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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-30-23 | Hawaii +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 20-44 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. We won Hawaii in its opener in Week 0 as it hung tough in a long trip east against Vanderbilt where it lost by just a touchdown. The Warriors are 2-2 in their other four games, losing those two games to Pac 12 teams so their losses have been more than expected coming against Power 5 teams. They jump into conference action with a very favorable schedule and they can put it all out here with a bye week on deck. The passing game has been strong with quarterback Brayden Schager, who is averaging 269.6 ypg while completing 64 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns which is just one less than all of last season. UNLV is off to a 3-1 start but it is a skewed record. The Rebels defeated Bryant of the FCS despite being dead even in total yardage and another win came against Vanderbilt where they got outgained so based on expected simulated outcomes, they could be 1-3. Now UNLV is laying double digits against an FBS team for just the fourth time in five years and failed to cover any of the previous three times. A game against Michigan has strengthened their schedule but it still comes in ranked No. 132 in the country and while the offense is balanced which is a strength, the passing game is not good as they are completing only 57.9 percent of their passes with one touchdown against FBS teams. 10* (169) Hawaii Warriors |
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09-30-23 | Missouri v. Vanderbilt +14 | Top | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the VANDERBILT COMMODORES for our CFB Powerhouse Play. Missouri is great fade material this week with significant factors on both sides favoring the home team. The Tigers won for us two weeks ago as they nailed a game winning 61-yard field goal to upset Kansas St. and they followed that up with a win over Memphis last week. Now they fall into a tough spot that is twofold. With the 4-0 start, Missouri cracked the AP Top 25 for the first time since 2019 when it got as high as No. 22 and it is currently one spot below that and it is always a good play against opportunity to play teams entering the poll this far into the season. Additionally, this is the Tigers first true road game of the season and are being asked to win by two touchdowns. Things have not been as good for Vanderbilt as it opened 2-0 but has lost three straight games although those have been misleading. The Commodores lost to Wake Forest by 16 points but were outgained by only 61 total yards, lost to UNLV by just three points but outgained the Rebels by 24 total yards and lost to Kentucky by 17 points despite getting outgained by only 37 total yards as the Wildcats scored two defensive touchdowns. The common theme in all three losses were they were negative in turnovers and -5 combined. Vanderbilt is 0-5 ATS as well which automatically adds value, especially at home at this price. 10* (204) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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09-30-23 | South Florida v. Navy -3 | Top | 44-30 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our AAC Game of the Year. South Florida came into the season with no expectations, picked to finish at or near the bottom of the AAC and coming off a record of 4-29 over the last three seasons combined. The Bulls have already gotten halfway to that combined total as they are 2-2 following a win over Rice last week. The one thing they do have in their favor is a closer than expected loss to Alabama as it was defeated by score of just 17-3 but the Tide are not the same Tide. The other victory came against Florida A&M of the FCS by two touchdowns but were outgained 393-360 but had a 5-0 turnover advantage. South Florida is coming off three straight home games and lost its only road game by 17 points at Western Kentucky. Navy was crushed by Notre Dame in its opening game in Ireland and then followed that up with a ho hum win over FCS Wagner. The Midshipmen did not get a scheduling break as they had to face Memphis on a short week the next Thursday but still played well in a four-point loss, outgaining the Tigers 432-408. The break comes this week however as they are coming off their bye week following a grueling early stretch even though it was only three games. The offensive running game should be the difference and defensively, they face an offensive line that has allowed 19 sacks, tied for second most in the nation. 10* (180) Navy Midshipmen |
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09-30-23 | Utah State v. Connecticut +6 | Top | 34-33 | Win | 100 | 51 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. We backed Connecticut in its season opener at home against NC State but have held back since then which has been the right move as the Huskies are off to a 0-4 start and have failed to cover the last three games. This is the third straight home game for Connecticut and while it should have defeated Florida International, the Huskies were destroyed by Duke last week. it was a bad 34-point loss, but against a very good team and now they go down in similar class yet are catching a bigger than expected number at home. This team is loaded with experience so there should be no quit and this has turned into a must win if they want to have any chance of heading back to a bowl game. Utah St. has not fared much better as it is off to a 1-3 start with the only win coming against Idaho St. of the FCS. The Aggies go from underdogs in all three FBS games to a favorite and on the road in what has been a rugged schedule start. They do not have a bye until the end of October and have alternated home and road games to start the season meaning travel every week and now they go from Logan all the way to the east coast for an early start. Utah St. has had no running game, rushing for just 268 yards on 81 carries (3.3 ypc) against FBS opponents and the Huskies have shored up their rushing defense the last two games. 10* (128) Connecticut Huskies |
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09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg -7.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Toronto is 12-1 and has clinched the East Division following a win over Hamilton last week despite some starters resting. The Argonauts will rest starters on a rotating basis for the rest of the regular season and this week that includes quarterback Chad Kelly who leads the best offense in the CFL. In the lone loss this season for Toronto, he left the game early with an injury and was replaced Cameron Dukes who did not play well and will get the start tonight. The defense is expected to be down as well with their secondary taking the brunt with injuries coming in and this could lead to a big night for the Winnipeg offense. The Blue Bombers are coming off a loss at Hamilton in their last game but have the luxury of coming off a bye week with a lot on the line. They are tied with B.C. at 10-4 for the best record in the West Division with a meeting against the Lions next week so staying tied is imperative with two games remaining after that. Winnipeg is 6-1 at home and the home/road splits are big on both sides especially with the defense that is allowing just 17.6 ppg and 261.9 ypg. This is also a revenge game for the Blue Bombers after losing to Toronto by a point in the Grey Cup last season. 10* (672) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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09-29-23 | Louisville v. NC State +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Friday Enforcer. NC State moved to 3-1 with a road win at Virginia last Friday and the Wolfpack head back home for their second true test. They lost to Notre Dame by 21 points in their only home game against an FBS opponent and that loss against the spread is part of their 0-4 ATS record on the season. That is adding value here with NC State coming in as the underdog at home. Intangibles can be looked at this point into the season and NC State has been great on third down as it has converted 51.6 percent on offense while allowing just a 30 percent conversion rate on defense and that 21.6 percent disparity is ninth most in the FBS. Conversely, Louisville is with a positive percentage but only 5.6 percent which is good for only No. 53. The schedule can certainly play a role in these but the ranking of the two teams is only 12 spots apart. The Cardinals are 4-0 but the schedule setup tells a lot. They rolled over Murray St. is their non-FBS game while they struggled to put away both Georgia Tech and Indiana which were both away from home and decided by a combined 12 points. Louisville did roll past Boston College last week but that was at home and it was a letdown game for the Eagles coming off a near upset against Florida St. The Cardinals first three FBS have been against teams ranked at least 30 spots lower in the power rankings than NC State. Louisville has done a great job running ball as it is averaging 237.2 ypg on 6.0 ypc but face a defense that is allowing just 114.5 ypg on 3.7 ypc so this is the Cardinals biggest test on that front. 10* (114) NC State Wolfpack |
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09-28-23 | Lions -1.5 v. Packers | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The Packers are off to a 2-1 start and while they could be 3-0, they could also be 1-2 as their last two games were decided late. Green Bay blew a 12-point lead in the fourth quarter against Atlanta to lose 25-24 and last week, it rallied from a 17-0 fourth quarter deficit to win 18-17. Two things have been evident. First off, the Packers have had the benefit of facing teams with quarterback deficiencies as Justin Fields has regressed from a great ending to last season, Desmond Ridder is simply not good as he put up a 79.8 rating in the comeback win and the Saints lost Derek Carr to a shoulder injury in the third quarter and the offense was not the same. Second, while Jordan Love orchestrated the comeback, he was inconsistent after finally facing a strong defense which will be the case again this week. He put up big ratings against Chicago and Atlanta but overall, he is completing only 53.1 percent of his passes. Not only does Green Bay see another tough defense, its own defense will finally see a quarterback that can produce. Jared Goff was not asked to sling it around last week so he only amassed 243 yards but he is completing 70 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and two interceptions. The Lions were on the wrong end of a coin flip in overtime against Seattle and they never saw the ball in their only loss. Defensively, generating pressure on the quarterback was an issue the first two games but both Patrick Mahomes and Geno Smith get the ball out quick and last week, the Lions go to Ridder seven times and Love has not shown the ability to make consistent, quick decisions. 10* (101) Detroit Lions |
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09-28-23 | Jacksonville State v. Sam Houston State +6.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAM HOUSTON ST. BEARKATS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. The transition to the FBS has not been a good one for Sam Houston St. as it is off to a 0-3 start with the early schedule going totally against it. The Bearkats have yet to play a game at their campus home as they have had two true road games against BYU and Houston along with a neutral site game against Air Force and this has amounted to the No. 6 hardest schedule in the country. The offense has suffered as it has been horrid as the unit is last in success rate, yards per play and points per game this season but they finally get a break playing at home and going up against an opponent that has a much different start. Jacksonville St. is 3-1 but its schedule has been the complete opposite as it is ranked No. 168 in strength. The Gamecocks have played three of its four games at home including one against an FCS opponent as it lost by 14 points in its only road game at Coastal Carolina. Jacksonville St. has offensive questions of its own, yet to score more than 21 points against an FBS foe and this despite having a +9 turnover margin which is No. 2 in the country behind Penn St. so it has not been able to take advantage of this to go along with the soft schedule. This is not an explosive offense as the Gamecocks grind it out on the ground as they average 50 carries per game which is third most behind Air Force and Army and that has put the total as a ridiculously low 36.5 which favors the underdog at an inflated price. When factoring in the strength of schedule and other metrics, this line should be closer to a pickem than a touchdown. 10* (108) Sam Houston St. Bearkats |
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09-28-23 | Royals -101 v. Tigers | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our Divisional Game of the Month. The Royals and Tigers game from Wednesday was suspended and will resume at 1:10 with this game starting 40 minutes after. Kansas City had a six-game winning streak snapped and a 10-1 run end with a series opening loss on Tuesday and can close its road schedule win a behind its best starter. The Tigers have been playing well as they have won eight of their last 12 games pending the suspended game outcome and they made strides this season. Coming in with a 69.5 projected win total, Detroit surpassed that last Sunday but are still average at home. Cole Ragans made the transition from reliever to starter and it has been great. He made 17 relief appearances with a 5.92 ERA and entered the rotation in mid-June and in 11 starts, he has a 2.48 ERA to go along with 81 strikeouts for an 11.61 K/9 rate which would put him near the top if qualified. The Tigers have struck out 1,441 times this season, ninth most in baseball. Sawyer Gipson-Long is making a case for a rotation spot next season. He posted a 3.74 ERA in Double-A Erie and then earned a promotion to Toledo, where he had a 5.45 ERA so nothing special. He has put up a 2.40 ERA through three starts in Detroit but has not gone more than five innings. 10* (963) Kansas City Royals |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +144 v. Braves | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We lost a tough one with the Cubs last night as they blew a 5-0 lead which snapped a three-game winning streak with a lot on the line. Chicago is now a game behind Arizona for the second spot and just a half-game ahead of Miami for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. With the win last night and a Dodgers split, the Braves have a four-game lead over Los Angeles for the best record in the National League. Atlanta is just 11-11 over its last 22 games and it is laying a similar number tonight in a less advantageous pitching matchup against a team playing for a lot more. Darius Vines will be making a spot start after Max Fried will miss his place with a blister. Vines has limited experience in the Majors and has been solid with a 3.27 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over 11 innings but this is his most pressured spot. Jameson Taillon had a great six-game stretch with a 2.19 ERA in July-August before struggling by allowing 23 runs over his next five outings but has bounced back at the right times. He has posted a 1.59 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his last three starts. 10* (905) Chicago Cubs |
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09-27-23 | Nationals +222 v. Orioles | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Baltimore made it three straight wins with a 1-0 victory last night to lower its magic number to three to win the American League East. There is a lot to play for at this point and the line reflects that with the value on the road spoiler. Washington has lost two straight and four of five but it has been a better than expected season as it has exceeded its projected win total by 10 games already. The Nationals are a respectable seven games under .500 on the road and up just over 20 units. Pat Corbin gets the ball for Washington and he looks to bounce back from a bad game against Atlanta in his final outing. He opened August great with a 2.70 ERA in his first four starts but then was shelled by the Blue Jays and Mets in his next two starts before limiting Pittsburgh and Milwaukee to three runs over 12.2 innings. Grayson Rodriguez has been rock solid since coming back into the rotation in mid-July. He has gone 11 straight starts of allowing three runs or less but the wins have not been the majority as the Orioles are 6-6 in his 12 starts since coming back including 3-3 at home. 10* (929) Washington Nationals |
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09-26-23 | Cubs +122 v. Braves | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Signature Sweet Spot. The Cubs are coming off a weekend sweep of Colorado to bring in a three-game winning streak into its biggest week of a baseball season in a while. Chicago is tied with Arizona for the No. 2 Wild Card spot in the National League but Miami is just one game back with the Reds and Giants still lurking. The Braves took three of four in Washington and have a three and a half game lead over the Dodgers for the best record in the National League. Going back further, they have not been at their best as since a six-game winning streak, they have gone just 10-11 over their last 21 games. Justin Steele was the league leader in ERA for quite some time and he brought in a 2.83 ERA through his first 27 starts after going five straight starts of allowing two runs or less but was lit up in his last two outings, giving up six runs in each over nine combined innings. His biggest start of the season comes tonight. Bryce Elder was also up in the ERA leaderboard but he slipped back a while and has been really inconsistent. He has allowed four runs in each of his last two starts and going back to early July, he has put up a 5.40 ERA in his last 13 starts after posting a 2.45 ERA through his first 17 outings. 10* (957) Chicago Cubs |
