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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-03-19 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes -147 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Carolina is a sneaky sleeper pick to win the Eastern Conference and even further. The Hurricanes returned to the playoffs last season after a nine-year absence and they are being touted as one of the favorites in the Metropolitan Division so getting value early on is key. Last season, they took out Washington in seven games in the first round and then swept the Islanders before getting swept by the Bruins in the Eastern Conference Finals. To bolster the forward group, Carolina signed Ryan Dzingel and Erik Haula and added Jake Gardiner at $4.05 million per year, a bargain for his talent, which bolstered one of the NHL's best blue lines. Montreal finished two points out of the playoffs last season so expectations are high on its end as well, just not nearly as high as the Hurricanes. There was an interesting scenario in the offseason as the Canadiens put out a $42.2 million offer sheet signed by Sebastian Aho only to be matched by the Hurricanes. The Canadiens had even gotten rid of Andrew Shaw to make the cap space available. And it all fell apart. The road was the issue last season for Montreal and going back, the Canadiens are 16-40 in their last 56 games as a road underdog. 10* (12) Carolina Hurricanes |
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10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves -139 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -139 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Thursday NLDS Blowout. St. Louis heads to Atlanta for Game One of the NLDS after taking the National League Central. The Cardinals finished just one game over .500 on the road during the regular season which is a big reason this line has been bet up from a -119 opening at Pinnacle. While the rosters have changed somewhat, the Cardinals are 0-6 in their last six playoff road games. Atlanta was able to hold off Washington to win the National League East by four games and secure the home field edge in this series. The Braves dropped their final three games of the regular season but those were meaningless and they were on the road. Atlanta went 50-31 at home and going back, the Braves are 7-2 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Dallas Keuchel gets the ball for the Braves and after a great six-game run, two of his last three starts were not great but his postseason experience makes him a great Game One option. It will be the 11th career postseason appearance for Keuchel, who was expected to fill this role when he was signed as a free agent in June. He went 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in his previous playoff games with the Houston Astros. Miles Mikolas counters for the Cardinals and he had an average season but he was way below average on the road, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 starts. 10* (916) Atlanta Braves |
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10-02-19 | Capitals +125 v. Blues | Top | 3-2 | Win | 125 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The St. Louis Blues return to the ice for the first time after defeating the Boston Bruins in a thrilling seven-game series in the 2019 Stanley Cup Final to capture their first-ever title. The Capitals are loaded once again and are expected to make another Stanley Cup run after a disappointing exit in the first round of the playoffs last season. With Nicklas Backstrom and Evgeny Kuznetsov down the middle, some nice wingers beyond Alex Ovechkin, and some solid defense led by John Carlson, the Capitals check a lot of boxes. Additionally, Braden Holtby has been one of the most dependable goalies in the NHL, and with contract year motivation, it would not be shocking if he chased another Vezina Trophy. It will be a fun night for the Blues as their first ever championship banner will be lowered in the rafter and that can certainly be a distraction. St. Louis came out of nowhere last season, going from last place in January to winning it all but we see some regression this season and that can start right from the start. A big question is if goalie Jordan Binnington can come close to matching his 2018-19 performance over a full season. 10* (3) Washington Capitals |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's -133 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The home team came through last night, unfortunate for us, and tonight we will be backing the American League home team. Oakland finished the season 97-65, one game ahead of Tampa Bay to lock down the home field edge in this winner take all Wild Card game. The Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay closed the season with a pair of meaningless losses in Toronto. Pitching is the strength of the Rays, similar to that of Oakland but there is a big disadvantage in a one-game scenario as with more than 250 home runs this season, the Athletics are more capable than Tampa Bay of producing those runs in bunches. The Rays are 31-66 in their last 97 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Oakland hands the ball to Sean Manaea which was a bit of a surprise due to his limited action but he was nasty. Manaea has pitched in five games since returning from surgery on his left shoulder, going 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA. He has allowed 16 hits and seven walks in 29.1 innings and struck out 30. Charlie Morton counters for Tampa Bay and he had an outstanding season. While he posted the same 8-3 record at both home and on the road, his road ERA was a full run higher on the highway, 3.59 compared to 2.59. 10* (914) Oakland Athletics |
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10-01-19 | Brewers +170 v. Nationals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our National League Wild Card Dominator. The Nationals already are, and will be going forward until gametime, a very popular play in the National League Wild Card game and it makes sense why. Washington claimed home field in the beginning of the weekend and is currently riding an eight game winning streak as it was able to overtake Milwaukee. The Brewers had a chance to win the National League Central but closed the season with three straight losses in Colorado to fall into this spot. Max Scherzer gets the ball for Washington and while he is the ace of the staff, he has not been of late. He has been at least somewhat hittable since his return from injury this year, with a 4.73 ERA in seven starts. He does have 54 strikeouts and only eight walks in that time but has been bitten by issues with the home run ball, serving up eight of them during this seven-game stretch. He is beatable, especially at home where Washington is just 6-9 in his 15 starts and he finished the season as the least profitable pitcher in the rotation at -8.85 units. Milwaukee will send All-Star Brandon Woodruff to the mound. He finished his first full season in the big leagues with a 3.62 ERA in 121.2 innings across 22 starts this season, along with a far more impressive 67 FIP. He will not be stretched out as he is coming off a pair of two-inning outings following his return from an oblique injury but this is not a bad thing as the bullpen is one of the better ones in baseball. 10* (911) Milwaukee Brewers |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. A few years ago this would have been a marquee Monday night game but now last place is on the line. Ben Roethlisberger's season-ending right-elbow injury and a defense that's been unable to get critical stops has Pittsburgh facing just its second 0-4 start in 1968. Not much was expected of Cincinnati this season and that has proven to be correct as the Bengals are also 0-3 but they have been more consistent of the two teams. Cincinnati had a chance last week against Buffalo but allowed a late touchdown to remain winless. It also could have won the season opener against Seattle but lost by a point despite outgaining the Seahawks by 197 total yards. The Bengals have lost eight straight and 11 of 12 against the Steelers but of course there is no Roethlisberger this time around. The Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams that are getting outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more ypg on the season, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (277) Cincinnati Bengals |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 52 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Dallas looks like one of the top teams in the league right now after starting the season 3-0 straight up and against the number. Digging deeper however shows this might not be the case. The Cowboys are ranked No. 8 in the Sagarin power rankings and this is due to the schedule they have seen as they have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have faced teams that are a combined 1-8. Certainly, this is not their fault but because of the record, they are being overvalued and that is the case here being listed as road favorites in one of the toughest environments in the league. New Orleans is 2-1 on the season which includes an impressive win over Seattle last week to conclude a two-game roadtrip. The stats were not pretty but things will get better. The Saints are entering their second full game with quarterback Teddy Bridgewater taking first-team snaps in place of the injured Drew Brees and expect to see progress from a unit that gained 265 yards and accounted for three of the Saints' five touchdowns. In those same Sagarin power rankings, New Orleans is actually one spot higher than Dallas which again proves the wrong team is favored. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 5.7 or more yppl, after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (276) New Orleans Saints |
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09-29-19 | Panthers v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Game of the Month. The world got a taste of Kyle Allen last week in place of Cam Newton and he was great by going 19-26 for 261 yards and four touchdowns but that came against one of the projected worst defenses in the NFL. Additionally, there was not much tape on Allen so Arizona was prepared for what was coming but Houston has the luxury of a pair of game tapes. The Panthers put up a season-high 38 points last week and that output is keeping this line in check as the Texans are giving just a point and a half more than the Cardinals laid and there is no way those two teams are a difference of a point and a half. The Panthers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Houston is off to a 2-1 start following an upset win at Los Angeles last week over the Chargers. They could and should be 3-0 but allowed the Saints to drive downfield in under a minute to kick the game winning field goal. This is the first of two straight home games and Houston could take early charge in the AFC South with a sweep. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems coming off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 141-87 ATS (61.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (252) Houston Texans |
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09-28-19 | Montreal v. BC -6.5 | Top | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. The Lions season is all but done at 3-10 yet they come into Saturday as significant favorites and we are behind them here. B.C. has won two straight games, albeit against the struggling RedBlacks. Despite that, they were able to hold Ottawa to a single sack over those games while getting to the quarterback six times on defense. The record is deceiving as the Lions have a positive yardage differential overall as they are +17.4 ypg on the season. Montreal has had a surprisingly good season and can clinch a playoff berth with a win here but it will be shorthanded tonight as quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. has been suspended for this game after an altercation against Winnipeg last week. Matthew Shiltz will start at quarterback for the Alouettes which are now in a tough spot. Montreal is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games against teams with a losing record and here, we play on favorites after allowing nine points or less last game. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) British Columbia Lions |
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09-28-19 | New Mexico +7.5 v. Liberty | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CFB Revenge Game of the Year. New Mexico is coming off a win over rival New Mexico St. 55-52 in a game that should not have been that close. The Lobos outgained the Aggies by 109 total yards to improve to 2-1 with the lone loss coming at Notre Dame which is no surprise. They now hit the road as significant road underdogs against a team that should not be laying a number this big in just its second year in the FBS. Liberty is 2-2 coming off a pair of home wins against Buffalo and Hampton. The Flames were actually getting six points against the Bulls and Buffalo is a comparable team to New Mexico yet there is over a two-touchdown line differential. Additionally, they only outgained the Bulls by 31 total yards. The revenge factor comes into play, even on the road in this situation, after Liberty won in Albuquerque by nine points despite the Lobos winning the yardage battle. Four interceptions did them in and that was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (181) New Mexico Lobos |
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09-28-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia Southern +3.5 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -102 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana last week but the rushing game was too much for Ohio as the Bobcats surrendered 285 yards on the ground in a 45-25 loss. The Cajuns hit the road for the second straight week and it happens to be their conference opener and against a team that has proven to be able to stop the run. It also helps that Louisiana has played the No. 92 ranked schedule in the country. Georgia Southern is coming off a bye week which gives it the situational edge here. Prior to that, the Eagles lost a tough one in Minnesota by just three points. They have played the No. 19 ranked schedule in the nation which also includes a game at LSU. Back to the rushing defense, in the two games against Power Five teams, Georgia Southern has allowed a total of 215 rushing yards on 81 carries (2.7 ypc)\. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 6-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 230 or more rushing ypg after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in two straight games going up against a team allowing 100 or less rushing ypg. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (140) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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09-27-19 | San Jose State v. Air Force -18 | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -114 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday High Roller. We played on Air Force two weeks ago as it won in Colorado in overtime but it failed to follow up with a win as lost in Boise by 11 points to the Broncos. The Falcons actually outgained Boise St. but a costly interception midway through the fourth quarter set up the Broncos for a short 27-yard touchdown drive. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in home games under Troy Calhoun in games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. San Jose St. is coming off a massive upset as it defeated Arkansas on the road by a touchdown as a 20-point underdog. The Spartans should not have won that game as they benefited from five turnovers that took a lot of yards and long drives away from the Razorbacks. San Jose St. got thumped by Tulsa by 18 points and it was outgained by 191 yards in its previous game when it was heading to a bye week prior to playing Arkansas. The Spartans are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while the Falcons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (110) Air Force Falcons |
