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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-17 | Clippers v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 107-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The tough stretch continues for the Clippers as they are playing their ninth road game over their last 10 overall and have been very inconsistent over this stretch. They are coming off a win over the Knicks but are just 3-7 over their last 10 games with another win coming against 17-37 Phoenix. Los Angeles is a decent 15-13 on the road but this is not the same team right now as the Clippers are 5-12 in the 17 games that Chris Paul has not been in the lineup. Charlotte snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win over Brooklyn but it could not keep it going as the Hornets lost at home to Houston on Thursday by 12 points. They do catch the Clippers in a good spot though and despite the poor run of late, the favorite role is a good one. Charlotte is a horrid 1-14 this season when it is an underdog but a much better 23-13 as a favorite including going 16-5 as a home chalk. Going back, the Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (502) Charlotte Hornets |
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02-11-17 | Delaware v. James Madison -7.5 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
James Madison opened the CAA season with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Dukes have gone 2-8 over their last 10 games. Losing is never a good thing but the schedule has played a big role in this rough stretch as six of those 10 games have been on the road, all resulting in losses and the two home losses came against UNC-Wilmington and Charleston which are a combined 21-5 in the conference. One of the road losses came at Delaware so revenge is in play here. That win over the Dukes was just one of three conference wins for Delaware which is now 3-10 in the CAA. The Blue Hens are coming off an upset win over Elon in overtime at home on Thursday and they have not won consecutive games this season over Division I teams as they are 0-7 following a victory. Delaware has really struggled on the road as it is 2-10 and of their 10 losses, only one has come by single digits and on the road for the season, the Blue Hens are getting outscored by an average of 15.7 ppg. This includes six conference road losses by an average of 23.2 ppg. 10* (576) James Madison Dukes |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7.5 | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
After seven straight wins, Maryland has dropped its last two games by a total of seven points. The Terrapins lost last Saturday at home against Purdue by a single point and they had a tough time recovering from that last second loss as they fell at Penn St. on Tuesday. They now trail first place Wisconsin by a game and a half in the Big Ten and with a pair of road game on deck against 7-4 Northwestern and the 10-1 Badgers, this is a big game to avoid a three-game skid. Ohio St. is coming off a pair of wins including an impressive victory at Michigan but it has not won three straight games since early in the season as the Buckeyes are 0-3 in their last three games following consecutive victories. Ohio St. is just 3-5 on the road with two Big Ten road wins coming by just five points combined. The Buckeyes are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Terrapins are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (574) Maryland Terrapins |
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02-11-17 | Seton Hall v. St. John's +2 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
Seton Hall went 10-2 during the non-conference portion of its schedule but Big East play has not been very good. The Pirates are 5-6 which is not horrible after seeing who some of the losses came against but they are in a bad spot here as they are coming off consecutive wins in overtime against Georgetown and Providence after a brutal 1-5 stretch. They are just 2-5 on the road and the lone victory over that prior stretch came at home against St. John's which puts the Red Storm in payback mode. They lost that game by 13 points but are a respectable 3-3 over their last six games. They have had a tough slate as five of seven losses in the Big East have come against Villanova twice, Xavier twice and Creighton. St. John's owns impressive home wins over Butler and Marquette and it is 7-4 at home overall. Included in this in a perfect 4-0 ATS run against teams with winning records. 10* (520) St. John's Red Storm |
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02-10-17 | Spurs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
The Spurs continue their eight-game roadtrip as they head to Detroit after splitting their first two games to open the trek. San Antonio made history by winning its first 13 road games to open the season but has since gone 8-5 on the highway which is certainly respectable but far from dominating. Three wins over this stretch came against Phoenix, Brooklyn and Philadelphia so that record is not even as good as it looks. Going back, the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Detroit is three games under .500 but are 20-20 over its last 40 games and remains right in the playoff picture as it currently sits at No. 8 in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have won four straight home games while going 7-1 over their last eight games here and while the winning streak has come against some poor opposition, they do have many quality home wins as well. As a matter of fact, the Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Detroit is 4-1 ATS this season as a home underdog with the lone loss coming by just a half-point against the Rockets. 10* (854) Detroit Pistons |
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02-10-17 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Akron is clearly the class of the MAC as it comes into Friday night with a 10-1 conference record which is four games better than any other team. The Zips are in control of the MAC East as they have a four-game lead over Ohio which is now without its best player so winning the division is pretty much a guarantee. Akron has dominated at home with a 12-0 record but it has been average on the road at 4-4. Tw o non-conference losses came at Creighton and Gonzaga so no real hard there and while the Zips are 4-1 on the MAC road, three of those wins have come by four points or less against inferior competition. Eastern Michigan has been a disappointment this season as it was expected to contend in the MAC West and while it is just 5-6 in the conference, that is good enough to trail three teams by just one game. That makes this a huge game for the Eagles which have dropped three straight and need this one to remain in the hunt in the MAC West. The public is all over the Zips here at this short price but the Eagles are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog and they will be out to avenge a loss to Akron back on January 20. 10* (886) Eastern Michigan Eagles |
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02-09-17 | Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
