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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-13-18 | Wichita State v. Tulsa +11.5 | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. Wichita St. has won six straight games including its first four AAC games in its first year in the conference. They have not been overly impressive however as the last two have come against the worst two teams in the conference while the only other road game resulted in a 10-point win at Connective which is ranked lower on the RPI, yet the Shockers are favored by a higher amount. This is no doubt a very good team, but they have not been dominating as much as people think as they are just 3-4 ATS when laying between 10 and 20 points. Tulsa returns home following a pair of road losses to drop its record to 3-2 in the conference and will get a chance to redeem itself against its biggest rival. This is the first time these two teams have met as members of the AAC, but Tulsa has faced the Shockers more than any other opponent. The Golden Hurricane are 7-1 at home this season while going 12-0 at home during the month of January since joining the AAC. Keeping that alive would be a pressure free cover but the inflated line is on our side. 10* (636) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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01-13-18 | Nets v. Wizards -9.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
We played on Washington two games back and it ended up losing outright to Utah, but it was able to bounce back last night with a win against Orlando although it was a closer than expected game and the Wizards failed to cover again. They have now gone four straight games without covering as they continue to play down to the competition. Last night for example, they entered the fourth quarter tied with the Magic which should not be the deal considering they are 12.5 games better. While Washington may be considered to be in a similar spot tonight against a below average team, the situation is different. The Wizards have faced Brooklyn twice this season and they lost both games outright including the last one three days before Christmas by 35 points, so payback is in store. The Nets are coming off a win in Atlanta last night to improve to 7-13 on the road. They have not won consecutive road games this season and are 0-4 in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Washington meanwhile is 4-2 straight up and ATS when playing with no rest and having no travel here is a big advantage. 10* (508) Washington Wizards |
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01-13-18 | Flyers v. Devils -115 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Both Philadelphia and New Jersey are coming off five-day breaks, part of the league mandated rule that affects every team in the league scattered between January 7 and 19. The timing of this helps the Devils the most as they are on a five-game losing streak following a 0-4 roadtrip prior to the break. Despite this skid, New Jersey is still in third place in the Metropolitan Division and sitting one point behind three teams for third place in the Eastern Conference. The Devils are 12-5-3 at home while winning five of their last six home games against teams with a losing record. On the flip side, the Flyers won their final three games prior to their time off and the five days off could kill some much-needed positive momentum. All of those wins were at home however and Philadelphia has been very inconsistent on the road this season. It is averaging 2.89 gpg on the highway which is not horrible, but it has scored two goals or less in eight of its last 13 road games. That is a problem against Corey Schneider who is 11-4-3 with a 2.51 GAA in 18 home starts this season and has a career 2.16 GAA at home. 10* (56) New Jersey Devils |
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01-13-18 | Texas A&M +2.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Game of the Week. The Aggies opened the season 11-1 after the non-conference part of the schedule but things went sour. There were a couple minor injuries and two suspensions that really hurt the chemistry of this team and Texas A&M dropped its first four SEC games, the last two coming by a single point against LSU and Kentucky. Second leading scorer DJ Hogg missed the missed two SEC games while third leading scorer Admon Gilder missed the first three SEC games, both because of suspensions but both returned against Kentucky and the Aggies nearly pulled off the upset on Tuesday. They are hoping to get Duane Wilson back today who has been out with a minor knee injury. Tennessee has won two straight after dropping its first two SEC games and it heads back home where it is an overwhelmingly public consensus favorite. This is due to the Aggies 0-4 conference record which needs to have an asterisk next to it. The Volunteers are 6-2 at home with one impressive win over Kentucky and the other five against nobody and they have covered just once in their last five games at home. 10* (605) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-13-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State -2 | Top | 64-65 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. Texas is coming off an inspirational win as it defeated TCU in overtime in dedication to guard Andrew Jones who was diagnosed with leukemia earlier in the day and it was an all-out effort for the Longhorns as they handed the Horned Frogs just their third loss of the season. As special as that was, it leads to a massive letdown as going from the euphoria of that victory to a road game three days later is tough to get up for. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Kansas St. the same night to fall to 1-3 in the Big XII. The other two defeats came against Oklahoma and West Virginia, the two top teams in the conference RPI. The 19-game win streak over unranked opponents was snapped in the loss against the Wildcats, but the homecourt win streak over unranked opponents remains intact at 14 games. The Cowboys are 9-2 at home with losses coming against West Virginia and Wichita St. which are a combined 29-3 so those can be forgiven. The Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. 10* (604) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 99 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. The loss of Carson Wentz is huge for the Eagles as many are saying the Super Bowl is now out of reach and that is being shown in this line. While there is a downgrade at quarterback for Philadelphia, Nick Foles is more than adequate to carry the team with his 87.4 career passer rating to go along with 61 touchdowns and 29 interceptions. The one thing being overshadowed is the Eagles defense that is No. 4 in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense. That defense is even better at home where they are allowing just 13.4 ppg and 280.6 ypg and this is where the difference will lie. We won with Atlanta last weekend over the Rams as it got fortunate because of a pair of fumbles and it was outgained by 39 yards overall. The cover was never in jeopardy, but the public will see that win and give the Falcons too much credit. Despite a 6-3 record on the road, Atlanta is getting outscored on average as the defense has not played as good away from home which comes as no surprise. The playoff experience is important as mentioned last week but there is too much of an adjustment with this line as the Falcons go from +6.5 road underdogs to -3 road favorites and this is the first time since the NFL expanded the playoff field to 12 teams that a No. 1 seed is an underdog in the divisional round. 10* (302) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-13-18 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +2 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CBB Saturday CBB Enforcer. Some expected for Auburn to have a solid season coming off an 18-14 record last year and returning a bulk of its roster but not many saw this coming. The Tigers are off to a 15-1 start including 13 straight victories while starting SEC play at 3-0. The 13-game winning streak is the longest since Dec. 1, 1999 to Jan. 19, 2000 so this is definitely something special. They are 3-0 on the road and because they are ranked and laying a short price, they are one of the biggest public consensus plays of the day as they are the eighth highest road play. While this is a feel-good story, it will not last forever and it heads to one of the toughest environments in college hoops this season and to make it worse, Auburn has a game at rival Alabama on deck. The Bulldogs are 13-3 overall including 1-2 in the conference with both of those losses coming on the road in their last two games. Mississippi St. is 12-0 at home and a win today would make it 14 straight home wins dating back to last season which would tie a program record. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (568) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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01-13-18 | Creighton v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 70-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS for our Saturday CBB Star Attraction. The Big East has three teams ranked in the top ten in the current RPI and one of those iz Xavier, coming in at No. 8. The Musketeers are 15-3 and are coming off a pair of road losses at Providence and Villanova and neither were very pretty, so there will be plenty of motivation this afternoon to get things back to where they were. The Musketeers possess one of the best home court advantages in the nation as they are 239-35 (.872) all-time at Cintas Center, including 11-0 this season. The .872 all-time winning percentage is ranked sixth in the nation. While we think the AP Poll is useless, Xavier has an 8-2 record in games that have involved two AP Top 25 teams at Cintas Center, including wins over Baylor and Cincinnati this season. This is important considering Creighton is ranked in the top 25 yet is sitting at No. 30 in the RPI so this is one of those situations where we get value because of an overrated AP ranked team. The Bluejays are 14-3 including a 4-1 conference record but three of those wins were at home and the only real road test resulted in a loss at Seton Hall. Bad time for them to visit Xavier. 10* (544) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-13-18 | Georgia Tech v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | Top | 69-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Georgia Tech on Wednesday as it defeated an undermanned Notre Dame team to win its third straight game and knock down its fourth straight cover. The Yellow Jackets are now 2-1 in the ACC and 9-7 overall and despite the victory over Notre Dame, they fell in the RPI and are now the lowest ranked ACC team heading into Saturday. Part of the problem has been an easy schedule to go along with a 0-3 record on the road as well as some poor losses including Wofford, Grambling St. and Wright St. And now they come in favored on the road and at a pretty big number. Seeing that Pittsburgh is 0-4 on the road may make the line more sensible but it actually does not. The Panthers have played the second toughest ACC schedule thus far with games against Duke, Virginia Tech, Louisville and Miami and were double-digit underdogs in all four games including two at home. Now they finally catch a break with their first winnable game in three weeks and the Panthers have not lost five consecutive games to open league play since joining the ACC. 10* (554) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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01-12-18 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Denver has lost three straight games including an embarrassing home loss against Atlanta on Wednesday, just the fourth road win for the Hawks this season, to fall into the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. It was a rare home loss for the Nuggets which had won 13 of their previous 16 games at home and they have not dropped consecutive home games this season, winning their four games following a loss by an average of 18.5 ppg. With a game at San Antonio tomorrow night, the Nuggets know this is a huge game. Memphis is coming off a win over New Orleans on Wednesday which snapped a two-game slide and it has been an awful stretch for the Grizzlies which are just 6-23 over their last 29 games. Memphis has not won consecutive games since October as it has dropped eight straight games following a victory. On the season, Memphis is 0-7 on the road following a win in its previous game and those losses have been by an average of 10.6 ppg. The Nuggets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game while the Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (816) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-18 | Jets v. Blackhawks -106 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Winnipeg possesses one of the best home records in the NHL, but it is a much different team on the road. The Jets are 10-8-6 on the highway and while they are coming off a win on their last road game, winning at Buffalo is not saying much. The offense is average by putting up 2.83 gpg while the defense allows 2.92 gpg yet the line is staying lower than it should be based on the fact Winnipeg has won six of its last seven games. However, the Jets are 1-8 in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. Chicago remains on the outside looking in at the playoff standings as it trails Minnesota by two points for the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. That came by way of a home loss to the Wild in its last game on Wednesday in the second game of a six-game homestand where it needs to hold serve on home ice. The Blackhawks have won five of their last seven home games where they are 11-7-2 overall and averaging 3.40 gpg which is No. 8 in the NHL while their 36.1 shots per game is No. 4 in the league. 10* (8) Chicago Blackhawks |
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01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -4 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
We played against Utah on Wednesday and while it was a win for the Jazz, it was more of a loss for Washington which again played down to its competition to fall to 11-10 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Despite the victory, Utah is still just 4-13 over its last 17 games while sitting at 4-17 on the road which remains the worst road record in the Western Conference. The Jazz have not won consecutive games since the start of December and they have lost their last four games following a win by an average of 9.8 ppg. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a losing home record. It has been an even worst season for Charlotte as it is now 15-24 following a loss against Dallas on Wednesday. That loss put the Hornets a game under .500 at home and it has been a rough stretch since head coach Steve Clifford had to take a leave of absence for health reasons. He is coming back next week, and the Hornets should get a boost of motivation knowing he is back and going back, the Hornets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (804) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-12-18 | Marquette v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
A four-game winning streak capped off by an eight-point upset win over Villanova is a thing of the past as Butler has dropped its last three games. Two of those were on the road as significant road underdogs and the lone home loss came against Seton Hall which is currently No. 9 in the RPI so none of the defeats have been ones they should not have been. Now comes a game where the Bulldogs can not and should not lose while trying to get back to .500 in the Big East. All six of Butler's losses have come against teams ranked in the KenPom Top 35 (with three of those coming on the road and two others on a neutral court). Marquette is outside that ranking which is a good sign based on the Butler downfalls. The Golden Eagles are coming off a huge win over Seton Hall, something Butler could not do, but that provides us with a good spot for a more lethargic Marquette team coming to town. After covering three straight games, and Butler failing to cover three straight, the line value is on the home side with a very motivated bunch. 10* (822) Butler Bulldogs |
