers counter with Zach Davies who also opened with a bad start against the Cardinals but be came back with a quality outing last time out against the Cubs. This is his first start on the road and this is not a bad thing as he 2.86 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 30 road starts compared to a 4.81 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 39 home starts. 10* (957) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-13-18 | Phillies v. Rays -104 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Friday Triple play. Not much is expected this season from Tampa Bay and so far, that is panning out. The Rays are 3-9 but to their credit, the schedule has not been in their favor with seven games against the Red Sox and two games against the Yankees where they went 1-8. They are coming off a series win against the While Sox and they catch another scheduing break with the Phillies in town. The offense has struggled but they have faced some tough starters and speaking of starters, Tampa Bay owns a 2.84 ERA at home from its starting pitching. The Phillies are coming off a sweep of the Reds while going 5-1 on their homestand but they come in at just 1-4 on the road yet are overpriced tonight. Philadelphia is hitting only .189 on the road and has scored just 14 runs in those five games while the pitching has not been much better with a 5.77 ERA. Tampa Bay hands the ball to Jake Faria who was shellacked in Boston in his last outing, allowing eight runs in five hits and five walks in just 1.2 innings. He was much better in his first outing, which was at home, and that last game can be considered an anomaly as he posted a 3.43 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 16 games last season. That included a 3.02 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in seven home starts. Vince Velazquez takes the hill for Philadelphia and while he is coming off a quality start, that came against the Marlins. He was shelled on the road in Atlanta and he possesses a 4.80 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his career on the highway. 10* (980) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-12-18 | Angels v. Royals +115 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. This line came out late because of a delayed pitching decision. It has been a rough start for Kansas City as it is 3-7 after dropping two of three against the Mariners in its most recent series. The Royals offense has been non-existent as they have scored three runs or less in eight of their 10 games and their .222 average is sixth lowest in baseball, but they have a good opportunity to break out tonight. The Angels meanwhile are off to a 9-3 start including four straight wins and are the biggest public road consensus today. They have the top offense in baseball as they are hitting .284 and their 86 runs scored are by far the most in the bigs. With the small price, this is a contrarian play on the Royals as they do have a significant edge in starting pitching. Ian Kennedy gets the ball for Kansas City and he is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in his first two starts as he has allowed one run on eight hits with two walks and 13 strikeouts over 12 innings. Last season, he had some tough breaks as he was 5-13 with a 5.38 ERA but his 1.32 WHIP and .246 BAA shows he pitched better than that. Two of his best starts last season came against the Angels as he posted a 0.64 ERA and 0.50 WHIP over 14 innings. Nick Tropeano was called up from Triple-A to make his first start since July 2016 after going through Tommy John surgery. Over the last six games, the Royals have faced five top starters and the one exception was a game against Marco Gonzales where they tallied 10 runs and they are facing a similar type starter tonight. 10* (916) Kansas City Royals |
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04-11-18 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Several games tonight have playoff implications but only four of those involve both teams playing for something. This is one of those as Portland and Utah are playing for seeding and while it is more important for Utah since a loss and a win by Oklahoma City drops it into fifth place, we feel it is bigger for the Blazers just from a mental standpoint. They have lost their last four games although all of those were on the road including the final three against playoff teams. It was not that long ago that the Blazers won 13 consecutive games so ending the regular season on a 4-8 run is the last thing they want. They are 27-13 at home and the Blazers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. This is a huge game for the Jazz as mentioned but they could not be in a worse spot due to who they are playing and coming off a 40-point win over the Warriors last night. Utah has won six straight games to get into this position, but this is the first back-to-back over this stretch. While the Jazz are 7-0 in the second of a back-to-back at home, they are just 3-5 on the road and they have failed to cover their last four games playing with no rest. Additionally, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 114-62 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (720) Portland Trailblazers |
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04-11-18 | Kings +118 v. Golden Knights | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES KINGS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The feel-good story in the NHL this season was Vegas taking the Pacific Division in its inaugural season but now things take a different turn. The Golden Knights stormed out of the gates but have slowed over the last couple months as they are just 10-8-3 over their last 21 games. Home ice has not been as good either as Vegas lost just three of its first 21 home games, but it has gone just 7-6 over its last 13. Los Angeles grabbed the first Wild Card spot, but it was only three points away from second place in the Pacific, so this is not a horrible draw for the Kings. It is a contrast of styles with the potent Vegas offense against the stifling Kings defense and the playoffs favor the latter. Vegas finished fourth in the league in goals scored, possesses the 10th best power play and had the ninth most shots per game. Meanwhile the Kings allowed the fewest goals, have the best penalty kill numbers and allowed the eight fewest shots in the league. These teams split the season series at two games each and each splitting on their home ice. One key takeaway was the fact Vegas went 0-13 on the power play in those four games. The Kings fall into a solid situation where we play against home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 off a road loss by 3 goals or more, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 30-14 (68.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (7) Los Angeles Kings |