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09-27-19 | Indians +134 v. Nationals | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. After dropping two straight games to the White Sox, the Indians trail the Rays by two games with three to play for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Those two games are going to come back and haunt Cleveland most likely but all it can do now is win and hope that they can get some help. This comes on the heels of a 7-1 run and going back, the Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Washington also has playoff implications on the line but not nearly as severe as it is playing for the home field in the National League Wild Card. Zach Plesac gets the ball for the Indians and he has been solid on the road with a 3.51 ERA and 1.17 WHIP and he has been especially good in his night starts, posting a 2.84 ERA and 1.14 WHIP with Cleveland going 9-2 in 11 starts. Austin Voth has been pitching well but has posted only one quality outing over his last six starts as he does not go deep and has gone over 90 pitches only twice in his career. Here, we play against National League home teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg with a bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 33-16 (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (979) Cleveland Indians |
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09-26-19 | Eagles +5 v. Packers | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We love this spot for the Eagles on Thursday night. They have dropped two straight games by a combined seven points including a loss at home against Detroit this past Sunday despite outgaining the Lions by 86 total yards. Dropping to 1-3 will not completely kill their season, but it will not help matters as it is still a sizeable hole to climb out of. Only 27 teams that started the season 1-3 have made the playoffs so it is a challenge. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record. Green Bay is off to a perfect 3-0 start and it is being led by the defense that is allowing just 11.7 ppg which is second best in the NFL. The issue is the Packers have been fortunate to keep the points off the board as they are No. 13 in total defense, allowing 328.3 ypg. A big reason for this variance is that Green Bay is +6 in turnover differential and this positive uptake will not last throughout the season. The Packers are getting outgained by 41.7 ypg which is not a good sign but the fact they are 3-0 straight up and ATS is putting the public behind them and in a big way. 10* (101) Philadelphia Eagles |
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09-25-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -147 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Game of the Week. After winning the 15-inning marathon game on Monday, the Blue Jays dropped Game Two last night but it is still 6-3 over its last nine games. This is the final likely winnable game of the season as they close with a series against Tampa Bay which is right in the thick of the Wild Card race. Baltimore is coming off a rare win and as mentioned Monday, it is one of four teams that have 100 losses this season. The Orioles are 17-49 in their last 66 games following a win. Jacob Waguespack gets the start for Toronto and while his numbers do not look overly appeasing, digging deeper shows why. Of his 12 starts, nine have come against winning teams, eight of which are in current playoff positions with Boston being the other. He has a 3.24 ERA in his three starts against teams with a losing record covering 16.2 innings. It has been a rough season for Gabriel Ynoa who has rotated between the starting rotation and the bullpen and neither has been particularly good. In 12 starts, he has a 6.12 ERA and since winning his first start back in May, Baltimore is 0-11 in his 11 starts since then. The Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and they are 10-2 this season against American League pitchers with an ERA of 5.90 or worse. 10* (968) Toronto Blue Jays |
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09-24-19 | Brewers v. Reds -107 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee posted its eighth win in nine games and improved to an MLB best 17-4 in September following its 4-3 victory over Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Brewers also own a 10-2 mark since losing Christian Yelich to a fractured kneecap. They have a four-game cushion for the second Wild Card spot in the National League and are a half-game behind Washington for the first spot so winning is still the goal. That being said, they are in a tough spot here. Cincinnati is coming off a series loss against the Mets and it opens its final home series of the season with its ace on the hill. Sonny Gray has been sensational this season with a 2.80 ERA and 1.09 WHIP and has accounted for 19 of the 73 wins for the Reds. He has allowed three runs or less in nine straight starts and Gray improved to 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his career against Milwaukee after making four solid starts this season. Adrian Houser counters for the Brewers and he has struggled over his last few starts, tossing non-quality outings over his last six starts. The Brewers are 2-6 in his eight road starts this season. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +5.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. The Bears go into Monday night's matchup with the third-worst offense in the NFL through the first two weeks of the season. Chicago's offense has produced just one touchdown through two games, a one-yard-run by David Montgomery last week, and Mitch Trubisky is a combined 42 of 72 for 348 yards and an interception. They do get to face the third worst defense in the NFL and while some of that can be attributed to bad play, facing the Eagles and Cowboys the first two weeks did not help. On the other side, we know all about the stout Bears defense but the Washington offense has been pretty solid as Case Keenum has done his part, throwing for 601 yards and five touchdown passes with no interceptions. The Redskins have been solid in these spots are they are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against winning teams when coming off a pair of losses. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that allowed 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (490) Washington Redskins |
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09-22-19 | Broncos +7.5 v. Packers | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Denver is 0-2 for the first time since 1999 but it has played better than that 0-2 record indicates. The Broncos lost by eight points at Oakland in the season opener but outgained the Raiders and last week, they lost at home by two points against Chicago yet still outgained the Bears. Joe Flacco has been criticized but he has been very good with 280 ypg while tossing two touchdowns and just one pick. Green Bay is off to the opposite start with a 2-0 record but it has also been opposite in the stats. The Packers were outgained by both Chicago and Minnesota and coming of a pair of divisional wins, they are in for a letdown as well as a lookahead to the Eagles on a short week as they face Philadelphia next Thursday night. The line is way too big as records alone cannot dictate a line. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 78-37 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (461) Denver Broncos |
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09-22-19 | Ravens v. Chiefs -5.5 | Top | 28-33 | Loss | -100 | 44 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Chiefs head back to Kansas City for their home opener after posting a pair of double-digit wins on the road. Playing Jacksonville and Oakland helps but those are not horrible teams. Patrick Mahomes has been sensational with 821 passing yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions. They have looked very impressive as expected and this has been a very odd line move as the number has come down from initial opening. The Chiefs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. The line movement is due to the start of the Baltimore Ravens which are also off to a 2-0 start. Their level of opposition has been much worse though that has definitely played into the record. Lamar Jackson has been a pleasant early surprise but the jury is still out as facing the Dolphins, with the worse roster in the league, and the Cardinals, with the worst passing defense in the league last season, has played a role. Here we play on home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, team that had a winning record last season. This situation is 37-12 (75.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-21-19 | Giants +137 v. Braves | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Braves clinched their 19th division championship, and second straight, with a 6-0 win over the Giants Friday night at SunTrust Park. Celebrations went long into the evening which certainly puts them in a bad spot tonight and it is likely some players will sit but not much to play for at this points. Atlanta trails the Dodgers by 4.5 games for the best record in the National League so catching them with seven games left is likely unattainable. The Giants have dropped two straight games following a three-game winning streak and turn to Johnny Cueto to post another solid start. He has allowed no runs in two starts, both covering five innings and while he is being limited, he remains efficient. It helps having a bullpen that is fifth in baseball with a 3.83 ERA behind him. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried who has had his moments but has struggled of late. He has allowed 10 runs over his last two starts covering just 7.1 innings. 10* (959) San Francisco Giants |
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09-21-19 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | Top | 37-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Game of the Week. Montreal is playing some of the best football in the league despite just a 6-3 record over its last nine games. However, those three losses came by a combined 12 points and the Alouettes won the yardage battle in two of those. Montreal is 3-2 at home and going back, the Alouettes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Winnipeg is coming off a bye week which is good and bad. It kills some momentum from its 4-1 run but did allow quarterback Chris Streveler to get some more work in. Despite the latter, he is no Matt Nichols and despite sitting atop the West Division, the Blue Bombers have been outgained in four of their last six games with the two positive outings being by just a combined 40 yards. Here, we play against all teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-21-19 | Wyoming v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Game of the Month. While this is a play on Tulsa, it is also a play against Wyoming. The Cowboys are arguably the worst 3-0 team in the country as their three wins have come by a combined 20 points and those wins were against Missouri, Texas St. and Idaho. Making matters worse, they were outgained in all three games two of which were by 148 and 151 yards. Tulsa is 1-2 but its losses came against Michigan St. and Oklahoma St. The loss to the Cowboys last week came by 19 points but the game was a lot closer than that as the Golden Hurricane actually led at halftime but were done in by a 90-yard touchdown pass. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss while the Golden Hurricane are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (370) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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09-21-19 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse -4.5 | Top | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Coming off a pair of big losses, expect Syracuse to come out with fire Saturday and the fact it is an early kickoff, it helps the Orange as taking the field as early as possible benefits them emotionally. The loss to Maryland was a surprise, more so by the final score while the loss to Clemson was expected and now is the time to rise to the challenge. The Orange are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games against the MAC. Western Michigan is off to a 2-1 start but the two wins came against Monmouth and Georgia St.. The only real team they faced was Michigan St. who has shown to be offensively challenged but put up 51 points on the Broncos. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (340) Syracuse Orange |
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09-20-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -108 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Arizona was in the heat of the National League Wild Card race but a 3-8 run has dropped them five games back with just eight games remaining. The Diamondbacks are .500 on the road overall but have dropped five straight on the highway. San Diego is back home following a 1-6 roadtrip but those games were against Colorado at Coors Field and contending Milwaukee. The Padres have won four of their last six games at home and they are 19-8 in their last 27 games after batting .200 or worse over a five game span. Eric Lauer takes the hill for San Diego and while his numbers have been up and down, the down has been on the road. Lauer has allowed three runs or less in 11 straight starts at home and the Padres are 5-0 in his last five starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Merrill Kelly has tossed three straight quality starts but two of those were at home and he brings in a 5.89 ERA and 1.56 WHIP on the road. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in his last seven road starts. 10* (912) San Diego Padres |
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09-19-19 | Titans -1 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-20 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. We would normally take a look at the home underdog in a primetime game but not in this case as the Jaguars are a mess right now. They are down to their second string quarterback and last week, Jalen Ramsey got into a sideline fight with Doug Marrone and has now demanded a trade. From a matchup standpoint, the defenses should decide this game. Jacksonville is allowing 119.5 rushing ypg through two weeks, and with the Titans being a team that relies heavily on their running game, that is good news for Tennessee. On the other side, the Titans ranked eighth in the league in defense last year, and through two games in 2019, they have allowed just 32 points, and they have played some potent offenses. Offensively, look for Marcus Mariota to target tight end Delanie Walker and wide receiver Adam Humphries more than last week, especially on third down. Here, we play on road teams against division opponents, first month of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won four or more of their last five games. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Tennessee Titans |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. We won with Houston last week as it covered against Washington St. but the Cougars are in a brutal spot here. They go from playing against a prolific passing team to facing a spread option team so getting ready for this game is a challenge, especially on a short week. Tulane is 2-1 with the lone loss coming against Auburn which was a one possession game late in the third quarter. Since making a quarterback change last season, the Green Wave are 7-2 with Justin McMillan under center. they are coming off a big win over Missouri St. and going back, Tulane is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following a win by 28 or more points. This is the third time in four games that Houston has played on a non-Saturday and that really messes up the preparation schedule. Here, we play on teams after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game, with eight defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Tulane Green Wave |
