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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-16-19 | Thunder +2 v. Blazers | Top | 94-114 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Oklahoma City finds itself in a hole after Game One as it led only once and fell behind by 14 points after one quarter and was unable to make a late rally. The Thunder shot 39.8 percent as a team and were only 5 for 33 from the three-point line which is surprising against a Portland defense that is ranked a below average No. 17 in defensive efficiency. Despite their issues, the Thunder were down just 93-92 with 2:44 remaining in regulation so any average shooting night can even this series heading back to Oklahoma City. One of the main problems was Paul George who after averaging 38 ppg and hitting 45.9 percent from long range on nearly 10 attempts against the Blazers during the regular season, he scored just 26 points, including going 4-15 from behind the arc. The Oklahoma City defense resulted in the Blazers making 12-20 shots (60 percent) overall and 7-10 three-pointers (70 percent) from the floor in the first quarter which was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after three straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 35-9 (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (535) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-16-19 | Astros v. A's +145 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Astros have won nine straight games including a three-game sweep in Seattle over the weekend and they have taken over the lead in the American League West over Seattle which has cooled off after a huge start to the season. Oakland had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Texas on Sunday which came on the heels of a four-game losing streak to open its nine-game roadtrip. Oakland has won five of its last six home games as it has been dominant with its pitching, allowing just 12 runs during that six-game stretch. The A's send Marco Estrada to the hill as he has been solid at home with a 1.59 ERA in two starts but the Oakland bullpen has let him down as he has failed to pick up a win as the A's are 0-2 in those games. Colin McHugh counters for the Astros and he has been in great form through four starts, allowing three runs or less in each. He has gone 9-1 with a 2.73 ERA in 18 games, including 12 starts, against the A's in his career. But most of that success has come at home as he's just 2-1 with a 4.98 ERA in six appearances, four as a starter, in Oakland. 10* (976) Oakland A's |
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04-16-19 | Jets v. Blues -147 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. The road team has had the edge in the first three games of this series but we expect the first home win of this series to take place Tuesday night. The Blues are still up 2-1 and with Game Four on home ice, they look to extend their current 10-3 run to take control . Winnipeg has had the upper hand in St. Louis as it is 3-0-0 at Enterprise Center this season, including two regular-seasons wins, and has outscored St. Louis 19-8 but that is keeping this number down with the Blues solid at home despite that. They went 24-15-2 during the regular season and more recent, they have won 14 of their last 17 games here. Meanwhile, the Jets are 1-7 in their last eight games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites against the money line off a loss by two goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 240-129 (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (42) St. Louis Blues |
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04-15-19 | Clippers +13.5 v. Warriors | Top | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Golden St. is clearly the top team in the NBA and it went into playoff mode on Saturday by putting away the Clippers by 17 points in a game it trailed by just three points at one time. The Warriors are now favored by the same amount in Game Two which is a little surprising based on the bounce angle where bettors take the opposing team from the Game One cover but the dominance of Golden St. balances that out with the spread. It is tough in this league to put together back-to-back performances like that, even with the Warriors as last postseason after dominating Game One wins over New Orleans and Houston, they struggled in Game Two. Los Angeles held its own for a while as the game was tied at 51 before Golden St. pulled away so it can certainly hang and needs to as even a small loss can give the Clippers some hope and momentum heading back home. The Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Clippers are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games after allowing 105 points or more five straight games this season. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 131-77 (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (523) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-15-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. We played against Milwaukee yesterday in Los Angeles as the Brewers had a two-game winning streak snapped but it remains in first place in the National League Central by a half-game over the Cardinals. The Brewers return home where they are 5-2 and hosting the Cardinals for a second time in the early part of the season. The Milwaukee starting pitching has been a liability thus far but we think it turns around against a struggling Cardinals offense. St. Louis has won six of its last seven games to move to within a half-game of the Brewers and remain a half-game ahead of the Pirates. Going back, the Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss. Freddy Peralta looks to snap out of his early season funk as he was shelled by the Angels last time out, allowing seven runs in just 3.1 innings. That came after a gem against the Reds where he tossed eight scoreless innings and allowed just two hits while striking out 11 and walking none. That shows what he is capable of after a great first half last season. Dakota Hudson has a 2.79 ERA in his first two starts but he has a WHIP of 2.07 which is a better indication of how he is really pitching. He allowed four runs on seven hits, including three home runs, in just 4.1 innings in his first start against the Brewers. 10* (906) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -124 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. While Tampa Bay was in essentially do or die mode last night and failed to get it done, Carolina is in the same position tonight with the edge of being on home ice. The Hurricanes lost the first game of this series despite outshooting the Capitals 29-17 and then dropped Game Two in overtime but a change in venue is big here. For the first time since 2009, the Hurricanes will have a playoff game at home, one that should create both a bit of nostalgia and a frenzied atmosphere for Game Three. The Hurricanes are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Washington has now defeated Carolina in all six meetings this season but four of those were at home and the two road wins were both by one with one of those coming in a shootout. Washington is 5-10 after a home game where both teams score three or more goals this season while going 6-13 in their last 19 playoff games as underdogs of +110 to +150. First, we play on home teams after allowing four goals or more in a loss to a division rival going up against an opponent after a home game where both teams scored three or more goals. This situation is 32-11 (74.4 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against underdogs off a win by one goal over a division rival going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 78-27 (74.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (32) Carolina Hurricanes |
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04-14-19 | Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 90-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Utah is expected to be another tough out in the playoffs as its defense should be able to go toe-to-toe with the Rockets. The Jazz have ranked in the top three in defensive efficiency each of the last three seasons and they were one of two teams that allowed fewer than 10 three-pointers per game this season. The Jazz and Rockets ranked fourth and fifth, respectively, in point differential per 100 possessions. They were the league's two best teams in that regard after the All-Star break. Utah cannot be discounted on offense however is it scored 6.0 more points per 100 possessions after the All-Star break (114.4, fourth in the league) than they did before the break (108.4, 19th). That was the league's biggest post-break, OffRtg improvement. Utah is 21-9 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season while the Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg against allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 110 points or more three straight games. This situation is 152-96 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) Utah Jazz |
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04-14-19 | Lightning -135 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Tampa Bay is coming off a pair of historic losses as it fell at home as favorites of -250 and -310 to dig itself into an early 2-0 hole after coming off one of the best regular seasons ever. The Lightning needed Game Two but now they really need Game Three and a big reason why Tampa Bay and its stars have been so ineffective to this point is because of the physicality that Columbus has brought on a consistent basis which the Lightning have to match tonight. This is not unchartered territory for the Blue Jackets as last year they went up 2-0 in the first round against Washington on the road before the Capitals won four straight and rolled to a Stanley Cup championship. Tampa Bay is 11-0 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game this season while Columbus is 2-8 in home games after scoring three goals or more in two straight games this season. Here, we play on road teams when the money line is -100 to -150 that are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg in the second half of the season, after a loss by three goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 28-6 (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (23) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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04-14-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -137 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Despite six straight losses to fall to 8-8 on the season, the Dodgers still lead the National League in scoring differential at +16. The offense has been held in check during this skid as Los Angeles is averaging just 3.0 rpg after averaging 10.5 rpg through its first eight games. Th e power is still there as the Dodgers have homered in 28 straight home games, dating to Aug. 21, which is second-most in MLB history. The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine games after losing the first two games of a series. The Brewers sit atop the National League Central Division by a game and a half over the Cardinals yet they have been kind of the opposite of Los Angeles as they are five games over .500 but are at 0 in scoring differential. Jhoulys Chacin is coming off his first quality start of the season but it was not a great outing as he allowed two home runs, the second time he has done that in three starts. Ross Stripling is coming off his worst start of the season which came on the road after posting a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his first two starts which both came at home. 10* (962) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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04-13-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This is a statement game for Denver as it is getting crushed by the media despite finishing second in the Western Conference, just three games behind Golden St. The Nuggets finished 34-7 at home which was the best home record in the NBA and they get a good matchup in the first round against the Spurs whose 16-25 road record is the second worst of the 16 playoff teams, one win better than Detroit. The home and road defensive splits for the Spurs are not pretty. They gave up 106.7 points per 100 possessions, which was the 10th ranked home mark in the entire league and would have been good for 6th across the entire season. Their performance on the road, however, was another story. For some reason, they were unable to bring the focus and desire they showed at home on the road, allowing 114.3 points per 100 possessions. That 7.6 drop-off made them the 25th ranked defense on the road. In the first two games they played, Denver was without the services of Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, and Will Barton, three players that make up their current starting lineup. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 81-46 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets |
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04-13-19 | Stars v. Predators -150 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Nashville got on the board early as it took a 1-0 lead into the second period but Dallas scored the next three goals and held on for the opening 3-2 victory to grab home ice. The Predators join the Lightning, Jets, Penguins and Bruins among teams forced to take stock of things after one unforeseen playoff result. They have lost five of their last six postseason games on home ice, an act that is tough to sell when the stakes are so high for a team that was confident the right pieces were in place for a long run. This is clearly a must win for Nashville considering teams that win the first two games of a best-of-seven series have a series record of 318-50 (.864) and are 72-20 when they come on the road (.783). The Predators should respond with appropriate desperation for Game Two at home, and if that produces the desired result then it will be the Stars seeking answers as the series heads to Dallas. The Stars are 17-37 in their last 54 games as road underdogs of +150 or less while going 2-9 in their last 11 games off a win by one goal over a division rival. Meanwhile, the Predators are 5-1 in their last six games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game and here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss of one goal or less, off a home loss. This situation is 211-107 (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (64) Nashville Predators |
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04-12-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -140 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot .After a red hot start to the season, the Dodgers were swept in St. Louis to start the week which snapped a five-game winning streak. Los Angeles returns home where it is 5-2 with both losses coming by a combined three runs and going back, the Dodgers are 18-7 in their last 25 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Milwaukee is now tied with the Cardinals for first place in the National League Central after suffering its third straight loss on Wednesday while getting swept against the Angels. The Brewers were 3-0 on the road prior to this but the first series came against the Reds and since then, the pitching has been disastrous by allowing 8.0 rpg over their last six games. We played against Corbin Burnes in his last start as he was shelled against the Cubs, allowing seven runs in five innings which came after a decent start in his Major League opener against the Cardinals. This will be his first ever road start and it could not come at a worse time. Julio Urias is also making his third start after being limited to just 77 and 74 pitches in his first two starts. He has been great at home with a 3.05 ERA in 14 career games. 10* (960) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets -109 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. St. Louis took Game One of this series thanks to a pair of third period goals to gain home ice and it is up to Winnipeg to avoid a 2-0 hole going on the road. The Jets made it to the Western Conference finals last season and won all three series openers before dropping the final four games against Vegas so they realize what is at stake here. In NHL history, teams that win the first game of a best-of-seven series end up on top 68.5 percent of the time so a Game Two loss would be deadly. The Blues have won three straight games and second straight one-goal win over Winnipeg after the Jets won the first three meetings this season by a combined score of 18-9. This has actually been a great situation for Winnipeg as it is 14-2 in its last 16 home games after a loss by one goal in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites against the money line revenging a loss of one goal or less, off a home loss. This situation is 211-107 (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (56) Winnipeg Jets |
