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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-19 | Penguins -110 v. Islanders | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. New York has won 10 straight games but if there is one team to halt this streak, it is the opponent for tonight. The Islanders' winning streak is the longest in the NHL since the Tampa Bay Lightning won 10 in a row from Feb. 9-27. The most recent 11-game winning streak was mounted by the St. Louis Blues from Jan. 23-Feb. 19. They are 7-2 at home but there has been some good fortunes as they are getting outshot by nearly five gpg in those seven games. Pittsburgh has lost two in a row and has dropped five of seven (2-4-1) since opening the season 6-2-0. The Penguins are 3-3 on the road and are averaging 4.17 gpg on the highway which is tops in the NHL. Thursday's game is the first between the two teams since Apr. 16, when the Islanders completed a four-game sweep of the first-round series with a 3-1 win in Pittsburgh so the Penguins will be out for some revenge here and what better way than to snap a 10-game winning streak in the process. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing five goals or more going up against an opponent after a win by two goals or more. This situation is 50-18 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (31) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Ohio | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Miami and Ohio come in riding two-game winning streaks and both are tied for first place in the MAC East with 3-1 records. The Redhawks lone loss in the conference came at Western Michigan despite outgaining the Broncos by 55 total yards. A look at the stats overall shows Miami in a hole but it took on a challenging nonconference slate, losing games at Iowa, Cincinnati, and Ohio St. so the numbers are skewed. The RedHawks defense ranks 5th in the MAC giving up just 395.3 ypg on average, a number which drops down dramatically to 349.0 ypg if only MAC games are figured in. Ohio is just 2-2 at home yet is favored by what a dominant home team should be favored by. The Ohio defense ranks 10th in the MAC giving up 446.4 ypg. That stat also ranks them towards the bottom of the total defense chart nationally at 111th and this unit is on track to be the worst defense ever in the Frank Solich era. In conference play, the Miami offense has fared better, averaging 364 ypg, including a season-best 467 yards in its last game against Kent St. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 65-29 ATS (69.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks |
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11-06-19 | Charlotte +5.5 v. James Madison | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. It is safe to say that a lot of the making of this line is based on the results from last season, namely the 8-21 record posted by Charlotte. The 49ers are expected to be a much improved team as they were crushed with injuries last season and it already showed in an exhibition against Georgia where the Bulldogs had to use a 10-1 run to pull it out. Charlotte welcomes graduate transfers Amidou Bamba and Drew Edwards to the roster, as well as a talented group of freshmen featuring three-star recruit Jahmir Young. James Madison went 14-19 last season and there is not much to be too excited about as the Dukes are projected to finish seventh in the 10-team CAA. This game features two coaches that rely on aggressive defense which means this could be turned into a low scoring game. More importantly, James Madison coach Louis Rowe saw his defense regress from 2018-19 as it plummeted all the way down to 302nd in adjusted defensive efficiency. Meanwhile Charlotte coach Ron Sanchez, a disciple of Tony Bennett at Virginia, saw his team improve from 312th to 224th in his first year and the 49ers should be even better this season. 10* (707) Charlotte 49ers |
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11-06-19 | Wizards v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Domantas Sabonis who sat out last night in the Pacers loss in Charlotte. Indiana will play its third game in four nights on Wednesday, one day removed from seeing its three-game winning streak halted with the overtime defeat. The Pacers blew a 19-point lead and they have a right to complain as the Hornets went to the line 42 times compared to them going to the stripe just seven times. The Pacers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Washington snapped a three-game losing skid with a 115-99 victory over Detroit on Monday. The Wizards are 1-2 on the road this season with the lone victory coming against Oklahoma City which sits in last place in the Northwest Division. The Wizards are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (556) Indiana Pacers |
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11-05-19 | Avalanche +128 v. Stars | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. It has been a tale of two different seasons for both of these teams. Back on October 19th, the Avalanche notched a 6-2 win over Tampa Bay to improve to 7-0-1 on the season. That same day, the Stars were off to a 1-7-1 start. Since then, Colorado is 1-4-1 over its last six games while Dallas is 6-1 over its last seven games. The Avalanche still possess a three-point lead over Dallas and this would be a big victory to keep them in third place in the Central Division. This is the second meeting of the season with Dallas taking the first game 2-1. Philipp Grubauer is likely to get the start in net for the Avalanche, after saving 27 of 29 shots against Dallas. In seven career games against the Stars, he has a 1.84 GAA and .945 save percentage. Colorado is 5-0 in its last five games coming off a road shutout loss while Dallas is 3-15 in its last 18 games after having won six or seven of its last eight games. Here, we play against home teams against the money line with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won three of their last four games, playing a winning team. This situation is 86-52 (62.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (13) Colorado Avalanche |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls +7.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. After dropping their season opener against the Clippers, the Lakers have won five straight games including a pair of road wins in their last two games over the Mavericks and Spurs. Los Angeles has also covered all five of the games during this stretch and already a public team, the Lakers will be even more popular based on the streak thus overinflating their lines going forward. After six sub-.500 seasons in a row, the Lakers sit atop the Western Conference standings. Chicago has struggled to a 2-5 start but the schedule has not been in its favor as five of the seven games have come on the road. The competition has not been great but winning on the road against any team is tough for young teams. Lauri Markkanen will be tasked with slowing Anthony Davis down tonight. He has been solid thus far this season, averaging 16 ppg, 8.4 rpg and 2.1 apg. Along with Zach LaVine and Otto Porter Jr., they give the Bulls a solid trio. Here, we play against road teams allowing 41 percent shooting or less on the season, after four straight games allowing a 42 percent shooting or less. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (550) Chicago Bulls |
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11-05-19 | Bradley -3 v. St. Joe's | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRADLEY BRAVES as part of our CBB Tuesday Trifecta. Bradley made an improbable postseason run last season as it won the MVC Championship to secure its first NCAA Tournament berth since 2005-06. The Braves have two players on the preseason MVC All First Team in Elijah Childs and Darrell Brown and overall, they bring back their top three scorers. While Bradley was just 5-8 on the road, high expectations are making it the favorite here as is the fact that it looks like another rebuilding year for the Hawks. They finished 14-19 last season which led to the firing of longtime head coach Phil Martelli. St. Joseph's lost four starters and lost four players in total to transfer and chemistry will be an issue early on as only four players are back and one of those did not even play last season. Anthony Longpre is the one returning starter and he averaged a mere 3.2 ppg . The Hawks are in for a long season and now is the time to go against them before the market catches up. 10* (617) Bradley Braves |
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11-05-19 | Kent State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 33-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Every game is big at this point in the MAC as 11 of the conference's 12 teams sit between 3-6 and 6-4 overall and 10 teams are within 1.5 games of each other in conference play. Kent St. is 2-2 in MAC play with both defeats (Ohio and Miami) coming by seven points or less. The Golden Flashes are near the bottom of the MAC in scoring offense at 23.9 ppg but if you eliminate a brutal non-conference slate that featured Auburn, Wisconsin, and Arizona St., Kent St. leads the MAC in scoring at 35.5 ppg in conference-only matchups. Toledo quarterback Mitchell Guadagni was downgraded to doubtful last night so Carter Bradley and Eli Peters occupy the top spots on the depth chart this week. That is great news for the Kent St. defense as neither has shown the ability to stretch the field. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. The debut of Daniel Jones was a resounding success in a win over Tampa Bay, the first of two straight victories but the Giants have now lost four straight games. He is coming off a great game last week however against the Lions where he threw for 322 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions and now he heads back home where New York has outgained two of its three opponents. Dallas is coming off a win over the Eagles, which snapped a three-game losing streak, and then had its bye week last week. The Cowboys have owned the Giants in recent seasons, winning five straight, including a 35-17 victory in Dallas in the season opener so that brings the revenge angle into play for tonight. The Giants are 17-3 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games while the Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or below after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 133-77 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Giants |
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11-04-19 | Rockets -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Rockets are coming off a rough Sunday, trailing by as many as 41 points enroute to a 129-100 loss to the Heat. They allowed 46 first-quarter points and Miami shot 52.8 percent overall from the floor including going 18 of 41 from long range. We will be backing Houston again here as it is in a great matchup in a perfect bounce back spot. The defense has been a disaster all season but the Rockets face a Memphis team averaging just 106.6 ppg and that is skewed somewhat as one of the games played went in overtime so the regulation average is 103.8 ppg. The Grizzlies leading scorer is rookie Ja Morant at just 18.8 ppg. Memphis is off to a 1-4 start with the victory being that overtime game and this includes a 1-2 record at home with the losses coming against Phoenix and Chicago. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS, the only NBA team without a cover, and that is giving us value as this number has dropped from its opening. Here, we play against home underdogs after allowing 110 points or more in four straight games going up against an opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (535) Houston Rockets |
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11-04-19 | Penguins +150 v. Bruins | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. The Bruins are red hot with only one regulation loss this season (which was 4-2 to Colorado way back on Oct. 10th). Boston has won five straight games, by a dominant combined score of 24-9. There is value going against the Bruins here though as goaltending could play a big role tonight. Tuukka Rask is 7-0-1 and leads the league with a 1.49 GAA and .949 save percentage. His backup, Jaroslav Halak is 3-1-1 but has a 2.59 GAA and .919 save percentage. Those numbers are respectable but they are nothing compared to Rask who is expected to sit tonight for rest. Pittsburgh is coming off a loss against Edmonton in its last game on Saturday to fall to 8-5-1 and it currently sits in fourth place in the Metropolitan Division. The offense has struggled by going eight straight games without a power play goal but the Penguins have killed off 14 of the last 15 penalties they have taken and at just 34 shorthanded opportunities in 14 games, they have also done better than everyone but Winnipeg (29) at staying out of the penalty box in the first place. Here, we play against teams after two straight wins by three goals or more going up against opponent after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. This situation is 54-26 (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (67) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. New England is off to an 8-0 start but we are still not completely sold. The Patriots have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have played only one team with a winning record and that resulted in a six-point win over Buffalo where they were outgained by 151 total yards. The defense is putting up record numbers but again, we are still not completely sure how good they are. The Patriots have struggled against versatile quarterbacks and Lamar Jackson fits the bill. He has passed for 1,650 yards and rushed for 576 yards and has led Baltimore to a 5-2 record. The Ravens are coming off a bye following a big win in Seattle to increase their winning streak to three games. The extra time off is key here in facing the Patriots and the Ravens have won 10 straight primetime games. Here we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (474) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-03-19 | Rockets -3 v. Heat | Top | 100-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Rockets are coming off a loss against the Nets on Friday as James Harden once again remains in a shooting slump. He shot just 2-of-16 on three-point attempts and is shooting just 20.0 percent from deep this season. He shot 36.8 percent on three-pointers last season, which is in line with his 36.3 career percentage. Houston has yet to cover a game, going 0-5 ATS and that is where the value comes in. Miami is off to a 4-1 start thanks to big contributions from rookies Kendrick Nunn and Tyler Herro. The Heat are 4-0-1 against the number which is also adding value here. A win over Milwaukee in overtime was very impressive but the other three wins came against teams not expected to make a playoff push which includes a home-and-home sweep over Atlanta on Tuesday and Thursday. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Houston Rockets |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 48 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. The Seahawks have won four of their last five games to improve to 6-2 overall but this team has its flaws. They have been outgained in three of their wins, two of which were against Cincinnati and Atlanta which are a combined 1-15. Seattle lost starting center Justin Britt for the season last week and that is huge for an offensive line that was bad to begin with. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Buccaneers have lost three straight games including a loss against Tennessee last week that was misleading. They outgained the Titans by 143 total yards but lost the turnover battle 4-1. The week before, they lost to Carolina despite outgaining the Panthers by 139 total yards but lost that turnover battle 7-1. Keep the mistakes in check and they will be fine here. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential., after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (467) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-02-19 | Nets v. Pistons +2 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Brooklyn is coming off a win last night as it defeated Houston at home by seven points and is now playing its first back-to-back of the season. This is just the second road game of the season for the Nets with the first resulting in a loss to lowly 1-3 Memphis. The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Pistons also have a quick turnaround after losing at Chicago 112-106 on Friday. They were hampered by poor perimeter shooting as they missed their first 14 three-point attempts and finished 6-for-29 from long range. Detroit has suffered two straight losses with both coming on the road and it hopes to turn things around at home where it won its last game against Indiana. The Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after one or more consecutive wins, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 113-66 ATS (63.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Detroit Pistons |