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09-25-23 | Rangers v. Angels +167 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Signature Sweet Spot. The Rangers are coming off a home sweep of Seattle to make it five straight wins and they have taken over first place in the American League West with a 2.5-game lead over Houston. Texas closes the season with a six-game roadtrip and it is sitting just at .500 on the road this season. The Angels are coming off a 2-4 roadtrip and they have dropped nine of their last 11 games overall and like many teams in their position, it is about playing spoiler over the final week and they are catching a great number in this series opener. Patrick Sandoval had a rough three-game stretch where he allowed 14 runs but it coming off a solid bounce back effort and prior to that bad stretch, he had a run of eight straight starts where he allowed two runs or fewer seven times. He does not give up the big blasts as he has allowed only 12 home runs and never more than one in any game. Jon Gray got off to a great start this season but he has regressed since June and has been especially bad of late. He has posted a 7.6 ERA over his last six starts while going more than five innings only once. He has not made it out of the fourth inning in each of his last three outings and is severely overpriced here. 10* (904) Los Angeles Angels |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | Top | 25-11 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Philadelphia is off to a 2-0 start with a pair of ugly wins and it goes into a tougher than expected matchup. Offensively, something is off even though the Eagles were able to run the ball all over Minnesota with 259 yards but they cannot have that success again against a much better defensive front. The system is basically the same as last season but having a new offensive coordinator takes time to adjust to play calling. The big mismatch though is on the other side of the ball as the Eagles secondary is a mess and will be facing one of the top receiving corps in the league which can do a reversal as well and open up the running game that has been pedestrian so far. We have seen this line drop despite the majority of the money coming in on the Eagles which are going to be a very public team come kickoff. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 to start the season and it can certainly be considered a fraudulent 2-0 thank to the Buccaneers being +5 in turnover margin. While he does get a bad rap, Baker Mayfield has performed well in this offense as he is completing nearly 70 percent of his passes and has a 104.4 quarterback rating as he has avoided the turnovers. He will have plenty of looks downfield against this Eagles defense that has allowed 306 and 346 yards through the air in their first two games. While the Buccaneers defense has not faced an offensive line this strong yet, the fact they have allowed only 108 yards rushing in both games total still does say something. 10* (478) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-24-23 | Steelers v. Raiders -2.5 | Top | 23-18 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Steelers came through for us Monday in a wrong side win as they were outgained 408-255 but the defense generated four turnovers, two that led to direct touchdowns saving some fantasy teams, or ruining some, along the way as well. Pittsburgh has now been outgained 799-494 in its two games and both of those were at home and now it hits the road for the first time. Quarterback Kenny Pickett has yet to hit his sophomore stride as he is ranked No. 30 in the NFL Advance Quarterback Stats and looks lost in this offense. Part of the problem is that he has no rushing game to help him out and that is the issue on both sides. Offensively, the Steelers have rushed for 96 yards on 31 carries (3.1 ypc) and on defense, they have allowed 386 yards on 69 carries (5.6 ypc) and that is not going to get it done as the back half can only do so much. The Raiders upset Denver on the road in their opener and then jumped ahead of Buffalo 7-0 before the Bills took over last week. They are back home in Las Vegas for their home opener in hopes of getting their own running game going as they have ran for only 116 yards on 44 carries (2.6 ypc) but facing this defense can turn that around. Josh Jacobs is coming off one of his worst games ever as he carried the ball nine times for -2 yards so expect a lot more from him. The defense got torched by Josh Allen after holding Russell Wilson to just 166 yards passing the previous week and Picket will not have success. This line opened at even and move to the Steelers being the favorite but it has flipped to the Raiders side. 10* (476) Las Vegas Raiders |
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09-24-23 | Panthers +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -108 | 91 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. Carolina is off to an expected 0-2 start with a pair of division losses that could have gone either way if not or turnovers. The Panthers outgained Atlanta 281-221 but were -2 in turnovers and last Monday they could not convert in the redzone. The Carolina offense has stumbled the first two games behind rookie quarterback Bryce Young but in his defense, even though the sample size is small with just one other game played by the opposition, he has faced the No. 3 and No. 6 ranked defenses in yppl and now it will be Andy Dalton going up against the No. 30 ranked defense as Seattle is allowing 5.9 yppl and he is far from a downgrade. The running game has been just fine as the Panthers have rushed for 254 yards on 51 carries (5.0 ypc) despite Miles Sanders not breaking out yet. Seattle opened as the favorite at 4 and it jumped slightly to 4.5 and then after the Carolina loss it has moved all the way to 6 as of Wednesday. The Seahawks were outgained in regulation by 100 yards last week against Detroit after getting outgained by the Rams 426-180 so it has not gone great despite being 1-1. Give Geno Smith credit for bouncing back last week but he is still ranked just No. 18 in the NFL Advance Quarterback Stats and with both tackles still hurt, he faces an underrated defense that is ranked No. 7 in defensive yppl. The one concern was Young coming into a hostile environment as a rookie but Dalton is experienced and better equipped for the surroundings so he will be just fine and let the defense to its thing in what looks like a field goal game either way. 10* (469) Carolina Panthers |
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09-24-23 | Titans v. Browns -3 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 89 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We played against Cleveland on Monday night and won even though it was the wrong side as the Browns gave the game away with a pair of defensive touchdowns for the Steelers. Deshawn Watson was not good, especially in the clutch, but he went up against one of the top defenses in the league that people do not like to admit. The loss of Nick Chubb was devastating for him and not a good one for the Browns but not bad enough that they cannot overcome. They face another good defense here but they are in a good spot coming off that loss where they outgained the Steelers 408-255 but four turnovers overall did them in including the aforementioned two that directly turned into scores. Tennessee overcame an early 11-0 deficit to win in overtime against Los Angeles in a very even game where they lost the yardage battle by just one yard and it was a clean game with no turnovers on eighter side. The Titans come into a bad spot this week and while their defense looks good, they have allowed 282 and 281 yards passing the first two games which gives hope to Watson. The offense managed only 285 yards against the Saints in their first road game while settling for five field goals. Tennessee faced one of the worst defenses in the NFL last week after going against that tough New Orleans defense and it has another challenge here as Cleveland is the only team in the NFL where its opponent has yet to run a play in its redzone so this defense has been for real. This line opened 4.5 and went up to 5 but after Monday night, the line has come down considerably which is a big overreaction. 10* (454) Cleveland Browns |
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09-24-23 | Broncos +6.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 20-70 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC Game of the Month. One paper, this looks like a Miami lay as the Dolphins are off to a 2-0 start with both wins coming on the road while the Broncos are 0-2 with both of their losses coming at home. This is an opposite situational play based on that and we are getting value on top of backing Denver along with other factors that are not being taken into consideration. Luck factor is a big ingredient in finding value and this game fully falls into this metric with these teams on opposite ends of those ratings. The Broncos come in as the second unluckiest team at -46.4 percent as they have lost two winnable games by a combined three points. Denver was outgained by the Raiders by one yard and against Washington, it outgained the Commanders 399-388, albeit a big chunk coming on the Hail Mary, which is a slim margin but blew a 21-3 lead in the process as it fell apart down the stretch. Many are calling Russell Wilson a wash but there is more to it than a 0-2 record and an eye test as he is ranked No. 5 in the NFL Advance Quarterback Stats which include how yards are accumulated along with defensive pressure. Miami is the third luckiest team in the league at 43.2 percent coming off a couple games that could have gone either way. But because of the 2-0 start, the Dolphins are shooting up in the futures market to win the AFC and the Super Bowl while Tua Tagovailoa is now the favorite to win MVP and yes, he is ranked behind Wilson in the NFL Advance Quarterback Stats. The records alone are factoring into the number which opened at 6 and has moved to 6.5 with 7 possibly coming thanks to 80 percent of money on Miami. 10* (461) Denver Broncos |
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09-24-23 | Falcons v. Lions -3 | Top | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 89 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. The Falcons are off to a 2-0 start and were hammered when this line came out at 6 and when down to 4.5 shortly after and it continues to drop as it is down to 3.5 as of Wednesday with some 3-120 out there and a flat 3 could become available. Atlanta took care of a rookie quarterback in his first ever road game in the season opener and then was able to overcome a 12-point deficit against Green Bay last week. It has been a tale of two different offenses for the Falcons despite scoring 24 and 25 points as they put up 221 yards against the Panthers but upped that to 446 yards against Green Bay so we do not know much based on two games of 5.0 yppl and 5.8 yppl other than the fact the total of 5.3 yppl is middle of the pack and now the Falcons leave the fast turn of the dome for the first time. We played against Detroit last week as the Seahawks won in overtime with the Lions never seeing the ball and to be fair, that is a regular season rule that needs to go away. The Lions were overpriced last week against Seattle following their win over the Chiefs the previous Thursday in their opener and now we are seeing a reversal based on their loss and the Falcons undefeated start. Detroit outgained Seattle 418-393 despite not seeing the ball in overtime with 75 of those opposing yards coming after regulation. Detroit is No. 4 in the NFL in yppl at 5.9 and while the Falcons defense is ranked No. 3 in defensive yppl at 4.2, the success has mostly come in the passing defense as they have allowed only 4.2 ypa against young quarterbacks Bryce Young and Jordan Love but Jared Goff is averaging 8.1 ypa. 10* (466) Detroit Lions |
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09-23-23 | USC v. Arizona State +35 | Top | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 84 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CFB Star Attraction. USC comes in as a massive favorite which comes as no surprise as the Trojans have rolled the competition in their 3-0 start. They are averaging 59.3 ppg but they have not been tested as the last two games have come against Nevada and Stanford, ranked No. 132 and No. 105 respectively. The first game was against San Jose St. which was the best of the three at No. 78 and the Spartans were able to keep it close for a while and put up 28 points against this suspect defense. This will be their toughest opponent since then and the situation is not in their favor. USC is coming off a bye week which is insignificant here as its last two games can be constituted as byes and now the trojans hit the road for the first time with a game at Colorado on deck, also on the road. Arizona St. is off to a 1-2 start as it snuck by Southern Utah of the FCS in its opener and then lost to Oklahoma St. 27-15 before getting shutout last week against Fresno St. 29-0. The Bulldogs are a very underrated 3-0 but even with that, the Sun Devils gave the game away by losing the turnover battle 8-0 and no team is going to compete with a differential like that. To their credit, the defense played well, allowing just 350 yards of offense and holding Fresno St. to seven field goal attempts. Here, we play against teams with a turnover differential of +0.75 per game or better and after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better going up against teams with a turnover differential of -0.75 per game or worse. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (370) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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09-23-23 | Cardinals +174 v. Padres | Top | 5-2 | Win | 174 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Signature Sweet Spot. San Diego is making a run in the National League Wild Card as it has won eight straight games and sits four games back. The problem is there are four teams to leapfrog with only eight games remaining so time has basically run out and this is a good spot for the streak to end. St. Louis has dropped four straight games after the loss last night and the offense has averaged only 1.8 rpg over this skid. The Cardinals have a shot to get the bats going tonight at a good price. Jake Woodford gets the ball for the Cardinals and will be making his first start in the bigs since April. He had been out since late June with a right shoulder strain and is coming off a solid rehab stint and in his last one, he allowed just one hit while striking out six over five shutout innings in a rehab start with Double-A Springfield on Wednesday. Nick Martinez gets another spot outing for San Diego as he made a pair of starts in August and then went back to the bullpen before another start on Sunday. He went three innings, which was the case for all three and this will basically be a bullpen game for the Padres who went through four relivers last night. 10* (911) St. Louis Cardinals |
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09-23-23 | Iowa +15 v. Penn State | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big 10 Game of the Month. One of the late marquee matchups takes place in Happy Valley with Penn St. and Iowa squaring off in a big early conference showdown. The Nittany Lions are 3-0 while covering all three of those games which includes a win at Illinois last week in their Big Ten opener by a score of 30-13 but that was a misleading final. Penn St. won the yardage battle by just 29 total yards but were +5 in turnovers which completely skewed the game and the big win and cover are inflating this line which should be single digits according to our numbers. The Nittany Lions are ranked No. 7 in our rankings which is equivalent to the biased AP Poll while Iowa comes in No. 20, higher than its No. 24 ranking in the AP Poll. This place in tough at night for opponents but this has never been a good matchup for Penn St. and it should be another epic battle. Iowa is also 3-0 and while its wins are not as big, they have been equally impressive considering the schedule ranks are separated by only nine spots so the level of competition has been very similar. The offense came to life last week which was big for the confidence of this team as they were finally able to get a running game going. It will not be easy here but the Hawkeyes still bank on one of the top defenses in the country that has allowed just 12.3 ppg and faces an offense whose numbers are inflated by a 63-7 win over Delaware. Here, we play on road teams with a scoring defense allowing 14 or fewer ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (425) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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09-23-23 | Nevada +17.5 v. Texas State | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 80 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Texas St. opened the season with one of the biggest upsets of the season as it won at Baylor by 11 points as a 26.5-point underdog which immediately put the Bobcats on the map. They followed that up with a loss against UTSA by a touchdown but they were outgained by 130 total yards as it really should not have been that close. Texas St. bounced back with a resounding 77-34 win last week but that was against Jackson St. of the FCS but the Tigers are not a very good team even from that division. That victory has propelled this line to nearly the same as they were favored by last week which is a complete overreaction even though it comes against a winless team. Nevada is off to a 0-3 start that does include a loss against Idaho of the FCS but the Vandals are actually one of the best teams there, ranked No. 4 in power rating among FCS teams. The Wolf Pack were thumped by USC which is not a concern as they were 38-point underdogs and they are coming off their best effort last week as they lost to Kansas by just a touchdown that was not decided until late in the fourth quarter and they closed as four-touchdown underdogs. Texas St. has consecutive road SBC games on deck which put it in a tough spot coming off a feel good about itself win and going into a lookahead situation while facing a nonconference opponent. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off 2 or more consecutive unders and getting outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg on the season. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (397) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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09-23-23 | Hamilton +10 v. Toronto | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. The Ti-Cats have turned their season around and not only looking for a playoff spot, but one taking place at home. Hamilton has won three of its last four games to move to 6-7 and it has eased quarterback Taylor Powell into a spot where he has found success. He got off to a rough start but has come into his own as the Ti-Cats have let him open up the offense. Over his last five starts, he is 109-149 (73.2 percent) for 1,298 yards with eight touchdowns and just two interceptions and he is clearly becoming more comfortable. Toronto remains the top team in the CFL and is coming off a crazy win over Montreal that included everything down the stretch. The last two minutes saw a key interception that led to the game winning field goal as well as a blocked field goal to secure the 11th win of the season with just the one clunker loss in Calgary. Motivation is the tough part now as the Argonauts could have a tough time staying focused with no meaningful games coming up. This is a rivalry game and Toronto has dominated with three wins this season by 18, 16 and 13 points so we have Hamilton in revenge mode and with a new outlook. 