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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-17 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
Atlanta had its seven-game winning streak snapped with a loss against Boston on Friday on a last second shot from Isaiah Thomas as the rally from 20 points down was for naught. The Hawks have a good opportunity to bounce back on Sunday afternoon before hitting the road for a two-game set starting tomorrow. This is a big game for Atlanta to not only bounce back from its loss but the Hawks have a 1.5-game lead over the Bucks and a victory here gives them the season series no matter what happens in the final meeting in March. Milwaukee has won two straight games following its Friday home victory over Miami. That came after a big upset in San Antonio prior to that which extended their road winning streak to three games. The favorite is 25-11 in Milwaukee games this season and with a manageable number, Atlanta has plenty of room to work with. The Bucks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. 10* (854) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-15-17 | Massachusetts v. Rhode Island -11.5 | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Last season was a difficult one for Rhode Island as injuries decimated the Rams in their quest for an Atlantic Ten Championship and they ended up just 17-15 overall and missed the postseason after posting 23 wins the season before. The good news is that they have four starters back as well as their best player E.C. Matthews who was lost for the entire 2015-16 season after suffering a torn ACL. After opening the season 10-4, with all four losses against elite opposition, the Rams have lost their last two games. The first loss came at another quality opponent in Dayton but the last defeat was inexcusable. They lost by 12 points at home against LaSalle as a 12.5-point favorite on Thursday so they will out for retribution today. Massachusetts is coming off an opposite game as it upset Dayton at home as a 6.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Minutemen picked up their first conference victory in doing so but now they hit the road where they have struggled this season. In addition to the Rams looking to bounce back off a pair of losses, they will be out for payback after the Minutemen ended their season last year with a loss in the first round of the Atlantic Ten Tournament. The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home while the Minutemen are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 10* (868) Rhode Island Rams |
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01-14-17 | BYU v. San Diego +10 | Top | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
BYU is one of the few teams to give Gonzaga a run in the West Coast Conference and at 4-1, the Cougars are off to a good start. They are doing all of this without Kyle Davis, their best returning interior player, who is gone for the season with a knee injury. They are just 2-3 ATS in the conference and 7-8 ATS overall which shows how inflated their lines have been and that is the case again here as they travel to San Diego. The Toreros had a miserable season last year as they finished 9-21 overall but are just one win from matching that total. They are off to a disappointing 1-4 start in the conference but have been involved in some close losses as three of the defeats have come by a combined 11 points while a 12-point loss at St. Marys is nothing to be ashamed of. One thing San Diego was ashamed of last season came on February 20 when it travelled to Provo and got dismantled by 58 points as it shot 24.6 percent from the floor including going 0-20 from long range. The Toreros should be highly motivated for a rematch and while returning the favor will not happen, staying within this inflated number will. 10* (662) 10* San Diego Toreros |
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01-14-17 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma +3 | Top | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
It has been a miserable run for the Sooners to say the least. After a trip to the Final Four last season and a 5-1 start this season, Oklahoma is on a 1-8 run including a 0-4 start in the Big XII. They have lost to Baylor and Kansas in their two home games and considering those teams are 30-2 overall, it is not overly surprising. The Sooners lost a ton of talent to graduation but still have some key players back to go along with a solid recruiting class but they have not been able to put it together. To their credit, they have played the No. 16 ranked schedule in the country so that has not helped. Conversely, Texas Tech has played the No. 261 ranked schedule in the nation which is the worst in the conference so its 13-3 record should not be surprising. The Red Raiders are 2-2 in the conference with the two wins coming by just one point. Granted, those were against West Virginia and Kansas St. but they both took place at home and their lone road win this season came at Richmond. Oklahoma was picked to finish third in the Big XII and while that is not looking good now, it does show the talent is there to make a run and with a game at West Virginia on deck, this one is a must. 10* (658) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-14-17 | Texans +16 v. Patriots | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 48 m | Show |
It is pretty rare to see teams favored by this many points in the playoffs and even during the Patriots 16-0 season back in 2007, they were not favored by this much. In the past 40 years, only three other teams have been favored by 16 points or more in a playoff game and while this line has snuck below that as of Wednesday, the point has been made. New England is good enough to win any game by more than this amount but this is not the ideal team to do it against. The Patriots have rolled to seven straight wins and finished 14-2 during the regular season but they have played no one since early in the season. Since their Week Nine bye week, they have faced two playoff teams, one resulting in a loss against Seattle and the other resulting in a win over Miami without Ryan Tannehill. Actually both wins over playoff teams since Week Seven back come against backup quarterbacks, the other being Landry Jones of the Steelers. The Texans had little issue with Oakland last week and despite winning against a backup, the defense is good enough to hold its own here. The running game will be big as well to keep the ball away from the Patriots offense. Lamar Miller sat the final two games of the regular season, but he ran the ball a season-high 31 times against the Raiders and looks healthy. Houston lost the first meeting 27-0 and that was without Tom Brady in the lineup but the Texans still won the yardage battle but gave the ball away three times, something they cannot afford to do this week. 10* (303) Houston Texans |
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01-14-17 | Boise State v. Fresno State +2 | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
We played against Fresno St. last Saturday as it traveled to San Jose St. on a nine-game ATS winning run and lost outright as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs backed that up with a loss at Air Force on Wednesday but now they are back home where they have won six straight games. Remember, this Fresno St. team went to the NCAA Tournament a season ago and is expected to do some damage again but it needs to get on a run and win at home. Boise St. was picked below Fresno St. in the preseason MWC predictions as the Broncos lost a ton of veteran talent but they have geld their own and are off to a perfect 4-0 start in the conference. It was culminated with a big home win over San Diego St. last Saturday and after playing four games in 11 days, the week off killed some momentum. While they have been solid against the number this season, the Bulldogs are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (632) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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01-14-17 | UCLA v. Utah +5 | Top | 83-82 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Since suffering their first defeat of the season at Oregon, UCLA has bounced back with four straight wins including a win at Colorado on Thursday by 15 points. That snapped a five-game losing streak against the number as they were unable to cover four double-digit spreads. The offense topped 100 points for the first time in seven games and still remains one of the most potent offenses in the country but now they face a team that can actually play some defense. Utah is on a two-game winning streak after a 22-point win over USC on Thursday as it held its third straight opponent at home to 64 points or less. On the season, the Utes are allowing opponents to shoot just 39.8 percent at home where they are 9-1 on the season. Going back, they have won 10 straight Pac 12 home games and are 25-4 in their last 29. They are 3-1 in the conference with the lone loss coming at Arizona in a game where they went to the free throw line only four times. We won with Utah last Saturday at Arizona St. where they ended up going to the line 20 times and that is something they need to continue to do as they are averaging 22.2 attempts per game. 10* (636) Utah Utes |
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01-14-17 | Pelicans v. Bulls -2 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
It is a short Saturday slate and this was one of three games that did not have an opening line based on some questionable players. The Pelicans have Anthony Davis on the injury report while the Bulls have Jimmy Butler on theirs but both are expected to return on Saturday. New Orleans was still able to defeat the hapless Nets on Thursday without David for its second straight win outright as an underdog. Things will get a little tougher today though. The Pelicans are still just 6-13 on the road while going 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. The Bulls are coming off a miserable game against the Knicks and they have now lost three straight games including defeats against the Thunder and Wizards. Butler has missed the last two games and was non-existent against Oklahoma City as he scored just one point so his presence is essential. Despite a losing record, the Bulls are still ranked in the top 16 in the updated power rankings and New Orleans is just 5-16 against top 16 teams. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (504) Chicago Bulls |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +5 v. Falcons | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -106 | 77 h 49 m | Show |
The favorites dominated last week in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs as they went a perfect 4-0 straight up and ATS with all four games being decided by double-digits which made for some bad football viewing. We should see this come back into line this week and we will start out on Saturday by grabbing the first underdog. Seattle rolled over Detroit last weekend and has now outgained six straight opponents and when comparing these two teams, Seattle is arguably the better team even though the line indicated the Falcons are superior. The Seahawks offense has been all over the place this season but the good news is that they got the running game going last week and now face an even worse defense as the Falcons are ranked No. 27 in total defensive efficiency. On the flip side, Atlanta has the most potent offense in the NFL but squares off against one of the strongest defenses as the Seahawks are ranked No 4 in defensive efficiency and are ranked No. 6 in fewest yards allowed per drive at 28.58. The Seahawks have been fantastic against the run all season long, limiting opponents to a league-low 3.37 ypc. In the first meeting, the Seahawks were without strong safety Kam Chancellor and defensive lineman Frank Clark. The Seahawks are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Falcons are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. 10* (301) Seattle Seahawks |
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01-14-17 | Tulsa v. Temple -6 | Top | 70-68 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
Temple is off to a rough 1-4 start in the AAC after losing four games in the conference all of last season. The schedule has had a lot to do with that as three of the first five games have come on the road and two of those losses came against 4-1 SMU and 3-1 UCF. The most recent road loss came at Connecticut which finally seems to be getting its act together. One home loss was against 4-0 Cincinnati but it has been a tough start. The Owls now host Tulsa which is 2-1 and is coming off an upset win at home over Memphis. The Golden Hurricane have covered all three of their conference games but they are just 1-3 on the road with the only win coming against Oral Roberts. Playing on the road is tough for this team following a 20-12 record last year as they lost nine seniors and this year have 10 freshmen and sophomores on the roster. The Owls final loss of the regular season a year ago was at Tulsa by 19-points so they will be out for some revenge from that. The Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (602) Temple Owls |
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01-14-17 | Boston College v. Syracuse -13 | Top | 53-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
It has been an up and down season for Syracuse which opened 4-0 before going on a 4-6 run over its next 10 games including losses against three former Big East rivals Connecticut, Georgetown and St. Johns. The Orange bounced back with big home wins over Miami and Pittsburgh but then lost by 10 points at Virginia Tech on Tuesday. The one loss that stands out however was a 15-point loss at Boston College to open ACC action and you know they have had this one circled since then. Remember, Boston College went 0-18 in the ACC last season so that loss was as embarrassing as it gets. The Eagles are actually now 2-2 in the conference following a home win over NC State on Wednesday and they have now covered five straight games. That is helping with the number here but that should not even come into play as the Orange will be as motivated as ever to extract revenge on their old-time rivals. With back-to-back road games at North Carolina and Notre Dame, they know this one cannot get away. 10* (598) Syracuse Orange |
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01-14-17 | Richmond v. St. Joe's -1 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