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11-02-19 | Islanders v. Sabres -116 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Buffalo got off to a hot start at 9-2-1 but has dropped two straight games, one in a shootout against Arizona and then a 6-1 loss in Washington last night. Linus Ullmark was in goal last night but the Sabres will have starter Carter Hutton back between the pipes tonight and he has been sensational with a 2.21 GAA, good for seventh best in the NHL. The Islanders also played last night and are off a win against Tampa Bay to make it eight straight victories. The eight-game winning streak is the longest by an NHL team this season and the longest for the Islanders since a nine-game run from Dec. 31, 1989, through Jan. 19, 1990. Semyon Varlamov will get the start tonight and he has been the lesser of the two New York Goalies as Thomas Greiss, who started last night, is 5-1 with a 2.15 GAA. The Islanders are 2-7 in their last nine games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 34-6 (85 percent) since 1996. 10* (48) Buffalo Sabres |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -114 | 47 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Utah will be a very popular pick here by laying a short number as a top ten team. The Utes have won and covered four straight games thanks to a defense that has allowed an average of 5.8 ppg over that stretch. Those four straight covers is a reason for the public backing but this is the ideal situation to go against that. The Utes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. It has not been an ideal season for the Huskies but we feel they break out here coming off a loss followed by a bye. Chris Peterson is 18-0 in his last 18 games coming off a bye. Per the Bear from ESPN, since October 2016, there have been eight top-10 teams that were less than a 5-point favorite on the road against an unranked team. Those eight teams went 1-7 straight up. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (392) Washington Huskies |
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11-02-19 | Edmonton v. Saskatchewan -9.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. There is a lot on the line in the West Division and Saskatchewan has the advantage of being the first game played. With a victory, the Roughriders would lock up the West Division crown for the first time since the 2009 season. Cody Fajardo is now considered questionable for the game after he reportedly pulled a muscle in his back during a closed practice. If he is unable to play Isaac Harker will make the start. All other starters are going to play with what is at stake. Edmonton already knows its playoff fate as it will be traveling to Montreal in a crossover game. The Eskimos lost their final home game of the season, a 27-24 defeats against Saskatchewan in the first game of this hone-and-home. Quarterback Trevor Harris will likely not suit up in the Eskimos final game of the season against the Roughriders, instead Logan Kilgore will be the projected starter. Many other starters are projected to sit as well in preparation of the postseason. Edmonton is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season while Saskatchewan is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 10* (814) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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11-02-19 | Army +16 v. Air Force | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Game of the Month. Army has lost four straight games to fall to 3-5 on the season and the last three losses were as favorites. The Black Knights have dropped five straight games against the number and that puts them in a positive spot here as the line is inflated because of that. All five losses have come by single digits so the record could be a lot better than what it is and there will be plenty of motivation to take the first step toward the Commander-In-Chief Trophy. Air Force has won three straight games, all by double digits as a small favorite. Now the Falcons are laying over two touchdowns for the second time this season after failing to cover the first time as 19.5-point favorites against San Jose St. The Falcons are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as double-digit favorites. Meanwhile, Army is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (363) Army Black Knights |
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11-01-19 | Canucks v. Ducks -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. We played against Vancouver on Wednesday in Los Angeles and it skated out with a 5-3 victory, its second straight to improve to 8-1-1 over its last 10 games. The Canucks benefitted from the Kings penalties as they scored four power play goals and they are now tied for second in the NHL with 13 power play goals. On the other side, the defense has stayed the exact same through 12 games, screaming instant chemistry throughout all three pairings but this will be a test. The Ducks will enter having won two of their last three games, scoring 12 combined goals in the two victories. They are 8-6-0 this season and an impressive 5-1-0 at home and in those six home games, they are averaging 3.67 gpg which is ninth most in the league. Anaheim is 16-7 in its last 23 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 33-6 (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (30) Anaheim Ducks |
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11-01-19 | Bucks -4 v. Magic | Top | 123-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We played on Orlando Wednesday as it was able to pull away from the Knicks to improve to 2-2 on the season. The wins have come against teams not expected to contend for a playoff spot however and tonight brings their biggest test of the young season. The Magic failed to win or cover following their first win of the season and we expect the same here in their second game as underdogs, the first resulting in a nine-point loss to Toronto. Milwaukee is also 2-2 after a 116-105 road loss against the Celtics on Wednesday as Boston used a massive 37-11 run that began in the third quarter and carried into the fourth to pull away. The Bucks rolled after their first loss this season and going back to last year, they are 23-4 following a loss, covering 20 of those games. Additionally, the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play on favorites off an upset loss as a road favorite, first six games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games. This situation is 36-14 ATS (72 percent) since 1996. 10* (569) Milwaukee Bucks |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. With the Sixers win last night, San Antonio still remains as one of two undefeated teams in the NBA. The Spurs are 3-0 but all of those wins have been at home and they are the last team in the NBA to have yet to play a road game. They had a nice win over Portland in their last game but the first two wins came against Washington and New York which are going nowhere and are a combined 2-7. Dejounte Murray and Derrick White are beasts defensively, LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan can still get buckets, and the rest of their roster fits the Spurs mold of competent role players but here comes the biggest test of the season. The Clippers rested Kawhi Leonard on Wednesday night against the Jazz in Salt Lake City and faded in the second half of the 110-96 loss. A mere four games into the season, Leonard is averaging 27 ppg, 7.5 apg, and 6.5 rpg and with the loss last night, this has turned into an even bigger game. They are 2-0 at home with convincing wins over the Lakers and Hornets and add to that tonight with another. 10* (566) Los Angeles Clippers |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals +10.5 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. San Francisco has been favored by six or more points this season and has failed to cover both times. The latest came in Washington and while the weather played a big role in that game, the 49ers were favored by 10 points and now they are favored by that same amount. Against a team that is much better and playing much better of late sans last week against New Orleans. Taking nothing away from the 7-0 start but San Francisco has played the fifth easiest schedule in the NFL so that has skewed some of its outstanding defensive numbers. That goes along the same line as some of the quarterbacks they have faced. While Kyler Murray is having an average season, he has improved immensely over his last four games compared to his first four games. The 49ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings +105 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES KINGS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Vancouver hits the road where it is 3-3 compared to 4-0-1 at home. The Canucks are 7-1-1 over their last nine games and enter Wednesday's game after a convincing 7-2 home win Monday over the Panthers. The offense has been churning but the Canucks are 3-7 in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing home record. Los Angeles is back home following a four-game roadtrip where it went 1-3 including losses in the final three games. The Kings gave up five goals in each of those last three games and scored just two total goals in their last two games. While getting outscored by a goal and a half per game, a lot of this has been bad luck as the Kings are outshooting opponents by nearly nine shots per game. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after scoring one goal or less in two straight games against opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 28-10 (73.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (12) Los Angeles Kings |
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10-30-19 | Nationals +125 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The road team has dominated this series with six wins through six games and while many will be chasing the home team, we are riding the trend and the road team will sweep this series. Washington overcame a controversial interference call by taking Game Six behind a sensational effort from Stephen Strasburg and its other ace takes the hill tonight with extra rest. In postseason history, including all series and Wild Card Games, home teams are only 57-60 in winner-take-all games. That includes 19-20 in the World Series, where home teams have lost three straight Game Sevens, most recently the Dodgers to the Astros in 2017. Max Scherzer was scratched from Game Five due to a neck issue but he is back after a cortisone shot. He was good, but not great, in the first game of the series. After yielding a pair of runs in the first inning, Scherzer kept Houston off the board, with seven strikeouts and three walks. He has been better on the road than at home with a 2.46 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 14 starts with Washington going 10-4. Zack Greinke has been below average at home with a 4.84 ERA through six starts and he has had a rough postseason with a 5.30 ERA in four starts. 10* (913) Washington Nationals |
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10-30-19 | Bucks v. Celtics +3 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Boston struggled in a 107-93 loss at Philadelphia to begin the season on Oct. 23 before rebounding with a victory over defending champion Toronto on Friday and then at New York on Saturday. The Celtics will be playing for some payback from last season as after opening the second round of the playoffs with a win at Milwaukee by 22 points, they were swept over the next four games to bow out of the postseason. The Celtics are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Bucks are also off to a 2-1 start following a blowout win over lowly Cleveland. Both wins came against teams where they were favored by at least 11 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are shooting between 45.5 and 47.5 percent going up against teams shooting between 41.5 and 43.5 percent, after a game making 12 or more three-point shots. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Boston Celtics |
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10-29-19 | Hawks v. Heat -8 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. It has been a solid start to the season for both Atlanta and Miami which come into Tuesday with a 2-1 record. The Hawks are coming off their first loss of the season last night against the Sixers in a close two-point defeat. Atlanta had a chance to win the game but Vince Carter's three-point attempt hit the back rim and bounced high and away as the buzzer sounded. Atlanta has covered all three games this season and that is putting the public squarely on the side of the Hawks. Miami is also coming off its first defeat of the season as it lost at Minnesota on Sunday as it carried a seven-point lead into the fourth quarter only to get outscored 39-25. The Heat rolled over a bad Memphis team in its lone home game and followed that up with an impressive road win at Milwaukee. The Heat are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a close loss by three points or less. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (534) Miami Heat |