Boston is coming off a bad loss last night as it went to Sacramento, which was playing without its top player, and was defeated by 16 points. The game was tied at the half but the Celtics allowed a 16-1 run and could never come back. That snapped a seven-game winning streak and they remain two games ahead of Toronto in the Atlantic Division. Boston has failed to cover five straight games but it has won 12 of its last 19 road games and has been solid playing with no rest, winning eight of 11 games on the season. Portland is coming off a last second win over Dallas on Tuesday which snapped a mini two-game slide and it has been a tough season overall for the Blazers. They are seven games under .500 and while they do have a winning record at home, they have dropped seven of their last 13 here and four of the six wins have come against teams with a losing record. The Celtics lost at home to Portland in overtime just over two weeks ago so they will be out for some payback from that. The Celtics are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Blazers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up win. 10* (709) Boston Celtics |
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02-09-17 | Oregon v. UCLA -4.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
While North Carolina and Duke is getting all the attention as usual, the marquee game of the night is taking place in Los Angeles. UCLA heads home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 2-1 including a 41-point win over Washington last Saturday. While that could lead to a letdown in normal circumstances, this is far from a normal circumstance. The Bruins lost their last home game prior to the recent trip as they fell to Arizona by 11 points and they will be out to make good from that. Additionally, the Bruins opened the season 13-0 and commenced Pac 12 play with a game at Oregon and lost on a last second three-pointer so they will be out to avenge that defeat, the third straight to the Ducks. Oregon defeated Arizona at home by 27 points on Saturday to move to 15-0 at home but it is just 3-2 on the road with only one win coming against a team with a conference winning record and that was 6-5 Utah. The Ducks failed to win or cover their lone game as a road underdog while the Bruins are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (756) UCLA Bruins |
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02-09-17 | Charlotte v. UAB -9 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
UAB came into the season as the team to beat in C-USA but it is three games behind conference leader Middle Tennessee St. however there is still time for a run. The Blazers have lost two straight games but both of those came on the road and the schedule has been difficult up to this point with seven of the first 11 games taking place on the road. They are 9-2 at home including six straight victories and going back, UAB has won 22 consecutive home games against conference opponents. Charlotte moved to 5-6 in the conference with a win over Florida International on Saturday but it was far from a quality win as FIU is 1-9. Another win came against 4-7 Southern Mississippi and two other victories came against 0-10 North Texas. The 49ers are 0-3 on the road within the conference against teams that are .500 or better and they have struggled against the teams they are expected to lose to as they are 0-6 ATS as underdogs of more than seven points while the Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite. 10* (738) UAB Blazers |
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02-08-17 | Stanford v. Arizona -13.5 | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
Arizona had its 15-game winning streak snapped on Saturday as it was throttled at Oregon by 27 points so a return home is bad news for Stanford. The Wildcats are now tied with the Ducks atop the Pac 12 with a 10-1 record and they are one of three teams in the conference with a 21-32 record with UCLA being the third. They are a perfect 12-0 at home and have won 18 straight games going back to last season while winning 67 of their last 68 games at the McKale Center. Arizona is 2-0 following a loss this season, winning the two follow up games by 22 points apiece and going back to 2012, it is 21-4 at home following a loss. Stanford won at home over Utah on Saturday which was just its fourth win in the Pac 12. Three of those have come at home with the lone road win coming at 0-11 Oregon St. which happens to be its only road win of the entire season. Arizona won the first meeting by 39 points so while revenge can be a factor for Stanford, the Wildcats have won the last 14 meetings in this series so revenge has been on the plate since 2009 but it has proved to be a non-factor. Five of the last six wins have comes by at least 13 points. Going back, the Cardinal are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (578) Arizona Wildcats |
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02-08-17 | Heat v. Bucks -3 | Top | 106-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Miami Heat remain the hottest team in basketball as they have won 11 straight games and are suddenly in the hunt in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. While the run is a great one and certainly impressive after a horrible start to the season, it is a bit skewed as only three of those wins have come on the road and two came against Brooklyn and Minnesota by five points combined. The last time Miami lost happened to come in this building back on January 13 as it fell by eight points as a 7.5-point underdog so now we are seeing a big line shift which is a massive move based on the short time frame. The fact that Milwaukee is 2-10 over its last 12 games is also playing a factor in this number but the Bucks are coming off a much needed blowout win at Phoenix on Saturday. The schedule has not been in their favor as eight of the 12 games have been on the road and they are a game over .500 at home. Milwaukee will welcome back Khris Middleton tonight who is making his season debut and while he will not make a difference in the outcome as he is playing a max of 15 minutes, his presence alone will have the team and fans extremely fired up tonight. 10* (512) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-08-17 | Nuggets v. Hawks -4 | Top | 106-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
We were on the wrong side with Atlanta on Monday as the Hawks never led against Utah and ended up losing by 25 points. The pace of the game was very slow but the Jazz scored 125 points thanks to 61.3 percent shooting so Atlanta is going to tighten the defense up tonight as Denver runs fast and can put up points. Despite that loss, the Hawks are still 15-6 over their last 21 games and they trail Washington by just a half-game for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference. Denver rolled over Dallas in its last game on Monday and the Nuggets are now 9-5 over their last 14 games so they have been playing better. They are 2-4 on the road however over this stretch and are 9-16 overall on the highway. That record is skewed however as Denver is just 2-10 on the road against team with a winning record. Atlanta is a perfect 10-0 in its last 10 games following a loss while going back, the 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Look for the Hawks to bounce back yet again and keep those streaks alive. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-08-17 | La Salle v. Fordham +1.5 | Top | 67-52 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