10* (687) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-23-23 | Central Michigan +16 v. South Alabama | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. South Alabama is coming off a 10-3 season and comes into this campaign as the leading contender in the SBC West. The Jaguars are 2-1 to start the season and coming off a huge upset against Oklahoma St. last week as they won 33-7 as one touchdown underdogs with many calling it the biggest win in program history and that has inflated this number which is off by five points according to our numbers. South Alabama is a loaded team that brought back 18 starters but three key starters are out as its second leading running back from last season. The Jaguars had three home games last season following a road win and while they won all three, two were by just a touchdown as over two touchdown favorites and they open conference action next week on the road at James Madison. Central Michigan is 1-2 with bookend losses at Michigan St. and Notre Dame sandwiched around a win against New Hampshire of the FCS. The Chippewas have not done much in the passing game but this is a run first offense that brought back four of their top five rushers from last season. One of those is quarterback Bert Emanuel Jr. but he missed the game last week against Notre Dame due to illness but will be back this week. He was the MAC West Offensive Play of the Week two weeks ago. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game, returning five or less offensive starters going up against teams returning eight or more defensive starters. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (395) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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09-23-23 | Maryland v. Michigan State +8 | Top | 31-9 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Michigan St. opened the season with a pair of wins over Central Michigan and Richmond but it has all come crashing down. The Spartans were involved in the first big scandal of the college football season with head coach Mel Tucker being suspended last week, and eventually fired this week, and they were no match for Washington which came into East Lansing and rolled 41-7. Michigan St. clearly did not show up as it was unable to move the ball and while the defense was torched through the air, the distractions were too much against one of the best teams in the country. They remain home to host their conference opener which will be their last home game in a month and the line has moved in their direction and is inflated. The Terrapins are off to a 3-0 start but those wins were against Towson of the FCS, Charlotte and Virginia, the latter two ranked No. 149 and No. 110 respectively. Michigan St. is ranked No. 51 which is not good by its standards but easily the best team Maryland has faced. Additionally, all three of those games were at home and Maryland has been a suspect road team of late, going 7-17 in its last 24 road games. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa has gotten off to good start with 889 yards passing just at just a 66 percent slip while throwing only five touchdowns and two interceptions. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 34 or more ppg and after scoring 37 points or more last game going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (380) Michigan St. Spartans |
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09-23-23 | Georgia Southern v. Ball State +6.5 | Top | 40-3 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our CFB Upset Special. This is an interesting scenario where Georgia Southern has a positive misleading factor in its favor but also a few negatives that may not be taken into account with this number. It is coming off its first loss of the season against Wisconsin by 21 points but it was a misleading final as the Eagles won the yardage battle but lost the turnover margin 6-0 and no team can recover from that. While they did outgain the Badgers, Wisconsin is not a good team so the fact that yardage advantage happened should be no surprise. The two victories came against The Citadel of the FCS and a pretty bad UAB team and overall, Georgia Southern has played a schedule ranked No. 160. Ball St. opened the season as tough as it can get and even though many are calling the SEC being in a down year, the Cardinals went on the road the first two weeks at Kentucky and Georgia so going 0-2 was a given. They bounced back with a win last week against Indiana St. of the FCS which is far from a quality win but it provided confidence and a chance to cure the ills. Ball St. has played the No. 9 ranked schedule. They got a spark from the running game and will utilize that here against an Eagles defense that was torched last week on the ground and while that might not be a surprise, The Citadel did the same in the opener. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 440 or more ypg and after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 86-41 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (350) Ball St. Cardinals |
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09-23-23 | Florida State v. Clemson +2.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. One of the marquee games of the weekend will go a long way in which teams are going to make it to the ACC Championship. Florida St. will have the inside track with a win here as it could hand Clemson two conference losses and early money is banking on that happening but we do not see it. The Seminoles already own a big quality win over LSU which bodes well as far as having the experience of favoring a power opponent and winning for that matter. Obviously, the Seminoles looked horrible last week against lowly Boston College but we are not banking any of that on this play as they were clearly in lookahead mode. The big factor is the matchup as any strength they have is negated by the opposite strength from Clemson. The Tigers opened the season with a bad loss against Duke and not bad because it was Duke because the Blue Devils are an excellent team, but bad from the standpoint where they basically lost the game on their own. Clemson outgained Duke 422-374 but costly turnovers in the wrong places did them in. They have rebounded with a pair of winners over much lesser teams but that is not a bad thing as the Tigers have been able to get those kinks out. The home field edge will come into play here and it would be even more so if it was at night but it is still a great schedule spot. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 34 or more ppg and after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg. This situation is 45-16 ATS (73.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (336) Clemson Tigers |
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09-22-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State +4 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. All four games on Friday feature home underdogs and the shortest of the bunch is San Jose St. and it is no surprise that Air Force is dominating the early money but this line is low for a reason and betting on just the record will be the popular play here. San Jose St. is off to a 1-3 start during nonconference action with the only win coming against Cal Poly of the FCS. Two of those losses were against USC and Oregon St. from the Pac 12 with the latter being a sleeper contender, and Toledo, which is a top contender in the MAC. While the talent level in the conference is not top notch, quarterback Chevan Cordeiro is one of the top signal callers in the MWC as he is a Preseason Second Team selection after a very underrated season a year ago where he threw for 3,251 yards with 23 touchdowns and six interceptions. Overall, nine starters on offense are back. Air Force is off to a 3-0 start and has dominated everywhere but it has played no one. The Falcons are a top team in the conference no doubt and have won eight straight games going back to last season but this is definitely a challenge. They have played Robert Morris of the FCS, San Houston St. which is one year removed from the FCS and a rebuilding Utah St. team so this is easily the first real test and it comes in their first true road game. The Falcons are dominating on the ground as per usual but gone from last season is quarterback Haaziq Daniels who was a three-year starter and ran the triple option to perfection. San Jose. St. has five starters back on defense and while it will not be easy, they can slow it down. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a home win by 17 points or more, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) San Jose St. Spartans |
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09-22-23 | BC -6 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 39 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Once the doormat of the CFL after a 0-9 start to the season, Edmonton has made strides of late to come out of the basement after winning four of its last five games. The offense has picked it up over this stretch and the Elks have scored 30 or more points in three of their last four games but those were all against losing teams as have the four wins during this recent run. One teams they have not been able to solve is B.C. as they have dropped both meetings this season while not scoring a point, getting shutout by a combined score of 49-0. B.C. went through a bit of a rough stretch where it lost three of four games but has since won its last two games to get to 9-4 on the season, which is just a half-game behind Winnipeg in the West Division. The Lions have some momentum on their side as they were up against the ropes last week, trailing Ottawa 37-18 entering the fourth quarter but scored 23 unanswered points in a 41-37 win. B.C. failed to cover for the third time in four games and are catching value here and the goal is to get to Week 18 with a shot to overtake Winnipeg in their final meeting of the season. 10* (683) B.C. Lions |
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09-22-23 | Mets +145 v. Phillies | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Mets lost the series opener last night 5-4 as it once again fell to a lefty starter where they are now 15-33 on the season but square off against a struggling righty tonight to look to improve their 56-49 record against right-handed starters. With a losing season record guaranteed, it is time to just play spoiler. The Phillies have won two straight games and five of their last seven following a 5-9 stretch and they are all but guaranteed a playoff spot. They are five games up from the No. 4 spot and are three games ahead of Arizona for the top spot but have a challenge tonight. Tylor Megill got back into the rotation in early August and it was not a good start as he allowed 10 runs in 10 innings over two starts but has settled down and staking a claim for next season. He has a 3.13 ERA over his last six starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of those. Taijuan Walker burst into the rotation with a great stretch through June where he posted a 3.93 ERA over his first 17 starts but he has a 5.12 ERA over his last 12 outings, allowing four runs or more six times. Three of those have been in his last three where his ERA is 7.27. 10* (957) New York Mets |
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09-22-23 | Blue Jays +139 v. Rays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 139 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Toronto had its five-game winning streak snapped with a loss to the Yankees and Gerrit Cole who has been unbeatable at home with New York now 16-2 in his 18 home starts. The Blue Jays hold down the No. 3 Wild Card spot by a half-game in the American League with nine games left. Tampa Bay has secured its playoff spot and sits a game and a half behind Baltimore in the American League East with eight games remaining. The Rays are just 2-3 over their last five games and a favorable schedule has gotten them to within striking distance. Chris Bassitt has had a great season and looks to build off three quality outings over his last four starts. He has pitched better at home than on the road but the away numbers are skewed because of three bad starts June and prior. Take those away and his road ERA goes from 4.64 in 15 outings to 2.77 in the other 12 starts. Tyler Glasnow has been the ace of the staff with Shane McClanahan being out since early August. He has not looked the part of late as he has allowed 10 runs in 10 innings over his last two starts and he has allowed four runs or more in three of his last six outings. 10* (965) Toronto Blue Jays |
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09-21-23 | Giants +10.5 v. 49ers | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -108 | 61 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The advance line opened at 9.5 and moved to 10 by Sunday night following the Saquon Barkley injury and has now shot up to 10.5 and 11 in some spots after the news that Barkley will be out a few games. it is a big blow to both Barkley, who is playing for a contract and incentives, and to the Giants but nothing they cannot get past here. The early money is all over San Francisco for obvious reasons and it will likely continue to pour in on the 49ers leading into Thursday. New York is coming off a must needed win and it took a huge second half comeback and while it takes a big step up in competition here, the linesmakers know that. After six quarters of dreadful offense, the Giants finally got things going in the second half against the Cardinals and they can carry that momentum into Thursday. It is a short week with a second consecutive road game but New York stayed out west so it is not at a big disadvantage from that standpoint. The 49ers have won both of their games without much resistance from the Steelers or Rams and while coming into the season as a public team, they are even more so now. From a situational standpoint, they do not have an edge here coming off a divisional game while also playing on a short week in the same timeframe. The defense did show vulnerabilities against the pass last week as they were unable to contain rookie Puka Nacua despite him being targeted 20 times. This is a spot where the Giants rookie Jalin Hyatt could see more coming his way after being targeted only twice last week but gaining 89 yards. Offensively, quarterback Brock Purdy has been decent yet unspectacular and the Giants defense can build on its momentum as well. Excellent contrarian spot. Here, we play on road teams after playing their last game on the road, in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (301) New York Giants |
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09-21-23 | Pirates +155 v. Cubs | Top | 8-6 | Win | 155 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Signature Sweet Spot. After losing the opener of this series 14-1 on Tuesday, the Pirates bats responded with a 13-7 win last night as they roughed up Justin Steele in the fourth inning. Pittsburgh has won five of its last eight games and will continue to play spoiler the remainder of the season and catching a number here. Chicago has seen a likely playoff spot go to far from a guarantee quickly as it has lost six of its last seven games and is 3-9 over its last 12 games. The Cubs still remain in the No. 3 spot in the National League Wild Card, percentage points ahead of Miami but are one of four teams within two and a half games vying for two spots. Johan Oviedo has been pitching well down the stretch following a mid-August blip. He has posted a 2.73 ERA over his last five starts which includes a complete game shutout in the mix. He has allowed three runs or less in 17 of his last 23 outings. Kyle Hendricks has followed a similar path this season although he has been a little more inconsistent of late making him an overpriced favorite. Chicago had a nice run of going 7-2 in a nine-start stretch but the Cubs have gone just 4-7 in his last 11 outings. 10* (907) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina -6.5 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Georgia St. is off to a 3-0 start with both FBS wins coming by at least 16 points. The Panthers have yet to be tested and they did get a scare in their opener against Rhode Island of the FCS as they won by a touchdown with the difference maker ending being an interception returned for a score. They are coming off their first road game of the season which came against a bad Charlotte team that is expected to finish near the bottom of the 14-team AAC. A bright spot was quarterback Darren Grainger who went off for 466 yards on 27-33 passing and three touchdowns. He will be facing a much tougher test against a Coastal Carolina defense that is allowing just 202 ypg passing on only 55.4 percent completions. The Chanticleers rolled over Duquesne last week in their FCS game and while that was not a good indicator of what to expect, they do have one solid opponent they have played. Coastal Carolina went to UCLA and played the Bruins tough as they fell 27-13 and it was a one-point game going into the fourth quarter and just a one possession game with less than six minutes remaining. That made it four straight losses for the Chanticleers going back to last season but all of those game were away from home and they have rolled in their two home games since and going back, the SBC contenders are 21-2 in their last 23 home games with one of those losses coming against Georgia St. two years ago by two points. As a matter of fact, these teams have met over the last six years with the home team yet to win and that streak finally comes to an end this season behind the best player on the field in quarterback Grayson McCall who can show his stuff in a stand alone game. 10* (304) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers |
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09-20-23 | Brewers +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Signature Sweet Spot. Milwaukee snapped a two-game slide with a 7-3 win on Tuesday to keep its lead in the National League Central at six games over the Cubs with 11 games remaining. The Brewers improved to 40-36 on the road for +6.9 units and yet come in as the slight underdogs tonight. St. Louis had won two straight games including the milestone 200th win for Adam Wainwright and losses have been contagious all season. The Cardinals are now 17 games under .500 and they have dropped of their last 17 games following a loss including six of seven when the first loss follows a win. After a rough July and August where he posted a 5.32 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in nine starts, Adrian Houser was put on the IL but he returned last week and put up a solid effort against Miami, allowing two runs on five hits and no walks over five innings. His return is crucial for the late and postseason for the Brewers. Zack Thompson got back into the rotation in early August after one June start and was solid with a 3.90 ERA in six starts but posted his worst outing last time out where he allowed four runs over five innings against the Phillies. His last three starts have all been in fact his worst since his return and now he is favored once again. 10* (961) Milwaukee Brewers |