Richmond is off to a perfect 4-0 start in the Atlantic Ten Conference which is a surprise considering the Spiders were not considered a contender heading into the season. Even more surprising is the fact they had an average nonconference record that included losses against Old Dominion, Bucknell and Oral Roberts. St. Joes is a game over .500 overall and 2-2 in the conference following a tough home loss against George Mason on Tuesday. That was the third game without leading scorer Shavar Newkirk who is out for the season with a torn ACL. The good news is that James Demery is back after missing 10 games with a stress fracture in his foot and he has picked up the scoring slack by averaging 19.3 ppg that Newkirk has been out. Going back, the Hawks are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 games following a straight up loss. 10* (532) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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01-13-17 | Cavs -6.5 v. Kings | Top | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This six-game roadtrip started well for Cleveland as it won its first two games against Brooklyn and Phoenix although those are the two worst teams in their respective conferences and the victories were far from convincing. The Cavaliers have since dropped back-to-back games against Utah and Portland and they are now on a 0-6 ATS run. Based on the losses and the comments made after, we will see an all-out effort from Cleveland even though it is just the Kings and with the Warriors on deck for Monday, this is now a big game. Cleveland was in a similar spot last season as it was coming off a loss and then traveled to Sacramento where it defeated the Kings by nine points. The Kings are coming off a win over the Pistons in their last game which snapped a three-game losing streak but winning streaks have been few and far between. Sacramento is just 5-10 following a victory while going 4-11 ATS in those games. While the Cavaliers have struggled to take care of the lesser teams convincingly, this is a situation completely different and we will see a great effort tonight. 10* (717) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-13-17 | Hornets -5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Philadelphia is playing some of its better basketball of the season as it has won two straight games as well as four of its last five. The Sixers 11 wins have already surpassed their win total from last season so they are on the right path to possibly turning this disastrous multi-year run around. Taking a look at those wins however show that they were far from impressive as three of those came against three of the five worst teams in the NBA while the other came against the struggling Knicks. Philadelphia has covered all five of these games following a 1-6 ATS stretch and its 7-14 record at home, as bad as it is, is even deceiving as only one win has come against a team currently with a winning record. Charlotte has lost some momentum after a great start to the season and it is currently riding a three-game losing streak. The last two losses came against San Antonio and Houston though so the Hornets step into a good spot tonight to get back in the win column. Going back, the Hornets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing home record. 10* (701) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-12-17 | Lakers v. Spurs -14.5 | Top | 94-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a big number to be laying down in the NBA but it is for good reason and we fully expect the Spurs to win this one going away. They are coming off a home loss to the Bucks on Tuesday which snapped a three-game winning streak as well as a nine-game home winning streak. Over this stretch, they have gone 5-1 ATS when laying double-digits, winning those games by an average of 19.2 ppg. San Antonio has covered five of seven games this season coming off a loss while going 9-0 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Lakers are also coming off a loss as they fell to Portland at home. They are now 5-17 over their last 22 games after a solid 10-10 start through November. They will certainly be up for this game but they are catching San Antonio at the wrong place at the wrong time. The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home while going 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. 10* (508) San Antonio Spurs |
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01-12-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -4.5 | Top | 67-62 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Miami has its seven-game winning streak snapped with a 15-point loss at Syracuse. That was eight days ago so the Hurricanes have had over a week to stew over that defeat. That was their first true road loss of the season and now they are back home where they are a perfect 8-0 on the season and while this will be the biggest test so far, we expect a big bounceback effort. Notre Dame has opened up 3-0 in the ACC with wins over Pittsburgh, Louisville and Clemson so it has been an impressive run. However, the last two came at home while the win over the Panthers came in overtime. Miami falls into a great college hoops strategy where you play on an unranked home favorite over a ranked road underdog as this has been very lucrative in the past. Going back, the Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog while the Hurricanes are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (518) Miami Hurricanes |
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01-11-17 | NC State -6 v. Boston College | Top | 66-74 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Typically, we are apprehensive in laying points on the road but this situation diffuses that. NC State hits the road where it is 0-3 on the season but if there is ever a spot where the Wolfpack should be fired up to get their first road victory, this is it. They are coming off a 51-point thrashing at North Carolina on Sunday which was the second-worst loss in school history. NC State is going to have to show some pride on the defensive end and stop settling for the shots that it did in Chapel Hill. The Wolfpack are 3-0 ATS this season as favorites and while they have yet to be favored on the road, they definitely should be here. Boston College is coming off a pair of road losses to fall to 1-2 in the ACC but the Eagles have not covered four straight games. It is important to note however that the lines have dictated the correct side in Boston College games as it was a double-digit underdog in all four games of this streak. Going back, the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit dog and 0-3 ATS in their last six games as a single-digit dog. NC State has won all three games this season following a loss and that continues tonight. 10* (761) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-11-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the uncertain status of Celtics guard Avery Bradley who has missed two straight games with a strained Achilles. He was initially supposed to be out much longer so if he can make a return, great but we are not banking on it. We played against the Celtics last night and after entering the fourth quarter with a four-point lead, they were outscored 34-22 in the final period and had their four-game winning streak snapped. Boston heads home where it is 11-6 including wins in five straight games and it is in a big revenge spot here. Even though it took place two months ago, Boston certainly has not forgotten the 25-point loss at Washington in the first meeting, easily its worst defeat this season. Washington won at home against Chicago last night on a last second jumper from John Wall which was the Wizards third straight victory. They are over .500 for the first time this season and are tied for sixth place in the Eastern Conference but are now in a tough spot playing in back-to-back nights. Washington is 0-4 this season in the second game of a back-to-back set when on the road while going 1-6 when playing with no rest overall. Boston is 17-6 ATS this season as a favorite of fewer than nine points while going 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a straight up loss. 10* (704) Boston Celtics |
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01-11-17 | Indiana State -1 v. Drake | Top | 70-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
While Indiana St. was not expected to contend in the Missouri Valley Conference, it was not expected to get off to the start it has. The Sycamores have gotten off to a 0-4 start in the conference but it has been better than the record shows. They opened with a respectable eight-point loss against Wichita St. and then followed that up with a pair of overtime losses on the road. Indiana St. clearly ran out of gas after those games as it was beat up pretty bad over the weekend against Illinois St. Indiana St. is just 6-10 overall but three losses have come in overtime and another three losses came by three points or less so they are better that what the results have been. Drake has turned things around as after a 1-10 start, the Bulldogs have won three of their last five games with all three of those wins coming at home. This includes a 12-point win over Evansville on Sunday to move to 2-2 in the conference which is a surprise as the Bulldogs were again picked to finish last in the MVC following a 2-16 season a year ago. The Sycamores are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (749) Indiana St. Sycamores |
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01-10-17 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -13.5 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
San Diego St. was picked by most places to win the Mountain West Conference but it has been far from coming close to that in the early going as the Aztecs have dropped their first three conference games. While no losses are good, the three defeats have come against quality opponents that will reside in the top half of the conference come season end. This is their third three-game losing streak of the season and they busted out of the last one with a blowout victory and we can expect the same here as a return home after two straight road games will have them amped up. We won with San Jose St. on Saturday as it defeated Fresno St. as a home underdog. The Spartans had dropped five straight games against the number which was part of the reason for playing on them and now they could not be in a worse spot. They have had their struggles with the Aztecs since moving to the MWC as they have lost all five meetings by at least 15 points and in four of those, San Diego St. was coming off a win. In the lone game it was off a loss, it destroyed the Spartans by 26 points. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win while the Aztecs are 13-4-2 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. 10* (562) San Diego Aztecs |
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01-10-17 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -10 | Top | 84-78 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
As expected, Arkansas lost at Kentucky on Saturday and it was not even close as the Razorbacks fell by 26 points to fall to 1-2 in the SEC. They will also be out to avenge their only home loss of the season which came in the conference opener against Florida. Sandwiched in-between there was a solid win at Tennessee and while the Volunteers are nothing special, it was still a quality road win. The tough opening of the conference schedule now eases up and it begins on Tuesday in a game Arkansas should have no problem running away with. Mississippi St. bounced back from a loss against Alabama with a win at LSU on Saturday which was its first true road game of the season. Things will be much more difficult this time around however. The Bulldogs have been an underdog only once this season but it has nothing to do with them being a quality team. It has to do with the fact they have played the No. 313 ranked schedule in the country as their best win is probably over Boise St. The Razorbacks are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games against teams with a winning road record. This line is big for a reason but not nearly big enough. 10* (556) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-10-17 | Celtics v. Raptors -4 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Toronto has lost five of its last seven games following a 14-2 run toward the end of December and the Raptors have gone from having a decent lead in the Atlantic Division to leading Boston by just one game. This could be a very defining game for the Raptors even though it is very early in the season as they need to overcome adversity in order to actually being able to compete in the Eastern Conference with the Cavaliers. Toronto has won eight of 12 games following a loss this season and going back, the Raptors are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Celtics have made their move on Toronto thanks to four straight wins as well as a 10-2 run since mid-December. The streak is nice but the schedule has been on their side as seven of the 12 games have been at home while the overall strength of the opposition has been average at best. Overall on the season, Boston is 20-5 against teams ranked outside the top ten in the power rankings while going just 3-9 against teams ranked within and those three wins are the fewest of any top ten team. Additionally, the Celtics are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games playing on two days of rest. 10* (504) Toronto Raptors |
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01-10-17 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
It has been an up and down season for Syracuse which opened 4-0 before going on a 4-6 run over its next 10 games including losses against three former Big East rivals Connecticut, Georgetown and St. Johns. The other loss came against Boston College on the road by 15 points to open ACC action but the Orange have bounced back with two very impressive wins against Miami and Pittsburgh. Both of those were at home however and they hit the road where they are 0-2, the other loss coming by 17 points at Wisconsin. Virginia Tech jumped into the AP Top 25 Poll thanks to a 12-1 start which included a 140point win over Duke but it was unable to keep the momentum roiling as it has dropped its last two games and both were ugly losses at NC State and Florida St. The Hokies are 9-0 at home this season and have won 14 consecutive home games, the longest home winning streak since the 2009-10 season. Between the two teams, the home team is 23-3 on the season not counting neutral site games. The Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while the Hokies are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. 10* (522) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 126 h 32 m | Show |
Even though Clemson may not have looked as good during the regular season as it did last season, the Tigers still had their lapses then namely against Syracuse and South Carolina late in the season. The game against Ohio St. solidified what they can do when focused and this team is capable of not only covering but winning outright against Alabama. The Tide have typically struggled against mobile quarterbacks and we saw it last season in the championship as Deshawn Watson was responsible for 478 yards of offense himself. Clemson got a late score for the cover but it was typically within the number the whole game with the difference being Alabama returning a kickoff for a touchdown. Overall, Alabama had four touchdowns of 50 yards or more and the offense is not as dynamic this season as last. The Tide cannot stretch the ball down field and while they possess a fantastic running game, Clemson has a very strong rushing defense with numbers similar to last season. Take a Derrick Henry 50-yard touchdown run away and he averaged just 3.1 ypc in his other 35 rushes. The best part for the Tigers is that they are not intimidated. They were not last year and are not again this year. They have more competitive depth on both sides with more experience that simply translates into a better football team. We are getting a similar number to last year with what is an improved team so we will run with it again this season. 10* (151) Clemson Tigers |
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01-09-17 | Pelicans v. Knicks -4 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
The Knicks snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over Milwaukee on Friday but were unable to use that as a springboard as they lost at Indiana the next night by 14 points. They head home looking to snap a three-game losing streak at MSG where they are 11-7 overall and this is a good spot to extend that. New York is just 6-15 against teams ranked within the top 16 in the league but a solid 11-5 against teams outside that spot. Additionally, the Knicks are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while going 9-3 both straight up and against the number as favorites. New Orleans has dropped three straight games following a four-game winning streak and the road has not been kind this season as the Pelicans are just 4-13 on the highway. They are 2-8 in their last 10 road games with the only wins coming against 10-25 Philadelphia and 12-26 Phoenix. The last New Orleans win came at home against New York in its last game in 2016 so the Knicks will be out for some revenge here. The Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (702) New York Knicks |