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10-29-19 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS as part of our NHL Tuesday Hat Trick. It has been somewhat of a slow start for Toronto which is 6-5-2 on the season and the Maple Leafs are coming off a 5-2 road loss to the Canadiens on Saturday, marking their third defeat in the four games (1-2-1). They are 4-2-2 at home including a 3-0-1 run over their last four games and going back, they are 15-3 against the money line in their last 18 home games off a road loss. Washington is off to a solid start at 8-2-3 and the Capitals last played on Friday at Vancouver when they overcame a four-goal deficit to record a 6-5 victory in a shootout. They have been the best road team in the league at 6-1-1 but the Capitals are 2-6 in their last eight games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring six goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 44-13 (77.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (76) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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10-28-19 | Jazz -4 v. Suns | Top | 96-95 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Utah is off to a 2-1 start with the lone loss coming on the road against the Lakers. Following that defeat, the Jazz made a season-high 18 three-pointers and tied a franchise record with 13 threes in the first half while routing Sacramento 113-81 on Saturday. Utah has held all three opponents to under 40 percent shooting from the field and its 90.3 ppg allowed is the lowest in the NBA. The Jazz won all four games against Phoenix last season by an average of 24.8 ppg, and they have won 14 of the last 15 meetings. Phoenix is also off to a 2-1 start following an upset win over the Clippers on Saturday as a 10-point home underdog. The Suns have split their last two games with Aron Baynes and Frank Kaminsky holding down the center spot in the absence of Deandre Ayton, who was suspended for 25 games for violating the league's anti-drug policy Thursday. With the Jazz being a leading contender in the Western Conference, they are laying only around half of what the Clippers were laying and that is not accurate so we are getting a bunch of value tonight. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win scoring 110 or more points, when playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (527) Utah Jazz |
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10-28-19 | Panthers v. Canucks -124 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the VANCOUVER CANUCKS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Florida is coming off a win over Edmonton on Sunday afternoon to improve to 5-2-4 and into a tie with Toronto for fourth place in the Atlantic Division. The Panthers moved to 3-1-3 on the road however going back, they are 23-48 in their last 71 games as a road underdog. The offense has led the way but the defense has been porous as they are allowing 3.34 gpg which is tied for eighth most in the NHL. Vancouver meanwhile is allowing just 2.34 gpg which is third fewest in the league that has helped them compile a 6-3-1 record and its 13 points it good for a tie for fifth in the Pacific Division. The Canucks should be in a feisty mood tonight and ready to take it out on Florida as Vancouver led 5-1 late in the second period, only to see it disappear in a 6-5 shootout loss to the Capitals on Friday. Additional time to stew over that should motivate them even more. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring six goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 43-13 (76.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (68) Vancouver Canucks |
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10-27-19 | Flyers v. Islanders -118 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. This game features two streaking teams and we will be backing the home team at a very reasonable price. New York has won six straight games and while three of those came in extra time, the last two have been by decisive 4-2 victories. The Islanders are 4-2 at home including wins in four of their last five and going back, the Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Philadelphia won its third consecutive game with a 7-4 home victory Saturday against the Blue Jackets. The Flyers trailed 4-2 in the third period before rallying for five straight goals so that puts them in a tough spot here. Philadelphia is 0-8 in its last eight games playing with no rest while going 0-6 in its last six games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage of .700 or better against the money line after having won five or six of their last seven games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 in the 1st half of the season. This situation is 35-8 (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (58) New York Islanders |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Another surprise in the first half of the season in San Francisco which is one of just two undefeated teams in the league. The 49ers are coming off a 9-0 win at Washington where the weather played a role in the outcome of that although it likely would have resulted in a bigger win had the weather been good. A win over the Rams was nice but the other five wins came against teams a combined 7-19 and overall, the schedule is ranked No 27 in the league. The defense has allowed only 10 points over the last three games but should get tested here. Carolina is ranked No. 5 in scoring offense in the NFL and has won four straight games, averaging 31.3 ppg over that stretch. The Panthers have not been as good defensively as in years past but it is still a strong unit. When above .500, Carolina 7-1 ATS coming off a bye and coming off back-to-back wins. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 370 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Carolina Panthers |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Non-Conference Game of the Year. The surprise of the first half in the NFL has to include Buffalo which is off to a 5-1 start thanks to a strong defensive presence. The Bills are third in the NFL in total defense and scoring defense but have not played any team with a strong offense and that even includes New England which is a middle of the pack offense. This is a tough spot this week coming off a hard fought divisional win and going up a team that is desperate for a win to turn its season around. Buffalo is 14-28 ATS in its last 42 games coming off a home win against a division rival. The Eagles were embarrassed on national TV last Sunday night and nobody wants a part of this team at the betting window right now. Philadelphia has dropped two straight games and sits a game behind Dallas in the NFC East. The season is far from lost and this is their fifth road game of the season including this being their third straight. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a l team with a winning percentage of .750 or better. 10* (261) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-26-19 | Washington State +14.5 v. Oregon | Top | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 53 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Washington St. bounced back from three straight losses with a resounding win over Colorado last week to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Cougars were likely hungover from that UCLA loss in their games against Utah and Arizona St. but their season will be completely turned around here with a win here which is not as unlikely as it may seem based off this line. Washington St. is 7-0 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 over the last three seasons. Oregon has won six straight games after suffering a season opening loss against Auburn and has taken control of the Pac 12 North with a two-game lead over Oregon St. This has not been a good matchup for the Ducks as they have lost four straight in this series while going 0-9 ATS in the last nine meetings. Going back, the Ducks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 92-45 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (153) Washington St. Cougars |
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10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals +101 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. This is the first time in 23 years that the road team has won the first three game of the World Series and we see that coming to an end tonight. After cashing in with runners in scoring position at seemingly every chance during the first two games, the Nationals bats went cold in Game Three, going 0-10 with runners in scoring position while stranding 12 runners on base. Those bats can come alive early tonight. Jose Urquidy has made two effective relief appearances in the postseason but will make his first career playoff start in this Houston bullpen game. Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Nationals and he should be in perfect form. He has spent more time pitching in relief than as a starter this month, but in the three days after a scoreless 21-pitch sixth inning in Game One, he has been able to get back to his normal routine. The Nationals went 14-3 in his 17 home starts where he posted a 3.09 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. The back of the Nationals bullpen is rested and ready after Fernando Rodney, Joe Ross and Wander Suero pitched 3.2 scoreless innings in Game Three. 10* (908) Washington Nationals |
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10-26-19 | Kings v. Wild -127 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Both Los Angeles and Minnesota are coming off road losses on Thursday and the Wild have the benefit of returning back home. They fell to 1-6 on the highway as the brutal early season schedule has taken its toll. Minnesota actually outplayed the Predators in a scoreless first period, outshooting Nashville 13-4, but couldn't get a puck past Pekka Rinne, who picked up his fifth career home shutout against the Wild while making 26 saves. Los Angeles opened its four-game roadtrip with a win at Winnipeg for lost to St. Louis 5-2 as it allowed three power play goals for the second time this season. The Kings are 2-3 on the road and going back, the Kings are 12-40 in their last 52 games when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Los Angeles has allowed 3.90 goals per game, most of any team in the NHL, and has been outscored 16-8 in third periods. This is a massive game for Minnesota which plays six of its next seven games on the road. 10* (46) Minnesota Wild |
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10-26-19 | Raptors -3 v. Bulls | Top | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Chicago is off to a 1-1 start to the season, both games coming on the road and it was favored in both games showing just how bad the first two opponents were. The Bulls are projected to win around 33 games this season so expectations are certainly low and while this is their home opener, this is not an ideal spot. Going back to last season, the Bulls are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 home games and their roster is not much different. Toronto is also off to a 1-1 start as it defeated New Orleans in overtime to open the season and lost in Boston last night. Despite the loss of Kawhi Leonard, this is still a solid roster with Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam leading the way, the latter averaging 33.5 ppg. This does not even take into account Marc Gasol who has gotten off to a bad start after going 0-8 from the floor last night. The Raptors won all four games last season against Chicago and has won nine straight in this series. Going back to last season, the Raptors are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games playing with no rest. 10* (561) Toronto Raptors |
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10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton +1.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Edmonton clinched a playoff berth as the crossover team in Week 18 and will head to the post-season for the fifth time in six seasons. The Eskimos have compiled a 5-3 record at The Brick Field at Commonwealth Stadium this season, including a 19-6 win over BC when the team last played in Week 18. They got a big boost to the lineup, as starting quarterback Trevor Harris was activated from the six-game injured list on Monday. Harris had completed 71.7 percent of his passes for 3,706 yards and 15 touchdowns against four interceptions through 12 games prior to the injury. Coming off their bye week, the Eskimos are well rested which is a big edge this late into the season. Saskatchewan does have a lot to play for as it still has a chance to claim the top spot in the West Division but the environment tonight will not make it easy. While going 7-1 at home, the Roughriders are just 4-4 on the road. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread in the second half of the season. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Edmonton Eskimos |
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10-26-19 | Oklahoma State +10.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 46 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Oklahoma St. came up small last week as it lost at Baylor which was its second straight setback. Two games back, they were a nine-point favorite on the road at Texas Tech and now they are double-digit road underdogs and there is no chance Iowa St. is nearly 20 points better than Texas Tech. The Cowboys can light it up on offense and they face a Cyclones defense that allows a 66.5 percent completion rate which is No. 118 in the nation. Oklahoma St. is on a 7-3 SU/9-1 ATS run as an underdog with an average cover of 13.4 ppg. Additionally, the Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Iowa St. is riding a three-game winning streak and it has covered all of those games as well. The Cyclones are now 5-2 on the season with the two losses coming by just three points combined. This is no doubt a good football team but they cannot be trusted laying double digits as they are 2-5-1 in their last eight games and also 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home loss by 14 or more points, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (169) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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10-25-19 | USC -13 v. Colorado | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado has dropped three straight games after a 3-1 start to the season. The three wins have been suspect as the Buffaloes defeated both Colorado St. and Nebraska despite getting outgained and snuck by Arizona St., hitting a game-winning field goal with two minutes remaining. The offense has stalled under quarterback Steven Montez who through seven games, he's thrown for 1,723 yards with a 63.8 completion percentage and 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is going through a bad slump with six interceptions and one touchdown in his last two games. Colorado is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. USC snapped a two-game slide with a blowout win over Arizona. The Trojans are now 4-3 and they could be a lot better than that as two of those losses were by a field goal and in the 14-point loss against Washington, they actually outgained the Huskies but three turnovers did them in. USC has not lost to Colorado since the Buffaloes entered the Pac 12, going 8-0 with six of those wins coming by more than what it is favored by here. The Trojans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams who give up 34 or more. Here, we play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 63-24 ATS (72.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) USC Trojans |