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09-19-19 | Cardinals v. Cubs -103 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Game of the Week. A huge four-game series opens tonight in Chicago with the Cubs trying to make up three games on the Cardinals in the National League Central. Chicago has won five straight games before a pair of losses against the Reds and they remain in a tie with Milwaukee for the second wild Card spot in the National League so there is a lot going on. The Cubs are 51-26 at home which is second best in the National League and they have won their last seven series openers. St. Louis is coming off a 3-3 homestand and is just 4-5 over its last nine games. The Cardinals are nothing special on the road at two games under .500 and they are 7-20 in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record. Jack Flaherty is the reason this line is so low and to his credit, he has been lights out. However, the offense has backed him with two runs or less in six of his last eight starts and Wrigley Field is not his friend with a 6.35 ERA over four starts. Kyle Hendricks has been dealing it as well with the exception of a couple bad road outings. He has a 1.75 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 13 home starts with 12 of those being quality outings. Chicago has won 10 straight and 14 of his last 17 starts against the Cardinals. 10* (956) Chicago Cubs |
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09-18-19 | Padres +137 v. Brewers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 137 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee has won the first two games of this four-game series to make it four straight wins. The Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 games to fall into a tie with the Cubs for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. They are also just two games back of St. Louis in the National League Central. That being said at a short price, the public is all over them tonight and puts them in a perfect fade spot. The Padres meanwhile have lost six straight games. The pitching was a disaster early on but three of those games came at Coors Field and now it is the offense which has scored just one run in each of the first two games of this series. Dinelson Lamet gets the ball for San Diego and he has huge upside. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 of 12 starts and has struck out seven or more in half of his starts including a pair of double-digit strike out performances. He has a healthy 3.19 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the road. Adrian Houser is having a solid season but fatigue is coming into play. He has a 6.35 ERA over his last three starts and has a max of 5.1 innings over his last five starts. The Brewers are 3-8 in his last 11 starts. 10* (909) San Diego Padres |
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09-17-19 | Reds +148 v. Cubs | Top | 4-2 | Win | 148 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Cubs won the opener of this series last night and while they are trying to play their way into the playoffs, we are backing the Reds behind their ace at a great price. Chicago has won five straight games as the offense continues to be explosive, averaging 11.8 rpg over the winning streak but it has not faced a pitcher like it will tonight. Cincinnati is 3-4 on this current roadtrip but has won three of its last five and turns to its ace in Sonny Gray. He has posted a 1.29 ERA over his last eight starts and has allowed more than one run in only two of those. The Reds are 14-3 in his last 17 starts against teams with a winning record. The Cubs counter with Yu Darvish who has been pitching well but it is hard not to see his 5.14 ERA at home and be concerned. Here, we play against teams that are hitting .333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 67-36 (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (957) Cincinnati Reds |
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09-16-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +129 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 129 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. St. Louis is coming off a brutal loss on Sunday as it went into the ninth inning with a 4-3 lead but allowed a Ryan Braun grand slam and eventually lost the game 7-6. The Cardinals lead in the National League Central has gone down to two games over the Cubs and three games over the Brewers. The Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a loss. Washington won its series finale over Atlanta to maintain its game and a half lead over Chicago for the top Wild Card spot in the National League. The Nationals have lost four straight series openers and they are 1-4 in their last five games following a win. Stephen Strasburg comes in as the favorite mostly on name alone although he is having a great season. He has not been as efficient on the road as he has been at home. St. Louis counters with Dakota Hudson who can make a strong case of being the favorite here. He has posted a 1.43 ERA over his last six starts, allowing no runs in four of those. The Cardinals are 11-3 in his last 14 starts following a quality outing in his last game. 10* 904) St. Louis Cardinals |
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09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams -1 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is the rematch of that controversial NFC Championship Game and while the word revenge will be tossed around leading up to the game, we are not a fan of road revenge in this spot. The Rams are coming off a win in Carolina last Sunday by three points and while the offense did not look very good, we can expect a bounce back this week against a Saints defense that allowed 414 total yards against the Texans. New Orleans defeated Houston on Monday Night Football but we still cashed on the Texans and the Saints are now on a 1-10 ATS run in the first two weeks of the season the last six years. The Saints now hit the road for the first time where they were excellent last season but going back, they have failed to cover four straight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home favorites that outscored opponents by 4.0 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (284) Los Angeles Rams |
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09-15-19 | Marlins v. Giants -154 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Miami snapped a five-game winning streak with a win last night but it still managed just four runs and it is averaging 2.8 rpg over its last six games. The Marlins are 12-26 in their last 38 road games against teams with a losing record. San Francisco has lost three of its last four games on this current homestand but it is in a great pitching matchup today. Elieser Hernandez has been all over the place this season as he is coming off his third straight non-quality start and he has just two quality outings over his last 12 starts. He has a 6.55 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 33 innings on the road. Johnny Cueto had a solid effort in his first start back from Tommy John surgery as he tossed five scoreless innings while allowing just one hit and one walk. He gets the benefit of another home start in his second outing and going back, the Giants are 13-4 in his last 17 home starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on home favorites that are hitting .215 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an opponent that is hitting .230 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 49-14 (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) San Francisco Giants |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | Top | 28-26 | Loss | -111 | 70 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Game of the Week. Pittsburgh got hammered in New England last week by 30 points as the offense managed a mere field goal on 15 first downs. Playing that New England defense can do that to a team and we expect the Steelers to come out with a lot more fire than they showed last week. Returning home certainly helps where the Steelers are 23-9 over the last four seasons. Seattle is coming off a one-point win over Cincinnati at home and it did not look good in doing so. The Seahawks were outgained by 196 total yards and Ben Roethlisberger is licking his chops after Andy Dalton threw for a career high 418 yards. The public is down on the Steelers and is rushing to grab the points with Seattle as fast as they can. However, we have actually seen the line move to -4 in some places even though 75 percent of the bets are backing Seattle. Here, we play on teams that lost their opening game on the road and are back home in Week Two. This situation is 41-25-1 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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09-14-19 | Air Force +5 v. Colorado | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. Colorado is off to a 2-0 start following a dramatic win in overtime over Nebraska where it tied the game in regulation with less than a minute left after rallying from a 17-0 deficit. The Buffaloes may be a little inflated however as they were outgained in both games. The defense remains suspect and Colorado will be challenged facing the Air Force option. The Falcons rolled over Colgate in their opener and had a bye last week. Air Force brings back 14 starters from a disappointing 5-7 team from last season and the Falcons are expected to be a sleeper in the MWC. Here, we play on road underdogs that averaged 400 or more total ypg last season, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 49-24 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (125) Air Force Falcons |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +9.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. This line opened at under the key number of seven and is now well over a touchdown. This is considered a neutral site game but it is being played at NRG Stadium so it is basically a home game for the Cougars. They bounced back from a season opening loss against Oklahoma with a blowout win over Prairie View A&M. Washington St. is coming off a pair of wins over patsies New Mexico St. and Northern Colorado and both of those were at home so now the Cougars are playing their first game on the road. While they have played no one, they have still benefitted from a +6 turnover advantage. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 52-21 ATS since 1992. 10* (108) Houston Cougars |
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09-13-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -124 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Game of the Year. Milwaukee completed the four-game sweep in Miami on Thursday to make it seven straight wins and now sit four games behind the Cardinals in the National League Central. They have won the last two without the services of Christian Yelich and he will be missed down the stretch run. while the Brewers have been hot, they have been taking to the bad teams and going back, they are 4-9 in their last 13 road games against team with a winning record. The Cardinals salvaged a game in Colorado to maintain their lead and after a disappointing 3-3 roadtrip, they head back home where they are 46-26, the second best home record in the National League. With just over two weeks left in the season, St. Louis is in good shape for a playoff berth but there is still room to fall out and a win the series opener is huge. The Cardinals are 35-16 in their last 51 home games against teams with a losing road record. While Adam Wainwright is nearing the end of a great career with St. louis, he is having his best season since 2014. His overall numbers are not impressive, but he has been dealing at home all season as he has posted a 2.43 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 13 starts where he is 7-3. The Cardinals are 10-2 in his last 12 starts and he will be out for revenge after the Brewers got to him here on 8/21 for five runs in five innings, his worst home start of the season. Adrian Houser has been very solid but he has struggled on the road with a 3.98 ERA and 1.37 WHIP and he has just one quality start on the road. The Brewers are 1-4 in his last five road starts. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. It was a disappointing opening week for both Carolina and Tampa Bay as both lost at home in Week One. The Buccaneers were the bigger disappointment however as they lost to San Francisco in a bad way, committing four turnovers in the two-touchdown loss. The Panthers rallied from a 13-0 deficit to within three points on two different occasions but fell short against the Rams. After a sloe start, the offense moved the ball great in the second half under the new Norv Turner offense and we expect that to carry over into Thursday on a short turnaround that favors the home team. Carolina is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games after allowing 30 points or more last game and it falls into a great situation as we play on NFL division home teams on Thursdays coming off a home loss. This situation is 12-4 ATS (75 percent) since 1980. 10* (102) Carolina Panthers |
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09-12-19 | Rays -152 v. Rangers | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -152 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Tampa Bay lost a tough game last night as it rallied from a 7-2 deficit to take the lead only to lose it late. Both the A's and Indians gained on the Rays on Wednesday, winning while Tampa Bay 10-9 to end a six-game winning streak. With 15 games remaining on their schedule, the Rays cling to the top Wild Card spot in the American League by a half game over Oakland and one game over Cleveland. The Rays are 19-7 in their last 26 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Texas has now won five of its last six games but four of those wins came against 47-98 Baltimore and the win last night was its first in its last nine home games against a winning team. The Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (919) Tampa Bay Rays |
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09-11-19 | Nationals -140 v. Twins | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Washington has lost five of its last six games to see its lead in the National League Wild Card shrink to 2.5 games over the Cubs and 3.5 games to falling out completely. Going back, the Nationals are 19-8 in their last 27 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Minnesota has been up and down of late but did win last night to keep its five-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central in place. But, the Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record. Stephen Strasburg is the perfect pitcher to put an end to this skid as he has tossed four straight quality starts, posting a 1.67 ERA over that stretch and three of those have come on the road. Martin Perez had a great start to the season but he has struggled of late with a 6.17 ERA over his last nine starts and the Nationals have won seven of their last nine games against left-handed starters. 10* (977) Washington Nationals |