We waited on this one to get better injury information from the LaSalle side. The Explorers two of their top three leading scorers B.J. Johnson (17.8 ppg) and Pookie Powell (13.4 ppg) came in as questionable with the overnight line and now as of Wednesday afternoon, Powell has been downgraded to doubtful. Johnson remains questionable and if he does go, he will not be 100 percent so either we get that outcome or if he misses, the line should move considerable so bet early as possible. Fordham is coming off a double-overtime win at St. Joes on Saturday to improve to 4-6 in the Atlantic Ten and while the Rams have lost two straight at home, they boast a huge win over VCU prior to that. LaSalle is 6-4 in the conference following a 20-point loss at George Mason with both Johnson and Powell out which shows how important their presences are to be successful. The Explorers have lost four of their last five games including all three on the road and on the season, they are 3-7 ATS away from home. Fordham has had recent success in this series with three straight wins and since 2010, every home meeting has either been a win or tight loss. The Rams are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Explorers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (536) Fordham Rams |
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02-07-17 | Blazers v. Mavs | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
Dallas had a four-game winning streak snapped last night with a loss in Denver as it fell behind by as many as 27 points before going down by 23 points. The Mavericks are now 9-4 over their last 13 games including a 5-1 record at home which has brought them to .500 on the season at American Airlines Center. They are in a good bounce back spot tonight despite playing with no rest as they have covered five of their last six games following a double-digit loss. Portland has dropped two straight games following a loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday which followed a respectable 3-2 homestand. The Blazers are three games over .500 at home but they have struggled on the road with an 8-19 record including a 5-18 road record since early November. They are playing with revenge from a four-point home loss against Dallas last Friday but Portland is 1-7 ATS this season when getting fewer than four points while the Mavericks are a perfect 6-0 ATS this season when favored by fewer than four points. Additionally, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (706) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -3.5 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Two NCAA Tournament bubble teams square off on Tuesday as Clemson hosts Syracuse in a huge game for both sides. The Tigers are projected to be one of the last teams in with a No. 11 seed and they cannot afford to lose any more of these marginal games. They are 3-7 in the ACC which is a horrible record for a team projected to make the Big Dance but six of the seven losses have come against teams that are also projected into the tournament with four of those losses coming by five points or less. Three of the losses came at home by eight points combined and the Tigers will be looking to bounce back from a 48-point loss at Florida St. on Sunday which is motivation enough in itself. Syracuse has turned its season around with four straight wins including a pair of home upsets over Virginia and Florida St. The Orange are now 7-4 in the ACC but they are still on the outside looking so this is clearly a big game for them as well. They are just 1-5 on the road and the one win came in overtime where they had to erase a 16-point lead at NC State. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points while the Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. 10* (738) Clemson Tigers |
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02-07-17 | Florida v. Georgia +6.5 | Top | 72-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Florida is coming off a monumental win over Kentucky on Saturday as it defeated the Wildcats by 22 points which was the most lopsided win for the Gators in the series 90-year history. The Gators have now won four straight games and it has been a dominating run as they won the other three games by 35, 32 and 39 points but those three wins were against poor teams with conference records a combined 4-26. The win over the Wildcats was impressive for sure but it sets up a letdown for Tuesday. Georgia is in a bad run that has dropped the Bulldogs into a four-way tie for ninth in the SEC as the Bulldogs have dropped four straight conference games. They lost 77-75 on Saturday at first-place South Carolina and 90-81 in overtime at Kentucky just four days earlier. All but one conference loss has come down to the final minute. This is a revenge spot for Georgia as well as it lost by four points in overtime as the Gators shot 35 free throws on their home floor, compared to 21 for the Bulldogs and head coach Mark Fox made some shrewd references to the disparity in his post-game remarks. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. 10* (714) Georgia Bulldogs |
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02-07-17 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Notre Dame was sitting near the top of the ACC a couple weeks ago but it has since dropped four straight games to fall to 6-5 which puts it in seventh place in the conference. Two of the losses have come at home against quality opponents Virginia and Duke which were its first two home losses of the season. They are coming off a tough loss against North Carolina on Sunday which was rescheduled to Greensboro from Saturday and there will be plenty of motivation as they head home looking to get back in the win column. Wake Forest is now 5-6 in the conference following a pair of wins last week but those were against teams with losing ACC records and of the five conference wins, none have come against teams with a winning record. The Demon Deacons are 4-5 on the road including two conference wins against 2-9 Boston College and 3-8 NC State. Notre Dame defeated Wake Forest twice last season by double-digits and the situations are similar as both of those victories came following a loss. Going back, the Demon Deacons are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win while the Irish are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. 