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04-10-18 | A's v. Dodgers -121 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has been a tough start to the season for the Dodgers as they are off to a 3-6 start but were able to salvage a win in San Francisco on Sunday to avoid a 0-5 roadtrip. They are 2-2 at home after opening the season with back-to-back 1-0 losses but came back with two shutouts of their own, winning 5-0 and 9-0. We can expect Los Angeles to extend its two-game home winning streak after posting the best home record in baseball the last two seasons, going 110-52. Oakland is 4-7 following a series loss against the Angels yet it is shorter than expected road underdogs here with a lot of that based on the pitching matchup. Sean Manaea has gotten off to a great start as he has a 1.15 ERA and 0.51 WHIP through two starts, posting quality outings in both. Those were both at home however and he has had his struggles on the road throughout his short career with a 4.70 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 27 road outings. Going back, the Athletics are 3-11 in his last 14 road starts against teams with a losing record. The start has not been the same for Hyun-Jin Ryu as he allowed three runs in 3.2 innings in his first start. That was in Arizona, one of the two biggest hitters parks in baseball so he can be excused. He is coming off a great season last year and head home where he has a 3.25 ERA in 38 career starts. The Dodgers are 17-5 in his last 22 home starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (928) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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04-10-18 | Celtics v. Wizards -7 | Top | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. There are two teams in action tonight that are playing for something as Philadelphia needs to win to move back a game in front of Cleveland for the No. 3 seed while Washington is looking to get out of the No. 8 spot. The Wizards are a half-game behind Miami and a win here and tomorrow against Atlanta could vault them up as the Heat face Toronto in their final game. The No. 7 spot is big as that teams would face Boston in the first round with the Celtics being the weakest of the top four teams with home court advantage. Washington could use some momentum as well as it has lost four straight games, all of which took place since John Wall returned but that is a bit skewed as he rested in two of those and the other two were on the road in Cleveland and Houston. Boston is playing out the string of the regular season as it remains without Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart and it comes into tonight losers of three of its last four games. This is an instance where we are seeing reverse line movement as the public is on Boston and it is the biggest road consensus of the night, yet we are seeing the number move the other way. Going back, Washington is 83-53 ATS in its last 136 games coming off an upset loss as a favorite. 10* (506) Washington Wizards |
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04-09-18 | Pelicans v. Clippers +7.5 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. The Western Conference playoff race is going to come down to the final day of the regular season as five teams are fighting for four spots while only the top two seeds know their positioning. This is obviously a must win game for New Orleans which is currently tied for fifth place with San Antonio and Oklahoma City, but a must win is hardly a guarantee let alone a cover. These must win teams have their prices severely inflated due to the situation as four other teams that need to win are favored by double-digits while the Pelicans are heavy road favorites. To their credit, they have been solid as road favorites this season but 10 of 12 wins have come against teams with losing records. The Clippers are missing the playoffs for the first time in seven years following their loss to Denver on Saturday. While they may be feeling the letdown from that, what makes this play a special one is the fact that it is a nationally televised game so there is no way they will lie down. They fall into a successful situation as well as we play against road favorites after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 48-24 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (718) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-09-18 | Mariners v. Royals -104 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. Kansas City has gotten off to a slow start as it is 2-5 with the offense shouldering the blame as after scoring seven runs in their season opener, the Royals have scored only nine runs over their last six games. Their wins have come by identical 1-0 scores but tonight presents a good opportunity to get the bats going. Seattle had its game postponed yesterday after an 11-4 win on Saturday and it has now allowed four runs or more in six straight games. The Mariners stick with Marco Gonzales who posted a quality outing in his first start of the season as he allowed three runs in six innings against the Giants. His issue was that he allowed two home runs after allowing eight home runs in eight starts last season. He caught a break not having to pitch in the extreme cold yesterday, but we still expect him to struggle here as five of six road starts with the Mariners have resulted in non-quality outings. Jakob Junis is coming off a great effort in his opening start as he tossed seven shutout innings against the Tigers while allowing just three hits and a walk while striking out six. He continues to fly under the radar as after an uneven start to his rookie season last year, he picked it up in August as he posted a 3.15 ERA over his last 10 starts and carried that into the spring where he put up a 1.88 ERA in 14.1 innings with a 20:1 K:BB ratio. 10* (976) Kansas City Royals |
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04-09-18 | Astros v. Twins +154 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. We had the Twins yesterday, but their game was postponed due to the possibility of snow on the way and conditions are expected to be bitter cold once again today. They go from a moderate home favorite to a significant home underdog based on the starting pitching matchup and we are going to back them again here with the cold weather negating a pitching disadvantage. Houston is off to a solid 8-2 start, but their first three series have come against teams not expected to do much this season, so this is the first test. The Twins signed Lance Lynn to shore up their starting rotation, but his first start was not what they were expecting. He allowed five runs on three hits and six walks in just four innings against the Pirates, but Pittsburgh gave him troubles when he was with the Cardinals, so we can expect a solid rebound effort here. Justin Verlander has looked great in his first two starts as he has a 2.31 ERA and 1.11 WHIP as his career resurgence continues in Houston. This one will be tough though. In his 13 seasons pitching for Detroit, he noted an icy opening day at Yankee Stadium, but he said he never pitched in a game so cold as the one expected for his start Monday. Both teams are hitting in the low .230s against right-handed pitching so the Astros supposed offensive edge is not an edge in this particular matchup. 10* (974) Minnesota Twins |