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04-11-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -133 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON BRUINS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. This is the second straight season that Boston and Toronto have squared off in the first round of the NHL playoffs. The Bruins won in seven games last season after winning the first two games at home and they know that a repeat of that start is essential again this year. They have two key elements on their side as they allowed the third-fewest goals in the league and have one of the top power plays which is even more impressive considering Boston was never really healthy the entire season so it was arguably even better. Bruins goalie Tuukka Rask very well could be the key to this series as he is rested, having started the fewest number of games (45) since he became a full-year starter. He also was excellent in the second half (16-0-3 from late December to mid-March). Toronto limps in to the postseason by having lost three straight games and five of its last six so momentum is not on the side of the Maple Leafs. While the Boston defense is a strength, Toronto ranked 20th in goals against, and its defense can be shaky. Boston won both home meetings this season by a combined score of 11-4. The Maple Leafs are 0-4 in their last four games as an underdog while the Bruins are 21-7 in their last 28 home games against teams with a winning road record and here, we play on teams off a loss by three goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 132-79 (62.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (12) Boston Bruins |
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04-10-19 | Yankees +104 v. Astros | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Yankees have dropped two straight games to fall back under .500 for the season and they currently sit 3.5 games behind Tampa Bay for first place in the American League East. Houston meanwhile has won five straight games, all coming at home and because of the opposing records, we are catching great value with the Yankees. The Astros are 4-0 this season in one run games so they have been pretty fortunate. The Yankees are 40-11 in their last 51 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game while the Astros are 2-5 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. That starter in question tonight is James Paxton who will work on extended rest in what will be his third start for the Yankees after facing Baltimore twice. He recorded nine strikeouts over 5.1 innings in his previous appearance. Paxton is 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA over 12 career starts against the Astros and won all four starts against Houston last season while pitching for the Mariners. Colin McHugh counters for Houston and he is coming off a quality outing in his last start. He is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA over five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees. Here, we play against home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game and with a WHIP under 1.20 the last 10 games. This situation is 41-18 (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (969) New York Yankees |
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04-10-19 | Penguins v. Islanders -107 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The Islanders needed two road wins to close out the regular season and got them to earn home ice advantage for the first time in 31 years which ended the longest home drought among the four major North America pro sports leagues by finishing second in the Metropolitan Division. The Islanders have one of the true home ice advantages in the NHL playing this game at Nassau Coliseum and that is a big edge in the series opener. The blueprint for New York is defense from everyone who suits up as well as strong goaltending. When the Islanders get just enough offense on a given night it almost always has resulted in a win. New York goalie Robin Lehner led the way with 43 starts, a 25-13-5 record and a save percentage of .930. His goals against average was just as impressive with a 2.13. He established himself as the starter and has been given the Game One nod. The Penguins, like the Islanders, are a team that values quality over quantity. Given the skill that the Penguins possess, the Islanders will need to make sure they are tight defensively especially in front of the net. Pittsburgh is 10-21 in its last 31 road games against goalies with a save percentage of .915 or better while the Islanders are 11-3 in their last 14 games off a road win against a division rival. 10* (4) New York Islanders |
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04-09-19 | Braves v. Rockies -120 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. This is a good spot for Colorado to bounce back from what has been a rough start to the season. The Rockies lost 8-6 last night which was the fourth straight loss and they have dropped eight of their past nine games to fall five games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. It is still very early and Colorado is catching a great price tonight to notch its first home win of the season. The Braves opened the season by getting swept against the Phillies but have gone on to win six of their last seven games including their first road win on the season last night. They hand the ball to Max Fried who after two relief appearances, made his first start last Thursday against the Cubs and was outstanding as he allowed just one hit and no runs over six innings. This will be his first taste of Coors Field, however. Colorado counters with German Marquez who has opened the season with a pair of quality outings on the road and he is responsible for two of the three total wins for the Rockies. Marquez has been consistently good since the 2018 All-Star Game as he is 7-3 with a 2.38 ERA in 106 innings since then, striking out 138 while walking only 26. Here, we play on National League home teams with an on base percentage of .300 or worse, after allowing eight runs or more in two straight games. This situation is 39-16 (70.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (908) Colorado Rockies |
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04-09-19 | Raptors v. Wolves +7 | Top | 120-100 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Raptors have been locked into the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference so there is nowhere to move going into their regular season finale tonight. Toronto is expected to play the starters tonight to avoid any rust in the upcoming playoffs but minutes will be downsized for rest and injury avoidance and we could see a late scratch so getting the big number early could pay off. The Raptors are coming off a win over Miami on Sunday and now they play their final game of the season on the road and going back, the Raptors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Minnesota has had a disaster of a season but most of the damage has come on the road where it is 11-29, the third worst road record in the Western Conference with one game remaining. That makes this the final home game of the season for the Timberwolves where they are a respectable 25-15 and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 116-69 ATS (62.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CBB National Championship Winner. Virginia escaped another near loss as it has been taken to the brink in each of its last three games with the final two going their way on controversial calls. Texas Tech pulled away and survived a late rally from Michigan St. to reach its first ever championship game and it has looked much better in the process than the Cavaliers. Virginia has the stingiest defense in the country measured in points allowed at 55.5 ppg but Texas Tech has been even more impressive at that end of the floor during the tournament. What the Red Raiders, who top the nation in defensive efficiency, did against Michigan and Michigan St. en route to the title game was extraordinary. The Red Raiders have held their last three opponents to a combined 74 points under their average. They also showed a huge team effort and is just not made up of two stars. Texas Tech won on a night in which Jarrett Culver, its leading scorer, hit his last two shots to finish 3-of-12 from the field and scored just 10 points. It won on a night when its best shot-blocker, Tariq Owens, limped from the floor early in the second half and did not return for almost eight minutes. The Cavaliers force opponents to settle for outside shots and they excel at making those looks as ineffective as possible. However, Texas Tech has the ability to get it done from outside as the Red Raiders are shooting 36.5 percent from three-point range for the season. Texas Tech is 14-3 ATS against teams shooting 45 percent or better this season. 10* (811) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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04-08-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are off to an 8-2 start following a five-game winning streak that included a weekend three-game sweep at Coors Field where the offense erupted for 29 runs. Los Angeles leads baseball with the best average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage so the fact it is favored here should be no surprise as well as the public being all over them. The Cardinals salvaged the series finale with a 4-1 win over the Padres after dropping the first two games. They were held in check by the Padres pitching and going back, St. Louis is 16-4 in its last 20 games after scoring four runs or less in three straight games. We played against Miles Mikolas in his opening start as he lost at Milwaukee and he followed that up with a better start at Pittsburgh. He is now back home for the first time this season where he posted a 2.17 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 16 starts last season. Hyun-Jin Ryu is off to a solid start with a 2.08 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through two starts but those came at home and he has been less effective on the road throughout his career. While the Dodgers offense has been solid, they actually fall into a contrarian situation where we play against National League teams with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games. This situation is 44-16 (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) St. Louis Cardinals |
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04-07-19 | Nets v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 108-96 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. It is do or die for the Pacers which have to win out and hope the Celtics lose their final two games to secure home court advantage in the first round of the NBA playoffs. A loss against Boston on Friday put Indiana in this tough spot and the good news is that it plays first on Sunday. Indiana currently owns the fifth spot and is one game behind Boston, which hosts Orlando two and a half hours after the tip-off here. If the Celtics and Pacers finish tied, Boston wins the head-to-head tiebreaker because it won three of four meetings. Brooklyn is fighting for its playoff life as it is tied with Orlando for sixth place in the Eastern Conference while sitting a half-game ahead of the Pistons, which they beat in two of three meetings to get the tiebreaker. They are coming off an upset win last night in Milwaukee but the Bucks sat Giannis Antetokounmpo and limited most starters minutes. The Pacers, who have won nine straight over the Nets, 12 of 14 and seven straight at home, are 26-7 ATS in their last 33 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile, the Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing with no rest and they are 0-5 this season in the second of back-to-back road games. 10* (570) Indiana Pacers |
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04-07-19 | Marlins v. Braves -145 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. A two-run home run in the ninth inning sent Miami to a 4-2 victory over the Braves on Saturday but we expect some redemption on Sunday. The Marlins broke their four-game losing streak and snapped Atlanta's four-game winning streak. Miami also ended Atlanta's nine-game home winning streak dating back to last season and snapped the Braves' nine-game head-to-head winning streak against the Marlins. After allowing 23 runs in a three-game sweep against the Phillies, Atlanta has allowed just 12 runs over its last five games and the streak was started by Sean Newcomb who did not allow a run in his opening start. He went just four innings as he logged 91 pitches against the Cubs but he has an excellent matchup here as in four starts against Miami last season, he went 4-0 with a 0.75 ER and 1.00 WHIP. Caleb Smith counters for the Marlins and he is coming off a solid opening start against the Mets but had to settle for a no-decision. This is also a good matchup for Atlanta which is the best hitting team in baseball against left-handed pitching since the start of last season. 10* (904) Atlanta Braves |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 56 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CBB Texas Tech/Michigan St. Winner. This has the makings of a low scoring, grind-it-out type of game and that favors the underdog, a spot the Red Raiders have been in during their previous two wins over Michigan and Gonzaga. Texas Tech has won its tournament games by an average of 15 ppg thanks to a stop unit that has picked up right where it left off. Texas Tech has the nation's stingiest defense, according to KenPom, allowing just 84.0 points per 100 possessions. The Red Raiders are holding teams to 36.9 percent shooting overall and just 29.3 percent from three-point range, and the Spartans are making just 35.3 percent from beyond the arc in the NCAA tournament after finishing the regular season and Big Ten tournament at 38.1 percent. Texas Tech held Gonzaga's potent offense, the highest-scoring in the country, to just 69 point, almost 20 below their season average. The Spartans do possess Big Ten Player of the Year point guard Cassius Winston and many are saying he will be the difference maker. However, the Red Raiders could have the difference maker in Big 12 Player of the Year Jarrett Culver who is averaging 21.5 ppg, 6.8 rpg and 4.5 apg in the NCAA Tournament. Here, we play against neutral court teams after three or more consecutive unders and averaging 77 or more ppg on the season. This situation is 97-56 ATS (63.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (801) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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04-06-19 | Cubs +118 v. Brewers | Top | 14-8 | Win | 118 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We lost with the Cubs last night as they fell behind big early and made two rallies only to fall short. Jose Quintana was a huge disappointment as the pitching continues to struggle but the offense remains hot despite losing six straight games. Chicago leads baseball with a .307 average and its 46 runs are tied for fifth most but it has not been enough. Milwaukee meanwhile has won six straight games to maintain its three-game lead in the National League Central as the offense scored more than five runs for the first time this season. Cole Hamels got lit up for five runs in five innings against Texas in his first start but that came in a very hitter-friendly ballpark and he has a great chance to rebound here as he is 7-3 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers counter with Corbin Burnes who is making his second start of his young career. He appeared in 30 games as a relief pitcher in 2018, and he gave up four runs in five innings in his starting debut March 31 against the Cardinals. The Cubs have a great opportunity to light it up again and get rid of this losing streak. 10* (957) Chicago Cubs |