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01-11-18 | Stanford v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Stanford hits the road following a pair of home upset victories over UCLA and USC which puts the Cardinal in a tough situation here. This is just the second true road game for Stanford with its first resulting in a loss at Long Beach St. by eight points as a 6.5-point favorite and that was a while back. The Cardinal have played six straight home games with this being the first road game since December 3 and on the season, they are 0-4 in all games away from Maples Pavilion. The Cardinal are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games following three or more consecutive home games. Washington St. is off to a 0-3 start in the Pac 12 with two of those losses coming on the road and the latest coming against rival by just five points. The Cougars still have a winning record on the season thanks to a 6-0 start that included impressive wins over San Diego St. and St. Marys, part of their Wooden Legacy Championship. This is the best three-point shooting team in the conference, not good for Stanford which is one of the worst perimeter defenses in the Pac 12. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (546) Washington St. Cougars |
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01-11-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -3 | Top | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
College of Charleston, which returned all five starters from the 25-win team from last year, was picked to capture the CAA by a significant amount. The Cougars are just 2-2 in the conference as they opened with a pair of wins at home but suffered two road losses last week, one in overtime at Drexel and the other at Towson in a revenge game for the Tigers. They are back home where they are 7-0 on the season and have won nine straight here with the last loss coming against Northeastern by a point which they have not forgotten. College of Charleston has three of the Top 10 active CAA career scoring leaders in Joe Chealey (1,502), Cameron Johnson (979) and Jarrell Brantley (961). Northeastern comes in with a 3-1 record in the CAA following a 2-1 homestand but two of the three wins came against James Madison which is the worst team in the conference. The Huskies are 3-3 on the road but none are quality wins and going back, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (512) College of Charleston Cougars |
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01-11-18 | Marshall v. Charlotte +3 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Marshall had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 112-87 loss at Western Kentucky last Saturday and that defense has struggled most of the season. The Thundering Herd fell to 1-4 on the road and they are allowing 91.8 ppg on 48.8 percent shooting and this is the game that the Charlotte offense can really get it going. Marshall will be without one of its best players as Ajdin Penava, who is averaging 16.7 ppg and 9.0 rpg, left the last game with an ankle injury. The 49ers have gotten off to a rough start this season, but the schedule has not been in their favor as the early part of the season had games against Oklahoma St., Charleston, Davidson and Wake Forest. Since then, Charlotte has played its last six games on the road so this will be its first home game in over a month. The 49ers are 3-3 on their home floor and while they are 0-3 ATS, those three losses came against much stiffer competition. The Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games following three or more consecutive road games. 10* (516) Charlotte 49ers |
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01-10-18 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -3.5 | Top | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Minnesota was a preseason top 20 team and was picked to finish third in the Big Ten Conference, but things have taken a turn for the worst. Two of the top four scorers are out as the Gophers are without starters Reggie Lynch, who is facing expulsion from sexual assault charges, and Amir Coffey, who is out for a while after suffering a shoulder injury. Jordan Murphy, Nate Mason and Dupree McBrayer combined for 58 points, 14 rebounds, 11 assists and six steals Saturday, but the Gophers still fell 75-71 at home against a shorthanded and rebuilding Indiana team. Minnesota has its five-game winning streak snapped with all those games coming at home and this marks their first road game in four weeks. Northwestern is also off to a disappointing start as it is 10-7 including a 1-3 start in the conference following consecutive 15-point losses. There have been issues on the court but despite the chemistry issues, however, the Wildcats can take solace in the fact that their roster is still complete and physically intact. A pair of player only meetings and intense practices will bring out the real Northwestern team everyone expected. 10* (772) Northwestern Wildcats |
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01-10-18 | Pistons v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Detroit is coming off a loss in its last game on the road at New Orleans which comes as no surprise as it has lost five straight road games and over the last 10 Pistons games, the home team is a perfect 10-0. This is not because the road games have been against powerful teams and the home games have come against scrubs as they have lost to the likes of Dallas, Orlando and Philadelphia while producing home wins over San Antonio and Houston. This has been an ongoing situation for the underachieving Pistons as they are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Nets have lost their last two games, both coming at home, but they were quality losses as they fell to Boston by a bucket and to Toronto by one points in overtime. Brooklyn has gone 3-2 in its last five home games and while those losses were impressive, two of the wins were as well as they came against Washington and Minnesota which are a combined 16 games over .500. This has been a calling card this season as the Nets are 8-2 ATS at home against winning teams and overall, they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (708) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-10-18 | Heat v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami handed Toronto just its second home loss of the season as Wayne Ellington scored the decisive basket with 0.3 seconds remaining to give the Heat a dramatic 90-89 victory over the Raptors. That was the fifth straight win overall and third straight road win for Miami but not the third straight road win in succession as it was just their third road game since December 20. This has not been a good situation this season as Miami is 0-2 straight up and ATS in its two instances of playing the second of back-to-back road games with no rest. Those losses came by 17 and 29 points. Indiana has won its last two games following a five-game losing streak which included two home losses where it is 13-9 on the season. This has been a great price range this season for the Pacers as they are 10-3 ATS as favorites of fewer than nine points. Miami has lost 10 straight meetings in this series in Indianapolis and will likely be without Tyler Johnson once again and now James Johnson who was involved in a fight last night with Serge Ibaka. Going back, the 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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01-10-18 | Jazz v. Wizards -7.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Washington is playing with revenge as it suffered a 47-point loss in Utah last month which was its worst loss since 1970-71 so there will be plenty of added motivation tonight. While losing that bad is never a good thing, it could have woken up the Wizards as since that defeat, they have gone 11-5 and while they are coming off a loss against Milwaukee last time out, Washington has won its last four games following a loss, the last three coming by double-digits. The Wizards did not have John Wall in that first meeting and will get Otto Porter back tonight after he missed the last game against the Bucks. It has been a struggle for Utah this season as off-season defections and injuries have sent the Jazz into last place in the Northwestern Division. Utah is 3-13 in its last 16 games while possessing the worst road record in the Western Conference at 3-17. Utah is 3-9 ATS this season as an underdog of five or more points while going 0-5 ATS in its last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (704) Washington Wizards |
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01-10-18 | St. Joe's v. George Mason +4.5 | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
St. Joseph's is coming off a pair of upsets last week as it defeated VCU and St. Bonaventure as an underdog. And both of those games were at home so now in the rare role going from home underdogs to road favorites next time out. While George Mason is not on the same level as VCU and St. Bonaventure, it is on the same level as St. Joseph's as the difference in the RPI numbers is just 19 spots which is minimal when the total amount of teams in the mix is 351. The Hawks are 7-7 overall including a 1-3 record on the road with the lone victory coming at Illinois-Chicago in overtime. George Mason is coming off its worst loss of the season as it was defeated by 27 points against Davidson on Saturday. The game was over before it started which may not be a bad thing moving forward as losses like that are a lot easier to take than a last second loss and going back, the Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (724) George Mason Patriots |
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
We played against Notre Dame on Saturday as it traveled to Syracuse and pulled out the victory as it held the Orange to 39.1 percent shooting and 49 points including 21 in the second half. The Irish were able win the battle of the boards including a 17-8 edge on the offensive end while making seven more free throws which was the ultimate difference. Those advantages helped to mask an awful offensive effort as they shot just 30.4 percent themselves which came as no surprise. Notre Dame was without its top two scorers and will be without Bonzie Colson and Matt Farrell again tonight and the challenge on defense will be a lot tougher. Georgia Tech is coming off a non-conference win over Yale on Saturday as it avoided a letdown following a big win over Miami. The Yellow Jackets are 1-1 in the conference and that one loss came against Notre Dame last month so there is instant revenge. Farrell and Colson combined for 32 points and 22 boards so that production will be missed this time around. 10* (736) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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01-09-18 | Boise State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
Both Boise St. and Fresno St. are coming off overtime games on the road with the Bulldogs winning theirs at Colorado St. while the Broncos lost by a point at Wyoming. Fresno St. has the advantage of returning home carrying some positive momentum as it looks to improve upon its 8-2 record at Save Mart Center. The Bulldogs are 3-3 over their last six games and they are 0-5 ATS over that stretch which adds value to the number for tonight as a contrarian angle. Fresno St. ranks second in the MWC in field goal shooting percentage (49.9 percent), three-point field goal percentage (40.7 percent), offensive rebounding percentage (33.1 percent) and steals (128, 7.5 spg). Boise St. had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss against the Cowboys as it fell to 2-2 on the road. The Broncos will be going up against one of the best backcourts in the conference as four guards for the Bulldogs are averaging double-digits in scoring. Going back, the Bulldogs are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win while the Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. 10* (562) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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01-09-18 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +2.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
Tennessee is coming off a win over Kentucky on Saturday as it outscored the Wildcats by 19 points in the second half to make it three straight home wins over Kentucky. The Volunteers now hit the road where they lost last time out in overtime against Arkansas and they come in as the favorite with a lot of that based on the win from Saturday. This is an ideal letdown spot and it is very similar to two years ago when Tennessee defeated Kentucky as home and then went on the road and got blown out against Arkansas. It has been an up and down start for Vanderbilt as it is 6-9 overall including a 1-2 record in the SEC. The Commodores are coming off a loss at South Carolina on Saturday and while they are 6-3 at home, all three losses were decided in the final minute, so they have had some unfortunate luck. They have yet to cover a game at home as the Commodores are 0-6 ATS which is another reason the line is what it is. The Vanderbilt defense has picked it up of late, allowing opponents to shoot just 37.9 percent from the floor over its last five games. 10* (558) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-09-18 | Flames v. Wild -131 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
After winning two straight games over Buffalo and Florida by a combined score of 11-3, Minnesota got embarrassed in its last game, losing in Colorado 7-2 to make it four straight road losses. On the flip side, the Wild have won four straight home games and going back to mid-November, they are 11-1-1 over their last 13 home games which makes this number severely underpriced. Additionally, the Wild are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss of three or more goals. This rebound ability can be attributed to the defense especially at home where Minnesota is allowing just 2.10 gpg which is best in the NHL. Calgary has won three straight games but all of those came at home to move a game over .500 on home ice and it sits at exactly .500 on the road. The Flames have dropped two straight road games and scoring has been a problem away from home as they are averaging just 2.61 gpg which is 10th lowest in the league. They have struggled against better competition as the Flames are 8-17 in their last 25 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (64) Minnesota Wild |
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01-09-18 | Blazers v. Thunder -8 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Portland heads to Oklahoma City riding a two-game winning streak including a last second victory over San Antonio on Sunday. C.J. McCollum drove the lane and had his running shot bounce on the rim a total of seven times before going in to provide the Blazers with a 111-110 lead with 5.9 seconds to go. They have been a much better team on the road but are in a tough spot tonight with Damian Lillard rules out with a calf injury. He has missed six of the last eight games and they are 2-2 in four road games with the wins coming over the Bulls and Lakers, so the challenge will be difficult tonight. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss in Phoenix on Sunday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Thunder will be out to make up for that as well as put an end to a two-game home losing streak that came just before their three-game roadtrip. Oklahoma City is 14-6 at home after a shaky start and going back, the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (504) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-09-18 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -3 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Texas Tech has been the big surprise in the Big XII as it is off to a 14-1 start including a perfect 3-0 in the conference. The signature win came at Kansas a week ago and the Red Raiders avoided a letdown by heading home and taking care of business against Kansas St. on Saturday. They came into the season not receiving a single vote in the AP Top 25 and are now up to No. 8 in the nation. As pointed out in the past, the AP Poll is meaningless as that is a public poll and the RPI is the better guide. Texas Tech is No. 20 in the RPI which is still solid but shows how it national ranking is overinflated. Oklahoma is coming off a loss at West Virginia as it committed 17 turnovers, but this is a good bounce back spot. Despite that loss, Oklahoma remains the top team in the Big XII RPI at No. 7 as this offense is one of the best around. The Sooners are averaging 94.4 ppg which is tops in the country and this includes a 101.9 ppg average at home where they are a perfect 7-0. 10* (530) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-07-18 | Bills +9 v. Jaguars | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Bills snuck into the playoffs thanks to Baltimore losing at home against Cincinnati and while many will not be giving them a chance, they are the type of team that can keep their momentum going. The elation they showed after they made the playoffs shows how much this means to them and their fans, yet the number shows they have no chance. We figure the questionable status of LeSean McCoy is inflating this number somewhat, but he made it to the practice field on Thursday, so he could be able to give it a go. The offense will have struggles against the Jacksonville defense, but we are banking on the bills defense to hold its own as well in what we expect to be a lower scoring game, and the total is backing that up, which favors the underdog. Buffalo enters the playoffs with a -57 scoring differential, the fifth worst in the Super Bowl era but that can be attributed to two bad games against New England, a fluky bad effort at home against New Orleans and the Nathan Peterman experiment against the Chargers. Jacksonville went 6-2 at home this season, all six wins against non-playoff teams and the two losses against playoff teams. Conversely, Buffalo went 3-5 on the road but half of those games were against playoff teams and half of those resulted in wins over Atlanta and Kansas City. The Jaguars were one of the big surprises in the NFL this season but still remain one of the least trustable teams in the league. Limping in with losses in their final two games and playing the easiest schedule in the NFL make them very vulnerable. 10* (105) Buffalo Bills |