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04-08-18 | Orioles +185 v. Yankees | Top | 8-7 | Win | 185 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Sunday Afternoon Triple Play. The Yankees bounced back yesterday after losing the first two games of this series, but we will be backing Baltimore as a big underdog. The Orioles were expected to struggle this season with their pitching, but the bats have been the problem early on as they are hitting just .193 which is fourth worst in baseball, but this is a potent lineup that can crush at any time. New York sends Jordan Montgomery to the hill and he is coming off a decent opening start, but it came against Tampa Bay whose offense is expected to struggle all season. He allowed one run over five innings but issued four walks and that lack of control has hurt him in the past and could be a problem against a team like the Orioles. Baltimore counters with Mike Wright who is also making his second start of the season. Wright pitched pretty well on Tuesday but was victimized by Astros Carlos Correa, who touched him up for a two-run, inside-the-park home run and a sacrifice fly to account for all three earned runs. 10* (915) Baltimore Orioles |
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04-08-18 | Pacers -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pacers are in fifth place in the Eastern Conference with no chance to move down but they still have a shot at the No. 4 spot which would be huge. Right now, they would face the Cavaliers in the first round without home court advantage, but flipping is ideal and while the chances are slim, they are still there. Indiana is coming off one of its worst games offensively as it scored just 73 points against the Raptors on Friday, so of for nothing else, it wants to get back in the groove as this is one of the best offenses in the NBA. The Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games following a loss by 15 or more points. Charlotte meanwhile is coming off one its best games offensively as it put up 137 points against Orlando on Friday. That snapped a four-game slide, but this is a team playing for nothing at this point. Charlotte is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing against a team with a winning record and it falls into a negative situation where we play against home underdogs after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 85-38 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (503) Indiana Pacers |
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04-07-18 | Blues v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. There are numerous games today and tonight with playoff implications but most of those are one-sided situations where the moneyline have been drastically inflated. This is the only game on the slate that features a win-and-in situation and the price is more than reasonable. We won with St. Louis last night as it leapfrogged Colorado into the second Wild Card spot in the Western Conference, but the Avalanche can take it back with a victory. Colorado is 27-11-2 at home this season as it looks to snap a three-game slide, all those losses coming on the road. The Avalanche are 7-0 against the moneyline in their seven home games this season after allowing three goals or more in three straight games. The Blues snapped a four-game losing streak with the win last night so neither team is coming in with a lot of momentum. While they have been a decent road team this season, the Blues are 1-6 in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 in the second half of the season after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 191-85 (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (72) Colorado Avalanche |
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04-07-18 | Braves v. Rockies -135 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Rockies lost their home opener yesterday as German Marquez was roughed up for seven runs in just 4.2 innings after a successful season debut against the Diamondbacks. Colorado is now 4-4 on the season as the offense has yet to wake up as the Rockies are hitting just .233 which is fifth lowest in the National League. The Braves rebuild is starting to take shape as they are off to a 4-2 start thanks to a solid offense that leads the Majors in runs scored with 56 and a bullpen that has posted a 1.45 ERA, third best in the bigs. The starting pitching has been the weakness and we expect that to continue tonight with Anibal Sanchez taking the hill. He tossed three shutout innings of relief in his first appearance this season and this will be his first start. Once a very solid starter, he has been horrible the last three seasons as he has a 5.67 ERA over the last three years in 108 games. The Rockies counter with Chad Bettis who had a decent outing in his opener against the Padres where he allowed two runs over five innings. He was limited last season due to a bout with cancer, but he is healthy once again and pitching in Coors is no issue as the Rockies have won 22 of his last 30 home starts. 10* (964) Colorado Rockies |
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04-06-18 | Cavs v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 130-132 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Cavaliers won a huge game last night as they came back from 16 points down in the final quarter to move into sole possession of third place in the Eastern Conference. While that is the main story, Cleveland was down by 17 points at one point which no one will talk about, but it needs to be brought up, especially in the second game of a back-to-back. The Sixers have won 12 straight games which put them into a tie for third place at the time before last night and now they host their biggest game of the season. A win here leapfrogs them over Cleveland into the No. 3 spot with a very favorable schedule in their remaining three games so that means hosting a first round series. The Sixers have beaten a lot of bad teams during this winning streak, but they also have their share of quality wins and Cleveland has played the third easiest schedule in the league. The Sixers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg and they fall into a situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 41-18 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-05-18 | Reds v. Pirates -137 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Pirates opened the season 4-0 before losing against the Twins yesterday and we expect a bounce back tonight as they take a step down in competition. They were the last undefeated team in baseball which was surprising to come considering what they gave up in the offseason. The Reds got swept by the Nationals in their first series of the season but defeated the Cubs 1-0 on Monday to get their first win of the season. Cincinnati has been off since then as a rainout and an off day have given it two days off which is more of a disadvantage, killing early momentum. No. 1 Reds starter Homer Bailey was impressive in his opening start, but we do not expect a repeat as he allowed one run on five hits in 5.2 innings against Washington. He has not been healthy in recent years and it has impacted his performance as he posted a 4.17 ERA through 2014 when he was healthy but since then, he has a 6.18 ERA in 27 starts and while a claim can be made that he may be back to past form, he was awful this spring with a 7.50 ERA over 18 innings. Steven Brault gets the ball for the Pirates for his first start after pitching three innings of relief on opening day and picking up a win. He was impressive last season when he was inserted into the rotation and had a solid spring as well. 10* (958) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-05-18 | Warriors v. Pacers +3 | Top | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. has won three straight games as it is getting healthier