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04-06-19 | Islanders +105 v. Capitals | Top | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. While all of the playoff spots have been filled, there is still some positioning to sort out including this one. The Capitals have won the Metropolitan Division, but a point by the Islanders will ensure they finish in second place which comes with home ice in the first round. Pittsburgh can overtake them with a win and an Islanders regulation loss so a lot is on the line for New York. The good news for the Islanders is that Washington will not be at full strength. For the Capitals it is expected that Jonas Siegenthaler and Dmitrij Jaskin will crack the lineup for the first time in recent memory to give rest to some veterans for the upcoming playoff run. There is no news yet on Alex Ovechkin as he is still atop the league in goals scored by two so it would take a hat trick by Leon Draisaitl to stop Ovechkin from his eighth Rocket Richard Trophy. Him resting seems likely but that decision will not come until closer to game time. The Islanders are 17-7 in their last 24 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game while going 15-1 this season after scoring two goals or less in two straight games. 10* (43) New York Islanders |
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04-06-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 53 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our CBB Auburn/Virginia Winner. Auburn escaped a late collapse against New Mexico St. and while many doubted the Tigers after that near collapse, they used that as motivation to take out three college basketball blue bloods in Kansas, North Carolina and Kentucky. That is a very impressive run and one that is much better than Virginia which played against much lesser competition and struggled over the last two games to get through to the Final Four. Some consider Auburn an underachiever but it came into the season ranked No. 11 so if anything, the Tigers underachieved during the middle of the season and are peaking at the right time. The NCAA Tournament run came on the heels of winning the SEC Tournament so this team is for real yet Auburn is getting no respect based on this line. This is a matchup of strength against strength on both ends as Auburn loves to put up points in a hurry, while Virginia is all about forcing difficult shots and playing stifling defense. On the other end, the Cavaliers only turn the ball over nine times per game, while the Tigers are one of the best in forcing turnovers with 17.33 per game which is seventh in the country. The Tigers are going to keep shooting threes no matter the score and whether they are falling or not, so they can mount comebacks, as we saw against Kentucky after falling behind 22-11, and build leads in a hurry. 10* (803) Auburn Tigers |
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04-05-19 | Celtics v. Pacers -1 | Top | 117-97 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Star Attraction. While it is not a playoff game just yet, Boston and Indiana are likely to play in the first round of the postseason with home court yet to be determined which makes the game tonight a big one for both sides. Both teams enter with identical 47-32 records, although the Celtics own the tiebreaker by virtue of their 2-1 record against the Pacers this season so there is more desperation for Indiana as a loss here would essentially put them two games back with two games to play. Although a first-round matchup between the teams is not official, neither will finish worse than fifth in the standings, and in order for one team to move into third place, it would have to make up 2.5 games with three to play. The Celtics have won two straight games and four of their last five following a four-game losing streak but they enter tonight a game under .500 on the road. The Pacers have also won two straight games following a home-and-home sweep of the Pistons after a dreadful 1-7 run that knocked them out of third place in the Eastern Conference. Indiana is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games revenging a same season loss and here, we play on home favorites after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 98-47 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Indiana Pacers |
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04-05-19 | Mariners v. White Sox +116 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 116 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Friday Afternoon Dominator. The White Sox were scheduled for their home opener yesterday but it was rained out well in advance and they will get that opportunity on Friday. Chicago opened with a pair of losses in Kansas City but has won two of its last three games including an 8-3 win in Cleveland in it most recent game on Wednesday. Seattle is the surprise through the first week of the season as it is off to a 7-1 start that included a pair of wins over Oakland in Japan and then took three of four against the Red Sox followed by a pair of wins over the Angels to complete a 5-1 homestand. Yusei Kikuchi has already made two starts, the latest coming against Boston where he tossed a quality outing but was fortunate more damage was not done as the two runs he allowed were two solo home runs. This is his first true road start and it will be his first ever start in cold weather as temperatures are supposed to remain in the 40s throughout the afternoon. Reynaldo Lopez counters for the White Sox and he is coming off a rough opening start but we can expect a bounce back here as he posted a 3.63 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 15 home starts last season. 10* (922) Chicago White Sox |
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04-04-19 | Rangers v. Angels -143 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -143 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Texas is off to a surprisingly good 4-2 with series wins over World Series contenders the Astros and Cubs. Both of those series came at home though and the Rangers hit the road for the first time this season. Meanwhile, the Angels had a much needed day off yesterday after losing five of six games to open the season while averaging a mere 2.2 rpg in the process. The pitching has kept them in games, especially the bullpen where its 1.47 ERA is second best in baseball. A return home is exactly what is needed. While Matt Harvey was not lights out in his Angels debut, he was effective and recorded a quality start going six innings allowing only two runs on four hits, but he got a no-decision. He made only bad mistake which came in the sixth inning when Khris Davis hit a two-run home run. Injuries have derailed what could have been a great career but pitching in warm weather will help him and after a drop in his velocity, it is back up to where it was back in 2015. Edinson Volquez counters for the Rangers and he was tagged for four runs on six hits and four walk in four innings in his opening start. It was his first since July of 2017 as he is back following Tommy John surgery. 10* (970) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-04-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +5 | Top | 128-122 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. One of the last marquee games of the season takes place Thursday night and this line came out late in most places due to the uncertain status of Jimmy Butler and Joel Embiid. The latter is expected to play after missing tow games to rest a sore knee and Butler rejoined the lineup but could be rested tonight. The only meaningful game remaining on the schedule is the one and it is as close to a dress rehearsal as you can get this time of year so Philadelphia coming in with all of its horses would not be a surprise. The Sixers, with four games left in their season, are 2.5 games ahead of Boston for the third seed in the Eastern Conference. Their 30-9 home record is tied for fifth best in the NBA and going back, Sixers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Milwaukee needs one win to clinch the Eastern Division and with upcoming home games against Brooklyn and Atlanta, winning the conference is pretty much assured. The Bucks won the first meeting at home very early in the season but the Sixers won the second game in Milwaukee two and a half weeks ago with their current roster. Here, we play on home underdogs coming off an upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-04-19 | Islanders -115 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Playoff implications are all over the place on the Thursday card including this one between the Islanders and Panthers. New York still has an outside chance of catching the Capitals for the Metropolitan Division crown. If Washington loses Thursday to Montreal and the Islanders beat the Panthers, New York's regular-season finale at Washington on Saturday would decide the division. Should the Capitals win, the win the division but this is still a big game for New York as it has just a two-point lead on Pittsburgh for home ice in the first round of the playoffs. The Islanders can thanks Florida for keeping their division hopes alive as the Panthers defeated Washington on Monday for their third straight win. It was another disappointing season for Florida as it has not make the playoffs since 2015-16 and while the Panthers clearly want to finish strong, this is more motivation on the other side. The Islanders are 19-8 when playing against losing teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 and they fall into a solid situation where we play on road favorites of -200 or less revenging a same season loss, off a home loss. This situation is 68-27 (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (9) New York Islanders |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the LIPSCOMB BISONS for our CBB NIT Championship Enforcer. It was a disappointing end for the Bisons after losing to Liberty in the Atlantic Sun Championship but instead of calling it a season, they put their head down in search of another goal. They won their first three games on the road and then took care of Wichita St. in the Semifinals at MSG. Libscomb overcame an 11-point deficit with just over eight minutes remaining against the Shockers and ended up winning by seven points. The Bisons have the 18th-highest assist rate in the country, and that helped make the difference, generating assists on each of their final six made field goals. Lipscomb is 6-0 ATS in its last six games away from home when playing against a team with a winning record while going 12-2 ATS in non-conference games this season. Texas has used a strong defense to get this far but the offense has struggled over the last two games and the Longhorns could be in trouble against a tough perimeter defense. Lipscomb is surrendering the 47th-lowest three-point percentage at 31.9 percent with its sound on-ball defense. Texas went 7-15 from the free throw line against TCU and is hitting a dreadful 57.8 percent from the stripe over its last five games. The Longhorns are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after a game shooting 53 percent our worse from the free throw line. 10* (727) Lipscomb Bisons |
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04-03-19 | Red Sox -138 v. A's | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Boston offense started the season lighting it up as it averaged 6.0 rpg through its first four games but has been shut out in consecutive games for the first time since 2015. The Red Sox are tied with the Angels for the worst record in baseball so the World Series hangover is firmly in place but it is just a matter of time they get back to their winning ways. Oakland has won four straight games after a 1-3 start and the pitching has been the story. They have allowed a total of three runs over the four-game winning streak and in their five wins overall, they have allowed just those three runs. Nathan Eovaldi will be making his second start of the season and while we won by backing him in his season opener, it was not because of him. He allowed six runs over five innings as the long ball did him in. He allowed three home runs after allowing the same amount over 54 innings with the Red sox last season so we should expect a bounce back here. Marco Estrada had an excellent two starts as he has allowed just two runs in 11 innings but both games resulted in losses. Facing Boston is not a good thing as he posted a 7.98 ERA in three starts against them last season. 10* (925) Boston Red Sox |
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04-03-19 | Raptors v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Toronto is still mathematically alive for the top seed in the Eastern Conference, it is highly unlikely as it trails Milwaukee by three games with four games so it has to win out while the Bucks have to go 0-4 and the schedules do not set up well for that scenario. The Raptors have done their best with four straight wins but those were against teams on the outside looking in including a pair of wins over Chicago and one over New York, two of the three worst teams in the conference. Toronto is 3-13 ATS after four or more consecutive wins this season. While the Raptors continue tuning up for their sixth consecutive postseason appearance, the Nets are in a scramble to secure one of the final three seeds in the Eastern Conference. The Nets head into tonight a half-game behind sixth-place Detroit, a half-game up on Miami and one game ahead of Orlando. The remainder of the schedule is the toughest in the NBA so every game is huge at this point and there can be no letting up. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play on home underdogs off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Brooklyn Nets |
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04-02-19 | Sharks -147 v. Canucks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -147 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SHARKS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. San Jose was cruising along and in good position to win the Pacific Division but it has lost eight of its last nine games including a loss against first place Calgary which sealed the division and conference for the Flames. The Sharks have claimed a playoff spot with home ice in the first round so there may not be much to play for but that is hardly the case as head coach Peter DeBoer publicly questioned whether his club was becoming complacent and they are treating the final week as a chance to build momentum heading into the postseason. Vancouver is coming off a pair of shootout wins to even up its homestand at 3-3 and tonight concludes the home portion of its season schedule. While the emotion could very well be on the home side with this being the final home game of the season, the Canucks are 4-12 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on road favorites coming off a home loss by two goals or more, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 49-18 (73.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (71) San Jose Sharks |
