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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-24-16 | Redskins +9 v. Cowboys | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
Dallas continues its dominating run as it has now won and covered nine straight games. The Cowboys were fortunate with the cover last week on a late field goal and because of the run, linesmakers have to keep making adjustments and now they are favored by the most they have been all season. Washington is coming off a pair of wins following its London trip and a bye week. This is the last opportunity to close the gap in the division as a win here gets the Redskins to within a game and a half while a loss here would make it a 3.5-game deficit and the loss of head-to-head tiebreaker. These teams played back in September with Washington closing as a 3.5-point favorite so we are seeing a massive line change in the second meeting. Sure Dallas is 8-0 since that first meeting but Washington is 6-1-1 over the same stretch and the two non-wins could have been victories as the Redskins outgained both Detroit and Cincinnati. Washington is a better team than Baltimore yet is getting a bigger number than the Ravens. Dallas has played the easiest schedule in the NFL thus far and with Washington being 2-1-1 on the road, this is the first time this season the Cowboys are playing a team with a winning road record. 10* (109) Washington Redskins |
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11-24-16 | Illinois +8.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 57-89 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Illinois coming off a nightmare season where it posted its worst record since 1999 as injuries took its toll before and throughout the season. Now healthy, the Illini can put a bounce back season together and get back to the NCAA Tournament after missing it for three straight years. The return of point guard Tracy Abrams is pivotal after he missed the last two years with injuries and he is one of six players scoring in double-figures, led by Big Ten Player of the Year candidate Malcolm Hill with 20.6 ppg. Illinois is 4-1 and coming off a loss to an extremely solid Winthrop team in overtime. West Virginia is off to a 3-0 start but it is hard to say how this team is overall based on the fact none of their games had lines showing the easiness of the slate. The Mountaineers are expected to give Kansas a run in the Big 12 and are currently ranked No. 19 in the nation but inexperience down low is an issue and will be early on in the season so Illinois will not be at a disadvantage here like it could be against other teams that are big. Illinois is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after scoring 75 points or more two straight games while the Mountaineers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. 10* (513) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +2.5 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 31 m | Show |
Minnesota snapped its four-game losing streak with a win over Arizona last Sunday and while it was a much needed win, it was not overly impressive as the Vikings were outgained by 73 yards. They returned an interception 100 yards for a touchdown and returned a kickoff 104 yards for a touchdown and those were the obvious differences. Still, they are in good shape to start another winning streak. Detroit has won two straight and five of its last six games to keep pace in the division as the Lions remain tied with Minnesota at 6-4. This is a rare game on Thanksgiving for the Lions that actually means something as a win here not only gives them the lead but also gives them the tiebreaker by virtue of the 2-0 season sweep. However, this team is overrated right now as Detroit has been outgained in six of its last seven games and the stats tell the story as the offense is ranked No. 25 in total yards while the defense is ranked No. 19 in total yards. While the Minnesota offense is dead last in the league, the defense is ranked No. 3 overall and No. 2 in points allowed. That defense is a difference maker and that will be the case here. The Vikings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. 10* (107) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-24-16 | BYU v. Valparaiso +8.5 | Top | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
After winning 28 and 30 games the last two season, Valparaiso is expected to flirt with those numbers once again as it brings back the majority of its team from last season. The Crusaders will have the best player on the floor with Alec Peters who is already averaging 25.4 ppg and 8.8 rpg through five games. They took care of Alabama in the first round of the MGM Grand Main Event and are now catching a very favorable number against BYU. The Cougars rolled over St. Louis in the first round game to improve to 4-0 but this will easily be the biggest test of the young season. They lost two key players from last season, Big West Conference Player of the Year Kyle Collinsworth and leading scorer Chase Fisher and while still very talented, it is hard to gauge how good this team actually is. These teams met last season in the NIT Semifinals at MSG and Valparaiso won by a bucket. On that neutral floor, the Crusaders were favored by 2.5 points and now we are seeing a double-digit line shift despite both teams being relatively equal to the teams from last season. 10* (790) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-116 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
Oklahoma City has hit a rough patch but is in good position to get out of it tonight. The Thunder lost last night to a more solid than expected Lakers team to make it six losses over their last eight games after starting the season 6-1 with the lone defeat coming at Golden St. in a game that meant a ton to the Warriors. Back-to-back losses against Orlando and Detroit were uncalled for but the other four losses during this stretch have come against pretty solid opposition. This is just the second time the Thunder have been a single-digit underdog and both resulted in covers against the Clippers. Sacramento is 5-9 on the season, is coming off a win over Toronto and has covered four straight games but does not deserve to be the chalk in this matchup. Additionally, Sacramento is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games playing on two days of rest. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a close win by three points or less. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (723) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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11-23-16 | Celtics v. Nets +8 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Brooklyn has dropped four straight games, all of which have come against some stiff competition and while that is the case tonight with the opponent, it is catching a great number at home. The Nets are 4-9 overall which is nothing special but the play at home has been pretty solid with a 3-3 record as opposed to a 1-6 record on the road. Brooklyn lost at Boston by five points last month as an 11.5-point underdog so the change in venue shows the improper line adjustment. The Celtics are 2-0 on this roadtrip to get back to .500 on the road, and while the Nets are getting their biggest amount of points at home, this is the most Boston has been favored by on the road. Boston is definitely the better team but this is way too aggressive of a number. The Nets fall into a situation where we play on underdogs after allowing 105 points or more three straight games going up against an opponent after a win by 6 points or less. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (714) Brooklyn Nets |
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11-23-16 | Spurs v. Hornets +5.5 | Top | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
The Spurs continue to get it done in the wake of the Tim Duncan retirement as they are off to an 11-3 start including a 7-0 record on the road, one of only two teams in the league that has yet to lose on the road. After defeating Golden St. in the season opener, San Antonio has had a pretty easy go of it on the highway with only one team being above .500 at the time and that was a six-point win at Houston which was actually a revenge game in a home-and-home set. Charlotte is off to a solid 8-5 start despite losses in its last two games. Four of the five losses have been games that were decided late or in overtime and the only other time the Hornets were home underdogs, it resulted in a two-point loss to Toronto. They fall into a situation where we play on home underdogs with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 coming off an upset loss as a favorite, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 53-21 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (708) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-22-16 | Blazers v. Knicks -1 | Top | 103-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
After dropping the first two games of this roadtrip, the Blazers won on Sunday in Brooklyn in a game they pretty much led throughout. Portland is now 4-4 on the road but three of those wins have come against teams with five or fewer wins overall and a winning percentage of .385 or worse. While each game counts, the Blazers will be caught looking ahead to a game tomorrow in Cleveland. The Knicks are coming off a win as well as they defeated Atlanta at home on Sunday to improve to 5-2 at MSG which includes four straight victories. On the season, the host is 10-3 in New York games and the home/road splits are similar for the Knicks ATS as they are 5-2 ATS at home and just 1-5 ATS on the road. This team is greatly improved from last season as the Knicks will seek to get to .500, a mark they were not able to reach after January 20 last season when they finished 32-50. Going back, the Blazers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. 10* (504) New York Knicks |
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11-22-16 | Yale v. Pittsburgh -10.5 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Yale had an epic season a year ago as it won the Ivy League with a 13-1 record and then defeated Baylor in the NCAA Tournament before losing to Duke in the second round. The Bulldogs will be hard-pressed to come close to matching the effort from last season as they lost two-time Ivy League Player of the Year Justin Sears and forward Brandon Sherrod who averaged 12.7 ppg. Yale had been counting on Makai Mason, the leading scorer from last year, to lead the team but he is lost for the season with a foot injury while top incoming freshman Jordan Bruner is out until early December. Pittsburgh is coming off a solid win over Marquette at MSG on Friday to move to 3-1 on the season. The Panthers have a new head coach as Jamie Dixon left for TCU and Kevin Stallings from Vanderbilt steps in. Pittsburgh is a middle of the pack team in the rugged ACC but this is a very solid group that has six of its top seven scorers back from last season as they only lost James Robinson and his 10.2 ppg. Yale wax hammered in Virginia by 24 points and while Pittsburgh is not as good as the Cavaliers, they will be able to pull away for a blowout here. 10* (516) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-21-16 | Texans +6 v. Raiders | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Raiders are listed as the home team here and are favored at a home team price, maybe even more, but this is a neutral site game with huge value on the side of the Texans. As expected, this line has risen a bunch as it opened at 4.5 and has gone up two points in some places which is a great reason for not taking this game early in the week based on the expected line movement. Time off can be a momentum killer and that can certainly be the case with the Raiders tonight. Oakland has won three straight games and six of its last seven and because of the Chiefs loss yesterday, the Raiders have sole possession of first place in the AFC West. Houston is only a game worse than Oakland but the line is not taking that into consideration. The Texans have won their last two games and are a game and a half up in the AFC South. While the host is 8-1 in the nine Houston games, that cannot be taken into consideration here with the game being played in Mexico. The Texans are a bad matchup for the potent Raiders offense as they have yielded the third fewest passing scores (8) and passing yards per game (196.8) in the NFL. Oakland has outgained only two opponents this season and will have trouble in adding to that tonight. 10* (475) Houston Texans |
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11-21-16 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -5.5 | Top | 105-90 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Despite being battered with injuries, the Grizzlies have run off four straight wins and covers to move to 8-5 on the season. Memphis is now two games behind San Antonio in the NBA Southwest Division but it is one of only two teams in the Western Conference that possesses a winning record but has a negative scoring differential. Charlotte meanwhile is coming off a tough loss on Saturday as it fell in overtime against then 3-10 New Orleans. The Hornets are off to a solid 8-4 start however and have followed up their three previous losses with wins twice and this is the first situation on the season playing at home off a road loss. It was a clear letdown for the Hornets who were coming off a statement win over Atlanta the previous night. Memphis has been successful this season mostly due to forcing turnovers but it will not have an easy time tonight as the Hornets average a league-low 11.3 turnovers per game while the Grizzlies are seventh in the NBA at 18.2 points off turnovers per game. Going back to last season, the Hornets are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and this season they are 6-1 ATS when favored by fewer than six points. Memphis is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (708) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-20-16 | Packers +3 v. Redskins | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Play. Washington will be out for some payback following a loss to the Packers in the playoffs last season and under normal circumstances, we could by that. This is not a normal circumstance however. Washington defeated the Vikings last week after blowing a 14-0 lead but was able to win the second half 12-0 with four field goals. It is hard to get a grasp on this team as the Redskins have had narrow wins and narrow losses and even a tie in there. One thing we do know is that Green Bay cannot afford a fourth straight loss. The NFC playoff race is pretty wide open still will 11 teams possessing four or five wins. The Packers need to turn this around and this is the spot to do it with a third straight road gamed looming at Philadelphia next Monday night. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, with a losing record. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Redskins are 9-25-2 ATS in their last 36 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (473) Green Bay Packers |
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11-20-16 | Clemson -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Clemson broke in the newly renovated Littlejohn Coliseum with a convincing win over Georgia and has held its own so far in Puerto Rico. The Tigers defeated a very good Davidson team before losing to No. 11 Xavier on Friday by just six points. Clemson had a surprisingly good season last year despite playing its home games a half-hour away from campus as it finished 17-14 overall including 10-8 in the ACC. The Tigers are pretty loaded this season as they return three starters including First Team All-ACC forward Jaron Blossomgame and they have six players averaging double-figures in scoring. Oklahoma suffered its first loss of the season in overtime against Northern Iowa and after a magical run last season, it is rebuilding time in Norman. The loss of Buddy Hield cannot be overstated but the Sooners also lost two other seniors that averaged double-digits in scoring so a ton needs to be replaced. In a down year in the Big 12, Oklahoma is still picked to finish only sixth. Even as good as they were, the Sooners are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (533) Clemson Tigers |