heading into the playoffs starting next week. Staying healthy is the concern now with four regular season games remaining as the Warriors are locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, so the effort could be lacking while the starting players minutes could be knocked down some. Indiana is still playing for something as it is currently in the fifth spot in the Eastern Conference, two games behind Philadelphia for the fourth spot. If the Pacers stay here and the Sixers move ahead of the Cavaliers, a first round series against Cleveland looms so Indiana wants to get out of this spot and it will likely mean winning out. The Pacers are 26-13 at home and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Meanwhile, the Warriors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record and they fall into a negative situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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04-05-18 | Predators +107 v. Capitals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 107 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Thursday Power Play. Nashville is fighting for first place in the Central Division as well as first place in the entire Western Conference. It holds a three-point lead over Winnipeg with two games remaining so if it can win one of its last two games, it will clinch it all, but the goal is to get it done tonight because the Jets are playing two non-playoff teams while the Predators final game is against Columbus which is also still fighting for positioning. Washington has clinched the Metropolitan Division and while we played against the Capitals in their last game and they won a meaningless game in St. Louis, we are going against them again here. Washington is in evaluation mode at this point, mixing and matching lineups to figure out who will be in the plans once the postseason begins. Nashville possesses the best road record in the NHL so winning here is not out of the question despite the solid home ice advantage the Capitals usually possess but like was said, tonight is a different situation. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 in the second half of the season after having lost two of their last three games. This situation is 110-66 (62.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (51) Nashville Predators |
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04-05-18 | Maple Leafs v. Devils -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW JERSEY DEVILS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. With the playoffs looming, some teams have a lot on the line while some have nothing to play for and we have two teams in both categories tonight. Toronto is coming off a win in its last game but that came against Buffalo so there was not much effort needed for that one. The Maple Leafs have already clinched third place in the Atlantic Division which means they will be facing either Tampa Bay or Boston in a first round playoff series, one in which they will not have home ice advantage. New Jersey is fighting a higher seed as it currently sits in the top Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference but can still move up as a win tonight will move it into third place in the Metropolitan Division and sit just a point out of second place. A victory also officially clinches a playoff spot as it would eliminate Florida. New Jersey has won four of its last five home games and falls into a fantastic situation where we play against teams against the moneyline off a home win by three goals or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 75-48 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (56) New Jersey Devils |
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04-04-18 | Grizzlies +13.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 95-123 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. It has been a rough stretch for the Pelicans which have dropped four straight games to remain in eighth place in the Western Conference and while they have been unable to move up, more importantly they have allowed the Nuggets and Clippers to cut the gap to a half-game and a game and a half respectively. This has turned into a must win game for New Orleans, but it has not turned into a must win game that needs to be won by double-digits. It has been a brutal season for Memphis and based on the overall record and what has been at stake, the pointspreads have been overinflated which is the case here as well. The Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs and have covered four straight games against winning teams. Additionally, two situations are in play. First, we play against home favorites after three straight losses by six points or less. This situation is 47-20 (70.1 percent) since 1996. Second, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points that average between 98 and 102 going up against teams allowing 102 ppg, after allowing 105 points or more. This situation is 41-14 (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-04-18 | Mariners v. Giants -125 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Giants made a lot of noteworthy offseason moves on offense to make a run at the Dodgers and so far, not so good. San Francisco tallied just two runs in its first four games and while it put up four runs last night, it was not enough as the losing streak has now reached three games. Seattle scored four first inning runs yesterday, which led to its third win through its first four games and it will be going for the two-game sweep tonight before heading east for a pair of series against the Twins and Royals. The Mariners got a solid effort from Felix Hernandez in his season opening start as he allowed just two hits and no runs in 5.1 innings. He is no longer the overpowering pitcher he used to be, so he will be experiencing highs and lows this season and he is catching a Giants lineup that finally showed some positive signs and can carry that momentum into Wednesday. Johnny Cueto takes the hill for San Francisco and he had a memorable season opening start. He took a perfect game into the seventh inning against the Dodgers and finished with seven scoreless innings of one-hit ball. Expect another solid performance tonight. 10* (926) San Francisco Giants |
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04-03-18 | Stars v. Sharks -172 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -172 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SHARKS for our NHL Tuesday Power Play. Dallas kept its slim playoff hopes alive with a win over Minnesota on Saturday which was its final home game of the season. The problem is the Stars have to take care of business on the road and get some help along the way, but the road has not been kind. They are 14-19-5 on the highway this season including losses in eight straight with their last road win coming on February 22nd. Going back, Dallas is 1-13 in its last 14 road games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. San Jose is back home after losses in three straight games, all of which came on the road, as it looks to extend its four-game home winning streak and get closer to hosting a first round playoff series. The Sharks are two points ahead of Los Angeles and three points ahead of Anaheim for second place in the Pacific Division, the spot that gets the right to host. Their final three games of the season are at home where they are 24-11-3 and on the season, they are 9-0 in home games after allowing three goals or more two straight games this season. Additionally, we play against road teams off a home win by two goals or more going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 54-24 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 8* (68) San Jose Sharks |