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01-09-17 | Troy State v. Georgia State -6 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
We are going against converging trends here as the value on the home team is too good to pass up. Troy has been involved in a brutal stretch over the last month as it has played seven straight games away from home. The Trojans have held their own however as they are 3-4 but most impressive, they have won all six games against the number that have been lined, covering two games as a favorite while staying close in the four games as an underdog. While this ATS run is impressive, we have to believe the travel finally catches up to Troy tonight. Georgia St. closed out 2016 with a loss at Georgia Southern but followed that up with a win over South Alabama on Saturday. The Panthers have failed to cover three straight games but the feeling is that it helps here and most important, they are on the opposite side of the travel aspect. They have not had to leave the state of Georgia since December 21 and have been at home every day of 2017. The Panthers also come in with massive confidence and momentum as they scored the final eight points against South Alabama on Saturday to earn the 78-77 win. That victory moved Georgia St. to 42-5 in its last 47 home games. 10* (710) Georgia St. Panthers |
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01-08-17 | UCF v. Connecticut -1.5 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
If we saw the records of these teams before the season, both overall and conference, we would have guessed they would belong to the opposite team. Connecticut and UCF are off to surprising starts and both in different ways. The Knights are 12-3 overall including a 3-0 record in the AAC which is good for a tie for second place and those 12 wins have already matched the 12 wins they had all of last season. It is hard to be completely sold on the Knights however as a look at the schedule shows no real quality wins. At this point, a win over Connecticut would not constitute a quality win either as the Huskies are off to a disappointing start. They are 5-9 including a 0-3 record in the conference and they were picked to win the AAC by many outlets. A season opening loss to Wagner was horrible as was the next game against Northeastern but they have lost to some elite teams since then and overall, they have played the No. 18 ranked schedule in the nation (compared to No. 302 for UCF). Riding a four-game losing streak with Temple, Georgetown and SMU on deck, this is a must win for Connecticut and we are getting a great price to back them at. 10* (538) Connecticut Huskies |
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01-08-17 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +10 | Top | 80-66 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
Two of the top programs in the MVC square off today and while Wichita St. is living up to the credentials, Northern Iowa is not. The Shockers are off to another great start despite having to replace its best backcourt in the history of the program. They are 13-3 overall including a 3-0 record in the conference. Wichita St. has a solid road win but no cover at Indiana St. and the last two wins came at home against bottom feeders Bradly and Drake. The Shockers will be out for revenge after the Panthers snapped their 43-game home winning streak last February while also looking for payback after losing in the MVC Tournament Championship in overtime. However, laying a price this big on the road is not prudent. Northern Iowa is in some unchartered territory with its recent skids. It is in the midst of a five-game losing streak which is the longest such streak since the 2006-07 season. The Panthers have not lost six games in a row since the 2000-01 season which is also the last time they started 0-3 in the conference. This team is better than this current run and one thing to take into consideration is that the Panthers have played the No. 15 ranked schedule in the nation. The Shockers will no doubt get the best out of Northern Iowa this afternoon. 10* (532) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-08-17 | Wizards v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 107-101 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
Milwaukee had its three-game winning streak snapped on Friday against the Knicks in the second game of its home and home set. The Bucks are still a game over .500 on the season while going 11-8 on their home floor. This is the fourth and final meeting between Milwaukee and Washington and the home team has prevailed in the first three games so this is a big game for the Bucks to split the season series in case this tiebreaker comes into place come playoff time. Milwaukee is 10-6 this season following a loss and has covered four of its last five after a defeat. Washington snapped a two-game skid with a win over Minnesota on Friday making the host now 26-9 in Wizards games this season. While have been solid at home, they have been especially bad on the road as they are just 3-12. One of those wins came against Chicago but the other two came against Brooklyn and Orlando, which are a combined 24-49. Washington is just 1-9 on the season as an underdog, mainly because of the road struggles, and going back, the Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (506) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers -10 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 52 h 54 m | Show |
It has been a great season for the Dolphins which finished 10-6 but they took a hit with the loss of quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Despite that, the overall record is skewed as Miami closed the season by getting outgained in its last three games as well as seven of its last nine. The only two games the Dolphins won the yardage battle were against Los Angeles and Arizona by just 13 and 14 yards respectively. Matt Moore is a capable backup for sure but he is in a tough spot making a playoff start in what looks to be not ideal weather. The Steelers rested their main starters in Week 17 against the Browns and that was a good move. While they were outgained, that meant nothing. Prior to that, Pittsburgh had outgained nine straight opponents and the last team to outgain the Steelers happened to be the Dolphins. That was the game Ben Roethlisberger was injured and not nearly 100 percent even though he finished it out. Revenge does come into play but that is not a huge motivator come playoff time considering what is at stake. More importantly, this is a big game for Pittsburgh which surprisingly has not won a home playoff game since 2011 so motivation will be huge here based on that alone. The Steelers went 3-0 ATS this season as favorites of eight or more points while the Dolphins defeated only one playoff team this season, the aforementioned Steelers game. Additionally, the Dolphins are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* (106) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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01-07-17 | Hawks v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 97-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
Despite all of the trade rumors for the Hawks, they have been playing some of their best basketball of the season as they are riding a five-game winning streak following a win at New Orleans on Thursday to make it two straight wins on this current four-game roadtrip. They are now a game over .500 on the highway but are laying points for the eighth time this season, going 2-5 ATS in the first seven games as a road chalk. They tend to step down to the level of competition as the Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Dallas is coming off a bad loss at home against Phoenix on Thursday but it has been playing a lot better since getting healthier. The Mavericks are 5-5 over their last 10 games as they have been able to avoid long losing streaks that plagued them early in the season. While the injuries were a big part of the early problems, the fact they have played the toughest schedule in the NBA has not helped either. The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (712) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | Top | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show |
Seattle has not looked great lately as it is just 3-3 in its last six games but there was not much of a motivation level toward the end of the season. The Seahawks lost their only home game of the season in Week 16 against Arizona but they already had the division locked up and were no longer in contention for a first round bye so it is tough to get up for a game like that. The only time Seattle was outgained however was at Tampa Bay and it has won the yardage battle in its last five games. Overall, Seattle had the third highest yardage differential in the NFL at +38.5 ypg and third amongst playoff teams. The Seahawks finished third in scoring defense and fifth in total defense and will be a big factor here against a Detroit offense that was efficient but not very potent. The Lions definitely has a surprisingly good season with low expectations coming in but it was a season that could have easily gone south. Detroit has been involved in some close games this season as 13 of 16 games have finished within one possession win or lose. That is going to sway some bettors to back the Lions but that is not a wise move here. Detroit was outgained on average by 16 ypg which was ninth worst in the league and second worst amongst playoff teams. The weather does not look great for Saturday night and the Lions have played outdoors exactly twice since Oct. 2, and their coldest kickoff temp was 55 degrees in the Week 15 loss to the Giants. The Seattle playoff experience will play huge dividends here as well. 10* (104) Seattle Seahawks |
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01-07-17 | Texas Tech v. Kansas -11 | Top | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
This may seem like a big number to be laying but we are getting Kansas in a great spot. The Jayhawks are coming off a two-point win over rival Kansas St. on Tuesday thanks to a layup with no time remaining. That gave them their 13th consecutive win following a season-opening overtime loss against Indiana from Hawaii. Kansas has won 47 straight games at Allen Field House and it will be aiming for victory No. 2,200 in school history. They are in a good spot here based on that scare so we will see a bigger sense of urgency after blowing a 10-point lead especially after seeing what their opponent just did. Texas Tech is coming off an upset win at home against No. 7 West Virginia to improve to 12-2 overall and 10-0 at home. The Red Raiders nonconference schedule was non-existent so this was a surprising win and certainly presents a huge letdown. Kansas is 16-0 against Texas Tech in games played in Lawrence, with all 16 contests in Allen Fieldhouse. 10* (844) Kansas Jayhawks |
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01-07-17 | Santa Clara v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is another low profile game where we can take advantage of a good line that typically is not as tight as the higher profile games. Loyola-Marymount is projected to finish in the top half of the West Coast Conference but it is already off to a 0-3 start. The problem has not been that the Lions have been playing bad but the schedule has been the issue as they have faced the top three teams in the conference not named Gonzaga. They lost to the Gaels by 11 which was expected and the other two against BYU and Pepperdine were by six points combined. The bad news is Gonzaga is next on the road so this is a must win for sure. Santa Clara is off to a 2-1 start in the WCC following a pair of wins at home over San Francisco and Portland, two teams projected to finish low in the conference standings. So here we have two opposite conference records but the early schedules have played a role in that and we can take advantage of a soft line. Going back, the Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game while the Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. 10* (820) Loyola-Marymount Lions |
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01-07-17 | Utah -2 v. Arizona State | Top | 88-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
Utah had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 10-point loss at Arizona on Thursday and it is safe to say the Wildcats had the home court edge as the Utes went to the free throw line just four times and were outscored by 12 points from the charity stripe. Utah has won its previous three games following a loss this season and we can expect the Utes to be a lot more aggressive in this one. The Sun Devils are coming off a win on Thursday over Colorado as underdogs as they caught a break when Xavier Johnson, one of the best Buffaloes players, got ejected with 1:23 remaining. That win improved them to 2-1 in the Pac 12 and 9-7 overall. This is an extremely young team with only one senior on the roster so coming back from a big win has been difficult as previous wins over San Diego St. and Stanford were followed up by blowout losses. Arizona St. has won consecutive games only twice this season and it is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win. 10* (799) Utah Utes |
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01-07-17 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +3 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is a low profile game which are typically good one to get some additional value on and this is certainly the case here. San Jose St. has opened up 0-2 in the Mountain West Conference as it goy throttled at Nevada and lost a close one here Wednesday against Colorado St. The Spartans are still a game over .500 overall and part of the value in this line is the fact they have not covered a game since December 3, going 0-5 ATS in the process. It has been an opposite run for Fresno St. which is 2-1 in the conference following a home win over Wyoming on Wednesday. Ever since failing to cover against UTSA in their first game of the season, the Bulldogs have covered every game since then, going a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last nine lined games. Now they come in as the biggest favorite they have been all season and the situation calls for the upset. Fresno St. had a great turnaround last season as it won 25 games and made it to the NCAA Tournament and while still talented, the Bulldogs lost four key players and they have struggled on the road with some mediocre wins and close overtimes decisions. We know where the public money will be going in this one. 10* (802) San Jose St. Spartans |
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01-07-17 | Raiders +4 v. Texans | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 51 h 37 m | Show |
People are unfairly putting a fork in the Raiders because of the loss of quarterback Derek Carr for the season and while that loss is huge, they are far from done especially in this matchup. Connor Cook got thrown into the fire last Sunday after backup Matt McGloin got hurt and Cook did an admiral job as he competed 14 of 20 passes for 150 yards and a touchdown along with a pick. This came with practice with the first team and going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Granted, Houston is in that category as well but a week of practice could do wonders for the rookie. Taking a look at the other side, Houston returns with quarterback Brock Osweiler who finished with the second worst passer rating in the NFL. The Texans offense finished ahead of only the Rams, Browns and Jets in points scored at 17.4 ppg and even that is skewed because of defensive and special team points. Houston generated more than two offensive touchdowns a total of zero times in 16 games and its 1.4 offensive touchdown per game average is dead last in the league. The Oakland defense is nothing special but Houston did not exactly play many top level defenses along the way. In a game that could go either way, we will grab the underdog that looks to be overpriced on top of it. 10* (101) Oakland Raiders |
