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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-16-18 | Steelers +5.5 v. Packers | Top | 34-51 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFLX Thursday Enforcer. Once news came out Ben Roethlisberger was out on injury protocol, this line went from 2.5 to 5.5 which is a huge overadjustment considering he would not have played much to begin with. Additionally, on the same day, Packers head coach Mike McCarthy confirmed that Aaron Rodgers would in fact be starting which helped drive up the line, but the Rodgers info means little. He will see a series, maybe two, as health is the bigger issue for Green Bay. Rodgers played three series and 26 plays last preseason and two series and 26 plays in the 2016 preseason. That is down from five series and 45 plays in 2015, eight series and 69 plays in 2014 and 16 series and 93 plays in Rodgers first season as the starter in 2008 so priorities are changing. Mike Tomlin said that Mason Rudolph and Josh Dobbs will be featured exclusively in the Steelers second game of the preseason and that is not a bad thing after seeing last week. Dobbs went 9-of-13 with a touchdown and an interception against the Eagles while Rudolph, who played the entire second half, went 7-of-12 for 102 yards. This was with no scheming but this week, both quarterbacks got a taste of the Packers defense and they were able to do some gameplanning. The Packers played a vanilla defense last week and defensive coordinator Mike Pettine confirmed they will be doing the same again this week. We will back the value as a line move of three points for a preseason game is absurdly too much. 10* (405) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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08-15-18 | Liberty +11 v. Aces | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. As we near the end of the WNBA season, teams are vying for playoff spots and playoff seeds. Because of this and these must win spots, linesmakers have to overadjust lines because the public tends to go right after those teams in must win situations and we are seeing that tonight. Las Vegas is trying to chase down Dallas for the eighth and final playoff spot as it is percentage points behind, having one less victory but also having one less defeat, although the forfeit against Washington has not officially been added yet based on the standings. There are just two games left in the season after this one with one of those at Dallas on Friday and then the season finale against Atlanta, who could be resting their starters. This line is simply too high. New York is playing out the string of its extremely disappointing season as it has now lost nine straight games. However, all but one of those were against teams currently holding down a playoff spot but it has not been an easy stretch. New York has been a double-digit underdog three times this season and those were games at Washington, Connecticut and Los Angeles and Las Vegas does not fall into that group. Here, we play on road teams after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) New York Liberty |
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08-15-18 | Blue Jays -140 v. Royals | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Toronto scored two runs in the eighth inning to pull out the come-from-behind victory and while putting together winning streaks has been a challenge of late, the Blue Jays are in a good spot tonight. this line came out late due to the Royals pitching situation and that is where Toronto has the real edge. The Blue Jays are 20-7 in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. While Baltimore has taken the brunt of the jokes for having an awful season, Kansas City is not far behind as the loss last night dropped the Royals to 36-83 including 17-43 at home. The Royals are 21-48 in their last 69 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Jorge Lopez will be making his first start for the Royals and his first start in MLB since 2015. We are not expecting much as he has been used as a reliever for over a year in the Brewers organization. There is not much recent data to go on with him working as a starter, but he tossed 5.2 scoreless innings while striking out seven in a start for Triple-A Omaha last week. This is a tough spot against a Blue Jays team that ranks eighth in the majors with a 108 wRC+ against right-handed pitching since June 1st. Marco Estrada has been up and down for the Blue Jays this season, but he has been pitching better. He had a 5.68 ERA through May, but he has posted a 3.80 ERA over his last nine games. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in his last four starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (915) Toronto Blue Jays |
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08-15-18 | Brewers v. Cubs -134 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Dominator. Milwaukee will not go away in the National League Central as the 7-0 victory yesterday afternoon brought it back to within two games of the Cubs in the National League Central. The Brewers were 2-5 over their previous seven games so they are not playing great right now and have gone just 1-4 in their last five games following a victory. The Cubs have been stuck in neutral as well as they are 2-3 over their last five games and could not build off of that miraculous walk-off grand slam win, partly because they had Monday off. They have been a great bounce back team of late as the Cubs are 5-1 in their last six games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game while going 17-5 in their last 22 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Kyle Hendricks has been on a pretty good roll as he has a 3.46 ERA over his last seven starts and the Cubs have won five of his last six starts at home. Pitching in Wrigley Field and during the day have been his two best situations and he will make Milwaukee earn it as his 34 walks are fifth fewest in the National League. Junior Guerra has tossed two straight quality outings but those were at home where eight of his last 11 starts have taken place. In the three road starts, he has a 9.64 ERA. The Brewers are 3-13 in his last 16 starts as an underdog of +150 or less. 9* (902) Chicago Cubs |
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08-14-18 | Mets v. Orioles -110 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Mets are coming off an upset win last night over the Yankees to make it two straight wins but winning three in a row will be a challenge as it has done so only three times since May 22nd. The Mets are just 11-28 in their last 39 games following any sort of win. Additionally, they are 0-6 in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Baltimore owns the worst record in baseball and is coming off a four-game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox, but the Orioles catch a winnable home game which have been few and far between as the home schedule has been brutal for the last two months. They are 5-1 in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Baltimore hands the ball to Andrew Cashner who has been very inconsistent this season, but he has been solid for the most part of late. He had a horrible start in Texas at the least pitcher-friendly park in baseball, and a bad home start against the Yankees but he has allowed three runs or less in 15 of his other 16 starts dating back to May 4th. New York turns to Jason Vargas who has yet to toss a quality outing in 11 starts and the Mets are 1-6 in his last seven starts against teams with a losing record. 10* (970) Baltimore Orioles |
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08-13-18 | Mariners v. A's -116 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Seattle is coming off a hard-fought, four-game series sweep over Houston to move to within four games of the Astros in the American League West and to within a game and a half of the second Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners were in a big time slump prior to those four games and we can see them coming back to reality as they conclude this roadtrip with another tough series. Oakland took two of three games against the Angels in Los Angeles as it continues its red hot run. The A's have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last two months as they are 36-12 over their last 48 games and they were able to leapfrog over the Mariners in the American League West over the last week. Oakland is just 2.5 games behind Houston in the division and it is in a good spot to keep rolling as it has won 15 of its last 18 home games while going 18-4 in its last 22 games against American League teams with a batting average of .265 or worse. Sean Manaea gets the ball for Oakland and he is coming off a poor outing against the Dodgers where he lacked him typical command, but we should see a bounce back here. He has been great at home with a 3.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 12 starts, eight of which have been quality outings. The Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters. Marco Gonzales is also coming off a poor outing and his was much worse against a much worse team as he allowed seven runs in five innings at Texas. He has a 4.42 ERA on the road and faces an Oakland team that is 9-2 in its last 11 games against left-handed starters. 10* (912) Oakland A's |
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08-12-18 | Storm +1.5 v. Lynx | Top | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. With the recent surge of Atlanta, Seattle has seen its lead for the top spot in the WNBA drop to two games over the Dream with three games remaining. A win today likely locks up the No. 1 seed as the Storm close the season with winnable home games against New York and Dallas. They have been the best road team in the league this season as they are 12-4 and coming off a loss at Washington by 23 points which should certainly motivate them tonight to close out their road slate for the season. The Storm are 7-0 straight up and ATS this season in their road games after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. All of those wins have come by at least 13 points and by an average of 17.7 ppg. Minnesota is normally fighting for the No. 1 seed at this point in the season but right now it is part of a group of five teams within a game and a half of third place. Clearly, this is a big game for the Lynx, but this is a team on the decline and the fact they have beaten only one playoff team since July 7th is telling. Here, we play against home teams (that have made 45 percent or more of their shots over their last two games going up against an opponent that has allowed 45 percent or higher shooting over its last three games This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (607) Seattle Storm |
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08-12-18 | Pirates v. Giants -108 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Time is running out on both the Pirates and Giants in their pursuit of a Wild Card spot in the National League and it will be up to San Francisco on Sunday to go for a series split. After scoring 13 runs on Friday, the Giants were shutout last night 4-0 despite equaling the Pirates with six hits. The Giants are 7-0 in their last seven games during Game Four of a series. Pittsburgh is 4-2 on this current roadtrip but going back, the Pirates are 17-38 in their last 55 road games against teams with a winning home record. One of the pleasant surprises for what has been a disappointing season overall for the Giants has been the pitching of rookie Dereck Rodriguez who has a 2.34 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 11 starts and two relief appearances. He has been even better at home with a 1.99 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in six starts. Joe Musgrove has posted three quality outings since the All Star Break, but this is a pace unlikely to continue as an early start is not a good thing where he has a 6.65 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in four daytime starts. We play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .280 or better over their last 20 games, in August games. This situation is 97-46 (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) San Francisco Giants |
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08-11-18 | Chargers v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFLX Saturday Enforcer. The first-year head coach is always a great angle to play in the preseason if given the right circumstances. I am a fan of playing first year head coaches in their first games as those guys want to infuse a new winning attitude into the team as it is usually the case that the previous season was far from a good one. This season, there are seven new head coaches in the league including Steve Wilks for the Cardinals. When he addressed the media Thursday morning, Wilks said all the quarterbacks will play on Saturday. That would include Bradford, rookie Josh Rosen, Mike Glennon and undrafted rookie Chad Kanoff. Wilks has stated previously that Bradford would be pulled before most of the starters and that Rosen was going to play quite a bit. Rosen said he has progressed each day over the last few weeks and he is playing more reactionary football with his first NFL action finally here. On the other side, if Philip Rivers plays at all, and if he does, it will likely only be one series, Geno Smith and Cardale Jones still will do the bulk of the quarterback work as the battle for No. 2 continues. It feels as if Smith, the more experienced of the two, has the edge because the Chargers know what it looks like when he leads a team. Jones, however, has the physical gifts to win the job if he looks comfortable in game situations. In his first season, Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn indicated player health was more important than wins, as they went 1-3, and we expect the same mindset this season. 10* (282) Arizona Cardinals |
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08-11-18 | Mets v. Marlins -109 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. New York won the series opener last night to make it two straight wins but winning three in a row will be a challenge as it has done so only twice since May 22nd. The Mets are just 10-27 in their last 37 games following any sort of win while going 8-20 in their last 28 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Miami has lost three straight and nine of 10 games, but it is in good position tonight. Despite the Friday loss, the Marlins are 24-11 in their last 35 home games against teams with a winning percentage between .380 and .460. Dan Straily gets the ball for Miami and he had a solid run from late June to the All Star Break, but he has struggled in three starts since then. To his credit, those games came against Washington, Philadelphia and Atlanta. The Marlins are 7-1 in his last eight starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Corey Oswalt has pitched well since entering the rotation, but this is his first road start since July 4th and he has a 7.94 ERA in two road starts. One of those came here in his first ever start back in June and Miami got to him for six runs in 2.2 innings. 10* (908) Miami Marlins |
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08-11-18 | Wings +6.5 v. Dream | Top | 82-92 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
**Note 2:05 PM ET Start** This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Saturday Enforcer. Atlanta remains red hot as it has won 12 of its last 13 games but it will have to maintain momentum without one of its star players, All-Star forward Angel McCoughtry. She tore ligaments in her left knew on Tuesday and while the Dream won their game on Thursday in her first game out, it was one of those situations where players step up in their first gamed after a star player has been lost. Things could be tougher moving forward and they will be facing a desperate team today. Dallas looked to be a lock for a playoff spot, but it has lost six straight games and the final playoff spot is still up for grabs between the Wings, Aces and Sky. Dallas has a two-game lead over the Aces, but Las Vegas is playing the worst team in the league tonight so a loss here and that lead will likely be just one game. The schedule is brutal the rest of the way with only one home game left and the four road games against playoff qualifiers, so they need to step it up now. Dallas falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 50-17 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Dallas Wings |
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08-10-18 | Fever v. Mercury -12 | Top | 74-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. Phoenix remains in a funk as it has lost two straight games, six of its last seven and nine of its last 11. The Mercury are still in line for a playoff berth at 16-14 as they need to win one more game or have Las Vegas lose one more game and they could not ask for a better matchup tonight. They have dropped five straight games at home, so they are due for an explosion especially against a team they have dominated the first two meetings this season, both on the road, as they defeated Indiana by 18 and 19 points. Indiana has had a miserable season but to its credit, it has been playing better of late, winning three of its last six games. The Fever have struggled this season against good offenses as they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams averaging 73 or more ppg. As mentioned, this is a revenge game for Indiana and it has not responded well as it is 1-9 ATS it its last 10 games revenging a home loss by 10 points or more. Additionally, Phoenix falls into a solid situation where we play on home favorites in the second half of the season after having lost four of their last five games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550. This situation is 55-27 ATS (67.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (304) Phoenix Mercury |