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11-20-16 | Blazers -4 v. Nets | Top | 129-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Portland has been a frustrating team for backers as it has now gone seven straight games without a cover while losing its last three games outright. The Blazers have opened this five-game roadtrip with a pair of blowout losses while all three losses on this skid have come by at least 12 points each. They possess two of the best players in the game in Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum so it is a surprising drought. The good news is that they now face one of the worst defenses in the NBA as the Nets are allowing 112 ppg on the season and have allowed at least 100 points in seven straight games including at least 113 points in five of those. Brooklyn has been decent at home this season with a 3-2 record but the situations have been in its favor and that is far from the case here facing a desperate Portland team in dire need of a victory. Portland is just 2-5 against the top 16 teams in the NBA but 5-2 against all teams below that and Brooklyn is sitting at No. 29 in the NBA. Going back, the Nets are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (503) Portland Trailblazers |
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11-20-16 | Cardinals v. Vikings -2.5 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL November Game of the Month. We have played on the Vikings the last two weeks and bad fortunes arose both times in the kicking game. Minnesota has now lost four straight games, covering none of those, after a 5-0 straight up and ATS start. The offense played a lot better last week than it did against Detroit as Sam Bradford had a solid game with the exception of an interception. Arizona is not nearly the same team that went 13-3 last season despite loads of talent on both sides of the ball. The Cardinals are not executing when they have to as they are outgaining most of their opponents but scores are closer than they should be and some resulting in outright losses. This is just the fourth road game of the season for Arizona, the first three resulting in losses at Buffalo and Carolina and an ugly win in San Francisco. Something has to give in this one with the Cardinals on a three-game winless ATS streak and we give a big edge to the home team. Arizona is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games when playing against a team with a winning record while Minnesota is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. 10* (460) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-20-16 | Bucs +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 60 m | Show |
After a 7-2 start to the season, Kansas City is an incredible 17-2 in its last 19 regular season games and 18-3 in its last 21 games after a 1-5 start to last season. This includes a perfect 10-0 record at home leaving many of us scratching our heads on how they are accomplishing this. The Chiefs are getting outgained by 33.3 ypg and while a bulk of that came in one game against Jacksonville, they have been outgained in six of nine games including four wins. Having the best turnover margin in the NFL is the reason they are having success in the win column. Tampa Bay is right in the thick of the NFC playoff race and win here gets the Buccaneers back to .500. Tampa Bay is 3-1 on the road but surprisingly, it is getting more points here than 2-7 Jacksonville did just three weeks ago. The Buccaneers too have been outgained in the majority of their games but have had a knack for keeping things close. Kansas City has failed to cover both games when favored by a touchdown and Tampa Bay is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games and 23-11 ATS in its last 34 road games against teams with a winning home record. Additionally, the Chiefs are 0-7 in their last seven games following an ATS win. 10* (455) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-20-16 | Bears +7.5 v. Giants | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 47 h 59 m | Show |
This is another line that makes absolutely no sense. The Bears, while they were blown out, ended up being favored in Tampa Bay last week and are now getting over a touchdown against the Giants. That is saying that New York is 10 points better than Tampa Bay and that is not the case at all, not even close. While Chicago is just 2-7, it has outgained five of nine opponents and is outgaining opponents on average overall. Turnovers have been the story which is always the case when stats do not line up with wins or losses. The Giants are sitting at 6-3 which is the third best record in the NFC thanks to four straight wins. All of those games could have been lost so give them credit for showing the ability to win in close situations but now they are completely overvalued. This is the most they have been favored by since Week Five of last season when they were favored by 7.5 points over San Francisco and snuck out a three-point win. Chicago falls into a great contrarian situation as we play on underdogs or pickems that are averaging 17 or fewer ppg, after allowing 35 points or more last game. This situation is 50-22 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (457) Chicago Bears |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 58 m | Show |
Dallas is on a huge roll right now but everyone know that thanks to the media talking about it all the time. Clearly this is a great team but like the Giants, they are now hitting the other side of pricing and that means overpriced. The Cowboys have rarely been favored by a touchdown or more of late but now they are laying that size of a number to a very underrated team. Dallas has won and covered eight straight games and are now once again America's Team at the betting window. The Ravens picked up a big win over Pittsburgh two weeks ago and followed that up with an easy win over Cleveland last Thursday giving them a little extra time off for this one. Baltimore leads the NFL in total defense and is tied for third in points allowed at just 17.8 so this will be easy going for Dallas in the least bit. All four of the Baltimore losses have been by eight points or less and by an average of just 4.8 ppg. Here, we play on Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record playing another winning team. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (463) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-19-16 | Tulsa -1 v. Central Florida | Top | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Tulsa is coming off a loss at Navy last week by two points which pretty much knocked it out of the AAC West Division race. It was the second conference loss of the season with the other coming against Houston by just a touchdown. The Golden Hurricane has a potent offense that has scored 40 or more points in eight of their ten games this season. UCF became bowl eligible with a win over Cincinnati last Saturday and it has been an incredible turnaround for the Knights which won no games last season. It is a bit skewed however as despite a 4-2 record over their last six games, the Knights have been outgained in all of them. The defense has been solid but this will be a true test. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 38-10 ATS (79.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Tulsa is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road conference games. 10* (391) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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11-19-16 | Suns v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the questionable status of Devon Booker and TJ Warren for the Suns both of which are big pieces in the offense. We are making this play based on both playing and if one or both do not suit up, it is an additional benefit. Phoenix rolled last night in Indiana as it downed the Pacers by 20 points but it was a fortunate circumstance as Paul George was a late scratch. That was the just the second road win for Phoenix this season and this is the first instance this season playing back-to-back road games with no rest. The Sixers were hammered in Minnesota on Thursday as they trailed by as many as 33 points in the 24-point loss. The road has been torture for Philadelphia as in five games, only one loss has been by fewer than 16 points. The home floor has been a lot better as the Sixers have won two straight while three priors losses against Cleveland, Orlando and Oklahoma City were by one, two and seven points respectively. The Sixers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Suns are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win. 10* (712) Philadelphia 76ers |
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11-19-16 | San Diego State -10 v. Wyoming | Top | 33-34 | Loss | -106 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS for our CFB Game of the Week. San Diego St. has already clinched the MWC West Division as it has blown through the opposition with six blowout victories. The lone defeat this season came at South Alabama after giving up 21 fourth quarter points but it has used that as a motivator and is still in line for a major bowl. Wyoming suffered its first conference loss last week as it fell to UNLV 69-66 in three overtimes. The Cowboys are still in the hunt for the MWC Mountain Division but a loss like that is tough to recover from. This is a horrible matchup for them because of the rushing disadvantage as in all three losses this season, they have been outrushed while San Diego St. is outrushing opponents on the season by an average of 207.5 ypg. Weather is always a concern here this time of year but it will be fine this Saturday. San Diego St. falls into a great situation where we play against home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games. This situation is 32-5 ATS (86.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (351) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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11-19-16 | Texas Tech -3 v. Iowa State | Top | 10-66 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
Texas Tech nearly pulled off the upset last week as it lost by a point at Oklahoma St. forcing the Red Raiders to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. They host Baylor next week and while that looked daunting a while back, it is definitely within reach now. The Texas Tech offense is the best in the nation and while the defense is one of the worst, that will not matter here. Iowa St. is below average on both sides of the ball and following a hard fought win over Kansas last week, the Cyclones will have their hands full here. The win snapped a five-game losing streak and both victories this season have come against teams with a combined four wins. Iowa St. has been outgained in seven of 10 games and all seven resulted in losses so if Texas Tech can win the yardage battle, winning and covering this small number is a given. Additionally, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 38-10 ATS (79.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (327) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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11-19-16 | Northwestern v. Minnesota +2.5 | Top | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
Northwestern is coming off a blowout win over Purdue last week to get to within one win of bowl eligibility. It has been a solid turnaround for the Wildcats after a 0-2 start as they are on a 5-3 run with two close losses coming against Ohio St. and Wisconsin. They have covered five of six games and because of that, they are now laying points on the road against a quality opponent. Minnesota is 7-3 on the season following a loss last week at Nebraska and those three losses have come by just 17 points combined. The Golden Gophers have had a very favorable schedule, missing both Michigan and Ohio St. but they were expected to have a solid season and they have lived up to those expectations. There is also the issue of payback as Minnesota will be out to avenge a 27-0 loss to Northwestern last season and couple that with the lack of respect based on this line, we will see a full effort from Minnesota in its final home game of the season. Minnesota is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following an ATS loss while northwestern is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games after gaining 325 or more yard passing last game. 10* (332) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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11-19-16 | Duke +9.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -131 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
Pittsburgh is coming off a monster upset of Clemson last week and you know what that means. Letdown and inflated line this week. The Panthers improved to 6-4 with the victory to obtain bowl eligibility and despite a 2-2 record over their last four games, they have been outgained in all four of those contests. That is a definite red flag. The offense has been great all season but the defense has been atrocious coming in at No. 100 overall and that is bad news facing a Duke offense that is finding its identity. The Blue Devils are coming off an upset of their own as they defeated rival North Carolina last week but there is less risk of a letdown as they need to win Saturday and at Miami next week to become bowl eligible. While they have only one road win, they have covered three of those four games and the one they did not, they were outgained by only 10 yards against Northwestern. Duke is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games against teams allowing 425 or more ypg while going 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games against teams averaging 5.9 or more yppl. Pittsburgh is 06 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite while going 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 575 or more yards last game. 10* (335) Duke Blue Devils |
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11-19-16 | Cincinnati v. Rhode Island +1.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
The Rams are off to a 3-0 start this season and while those victories have come against some weak opposition, this is a very strong team. They are currently ranked No. 21 in the nation following a 17-15 season that was not as good as expected. A big reason for that was Rhode Island lost E.C. Matthews early in the year and then other injuries took place throughout the season. The Rams have nearly everyone back and have four players averaging double-digits in scoring led by Matthews and his 20 ppg. While this is not a home game, the Rams will have plenty of fans here in Connecticut. Cincinnati has rolled in its first two games against lesser opposition and faces a big test here. The Rams defeated Brown by just seven points in the last game and that will be big motivator here. After the Brown game, head coach Dan Hurley, clearly not pleased, left all of his players in the locker room instead of bringing two with him when he met the media. He called the defensive play of his guards "pathetic." That will certainly fire up the players for this contest and a chance to play Duke on Sunday. 10* (740) Rhode Island Rams |
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11-19-16 | Oregon v. Utah -14 | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Utah a couple weeks back as it played Washington toe-to-toe before the Huskies pulled off the win thanks to a punt returned for a touchdown. That was just the second loss for the Utes, the other coming by just five points against California, and they remain a game behind Colorado in the Pac 12 South. They play in Colorado next week so that makes this a must win situation. Oregon has had a horrible season and this will be the first losing season since 2004. The Ducks chances of a bowl game were dashed last week in a 52-27 blowout loss at home against Stanford. They have been outgained in six of seven conference games and at this point, they just want the season to come to an end which also likely means the end of head coach Mark Helfrich after four years. Utah falls into a great momentum situation where we play against teams after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 59-23 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. Utah is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 10* (412) Utah Utes |