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01-07-17 | Maryland +7 v. Michigan | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
After blowing out Illinois to open Big Ten play, the Terrapins were upset at home by Nebraska by a bucket on New Year's Day. They have had a week to stew over that game which was just their second loss of the season, the first coming against Pittsburgh at home which was nearly as surprising. Maryland is 4-0 away from home this season including a win at Georgetown in their only true road game thus far. Since January 2015, Maryland is 14-1 in games following a loss and since joining the Big Ten Conference, Maryland has lost only two consecutive games in conference play, falling to Wisconsin at home on Feb. 13, 2016 and at Minnesota on Feb. 18. Michigan bounced back from an overtime loss at Iowa to defeat Penn St. on Wednesday to improve to 1-1 in the conference and 11-4 overall. The Wolverines are 9-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Virginia Tech which is a very solid team but this will be the biggest home test to date. The Wolverines are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (777) Maryland Terrapins |
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01-07-17 | TCU v. West Virginia -13.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
We love playing on elite teams coming off upset losses and that is the case with West Virginia which got upset on a last second three-pointer at Texas Tech. The Mountaineers, which averaged 26.5 turnovers entering the game, only forced 13 turnovers so we will certainly see some havoc on Saturday afternoon. They followed up their first loss of the season with a 47-point win next time out over Manhattan and while we cannot compare Manhattan and TCU, it is not that overly far off. Additionally, this is the Big XII home opener for the Mountaineers. TCU is also 1-1 in the Big XII following a win over Oklahoma which ended a five-game homestand where the Horned Frogs went 4-1. While they have an identical 12-2 record as the Mountaineers, these teams are not even on the same level which is why this line is what it is. In three meetings last season, West Virginia won by an average of 23 ppg and while new TCU head coach Jamie Dixon know the Mountaineers well and was 11-7 against them when with Pittsburgh, his talent is much worse now. The Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss while the Horned Frogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games following three or more consecutive home games. 10* (732) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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01-06-17 | Heat v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the uncertain status of Heat center Hassan Whiteside but even though he is questionable, he likely will not suit up. "Hassan is making progress, saw the doctor today," coach Erik Spoelstra said before the Heat faced the Sacramento Kings at the Bank 1 Center. "He should be able to fly out at some point this weekend to meet with us. It doesn't look like he'll be able to come out and play on Friday [against the Los Angeles Lakers], but hopefully this weekend he'll be ready at some point." Miami won in Sacramento on Wednesday for a rare road win as it snapped an eight-game road losing skid. The Heat are slowly getting healthier but received bad news as Justice Winslow is out for the season after undergoing shoulder surgery. The Lakers lost in Portland last night as the Blazers welcomed the return of Damian Lillard. Los Angeles heads back home where it went 2-3 in its most recent homestand with four of those five games coming against winning teams. The Lakers are just 2-6 when playing with no rest however this is the first instance where the second game of the back-to-back has been played at home. 10* (512) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-06-17 | Kent State v. Ohio -7 | Top | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is the first time in a long time that Ohio has had a distinct advantage over one of its biggest rivals and the Bobcats will take advantage tonight. Ohio rolled over Western Michigan in its conference opener by 29 points on Tuesday as it shot a blistering 51.6 percent from long range (16-31) to improve to 8-0 at home. It is the other side of the ball that has really been the difference this season. Ohio's effort on the defensive end was the lowlight of an otherwise strong 2015-16 campaign. The Bobcats ranked second-to-last in the MAC and 249th in the country by giving up 74.8 ppg but through 12 games in 2016-17, Ohio leads the MAC and ranks 60th in the nation with 65.6 ppg allowed and first in the conference and 52nd in the country with a 39.7 percent field goal percentage defense. Kent St. won its conference opener by 10 points over Ball St. but there are still a lot of questions on this team that lost four seniors and three other transfers. Overall, only two of the top seven scorers from last season are back. The Golden Flashes are shooting just 36.2 percent on the road while hitting just 16.9 percent from three and 59.2 percent from the free throw line. The Bobcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Golden Flashes are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (524) Ohio Bobcats |
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01-05-17 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -4 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
Minnesota came into the season with a ton of question marks as it lost a lot to graduation, rules violations and suspensions but so far, it has answered those questions. The Golden Gophers are off to a 13-2 start and coming off one of their most impressive wins in a while as they won at Purdue on Sunday in overtime. That came after a heartbreaking loss in overtime against Michigan St. prior to that. Those two big games coupled with the fact they have a big revenge game on Sunday against Ohio St. puts them in a very tough spot here. Northwestern is off to an equally solid start as it is 12-3 following a loss at Michigan St. on Friday which snapped a nine-game winning streak. The other two losses came against Notre Dame by four points and Butler by two points, both of which are 13-2, but both of those came away from home. The Wildcats are extremely deep while possessing arguably the top point guard in the conference in Bryant McIntosh and the return of Vic Law, who missed all of last season, has been huge. This is a big bounce back game and if the Wildcats want to make their first ever NCAA Tournament, these are the games that need to be won. 10* (752) Northwestern Wildcats |
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01-05-17 | California v. UCLA -10.5 | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
The Bruins are laying a pretty big number here but this is a game they should win going away. UCLA opened the season 13-0 and climbed up to No. 2 in the nation after a big win at Kentucky but suffered a last second loss in Oregon last week. The Bruins bounced back with a 13-point win at Oregon St. two nights later and we can expect the home floor to be rocking tonight. They have failed to cover three straight after a nine-game ATS winning streak and that is adding some value to this number. UCLA will be out to avenge a 12-point loss at California last season as well. The Golden Bears are coming off a similar week last week where they lost at home against Arizona before bouncing back two nights later with a blowout win over Arizona St. they are off to a decent 10-4 start with the other three losses against pretty solid teams but after 14 games, this is their first true road game of the season. They are one of only four teams in the country that have yet to play a true road game. While solid defensively, the offense lacks the big scoring punch and facing one of the best offenses in the nations means they will not have the ability to play catch up. 10* (750) UCLA Bruins |
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01-05-17 | UAB -4.5 v. North Texas | Top | 54-52 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Both UAB and North Texas are winless to open C-USA play but this game means a lot more for the former. The Blazers are off to a 7-7 start after a 17-3 start a season ago and their seven losses have already matched their total defeats from all of last season. After getting upset in the C-USA Tournament and getting relegated to the NIT despite a 26-6 record, UAB planned on making a statement and came in as the favorite to win the conference. There is still plenty of time for that but coming off their worst effort of the season where the Blazers managed just 49 points at Middle Tennessee St. including only 23 points for the starters, they will be out for a big win tonight. North Texas is 0-2 in the conference with both losses coming on the road but there is no big home court edge for the Mean Green. They have defeated no team of significance and while the same can be said for UAB, the talent level disparity between these two teams is significant. The Blazers have not lost back-to-back games this season and are 6-0 following a defeat with those wins coming by an average of 17.3 ppg. 10* (747) UAB Blazers |
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01-05-17 | Hornets v. Pistons -3.5 | Top | 114-115 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Following a loss to the Pacers on Tuesday, the Pistons are 2-8 over their last 10 games and are now five games under .500 after a very promising start to the season. They have lost two straight and six of their last seven home games and all of this sets up a contrarian play on Thursday in what could be considered a must win spot with a five-game west coast roadtrip upcoming starting Saturday. Charlotte won last night against Oklahoma City as it trailed by one-point heading into the fourth quarter but outscored the Thunder 36-24 to claim the 11-point win. That snapped a two-game slide but the Hornets now hit the road where they are just 4-8 over their last 12 games. They are just 2-5-1 ATS as underdogs, winning just one of those games outright while Detroit is 6-3 ATS at home against winning teams. Additionally, the Hornets are 2-5 ATS this season when playing with no rest including 0-2 ATS in this particular situation coming off a home win and playing the next game on the road. 10* (706) Detroit Pistons |
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01-04-17 | Virginia Tech v. NC State -1 | Top | 78-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
With a home upset over Duke on Saturday, Virginia Tech improved to 12-1 on the season and moved into the top 25. The Hokies have won eight straight games but now take to the road for the first time in over a month and while they have won their only other road game, the situation is a lot different this time around. This is the first time the Hokies have been ranked in either poll since the polls of Nov. 15, 2010 and this is the first time the Hokies have been 11 games over .500 since the 2010-11 season. NC State lost its ACC opener as it was routed at Miami which snapped a six-game winning streak. The Wolfpack are a perfect 9-0 at home and while this presents the biggest test at home of the young season, they catch the Hokies at the perfect time. After playing the first nine games of the season with at least one scholarship player missing, and sometimes two or three players missing, the Wolfpack have had their full complement of players for the last four games. Going back, they are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss. 10* (562) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-04-17 | Iowa State +8.5 v. Baylor | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Iowa St. heads to Waco to try and hand Baylor its first loss of the season and these teams have played some solid games over the years. The Cyclones defeated Texas Tech on Friday to open Big XII action and extended their winning streak to three games. They have three losses on the season, one at rival Iowa which was not a pretty one, but the other two came by a point in overtime against Cincinnati and two points against Gonzaga. Baylor is one of only three remaining undefeated teams in the nation and the wins have been dominant for the most part. Ever since a non-cover in their season opener against Oral Roberts, they have reeled off seven straight covers including a blowout win at Oklahoma in their conference opener. Baylor has some big wins over big name teams this season but the cover streak is catching up as they are laying a bigger than expected number against a quality opponent. Going back, the Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite between 7.0 and 12.5 points while the Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog between 7.0 and 12.5 points. 10* (567) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-04-17 | Bucks v. Knicks +2 | Top | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This looks like an excellent spot for New York to snap its longest losing streak of the season which has reached five games after its Monday loss at home against Orlando. That was the second straight home loss for the Knicks following an 11-4 start at MSG with those four losses coming against Utah, Houston, Oklahoma City and Cleveland all of which are at least seven games over .500. The other loss came against Boston which is also seven games over .500 so they have been losing to elite competition with the exception of Orlando. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. Milwaukee has won two straight games and has been playing well this season without the services of Khris Middleton. The Bucks won in Chicago in their last road game but they have won consecutive road games only once this season and overall, they are just 6-9 on the highway. Going back, the Bucks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (506) New York Knicks |
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01-04-17 | Georgetown v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
After solid starts to the season, both Georgetown and Providence are trending in the wrong direction. The Hoyas had won six straight games prior to the Big East season but have dropped their first two games in the conference. They lost bad at Marquette and while they hung with Xavier, they gave it away at the end and that game was at home. Georgetown is 1-1 on the road with the lone win coming at slumping Syracuse. Providence is in a slump as well as it has dropped three straight games following its own six-game winning streak. The Friars three losses all took place on the road however and the last two, at Xavier and at Butler, came against two Big East contenders. Heading back home is just what they need where they are 9-0 on the season and are now laying a short number. The Friars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Hoyas are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (528) Providence Friars |
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01-03-17 | Wolves -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 91-93 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