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09-10-19 | Braves v. Phillies +147 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 147 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. We lost with the Phillies last night and they are now three games out of the final Wild Card spot with just 19 games left and they have to take advantage of games at home where there are just eight remaining. The Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Braves are just three games behind the Dodgers for the best record in the National League so there is motivation there as well but they are overpriced tonight. Max Fried gets the ball for Atlanta and while he has been the most profitable pitcher in the rotation, it is due to 6.89 rpg of support which is unheard of. In his previous start, Fried tossed seven scoreless innings and gave up just one hit in a 4-2 win over the Nationals. But that was at home. He has a 4.39 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 road starts but has a positive return because of that run support. Jason Vargas is coming off a near quality start last time out and while he has been up and down with the Phillies, he has exceptional value on his side tonight. 10* (902) Philadelphia Phillies |
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09-09-19 | Texans +7 v. Saints | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. A lot of talk is about how New Orleans will be extremely motivated following the controversial playoff loss from last season against the Rams. That shows the short memory these people have considering the Saints lost on a last play against the Vikings in the playoffs two years ago and opened last season with a home loss against Tampa Bay. Houston is no less motivated to get the season off to a positive start as it is also coming off a playoff loss following an 11-2 end to the regular season. This line is severely overinflated for the Saints against a team that has one of the best overall rosters in the league. Here, we play against home teams that allowed 7.0 or more passing ypa last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (479) Houston Texans |
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09-09-19 | Braves v. Phillies -127 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -127 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Monday Enforcer. Thanks to the Cubs 8-5 loss to the Brewers on Sunday, coupled with the Philadelphia 10-7 win over the Mets, the Phillies and Brewers are both two games behind the Cubs for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. They head back home where they are 41-31 on the season and this is a big stretch where the next 17 games are against teams all in playoff contention. The Braves remain atop the National League East, eight games ahead of Washington. The Phillies will hand the ball to right-hander Aaron Nola, who is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA this season and 10-3 with a 2.46 ERA in 16 career starts against the Braves. He has been dominant at home with a 2.85 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 17 starts. This is a contrarian play in some respects as Mike Foltynewicz has been pitching good enough for the Braves to win his last nine starts. But he has a pedestrian 4.72 ERA over this stretch. 10* (952) Philadelphia Phillies |
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09-08-19 | Rockies v. Padres -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Diego snapped a four-game slide with a 3-0 victory on Saturday and we feel that momentum continues. The Padres are 18-8 after scoring and allowing three runs or less this season. The Rockies have now dropped 10 of their last 11 games and the road continues to haunt them where they have lost 17 of their last 20 games. Colorado is 4-19 in road games after scoring two runs or less this season. Eric Lauer has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts and he has been great at home with a 3.22 ERA in 12 outings. The Padres are 6-1 in his last seven starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Peter Lambert has struggled mightily with a 7.19 ERA in 16 starts and he has actually been worse on the road than at Coors Field as he possesses a 7.47 ERA in seven road starts. The Rockies are 0-6 in his last six road starts. Here, we play against National League underdogs averaging 5.0 or more rpg with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last five starts going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 72-24 (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (914) San Diego Padres |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 48 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The public are victims of recency bias and are inclined to back the Rams because of their Super Bowl trip. They opened as three-point road favorites and despite nearly 80 percent of bets backing Los Angeles, the line remained frozen. Late this week, the line has actually come down which makes this the perfect case of reverse line movement. Cam Newton is healthy and feels better than ever. Here, we play against the defending Super Bowl loser if on the road in the season opener in non-conference games. This situation is 14-1 ATS (93.3 percent) since 1990. 10* (468) Carolina Panthers |
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09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7 | Top | 59-10 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Miami fire sale continued this past week and the betting markets are making their adjustments. The Ravens opened as 3.5-point road favorites and they are receiving nearly 90 percent of bets, making them the top public play of Week One. This massive backing pushed Baltimore all the way to -7 midweek. As bad as Miami is considered to be, Baltimore is not a touchdown better, especially on the road. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems that allowed 385 or more total ypg last season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (460) Miami Dolphins |
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09-07-19 | Minnesota v. Fresno State +3.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 55 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Minnesota survived a scare last week against South Dakota St. as the Jackrabbits had 23-17 first down and 367-308 yard edges including 174-132 on the ground. Minnesota benefited from a 43-yard interception return for a touchdown to start the second half and had to rally to score the winning touchdown with just over five minutes left. We played against Fresno St. last week and got hit with the loss as the Bulldogs were able to backdoor the cover by scoring the final ten points of the game. Now they are back home where they went 7-0 last season and have won nine straight games. 10* (390) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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09-07-19 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 46-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Toronto has continued to improve over the last month. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson has tossed for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 games this season and he has not been picked off in his last four starts. The Argonauts have outgained four of their last seven opponents and going back, the Argonauts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Ottawa has just one more win than Toronto and has been playing much worse as the RedBlacks have been outgained in their last nine games. The issues is having the worst offense and the seventh worst defense in the league. Ottawa is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games against teams allowing 300 or more passing ypg while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games against teams allowing 430 or more ypg. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (683) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-07-19 | Cincinnati +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 0-42 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 60 m | Show |
09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +19.5 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We played on Wake Forest last week as it pulled off a miracle win against Utah St. as it scored on a fourth and two with a minute remaining to win by three points. The Demon Deacons now hit the road where they won their final three games but not at this price. They have not been a road favorite this big since 1997 and it is not because Wake Forest is suddenly a powerhouse. It is implied Rice is going to be bad again as it has gone 3-22 over the last two seasons but this is an improving team. The Owls played very well in a seven-point loss against Army and while they bring back a lot of experience, they also brought in seven graduate transfers from winning programs. 10* (302) Rice Owls |
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09-06-19 | Royals v. Marlins -128 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Miami won its road series at Pittsburgh to open the week, its first road series win since late July while snapping a 15-game rod losing streak in the process. Now the Marlins return home where they have been better than on the road as is the case with their starting pitcher. The Royals were rising a four-game winning streak going into Thursday but lost to the Tigers after blowing a 3-0 lead after two innings. Kansas City is 22-46 on the road, tied for the worst road record in baseball with the Marlins. Pablo Lopez takes the hill for Miami and he is the epitome of home/road success or lack thereof. He has a 7.71 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight road starts while posting a 2.66 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in eight home starts. Jorge Lopez had a horrible run through May and has not been any better since getting back into the rotation with a 7.36 ERA in three August starts. Here, we play on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This situation is 62-18 (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (930) Miami Marlins |
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09-05-19 | Nationals -107 v. Braves | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Game of the Week. Washington and Atlanta begin a crucial four-game series tonight and while the Braves have a secure seven-game cushion in the National League East, Washington needs to keep winning as well to hold onto its 3.5-game lead in the National League Wild Card race. The Nationals lost yesterday against the Mets to close a series defeat but going back, they are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss. Atlanta has won six straight games although those all came against the White Sox and Blue Jays. Washington hands the ball to Stephen Strasburg who is having another great season and he has been especially dialed in of late with a 0.86 ERA and 0.62 WHIP over his last three starts. The Nationals are 40-13 in his last 53 road starts. Max Fried has been all over the place of late but he has been pulling out the wins thanks to superb run support. The Braves have won his last eight starts even though only three of those have been quality outings thanks to 7.9 rpg from the offense. Overall, his 7.0 rpg over 26 starts is the most in the National League and that is where the luck comes in which will not be in play tonight. The Nationals are 7-0 in their last seven games against left-handed starters. Here, we play on road teams batting .300 or better over their last 20 games, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.00 over his last three starts. This situation is 103-56 (64.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (959) Washington Nationals |
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09-03-19 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet spot. Arizona erupted for 14 runs yesterday to make it seven wins over its last eight games. The Diamondbacks are now just 3.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League and 10 of their next 14 games are against teams not in the playoff picture. San Diego had a two-game winning streak snapped with the Monday loss and the Padres are now three games under .500 on the road. Going back, the Padres are 2-5 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. Merrill Kelly gets the ball for Arizona and while he has been up and down, he has remained consistent at home. He has a 6.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 14 road starts but a 3.82 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 13 home outings. The Padres counter with Ronald Bolanos who is making his Major League debut. Bolanos opened the season in Class-A Advanced and posted a 2.85 ERA through 10 starts before jumping to Double-A where he had a 4.23 ERA. He makes his debut in a very tough environment against one of the hotter teams in the National League. Here, we play against road teams batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen allowed six or more earned runs. This situation is 41-16 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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09-02-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary -3 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. This is the time that Calgary needs to get going and things are going in their favor starting today. The Stampeders have not played since August 17 where they lost 40-34 in overtime at home to the Montreal Alouettes to fall to 5-4 on the season. To put that into perspective, Calgary lost just five games all of last season. Part of the struggles are because of the lack of execution at quarterback but after missing the last seven games with a torn pectoral muscle, Stampeders quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is expected to start against the Eskimos. Edmonton is also coming off a loss in its last game as it fell at home against Winnipeg to snap a two-game winning streak. The Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record while the Stampeders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 105-61 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1996. 9* (694) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-02-19 | Astros v. Brewers +163 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Houston is coming off a win in Toronto on Sunday to win that series behind a no-hitter from Justin Verlander and there was certainly some celebrating going on last night and a feat like that puts Houston in a massive letdown spot on Monday. Milwaukee enters the contest three games behind Chicago for the second Wild Card spot in the National League following back-to-back shutout wins over the Cubs over the weekend. We played on Adrian Houser in his last start against the Cardinals but the bullpen let him down after yet another strong performance. He has been pitching lights out as over his last four starts, he has a 1.54 ERA and has allowed just one run in all of those starts. Overall, he has a 2.83 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in five home starts. Gerrit Cole is Gerrit Cole. The Astros have won his last seven starts and while he has pitched great for the most part, getting an average of 9.3 rpg does not hurt and we do not expect that today. 10* (924) Milwaukee Brewers |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -22.5 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Sunday Star Attraction. This line opened at -26 and has settled in at -23 across most places which is big under the key number 24. Oklahoma is again in the National Championship discussion even after losing No. 1 draft pick Kyler Murray to the NFL. The Sooners new quarterback is Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts, who started the 2016 and 2017 seasons and led Alabama to a 26-2 overall record. He lost the starting job to Tua Tagovailoa in 2018 but still played in 13 games. He adds to a rushing offense as well that should be one of the best in the country. Houston lost its best defender in Ed Oliver from a unit that was already bad in the first place. The Cougars collapsed down the stretch, allowing 37.2 ppg last season. They gave up 45, 59, 52, and 70 points in four of their final five games of the year and in the bowl game against Army, they allowed 507 yards on the ground. The Houston offense is legit and in years past, that would give Oklahoma fits but we expect things to be better this season as new defensive coordinator Alex Grinch is unleashing what promises to be an attacking defense. The Sooners bring back eight starters on defense which makes the learning curve of a new scheme a lot easier to translate. Houston has a new head coach in Dana Holgorsen who comes over from West Virginia and he never could solve Oklahoma, going 0-7 straight up while failing to cover five straight. The Cougars are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games while the Sooners are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games. 10* (216) Oklahoma Sooners |