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04-02-19 | Hawks v. Spurs -10 | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. All playoff spots in the Western Conference have been filled but positioning is still up in the air and San Antonio has a lot to gain with a big finish. The Spurs are currently tied for seventh place with the Thunder meaning the first round playoff opponent would be wither Golden St. or Denver but moving up to sixth place means playing a depleted Portland team. They trail the Clippers by 2.5 games for that spot but it is doable with an easy schedule to close out the season. San Antonio lost on Sunday at home against Sacramento as a double-digit favorite and going back, it is 21-7 ATS in its last 28 games coming off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more. Atlanta pulled off the upset against Milwaukee at home on Sunday in overtime but the Bucks sat everyone with no starter playing a single minute. The Hawks are just 12-26 on the road and are likely to be without leading scorer and rebounder John Collins as he is expected to so sit. 10* (582) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-02-19 | Mets v. Marlins +123 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. The Mets are off to a 3-1 start largely in part to an offense that has averaged 6.3 rpg but we expect that offense to slow down tonight after scoring seven runs in the series opener on Monday. That offense will likely be needed with Jason Vargas taking the hill for his first start of the season. He had an ugly season in New York last year as he posted a 5.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP and he is coming off an average spring where he allowed nine runs over 18 innings. Since his torrid start to the 2017 season that landed him in the All-Star game, he owns a 6.04 ERA over his last 35 starts. Miami is not expected to do much this season but a 2-2 series split against Colorado to open the season was a positive for sure prior to the 7-3 loss last night. Jose Urena was the opening day starter and while he had a rough outing, that was against the potent Rockies and we can expect him to settle in here. He has put together solid back-to-back seasons, posting a 3.90 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 65 games and the Mets have been a good target as he has a 3.38 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 14 games including 10 starts. 10* (956) Miami Marlins |
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04-01-19 | Maple Leafs +105 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. It has been a tough stretch for Toronto that has yet to clinch a playoff berth but that can change tonight. the Maple Leafs have lost seven of their last 10 games (3-5-2) with their second defeat against NHL-worst Ottawa coming via a 4-2 setback on Saturday. Toronto is 22-12-5 on the road and this includes a 12-6 mark when playing a team with a winning record. The Maple Leafs are is 11-1 after two or more consecutive losses this season. While Toronto is still waiting to clinch a playoff berth, New York got into the playoffs for the first time in three seasons following Saturday's 5-1 win over Buffalo. The Islanders are still chasing Washington in the Metropolitan Division as they are three points back with three games left so this is a big game for them a well. They have won two straight games where they scored five goals in each but they are 2-7 in nine home games after scoring three goals or more in two straight games this season. Here, we play on road teams that are revenging a road loss by three goals or more, with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 49-27 (64.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (41) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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04-01-19 | Pistons v. Pacers -5 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. It has been a rough stretch for the Pacers and they have fallen into a tie for fourth place in the Eastern Conference after possessing third place not that long ago. The Pacers finished the month of March 4-10, including a 1-7 mark over the last eight games which includes three straight losses. Indiana lost four straight games after leading scorer Victor Oladipo suffered a ruptured quadriceps tendon in his right knee in late January. The Pacers got over the initial shock of losing him by posting a 9-3 record in February. Indiana is 24-11 ATS in its last 35 games off a home loss. Detroit meanwhile has won two straight games to maintain its spot in 6th place in the Eastern Conference but has no chance to move up. Detroit is 10-23 ATS in its last 33 road games off a home win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that are between +3 to +7 ppg in scoring differential going up against a team with a +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential, after allowing 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 41-20 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (562) Indiana Pacers |
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04-01-19 | Brewers v. Reds +102 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Pirates knocked off the Reds 5-0 on Sunday for their first win, earning a split of their rain-abbreviated season-opening series. Cincinnati took the season opener with a 5-3 victory before a day off Friday and a rainout on Saturday which gives the Reds a starting pitching advantage with the middle of their rotation compared to the bottom of the rotation for the Brewers. Milwaukee took three of four games against the Cardinals at home mostly in part to Christian Yelich who homered in all four games. Milwaukee sends Zach Davies to the hill who won the fifth spot in the rotation despite an awful spring. After going 17-9 with a 3.90 ERA in 2017, he spent the bulk of last season on the DL with rotator cuff inflammation and made just one start. Tanner Roark counters for the Reds who has a career 3.59 ERA entering his seventh season, the first six with the National. Against the Brewers, he is 4-2 in eight games, seven starts, with a 2.68 ERA. In 2018, he was 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA against Milwaukee. The Reds are 7-1 in their last eight games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (904) Cincinnati Reds |
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03-31-19 | Wizards +11 v. Nuggets | Top | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Denver and Golden St. are tied atop the Western Conference and both teams play Sunday prior to their showdown on Tuesday. While the Warriors host a Hornets team still in playoff contention, the Nuggets play a Wizards team that was eliminated on Thursday so while that may seem to make Denver the obvious play here, that is far from the case with this number being inflated because of it. While Washington has been losing more than it has been winning, of its last 11 losses, only two have been by more points than what they are getting today. Denver is having a fantastic season at home once again and while winning this game is at a premium, there is no reason to go full out with the game against the Warriors upcoming. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points after a loss by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 110 points or more. This situation is 57-33 ATS (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) Washington Wizards |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -2 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Duke has survived two close call in its last two games and those can be considered against non-elite competition so all signs point to a Michigan St. victory based on that. UCF and Virginia Tech each had a shot with a last second tip-in, the former for the win and the latter to send their game to overtime, but neither could capitalize on the opportunity. While the offense is what everybody talks about for Duke, it is the defense that has defined its season. Duke is a perfect 29-0 when it holds opponents to 76 points or fewer this season. On the other hand, the Blue Devils are 3-5 when opponents score more than 76 and they face a Michigan St. team that is averaging just 72.3 ppg in the six neutral site games since the start of the Big Ten Tournament. While these are two legendary coaches going at it, this has been a one-sided affair as Tom Izzo has a 1-11 career record against Mike Krzyzewski and that says something. The value is here as well as Duke 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. 9* (692) Duke Blue Devils |
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03-31-19 | Red Sox -138 v. Mariners | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. For a second straight game, Boston scored three runs in the top of the ninth inning but unlike winning by a run on Friday, the Red Sox lost by a run last night. They are now 1-2 to open the season and after playing on them Friday off a loss, we will do the same here. The pitching has been abysmal as Boston has allowed 24 runs in three games and its 7.92 ERA is fourth worst in baseball. Rick Porcello looks to stop the bleeding and he should be able to as he has a 3.44 ERA in five starts against Seattle since coming to Boston and he is coming off a very solid spring. The same cannot be said for Wade LeBlanc who posted a 5.73 ERA during spring training over 11 innings. While the season may still be young, Boston has the second most at-bats against left-handed pitching with 59 and has the third best average among teams with at least 30 at-bats and that familiarity will pay off today. 10* (977) Boston Red Sox |
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03-31-19 | Auburn +5 v. Kentucky | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
The big upset yesterday came with Texas Tech taking out Gonzaga and we expect to see another one today in Auburn taking out Kentucky. The loss of Chuma Okeke is obviously huge for the Tigers but this is what brings teams even closer together. "I feel like it's gonna motivate us knowing that one of our soldiers aren't able to be out there and battle with us," guard Bryce Brown said. Auburn, with this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to take out Kansas, North Carolina and Kentucky, will show up. The Tigers have hit 438 (11.5 per game), which is the most in college basketball this season (and just 26 shy of the all-time mark for a season, set last season by Villanova), so they are in good company. They have double-revenge on the plate as well and in the most recent meeting, Auburn was just 8-27 from long-range and we can call that an anomaly as Kentucky is not a great defense out on the perimeter. Auburn is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games after two straight games where they made 10 or more three-point shots. 10* (693) Auburn Tigers |
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03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia -4.5 | Top | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Defense will be the story in this game as well as Virginia has one of the best units in the country. The Cavaliers have allowed just 52 ppg in their three NCAA Tournament games so that side will not be an issue but it is the offense that will need to put up a better performance. They shot just 35.7 percent against Oregon as the Ducks matchup zone caused problems and there is one player ready for a breakout as Kyle Guy is just 8-for-38 in the tournament, including 3-for-26 from three-point range. The Boilermakers easily defeated Old Dominion and defending national champion Villanova in the first two rounds, but they needed overtime to defeat Tennessee in the Sweet 16 on Thursday after blowing an 18-point lead. It was a controversial end in regulation on a three-point shot foul so Purdue is fortunate to ever be here. Virginia is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games away from home after allowing 50 points or less. 10* (682) Virginia Cavaliers |
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03-30-19 | Giants +119 v. Padres | Top | 3-2 | Win | 119 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Giants are off to a 0-2 start and while the pitching has been solid by allowing just six runs, the offense has done nothing by plating only one run in the two games. The game ended with Gerardo Parra and Brandon Belt both screaming at home-plate umpire Lance Barksdale over questionable called third strikes that left the bases loaded and the Giants winless. The offense can break out tonight however against Nick Margevicius who is making his Major League debut after a fairly average spring. The win marked the first time since 2011 that the Padres opened the season with two straight wins and they face Dereck Rodriguez who had a sensational rookie season and dominated the Padres in both starts, posting a 1.29 ERA and 0.79 WHIP over 14 innings. 10* (911) San Francisco Giants |
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03-30-19 | Blue Jackets v. Predators -113 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the NASHVILLE PREDATORS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. A lot is on the line for both sides Saturday night and the short price at home for Nashville is a must take. Nashville is coming off a win over Pittsburgh last night and looks to keep the momentum roiling. By claiming a second consecutive victory, and going on a 5-1-1 run, the Predators are even in points with the Jets for first place in the Central Division. The schedule sets up well with three of their final four games taking place at home and the lone road game being at Buffalo. The Predators are 37-15 in their last 52 home games against teams with a winning road record. Columbus, which is riding a three-game winning streak, is one point back of the Hurricanes for the first Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference, and tied with the Canadiens in points, but holding a game in hand, plus the first tiebreaker of regulation/overtime wins. They have won five straight home games but the Blue Jackets are 1-5 in their last six road games. 10* (16) Nashville Predators |
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03-30-19 | Magic v. Pacers -2.5 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. While Indiana has clinched a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, the Pacers are now sitting in the No. 5 spot following a two-point loss in Boston last night. They can move back into the No. 4 spot with a win here depending what Boston does in Brooklyn and the remainder of the schedule sets up well for them. They are back home for four of their final six games as they look to improve upon their 28-9 record at home and they have dominated the poor teams here, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. We played against Orlando on Thursday as it lost in Detroit and while all games are now must wins, this is a team that does not have what it takes down the stretch. The Magic are a half-game behind Miami for the final playoff spot but they are nine games under .500 on the road and have to play four of their final six games on the highway, all against teams fighting for a playoff spot or playoff positioning. This is also a revenge spot for Indiana and it is 16-4 ATS this season in home games revenging a same season loss. 10* (538) Indiana Pacers |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