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04-03-18 | Spurs v. Clippers +2 | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Western Conference playoff race is wide open as four games separate fourth place and tenth place with this game featuring both teams on each end of that group. San Antonio has won eight of its last 10 games to take over fourth place, but it has to be noted that those eight wins came at home and the two losses came on the road. The Spurs are 14-24 on the road but they come in as road favorites despite that. The Clippers are two games out of eighth place with five games remaining with two of those games coming against teams they will have to pass, Denver and New Orleans. That gives them a great opportunity to make a move but cannot afford to lose more ground before then. Four of the last five games are at home where they are 21-16 and they fall into the same situation as the other game where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (726) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-03-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -1 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Boston heads back on the road following a six-game winning streak and two-day layoff as it looks to close the gap with the Raptors which play in Cleveland tonight. The winning streak has been impressive with four victories coming against current playoff teams and all of this has been done without their best player Kyrie Irving. While going after first place is important, this game is much more important for the Bucks. Milwaukee is currently sitting in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and it can all but lock up a playoff spot with a victory as it leads ninth place Detroit by four games with five games left for each team. The Bucks are 23-15 at home and going back, they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Milwaukee falls into a great situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (712) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-03-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers -133 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Milwaukee opened the season with a three-game sweep in San Diego but lost its home opener yesterday afternoon as Zach Davies got hit hard in his first start of the season. The Brewers narrowly missed the playoffs last season and they are expected to contend once again with a potent offense and a strong top part of the rotation. St. Louis has won two straight games after a 0-2 start, but it is in a tough spot tonight as it hits the bottom of its starting rotation. Jack Flaherty takes the hill for his season opener after getting recalled from the minors to take the spot of Adam Wainwright, who was placed on the 10-day disabled list. In six appearances last season, five of them starts, he posted a 6.33 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, and those numbers were worse on the road. Milwaukee gives the ball to staff ace Chase Anderson who is making his second start after a strong debut. He threw six scoreless innings, striking out six while holding the Padres to one hit despite dealing with a stomach virus. He is coming off a great 2017 season where he went 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 25 starts. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-02-18 | Indians -117 v. Angels | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland INDIANS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Cleveland lost its opening series in Seattle as it bookended a pair of one-run losses around a one-run victory. The Indians are hitting only .186 which is second lowest in baseball while their 4.32 ERA is in the bottom half of the league but only three games in, we cannot take these numbers too seriously. This goes the other way as well as the angels are ranked within the top ten in both batting average and ERA after four games where they took three of four against Oakland including each of the last three. Now we are at the bottom of the rotation as JC Ramirez takes the hill for Los Angeles after secreting the No. 5 spot in the rotation. Ramirez began last season in the bullpen and moved into the rotation after three appearances and he was average. He finished 11-10 with a 4.15 earned-run average in 27 games and his spring was average as well as he posted a 5.40 ERA in 13.1 innings where he allowed four home runs. Mike Clevinger counters for the Indians and he is the forgotten man in this rotation that is loaded. He posted a 3.11 ERA and 1.25 in his first full season and expectations are higher this season. Clevinger made six starts this spring and was very efficient as he went 19 innings and posted a 3.79 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and .176 BAA while striking out 25 and walking just four. 10* (923) Cleveland Indians |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our National Championship Enforcer. Both Michigan and Villanova covered their numbers on Saturday as favorites and with the public flocking to the Wildcats after their dominating performance over Kansas, we are on the underdog tonight as the Wolverines are seeing a 12-point swing on the number. If Villanova goes 18-40 from long range again tonight, it will not lose but we do not anticipate another effort like that. Michigan has the defense to not let that happen and not necessarily for the actual three-point shooting defense but for the way it can attack the offense in allowing fewer attempts. During the Michigan 14-game winning streak, only twice has an opponent attempted more than its average from three-point range and the Wolverines have allowed only 27.8 percent shooting. They had it on display on Saturday as Loyola-Chicago came in averaging 18.4 three-point attempts per game and put up only 10 while making just one of those. Michigan has no issues with playing against teams that are elite as they have covered their last six games against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better while going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games against teams that shooting 45 percent or better from the floor. Additionally, they are 6-1 ATS this season as dogs of three or more points. 10* (601) Michigan Wolverines |