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10-25-19 | Astros -135 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. History is not on the side of the Astros to make an epic comeback as in all postseason series with the 2-3-2 format, teams going down 0-2 at home have come back to win just three of 25 times. Most recently, the 1996 Yankees in the World Series against the Braves. But Houston just needs to take it one game at a time. Washington is off to a surprising 2-0 start in this series and it is the offense that has led the way. The Nationals offense erupted for 12 runs on 14 hits and three homers to carry themselves to victory in Game Two. The Nationals are no doubt red hot right now as with a win on Friday, the Nationals would become the first team to win nine consecutive games in a single postseason. That being said, we expect the Astros bats to come alive. Washington hands the ball to Anibal Sanchez and while he has been solid of late, there is concern. In two starts over 12.2 innings, he has given up just one run on five hits, with 14 strikeouts and three walks, but this will be his first start since Game One of the National League Championship Series on October 11th. Zack Greinke had a rough go of it against Tampa Bay but his last two starts have been solid as he has a 3.48 ERA over 10.1 innings. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better, after a win by four runs or more. This situation is 70-34 (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (905) Houston Astros |
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10-25-19 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs -167 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Toronto has lost two games in a row in what is being deemed a disappointing start to the season by the Maple Leafs. They lost at home 4-3 on a penalty shot in overtime to the Blue Jackets on Monday and then lost 4-2 on the road against the Bruins on Tuesday. Toronto was playing in back-to-back games when it played Boston, but Friday they will be the rested team with the Sharks playing on back-to-back nights. Toronto is 14-3 against the money line in its last 17 games after two or more consecutive losses. San Jose won in Montreal last night to snap a two-game losing streak and improve to 2-3-1 on the road. The Sharks are averaging just 2.8 gpg which is 11th lowest in the NHL. Going back, the Sharks are 8-24 in their last 32 games as underdogs while going 0-6 in their last six games playing with no rest. Here, we play on teams against the money line after two or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499 in the first half of the season. This situation is 60-37 (61.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (24) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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10-25-19 | Wolves -5.5 v. Hornets | Top | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Charlotte barely scraped by with a win in their first game, but they are not going be that hot from downtown every night. The Hornets defeated Chicago 126-125 thanks to going 23-44 (52.3 percent) from long range led by P.J. Washington Jr., Devonte Graham and Marvin Williams. Those are exactly star studded names so we can expect a quick regression tonight. After losing Kemba Walker to the Celtics, Charlotte lost Nicolas Batum to an injury and he will be out 2-4 weeks. Center Cody Zeller has also been declared out for personal reasons. Minnesota is also coming off a one-point victory in its first game as it defeated Brooklyn 127-126, overcoming 50 points from Kyrie Irving. The Timberwolves were led by Karl-Anthony Towns who had a monster game, finishing with 36 points, 14 rebounds, three assists, three steals, and three blocks. Minnesota missed the playoffs last season but with a mixture of veteran talent and interesting prospects, there might be a culture shift in Minnesota. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a home win by three points or less, first half of the season. This situation is 48-18 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (535) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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10-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors +2 | Top | 141-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. The Warriors make their season debut tonight with a much different look than what we are used to seeing. Steph Curry is still the cornerstone of this team but gone are Kevin Durant, now with Brooklyn, and Klay Thompson who is out for the season with a torn ACL. Clearly, they are getting no respect here as they are home underdogs for the first time in forever and a lot of that has to do with what the public saw on Tuesday. The Clippers took out the Lakers by 10 points but it was a tied game after three quarters as Los Angeles managed only 17 points in the fourth quarter. The line is an overreaction of that win and this is not to say the Clippers do not have one of the best rosters in the league but even with the two key losses, Golden St. still has an above average roster. After an emotional night Tuesday in their win over the Lakers, expect the Clippers to come out a little flat Thursday night and it will be the opposite on the other side as Golden St. is playing its first game at the newly opened Chase Center. 10* (532) Golden St. Warriors |
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10-24-19 | Sabres v. Rangers +111 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 111 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Thursday Power Play. The biggest surprise of the early season hits the road as Buffalo heads out to face the Rangers following an overtime win over San Jose, its third straight victory. The Sabres are 8-1-1 on the season and lead the Eastern Conference with 17 points, three points clear of the Rangers. Now they are favored on the road for the first time this season and going back, Buffalo is 0-8 in its last eight games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Rangers are in a big slump as they have lost five straight games with the offense being able to get nothing going. They opened the season 2-0 but have been outshot in every game sense then including a season low 19 shots in their last game against Arizona which resulted in a 3-2 loss in overtime. Going back, New York is 52-32 in its last 84 games coming off consecutive home losses. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after scoring two goals or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 151-107 (58.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (2) New York Rangers |
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10-23-19 | Thunder v. Jazz -9 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Jazz are a team that plays defense, now has five legitimate scorers on offense, and is a team many are picking to take the Western Conference. Donovan Mitchell is an up and coming superstar and after needing to take most of the scoring burden last season, there is plenty of help. Adding Mike Conley and Bojan Bogdanovic helps the offense immensely to go along with Joe Ingles and Rudy Gobert, who could be in line for a breakout season. As far s the Thunder go, this should be a long season. They did add Chris Paul, Danilo Gallinari and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in the Paul George deal and Steven Adams is a very productive center but they do not match up well here. Russell Westbrook and George dominated this series last season in which all for games were won by Oklahoma City. Do not think for a second that Utah does not remember that. With lofty expectations for the Jazz, expect this to turn into a statement game on their home floor. 10* (522) Utah Jazz |
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10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros -175 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We won with the Nationals last night as big underdogs but we will be switching sides tonight in what is essentially a must win game for Houston. History is on the Nationals side as 25 of the last 31 Game One winners have gone on to win the World Series but we cannot count out the Astros, who just lost Game One of the ALCS at home before rebounding to defeat the Yankees. We played against the Astros and Gerrit Cole and the results were as predicted. Cole managed to get through seven innings, but he allowed five runs on eight hits after giving up one run on 10 hits in 22.2 innings across his first three postseason outings. Including the playoffs, he had allowed five or more runs in only two of his previous 36 outings in 2019, and not since May 22 against the White Sox. What this means for Justin Verlander is that he has to maintain his game and not allow the Nationals to take a 2-0 series lead. While his postseason has been up and down, venue has played a role. He has a 1.32 ERA in two home starts compared to a 6.75 ERA in two road starts. Stephen Strasburg has been great all season but like the Nationals last night, we expect the Astros bats to get to him and follow up their 10-hit performance with another big offensive output. 10* (904) Houston Astros |
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10-22-19 | Lakers -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 102-112 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Season Opening Enforcer. The Lakers are trying to rebound for the second season with LeBron James as they got a new coach, new supporting cast and loftier expectations after nearly everything that could have gone wrong last season went wrong. Anthony Davis was the big acquisition although by doing so, they are lacking depth but that is not an issue early in the season. They also added some much-needed shooting by signing Danny Green and Jared Dudley. Los Angeles will be without Kyle Kuzma after suffering a stress reaction in his left foot during USA Basketball training camp in August. The Clippers were the winners of the offseason as they acquired two big names in Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. However, they will be without George who is still recovering from off-season shoulder surgery. For now, Lakers fans should look forward to watching how the current roster plays and develops in the early season. The absence of George is the reason the Lakers are road favorites are we are not afraid of laying the short price. 10* (503) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-22-19 | Nationals +201 v. Astros | Top | 5-4 | Win | 201 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Tuesday Game One Sweet Spot. The National are also getting excellent value in Game One with Max Scherzer on the hill. He has been an underdog only once all season and that resulted in a win at the Dodgers are just +122 and the number is well above that here. He had another sensational regular season and Scherzer is coming off back-to-back excellent outings in the postseason, allowing a combined one run on five hits and five walks with 18 strikeouts in 14 innings. Gerrit Cole is not going to be easy to get through but the Yankees nearly did it in his last start but they stranded too runners. He is on one of the most amazing runs of any starting pitcher in recent history, going 19-0 with a 1.59 ERA, a 0.81 WHIP and 258 strikeouts in 169. innings in his last 25 starts, including the playoffs. The Astros have won each of his last 16 starts so this will not be easy for Washington but we are taking the chance. 10* (901) Washington Nationals Game One |
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10-22-19 | Coyotes v. Rangers +104 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. The Rangers are out to snap a four-game losing streak after opening the season 2-0 and there is no doubt that a lengthy stretch of not playing hurt this early in the season. New York, which surrendered three first-period goals in Sunday's 3-2 setback against Vancouver, has been outscored 17-7 during its four-game losing streak. Three of those losses were recorded over a four-day stint after the team played just three times in nearly two weeks. Arizona aims to extend its point streak to six games and winning streak to four in the opener of a four-game road trip. The Coyotes opened the season 0-2 but they have rebounded well yet are still well back in the standings in the Western Conference so the fact they have turned into a road favorite here is surprising. Goalies have been confirmed which is what we were waiting for and the Rangers are starting Alexandar Georgiev over Henrik Lundqvist who has struggled over the last few seasons. Georgiev has a solid 2.94 GAA in 45 career games. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing two goals or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring two goals or less in three straight games. This situation is 39-13 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (48) New York Rangers |
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10-21-19 | Golden Knights v. Flyers +111 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 111 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA FLYERS for our NHL Monday Power Play. Philadelphia looks to get back on track Monday as it hosts the Golden Knights. The Flyers played well at times against Dallas on Saturday and led 39-16 in shots but ultimately they lost for the fourth straight time. Three of those losses came on the road and they are still a solid 2-1 at home. Overall the defense has been playing well as they have allowed just 37 total shots over their last two games. The Golden Knights will be searching for their fifth win in six games and they are off to a hot 6-3-0 start, including 3-1-0 on the road. Vegas has won two straight games including a shutout victory over Pittsburgh on Saturday which was their first shutout on the season. Going back, Vegas is 2-10 against the money line in its last 12 games against goalies saving 89.5 percent or fewer of shots against. Here, we pay against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 when the money line is -100 to -150 off a road win by three goals or more, playing a team with a winning percentage between .300 and .400. this situation is 20-6 (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (34) Philadelphia Flyers |