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08-31-19 | Virginia -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 74 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Game of the Month. The Cavaliers are starting to take big steps under head coach Bronco Mendenhall as they finished 8-5 to make it to their second straight bowl game, culminating with a blowout shutout over South Carolina 28-0. Virginia returns 14 starters, which is tied for No. 34, and this includes eight starters on a defense that finished in the top 20 in the nation last season. Also back is quarterback Bryce Perkins who is a duel threat as he finished with 2,680 yards through the air and 923 rushing yards. Last season could have been even better as three of the five losses came by four points or less including two in overtime. One of the other losses came at home against Pittsburgh by 10 points so payback will be in play. The Panthers won the ACC Coastal last season which was a surprise to many especially after getting outgained and outscored on the season. Pittsburgh should take a big step back this season as it returns just 11 starters which is tied for No. 90. The Panthers do bring back quarterback Kenny Pickett but he was far from efficient last season with a 58.1 percent completion rate while tossing only 12 touchdowns and throwing three picks. The offense especially bogged down late in the season, averaging a mere 8.7 ppg over their final three games. The experience factor and revenge factor are big time in play which is why we are not shying away from the road chalk. 10* (203) Virginia Cavaliers |
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08-31-19 | Reds v. Cardinals -130 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS Game One for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. St. Louis is coming off a series win over Milwaukee but did drop the finale 4-1 and saw its lead drop to two games over the Cubs in the National League Central. The Cardinals are 40-24 at home and have won four straight following a four-game sweep of the Rockies to end their last homestand. Going back, the Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. Cincinnati is coming off a series win over Miami but it is still well under .500 on the highway. The Reds are 1-4 in their last five road games against teams with a winning record. Dakota Hudson has been the hottest pitcher in baseball as he has not allowed a single run over his last three starts covering 18.2 innings. This includes allowing no hits against the Brewers in 6.2 innings before being pulled. Hudson has a 2.97 ERA and 1.38 WHIP at home where the Cardinals have gone 10-3 in his 13 home starts. Trevor Bauer has upside but he has been a disaster since coming over from Cleveland as he has a 7.62 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in five starts. This includes an 11.30 ERA in his last three outings and a 14.25 ERA in three road starts, all Cincinnati losses. 10* (902) St. Louis Cardinals Game One |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky is coming off one of its best seasons in recent memory but the Wildcats are expected to take a step back this season. They were 10-3 last season that included a win over then No. 12 Penn St. in the Citrus Bowl but they lost a lot of key pieces to that team as no longer around are all-time leading rusher Benny Snell and top 5 NFL Draft pick defensive end Josh Allen. They lost a lot more as well as they come in as the No. 103 ranked team in experience. That makes this number pretty large given the fact Kentucky is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. Toledo had an average season last year where it went 7-6 but the offense is expected to be better. The Rockets averaged 40.4 ppg and went over 50 points six times and while none of those came against powerful teams, they have an explosive offense that can take advantage of the short-handed Kentucky defense. The Wildcats offense was bad so they were fortunate the defense was so strong and that offense only returns for starters, the same as the defense. That helps out of porous Toledo defense that should be better or at the very least equivalent. Here, we play on road teams that allowed 400 or more total ypg last season, with five defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1992. The fact this is a 12 PM ET start helps the road team also as it takes away the rowdy SEC crowd. 10* (171) Toledo Rockets |
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08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Head coach Dave Clawson has done a great job at Wake Forest as he has taken the Demon Deacons to three straight bowl games, all resulting in wins which is the first time that has happened in program history. They were forced to use three different quarterbacks last season and the quarterback that led them to two underdog wins in the final two games, Jamie Newman, won the job this season. Overall, this is a pretty experienced teams, ranked No. 47 in the country, and this is a big factor early on as mentioned in prior analysis. Utah St. is coming off a very successful 11-2 campaign that included a 10-game winning streak as well as a 9-1 ATS run. That could be playing into this number and while it is as low as it is. Another reason could be the return of quarterback Jordan Love who was responsible for 39 touchdowns last season. The only problem with that is that he gets just other starter back in his offense so it could be rough early on. Overall, the Aggies are ranked No. 123 in experience and looking at the ever important offensive line, Utah St. is ranked dead last in the nation with only 15 starts along the line compared to 82 for Wake Forest which is No. 31. Wake Forest lost 120 player-game because of injury so Clawson led a total upheaval in training techniques that forced them to rebuild the Fall Camp process from the ground up which resulted in a significant reduction in injuries. 10* (148) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We have a quick turnaround revenge game in play on Thursday night and this is not simply a revenge play but how it happened. In the regular season finale , BYU and Utah met in the 93rd edition of the Holy War and the Cougars led 27-7 but allowed 28 unanswered points to lose 35-27 so they will be out for some serious payback. Additionally, the Utes have won eight straight meetings in this series but only one of those have come by more than one possession. BYU returns 17 starters including quarterback Zach Wilson who was questionable for this game but has been upgraded to probable. The Cougars have an experience offensive line as they are ranked No. 45 in the country in offensive linemen starts. On the other side, Utah is ranked No. 98 in this category, as they bring back only 35 starts across the offensive line. This is a huge factor early in the season which gives BYU a solid edge as both defenses on nearly the same with just over 51 percent of their tackles returning. The Cougars know that to beat Utah they have to play at a high level without costly lapses which they have experienced during this series. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a completion percentage of 62 percent or better last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) BYU Cougars |
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08-29-19 | Padres -123 v. Giants | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. San Diego is coming off a 2-4 homestand, losing both series but those came against the Dodgers and Red Sox, two of the better teams in baseball. The Padres hit the road where they are just 30-34 but have shown a slight profit compared to being -14.4 units at home. San Diego is 21-10 against the money line in its last 31 games after having lost five or six of its last seven games this season. San Francisco dropped both games of its mini two-game series against Arizona and after a strong run to possibly make a playoff push, the Giants are likely done, having lost six of their last eight games to fall six games out of the second Wild Card spot in the National League. San Francisco is 32-43 against the money line in its last 75 home games after two straight losses by two runs or less. Chris Paddock was cruising along with a 2.78 ERA through his first 18 starts but then faced the Dodgers in Los Angeles and he got lit up for six runs in four innings. Three starts after that, he allowed six runs in just 2.1 innings but that came against Boston. He has allowed four runs or more only five times and those came against the Dodgers, Red Sox, Yankees and Phillies (twice). Dereck counters for the Giants and he has struggled. He posted a 5.05 ERA through his first eight starts, was sent to the bullpen for nine relief appearances and has posted a 5.21 ERA in four starts since re-entering the rotation. 10* (909) San Diego Padres |
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08-28-19 | Reds v. Marlins +143 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB Game of the Week. Cincinnati has won the first two games of this series behind its two aces Sonny Gray and Luis Castillo but it is in a more difficult spot tonight. The Reds are just 25-38 on the road despite the two recent wins ang going back, they 3-15 in their last 18 road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. Miami was coming off a series win at home over Philadelphia before these last two games and while the overall home success has been kept in check, the Marlins have had some tough luck overall by going 13-19 in one run games this season. Sandy Alcantara has also had some tough luck as he has posted a decent 4.15 ERA and 1.38 WHIP but has just four wins to show for it. He is on a huge three-game stretch with three quality starts, going at least seven innings in all three and more impressive is one game came in Colorado and the other two games came against Atlanta. Anthony DeSclafani is coming off a quality outing but he has posted just two in his last eight starts. He has a 4.96 ERA on the road and the Reds are 2-8 in his last 10 road starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against National League road teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30 percent. This situation is 56-29 (65.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (956) Miami Marlins |
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08-27-19 | Cubs v. Mets -102 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Both Chicago and New York were swept over the weekend and their current three-game losing streaks hurt their Wild Card positions but both are still in good shape. The sweeps negated the progress both teams made at home earlier in the week, when the Mets swept a three-game series from the Indians and the Cubs took three straight from the Giants. Chicago hits the road where it is 25-39 on the season and they are 4-10 in their last 14 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Mets meanwhile are 37-24 at home and sit just two games behind the Cubs for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. The Mets are 11-2 in their last 13 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. New York has won all four starts by Marcus Stroman since he came over from Toronto. He has yet to make a quality start but the numbers have been decent as long as he can keep the walks down. Yu Darvish is coming off a horrible start against the Giants and on the season, Chicago is just 3-10 in his 13 road starts including losses in five straight. 10* (906) New York Mets |
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08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Cardinals have won four straight games and are 13-3 over their last 16 games to increase their lead to 2.5 games over the Cubs and 4.5 games over the Brewers in the National League Central. The majority of the success has come at home though as they are 10-1 over their last 11 home games where they are 40-24 on the season compared to three games under .500 on the road. The Cardinals are 2-7 in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee won its series with Arizona although it did drop the series finale on Sunday. Still, the Brewers are 11 games over .500 at home and they are 7-2 in their last nine home games against teams with a winning record. Adam Wainwright is coming off a rare poor home start which happened to come against the Brewers and now he hits the road where he has a 6.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 12 starts. The Cardinals are 0-7 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. Gio Gonzalez has been okay since coming back into the rotation and things could be better if he was stretched out more. Overall, he has a 3.64 ERA and the Brewers are 7-2 in his last nine starts against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 hitting .325 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who walked four or more hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 37-11 (77.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (958) Milwaukee Brewers |
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08-25-19 | Red Sox v. Padres -112 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the San Diego Padres for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Boston has won the first two games of this series and has now won four straight games on the highway going back to its previous roadtrip. The Red Sox are now six games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League yet have a tough task on Sunday facing a left-handed starter which they have struggled against this season. San Diego has lost four straight games and is 10 games under .500 on the season so there is not a while lot to like but the Padres have a great opportunity today. Boston used seven pitchers yesterday and will have to go back to the bullpen today with Brian Johnson taking the hill. He has not made it through four innings in his four starts since re-entering the rotation and overall he has a 6.58 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Joey Lucchesi counters for San Diego and he is having a solid season and while his 4.20 ERA may nor show that, his 1.18 WHIP does. He has a 2.91 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 home starts and the Padres are 7-3 in his last 10 starts with six days of rest. 10* (928) San Diego Padres |