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09-19-23 | Angels +187 v. Rays | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Angels were sniffing the postseason at one point and made some small moved to bolster their roster but injuries to their two stars were too much to overcome. They have lost five straight games heading into this series but this roster is full of players getting looks for next season so there is zero quit. Tampa Bay opened its four-game set at Baltimore with a pair of wins to tie for the American League East lead but it dropped the final two games and is now 2.5 games back. The Rays have clinched a playoff berth however and do not have an ideal matchup tonight at this price especially. Patrick Sandoval has had a rough three-game stretch where he has allowed 14 runs but prior to that he had a run of eight straight starts where he allowed two runs or fewer seven times. He does not give up the big blasts as he has allowed only 11 home runs and never more than one in any game. Taj Bradley is back in the rotation which is mostly because of necessity due to injuries. He posted a 5.67 ERA in 16 starts before being optioned to AAA and while he came back with a solid outing against Cleveland, he has allowed eight runs in 11 innings in his last two starts, including five home runs given up. 10* (913) Los Angeles Angels |
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09-19-23 | Twins v. Reds +133 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Minnesota remains in cruise control as it is 16-14 in its last 20 games following a 7-3 loss last night. The Twins have not won more than two consecutive games since early August and at just seven games over .500. they have a seven-game lead in the American League Central only because the rest of the division is trash. Cincinnati has picked it up in its quest for a Wild Card berth as the win last night put the Reds at 10-6 in September and every game counts at this point. Cincinnati is one of four teams separated by only one games vying for two wild card spots with it being currently tied for the third spot with Chicago. Kenta Maeda gets the ball for the Twins and he is coming off a rare quality outing after going five straight games without one. He has been very consistent to his credit as he has allowed more than three runs only once in his last 15 starts but he does not go deep and the Twins are 1-4 in his last five road starts. Part of the reason for the underdog number at home is that Fernando Cruz gets the start as the opener in what will be a bullpen game with Ben Lively likely getting the bulk relief work. This is not a bad setup for the Reds which have a strong bullpen with one of the best WHIPs in baseball. 10* (926) Cincinnati Reds |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 110 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Overreaction time ends in Week Two on Monday night between the Browns and Steelers. Obviously, the line needs to be reactive to what happened last week but the adjustments can be too big, which is the case here. The Steelers were -1 on the advance line, but because they were hammered by the 49ers at home coupled with the Cleveland win at home, the line has flipped over a field goal. As a comparison, Pittsburgh closed +1 against San Francisco and now it is getting a point and a half more against a team not on the same level as the 49ers. The Steelers were dominated on both sides of the ball but that was against arguably the best roster in the league and we will get a better effort this week and they have the advantage of remaining home on a short week. Also factoring into the line is the fact Cleveland rolled over Cincinnati last week but the Browns had an advantageous situation. The weather played a big factor as it took away the prolific Bengals passing attack and adding to that was that quarterback Joe Burrow missed all of camp with a calf injury and his rust was evident. Cleveland held Cincinnati to only 142 total yards and while it does possess a strong defense facing a team that put up just 239 yards of offense last week, it will not be a repeat. This is a great bounce back situation with a line in our favor. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (292) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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09-18-23 | Mets +142 v. Marlins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 142 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our Divisional Game of the Month. The Marlins bats came alive when needed this weekend as they scored 32 run in their three-game sweep over Atlanta. To put that in perspective, they scored 28 runs in their previous nine games. Miami one of four teams within a half game of the final two Wild Card spots in the National League. New York salvaged the series finale against the Reds in an 8-4 win on Sunday thanks to another strong effort from Jose Quintana. The Mets picked up a rare win over a lefty where they are 15-31 but have gone 54-49 against right-handed starters and have a good pitching matchup tonight. While the Mets season is dead, some players are playing for next season and one of those is Jose Butto who looks to make a strong case for the rotation. He made a couple decent starts in April and then went up and down from AAA with a couple relief appearances before making two start to open the month and both were good as he allowed three runs over 11.1 combined innings. Edward Cabrera is back in the rotation, making his first start since July after being sent down to AAA. He made two bulk relief appearances to open the month and he did not allow much damage but his command issues are still there as he walked six in 4.2 innings last time out. Overall, he has 60 walks in just 85.2 innings. 10* (951) New York Mets |
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09-17-23 | Giants -5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -108 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Non-Division Game of the Month. The Giants had one of the worst efforts in Week One as they were the only teams that did not score a point but we cannot go off one just one week in this situation. Unfortunately, we are not getting a similar overreaction line with New York like other teams but that is based on the opponent. This has already turned into a huge game for the Giants as they are looking right at a 0-3 start should they not show up here as they have to travel to San Francisco next week and there is no chance of a look ahead. Coaching is huge for a recovery and last season under Brian Daboll, the Giants went 7-0 ATS following a loss. Arizona is expected to be the worst team in the NFL with a new staff and a poor quarterback on a bad roster. The Cardinals are coming off a valiant effort against Washington last week as they lost by just four points but were fortunate. The Commanders gave it up three times while the Arizona offense could do nothing, generating only 210 yards on 3.8 yppl. While they face a defense that allowed 40 points, it was not the defense that was at fault as New York allowed only 248 yards to the Cowboys. Offensively, Daniel Jones was under pressure the whole game and it will be a different story this week. Here, we play on road teams off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 22-2 ATS (91.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (279) New York Giants |
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09-17-23 | Giants v. Rockies +155 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco is starting to play itself out of the Wild Card in the National League as it lost both game of the doubleheader on Saturday to make it three straight losses. The Giants are now 2.5 games out of the final playoff spot with three teams to surpass. Colorado is on a five-game winning streak which comes right after five straight losses and the difference has been playing at home. The Rockies are 22-53 on the road which is tied with Oakland for the second worst road record in baseball but they are only five games under .500 at home and up six units. Sean Manaea will be getting another rare start on Sunday following a start Tuesday which went well but still resulted in a loss as he has been coming out of the bullpen since May. He has made seven starts this season and it has not gone well with a 6.35 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in just 28.1 innings. Chris Flexen has been up and down this season but has been better after an awful April as he re-entered the rotation in late July. He is coming off a good outing against the Cubs where he allowed three runs in 5.1 innings and has allowed three runs or less in three of his last five starts. 10* (910) Colorado Rockies |
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09-17-23 | Nationals +236 v. Brewers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 236 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Washington lost its fifth straight game on Saturday in a 9-5 loss with Milwaukee scoring four runs in the bottom of the eighth inning to pull it out. The Nationals have been a solid play on team this season as they are up over 18 units with all of that success coming on the road at +18.9 units. Milwaukee has won three straight games and the Brewers have increased their lead in the National League Central to 6.5 games over the Cubs. They are again laying a massive number and while yesterday was feasible with Corbin Burnes but not today. Pat Corbin gets the ball for Washington and he looks to build off a solid performance. He opened August great with a 2.70 ERA in his first four starts but then was shelled by the Blue Jays and Mets in his next two starts before limiting Pittsburgh to two runs on five hits and eight strikeouts over 6.2 innings and most important, no home runs allowed. Brandon Woodruff has been very solid since coming back into the rotation in August and will be an important part of the playoff rotation. He is coming off a complete game shutout over Miami where he allowed just six hits and one walk but did toss 106 pitches. 10* (905) Washington Nationals |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 99 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. We have seen a ton of line movement in a lot of games this week and this is one of those based on the results from last week. Seattle looked atrocious against the Rams on both sides of the ball as it was outgained 426-180 and anyone who was on the Seahawks are certainly hopping off this week. The advance line was 2.5 points and has skyrocketed up to 6 points based on that game as well as the other side of things. Typically no team in the NFL looks as good or bad as they did the previous week and we are expecting a bounce back game from the Seahawks. Detroit is off the upset on Thursday night against Kansas City and while it did outgain the Chiefs in the victory, the difference in the game was the pick six and the fact that the Chiefs receivers were abysmal. The Lions have moved up the power rankings and remain one of just a handful of teams expected to contend in the NFC but now they are overpriced. Detroit could very well be deserving of having an inflated line but it has not really proven much yet especially this early in the season. Offensively, the Lions do have a good matchup but on the other side, the defense is still a work in progress and Seattle will certainly be better than last week. Here, we play on road teams off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 22-2 ATS (91.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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09-17-23 | Raiders v. Bills -9.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. We played against the Bills and thought that was as dead bet four plays into the game but the Jets defense came through and stifled the Bills once again similar to both games last season. Buffalo is back home and while some are already writing them off, that is a horrible take as this is still a top 10 team and expect Josh Allen to recover. He goes from facing one of the best defenses in the NFL to one of the worst and being at home helps. He has gone 9-4 ATS in his last 13 games following a loss. The defense did catch a break with Aaron Rodgers going down and while they struggled to stop the run, their gameplan was shot and will be ready for a run heavy opponent this week. The Raiders pulled off the mild upset in Denver but is Los Angeles a good team or is Denver once again bad? We lean to the former. There were missed reactions about the Raiders coming into the season as they were anywhere from a sleeper contender to one of the worst team in the league and despite a good defensive effort last week, this defense is not good and that will show up here. Russell Wilson was unable to get the ball down field but still completed 79 percent of his passes and Allen brings in a whole different dynamic. Five of the last eight wins last season were by one possession but those were all after Allen was injured and now we get him healthy coming off an awful game. 10* (274) Buffalo Bills |
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09-17-23 | Chiefs -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 98 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. The Chiefs were unable to please the home crowd following their Super Bowl win as they lost an ugly opener against Detroit, a game they could have started to put away but mistakes cost them. Patrick Maholmes had a fairly average night but he was not totally at fault as of his 18 incompletions, eight were flat out dropped passes. Kansas City was missing two of its top players on each side of the ball in the opener but both are expected back. Tight end Travis Kelce will return to help in the passing game on offense and that is huge against this defense that is not good in the middle and Kelce exposed that last season with 20 catches for 173 yards and three touchdowns in the two meetings. Jacksonville opened its season with a victory but that was against the Colts which are one of the worst teams in the league and now the Jaguars go from facing a rookie quarterback to going up against Maholmes coming off a loss. The Jaguars allowed 280 yards to the Colts but it is a different story this week. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has come into his own after some early struggles but will face a tougher test here. He struggled against the Chiefs in the playoffs last season and while his regular season game was much better, he was still sacked five times. Last week against Kansas City he would have been in a better place but now Chris Jones is expected back, which adds a whole new element. 10* (275) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-16-23 | Dodgers v. Mariners +134 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our I.L. Game of the Month. Seattle had its two-game winning streak snapped with a 6-3 loss last night. The Mariners remain in the third spot in the American League Wild Card but are just a half game ahead of Toronto. They are still 10 games over .500 at home and has a good pitching matchup as this number is priced by name. Since a 24-4 run that started August 1, the Dodgers have not been playing their best as they are 6-8 over their last 14 games and trail the Braves by 6.5 games with 16 games remaining so catching them for the best record in the National League is likely gone. Clayton Kershaw missed all of July and part of August and he has been brought back slowly and that will be the case for the rest of the regular season. He has not gone more than five innings and has not surpassed 84 pitches in his five starts and is coming off his worst outing of the bunch. Also, he has given up one-third of his total home runs allowed over this stretch. Bryce Miller has had five bad outings this season out of his 22 total starts and when he has been good, he has been really good. He has a 4.05 ERA and 1.11 WHIP overall and take out those five bad starts and he has put up a 2.00 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his other 18 outings, allowing one run or less 12 times. 10* (980) Seattle Mariners |
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09-16-23 | Wyoming +30 v. Texas | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 56 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Wyoming has quietly put together two straight winning seasons and over the last seven seasons, the Cowboys have finished below .500 only once and that was the 2-4 COVID season in 2020. Head coach Craig Bohl has turned the program around and Wyoming should be better this season as it returns 15 starters including 10 from an already strong defense. They opened the season with an impressive come-from-behind win over Texas Tech in double overtime as they rallied from a 17-0 deficit. Wyoming followed that up with a less than impressive win over Portland St. by 14 points but a letdown was not a surprise especially with this game on deck. While this is their first road game, the spot and line set up great. Texas is coming off a monumental win at Alabama last week to improve to 2-0 and it has moved up to No. 4 in the AP Poll and in its own letdown spot this week with its Big XII opener on deck next week at Baylor. To their credit last season, they rolled over UTSA following their one point loss against Alabama but a loss is different than a win and that certainly affects the future line going forward. The Longhorns have played mistake free football as they have yet to turn it over, going +5 in turnover margin and while they were able to move the ball well against the Crimson Tide, they go up against a sneaky good defense here. 10* (201) Wyoming Cowboys |