Defense plays a big role this far into the NCAA Tournament and Texas Tech is showing what it has and what it can do. The Red Raiders have held 13 opponents below 55 points and they are giving up 53 points on 35.6 percent shooting in three NCAA Tournament wins. The last game against Michigan was almost comical as All-Big Ten point guard Zavier Simpson did not score and had one assist in 35 minutes while the Wolverines made 1 of 19 three-point shots. They had nearly as many turnovers (14) as field goals (16). Gonzaga will be a challenge coming in as the best offense in the country but it was tested against a strong Florida St. defense, needing a late surge to pull away late. The Red Raiders have proven to be able to shut down good offenses they are 12-3 ATS against teams that are shooting 45 percent or better this season which will keep this one close and an outright win is more than possible. 10* (683) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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03-29-19 | Red Sox -136 v. Mariners | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The defending World Series Champion Red Sox were unable to get off to a winning start as Chris Sale was shelled for seven runs on six hits including three home runs in just three innings. They will send out Nathan Eovaldi tonight who pitched only seven innings in the spring but the main focus was to keep him healthy. His performance is the World Series run was a huge reason they even won it all, pitching several times on short rest out of the pen and even making a whole start in extra innings at one point. Seattle is off to a 3-0 start after last night and a pair of wins in Japan to start the season last week. The Mariners turn to Yusei Kikuchi who will be making his second start of the season after tossing 4.2 average innings against Oakland. This is a good historic bounce back spot for Boston as the Red Sox are 45-19 in their last 64 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (965) Boston Red Sox |
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03-29-19 | Houston +3 v. Kentucky | Top | 58-62 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We played against Kentucky last Saturday and it was fortunate to come away with the win and cover as Fletcher Magee, the all-time leading three-point shooter, went 0-12 from long range yet the game still came down to the final seconds. Houston had no issues with Georgia St. and Ohio St. and the Cougars are catching the smallest number of the four Friday games but that is for a reason as the overall numbers actually favor them slightly. Kentucky currently ranks seventh overall in KenPom efficiency, thanks in large part to their eighth-ranked defense. The offense is not far behind at 11th overall. As for the Cougars, they rank 12th overall on the strength of their 12th-ranked defense. They are actually the top team in the nation in terms of opponent effective field-goal percentage. They rank fifth in opponent two-point percentage and first in opponent three-point percentage. Houston has had four players in double figures in both games and will need that balance throughout the lineup to beat Kentucky and that certainly is not out of the question. The Cougars are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. 10* (671) Houston Cougars |
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03-29-19 | Blazers -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 118-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Atlanta has won three straight and five of its last eight games as it playing out the season looking to build a foundation for next season. The Hawks are playing spoiler at the moment as they have defeated Utah and Philadelphia during the recent streak, hurting their playoff seeding hopes. They will be out to do it again here on Friday and despite the aforementioned victories, Atlanta is just 5-18 on the season against top ten power ranked teams. Atlanta is 12-24 ATS in its last 36 games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. Portland has won five straight games and eight of its last nine to remain tied with Houston for third place in the Western Conference. The Blazers are beating the teams they need to as they have not lot to a non-contending playoff team since March 5 and on the season, they are 25-9 against teams outside the top 16 in the power rankings. Portland is 11-1 ATS in 12 games this season following a win by 15 points or more. Here, we play against home underdogs that are averaging 99 or more ppg going up against an opponent after a win by 20 points or more. This situation is 110-67 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Portland Trail Blazers |
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03-29-19 | Blues v. Rangers +190 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 190 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK RANGERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Blues have not played since Monday, when they extended their winning streak to four games by beating Vegas 3-1. They are one win or an overtime or shootout loss away from clinching a playoff berth after missing the postseason a year ago. All four of the wins have come at home however and St. Louis hits the road where it is just 18-17-7 while dropping three of its last four on the highway. The Blues are 4-11 in their last 15 games when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. The Rangers have dropped two straight and seven of their last eight games. While completely out of the playoff picture, New York has performed admirably at home with a 17-13-8 record and those eight extra time losses are tied for most in the NHL so that record could easily be better. Here, we play against road teams off two or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road loss by three goals or more. This situation is 65-29 (69.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (68) New York Rangers |
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03-28-19 | Purdue +2 v. Tennessee | Top | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Purdue and Tennessee come into the Sweet 16 riding different paths. The Boilermakers were not challenged in their two games, winning by a combined 39 points while the Volunteers struggled to beat Colgate and needed overtime to defeat Iowa after blowing a 25-point lead. While the previous two games should not have been too difficult, the Volunteers still struggled throughout large portions of both games and if they make the same mistakes against Purdue, they will have little chance of winning. Since losing by 18 points against Michigan St. back in January, Purdue is 16-3 so it comes in peaking at the right time. The key player and difference-maker in this matchup is Purdue guard Carsen Edwards, a first-team All-Big Ten selection. He leads the Big Ten in scoring at 23.6 points per game. And he isn't shy about getting up his shots, averaging 19.3 field-goal attempts per game. He shoots a modest 38.9 percent from the field, but that includes a clip of 34.6 percent from 3-point range. The Volunteers had issues with Jordan Burns and Jordan Bohannon in the last two games and neither of those two compare to Edwards. Tennessee is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against teams outscoring opponents by four or more ppg while the Boilermakers are 40-19 ATS in their last 59 non-conference games. 10* (651) Purdue Boilermakers |
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03-28-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -133 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -133 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Washington and Carolina and the Hurricanes will be out for revenge following a 4-1 loss on Tuesday. That loss has tightened things in the Eastern Conference as Carolina has just a one-point lead on Montreal for the top Wild Card spot with Columbus sitting just three points back. The Hurricanes are back home where they are 22-12-4 and have been solid in this spot, going 6-1 in their last seven games as home favorites of -110 to -150. Additionally, Carolina is 6-0 revenging a road loss by three goals or more this season. Washington is in much better position as it is nearing clinching a playoff spot while sitting in third place in the Eastern Conference with just five games remaining. It hits the road following a four-game homestand and going back, the Capitals are 1-4 in their last five games as underdogs of +110 to +150. Here, we play against road underdogs of +200 or less that are coming off two or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road loss by two goals or more. This situation is 39-7 (84.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (54) Carolina Hurricanes |
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03-28-19 | Magic v. Pistons -3 | Top | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Orlando has won six straight games to overtake Miami for the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference and it has a chance to move up to the No. 7 position with a win tonight. The first five wins came at home and the most recent win at Miami on Tuesday snapped a four-game road losing streak where the Magic are just 14-22 on the season. Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. Detroit is back home following a five-game roadtrip that included a brutal stretch of games against Portland, Golden St. and Denver over the last three. The Pistons have been red hot at home as they have won and covered nine straight games and the streak has not been just against garbage teams as the winning streak includes victories against Toronto twice, Indiana and Denver. This run has put Detroit 10 games over .500 at home and it has been fantastic in this spot on the year, going 25-6 in 31 games as a favorite and going back, the Pistons are 23-14 ATS in 37 games after playing a road game this season. 10* (504) Detroit Pistons |
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03-28-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -101 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot. Milwaukee will be out for another postseason run following a near miss last season, falling one game shy of a trip to the World Series. Unfinished business has been the theme of the offseason and we expect the Brewers to come out strong which we expect to happen opening day at a ridiculously small price. The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing season last year where they finished third in the National League Central and will be chasing once again. The lineup improved with Paul Goldschmidt coming over from Arizona and while the rotation is stable, it is still a concern when Miles Mikolas is your opening day starter and favored on the road on top of it against a team that won 96 regular season games and 102 in total. 10* (908) Milwaukee Brewers |
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03-27-19 | Stars v. Flames -154 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. Calgary is leading the conference and holds a six-point edge on San Jose in the Pacific Division with six games remaining but expect to see some extra effort here as the Flames saw a three-game winning streak snapped on Monday with a 3-0 loss to last place Los Angeles. Calgary is 3-0-1 this season following getting shut out. The Flames had a chance to clinch everything against the Kings and have a chance to do so again. This would mark the Flames first divisional title since 2005-06, and their first Western Conference title since 1988-89. Dallas is coming off a big win at Winnipeg after losing four of its previous five games but the Stars still hold the top Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. Dallas is 1-8 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game this season. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg, after getting shutout in their previous game. This situation is 39-12 (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (48) Calgary Flames |
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03-27-19 | Pacers v. Thunder -6 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with the Pacers on Sunday as they snapped a four-game slide to remain in fourth place in the Eastern Conference with eight games left. The Pacers are back on the road which is not a good thing as Indiana has struggled on the road of late, dropping eight consecutive games away from home. This includes a four-game roadtrip sweep against Western Conference playoff teams and it faces another one tonight and a desperate one at that. The last time Indiana and Oklahoma City met, March 14 in Indianapolis, the Pacers came back after trailing by 19 points midway through the third to beat the Thunder 108-106 on Wesley Matthews' tip-in with 1.8 seconds remaining so revenge is in play tonight. That started a 1-5 slide for the Thunder which have fallen into seventh place in the conference. Indiana is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 road games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg while the Thunder are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games against teams from the NBA Central Division. 10* (576) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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03-26-19 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -125 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA COYOTES for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Arizona has to get back to winning while needing some help along the way as well. The Coyotes are two points back of the Avalanche with six games remaining in the regular season as they return home having lost five in a row, including a 0-3-1 roadtrip. There has been no offense during this skid as Arizona has scored six goals total during the five games but a return home should help, especially against Chicago which allows 3.78 gpg on the road which is fifth most in the NHL. The Coyotes are 8-2 in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. We won with the Blackhawks on Sunday as they won the second of a home-and-home with Colorado which snapped a three-game losing streak. The offense is struggling here also as Chicago has scored two goals or less in five straight games and going back, it is 4-15 after two consecutive division games. Here, we play against underdogs off a win by one goal over a division rival going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 77-27 (74 percent) since 1996. 10* (40) Arizona Coyotes |
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03-26-19 | Magic v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played against the Magic last night and Philadelphia was in fine shape until the Orlando defense stepped up in the second half, holding the 76ers scoreless for nearly 12 minutes, forcing 15 consecutive missed shots during a 30-5 run. Orlando just finished the first 5-0 home stretch in franchise history and now trails Miami by just a half-game in the race for the eighth and final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference. They now hit the road where they have lost four straight games and are just 13-22 on the season. The Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Miami is coming off a win at Washington and it has won four of its last five games to maintain its lead in the Southeast Division. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 115-67 ATS (63.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (560) Miami Heat |