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10-20-19 | Vikings v. Lions +2.5 | Top | 42-30 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Game of the Month. Detroit got hosed on Monday night as a couple late penalties cost them a chance at winning at Green Bay and improving to 3-1-1. The Lions could be 5-0 as they had Kansas City on the ropes and let Arizona back late in the game in their opener. Now they are catching points at home because of recency bias. The other part of that is how good Minnesota looked against the Eagles last week but the Vikings outgained Philadelphia by just 47 yards and were fortunate in facing a ravaged Eagles secondary. They been able to take advantage of suspect offensive lines but that will not be the case here as the Lions possess an under the radar solid offensive line. The Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (458) Detroit Lions |
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10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost playing against the Texans last week and this is another situation of recency bias. Houston is coming off a pair of big wins over Atlanta and Kansas City so this line had to be placed where it is knowing the public would be all over the Texans side. While they have been playing well, it was not that long ago that Houston put up 10 and 13 points against Carolina and Jacksonville respectively and that has been forgotten. The Colts are coming off that win over the Chiefs and had a bye last week so they have a solid scheduling edge this week as well. While Jacoby Brissett is no Andrew Luck, he lines up behind arguably the best offensive line in the NFL so the solid Houston pass rush will be limited here. Houston is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games off an upset win as an underdog while the Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (454) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-19-19 | Air Force -2.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 56-26 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. Hawaii got roughed up last week at Boise St. and that was with the Broncos losing their starting quarterback. The Warriors are 3-0 at home but playing against the Warriors in Hawaii has been a mixed bag and while it is widely thought of that they are profitable at home, they are a below average 31-38 ATS since 2012. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Air Force is coming off a win last week against Fresno St. as the defense came up strong again. The triple option rushing game is averaging 296.5 ypg which is good for second best in the country and Hawaii has not had any extra time to prepare for this unique attack. The Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more rushing ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 to 4.8 ypc), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 80-36 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (423) Air Force Falcons |
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10-19-19 | Golden Knights v. Penguins +113 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS for our NHL Saturday Power Play. After a 1-2 start, the Penguins have won five straight games including the last two at home as they look to sweep this homestand before hitting the road for their next three games. Pittsburgh has averaged 4.6 gpg over this stretch and goaltending will be the spotlight here with backup Tristian Jarry in net. He won his only start this season and brings in a career 2.81 GAA in 27 starts. The Penguins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Vegas is coming off a win in its last game but it took overtime and a shootout against Ottawa as a -333 favorite. It is 2-1 on the road but lost the one game it was an underdog and going back, the Golden Knights are 1-7 in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage of .700 or better against the money line after having won five or six of their last seven games, playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 57-15 (79.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (10) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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10-19-19 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -6.5 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the first game of a back-to-back set with heavy playoff implications as the winner will take a significant step towards first place in the West Division. Calgary was able to snag a playoff spot last week with its win over the Roughriders and it is now 5-1 over its last six games. When you break down the remaining schedules of the Stampeders, Blue Bombers and Roughriders it becomes pretty obvious that Calgary needs to run the table to lock up first in the CFL West Division. Bo Levi Mitchell has looked increasingly better with every game he gets under his belt since returning from injury. He nearly completed 80 percent of his passes for 298 yards and two throwing majors against Saskatchewan last week and this is the perfect time for him to start to peak. Winnipeg is coming off a win for us last week as it defeated Montreal by 11 points which snapped a three-game losing skid. The Blue Bombers are not in a good spot as they are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. Meanwhile, Calgary is 26-8 ATS in its last 34 games against teams allowing 75 or fewer rushing ypg. 10* (688) Calgary Stampeders |
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10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. We played against Baylor last week as it failed to cover the number but it still won in overtime to improve to 6-0 on the season. Three of the last four games have been decided by one possession however so the undefeated record is a bit skewed. This will be the biggest test on the road as the first two road wins came against Rice and Kansas St. The Bears are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago so it has the benefit of facing the Bears coming off their bye week. The offense is again off the charts as the Cowboys are averaging 528.3 ypg which is good for No. 8 in the country. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series including last year so revenge is in play this week. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (390) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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10-18-19 | Astros v. Yankees +132 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 132 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Game of the Week. It is now do or die for the Yankees after dropping the first two games at home to fall behind in this series 3-1. History is not in their favor as through 2018, only 13 teams out of 86 had come back to win a best-of-seven series after dropping three of the first four contests. While that may be the case, we are looking for just one win to send the series back to Houston and we are doing it going against the public. Houston has won the last three games after dropping the opener 7-0 and it turns to Justin Verlander to close the series. Since his no-hitter in Toronto on the first day of September, he has made just two starts on the road and has posted a 6.52 ERA while allowing four home runs over those 9.2 innings. James Paxton went against Verlander in the first game of this series and got the early hook as he went just 2.1 innings despite allowing only one run. He has been great at home with a 3.48 ERA and 1.17 WHIP with the Yankees going 12-4 in his 16 home starts and that includes six straight wins. Additionally, the Yankees are 6-0 in his last six starts following a team loss in their previous game. Here, we play on American League home teams averaging 5.4 or more rpg going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better, after a game where they committed three or more errors. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (922) New York Yankees |
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10-18-19 | Rangers +195 v. Capitals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Friday Power Play. We waited on this one based on the goalie situation and it is in our favor. Washington will start Braden Holtby who has struggled to start the season posting a 1-1-2 record with a 4.27 GAA and .846 save percentage while rookie Ilya Samsonov is 3-1 with a 1.84 GAA and .933 save percentage. We played against New York last night which was just its second game in 12 days and even though this is a back-to-back, playing last night helps this team for tonight because of the huge layoff. After opening the season with a pair of wins, the Rangers have dropped two straight and been outscored by a 9-3 count. In comparison, New York racked up 10 goals in its first two outings. Washington is coming off a 4-3 win over Toronto on Wednesday to improve to 4-2-2 and while it is 3-1 on the road, the Capitals are just 1-1-2 at home and are absolutely overpriced here. Here, we play on teams against the money line after two straight losses by three goals or more going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 63-37 (63 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (63) New York Rangers |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +3.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse is playing its second straight weeknight game, losing last Thursday at NC State. The Orange could not get out of their own way in the first half with six straight punts to open the game but ended up in NC State territory four of the next five drives but managed only 10 points as a missed field goal and a missed fourth down killed them. Syracuse is back home where it is 2-1, the lone loss coming against Clemson and going back, the Orange are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams averaging 120 or fewer rushing ypg. Pittsburgh has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and the Panthers have been cashing, winning four of their last five against the number. That is a big reason they are favored on the road in this one. Pittsburgh is coming off an impressive win over Duke two weeks ago as a road underdog and now the roles switch despite Syracuse and Duke being fairly even in the power rankings. The Panthers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (312) Syracuse Orange |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 30-6 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. After opening the season 0-4, the Broncos have won their last two games as the defense has really stepped up, allowing just one touchdown over that span and recording their first shutout since 2017 last week. Part of the reason for this recent success on defense is that the Broncos have five takeaways the last two weeks after having none in their first four games. New head coach Vic Fangio a defensive guy so his system looks to be finally taking hold. Denver has been a bit unlucky along the way as it has outgained four of six opponents and three of the four losses were by one possession including as pair by just two points. Denver is +31.5 ypg in yardage differential while the Chiefs are -15.8 ypg and both have played similar ranked schedules. Kansas City has dropped two straight games as it has on the negative side of time of possession by a combined 77:03-42:57 so the secret could be out. Denver has the ability to smash it and can keep control of the ball. The public is all over Kansas City which comes as no surprise being a high profile team that has dropped two straight games yet the line has come down, going from as much as -5.5 down to -3. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (304) Denver Broncos |
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10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the OVER for our MLB Thursday Totals Dominator. We are backing a rare total for Game Four between the Yankees and Astros. The first three games of this series have gone under the total but we have a good situation tonight for the bats to break out as this is the first time the offense has seen each starting pitcher a second time. The Yankees led the majors in runs scored during the regular season but have managed just three over their last 20 innings and have stranded a ton of runners. Houston has scored only seven runs in this series but finished the regular season third in runs scored so the Astros are due. Masahiro Tanaka pitched a gem in Game One, allowing just one hit and no runs in six innings. Over his last eight starts, he has just four quality outings. Zack Greinke posted a quality outing but did allow three runs over six innings that included a pair of home runs. He has been very inconsistent of late with a 4.47 ERA over his last eight starts. In his career in the postseason, he is 3-4 with a 4.03 ERA. We've only seen one specific playoff rematch between starting pitchers in these playoffs so far which was St Louis/Atlanta Game Five with Jack Flaherty and Mike Foltynewicz squaring off after doing so in Game Two as well. The under came through in the first meeting and 14 runs were scored in the rematch. 10* Over (919) Houston Astros/(920) New York Yankees |
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10-17-19 | UL-Lafayette -6 v. Arkansas State | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Louisiana is coming off a tough loss against Appalachian St. last week but all is not lost in the conference. The Cajuns are in the West Division where they are 1-1 and trail UL-Monroe by just a half-game so they can control their own destiny for a rematch with the Mountaineers in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Arkansas St. is 3-3 following a loss against Georgia St. by 14 points that was actually worse than that as the Red Wolves were outgained by 301 total yards. Louisiana has huge advantages on both sides of the ball in this matchup. The Cajuns are outgaining opponents by 147.5 ypg while Arkansas St. is getting outgained by 106.5 ypg. The Red Wolves have an atrocious defense as they are allowing 537.3 ypg which is second to last in all of college football. Louisiana is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite while the Red Wolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 35 or more ppg, after two straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Louisiana Ragin Cajuns |
