Brandon Lee Sports Picks

FREE PICK: Houston Rockets +12.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 553

I will take my chances with Houston doing enough on the road to keep it within 12-points and cover the 12.5-point spread against the Warriors on Friday. The Rockets have some mojo right now. They have won 3 of their last 4 games, all on the road, all 3 as a dog. The most recent being a 116-111 win at Utah as a 13.5-point dog. 

You got to believe that Houston is going to show up with a huge effort here against the Warriors, as everyone gets up to play Golden State. 

It's also a good time to fade the Warriors, who are still without Draymond Green and I wouldn't be shocked at all if we don't see Klay Thompson sit, as the Warriors will be in the second of a back-to-back after hosting the Pacers on Thursday. A game that was part of the TNT double-header, which always carries a little extra meaning to the players. Give me Houston +12.5! 

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40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Wisconsin -4) 

I'll take my chances with the Badgers as a 4-point home favorite against the Spartans in Friday's Big Ten matchup. I just don't think the Spartans have what it takes to go into Madison and get a win. 

Michigan State just lost at home to Northwestern and their 5-1 record in Big Ten play is a bit misleading. The Spartans have not played any of the top teams in the conference. They have played Minnesota twice, Northwestern twice, Nebraska and Minnesota. This is by far their toughest true road game of the season, as their 3 true road games so far have come against Butler, Northwestern and Minnesota. 

Badgers are 6-1 in Big Ten Play and riding a 7-game win streak. Unlike the Spartans, they haven't had a cupcake conference schedule. Wisconsin has wins over Purdue, Iowa and Ohio State. Give me the Badgers -4! 

50* (NBA) - Smart Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Heat +1.5) 

I don't think the Heat should be a dog in Friday's division game at Atlanta. The Hawks come in off a a couple of nice wins, beating the Bucks 121-114 at home on Monday and the Timberwolves 134-122 on Wednesday. 

The problem for Atlanta is health. They basically used an 8-man rotation (all 5 starters played 33+ mins last game) and could be losing their best bench player in Danilo Gallinari, who is questionable with an ankle injury. 

Miami won't have Kyle Lowry or Tyler Herro, but this a very deep Heat team that just recently got back their two big guns in Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. Miami has also been playing some great basketball for a long stretch here. They are 13-4 over their last 17 and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8. 

Miami has also been at their best in division games. They are 8-1 vs division opponents, outscoring the opposition by 11.2 ppg. Atlanta just doesn't play good enough defense for them to be favored against a team like the Heat. Give me Miami +1.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +7.5) 

I will gladly take the 7.5-points with the Blazers as they go to Boston on Friday. I've been on Portland quite a bit here of late, as I think they have been vastly underrated since Lillard went down. Backup point guard Anfernee Simons has been playing like an All-Star in Lillard's absence and they just recently got back C.J. McCollum. 

Blazers had won and covered 4 of their previous 5 before losing 92-104 as a 9-point dog at Miami on Wednesday and they should of at the worst covered that game. Portland had a 4th quarter to forget, scoring just 12-points and giving up 26 to lose by 12. 

Boston just hasn't been able to put it together this season and they simply should not be laying this kind of number against a team like the Blazers. Give me Portland +7.5!