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01-06-18 | Falcons +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. While many feel that it was a disappointing season for the Falcons, it was not all that bad. Sure, back-to-back losses at home against Buffalo and Miami with a bye week in-between were bad, everything else was fine. The other four losses came against higher seeded playoff teams and two of those were by three and five points. Atlanta avoided the Super Bowl loss hangover to make it back into the playoffs and it was the only team from the NFC playoff team from last year to make it back this season. The Falcons finished with the third best conference record at 9-3, one game worse than the Eagles and Vikings and they outgained opponents by 46.4 ypg. Additionally, the experience from last year is a big edge. They played the fourth toughest schedule in the league and are ranked higher in the power rankings yet are close to a touchdown underdog in most places. The Rams had a great year in the first season under head coach Sean McVay, but it could be considered a mirage. The offense finished No. 10 and the defense finished No. 19 and the main reason their scoring differential was so high was due to 28 takeaways and that cannot be counted on here, especially against an Atlanta team that gave it up just 18 times. They outgained opponents by 34.2 ppg (taking Week 17 out of the equation) against a schedule that was No. 17 in the NFL and their one win against the top 10 is the second fewest among all playoff teams (Tennessee had zero). Lack of playoff experience will be felt which makes the inflated line even more troublesome. 10* (103) Atlanta Falcons |
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01-06-18 | Marquette v. Villanova -16 | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
After starting the season 13-0, Villanova allowed a season-high 101 points in a loss at Butler and it has had a week to stew over that defeat which is not a good sign for Marquette. Had covered eight of their previous nine games and were dominating in their climb up to going after a second National Championship in three years. Losses have been few and far between for the Wildcats for the last few seasons, but head coach Jay Wrights seems to always push the right buttons as the 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss while going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a non-cover. After a 19-1 start last season, Villanova went to Marquette and lost by a bucket, so it will be out for payback tonight. The Golden Eagles are 2-1 in the Big East following a 95-90 win at Providence in overtime behind 52 points from Markus Howard. It is safe to say the Villanova defense is going to be all over him tonight and he could be in for a very long night. Marquette is 2-0 on the road but this is the biggest test to date and once Villanova gets off to a quick start here, the Wildcats can cruise to an easy victory. 10* (636) Villanova Wildcats |
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01-06-18 | Tulsa v. Memphis -1.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
We played on Memphis three games back and it suffered its first home loss of the season and that defeat did not go away as the Tigers have opened AAC action with a pair of losses. They lost to Cincinnati and Central Florida as the offense was completely shut down, but both of those games were on the road and Memphis looks to regain its footing as it heads back home in what is the start of a four-game stretch with all four games winnable ones. The Tigers have failed to cover their last five games and that is being taken into consideration with this line that is too short. Tulsa is off to a 3-0 start in the conference, but this is not sustainable. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a big win against Connecticut in overtime on Wednesday and getting back up off that high will be difficult especially with the travel being taken into consideration. Despite the 3-0 record, Tulsa is No. 7 in the conference RPI and it catches a Memphis team at the wrong time. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS as underdogs so they have not stepped up to the opposition, but they are 3-0 ATS when favored by fewer than seven points. 10* (584) Memphis Tigers |
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01-06-18 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso -3.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Valparaiso probably wishes it was still in the Horizon Conference as it has not been a good start in the Missouri Valley Conference, which is a slight bump up in strength. The Crusaders are 0-3 in their first three games in their new conference and they have lost four straight overall while going 1-7 in their last eight games. To their credit, seven of those eight games were on the road and the lone home game came against Missouri St. which is the preseason favorite to win the MVC. While it may be early to throw around the must win tag, but this is a game that Valparaiso needs leading up to another tough three-game stretch after this. After missing time with mono, Tevonn Walker found his groove last game and can take over on offense. Southern Illinois is 2-1 in the conference, but it has been playing over its head as depth issues are going to catch up to the Salukis. Both wins came by a bucket as free throw shooting has become an issue as Southern Illinois was just 16-30 in those two victories. The Salukis have now lost three players for the season and are playing with seven players that get significant minutes. 10* (590) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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01-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -6 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
We won with Syracuse last Sunday as it stifled the potent Virginia Tech offense with its patented zone defense, but the Orange came out slow in its next game against Wake Forest and eventually lost by six points. They are back home where they have only lost once and in a great spot to bounce back and shake off that defeat to improve to 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss. There is a bit of revenge in play here as well as Syracuse lost in South Bend last season by 18 points. Notre Dame suffered a big loss when forward and leading scorer Bonzie Colson sustained a broken foot against Georgia Tech and he will be out for at least a month. His teammates rallied around him and drilled NC State by 30 points in his first game out but took another bad break as second leading scorer Matt Farrell hurt his ankle and will not be available today. Those two absences account for 37.3 ppg so there are big issues of where the offense will find production today. The Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (538) Syracuse Orange |
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01-06-18 | LSU v. Texas A&M -8.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Game of the Week. Texas A&M was rolling along at 10-1 but then came some issues, most notably three-game suspension to leading scorer DJ Hogg and the Aggies dropped two of those three games. Hogg will be reinstated today, and Texas A&M will be out for blood following a 0-2 start in the SEC after losses against Alabama and Florida by 22 and 17 points respectively. When fully available, this is one of the top teams in the country and we will see that on display today. LSU put up a big fight against Kentucky on Wednesday but lost at home by three points and that will be tough to recover from, especially after blowing a five-point halftime lead. While that may look like an impressive game for the Tigers, numerous Kentucky players were playing with the flu, so the Wildcats were far from full strength. LSU has played just one true road game and it heads to College Station at the wrong time. The Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Tigers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (562) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-06-18 | Florida v. Missouri +1.5 | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
The loss of Michael Porter Jr. a game into the season crushed any sort of NCAA Championship hopes that it had coming into the season, but this is still a very good team that has four starters back from last season. The other Porter brother, Jontay, missed some time but came back last game and put up 19 points in the Tigers win over South Carolina to open the SEC at 1-0. Missouri returns home where it is 7-0 on the season and we often talk about AP Poll rankings against RPI rankings and how the former means little, but it is what the public considers. The Tigers are not ranked, ant not even receiving votes for that matter, it in the AP Poll but they are No. 14 in the latest RPI. Then there is the matter of a 39-point loss in Gainesville last season that the returning players have surely not forgotten about. Florida came into the season as a top ten team according to numerous publications, but a 1-4 stretch sent it tumbling out of the rankings and the Gators now sit No. 56 in the RPI. They are coming off a blowout win at Texas A&M, but the Aggies were shorthanded, and that victory has given Florida too much credit with the linesmakers. The Gators are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall while the Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (540) Missouri Tigers |
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01-05-18 | Hornets v. Lakers +2.5 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
The Lakers are having a rough time of it as a 133-96 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday marked their eighth straight loss and 11th in 12 games, a streak that has dropped the Lakers from just outside the Western Conference playoff hunt to the second-worst record in the entire NBA, only one game better than the hapless Hawks. Kyle Kuzma called his teammates out afterward and that is a thing that can help immediately as hurt egos go a long way and now is the time to back Los Angeles. To the Lakers credit, the recent has been brutal as they have played the Warriors, Rockets and Timberwolves twice apiece, as well as the Cavaliers, Blazers and Thunder over their last 12 games. They have covered four of their last five games against the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is coming off a blowout win over Sacramento to improve to 2-1 on this roadtrip with the other win coming against Golden St. and while that was impressive, the Hornets are still a dreadful 4-13 on the road. They have won only one of three games as road favorites and the Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (820) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Toronto has been the best home team in the NBA this season but has not been nearly dominant on the road as it is 12-9 and while that may seem impressive still, digging deeper shows it really is not. Only three of those 12 road wins have come against winning teams and two of those were against New Orleans and Portland which are each just one game over .500. The Raptors have played a relatively easy schedule, ranked No. 24 in the NBA, and they possess just two wins over top ten team which is second fewest in the league ahead of only Chicago and its one victory over the top ten. Milwaukee is on the cusp of the top ten as it has been playing well as after a 4-6 start, it has gone 16-10 over its last 26 games. The Bucks have won three of their last four games with the lone loss coming against Toronto in overtime so there will be added motivation. Milwaukee has gone 11-3 in its last 14 home games and sits just four games behind Cleveland in the Central Division. The Bucks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (808) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-05-18 | Panthers v. Red Wings -121 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Detroit comes into Friday riding a three-game winning streak but still well down in the playoff standings as it is seven points away from the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference. The Red Wings have been good if not unlucky at home as they are 9-6-6 and those six extra time home losses are the most in the NHL so while they got a point for all of those, some should have gone their way. They have been solid on defense and goalie Jimmy Howard has been exceptional of late, allowing two goals or less in five straight games. Going back, the Red Wings have won four straight home games. Florida is coming off a 5-1 loss at Minnesota in its last game on Tuesday which snapped a five-game winning streak but the final four of those were at home where it is 10-6-3. On the road, the Panthers are just 7-11-2 as the offense is dreadful, averaging 2.15 gpg which is the lowest in the NHL. That is not a good sign going up against a hot Howard. James Reimer will be in goal again for the Panthers after getting pulled in Minnesota. Reimer has been solid this season with a 3.01 GAA but he has been at him best when he is in a rhythm as he has a 2.56 GAA when playing with one or less day of rest while posting a 3.75 GAA when playing on two or more days of rest. 10* (54) Detroit Red Wings |
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01-05-18 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +2.5 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Rutgers is off to a 0-3 start in the Big Ten but tonight is the first opportunity where it can actually win. Those first three games were against Minnesota, Michigan St. and Purdue and those lines were 12.5, 14.5 and 19 respectively so the chances of winning any of those were next to none. While Rutgers won just 15 games last season, it was more than twice as many victories from the previous season. It lost seven Big Ten games by single-digits after losing 15 conference games by double-digits the previous season and it brings back four starters. The Scarlet Knights are 10-6 overall including a 10-4 record at home with one of those losses coming against Michigan St. and the other three came by a combined nine points including a five-point loss to Florida St. Wisconsin has won five straight games including a win over Indiana last time out to improve to 2-1 in the conference. It made another trip to the Sweet 16 last season, but this edition may miss out on all postseason tournaments. The Badgers lost four starters and their current RPI of No. 119 is nothing special. This is their first road game in a month and this is not the easiest of venues for opponents. The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record while the Badgers are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (828) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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01-04-18 | USC v. California +7 | Top | 80-62 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