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03-25-19 | Bruins v. Lightning -145 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Winners of this season's Presidents' Cup as the league's top club, Tampa Bay had its seven-game winning streak broken in St. Louis on Saturday and it can be excused based on the letdown factor from clinching. The Lightning return home where they are 31-6-2 and they have prospered in this spot by going 15-2 after one or more consecutive losses this season. This includes a perfect 9-0 record following a road loss. Boston has won four straight games following a blowout win at Florida on Saturday by a 7-3 score. The victory secures the Bruins a playoff spot and now they are in the same situation Tampa Bay was in last time out. The last three wins have all come on the road after losing their previous four road games and overall, they are a game under .500 on the road. Here, we play against road teams against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 coming off two consecutive road wins by two goals or more. This situation is 28-9 (75.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (18) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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03-25-19 | 76ers -2 v. Magic | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Sixers are in the drivers seat for third place in the Eastern Conference but it is not over yet. They are 2.5 games ahead of Indiana for fourth place with that spot to face Boston in the first round and that is what Philadelphia wants to avoid. The Sixers are coming off a loss at Atlanta on Saturday which snapped a six-game winning streak and this is a good spot for a bounceback as Philadelphia is 20-5 this season following a loss, covering 16 of those games and this includes an 11-4 ATS mark when the line is -6 or less. Orlando meanwhile has won four straight games to move one game behind Miami for eighth place in the Eastern Conference but being three games under .500 for the season is certainly nothing to be intimidated by. Orlando is just 15-20 against teams ranked within the top 16 of the league in power rankings and going back, the Magic are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing with two days of rest. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 15-2 ATS in 17 games this season after failing to cover four or five of their last six against the spread. Here, we play on road favorites after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 98-56 ATS (63.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-24-19 | Cal-Irvine +5 v. Oregon | Top | 54-73 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the UC IRVINE ANTEATERS for our NCAA Sunday Late Night Winner. Oregon made an unexpected run through the Pac 12 Tournament, winning four games in four days, just to get into the field. While the win over Wisconsin was very impressive, shooting an unconscious percentage from the floor is unlikely to repeat itself. The Anteaters 17-game winning streak no longer can be dismissed as a product of playing in the Big West Conference after its win over Kansas St. The Ducks typically need to use their size to their advantage around the glass but that should be neutralized here as UC Irvine comes in ranked No. 12 in Team Total Rebounding Percentage whereas Oregon is just No. 104. Additionally, UC Irvine is the best rim-protecting team in the nation, holding opponents to 44 percent shooting and 0.9 points per possession. 10* (873) UC Irvine Anteaters |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State v. Houston -5.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our NCAA Sunday Enforcer. Ohio St. looked impressive in its win over Iowa St. on Friday but it is running into a buzzsaw on Sunday. The Cougars like to speed up the pace and will try to do so against Ohio St. as their quickness and efficiency on both ends of the court are hard to contain much less slow down. While the offense gets the pub, the Houston defense is among the best in the country, holding opponents to just 61.2 ppg and it is ranked No. 5 in the country in defensive efficiency. Despite allowing just five more ppg on defense, Ohio St. is ranked only No. 63 in that same category. Ohio St. is 3-10 ATS against teams outscoring their opponents by eight or more ppg this season while the Cougars are 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (872) Houston Cougars |
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03-24-19 | Avalanche v. Blackhawks -111 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS for our NHL Sunday Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home between Colorado and Chicago with the Avalanche taking the first game 4-2 last night in Denver. The win pushed Colorado past Minnesota and Arizona and into the second Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. With the Penguins 3-2 win in Dallas, the Avalanche also gained ground on the Stars, the top Wild Card team in the conference. Colorado has won four straight games but the Avalanche are 6-14 in their last 20 games as an underdog. Chicago has lost three straight games as its playoff hopes are fading fast but this is a good situation at a short home price. The Blackhawks are 6-1 in their last seven games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Here, we play on home teams after allowing three goals or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after four straight wins by two goals or more. This situation is 20-6 (76.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (8) Chicago Blackhawks |
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03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers +2 | Top | 88-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This is a contrarian play on Indiana which is riding a four-game losing streak, all coming on the road against Western Conference Playoff teams, but the Pacers remain in fourth place in the Eastern Conference thanks to the rest of conference faltering as well. Indiana is back home where it is 27-9, the sixth best home record in the NBA, and it has covered eight of its last 11 games here. One of those recent road losses came at Denver by a bucket and the Pacers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games revenging a same season loss. Denver meanwhile has won six straight games to take over first place in the Western Conference. The last three have come on the road where the Nuggets are just three games over .500 on the season. They are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games after a win by 10 points or more. Here, we play on underdogs in non-conference games, off three or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 57-29 ATS (66.3 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (536) Indiana Pacers |
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03-23-19 | Auburn -2 v. Kansas | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our NCAA Saturday Enforcer. The public is on Kansas, well, because it is Kansas being an underdog which rarely happens for the Jayhawks prior to the Sweet 16 and the near collapse for Auburn against New Mexico St. on Thursday. The Tigers are the favorites here despite two completely opposite performances in the first round but we are backing them here as Kansas will not get nearly the same lackluster effort that Northeastern put up. The Huskies came into that game as a proficient three-point shooting team but went just 6-28 from long range. Auburn presents the same style but do not expect a repeat performance of bad shooting. Defense presents another problem for the Jayhawks, in that Auburn leads the country in forcing turnovers, with opponents turning it over on 25.1 percent of their possessions. Kansas actually turned it over 12 times against Northeastern and if you extrapolate that against a much better defense, that spells trouble for the Jayhawks. 10* (849) Auburn Tigers |
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03-23-19 | Penguins v. Stars -113 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS STARS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. We won with Pittsburgh on Thursday but it was not without drama as it took a shootout after a late blown lead to get it done. The game against the Predators was the fifth time in their past 14 games that the Penguins have blown a lead with four minutes or fewer remaining in regulation, and the game Thursday was their first win in those five games. They hit the road in comfortable position with a seven-point lead over Columbus which is the last team looking to get into the playoffs. This is a huge game for the Stars. Dallas sits in the top Western Conference Wild Card race despite going 1-2-1 in the first four games of this five-game homestand. The Stars head out on a four-game roadtrip after tonight so its four-point lead over Colorado and Arizona is far from safe. But Dallas is 19-4 in its last 23 home games off a loss against a division rival and here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss of four goals or more, off a loss against a division rival. This situation is 44-11 (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (76) Dallas Stars |
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03-23-19 | Wofford +5.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 56-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our NCAA Saturday Early Shocker. Kentucky can typically go a long way with its athleticism but it can only go so far. The Wildcats are already short-handed, and sophomore forward P.J. Washington, their leading scorer and rebounder, will miss the game with a sprained right foot, leaving them with a slim eight-man rotation. Against a small conference, this is a game they typically would win going away but that is not the case today. Wofford is legit. The Terriers are 13th in the NET rankings, won a school-record 30 games and have won 21 consecutive games. Their No. 7 seed is the best for a Southern Conference team since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985. The Terriers rank 62nd in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and are also one of the few teams that can battle Kentucky on the offensive boards. They do play in the So-Con but their non-conference schedule was legit so there is no intimidation here. 10* (843) Wofford Terriers |
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03-22-19 | St. Louis v. Virginia Tech -10 | Top | 52-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES for our Friday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. The Hokies come into the NCAA Tournament as a No. 4 seed, the highest in program history, so there are expectations. Starting point guard Justin Robinson will rejoin the Hokies after missing 12 games due to a foot injury. Virginia Tech went 7–5 in his absence while going 17-3 prior to his injury. Robinson was averaging 13.7 ppg and 5.2 apg and was a staple to the team so his return is perfect timing for the Hokies. There will be added motivation as after first-round exits in each of the last two tournaments, the Hokies want to shed the label of a team that can't win in March. St. Louis comes in with a NET Ranking of No. 103 so there is a reason this line is what it is. The Billikens won four games in four days to capture the Atlantic Ten Tournament but this is not a good matchup. The rotation is extremely thin and foul trouble could be a problem moving forward with just two offensive big-men. Though Dion Wiley is listed as the seventh-man in the rotation, he played more than six minutes in the Atlantic Ten Tournament one time. Technically, the Billikens are a six-man rotation team. 10* (824) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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03-22-19 | Spurs v. Rockets -6 | Top | 105-111 | Push | 0 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. San Antonio had won nine straight games before losing 110-105 to the Heat on Wednesday and is opening a three-game roadtrip with the Rockets. It was a surprising home loss for the Spurs as they are 29-8 at home and seven of those wins during the streak came there. They are just 13-22 on the road and the two victories were against Dallas and Atlanta, noncontending playoff teams. San Antonio has just three road wins the entire season on the against teams in current playoff positions. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Houston is also coming off a loss last time out as it lost in Memphis in overtime by a point. The Rockets have won seven of their last eight home games, the lone loss coming against Golden St. by a bucket. They are still chasing first and second place in the Western Conference as they are 4.5 games back but they have just a half-game lead over Portland for fourth place. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential +3 to +7 ppg going up against a team that is +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential, after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. This situation is 53-29 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) Houston Rockets |
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03-22-19 | Wild +150 v. Capitals | Top | 2-1 | Win | 150 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Friday Breakaway. We are going contrarian here in a game that is significantly more important. Minnesota has lost two straight games as it remains a point out of the second Wild Card spot in the Western Conference. It is not going to be easy as five of the final eight games for the Wild are on the road with every game coming against playoff contenders. Minnesota has actually been a better road team than at home and going back, the Wild are 19-6 in their last 25 games after scoring two goals or less in two straight games while going 25-11 in their last 36 games after two or more consecutive losses. Washington is coming off a home loss against Tampa Bay in overtime but the point acquired gave it a three-point lead over the Islanders and Penguins in the Metropolitan Division. The Capitals are 21-15 at home and are a bit overpriced here and they are part of a negative situation here where we play on teams coming off a loss by two goals or more to a division rival going up against an opponent off a home loss by one goal. This situation is 75-51 ATS (59.5 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (53) Minnesota Wild |
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03-22-19 | Washington v. Utah State -3 | Top | 78-61 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our Friday NCAA Tournament Supreme Annihilator. Utah St. is one of just a handful of teams that come into the NCAA Tournament with a winning streak and it helps the Aggies out immensely. They took home the Mountain West Conference Tournament, although they avoided having to face Nevada, to extend their winning streak to 10 games. This is their first tournament since 2011 and the program has not won an NCAA Tournament game since 2001 when they beat Ohio St. in the first round so that momentum becomes even more important. The Aggies want to win with their up-tempo offense as they are tied for 39th in the country at 79.1 ppg. One of the ways they generate offense is by spreading the ball around as Utah St. is ninth in the nation at 17.1 assists per game. The Aggies went 3-2 against Quadrant 1 opponents, 2-3 versus Quadrant 2 foes and 22-1 against everybody else on their schedule. Washington made it all the way to the final game of the Pac 12 Tournament but the Huskies have had their issues recently. They are just 4-3 over their last seven games with all of those wins coming by no more than five points. The defense will have its hands full here as they struggled on that end during this recent stretch. 10* (812) Utah St. Aggies |