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08-10-18 | Hamilton +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 23-29 | Push | 0 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Hamilton last week as it completely demolished Montreal and while a win over the Alouettes is nothing special, it does give the Tiger-Cats much needed confidence moving forward. They had lost three straight games prior to that and now sit at 3-4 but they have played better than this record shows. While the domination against Montreal skews the numbers slightly, Hamilton has outgained five of seven opponents and one of the games it was outgained in, it was against 7-0 Calgary and it was by just 29 total yards. Overall, the Tiger-Cats are outgaining opponents by 90.2 ypg which is the second best differential in the CFL. And making it more impressive in that they have played a tough schedule five of seven games against the West Division as well as a game against Ottawa. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week where it won its previous two games to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Blue Bombers have played an opposite type of schedule as they have played just one team with a winning record and of the six games against losing teams, five of those have been against opponents with two of fewer wins. They will be out for revenge following a 31-17 loss at Hamilton earlier in the season, but they do not match up well with the strong Hamilton running game that has been bolstered even more with the return of Alex Green. Going back, the Tiger-Cats have covered eight of their last 10 road games and they fall into a solid situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off in two straight division games. This situation is 115-66 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (353) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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08-10-18 | Falcons v. Jets -3.5 | Top | 0-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFLX Friday Star Attraction. One of the keys to a successful preseason is backing teams that are trying hard as opposed to just going through the motions to evaluate young talent and fill non-starter roster spots. Atlanta is pretty much set on both sides of the ball in its key positions so there will be a lot of second and third string players trying to impress. The quarterback rotation is key on both sides. Matt Ryan will get a series for the Falcons and that will likely be it. After that. It will be Matt Schaub, likely that some people did not know he was still even in the league, and then into undrafted free agent Kurt Benkert and former third round pick Garrett Grayson for the bulk of the game. As for the Jets, there is a three-way battle for the starting spot as Josh McCown is currently listed as the starter but there will be a battle to unseat him between Teddy Bridgewater and Sam Darnold. McCown will see limited action and there likely will be equal reps for Bridgewater and Darnold which is a good thing as both have been very impressive during preseason camp. Falcons head coach San Quinn has made it clear he does not care about preseason results when Atlanta went 0-4 both straight up and against the number. 10* (276) New York Jets |
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08-10-18 | Twins v. Tigers +109 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 109 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Minnesota and Detroit are playing out the season as both are double-digit games out in the division and the Wild Card race. The Tigers are back home following a six-game roadtrip where they went 0-6 against Oakland and Los Angeles to fall to 18-41 on the road and those 41 losses are the most on baseball. They are a much more respectable 29-27 at home. Minnesota lost three of four in Cleveland and its 20-37 record on the highway is tied for third worst in baseball. Ervin Santana is making his fourth start with the Twins and while they have won all three of those games, it has had nothing to do with good pitching. He has posted a 6.14 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 14.2 innings and with the Twins out of the playoff picture, there is no reason to push him over the final few weeks of the season. Santana had not played since he underwent surgery to remove calcium deposits from his right middle finger in early February. Jordan Zimmerman gets the ball for Detroit and following a rough three-game stretch, he rebounded with a quality outing in his last start against Oakland. His last home start was not a good one as he allowed five runs in three innings but that came against Cleveland and overall, he has been solid at home. In six starts, he has a 3.67 ERA and 1.02 WHIP and take that Indians start out and his ERA is 2.59 in the other five outings. 10* (972) Detroit Tigers |
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08-09-18 | Pirates v. Giants -131 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -131 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Giants wasted a pair of strong efforts by Dereck Rodriguez and Madison Bumgarner as they lost both games against Houston to fall a game under .500 and drop back to seven games back in the Wild Card race. They are still a healthy 32-24 at home where both offense and pitching have been consistent, and this is a big series if they have any shot of making a late playoff push. San Francisco is 23-11 in its last 34 home games after allowing three runs or less two straight games while going 7-0 in its last seven games following an off day. The Pirates took two of three in Colorado to gain some ground, moving to five games back in the Wild Card chase. They are one game under .500 on the road and are in a tough spot here as they are 1-11 in their last 12 road games against left-handed starters. Andrew Suarez has not been at his best of late, but he is back home where he has a 3.64 ERA, which is nearly two runs less than his road ERA. Pittsburgh counters with Ivan Nova who has struggled the last two years with the Pirates. He is similar to Suarez in that he pitches much better at home with a 3.55 ERA compared to a 5.40 ERA on the highway. The Giants are 16-6 in their last 22 home games against right-handed starters and they fall into a solid situation where we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season but with a 7.50 ERA or worse over his last three starts. This situation is 111-44 (71.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (908) San Francisco Giants |
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08-09-18 | Bears +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFLX Thursday Enforcer. The first-year head coach is always a great angle to play in the preseason if given the right circumstances. I am a fan of playing first year head coaches in their first games as those guys want to infuse a new winning attitude into the team as it is usually the case that the previous season was far from a good one. This season, there are seven new head coaches in the league including Matt Nagy who is coaching his second game. The Bears did not come away with a win, although they did cover, and there will be extra effort put forth to get that first win here. The starters did not play in Canton, but Nagy confirmed they will be out there this Thursday including quarterback Mitchell Trubisky for at least a couple series. Offensive line is a concern coming into the season as three of the five expected starters will be playing their first games with the Bengals, left tackle Cordy Glenn, right tackle Bobby Hart and rookie center Billy Price. Head coach Marvin Lewis said he expects the starters on the line to play longer than quarterback Andy Dalton so there could be issues along the line with continuity. Chicago also falls into a great preseason situation where we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off one or more consecutive under. This situation is 50-24 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (253) Chicago Bears |
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08-09-18 | Browns v. Giants +1 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFLX Thursday Supreme Annihilator. The first-year head coach is always a great angle to play in the preseason if given the right circumstances. I am a fan of playing first year head coaches in their first games as those guys want to infuse a new winning attitude into the team as it is usually the case that the previous season was far from a good one. This season, there are seven new head coaches in the league with one of those being Pat Shurmur for New York. The Giants went 11-5 in 2016, so the 3-13 finish last year led to massive wholesale changes throughout the organization. Shurmur, like other coaches, has not disclosed playing time for any player and while the quarterback in the most important for that information, Eli Manning has not played in the preseason opener the last two seasons but because of the new system, he could play a series or two which would be an added benefit. Backup Davis Webb has had a great two weeks in camp and the Giants know he is a great athlete with a massively powerful arm, what they want to see is him come out and execute the offense efficiently. Baker Mayfield will see a lot of playing time for Cleveland which may not be a very good thing considering this will be his very first NFL game and he could struggle early. Mayfield, who's worked exclusively with the second-team offense, has struggled when pitted against the Browns starters. 9* (258) New York Giants |
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08-08-18 | Sun v. Wings +4 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Wednesday Star Attraction. The last time these two teams met, Dallas was tied for fourth place in the standings while Connecticut was hanging on to the eighth spot. Since then, they have been trending in opposite directions. After winning seven of their last eight games, the Wings have lost five straight games and have only a two-game lead for the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA standings over the Las Vegas Aces. Connecticut has won four straight games and sits in fifth place in the updated standings and the recent streaks are what is driving this number to where it is. The Wings have suffered some tough losses during this stretch as it fell to Chicago by one points, turned the ball over 21 times in an embarrassing loss at Indiana and last time out, they led Washington by six points with two minutes remaining before guard Kristi Toliver hit a pair of three-pointers to tie the game and then drained the game-winning, fadeaway baseline jumper. Skylar Diggins-Smith is expected to return tonight after missing two games with a facial injury. Here, we play on teams that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against that opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points. This situation is 76-39 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (612) Dallas Wings |
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08-08-18 | Cardinals v. Marlins +108 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. We won with the Cardinals last night which had a significant pitching advantage and they barely snuck it out but tonight, the edge goes the other way. Despite that, St. Louis is still favored which is not surprising based on overall records, but Miami has an excellent shot to win this series. The Cardinals are in a playoff race as they remain four games behind Atlanta for the second Wild Card spot in the National League, but they have been unable to put anything together by going 3-11 in their last 14 games following a win. The Marlins are 11-5 in their last 16 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game and face John Gant who has been average and is coming off his worst start of the season where he allowed six runs in four innings against the Pirates. Three of his four road starts have been non-quality outings and the Marlins are 11-4 in their last 15 home games against right-handed starters. The real story here is Trevor Richards who had a 5.24 ERA after his first two starts in July, but since then, he has posted a 0.76 ERA in his last four starts. He has been solid at home this season with a 3.05 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in seven starts. 10* (960) Miami Marlins |
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08-07-18 | Reds -101 v. Mets | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Mets lost three of four games to the Braves to open this homestand but were able to recover and win last night thanks to a significant starting pitching advantage. That is far from the case tonight and the line is reflecting that as they go from a big favorite to a light underdog in some shops. Cincinnati has lost three straight and six of its seven games on this current roadtrip where it came in a respectable 22-27 which was good for a decent profit. The Mets have overall struggled at Citi Field as they are 11-25 in their last 36 home games while going 9-26 in their last 35 games following a win. Additionally, New York is 11-28 in its last 39 games against National League teams averaging 4.5 or more rpg. The Mets has Noah Syndergaard on the hill last next and they take a big step down with Jason Vargas tonight. in 11 starts, he has yet to toss a quality outing and while his last two starts since coming off the DL have been better than most, he still allowed seven runs over 9.1 innings. Sal Romano has been really good or really bad depending on the start, but he has fared well in a majority of starts against poor offense and New York fits that bill as it is hitting a mere .215 at home which is the worst average in baseball. 10* (905) Cincinnati Reds |
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08-07-18 | Aces +9 v. Dream | Top | 100-109 | Push | 0 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Tuesday Star Attraction. The team with the second best record in the WNBA comes from an unlikely spot as Atlanta is now 18-10 following its superb run of 10-1 over its last 11 games. The Dream have beaten some pretty solid teams along the way they are becoming overpriced in this spot. They have been favored by 6.5 or more points three times during this recent 11-game run and while they covered all of those games, those were against Indiana, Chicago and New York, none of which are competing for a playoff spot and are a combined 40 games under .500. This is not the case for Las Vegas which has a better record than all of those teams yet is getting the same number as Chicago was and two points more than what New York got despite being seven games better than the Liberty. The Aces are still in the playoff hunt as they are currently in ninth place and trail eighth place Dallas by just a game and a half with six games left. Las Vegas has lost two straight games by 11 and 21 points which adds value and going back, it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after two straight losses by 10 points or more. Additionally, we play on road underdogs coming off a road loss going up against an opponent off a road win where they scored 85 or more points. This situation is 47-21 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (601) Las Vegas Aces |
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08-06-18 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -129 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Arizona is coming off a series split with San Francisco following a loss on Sunday which brought it back into a tie for first place with the Dodgers in the National League West. The Diamondbacks have the second best road record in the National League, but they are just 30-28 at home which is a surprise considering they had only 29 home losses all of last season but that is keeping the price down in a good spot for tonight. The Phillies are coming off a four-game sweep over Miami to reach five straight wins and increased their lead in the National League East to a game and a half over Atlanta. Their 38 home wins are the most in the National League, but their 25 road wins are tied for second fewest of teams that have a winning record overall. The Diamondbacks hand the ball to Zack Godley who has been up and down this season but is coming off his best month where he posted a 1.36 WHIP and .243 BA. He is coming off his best start of the season where he allowed just two hits and no runs in seven innings while striking out 10 Rangers. He has allowed three runs or less in eight of 10 home starts and the Phillies are 1-5 in their last six road games against right-handed starters. Jake Arietta is coming off his second straight quality start but comes into a tough spot as Arizona has been crushing right-handed pitching of late as it is hitting .312 over the last 10 games and the Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last four games against right-handed starters. Additionally, we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better on the season. This situation is 131-58 (69.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (958) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-05-18 | Dream v. Lynx -5 | Top | 86-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Not many would have expected Atlanta to have a better record than Minnesota at this point in the season but that is the case as the Dream are 17-10 which is good for the second best record in the league. Conversely, Minnesota is now 15-12 following its second straight loss in Seattle on Friday and it is in jeopardy of missing the playoffs should its skid continues. The Lynx are in seventh place but are only 2.5 games ahead of ninth place Las Vegas with just seven games remaining. They possess the second best defense in the WNBA but that has not been on display of late as they have allowed 82 ppg over their last three games. Historically, this has proven to be a great spot for Minnesota as it is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 75 points or more in three straight games. Additionally, we play against road underdogs that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 101-54 ATS (65.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (308) Minnesota Lynx |
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08-05-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -147 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Mariners continue to slip in the standings as they are now 2.5 games behind Oakland for the second Wild Card spot in the American League following their fifth consecutive loss. This has turned into a huge game for Seattle which heads out on a 10-game divisional roadtrip starting tomorrow and it is imperative for the offense to get something going. The Mariners have scored three runs or less in six straight games, but they have a great chance to bust out today. The Blue Jays have won three straight games but have not won four in a row since a four-game sweep over the Orioles way back on June 10th. Despite the recent offensive outburst, they are still just 10-24 in their last 34 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Mike Leake gets the ball for the Mariners and he has been surprisingly good after a slow start as he has allowed three runs or less in 13 of his last 16 starts including three straight quality outings. The Mariners are 4-0 in his last four starts against teams with a losing record. Sam Gaviglio counters for Toronto and he has a rough July with a 7.30 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in six starts. He faces his former team for the first time and the spot is not favorable as we play on home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last three starts. This situation is 68-26 (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (926) Seattle Mariners |