It has been an up and down start for USC which came into the season as the preseason No. 11 team according to Blue Ribbon but after opening the season 4-0, the Trojans lost three straight games, albeit to three top programs. They rebounded to go 5-1 in their next six games, but the one loss came at home against Princeton and two of the victories were closer than they should have been. Pac 12 play opened with an inexplicable home loss against Washington and while USC bounced back to roll over Washington St. two days later, this team is sill underachieving. The Trojans hit the road for just the second time and they will do so without the services of leading scorer Chimezie Metu for the first half as he is suspended after an altercation against the Cougars and that could prove to be large. Not much was expected from California this season after losing four starters, but it has held its own at 7-7, three losses coming in Maui, and it opened the conference season with a win at Stanford. The Golden Bears have four players averaging double-digits in scoring and possess a strong backcourt that can matchup with the Trojans. 10* (566) California Golden Bears |
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01-04-18 | Ducks v. Oilers -117 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
Edmonton continues to stumble as the preseason Western Conference favorites are 17-20-3 after a fourth straight loss, the last three coming at home. This includes a pair of 5-0 shutouts in the last two games as it came into Tuesday with a perfect 3-0 record following a shutout loss so there will be even extra motivation tonight. The Oilers may have been guilty of a lookahead as this is the first meeting with Anaheim which ended their season last year in seven games in the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs. The fact the offense has struggled is surprising as bad luck can be attributed to it as the Oilers are averaging 37 shots per game at home which is second most in the league while their 2.71 gpg average is seventh lowest. Anaheim has won three straight games including a 5-0 shutout at Vancouver to open its five-game roadtrip. It was the second straight road shutout going back to a 4-0 win at Pittsburgh on December 23 after allowing 13 goals in its previous three road games. The Ducks have been average on the road with a 9-6-5 record including a 5-4-5 record over its last 14 road games. Despite allowing three goals in the last three games, the Ducks are 3-7 in their last 10 games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. 10* (22) Edmonton Oilers |
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01-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Blues -115 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Vegas is setting records for first year franchises as its start to the season has been unprecedented. The Golden Knights have an eight-game winning streak after 3-0 victory over Nashville on Tuesday and is 12-0-1 in its last 13 contests which is the longest winning and point streaks by an NHL expansion team. If there is a weakness, it is the play on the road as Vegas is 10-7-1 which is still good, but the defense is allowing 3.33 gpg in those 18 games compared to just 2.20 gpg in 20 home games, second best in the NHL. The Blues have won two straight games following a 1-5 run and this is a big game to keep the winning streak going before playing their next two games on the road. Additionally, St. Louis can overtake Winnipeg in the Central Division and pull within two points of Vegas in the Western Conference. Blues backup goalie Carter Hutton will get another shot as he is 11-3-0 with a 1.88 GAA, a .937 save percentage, and one shutout in his last 14 starts. St. Louis allows just 2.32 gpg at home which is seventh in the NHL and the offense will need to get going on special teams which should happen against a Vegas defense which is seventh worst on the road in the penalty kill. 10* (14) St. Louis Blues |
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01-04-18 | UTEP v. Southern Miss -2.5 | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
The Miners got off to a 1-5 start and then had to deal with the sudden retirement of head coach Tim Floyd which came out of nowhere. UTEP is 5-3 under interim head coach Phil Johnson including a win over Rice in its last game on Saturday but now UTEP hits the road dealing with another issue. Leading scorer Keith Frazier took a leave of absence from the team for personal reasons and while the Miners won their first game without him, beating Rice is no big deal. Additionally, their last nine games were at home and this marks their first road game since November 25 and just the second one on the season. Southern Mississippi is still dealing with scholarship losses as it has only 10 scholarship players, but it is holding its own with a 7-8 record despite losses in four straight games. The Golden Eagles were hammered in their first two conference games but those were against frontrunners Marshall and Western Kentucky and both were on the road. They are 5-0 at home and going back are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (534) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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01-04-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. Louisiana Tech -7.5 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
The Bulldogs went 23-10 last season including a 14-4 record in C-USA which was good for a second-place finish and after getting ousted in the conference tournament semifinals, they were completely snubbed by all postseason tournaments. They have three starters back this season and are off to a 9-6 start while possessing a strong and deep backcourt led by DaQuan Bracey and NBA prospect Jacobi Boykins. Four of the six losses have come by a total of 10 points and starting off 0-2 in C-USA will have them ready to go tonight. UTSA has split its first two conference games, both coming at home, and it hits the road where it is 1-4 and has been dominated on the glass by 14.8 rpg. Overall, the Roadrunners have played the fourth easiest schedule in the conference at No. 292 and they are catching the Bulldogs at the absolute worst time. This is the first home game for Louisiana Tech since December 12 and the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (526) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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01-03-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans is coming off a pair of losses at home, to the Knicks and Mavericks no less, to drop back down to .500 on the season. The Pelicans have fallen into the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and while it is too early to worry about playoff positioning, they cannot spiral out of the picture. New Orleans is 9-9 on the road and these are the positions it has thrived in as the Pelicans are 6-0 ATS this season on the road against teams with a losing record. In the first meeting in Salt Lake City this season, the Pelicans had a 16-point advantage over the Jazz early in the third quarter, but New Orleans managed to let a double-digit lead completely evaporate and were forced to take home the disappointing loss. Utah is coming off an upset win over Cleveland in its last game as the Cavaliers gave that game away by missing 13 of their first 14 shots in the third quarter, allowing the Jazz to open the quarter with a 23-3 run that put them ahead for good. Despite their big win over Cleveland, the Jazz have lost 10 of its last 12 after going through a brutal stretch in December that dropped them down to No. 10 in the Western Conference standings. Look for New Orleans to pace this game up which would give it a big advantage and come away with the needed victory. 10* (721) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-03-18 | Illinois State v. Drake -3.5 | Top | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Both Drake and Illinois St. have jumped out to 2-0 conference records in the first week of MVC action to sit on top of the league standings. This is the first 2-0 start for the Bulldogs since 2007-08 and while many will call it a fluke, this team will continue to make noise as Drake is the eighth most experienced team in the nation with an average experience of 2.46 years on the court at any given time. Reed Timmer, one of five Drake senior guards, leads the MVC with 18.9 ppg and while the Bulldogs lead the conference in scoring., defense has been the team's catalyst in the last three wins as the Bulldogs have held each of those opponents under 40 percent shooting. Illinois St. comes in extremely shorthanded as the injury list keeps growing. Most recent, leading scorer Keyshawn Evans is out with a knee injury and while the Redbirds won their only game without him so far, it took overtime at home to defeat Indiana St., the lowest ranked team in the RPI in the MVC. The Bulldogs are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (760) Drake Bulldogs |
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01-03-18 | Richmond v. Fordham -1.5 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Fordham dropped its conference opener at VCU on Saturday which came after a loss at West Virginia and heads back home to get into the win column. The Rams are not the same pushover team from the past as over the past two years, Fordham has won 15 A-10 games (eight in 2015-2016 and seven in 2016-2017) and those 15 wins is one more than Rams managed over the previous seven years. The Rams are fifth in the conference in scoring defense at 67.6 ppg and are third in the league in three-point field goal percentage defense (.315). Fordham also leads the league in steals with 143 (11.0 spg). Richmond defeated Davidson at home on Saturday as an underdog to pick up just its third win of the season. The Spiders are winless on the road at 0-3 as the defense has struggled, allowing opponent to shoot 50.3 percent from the floor and giving up 79.7 ppg. The Rams have lost three home games by a combined eight points and while the Spiders have won 14 straight meetings in this series, this presents the best opportunity for Fordham to break that streak. 10* (732) Fordham Rams |
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01-03-18 | Clemson v. Boston College +5 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Boston College had a five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday, but it was another strong game for the Eagles as they lost in Virginia by just a single point to fall to 1-1 in the ACC. The win was against Duke at home which shows what they are capable of and this is going to be a dangerous team all season. Boston College has already won more games this season than all last season thanks to one of the stronger backcourts in the conference with Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman all averaging at least 14.6 ppg. Bowman is the only player in the country to average at least 15.9 ppg, 6.8 rpg, and 5.1 apg. Clemson enters the contest ranked No. 25 in the AP Poll thanks to a 12-1 start and that is the reason the Tigers come in as road favorites. They have also covered six straight games so despite Boston College being undefeated at home, Clemson will be the popular play tonight. The Eagles counter the Clemson current ATS run as they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (742) Boston College Eagles |
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01-02-18 | Arkansas -2 v. Mississippi State | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Arkansas is coming off an overtime win over Tennessee on Saturday to open SEC play with a victory and now it hits the road for just the second time this season. This is a non-issue however, especially laying a short price against an overrated and overvalued team. The Razorbacks entered the AP Poll for the first time this season and for the first time since the end of 2014-15 but this is a poll we do not go by but only compare to a truer set of rankings. Arkansas is No. 4 in the RPI which is tops in the conference and it has played the third toughest schedule in the SEC and despite the rugged slate, the Razorbacks lead the conference in scoring offense (90.4), scoring margin (+15.8), three-point field goal percentage (.409), turnover margin (+5.5) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.6). Mississippi St. is 11-1 which is the second-best record in the SEC but that is due to playing the easiest schedule and one that is ranked No. 310 in the nation. The signature win was a two-point victory over Dayton at home so clearly there has been little resistance. The Razorbacks have two AP Top 20 wins in the last five games and multiple top 20 wins in the same season for the third time under head coach Mike Anderson. 10* (549) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-02-18 | Bruins v. Islanders +116 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Islanders are back home following a two-game roadtrip where they lost both games against Colorado and Winnipeg which are a combined 26-10-2 at home. We played against New York when it faced the Jets because of the severe home/road discrepancies and we can now take advantage of the Islanders returning home in an underdog role no less. They are 12-3-3 at home which is keeping them in the playoff hunt as they currently hold down the second Wild Card spot in the NHL. New York averages 4.17 gpg at home which is the most in the league. Boston is coming off a win at Ottawa which was its sixth win in seven games and its third win in its last four road games. Since the start of December, the Bruins are 4-2 in six road games but those wins all came against teams with no more than eight home wins. The Bruins are 0-4 in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Islanders are 16-5 in their last 21 games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. 10* (4) New York Islanders |
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01-02-18 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs +110 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Tampa Bay leads the NHL with 58 points thanks to an NHL-best 16-3-1 home record and it is coming off a 5-0 shutout in Columbus on Sunday to make it four wins over its last five road games. The Lightning are 12-5-1 on the highway which is a very impressive road record but when that number is comparable to the record of the opponent at home, it is hard to justify a road favorite price tag. Going back, the Lightning are 30-66 in their last 96 road games against teams with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Maple Leafs have had a rough stretch where they have gone 3-5-1 over their last nine games but eight of those have come on the road and the lone home game resulted in an 8-1 victory over Carolina. Toronto is 11-5 at home and its 48 points are tied for fourth place in the Eastern Conference so getting the job done on home ice is essential. This is the first time all season that Toronto is a home underdog so there is plenty of value and additionally, the Maple Leafs are 8-3 in their last 11 games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. 10* (6) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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01-02-18 | Butler v. Xavier -7 | Top | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