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09-16-23 | Georgia Tech +18.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 23-48 | Loss | -115 | 56 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CFB Star Attraction. Mississippi is coming off a fight last week at Tulane as it was a misleading final score. The Rebels were up by just one touchdown with less than two minutes remaining and were able to make it a two-score game on a 56-yard field goal and then scored on a fumble recovery to seal it. They outgained the Green Wave by only 21 total yards and this outcome probably would have been a lot different has Tulane quarterback Michael Pratt been able to play. That score result as well as the 73-7 shellacking of Mercer to open the season is inflating this number and it continued to rise after opening. Mississippi will not have an easy out here and with Alabama on deck, there could very well be a look ahead. Georgia Tech is 1-1 as it opened with a tough five-point loss against Louisville as it won the yardage battle but was -1 in turnovers and then bounced back last week with a 48-13 win over South Carolina St. Even though that was an FCS opponent, the Yellow Jackets have to feel good about their offense that has already scored more points in both games than they did in 11 games last season. This is nearly an identical situation as last year when it won an FCS game and then faced Mississippi only to lose 42-0 but that was with Geoff Collins as head coach who was fired immediately after. Brent Key has this team believing and is 5-5 since taking over with two of those losses coming by one possession. 10* (189) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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09-16-23 | BYU v. Arkansas -7.5 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Arkansas went through the motions last week against an undermanned Kent St. team and won by a score of just 28-6. The Razorbacks are 2-0 as they were favored by 38 points in both of those games and this is an important game to put together a solid effort on both sides of the ball. It is a brutal stretch coming up with four games against LSU, Texas A&M, Mississippi and Alabama with none of those taking place at home. The Razorbacks have held Western Carolina and Kent St. to 102 yards rushing on 65 carries (1.6 ypc) and while this will be a bigger test, it is not that much of a challenge coming in. Quarterback K.J. Jefferson has been efficient as he has completed nearly 74 percent of his passes for 382 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions. BYU is also 2-0 but it is an unimpressive 2-0. The Cougars narrowly defeated Sam Houston St. 14-0, its first year at the FBS level, and then took out Southern Utah 41-16 last week but they outgained the Thunderbirds by only 48 total yards. They are led by quarterback Keydon Slovis who is with his third program in three years and he has been average fitting into another new system, completing just over 64 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and one interception. The running game has been non-existent as BYU has rushed for 158 yards on 57 carries (2.8 ypc). Tough atmosphere in the first night game in Fayetteville this season. 10* (198) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 56 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our SEC Game of the Month. Florida caught a tough scheduling break to open the season as it had to travel to Utah which came in on a 27-2 run its last 29 home games. The No. 10 ranked defensive line in the country held the Gators to 13 yards rushing on 20 carries and without that, they could get nothing going. Quarterback Graham Mertz played a solid game going 31-44 for 333 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Florida got its game together last week against McNeese St. and while it was far from a test, it got the needed reps to get the balance back and rushed for 327 yards with Mertz not needed and not playing the whole game. He can light this Tennessee defense up as the Volunteers were No. 128 last season in passing defense and came into this season with the No. 8 ranked secondary in the SEC. Tennessee had no issue with Virginia to open the season but came out slow last week against Austin Peay and won by a score of just 30-13. Call it a possible lookahead to this game but giving up 260 yards passing to the Governors is uncalled for. Quarterback Joe Milton III is still inaccurate while he did not play well in his lone road start at Vanderbilt and this is a much tougher test. The Volunteers will try and establish the run where it has been pretty average and Florida has been solid in both game stopping the run as it improved its talent along the front seven in the transfer portal. Upset alert in Gainesville. 10* (176) Florida Gators |
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09-16-23 | North Texas +5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 40-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Upset Special. North Texas came up small for us last week as the Mean Green lost to Florida International by a touchdown despite outgaining the Panthers as turnovers did them in. Three to be exact including an interception that was returned 40 yards for a touchdown. North Texas now goes from an 11.5-point road favorite to a 4.5-point road underdog against a team that is not 15 points better. The 0-2 start is playing into the line which is an overreaction. The defense has been bad over the first two games but they face an offense that has struggled against FBS foes and with a bye week on deck, full focus will be on display. Louisiana Tech is off to a 2-1 start and while it rolled over Northwestern St. last week, that was an FCS opponent and the Bulldogs have not looked good in the two FBS games they have played. They got destroyed at SMU 38-14 as the offense mustered only 269 total yards which came after a season opening win against Florida International by five points. They did win the yardage battle by a 268 yards but they struggled in key situations which led to five field goal attempts while committing a pair of costly turnovers. This is the first season for quarterback Hank Bachmeier who is a transfer from Boise St. and he has regressed each game while completing 67 percent of his passes for 684 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. 10* (179) North Texas Mean Green |
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09-16-23 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +6.5 | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TI-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We won with Winnipeg last week in its revenge game against Saskatchewan in a 51-6 blowout victory and now the Blue Bombers are in a letdown spot in a long travel week. This is clearly one of the top teams in the CFL and the lines have reflected that and they again come in as a big road favorite with the public all of them again. Winnipeg is one of the top teams because of its offense but the defense has been a letdown, namely on the road. In seven home games, the Blue Bombers have allowed just 261.9 ypg but in six road games they have allowed 372.2 ypg and have allowed at least 28 points to three teams that have started rookie quarterbacks. They face another one today in Hamilton quarterback Taylor Powell who got off to a rough start but has come into his own as the Ti-Cats have let him open up the offense. Over his last four starts, he is 89-123 (72.4 percent) for 1,062 yards with seven touchdowns and just one interception and his yards per game has gone up in each game. The Ti-Cats are 5-7 and fighting for a playoff spot and while they have struggled at home this season, they are now better equipped to improve and with the offensive line back to full strength, they should keep that going. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) Hamilton Ti-Cats |
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09-16-23 | East Carolina +9.5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 28-43 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES for our CFB Signature Enforcer. East Carolina has started 0-2 but it has been a tale of two different scenarios. The Pirates went to Ann Arbor and hung around admirably against Michigan in the 30-3 loss as they held the Wolverines to 122 yards rushing on 31 carries (3.9 ypc). Last week, they had their home opener against Marshall and East Carolina had a 13-10 lead before a lengthy weather delay completely changed the flow of the game and the Pirates came out of the break flat and allowed 21 fourth quarter points to lose 31-13. East Carolina has qualified for a bowl the last two seasons and while they lost a few key starters, a couple games under their belt in a benefit. This is a great bounce back spot as the Pirates are 14-3 ATS in heir last 17 games as single digit underdogs when coming off a double-digit loss. Appalachian St. is coming off a tough loss against North Carolina for a second straight season as it lost in overtime 40-34. The Mountaineers got bludgeoned on the ground, allowing 319 yards on 45 carries (7.1 ypc) after allowing 134 yards on 27 carries (5.0 ypc) against Gardner Webb of the FCS where they outgained the Bulldogs by just 29 total yards. Like the Pirates, they are down a lot of starters form last season including quarterback Chase Brice and Joey Aguilar was bottled up last week. Appalachian St. has been awful in this role of late, going 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when laying points against FBS opponents. 10* (147) East Carolina Pirates |
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09-16-23 | Kansas State v. Missouri +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Kansas St. is off to a 2-0 start coming off its 10-4 season and based on this line, last year is still being taken into consideration. The Wildcats were favored by 14.5 points against Troy at home last week so if that was on the road, they would be favored by only five more points than they are against a team from the SEC this week. Both wins have been impressive on the scoreboard but they were against SE Missouri St. of the FCS and while the Trojans were riding a 12-game winning streak, their first win came against Stephen F. Austin where they allowed 30 points. Offensively, Kansas St. still has a good quarterback in Will Howard they lost running back Deuce Vaughn and four of their top six receivers and finally face a defensive test. Missouri has not exactly looked impressive in its two victories as it did roll South Dakota but failed to cover and then narrowly beat Middle Tennessee St. last week by four points. This is a good matchup despite the uptick in the level of competition. Despite the loss of Vaughn, the Wildcats are a run first team and Missouri has held its first two opponents to 109 yards rushing on 64 carries (1.7 ypc). Yes, this came against two lesser teams but the Tigers bring back eight starters that improved its rushing yards allowed by over 100 ypg from 2021 and gave up just 3.7 ypg and that is against heavy SEC competition. They are out for some revenge following the 40-12 loss in Manhattan last season. 10* (130) Missouri Tigers |
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09-15-23 | Nationals +171 v. Brewers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Washington won the opener in Pittsburgh but dropped the final three games of the series including a 2-0 shutout loss yesterday. The Nationals have been a solid play on team this season as they are up over 20 units with all of that success coming on the road at +20.9 units. Milwaukee took three of four against Miami following a 4-2 victory Thursday and the Brewers have increased their lead in the National League Central to 4.5 games over the Cubs. They are laying a huge price here and at 14 games over .500 at home, they are just +4.9 units. Jake Irvin has been on a solid run as he continues a successful rookie campaign. Over his last seven starts, he has a 2.75 ERA as he has allowed three runs or less in all seven of those games. In 22 starts overall, he has limited the damage by allowing more than four runs only once. Wade Miley has missed a month of action twice this season and that should help him going forward as he just surpassed 100 innings in his last start. He has been consistent for the most part but more erratic of late with a 4.50 ERA over his last five starts. 10* (905) Washington Nationals |
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09-15-23 | Army v. UTSA -8 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. UTSA has come up on the short end of covers in its first two games and now it is in a situation in the spotlight to show what this team is actually made of. The Roadrunners opened the season with a three-point loss against Houston and then defeated Texas St. by seven points last week and based on the stats, both should have been easy wins. They outgained Houston and Texas St. by 78 and 130 total yards respectively but they are down 4-0 in turnovers which is the contributing factor. UTSA has controlled the line of scrimmage as it has rushed for 366 yards on 89 carries (4.1 ypc) while allowing just 137 yards on 64 carries (2.1 ypc) and this should come as no surprise as the Roadrunners came into the season with the No. 5 ranked offensive line and No. 1 ranked defensive line in the AAC. Army is also off to a 1-1 start but its competition has been a lot lighter. The Black Knights lost to ULM in their first game despite being an 8.5-point favorite but bounced back last week with a 57-0 win over Delaware St. of the FCS which is bad enough but it is ranked No. 108 out of 128 FCS teams. While it rolled last week, Army was outgained by the Warhawks as the offense still needs work. It is a new look Army team on offense this season s head coach Jeff Monken replaced his nine-year offensive coordinator despite averaging 5.8 yppl last season, the most since 2017, with Drew Thatcher who is implementing a new offensive shotgun zone read scheme. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc and after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games going up against a team allowing between 3.0 and 3.5 ypc. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1992. 10* (112) UTSA Roadrunners |
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09-15-23 | Toronto v. Montreal +6.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Toronto and Montreal with the Argonauts coming off a 39-10 win last week. Since losing to Calgary last month, Toronto has won four straight games to improve to a league-best 10-1 with the offense scoring at least 39 points in all of those victories. It was gifted last week with four Montreal turnovers while the Alouettes also committed nine penalties so their 316 yards of offense was for naught. Cody Fajardo had his best game of the season as he went 21-24 for 236 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions. Following a four-game winning streak, Montreal have dropped its last three games to fall to 6-6 with the defense needing a big effort here. Chad Kelly had an efficient game but did not find the endzone and while the points have come, he has not been great. He has completed 68 percent of his passes in his last three games but has tossed four interceptions to go along with five touchdowns. Three of the four wins have come at home where they are a perfect 6-0 with the lone road victory coming at Hamilton. We are seeing only a three-point line swing from Saturday which is giving us solid value with the Alouettes. 10* (672) Montreal Alouettes |
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09-15-23 | Yankees v. Pirates +151 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Pittsburgh has won three straight games after taking three of four against Washington and while it has been another non-contending season, the Pirates young roster has been solid. They are now just one game under .500 at home and +3.9 units. The Yankees are coming off a split with Boston yesterday and it has been a solid run of late as they are 12-4 over their last 16 games but it is too little, too late. New York is 7.5 games out of the Wild Card. Johan Oviedo is coming off a couple abbreviated outings and has had a pretty decent season all things considered through 29 starts. He has allowed five runs or more six times but take those out and his ERA drops from 4.35 to an outstanding 2.83 in his other 23 starts so while he has a few blowups, he has been really good. Gerrit Cole has been dominant this season and went over 200 strikeouts in his last outing to post a 204:45 K:BB ratio. He is the overwhelming favorite to win the American League Cy Young but he is out of Yankee Stadium tonight and New York is 15-2 in his 17 home starts but just 5-8 in his 13 road outings despite the positive numbers. 10* (926) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +7 v. Eagles | Top | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. Week One overreactions will be prevalent in the lines this week and it starts with the first game of Week Two based on score results. Minnesota hits the road following an opening loss at home against Tampa Bay 20-17 and we easily won that one with the Buccaneers outright victory. The Vikings were unfortunate as they outgained Tampa Bay 369-242 but lost the turnover battle 3-0 and it is rare to pull out a victory with that discrepancy. Minnesota was unable to produce any sort of running game as it rushed for just 41 yards on 17 carries (2.4 ypc) and while Kirk Cousins was able to move the ball at will with 344 yards on 33-44 passing, he was responsible for all three turnovers with one interception and two fumbles. The defense played good enough to win and will need another strong effort. The Eagles won in New England 25-20 as they nearly blew a 16-0 first quarter lead. Philadelphia scored its first touchdown of the season on a 70-yard interception return as the offense was not very good. The Eagles were outgained 382-251 as they struggled on third down going 4-13 and were forced into four field goals and play calling was a concern with new offensive coordinator Brian Johnson and it could take time for this unit to come together. The defense did a good job limiting the Patriots rushing attack but Mac Jones threw for 316 yards with that one interception being the difference. Here, we play against home favorites after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (103) Minnesota Vikings |
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09-14-23 | Rays +122 v. Orioles | Top | 4-3 | Win | 122 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our Divisional Game of the Month. This series will go a long way in deciding the American League East as it is the last between Tampa Bay and Baltimore. The Rays are two games back following a 5-4 win over Minnesota and they are now 18-7 over their last 25 games to keep pace. The Orioles suffered their second straight loss on Wednesday as they fell 1-0 to the Cardinals and they have scored just three runs over the two games. Going back, Baltimore has been just as hot, going 20-8 over its last 28 games to keep hold of first place in the division. Aaron Civale has been a great addition to the rotation since coming over from Cleveland and he is actually coming off his worst start of the season for both teams as he allowed four runs over five innings which snapped six straight outings of allowing three runs or fewer with Tampa Bay. He has a 2.98 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 20 overall starts this season. Kyle Bradish has been pitching great as well as he has allowed two runs or less in six straight starts including three straight where he has identical lines of two runs allowed in six innings. Over his last nine starts, he has faced four non-playoff teams and put up a 1.59 ERA but in the five outings against playoff teams, he has posted a 3.98 ERA. 10* (961) Tampa Bay Rays |
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09-13-23 | Padres +120 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-1 | Win | 120 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our Divisional Game of the Year. San Diego continues to go back and forth being unable to put any sort of big winning streak together and last night was another bad night for the pitching. The Padres allowed 11 runs and have no given up an average of 9.5 rpg over their last four games but that changes tonight. The Dodgers lost the series opener but got it back last night and have locked up the National League West but remain 6.5 games behind Atlanta for the best record in the National League with a less than likely chance to catch the Braves. We have played against Blake Snell plenty this season and it has paid off as despite his awesome numbers, the wins were not coming when he has been a big favorite. Now, he is an underdog tonight in a good spot as he looks to add to his string of allowing two runs or less in 18 of his last 20 starts with the other two being just three runs allowed. He has a 2.29 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road. The goal now is the Cy Young where he is the favorite at -220. Ryan Pepoit has made two starts and both were dominant as he has gone 12 innings combined without allowing a run while giving up only three hits and one walk. He does not strike many out which goes back to last season as well after being an average late call up. 10* (911) San Diego Padres |