The Sixers concluded their four-game roadtrip with a win over Denver on Friday which was just their third road win of the season and eighth overall. They have performed better at home but not much so of late as they have gone only 1-9 over their last 10 home games. Injuries continue to be an issue which is affecting the depth as Philadelphia is now to its third point guard with Sergio Rodriguez out again tonight. The Timberwolves have been inconsistent as well but are a decent 5-5 over their last 10 games following a 1-8 stretch. This includes a 2-2 record on the road with impressive wins over Chicago and Atlanta and a narrow two-point loss at Denver in their last road game. While going just 1-10 in its 11 games following a win, Minnesota has won 10 of 21 games following a loss. Conversely, the Sixers have won just two of seven games following a win and they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games playing on three or more days of rest. 10* (701) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-03-17 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Indiana opened Big Ten play with a loss against Nebraska at home which was its first loss at Assembly Hall this season and it snapped a 26-game home winning streak dating back to the start of last season. The Hoosiers then followed that up with a loss against Louisville on Saturday by 15 points in Indianapolis so this sets them up for a big bounce back on Tuesday night and at a short price. Wisconsin won its Big Ten opener against Rutgers which was far from a quality win and now the Badgers hit the road for just the third time this season. They are 1-1 on the highway with a loss at Creighton and a win at Marquette. They have won eight straight games overall but quality wins have been few and far between as the win over the Golden Eagles was the best of the bunch as Oklahoma and Syracuse are having down seasons. Going back, the Hoosiers are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following an ATS loss and fully expect them to bounce back again here. 10* (740) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -2.5 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Auburn had a surprisingly good season as after a 1-2 start, the Tigers ran off six straight wins before being dominated in their last two games against FBS opponents. The defense carried the team all season as it allowed 30 points only once which came in the season finale against Alabama but even that was a skewed score as the Tigers allowed 501 total yards. The offense is the real issue as they gained just 184 total yards and that came after picking up only 164 yards against Georgia. Oklahoma presents a real problem for auburn as the Sooners balanced offense averaged over 237 yards on the ground and close to 320 yards through the air. Oklahoma won its last nine games following a 1-2 start and most of those win were blowouts while getting outgained only once during that stretch. The Sooners closed the season by covering their last five games against teams with a winning record and the run continues on Monday. 10* (282) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-02-17 | Jazz v. Nets +7 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Brooklyn is tied with the Sixers for the worst record in the NBA but a lot of the damage has been on the road. The Nets are just 1-16 on the highway following a pair of losses at Chicago and Washington to end 2016 but they are a much more respectable 7-8 at home. This includes a 4-3 record over their last seven games which includes an impressive win over the Clippers and a loss to the Warriors where they blew a 16-point lead. Utah meanwhile has won three straight games but all have come against teams with losing records including the last two at home. After a 5-3 start on the road, the Jazz are 4-3 over their last seven games on the road and while they have won every game as a road favorite this season, this is the biggest number they have had to cover in all of those. The Nets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss while the Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-02-17 | Iowa v. Florida -3 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
Iowa had a signature win over Michigan this season to start a season ending three-game winning streak but like last season, it was another overrated season for the Hawkeyes. Half of their wins came against teams with three wins or fewer, another against Miami Ohio out of the MAC while losing to North Dakota St. from the FCS. The Hawkeyes came to the Rose Bowl last season and got destroyed by Stanford and a similar result is in the cards today as they play another high profile bowl game they should not be involved in. Florida got thumped by Alabama in the SEC Championship which comes as no surprise but it was a successful season for the Gators that finished with five wins over teams also participating in bowl games. Florida outgained opponents by over 46 ypg while Iowa was actually outgained by an average of close to 20 ypg. 10* (276) Florida Gators |
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01-01-17 | Magic +6 v. Pacers | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the questionable status Evan Fournier and while it will be a bonus if he can go, the Magic are 2-1 in the three games he has missed and they have been off since Wednesday. We won with the Pacers in their last game as they snapped a four-game slide with a win over Chicago on Friday but they are overpriced tonight as they are just one game better than Orlando in the standings. While they have been solid at home with a 12-5 record, the Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Orlando lost that game on Wednesday against the Hornets which snapped a two-game winning streak. The Magic had a pretty solid December by going 8-8 while winning their last four games following a loss. This also included a 5-3 record on the road and Orlando sits right at .500 for the season on the highway. Orlando is 9-5 this season against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league and spread-wise, the Magic are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (701) Orlando Magic |
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01-01-17 | Drake v. Southern Illinois -7.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
We played against Drake on Thursday and it did not pan out as the Bulldog pulled off the upset at home against Loyola-Chicago but we will go against them once again here as they hit the road in a bad situation. They have won two straight games but they are 0-3 on the road and going back, they have lost 26 of their last 27 road games which includes losses in 19 straight true road games. While taking down Wichita St. in the MVC may not happen by any team, Southern Illinois is expected to be a top-tier team in the conference. However, the Salukis lost their conference opener at Bradly on Thursday as road favorites but a return home should turn things around. The value here is based on the season opening conference games as Drake is getting nearly the same amount of points on the road than it was at home against the Ramblers. Going back, the Salukis are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite between 7.0 and 12.5 points while the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win. 10* (742) Southern Illinois Salukis |
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01-01-17 | Giants v. Redskins -7 | Top | 19-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
Week 17 in the NFL is all about information as teams and players have little or a lot to play for. Washington needs to win to make the playoffs and just hope that Green Bay and Detroit do not tie tonight. The Redskins have all of the motivation here as the Giants have absolutely nothing to play for. They are in the playoffs already and cannot move out of the No. 5 seed that they are currently in. Head coach Bob McAdoo said that he is playing the starters today and repeatedly stated that but that does not mean the starters are going to finish the game. After watching Derek Carr and Marcus Mariota go down last week, he will not be taking a chance with Eli Manning or any other big time starters. Washington had lost three of four games prior to last week where it thumped Chicago so it comes in with some momentum and this is guaranteed to be the final home game of the season should the Redskins get into the postseason. Even at full strength, the Giants are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (308) Washington Redskins |
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12-31-16 | Knicks +10 v. Rockets | Top | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Knicks and Rockets come into Saturday with opposite streaks and we will grab the generous points given to New York. Houston put up 140 points last night in a blowout victory over the Clippers for its third straight win and victory number 14 in its last 16 games. The Rockets are priced high again tonight and for good reason but when you compare some of the other similar spreads, this one is overadjusted. The Knicks lost at New Orleans last night which was their third straight loss and fifth straight loss on the road. They have been a double-digit underdog only one other time this season and that was at Golden St. where they stayed within the number. New York has covered 10 of 15 games this season coming off a loss and going back, the Knicks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. The Rockets are playing at a high level right now but are definitely overpriced in this situation. 10* (507) New York Knicks |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
We will take advantage of this line where as if Clemson was favored by three points, there would not be much of an overreaction. The Tigers were in a similar situation a year ago where they were getting a field goal against Oklahoma and went out and won the game by 20 points while outgaining the Sooners 530-378. The difference maker was quarterback Deshawn Watson and he will be once again here despite many thinking he is not as good. Watson's 2016 passing numbers (67.6% completions, 37 touchdowns, 15 interceptions) compare favorably to his 2015 stats (67.8% completions, 35 touchdowns, 13 picks) and while his rushing numbers are down, his attempts are way down as he has not been needed as much. While the Ohio St. defense is a menace and is one of the best around, recall what Watson did to the Alabama defense last season when he erupted for 478 total yards and four touchdowns. On the other side, J.T. Barrett had a solid season as well but not nearly as strong as he finished the regular season as the No. 43 ranked quarterback in efficiency. Clemson has a massive defensive front that can cause problems as they impose themselves instead of reacting as the action unfolds and that is the way to stop the Buckeyes offense. Over its last seven games, Ohio St. won two of those 62-3 but struggled in all of the other five games, losing once and winning the other four by just a possession and against much lesser opposition. 10* (274) Clemson Tigers |
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12-31-16 | Villanova v. Creighton | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Of the many marquee games on the schedule Saturday, Villanova and Creighton is the headliner and while many will think the home team has the edge, the Wildcats will prove why they are No. 1 in the nation. Villanova is coming off a scare from DePaul on Wednesday but it was pretty clear that the Wildcats were not focused at all and it almost cost them. That will not be the case here against the undefeated Bluejays. Creighton brings in an identical 13-0 record but only has one real quality win which came against Wisconsin in the second game of the season. In a game where the teams match up pretty well, free throws could be all the difference. Both schools are Top 25 nationally at keeping their opponents off the line, but once they get there Villanova has a massive advantage. The Wildcats are hitting 78.2 percent as a team which is good for No. 10 in the nation. Creighton on the other hand, is terrible at drawing fouls (230th) and even worse at making them count as they are shooting just 67.2 percent from the stripe which is No. 240 in the country. 10* (541) Villanova Wildcats |
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12-31-16 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 18-33 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
The one thing that benefits teams playing Georgia Tech in bowl games is the extra preparation time and that will be the case for Kentucky that has an additional edge as well. The Yellow Jackets are a tough team to defend when playing with the normal week of prep but since head Coach Paul Johnson took over in 2008, his Yellow Jackets are just 2-5 in his seven bowl games and the offense has underperformed to the tune of averaging over 1.0 yppl less than what they average during the regular season. That is no coincidence. Additionally, head coach Mark Stoops know the Georgia Tech offense pretty well from his days at Florida St. Kentucky is playing in its first bowl game since 2010 as it has been one-win shy in three of the past five years. This is the best Kentucky team we have seen in a decade and closing the season on a 7-3 run is impressive. One of those losses came at Alabama while another came at Tennessee despite the Wildcats winning the yardage battle. The newfound offense will present problems for the Yellow Jackets that had issues all season against offenses that could move the ball with consistency. 10* (269) Kentucky Wildcats |
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12-30-16 | USC +8.5 v. Oregon | Top | 61-84 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
While we like to fade teams on big winning streaks, fading teams coming off massive wins is a much better strategy and that comes into play on Friday. USC won its 14th straight game to start the season as it defeated Oregon St. on Wednesday to open Pac 12 play. While the Trojans have been winning, they have not been covering as they have dropped five straight games at the betting window. However, they have been favored by at least nine points in all of those games and now they are close to that number in an underdog role. USC has been an underdog only once this season and that resulted in an outright win at Texas A&M. We won with Oregon on Wednesday as it defeated UCLA on a last second three-pointer and because of that, the Ducks go from being a home underdog to a relatively big home favorite over a quality opponent. It is too big of a swing and the celebration that took place after the win over the Bruins shows the Ducks are in a prime letdown spot tonight. The Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 while the Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. 10* (751) USC Trojans |
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12-30-16 | Florida State +7 v. Michigan | Top | 33-32 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show |
While some may think that the motivation level will be low for Michigan following that disappointing and controversial loss to Ohio St., motivation should not be an issue with the Wolverines. Motivation will certainly not be an issue for the Seminoles which closed the season with a 6-1 record, the lone loss coming by just three points to Clemson, and based on recent bowl games, they will be pretty fired up here in their home state. Florida St. has lost its last two bowl games by 24 and 39 points following a run of six straight bowl victories. The recent surge can be thanks to a resurgent defense. Thanks to a startling midseason turnaround, Florida St. has climbed to No. 29 in the total defense rankings (up from 94th after five games) and is allowing an average of 357.2 ypg and 5.45 yppl. Michigan is tough on both sides of the ball but it played a pretty weak schedule overall as it was ranked No. 31 in the nation compared to a No. 13 ranked schedule for the Seminoles. This is the most points Florida St. has seen all season and this is the first time Michigan has been favored by less than 11.5 points all year which shows how weak the schedule actually has been. 10* (265) Florida St. Seminoles |
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12-30-16 | South Alabama +14 v. Air Force | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