We won with Xavier last week as it won in Marquette and the Musketeers came back with a lethargic effort against DePaul on Saturday which sets up a great opportunity tonight. they are now No. 2 in the overall RPI, one of three teams from the Big East Conference that are ranked within the top ten and seven ranked within the top 50 showing how strong of a conference this is. Xavier has won nine straight games and its only loss this season came against Arizona St. which is No. 6 in the RPI. The other reason this is a great spot is the fact Butler is coming off an upset win over No. 1 Villanova on Saturday as a 5.5-point home underdog. The Bulldogs are now 9-0 at home but they have struggled outside of Indianapolis as they have blowout losses against Maryland, Texas and Purdue while their only two wins away from home came against Georgetown and Ohio St., both in overtime by a combined three points. The Musketeers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (514) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-01-18 | Georgia v. Oklahoma +3 | Top | 54-48 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Rose Bowl Dominator. This is a classic matchup of strength versus strength and we give the edge to the Sooners. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been battling the flu this past week and luckily it hit early enough where he has had time to recover. What it has done however is move this line a significant amount and from the opening this line has moved 4.5 points. The Sooners have faced a powerful defense three times this season and fared well each time. Oklahoma put 31 points on Ohio St. in Columbus, scored 38 against TCU in Norman and then hung 41 on the Horned Frogs in the Big XII Championship Game. All those scoring outputs were far above what the opposing defense gave up on average this season. The talking heads are claiming that they have not faced a defense as tough as this one from Georgia and while that may be the case, the Bulldogs have not faced an offense as good as this. Georgia has faced just one top-20 offensive S&P+ opponent which was Missouri and the Tigers were one of two teams that put up 28 or more points on the Bulldogs. One aspect of the Sooners offense that is overlooked is the offensive line which is one of the best in the country. The Sooners allow just 1.62 sacks per game and the Georgia front has managed just 26 sacks this season, which is No. 62 in the country so Mayfield should not be under much duress. On the other side, the underrated Oklahoma defense will have to stop the Georgia rushing attack with the goal having the Bulldogs play from behind which they will have a tough time doing. 10* (272) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +12.5 v. Auburn | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
This is a big letdown game for Auburn as a loss in the SEC Championship knocked it from the CFP to a bowl game against a Group of Five team. It has been proven to be tough for these teams to get up for their lesser opponents as since the creation of the CFP, the Group of Five representative is 2-1 in New Year's Six games against Power Five competition while going 3-0 ATS. The Knights won the American Athletic Conference title and have remained perfect behind an offense that has averaged 49.4 ppg. They rank fifth in yards per game (540.5) and are led by sophomore Mckenzie Milton, the nation's second-leading quarterback in efficiency behind Oklahoma's Baker Mayfield. While the Auburn defense can out-physical most teams, that will not present an issue here as Speed has been the UCF weapon of choice since head coach Scott Frost took over the program in 2016. He specifically recruited undersized, fast and confident Florida skill players to run the Chip Kelly-inspired system he brought from Oregon. Auburn will not have Carlton Davis, with Malzahn announcing Sunday the junior cornerback has gone home due to an illness. Obviously, the Tigers possess a potent defense, but the absence od Davis is a big void. The strength of schedule based on the conferences is what is driving this number up, but Auburn went 3-3 against the top 30 so it is beatable making this double-digit number very attractive. 10* (267) Central Florida Knights |
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12-31-17 | Jets v. Oilers -140 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
It has been a forgettable 2017 for Edmonton as if not for the Arizona Coyotes, the Oilers would be sitting in last place in the Western Conference after coming into the season with Stanley Cup hopes. A good way to start a turnaround would be to end 2017 with a victory and they are in a great spot tonight to do so. Edmonton has lost two straight games by 4-3 scores, the last coming at home in overtime against Chicago two days ago. A four-game winning streak preceded this slide, so the Oilers are capable of getting back to winning on home ice. We have won with Winnipeg in its last two games but both of those came at home where the Jets are 14-3-1 on the season. As mentioned then, they are one of the highest scoring teams at home with a 4.12 gpg average but the road is a different story as Winnipeg is averaging just 2.57 gpg which helps explain its 8-8-5 record on the highway. Going back, the Jets are 3-11 in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record while the Oilers have won four of their last five games against winning teams. 10* (10) Edmonton Oilers |
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12-31-17 | Virginia Tech v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Expectations were low heading into the season for Syracuse, but it put together a strong nonconference season at 11-2 with one of those losses coming in overtime against an underrated St. Bonaventure team and the other coming against Kansas. The Orange were picked to finish 11th in the 15-team ACC and while that still may happen, all indications are that this is a team that plans to overachieve all season. They are the only team in the ACC with three players averaging at least 15 ppg but it is the defense that leads the way. Syracuse ranks 22nd in the country in scoring defense, holding teams to just 62.6 ppg. The Orange also ranks 22nd in field-goal percentage defense as opponents have shot just 38.4 percent from the floor. Virginia Tech is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging 91.3 ppg but that has come against a soft schedule that is ranked No. 286 in the nation. The Hokies will have trouble against this zone defense that is long and athletic. The Orange come into this game ranked No. 17 in the RPI so they remain under the radar and the line is dictating that today. 10* (854) Syracuse Orange |
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12-31-17 | 49ers -4 v. Rams | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Rams have clinched the NFC West, clinched the No. 3 seed in the NFC and have no chance to move up in the playoff standings. Thus, they have decided to rest numerous players including Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, Cooper Kupp, numerous offensive linemen as well as Aaron Donald on defense. Clearly, this is a game they could care less about and staying healthy is the ultimate goal. On the other side, this is a big game for the 49ers to carry momentum into next season. They got off to a 0-9 start but have since won five of their last six games including four straight with all four of those led by quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. He has been solid with a 69 percent completion percentage while putting up a 98.9 passer rating, not bad for someone with six career starts. On the season, the 49ers are getting outgained by fewer than 17 ypg which is not bad for a team that is five games under .500. San Francisco has covered five of seven road games this season and while none have been as a favorite, this is a different situation with motivational edges totally on their side. 10* (331) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-31-17 | Raiders v. Chargers -7 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 105 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers playoff hopes are slim, but they are doable. First off, they must win their game against the Raiders and there are nine different scenarios that can get them the No. 6 seed in the AFC. Of those, all nine have to have Jacksonville upset Tennessee and that is more than possible considering the Jaguars have elected to not rest their starters despite having the No. 3 seed locked up. Since the games kick off at the same time, the Chargers will be playing throughout to win unless there is an early Tennessee blowout which we do not see happening. Los Angeles caught fire possibly a little too late but considering it started the season 0-4, the fact that it still has a chance in the playoffs shows the fight in this team, namely Philip Rivers who has been playing exceptional with the exception of the game in Kansas City two weeks ago. Running back Melvin Gordon is listed as questionable so hopefully he can make it work. The Raiders have been a huge disappointment this season and they have now lost three straight games to fall to 6-9 and there is little to no fight left in this team. They are just 2-5 on the road and do not be surprised to see them roll over this week. 10* (326) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-31-17 | Tulsa v. Tulane -2.5 | Top | 65-56 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Tulane went through a tough 2016-17 season as head coach Mike Dunleavy, yes that Mike Dunleavy, was brought in to rebuild a program in shambles and year one went as planned., The Green Wave won just six games, but progress was made as the roster was overhauled for the future. It is already paying off as they already have four more wins than last season and are coming off a win in their conference opener at Temple. While it may seem strange to hear, Tulane has one of the best backcourts in the conference with Melvin Frazier and Cameron Reynolds who are averaging a combined 34 ppg and they are one and two respectively in rebounding. Tulane is one of seven teams in the AAC with an RPI of 80 or better. Tulsa is not part of that group as the Golden Hurricane hit the road following a 26-point win over East Carolina in their AAC opener. That win does not say much as the Pirates own the sixth worst RPI in the entire country. Tulsa is 0-2 on the road and still without one of its better players as DaQuan Jeffries remains sidelined with a hand injury. 10* (826) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin -6 v. Miami-FL | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our CFB Game of the Week. There is a long list of overrated teams this season in college football and Miami is right at the top of the list. The Hurricanes finished the season 10-2 and there was talk about them going to the CFP should they have defeated Clemson in the ACC Championship, but they proved they did not belong in any of that talk as they were blown out 38-3. They narrowly defeated Florida St., Georgia Tech, Syracuse and North Carolina in a four-game stretch in October and the other loss came against Pittsburgh which finished the season 5-7. Miami is ranked No. 60 in total offense and making matters worse, it will be without its best running back, wide receiver and tight end for this game. Many were proclaiming Wisconsin a fraud as well since its schedule was as easy as it gets but the difference between the Badgers and the Hurricanes is that the Badgers were rarely challenged as they blew out most every opponent. They played Ohio St. tough in the Big Ten Championship but could get nothing going in the running game, but the Buckeyes are No. 6 in rushing defense while Miami checks in at No. 43. Conversely, Wisconsin has the No. 2 ranked rushing defense and the No. 1 overall ranked S&P Defense according to Football Outsiders. While this may be a home game for Miami, the Badgers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. 10* (263) Wisconsin Badgers |
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12-30-17 | Hurricanes v. Blues -117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
After a blistering start to the season, the Blues have hit the proverbial wall. The Blues had control of the Western Conference but are now sitting in fifth place after going 2-7 over their last nine games including two straight losses following a defeat last night in Dallas. They are 1-3 in their last four home games and because of these horrible runs, they are catching a great number tonight in a prime situation. It is easy to identify the problem as the offense has been in a funk as St. Louis has scored two goals or less in eight of its last nine games including a pair of shutouts while not scoring more than three goals in 10 straight games. The Blues can get out of that funk tonight against Carolina which allows 3.15 gpg on the road. The Hurricanes have won four straight games including a win over Pittsburgh last night to improve to 10-4-3 at home. They have not been nearly as good on the road where they are 8-8-4 including losses in seven of their last 10. Carolina has struggled against the Western Conference, winning just four of its last 14 games. St. Louis meanwhile has won 20 of its last 28 games against the Eastern Conference. 10* (58) St. Louis Blues |
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12-30-17 | Spurs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Pistons are coming off an embarrassing loss at Orlando on Thursday as they fell by 13 points against the short-handed Magic. That snapped a two-game winning streak and losing to the lesser teams has been a problem this season. Detroit is 10-4 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and it will look to improve upon its 11-5 home record. Additionally, the Pistons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Spurs meanwhile have won three straight games but those came against the Kings, Nets and Knicks and of their last seven wins, only one has come against a winning team and that was a two-point victory at Portland. San Antonio is just 8-9 on the road let it is laying points against a team with a winning record. These teams met in San Antonio earlier this month and the Spurs are now laying more points on the road than they did at home. The return of Kawhi Leonard and the absence of Reggie Jackson for the Pistons has a lot to do with that, but the value is still with the home side tonight. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons |
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12-30-17 | Texas A&M v. Alabama | Top | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Texas A&M begins SEC play ranked No. 5 in the latest AP Poll and No. 8 in the RPI so this is a dangerous team. However, it is a dangerous team when fully loaded and that is not the case today. Leading scorer and top three-point shooter D.J. Hogg will miss his second straight game, part of a three-game suspension for a violation of team rules. Another starter, Admon Gilder, who is third on the team in scoring and their best free throw shooter, suffered a knee injury in the last game and is out indefinitely. These are two big losses and in the Aggies only other road game this season, they combined for 24 points, 16 rebounds and seven assists against USC. Alabama opened the year in the top 25 according to Blue Ribbon but it has been a shaky start for the Tide as they are 8-4 including a blowout loss against Texas in their last game. They are No. 33 in the latest RPI as they have played the No. 11 schedule in the country and it should be noted that their other three losses came by a combined 14 points and one of those came at Minnesota when they had to play the last 10 minutes with just three players. Going back, Alabama has covered 10 of its last 11 games following a non-road double-digit loss. 10* (554) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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12-30-17 | Temple +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
We are going contrarian with Temple as it is catching a bigger than anticipated number. We played on Temple back on November 30 when it defeated South Carolina and since then, the Owls are 0-6-1 ATS which is the worst ATS run in the nation right now. That is playing a big part in this number as is the fact that Temple is 0-3 on the road. The highest ranked team from the AAC is not Wichita St. but Temple which is ranked No. 23 thanks to a 3-1 record against the top 50 while playing the second hardest schedule in the nation. Most will look at the 7-5 record and think the Owls are garbage when in fact they are a very good team. Houston is 11-2 on the season while outscoring opponents by 24 ppg but teams can accomplish that when having played the No. 212 schedule in the country. The Cougars are 6-0 at home and this is not an easy place for opponents to win in but we are not concerned about an outright victory although it would be far from a surprise. The Owls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (521) Temple Owls |
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12-30-17 | Oklahoma v. TCU -2 | Top | 90-89 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