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10-17-19 | Rangers v. Devils -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW JERSEY DEVILS for our NHL Thursday Power Play. New Jersey remains the only winless team in the NHL with a 0-4-2 record which is a bit surprising as it came into the season with higher than normal expectations. Not only have the Devils been shut out twice already, they've also twice blown leads, including their last outing Monday when a three-goal edge collapsed into a 6-4 defeat at the hands of the Florida Panthers. Two of New Jersey's losses have come in extra time, including a season-opening defeat in which a four-goal lead became a 5-4 shootout setback to the Winnipeg Jets. The Rangers have played a strange schedule as this is just their fourth game of the season and just their second game in 12 days. No team can create any chemistry with that sort of layoff and that puts them in a tough spot here. The Rangers are getting outshot by nearly eight gpg while the offense has regressed in each of the three games and they managed just 21 shots in their last game against Edmonton. New York is 3-25 in its last 28 road games following a loss by two goals or more. Here, we play on home teams against the money line that are being outscored by their opponents by 0.65 or more gpg, after allowing five goals or more. This situation is 75-48 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (42) New Jersey Devils |
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10-16-19 | Sabres v. Ducks -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Anaheim is coming off a 2-2 roadtrip where the offense sputtered somewhat but the defense remains stout. The Ducks are tied with Boston with a 1.67 GAA which is best in the NHL and a lot of that is attributed to goalie John Gibson and his 1.82 GAA and .941 save percentage. The Ducks are 2-0 at home and going back, they are 8-3 in their last 11 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. The Sabres are one of the early pleasant surprises on the season as they are 5-0-1 but the schedule has been on their side. Buffalo has played four of its first six games at home, where the team went 21-15-5 last season, and has won all four of those games. Through their first six games, the Sabres have only played one team that currently owns a winning record which is the Penguins at 4-2 and the other four teams have a combined record of 7-15-7. Buffalo is 2-13 against the money line in its last 15 road games after scoring four goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams against the money line off two or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road loss by three goals or more. This situation is 60-26 (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (38) Anaheim Ducks |
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10-15-19 | Lightning -136 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Tuesday Power Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss on Saturday as it fell in Ottawa 4-2 as a -260 favorite to make it three losses in four games on this current roadtrip. The Lightning could use a win here as they conclude the trip on Thursday at Boston which is certainly no gimmie. The Lightning are 41-16 in their last 57 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Montreal defeated St. Louis on Saturday to secure its first home win and first regulation win of the season. The defense has been an issue as the Canadiens are allowing 4.0 gpg with goalie Corey Price posting a rough 3.38 GAA. The Canadiens are 18-37 in their last 55 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Lightning have posted wins in three of their past five visits to the Bell Centre, limiting the Canadiens to just 2.4 gpg over that stretch. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing four goals or more going up against an opponent after a win by two goals or more. This situation is 81-35 (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (17) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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10-15-19 | Astros -144 v. Yankees | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Astros were able to salvage a split at home after losing the opening game of the ALCS. Now they will be out to get back home field advantage in the series with a victory on Tuesday and they are in good shape with their hottest pitching on the hill.. Houston is 92-37 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons. The Yankees are in a difficult spot tonight despite posting a stellar record at home. Gerrit Cole has taken over as the Astros ace as he has been lights out. In 24 starts in the regular season and playoffs since May 27, Cole is 18-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.79 WHIP, striking out 251 batters in 162.1 innings in that span. The Astros are 22-2 in those starts, including 15-0 in the times Cole has taken the ball since July 17. Luis Severino is a dynamic pitcher but he is coming back from injury and has been limited as he has tossed 83 pitches or less in four starts. He is 1-2 with a 5.33 ERA in seven career postseason starts. Here, we play on favorites with a money line of -150 or more that are hitting .190 or worse over their last three games, starting a pitcher who gave up one or fewer earned runs in his last two outings. This situation is 59-9 (86.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (911) Houston Astros |
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10-14-19 | Oilers v. Blackhawks -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Edmonton has opened the season with five straight victories for the first time since the 1985-86 campaign. This includes three straight wins on this current roadtrip after just 17 wins on the highway the entire season a year ago. The Oilers are outscoring opponents by 1.2 gpg despite getting outshot by 3.0 gpg. Edmonton is 5-16 in its last 21 games against Central Division opponents. The Blackhawks are winless on the season at 0-2-1 with all three losses coming by one goal. The last loss was a tough one as Chicago held a 2-0 lead over the Winnipeg Jets on Saturday, only to fall 3-2 in overtime. The first game was played in Prague so the schedule has not been on their side with the extended travel. The Blackhawks play six of their next eight games at home so they must capitalize on this golden opportunity. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 after allowing three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 32-6 (84.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (14) Chicago Blackhawks |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -3 | Top | 22-23 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. First place is on the line tonight in the best division in football which is the only one in the NFL that boasts four winning teams. Detroit suffered its first loss of the season two weeks ago against Kansas City and that defeat is looking worse now with the Chiefs having lost their last two games, both coming at home. We think the Lions are a little overrated at this point as they are ranked No. 21 in the current power rankings. After sweeping the season series the last two years, Detroit has won four in a row against Green Bay for the first time since the 1982 and 1983 seasons and that certainly has the attention of the Packers. Green Bay is coming off a big win over Dallas last Sunday to remain in first place in the NFC North. The lone loss came here against the Eagles in a game where it actually outgained the Eagles by 155 total yards. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.8 or more yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Green Bay Packers |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals +123 v. Nationals | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Down 0-2 in this series, the Cardinals have a must win game on their hands tonight and we expect them to come through to avoid the huge 0-3 deficit. St. Louis has been unable to get through the starting pitching in the first two games and that is a big problem considering the Nationals have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.66 ERA and .266 BAA. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball for the Nationals and he came through with two solid outings against the Dodgers and he has been pitching well for a while now but the Cardinals are 5-2 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Jack Flaherty has been pitching at a higher level as he has posted a 1.13 ERA since July 7th, a span of 18 starts where he has not allowed more than three runs in any of those games. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .215 or worse over their last five games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 3.00 over his last 10 games. This situation is 111-73 (60.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (909) St. Louis Cardinals |
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10-13-19 | Yankees v. Astros -154 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Astros were humbled at home last night, getting shutout 7-0 while registering just three hits. They closed at -147 favorites in a not-so-favorable pitching matchup and they are listed as slightly higher favorites tonight in a very favorable pitching matchup. Despite the win last night, the Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 playoff road games while the Astros are 6-0 in their last six games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Justin Verlander is coming off his worst outing in a while against the Rays as he allowed four runs on seven hits in just 3.2 innings but that was on the road. He has a 2.21 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 18 home starts and he has allowed two runs or less in nine of his last 10 home outings. He earned MVP honors in the 2017 ALCS after he limited the Yankees to one run on 10 hits and two walks with 21 strikeouts over 16 innings in two starts. James Paxton has been pitching better over the second half of the season but he is coming off a rough outing against the Twins, allowing three runs in 4.2 innings. His lone start in Houston this season was a disaster as he allowed five runs in four innings and going back, the Astros are 21-5 in their last 26 home games against left-handed starters. 10* (908) Houston Astros |
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10-13-19 | Texans v. Chiefs -4 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -103 | 46 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC Game of the Year. All week, the media has been crushing Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes following the poor performance against the Colts and when elite teams are coming off games like that, bounce back efforts happen more often than not. The Chiefs were outgained by just seven yards against Indianapolis so there is no reason to take the loss from last week too serious. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Houston put up 53 points last week against Atlanta which was 43 more points than what they put up in their previous game against Carolina. The feedback is the opposite of Kansas City as everyone is gushing about Houston now. The Texans hit the road and going back, they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. Remember, no team is as good as it looked or as bad as it looked in its previous game. 10* (258) Kansas City Chiefs |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 32-28 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is coming off a big divisional win over the Rams last Thursday and while they have had extra time to prepare, this presents a letdown opportunity. Even more so, west coast teams traveling east for an early game. The Seahawks are 4-1 on the season despite getting outgained in two of their wins including a one-point win over lowly Cincinnati. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Cleveland will be an unpopular play this week based on its awful performance Monday night as well as the fact it will have had for less days than Seattle to get ready. The Browns outgained three of their first four opponents so the game against the 49ers is an aberration and a dropped to touchdown pass by Antonio Calloway, who was rusty following a four-game suspension, impacted the game completely. The Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. 10* (256) Cleveland Browns |
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10-12-19 | Penguins v. Wild -120 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Minnesota is off to a 0-3 start but the schedule has done it no favors as they started the season with three straight road games against divisional opponents and the Wild hit home ice for the first time this season. It is easy to forget that the Wild were in all three games. They held a one-goal lead over the Predators before allowing three goals in six minutes down the stretch, and they allowed the Avalanche to strike with two goals in less than two minutes to take an early lead. On Thursday, they battled back to tie the score with the Jets, 2-2, before allowing two goals 28 seconds apart. The Penguins meanwhile have played all four of their games at home where they have split their four games. Forwards Evgeni Malkin, Bryan Rust, Nick Bjugstad and Alex Galchenyuk all remain out because of injury. Goaltender Matt Murray has played all four Penguins games. With the team's first set of back-to-back games this weekend, backup Tristan Jarry stands a good chance of getting his first start of the season. Here, we play on home Favorites against the money line off two or more consecutive road losses, first half of the season. This situation is 84-33 (71.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (76) Minnesota Wild |
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10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Washington stole Game One of this series last night behind an epic performance from Anibal Sanchez who quietly tossed a no-hitter into the eighth inning and the Cardinals were limited to one hit the entire game. Things do not get any easier today as St. Louis has to face Max Scherzer but he is gettable here. He has been solid this postseason with a 2.77 ERA but the one thing that has clipped him throughout his career is the long ball as he has allowed three home runs in 13 innings. He has not been the same since coming back from an injury on August 22 and his worst start since then happened to be right here where he allowed five runs, including a pair of home runs, in 6.2 innings on September 18. Adam Wainwright tossed a gem against Braves, going 7.2 innings without allowing a run and giving up just four hits. He has been awesome at home with a 2.37 ERA and he faced Washington twice this season, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA over 13.1 innings. Here, we play on home teams averaging 4.7 rpg against a very good starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 87-49 (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) St. Louis Cardinals |