We will continue to back the history trend of backing big underdogs Double-digit underdogs have been a very solid play in minor bowl games for years and this season so far has been no exception as these teams are 4-1 ATS and we will be backing another one on Friday. South Alabama is in its second straight bowl and after losing in the Camellia Bowl last year to Bowling Green, the Jaguars will be out to win their first ever bowl game since going the BCS full time in 2012. We are definitely getting value here as they are getting double-digits because they have failed to cover their last five games and the public is riding that. South Alabama was a double-digit underdog three times this season, going 2-1 ATS in those games and both of those were outright victories against Mississippi St. and San Diego St. Air Force had a solid 9-3 regular season and comes in riding a five-game winning streak which is also playing into this number. This includes an upset victory in its season finale against Boise St. but despite the solid straight up numbers, the Falcons are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games and this includes loss in all five games where they were favored by double-digits. Three of those losses were outright defeats. 10* (261) South Alabama Jaguars |
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12-30-16 | Bulls v. Pacers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
The Pacers look to break a season long four-game losing streak as well as a season long five-game ATS losing skid as they host the rival Bulls on Friday. The recent schedule has not been kind to the Pacers as they have played 11 of their last 15 games on the road and that is where they have struggled by going 4-13 on the highway. For the season, the host is 24-9 in Indiana games as its 11-5 record at home is pretty solid. The Bulls have won two straight to improve to 10-6 at home but they are just the opposite on the road with a 6-10 record. Chicago has lost five straight road games and they have only two road wins since November 19 and those came against the Sixers and Lakers, both of which have losing records at home. Indiana has won eight of nine games this season as a home favorite and surprisingly has not been a home chalk of this small of a number in six weeks. The Bulls may be looking ahead to their rematch with the Bucks tomorrow night following their worst game of the season where they put up just 69 points in a hole loss two weeks ago. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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12-30-16 | TCU v. Georgia +3 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
While it was considered a disappointing first season under head coach Kirby Smart for Georgia, the 7-5 record does not give the Bulldogs enough credit. They had just one bad loss which was against Mississippi while three other losses came by just five points combined and they won the yardage battle in all three of those games. Georgia is coming off a disappointing loss against rival Georgia Tech in its regular season finale but it has covered four of its last five games following a straight up loss. TCU was all over the place this season as it finished 6-6 with only one of those wins coming against a bowl team. The Horned Frogs lost five games against bowl teams with the last three coming by 24, 25 and 24 points so they clearly had their struggles against the better teams. TCU went 1-7 ATS this season as a favorite including 0-4 ATS as a single digit favorite so going from a one-point dog to a favorite here is not ideal. Additionally, the Horned Frogs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. This is a big game for Georgia to carry some positive momentum into next season. 10* (258) Georgia Bulldogs |
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12-29-16 | Oklahoma State +3 v. Colorado | Top | 38-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
Both Oklahoma St. and Colorado are coming off their worst efforts of the season as the Cowboys lost to Oklahoma for the Big XII Championship while the Buffaloes lost against Washington in the Pac 12 Championship game. It was a great season for both teams and motivation will play a big role in this one. Oklahoma St. had a similar season a year ago where it finished 10-3 and following a loss to Oklahoma by 35 points to end the regular season, it got hammered by Mississippi in the Sugar Bowl. The players from that team do not want a repeat of that and should come out with great energy. Colorado is playing in its first bowl game since 2007 so just getting here has been a huge accomplishment and not being able to win the Pac 12 Championship was a huge letdown. While the Buffaloes bring in a great defense, the offense will have trouble keeping up as the Cowboys are averaging 492.3 ypg and 38.7 ppg and this is exactly the type of offense that Colorado has struggled against this season. Buffaloes quarterback Sefo Liufau continues to be bothered by a bad ankle and the Cowboys pressuring him will keep the passing offense in check and make them a pretty one-dimensional team. 10* (255) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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12-29-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -6 | Top | 118-124 | Push | 0 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
After a thrilling win over Golden St. on Christmas Day, the Cavaliers lost on Monday when it traveled to Detroit and fell by 16 points. LeBron James sat that game out and that situation has been one of the lone problems for Cleveland as it is 0-4 this season when playing with no rest and going from a home game to a road game. The Cavaliers are 23-3 in their other games and the added benefit here is that they have had two days off before tonight. Boston has won its last two games and has been very solid on the road with a four-game winning streak. Of course, the Celtics have not faced the caliber of competition that they will be seeing tonight and when they have, it has not gone good. Boston has just two wins this season against a top ten team and those were both against Charlotte. It has dropped its other eight games against top ten teams while on the other side, Cleveland is 8-1 against the top ten with the lone loss coming against the Clippers. Going back, the Cavaliers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (504) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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12-29-16 | Loyola-Chicago -5.5 v. Drake | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Typically, not a proponent for laying points on the road but this is a good situation to do so in the MVC opener for both teams. Loyola has gotten off to a solid 10-3 start after winning just 15 games all of last season. While the Ramblers are just 1-2 on the road, those losses came by just six points combined and they were against two quality opponents in Toledo and NC State. The loss against the Rockets was their last game back on December 20 so they have had eight days to seethe on that defeat. Drake is off to a 2-10 start and this is no fluke as the Bulldogs were picked to finish last in the Missouri Valley Conference. The nonconference schedule was far from difficult but they have still had big troubles with the only two wins coming against non-Division I Simpson College and Mississippi Valley St. which has yet to win a game this season at 0-13. That win over the Delta Devils came in their last game so which it could give them confidence, it more likely will be a false sense of confidence. Drake won only two conference games last season and one came on this floor against Loyola in overtime in the final game of the regular season and the Ramblers have not forgotten. The Bulldogs are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points while the Ramblers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a losing home record. 10* (533) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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12-29-16 | South Florida v. South Carolina +10.5 | Top | 46-39 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
As mentioned Tuesday, double-digit underdogs have been a very solid play in minor bowl games for years and this season so far has been no exception as these teams are 4-1 ATS and we will be backing another one on Thursday. South Florida finished 7-1 in the AAC East but missed out on the AAC Championship due to a loss at Temple and that was the main tiebreaker. Still, it was a very solid season for the Bulls which finished 10-2 overall, the only other loss coming against Florida St. the issue is that they do not have many quality wins as a victory over Navy and Memphis were the only really good one. South Carolina has an unexpectedly good season at 6-6 after finishing 3-9 last season. The Gamecocks are also short on quality victories but they played some very competitive games against quality teams such as Kentucky, Texas A&M, Georgia and Florida. While the offense was suspect at times, they should do well here against a very bad South Florida defense while their own defense carried them along. The Gamecocks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. 10* (252) South Carolina Gamecocks |
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12-28-16 | UCLA v. Oregon +3 | Top | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
UCLA remains No. 2 in the nation following a perfect 13-0 start in nonconference action. Now the real season starts and the Bruins will be tested right out of the gate in Pac 12 play. They defeated Kentucky in their lone road game this season so while that was impressive, they will not be sneaking up on Oregon like they did against the Wildcats. Oregon opened the season at just 2-2 but has won nine straight games since then. They hope to get Chris Boucher back tonight to help bolster the defense. Boucher has missed two games due to an ankle injury and will be a game-time decision Wednesday, though his recovery has been trending in a positive direction. Oregon is 6-1 all-time versus ranked foes in Matthew Knight Arena where it has now won 33 consecutive games, the third longest home winning streak in the nation. Going back, the Bruins are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite of seven or fewer points while the Ducks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of seven or fewer points. 10* (762) Oregon Ducks |
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12-28-16 | Nets v. Bulls -9 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
We won with the Nets on Monday as they defeated Charlotte outright at home for just their eighth win of the season. That snapped a five-game losing streak but now Brooklyn hits the road and has two horrible situations going against them. First, the Nets are a dismal 1-14 on the road with the only win coming at Phoenix way back in November. In the 11 losses since then, seven have been by double-digits and those 11 defeats have been by an average of 14.6 ppg. Second, the Nets have not won consecutive games this season, going 0-7 in its first seven games following a win and those losses have been by an average 14.2 ppg. Chicago has been all over the place this season and it looks to gain some momentum following a win over Indiana on Monday. They have won nine of 15 home games and the Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Nets are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (710) Chicago Bulls |
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12-28-16 | West Virginia v. Miami (Fla) -2.5 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
It is pretty hard to believe but Miami has not won a bowl game since 2006, a span of six straight losses and the hurricanes are motivated to end that streak. The fact the Hurricanes are favored against No. 14 West Virginia may be a surprise to some but it sets up the perfect contrarian opportunity here. As good of a season as West Virginia has had, the defense has been awful. The Mountaineers rank near the bottom in the country in pass defense as they are 101st out of 128 teams in the FBS in pass defense, allowing 255.7 ypg. Miami quarterback Brad Kayaa and wide receivers Ahmmon Richards, Stacy Coley and tight end David Njoku can take advantage it. The rushing defense is nothing special either as it is ranked No. 66, allowing 175.5 ypg on 4.4 ypc. On the other side, the Miami defense has proven among one of the best in the nation as it is 13th in scoring defense, 11th in yards allowed per play, sixth in tackles for loss and 23rd in total defense. The Hurricanes ended their regular season with plenty of momentum, winning each of their last four games by double-digits, covering all of those games as well and that momentum will play a huge role this afternoon to finally crack the bowl game losing streak. 10* (246) Miami Hurricanes |
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12-27-16 | Baylor v. Boise State -7 | Top | 31-12 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Motivation plays a big role during bowl season and we should see that come into play here. Baylor opened the season a perfect 6-0 but it has been all downhill since then. The season turned with a close loss to Texas on Oct. 29. The Bears were blown out the next week by TCU and then quarterback Seth Russell sustained a season-ending broken ankle against Oklahoma, and Baylor closed the season with six straight losses. Interim head coach Jim Grobe will be coaching his final game here and despite conflicting reports, it is safe to say he has lost his team. The Bears will also be without running back Shock Linwood who is sitting out in preparation for the upcoming draft. Boise St. lost its final game of the season but that should provide plenty of motivation to end the season on a high note. The Broncos lost only two games this season and those came by a combined nine points. Boise St. has a potent passing attack behind quarterback Brett Rypien and one of the best running backs in the country in Jeremy McNichols, who rushed for 1,663 yards and 23 touchdowns. On the other side, the Broncos possess one of the most physical defenses in the country and Baylor will have a tough time moving the ball without one of their top running backs and a freshman at quarterback. 10* (242) Boise St. Broncos |
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12-27-16 | Michigan State +6 v. Minnesota | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Michigan St. opened the season ranked No. 12 in the AP Poll but a brutal schedule has sent the Spartans clear out heading into conference play. They lost to Arizona, Kentucky, Baylor and Duke, all of which have two or fewer losses. Michigan St. also lost to Northeastern at home which is the only really bad blemish on the schedule. Minnesota falls into the category of a team with two or fewer losses however it has played a very soft schedule thus far. The only real quality win came against Arkansas but the records overall are playing a big factor in this line tonight. Michigan St. has held opponents under 40 percent shooting from the field in each of the last five seasons, including finishing second in the nation in field-goal percentage defense in 2012 (.379) and 2016 (.382). The strong defensive effort has carried over to 2016-17, as eight opponents have been held under 40 percent. Depth is also on the side of the Spartans as ten players average more than 10 minutes per game, while nine players have played in all 13 games. Michigan St. has covered five of seven games against teams with a winning record and going back, the Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (521) Michigan St. Spartans |
