Matt Fargo Sports Picks

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The return of Giannis Antetokounmpo did not help the Bucks as he returned after missing 15 games and they were throttled by the Celtics by 27 points. This is the bounce back spot as he will be more involved as he was limited to just 25 minutes and Milwaukee has now lost three straight games all by at least 23 points so this is the ultimate buy low time. On the opposite side, the Hawks are playing excellent and are in the sell high position as they have won and covered four straight games all by double digits but all of those were at home and three of those were against Brooklyn and Washington (twice) with the other coming against a better but depleted Portland team. Atlanta hits the road where they are a decent 17-15 but catch Milwaukee at the wrong time. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 108 and 114 and after scoring 95 points or less going up against teams allowing between 114 and 118 ppg, after scoring 95 points or less. This situation is 28-11 (71.8 percent) since 2022. 10* (560) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the DETROIT TITANS for our CBB Wednesday Contrarian Crusher. Detroit is playing with house money at this point as it had nine wins combined over the previous two years and this season, the Titans are 12-8 in the Horizon League alone and secured the No. 3 seed in the tournament and they will be out to make this a special season at least up until the latter rounds. They are just 8-5 at home but have won four straight which is part of their current 7-2 run and they bring in the momentum. Detroit is 9-1 ATS this season against bad defenses allowing 77 or more ppg. Milwaukee has had a miserable season as it came in as the conference favorite and finished 8-12 and the road has been a struggle going 3-13 with wins over the two worst teams and Youngstown St. by one point. Milwaukee is 2-7 ATS this season following a win including 1-4 ATS on the road. 10* (746) Detroit Titans

This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Wednesday Signature Enforcer. Villanova caught St. John’s at the wrong time as the Red Storm were coming off one of their worst games in recent memory as they were annihilated by Connecticut but came back and rolled the Wildcats by 32 points on Saturday. Villanova remains on the road and while it really has nothing to play for as it has the No. 3 seed in the upcoming Big East Tournament locked down, it does not want to lose any of these marginal games to affect NCAA Tournament seeding. The Wildcats are 7-0 in Quad 2 games including 5-0 on the road. DePaul is having a great season for its standards as it is coming off a pair of road wins at Creighton and Marquette to move to 8-10 in the conference with a chance to close out at .500 but this is a bad spot. The Blue Demons are 4-6 in Quad 2 games with the only home win being Seton Hall. 10* (713) Villanova Wildcats

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CBB Wednesday Bounceback Baller. Arkansas is playing its final home game of the season and this is the smash spot as the Razorbacks are coming off by far their worst loss of the season, losing by 34 points at Florida. They are back in Fayetteville where they are 15-1 and still have an outside shot at the No. 2 seed but will need help from Alabama yet are in great shape for a top four seed and the double bye. Arkansas is 7-0 following a loss this season that includes solid wins over Louisville, Vanderbilt and Missouri and they are 6-1 ATS in those games. Texas snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over rival Texas A&M on the road which was a revenge victory after losing to the Aggies at home. The Longhorns are 9-7 in the Southeastern Conference and remain on the road where they are 4-5 and close the season with another rival Oklahoma at home. 10* (696) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Wednesday Letdown Fadeaway. Apparently Indiana has done enough to make it to the NCAA Tournament as it is considered the last team in despite losing its last four games including a bad home loss against Northwestern to open this three-game homestand which closes the home portion of the schedule Wednesday. The Hoosiers do have solid home wins over Wisconsin and Purdue and overall they have played a tough schedule which is factoring into their tournament ability but just 2-11 in Quad 1 games and these Quad 2 games cannot be given away. Indiana lost the first meeting in the conference opener back in December by nine points so there is revenge in play. Minnesota is coming off yet another big home win as they have defeated Iowa, Michigan St. and UCLA in addition to Indiana but they are back on the road with only two wins. 10* (692) Indiana Hoosiers