10* (730) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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02-06-17 | Kansas -3 v. Kansas State | Top | 74-71 | Push | 0 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Kansas and Kansas St. are meeting for the second time this season with the Wildcats looking for some revenge following a hard-fought two-point loss in Lawrence the first time around. The problem now is that the situations are different as the Jayhawks are coming off their first home loss in a span of 54 games so what better way to make up for that than to face and take it out their in-state rival. The Wildcats meanwhile enhanced their NCAA Tournament prospects with a win at Baylor by a bucket as a seven-point underdog. That snapped a three-game skid for the Wildcats and bumped them back into an at-large bid with a 16-7 overall record and a 5-5 mark in the Big XII. The win over the Bears was the first of the season in four tries against an RPI Top 25 team so making it two in a row will be a challenge. The Wildcats have dropped two of their last three games at home and are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games. Kansas leads the Big XII in field goal percentage at 49.5 percent, three-point field goal percentage at 41.5 percent and rebounding at 40.0 per game and we can expect a full effort following that loss knowing the Jayhawks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (533) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-06-17 | Jazz v. Hawks -1 | Top | 120-95 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Atlanta remains home following a win over Orlando on Saturday to move to 15-5 over its last 20 games to keep pace with the Wizards in the Southeast Division. The Hawks are just a half-game behind the Raptors for the coveted fourth spot in the Eastern Conference and they have had this game circled for some time. Atlanta lost in Utah back in November by 27 points as it was held to 68 points which is by far its lowest point total of the season. Utah is coming off a 3-1 homestand following a win over Charlotte on Saturday and the schedule has been in its favor with nine of its last 12 games taking place at home. Those three road games came against teams that are all at least six games under .500 and the road has been a challenge with seven straight losses against the number. They have played a very easy schedule overall as they have been favored in 35 of 51 games and the line has played a big role on the highway as Utah is a perfect 12-0 as a road favorite but just 1-10 as a road underdog. Going back, the Jazz are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (510) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons OVER 58 | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 270 h 6 m | Show |
Over the last 12 editions of the Super Bowl, only one has surpassed the total that we are dealing with this year as Super Bowl XLVII between Baltimore and San Francisco saw 65 points scored. Of the first 50 Super Bowls, only eight have had 60 total points scored so history shows that we should be in for a lower scoring game than what the over/under is telling us. While history can tell us a lot, it cannot always predict the future and this number is big for a reason despite the Patriots brining in the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL. As a comparison, the over/under for the NFC Championship Game between the Falcons and Packers closed at 59.5. both New England and Green Bay have very potent offenses so those totals were set based on the defenses and clearly the linesmakers do not trust the Patriots top ranked unit. New England played the easiest schedule in the NFL and faced very weak quarterbacks along the way. It shut down the Steelers and Ben Roethlisberger last week but the Pittsburgh offense was knocked off course with the LeVeon Bell injury. Prior to that, Russell Wilson put up 31 points against New England while Andy Dalton was the second best quarterback the Patriots saw in the 2016 regular season and they are the only team in the NFL yet to face a top-10 passer this season. Atlanta scored 540 points this season, tied for the seventh-most in NFL history and 71 points clear of the next-best team. No one has been able to stop the Falcons for the most part and with the Atlanta defense not very good to begin with, the Patriots will be able to move the ball as well. As long as we can avoid settling for redzone field goals, this could turn into a very high scoring Super Bowl. 10* Over (101) New England Patriots/(102) Atlanta Falcons |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 269 h 24 m | Show |
This is the seventh time that the top ranked scoring offense has faced off against the top ranked scoring defense in the Super Bowl. In the previous six matchups, the top ranked defense has come away the winner but the situation is different this season based on what the defense has faced. New England played the easiest schedule in the NFL and faced very weak quarterbacks along the way. It shut down the Steelers and Ben Roethlisberger last week but the Pittsburgh offense was knocked off course with the LeVeon Bell injury. Prior to that, Russell Wilson put up 31 points against New England while Andy Dalton was the second best quarterback the Patriots saw in the 2016 regular season and they are the only team in the NFL yet to face a top-10 passer this season. Atlanta scored 540 points this season, tied for the seventh-most in NFL history and 71 points clear of the next-best team. Atlanta will have success on offense as the balance is there to be effective and keep New England off balance. The difference should come down to the Falcons defense trying and stop the Patriots offense and while that likely will not happen, it will be slowed down enough. The rankings of the Atlanta defense are not very good but those rankings are skewed to a degree. Because of the firepower of the offense, opposing teams have had to try and play catch-up more often than not which leads to garbage points and garbage yards. To prove this, the Falcons have led at the half in 13 of their 18 games including the last six. Getting off to another quick start will again put them in great position to win their first ever Super Bowl. 10* (102) Atlanta Falcons |
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02-05-17 | Blazers v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
We won with the Thunder on Friday as they snapped a three-game losing skid thanks to a 15-0 run to end the game and they carry that momentum into Sunday. Oklahoma City improved to 17-7 at home including wins in six of its last seven in what has been part of a brutal stretch of its schedule. This is the first time since late November the Thunder have played three straight home games and going back to December 21, 16 of their last 23 games have been on the road. Portland is coming off a 3-2 homestand to move to 14-11 at home but the Blazers have struggled on the road with an 8-18 record. They have won just four of 16 games when getting points and are 3-10 ATS when getting fewer than six points. Oklahoma City is 14-5 ATS this season when favored by more than four points while going 10-3 ATS at home against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (856) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-05-17 | South Florida +15 v. Temple | Top | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
It has been a tough year for Temple which won 47 games over the last two season but sits at 12-11 this season including a 3-7 record in the AAC. The Owls are coming off a win at Tulane but are now laying their biggest line of the season and while it comes against a poor South Florida team, it is unjustified at this price. They were hit hard by graduation while two returnees that were expected to contribute a great deal have been sidelined with injuries. It has been an even bigger struggle for South Florida which has yet to win a game in the conference after a 6-5 non-conference record. Only two of ten games have come against teams that are under .500 in the conference, While South Florida has gone winless on the road in its AAC games this season, it has gotten double-digits in the last four but those came against Cincinnati, UCF, Memphis and SMU which are a combined 33-10 in the conference. Getting points has served the Bulls well as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 13 points or more while going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile the Owls are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 13 points or more. 10* (861) South Florida Bulls |