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04-02-18 | Capitals v. Blues -156 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Monday Power Play. St. Louis is playing itself right out of the postseason as it has lost two straight games following a six-game winning streak, but it is in a great position tonight to get back into the win column. The Blues are coming off an embarrassing loss at Arizona on Saturday 6-0 and it is now a point behind Colorado for the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference, but they can leapfrog the Avalanche with a win tonight. This recent two-game slide came on the road and the Blues are 24-15 at home including four straight. Another big factor making this an excellent spot is the fact Washington is coming off an upset win in Pittsburgh last night which clinched the Metropolitan Division so there is the letdown factor with nothing to play for. The Capitals cannot catch the Bruins or Lightning for the most points in the Eastern Conference, so nothing is in their control for the rest of the season. While they have been playing at a high level, now it is time for a rest. Washington is 4-11 in its last 15 road games when playing on back-to-back days while St. Louis is 13-3 in its last 16 games off two or more consecutive road losses. Additionally, we play on home favorites of -200 or less off two or more consecutive road losses when playing their 3rd game in five days. This situation is 115-52 (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (8) St. Louis Blues |
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04-01-18 | Pistons -1 v. Nets | Top | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pistons are hanging on by a thread for their playoff lives as they have won four straight games and with the Miami loss last night, they are four and a half games out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. Detroit won against the Knicks last night and while this is a back-to-back, there is no travel involved which makes it a lot easier. The Pistons have struggled on the road for the most part this season but that has mostly been against the top teams which is not the case tonight. We played against Brooklyn last night and it defeated the Heat in overtime for its third straight win over Miami. It also accomplished the Florida sweep as it defeated Orlando three nights earlier. The Nets are tied for the third worst record in the Eastern Conference and seventh overall and they have not won three straight games all season, going 0-5 the five previous times they won consecutive games. They are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road win by three points or less, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (515) Detroit Pistons |
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04-01-18 | Cardinals -135 v. Mets | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Mets have opened the three-game series with a pair of wins and go for the sweep today, but the Cardinals have a significant edge in the pitching matchup. The Cardinals top two starters got rocked while the Mets top two in the rotation looked as good as expected. Things switch today however as St. Louis sends Luke Weaver to the hill and an argument can be made that his stuff is good enough to make him the No. 1 starter on this staff. He was great as a rookie last season with the exception of his last two outings where he allowed 14 runs as those were an anomaly. He had a 2.05 ERA going into those final two games through 11 games and he had a sensational spring where he posted a 0.55 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in five starts over 16.1 innings. Steven Matz is on the opposite end of this discussion as he takes a step down from Noah Syndergaard and Jacob deGrom. He opened last season on the disabled list and he was not good when he came by as he had a 6.08 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 starts. He is the No. 3 option only because there is no other choice as his spring was awful as he went 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six starts over 20 innings. 10* (953) St. Louis Cardinals |
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03-31-18 | Blues -127 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. We played against St. Louis last night as it lost in overtime at Vegas and that loss coupled with the Colorado victory put it into a virtual tie with the Avalanche for the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. The Blues end the season in Colorado which could have huge playoff ramifications, but they need to take care of business prior to that. These winnable games have been good to them as they are 8-0 this season against teams with winning percentages between .250 and .400 while going back, they are 23-4 in their last 27 games against teams getting outscored by 0.5 gpg or more. Arizona is coming off a loss on Thursday in Los Angeles to conclude a respectable 3-3 roadtrip but a return home is not a great thing as the Coyotes have the second worst home record in the NHL. The timing is not good either as they are 0-4 in their last four home games following a roadtrip of seven or more days and they fall into a negative situation where we play against home underdogs coming off a road loss by two goals or more, in March games. This situation is 36-10 (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (19) St. Louis Blues |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | Top | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Final Four Enforcer. The only two No. 1 seeds to make it to the Sweet 16 square off in the Final Four and Kansas is the public consensus based on what is considered an inflated line. Typically, a battle between top seeds would have a shorter line but this is a game where Villanova has distinct advantages as we have seen thus far as it has cruised in all four games. Both teams rely on the three-point shot as a big part of their offense as they both shoot over 40 percent from long range. Villanova has a much more diverse offense, so it is the team that can survive a cold spell from outside should it occur. The Wildcats free throw shooting can be a difference as well if it is a close game late as they are hitting 83 percent over their last five games and they are No. 8 in the nation overall. They also have an extra advantage over the Jayhawks from an experience perspective since they already know what kind of pressure comes playing on a big stage like the one they are about to see in San Antonio. Kansas has had a tougher time as it had to deal with a pesky Penn team to open the tournament and it has escaped the last three games with four-point wins in each. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams that are outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg, after allowing 75 points or more three straight games. This situation is 56-21 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (814) Villanova Wildcats |
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03-31-18 | Nets v. Heat -7.5 | Top | 110-109 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami has won two straight games to remain in a tie for seventh place in the Eastern Conference and this is the spot it wants to head into the postseason. Avoiding eighth place would mean missing Toronto and playing Boston which is a preferred matchup against the banged-up Celtics. This is the second of five straight games against four of the five worst teams in the conference before closing the season against Oklahoma City and Toronto. The Heat have covered seven of their last eight home games. Brooklyn is coming off a win as it defeated Orlando on Wednesday and you have to go all the way back to January 31st to find the last time the Nets defeated a playoff bound team. The last time they defeated a playoff bound team on the road was back on December 29th and it happened to come in this building which is the first of two straight wins over the Heat and bring into play a huge situation. We play on home teams that are revenging two consecutive losses as a favorite, off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (808) Miami