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08-04-18 | BC +12 v. Calgary | Top | 18-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. It is no secret that Calgary is the best team in the CFL and by a pretty wide margin. At 6-0, the Stampeders off to their best start since 1995 when they opened 7-0 under current Lions coach Wally Buono which adds another interesting dynamic to this rivalry. The Calgary defense has been unreal thus far as the Stampeders have allowed just four offensive touchdowns so far this season and lead the league in forced fumbles with 10. Calgary is tied for first in sacks with Edmonton at 17 and also tied for first in interceptions with seven with Winnipeg. The other side of the ball has not been as dominant but still above average although there are shortcomings heading into tonight. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and the Stampeder offense may lean a little more on the defensive contributions Saturday with star wideout Eric Rogers and No. 1 running back Don Jackson out with injuries. B.C. is coming off a bye week, which is always a big advantage against teams playing on a regular schedule. The Lions lost at Ottawa two weeks ago to fall to 2-3 on the season but there is plenty of optimism on offense as quarterback Travis Lulay has taken over for a struggling Jonathon Jennings, and his veteran leadership is big which will be buoyed by the return of running back Jeremiah Johnson. Lulay has passed for over 300 yards in two starts since taking over and certainly gives the Lions a fighting chance in what is considered an overinflated line. 10* (377) B.C. Lions |
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08-04-18 | Braves -119 v. Mets | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We were on the Mets last night as Jacob deGrom pitched yet another gem, but his offense let him down again as despite allowing four earned runs in five starts against Atlanta, the Mets did not win a single one of those games. New York is in a bad place right now as the offense has managed an average of 2.1 rpg over its last seven games with only one of those resulting in a victory. Going back, the Mets are 4-22 in their last 26 games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. The Braves won their fifth straight game but still sit in second place in the National League East by a half-game as the Phillies have won three in a row. They are 6-1 in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Kevin Gausman is making his first start for the Braves after being dealt by Baltimore and a change of scenery can do nothing but help. While his numbers this season seem average, which they are, he allowed three runs or less in 15 of his 21 starts with the Orioles. He now has an offense behind him and a renewed confidence after director of pitching Dom Chiti and special assistant to pitching Dave Wallace courted him to Atlanta after working with him earlier in his career. Zack Wheeler counters for New York and he has started the second half with a pair of quality outings, but he has struggled at home with a 4.35 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 11 starts and going back, the Mets are 1-8 in Wheelers last nine home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (961) Atlanta Braves |
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08-03-18 | Lynx +7 v. Storm | Top | 75-85 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. We won last night playing against Minnesota, but we will be backing the Lynx tonight in a solid bounce back situation. They fell to 15-11 with the defeat, which is tied with Washington for fourth place in WNBA standings and those 11 losses are already two more than what they lost last season including the playoffs. This is a team that looks to be in transition as they are a very veteran team but still cannot be discounted given the right situation. As noted yesterday, Minnesota was on a 12-4 run prior to last night and the Thursday defeat can be blamed on a poor shooting night they it shot just 41 percent from the floor including going 1-10 from long range. Seattle meanwhile has won two straight games and owns the best record in the league at 20-7. The Storm are 10-4 at home but they are just 6-7-1 ATS and are now giving Minnesota the most points it has seen all season. Going back, Seattle is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games coming off a double-digit conference win while going 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points. Additionally, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are shooting 44 percent or better on the season, after a game where it made 15 percent or less of its three-point shots. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (609) Minnesota Lynx |
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08-03-18 | Hamilton -7 v. Montreal | Top | 50-11 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. The big storyline in this game is the debut of Johnny Manziel and while it is unknown how he is going to do in Canada, even if he becomes a star and plays well on Friday, the Alouettes have other issues to deal with. Th offense has definitely struggled, averaging a league-low 292 ypg, but the defense has been just as bad, allowing 420.3 ypg so their yardage differential is by far the worst in the CFL. There are holes all over the depth chart so just one player, even if he does not fail, cannot fill all of the holes. Hamilton is coming off of a disappointing loss to the RedBlacks at home in what was a fairly slow-moving game until the final minutes of the fourth quarter. It was the third straight loss for the Tiger-Cats as they are now 2-4 on the season but they have played better than that record shows. Hamilton has outgained four of six opponents and by an average of 65.6 ypg which is third best overall and tops in the East Division. That is even more impressive considering the Tiger-Cats have played five of six games against the West Division. Through six games, quarterback Jeremiah Masoli ranks 2nd in the CFL in passing yards with 1,914, completions with 144 and completion percentage (67%), however, he has thrown just five touchdowns to six interceptions. In what should help Hamilton with their lack of finish, receiver Luke Tasker is set to return after missing two weeks plus it will be facing a horrendous passing defense that allows close to 300 ypg. That is not a good thing for Montreal as it is 4-13 in its last 17 games when allowing 300 or more passing yards and it is 0-8 following three or more consecutive losses. 10* (375) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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08-03-18 | Braves v. Mets -140 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. This can be considered a contrarian play despite the Mets being favored and sending the National League ERA leader to the hill. We played against New York last night which lost its third straight game and has dropped five of its last six to remain the second worst team in the National League. The Braves have won four straight games as they sit a half-game behind the Phillies in the National League East and the public is on them tonight despite the pitching disadvantage and a reverse line movement. Atlanta is just 4-7 over its last 11 road games and going back, the Braves are 0-5 in their last five games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. The Mets held on to Jacob deGrom with trade rumors surrounding the staff ace and it was a smart move. He leads the league with a 1.82 ERA and because the Mets as a while have been horrible, he has only five wins on the season, but that has not stopped his consistency. He has tossed 13 straight quality starts and has allowed more than three runs only once. Another contrarian aspect is the fact that he has faced the Braves four times already this season and while posting a 0.72 ERA, the Mets are 0-4. Anibal Sanchez has been one of the most surprising pitchers this season with a 3.00 ERA and 1.09 ERA, but he is coming off a poor start and we should start seeing regression. Here, we play against road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 55-10 (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (910) New York Mets |
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08-02-18 | Lynx v. Sparks -3 | Top | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Thursday Star Attraction. Both Minnesota and Los Angeles have had down seasons by their standards as they have already surpassed their loss totals from last season. Minnesota got off to a 3-6 start but rebounded with seven straight wins only to take another step back with a 2-4 stretch. However, the Lynx have won three straight games to move into third place in the WNBA standings but two of those victories came against New York and Indiana which have a combined 10 wins. It has been an opposite type of season for Los Angeles as it started out 9-2 but has gone 6-9 over its last 15 games but things are looking up. The Sparks will have Nneka Ogwumike, the second leading scorer and rebounder, back in the lineup after not playing since July 15th as well as defensive specialist Alana Beard, who has been out since July 12th. Shockingly, Los Angeles has lost five straight games at home after dropping just one home game last year during the regular season. The Lynx are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win while the Sparks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss and here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after two straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 27-9 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (604) Los Angeles Sparks |
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08-02-18 | Bears v. Ravens UNDER 33 | Top | 16-17 | Push | 0 | 54 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS/BALTIMORE RAVENS UNDER for our Thursday NFL Totals Dominator. The Hall of Fame Game is typically a very low scoring game as in this stage of the preseason, the defenses are a step ahead of the offense. Seven of the last 10 Hall of Fame games have stayed under the total, including four of the last six and while those past outcomes do not predict future results, it does show how defenses are more in sync early in the preseason. Going back to 1984, only seven of the 32 HOF games have eclipsed 40 points and a lot of that is due to fluke plays. This includes an interception return for a touchdown taking place in each of the last five games that have gone over 40 points so simply avoiding that gives us a great opportunity to cash in a low scoring game. The 32 games have seen an average of just over 31 ppg and 14 of the 32 have seem totals of 27 of less points scored including three years ago when Pittsburgh and Minnesota tallied just 17 points combined. Two years ago, the Hall of Fame game was canceled because of poor field conditions and that problem was fixed going into last season. Dallas and Arizona did go over last year but it was just by 3.5 points. According to the collective bargaining agreement between the NFL and its players association, teams can't hold training-camp practices more than two weeks before their first preseason game, so preparation has been limited on both sides. That affects the offenses more than the defenses and we will once again see the defenses have the advantage. Additionally, with this being the first game, offensive starters will see limited if any action. A strong situation is in play also as we play the under in NFL Preseason non-conference games. This situation is 238-154 (60.7 percent) to the under over the last five years. 10* Under (241) Chicago Bears/(242) Baltimore Ravens |
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08-02-18 | Ottawa v. Toronto +6 | Top | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We were on Toronto last week as it lost at Winnipeg 40-14, but it was a game that was not dominated by the winner but decided because of miscues. The Argonauts actually outgained the Blue Bombers by 27 total yards, but Toronto committed four turnovers and had a punt blocked and returned for a touchdown. It was the third straight loss and fifth in six games to start the season for the reigning Grey Cup Champions and now is the time we will see things regressing to the mean. The Argonauts have played the toughest schedule thus far as they got a brutal draw to open the season as the first six games have come against Western Conference teams. Ottawa is off to a 4-2 start as it has played an easier schedule but has been outgained in its last three games. Overall, the RedBlacks are getting outgained on the season despite the winning record and the numbers are skewed as they were able to outgain lowly Montreal by 158 total yards. While some may see this as a disadvantage, Toronto will start McLeod Bethel-Thompson at quarterback over the ineffective James Franklin and this can only help things. Bethel-Thompson has a chance to display his big arm against a RedBlacks defense that leads the league with 13 completions allowed of more than 30 yards. Additionally, they have no film to look at, so preparation will be non-existent, and adjustments will have to made on the fly. Toronto has a strong situation on its side as we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are coming off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This situation is 65-32 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (372) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-01-18 | Rockies v. Cardinals -125 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Cardinals were fairly quiet on trade deadline day with the biggest move sending Tommy Pham to the Rays for three minor leaguers. It was a surprise move considering he was having a good season, so St. Louis did not improve for the present time as it sits 4.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss. Colorado ended July with a 17-6 record and is tied with the Dodgers and Braves for that final Wild Card spot. Only nine of those games were on the road where it went 5-4. Despite being 10 games over .500, the Rockies have a negative scoring differential as the pitching has been inconsistent. Kyle Freeland leads the team in ERA among starters, but he has been more inconsistent on the road than he has at home. The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six games against left-handed starter and so far during this homestand, they are hitting .344 against left-handed pitching through five games. St. Louis counters with Luke Weaver who had a rough June but followed that up with a solid July, posting a 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in four starts. The Cardinals are 15-4 in his last 19 starts against National League teams with an on base percentage .325 or worse while going 5-2 in his last seven starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (908) St. Louis Cardinals |
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08-01-18 | Liberty v. Sun -9 | Top | 77-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. With the Dallas loss last night, Connecticut is now tied with the Wings for seventh place in the WNBA. The Sun are just a game and a half ahead of surging Las Vegas for missing the playoffs altogether so there is a lot at stake for the final eight games. Five of those games come against teams that are still in the playoff picture but one of those is not tonight as New York, which came into the season with high expectations, has thrown in the towel for the season and will most likely finish with the second worst record in the league. The Liberty have lost four straight games and 12 of their last 15 with two of the wins coming against 10-17 Chicago and the other being an upset victory at Connecticut so revenge comes into play tonight which adds to the motivation and urgency. New York is 4-9 on the road and it has failed to cover six of its last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win. Of their last seven losses, six have been by double-digits and have come by an average of 15.3 ppg so laying a number like this is not worrisome. New York did play well in its last road game at Minnesota but going back, it is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games following a road loss. 10* (308) Connecticut Sun |