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02-04-17 | Warriors v. Kings +13 | Top | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
Sacramento is coming off a loss last night against Phoenix, ruining a monster night from DeMarcus Cousins where he posted a triple double but the Kings were outscored 29-17 from the free throw line and that was the ultimate difference. If there has been one consistency for the Kings, it is that they have been competitive at home as they have only lost twice by more points than what they are getting tonight. This includes losses against San Antonio (twice), Golden St., Cleveland, Oklahoma City and the Clippers, all of which were by 12 points or less. Overall, Sacramento has been a solid team in this range as it is 8-4 ATS as an underdog of seven points or more. Golden St. has won five straight games as the offense has been rolling, averaging 125.8 ppg over this stretch. Because of the pace, the defense has not been great as the Warriors are allowing 45.7 percent shooting which is well above their season average. Nobody likes betting against Golden St. but it is a pedestrian 24-24-2 ATS including 11-13-1 ATS on the road so they are far from the covering clip from last season. The Warriors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400 while the Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (520) Sacramento Kings |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State v. Wichita State -10 | Top | 45-86 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is the second meeting between the two top teams in the Missouri Valley Conference and with Illinois St. taking the first meeting at home by 14 points, Wichita St. needs to take this one for any shot at the MVC title. The Shockers have won five straight games since that loss to the Redbirds including the last two games coming on the road. They are 12-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against Oklahoma St. but that game was played at INTRUST Bank Arena, which is an annual stop for the Shockers. They have won 16 consecutive games at Charles Koch Arena, their on-campus home. Illinois St. is a perfect 11-0 in the conference as it came in as the leading candidate to take out Wichita St. and so far so good. There have been some suspect losses away from home where all four of the Redbirds defeats have taken place. This is a similar situation to last season when Wichita St. opened 11-0 in the MVC and went to Illinois St. and lost before getting its retribution at home in the second meeting by 16 points. The big story here is that Illinois St. will be without forward MiKyle McIntosh. He is second on the team in scoring and rebounding with 13.5 ppg and 6.4 rpg and put down 20 points and five boards in the first meeting. 10* (672) Wichita St. Shockers |
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02-04-17 | Memphis v. UCF -2 | Top | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
Memphis has won two straight games and five of its last six to improve to 7-3 in the AAC. The Tigers have covered just once in their last seven games however as they continue to be overpriced with a lot of that based on name alone. They are two wins away of their total from last season which shows how good of a job Tubby Smith has done in his first season in Memphis. The Tigers are 3-2 on the road in conference action and while a win over Houston was impressive, the other two came against South Florida and Tulane which are a combined 1-19 in the conference. UCF started the season 14-4 including a 5-1 record in the AAC but the Knights have lost four straight games. Three of those have been on the road while the lone home loss came against 9-1 SMU and one of those road losses was at Memphis which started this skid so revenge will be in play. The Knights are seventh nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 61.3 ppg and while smith has done a great job in Memphis, the UCF turnaround can be attributed to new head coach Johnny Dawkins. The Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while UCF has won six of seven games this season as a favorite. 10* (588) UCF Knights |
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02-04-17 | William & Mary v. Towson -2.5 | Top | 80-82 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
William & Mary has moved into a tie for third place in the CAA, trailing UNC-Wilmington and Charleston by two games thanks to four straight wins after a 3-4 start in the conference. The schedule has played a big part in the recent surge however as all four of those wins came at home where the Tribe are now a perfect 11-0 on the season. Conversely, they are 2-9 on the road so the home team is 20-2 in their 22 games on the season. William & Mary is 1-4 on the highway in the CAA with the one win coming by a bucket in overtime. Towson has been playing solid as well as it has won six of its last seven games after starting the season 0-4 in the conference. The Tigers are 4-0 at home and 2-1 on the road during this recent stretch so they have done excellent despite a challenging schedule. They defeated Drexel on Thursday in overtime which was a big win following a loss at Northeastern last Saturday. Towson has won six straight home games and are 8-3 overall this season and it is averaging 80 ppg during its six-game home court winning streak. The Tribe are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win while going just 3-7 ATS on the road this season against teams with a winning record. 10* (590) Towson Tigers |
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02-04-17 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State +2 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