Heat |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5.5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Final Four Supreme Annihilator. We have been on the wrong side of Loyola-Chicago is each of the last two games, but the Cinderella season comes to an end this Saturday as the Ramblers have their worst matchup of the tournament thus far. They have not had to defend a stretch-five player like Michigan 6-foot-11 forward Moe Wagner, a likely NBA future player. Both teams shoot the ball well with excellent ball movement and both play tough defense, but this game comes down to taking care of the ball. Michigan does an excellent job protecting the ball, with the third-lowest turnover rate in the country. Loyola-Chicago can get sloppy at times, as it did in the first half of its Sweet 16 win over Nevada and it ranks 219th in turnover rate. Michigan loves to push the ball off turnovers and this is where it can have a big edge. Overall, the Wolverines have the better numbers in assist/turnover ratio on both ends of the floor. This is also a game where experience can come into play and while the Wolverine players do not have it, it is there on the sidelines. Michigan has arguably the best coach in the country in John Beilein and this is his second Final Four in six years as his team lost to Louisville in the National Championship in 2012-13. Michigan is 10-2 ATS this season against teams shooting 48 percent or better while going 13-5 ATS this season against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or better. 10* (812) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-31-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -103 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Toronto has dropped the first two games of this series as the offense was shut down by Luis Severino and Masahiro Tanaka, but it gets a chance today to finally get going. The hype with the Yankees will continue throughout the season and going against them in certain spots is the way to go based on their already inflated lines. The Blue Jays have the pitching matchup advantage yet come in as the home underdogs and we will bite. Marco Estrada dipped last season after putting together two great seasons in Toronto and we are anticipating a return to form this year. He posted a 4.98 ERA after a 3.29 ERA in the previous two years and his spring training was solid. His ERA was 4.60 but that is a poor indication of success as he had a 1.03 WHIP to go along with a 13:3 K/BB ratio. CC Sabathia is in his 10th year with the Yankees and he is actually coming off his best season since 2012. It was still average though and this could be his final season. He pitched only six innings in the spring, so it is hard to tell how much down his velocity actually is. He had his struggles against the Blue Jays last season, posting a 6.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over five starts. 10* (920) Toronto Blue Jays |
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03-30-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -4.5 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We had North Texas in Game Two of the CBI Championship and we are going to back the Mean Green for the same reasons so pardon the regurgitation of the analysis. In Game One, San Francisco was 12-18 from beyond the arc in the first half and to put that number in perspective, it had 16 made field goals in total through the first half. The Dons are typically not a good three-point shooting team to begin with and overall, they are ranked No. 247 in the country in effective field goal percentage while North Texas is ranked No. 80 in effective field goal defense so we can toss the Monday performances out. In the second game, San Francisco came back to earth as expected as it shot just 42 percent, but a shocker was that North Texas hit just 39.7 percent of its shots including going 2-18 from long range. They dominated the boards however and should again tonight which mean that just an average shooting night means a runaway win. San Francisco is just 4-8 on the road with those four wins coming against four of the bottom five teams from the WCC, none of which had winning records. The Mean Green are 13-6 at home with the four of the losses since December coming by 2, 2, 2 and 3 points and a fifth coming in overtime. 10* (520) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-29-18 | Oilers -128 v. Canucks | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS as part of our NHL Thursday Hat Trick. It has been a disappointing season for both Edmonton and Vancouver but more so for the former which came in with higher expectations. While there is not much to play for on either side as the season winds down, the Oilers do have one intangible in play still and that is Conner McDavid who leads the league in scoring and is on pace for his second straight Art Ross Trophy. While it is an individual recognition, his team is out to help. Edmonton has lost two straight games but going back, it has won three straight games against current non-playoff teams while winning four of its last five games against teams with a losing record. The Canucks meanwhile has won two straight games for the first time in nearly two months and they have not won three straight games since early December. Vancouver has lost 11 of its last 14 games following a victory while going 0-7 in its seven games this season off a home win by two goals or more. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season outscored by 0.5+ or more gpg, after allowing 2 goals or less in two straight games. This situation is 45-12 (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (17) Edmonton Oilers |
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03-29-18 | Penn State -4 v. Utah | Top | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS for our NIT Championship Enforcer. We won with Penn St. on Tuesday and we will back the Nittany Lions again here what looks like another very favorable matchup. They rolled over Mississippi St. as the game was never in jeopardy as the Nittany Lions trailed for all of 16 seconds, and then used a 24-0 run to make the game unreachable for the Bulldogs. They are comfortable at MSG as they also played the Big Ten Tournament here and the real edge is in fan support as a Penn St. contingent was present on Tuesday and will definitely be there again tonight. The Utes needed every second of the 40 minutes in order to beat Western Kentucky, who started the game up 18-5. Utah methodically erased the deficit to go onto the half tied, and used the final seconds, and back-to-back turnovers by the Hilltoppers, to finally win the game. A deficit like that here will be deadly as Penn St. will not let them back in the game. Utah is ranked No. 85 in defensive efficiency which is solid, but the Nittany Lions are ranked No. 24 so the clear edge goes to the latter and the 24-0 run that Penn St. had against Mississippi St. showed what that defense is capable of. The Nittany Lions are 10-2 ATS this season after two or more consecutive wins. 10* (711) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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03-28-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -3 | Top | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. San Francisco took Game One of this best-of-three series for the