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11-18-16 | Warriors v. Celtics +7 | Top | 104-88 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Golden St. opened its roadtrip with a win at Toronto to make it five straight wins after a horrible loss at Los Angeles against the Lakers. The Warriors have the most efficient offense in the NBA so you know what you are going to get pretty much every night. Their problem has been the defense however but a lot of that has to do with pace and with Boston being one of the fastest teams in the NBA, the defense will have its hands full once again. The Celtics were blown out in back-to-back games but have responded with a 3-1 run to get back over .500. This is one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference even though the record may not show that and they will be putting that on the line tonight. Boston can keep up for sure as on the season, the Warriors are yet to hold a team below 95 points, and they have surrendered over 100 points in all but two of their first 11 games. Boston should be extra fired up simply because it is the Warriors and they handed Golden St. one of its nine regular season losses and it could have been a tenth but the second meeting resulted in an overtime loss. Here, we play against favorites in a game involving two teams allowing 102 or more ppg), after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) Boston Celtics |
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11-18-16 | Memphis v. Cincinnati +7.5 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 46 m | Show |
We played on Cincinnati last Saturday against UCF and it was a tough loss. Despite losing by 17 points, the Bearcats actually outgained the Knights by 22 yards but had a punt blocked and returned for a touchdown while losing the turnover battle 3-0. It was the second straight loss for Cincinnati and second straight game where they managed only three points but that changes Friday. The Bearcats need to win their last two games so next Friday will not matter if they do not get the job done here. Memphis is also coming off a loss as it fell at home against South Florida and after a 3-0 start, the Tigers are just 3-4 in their last seven games. They have been outgained in five of those games (Cincinnati has been outgained only four times in its last seven games) so the fact they are over a touchdown favorite on the road is a bit surprising. Memphis is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after scoring 37 or more points in consecutive games while Cincinnati falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on home underdogs with a winning percentage between .401 and .499 after two or more consecutive straight up losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 29-14 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (316) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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11-18-16 | Ohio -3 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Georgia Tech is off to a 2-0 start with a pair of wins over Tennessee Tech and Southern but do not let those fool you. This is not a good team. Georgia Tech returns seven lettermen from the 21-15 team, but it lost its top four scorers and lost upwards of 85 percent of its production from a lot of the major statistical categories. Expectations are very low and Georgia Tech has been picked to finish last, or near last, in the ACC. Additionally, the Yellow Jackets will be without senior point guard Josh Heath. He is suspended for the first four games of the regular season and can return Nov. 26 against Tulane. Ohio is also 2-0 as it also defeated Southern while beating a very solid Sam Houston St. team by 21 points. The Bobcats are coming off a 23-12 season and are expected to have an even better season this year. They have the reigning MAC Player of the Year in Antonio Campbell as well as a great point guard in Jaaron Simmons as well as two other returning starters. This team is loaded and the line shift in this game is warranted. 10* (529) Ohio Bobcats |
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11-18-16 | Suns +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 116-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
We played against Phoenix two nights ago as it got throttled in Denver to make it three straight losses but we will be backing the Suns tonight in a good matchup in their favor. The Suns will look to rebound and improve to 2-1 against the Eastern Conference this season, the third game of a six-game roadtrip. They have played a very tough schedule that is ranked No. 5 in the NBA. The Suns are still league leaders in field goals attempted, two-point field goals made and attempted, second in free throws made and attempted, second in total rebounds, third in defensive rebounds, fourth in offensive rebounds, and fifth in steals so the defense needs to come around. Indiana meanwhile has played the second easiest schedule in the league and caught a break last game when LeBron James took the night off on Wednesday, causing a seven-point line shift. This is a bad matchup for the Pacers whose defense is bad also as their 45.1 percent allowed is fifth worst in the Eastern Conference. Herd we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are averaging 103 or more ppg, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Phoenix Suns |
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11-17-16 | Connecticut -7 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 65-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a huge game for Connecticut. The Huskies are off to a 0-2 start after suffering embarrassing home losses against Wagner and Northeastern and the season could get out of control very shortly. Following the game tonight, Connecticut heads to Hawaii for the Maui Invitational where it faces Oklahoma St. in the first round. The remaining teams include North Carolina, Oregon, Georgetown, Tennessee and Wisconsin so it will be a true test and going in there 0-3 could very well mean coming out 1-5 at best. The Huskies need to build confidence heading into next week. Loyola Marymount is a program on the rise but it is not on the same level as Connecticut despite the poor start for the Huskies. The Lions are 1-1, winning a glorified exhibition against Vanguard and then getting thumped at Nevada by 15 points. Hosting Connecticut is a big deal so the Lions will no doubt be fired up for this one but they are catching the Huskies at the wrong time. A fast start is important for Connecticut as it has led only for five minutes and five seconds this season and twice trailed by double digits in the first half. Going back, Loyola-Marymount is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (735) Connecticut Huskies |
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11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers -3 | Top | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 54 h 26 m | Show |
New Orleans got hosed last week following a blocked extra point that would have given it the lead late and the subsequence return for Denver that was upheld despite Will Parks stepping out of bounds. Whether or not the Saints would have won in overtime is the question but nonetheless, that was a devastating loss and one that will be difficult to recover from. Carolina lost a heartbreaker as well as it blew a 17-0 lead against Kansas City by allowing 20 unanswered points. The Panthers outplayed the Chiefs as they won the yardage battle by 85 yards while forcing four field goals. The difference was turnovers as a late fumble allowed the game winning field goal while an interception return was the only touchdown for Kansas City. Remaining home is the key factor for the Panthers and they will have to take advantage of that with a pair of tough road games coming up. Carolina will be out for payback as well after losing to the Saints by a field goal last month. Carolina falls into a great situation based on the revenge angle where we play on favorites that are revenging a loss by seven points or less, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Additionally, Carolina is 35-11 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 28 or more points while going 18-4 ATS in its last 22 home games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. 10* (310) Carolina Panthers |
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11-17-16 | Louisville v. Houston +14 | Top | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
This game was circled by Houston when the season began as running the table to get to the College Football Playoff meant winning this game, the only real marquee game on the schedule after the season opener against Oklahoma. The Cougars slipped up against Navy however as they lost by six points despite outgaining the Midshipmen by 102 total yards as turnovers did them in. Houston would also eventually lose at SMU but that result likely would have been different had it beaten Navy as that loss has been a letdown for the rest of the season. But now the Cougars can get up for a quality opponent and try to ruin the season for Louisville which comes into this game ranked No. 5 in the College Football Playoff. The Cardinals are coming off a pair of blowout victories but they have not been very consistent following four straight routs to open the season. While the ultimate goal for Houston is gone, it still has an outside shot at a New Year's Six bowl if it can record a second win over a Top Five-ranked team. Houston goes from a 27-point favorite to a 14-point underdog in a span of two games and while the two opponents are clearly not in the same discussion, that is a huge line move involving a team as good as Houston is. Here, we play against road favorites that are averaging 230 or more rushing ypg going up against teams allowing 100or fewer rushing ypg, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (312) Houston Cougars |
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11-17-16 | Knicks v. Wizards -3 | Top | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the uncertain status of guard Bradley Beal for Washington and he most likely will be missing his fourth straight game because of a hamstring injury. The Wizards dropped their third straight game last night to fall to 0-5 on the road and 2-8 overall. To their credit, if there is any left, they have played the eighth toughest schedule in the NBA with eight of the 10 games coming against the top 16 in the league. While the did lose the two games outside the top 16, both were on the road. The three home losses have come against teams a combined 22-11. The Knicks won their second straight game last night, a hard fought 105-102 victory over Detroit. They have been solid at home with a 4-2 record but are just 1-4 on the road and while they have also played a difficult schedule, this is a tough spot with this being their third game in four nights. New York is 1-5 straight up and ATS as an underdog this season and Washington falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on teams after allowing 105 points or more three straight games going up against an opponent after a win by six points or less. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Washington Wizards |
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11-16-16 | San Francisco v. UC-Santa Barbara -8 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
UC Santa Barbara lost its season opener by 14 points to Omaha which may seem like a horrible loss but in reality, the Mavericks are a solid team out of the Summit League and following that win, they played USC and Kansas St. very tough in a pair of losses. Back to the Gauchos which are expected to contend in the Big West this season and will be in full bounce back mode tonight. They have three starters back led by a strong backcourt and the addition of Jalen Canty will help the undersized roster right away. The Gauchos will struggle against big teams but San Francisco poses no threat down low. The Dons are coming off an unimpressive win at home against Illinois-Chicago by just a bucket and this team is in for a long season. They lost two starters to graduation and when head coach Rex Walters was fired, they lost two more starters who opted to transfer out. Now they hit the road for the first time and in a very bad spot. The Gauchos fall into a solid situation as we play on favorites with two more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season. This situation is 153-96 ATS (61.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) UC Santa Barbara Gauchos |
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11-16-16 | Suns v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Both Denver and Phoenix are off to slow starts but this is a good spot for the Nuggets to get their first home win of the season. They are 3-7 overall including a 0-3 record at home and the schedule has been brutal. Denver has played the toughest schedule in the NBA as of those 10 games, only two have come against teams ranked outside the top 16. The Nuggets are 1-1 in those games, defeating New Orleans and losing to Memphis by just one point and both of those games were on the road. The three home losses have come against teams with winning records. Phoenix is coming off a loss at Golden St. last time out to fall to 3-8 overall and 1-5 on the highway. The lone road win came at 2-9 New Orleans by a point in overtime so that one could have gone either way. Phoenix has been solid playing upper tier competition, going 6-1 ATS against winning teams but the Suns are just 1-3 ATS against teams with a losing record. The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss while going 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing 100 points or more five straight games. 10* (518) Denver Nuggets |
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11-16-16 | Ball State +21 v. Toledo | Top | 19-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
Western Michigan does not play until Saturday but the fact it is favored by five touchdowns against Buffalo, a win by Toledo tonight sets up the battle for the MAC West next Friday between the Rockets and Broncos. While a win is expected, a win by a large margin is not as the goal here is to get by and move onto next week without any injuries. Ball St. suffered a tough loss against Eastern Michigan last week as it blew an early first quarter 21-point lead and a late fourth quarter one-point lead to fall by a touchdown. Eastern Michigan reached bowl eligibility for the first time in nearly two decades by virtue of the win, while Ball St. needs to win its final two games to get bowl eligible after a two-year drought. The Cardinals know what is at stake and because they are on the cusp of bowl eligibility, they had to have played somewhat good this season and that has been the case. Of Ball St.'s six losses, five were decided by 10 points or fewer. In three of those losses, the Cardinals lost the turnover battle by at least two and that will be important tonight to take care of the ball. Ball St. falls into a favorable situation as we play on road teams that are averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yppl going up against team allowing between 5.6 to 6.2 yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 30-10 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Ball St. Cardinals |