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07-31-18 | Storm v. Mercury +3 | Top | 102-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. The All Star Break could not have come at a better time for Phoenix as it has lost three straight games and six of its last seven. The Mercury had the best record in the league at one point but now it is tied for the fourth best record and is just two and a half games from missing the playoffs altogether. The schedule sets up well for success as after this game comes their last two road games of the season and they finish with five consecutive home games. Phoenix welcomes back Diana Taurasi who served a one game suspension in its last game due to exceeding the league technical foul minimum. Seattle has won four of its last five games including going 3-1 on this current roadtrip, The Storm possess the best record in the league which is another reason they come in as road favorites, but they come into this game at a bad time. They have been a strong road team all season, but they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after a win by 20 points or more. Additionally, we play against road teams that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 99-53 ATS (65.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (306) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-31-18 | Angels -127 v. Rays | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Angels are coming off a 5-5 homestand to remain a game over .500 overall as the playoff hopes are slowing going away. Los Angeles has not exactly thrived on the road, but it is 7-3 in its last 10 games following a loss. Tampa Bay is in the same boat as it has made a recent push after a slow start and sits right at .500 but its 10-game deficit in the Wild Card standings is going to be impossible to overcome. Tampa Bay lost the final three games in Baltimore over the weekend by a combined score of 37-12 and the Rays are now 0-6 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Tyler Skaggs is quietly putting together a spectacular season as he has a 2.62 ERA, which is sixth best in the American League, and he has allowed three runs or less in eight straight starts. His numbers are better on the road with a 2.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 10 starts with the Angels going 7-3 in those games. Ryan Stanek goes for Tampa Bay as it is another game that will be tossed by the bullpen as Stanek will go no more than two innings. The Angels fall into a solid situation where we play against American League home teams that are averaging 4.2 rpg or less after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 81-39 (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (965) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-30-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -142 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -142 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Game of the Month. The Dodgers are back home following a 6-4 roadtrip where they missed out on a four-game sweep against Atlanta over the weekend as they were an out away of getting no-hit on Sunday. Los Angeles is now just a half-game ahead of Arizona in the National League West, but this is a great spot for a bounce back as the Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 games following a loss. Milwaukee took the first three games from San Francisco before losing on Sunday to fall a game and a half behind the Cubs in the National League Central. Despite the good series against the Giants, Milwaukee is 4-10 in its last 14 road games. The Dodgers turn to Kenta Maeda who is coming off his worst start since coming off the DL on June 13th, but it still was not bad as he allowed four runs in seven innings at Philadelphia. That capped off a three-game run of starts on the road and back home, he has a 2.74 ERA. Freddy Peralta counters for Milwaukee and after posting a 1.59 ERA in his first four games, he has put up a 6.10 ERA over his last four outings and this is not the desired matchup as the Dodgers are 6-0 in their last six home games against right-handed starters. Additionally, Los Angeles falls into two sensational situations. First, we play against National League underdogs of +150 or more that are hitting .255 or less with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less home runs per start going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 102-25 (80.3 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on home favorites of -150 or more that are averaging 4.7 or more rpg after a game where they had four or fewer hits going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better. This situation is 49-11 (81.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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07-29-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -144 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. This is a rare opportunity to get Boston at a reasonable price at home. The Red Sox have the best record in baseball as they are a full 40 games over .500 and their 36-14 home record also tops MLB yet they come into today at a lower than expected moneyline which is due to the starting pitching matchup. This number has been right in their wheelhouse as they are 23-8 on the season when favored by -150 or less and they are 62-26 in their last 88 games against teams with a losing record. The Twins dropped to 19-33 on the road and have lost 14 of their last 19 games on the highway and they are a small underdog today because of Jose Berrios. He is the ace of the staff with a 3.48 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through 21 starts but his success has come at home where his ERA is over a run less than it is on the road. Going back, the Twins are 2-12 in his last 14 road starts against teams with a winning record. Nathan Eovaldi is the other part for the reasonable number as he is making his first start for Boston since being acquired from Tampa Bay. He pitched well with the Rays as he posted a 0.98 WHIP in 10 starts with four of his last five starts being quality outings. Here, we play on American League favorites with a moneyline of -125 to -175 that are averaging 5.1 or more rpg with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better. This situation is 42-9 (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (970) Boston Red Sox |
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07-28-18 | Mariners v. Angels -119 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. The Angels have won three straight games and finishing off this series would get them back within striking distance in the American League Wild Card race. The offense has put up 27 runs over this stretch and they can add to it tonight in what is the value play of the night. Seattle has lost 10 of its last 15 games and despite being 19 games over .500, its scoring differential is right at 0. Only the Giants and Tigers have a worse OPS in July than Seattle, and nobody has scored fewer runs this month. This could be considered a contrarian play based on the fact the Angels have lost the last seven games Jaime Barria has pitched but most of that is due to back luck and not bad pitching. In 14 starts, he has a 3.80 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, and those numbers are envious of a lot of pitchers throughout the league. The value comes with playing against Felix Hernandez as his glory days are done yet he is still seeing ace moneylines. He has been dreadful on the road with a 6.65 ERA and 1.54 WHIP and the Mariners are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on American League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg and batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games going up against a starter whose ERA is between 4.70 and 5.70. This situation is 145-88 (62.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (928) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. For those that do not follow the CFL very close, the Calgary Stampeders are the equivalent of the New England Patriots in the NFL as they are on their way to their 11th straight season with double-digit victories. They have won the Grey Cup twice along the way but have also lost it three times and they can be vulnerable against the number as the linesmakers have no choice but to inflate their numbers as evidenced last week when they failed to cover a 19.5-point spread against Montreal. Saskatchewan is coming off a pair of wins over Hamilton to move back over .500 for the season and while this will be its first game against a team from the West Division, the same holds true for Calgary which has played nearly an identical schedule to open the season. The Stampeders know where they are as a team which makes this game a big one for the Roughriders as they do have a shot to bring Calgary back to the pack and even have a realistic shot at taking the West Division. There might be an opportunity at quarterback because starter Bo Levi Mitchell is nursing an injured knee that he suffered two weeks ago and while he started the following week against the Alouettes, there were mobility issues and the swarming Saskatchewan defense can take advantage. On the other side, despite Calgary ranking at the top in just about every offensive category, the Roughriders rank fairly close in many key statistics that could prove crucial in pulling off an upset against the lone undefeated team in the CFL. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better after one or more consecutive losses against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (368) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-27-18 | Toronto +10 v. Winnipeg | Top | 14-40 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home set for Toronto and Winnipeg with the latter easily winning the first meeting last week on the road. We are going absolutely contrarian here as the Argonauts could be considered one of the worst defending Grey Cup Champions we have seen in recent history. They are off to a 1-4 start and have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 143.6 ypg so things have not been going the way as planned. Injuries have taken their toll, but things are looking up this week Toronto is returning some key defensive players as back in the fold tonight will be defensive linemen Frank Beltre and Dylan Wynn, as well as linebacker Cassius Vaughn. This is huge for the worst defense in the league statistically. Winnipeg is now 3-3 and can move over .500 for the first time this season but this is a tricky spot, especially coming off a blowout win that can display overconfidence. The Blue Bombers have a Week Eight bye, and with every looming vacation there is the risk of being preoccupied mentally so Winnipeg could be at risk of thinking too far ahead. Even though past history can be meaningless, it is extremely difficult for teams to win twice against the same team in back-to-back weeks while also losing in consecutive weeks is usually not the norm. The Blue Bombers have played 42 sets of back-to-backs since 1996 and have swept only four of them while Toronto has played 34 back-to-backs and have only been swept nine times. Toronto falls into a contrarian situation where we play on road underdogs or pickems that are allowing 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (363) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-27-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals -107 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. St. Louis is back home following a disappointing 3-5 roadtrip including losing three of five in Chicago against the Cubs. The Cardinals are back to .500 on the season but the playoffs are still well within reach as they trail Atlanta by 4.5 games for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. The offense has sputtered of late, averaging just 2.5 rpg over their last four games, but on the season the Cardinals are 12-2 against the moneyline after scoring four runs or less in three straight games. The Cubs are coming off an improbable victory as rookie David Bote jacked a two-run home run in the bottom of the ninth inning to tie the game against Arizona and then Anthony Rizzo hit a walk off home run two pitches later. Chicago remains 2.5 games ahead of Milwaukee in the National League Central and while it has been playing better on the road, of its 27 road wins, only 13 have been against teams .500 or better. Luke Weaver had a rough month of June where he posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.79 WHIP, but he has rebounded with a 3.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in three July starts. The Cardinals are 10-4 in his last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Cubs counter with Mike Montgomery who has been up and down and while has been strong on the road, only one of five road starts have come against a team at .500 or better. Here, we play against National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are averaging 4.7 or more rpg and with a bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 47-21 (69.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) St. Louis Cardinals |
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07-26-18 | Edmonton -8.5 v. Montreal | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton is off to a 3-2 start, yet it has covered just once game, which was the 41-22 home victory against B.C. More importantly, the Eskimos have outgained four of five opponents and by an average of over 50 ypg which sets them up in a great spot tonight coming off their bye week. This is an offensively driven league and right now, Edmonton leads the way as it is averaging a CFL-best 429.6 ypg thanks to a great start from quarterback Mike Reilly who leads the league with 1,648 yards passing and nine touchdowns. He has thrown six interceptions which would normally be a concern, but not in this matchup against a Montreal defense that is allowing a league-high 29.6 ppg and applies no pressure with a league-low six sacks. While Reilly has been a rock at quarterback for Edmonton for the last six seasons, the Alouettes have gone through 13 starters since Anthony Calvillo retired after the 2013 campaign. One of those is Vernon Adams, who is making the start tonight in his second stint with Montreal as Drew Wiley has an injured hand, both Jeff Mathews and Matthew Shiltz are also hurt, and Johnny Manziel has been in town for only two days. Montreal falls into a simple, yet effective, negative situation where we play against CFL teams after scoring nine or fewer points in their last game. This situation is 84-41 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (361) Edmonton Eskimos |
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07-26-18 | Mets v. Pirates -148 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. We played against Pittsburgh yesterday as it lost in Cleveland, snapping its 11-game winning streak but we expect a bounceback tonight in the series opener in this four-game set against the Mets. The Pirates are now seven games behind the Cubs in the National League Central but remain just three games back in the Wild Card race and this is a big series with the next five games coming against the Cubs and Cardinals. The Mets took two of three against San Diego to open the week and while they have held their own on the road, going back they are 14-40 in their last 54 road games against teams with a winning record. On the season, they are 8-22 against National League teams averaging 4.5 or more rpg. Nick Kingham gets the ball for Pittsburgh and he has been successful as a fill in starter. He has tossed three straight quality starts and taking away one poor outing against the Dodgers, he has a 3.00 ERA in his other nine starts. If he gets past the first inning, he is just fine as eight of the 23 earned runs he has allowed and 11 of 49 hits have been in the 1st inning. Steven Matz counters for the Mets and while he has been having a decent season, the spot is not good as New York is 3-13 in his last 13 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game while going 4-17 in his last 21 starts in the second half of the season. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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07-25-18 | Sky v. Mercury -5 | Top | 101-87 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. We had to wait this one out based on injury information from Phoenix as Brittney Griner has been listed as questionable since yesterday with back spasms but has now been upgraded to probable. The line has still come down since opening with a lot of that attributed to Diana Taurasi being out today because of a suspension due to a seventh technical foul. The Mercury are shorthanded, but with this being the final game before the All Star break, it is big for them. Phoenix lost its second straight and fifth over the last six games as they lost Minnesota at home on Saturday. The Mercury are now 15-10 on the season and sit in fourth place in the WNBA playoff standings, three games behind Seattle for the top spot. Chicago is also coming off a loss as it fell to Los Angeles on Sunday to fall to 8-17 on the season, well out of the playoff picture. While Phoenix may be shorthanded, it will not come into play as the Sky possess the worst defense in the WNBA, allowing a whopping 90.1 ppg. This is a revenge game for the Mercury as we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a same season loss, off a loss against a conference rival. This situation is 162-104 ATS (60.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-25-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -106 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Triple Play. We lost with the Cubs last night in what was a surprisingly dominant performance from Clay Buchholz, who allowed a solo home run for his only blemish in 6.2 innings. Chicago has dropped back-to-back games for the first time in a month as it has scored just one run in each of those games and the last time it was held to two runs or less in a two-game span, the Cubs erupted for 13 runs in their next game. They are a perfect 5-0 this season when scoring two runs or less combined in their two previous games, averaging 8.8 rpg. Arizona pulled to within a half-game of the Dodgers in the National League West after its third straight win where it has allowed just one run in each of those three victories. We do expect more of that today as Robbie Ray takes the hill and while he was dominant last season, that has not carried forward. He had a rough start to the season, went on the DL and it has not gotten much better with a 7.65 ERA over his last four starts. The Cubs are hitting .297 at home against left-handed pitching and have won 17 of their last 22 games against southpaw starters. Jon Lester is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed eight earned runs against the Cardinals, double of his previous season high. Even with that, he still has a 3.12 ERA at home and Chicago has gone 8-2 in his 10 home starts while going back, the Cubs have gone 40-14 in his last 54 home starts. Here, we play against National League road underdogs that are allowing four or fewer rpg going up against a team outscoring opponents by one or more rpg. This situation is 99-38 (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) Chicago Cubs |
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07-24-18 | Dodgers v. Phillies +103 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 103 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Dodgers took the opening game of this three game series to improve to 3-1 after the break and they remain a game and a half ahead of the Diamondbacks in the National League West. They have an extremely tough matchup tonight however as the Phillies send their ace to the hill in trying to move back into first place in the National League East. Philadelphia is 32-18 at home including wins in six of its last eight and going back, the Phillies are 11-25 in their last 36 games against teams with a winning record. Aaron Nola is making his first start in 10 days, so the extra rest is a bonus. He closed the first half with five straight quality outings and he has been unbeatable at home, literally. He is 8-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in nine starts, all Phillies wins and all being quality performances. Kenta Maeda has been pitching well also but he has not been as efficient on the road with just one quality outing and that came against the Marlins. Here, we play against National League road underdogs that are hitting .255 or worse and with a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or fewer home runs per start going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 99-36 (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (904) Philadelphia Phillies |