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10-12-19 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -3.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal heads to snowy Winnipeg for the second meeting this season and one that the home team is eager to take. There is revenge in play today for Winnipeg from a game it surely has not forgotten about. The Alouettes orchestrated the largest come-from-behind victory in franchise history when they defeated the Blue Bombers 38-37 on a touchdown in the game's final seconds. They overcame a 24-point deficit, the largest comeback in team history. While both teams must play in the snow, the Blue Bombers practiced in it Thursday and Friday, while the Alouettes were experiencing mild conditions in Montreal. Winnipeg has dropped three straight games but quarterback Chris Streveler has played well with the exception of some costly interceptions. He is 76-104 (73 percent) over this stretch so things should have been better. Montreal is coming off an upset win over Calgary but it was outgained by 262 yards. The Blue Bombers are 6-1 at home this season with two games remaining. The last time they posted seven wins at home came in 2007, when they were 7-2. Here, we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston +7.5 | Top | 38-23 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. Since suffering a 42-0 loss against Ohio St., Cincinnati has won three straight games and has climbed into the AP Top 25 for the first time this season. The Bearcats are coming off an upset win over UCF but were outgained by 82 total yards and we are finding out that this Knights team is overrated when being compared from the last two years. The Bearcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Houston snapped a two-game losing streak with a 46-25 win over North Texas two weeks ago so it has the advantage here of having an extra week of preparation. The Cougars were outgained as they scored touchdowns on both punt and kickoff returns. The Cougars are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a road win. 10* (172) Houston Cougars |
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10-12-19 | Memphis v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Memphis heads into Philadelphia with a perfect 5-0 record but it has not been as dominant as the scoreboard has shown. The Tigers are coming off double-digit wins over Navy and UL-Monroe but they were outgained in both of those. Memphis is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games after scoring 50 points or more last game. Temple has won two straight games to improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at Buffalo where turnovers were the difference. Temple has outgained all five opponents so it I playing at a very high level. The Owls are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 51-20 (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Temple Owls |
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10-11-19 | Colorado v. Oregon -21 | Top | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We lost with Oregon last Saturday as it won but failed to cover against California as the Ducks shot themselves in the foot too many times. They turned the ball over in Golden Bears territory in their first three possessions and then missed a field goal late in the second quarter to get shut out in the first half. Give credit to the California defense as it stepped up when needed to keep the game close but Oregon does not have to worry about that on Friday and it is not laying many more points than last week. Colorado is coming off a loss against Arizona as it led for much of the game but gave up the winning touchdown with just over six minutes left. The Buffaloes are 1-2 following a 2-0 start and both of those losses came at home. They did upset Arizona St. in their lone road game on the season but they will be facing a much more difficult task here. Colorado is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game while Oregon is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games against teams allowing 275 or more passing ypg. 10* (114) Oregon Ducks |
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10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals -117 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Washington and St. Louis square off in the NLCS as both are coming off underdog series wins in the NLDS. Anibal Sanchez has resurrected his career over the last two seasons in Atlanta and Washington. He had a horrible stint in Detroit but has posted a 3.09 ERA between his time with the Braves and Nationals. His numbers are up this season including his ERA that is a run higher than it was last season. He posted a solid start against the Dodgers but the bullpen let him down which has been an issue this postseason with a 6.63 ERA over 19 innings. This has carried over from the regular season where the Nationals posted a 5.66 ERA, worst in the Majors. Miles Mikolas counters for the Cardinals and he is also coming off a solid postseason start on the road in Atlanta in the NLDS. He has been great at home this season with a 3.98 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 15 starts and he has a bullpen behind him that has been great as they finished fifth in MLB with a 3.82 ERA. 10* (902) St. Louis Cardinals |
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10-11-19 | Islanders +160 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Islanders have opened the season 1-2 following a 5-2 loss to Edmonton on Tuesday. This marks the first road game of the season for New York and that is not necessarily a bad thing at this point after the disappointing start. After winning the first three games during the regular season, the Islanders dropped the final one and then was promptly swept by the Hurricanes in the second round of the playoffs so revenge is in play tonight. The Hurricanes are 4-0 following three overtime wins and a 6-3 win in Florida on Tuesday. Now Carolina is laying its biggest number of the season and its biggest number going back 21 games into last season. Here, we play on teams against the money line with a winning percentage between .300 and .400 that are coming off a home loss by three goals or more, playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 22-10 (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (55) New York Islanders |
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10-10-19 | Giants +17.5 v. Patriots | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. This is the ultimate contrarian play as the Giants are now up to a 17-point underdog against New England as they looks to bounce back from a poor effort against the Vikings following a two-game winning streak. Many are pointing to injuries for New York as it will be without Saquon Barkley once again and will also be missing wide receiver Sterling Shephard and tight end Evan Engram. With the struggles of the Giants defense, Tom Brady is going to put up some points and Daniel Jones is going to have to hang with him. This is the fourth time already this season New England has been favored by more than two touchdowns which tells us one of two things. The Patriots are exceptionally good or the schedule has been exceptionally soft. We can all it a mix of both as New England has covered two of the three big spreads but those were against awful teams and taking out the game against the 4-1 Bills which they easily could have lost, the Patriots four other opponents are a combined 1-17. Here, we play against teams averaging 27 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 23-27 ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (103) New York Giants |
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10-10-19 | Syracuse +4.5 v. NC State | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. After suffering two straight blowout losses, the Orange have record a pair of blowout wins to get back on track and move back over .500 on the season. Granted, the most recent came against Holy Cross of the FCS to close out September but it was a needed win for momentum and now Syracuse looks to jump out of a 0-2 hole in the ACC. The Orange are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. NC State is coming off a loss at Florida St. and it has not been in good form after opening with a pair of blowout wins against East Carolina and Nicholas St. The Wolfpack were dominated by West Virginia and then were outgained at home against Ball St. despite pulling out the win. The Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we plat against home favorites allowing between 16-21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 21-28 ppg, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (107) Syracuse Orange |
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10-10-19 | Oilers v. Devils -121 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW JERSEY DEVILS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. New Jersey's offense was anemic in a 4-0 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday, and the Devils have been outscored 14-2 since the second intermission of their season opener. They have a chance to turn that around tonight as they face the unbeaten Oilers. With seven of their next eight games on home ice, New Jersey needs to figure out how to capitalize on this upcoming slate. The Devils added first-overall pick Jack Hughes, Nikita Gusev and defenseman P.K. Subban to bolster their attack in the offseason. New Jersey is 36-15 in its last 51 games as a home favorite. The Oilers have received steady goaltending and they are breaking the puck out of their zone with far more skill and consistency. But this charge will not continue. Edmonton is 4-18 against the money line in its last 22 games after scoring three goals or more in three straight games. Here, we play on favorites against the money line after scoring one goal or less in their previous game going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 34-6 (85 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (26) New Jersey Devils |
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10-09-19 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +1 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAFAYETTE RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday High Roller. This has been one of the crazy line moves of the week as Lafayette opened as a one-point favorite on Sunday night, got bet up to as high as -3 -108 the next day only to go to +1 -106 early Tuesday. It once again shifted at the Cajuns were laying small chalk and again this morning, it shifted the other way in what is a big revenge game on National TV. Wednesday is a rematch of the first-ever Sun Belt championship game, which Appalachian St. won 30-19 at home. The Ragin Cajuns feature a powerful ground-oriented offense that poses plenty of problems for a Mountaineers defense that has allowed an average of 29 ppg. Lafayette leads the Sun Belt, averaging 314 rushing ypg while only surrendering five sacks all season, which also tops in the conference. While this is not considered a rivalry, it does pair the two best teams in the conference from the last few years and the Cajuns have never been on top, losing all six meetings and all coming by at least 10 points. So it comes as no surprise the public is feasting on the road team tonight. Lafayette is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games after gaining 475 or more total ypg over their last three games. Here, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 80-39 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (102) Lafayette Ragin Cajuns |
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10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves +105 | Top | 13-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Braves were four outs away from a series victory Monday afternoon, but Yadier Molina looped a game-tying RBI single in the eighth inning before lofting the walk-off sacrifice fly in the 10th that lifted the Cardinals to a 5-4 win. Game Five returns to Atlanta with a pitching rematch that we expect to come out the same. The Braves are 51-32 at home which is tied for the second best home record in the National League and we are catching an underdog price similar to that in Game Two. Mike Foltynewicz was sensational in his first start in this series and he has been pitching great for a while now. He has allowed three runs or less in his last nine starts while posting a 1.69 ERA over that stretch covering 53.1 innings. He has now allowed no runs over 13 innings in his last two starts against the Braves. Jack Flaherty was the losing pitching in Game Two but he still posted a quality outing for the ninth straight time. He is the reason the Braves are favored on the road but the Cardinals are 1-5 in his last six road starts against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Braves are 5-1 in their last six games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Here, we play on National League home teams averaging 5.0 rpg with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 3.00 over his last 10 games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 40-14 (74.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (914) Atlanta Braves |
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10-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -119 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. The Florida Panthers failed to make the playoffs last season and by a significant margin as they fell 12 points out of the second Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference. Their problem was the goalie situation as the Panthers produced the second worst save percentage in the league (.891) last season and the sixth most goals against at even strength. Things are different now however as they have one of the best goalies in the league after signing Sergei Bobrovsky and couple that with a bunch of talent up front where they finished sixth in goals scored and the playoffs are not a reach anymore. Additionally, Florida hired three-time Stanley Cup-winning coach Joel Quenneville. Going back, the Panthers are 25-9 in their last 34 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Carolina is off to a perfect 3-0 start but it has not been easy as all three wins have come in extra time, two in overtime and one in a shootout. The Hurricanes are coming off a pair of wins over Stanley Cup contenders Washington and Tampa Bay so they could be in for a bit of a letdown. Going back, the Hurricanes are 12-30 in their last 42 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. 10* (8) Florida Panthers |
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10-07-19 | Yankees v. Twins +138 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Yankees have a 2-0 lead in this series and can wrap it up tonight in Minnesota although we are expecting this series to go to a Game Four. New York has erupted for 18 runs in the first two games but doing that damage on the road is unlikely. The Twins offense was not nearly as potent but they have been a great bounce back teams as they are 25-8 in their last 33 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Luis Severino gets the ball for the Yankees after making just three starts in the regular season due to right rotator cuff inflammation. He will be limited as he has not thrown more than 80 pitches. He is making his seventh career postseason star and faces the team he met in his first postseason start in the 2017 AL Wild Card Game, when he pitched just one-third of an inning and allowed three runs. The Yankees are 1-4 in his last five starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Jake Odorizzi turned things around in his second year in Minnesota. After posting a 4.49 ERA in 32 starts in 2018, Odorizzi had a 3.51 ERA in 30 starts this year. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 straight starts including five straight at home. The Yankees are 0-5 in their last five road games against right-handed starters while the Twins are 7-0 in his last seven starts following a quality outing in his last start. 10* (908) Minnesota Twins |