Tennessee has won four straight games to get back into the NCAA Tournament mix. The Volunteers are now 13-9 overall including a 5-4 record in the SEC and while that does not seem overly impressive, they did pick up a big win over Kentucky a week and a half ago and followed that up with a solid victory over Kansas St. in a game they could have easily shown a letdown. They have been fairly solid on the road with a 4-3 record but they are in a tough spot here. Mississippi St. has been equally impressive with a 13-8 record and while it started 3-1 in the conference, the Bulldogs have lost four of their last five games. Three of those took place on the road including the last two while the lone home loss came against Kentucky by just seven points. Following that Kentucky loss, the Bulldogs suffered a letdown and lost at Tennessee by 17 points so they will be out to avenge that defeat. The last time Mississippi St. lost two straight games, it bounced back at home with a blowout win to improve to 8-4 at home. The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and even better, they are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. 10* (578) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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02-03-17 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -1.5 | Top | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Oklahoma City caught the Bulls at the wrong time on Wednesday as Chicago shot an amazing 60.5 percent from the floor while the Thunder shot just 38 percent while hoisting up 100 shot attempts. That was the third straight loss for the Thunder after going 7-3 over their last 10 games and it also snapped a five-game home winning streak. Oklahoma City is 16-7 at home while going 16-5 as a home favorite and on the season, the chalk is 37-13 in its 50 games overall. Memphis meanwhile has won three straight games on this current six-game roadtrip and the Grizzlies are now two games over .500 on the road. It has been an up and down run as the Grizzlies are 12-12 over their last 24 games which includes a loss here last month by eight points. The Thunder were favored by 4.5 points in that game so the value is on their side in this rematch and the only difference this time around is they are without Enos Kanter. Going back, the Thunder are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (858) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-03-17 | Bulls v. Rockets -6 | Top | 117-121 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
We have backed Houston on a few occasions this season when in this similar spot and we will be on the Rockets again tonight. The Rockets led by as many as 20 points against the Hawks last night including taking a 13-point lead into the fourth quarter but they were outscored 40-22 in the final period and lost for just the sixth time at home. They have been extremely solid in two ways heading into this game as they are 14-2 this season following a loss while going 11-1 when playing with no rest. Put those two situations together where Houston is coming off a loss and playing with no rest and it is a perfect 4-0, winning those games by 19, 17, 14 and 19 points. Chicago defeated the Thunder on Wednesday and it was a game where everything went its way as it shot 60.5 percent from the floor and outscored the Thunder 24-14 from the free throw line. The Bulls are still just 10-14 on the road and while they have won two straight games, they are 1-6 over their last seven games following consecutive wins. 10* (860) Houston Rockets |
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02-03-17 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -3.5 | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
The MAC West is a wide open race with all six teams separated by just three games. Central Michigan trails Ball St. by two games and it has done the job at McGuirk Arena with a 9-1 record on the season including going 3-1 in the conference, the only loss coming against 9-0 Akron by just four points. The Chippewas are just 1-4 on the MAC highway and Western Michigan knows how those struggles feel as it is 0-8 on the road overall including five conference losses. This is a great matchup for Central Michigan and its high-powered offense as it is ranked in the top 20 nationally in six stat categories - No. 2 in three-point field goals per game, No. 3 in total three-point field goals made and three-point field goal attempts, No. 4 in scoring offense, No. 6 in free throw percentage and No. 7 in free throws made. The Broncos allow opponents to shoot 50.5 percent from the floor including 39.8 percent from long range. Western Michigan got the best of the Chippewas twice last season including an overtime win in this gym so there is some added motivation for Central Michigan against their rivals. The Chippewas are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (884) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-02-17 | Warriors v. Clippers +8 | Top | 133-120 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
Give credit to the Clippers last night for keeping their focus on a bad Suns team in Phoenix knowing this game was upcoming in 24 hours. Los Angeles never trailed and while it never really pulled away for a no doubt win, it snapped a two-game slide heading into this showdown with the Warriors. The question has been for a few years about which team can give Golden St. a run in the Western Conference and the Clippers name seems to always come up despite the fact they have lost eight straight games in this series. The last one was the worst of all as they lost in Golden St. by 46 points on Saturday so payback will be at the forefront, especially after head coach Doc Rivers made the team watch a replay of the entire game on Monday. Golden St. also won last night as it defeated Charlotte at home for its fourth straight win to move to an NBA best 42-7. The Warriors have the best road record in the NBA which is a half-game better than the Spurs but this is not the ideal spot as Golden St. is 1-7 ATS this season with no rest when playing the second game on the road. This includes losses against the number in six straight games and the average margin of victory is just 3.8 ppg. 10* (708) Los Angeles Clippers |
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02-02-17 | Arizona v. Oregon State +17 | Top | 71-54 | Push | 0 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Arizona has moved up to No. 5 in the country thanks to a 14-game winning streak and this is a big roadtrip for the Wildcats. They have a Saturday showdown at Oregon, which sits one game behind Arizona in the Pac 12, so there is certainly the possibility of a lookahead to that game. The Wildcats have yet to lose on the road and while they are clearly a big step above Oregon St., laying a number this big on the highway is pretty aggressive. Arizona is just 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season of 15 or more points and the last time it layed more than 15 points on the road as all the way back in February of 2003. Oregon St. has yet to win a conference game but it continues to play hard and with no postseason on the horizon, trying to play spoiler is the remaining goal. While the Beavers are just 4-7 at home, they have not lost by more than what they are getting here and on the season, they are 4-1 ATS when getting more than 12 points. Most impressive though is that the Beavers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (744) Oregon St. Beavers |
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02-02-17 | James Madison +7 v. Elon | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington and Charleston are starting to separate themselves from the rest of the CAA and there is a logjam of five teams that are within two games of each other fighting for the final four spots of not having to play a first round game in the CAA Tournament. Elon and James Madison are both part of that group and it is the Dukes that are currently sitting in that unenviable seventh spot in the standings. They have dropped four straight games after a 4-2 start and half of their conference losses have come down to the final minute. While James Madison has been slipping, Elon has been moving up the ranks thanks to a complete opposite run as it has won four straight games after a 2-4 start. Elon caught a break last game as it faced a Hofstra team that was without two of its best players in guard Eli Pemberton (13.2 ppg) and center Rokas Gustys (12.2 rpg) and the absences showed in a 14-point Phoenix win. They have covered eight straight games which is a big reason they are favored by so much which matches the most they have been favored by in conference action. 10* (727) James Madison Dukes |