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07-24-18 | Mystics v. Sun -4.5 | Top | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Supreme Annihilator. The Eastern Conference in the WNBA has taken a reverse direction as Connecticut was in first place a couple weeks back but now finds itself in third place, 2.5 games behind Atlanta which now has the second best record in the league thanks to seven straight wins. The Sun are coming off an upset win at Dallas which halted a two-game slide and hopefully is the start of ending a miserable 5-11 run. Washington is also coming off a road win, but it was far from an upset as it defeated 7-17 New York, which snapped a two-game skid. That win also snapped a three-game road losing streak to push the Mystics a game over .500 on the highway. Washington has won two of the first three meetings, so Connecticut is not only playing with revenge but also playing to tie up the season series which is important for a playoff tiebreaker, especially when the teams are so close in the standings. The Mystics are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Connecticut also falls into a spectacular league-wide revenge situation where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600, playing a winning team after 15 or more games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (614) Connecticut Sun |
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07-23-18 | Cardinals +118 v. Reds | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. St. Louis lost yesterday to drop its five-game series against the Cubs and needs to get back on track in this winnable series before hosting Chicago at the end of the week. The Cardinals are still over .500 on the road, one of only seven teams in the National League with a winning record on the highway. Going back, the Cardinals are 7-2 in their last nine games following a loss. Cincinnati closed the first half on an 18-8 run, but the break did the Reds no good as they were swept by the Pirates over the weekend. The offense managed only five total runs and the three games represented the first time over their last 14 games they scored fewer that three runs. The Reds are 17-35 in their last 52 home games against teams with a winning road record. Daniel Poncedeleon gets the ball for St. Louis and this will be his big league debut. It will also complete an incredible 14-month comeback from a life-threatening brain injury suffered when he was struck by a line drive in a Triple-A game. He has recovered incredibly as for Memphis this season, he has a 9-3 record, a 2.15 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 92 innings. He won his last four starts, including a one-hitter in his last appearance on July 15, the first complete-game shutout of his five minor league seasons. Luis Castillo counters for the Reds and while he has been dependable, he has been far from dominant as only five of his 20 starts have been quality outings. This includes just one over his last nine starts and in three starts against the Cardinals this season, he has a 5.63 ERA. 10* (953) St. Louis Cardinals |
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07-22-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -140 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. This is the final game of a five-game series between Chicago and St. Louis with each team alternating wins through the first four games. The Cubs bullpen, which is fifth best in baseball, blew a 3-1 lead last night in the second game of a double-header by allowing five runs over the final three innings so we can expect a bounce back today. The Cubs hold a 2.5-game lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central and turn to Jose Quintana in his first starts after the break after posting a pair of quality outings to close the first half. Admittedly, he has struggled at home, but Chicago is 5-2 in his seven starts thanks to 7.3 rpg of support. Miles Mikolas counters for St. Louis and he has had a great season thus far with a 2.79 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 19 starts. He is a perfect 6-0 on the road but his numbers inflate, and this will be his first career start at Wrigley Field. The Cubs fall into a solid situation where we play on National League home teams that are averaging 4.7 or more rpg and starting a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in his last two outings going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better. This situation is 160-86 (65 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) Chicago Cubs |
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07-21-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 150 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Saturday Underdog Sweet Spot. This line reflects the past and not the present and is based on name and where the public money is going to go. Last night, the Dodgers took the opener of this series with a 6-4 win over Milwaukee to send the Brewers to their seventh straight loss as the break did them no good to quell their losing streak. Rich Hill had a significant pitching edge over Wade Miley, but the price closed at -132 and tonight the gap decreases yet the price cis significantly higher. Clayton Kershaw has been one of, if not the most dominant pitcher in baseball over the past few years but injuries are starting to catch up as he has been as inconsistent as we have seen. He lost four games in 2016 in 21 starts and lost four games in 2017 in 27 starts but he has already lost four games this season in just 13 starts. He has gone past six innings only once in his last eight starts which dates back to April. Chase Anderson is having a great season as his 3.78 ERA is very solid but that does not tell the full story as he has a 1.17 WHIP and players are hitting just .219 against him and those last two numbers are dominant worthy. While he cannot pitch during the day with his 0-5 record and 4.75 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, he is 6-2 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 10 starts under the lights. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-20-18 | Giants v. A's -110 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Oakland closed the first half on a 21-6 run to get back into the playoff picture. While they might not catch Houston in the American League West as they are eight games back, they are just three games behind Seattle in the American League Wild Card. San Francisco is also in the Wild Card mix as it is four games out of the second spot, but the road has been an issue all season. The Giants are 31-19 at home but on the road it is close to a reversal as they are 19-29 and most recently, they have lost 21 of their last 31 road games. It might be a risky proposition betting on journeyman Edwin Jackson, but he has been solid with a 2.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in four starts. This includes two great outings against Cleveland and shutting down San Francisco last time out. Dereck Rodriguez has been nearly as good, but he comes in with a poor 1.58 WHIP on the road. Here, we play against National League road underdogs that are hitting .255 or worse and with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of less than 2.50 over his last five starts going up against an American League starting pitcher who has an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 46-10 (82.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (930) Oakland A's |
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07-20-18 | BC v. Ottawa -7 | Top | 25-29 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Ottawa is coming off a humbling loss last week against Calgary, its second loss to the Stampeders this season, but it has dominated its other two games and we expect a big rebound tonight. The RedBlacks were outgained by 214 total yards and they managed only three points, their lowest point total since August of 2015, which also happened to come against Calgary. The 150-yard offensive output against Calgary was the lowest in team history over 76 games since rejoining the league in 2014. Going back, Ottawa is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games after gaining 275 or less total yards in its previous game. B.C. meanwhile came back from a 17-0 half-time deficit to win 20-17 on a walk-off field goal in front of their home crowd against Winnipeg last week. The Lions are now 2-2 on the season, winning both games at home and losing both games on the road, but the one consistent is that they have been outgained in all four games thus far. Ottawa running back William Powell is third in the CFL with 372 rushing yards, averaging 5.9 ypc, despite getting shut down last week. That should prove to be another tough test for the B.C. run defense after they allowed Winnipeg running back Andrew Harris to eclipse the 100-yard mark in back to back meetings, and overall, the Lions are dead last in the league allowing 152 rushing ypg. Making matters worse, B.C. will be without its defensive leader as Solomon Elimimian was placed on the six-game injured list with a wrist injury. His 26 defensive tackles rank him fourth in the league so far this season after amassing 274 tackles over the previous two seasons. 10* (374) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-19-18 | Aces v. Mercury -8 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. Phoenix survived its toughest part of the schedule this season and it has a chance to make a run at the Storm for the best record in the league. The Mercury finally return to the Talking Stick Resort Arena for four straight games after having played eight of their last nine games on the road dating back to June 24. While they face some tough teams down the stretch, nine of their final 11 games are at home where have played only eight games compared to 15 on the highway. Las Vegas is coming off a 99-78 loss to the Sparks on the road Sunday and it was a tough loss as the Aces had a fourth quarter lead, but Los Angeles closed the game on a 21-3 run. Las Vegas had won four straight games prior to that, so while it was building confidence, that confidence came crashing down in a matter of minutes. The Aces are three games out of the final playoff spot and while there are plenty of games left, eight of their last 11 games are against teams with winning records so making a run will not be easy. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (314) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-19-18 | Saskatchewan +10.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. The Roughriders and Tiger-Cats meet in the back end of a home-and-home series that, due to a bye week, has been stretched out an extra seven days. Saskatchewan prevailed in the first matchup 18-13 despite getting outgained by 131 total yards as its bend but do not break defense kept Hamilton out of the endzone despite amassing 429 total yards. It has been a struggle offensively for the Roughriders since Zach Collaros went down with a concussion. Quarterback Brandon Bridge is set to make his third straight start for Saskatchewan and the fourth of his career and he is returning to the site of his first start for the Roughriders as he helped them win in Hamilton last season. David Watford will also see time behind center as head coach Chris Jones confirmed that the two will split time again which does give them some extra wrinkles on offense. While Hamilton is looking for some revenge, this line is inflated in what very well could be another low scoring battle which gives a big edge to the underdog, especially one this big. The Roughriders defense has stepped up numerous times against highly-powered teams as they are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games against teams averaging 325 or more passing ypg. Meanwhile, Hamilton is just 3-12 ATS in its last 15 home games against teams allowing 75 or fewer rushing ypg. 10* (371) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-17-18 | Dream v. Sun -8 | Top | 86-83 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. Connecticut held down the top spot in the Eastern Conference for much of the season until a 3-9 swoon in mid-June sent the Sun going the wrong way. They have recovered to win their last two games which happened to come against two top teams from the Western Conference and they look to regain their spot in second place with a victory tonight. It is no coincidence that the rough stretch had a lot to do with the absence of Alyssa Thomas who missed 10 games with a shoulder injury but is back healthy now. The schedule has not been on their side either as only eight of 22 games have taken place at home. Atlanta is the team that has taken over second place in the Eastern Conference thanks to four straight wins including a pair of victories over first place Washington. Three of those wins came at home however and this has been a notoriously tough spot for the Dream which are 12-24 ATS in their last 36 road games against teams allowing 73 or more ppg. Additionally, this is the third meeting of the season and with Atlanta winning the first two games, Connecticut falls into a great situation where we play on favorites revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Connecticut Sun |
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07-15-18 | Sun v. Lynx -4 | Top | 83-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. Minnesota had a horrific start to the season based on its standards, but it was able to regroup and put together a seven-game winning streak. However, the Lynx have regressed by going 2-3 over their last five games with the three losses all coming against losing teams that are a combined 19-45. Connecticut snapped a three-game slide with a home win over Phoenix on Friday, but the road has been a challenge as the Sun are 2-9 ATS over their last 11 road games. They won the first meeting by 14 points but that is part of a great situation for Minnesota where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600, playing a winning team. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) Minnesota Lynx |
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07-15-18 | Blue Jays +142 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Boston was able to extract some revenge after getting its 10-game winning streak snapped on Friday as Xander Bogaerts hit a walk-off grand slam in the 10th inning to pull out a 6-2 win. Toronto can even the series today before heading into the break in what has been a very disappointing season. Marcus Stroman has been at the top of that disappointment list, but he has been a lot better since coming off the DL as he has a 3.04 ERA in four starts including three where he allowed one run or less. Brian Johnson will be making his fourth start of the season as he has been activated from the DL and while Boston has gone 8-0 in his last eight starts, the numbers are not on his side here. He has a 5.33 ERA at home while allowing a .313 average against right-handed hitters and the projected Blue Jays lineup shows not a single lefty in it today. 10* (915) Toronto Blue Jays |
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07-14-18 | Winnipeg v. BC +4.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. This line was off the board all week waiting for the news of the B.C. quarterback situation and it has been confirmed Travis Lulay will be starting after suffering a knee injury last season. Jonathon Jennings has started the firth three games in his place and once considered one of the most promising young quarterbacks in the CFL, he has struggled to start the 2018 season, completing just 48 of his 72 passes for 487 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. This is the second game of a home-and-home between the Lions and Blue Bombers with the latter taking the first game last week with a 41-19 home win to even their record at 2-2. The Blue Bombers now lead the entire league in total points with 144 and points per game at 36 ppg, while the Lions are sixth overall in both categories so the return of Lulay is a big boost. Winnipeg was excellent on defense last week as it allowed just 280 total yards, but we can chalk that up as an aberration more than the norm as the previous week against Hamilton on the road, the Blue Bombers allowed 480 total yards. Defensively, the Lions need a better push up front as they did not register a sack last week and a change of venue can help that, especially with this being their first home game in a month following a bye week and two road games. Based on what we have seen through four weeks, the public is all over the Blue Bombers which is causing an inflated line considering Winnipeg was favored by just two points more last week and that game was at home. 10* (366) B.C. Lions |
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07-14-18 | Wings v. Storm -5.5 | Top | 84-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Saturday Terminator. Dallas has been thorn for us the last couple games as the Wings have caught fire, winning five straight games to improve to 12-8 overall which has put them into fourth place in the WNBA playoff standings. They are coming off an upset win at Los Angeles as they took down the Sparks by 15 points and that was the second time they have beaten Los Angeles this season. Dallas has won only one other game the entire year as an underdog which came early in the season at Atlanta and it has gone 0-5 in its other five games when getting points. Seattle was also riding a five-game winning streak prior to facing Los Angeles on Tuesday where it lost to the Sparks by a bucket in overtime. It was an atypical game for Seattle as it blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead, went just 5-24 from long range and committed 21 turnovers. Despite that, the Storm still possess the best record in the WNBA at 15-6 and this has been a great spot play all season as they are a perfect 5-0 following a loss while going a perfect 8-0 when coming off a spreads loss. Seattle has the best home record in the league at 9-4 including an 8-0 run when scoring 80 or more points and that is significant as Dallas allows 84.2 ppg on the highway. Seattle falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing a conference opponent after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) since 1997. 10* (612) Seattle Storm |