We have caught another undervalued team as TCU is a short favorite at home. The Horned Frogs are ranked No. 10 in the latest AP Poll which sounds strong on its own but in fact, they are ranked No. 3 in the RPI, the highest among all Big XII teams. TCU actually played a tough nonconference schedule which is very un-TCU like as it is ranked No. 66 compared to being in the late 200s in recent years. While they are off to a 12-0 start this season, the Horned Frogs have won 17 straight games after closing out last season with the NIT Championship. This will be a raucous environment as this is one of the biggest games in recent memory as it is the first time a ranked TCU team has faced a ranked opponent at home since Feb. 21, 1998. Oklahoma comes in at No. 12 in the country which is comparable to its RPI and it is getting a lot of pub thanks to its dynamic freshman Trae Young who is averaging 28.7 ppg and 10.4 apg and this type of publicity only helps in spots like this when backing the opponent. The Sooners will be a tough out, but TCU prevails at home and extends the longest winning streak in the nation. 10* (552) TCU Horned Frogs |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -3.5 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our Liberty Bowl Dominator. We picked Memphis to win the AAC at +625 in our futures report and it came oh so close as an overtime loss against Central Florida prevented the Tigers from the title. After finishing No. 26 in the country with 464.4 ypg on offense last season, the Tigers put up 548.2 ypg this season, currently No. 4 in the nation and they will be facing a strong Iowa St. defense that held its own in the offensive-happy Big XII. Since much of the success was accomplished in a Group of Five conference, the Tigers offensive players realize replicating their recent performances against a power five school in a high-profile bowl game would offer them a certain form of validation. The Cyclones defense will get its stops but putting the clamps on the Memphis offense will be impossible, so it will be up to the Iowa St. offense to keep up. That could prove difficult despite playing a below average Memphis defense as the Cyclones are ranked No. 76 in total offense, averaging fewer than 400 ypg. Iowa St. has gone over 23 points only once in its last five games which is not a good sign. The Cyclones finished as the best team in the country against the number as they went 10-1-1 ATS which helps the cause here, keeping this number at a playable one that should be higher. 10* (260) Memphis Tigers |
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12-29-17 | Pacers +2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Indiana lost its second consecutive game on Wednesday as it fell at home to Dallas as it caught a hot shooting Dallas team in a no rest, back-to-back spot. The Pacers have not lost three straight games since early November as they are now 3-0 following consecutive losses since November 8 ad on the season, they are 11-5 ATS following a loss including covering seven of the last nine. Indiana has 13 losses against top 16 teams, but it is 12-3 against the rest of the league. The Bulls have been a money-making machine of late as they have covered 11 of their last 12 games and the value of their lines are starting to shift in the opposite direction. Chicago has been favored four times this entire season, Atlanta, Phoenix, Orlando and New York, all of which have losing records, so this will be the first time the Bulls have been favored against a winning team. The Bulls are just 5-14 against the top 16 of the NBA. Victor Oladipo has already been ruled out of this game after being a game-time decision on Wednesday and the early decision for this one helps the Pacers getting ready. 10* (805) Indiana Pacers |
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12-29-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
We made a point yesterday about how comparing the AP Poll and the RPI can pull out false information where can take advantage. Seton Hall won and covered against overrated Creighton and while it was not the blowout as expected, we got the advantage of a good line based on the AP rankings. In this case Baylor is ranked No. 18 in the country yet its RPI is a very poor 146 and this is one of the biggest discrepancies in the country. The Bears may be 9-2 but they have played the No. 328 ranked schedule in the country while going just 1-2 against the top 50. Texas Tech is ranked higher than its RPI, but it is not close to the valiance of Baylor as the Red Raiders are No. 46 in the RPI. They own impressive wins over Boston College, Northwestern and Nevada with all three of those teams ranked within the top 100. Texas Tech picked up nine of its 11 nonconference wins by 20 or more points and lead the nation with a 23.0 ppg scoring margin. The Red Raiders are 9-0 at home and going back, they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against team with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (832) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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12-29-17 | Islanders v. Jets -130 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Winnipeg won for us on Wednesday and we will back the Jets again in a good matchup as they remain on home ice. Heading back home is what the Jets needed last time out as they improved to 13-3-1 here overall and they have dominated as their 4.12 gpg scored is second best in the NHL. The Jets have moved up to No. 8 in the latest power rankings as they sit in a tie for fourth place in the Western Conference with 48 points so taking care of home ice like they have in the past is crucial. The Islanders hit the road following a 3-2 homestand including wins in their last two games. Like the Jets, they are extremely solid at home, but the road is a different story as New York is 8-10-1 on the highway including losses in four straight games, all against playoff contending teams. Defense has been the issue on the road where the Islanders are allowing 3.63 gpg which is tied with the Penguins for last in the NHL. The Jets are now 21-6 in their last 27 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Islanders are 6-17 in their last 23 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (14) Winnipeg Jets |
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12-29-17 | Utah State v. New Mexico State +4.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES for our Arizona Bowl Dominator. Trying to decipher which team will be more motivated to play in one of these lesser bowl games can be tricky but that is not the case in the Arizona Bowl. New Mexico St. is making its first bowl appearance since the 1960 Sun Bowl, ironically which resulted in a win over Utah St. The Aggies needed to win their final two games to become bowl eligible and they did just that with convincing wins over Idaho and South Alabama as they won the yardage battle by 188 and 138 yards respectively. The Aggies will become independent next season and will persist as an FBS program with the ultimate goal getting an invite from the Mountain West Conference to join so a win here goes a long way. Utah St. also finished 6-6 on the season but it was not a very good 6-6. The Aggies do not possess a quality win and they lost to five bowl teams by an average of 26 ppg so they are fortunate to be here. This is an extremely young team that was not expected to make it to a bowl game so there will be motivation here as well, just not nearly as strong. The Aggies finished No. 71 in total offense and No. 74 in total defense which are two very poor rankings for a postseason team. Conversely, New Mexico St. finished No. 22 in total offense and No. 69 in total defense and with the Sun Belt Conference top passing offense averaging 353 ypg, New Mexico St. keeps the pressure on from the start. This will feel like a home game as New Mexico St. fans are expected to pack Arizona Stadium to near-capacity. 10* (254) New Mexico St. Aggies |
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12-29-17 | Texas A&M v. Wake Forest -3.5 | Top | 52-55 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our Belk Bowl Dominator. Teams with new coaches or no coaches going into a bowl game are rarely the way to bet and that is the case here with the Aggies. Kevin Sumlin is gone, Jimbo Fisher will be watching from a suite which leaves Jeff Banks as the interim coach for the game today. Aggies defensive lineman Kingsley Keke said the current coaching dynamic has made for "kind of a weird feeling." The same likely goes for some assistant coaches, including Banks, who are hoping to land a spot on Fisher's staff. It has been a tough month for everyone on this team and the regular season did not end well as the Aggies lost to LSU by 24 points while getting outgained by 319 yards. The regular season did not end great for Wake Forest either as it lost to Duke but it is better equipped to make a rebound. Wake Forest comes in with a high-powered offense that should challenge the Aggies. Quarterback John Wolford has been outstanding with 25 touchdowns and just three picks and he could be facing a young Texas A&M secondary without starting safety Armani Watts, one of the Aggies top defenders. The Demon Deacons have averaged more than 39 ppg over the last five games of the season, a stretch that included four bowl-bound opponents. Texas A&M is ranked No. 64 in total defense and No. 81 in scoring defense so this is not a typical stop unit which regressed as the season went on. The Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record while the Aggies are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (248) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State -2 v. Washington State | Top | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our Holiday Bowl Dominator. Michigan St. will be pumped following its dismal 3-9 season from last year after finishing with double-digit wins the three previous seasons and it can hit that again with a victory tonight. A blowout loss against Ohio St. was the only big blemish as losses against Notre Dame and Northwestern occurred despite winning the yardage battle in those games by 141 and 108 yards respectively. Spartans head coach Mark Dantonio always strives for balance on offense, and this season was no exception (499 runs, 402 passes). That type of balance is key against a Washington St. defense that was a potent unit and the balance can keep the Cougars off balance. Washington St. got off to a strong start at 6-0 and was highly ranked but then the defense started to get exposed and a 37-3 loss at California led to a lethargic 3-3 finish. The offense is not in very good shape for the Cougars as quarterback Luke Falk has a wrist injury and while he is probable, reaggravating that injury is more than possible. He will be without his two best receivers. Tavares Martin Jr., who led the team in catches, yards and touchdowns, and Isaiah Johnson-Mack, who was second on the team in catches, yards and touchdowns, have been dismissed from the team. That is 130 receptions, 1,386 yards and 14 touchdowns gone. Washington St. will find a way to move the ball but the explosive unit that we are accustomed to will be lacking. 10* (277) Michigan St. Spartans |
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12-28-17 | LSU v. Memphis +2.5 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
We have a possible false favorite here as LSU and Memphis are real close to each other in the latest RPI which should make the Tigers the favorite based on home court advantage. They are coming off a pair of wins following a loss against Louisville and the latest victories improved them to 9-0 at home. There is plenty of size on this Tigers team, but the strength is in the backcourt where four of their top five scorers occupy. They are led by Jeremiah Martin who has averaged a team-high 18.6 ppg and 4.3 apg while shooting 80.2 percent from the free throw line. There is good news on the injury front as senior Jimario Rivers, who has missed the past two games going through concussion protocol, will return. LSU comes in at 8-3 after winning just 10 games all of last season but the schedule has played a big part of the success this year. A win over Michigan was solid but a 39-point loss to Notre Dame shows there us a lot to be done still. The schedule has also helped in that this is the first true road game of the season for the Tigers which were 1-10 on the road last season. Memphis has covered four straight games against teams above .600. 10* (544) Memphis Tigers |
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12-28-17 | Valparaiso +1 v. Indiana State | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Valparaiso is playing its first game in the Missouri Valley Conference and it is getting its best player back at just the right time. The Crusaders are coming off a brutal five-game roadtrip prior to Christmas where they went 1-4 but four of those games were played without leading scorer Tevonn Walker as he was battling mono. They have had over a week off since that trek and Walker is on track to return tonight to grab that inaugural MVC victory. Valparaiso has finished above .500 in true road games in four of the last five seasons, including a 7-6 mark in such games last year. Indiana St. comes in at 5-7 but to its credit, it has played a relatively tough schedule which included an upset win at Indiana to open the season. However, the Sycamores have been blown out in all other games against above average teams and of the other four victories, two came against non-Division I teams. Indiana St. is the lowest ranked team in the conference RPI and the stats back that up with the biggest disadvantage in this matchup being rebounding margin. Going back, the Sycamores are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (525) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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12-28-17 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -4.5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
6:30 ET Start. Comparing the AP Poll and the RPI is a great tool in handicapping college hoops because the former is a farce and means nothing while the latter gives a truer indication of where a team stands. Creighton comes in ranked No. 25 in the country in the latest AP Poll and this could be the most flawed ranking in the polls. The Bluejays are ranked No. 50 in the RPI which is 7th in the 10-team Big East and this has a lot to do with a weak schedule played heading into conference action. They come in riding a five-game winning streak, but all those games were at home and the best win of the bunch was against Nebraska which is not saying much. Conversely, Seton Hall is No. 22 in the AP Poll but No. 13 in the RPI so the Pirates are just the opposite when it comes to perception and reality. Seton Hall is 11-2 which includes impressive wins over Louisville, Texas Tech and VCU and this team is loaded with four starters back from its 21-12 season a year ago. The Pirates are outscoring opponents by 19.5 ppg at home and this is the first time since January 21, 2001 that a ranked Seton Hall team is taking on another ranked team (although the other team technically should not be ranked). 10* (516) Seton Hall Pirates |
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12-28-17 | Virginia v. Navy | Top | 7-49 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our Military Bowl Dominator. The consensus is on Navy this afternoon based on this being a home game for the Midshipmen but that is not necessarily an advantage since teams would rather not play at home, especially teams from the northeast. The stadium will not be all Navy fans so there is no home field edge based on that and in this matchup, the Cavaliers have a big advantage in several key areas. The biggest factor could be motivation as this is the first bowl game for Virginia since 2011 so the job Bronco Mendenhall has done in Charlottesville is outstanding and should not go to waste. Another edge for the Cavaliers is the preparation time as they have been off two more weeks than Navy and getting ready for the triple option, that extra time is huge. Virginia already possesses one victory over an option team this season, a victory over Georgia Tech. Offensively, the Cavaliers have a potent passing attack that is ranked No. 43 in the country and should flourish here as Navy has struggled to get any pressure to the quarterback all season. Additionally, the Midshipmen are ranked No. 110 in redzone defense. Virginia meanwhile possesses a strong defense that is No. 36 overall including No. 5 in redzone defense. Both teams come limping in with three-game losing skids to end their regular season and Virginia seems to be better equipped and prepared to end the season with a win. 10* (241) Virginia Cavaliers |