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02-01-17 | USC v. Washington +2 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
Washington is having another down season and will miss the NCAA Tournament once again to make it six years since its last appearance. The Huskies have lost three straight games to fall to 2-7 in the Pac 12 which includes a 0-4 record on the road and while its 2-3 home conference record does not look good, two of those losses came against Oregon and Utah. They are coming off a solid game at Arizona as they led the Wildcats in the second half before faltering down the stretch. The Huskies possess one of the most dynamic freshmen in the country as Markelle Fultz is the only player in the nation averaging 20 points, 6 assists and 6 rebounds and has been projected as a possible No. 1 overall pick. USC upset UCLA in its last game to make it two straight wins to improve to 5-4 in the Pac 12 and 18-4 overall. The short price the Trojans are laying here is clearly very enticing for the public as they are one of the highest road consensus plays of the night. We are bucking that here as the Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (586) Washington Huskies |
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02-01-17 | Bulls v. Thunder -3 | Top | 128-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Oklahoma City is coming off a loss at San Antonio last night which was its second straight loss with a defeat at Cleveland taking place two days earlier. The Thunder led early against the Spurs but eventually trailed by as many as 20 points but a return home after playing two of the best teams in the NBA is just what they need now. They have been involved in a brutal stretch since before Christmas as 16 of their last 21 games have taken place on the road and they have held their own by going 12-9 in those 21 games and with a game at home on Friday against Memphis marks the first time over this stretch they have had consecutive games at home. Oklahoma City has won five straight at home. Chicago picked up a victory over Philadelphia on Sunday which capped a 1-2 homestand. The Bulls have gone 3-9 over their last 12 road games and are just 5-11 on the season as a road underdog. The Thunder are 2-0 ATS when playing with no rest going from the road to back home and are 16-6 ATS as favorites of fewer than eight points while going 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. 10* (522) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-01-17 | Northwestern v. Purdue -9 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
Northwestern cracked the AP Top 25 this week for the first time since 2009-10 and its 18-4 start to the season is the best 22-game start in program history. The Wildcats are pretty much a cinch for the NCAA Tournament and a win here would lock it up. They have won their last six Big Ten games and have not won seven straight conference games since 1932-33. The public is all over them again tonight with this pretty big line but they will be without leading scorer Scottie Lindsey who will be out for a couple weeks with mono. Purdue has fallen to No. 23 following a loss at Nebraska on Sunday to fall to 2-3 on the road but the Boilermakers have been pretty dominant at home. They lost early in the season to Villanova and then again to Minnesota in overtime but they have won all other 11 home games, the last nine coming by double-digits. With the next two games taking place on the road, this is the only home game in a 24-day stretch so Purdue has to take advantage and pick up a quality win without much of a challenge. 10* (560) Purdue Boilermakers |
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02-01-17 | Wolves v. Cavs -7 | Top | 97-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
It is no secret that Cleveland is struggling as the Cavaliers are coming off a loss at Dallas which was their seventh loss in their last 11 games. They certainly had some questionable losses over this stretch but they have lost to some solid teams as well as well as a three-game stretch where they lost three straight by nine points combined with two of those coming in overtime. Cleveland was awful in January against the number as it went 3-12 ATS in 15 games but that is now helping us out here with value. The fact Cleveland is favored by the same amount here as it was in its last home game against Oklahoma City shows that. The recent play from Minnesota is also playing a role as it has gone 5-1 over its last six games and 8-3 over its last 11 games. Five of those wins came at home however while the road wins came against 15-33 Phoenix and the shorthanded Clippers so while the run has been nice, it has not been overly impressive. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following a win and the Cavaliers should be putting up an over the top effort tonight. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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02-01-17 | Syracuse v. NC State | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Syracuse picked up a big win on Saturday as it upended then-No. 6 Florida St. and that was its first win over a top 25 RPI ranked team after four losses to start the season. The Orange fans acted like it was even more than that as they stormed the floor and that is a great scenario to go against the next game as the players see that and get a little too overconfident. That was the second straight win for Syracuse to improve to 5-4 in the ACC and it is important to note that the home team is a perfect 9-0 in those nine games. NC State picked up a huge win at Duke just over a week ago but then could not sustain the momentum as the Wolfpack went to Louisville on Sunday and got hammered by 25 points. They have been hit or miss this season and are just 3-6 in the conference but have shown what they are capable of. NC State is ranked 66th in the most recent RPI with a 2-4 record overall against teams listed in the top 50 but it is 12-4 against teams ranked outside the top 50. 10* (548) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-31-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
The Lakers are coming off a winless roadtrip where they went 0-3 to make it 10 straight losses on the highway and are now 2-18 over their last 20 road games following a decent 3-3 start. They have been much better at home as they have won four of their last seven games in Los Angeles where they are just two games under .500 for the season. One of the recent losses at home came against Denver exactly two weeks ago and the line has risen from one-point then to well over a bucket now. The Nuggets have won three straight games and are 7-2 over their last nine games since their trip to London and that is certainly a big reason for the inflated line. Only two of those victories were on the road and while one came against the Lakers, it was a game that Denver shot an incredible 56.8 percent from the floor so that was an anomaly. Denver is 9-14 on the road and will once again be without Nikola Jokic who has been the Nuggets best player over the last month. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on three or more days of rest which is very big as D'Angelo Russell should be back in the lineup after suffering a mild MCL sprain against Denver. 10* (712) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-31-17 | Georgetown v. DePaul +7 | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