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07-14-18 | Royals v. White Sox -121 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Kansas City fire-sale is showing the full effects this season as it has fallen to 26-67 which is the second worst record in baseball and its -189 scoring differential is the worst by a wide margin. The Royals lost for the 12th time in their last 13 games as the pitching has been horrible during this stretch, allowing an average of 6.5 rpg. The one is their favor is that they have been better on the road than at home as far as the records go but their 5.20 road ERA is third worst in baseball. The White Sox are another team in transition mode, but they have had more success in the rebuilding tenure and they have been playing much better at home. After a 3-15 start to the season at Guaranteed Rate Field, they have gone 15-12 over their last 27 games here including wins the last two days. Reynaldo Lopez gets the ball for Chicago and he has shown why he is considered one of the top pitching prospects in the organization. He has a 3.77 ERA through 18 starts, 11 of those being quality outings. He has been lit up only twice all season and both of those were on the road and he comes into today with a 2.72 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in seven home start. The White Sox are 5-2 in his last seven home starts against teams with a losing record. The Royals have had some success this season by going 13-18 against left-handed starters but they are an atrocious 13-49 against right-handed starters. Daddy Duffy has been inconsistent this season as only seven of his 19 starts have been quality performances, two of which were not against the White Sox where he allowed nine runs over 10 innings. 10* (968) Chicago White Sox |
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07-13-18 | Toronto v. Edmonton -9.5 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. We won with Toronto last week as a home underdog as it snapped a two-game losing steak to start the season despite getting outgained by 64 yards. It was a game of momentum, in which Toronto scored 12 straight points to open the game, followed by 17 consecutive points by the Eskimos before the Argonauts put together the winning drive in the fourth quarter. While the Eskimos won the yardage battle, they lost an intangible that lost them yards, points and a possible win as they were penalized 12 times for 126 yards. This included one holding penalty that took a touchdown off the scoreboard. Additionally, they fumbled on their second play of the game which set up the second Toronto touchdown. The Argonauts have been outgained in all three games this season and taking nothing away from their Grey Cup Championship from last season, they have now been outgained in five straight games including 134 yards against Calgary in the final. Edmonton returns home where it is 1-1 and a more discipline team should be able to run away with this one. The Eskimos passed for 370 yards last week and Mike Reilly can go off again against an Argonauts defense that is ranked dead last in the CFL in passing defense. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in this series including four straight Edmonton wins by an average of 3.5 ppg. The Eskimos fall into a solid situation where we play on teams that are revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 106-58 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (364) Edmonton Eskimos |
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07-13-18 | Blue Jays +185 v. Red Sox | Top | 13-7 | Win | 185 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. We lost a tough one with the Blue Jays last night as Mookie Betts hit a two-out grand slam in an epic 13-pitch at-bat, leading Boston to its 10th straight victory. The Red Sox retained their 3.5-game lead over the Yankees in the American League East and are guaranteed to have the lead heading into the All Star Break. Boston has the best home winning percentage in baseball so while going against that is a risk, the value on the underdog negates that. Toronto has now lost six straight games against Boston, but it is now catching the biggest number over this stretch and has a capable arm on the hill to pull off the upset. Ryan Borucki has been exceptional since entering the rotation as he has a 2.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP through three starts, all of which have been quality outings. Two of those came against the Yankees and Astros, two of the three highest scoring teams in the league, which makes the start even more impressive. He does not have a win to show for it though as run support has been limited. Rick Porcello counters for the Red Sox and he is having a decent season with a 3.58 ERA in 19 starts. Only eight of 14 starts under the lights have been quality outings and in his last four starts against Toronto, he has a 6.20 ERA. Toronto falls into a solid situation where we play against American League teams that are hitting between .265 to .279 and with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 33-11 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (917) Toronto Blue Jays |
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07-13-18 | Fever +9.5 v. Dream | Top | 74-98 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Game of the Week. Indiana has lost two straight games and eight of its last nine and on the season, it has just one victory. The Fever have been more competitive on the road than at home as they have been getting inflated numbers based on their straight up record and they have covered six of their nine road games on the season. Atlanta has won two straight games to move over .500 on the season and both of those wins were as underdogs. That sets up a perfect letdown spot here by facing the worst team in the WNBA and add to that, the Dream have a game on Sunday against Eastern Conference leading Washington. Going back, Atlanta is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse while going 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games coming off a conference win. Indiana falls into a solid contrarian situation as we play on underdogs after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread, winning 25 percent or fewer of their games on the season. This situation is 34-12 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last five seasons with the average scoring differential being just 3.2 ppg. 10* (603) Indiana Fever |
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07-12-18 | Calgary -3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. This is the second meeting of the season between Calgary and Ottawa which possess the best records in the CFL early in the season. Both teams top their respective divisions, with the Stampeders the lone undefeated team remaining while Ottawa will be looking to even the season series after dropping the first meeting 24-14 in Week Three. That game probably should not have been as close as the final score shows as the Stampeders defense did an outstanding job of putting RedBlacks quarterback Trevor Harris under pressure and limited him to 135 passing yards while he completed 13-of-29 pass attempts. They did not do a great job against the run but thanks to a bye week, Calgary will have Cordarro Law back in the lineup, giving them a potent front four that should give the RedBlacks offensive line serious trouble. Ottawa is back home after a pair of road games, including that game at Calgary two weeks ago, and a win over Montreal last week. The RedBlacks are at the disadvantage of having eight fewer days to prepare for this game as Calgary looks to break it recent curse at TD Place Stadium. The Stampeders haven't won a game Ottawa since a 32-7 victory in the RedBlacks inaugural season in 2014 as they have gone 0-1-2 At TD Place against Ottawa since, and suffered a 27-24 Grey Cup loss to Toronto at the stadium last fall. All said and done, the Stampeders are the better team by a significant margin. Calgary is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games after one or more consecutive straight up wins while Ottawa is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game and 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after outgaining opponent by 70 or more total yards in their previous game. 10* (361) Calgary Stampeders |
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07-12-18 | Brewers +121 v. Pirates | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Thursday Triple Play. The Brewers lost two of three in Miami to start the week, but we expect them to bounce back here and at a nice underdog price. They are 25-20 on the road and remain a game and a half ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central. Pittsburgh took two of three against Washington to even its homestand at 3-3 and while it won yesterday, the Pirates are 4-13 in their last 17 games following a win. Jameson Taillon has put together a solid season thus far with a 4.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 18 starts. Only eight of those have been quality outings including just three at home in nine starts. Betting on Wade Miley may be a scary proposition, but this is a good spot. Miley missed the first month of the season with an injured groin and then he put together an impressive start against the Reds, pitching six innings and allowing just one run on three hits and three walks with four strikeouts before leaving his next start with an oblique strain that put him on the DL for two months. He has been solid in his rehab assignments and should continue that here. There has been no indication of him being on a pitch count, but it is fine if he is as the Brewers possess the fifth lowest bullpen ERA in baseball and fits into a positive situation. Here, we play on National League teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are averaging between 4.0 and 4.5 rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.25 or better on the season going up against a starter whose ERA is between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 45-15 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (953) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-11-18 | Mariners v. Angels -112 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Angels responded from a three-run first inning by the Mariners to score nine unanswered runs to win this series opener and improve to 3-1 on this current homestand. This is a big series to cut the lead and somehow get back into the Wild Card hunt. The Mariners possess that second Wild Card slot as they have a six-game lead over Oakland and now a 10-game lead over the Angels. Despite being 18 games over .500, Seattle is just +11 in scoring differential which is the lowest positive differential in all of baseball, behind even the Angels which are +20. They are where they are thanks to a 26-11 record in one-run games, easily the best mark in baseball. Marco Gonzales has had a solid season with a 3.64 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts and the Mariners have won all three of his starts against the Angels but all of those were at home where his ERA is a run and a half better than on the road. Jaime Barria has had an equally strong season with a 3.39 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 starts. He has allowed two runs or less in 10 of those and this is a good spot to end the five-game winless start streak. The Angels fall into a solid contrarian situation where we play on home teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are hitting .215 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 30-14 (68.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Los Angeles Angels |
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07-11-18 | Dream v. Mystics -8 | Top | 106-89 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
**Note: 11:30 AM ET Start** This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Wednesday Terminator. Washington is back home following a 1-1 west coast swing and it still holds a two-game lead in the Eastern Conference over Connecticut. While going just 4-6 against the Western Conference, the Mystics have dominated within their own conference, going 8-1 against the east. They had a chance to pull off the upset against the Storm as Washington led 56-48 in the third quarter before the Storm went on a 27-10 run over the final seven minutes to pull away. The Mystics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Atlanta is coming off an upset win over Phoenix on Sunday and while it has performed well against the top teams in the league, this is a bad spot. The Dream are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games off a home win while going 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games after allowing 70 points or more in three straight games. They also fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are averaging between 72 and 76 ppg going up against teams allowing 76 or more ppg, after scoring 70 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (324) Washington Mystics |
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07-10-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -103 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Rockies are back home following a series win in Seattle and they close their first half of the season with a six-game homestand. They trail the Diamondbacks by 3.5 games in the National League West and can close the gap with a big three-game series as they look to find some consistency as home where their 18 wins are second fewest in the National League. Arizona is coming off a 3-7 homestand as its lead in the division has shrunk to a half-game over the Dodgers and this is not a good spot for one of its aces. Patrick Corbin has been solid with a 3.05 ERA and 1.01 WHIP through 18 starts and while he has pitched well on the road with a 2.32 ERA and 1.01 WHIP, this is his first trip to Coors Field where he has a 7.11 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in nine career games. Despite the poor record, the Rockies are hitting .296 at home against left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson has quietly put together a solid season with a 3.90 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts and he is going through his best stretch of the season. He has a 2.18 ERA over his last five starts and has allowed no runs in 16 innings over his last two starts. 10* (958) Colorado Rockies |
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07-10-18 | Mercury +2 v. Wings | Top | 72-101 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. Phoenix is coming off a loss at Atlanta on Sunday and now sits a game behind Seattle in the Western Conference. The Mercury have the second best record in the league which come playoff time is huge considering the top two teams are rewarded with a double bye, so these winnable games are important going forward. Phoenix has the best road record in the WNBA at 9-3 and the Mercury have covered eight of their last 10 road games while going 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. Dallas has won three straight games following a road win at New York on Sunday and its 12-6 ATS record is the most profitable in the league. That is forcing the Wings to be the favorite here despite being three games behind Phoenix in the standings. Two of those ATS losses have come against the Mercury and this has been a horrible spot for Dallas which is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a home favorite. Additionally, the Wings fall into a negative league-wide situation where we play against favorites revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite going up against that opponent coming off a road loss. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (315) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-09-18 | Tigers +195 v. Rays | Top | 9-10 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Tigers are coming off a 2-2 series split with Texas after getting shut out on Sunday 3-0 as they were held to just four hits. Going back, Detroit is just 4-15 over its last 19 games and while it has seen some big underdog numbers on the road, those were against the Cubs and Indians. Tampa Bay is coming off a pair of shut outs wins over the Mets on Saturday and Sunday which is playing into the number as is the fact Chris Archer is on the hill. He has not been the same dominant pitcher as he has been in the past and this is his first start in five weeks. After spending time on the disabled list. He has a 4.24 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 13 starts and in five home starts, he has yet to pick up a victory. Francisco Liriano counters for the Tigers and he is coming off a pair of quality starts on the road. He has pitched well on the road with a 3.23 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in eight starts, six of which have been quality, but he has been unlucky with the offense giving him just 2.8 rpg. Detroit falls into a solid situation where we play against American League favorites with a moneyline of -110 or higher that are hitting .260 or worse with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 to 1.40 on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA 4.20 or better. This situation is 67-39 (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (915) Detroit Tigers |
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07-08-18 | Cardinals v. Giants -121 | Top | 8-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Giants lost for the fifth time in their last six games as the offense has completely shut down, scoring three runs or less in all six of those games, averaging just 1.7 rpg over that stretch. This includes scoring a grand total of three runs in three games at Coors Field, but the offense is much better than this and we foresee more production on Sunday. St. Louis has won four of its first six games on this current nine-game roadtrip as it continues to hang around in the National League Wild Card race. The Giants missed Madison Bumgarner for the first couple months of the season as he is showing how important he is to the rotation. He has a 2.58 ERA and 1.12 WHIPO in his first six starts and he has been dealing at home with a 0.86 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in three outings. The Cardinals are 17-38 in their last 55 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15 and more recent, they are 3-8 in their last 11 games against left-handed starters. Jack Flaherty opened the season great, but he has stumbled over his last two starts. Despite a 2.86 ERA in six road starts, the Cardinals are just 1-5 in those games as he has received no run support which we expect to again be the case today. 10* (960) San Francisco Giants |