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12-27-17 | Missouri -2.5 v. Texas | Top | 16-33 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our Texas Bowl Dominator. This is a case of who is not playing for Texas as the Longhorns will be missing up to eight players, including many key contributors, after multiple declarations for the NFL Draft, injuries and suspensions. Texas will be without linebacker Malik Jefferson, the co-Big 12 defensive player of the year, who is out with a turf toe injury, as well as defensive backs Holton Hill and DeShon Elliott, who are skipping the game to prepare for the NFL Draft. Tackle Connor Williams will also miss the game due to his decision to enter the NFL Draft, and sophomore receiver Lil'Jordan Humphrey was one of three players recently suspended for a violation of team rules. This is a big reason the line has increased but it has not gone up nearly enough to compensate for the Texas personnel issues. Missouri is back in the postseason for the first time since 2014 after winning its final six games following a 1-5 start and it will be carrying that momentum into its bowl game. Both head coach Barry Odom and his players said on Tuesday that since getting to Houston on Friday, the practices they have had have been their best of the season, so this is a team playing with confidence. With all the injuries and early-departures on the Texas defense, the Tigers passing attack will flourish under quarterback Drew Lock. Missouri has scored at least 45 points in every game during this winning streak after averaging 18.4 ppg in its first five games against FBS teams. 10* (239) Missouri Tigers |
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12-27-17 | Xavier -3 v. Marquette | Top | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Big East action tips off tonight with three games and we see a good opportunity in one of those. Xavier hits the road ranked No. 2 in the nation in the latest RPI as it is 12-1 with the lone defeat coming against No. 3 Arizona St. in Las Vegas. The Musketeers are 2-0 in true road games with wins over Wisconsin and Northern Iowa. Xavier is second in the Big East and 16th nationally in rebounding margin at +8.9 rpg while Marquette is just +0.4 in that category giving the Musketeers a huge edge on the glass. The Golden Eagles have won four straight games and come in ranked No. 63 in the RPI while going 0-2 against the top 25. While Marquette still possesses some powerful offensive weapons, it lost three 1,000-point scorers from last season and we have seen struggles on offense a few times. The Golden Eagles led the nation in three-point shooting last season, topped by Markus Howard who shot 54.7 percent from long range, but he is down to just 39.1 percent this season. Marquette swept this season series last year and the Musketeers have not forgotten. 10* (727) Xavier Musketeers |
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12-27-17 | Stars v. Wild -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Dallas is coming off a shootout win over Nashville in its final game before the break which was its second straight home victory to improve to 12-4-1. The Stars have been not nearly as successful on the road however as they are 8-10-2 including a pair of losses to end their most recent roadtrip. The problem has been scoring as Dallas is averaging only 2.45 gpg on the highway which is sixth lowest in the NHL. The Stars have lost 20 of their last 28 divisional games and they head to Minnesota at the wrong time. The Wild finished 1-3 on their most recent roadtrip including losses in their final two games as the offense continues its road struggles, similar to that of Dallas. The offense has been better at home of late, but it is the defense that has led Minnesota to its 10-4-2 home record as it is allowing just 2.19 gpg here which is the second-best home average in the league. Going back, the Wild are 7-1 in their last eight games following a loss of three or more goals. 10* (18) Minnesota Wild |
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12-27-17 | Mavs v. Pacers -5 | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Waiting on injury information for this game, Victor Oladipo is listed as questionable with a knee injury. He has been off the court only once this season and that resulted in a home loss albeit it was against Boston. The recommendation is to wait until his status is updated and play it if he is in and optional to play if he is not although the line will reflect it so there will be value so it should be played either way. The Pacers are coming off a blowout loss in Detroit in a game that was never close as they did not lead while the Pistons led by as many as 27 points. Indiana is 8-2 ATS as a favorite of less than nine points while going 11-4 ATS following a loss. We won with Dallas last night as it defeated Toronto outright as a home dog making this a prime to against spot. The Mavericks are just 2-7 following a win and 1-5 when playing with no rest including 0-5 when the second of the back-to-back is on the road. Dallas has lost eight straight road games and is 2-14 on the season on the highway. 10* (704) Indiana Pacers |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss +14.5 v. Florida State | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our Independence Bowl Dominator. Motivation plays a huge role during the early stages of bowl season as often times you will get teams typically not playing these lesser bowl games as expectations were not met. This is certainly the case with Florida St. as it came into the season with National Championship aspirations but an opening loss to Alabama coupled with the loss of quarterback Deondre Francois sent the Seminoles on a downhill spiral. Give them credit for winning their final three games to become bowl eligible but those games were against Delaware St., ULM and Florida so losing those games was not going to happen anyway. Motivation is low and making matters worse, their coach walked out on his team before the season ended so Florida St. is a mess right now. There is plenty of motivation on the other side as Southern Mississippi would like nothing more than to take down a Power Five opponent in a bowl game. The Golden Eagles played two teams from that group during the regular season and lost both which adds to the effort today. Southern Mississippi should have a bit more consistency on offense with Kwadra Griggs under center this time around. In eight combined quarters against P5 teams thus far, Griggs only played three of those quarters. Plus, four defensive starters will be out for the Seminoles giving the Golden Eagles ample opportunity to succeed on offense. 10* (235) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +7 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCLA BRUINS for our Cactus Bowl Dominator. This was one of those wait and see games because of the status of some players and because of what has transpired, the public is all over Kansas St. which gives us significant line value on the Bruins. UCLA won its final game to become bowl-eligible at 6-6, but quarterback Josh Rosen is not expected to play, and coach Jim Mora was fired after a 5-6 start. Give the Bruins credit for not quitting and we can expect a good amount of fight tonight under interim head coach and offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch. There will not be a huge disadvantage at quarterback for UCLA as redshirt freshman Skylar Thompson, the third quarterback to play for the Wildcats this season, started the final three games, throwing for 515 yards and four touchdowns with two interceptions while completing 63.3 percent of his passes. It is impossible to ignore the fact that the Wildcats were outgained in each of their last nine games while getting outgained by 64 ypg on the season. Overall, Kansas St. is ranked No. 96 in total offense and No. 97 in total defense which are numbers that a legitimate bowl team should not possess. The Wildcats will be shorthanded on the offensive line which is a big aspect as they will be without right tackle and top blocker Dalton Risner. 10* (234) UCLA Bruins |
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12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs +6 | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Toronto has won six straight games and 12 of its last 13 to take over the top spot in the Eastern Conference. The Raptors are coming off a pair of divisional wins over Philadelphia including the last one at home where they are now 12-1 on the season. They hit the road where they are 11-7 and they are in a tough spot here as they have a game at resurgent Oklahoma City tomorrow so the lookahead possibility is there. Dallas is one of two teams in the NBA with single-digit wins yet it is not near the bottom of the power rankings showing the season has been better than the record shows. The Mavericks have played a tough schedule and like Toronto, they have been much better at home than on the road. They are playing better after a 2-14 start and have won four of their last five home games. Going back, the Mavericks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (502) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-25-17 | Raiders +10 v. Eagles | Top | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Play. The win by the Vikings on Saturday and victories by the Saints and Rams Sunday put a little bit of pressure on the Eagles heading into Monday night. They could have coasted into the position of home field advantage for the playoffs but now they need to win tonight or next week against the Cowboys. That being said, this line has jumped up into double-digits and it is an overadjusted number based on public perception and what is at stake. The loss of quarterback Carson Wentz is huge and while Nick Foles did a good job filling in the Eagles win by five points, they were outgained by 163 total yards. The Raiders have officially been eliminated from playoff contention after losing to Dallas last week and Kansas City winning yesterday and there is nothing left to play for but pride and because this is a nationally televised game, there will be no quit with the Raiders. Defensively is where the game can be decided for the Raiders as the pass rush has improved since Ken Norton Jr. was dismissed as defensive coordinator after Week 11 and replaced by John Pagano because the pass rush has improved immensely. Oakland had 14 sacks through 10 games and has put up 14 sacks over its last 10 games. Additionally, the Raiders had just 68 total pressures from edge defenders under Norton, 25th in the NFL, to 46 pressures over the last four games which is tied for second, under Pagano. 10* (131) Oakland Raiders |
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12-24-17 | Houston v. Fresno State +2 | Top | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our Hawaii Bowl Dominator. It was a special season for Fresno St. as it went 9-4 and despite losing the MWC Championship to Boise St., the Bulldogs have a lot of momentum built following their 1-11 season from a year ago. They can hit double-digit wins for the first time since 2013 and they will be looking for their first bowl win since 2007 as they have lost six straight bowl games. This is a trend not to worry about as a new coaching staff is in place and Jeff Tedford is the reason as his days at California produced solid results before he was let go after 2012. Fresno St. is outgaining opponents by nearly 70 ypg as quarterback Marcus McMaryion has been extremely efficient and the defense has been potent all season as it is ranked No. 16 overall and No. 9 in points allowed. Houston defeated Navy to end the regular season, but it was a poor second half as the Cougars went 3-3 over their final six games. The potent offense from last season took a step back as it is averaging a touchdown less per game while the defense is allowing nearly 100 more ypg than it did last season. Houston could be shorthanded on offense with top receiver Linell Bonner nursing an arm injury. The Cougars went 3-5 ATS this season as single digit favorites and this is one of those small price situations where the wrong team is favored. That is just fine however as Fresno St. is a perfect 6-0 ATS this season when getting points. 10* (228) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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12-24-17 | Falcons v. Saints -5.5 | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Game of the Year. We had Atlanta in the first matchup two weeks ago and it was a fortunate victory as the Saints had a chance to win but Drew Brees tossed a late pick to secure the victory for the Falcons. The division is still on the line with the Saints, Falcons and Panthers all still alive for the NFC South and any three of those teams can clinch a playoff berth with a victory. The scenario is simple for the Saints as if they win out, they claim the division and they have the easiest road with this home game and them a game against Tampa Bay next week to close out the season. New Orleans is 6-1 at home with the only loss coming against New England in its home opener. Since that loss, the Saints are 10-2 with the two losses coming by a combined nine points and they have something to prove this week as they have now lost three straight games to the Falcons. Atlanta played Monday which is a disadvantage in this rematch and it did not look very good against Tampa Bay as it made the plays to get it done but was unable to pull away against what is considered an inferior team. The passing defense struggled and while the Saints are a more balanced team, Brees can still pick them apart if the running game gets going early. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. This is a spot the Saints have thrived in as they are 22-4 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (116) New Orleans Saints |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Not sure of the rationale behind this number but certainly a lot has to do with the Rams rout last week at Seattle. Los Angeles now has a two-game lead over the Seahawks in the NFC West and are likely a lock for the playoffs and winning the division as it has a home game against San Francisco in its season finale, so a win here really is not a must. There is no doubt the Rams are for real and while they have been favored twice on the road in the second half of the season, those games were against the Cardinals and Giants, two teams not sniffing the playoffs. Despite a pair of losses on the road, Tennessee remains in the playoff hunt as it is 8-6 and currently locks down the No. 1 Wild Card spot in the AFC. With a home game against Jacksonville next week, the Titans can win the division if they win out and the Jaguars lose this week against the 49ers on the road which is more than possible. The best part is that the Titans game is early so winning will be at the forefront instead of scoreboard watching. The Rams have been great on the road at 6-1 but Tennessee brings in a 5-1 home record and with everything on the line, this is going to be a tough environment for the Rams. It can be argued that they were in a tough environment last week, but that game was over early, so it was pretty docile. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game including 0-2 straight up and ATS this season while the Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (110) Tennessee Titans |
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12-23-17 | Blues -134 v. Canucks | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Something will have to give tonight in Vancouver as the Blue bring in their horrible offense of late while the Canucks defense has been shredded for the past two weeks. St. Louis has lost three straight games while tallying just three goals over this stretch and it will be out to avoid a 0-4 roadtrip. The Blues remain in a tie for first place in the Central Division with Nashville and Winnipeg with 46 points and the road scoring drought should come to an end tonight. Vancouver has also lost three straight games while going 1-7 over its last eight contests. The Canucks have allowed four or more goals in each loss and have giving up an average of 5.4 gpg in those defeats. The goalies have not been confirmed as of this afternoon, but it looks as though Jacob Markstrom will get the start and he has been lit up lately after a strong start to the season and he is 1-3 with a 3.51 GAA in four career stats against St. Louis. The Blues are 26-8 in their last 34 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400 while the Canucks are 7-19 in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (77) St. Louis Blues |