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09-12-23 | Padres +141 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Diego snapped a two-game losing streak with an 11-8 win aided by a three-run home run in the ninth inning from Juan Soto. The Padres were on a 5-2 run prior to the mini slide and while it has been an awful season, they are getting a great number. The Dodgers have locked up the National League West and are now 6.5 games behind Atlanta for the best record in the National League with a less than likely chance to catch the Braves. They have a big disadvantage on the mound tonight. Lance Lynn has been all over the place this season and it is not getting better. In 28 starts, he has allowed three runs or fewer only 13 times and has given up five or more runs 10 times which includes seven runs or more six times. He has allowed 15 runs in his last two starts and the long ball has been the issue with 40 home runs allowed on the season. Michael Wacha missed six weeks starting in early June but he has come back nicely and it has been a good season overall after a shaky start. The posted a 6.75 ERA through his first five starts in April but over his last 15 outings, he has a 1.88 ERA and unlike Lynn, he has allowed only eight home runs over this stretch. 10* (961) San Diego Padres |
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09-12-23 | Angels +188 v. Mariners | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Seattle put together a massive 22-6 run to move into first place in the American League West but has tailed off with a 4-9 stretch over its last 13 games following an extra-inning loss last night. The Mariners are now 2.5 games behind Houston in the American League West while a half game out of the Wild Card. The Angels have won three straight games and four of their last five following a 1-9 stretch that included a six-game losing streak. Los Angeles tried to make some late season moves but they did not pan out but continue to fight and has a good matchup on the mound tonight. Patrick Sandoval has been really good for the majority of the season as he has allowed two runs or less in 15 of his 25 starts and looks to bounce back from a pair of rare bad games where he allowed nine runs over 8.2 innings. In 131.2 innings on the season, he has allowed only 10 home runs. Bryan Woo has had a decent rookie season but it has been going in the wrong direction. He had a 3.63 ERA in his first seven starts that included a blowout in his debut but in his last seven starts, he has a 5.35 ERA ,and is coming off an outing against the Reds where he allowed five runs over five innings. 10* (973) Los Angeles Angels |
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09-11-23 | Diamondbacks +128 v. Mets | Top | 4-3 | Win | 128 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our N.L. Game of the Month. Arizona had its four-game winning streak snapped with a 5-2 loss on Sunday and continues its roadtrip with plenty on the line. The Diamondbacks remain in the third Wild Card spot in the National League with three teams in pursuit that all won on Sunday. The Mets snapped their three-game losing streak with a series finale win over the Twins and head home as an overpriced favorite. New York is two games over .500 at home but down over eight units, which reflects the numbers behind them. Jose Quintana has put together two straight quality outings and he has been exceptional for the most part since entering the rotation in July. He has allowed three runs or less in eight of his nine starts but it matters little with the Mets going 2-7 in those games including 0-3 at home. Zach Davies has been all over the place this season and is coming off another poor start but he has been able to rebound. He allowed five runs against Colorado and in his previous three starts where he allowed four or more runs, he has followed that up with a 2.08 ERA in the three follow up outings. 10* (907) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Signature Enforcer. The Jets were in the playoff hunt last season as they rolled into Week 13 with a 7-4 record but went on to lose their final six games to finish 7-10 as the offense could not get out of its own way. New York averaged only 11 ppg over those final six games while scoring just 15 points combined over the final three games so it was clear adjustments had to be made on that side of the ball. Overall, the Jets were 30th in EPA per play and they made the splash move of the offseason with the trade to get Aaron Rodgers and added to that with the signing of running back Dalvin Cook late into training camp to possess one of the best one-two running back options with a healthy Breece Hall behind him. While the offense has no where to go but up, the defense of New York will be a difference maker all season. The Jets ranked No. 6 EPA per play on defense and it did its job against Buffalo last season, holding the Bills to 17 and 20 points in the two meetings and those two games were two of the three lowest point totals for the Bills during the regular season with the other being 19 points scored in Miami in September in the oppressive heat. Quarterback Josh Allen posted a 64.4 passer rating in those games while completing less than 56 percent of his passes albeit being injured in one of those games. The line swing from last season is huge as the Bills were favored by 10 points here last November but are still the favorite and not in a good situation as opening Monday night divisional favorites are 4-17-1 ATS when the total is upward of 42. 10* (482) New York Jets |
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09-10-23 | Rockies +210 v. Giants | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco has won the first two games of this series but that came after six straight losses and since a good start to August, the Giants are 11-21 over their last 32 games and have fallen 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League with three teams to pass. The Rockies have had a miserable season as expected and the roadtrip is off to a 1-4 start following a poor 2-10 stretch but that was against Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Atlanta and Toronto, four of the best teams in baseball. There is more value today against an unproven pitcher. Keaton Winn will get the start for the Giants which will be just his third start of the season and his first since July 4. He is coming off a relief appearance a week ago where he tossed five scoreless innings but starting is a different story with pressure building. Peter Lambert is in his first full rotation run since 2019 and it has been pretty solid for the most part. In 10 starts, he has a 3.88 ERA and 1.14 WHIP and he has allowed three runs or less in seven starts. His last four road starts have come against teams currently in playoff positions. 10* (961) Colorado Rockies |
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09-10-23 | Packers v. Bears -1 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our Sunday Star Attraction. This line has surprised a few with Chicago actually being favored in this game and the early money has proven that with this line opening at 3 and being bet down to a point as of Tuesday afternoon. The Bears are a team still in transition but the signs are pointing up and namely, those of quarterback Justin Fields. He took some early lumps but last season, he showed what he is capable of. He played his best against the best as he had a 103.4 passer rating against playoff teams last year which was 19.22 points better than his total 2022 rating and also 23.7 points better than his career passer rating of 79.7. Green Bay is not a playoff team but still a good team and a step up in the division. And now he has D.J. Moore to throw to. With Aaron Rodgers and his 24-5 record against Chicago departed, this is the chance for the Bears to finally strike and why not right out of the gate. The Packers have a solid roster and are expected to contend in the NFC North based on the odds but actually have only a one game higher win total than the Bears at 7.5. The Wild Card here obviously is Trey Lance who is taking over at quarterback and all indications are that he is ready but is he ready for Game One on the road in a brutal environment? We say not yet. While the Bears defense was bad last season at No. 31 in yards per play, they will be better, yet on the other side, Green Bay was not much better at No. 28. 10* (470) Chicago Bears |
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09-10-23 | Rams +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 122 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Rams went through an injury plagued season last year and bottomed out at 5-12 after winning the Super Bowl. The numbers are calling for Los Angeles to not be good once again as it has a win total of just 6.5 and is at +1,000 to win the NFC West but this could very well be a surprise team, that is if they can stay healthy. They are unfortunately most likely going to be down Cooper Kupp in this one with his hamstring injury but the offense should be just fine with a healthy Matthew Stafford at quarterback and good replacements behind Kupp along with the rebound of Cam Akers. Seattle was a bad team defensively and while it brought in some good pieces, there is still a lot of questions after finishing No. 23 in yards per play. Overall, Seattle was a pleasant surprise last season but there should be regression and that should come from quarterback Geno Smith as potential success this season is for him to at least replicate what he did last season. But he faded down the stretch with over half of his 11 interceptions coming in the last six games. He completed 64 percent or more of his passes in all of his first 12 games but did so just once in his last five. He won Comeback Player of the Year with no expectations but now the pressure is on. The Rams defense is getting younger, quicker, and it should be stronger as long as the rotation up front is better around Aaron Donald. 10* (477) Los Angeles Rams |
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09-10-23 | Mets +175 v. Twins | Top | 2-0 | Win | 175 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Mets have lost the first two games of this series and have lost three straight overall following a solid 4-1 run and they look to avoid the sweep today. It has been a rough season all around but are catching a good number today and the biggest of the series. The Twins have won six of their last eight games and have pretty much locked up the American League Central as they have a 7.5-game lead over Cleveland. However, they are in the weakest division and would not even be in the Wild Card as they would be four games back. Pablo Lopez is the reason for the big number as he is coming off a pair of quality outings against Cleveland and has had a solid run going back to July. However, he has been below average at home and has given up a ton of baserunners of late with a 1.78 WHIP over his last four starts. Tylor Megill has some gaudy overall numbers but those were because of just a few bad starts. In 21 starts, he has allowed three runs or fewer in 13 of those including each of his last four where he has a 3.86 ERA with the last three all against teams better than the Twins. 10* (979) New York Mets |
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09-10-23 | Panthers v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 119 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our Divisional Game of the Month. We are going to the first lined game of the schedule with Carolina heading to Atlanta in a divisional opener. This number is where it typically stands for a divisional game although it has gone up a half-point in some places but that should not be a factor here. Atlanta is coming off consecutive 7-10 seasons under coach Arthur Smith, who has stated that there has been noticeable energy and confidence throughout the summer and the locker room atmosphere is different and in a good way. The Falcons have made improvements, most notably on defense where they were No. 27 overall and No. 23 in points allowed as they signed safety Jessie Bates III, defensive linemen David Onyemata and Calais Campbell and linebacker Kaden Elliss. Offensively, Desmond Ridder has the job at quarterback after making four starts last season with each one getting progressively better. He has the weapons including rookie running back Bijan Robinson who is expected to be a playmaker. Carolina is starting fresh with new head coach Frank Reich and a rookie starter at quarterback in Bryce Young. He is surrounded by several recently added signees in running back Miles Sanders, tight end Hayden Hurst and receivers DJ Chark and Adam Thielen. The issue is Young is still a rookie and going back over a decade, rookie quarterbacks on the road are 21-120-1. The Panthers defense is good but below average and that will not be enough here. 10* (454) Atlanta Falcons |
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09-10-23 | Bucs +6 v. Vikings | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 119 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our Sunday Signature Enforcer. The Vikings were one of the positive surprises in the league last season as they ended up 13-4 and won the NFC North by four games and there is definitely going to be regression. The line dictates they start right where they left off but the problem is where they left off was not good as they fell at home to the Giants in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs and that was probably a truer indication of the teams than its regular season record. Minnesota was 11-0 in one score games last season and it won seven of those games by less than what it is laying here and the Vikings finished the season No. 1 in NFL Luck Ratings and yes that is an actual thing. The offense revolves around wide receiver Justin Jefferson with quarterback Kirk Cousins getting the ball to him as much as possible and the addition of rookie Jordan Addison will aide in the loss of Adam Theilen. The loss of Dalvin Cook is significant as the running game is unproven. Defensively, Minnesota was horrible as it finished No. 30 in yards per play allowed. Tampa Bay can benefit from that with Baker Mayfield taking over at quarterback. No, he has not been good but he has been put in some bad situations with revolving coaches and coordinators and has plenty of weapons here. Defensively, Tampa Bay finished 11th in opponent EPA per play last season and should remain strong in 2023 with a top front seven unit. Overinflated line. 10* (461) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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09-09-23 | UCLA v. San Diego State +14.5 | Top | 35-10 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. UCLA is coming off a win over Coastal Carolina by 14 points that took a 13-0 fourth quarter to get it done but it was sloppy as the Bruins won the yardage battle by only 76 total yards while throwing three interceptions from their quarterback due as neither Ethan Garbers or Dante Moore took charge of the offense. While a lot of teams simply play fast which makes them immune to the new play clock rules, UCLA does not as they are more methodical and head coach Chip Kelly voice his displeasure for the rule change and this could be an issue in the early stages of the season until they get into that comfort zone. The Bruins hit the road in a tough environment as big favorites where they cannot be trusted at this point. San Diego St. snuck past of Ohio in its opener and what looked like a cakewalk last week against Idaho St. as a 34-point favorite turned into a closer than expected game as the Aztecs won by just six points. The Bengals did score a garbage touchdown with under a minute left but it was uninspiring and can be chalked up to a lookahead to this game. The passing game has been nonexistent as San Diego St. threw for only 85 yards against Idaho St. after throwing for just 164 yards against Ohio but Jalen Mayden has gone 30-46 so the efficiency is there, just nothing being broken away. That should come in time and that could be here after Grayson McCall went 27-42 for 271 yards but had two costly interceptions. Live underdog with a lot of points to work with. 10* (324) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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09-09-23 | Eastern Michigan +20.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 6-25 | Win | 100 | 73 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Minnesota escaped with a win against Nebraska as it benefitted from two late turnovers by the Huskers that led to the final 10 points of the game to secure the backdoor win. The Gophers were able to stop the Nebraska passing game, holding it to 114 yards through the air but the other three facets were bad. Minnesota allowed 181 yards rushing on 37 carries (4.9 ypc) while its own running game was nonexistent as it rushed for 55 yards on 25 carries (2.2 ypc) so that alone should have put them on the wrong side of the scoreboard. The Gophers had to replace four-year starter Tanner Morgan at quarterback and it showed. Athan Kaliakmanis threw for 196 yards which is not dreadful but he was only 24-44 and threw a pick. Eastern Michigan finished 9-4 last season and was co-champions of the MAC West and the Eagles are in the conversation of contending in the division again. They are coming off an uninspiring win over Howard last week as they built a 28-6 lead and let the gas off following a pair of kickoff returns for touchdowns. Granted, that can skew a score but it also skewed the stats as the Eagles were outgained overall because of that as those two scores took possessions away from the offense. The Eagles have the second rated secondary in the MAC which is bad news for the weak Minnesota passing game, to go along with the best special teams in the conference and those two intangibles alone can sway an entire game and with this line, we have a ton to play with. 10* (347) Eastern Michigan Eagles |
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09-09-23 | Houston v. Rice +10 | Top | 41-43 | Win | 100 | 72 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month. Rice hung around for a while at Texas last week as it was down just 16-3 at halftime but the athletes of the Longhorns took over with a 21-0 third quarter and the Owls fell 37-10 but were able to stay within the big number. They are back home for this rivalry game and take a big step down in class while still catching a big number. Despite going 5-7 last season, they were able to participate in a bowl game because there were not enough qualified teams to fill the 41 bowls and Rice topped the list of 5-7 teams on Academic Progress Rate. The Owls have 15 starters back so there is plenty of experience and they added former blue chip quarterback J.T. Daniels who played at Georgia and West Virginia and while he was not good last week, he will get there in his second game. Houston escaped with a 17-14 win over UTSA despite getting outgained 417-334 as it benefitted from a 3-0 turnover edge that led to a 14-point swing. Allowing that many yards and few amount of points is an anomaly so it was a complete misleading final score. Only five starters return to an offense that averaged 36.1 ppg and 456 ypg and the opening game numbers showed that as it was bailed out. The Cougars were horrible defensively and lost eight of their nine top tacklers and while they allowed only 14 points, it should have been much worse. They are arguably the better team but not by much if at all and this line is not pairing up with that. 10* (358) Rice Owls |