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10-07-19 | Browns +5 v. 49ers | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. San Francisco is off to a 3-0 start it is not overly impressive. The 49ers have defeated a poor Tampa Bay team, a winless Cincinnati team and a Pittsburgh team without its starting quarterback. Overall, those teams are a combined 3-12 and the strength of schedule is ranked No. 24. Even coming off a bye week, they are banged up. The 49ers suffered a significant loss in their latest win with a foot injury that will sideline cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon for at least a month. The other major injury the 49ers are dealing with is at left tackle, where veteran Joe Staley will miss at least six weeks with a broken leg. Cleveland is now 2-2 following its big win in Baltimore last Sunday and a win here is necessary to remain in first place in the AFC North which is now just a two-team race with Cincinnati and Pittsburgh out of it. This line opened at -3 and has steadily increased throughout the week so we are getting some great value. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 370 or more ypg on offense going up against a team with a defense allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (477) Cleveland Browns |
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10-07-19 | Blues v. Maple Leafs -128 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Toronto is coming off a loss to Montreal on Saturday and is now 2-0-1 on the season. The Maple Leafs led 4-1 in the third period before the Canadiens scored four straight goals to take the lead. The second goal of the game, and fifth of the season, by Auston Matthews tied it late but Montreal had the only goal of the shootout. Backup goaltender Michael Hutchinson made his first start of the season Saturday, and it's expected that Frederik Andersen will return to the net Monday. After losing to Washington in overtime in its season opener, the Blues defeated Dallas on Saturday and now they hit the road for the first time this season. The Maple Leafs are 22-8 in their last 30 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 off a loss by one goal to a division rival going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 152-82 (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (84) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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10-06-19 | Colts +11.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Kansas City is rolling along again as it is off to a 4-0 start although it did fail to cover for the first time last Sunday against the Lions. The Chiefs have now scored 25 points in all 23 games he has been under center which is pretty extraordinary when you think about it. The problem is, Kansas City has not had a defense for him. That is the case again this season. Over the last two games, the Chiefs had Baltimore subdued but allowed a couple late scores to make things more interesting and needed a last minute touchdown last week after giving up 30 points to the Lions. Over the last two seasons, the Chiefs have been double-digit favorites only twice, both last year, going 1-1 ATS but those were against Arizona and Oakland, two of the worst teams in the league at the time. Indianapolis is not a bad team and this line is simply too high. In the playoff game last year, the line was -4 so this line is saying Andrew Luck is worth seven points and that is a bit inflated. 10* (475) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 52 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Why is everybody so high on Baltimore? The Ravens opened the season with a 59-10 win over the Dolphins and we know what they are made of. They then struggled to beat the Cardinals, fell down big against Kansas City before a couple late scores and were blasted by Cleveland. The defense has been awful as they have allowed 500 yards in two straight games for the first time in franchise history and the 40 points allowed last week were the second most under head coach John Harbaugh. Offensively, Lamar Jackson has digressed since the first two games as last week, a 50-yard touchdown in the final minute skewed his numbers. The Steelers picked up their first win of the season over the Bengals as quarterback Mason Rudolph led a very efficient offense. There have been critics about how much he checked down but he got the job done and he will air it out more downfield against a banged up secondary. Pittsburgh has had trouble running the ball but Baltimore cannot stop the run, allowing 4.9 ypc which is fifth worst in the NFL. 10* (452) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford +16.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Stanford snapped a three-game slide with a win at Oregon St. last week and the Cardinal hope to build off that as they head home. The Cardinal amassed four sacks and pitched a first-half shutout against Oregon St., but the final four drives of the game for the Beavers ended in touchdowns, making what was a comfortable affair in Corvallis a 31-28 nail-biter for the Cardinal. Stanford's defense isn't quite as stingy as it has been in the past. They're currently 92nd in total defense and 127th in third-down percentage defense but that is a big reason they are getting over two touchdowns at home. Additionally, Stanford has played the toughest schedule in the country. Washington took care of USC last week and it has now won three straight games following its lone loss of the season, a one-point setback at home. In their only other road game, the Huskies were favored by 6.5 points at BYU and this line is telling us the Cougars are 10 points better than Stanford? No way. The defense is looking excellent and always, and the offense is doing fine but this is a tough environment in a night games. 10* (352) Stanford Cardinal |
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10-05-19 | Toronto +9.5 v. BC | Top | 8-55 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. British Columbia has on three straight games, blowing out Ottawa twice and then then narrowly defeating Montreal last week. The Lions are still fighting for a playoff berth but their chances are slim like the Argonauts. Toronto got hammered by Saskatchewan last week which was its first non-cover since August 16 so it has been competitive for the most part despite the poor record. The Argonauts are in the midst of a two-game slide and will be trying for a split of the season series following a narrow 18-17 loss to the Lions in Week Four. The Argonauts are 2-11 but still have a mathematical chance at making the playoffs as it would require a collapse by either Edmonton or Montreal. They got a piece of that last night with Edmonton getting blown out by Hamilton. Their issue has been getting down early and not being able to fight back, On the flip side, the Lions have only led after the opening 15 minutes in five of their 14 games and scored a total of 68 points in first quarters. That makes this line a very juicy one. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 385 or more total ypg, after being outgained by 70 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (687) Toronto Argonauts |
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10-05-19 | Lightning -115 v. Panthers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. This is the second game of a home-and-home for Tampa Bay and Florida with the Lightning taking the first meeting 5-2 on Thursday. While the Panthers will be out for revenge, this is the spot to hammer Tampa Bay as it is still playing with a chip on its shoulder stemming from the first round playoff elimination last season. And the price is right given that Tampa Bay was -130 and -141 in the two meetings in Sunrise last season and both resulted in wins. Expectations are higher for the Panthers this season but they are what they are. They have lost their season opener each of the past three seasons and have not had a winning record through 10 games since the 2011-2012 season. The difference for Florida is it now has three-time Stanley Cup winning coach Joel Quenneville and goalie Sergei Bobrovsky but the Lightning are Stanley Cup contenders once again they are taking no game for granted. Tampa Bay is 16-2 in its last 18 road games against teams with a losing record while going 24-5 in its last 29 divisional games. 10* (55) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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10-05-19 | Illinois +14 v. Minnesota | Top | 17-40 | Loss | -109 | 70 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our Big Ten Game of the Year. Minnesota has been getting it done but it has been far from dominant. The Golden Gophers are just two games short of bowl eligibility at 4-0 despite the fact they are 1-2-1 ATS, with their first cover coming last week in a 38-31 win at Purdue. They have won those games by an average of 5.0 ppg, have won all four by seven points or less and now are being asked to lay two touchdowns. Purdue ran it pretty well on Minnesota last week, and the Boilermakers had not previously been able to run it all on anyone and this is good news for Illinois which averages 182 ypg and 4.6 ypc. The Illini are 2-2 and while the wins were against two poor teams, the losses were against decent teams and by a combined seven points. Illinois has scored 30 or more points in each of the first four games this season, and Brandon Peters is the best quarterback Lovie Smith has had in Champaign. The Illini are coming off their bye week and while Smith did not get into too many specifics about what Illinois focused on most during its off week last week, the team earned a few extra practices to gameplan for the Gophers. 10* (357) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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10-04-19 | Nationals +140 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 140 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Washington had an eight-game winning streak snapped with the loss in Game One last night but it was not all that surprising after its crazy win on Tuesday in the Wild Card game against Milwaukee. The Nationals have won four straight games following a loss. The Dodgers are riding an eight-game winning streak so they are clearly peaking at the right time but there is too much value on the National side. Stephen Strasburg gets the ball for Washington and is in a good spot at a great price. While Strasburg has never made a start on three days of rest in his 10-year career, Nationals manager Dave Martinez said he considers his 34-pitch outing Tuesday as a high-intensity between-start bullpen session so there will be no effect. In 11 career starts against the Dodgers, Strasburg has a 2.54 ERA and he has been impressive at Dodger Stadium with a 2.08 ERA over four starts covering 26 innings. Clayton Kershaw had another great season with a 3.03 ERA but we cannot forget his postseason struggles as he has a 4.32 ERA in 30 playoff appearances. The Nationals are 13-3 in their last 16 games against left-handed starters. 10* (921) Washington Nationals |
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10-04-19 | Capitals v. Islanders -119 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. We won with the Capitals in their season opener as they spoiled the Blues Stanley Cup celebration and they take to the road for their second straight game. They head back to Washington tomorrow for their home opener against Carolina and there is a huge lookahead possibility as the Hurricanes took Washington out of the playoffs last season in the first round in seven games after blowing a 2-0 series lead. Capitals rookie goaltender Ilya Samsonov is expected to make his first NHL start, with Washington playing the first of back-to-back games. The Islanders, who went 48-27-7 last season to finish second in the Metropolitan Division, made relatively few offseason changes and are playing their season opener tonight whose season also ended last season against Carolina as they were swept in the second round. The Islanders have one of the best, most successful head coaches in Barry Trotz and that is always a bonus. The combination of his structured system and some great goaltending made the Islanders the toughest team to score against a year ago. They did lose goaltender Robin Lehner but picked up Semyon Varlamov. 10* (30) New York Islanders |
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10-03-19 | Rams +2 v. Seahawks | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. This line opened at a pickem and has been driven up a couple points as everyone is down on the Rams now after their pathetic defensive performance against the Buccaneers last Sunday. Los Angeles still outgained Tampa Bay by 54 total yards but they were undone by four turnovers that included three interceptions by Jared Goff. The Rams are now 3-1 on the season as they have outgained all four opponents. The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. A lot of people are sold on Seattle but we are not one of those. The Seahawks beat a bad Cincinnati team by one point, beat a Pittsburgh team that lost Ben Roethlisberger, lost to New Orleans and beat a bad Arizona team. Many will talk about how Seattle has the distinct rushing advantage here but that is not the case based upon the ypc model. Based on ypc averages, the Rams have a better ypc average on offense, allow fewer ypc on defense and have a positive differential between its offense and defense. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-03-19 | Temple -11.5 v. East Carolina | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Temple enters Thursday with a 3-1 record which includes a pair of win over ACC teams in Georgia Tech and Maryland. The Owls have outgained all four opponents thanks to a stingy defense once again as Temple is ranked No. 19 in total defense. The Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. East Carolina has won two straight games and it is 3-2 on the season. The problem is two of those wins came against teams from the FCS while the third win came against 1-3 Old Dominion last week by just three points. Do not be fooled by the winning record as the Pirates strength of schedule is No. 150 in the country. East Carolina is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 home games after playing two straight non-conference games while going 0-8 ATS in its last eight games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa in three straight games, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (305) Temple Owls |
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