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03-21-19 | Penguins +135 v. Predators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 135 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. While dropping out of the playoffs is unlikely for the Penguins, they are still just six points out from doing so with eight games remaining in the season. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games, the last two coming in extra time, while scoring just four goals in total over that stretch. The Penguins average 3.41 gpg on the road which is fourth most in the NHL and going back, they are 8-2 in their last 10 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. Nashville meanwhile has won three straight games to keep pace with Winnipeg in the Central Division as it trails the Jets by three points. The Predators play Winnipeg in their next game on Saturday so the lookahead possibility is there. Nashville is 23-13-1 at home but it is outscoring opponents by just 0.08 gpg at home so it has been far from dominant. Nashville is 5-16 in its last 21 games after three straight wins by two goals or more. Here, we play against teams after allowing two goals or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after losing two consecutive games in overtime. This situation is 75-46 (62 percent) since 1996. 10* (37) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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03-21-19 | Murray State +3.5 v. Marquette | Top | 83-64 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MURRAY ST. RACERS for our NCAA Tournament Enforcer. This is an intriguing matchup between two teams that have the top two scorers in the nation among teams playing in the NCAA Tournament. Murray St. matches up well here and has the ability on both sides of the ball to pull off the outright upset. Ja Morant, who is averaging 24.6 ppg, 10 apg and 5.5 rpg and is projected to be a top-three pick in the NBA draft this summer in leading the Racers to the OVC Championship. For as great as Morant is at scoring, no one in college basketball plays as critical of a role in complementing the entire team. Morant is No. 1 overall in assist rate per KenPom, which contributes directly to the Racers' No. 5 national ranking in two-point field-goal percentage. Marquette got off to a great start this season but is wilting at the wrong time as the Golden Eagles have lost five of their last six games coming into the NCAA Tournament. The offense is very good but the Racers were undefeated (17-0) this season when holding teams below 70 points. Murray St. is 11-3 ATS away from home after one or more consecutive wins this season. 10* (761) Murray St. Racers |
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03-21-19 | Yale +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the YALE BULLDOGS for our NCAA Tournament Afternoon Dominator. We played against LSU in its first game in the SEC Tournament as there are a lot of distractions with this team right now and we see it continuing. The Tigers will be without their head coach, Will Wade, who was suspended by the school due to recruiting violations. This is just the second NCAA Tournament appearance for the Tigers in the last 10 years. Interim coach Tony Benford was able to lead the Tigers to a convincing win in the regular season finale but that came against Vanderbilt which did not win a single game in the SEC this season. LSU beats teams by turning them over, but Yale has the guards that can take care of the ball. Yale can make shots, and that will keep them in this game. The Bulldogs have won three straight games that included taking the two games in the Ivy League Tournament. Yale was able to pull off an upset over Baylor in the 2016 NCAA Tournament, and this team has the same type of feel. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (767) Yale Bulldogs |
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03-20-19 | Arizona State -2 v. St. John's | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Wednesday NCAA Tournament Opener. Arizona St. is in a unique situation where it is playing a play in game for the second straight season after losing to Syracuse last year. The Sun Devils lost four of their last five games and went down in the first round of the Pac 12 Tournament so they came in with no momentum but this year is a different story. Arizona St. is back on track after winning six of its last eight games with both losses coming against Oregon, the last coming in overtime in the conference tournament. The Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. St. John's stumbled badly down the stretch as it lost five of its last seven games heading into the NCAA Tournament, the latest being a 32-point loss against Marquette in the Big East Tournament. St. John's biggest weakness this year has been on the glass, where it gets out-rebounded by an average of 5.8 boards per game while Arizona St. is 15th in the nation in rebounding. That is bad news as St. John's is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games away from home after three straight games being outrebounded by its opponent by six or more. 10* (713) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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03-20-19 | Jazz v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 137-116 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. New York was coming off a last second win over the Lakers on Sunday and to no surprise, the Knicks were unable to keep the momentum going as they were blown out in Toronto the next night. They are back home getting an absurd number and taking nothing away from Utah, but there is no reason it should be laying this price. New York has been a double-digit home underdog only three times this season and those games were against Golden St., Boston and Toronto. New York is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. Utah is riding a four-game winning streak, covering all of those games as well, and currently sitting in a tie for seventh place in the Western Conference. The Jazz have been road favorites in their last four games and 20 times overall on the season and this is the biggest they have been favored by in all of those games. Here, we play on home teams coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) New York Knicks |
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03-20-19 | Maple Leafs -140 v. Sabres | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. We won with Buffalo on Sunday as it won in a shootout against St. Louis to snap a seven-game losing streak but we will be fading the Sabres tonight with motivation being much bigger on the other side. The Sabres have not won consecutive games since mid-December, going 0-12 in their last 12 games following a win. The Maple Leafs are coming off a loss last night which was their second straight and fourth in their last five games. Toronto is third in the NHL at +40 in scoring differential so it has been more dominating than its place in the standings where it sits tied for fourth with the Islanders in the Eastern Conference. Toronto has been a great bounce back team this season that has avoided long losing streaks as it is 10-1 after two or more consecutive losses this season. Here, we play on road favorites of -150 or less in the second half of the season that are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg, after a loss by three goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 27-6 (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (21) Toronto Maple Leafs |
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03-19-19 | San Diego +7 v. Memphis | Top | 60-74 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS for our CBB Tuesday NIT Enforcer. Expectations were high in San Diego this season and while a trip to the NCAA Tournament eluded them, the Toreros have their sights set on another championship. A challenging early schedule saw San Diego go 12-4 with four Pac-12 Conference opponents, where San Diego went 2-2, and it carried momentum into the WCC season but injuries to Isaiah Wright and Olin Carter III were major factors despite Isaiah Pineiro having an All-WCC First Team season. San Diego is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a road underdog. Memphis had its AAC Tournament run end on its home floor against Houston and the three-point loss was very misleading. The Tigers shot just 23.5 percent from the floor but were able to keep it close thanks to going 22-26 from the free throw line. That free throw advantage will not be in play tonight as the Toreros have shot 81.6 percent from the line over their last five games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (685) San Diego Toreros |
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03-19-19 | Canadiens +105 v. Flyers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL CANADIENS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. The Flyers pulled off a near miracle 2-1 win Sunday on the road against the Penguins to stay within six points of the final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference. Trailing 1-0, the Flyers pulled goaltender Carter Hart and they tied the game with 18.8 seconds remaining in regulation and then they got the game winner with 3.4 seconds left in overtime. Philadelphia is the only team in playoff contention in the conference that possess a negative scoring differential as it is -19 and home ice has been average with an 18-18 record. One team standing between the Flyers and Blue Jackets is Montreal which is three points up on Philadelphia and three points behind Columbus so this is a huge game for the Canadiens as well. Montreal has lost two straight and four of its last five games with the last defeat being a 2-0 shutout at home against Chicago. Going back, Montreal is 21-8 against the money line in its last 29 games off a home loss by two goals or more. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home loss where they were shut out, playing a losing team. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (7) Montreal Canadiens |
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03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets +2 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Sixers have won four consecutive games, including Sunday's 130-125 victory at Milwaukee in which Joel Embiid scored 40 points, grabbed 15 rebounds and handed out six assists as Philadelphia officially clinched a playoff berth. They will rest him tonight however as they have a game tomorrow at home against Boston. Philadelphia has been inconsistent on the road as it is just one game over .500 and despite Embiid being out, it has gone from road underdog to a road favorite and going back, it is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. A 93-75 loss at Miami on Sunday marked a season-low in points for Charlotte as it fell two and a half games behind the Heat for eighth place in the Eastern Conference. The Hornets are 21-14 at home and the value is here based on the fact they have not covered a home game since February 22nd. The Hornets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home underdogs revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road loss scoring less than 80 points. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Charlotte Hornets |
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03-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -170 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE SHARKS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. The Golden Knights are coming off a win on Sunday over Edmonton to make it two straight victories and eight wins over their last nine games. Despite the recent hot streak, Vegas still trails second place San Jose by nine points in the standings, so passing the Sharks for home-ice advantage in the playoffs is still a long shot. While they have beaten the teams they should, the Golden Knights have struggled against top quality opponents as they are 3-13 in their last 16 games as underdogs. The Sharks head into Monday just one point behind first place Calgary in the Pacific Division with 10 games remaining so all games are big at this point. San Jose has dropped two straight games and while both of those were at home, it is still a solid 23-7-5 at home including winning 12 of its last 16. The Sharks managed only two goals in each of the last two games but they are third in the NHL in scoring, averaging 3.58 gpg, and will be facing backup goalie Malcolm Subban. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season off a home loss by two goals or more, with a winning record. This situation is 212-131 (61.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (78) San Jose Sharks |
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03-18-19 | Nuggets v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. This is a revenge game for Boston and while it was a while back, that is one the Celtics have not forgotten about. Jamal Murray scored 48 points in the Nuggets' 115-107 in Denver on Nov. 5 and jacked up a last-second three-pointer to try to reach 50. Boston guard Kyrie Irving was not happy and threw the basketball into the stands after the buzzer, drawing a fine. Denver hits the road following three straight wins, all at home where they are 30-6, but come in just 16-16 on the road. Denver is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 road games off a home win. After a slump that was questioned by many, Boston has won five of its last six games to move a game behind Indiana for fourth place in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics are 26-10 at home and going back, they are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games revenging a same season loss. 10* (538) Boston Celtics |
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03-17-19 | Blues v. Sabres +142 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 142 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO SABRES for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. The situation set up well for St. Louis yesterday afternoon and it sets up nicely for the opposite side on Sunday. We won with the Blues on Saturday as it snapped a three-game losing streak with a win against Pittsburgh. The win put St. Louis two points up on Dallas for third place in the Central Division but this is the cause for a possible letdown coupled with a four-game homestand upcoming. Additionally, the Blues are 3-10 in their last 13 games playing with no rest. Buffalo lost its seventh consecutive game last night in Carolina as the possibility of the playoffs are all but done. While the Sabres did not win last night, they were at least able to find the net with a pair of goals following three straight games of getting shut out. The public is all over St. Louis here as it is the lone road consensus play on the card and that is the way we like it. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after scoring two goals or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. This situation is 64-36 (64 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (60) Buffalo Sabres |
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03-17-19 | St. Louis v. St Bonaventure -1 | Top | 55-53 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Sunday A-10 Championship Dominator. A trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line for two teams that would have been in the NIT at best. St. Louis has had matchup advantages in the first three games of the Atlantic Ten Tournament but that will not be the case today. The Billikens size has caused problems especially against Davidson yesterday where they held the Wildcats to 25.9 percent shooting from the floor while winning the battle of the boards 41-26 but the size of St. Bonaventure neutralizes that here. It showed in the first meeting which happened to be the regular season finale for both teams with the double-bye on the line. St. Louis, despite winning the rebounding battle had only eight assists to 13 turnovers against a tricky St. Bonaventure zone. Now, this being the fourth game in four days for St. Louis, the challenge becomes even tougher when playing a six-man rotation. The Billikens are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game while the Bonnies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (648) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-16-19 | Florida State v. Duke -7.5 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS for our CBB Saturday ACC Championship. Duke is coming off a big win over North Carolina last night as it avoided the three-game season sweep to the Tar Heels and while an emotional letdown is expected by some, not with this team. The Blue Devils defeated the Seminoles, 80-78, back on Jan. 12 in Tallahassee. In that game, Zion Williamson, who has been red hot since his return, was forced to leave early with an eye injury, opening the door for fellow freshmen R.J. Barrett and Cam Reddish to shine. Florida St. is coming off an even bigger win as it defeated Virginia by 10 points as a nine-point underdog. That has the makings of a letdown because of the size of the upset. The number is big here but it is big for a reason as we play against underdogs with a winning percentage of .800 or better coming off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six points or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1997. 10* (634) Duke Blue Devils |