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11-15-16 | Hawks v. Heat +6.5 | Top | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Many are down on Miami and up on Atlanta based on the recent runs from both sides but this is a spot we like to play contrarian and we are getting an exceptional line to go along with it. The Hawks have won and covered four straight games and are currently 7-2 overall, good for a tie for second place in the Eastern Conference. They have played a very favorable schedule thus far as six of their nine games have been at home and the schedule overall is ranked second easiest in the league. On the flip side, Miami has dropped five straight games following a loss in San Antonio last night. The Heat are 2-7 on the season but their schedule has been just the opposite of the Hawks as the Miami slate is ranked No. 7 in the NBA and while they have failed to beat any of the elite teams, the situations have been tough. This can be considered another tough one playing a back-to-back but a return home and getting a huge number helps Miami out. Atlanta is playing with more rest but going back, it is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games when playing only their 2nd game in five days. 10* (704) Miami Heat |
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11-15-16 | Maryland v. Georgetown -5.5 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
On paper based on last year, the fact that Georgetown is favored here may be shocking and that is a significant reason that Maryland is a huge public consensus tonight. The Hoyas were one of the most disappointing teams in the country last season as they lost some games to teams they never should be losing to enroute to a 15-18 season, the first losing record ever under head coach John Thompson III. Georgetown will bounce back this season and the first game was a good start as it rolled over USC Upstate. While that may seem unimpressive, remember Georgetown lost its first game last season against Radford. Graduate transfer Rodney Prior led the Hoyas with 32 points and he is a big piece of the resurgence after leading Robert Morris in scoring and rebounding last season. The Hoyas also have four starts back. That is the complete opposite of Maryland which lost four starters and while the lone returnee is a great one in Melo Trimble, it is going to take some time for this team to come together. That was proven in the Terrapins opener, a narrow six-point win over American (The Eagles lost by 23 at Texas A&M last night). Look for a signature Hoyas win tonight. 10* (716) Georgetown Hoyas |
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11-14-16 | Georgia State v. Auburn -7 | Top | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Auburn closed last season with a four-game losing streak which closed a bad second half of the season where the Tigers went just 2-11 over their last 13 games. A lot of this was due to the unexpected injury to their point guard and then a suspension to their leading scorer. There is a solid foundation in place and expectations are pretty high in Auburn thanks to blue chip recruit Mustapha Heron. This is the third year here for head coach Bruce Pearl and this is usually the pivotal one as every player on the team is his recruit. Georgia St. is a team in transition after losing some very key components from last season. The Panthers were solid on defense but were unable to score consistently and while that has been addressed heading into this season, it will take some time for this team to jell as the roster is young in some spots and transfer heavy in others. They are coming off a blowout win in their opener but that came against Thomas University, a team from the NAIA. The Panthers have failed to cover their last six games against the SEC. 10* (544) Auburn Tigers |
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11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
The Bengals are coming off a bye week following a tie against the Redskins in London. They are now 3-4-1 on the season but are just a game behind the Ravens in the AFC North while tied in the loss column. While they do have a losing record, they are outgaining opponents by an average of 17 ypg. Coming off games in London, it seems predicable that teams would be tired from the travel even with a bye week sandwiched in there but that has not been the case. With the Washington win yesterday, teams are 10-0-1 ATS in the last 11 games following a trip over the pond. This includes a Giants cover against the Eagles last week following their game against the Rams but that was a deceptive win and cover. New York was outgained by 141 total yards but won thanks to bad coaching decisions by Philadelphia. It was actually the fourth time in five games that the Giants have been outgained yet they are still 3-2 over that stretch and a 0-5 record instead is not unrealistic. The five wins have come by an average of only 4.0 ppg and on the season, New York is getting outgained by over 31 ypg. Here, we play against home teams that are averaging 70 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 23-7 ATS (76.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Additionally, Cincinnati is 16-2 ATS in its last 18 games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. 10* (275) Cincinnati Bengals |
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11-14-16 | Magic v. Pacers -7 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the questionable status of Paul George who missed the Pacers last game because of an injured ankle. Indiana lost that game to the Celtics by six points which was their second straight loss to fall to 4-6 on the season. The Pacers welcome back former coach Frank Vogel who is in his first season with Orlando. Throughout his time in Indiana, through all the wins and losses, Vogel always exuded the upbeat and underdog personality that players and fans grew to love. He will certainly be out to win against his former team that did not renew his contract but this is a tough spot for his players. Orlando snapped a three-game losing streak with an upset win in Oklahoma City last night as former Thunder Serge Ibaka went off for 31 points against his former team. Offense has been the issue for the Magic which are dead last in the NBA in scoring with just 95 ppg. Indiana struggles on defense but will not have any issues tonight. Here, we play on teams after allowing 105 points or more three straight games going up against an opponent after a win by six points or less. This situation is 53-21 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (502) Indiana Pacers |
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11-14-16 | Northeastern v. Connecticut -13 | Top | 64-61 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Connecticut entered the season ranked No. 18 but dropped its opening game against Wagner on Friday which snapped a 27-0 home opening winning streak on campus. It was a horrible loss for the Huskies but it does give us an edge here as you can guarantee they will put up their best effort tonight in trying to bounce back. Expectations coming into the season were very high, even higher than the preseason ranking based on some solid returning talent as well as one of the top freshman classes in the country. Northeastern is coming off a win in its season opener against Boston University but it was not overly impressive but at least it was a win, something that Connecticut cannot say. The Huskies are coming off an average season, one that was supposed to be much better as they had two of the best players in the conference in Quincy Ford and David Walker but they have now departed to this is a team in transition mode. Northeastern heads to Connecticut at the wrong time which results in a blowout loss tonight. 10* (520) Connecticut Huskies |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 57 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Night Primetime Play. While the Seahawks have the second best record in the NFC, many people are down on them as they have not looked very good in doing so. They have been outgained in four straight games and that is due to the offense which has not been very efficient but that changes here as the Patriots defense is not that strong. On the flip side, the Seattle defense is as good as promised as it is ranked No. 9 in total defense and No. 3 in scoring defense. Tom Brady has been lights out since his return from a four-game suspension but he has not faced a defense of this caliber yet. And while all four wins have been blowouts, the Patriots have had the luxury of facing Landry Jones and Charlie Whitehurst which has padded the already average defensive numbers. In their last home game against Cincinnati, the Patriots were favored by the same amount of points as they are here and the Bengals cannot be compared to Seattle. Since Russell Wilson became the starting quarterback, the Seahawks have lost 22 games and only two have been by more than a touchdown. Going back, the Seahawks are 28-9 ATS in their last 37 games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 350 or more ypg. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-13-16 | Long Beach State +10.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 55-92 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
Wichita St. has been a mid-major power for years and while the Shockers are picked to win the Missouri Valley Conference once again, some of that has to do with the rest of the conference team being down rather. The Shockers lost Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet to graduation and the NBA and those are two tough losses top make up. Overall, three starters have to be replaced and no returning players scored in double-figures last season so there is plenty of work to be done. The Shockers defeated South Carolina St. by 46 points so that victory is inflating this line. Long Beach St. is the pick to win the Big West Conference and it is also coming off a big Friday win by 36 points over CS-Los Angeles. The 49ers have a veteran backcourt, always important in games like this in a very tough environment, and one key ingredient is Evan Payne who transferred in from Loyola-Marymount. He led the team with 15 points on Friday in just 21 minutes after averaging 18 ppg with the Lions two years ago. This has the makings of an early season classic battle and we will gladly grab the double-digits. 10* (727) Long Beach St. 49ers |
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11-13-16 | Lakers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 99-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
The Lakers are off to a 6-4 start and are one of the early season surprises in the NBA. It took them until December 30 last season to reach six wins so clearly this is a team on the rise. They won five road games all of last season and are riding a three-game road winning streak heading into Sunday but the jury is still out on this team. Los Angeles is 2-0 on the current roadtrip but the opposition has not been great and while the Timberwolves are off to a dreadful 2-6 start, they have still been pretty solid. Minnesota fell behind by 13 points after the first quarter last night and could never come back against the Clippers but the Timberwolves have a much better matchup tonight. They have not been as bad as the current record shows as their scoring differential is dead even. Minnesota is ranked ahead of the Lakers in the current power rankings so the fact it is favored here comes as no surprise. Going back, the Timberwolves are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Lakers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring 100 points or more two straight games. 10* (704) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-13-16 | Cowboys v. Steelers -2.5 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. After a 4-1 start, the Steelers have lost three straight games and are now a half-game behind Baltimore in the AFC North. Ben Roethlisberger made his return last week and there was visible rust as he was basically game-day decision and came in with limited preparation time. Now he has had a full week of practice with the first team and will be in much better shape physically as well. After Tony Romo went down, no one Dallas a chance but it has been a huge surprise thanks to the play of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys have reeled off seven straight wins and covers including four on the road. Two of those were against Cleveland and San Francisco however and this will not be the biggest road test of the season. Because of the opposite runs, we are laying a shorter than anticipated price and just below a key number which adds more value to it. While coming off a divisional loss can be deflating to some teams, that will not be the case for the Steelers because the skid goes back further and all with an unhealthy Roethlisberger. And how much has it affected Pittsburgh in the past? Not much as the Steelers are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games off a divisional loss as a favorite. 10* (272) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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11-13-16 | Vikings +2.5 v. Redskins | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -104 | 49 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Week. We played on the Vikings last week and it was an unfortunate loss for them as a missed extra point, a blocked field goal and a Detroit 58-yard field goal sent the game into overtime which they eventually lost. That was the third straight loss for Minnesota and just like that, it is being written off. This is exactly the time to ride the Vikings however as we can buy them low. Washington is coming off its bye week following its game in London where it tied Cincinnati. Following four straight wins, the Redskins are 0-1-1 in their last two games and while heading home may seem like the way to get back into the win column, they are just 2-2 at home this season. As mentioned last week, the Vikings have a new offensive coordinator after Norv Turner resigned and while it did not do much good last Sunday, the additional week heading into Washington will be important. Minnesota falls into a solid contrarian rushing situation where we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season that are averaging 3.5 or fewer ypc going up against teams allowing 4.5 or more ypc, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (261) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-13-16 | Falcons v. Eagles +2 | Top | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Falcons started the season 4-1 and after a couple close losses out west, they have won their last two games including a win at Tampa Bay last Thursday. Because of that, they get a little extra rest but can almost negate that because of the travel aspect on both ends of it. Matt Ryan is having an MVP season but the defense is still a work in progress so Atlanta has been fortunate that Ryan has been there to bail out the stop unit. That should not be the case today as the Eagles are desperate for a victory after losses in four of their last five games. They have really only played one bad game which came against Washington as the other three losses were all winnable. The schedule did not help matter as four of those five games were on the road. Philadelphia is 3-0 at home including impressive wins over Pittsburgh and Minnesota so this will only add to it. Here, we play against road favorites after covering the spread in five or six out of their last seven games with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 on the season. Despite the solid run, the Falcons are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites and they are in that role after opening as underdogs. Bad line move. 10* (260) Philadelphia Eagles |
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11-12-16 | New Mexico +2.5 v. Utah State | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our MWC Game of the Year. New Mexico became bowl eligible last week with a win over Nevada, its fourth straight victory. Going back to last season, the Lobos are 12-6 in their last 18 regular season games so Bob Davie has done an incredible job in turning this program around after three straight 1-11 seasons before his arrival. Utah St. has an outside shot at making a bowl game but must win its final three games to do so. The big reason it is a longshot is because of injuries as starting quarterback Kent Myers was hurt last week in Wyoming and his status in uncertain for this week. Additionally, running back Davante Mays, who led the team in rushing last season, is doubtful. The Aggies have lost two straight and five of their last six games while two of their wins have come against Weber St. of the FCS and 1-9 Fresno St. They have won the yardage battle only three times all season and being the favorite here is questionable. New Mexico falls into a great situation as we play against home team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games. This situation is 30-5 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (215) New Mexico Lobos |