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09-09-23 | Central Florida v. Boise State +3.5 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 72 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Star Attraction. Here we have two teams coming off opposite results and the line is reflecting that as this line has flipped favorites from two weeks ago. We played against Boise St. last week as it was overmatched against Washington in the 56-19 loss. They head back to Boise for their home opener and it will be a test for sure the Broncos still possess one of the best home fields in the country and this is just the third time in the last decade plus they have been home underdogs. The Broncos allowed 490 yards passing which was what was expected with a young secondary against an elite quarterback on the road. Offensively, the Broncos bring back quarterback Taylen Green who had a solid yet unspectacular season but does have solid running ability and looked decent at times last week with 244 yards passing but overall it was not great. Eight additional starters are back and they face a weaker defense this week. UCF rolled over Kent St. which is arguably the worst team in the FBS (preseason rank 132 of 133 teams) so take it for what it is worth. The Knights could not be stopped offensively as they racked up 723 total yards but John Rhys Plumlee still threw two interceptions against that defense and heads to a tough place. The defense was pretty good last year and have seven starters back but benefitted from an easy early schedule where they allowed only 14.3 ppg in their first six games but gave up 30.6 ppg in the final eight games against decent and not even great offenses. 10* (382) Boise St. Broncos |
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09-09-23 | Cardinals v. Reds +115 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our Divisional Game of the Month. St. Louis won the series opener last night and has now won four of its last five games but it has no business being a road favorite, a role it has been in only eight times since June 21 and has gone 3-5. Only two of those games were against playoff contenders and the Cardinals lost both to the Cubs. Cincinnati has lost two straight games following a 4-1 run and the Reds are now 4-4 on their current homestand. A Wild Card spot in the National League is still very much in their grasp as they are a game and a half out with only Arizona and Miami ahead of them for that final spot. Zach Thompson got back into the rotation in early August and he has pitched fine but nothing enough to make him a favorite here. He is coming off his best start, allowing three runs over seven innings but that was against the Pirates are home and he has made only one road start over this stretch, also against Pittsburgh. Carson Spiers came from Double-A Chattanooga to the majors last weekend and it was not a great debut, striking out seven while allowing three earned runs on five hits and two walks over four innings. He has his feet wet and has had a normal rest period with no travel in-between. 10* (908) Cincinnati Reds |
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09-09-23 | North Texas -12.5 v. Florida International | Top | 39-46 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN as part of our CFB Chalk Three-Pack. North Texas came up small for us last week and that was a bad read on California which has definitely improved. The Mean Green have made it to three straight bowl games and with 15 starters back, they will be better than what we saw last week. They hired Eric Morris as the new head coach and he comes over after leading the Washington St. offense last season and he will be bringing in a more spread out attack. North Texas has to replace quarterback Austin Anue but it is not a big downgrade with ULM transfer Chandler Rogers taking over. Helping him out is the return of the entire offensive line, ranked preseason No. 1 in the AAC, and the top six rushers as well as leading receiver Roderic Burns. They go from facing a Pac 12 team to a doormat team from C-USA. We have seen this line come down from opening because of the blowout loss from North Texas and not because Florida International has done anything special. The Panthers have played two games as they lost the opener at Louisiana Tech by only five points which may look good but they were outgained 450-182 as they benefitted from turnovers and the inability of the Bulldogs to covert which led to five field goal attempts. They followed that up with a 14-12 win over Maine of the FCS where they were outgained again 378-305. While a switch at quarterback led to 292 yards passing, Keyone Jenkins was just 15-30 and on the flip side, they were outrushed 165-13 (4.0-0.5). Not a good look. 10* (373) North Texas Mean Green |
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09-09-23 | Ohio v. Florida Atlantic -3.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS as part of our CFB Chalk Three-Pack. Ohio is coming off a win over Long Island last week following a Week 0 loss against San Diego St. and it was not a pretty victory. The Bobcats won 27-10 which did not come close to covering the 34-point spread and while the defense did its job, the offense was putrid as they gained only 303 total yards. They relied on the running game as they threw the ball only 15 times and that was due to a lack of confidence. Ohio lost quarterback Kurtis Rourke after he played only two series against San Diego St. in its opener and he was absent last week which puts the Bobcats in a tough situation here. Backups C.J. Harris and Parker Navaro cannot win games with their arms as there is little trust. Rourke could possibly go here but they might not chance it with a massive revenge game next week against Iowa St. and they do not want to further risk him heading into MAC season where they are expected to make a championship run. Florida Atlantic was two points away from bowl eligibility last season as it lost its final game to Western Kentucky 32-31 to finish 5-7 and good things are expected this season with a trip to the AAC Championship in play. The Owls have 18 starters back and are coming off a 42-20 win over Monmouth as they let up the gas in the third quarter in a very balanced offensive attack where they rushed for 213 yards and threw for 280 yards behind a great performance from Nebraska transfer Casey Thompson. Lay it early if possible before the official Rourke decision. 10* (368) Florida Atlantic Owls |
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09-09-23 | UAB v. Georgia Southern -7 | Top | 35-49 | Win | 100 | 71 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES as part of our CFB Chalk Three-Pack. UAB welcomed in the Trent Dilfer era with a 35-6 win over North Carolina A&T and it was a game where the Blazers knew what was coming with the Aggies running the ball 41 times while throwing it only eight times and with a talent discrepancy, they were no match. Things will be a lot tougher this week as they not only face a strong FBS opponent but one that will bring a new element. The jury is still out after facing a team from the FCS as UAB has a roster full of questions as it brings back only seven starters overall from last season, three on offense and four on defense. Jacob Zeno was spectacular at quarterback last week going 38-41 for 291 yards and three touchdowns but he will have a much bigger test to overcome here as his inexperienced line that came into the season with only 11 total starts could be overwhelmed. It is a short line as this is a public team with the known name of Dilfer and past success but this is a rebuilding year. Georgia Southern blanked the Citadel 34-0 to win its opener and it also goes up in class but it is not a huge leap to a weak FBS team. Ironically, the Eagles also faced a team that threw it only eight times so the secondary will get a challenge it has not seen yet but should be more than up to the task. Offensively, the Eagles moved from the option to a more spread offense last season and it worked and now David Brin is at quarterback and he looked good and should once again behind one of the best lines in the conference. 10* (370) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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09-09-23 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -8.5 | Top | 6-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We won with Saskatchewan in this matchup last week as it kicked a field goal to force overtime and then eventually claimed the victory on a missed two-point conversion attempt for Winnipeg. It was a great situation for the Roughriders and for quarterback Jake Dolegala who has taken over the starting job. He threw for 239 yards and three touchdowns against B.C. in Week 11 before passing for 326 yards but did not find the end zone against Winnipeg. The reason for the good situation was that Saskatchewan was coming off a bye before facing Winnipeg and now it hits the road for the first time in a month. The loss for the Blue Bombers snapped a five-game winning streak and they remain one game ahead of B.C. in the West Division. Winnipeg has revenge on the mind at home where it is 5-1 and outscoring opponents by 13.3 ppg. Turnovers could be key here as the Roughriders averaged 2.8 turnovers per game through their first eight games but have not turned it over in the last two games during their winning streak and now they again face the most opportunistic defense in the CFL with 30 takeaways. 10* (686) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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09-09-23 | Texas State v. UTSA -13 | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTSA ROADRUNNERS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. UTSA killed us last week as it lost in Houston 17-14 in a game it should have won but mistakes cost the roadrunners. They outgained the Cougars 417-334 and that advantage would normally cover any 2.5-point spread handicapping turnovers is nearly impossible and it came from an unexpected source. Quarterback Frank Harris is in his seventh season and holds more than 30 team records, including passing yards, passing touchdowns and total offense but he cost them the game as he tossed three interceptions on his first three drives of the second half. The first came at the Houston 22-yard line and the last led to the eventual winning touchdown for the Cougars. It is safe to say, he is ready to make amends for that especially in their home opener where local philanthropist Harvey E. Najim purchased 7,100 tickets to make this place full. Texas St., not Colorado, is coming off the biggest upset last week as it went to Baylor and defeated the Bears by 11 points as a 27-point underdog. The Bobcats were outgained by 83 yards as the defense allowed 524 yards but forced four field goal attempts as Baylor was not clutch and also committed two turnovers. That victory coupled with the UTSA loss is keeping this line down even though it has been bet up slightly since opening. More shocking is the fact that Texas St. has been picked to finish dead last in the SBC as it has only 11 starters back and is working with a ton of transfers. now it is time for UTSA to roll. 10* (342) UTSA Roadrunners |
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09-09-23 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Colorado | Top | 14-36 | Loss | -115 | 66 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Overreaction or underrated? Maybe it is a little bit of both for Colorado as it stunned TCU last week as a three-touchdown underdog and we are seeing upwards of a 12-point line swing as the Buffaloes were +8.5 just two weeks ago at MGM. Colorado won with 87 new players on the roster and while it was a big upset, a lot of the blame has to go on the Horned Frogs who had to replace a ton from their playoff team of last season. With the victory, the Buffaloes have entered the AP Top 25 which is a joke to begin with and this is a typical overreaction. The line will be big behind Colorado at the ticket window and we are already seeing 80 percent of the money on the Buffaloes and this is before the majority of the public has put their money in. Nebraska is coming off a loss at Minnesota in a game it could have and should have won. The Huskers had a 295-251 yardage advantage including 181-55 on the ground but were -3 in turnovers. Two of those turnovers came in the last five minutes of the game right around midfield when Nebraska had a 10-3 lead and those led to the final 10 points for the Gophers. It was a very disappointing loss for the Huskers and head coach Matt Rhule in his debut but they will come off the mat and be ready while Colorado is still celebrating. The scheduling is big as well as the Huskers will have had a couple extra days to get ready while Colorado is playing on a normal schedule coming off an up and down game in extremely hot and humid weather. 10* (317) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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09-08-23 | Rockies +196 v. Giants | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. San Francisco is playing itself right out of the playoffs as it has lost six straight games and since a good start to August, the Giants are 9-21 over their last 30 games and have fallen 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League with three teams to pass. The Rockies have had a miserable season as expected and is coming off a 2-1 series loss in Arizona following a poor 2-10 stretch but that was against Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Atlanta and Toronto, four of the best teams in baseball. Now they take a step down and have great value. Ty Blach has mainly pitched out of the bullpen the last two seasons but entered the rotation in late July and the results have been solid as he has a 3.54 ERA in eight starts. He is coming off his worst outing but that was at home against Toronto and in five road starts, he has a 3.28 ERA 1.22 WHIP. Kyle Harrison has made three starts since getting called up with mixed results. He allowed eight runs in nine innings sandwiched around a quality start against the Reds, his lone home outing. Clearly, he is more comfortable here but he should not be laying a number like this. 10* (961) Colorado Rockies |
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09-08-23 | Hamilton v. Ottawa -3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The two worst teams in the East Division square off to open Week 14 and we are presented with a great scheduling spot. Ottawa has lost five straight games and is coming off a needed bye week but three of those were on the road and the two home losses were by a combined five points. That includes a four-point loss against Hamilton but that was when Bo Levi Mitchell was still at quarterback for the Ti-Cats and he is done for the season. Quarterback Dustin Crum has been inconsistent this season and is coming off an uneven performance against Edmonton prior to the bye. However, he has strung together some great games and three stick out where he picked up wins against Calgary and Winnipeg and another in a loss against Toronto. Hamilton has lost three of its last four games since Taylor Powell has come in at quarterback and he has not been horrible but just inconsistent as well and now he has just three days to prepare for this one after playing on Monday. 11 times this season, a team has played with less than five days of rest and those teams have gone 2-9 straight up and against the number. This is the perfect spot for Ottawa to get back into the win column. 10* (682) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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09-08-23 | Dodgers v. Nationals +149 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Dodgers salvaged the series finale against the Marlins and have been limping along with a 2-5 record over their last seven games and are six games behind the Braves for best record in the National League. Los Angeles is just eight games over .500 on the road compared to 23 games over .500 at home. Washington snapped a six-game skid with a win against the Mets on Wednesday. Going back to early-July, the Nationals are 29-23 over their last 52 games and on the season, +21.6 units. Mackenzie Gore has put together a fine season with very few blowups along the way. He has allowed five runs or more only five times and four of those came on the road with the only occurrence at home coming against the Cardinals back in June. He has a 1.76 ERA in his last three starts and a 3.46 ERA in 11 home outings. Emmet Sheehan opened his season with a pair of quality starts but then had a very rough stretch of four games but bounced back with a solid outing against the Reds. He was send down to AAA before being recalled earlier this month and pitched four solid innings but that was at home where he has a 3.14 ERA in six games compared to a 9.88 ERA in three road starts. 10* (958) Washington Nationals |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Thursday Kickoff Winner. This is an intriguing opening night matchup with the reining Super Bowl Champions against one of the top sleeper teams coming into the season. Kansas City won its final five regular season games to secure the No. 1 seed in the AFC and rallied from a 10-point halftime deficit against the Eagles to claim its second Super Bowl in four years and there is little reason to believe they will not be in the running again. The number is fairly big in this matchup but giving head coach Andy Reid this much time to prepare, the Chiefs will be ready. Counting just the regular season and excluding the COVID year, Kansas City is 28-5 at home and will no doubt want to make a statement. The Lions will want to make their own statement as well as they are hyped up for a big season and are the favorites to win the NFC North at +140 and fourth in the NFC at +1,100 to win the conference. Detroit closed strong last season with wins in eight of its last 10 games but only three of those wins were against playoff teams and two of those were at home. Early money has come in on the Lions dropping this line from 7 to 6.5 in some places and that is under the key number we want if attainable. We have the Super Bowl hangover in play as past champions have struggled to make the playoffs the following season in a lot of cases but it does not start with the opening game. We do not expect the Chiefs to miss the playoffs anyway and they fall into the great spot of hosting this game. Since the inception of the NFL Kickoff Game where the defending Super Bowl Champions host the opening Thursday night game, with two exceptions in 2013 (Ravens scheduling conflict) and 2019 (Bears/Packers NFL 100th anniversary game), the defending champions have gone 15-3 although one of those losses was last season with the Rams. 10* (452) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-07-23 | Tigers +150 v. Yankees | Top | 10-3 | Win | 150 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our American League Game of the Month. Detroit lost last night with a tough break as Matt Manning had to exit the game after one inning after a comebacker fractured his foot, the second time that has happened this season. The Tigers have lost two straight games following a four-game winning streak and they are just two games under .500 on the road and won over 12 units. The Yankees have won five straight games after winning the first two games of this series. It is too little, too late however for New York as it is 6.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. They are back over .500 but it has been a major disappointment for sure. Eduardo Rodriguez was having a sensational season before he was forced to miss five weeks with a finger injury but has come back strong. He has a 3.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 21 starts with his road numbers being slightly better and he is dedicated after exercising his no-trade clause and not getting dealt to the Dodgers. Carlos Rodon got a late start to the season as he did not make his first start until July. He went through some struggles and while he has settled down over his last three outings, he has a 5.69 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in nine starts while allowing 11 home runs. The Yankees are just 2-7 in those games while down 7.2 units. 10* (909) Detroit Tigers |