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03-16-19 | Suns v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 138-136 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Both Phoenix and New Orleans are coming off losses last night and we like the Pelicans to bounce back as they remain on their home floor. Anthony Davis sat out Friday's game but is expected to start against the Suns, continuing the trend of playing in just one game in back-to-back sets. Point guard Elfrid Payton has had three consecutive triple doubles, finishing with 14 points, 12 rebounds a career-high 16 assists in a 122-110 home loss to Portland on Friday. Phoenix played a good game last night against Houston as it led pretty much throughout but got outscored by 12 points in he fourth quarter. Phoenix is just 29 when playing with no rest this season including 1-3 in the second of back-to-back road games. The Suns have covered all of those games however, they were getting 13.5, 9.5, 12 and 17 points in those games so this is a whole different scenario. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage of .250 or worse while going 12-3 ATS off a home loss this season. Here, we play om teams in a game involving two teams averaging 102 or more ppg, after three straight losses by 10 points or more. This situation is 61-36 ATS (62.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-16-19 | Flames v. Jets -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG JETS for our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Calgary has retaken the top spot in the Western Conference by a point over San Jose thanks to three straight wins where the offense has racked up 20 goals. The Flames are in a tough spot here as those three wins all came at home and they have scored three goals or less in eight of their last nine road games. Going back, the Flames are 4-12 in their last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while going 9-23 against the money line in their last 32 games in the second half of the season when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Winnipeg snapped a two-game slide with a win over Boston on Thursday to maintain its one-point lead over Nashville in the Central Division. The Jets are 23-9-4 at home and they are 13-1 against the money line in their last 14 home games revenging a loss where they scored one goal or less. Here, we play against road teams against the money line in the second half of the season averaging three or more gpg, after two straight wins by three goals or more. This situation is 36-16 (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (44) Winnipeg Jets |
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03-15-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State +2.5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CBB Friday Pac 12 Late Dominator. While Oregon may be rolling with six straight wins, we feel the Ducks are a false favorite here. They have covered all six of those games as well but despite the recent run, Oregon is still on the outside looking in to the NCAA Tournament so it needs to win the Pac 12 Tournament to most likely get in. They are playing their best basketball of the season but are still weak down low with the absence of Bol Bol and could struggle hear against a very deep Arizona St. frontcourt. The second-seeded Sun Devils dominated the first half and stretched their lead to 23 early in the second half but let UCLA back in it by going nearly nine minutes without a field goal. That was the third straight win and cover for Arizona St. so it comes into the semifinals with its own momentum and cannot be taken lightly here. Both teams dominated on their home floors in the two meetings this season and it is Oregon that has struggled more away from home, going 4-8 ATS against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (850) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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03-15-19 | Golden Knights -140 v. Stars | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Stars have little time to celebrate arguably their biggest win of the season on Thursday night, a 4-1 victory at Minnesota that moved them into third place in the Central Division. Dallas will likely be without goalie Ben Bishop who left the game last night with a lower-body injury. He has been lights out as he has a franchise-record shutout streak of 230:53 before he left in the second period on Thursday. The Stars are 15-36 in their last 51 games in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Vegas has won six of its last seven games and has had a four-day break to refresh since suffering a 6-3 loss at Calgary on Sunday night. The Golden Knights remain in third place in the Pacific Division but they are now just four points ahead of surging Arizona so Vegas needs to keep rolling. The Golden Knights are 6-0 in their last six games as a favorite. Here, we play on road favorites against the money line coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off a win by two goals or more over a division rival. This situation s 27-4 (87.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (25) Vegas Golden Knights |
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03-15-19 | Kings v. 76ers -9 | Top | 114-123 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. Philadelphia fell back into fourth place in the Eastern Conference after Indiana won last night and third place is coveted, especially for the Sixers. The third place team will face Brooklyn, Detroit or Miami in the first round of the playoffs while the fourth place team would face Boston, something the Sixers want to avoid as they do not match up well. When asked if his team had overlooked Sacramento in an earlier 115-108 loss on Feb. 2, and perhaps even in last season's series sweep at the hands of the Kings, head coach Brett Brown insisted only that it surely would not be the case in Friday's rematch. The Kings will be playing the second half of a road back-to-back after a tightly contested 126-120 loss at Boston on Thursday. They have lost two straight games and while the playoffs were once a possibility, those chances are likely gone now as they are five games behind the Clippers. Sacramento is 8-24 ATS in its last 32 road games after two straight losses by six points or less while Philadelphia is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games when playing with two days of rest. 10* (574) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-14-19 | SMU v. Tulsa +1.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Thursday AAC Dominator. Tulsa, which earned the seventh seed, was solid but unspectacular this season, going 18-13 in the regular season including 8-10 in the AAC. The Golden Hurricane had won five of their previous seven games before closing out the season with a three-point loss at Memphis. They will be out for revenge here as they lost by 20 points at SMU back in January which was one of four conference losses coming by at least 18 points. That is a big reason Tulsa is an underdog here despite being the higher seed to we will grab the generous value. The Mustangs lost nine of their final 11 games of the regular season so they do not have momentum on their side even if there is talent on the roster in guys like Jahmal McMurray and Ethan Chargois. They did win their regular season finale but this team is so banged up that they will not be able to make any sort of run in the tournament. SMU is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games away from home after one or more consecutive wins. 10* (734) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-14-19 | Capitals -123 v. Flyers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Washington had a seven-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Pittsburgh on Tuesday but it remains in first place in the Metropolitan Division by two points over the Islanders. The Capitals are one of just seven teams in the NHL that possess at least 20 road wins and going back, Washington is 19-7 against the money line in road games after a division game over the last two seasons. Philadelphia remains in the playoff picture as it is five points behind Montreal and Columbus which possess eighth and ninth place in the Eastern Conference. The Flyers have won two straight games but are in a tough spot here as they are 9-23 against the money line against teams averaging three or more gpg this season. Here, we play against home underdogs against the money line in the second half of the season that are allowing three or more gpg, after allowing two goals or less in two straight games. This situation is 125-46 (73.1 percent) since 1996. Also, we play on road favorites against the money line in the second half of the season off a loss by two goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record. This situation is 46-19 (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (3) Washington Capitals |
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03-14-19 | Alabama v. Ole Miss -3 | Top | 62-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CBB Thursday SEC Dominator. Mississippi opens up SEC Tournament play against Alabama on Thursday night from Nashville as a likely NCAA Tournament lock. Most projections have the Rebels as a No. 8 or No. 9 seed for the tournament, and a loss to Alabama likely can't do more than drop the Rebels a spot or two. Still, moving up is a possibility with a good tournament run and it begins here. Alabama meanwhile will need a couple wins to secure a berth to the big dance as the Tide are a projected bubble team heading into the SEC Tournament. The Tide beat the Rebels 74-53 in the only prior matchup in January, scoring 23 points off turnovers and corralling 20 offensive rebounds. It was one of the worst performances of the season for the Rebels but the postseason is different altogether. One big edge is at the free throw line where Mississippi is hitting 78.5 percent compared to just 66.9 percent for Alabama. 9* (742) Mississippi Rebels |
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03-13-19 | DePaul v. St. John's -4.5 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOHNS RED STORM as part of our CBB Wednesday Trifecta. St. John's is one of just three teams in the Big East Conference that has accumulated 20 wins. That being said, the Red Storm are on the cusp of making the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2014-15 and the first under head coach Chris Mullin. St. John's has arguably the best backcourt in the conference with four double-digit scorers led by Shamorie Ponds and Mustapha Heron, who are averaging a combined 37.8 ppg, and this is the time of year where the backcourt is huge. With the St. Mary's win last night, one more at-large slot has been taken and there are now basically 16 bubble teams vying for eight spots so a loss here likely ends any shot of getting in. DePaul was not as bad as usual as it finished 7-11 in the conference including two wins over the Red Storm but is in a tough spot here playing its first neutral court game of the season but it is basically a road game at MSG. 10* (654) St. John's Red Storm |
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03-13-19 | Pistons +2 v. Heat | Top | 74-108 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Things did not go right for Detroit on Monday against the Nets. The Pistons were on an offensive roll until they got to New York as they shot a season-worst 27.8 percent from the field and 23.5 percent from three-point range. They trailed by as much as 31 points and got outscored by 30 points in the paint. They are currently sitting in seventh place in the Eastern Conference, trailing the Nets by a half-game, and they are three games up on Miami and win here would move them four up plus the head-to-head series tiebreaker. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Miami had its four-game winning streak snapped with a loss against Toronto on Sunday which also snapped a four-game home winning streak. The Heat haven't done a good job of protecting their home court this season as they're just 15-19 at American Airlines Arena, which is the worst home record among playoff contenders, including a 119-96 loss to Detroit on Feb. 23. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half going up against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Detroit Pistons |
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03-12-19 | Blazers -2 v. Clippers | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Clippers have won five straight games while covering their last seven so it is no surprise they are getting the majority of the action tonight as a home underdog. The problems here is the timing of this game as Los Angeles is coming off a game last night, a big win over the Celtics, while the Blazers have been off since Saturday. The Clippers are now 20-12 at home which is the worst home record of all playoff teams in the Western Conference so there is not a huge edge in that regard either. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Portland snapped a two-game losing streak with an unimpressive win over Phoenix which was its third straight non-cover. Portland can move back into a tie for fourth place in the Western Conference with Oklahoma City and going back, the Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 155-109 ATS (58.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) Portland Trail Blazers |
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03-12-19 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -14.5 | Top | 60-47 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the GONZAGA BULLDOGS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Gonzaga is coming off another easy victory as it has not been tested by any team in the West Coast Conference. The Bulldogs have won every game in the conference by double-digits, the first team to do so since the UNLV Rebels in the early 90s. They again looked solid in Monday's win over Pepperdine as they shot 59.7 percent from the field and led by as many as 41 points. Saint Mary's used to be the one team that gave Gonzaga a battle but that has not been the case this season as Gonzaga won the two regular season matchups by an average of 31 points and steamrolled Saint Mary's 94-46 on Feb. 9. The 48-point margin of defeat was the fourth-worst in Gaels' history and the only time they have lost by 30 or more points during coach Randy Bennett's 18 seasons. They had trouble pulling away from San Diego last night and while getting a ton of points tonight, it will not be enough. Gonzaga is 8-4 ATS this season when favored by fewer than 20 points while the Gaels are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play on neutral court favorites in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg, after scoring 85 points or more. This situation is 108-67 ATS (61.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (616) Gonzaga Bulldogs |
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