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11-12-16 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -2.5 | Top | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Milwaukee is off to a solid 4-4 start considering the Bucks are without Khris Middleton as not much was expected with his absence which will be at least another five months. They are coming off a pair of losses as they fell to Dallas on the road in overtime last Sunday and then handed New Orleans its first win of the season on Thursday in this building. That should be a big motivator tonight for the Bucks. Memphis is coming off a win against Denver on Tuesday by a point which concluded a 2-2 homestand. The Grizzlies are also at 4-4 on the season but it could be much worse as two wins have come in overtime and the other two have been by a combined five points. This is also just the third road game of the season for the Grizzlies. Milwaukee falls into a great situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 105 points or more going up against an opponent coming off win by three points or less. This situation is 37-15 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Milwaukee Bucks |
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11-12-16 | Spurs v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 106-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
Here we have San Antonio playing an early season revenge game but like the Clippers last night, we are going against that and fading the road revenge favorite. San Antonio won and covered last night against the Pistons in what was a very physical defensive game and while the travel is not far, it is still a trip with no rest. San Antonio lost at home against the Rockets on Wednesday by a bucket but it will be interesting how the rotation is juggled tonight. The Spurs are 4-0 on the road and that is a record we love to go against. The Rockets have not played since that win at San Antonio which was part of a 3-2 roadtrip. Houston is playing just its second home game of the season as seven of its first eight games have come on the road so that puts the Rockets in a favorable spot here. Additionally, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 playing only their 2nd game in five days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 83-43 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (510) Houston Rockets |
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11-12-16 | Clippers v. Wolves +4 | Top | 119-105 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is one of those lines that makes no sense and because of that, the public is jumping all over the Clippers. We played against Los Angeles last night and won with the Thunder which stayed within the inflated number in a very hard fought game that came down to the end. Now the Clippers are playing the second of a road back-to-back and are actually laying less points to Minnesota which is a big red flag. The Timberwolves are off to a disappointing 2-5 start but five of their first seven games have been on the road and of those five losses, three have come by a combined 10 points. Minnesota is playing on two-days rest here which is a big factor considering the Clippers starting five combined for 164 minutes last night. We have a solid situation on our side as well as we play against favorites that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 110 points or more four straight games. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (512) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-12-16 | Michigan v. Iowa +21.5 | Top | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 54 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan sits at No. 3 in the College Football Playoff rankings as it has blown through the opposition, outscoring opponents by an average of 37.3 ppg. But the Wolverines are another team that has played a weak schedule thus far as it is ranked No. 52 in the nation. They struggled in two games against quality teams, Colorado and Wisconsin, and face a difficult test here even though it may be considered a down year for Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 5-4 on the season following a pair of losses in their last two games including a blowout loss at Penn St. last week. The three losses prior to that were by a combined 17 points so they had been competitive and you can guarantee they will put up a full effort Saturday night. This is just the third road game of the season for Michigan and the first two came against Rutgers and Michigan St. which are a combined 4-14 overall including 0-12 in the Big Ten. One huge edge for Iowa is on scoring opportunities as the 92.9 red zone scoring percentage for Iowa is first in the Big Ten. The Hawkeyes are 26-for-28 in the red zone with 20 touchdowns and six field goals. Iowa is 25-5 ATS in its last 30 games against teams averaging 5.25 or more rushing ypc while Michigan is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 road games after scoring 37 points or more last game. 10* (210) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-12-16 | USC +9.5 v. Washington | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our Saturday Enforcer. Washington moved up to No. 4 in the College Football playoff rankings and the pressure is only getting worse. The Huskies have outgained every opponent this season but they have played a very soft schedule thus far. Their schedule is ranked No. 68 in the country according to Sagarin which is the lowest ranked schedule of any power team that is ranked in the top 32 of the recent power rankings. Washington struggled in its only real tough game against Utah as it needed a punt return for a touchdown late in the fourth quarter to pull out the victory. USC opened the season 1-3 but has gone onto win five straight games in dominating fashion. The Trojans have outgained all five of these opponents by at least 154 yards and by a total of 1,064 yards. This is obviously a tough test and while they failed miserably against Alabama in their season opener, this is a completely different team now. The insertion of Sam Darnold at starting quarterback has completely rejuvenated the offense and Washington could have a tough time here. Additionally, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points involving teams averaging 440 or more ypg, after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (187) USC Trojans |
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11-12-16 | Auburn v. Georgia +10.5 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 51 m | Show |
Auburn is another team that has found a resurgence after a slow start to the season as the Tigers have reeled off six straight wins to improve to 7-2 on the season and there is actually talk about making the College Football Playoff should they win out. They have not looked great the last two weeks however as they snuck by Vanderbilt last week and really should have lost at Mississippi two weeks ago as the Rebels were ready to take the lead but dropped a touchdown pass and the next play resulted in an interception that led to an Auburn for the final 11-point margin. Georgia is having a tough season at 5-4 but in reality the Bulldogs have only had two bad games, a 31-point loss at Mississippi and a two-point win over Nicholls. Georgia has outgained six of nine opponents and been hurt by turnovers which will cause any team to underachieve. Head coach Kirby Smart has an edge here against the Auburn offense as he knows that system well facing the Tigers every year as the Alabama defensive coordinator. Georgia will counter the Auburn ground game with a front seven that ranks third in the SEC against the run. The Bulldogs limit opponents to 3.4 ypc and just under 120 ypg. This cis a big yet underrated rivalry and Georgia would like nothing more than to become bowl eligible against the Tigers and snapping their winning streak. 10* (162) Georgia Bulldogs |
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11-12-16 | Cincinnati +12 v. Central Florida | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 22 m | Show |
It has been a struggle this season for Cincinnati which has dropped consecutive games to fall below .500 for the first time this season. The Bearcats need two wins to become bowl eligible and with the final two games against teams already bowl eligible, this is a big game to win outright. The offense has struggled of late but the defense has helped keep Cincinnati in a number of games. The Bearcats are opportunistic in the back end and particularly strong up the gut with MLB Eric Wilson and tackles Alex Pace, Cortez Broughton and Marquise Copeland. UCF was good to us three weeks ago at Connecticut but in reality it was a fortunate cover as the Knights were outgained in that game. As a matter of fact, they have been outgained in their last five games despite winning three of those outright. In those three wins, UCF won the turnover battle 10-4 while scoring three defensive touchdowns as well as a special teams score. Overall, the Knights are outgaining opponents by just 3.8 ypg and while the Bearcats are much below that, the size of this line is not warranted by that. Here, we play against home team that are averaging between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa, after allowing 4.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (123) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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11-12-16 | Penn State v. Indiana +7.5 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 21 m | Show |
We played against Penn St. two weeks ago which ended up being a poor call as the Nittany Lions trounced Purdue in the second half as they avoided the letdown of the win over Ohio St. Now they hit the road again following a blowout win over Iowa at home last week and this will definitely be a test. A win over the Hoosiers and Penn St., which closes conference play with games at Rutgers (2-7, 0-6) and at home against Michigan State (2-7, 0-6), could end the regular season with 10 wins. While that is a definite possibility, we are not giving them this one just because they are favored. Indiana needs one win to become bowl eligible after winning its last two games in dominating fashion. The Hoosiers defeated Maryland and Rutgers by just six points each but they won the yardage battle by 133 and 216 yards respectively and that is classified as dominating. They had four turnovers last week against the Scarlet Knights which was the main cause for the closer for the low victory margin. The Hoosiers have been strong on offense this year and rank third in the Big Ten with 468.8 ypg and the Penn St. defense is pretty average. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 on the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (128) Indiana Hoosiers |
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11-11-16 | Clippers v. Thunder +5 | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is an early season revenge game for the Clippers whose only loss of the season came at home against the Thunder. However, we are not playing road revenge in this spot, especially laying points on the road. Los Angeles owns the best record in the Western Conference at 7-1 and is currently riding a four-game winning streak while covering all of those games as well. The Clippers were favored by 7.5 points in that home game against the Thunder and now it is laying just over a bucket less on the road and that is a big overinflation. Oklahoma City is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at home against Toronto by 10 points. It was an uncharacteristically poor game for Russell Westbrook who did score 36 points but was just 9-26 from the field including 3-12 from long range while committing eight turnovers. Expect a big bounce back from him. Two solid situations are in our favor here as well. First, we play on home underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite, with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 on the season. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against teams after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (712) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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11-11-16 | Tennessee Tech +8.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Georgia Tech enters the season with a new coach and plenty of questions. Josh Pastner takes over the program after Brian Gregory was fired and he inherits a team without much firepower. Georgia Tech returns seven lettermen from the 21-15 team, but it lost its top four scorers and lost upwards of 85 percent of its production from a lot of the major statistical categories. Expectations are very low and Georgia Tech has been picked to finish last, or near last, in the ACC. Additionally, the Yellow Jackets will be without senior point guard Josh Heath. He is suspended for the first four games of the regular season and can return Nov. 26 against Tulane. Tennessee Tech lost its top two scorers but this could very be the deepest team head coach Steve Payne has had in his five years with the Golden Eagles. They reached their first postseason since the 2012 CIT and this season, Tennessee Tech is picked to finish second in its division of the Ohio Valley Conference. It is loaded with JUCO talent coming along with impact players coming back led by preseason all-OVC Serbian combo guard Aleksa Jugovic. After watching Georgia Tech struggle with Shorter in its lone exhibition game, this one is certainly no gimmie. 10* (811) Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles |
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11-11-16 | Evansville v. Louisville -21 | Top | 47-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Evansville posted a 25-9 record last season, the best record for the program in 27 years, but a heartbreaking loss in the MVC Tournament against Northern Iowa ended its season earlier than expected. The Purple Aces were passed over by the NCAA Tournament and the NIT and decided not to play in any other postseason tournament. Now the rebuilding process begins. They lost guard D.J. Balentine who led the conference in scoring three straight seasons and center Egidijus Mockevicuis who led the conference in rebounding three straight seasons. Also gone are three-year starter Adam Wing, MVC Sixth Man of the Year Mislav Brzoja and projected starter Blake Simmons who is out for the season after a summer injury. Louisville had a potential Elite Eight team last season before the university's administration sacrificed the season because of the Andre McGee allegations. This team is a potential top ten team once again and they will be out for blood early on. Louisville is built to run, create turnovers and score and Evansville does not have the bodies to keep up here. 10* (718) Louisville Cardinals |
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11-11-16 | Louisiana Tech +9.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 76-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Louisiana Tech went 23-10 last season and finished in a tie for third in Conference-USA and the Bulldogs will once again contend for the conference title. They lost three starters from last season but they are still experienced and very deep so they will be able to run and defend without a problem. The Bulldogs recently scrimmaged a Power Five team, according to head coach Eric Konkol, who said he was pleased with the performance. Freshman guards Jalen Harris and DaQuan Bracey, who are expected to see significant playing time, will be key in replacing Alex Hamilton, the 2015-16 C-USA Player of the Year. South Carolina tied a school record for wins last season with 25 but failed to make the NCAA Tournament and made an early exit in the NIT. The Gamecocks have a solid backcourt but they lost their entire frontcourt and enter the season with seven new scholarship players including five freshmen so it will take a while for this team to get going. Overall, South Carolina only has ten scholarship players and they lost 36.9 points of their scoring production in the offseason to graduation and transfer. 10* (733) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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11-10-16 | Browns +8 v. Ravens | Top | 7-28 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