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09-06-23 | Tigers +155 v. Yankees | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Yankees are picking up some steam as they have won four straight games following a 5-1 series opening win last night behind a gem from Gerrit Cole. It is too little, too late however for New York as it is 7.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Detroit has its four-game winning streak snapped with the loss last night and the Tigers have quietly exceeded expectations this season. They have played especially good on the road where the Tigers are just one game under .500 and have won just over 13 units thanks to prices like this. Clarke Schmidt has been very consistent this season as he has allowed three runs or less in 22 of 27 starts but he does not go deep into games so despite the low run totals, he has a 4.58 ERA and 1.35 WHIP and has just four quality outings to his credit. The Yankees are 11-16 in those games including 5-9 at home. Matt Manning was a late callup last season and was solid with a 3.43 ERA in 13 starts and while he made the rotation this year, he broke his foot after two starts. He has posted a 3.31 ERA in 12 starts since his return and has been on an outstanding stretch with a 0.38 ERA over his last four starts covering 23.2 innings. 10* (971) Detroit Tigers |
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09-06-23 | Red Sox +153 v. Rays | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. We lost a tough one with Boston last night in extra innings but will come back with the Red Sox again as their three-game winning streak was snapped which came after a five-game losing streak. The Wild Card is still in play but the Red Sox are now five games out of the final playoff spot. Tampa Bay is 2-3 over its last five games following a four-game winning streak and an 8-1 run. Despite being 29 games over .500, the Rays are just +8.5 units as they remain overpriced since their amazing 29-7 start and the markets have not caught up to their 55-48 run since then. Nick Pivetta will be making his first start since August 15 as he has made four relief appearances since then, three extended ones that came in bullpen games. He was hit hard against the Dodgers in one of those but in the three on the road, he posted a 3.12 ERA over 8.2 innings and will be extended here. Tyler Glasnow has been great this season since coming off the IL as he has posted a 3.17 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over 16 starts. He has tossed two straight quality outings following a blowup against the Angels and while his numbers at home are great as well, Tampa Bay is just 4-4 in his eight home outings. 10* (969) Boston Red Sox |
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09-05-23 | Red Sox +150 v. Rays | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Boston is trying to stay alive in the American League Wild Card race as it has won three straight games including a 7-3 series opening win yesterday which came after a five-game losing streak. There is work to be done as the Red Sox are 4.5 games out of the final playoff spot. Tampa Bay is 1-3 over its last four games following a four-game winning streak and 8-1 run. Despite being 28 games over .500, the Rays are just +7.5 units as they remain overpriced since their amazing 29-7 start and the markets have not caught up to their 54-48 run since then. Kutter Crawford opened the season by allowing seven runs against the Pirates, which was easily his worst start of the season but came close last time out as he allowed six runs in 2.2 innings against Houston. Everything in-between has been great though as he has a 3.58 ERA in his other 16 outings. Zach Eflin is coming off one of his best starts, allowing no runs over 6.1 innings at Miami and he has thrown three straight quality games but he has had his share of recent poor showings as he had a 5.10 ERA over a six-game stretch prior to the recent three games. He has a 6.30 ERA in his last four home outings. 10* (917) Boston Red Sox |
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09-05-23 | Mariners v. Reds +144 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 144 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Seattle put together a massive 21-5 run to move into first place in the American League West but has tailed off slightly with a 2-4 stretch over its last six games. The Mariners are still tied for first place in the division but one game just separates the three teams. Cincinnati has won three of its last four games and while it is 5.5 games out in the National League Central, the Reds are right in the Wild Card mix. They are tied with Arizona for third place with four teams within one game vying for that final playoff spot. Connor Phillips makes his Major League debut as the No. 4 ranked prospect in the organization recently had a two-start rough patch in which he gave up 10 runs over three combined innings while pitching through illness but allowed just three hits and a walk while striking out six in six innings in his last start. Bryce Miller has been a great part of the Mariners rotation and he has pitched good of late but still has not been the same since he first came up. After a 1.15 ERA through his first five starts back in May, he has a 5.07 ERA over his last 15 starts including a 6.46 ERA over his last six road starts. 10* (930) Cincinnati Reds |
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09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 106 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS for our CFB Monday signature Enforcer. After finishing no worse than No. 3 in the final CFP rankings for six straight years, the Tigers finished No. 19 and No. 7 the last two seasons and they are ready to get back to the top. Clemson is ranked No. 9 in the preseason AP Poll and is the slight favorite to win the ACC but nothing is guaranteed and it is being overpriced because of what should be the norm. The Tigers bring back a ton this season after going 11-3 and they are finally settled at the quarterback spot with Cade Klubnik taking over for the inconsistent D.J. Uiagalelei who transferred out to Oregon St. But it will not be a seamless transition as two of the top receivers are gone but he is behind a very strong offensive line. Clemson regressed defensively but should get back to its dominance but this is not an easy test. Duke put together a 9-4 season last year and some will think of it as a fluke because it was considered a soft schedule but teams cannot dictate who they play, it just comes to them and the Blue Devils took care of business. The four losses were all by one possession and by just 16 points combined so it could have been even better. Duke did benefit from a +16 turnover margin and that tends to trend back toward the mean the following season but there is more than enough to make up for that. The Blue Devils have 18 starters back including 10 on offense led by quarterback Riley Leonard who grades out as the second best quarterback in the ACC heading into the season. The defense improved by 17.7 ppg and nearly 170 ypg from 2021 and that can be attributed to the defensive mind of head coach Mike Elko. 10* (236) Duke Blue Devils |
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09-04-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Don't look now but Edmonton is on a winning streak as it has won two straight games after opening the season with nine consecutive losses. The Elks were able to break their 22-game home losing streak last week with their 10-point win over Ottawa and that is cause for a letdown spot but the sudden resurgence has brought this line down. The offense has taken a step up since quarterback Tre Ford has taken over the starting spot as they have averaged nearly 27 ppg over their last three games and despite a poor showing last week against Toronto, the Calgary passing defense has been looking good. The Stampeders have dropped three straight games to fall to 3-8 and each game going forward is huge especially with Saskatchewan winning last night. Calgary played well last week on the road in Toronto, a team it had previously beaten and that was the third straight road loss as well. The Stampeders are back home where they are 1-4 but the last three losses were by a combined six points with the other coming against B.C. that opened the season. Quarterback Jake Maier has been inconsistent but is coming off a massive performance, throwing for 387 yards and four touchdowns and now faces one of the worst defense in the league. 10* (678) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-04-23 | Astros -102 v. Rangers | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our Divisional Game of the Month. Houston was swept at home against the Yankees and head to Arlington on a three-game slide following a five-game winning streak. The Astros are 42-27 on the road which is the third best road record in baseball while netting 13.8 units. Texas was able to salvage the series finale against the Twins with a 6-5 win on a walk-off home run to snap a three-game losing streak. The Rangers are now 4-12 in their last 16 games, with three of those wins coming by just one run. The Rangers were in first place in the American League West for almost the entire season and are only a 1.5 games away from missing the playoffs altogether. J.P. France was lights out through 17 starts as he had a 2.75 ERA and 1.21 WHIP before a visit from Boston two starts back as he was lit up for 10 runs on 11 hits in just 2.1 innings. He bounced back with a near quality start against those same Red Sox and he remains on the road where he has a 2.17 ERA. Andrew Heaney has been pitching very well as he has allowed three runs or fewer in seven straight starts but hade it through six innings only once. Going back, it has been the only time he has gone that far over his last 16 outings and he brings in a 4.29 ERA. 10* (961) Houston Astros |
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09-03-23 | LSU -2 v. Florida State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CFB Sunday Star Attraction. Head coach Brian Kelly took over an LSU program with no expectations and led them to a 10-4 season. This team is loaded with experience and talent and this first game will be a true indication of where it has come. Quarterback Jayden Daniels led the way last season as he threw for over 2,900 yards and 17 touchdowns while rushing for 885 yards and 11 touchdowns. One issue that has to be addressed is pass protection as LSU was the second worst in the SEC in sacks allowed but four starters are back and it will be better. The remaining top four rushers are all back, although John Emery is out here, and the Tigers added Logan Diggs from Notre Dame where he ran for 822 yards. The Tigers have improved defensively each of the last two years and are stacked for improvement again. Florida St. is getting a lot of sleeper CFP love and rightfully so. The Seminoles closed out last season with six straight wins, are right behind Clemson at +155 to win the ACC and have entered this season ranked No. 8 in the preseason AP Poll. Quarterback Jordan Travis was Second Team ACC last season and is exceptional but he lost a lot of production from his receiving corps and while the transfer portal will help, that could take some time and the tigers will be keying in on Johnny Wilson. The offensive line is solid but this will be the toughest defense it sees all season. The Seminoles improved dramatically on defense last season but had a tough time against the run and that will be a problem here. LSU was 10-1 when going for 140 yards and Florida St. allowed at least that six times. 10* (231) LSU Tigers |
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09-03-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +7.5 | Top | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Winnipeg remains the best team in the CFL as it is 9-2 and slightly ahead of Toronto in the power rankings. The Blue Bombers have won five straight games following a 2-2 stretch and now in a rivalry game it has dominated over recent seasons again has them significant favorites. Winnipeg has won eight straight meetings, the last three being blowouts including a 45-27 win here in Week Two and the line is reflecting that adding to the recent run it has been on. It is not a good scheduling spot especially with the fact the Blue Bombers have failed to cover their last three road games. Saskatchewan is coming off an upset win over B.C. last time out which snapped a 1-4 slide and the Roughriders are back at .500 and in good position to make the playoffs. They are coming off a bye week after playing for seven straight weeks so not only does the rest help but the offense should benefit even more. Quarterback Jake Dolegala will be making his second straight start as he takes over for Mason Fine. He came in relief in Week 10 and did not look good but he was thrown into the fire. After a week of practice with the first team, he was on point going 18-29 for 239 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions and now he has had even more time to work with the offense. 10* (674) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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09-03-23 | Pirates +129 v. Cardinals | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. The Pirates came through for us last night and while the price is not as big today, it is still inflated. The victory made it five straight wins and going back, the Pirates are 17-15 in their last 32 games which is nothing special but most of those wins were as underdogs. St. Louis lost for the sixth time in eight games and despite being five games worse that Pittsburgh, the Cardinals are again a mispriced favorite. St. Louis fell to 30-40 at home and down over 24 units and are at a pitching disadvantage today yet laying a significant price. Zack Thompson gets the start for the Cardinals and this will be just his fifth start of the season. His first four were decent but he has not gone more than five innings and he has a bullpen behind him that has been bad all season and went six pitchers deep over 4.1 innings last night. Johan Oviedo has had a pretty decent season all things considered through 27 starts. He has allowed five runs or more six times but take those out and his ERA drops from 4.20 to an outstanding 2.49 in his other 21 starts so while he has a few blowups, he has been really good. 10* (907) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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09-03-23 | Marlins v. Nationals +144 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Underdog Double Play. Miami has grabbed the first three games of this series which snapped a two-game slide to get the Marlins two games over .500. They are on the outside looking in but have narrowed the gap, sitting one game back in the National League Wild Card. Washington has lost six of its last seven games following a profitable run of 11-3 in its previous 14 games and it has been a lengthy overall solid run. Going back to early-July, the Nationals are 28-21 over their last 49 games and on the season, +22.6 units. Josiah Gray gets the ball for Washington and he admittedly has slowed down some after a great first half. He has allowed four runs or more in four of five starts but that has been sandwiched in-between three quality outings and faces the worst offense over a seven-game stretch. Sandy Alcantara has been brilliant at times and awful in others as it has not been a good season for the Cy Young winner as he has a 4.28 ERA including a 4.61 ERA on the road. He has allowed four runs or more in 11 of his last 20 starts and was lit up here earlier in the season in his lone start against Washington. 10* (906) Washington Nationals |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Saturday Signature Enforcer. Tulane had a magical season in 2022 as it went 12-2, tied with the 1998 team for most wins in school history, culminated by an amazing comeback in the Cotton Bowl against USC. We see a regression for sure and while it will not be same as that 1999 team that went 3-8, the Green Wave caught a lot of breaks last year catching some teams at the right place at the right time. Six starters are back on offense including Second Team AAC quarterback Michael Pratt who was sensational but all of his playmakers from last season are gone. The defense will be a solid unit once again with eight starters back but they face a really tough opening test. After finishing last season No. 9 in the final AP Poll, they come in No. 24 this season and while polls can be meaningless, it shows regression there as well. South Alabama finished 10-2 during the regular season last year, losing the two games to UCLA and eventual SBC Champion Troy by a combined five points. The Jaguars will be contenders again as they bring back nine starters on each side of the ball where both units dominated throughout. Quarterback Carter Bradley returns and despite setting the school record for passing yards in a season, he was only Fourth Team SBC but is preseason Second Team this year behind Grayson McCall. Six of his top seven receivers are back as well as the top three rushers along with four of five offensive linemen so yes they are loaded. The defense had its best showing in a decade and are extremely experienced and should be even better. 10* (219) South Alabama Jaguars |
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