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12-27-16 | Grizzlies +7 v. Celtics | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Memphis is coming off a pretty bad loss last night in Orlando as it never led against the Magic while falling behind by as many as 29 points. The good news for tonight is that no player saw more than 29 minutes so the fact the Grizzlies are playing with no rest is far from an issue. Even so, they have thrived in these spots this season as they are a perfect 8-0 on the second of a back-to-back set, covering seven of those. Half of those have been outright underdog victories and back at full health, there is no reason to think an outright win cannot happen here. Boston defeated the Knicks on Christmas Day so while it has had a day off, it is not necessarily an advantage. The Celtics are at Cleveland on Thursday so the lookahead aspect can come into play which is a significant angle in this league. Motivation will be pretty high for the Grizzlies which will be out to avenge an overtime loss at home against the Celtics a week ago in a game where they blew a 17-point lead. Boston has covered just once in its last seven home games and is just 5-12 on the season against teams ranked No 16 or better in the league. Memphis meanwhile is 9-7 against like competition. 10* (501) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-27-16 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Double-digit underdogs have been a very solid play in minor bowl games for years and this season so far has been no exception as these teams are 3-1 ATS and we will be backing another one on Tuesday. Temple won the AAC Championship and comes in riding a seven-game winning streak as well as a more impressive 12-game ATS winning streak so it comes as no surprise that the Owls are heavy favorites this afternoon. They will be without former head coach Matt Rhule as well as several assistants as they have moved on to Baylor and that is a pretty big concern heading into the Military Bowl. Wake Forest had its own postseason distractions with the information leakage scandal but if anything, that should be a big motivator heading into its bowl game. This is the first bowl game for the Demon Deacons since 2011 and they will be looking for their first bowl win since 2008. While their offense struggled at times, Wake Forest runs a tricky form of an option-offense, which Temple has been typically notorious for not defending well. The Demon Deacons have a trio of players that have run for over 500 yards this season, including quarterback John Wolford. Meanwhile their defense is what got them here and that will again be the difference here. 10* (237) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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12-26-16 | Raptors v. Blazers +6 | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Portland is in a massive slump and will be without its best player tonight so you know which direction to go with here. The overpriced road team is going to be a huge public play here as the Raptors have won three straight games and seven of their last eight heading into Monday night. They won in Utah on Friday to open this six-game west coast roadtrip but their biggest test is on deck as they visit the Warriors on Wednesday so a lookahead to that is more than a possibility. The Blazers have dropped five straight games including a 20-point loss to San Antonio in their last game where Damian Lillard was hurt. His absence will be felt but C.J. McCullum will move to point and Allen Crabbe will start at shooting guard so they are still in decent shape. Portland used to have a huge home court edge but that is not the case this season but it is still a respectable 8-6 here. Eight of the Blazers last 11 games have come on the road so the schedule, which is ranked third toughest in the league, has not been easy of late especially. This is a great contrarian situation to take advantage of. 10* (718) Portland Trailblazers |
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12-26-16 | Mavs v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas is starting to get healthier but this is a tough team to trust as team chemistry remains an issue. The Mavericks have won consecutive games for just the second time this season and most surprising is that both of those came on the road. They were fortunate to face the Clippers without Chris Paul last timer out while prior to that, they defeated a slumping Portland team by just a point. Overall, Dallas is just 2-6 following a victory this season. New Orleans defeated Miami on Friday and while winning consecutive games has been an issue, the two days off definitely helps. The Pelicans are 4-14 against teams ranked inside the top 16 in the league but a much better 7-7 against those ranked outside. While Dallas has won just nine games this season, one of those came against New Orleans last month so the Pelicans will be out to avenge that defeat tonight. 10* (710) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-26-16 | Hornets v. Nets +7 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
It has been a tough season for Brooklyn as expected but the schedulemakers have done the Nets no favors of late. Their last three games have come against Toronto, Golden St. and Cleveland, three of the top four teams in the NBA as far as records go. Brooklyn never led in its last game against Cleveland and trailed by as many as 46 points but it was a very tough spot after blowing a 16-point lead the previous night against the Warriors. Now the Nets are catching another big number at home against Charlotte. The Hornets have won three straight games following a win over Chicago on Friday which came after a four-game losing streak. They are 7-7 on the road which is not horrible but it is just one game better than the Nets record at home. Charlotte won the first meeting here this season with the same line but by just four points. The Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Nets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. 10* (708) Brooklyn Nets |
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12-26-16 | Maryland -1.5 v. Boston College | Top | 30-36 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Maryland opened the season 4-0 before hitting a stretch of going 1-6, making its season finale against Rutgers more important than it should have been. The Terrapins took care of the Scarlet Knights without an issue and are bowling again after missing out last season while that losing stretch was not ideal, it came against some very still competition including three ranked No. 6 or better in the final ranking and all six losses came against teams going to bowl games. While it can be argued, here is another game against a bowl team, the opposition is suspect at best. The Eagles backed in to a bowl games with a pair of wins to close the season but this is one of the worst teams remaining. Boston College outgained four of its opponents by 216 or more yards but those games were against 2-10 Massachusetts, 2-10 Buffalo, 3-9 Connecticut and Wagner from the FCS. The Eagles did defeat and outgain a solid NC State team but clinched a postseason berth by defeating Wake Forest in their final game despite getting outgained by 120 total yards. The offense scored 17 points or less in half of their games and while Maryland is no defensive juggernaut, facing a team ranked second to last in the nation in total offense will not present a problem. 10* (231) Maryland Terrapins |
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12-25-16 | Broncos +4 v. Chiefs | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -105 | 150 h 15 m | Show |
We gave out a small play against the Chiefs this past Sunday and we are going all in fading Kansas City once again this week. They fell to Tennessee on a last second field goal and are now a game behind the Raiders in the AFC West while sitting in the No. 5 spot in the AFC Playoffs, only one game ahead of Miami. Kansas City is easily the worse winning team in the league as we mentioned in the analysis from last week that they are getting outgained on average and by a significant amount. After getting outgained by Tennessee this past Sunday, the Chiefs are getting outgained by an average of 43.7 ypg. That is fourth worst in the league which is ahead of only the Rams, Browns and 49ers which are a combined 5-37. One of those games where they were outgained was their fortunate win in Denver and they were outgained there by 191 total yards but had a kickoff return for a touchdown while benefitting from 15 Denver turnovers. This is the last chance for Denver as it has to win out and get some help to make the playoffs. Following its second straight loss at home against the Patriots, there was a locker room fight between the offense and defense and while it is being played down, that is the type of fire you want to hear about. The Broncos are better than their 8-6 record shows as they are No. 11 in yardage differential and they actually have the same point differential as the division leading Raiders. While I do not think Kansas City is any better than Denver, this line is telling us the Chiefs are in fact the better team on a neutral field so getting a line this spread higher than the key number of three is huge in a game that has much on the line. Nine of the last 12 meetings have been decided by just one possession but in reality, we are more likely to see a Denver blowout rather than a Kansas City blowout. 10* (129) Denver Broncos |
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12-25-16 | Bulls v. Spurs -9 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
The Spurs are also playing with revenge today and we fully expect them to run away with this one. San Antonio opened the season with 13 consecutive road wins before heading to Chicago and losing to the Bulls by four points less than three weeks ago. The Spurs have some momentum going here as they won in Portland after suffering a loss to the Clippers the night before. They are 6-1 over their last seven games and after starting the season 4-4 at home, they have won four straight here. Chicago meanwhile comes in with no momentum as it has lost two in a row as well as five of its last six with four of those defeats coming by double digits. The team chemistry which was expected to be a problem early in the season is really starting to show now and not at a very good time. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while the Spurs have covered five straight games against teams with a losing record. 10* (506) San Antonio Spurs |
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12-25-16 | Warriors -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
While we typically do not look at road revenge in the NBA, this is a special case. The Warriors will be out to avenge their NBA Finals collapse from last season and the line is dictating that. Golden St. has been favored in every road game this season but today is the lowest it has been favored by and on the year, the Warriors are 3-0 ATS when favored by fewer than seven points. This is the first time Cleveland has been a home underdog this season and while that normally would make us look at the Cavaliers, there is not enough to back them here. The Cavaliers have yet to face the Warriors with the new lineup and the motivation level will be sky high for the visitors. In what should be a classic, Golden St. will have enough to get it done here. Going back, the Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Warriors are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games playing on one day of rest. 10* (503) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-24-16 | Middle Tennessee State -6.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 35-52 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This line came out very late due to the questionable status of Middle Tennessee quarterback Brent Stockstill but it has been confirmed that he will be playing. His presence is definitely important and the passing offense should flourish here with Hawaii being unable to show much resistance. The Warriors allowed over 455 ypg during the regular season and they were mostly gashed by the running game, something the Blue Raiders also excel at on offense as they averaged close to 200 ypg on 4.4 ypc. The issue with Middle Tennessee this season was with its defense but there will not be much to worry about coming from Hawaii. The Warriors scored 21 points or less five times this season and in the eight times they surpassed that number, only one came against another bowl team and that took double overtime to do so. That victory over Air Force was the only victory against a fellow bowler and at 6-7, it can be argued the Warriors should not even be here. This is a home game for Hawaii the senior laden Blue Raiders have all intentions of closing their careers with a victory. 10* (227) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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12-24-16 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
Both Tampa Bay and New Orleans are still alive for playoff spots but it is the Buccaneers that have the much better odds at this point. If Tampa Bay wins, it will move to 9-6 but still will need Green Bay, Detroit and Washington to lose and we do not see that happening this week. Tampa had its five-game winning streak snapped last week in Dallas as it blew a fourth quarter lead but still got the cover which was its sixth straight spread win. It is more straight forward for the Saints as they have to win out and hope to get a lot of help along the way. The good news is that they know if they lose either of their last two games, they have no shot at the postseason so there is no reason to even worry about playoff scenarios. They are coming off a huge win in Arizona last Sunday to stay alive and they will be out to avenge a loss in Tampa Bay two weeks ago. So should Green Bay or Washington win earlier in the day which will know the Saints out, there is still plenty to play for and it was noted that there will be no scoreboard watching prior to their own game. 10* (108) New Orleans Saints |
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12-24-16 | Redskins -3 v. Bears | Top | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
This is a must win game for the Redskins who laid an egg this past Monday night against Carolina which put a big hit into their playoff hopes. They have dropped three of their last four games after a 6-3-1 start but all is not lost. Washington can clinch a playoff berth with a win here and next week against Giants while having Tampa Bay lose once or Atlanta lose twice and Green Bay lose once or Detroit lose twice. They could actually still sneak in with a loss here but the chances are extremely slim. There has been no quit with Chicago as it has played extremely hard over the last five weeks but this is not a good spot. The Bears are coming off a pair of brutal divisional losses against the Lions and Packers by three points each and that sets them up for a big letdown here especially with another division rival on deck next week. Chicago has covered five straight games so we are catching value here because of that as well as the Redskins mini slump. Washington has covered eight of their last 10 road games and will keep that going on Saturday. 10* (103) Washington Redskins |
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12-24-16 | Dolphins v. Bills -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 57 m | Show |
The Bills put forth a solid effort last week against the lowly Browns following two straight losses and saving the job of Rex Ryan for at least one more week. Buffalo is still alive in the AFC playoff picture but at 7-7, the chances of making the postseason for the first time in over two decades is slim. Still, the Bills know they need to win and they will no doubt go all out against their division rivals. The Dolphins rolled over the Jets last Saturday which was their second straight win following an ugly loss in Baltimore prior to that. Miami is 8-1 over its last nine games which is one of the best runs in the NFL but it is skewed considerably. The Dolphins have been outgained in five of their last seven games and are still getting outgained on average this season by 41.9 ypg. That is ahead of only Cleveland, San Francisco and Los Angeles which is a pretty bad club to be involved with. Miami is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 December games which is pretty logical while the Bills re 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* (106) Buffalo Bills |