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08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii +11 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. The Warriors were a great turnaround team last season as they went 8-6 after going 3-9 the previous season. Hawaii returns 18 starters, nine on each side of the ball including five on the offensive line and three on the defensive line. Last year, with the move back to the true run-and-shoot, the air show went up by almost 1,500 yards as it finished ninth in the nation averaging over 300 ypg. Cole McDonald most notably returns for the Warriors, as the redshirt junior quarterback threw for over 3,800 yards with 36 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions last season. Additionally, the Warriors return a majority of their offensive production last season, as guys like Cedric Byrd and JoJo Ward are going to challenge the Arizona defense immensely. This is good news come Saturday as the Arizona scoring defense finished 10th in the Pac-12, allowing 32.6 ppg. Arizona brings back just six starters on defense. Offensively, the Wildcats hope that quarterback Khalil Tate can remain healthy as he was not near 100 percent for most of last season. Hawaii brings back a lot of talent and experience on defense and that has to translate into production for a defense that could not come up with enough third down stops, getting hit for 40 points or more over a rough mid-season run of five games in six. 10* (294) Hawaii Warriors |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. After posting a CFL-best 7-2 home record in 2018, the B.C. Lions have dropped each of their three contests at BC Place this season with the closest result coming by ten points in the season opener against Winnipeg. The Lions are 1-8 overall and the schedule has not been in their favor as six of the first nine games have come on the road but they have played a lot better than that record shows. B.C. has outgained its opponent in four of its last seven games and overall, it has been outgained by just 33.8 ypg. That is not much worse than Hamilton, which has been outgained by 12.2 ypg on the season despite a 7-2 record which shows how its record is skewed as well. The Tiger-Cats were outgained in five straight games before last week when it won in Ottawa 21-7 to make it four wins in five games. With their bye week coming up, this is a big letdown spot for Hamilton. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after five or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) B.C. Lions |
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08-24-19 | Braves v. Mets -105 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Mets suffered a tough loss last night as the Braves won in 14 innings to snap a five-game winning streak from New York. The Mets are still 27-11 since the All-Star Break, best in the Majors, and they remain two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. New York is a perfect 8-0 this season at home following a loss by two runs or less. Atlanta has won six straight games to remain six games ahead of Washington in the National League East and it continues to possess the best road record in the National League. That is helping with this price however in a pitching matchup we can exploit based on some skewed numbers. Max Fried is 8-1 with a 4-02 ERA on the road but he has a 1.50 WHIP in his 12 starts on the highway and the Braves have handed him 7.4 rpg in those games. Zack Wheeler has a 4.20 ERA at home but has a 1.16 WHIP in those games which tells a better story. He has struggled against the Braves this season but all three of those starts were on the road. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing two runs or less in four straight games going up against an opponent after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation 62-28 (68.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (960) New York Mets |
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08-22-19 | Rockies v. Cardinals -135 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Game of the Week. We lost with St. Louis last night in a tough luck situation as the game was called after 7.5 innings due to rain. The Cardinals are now in second place in the National League Central, a half-game back of the Cubs. They currently hold the second Wild Card slot, 1.5 games up on the Mets and Phillies. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four home games against teams with a losing record. Colorado salvaged its series finale in Arizona with a 7-2 win over the Diamondbacks. It has been a very tough stretch for one of the best offenses in baseball but that usually pertains only to home. Overall, the Rockies are 14-30 in their last 44 games and they are 3-10 in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record. Miles Mikolas takes the hill for St. Louis and he is coming off a pair of poor outings but he returns home where he has been sensational. He has a 2.43 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 12 home starts compared to a 6.54 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 road starts. The Cardinals are 11-3 in his last 14 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. German Marquez counters for Colorado and while he is having a decent season, he hits a tough spot here as the Rockies are 2-5 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals |
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08-22-19 | Panthers +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFLX Thursday Enforcer. After going through a ton of articles to get a good idea of playing time across the Thursday board, Carolina is the team to target tonight. The Panthers exercised caution with quarterback Cam Newton, running back Christian McCaffrey, linebacker Luke Kuechly and tight end Greg Olsen during the first two weeks of the preseason, opting to hold them out against Chicago and Buffalo. They are expected to see extended time tonight with them going likely four series and possibly into the second half. We are not quite sure what to expect from New England and how sharp they will be on the offensive line as this will be the first preseason action across all five players. Julian Edelman (non-football injury) and Demaryius Thomas (PUP) have been moved off their respective injury lists and while they are both healthy enough to practice, this does not necessarily mean they will play in the game, though. The New England defense has looked outstanding so far in training camp, with the starters regularly getting the best of the offense. Tonight, the scheme will be comparatively vanilla, the depth and overall level of talent will be tested against a talented Panthers offense. Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last six preseason games as an underdog going up against an opponent off back-to-back wins while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up loss as a favorite. 10* (255) Carolina Panthers |
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08-21-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -107 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. St. Louis has won three straight games to remain ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central and going back, they are a perfect 6-0 in their last six home games. The Cardinals have now won six straight meetings against the Brewers by an average of 3.8 rpg. Milwaukee continues to struggle with three straight losses and it is 2-6 over its last eight games. Additionally, the Brewers are 1-8 in their last nine road games against teams with a winning record. Adam Wainwright is coming off a rare strong road performance as he went 6.2 innings against the Reds in Cincinnati and allowed three earned runs on seven hits. He was staked to a 6-0 lead after three innings which made it much easier to deal. He has been sensational at home with a 2.19 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 11 starts and the Cardinals have won seven of his last eight overall. Adrian Houser has been decent of late but is getting no support from his offense as the Brewers have averaged 2.0 rpg in his last six starts. The Brewers are 0-5 in his last five starts following a team loss in their previous game. 10* (910) St. Louis Cardinals |
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08-20-19 | Padres v. Reds -153 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Reds got another solid home start from Trevor Bauer but the offense failed to get anything going as they lost their second straight game. Cincinnati is still four games over .500 at home and going back, the Reds are 6-2 in their last eight home games against teams with a losing record. After dropping the opener in Philadelphia, the Padres have won their last three road games thanks to solid pitching but the offense has still been struggling. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Sonny Gray has been everything the Reds could have asked for after getting him following his rough time with the Yankees. He has a 2.98 RA and 1.12 WHIP over 22 starts and he has been exceptional of late with a 1.59 ERA over his last nine starts which includes three straight start of allowing no runs. Cal Quantrill has been very solid in his 12 starts although he does not go deep in games and the Padres bullpen is one of the worst in baseball with a 4.89 ERA on the road. 10* (954) Cincinnati Reds |
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08-19-19 | Royals v. Orioles -130 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for out MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Baltimore enters Monday riding a seven-game losing streak while going on a 1-12 streak but seven games were against the Yankees, three against the Red Sox and three against Astros. Kansas City is coming off a 1-4 homestand and head out on the road where it is 20-41 on the season. John Means will start for the Orioles, and the left-hander has had troubles since making the All-Star team. He's dropped his last three starts and hasn't made it out of the fourth inning in any of them. That being said, the last two outings came against the Yankees and the other in hitter-friendly Chase Field against Arizona. He has been very good at home with a 3.00 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 starts and the six Baltimore wins in those games account for one-third of its total wins at home. Jorge Lopez is making his second start since coming back into the rotation and he was lit up by the lowly Tigers last time out, allowing five runs, four earned, in just 1.1 innings. Overall, he has a 6.51 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 11 starts and 19 relief appearances. Here, we play against American League underdogs with an OBP of .310 worse and batting .190 or worse over their last five games going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. This situation is 61-17 (78.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (910) Baltimore Orioles |
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08-18-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -101 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Francisco has won the first three games of this series and will be out for the series sweep behind its ace but we are going the contrarian route. The Giants have gone from one game behind the Diamondbacks to two up on them in the National League Wild Card chase. The Diamondbacks have lost four straight games overall and are 4 .5 games back of the second Wild Card spot, with four teams ahead of them. While must wins are thrown around a lot, this is one of those for Arizona. The pitching has been a disaster and the bullpen has logged a lot of innings and it is up to Merrill Kelly to put in a good workload. He was hit hard in his last start but that was at Coord Field against Colorado. He has a 3.84 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 11 home starts. Madison Bumgarner is coming off a pair of gems but both of those were at home where he has a 2.95 ERA. The road has been a different story as he has a 4.64 ERA in 11 starts. Here, we play on National League home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season, with a bullpen that has tossed nine or more innings over the last two games. This situation is 69-32 (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-17-19 | Cowboys -2 v. Rams | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFLX Game of the Week. The Rams were dominated by the Raiders in their preseason opener as they were outgained 407-190 while committing a massive 19 penalties. They should be better this week with another week of prep but there will be plenty of unfamiliar faces and a lot of the guys that will be on the field likely will not be on the roster come Week One. Los Angeles head coach Sean McVay confirmed that RB Todd Gurley, QB Jared Goff and other starters will stay home while the team travels to Hawaii. After playing most of their available starters for one series in their preseason contest against the 49ers in Week One, fans should see increased snaps for the Cowboys starters in this matchup. Dallas lost to San Francisco in its preseason opener but it was nearly as lopsided as the Rams/Raiders game. It was outgained by just 45 total yards and the Cowboys were very disciplined by committing just five penalties. Even though the full Rams roster will not be here, Dallas will be playing with a chip on its shoulder following getting ousted by Los Angeles in the playoffs last season. 10* (421) Dallas Cowboys |
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08-17-19 | Padres v. Phillies -107 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. After their dramatic walk-off grand slam on Thursday, the Phillies were able to carry that into Friday with an 8-4 win over the Padres in the series opener. They have now won four straight games to take over the second Wild Card spot from the Cubs in the National League. The Phillies are 13-6 in their last 19 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. San Diego has lost four of its last five games to fall to nine games under .500 on the season yet are priced tonight like a much better team. Yet, the Padres have struggled in this spot as they are 3-12 in their last 15 games against National League teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. Part of the reason for the number is the pitching matchup as Zach Eflin has been brutal of late. He returns to the rotation for the first time since July 27, when he gave up six earned runs in 2.2 innings as part of a 15-7 loss to the Braves. He has appeared in four games out of the bullpen since then, allowing one run in 5.2 innings, striking out seven. San Diego counters with Dinelson Lamet who has been solid of late but has faced no one. The Padres are 0-11 in his last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on National League favorites with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and whose WHIP is 2.00 or higher over his last three starts. This situation is 106-40 (72.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (906) Philadelphia Phillies |