Baltimore got itself back into the AFC North race by defeating Pittsburgh to pull into a tie with the Steelers for first place at 4-4. It has been an up and down year for the Ravens which opened the season 3-0, none of which were dominant victories, and then dropped four straight before the win last week. Baltimore has now been outgained in four straight games. The Browns disaster of a season continues as they were thoroughly outplayed last week against the Cowboys. As mentioned last week, they have been extremely competitive in half of their games while getting bullied around by some of the elite teams like Dallas and New England. Baltimore is far from an elite team. Cleveland could have won the first meeting as it built a 20-0 lead only to see it completely disappear in the 25-20 loss. A blocked extra point returned for two points really turned the game as did a shoulder injury to Browns quarterback Josh McCown. We have two contrarian situations on our side. First, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games going up against an opponent after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. Second, we play on road underdogs or pickems after seven or more consecutive losses, in November games. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (109) Cleveland Browns |
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11-10-16 | North Carolina -10.5 v. Duke | Top | 27-28 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
This is a must win game for Duke as it has six losses and another one will put it out of bowl contention. The Blue Devils three wins this season have been pretty suspect however as one came against North Carolina Central of the FCS while the other two came against Notre Dame and Army despite getting outgained in both of those games. As a matter of fact, Duke has been outgained in all but one of its FBS games and the one exception was by just 14 yards against Virginia despite losing by 14 points. The offense has been pretty poor and a lot of that can be attributed to the loss of starting quarterback Thomas Sirk before the season got underway. This is a big game for North Carolina as well as the Tar Heels as they remain in a tie with Virginia Tech in the ACC Coastal following their third straight win last week. They have only two losses this season and while the season opening defeat against Georgia is a head-scratcher, the loss to the Hokies took place in a hurricane where they could get nothing going on offense. Duke has covered its last four games but it has been done by smoke and mirrors as mentioned and this is a tough spot against a superior team that has just as much motivation and momentum is on the side of North Carolina which is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game. 10* (111) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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11-09-16 | Blazers +9.5 v. Clippers | Top | 80-111 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Portland defeated Phoenix last night to avenge an early season road loss and now it hits the road to avenge an early season home loss. The Blazers lost at home on October 27 to the Clippers by eight points as Los Angeles got some payback for its loss in the Western Conference Quarterfinals from last season although that was decided by injuries more than anything. Overall, the Blazers have lost three games with the third being against the Warriors. The Clippers have moved into the top spot in the current power rankings as they are off to a 6-1 start including three straight double-digit wins. The lone defeat came against Oklahoma City in their first game in November and they head to Oklahoma City on Friday so the possibility of a lookahead is there. Heading to Los Angeles to face the Clippers is never easy but this is one of the better spots you can come across. 10* (719) Portland Trailblazers |
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11-09-16 | Toledo -6.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 6 m | Show |
Toledo bounced back from a bad loss against Ohio with a blowout win at Akron last week to remain on pace to win the MAC West. The Rockets are 7-2 on the season and are one of only five teams in the country that has outgained every opponent. Like Western Michigan, Toledo controls its own destiny as if the Rockets win out, they make it to the MAC Championship but that would take a win over Western Michigan in just over two weeks. This is a very balanced team and one that is out for some serous revenge in what is not a true road game as this game is being played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, home of the White Sox. Facing the Huskies away from their home stadium brings a bit of a new element to what has developed into a bit of a rivalry. Northern Illinois dropped its first four games but has recovered to win three of its last five to stay in bowl contention. The Huskies dominated in their last two games but those were against Buffalo and Bowling Green which are a combined 3-15 on the season. This team is having a non-predicted down year and will have trouble against the Rockets. Last year, Toledo lost to Northern Illinois 32-27 at the Glass Bowl, helping to ruin the Rockets hopes of making it to the MAC Championship game. That was the sixth straight loss in this series for the Rockets so they will not let up here. The Rockets are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Huskies are 2-7 ATS against teams with a winning record. 10* (105) Toledo Rockets |
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11-09-16 | Nets v. Knicks -8 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
The Nets won their third game of the season last night over Minnesota but now hit the road for the first game on their five-game roadtrip. They are 0-2 on the road this season and going back to last season, they have dropped 13 straight games on the highway. New York is off to a 2-4 start but has played a very difficult schedule along the way. The Knicks schedule is ranked No. 5 in the league as all four of their losses have come against teams with winning records including three teams that are ranked in the current top ten. New York has had two days off and has a day off coming up prior to back-to-back games against Boston and Toronto on Friday and Saturday. It is likely that leading scorer Brook Lopez will be out tonight for the Nets as he will be given a night of rest. Brooklyn has dropped six of its last seven games against teams with a losing record while the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss against the spread. 10* (704) New York Knicks |
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11-09-16 | Jazz v. Hornets -2 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This line came out late due to injury information but it is not significant enough to make a huge difference here. Charlotte could be without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist tonight but with the exception of his first game of the season against Milwaukee, he has not been a difference maker. The Hornets are one of the bigger surprises in the Eastern Conference as they are off to a 5-1 start and have a half-game lead in the Southeast Division. Another injury situation is on the other side as Utah has George Hill listed as questionable with a thumb injury. Utah is off to a solid 5-3 start following its second straight win to open this roadtrip but this is the biggest challenge of the trek thus far. The Jazz have struggled mightily in tough games on the road in general such as the one they will face against Charlotte. The Jazz are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (708) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-08-16 | Wolves -4 v. Nets | Top | 110-119 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
Not many would have thought Minnesota would have a worse record than Brooklyn at this point in the season but that is the case. The Timberwolves enter Tuesday with a 1-4 record while the Nets are 2-4 but those records are somewhat skewed based on the schedules. This will be the first game against the Eastern Conference for Minnesota while this will be the first game against the Western Conference for Brooklyn. The Timberwolves are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City by 10-points which was by far their worst loss of the season. The other three defeats came by four, three and three points so a few bounces the other way and Minnesota could have a winning record for sure. The Nets have some close losses as well and they bring in a very solid 5-1 ATS record but this is the fewest amount of points they have gotten at home in their 5th game as a home underdog. This is not a good matchup for the Nets which were swept in both meetings last season and neither were even close. Look for the Timberwolves to break through for their second victory of the season. 10* (503) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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11-08-16 | Western Michigan -21.5 v. Kent State | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
Typically, we stay away from laying large points on the road but we will make the exception here as Western Michigan should be able to name the score here. The Broncos are 9-0 and have been simply destroying the competition, outscoring opponents by close to 26 ppg. Blindly betting Western Michigan would have paid off a lot this season with its 7-2 ATS mark but that is not the reason for this play as the matchup dictates it. Once the Broncos get the lead, which they should do without issue, Kent St. does not have a prayer to come back. The Golden Flashes have a pitiful offense as they are ranked No. 128 in total offense and No. 125 in passing offense so the chances of coming back are near impossible. They did score 27 points in their last game against Central Michigan but they took advantage of four turnovers by the Chippewas. Kent St. does possess a pretty solid defense but no one has been able to slow down Western Michigan and making matters worse, the Golden Flashes will be without their best defensive player as Nate Holley has been suspended from the team as he is facing kidnapping charges. He leads the team in tackles and in second in the country in that category so it is a huge loss. The Golden Flashes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record while the Broncos are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 10* (103) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-07-16 | Jazz v. 76ers +7.5 | Top | 109-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
After starting 0-17 in 2014-15, the Sixers opened last season 0-18 and are already off to a 0-5 start this season. You can see a big difference in the team this year however as besides a blowout loss against Atlanta, Philadelphia has been competitive in every other game. The Sixers have had a double-digit lead in three of those games and nearly upset Cleveland on Saturday after blowing a late lead. Utah is coming off a victory at New York yesterday which was its third win in four games to improve to 4-3 on the season. This is not a good spot for them tonight however as they are coming off a solid game offensively but going back, they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Sixers are close and winning this game outright is a definite possibility but we will gladly grab the generous number as Philadelphia improves to 4-1 ATS this season as a home underdog. 10* (706) Philadelphia 76ers |
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11-06-16 | Broncos +2 v. Raiders | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -109 | 59 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our Sunday Primetime Play. Oakland is 6-2 for the first time since 2001, going 5-0 on the road to begin a season for the first time since 1977. The Raiders absolutely dominated Tampa Bay last week despite needing overtime to win as they outgained the Buccaneers by 356 yards but of course that does not take into consideration the 200 penalty yards on 23 penalties. That skewed amount has closed the gap in yardage differential and this was the first game that Oakland has actually won the yardage battle. Denver has bounced back from a pair of losses with a pair of victories at home the last two weeks. The offense has looked much better following a small lull and should be productive again facing the No. 31 defense in the NFL. On the other side, the Broncos lead the league in pass defense, almost 7 yards better than the next team and have frustrated every quarterback they have faced. It is important to note that the Raiders wins have all been against teams with non-winning records. Denver should be playing with a chip on its shoulder as one of its two home losses from last season came against the Raiders. The Broncos are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and as good as the Raiders have been on the road, they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (471) Denver Broncos |
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11-06-16 | Bucks v. Mavs -2 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Dallas is off to a 0-5 start which is its worst record to start a season in team history but is in a great spot today to finally get into the win column. The Mavericks have played a tough schedule to open as they have played the No. 7 ranked schedule with all five games coming against teams ranked No. 16 or better. They will be without Dirk Nowitzki but he is declining and has not done much when he has been available. Milwaukee is off to a surprising 4-2 start despite being without star guard Khris Middleton. The Bucks have won three straight games including a blowout win last night against Sacramento but they have played the opposite schedule as that of Dallas as their early season slat is ranked No. 29 in the NBA and despite the winning record, they are ranked outside that No. 16 spot in the power rankings. This is the second time playing with no rest this season and the situation is the same where they go from a home win to play on the road and the first resulted in a blowout loss at Detroit. Milwaukee is now 3-7 in its last 10 games playing with no rest while the Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (508) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-06-16 | Panthers v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 55 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Carolina opened the season 1-1 but then went on to lose its next four games to fall into last place in the NFC South. The Panthers then hit their bye week which could not have come at a better time and they then went out and defeated Arizona last week. We played on Carolina in that game but that was mostly based on the fact the Cardinals were coming off an overtime game where five full quarters were played and then had to head east for an early start. Now it is the Panthers that have to deal with a lengthy travel assignment against a team coming off a bye week. The Rams played in London two weeks ago which resulted in a loss against the Giants, their third straight defeat overall. Los Angeles surprisingly outgained all three of those opponents however so it has been competitive. Turnovers have been the issue as to why the Rams have avoided the win column during this stretch. If the Rams offensive line can give quarterback Case Keenum enough protection, then he should have no problem finding an open receiver against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The Rams are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game while the Panthers have failed to cover their last seven road games. 10* (466) Los Angeles Rams |