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07-08-18 | Wings v. Liberty +4 | Top | 97-87 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. It has been a disaster for the Liberty this season as they came in with high expectations in competing for the WNBA Championship and now finds themselves with the second worst record in the league. Off to their worst start since 2006, the Liberty would like to find some rhythm and secondary scoring. New York is 1-7 in its last eight games and is averaging 75.3 ppg over this stretch. During this skid, six of the losses have come by double digits and the Liberty have been held under 80 points six times. Dallas meanwhile has won two straight games and it is 9-8 on the season. The Wings have won six of their last 11 games and while a win over Los Angeles was solid, the other wins have come against Indiana twice, Las Vegas twice and Chicago, all of which are at least four games under .500. While New York is part of this group as far as records go, Dallas is overpriced on the road where it is only 3-5 on the season. The Wings are just 2-6 following a win and this is the first time they have hit the road since June 27th and the first time they have come east since June 19th. With an upcoming stretch of games with Phoenix, Los Angeles and Seattle on deck, looking past the Liberty is a distinct possibility. 10* (310) New York Liberty |
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07-07-18 | Mystics v. Sparks -7 | Top | 83-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Game of the Week. The Sparks have hit a bit of a wall as they have lost four of their last five games after an 11-3 start to the season. Three of those losses were on the road however and the lone home loss came against Connecticut by just one point after being held to only eight first quarter points. Los Angeles lost in Minnesota on Thursday as the Lynx were playing with double-revenge stemming from two earlier regular season losses and now it is time for the Sparks to get rolling once again. Washington is coming off a win over New York on Thursday which was its fifth win in its last six games with four of those coming at home. This is the first time the Mystics have had to travel since June 22nd and only the third time since June 3rd as they have only had to make trips to Connecticut and Chicago. Washington is 8-1 against the Eastern Conference but just 3-5 against teams from the Western Conference while failing to cover four straight games against the west. Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, winning those games by over 15 ppg and it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games off a road loss, winning those by 13.3 ppg. Additionally, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost four or five of their last six games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 52-16 ATS (76.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (302) Los Angeles Sparks |
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07-07-18 | Edmonton v. Toronto +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto is off to a 0-2 start and will be facing its third team from the West Division to open the season. Making matters worse, the Argonauts lost quarterback Ricky Ray for the season last week due to a neck injury, so James Franklin will be making his first start. Franklin spent his first three CFL seasons backing up Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly, the CFL most outstanding player last year. Franklin appeared in 12 games with the Eskimos, going 2-1 as a starter. Two weeks ago, he completed eight of 13 passes for 65 yards and ran three times for 14 yards, his 10-yard TD run accounting for lone Toronto touchdown of the game. While Edmonton is a very good team, Franklin does have the edge of knowing the Eskimos personnel and having an additional week to prepare. Edmonton is 2-1 on the season and coming off an impressive win over British Columbia last week. Reilly threw for 326 yards and three touchdowns and C.J Gable had an outstanding game, rushing for 126 yards and chipping in a touchdown of his own. The Toronto defense was lit up for 564 yards against the Stampeders but like the offense, the stop unit has an extra week to get ready. The recent results along with the Ray injury is giving value to the Argonauts in what is a great contrarian spot. Here, we play against favorites coming off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 58-22 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (356) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-07-18 | Rays -126 v. Mets | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. We won with the Mets last night thanks to a walk off grand slam from Jose Bautista, but we will be going the other way today. The Mets have won two straight games which is only their third winning streak of two games or more since a nine-game winning streak ended Apr. 13. We mentioned yesterday the Tampa Bay road struggles of late, but the blame cannot be put on Blake Snell who has posted a 2.08 ERA over his last five road starts with all five coming against teams ranked No. 12 or better in run scored in all of baseball. Overall, he has a 2.24 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 18 starts and he has allowed one run or less in seven of his last eight starts. The Mets have scored the fifth fewest runs in baseball and they are 2-11 in 13 home games against left-handed starters. Steven Matz has been pitching well but not nearly as dominant as Snell. He has been more efficient on the road than at home as he has a 2.25 ERA in eight road starts compared to a 4.57 ERA in eight home starts. He has just one win at home and going back, the Mets are 0-4 in his last four starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Tampa Bay is hitting .261 on the road against left-handed pitching while going 5-1 in its last six games against left-handed starters and their 15 overall wins against southpaws are ninth best in baseball. 10* (925) Tampa Bay Rays |
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07-06-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -132 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. San Diego took the opener of this series last night which snapped a three-game losing streak as it has been a rough stretch for the Padres which are 4-13 in their last 17 games overall. Additionally, they are 0-5 in their last five games following a win as the offense has managed just 2.4 rpg on those follow up games. Arizona has had a dreadful homestand, going 1-6 following a solid 7-1 run. The Diamondbacks are now tied with the Dodgers for first place in the National League West and despite the loss yesterday, they are 7-2 in their last nine games against teams with a losing record. Zack Godley gets the ball for Arizona and after great four-game stretch to close June, he was rocked for seven runs against the Giants, which snapped a three-game home quality start streak. Joey Lucchesi is coming off consecutive starts where he allowed no runs but in 12 starts, he has just two quality outings. Here, we play against National League road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are averaging 3.8 or fewer rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.25 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 4.20 and 5.20. This situation is 41-14 (74.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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07-06-18 | Ottawa -7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal came through for us last week as it upset the Roughriders on the road as a double-digit underdog, but we go against them in this follow up game where it will not be sneaking up on Ottawa. The Alouettes snapped a 13-game losing streak, both straight up and against the number, going back to last season and while it can be argued that they finally have some positive momentum, this is not a good team. Last week, they were able to capitalize on four Saskatchewan turnovers and their lone touchdown came on a trick play. Despite the victory, Montreal will be going with a new starting quarterback as Jeff Matthews will be making his first start after it had 13 two-and-outs against Saskatchewan, the most by a team in almost five years. The RedBlacks are coming off a loss last week in Calgary as the offense was able to put up just 299 yards against the stout Stampeders defense. Things will be a lot easier this week facing the third worst defense in the league as quarterback Trevor Harris has a chance to bounce back following a poor performance against Calgary. In the two meetings he played against Montreal last season, he threw for 376 and 343 yards. Ottawa is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after one or more consecutive losses against the spread while going 8-0 ATS in its last eight road divisional games. Meanwhile, Montreal is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after gaining 300 or less total ypg over their last 3 games. 10* (353) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-06-18 | Storm v. Dream +5 | Top | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA DREAM for our WNBA Friday Terminator. Seattle has won three straight games and sits a half-game behind Phoenix in the Western Conference. Only two and a half games separate first and fourth place in the conference, so it is a tight bunch and while we do feel Seattle is the better team in this matchup, the Storm are overpriced. Going back further, the Storm have won seven of their last nine games and the one loss prior to this streak came at home against Atlanta as 7.5-point favorites and now they are favored by just 2.5 points less on the road. Atlanta won its most recent game against Indiana on Sunday to move back to .500 on the season. The Dream currently hold down the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA and they have withstood a rough part of the schedule as eight of their last 10 games have come on the road. They have won three straight games at home and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games as underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points and this season, they are 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Seattle is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games coming off a road win while going 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a win by 15 points or more. 10* (612) Atlanta Dream |
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07-05-18 | Angels v. Mariners -134 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. We lost with Seattle yesterday but are coming back with the Mariners tonight in another great value spot. Seattle had its eight-game winning streak snapped with the loss yesterday and now sits a game and a half behind the Astros in the American League West, but this is a great bounce back situation. The Angels are now just 3-6 on this roadtrip and are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall which includes three losses against left handed starters where they managed a mere four runs total. Going back, the Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 road games against left-handed starters and face off against Marco Gonzales who is having a solid season. He has a 3.77 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 17 starts and his numbers are better at home where Seattle has gone 6-2 in his eight starts at Safeco Field. Jaime Barria counters for the Angels and he has been dependable but not dominant as just three of his 11 starts have been quality outings. Here, we play against American League teams that are averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg and starting a pitcher who gave up two or fewer earned runs in his last two outings going up against a starter with an ERA of 3.50 or better. This situation is 120-68 (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (916) Seattle Mariners |
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07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. We have ridden Hamilton the last two weeks as it coasted to two easy victories and now faces its fourth straight opponent from the West Division prior to its bye week. The Tiger-Cats have been dominant on offense as they lead the CFL with 469.3 ypg but they will be tested here against the No. 2 ranked defense in the league. This is the first time since 2009 that Hamilton has started a season 2-1 and it has not won three straight games since August of 2015, going 0-4 in its last four games following consecutive victories since then. Additionally, the Tiger-Cats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. We played against the Roughriders last week as they lost at home against Montreal as 10.5-point favorites and now they come in as significant underdogs, making this a 17-point shift in the line which is simply too big in a one week span. The loss of quarterback Zach Collaros for six weeks due to a concussion is big and it showed last week as Brandon Bridge was held to 111 yards and two interceptions before being replaced by David Watford, who went 10-of-22 for 108 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in the loss. Bridge played well prior to that and will be back in to start tonight. Favorites are 8-4 ATS through the first three weeks but the underdog situation early in the season still thrives, especially at home, as we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-14 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (352) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-05-18 | Sparks v. Lynx -3.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on he MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Thursday Terminator. We played against Minnesota in its last game which was targeted as a lookahead spot and it clearly turned into that as the Lynx lost at home against Indiana which came into that game with just one victory. They shot just 32.8 percent from the floor including 28.6 percent from long range and we can draw that up as an aberration for the reigning world champions that came into Tuesday having won seven straight games. Minnesota won the WNBA title last year in five games over Los Angeles, but the Sparks have had its number so far this season by winning the first two meetings which puts the Lynx into a strong double-revenge situation. The Sparks are also coming off a loss as they fell to Connecticut on Tuesday at home by a point where they are 8-2 but just 4-4 on the road and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Minnesota falls into a favorable situation where we play on favorites that are revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (604) Minnesota Lynx |
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07-04-18 | Angels v. Mariners -105 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Seattle took the series opener and has now won eight straight games. Typically, this would be a no play or a play against based on that however the Mariners are severely underpriced here, so we have to take the value play. They are just a half-game behind Houston in the American League West and have a firm hold of one of the two Wild Card spots. After the win, the Mariners are now 9-2 in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Angels meanwhile are 0-8 in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Garrett Richards has come off the disabled list from a left hamstring strain which helps the Angels rotation, but it is too little, too late for this team which is currently projected at 1.8 percent to make the playoffs. Even prior to his injury, he had been struggling. Even when he has pitched well, he has been victimized by poor run support and the Angels are 1-6 in his last seven starts against teams with a winning record. Mike Leake has had a career resurgence in Seattle as since coming over from St. Louis last season, he has a 3.67 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 22 starts. 10* (958) Seattle Mariners |
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07-03-18 | Fever +16 v. Lynx | Top | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. This is an ugly play with the worst team in the league going up against the best team in the WNBA that is finally starting to peak. Indiana has just one win on the season and is riding a six-game losing streak, but the situation is in its favor tonight, especially with a line this big. The Fever have covered four of six games this season when getting double-digits and they are 5-2 ATS on the road and even though they are in the midst of a losing streak, they have been competitive. Minnesota has reeled off seven consecutive victories since a 3-6 start to the season. The Lynx have covered five of these games but failed to cover the lone game as a double-digit favorite and they are 0-4 ATS on the season as favorites of more than seven points. There is also a lookahead spot here as Minnesota hosts Los Angeles on Thursday in what is a double-revenge spot. Indiana falls into a solid situation where we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after four or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (313) Indiana Fever |
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07-03-18 | Mets v. Blue Jays -121 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Blue Jays lost yesterday in the series finale against the Tigers which ended up making the four-game set a split and they are in good shape to snap their two-game slide. They have struggled on the road all season but have picked it up at home where the blue Jays have won 10 of their last 13 games. It has been an even worse season for the Mets which are now 22-47 over their last 69 games. New York salvaged a game in Miami on Sunday where it was favored and on the season, it is 7-24 as an underdog of +150 or less. Additionally, the Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Marco Estrada has had a rough season because of a bad April and May but in five starts last month, he put up a 2.35 ERA and 0.98 WHIP which includes three quality starts at home. The Mets hand the ball to Zack Wheeler who is coming off a solid outing, allowing no runs over seven innings. The last time he did that was his first start in June and he followed that up by allowing six runs in his next start. The Mets are 3-13 in his last 16 starts following a quality outing in his last start. 10* (924) Toronto Blue Jays |
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07-02-18 | Twins v. Brewers -135 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. After getting swept against the Cubs, Minnesota is now 10 games under .500 yet somehow sits in second place in the American League Central but this team is all but done. Both the offense and pitching have struggled, and the latter really had problems over the weekend, allowing 35 runs in the three games against Chicago. Milwaukee split its four-game series against the Reds and it heads back home maintaining its lead in the National League Central against the Cubs, but it is down to a half-game, so this is turning into a big series with a four-game set against the Braves looming. Kyle Gibson has been having a great season but has been erratic at times and this is a trough spot with the Twins going 1-6 in his last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game. Brent Suter has been pitching well after a slow start as he has a 3.49 ERA over his last eight starts with the Brewers winning six of those. Milwaukee is 11-2 in his last 13 starts as a favorite of -150 or less. While the Twins are 3-9 in their last 12 games against lefties. 10* (970) Milwaukee Brewers |