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08-17-19 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Though the RedBlacks fell short of picking up their second-straight win in Edmonton last weekend, the team put on one of its best defensive efforts of the season, while quarterback Dominique Davis threw for 289 yards and a touchdown. While they are 3-5, they could be 5-3 and right in the mix for the East Division lead. The Ottawa pass protection has improved tremendously. In the first six games, they allowed 14 sacks; in the past two games, it has been just one. The RedBlacks have lost three straight games at home and they have not lost four in a row at home since 2014, their expansion season. Hamilton is being deemed a Grey Cup contender but the record is skewed when digging deeper. The Tiger-Cats are 6-2 with four of those wins coming by one possession but they have been outgained in five straight games. When mentioning Ottawa last week, we said that they rank at or near the bottom in both offense and defense but a lot of that was due to early poor play and the RedBlacks have improved immensely and come into Saturday in the rare role of home underdog. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after one or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 97-54 ATS (64.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-16-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -134 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -134 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Arizona got shutout in the opener of this series last night to make it two straight losses and has fallen back to .500 on the season. It has not been particularly good at home at 27-29 but that is keeping this number down and going back, the Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last seven games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco has now won four of its last five games to also sit at .500 on the season and it has been a great run over the last month. The Giants are 2-7 in their last nine games following a win. Mike Leake had a positive first start with Arizona but was shelled last time out although that was against the Dodgers on the road. He has been solid in these spots as his teams are 11-1 as favorites of -110 or higher over the last two seasons. Jeff Samardzija has been on a great run but he does not like it here and in two starts this season, he has a 6.35 ERA at Chase Field. 10* (964) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-16-19 | Edmonton v. Toronto +8 | Top | 41-26 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Toronto picked up its first win of the season two weeks ago in what was biggest upset of the season as it handed Winnipeg its first loss of the season. Now at 1-6, the Argonauts look to carry that momentum forward and they have actually been playing much better for a longer period as they have outgained their opponent in three of their last four games. The only bad game came at Edmonton in a 26-0 loss so revenge is in play. Toronto is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a bye week. Edmonton is undefeated this season while playing in the friendly confines of Commonwealth Stadium, however, they have fared much worse on the road as they are 1-3 on the year and have lost their last two contests on the road. The Eskimos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after playing a game at home, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-16-19 | Dolphins v. Bucs -3 | Top | 14-16 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Friday Enforcer. Like the Dolphins, the Buccaneers made a coaching change in the offseason when they hired former Arizona Cardinals head coach Bruce Arians. He put together a staff that features several former Dolphins coaches, including defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, special teams coordinator Keith Armstrong, quarterbacks coach Clyde Christensen and defensive line coach Kacy Rodgers which could be a slight edge against familiar personnel. The Buccaneers lost against Pittsburgh last week despite outgaining the Steelers by 140 totals and with this being the home opener, Arians will be out to win for the home fans to give them positive hope. The Dolphins defeated Atlanta in its opener and now hits the road for the first time this season. Head coach Brian Flores openly criticized Josh Rosen this week, then made him the first-team quarterback for his first practice on Wednesday. He admits his processing speed is not where it needs to be. 10* (416) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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08-15-19 | Cardinals v. Reds -148 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Game of the Week. St. Louis has moved into a tie for first place with the Cubs in the National League Central following its fifth straight win. The Cardinals swept the Pirates at home and then went on the road and posted back-to-back shutouts over the Royals which makes this a great time to play against. St. Louis is 0-12 this season after a five-game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better. Cincinnati has dropped four in a row following a 17-7 loss last night in Washington and it heads home with a 33-28 record and a very winnable stretch coming up. The Reds are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. Michael Wacha looks to bounce back from an atrocious performance in his latest outing as he was throttled for six runs on seven hits, including two homers, in 3.2 innings of an 8-0 setback at the Dodgers. It was his first start in over a month after getting back into the rotation and is has been a struggle all season with a 5.54 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 15 starts. The Cardinals have dropped five of his last seven road starts. Sonny Gray has been everything the Reds could have asked for after getting him following his rough time with the Yankees. He has a 3.10 RA and 1.13 WHIP over 23 starts and he has been exceptional of late with a 1.74 ERA over his last eight starts. The Reds are 7-0 in his last seven home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (906) Cincinnati Reds |
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08-14-19 | Mets v. Braves -135 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The red hot Mets have cooled off with a pair of losses and they are now two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They had great success at home and while the road was good as well, three victims were the White Sox, Marlins and Pirates, all of which are at least 12 games under .500. The Mets are 8-20 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Atlanta remains six games in front of Washington in the National League East following its second straight win to improve to 33-25 at home. The Braves have won five of their last six games against teams with a winning record. Dallas Keuchel is coming off a rough start as he allowed eight runs on 10 hits in justv3.2 innings against the Marlins. That was on the road however where he has a 6.40 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in six starts. He has been a different pitcher at home, where in four hone outings, he has a 2.96 ERA and 0.84 WHIP and all of those have ben quality performances. The Mets are 1-5 in their last six road games against left-handed starters. Steven Matz is similar where he has been much better at home than on the road. He has a 2.14 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 11 home games while posting a 6.79 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in nine road games. 10* (960) Atlanta Braves |
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08-13-19 | Mariners v. Tigers -155 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Seattle has lost eight of its last nine games following a three-game home sweep at the hands of the Rays and it hits the road where it is just 21-35 and the slumps have really carried over. The Mariners are 15-46 after having lost four or five of their last six games this season. Detroit is the worst team in baseball at 35-80 yet comes in as a favorite tonight which has many shaking their head but it is for good reason based on the matchup. The Tigers 16 home wins are the fewest in baseball but we are backing them here behind Matthew Boyd. He is coming off one of his worst start on the season but prior to that, he posted a 2.50 ERA over his previous three starts and has struck out at least eight hitters in seven straight starts with an average of 9.9 per game. That makes this matchup a big advantage as the Mariners have struck out 1,179 times this season, the most in baseball. Detroit is 13-4 in his last 17 starts against American League teams with an on base percentage .330 or worse. The Mariners counter with Yusei Kikuchi has struggled this season, especially on the road where he has a 5.55 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 12 starts. The Mariners have dropped his last six road starts. Here, we play against underdogs after two straight losses by two runs or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six runs or more. This situation is 59-18 (76.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (918) Detroit Tigers |
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08-12-19 | Red Sox v. Indians +107 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 107 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Cleveland busted loose for four runs in the 10th inning yesterday to win the series finale against Minnesota and reclaim a share of first place in the American League Central. The Indians have been one of the hottest teams in baseball as they are 37-14 over their last 51 games and yet they come into this series opener as underdogs. Because it is the Red Sox name and nothing else. Boston is hovering at just four games over .500 as it is 3-13 over its last 16 games and has fallen 7.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. The Red Sox are 0-8 in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Zach Plesac takes the hill for Cleveland and he has been solid with a 3.12 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 13 starts, 10 of which the Indians have won. He has allowed two runs or less in five of his last six starts including three games allowing no runs. Cleveland has won his last six outings. Eduardo Rodriguez has been up and down with a 4.17 ERA and 1.34 WHIP including a 4.46 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 12 road starts. Here, we play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities, starting a pitcher who walked five or more hitters last outing. This situation is 35-13 (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (962) Cleveland Indians |
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08-11-19 | Rockies +108 v. Padres | Top | 8-3 | Win | 108 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Diego has won three straight games over Colorado to open this homestand where it is just 28-30 on the season. Despite the recent run, the Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win. Colorado looks to avoid a four-game sweep today against San Diego and put an end to a five-game losing streak, all coming on the road. Going back, the Rockies have lost seven straight road games and are 3-15 in their last 18 road games. So why bet them? The pitching matchup is finally in their favor. German Marquez will be facing the Padres for the third time this season and owns a career 4-2 record against them, with a 5.13 ERA over 47.1 innings. He is 2-0 against the Padres this season with a 7.15 ERA, but both starts were at Coors Field, where the Rockies have supported him with 26 runs so that ERA is skewed. He started twice at Petco Park last season and posted a 2.77 ERA. Dinelson Lamet counters for the Padres and while he is coming off his best start of the season, it was on the road against the Mariners which are the second worst hitting team in baseball since the All-Star Break. Colorado meanwhile is fifth with a .270 average and Lamet has struggled in both of his home starts this season with a 6.30 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. 10* (909) Colorado Rockies |
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08-10-19 | Indians v. Twins -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Game of the Month. Minnesota has officially blown a massive lead after 104 days at the top following its fourth straight loss which came on the heels of a four-game winning streak. The Twins pitching has been abysmal as they have allowed 9.0 rpg over this slump but their best starter since this takes the hill tonight. The Twins are 20-7 in their last 27 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Another great performance from Shane Bieber sent Cleveland to its fourth straight win and put the Indians into a tie for first place with the Twins in the American League Central. The Indians are now 10 games over .500 on the rod and are one of the hottest pitching teams in baseball as they have allowed an average of 2.0 rpg over their last eight games. That being said, the Twins are in a great spot to get the lead back with Jake Odorizzi taking the hill. He got lit up by the Yankees three starts back but has allowed just two runs over his last two outings. He has a 3.59 ERA and 1.15 WHIP at home and the Twins are 8-2 in his last 10 home starts while going 15-4 over his last 19 starts total. Adam Plutko has been on a roll as well but it is hard to ignore his 5.31 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in his three road starts and one relief appearance. Minnesota is 12-4 in its last 16 games playing with double-revenge. 10* (974) Minnesota Twins |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa v. Edmonton -8.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Week. Having had a hot start to the season, going 3-1 in their first four games of the season and putting up 125 points on the board in those four games, the Eskimos spark that had them start the season off hot has died down a bit in the past few weeks, having lost two of their past three games, while only scoring 54 points. The 4-3 record is a bit deceiving as Edmonton has outgained all but one opponent and that came by just a -24-yardage differential. It does not take much to understand why the Eskimos are dominating despite the average record as they lead the CFL in both total offense and total defense. Back in February, ex-RedBlacks quarterback of three seasons Trevor Harris inked a two-year deal with the Eskimos as a free agent, joining other teammates in Greg Ellingson and SirVincent Rogers in the move to Edmonton. In six games with the Eskimos this year, Ellingson has caught for 457 yards and two touchdowns, while Harris has thrown 2304 yards and 10 touchdowns. Ottawa snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Montreal but it was the sixth straight game that is has been outgained and unlike Edmonton the stats do not lie. Ottawa is dead last in total offense and No. 7 in total defense. 10* (686) Edmonton Eskimos |
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08-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals -137 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. St. Louis has lost five straight games to fall four games behind the Cubs in the National League Central but all five of those losses came on the road and a day on Thursday was just what it needed. The Cardinals are 31-23 at home and they have won five straight games against teams with a losing record. The Pirates come in losers of five straight games as well and their playoff hopes are completely done. They are 7-21 in their last 28 road games. Chris Archer has been a disaster since coming over from Tampa Bay last season although he is coming off a rare quality outing. Still, he brings in a 7.14 ERA on the road and the Pirates are 0-6 in his last six starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Dakota Hudson is having a fine season as he has allowed three runs or less in all but two of his 22 starts. The Cardinals are 8-0 in his last eight starts against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against road underdogs with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.00 or worse over his last three starts. This situation is 66-24 (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (908) St. Louis Cardinals |
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08-09-19 | Vikings v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 34-25 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Enforcer. If there is one team this preseason that wants to come out with an opening game win, it is the Saints following their horrible end to last season in the playoffs. If for nothing else, a win would be good for the fans, or at least just to shut them up and they cannot let it go. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, now in his second season as Drew Brees backup with the Saints, figures to play plenty in the preseason opener. Having a veteran like that is big as is the fact another veteran, Tayson Hill should also see significant action. On the other side, it is a lot less stable. Sean Mannion will probably get most of the snaps in the second quarter and then rookie Browning should see a majority of the second half after Kyle Sloter gets some action. The Saints have the clear edge in the quarterback depth even if Brees plays just one series or not at all. The one thing that is keeping this line down is the fact that the Vikings are 17-4 in the past five preseasons under Head Coach Mike Zimmer and while that normally would be a slight cause for concern, motivation is clearly on the other side tonight. 10* (276) New Orleans Saints |