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11-06-16 | Lions v. Vikings -6 | Top | 22-16 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC North Game of the Year. The Vikings started the season 5-0 but the dreaded momentum killing bye week came and they have gone on to lose their last two games against the Eagles and Bears. Those games were on the road however and a return home will help them tremendously. In a surprising move this week, offensive coordinator Norv Turner suddenly resigned and while some may think that will be big distraction, it will only help as the offense became stagnant the last two games, scoring just 10 points in each game. The Lions were riding a three-game winning streak going into last week but lost in Houston by a touchdown. Detroit is now 1-3 on the road and it heads to Minnesota at the wrong time. While the passing offense has been spot on, the Lions will be facing their biggest test as the Vikings have held six of seven opponents below their passer rating average and in five of those games, they have held quarterbacks at least 15 points below their passer rating average. The Vikings are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (454) Minnesota Vikings |
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11-06-16 | Cowboys v. Browns +7 | Top | 35-10 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our Sunday Enforcer. The Browns are the lone winless team in the NFL at 0-8 but they have played a lot better than that record suggests. They have played five road games thus far while one of the home games came against the Patriots which was the first game back for Tom Brady. In the other two home games, Cleveland had a chance to win both but fell just short, losing those by a combined eight points. The Browns have outgained half of their opponents so they have been a very competitive 0-8 squad. Dallas lost its season opener against the Giants but has reeled off six straight wins after its overtime victory against Philadelphia last week. The Cowboys have covered all six of those games so it comes as no surprise that the public is all over them again as they are the third biggest consensus pick of the week. Coming off that victory over the Eagles and with a game at Pittsburgh on deck, this could signal a very flat spot for the Cowboys this week. A big boost to the Cleveland offense should be the return of wide receiver Corey Coleman who had 173 yards and two touchdowns in two games but broke his hand in practice the following week and has not played since. 10* (458) Cleveland Browns |
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11-05-16 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 3-62 | Win | 100 | 52 h 10 m | Show |
The news was good for Ohio St. on Tuesday when the College Football Playoff rankings were announced and it came in at No. 6. That comes on the heels of a pair of narrow wins over Wisconsin and Northwestern sandwiched around a loss at Penn St. The Buckeyes have now failed to cover four straight games after opening the season 4-0 ATS and the recent lack of dominating play is helping with this number. Nebraska suffered its first loss of the season last week at Wisconsin in overtime which likely dashed any sort of hope of making the playoff. That is a tough loss to recover from after coming back from a 17-7 fourth quarter deficit only to end up losing. While they started out 7-0, the Cornhuskers were not very dominant in doing so and it has come against a schedule ranked as the lowest of all Big Ten teams. This team could fight back hard and try and pick up the upset to move back up the standings but something says there will not be much fight especially against an Ohio St. team that is overdue for a domination. Nebraska is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 road games against teams averaging 200 or more rushing ypg while Ohio St. is 48-25 ATS in its last 73 games against teams averaging 200 or more rushing ypg. 10* (416) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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11-05-16 | Rockets v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
We played against the Hawks last night as they dropped their second straight game but we will be backing them tonight in a good bounceback spot. Atlanta was coming off a home loss to the Lakers which have been playing pretty well to start the season and Friday, the Hawks were facing a Washington team desperate for a win. Houston meanwhile won the second game of this current five-game roadtrip as it rolled over New York on Wednesday by 19 points. The Rockets are 2-2 on the road while covering three of those games but we expect the extra time off may actually hurt them here based on the fact the Hawks are playing with no rest fresh off a loss. They will test the potent Houston offense as the Hawks are second in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing 94.7 points per 100 possessions. The Hawks have a five-game winning streak against the Rockets, averaging 115 ppg in last season's sweep. We can expect Atlanta to snap its two-game skid tonight. 10* (712) Atlanta Hawks |
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11-05-16 | Oregon +17 v. USC | Top | 20-45 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
The Ducks are having one of the most disappointing seasons around as they are 3-5 after coming into the season ranked in the AP Top 25. Oregon lost five straight games prior to getting back on track last week against Arizona St. in a 19-point romp that should not have been even that close. That momentum will carry forward here in what may be considered a must win game for bowl eligibility or else the duck will have to win their final three games of the season. USC has hit its stride as it has won four straight games and is starting to look like the team it was supposed to be like coming into the season. While the run is solid, the Trojans are being asked to lay a huge number against a team that despite its record, it still very solid. On top of that, they have a game at Washington next week so there is definitely the possibility of a lookahead to that one. Oregon falls into a great situation where we play on road underdogs that are averaging 400 or more total ypg, after outgaining opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 78-36 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (393) Oregon Ducks |
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11-05-16 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas +20.5 | Top | 45-24 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 37 m | Show |
Here we have two teams separated by just a game and a half both overall and within the conference yet this line is telling us something totally different. Louisiana Tech is hot no doubt as it has won five straight games but only one of those came against a team above .500 and that was a three-point win over Western Kentucky at home. North Texas is coming off a loss at UTSA and that resulted in a win for us last week but we are backing the Mean Green now as they played better than the 14-point loss indicates. They outgained the roadrunners by 91 yards but lost the turnover battle 4-0 which was the difference. Prior to that, they had won three of four games and thy have been home underdogs of 20 or more points only once since 2012 and that resulted in a cover last year against Western Kentucky. Louisiana Tech is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games after a cover as a double digit favorite and 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game while the Mean Green are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. 10* (390) North Texas Mean Green |
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11-05-16 | Memphis -3 v. SMU | Top | 51-7 | Win | 100 | 48 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We played against SMU last week and were unfortunate as Tulane blew a 10-point fourth quarter lead. That was the second straight win for the Mustangs which are now 4-4 on the season, the most wins they have had in a season since 2013. It is also one more win than the last two seasons combined so something is going right in Dallas. They are still getting outgained on the season however and catch Memphis in a very bad mood. The Tigers have dropped two straight games to fall to 5-3 and even worse for Memphis backers, it has failed to cover five straight games. The three losses have come against solid teams, Navy and Tulsa of the AAC and while Mississippi is having a down year, it is still from the SEC and that was a rivalry revenge game on top of it. We have a phenomenal situation on our side as well as we play against home teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving teams averaging between 4.3 to 4.8 ypc, in conference games. This situation is 40-12 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1992. Additionally, Memphis is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games off an upset loss as a favorite. 10* (403) Memphis Tigers |
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11-05-16 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Miami (Fla) | Top | 28-51 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our ACC Game of the Year. After a solid 4-0 start to the season, Miami has now lost four straight games and high aspirations have turned into just trying to save the season. Typically, this would be a spot to play on the Hurricanes however this teams looks as though it has shut it down and last week did not help. Notre Dame jumped out to a 20-0 lead but Miami fought back to take a 27-20 lead but could not hold on and that is a tough one to recover from. Pittsburgh had won three straight before losing against Virginia Tech last week and at 5-3, the Panthers could be in even better position. The three losses have come by a combined 11 points and all of those have come down to the final minute. Miami is 0-6 ATS in its last six games against teams averaging 34 or more ppg while the Panthers are 27-12-1 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up loss. 10* (361) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-05-16 | Air Force v. Army -1 | Top | 31-12 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our Saturday Enforcer. Both Air Force and Army are one win away from bowl eligibility so this is a big game for both sides. Army comes in with a 5-3 record and honestly it could be 8-0 right now. The Black Knights lost to Duke by seven points as they were killed by three turnovers, lost to Buffalo in overtime despite outgaining the Bulls by 179 total yards and lost to North Texas as they committed a school record seven turnovers. Army has outgained all eight opponents and all five wins have come by more than a touchdown. The Falcons are also 5-3 but they have not been quite as dominant as they are outscoring opponents by just 7.5 ppg compared to 15 ppg for Army. Air Force has failed to cover four straight games and while that is a streak we like to go against, the Falcons are in a tough spot flying to the east coast and might be doing it without starting quarterback Nate Romine who was injured last game against Fresno St. Air Force is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games against teams averaging 5.25 rushing ypc and 7-16 ATS in its last 23 road games teams averaging 31 or more ppg. 10* (330) Army Black Knights |
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11-04-16 | Warriors v. Lakers +11 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Last night featured one of the first big marquee games of the season as Golden St. hosted Oklahoma City and it ended up being a laugher as the Warriors rolled by 26 points in a game that got out of hand early. The anticipation of that game was huge and we saw how much it meant to Kevin Durant so it will be near impossible to replicate that effort tonight. Golden St. won its two road games when laying double-digits but they were far from comfortable wins and neither resulted in a cover. It took the Lakers 10 games to get their second victory last season but they are already at that mark following a win in Atlanta on Wednesday. That ended a four-game roadtrip and Los Angeles is now back home where it won its only game against Houston to open the season. While still rebuilding, the Lakers are already showing good team play after the post-Kobe era ended last season. The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (518) Los Angeles Lakers |
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11-04-16 | Suns v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 112-111 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Two struggling teams take the floor in New Orleans as the winless Pelicans host the one-win Suns. New Orleans owns the worst record in the NBA at 0-5 but it has had some tough luck along the way as four of the losses have been competitive including a loss in overtime at Memphis on Wednesday. The Pelicans get a great setup tonight however to finally get into the win column. Phoenix dropped its first four games before finally getting a victory in its last game Wednesday against Portland in overtime. The Suns actually played well against Oklahoma City and Golden St. but they have notoriously struggled in these spots against the lesser teams and there is no reason not to see that continuing here. Going back, the Suns are 11-28 ATS in their last 39 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Look for New Orleans to finally get right tonight. 10* (510) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-04-16 | Hawks v. Wizards -2 | Top | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Washington is off to a tough start this season as it is now 0-3 following a loss to Toronto in its home opener on Wednesday. The defense has been the issue as the Wizards are allowing 113 ppg but that of course is a little skewed based on one loss coming in overtime at Memphis. They opened the season with a loss in Atlanta but it was a close game until the Hawks pulled away in the fourth quarter, setting up a revenge situation tonight. Atlanta opened the season 3-0 before losing at home against the Lakers last time out as a double-digit favorite. The Hawks rolled in their lone road game but that game was against the Sixers so it is hard to base anything off of that. Going back, the Hawks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games while the Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (502) Washington Wizards |
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11-04-16 | Central Michigan -4 v. Miami (OH) | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 33 m | Show |
We will be laying points on the road in this one as we are catching a short number based on recent results and contrarian factors. Central Michigan started the season 3-0 but has gone 2-4 since then but the schedule has played a pretty big role in that. The Chippewas are 1-5 ATS over their last six games and the one win took overtime to cover so going against the streak is part of the contrarian value. On the flip side, after a 0-6 start, Miami Ohio has reeled off three straight wins after a 0-6 start but all three wins have come against teams with losing records. Miami is just 1-3 at home with the lone victory coming against Kent St. by only four points, the same team that Central Michigan lost to in its most recent defeat. Going back, the RedHawks are 5-18 in their last 23 home games and they cannot be trusted against a quality team that has struggled of late. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have a winning percentage between .250 and .400 playing a team with a winning record, in conference games. This situation is 46-15 ATS (75.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Miami is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread while the Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. 10* (317) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-03-16 | Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 51 | Top | 43-28 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 17 m | Show |