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12-23-17 | Thunder v. Jazz -1 | Top | 103-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Oklahoma City is coming off a last second victory last night as Russel Westbrook hit a three-pointer in the final seconds to avoid overtime against the hapless Hawks. That concluded a 3-0 homestand for the Thunder which hit the road tonight where they are just 5-10 on the season. They lost by 15 points against the Knicks in their last road game and this will be the second time this season playing with no rest and going from home to the road. The first instance resulted in a 16-point loss at Dallas and going back, the Thunder are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Utah snapped a three-game losing streak with an 11-point win over San Antonio at home on Thursday to improve to 6-1 in its last seven home games. It was one of its best defensive performances this month and the Jazz have been solid at home on that side of the ball, allowing just 94.8 ppg. This is a good spot to keep it going as the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (518) Utah Jazz |
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12-23-17 | Army v. San Diego State -6.5 | Top | 42-35 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our Armed Forces Bowl Dominator. While it was a great season for the Aztecs with a 10-2 record, it was disappointing not to the Mountain West Conference as losses against Boise St. and Fresno St. in consecutive weeks knocked them out of contention. San Diego St. closed the season strong however as it won its last four games in blowouts style and while none of those came against current bowl teams, it provided much needed momentum that was lacking midway through the season. Army is known for its rushing offense as it leads the country, but San Diego St. has its own potent rushing attack as it is ranked No. 11 in the nation led by running back Rashaah Penny who finished fifth in Heisman voting after bursting onto the scene with 2,027 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns while averaging a whopping 7.4 ypc. The Aztecs are looking for their third consecutive bowl win after beating Cincinnati 42-7 in the Hawaii Bowl in 2015 and topping Houston 34-10 in the Las Vegas Bowl last season. A win against Army would make it the first time in the San Diego State history to win three consecutive bowl games in a row. It was a great season for Army as well as it lost just three games and defeated Navy for a second consecutive season. The schedule was soft however and the four wins over bowl teams came by a combined 13 points. As mentioned, the rushing game leads the way, but the difference is on defense as the Black Knights allow 5.0 ypc compared to 3.5 ypc for the Aztecs. A victory would give San Diego St. an unprecedented third straight 11-win season. 10* (224) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-23-17 | Illinois State v. Evansville +2 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Evansville had a five-game winning streak snapped at Duke as it lost by 64 points so if that does not provide motivation for today, nothing will. A return home held as the Purple Aces are 34-7 at home over the last three seasons including a perfect 8-0 record this season. Evansville leads the nation in three-point shooting percentage, hitting 48.3 percent of its attempts. Additionally, the Purple Aces have connected on 201 out of 261 free throw attempts, 77.0 percent, which ranks 19th in the country. Ryan Taylor could return today which would give the offense an even bigger boost. Illinois St. went 17-1 in the MVC last season enroute to a trip to the NIT where it lost in the second round. At 6-6, the Redbirds are one loss shy of their total defeats from last season as losing four starters from their 28-win team is taking its toll. They have won two games in a row, but they are 1-3 in true road games on the season. The Redbirds are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win while the Purple Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (536) Evansville Purple Aces |
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12-22-17 | Xavier v. Northern Iowa +6.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
As a perennial postseason team, it was odd to not see Northern Iowa in any tournament last season but that will change this year. The Panthers have already surpassed half of their win total from last season and they are going to be a contender in the MVC, so this is a team back on the rise. They are coming off a loss against Iowa St. in the Hy-Vee Classic which snapped a three-game winning streak that included a very impressive home win over UNLV as a one-point favorite. Northern Iowa is off to a 6-0 start at home and is now catching a big number because of the opponent name. Xavier is ranked No. 9 in the country following an 11-1 start which has included impressive wins over Cincinnati and Baylor, but this is just the second true road game for the Musketeers. The first one came against a rebuilding Wisconsin team, so this is the first true road test. There is payback in store tonight as well as the Panthers lost twice to Xavier last season including putting up a season low 42 points in a 22-point loss in Cincinnati last November. Too many points tonight. 10* (854) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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12-22-17 | Knicks v. Pistons -6 | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Knicks picked up another win last night as they defeated Boston to make it five wins over their last six games despite Kristaps Porzingis going a dreadful 0-11 from the floor after missing the previous two games. This will be the third occasion this season that New York has played a road game after a home game with no rest and it went 0-2 both straight up and against the number in both of those games, losing by 13 and 18 points. The Knicks have won just twice on the road this season while going 2-8 straight up and 3-7 ATS as road underdogs. Detroit has had an up and down season as a great start was followed up by a seven-game losing streak, but it has won three of its last four games since then. The last game resulted in a loss at Dallas on Wednesday and it heads back home looking for win No. 10 on its new floor and the situation definitely calls for it. Going back, the Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (802) Detroit Pistons |
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12-22-17 | Flyers v. Sabres +110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
It comes as no surprise that the public is all over the Flyers here as they have won seven of their last eight games although the last five have come at home. Getting up for a game in Buffalo will be a challenge however especially with a game at Columbus tomorrow night. Philadelphia has been average on the road however and this is the first time all season that it is favored away from home. The Sabres have been one of the worst teams in the NHL this season so picking their spots has been the way to go and this is one of those times to back them. They are catching an average team that is riding a hot streak, yet the favorite price is small and that is a red flag. Buffalo came into the season with high expectations as it was going to be a fast team to present a lot of scoring opportunities and while they are taking over 30 shots per game, they have averaged only 2.12 gpg. The good news is that the Flyers are 8-17 in their last 25 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (2) Buffalo Sabres |
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12-22-17 | Bradley +8.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 59-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Bradley has produced double-digit victories in just three of the previous six years, but it has already hit that this season as it is 10-2 following wins in three straight games. It has been a while since the Braves have been conference contenders, but they are expected to make a move this year in the third season under head coach Brian Wardle. All five starters are back from the team that improved by eight wins from the previous season and momentum is rolling right now with their last two wins coming on the road. Mississippi is coming off a win over Texas A&M-CC which stopped the bleeding from a 1-4 run. The Rebels are 6-5 this season against a mediocre schedule and they are expected to finish in the bottom half of the SEC following a trip to the NIT last season. Only one starter is back while one player, Karlis Silins, was supposed to play a big role but has yet to hit the court this season. While three of the losses for the Rebels have been in overtime showing that their record could possibly be better, it also shows that it plays close games and those losses were against South Dakota St., Virginia Tech and Illinois St. 10* (829) Bradley Braves |
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12-21-17 | Gonzaga v. San Diego State +6 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
San Diego St. missed the postseason last year and is breaking in a new coach, but it has been a seamless transition for head coach Brian Dutcher as he served as an assistant under Steve Fisher for numerous years. The Aztecs are 7-3 following a tough one-point loss to California and hope to get Trey Kell back in at least a limited role but this team is still loaded with 10 other players averaging double-digit minutes as it continues to play a suffocating defense. Offense was the issue for the Aztecs last season, but they are averaging 77.6 ppg which is close to 10 more ppg than last season. Gonzaga has shown that it is vulnerable this season as it got taken to overtime at home against North Dakota before pulling out a six-point victory. This is a much different team than the one from last season that lost two games and nearly won the National Championship. The Bulldogs lost three double-digit scorers as well as some tough defenders and it is showing in their numbers. After not allowing an opponent to shoot 50 percent or better in 64 straight games, they let it happen twice in 11 days this month (and let two other teams shoot 47.3 and 48.3 percent). Additionally, they are allowing 13.4 points more per game than last season and are allowing opponents to shoot nearly 10 percentage points higher from beyond the three-point line. 10* (536) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Stars -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
The Blackhawks have turned the corner as they have won five straight games to get back over .500 at 17-11-5 and are tied for sixth place in the Western Conference. Four of those wins came at home however and Chicago has won just seven of 16 road games while losing three of its last four on the highway. The offense has struggled on the road by averaging just 2.69 gpg which is in the bottom half of the league and going back, the Blackhawks are 2-9 in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Dallas has lost three straight games including a home loss last time out on Tuesday, but it is still a very solid 10-4-1 at home. The Stars are in that group that is tied for sixth place in the conference and they could make a jump with a win and this is a very important part of the schedule as this is the second of nine games in a 10-game stretch taking place at home. They are in the top ten in goals scored at home with 3.40 and with three straight home losses, this is a big one for the wheels not to fall off. Going back, the Stars are 40-19 in their last 59 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (64) Dallas Stars |
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12-21-17 | Temple v. Florida International +7.5 | Top | 28-3 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the FIU PANTHERS for our Gasparilla Bowl Dominator. FUI exceeded expectations this season as it posted its first winning record since 2011 to make it to its third ever bowl game. The Panthers closed with two straight wins to go 8-4 on the season and a win tonight would give them the most wins in program history. Credit needs to be given to head coach Butch Davis who is in his first season at FIU which shows what good coaching can do. Temple closed the season strong by going 3-1 over its last four games to become bowl eligible. The Owls struggled this season against good opposition as they went just 1-5 against bowl teams and are at a disadvantage playing this gamed in Florida. These teams are very similar to each other and we give the offensive edge to the Panthers. Senior quarterback Alex McGough closed the season on a tear as he threw just two interceptions and completed more than 70 percent of his passes. He'll match up against a Temple defense that leads the AAC in passing yards allowed at 210.0 ypg but has surrendered 21 touchdowns through the air while picking off just eight passes. Additionally, the Owls will have their work cut out for them as they square off against a Panthers offensive line that has allowed just 22 sacks all season. Temple made a quarterback change late in the season and it sparked the offense but the FIU defense is underrated as taking away games against UCF and FAU, the Panthers allowed just 22.9 ppg and Temple is 1-5 this season when being held to fewer than 25 points. Going back, the Panthers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 10* (216) FIU Panthers |
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12-21-17 | Oregon State v. Kent State +2.5 | Top | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
We lost with Kent St. on Monday as it caught a hot shooting Northeastern team. The Golden Flashes shot 51 percent from the floor, but the Huskies hit 56.5 percent of their shots while also going 20-23 from the free throw line giving Kent St. no chance. It is in a good spot to rebound tonight and snap its three-game losing streak. It has certainly been a disappointing start for the Golden Flashes which are 5-6 and have been a solid bounce back team as they 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Despite an 8-3 record, the Beavers are the third lowest ranked team in the Pac 12 Conference as they do not own a quality win with a schedule that is ranked No. 338 out of 351 Division I teams. They are riding a six-game winning streak but only two of those were by big margins. Oregon St. defeated St. Louis, Jacksonville St., Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Loyola-Marymount by a combined 10 points so those were very unimpressive victories. Another reason the schedule is rated so low is that this is the first true road game for the Beavers. This has typically been a horrible spot as the Beavers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. This is the second meeting in two years and last season on this very same date, Kent St. lost in Eugene by 19 points so there is revenge in play tonight. 10* (522) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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12-20-17 | Spurs v. Blazers -2 | Top | 93-91 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
The Spurs take a two-game winning streak into Portland with both of those wins coming at home where they have won 10 straight games. The road has been a different story for San Antonio as it has lost eight of its last 12 games on the highway. The only victories over this stretch have come against Dallas, Phoenix, Memphis and Charlotte which are a combined 45 games under .500. The Spurs have welcomed back Kawhi Leonard but have brought him back slowly as he is averaging just 16 minutes per game. He will not be in the lineup tonight and because of his lack of production, it is not a real big deal. Portland is coming off a five-game roadtrip where it went a respectable 3-2 and heads home where it looks to break a four-game home losing streak which dates back over a month. The Blazers have covered six straight games yet are laying a short price here because it is the name of the Spurs and not the way they have been on the road. 10* (720) Portland Trailblazers |
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