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08-08-19 | Indians v. Twins -105 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. After opening its homestand with four straight wins, Minnesota dropped the final two games against the Braves as the pitching blew up by allowing 23 runs. The Twins lead in the American League Central has shrunk to two games over the Indians which makes this a big series for both teams but we give the sided edge to the home team which are 35-23 at home. Additionally, the Twins are 36-16 in their last 52 games following a loss. Cleveland had a successful 6-3 homestand including wins in five of the final six games to continue pushing Minnesota. The Indians are a solid 30-22 on the road but that helps with our number here as the short price is on our side. Kyle Gibson is coming off a pair of quality outings and he has been on a solid run overall with just two bad starts over his last 11 games and those were against the Yankees and Red Sox. While his 4.02 ERA at home is not great, his 1.08 WHIP is. Mike Clevinger has been on a roll over his last six starts but he hits the road where he has not been good and his three road starts where he has had success have come against the Royals twice and the Blue Jays. The Indians are 3-10 in his last 13 starts against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on American League teams averaging 5.1 or more rpg going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or better, after two straight losses by four runs or more. This situation is 40-22 (64.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (966) Minnesota Twins |
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08-08-19 | Colts v. Bills +2.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. This is a line shift rarely seen in the preseason as Buffalo opened as a slight favorite but now the Bills are home underdogs which is the case for five teams tonight. Buffalo is in the best spot of them all based on game planning and what we are seeing at quarterback depth. Bills head coach Sean McDermott told the media his starters will play about a quarter which is considered a heavy load in the first preseason game. Quarterback Josh Allen will get to work a decent amount and he will be replaced by veteran Matt Barkley. After that, it will be Tyree Jackson who is an explosive rookie with great size and athleticism. Colts head coach Frank Reich said he is planning to sit out the majority of his starters and rest any players dealing with nagging injuries. The Colts will also call from a limited playbook on both offense and defense, as they plan to study certain plays and sets on film following the game. Jacoby Brissett will get the nod over Andrew Luck at quarterback and after that it is a sketchy. Philip Walker, an undrafted, third year pro who has spent most of his first two seasons on the Colts practice squad will get time as will . Chad Kell, the former Broncos and Ole Miss quarterback, who is battling to make an NFL roster. 10* (254) Buffalo Bills |
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08-07-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -134 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Game of the Week. After losing Game One of this series, the Diamondbacks won yesterday and will be going for the series win tonight as they look to keep pace in the National League Wild Card race. They have not been a great home team this season, siting at two games under .500, but that is a big reason the line is very short. The Phillies are even worse on the road and going back, they are 22-44 as road underdogs of +150 or less. Additionally, Philadelphia is 3-17 in its 20 games as an underdog between +125 and +175 this season. Zac Gallen is making his Arizona debut after coming over from Miami in a prospect trade and he has been sensational. Between Triple-A and MLB, he has a 2.04 ERA with 155 strikeouts in 127.2 innings and in his last two starts with the Marlins, he tossed 14 innings and allowed only two runs. While this may look like a poor move going to a notorious hitters park, when looking at Run Factor, Arizona has actually been better for pitchers (35 and 53) than Miami (18 and 33). The Phillies counter with Jason Vargas who had a solid debut in a Philadelphia uniform as he posted a quality outing against the White Sox. But that is the White Sox. He now faces a Diamondbacks team that is third best in baseball against lefties with a .283 average. The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last five games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Here, we play against road teams that are hitting .325 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 48-15 (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (910) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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08-06-19 | Angels v. Reds -138 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Reds won the opener of this series as they jumped out to a 6-0 lead after two innings and never looked back. Cincinnati is not in a playoff race sitting five games under .500 but it is 30-26 at home and the Reds are 5-1 in their last six games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles was making a Wild Card push but it has lost five straight games and is now nine games back. The Angels are 20-46 in their last 66 road games against teams with a winning home record. Anthony DeSclafani gets the ball for Cincinnati and while he has been rather average, he has been particularly good at home with a 3.40 ERA in 10 starts which includes a 1.59 ERA over his last five starts at Great American Ball Park. Jose Suarez has made nine starts and none have resulted in a quality outing and he did not make it through five innings in any of his five starts in July, posting an 0-1 mark and 5.75 ERA. 10* (974) Cincinnati Reds |
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08-05-19 | A's v. Cubs -142 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Cubs came through for us on Sunday with a 7-2 victory over Milwaukee to culminate a three-game sweep over the Brewers and they now have a game and a half lead over the Cardinals in the National League Central. Chicago improved to 39-18 at home which is the second best home record in the National League and going back, the Cubs are 22-7 in their last 29 home games against teams with a winning record. The A's head to Chicago with three straight wins and are a half-game behind Tampa Bay for the second Wild Card spot in the American League. Oakland is 14-7 since the All-Star Break and 28-12 going back to June 17. The A's are also a great home team but average on the road with a 27-25 record and going back, Oakland is 17-35 in its last 52 Interleague road games against teams with a winning record. Kyle Hendricks has a 2.25 ERA in his last six starts and has a scoreless streak of 12 innings entering Monday. He allowed seven hits and no runs in seven innings in his last start and has allowed two runs or less in each of those last six outings. The Cubs are 22-6 in his last 28 starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game and his 1.89 ERA at home is third best in baseball. Chris Bassitt gets the ball for Oakland and he is having a good year with a 3.84 ERA but the home/road splits tell the story as he has posted a 3.06 ERA at home but has a 4.53 ERA in 10 road starts. 10* (926) Chicago Cubs |
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08-04-19 | Reds v. Braves -121 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -121 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Atlanta looks to clinch the series with a win on Sunday and the matchup and the line makes it very playable. The Braves won Game Three on Saturday in extra innings after squandering a 3-0 lead and they can carry that momentum forward into today. The Braves are 36-16 in their last 52 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. The Reds fell to 22-32 on the road with the loss yet are still short underdogs today and that is due to the starting pitching name. Cincinnati is 5-11 in its last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. Sonny Gray is the aforementioned pitching name as he is having a solid season but he is just 1-4 on the road and he allowed four runs in 5.1 innings in his lone start against the Braves this season. Julio Teheran posted a 1.48 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in five July starts and looks to continue his home domination where he has a 2.26 ERA in 10 starts. 10* (952) Atlanta Braves |
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08-03-19 | Tigers v. Rangers -106 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Texas held on for a 5-4 win last night in the opening game of this series as the bullpen nearly squandered a 5-1 lead and another gem performance from Lance Lynn. The Rangers remain seven games out in the American League Wild Card race so while those chances are slim of making a big move, Texas indicated it is not giving up and the remainder of this series is big as the Rangers travel to Cleveland and Milwaukee after this. The Rangers are 42-20 in their last 62 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Detroit is not putting a scare into anyone with its 32-73 record yet comes into this game as nearly even money. The Tigers are 2-6 on this current roadtrip and going back, they are 21-60 in their last 81 road games against teams with a winning home record. We have a lot of respect for Matthew Boyd as do the linesmakers for setting this line where it is but there is no reason it should be this short based on his strikeout ability. He has struggled on the road with a 4.50 ERA and prior to a pair of quality outings, he posted a 6.62 ERA in his six previous starts. He is 1-6 with a 6.28 ERA in seven starts against Texas and the Tigers are 0-8 in his last eight starts against teams with a winning record. Adrian Sampson has had a tough run but the schedule has not been in his favor with four straight road games. He is solid at home with a 3.36 ERA and the Tigers have been absolutely anemic against right-handers this season, ranking dead last in wRC+. 10* (926) Texas Rangers |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary +1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Calgary finally has some competition in the West Division after years of dominance as it has to deal with Winnipeg and Edmonton and this is a true test of where it now stands. Calgary is 3-1 in four games without quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. It scored just 17 points last week after putting up a total of 86 points in the previous three games but it did outgain Hamilton by 272 total yards so the game should not have been as close as it was. The Stampeders have outgained three of their last four opponents by an average of 193.3 ypg so the domination is still there despite many believing the ship has sailed. The loss of Mitchell is a big factor in that but Stampeders backup Nick Arbuckle ranks sixth in the CFL with 1,284 yards in five games. He has five touchdowns and just two interceptions and he leads all qualified starters by completing 73.9 percent of his passes. He leads the CFL in game-winning drives in the fourth quarter with two. Edmonton is coming off a shutout win over Toronto last week but that is not saying a whole lot. The defense has been dominant of late, allowing 26 points over the last three games but two of those came against B.C. and Toronto, which are a combined 2-12. Edmonton has dominated this series against the number with five straight covers but this is the first time since 2015 that the Eskimos are favored. And they should not be here. 10* (696) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-02-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees -122 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Yankees will be out for some payback this weekend. They were able to salvage the series finale in Boston last Sunday but still dropped the series three games to one. They have a seven-game lead in the American League East over Boston which seems pretty comfortable but New York does not want to make this division interesting and winning the opener would be a big start. The Yankees are 55-17 in their last 72 home games against teams with a winning record. Since that series finale loss to New York, the Red Sox have yet to win as they were swept at home against Tampa Bay and the pitching has been abysmal during this losing streak as they have allowed an average of 8.0 rpg and while the Yankees poor pitching gets more press, the Boston pitching is even worse as its 4.74 ERA is 20th in baseball and it has reared its ugly head the last four games. James Paxton has been a huge disappointment for the Yankees as his 4.72 ERA is not what was expected. His splits tell a different story which helps here as he has a 5.83 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in eight road starts but he has a 3.75 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 10 home starts. One of those home starts came against Boston and he allowed no runs on two hits in eight innings. Eduardo Rodriguez counters for Boston and he has been on a decent run as he has won five straight starts including one against New York last weekend. But it was his worst of the bunch and in his last six starts against the Yankees, he has a 5.87 ERA. 10* (966) New York Yankees |
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08-02-19 | Ottawa +7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is not the records we expected from these two teams coming into this game we have two teams heading in opposite directions but that is where the value lies. This is the second meeting of the season with Montreal winning the first one on the road in Ottawa as an 8.5-point underdog and even though the record are what they are, the Alouettes should be nothing more than a pickem based on the venue change but we are seeing over a two-touchdown swing which is simply too much. With starting quarterback Dominique Davis set to make his return from injury after missing two games, the RedBlacks will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak in Montreal, but most importantly are on the hunt for a crucial two points in what is always a tight race to the top of the division. It has been a huge regression for Ottawa that has gone from Grey Cup participant to a team that is 2-4 and is getting close to must win territory. The Alouettes have been one of the pleasant surprises in the CFL so far this year as Montreal enters tonight with a 3-2 record, just two wins off of their win total for all of the 2018 season. They are on a three-game winning streak and while each victory came by at least a touchdown, Montreal did not dominate as it outgained the three opponents by just 108 total yards combined. Here, we play against teams after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (693) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-01-19 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -3 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Hamilton is coming off its biggest win of the season as it upset then-undefeated Winnipeg 23-15 but the Blue Bombers were done in by five turnovers. The Tiger-Cats were outgained by 99 yards and it was the fourth time in six games they have been outgained. The only two games where they won the yardage battle came against Toronto and Montreal and this is a great spot for a letdown after that big win. Additionally, they lost quarterback Jeremiah Masoli to a torn ACL and Dane Evans will be making the start and he has seen limited action. Saskatchewan has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season. The Roughriders are ranked No. 2 in total offense and No. 4 in total defense. Saskatchewan lost 23-17 in Hamilton in the regular-season opener on June 13. On the third offensive play, since-traded Roughriders quarterback Zach Collaros absorbed an illegal hit from Simoni Lawrence, who is to complete a two-game suspension on Thursday and emerged with a concussion. Saskatchewan actually outgained the Tiger-Cats by 134 yards in that game but turnovers and special teams were the difference. So that brings in revenge along with a situation based on turnovers where we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. Additionally, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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