Atlanta and Tampa Bay have played some high scoring games recently and because of that, we are getting a good total to work with this Thursday. The Falcons have gone over the total in their last three games as well as seven of their eight games on the season so their games have certainly been entertaining. Tampa Bay is not far behind as it has gone over in two straight games and is 4-3 to the over on the season. The Buccaneers do not possess the same type of offense that Atlanta does as they have scored seven points twice as well as 17 points in another game. The defense has struggled, as has the Falcons defense, which are definitely concerns but the second meeting in a season is usually as advantage for the defenses. In divisional games in general, the defenses have an edge as going back, we play the under where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in divisional games. This situation is 80-46 (63.5 percent) to the under the last five seasons. Atlanta falls into a subset where the same situation applies and one of the teams has gone over the total by 35 or more points in their last five games. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) to the under since 1983. 10* Under (307) Atlanta Falcons/(308) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-03-16 | Arkansas State -3.5 v. Georgia State | Top | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 32 h 21 m | Show |
The season was looking bleak for Arkansas St. which opened 0-4 including three blowout losses capped off by an embarrassing loss against Central Arkansas of the FCS. The Red Wolves then had their bye week and it could not have come at the right time. Preseason contenders in the Sun Belt Conference, Arkansas St. has now won its last three games and sits just a half-game behind Troy and Appalachian St. for first place in the conference. Things have been bad for Georgia St. all season as it is just 2-6 including 1-3 in the SBC. The Panthers have had some close losses including a great effort in Wisconsin and because of the competitiveness, they have covered their last six games. That is keeping this line shorter than it should be (Arkansas St. was favored by 16.5 points at home last season). Georgia St. could be without starting quarterback Conner Manning who has missed the last two games with an arm injury. Arkansas St. has a solid situation on its side as we play against teams after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 32-7 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (311) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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11-03-16 | Kings +1.5 v. Magic | Top | 94-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
The line is short here but the Kings are in a good spot against the struggling Magic. Orlando opened the season with three straight losses before finally grabbing a win in its last game at lowly Philadelphia but it was far from easy as it was a two-point win which happened to be their largest lead of the game. This is not a good team right now as they are ranked No. 29 in the league both offensive and defensive shooting percentage. This is their first home game since a season opening 108-96 loss against Miami and coincidentally, Sacramento is coming off a road loss to Miami by the exact same score in overtime. A big reason for that was the fact that DeMarcus Cousins missed the overtime session after picking up six fouls in the fourth quarter so it is safe to say we are going to see a big effort from him tonight. The other losses came against San Antonio, no big surprise, and Atlanta as the Hawks had a 47-19 free throw attempt advantage at home. The Kings have a great situation going as we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss going up against an opponent off a road win by three points or less. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (701) Sacramento Kings |
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11-02-16 | Mavs +5 v. Jazz | Top | 81-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Utah is coming off a huge win last night in San Antonio against the previously undefeated Spurs and the Jazz were without Gordon Hayward and Alec Burks, two of their top four scorers from last season. Utah took an early lead and never looked back as it built a 17-point lead and eventually won by 15. Even though they are heading home, it will be tough for the Jazz to get up for this one. Adding to that is the fact the Mavericks are off to a 0-3 start as they lost to Indiana on the road in overtime to open the season and lost a home-and-home with the Rockets on Friday and Sunday. This is a good spot for Dallas as Utah has another game against San Antonio on deck and this also marks the third game in four nights for the Jazz. The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and the return of Dirk Nowitzki after missing two games should provide a solid spark. 10* (515) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-02-16 | Bulls v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Chicago is off to a surprising 3-0 start after many though, including right here, that it was going to struggle out of the gates with the huge turnover in personnel. Instead, the Bulls have won and covered all three games including a pair of blowout victories over Indiana and Brooklyn in their last two which really is not saying much. Boston is off to a 2-1 starts and returns home after a four-day layoff which is a good thing to rest some nagging injuries. The only loss this season came in Chicago by six points last Thursday so we have a good early season revenge spot here. This is the first game for the Bulls being an underdog and they have typically struggled in this role. Additionally, Chicago is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games coming off a road game while the Celtics are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (514) Boston Celtics |
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11-02-16 | Cubs -114 v. Indians | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
The 2016 MLB season comes down to one game as the Cubs have fought back from a 3-1 series deficit to tie it up and send it to a deciding Game Seven. Chicago clearly has the momentum now with a pair of wins highlighted by the bats coming to life last night. This should be an epic starting pitching matchup and one that we give the edge to Chicago based on the situation and circumstance. Kyle Hendricks gets the ball for the Cubs and he carried a great regular season into a solid postseason. He pitched to his Major League-best 2.13 ERA by limiting the quality of his opponents' contact better than almost anyone in the game. Kyle Kluber will be making his third start this World Series and he has certainly been lights out. The Cubs could have the edge here however as seeing the same pitcher for a third time in nine days is an advantage. History is not on his side however. He will become the 19th pitcher to start Games 1, 4 and 7 of the World Series, with the latter two on short rest. The 18 others went a combined 9-7 with a 3.00 ERA in Game 7 which is certainly good but far from dominant. We feel the bigger curse will be broken tonight. 10* (901) Chicago Cubs |
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11-02-16 | Raptors v. Wizards +1 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Just over a week into the season, the Wizards are playing their home opener on Wednesday. Washington has dropped its first two games of the season on the road as it lost in Atlanta to open the season and then fell to Memphis in overtime. The return home should help this team immensely as they closed last season by covering six of their last eight at home. Toronto meanwhile hits the road for the first time this season after going 2-1 at home through the first week. The lone defeat came against Cleveland and the Raptors actually get another small schedule break after this with two straight home games on deck. The Wizards will have some extra in the tank after losing all four meetings last season. Washington falls into a great situation as we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 105 points or more going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (502) Washington Wizards |
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11-01-16 | Grizzlies v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 80-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
We have an early season revenge spot tonight as Minnesota looks to avenge a season opening loss in Memphis last week. The Timberwolves lost that game by four points after blowing a 17-point lead and then followed that up with a three-point loss in Sacrament three days later. They have been off since Saturday and are now back in Minnesota for their home opener. Memphis is off to a 2-1 start following a nine-point win and cover at home over Washington on Sunday. The Grizzlies are 2-0 at home but lost their lone road game at New York as they fell to the Knicks by seven points. Memphis won just 16 road games last season and it is still not at full strength with lingering injuries. Going back to last season, the Timberwolves are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning straight up record while Memphis has gone seven straight road games without a cover. The Timberwolves get into the win column with a comfortable victory tonight. 10* (712) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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10-31-16 | Suns +10.5 v. Clippers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
The Clippers are off to a 2-0 start following a 13-pont win over Utah last night. They won their season opener in Portland prior to that and look to make it a 3-0 start for the second straight season. This is not the ideal situation however as the Clippers have a game against Oklahoma City on deck followed by games at Memphis and San Antonio. The Suns have dropped their first three games this season but they have been competitive in the last two, losing against Oklahoma City and Golden St. by a combined 13 points. Phoenix is coming off a rough season a year ago as injuries derailed the team but there is a ton of young talent on this team and that is important in spots like this where they do not incur the letdowns coming off a big game. Phoenix falls into a great contrarian situation as we play against home favorites of 10 or more points after allowing 85 points or less going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 78-42 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. Going back, the Suns are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss while the Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against team with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (507) Phoenix Suns |
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10-31-16 | Vikings v. Bears +5 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
The Bears fell to 1-6 following their loss last Thursday night against the Packers as the offense managed just 189 total yards. Part of the problem was quarterback Brian Hoyer having to leave the game with the broken arm and Matt Barkley getting thrown into action in his first game since 2014. Chicago now gets Jay Cutler back after missing five games with a thumb injury so it is a big upgrade on offense. Chicago has actually outgained four of seven opponents this season so it has had some tough losses along the way. Minnesota is a big public favorite here despite a loss in Philadelphia last week. The Vikings have struggled on the road even though they are 2-1 as they were outgained by the Titans and Panthers in both of their road victories. Bears running back Jeremy Langford will return from a sprained ankle that has kept him out for the past four games and that is a big boost for Chicago as its running game has been pretty non-existent since he went down. While the Bears have struggled on offense, Minnesota has not fared much better as it is No. 31 in total offense with 299.2 ypg, and Chicago is No. 12 in total defense with 350.4 ypg game. Going back, Chicago is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 home games after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game while going 17-6 ATS in its last 23 home games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. The Vikings meanwhile are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games against teams averaging 17 or fewer ppg. 10* (274) Chicago Bears |
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10-30-16 | Spurs v. Heat +7 | Top | 106-99 | Push | 0 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
We played against Miami on Friday as it lost at home against Charlotte but we are backing the Heat tonight in what is a huge pointspread variance. They go from a pickem to a seven-point underdog and while Miami is not going to be a great team this season, they are not nearly as bad as this line is indicating. San Antonio was favored by nearly the same amount in its last road game against Sacramento and the Kings and Heat are not on the same level. The Spurs are off to a perfect 3-0 start following a blowout win over New Orleans at home last night. That puts them in a tough spot tonight with the travel and no rest and they have not been a good team in these situations as they lost seven of their last 10 games against the number playing with no rest. While revenge is not really a big argument here, the fact that the Spurs have owned this series since the 2014 NBA Finals comes into play with the value aspect as well as San Antonio has won and covered seven straight against Miami. The Heat have a great situation on their side as well as we play on teams that are coming off a home loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) Miami Heat |
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10-30-16 | Packers +3 v. Falcons | Top | 32-33 | Win | 102 | 49 h 42 m | Show |
Green Bay snapped out of its offensive funk as it put up 406 total yards in its win against the Bears last Thursday. Now the Packers hit the road for the first time since September 18 as they played four straight home games with a bye put in there as well. That should not be an issue here because of the extra layoff from Thursday to the following Sunday. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who had struggled through most of the first five games, turned to a quick-hitting passing game to complete a team-record 39 passes. The Falcons are coming off a pair of losses, one in Seattle and the other last week at home against the Chargers. After a 4-1 start, it is beginning to look a lot like last season when the Falcons started 5-0 and closed by winning just three of their last 11 games. They fall into a tough situation where we play against home teams after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1983. Additionally, Green Bay is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games coming off a divisional game while the Falcons are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as favorites. 10* (253) Green Bay Packers |
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10-30-16 | Chargers +4.5 v. Broncos | Top | 19-27 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 20 m | Show |
This is a quick turnaround for the Broncos to get some revenge von San Diego after they suffered their second loss in San Diego on October 13. We are not playing that angle however as Denver is not playing great right now as even a 27-9 win was not as good as the score shows as they outgained the Texans by just 76 total yards. While the defense is one of the best in the league, the offense is a mess as they are ranked No. 27 in total offense and No. 28 in passing offense. The running game is the strength but that took a huge hit with C.J. Anderson likely out for the season. The Chargers won in overtime at Atlanta last week to improve to 3-4 but that is a very skewed record. If bad breaks had gone their way, they could have at least two more wins as three of those losses have come by eight points combined while the other loss came in overtime opening week at Kansas City. Denver had won five straight meetings prior to the last one and these are more equal than people think making this spread way too high. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Meanwhile, San Diego is 9-1 in its last 10 road games while under head coach Mike McCoy, the Chargers are a perfect 8-0 ATS as a road underdog between 3.7 and 7 points. 10* (267) San Diego Chargers |
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