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12-23-16 | Wizards v. Bucks -3 | Top | 96-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Milwaukee has had an up and down season and it looks to bounce back following a home-and-home sweep at the hands of Cleveland. This came after sweeping a two-game set against the Bulls and Friday is the start of its third straight home-and-home as the Bucks will again face Washington on Monday which is the start of a four-game roadtrip. Milwaukee is one of nine teams in the NBA that has one of fewer wins against the top ten in the league so it is a respectable 12-7 against everyone else. The Bucks have lost only two home games against teams with a losing record. Washington won its last game in Chicago on Wednesday which made it four wins in its last five games to move to two games under .500. The Wizards have struggled on the road despite the win against the Bulls as they are 3-9 on the highway and the other two wins came against the 7-21 Nets and 13-18 Magic. Washington has covered five straight games which is giving some decent value on Milwaukee which is out to revenge a five-point loss in Washington earlier this month. The favorite has covered eight of the last nine meetings in this series and we can expect that run to continue tonight. 10* (712) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-23-16 | Heat v. Pelicans -5 | Top | 87-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Two of the biggest disappointments in the NBA square off tonight in New Orleans. Miami is coming off a rare win last night at home against the Lakers which snapped a three-game losing skid and the Heat are now just 3-8 over their last 11 games. This includes four straight losses on the road and this marks their first road games since December 10 as they are coming off a six-game homestand. New Orleans has played a brutal stretch of games recently which has not helped its cause to try and break out of a slump that has been ongoing all season long. The Pelicans have played the Clippers, Warriors, Rockets, Spurs and Thunder over their last eight games and to no surprise, all resulted in losses. The other three games against Phoenix, Indiana and Philadelphia, all teams with a losing record, and those resulted in wins. Going back, the Pelicans have won seven of their last 10 against losing teams and while New Orleans has really struggled within the conference as it is 4-18 against teams from the west, it is a much better 6-3 against teams from the Eastern Conference. 10* (714) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-23-16 | Ohio v. Troy -4 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show |
Troy is bowling for the first time since 2010 when it defeated this same Ohio team in the New Orleans Bowl. That was also the last time the Trojans had a winning season but they are guaranteed of that this season as they are now going for double-digit wins for the first time since 1999. They have had only one read bad game this season, a 35-3 loss against Arkansas St. as their other two losses were by a combined 10 points and one of those came at Clemson. For a program that went into a tailspin after dominating the Sun Belt Conference for years, this has been a statement season and this is a statement game heading into the offseason. Ohio is 8-5 and is coming off a disappointing loss in the MAC Championship against Western Michigan. The Bobcats were able to keep things close in their losses but this is a very bad matchup for them. Ohio runs the ball well but the Trojans are solid in that defensive category as they are allowing just 3.4 ypc. The Bobcats are a team that cannot get into a shootout and expect to keep up while playing catch up is something they have not been able to do all season. Troy is led by Brandon Silvers at quarterback who has thrown for 2,951 yards and 22 touchdowns with just nine picks. Ohio gives up over 257 ypg and 7.5 ypa while allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 64.7 percent of their passes. Look for Troy to take this one comfortably. 10* (226) Troy Trojans |
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12-23-16 | Warriors v. Pistons +7 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Golden St. is coming off a win last night in Brooklyn which was certainly expected to make it six straight victories. The Warriors are 14-2 on the road and while the majority of those have been blowouts, the majority have come against less than stellar opposition. 11 of the 16 games have been against teams with a losing record and while Detroit fits into that category, the Pistons are better than their 14-17 record shows. They are the highest ranked team with a losing record according to Sagarin and are in desperate need of a victory following their fourth straight loss on Wednesday. They lost by 12 points and all four of these recent losses have come by double-digits so they are getting more points than they normally would. Golden St. has a game in Cleveland on Christmas Day and there will be a lookahead to that revenge spot for sure. The Warriors have failed to cover their last four games playing with no rest with all four of those ATS losses coming when the second game is on the road. Meanwhile, the Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (706) Detroit Pistons |
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12-23-16 | Georgia v. Oakland +1 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Even though we have a power conference against a non-power conference, the wrong team is favored in this one. Georgia is off to an 8-3 start and has won three straight games heading into its final nonconference game of the season. The Bulldogs are a very solid team and have split their two road games, a 10-point loss at Clemson and a 17-point win over rival Georgia Tech in their last game. That last win was not overly impressive as the Yellow Jackets are a team in complete rebuilding mode. Oakland got off to a very impressive 9-1 start but has dropped its last two games, an upset loss against Northeastern on Tuesday and then a loss at Michigan St. the next night in a rare back-to-back scheduling occurrence. The Golden Grizzlies are one of the top teams out of the Horizon League and have a chance to pick up a quality win before starting conference action next week. Oakland is on a three-game ATS slide which is helping with the value and going back, the Golden Grizzlies are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. 10* (742) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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12-22-16 | LSU v. Wake Forest -8.5 | Top | 76-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Despite the loss of four of their top six scorers from last season including Ben Simmons and Keith Hornsby, the Tigers are off to a better start through 10 games this year than last year. LSU has won four straight games but all of those were at home where it is a perfect 7-0. The Tigers have hit the road only three times and those came in a three-day stretch in Nassau in the Battle 4 Atlantis last month where they went 1-2. Tonight makes it the first true road game of the season and they were not very good in this spot last season as they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Wake Forest is 8-3 and it is a very respectable 8-3 as the Demon Deacons have done a lot of travelling thus far. They have played four true road games and three neutral court games including games against Villanova and Xavier. The last game was a roadie at Xavier and Wake Forest played very well in a four-point loss as it kept it close thanks to a big edge on the boards. The Demon Deacons have followed up their previous two losses with wins and covers while LSU is just 1-4-1 ATS following a win. 10* (532) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 105 | 32 h 50 m | Show |
The Giants can clinch a playoff spot with a victory over Philadelphia on Thursday and while the Eagles have been eliminated from playoff contention, they will go all out and not have New York clinch on their watch. Philadelphia has dropped five straight games and seven of their last eight after a 4-2 start but some of those losses have been very close as six of its overall losses have been by just one possession. Following a win in Chicago in its first road game, Philadelphia has dropped seven straight on the highway but it is a very respectable 4-2 at home and in one of those losses, it outgained the Redskins. The Giants are on a complete opposite run as they have won two straight and eight of their last nine games but similar to the Eagles, the games have been extremely close. Six of the last eight wins have been by a possession and New York has not been good on the road. It won its season opener in Dallas but the other two wins have come against 0-14 Cleveland and 4-10 Los Angeles. Even worse, the Giants have been outgained in all six of their road games and yes that includes the Browns and Rams. New York won the first meeting at home against Philadelphia by five points but was outgained by 141 yards in the process and in 14 games overall, the Giants have been outgained q14 times and on average they are getting outgained by 27 ypg. Because of records, the Giants were forced to be the favorite here but can definitely be considered a false favorite in this spot. 10* (102) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-22-16 | Celtics v. Pacers +1 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
The Celtics have not played a back-to-back set since the start of the month but the past few days has been extremely busy. They have played three straight overtime games and won them all and based on the schedule, there has been travel in-between all of those games. The latest came in Memphis on Tuesday as they overcame a 14-point halftime lead thanks to Isaiah Thomas scoring 36 points after halftime. Speaking of back-to-back games, Boston returns home tomorrow to face Oklahoma City in a revenge spot following a three-point loss to the Thunder earlier this month. We played against Indiana on Tuesday as the Knicks overcame a 15-point deficit thanks to a 34-24 fourth quarter to get the win and cover. The Paces now head home where they have not played much as nine of their last 12 games have come on the road and all three of those home games resulted in wins. Going back further, Indiana has won five straight games at home and is 11-4 at home on the season. Only three teams have more win than the Pacers do against top ten teams and in addition, they will be out to avenge a six-point loss here against the Celtics last month. 10* (508) Indiana Pacers |
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12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho +15 | Top | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
Only one team, Penn St., has been hotter at the betting window that Idaho and Colorado St. as each of these teams has covered seven straight games. One streak will be broken and we fell it will be that of the heavy favorite as the Rams have gone from less than a two-touchdown favorite to more than a two-touchdown favorite. Colorado St. has been solid as a favorite this season as it is a perfect 4-0 ATS when laying a touchdown or more but only two of those were against other bowl teams and in both instances, the Rams were not laying anything close to this number. Idaho was one of the biggest surprises in all of college football as it has eight wins which is one fewer than it previous five seasons combined and it will be making its first bowl appearance since 2009. Which happened to come right here when this bowl was called the Humanitarian Bowl. The Vandals have won four straight games, two against fellow bowlers, and have really turned things around as after getting outgained in their first five games against FBS opponents, they have won the yardage battle by an average of 78.3 ypg. While most bowl teams would prefer going somewhere with nicer weather, Idaho is basically playing a home game while Colorado St. got the shaft. This line is severally overpriced and we will take advantage of it. 10* (220) Idaho Vandals |
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12-21-16 | Western Michigan +30 v. UCLA | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
We played against UCLA on Saturday and while the Bruins ended up covering that game, Ohio St. was in it for the majority of the game until the very end. That made it nine straight covers for UCLA which is pretty much an unheard of run in college hoops but the line tonight is showing that the linesmakers have overadjusted. This is the final nonconference game of the season for the Bruins and while they are off for a week after this, the Pac 12 opener against Oregon has to have some of their attention. Western Michigan is off to a tough 3-7 start but it has played a tough schedule to this point. The Broncos have not lost a game by more than what they are getting tonight and this includes games against Villanova, UNC-Wilmington, Oakland, Boise St. and Washington, all of which have winning records. The last game came against the Huskies which resulted in a six-point loss on Sunday but the fact Western Michigan stayed out west is a big factor here as the travel aspect can be disregarded here. Pulling off the upset is not going to happen but staying within this inflated number will as the Broncos are already 2-0 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs. 10* (749) Western Michigan Broncos |
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12-21-16 | Mavs v. Blazers -6 | Top | 96-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Portland ended its roadtrip with another loss last night as it blew an 11-point halftime lead and was defeated by the Kings by five points. The Blazers went 0-3 on the roadtrip and has now lost seven of their last eight games as well as 13 of their last 19 games but the schedule has done them no favors. 13 of their last 18 games have been on the road including eight of their last nine where they dropped the last seven but a return home will get things going back in the right direction. Portland has won six of its last eight games at the Moda Center and catch a perfect opponent to get back into the win column. Dallas is having a horrible season as injuries right from the start have put the Mavericks in last place in the Western Conference. They lost in Denver on Monday and have not won a game on the road since November 8, a stretch of 10 straight losses on the highway since then. To their credit, they have played the toughest schedule in the NBA but while going 4-4 against the bottom part of the league, they are 3-17 against the top 16 which is where Portland resides. The Blazers have played the second toughest schedule in the NBA and the favorite has gone 23-7 in their first 30 games this season. While Portland is just 1-5 ATS this season when playing with no rest, the lone win came in the only spot where it went from the road to a home game, a 19-point win over the Thunder. 10* (716) Portland Trailblazers |
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12-20-16 | Pacers v. Knicks -5.5 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
The Knicks are back home following a disappointing 2-3 roadtrip which started fine with two straight wins but concluded with a trio of losses including two 13-point losses against Golden St. and Denver to end it. That put New York at 5-9 on the road but MSG has been a lot better as it is 9-4 with three losses coming against Utah, Oklahoma City and Houston, three of the top seven teams in the Western Conference, and the other coming against Cleveland. Indiana is over .500 for the season thanks to a two-game winning streak including a win over Washington last night. This is a tough stretch for the Pacers however as this is their fifth game in seven nights which has included no consecutive home games so there has been travel involved every day for the last week. While Indiana has won two straight games, it has struggled all season by going 3-11 ATS following a victory which includes a 0-6 record on the road following a home win. Those losses have come by an average of 13.5 ppg and includes defeats against the lowly Nets and Sixers. The Knicks are 7-2 ATS as favorites this season while going 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (510) New York Knicks |
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