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07-01-18 | Aces v. Sparks -10.5 | Top | 71-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Sunday Terminator. Los Angeles is coming off a pair of losses on the road including a 16-point loss in Las Vegas on Friday. The Situation was not ideal as the Sparks were coming off a game in Seattle on Thursday night and the schedule played right into the Aces' hands as they wanted to push the ball against a tired team and that is exactly what they did. Los Angeles heads back home where it is 7-1 this season and it has not lost three straight games since September of 2016. The Sparks are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games coming off a road loss over the last three seasons. The Aces have been playing well after a 1-7 start and their win over the Sparks was by far their best of the season. While the spot was good for them on Friday, it goes the other way today as Las Vegas is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games coming off a conference win as an underdog of six or more points. Here, we play on favorites after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 160 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (306) Los Angeles Sparks |
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07-01-18 | Indians -122 v. A's | Top | 15-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Oakland caught fire at the end of June, winning 12 of its last 14 games including six straight. The pitching has led the way and while the Cleveland offense has been a disappointment, the fact it has been shut down the last two days by Paul Blackburn and Edwin Jackson is surprising. The Indians have lost four of five on this roadtrip but luckily for them, every other team in the division is garbage and they look to salvage a game here behind Mike Clevinger. He is part of the big three in the rotation and he has been the best one on the road with a 2.39 ERA and .197 BAA. The Indians are 6-2 in his last eight starts following a team loss in their previous game. Oakland hands the ball to Frankie Montas who started great but has faltered with a 7.20 ERA and 2.27 WHIP in his last three starts. 10* (923) Cleveland Indians |
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06-30-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -106 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Giants snuck out a win last night to make it eight wins over their last 10 games. They now trail Arizona by 4.5 games in the National League West but despite the run, they have struggled on the road with a 17-26 record on the season including losses in 18 of their last 26. Going back, San Francisco is 3-18 in its last 21 road games against teams with a bullpen that has a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Arizona had its three-game winning streak snapped and it has had a very solid month-long run as it is 21-9 over its last 30 games and over this stretch, it has gone 7-1 following a loss. Additionally, the Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. We are betting on a pitcher who was rocked in his last start, allowing five runs in 3.2 innings but we are banking on a Shelby Miller rebound here. That was his first start in 14 months following Tommy John surgery, so a rough outing was expected but according to FanGraphs, his fastball averaged 95.6 mph, so he was dealing. Dereck Rodriguez has been pretty solid for the Giants, but he has struggled in two road starts with a 5.68 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. Here, we play on National League teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 that are averaging 4.0 to 4.5 rpg and with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or better going up against a starter with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 42-13 (76.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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06-30-18 | Montreal +10.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The favorites have gone 3-0 ATS this week after a 3-1 ATS performance last week which is a surprise in this league and we will buck that trend tonight by going as contrarian as you can get with a Montreal team that has not won a game since Week Eight of last season and is currently on a 0-13 ATS run since then. Last week was not ideal for the Montreal home opener as it was blasted 56-10 against Winnipeg. It was a setback for the revamped Montreal defense, which added high-profile free agents in the off-season and has defensive guru Rich Stubler as the new coordinator. The unit should be better this week with a couple games behind then plus the fact they welcome back defensive end John Bowman. Saskatchewan opened its season with a win at home against the Argonauts, extracting some revenge, but are coming off a humbling 40-17 defeat last week at Ottawa. The big story here is that Roughriders quarterback Zach Collaros sustained a concussion last week and it out for the next six games. Brandon Bridge came into the game last week in relief and he completed just 13 of 22 for 145 yards and was intercepted once. It does not help that Bridge will be without the top receiving target as although he was the leading receiver with 1,043 yards last season, Duron Carter will continue playing boundary cornerback due to an injury. The Alouettes fall into a positive situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 86-43 (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (377) Montreal Alouettes |
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06-29-18 | Sky v. Liberty -4 | Top | 103-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Friday Terminator. We won with New York last night as it was able to stay within the inflated number, losing on a last second three-point shot by Washington. That was a disheartening loss but sitting at 4-10, the Liberty have to let that go and take care of business on their home floor with seven of their next 11 games taking place on the road. They are 3-5 at home with losses coming against defending WNBA Champion Minnesota, Connecticut which is 9-6 and two losses against Phoenix which is 11-5. Playing back-to-back has not been an issue in the past as New York is 8-2 in its last 10 games playing with no rest. Chicago is coming off a pair of home wins against Phoenix and Atlanta following a six-game losing skid. The Sky have been a decent team at home, but they have struggled to a 1-5 record on the road with the lone victory coming in their season opener against 1-14 Indiana. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while going 15-27 ATS in their last 42 games after allowing 80 points or more in two straight games. New York has a positive situation on its side as we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (608) New York Liberty |
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06-29-18 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton -3.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Hamilton last week as it defeated Edmonton to pick up its first win of the season after losing its opener in Calgary. This is the home opener for the Tiger-Cats which have spent the last two weeks in Alberta to avoid extra travel and as mentioned last week, they have the potential to be a contender in the East Division. The Tiger-Cats missed the playoffs last season after a 0-8 start, but they finished strong by going 6-4 over their last 10 games after June Jones was hired as head coach to take over for Kent Austin. Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli has been exceptional this season, throwing for 676 yards and he is becoming one of the top quarterbacks in the league. Last week, the Tiger-Cats had a pair of 100 yard receivers in the win, as Brandon Banks (117 yards) and Luke Tasker (103 yards) both played major roles. Winnipeg is also coming off a victory last week as it rolled past Montreal 56-10 but the Alouettes are by far the worst team in the CFL. Rookie quarterback Chris Streveler was 22-of-28 for 246 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for a team-high 98 yards and a touchdown. He has been impressive in his first two starts but he will facing a much bigger test on Friday against a tougher Hamilton defense. The Blue Bombers have not been good in a spot like this as they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game while going 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after outrushing their last opponent by 175 or more yards. 10* (374) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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06-29-18 | Twins v. Cubs -116 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Chicago picked up a much needed win yesterday as it got handcuffed by Clayton Kershaw for five innings before erupting for 10 runs against the Dodgers bullpen. It was a disappointing 2-6 roadtrip for the Cubs as they head home where they are 21-14 on the season and going back, they are 10-3 in their last 13 Interleague home games against teams with a losing record. Minnesota also won yesterday as it avoided the sweep against the White Sox as it won just its 15th road game of the season. The Twins are hitting .228 on the road which is fifth worst in baseball and they are 8-18 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home record. Mike Montgomery is making just his seventh start since getting back into the rotation after an uneven start in the bullpen. He posted a 5.33 ERA in 18 games as a reliever but has put up a 2.02 ERA in six outings as a starter. The Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters. Jose Berrios has had a good season for Minnesota and has been on a role of late with seven quality outings in his last eight starts. He has not been consistent on the road however as he has a 4.06 ERA and the Twins are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (930) Chicago Cubs |
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06-28-18 | Liberty +8 v. Mystics | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Thursday Terminator. This is the ultimate contrarian play as we have two teams going in opposite directions, but the line is taking that into account as we are getting big value with New York. It has been a struggle for the Liberty on both sides of the ball as of late for a team that was once again expected to contend in the Eastern Conference. New York has lost three straight games, both straight up and against the number, and it has failed to hit the 70-point mark in their past two contests. Additionally, the Liberty have been victimized by the three-pointer, allowing 20 makes from deep at a 51 percent clip over the past two games. Washington meanwhile has won three straight games, covering all three as well, and it has taken over first place in the Eastern Conference over a struggling Connecticut team that has gone 2-5 over its last seven games. New York falls into two contrarian situations that tie into each other. First, we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. This situation is 32-11 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (601) New York Liberty |
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06-28-18 | A's v. Tigers -102 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. It has been a brutal stretch for the Tigers which were right on the tail of Cleveland but have lost eight straight games to fall nine games behind the Indians in the American League Central. They have lost three straight games to Oakland to open this series but are still three games over .500 at home and they were in each of these recent three games, either being tied or trailing by one run in the ninth inning of each game. Oakland is now five games over .500 but it is still seven games out of the second Wild Card spot in the American League, so it is not in a great position despite being on a good run. Oakland sends Sean Manaea to the hill and he is having a great season, but this is not a good spot for him. He has posted a 3.40 ERA and 0.96 WHIP through 16 starts, half of which have come on the road where his ERA drops to 3.17 but his WHIP increases to 1.10 with only four of those being quality outings. Detroit has crushed left-handed pitching all season as it is hitting .276 which trails only Atlanta and Houston and this includes a .298 average at home. Detroit has won four straight games at home against left-handed starters while the A's are 5-13 in his last 18 road starts against teams with a losing record. Michael Fulmer has been up and down this season but has pitched great at home and he has been especially efficient during the day with a 2.22 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in nine starts. 10* (962) Detroit Tigers |
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06-27-18 | Wings -1.5 v. Aces | Top | 97-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Wednesday Terminator. Dallas is coming off a loss last night in Los Angeles by just four points as it blew a big chance for a quality win, giving up a four-point lead heading into the fourth quarter. It was still an impressive performance and even with Skylar Diggins-Smith having an off night on Tuesday as she scored just 12 points on 4-18 shooting. The Wings have lost two straight games to fall a game under .500 but they head into tonight being a perfect 6-0 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season. Las Vegas opened the season 1-7 but has been playing a lot better by winning four of its last seven games. The Aces have won just twice at home this season however and they have struggled within the conference by going 1-6 against Western Conference teams. While there may be concern about the back-to-back situation for Dallas, the short travel and matchup advantages negate that. The Wings dominated the offensive glass last night 13-5 and should do so again tonight. In the first meeting against Las Vegas, they had an 11-1 edge on the offensive boards and won that game by 10 points despite going 1-15 from long range. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 75 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (323) Dallas Wings |
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06-27-18 | Twins -138 v. White Sox | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The White Sox came through for us last night as they rallied from a 4-2 deficit to win 8-4 for their second straight victory. The offense has been catching fire as Chicago has scored 30 runs over their last four games, but they face their toughest test of this stretch. The White Sox have not won three straight games since the end of April and they are now 0-5 in their last five games following consecutive wins. Minnesota has lost four of its last five games as it has allowed at least eight runs in all four of those losses. Starting pitching has been partly to blame as has the bullpen which ruined a quality outing for Kyle Gibson in his last game against the Red Sox. Gibson has been on a roll as after posting a 4.29 ERA through his first four starts, he has allowed three runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts, putting up a 2.93 ERA in those 11 games. The Twins are 18-3 in his last 21 road starts against teams with a losing record. James Shields has been more good than bad this season, but he has just two wins and the White Sox are 6-18 in his last 24 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (919) Minnesota Twins |
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06-26-18 | Twins v. White Sox +109 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 109 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Twins closed their homestand with a 2-0 win over Texas on Sunday and they hit the road as a favorite despite a 14-20 record on the highway. They are hitting just .234 on the road which is tied for ninth worst in baseball and going back, they are 3-7 in their last 10 games following an off day. The White Sox have been in rebuilding mode all season, but they have held their own at home, going 10-9 over their last 19 home games. After scoring two runs in the first game of their four-game series against Oakland, the offense unleashed for 22 runs over the final three games and overall, they are hitting .250 at home against right-handed pitching. Lance Lynn has turned his season completely around as he posted a 7.47 ERA through his first eight starts but has put up a 1.73 ERA over his last six outings. However, this includes a 0.76 ERA at home and a 3.55 ERA in two road starts over that stretch. Chicago counters with Reynaldo Lopez who is having a solid season, but the schedule has hurt him as nine of his 15 starts have come on the road where he has a 4.72 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. In contrast, he has a 2.25 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his six home starts, four of which have been quality outings. 10* (970) Chicago White Sox |
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06-26-18 | Sun v. Mystics -2.5 | Top | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON MYSTICS for our WNBA Tuesday Terminator. Connecticut snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over 1-13 Indiana on Sunday, but it was easy as the Sun needed a big fourth quarter to pull away. This came after a 7-1 start to the season and the recent struggles have coincided with the absence of forward Alyssa Thomas who averages 12 ppg and leads the team with 9.9 rpg. Washington is coming off a home-and-home sweep over Chicago following a 1-5 stretch where injuries and illnesses were the stories. The Mystics are back to full strength, most notably Elena Delle Donne who has made a big difference in this series. The Sun routed the Mystics, who were without their leading scorer, 88-64 in Washington on June 3. Ten days later Delle Donne was back and scored a game-high 36 points in a 95-91 Mystics road win. This is the first game of a four-game homestand for Washington which can take advantage and take over first place in the Eastern Conference. Here, we play against road underdogs after having lost two of their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (314) Washington Mystics |
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