CBI Tournament Championship and now the series heads to Denton for the final two games should the game on Friday be necessary. We expect it to be as North Texas will rebound from the opener on Monday as it did not play great, but the difference was an absolute fluke. San Francisco was 12-18 from beyond the arc in the first half and to put that number in perspective, it had 16 made field goals in total through the first half. The Dons are typically not a good three-point shooting team to begin with and overall, they are ranked No. 247 in the country in effective field goal percentage while North Texas is ranked No. 80 in effective field goal defense so we can toss the Monday performances out. San Francisco is just 4-7 on the road with those four wins coming against four of the bottom five teams from the WCC, none of which had winning records. The Mean Green are 12-6 at home with the four of the losses since December coming by 2, 2, 2 and 3 points and a fifth coming in overtime. San Francisco is 1-8 ATS this season coming off a double-digit win while the Mean Green are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. 10* (518) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-28-18 | Cavs v. Hornets | Top | 118-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Cleveland had its five-game winning streak snapped in Miami last night and it was not pretty as the Cavaliers managed a mere 79 points on 36.5 percent shooting. It was their lowest scoring output on the season with their previous low being 88 points and after Tuesday, we can expect a full effort tonight. Cleveland will likely be without Kevin Love who left last night with concussion-like symptoms but if he is able to come back and play, that will be an added bonus, and all other starters were held below their normal minute-load so the back-to-back will not be as bad. Charlotte is 5.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, so it is holding out hope of a miracle run to end the season. The Hornets have won four straight games, but those games were against the Nets, Grizzlies, Mavericks and Knicks which are four of the eight worst teams in the league. Since January 20, Charlotte owns just two wins over teams with winning records, going 2-14 over that stretch. While Cleveland has struggled in this price range, the Hornets have been horrible by going 3-16 ATS as underdogs of fewer than five points. This includes a 1-7 straight up and ATS record as home underdogs where they have gone 2-13 ATS the last two years. 10* (505) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-27-18 | Mississippi State v. Penn State -2.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. Both Mississippi St. and Penn St. pulled off a pair of road upsets to make it to the NIT Semifinals. After playing a somewhat uninspired game against the Temple Owls, going on the road to beat Notre Dame and withstanding an assault from one of the best offensive teams in the country in Marquette, the Nittany Lions head back to MSG for a chance at an NIT championship. They had a good run here in the Big Ten Tournament with wins over Northwestern and Ohio St. and putting up a good fight against Purdue. Penn St. has shot at least 20 free throw attempts in each of their last five games and is averaging just under 25 attempts per game. while making just over 77 percent of those shots. Mississippi St. has peaked at the right time as well and a win at Louisville by 23 points it its last game was very impressive. The Bulldogs will have a tough time matching up against the Penn St. offense, a team that takes very good care of the ball as it commits just 11.5 tpg. Going back, Mississippi St. is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a win by 20 points or more while Penn St. is 11-3 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season. 10* (780) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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03-27-18 | Flyers v. Stars -124 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Dallas was looking pretty good for playoff consideration in early March, but it has been a complete slide as the Stars have dropped eight straight games to fall six points out of the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. The remaining schedule is not good as this is one of just two more home games remaining where Dallas is 24-12-3 on the season. Going back, the Stars are 21-4 in their last 25 home games after a loss by two goals or more. Philadelphia is right in the playoff mix as it currently holds a Wild Card spot and can jump over Columbus for third place in the Metropolitan Division with a win. The Flyers have been a decent .500 on the road but has lost five of their last six games and we play against underdog after one or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive losses. This situation is 121-53 (69.5 percent) since 1996. Additionally, we play on favorites revenging a loss of one goal, off a home loss by three goals or more. This situation is 45-14 (76.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (14) Dallas Stars |
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03-27-18 | Bruins v. Jets -130 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. Winnipeg is still chasing Nashville in the Central Division as it has won five straight games and coupled with the Predators three-game losing streak, it is only five points back. The Jets do not face Nashville again this season, but the schedule is on their side as after tonight, five of their last six games are against teams that will not be in the playoffs. Winnipeg lost the first meeting to Boston in a shootout and the Jets are 19-3 this season revenging a road loss. The Bruins have won two straight games and are right on the heels of the Lightning as they are two points back in the Atlantic Division. While each game is big, Boston has a home date with Tampa Bay on Thursday so there could be some lack of focus tonight. Winnipeg has a solid situation on its side as we play on teams against the moneyline that are coming off two or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off two consecutive road wins by one goal. This situation is 32-12 (72.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (8) Winnipeg Jets |
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03-27-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. New Orleans got a much-needed break as it has had two days off following a stretch of six games in eight days and it is the only team in the league that will have to play three straight games. This was due to a makeup game against Indiana that got sandwiched in on Wednesday. The Pelicans did go 4-2 over this stretch with the two losses coming against the Rockets and they are now tied for fifth place in the Western Conference. This is a big matchup as they can close the gap to a game and a half behind Portland for third place. The Blazers ran off 13 straight wins before losing consecutive games at home against Houston and Boston but did bounce back on Sunday with a win at Oklahoma City. They have been solid on the road with a 20-15 record but have won only nine of 22 games as road underdogs. New Orleans has covered five straight home games and it falls into a positive situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (766) New Orleans Pelicans |
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