DePaul is having another DePaul-like season as it has fallen to 1-7 in the Big East following its fourth straight defeat. Three of those losses came on the road where the Blue Demons are 0-6 overall including 0-5 in the conference. While they are 1-2 at home in Big East games, one loss came against St. Johns where they blew a big lead while the other came against 18-4 Butler by a point in overtime. DePaul is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog and it is catching a bigger than expected number here. Georgetown started 1-6 in the Big East but pulled off a pair of upsets last week when it defeated Creighton at home and Butler on the road. That is a big reason this line is what it is but it is hard to believe that the Hoyas have somehow flipped a switch and become a good basketball team. They have gone just 3-6 ATS as favorites and this is the first game they have been favored on the road. Going back, the Hoyas are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 and if ever there a spot for a letdown, this is certainly the one. 10* (758) DePaul Blue Demons |
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01-31-17 | Loyola-Chicago v. Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 81-82 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
Illinois St. and Wichita St. are separating themselves from the rest of the conference but Loyola-Chicago and Missouri St. are in a battle for third place. Right now it is the Ramblers that possess that spot at 6-4 thanks to three straight wins but those came against the three worst teams in the conference which have a combined record of 5-25. All six wins have come against teams at .500 or worse and one of those came against Missouri St. just over two weeks ago setting up a revenge spot for the Bears here. They were outscored 20-9 at the free throw line in the six-point losses but we should see a reversal of that here. Missouri St. is 5-5 in the MVC with three of those losses coming in overtime including its last two games by a single point each. The Bears have been solid at home with a 10-3 record, two losses coming in conference action and the other coming against 18-4 Valparaiso by just three points. The Bears have not been out-rebounded in 11 straight games and are now 14-3 when beating their opponents on the glass. This is big because the Ramblers are getting outrebounded by close to four rpg overall and 4.0 rpg on the road. 10* (740) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-31-17 | Maryland v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
We lost with Minnesota on Saturday as Maryland came in and defeated the Gophers to move to 5-0 on the road. The Terrapins remain one of only three undefeated teams on the road but this is the spot it ends with this being their fourth road game over their last five contests. Maryland has won six straight games overall and are one of eight teams in the nation with two or fewer losses. However, the Terrapins are the lowest ranked of the bunch. It has been a tough season for Ohio St. despite being a very veteran team as the Buckeyes are now 3-6 in the Big Ten following a loss at Iowa on Saturday. They are 1-4 on the road and while they are just 2-2 at home, the two losses came against Purdue and Minnesota by a combined three points. The veteran aspect of Ohio St. is important here as the Buckeyes will be pretty amped up to avenge a pair of losses last season against Maryland. The Terrapins are on a 6-0 ATS run so we go contrarian with that while knowing the Buckeyes are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (734) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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01-30-17 | Grizzlies v. Suns +3.5 | Top | 115-96 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is just the ninth home game for Phoenix since December 23 and while it is coming off a bad loss against Denver on Saturday, the Suns have done pretty well here even in the other losses. The other three defeats came against Utah, Dallas and Minnesota by a combined 11 points and prior to the Denver game, they were on a 7-1 ATS run over this home stretch. Phoenix has played the toughest schedule in the NBA and have been great in this role, going 9-4 ATS as a home underdog while going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home. Memphis has been pretty up and down of late but is coming off an upset win at Utah on Saturday by seven points as a 7.5-point underdog. Ever since a 7-1 run in the middle of December, they are just 10-12 over their last 22 games including a 5-7 record on the road. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win while Phoenix is 9-2 ATS this season at home against teams with a winning record. 10* (510) Phoenix Suns |
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01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +1 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
It was not a good Big XII/SEC Challenge day for Oklahoma as the Sooners hosted Florida and got annihilated by 32 points. Whether they were looking ahead to the Bedlam game with Oklahoma St. is unclear but we do know that it is imperative for a bounce back on their home floor. Oklahoma is 5-5 at home and has now lost three straight as prior to the Florida game, it fell in overtime to Iowa St. on Saturday before falling to rival Texas on a last-second three-pointer on Monday. Oklahoma St. dispatched of Arkansas on Saturday at home by 28 points for its third straight victory. The Cowboys opened 0-6 in the conference before taking care of Texas Tech and TCU but they are catching Oklahoma at the wrong time. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Sooners are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Oklahoma has won 15 of the last 16 Bedlam battles in Norman, including the last 12 meetings. The Sooners have not lost a Bedlam game at home since 2004. 10* (526) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-29-17 | Knicks v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 139-142 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
The Hawks got throttled in their most recent game against the red hot Wizards as they lost by 26 points for their 10th home loss of the season. That was their second straight home loss following a 6-1 run at Philips Arena and we can expect a bounce back on Sunday. Going back, the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home and this is the perfect team to play against to extend that as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Knicks meanwhile won a rare game on Friday as they defeated the Hornets at home by three points. It was a balanced effort with six players scoring in double-digits but Carmelo Anthony struggled amid all of the trade rumors while Derrick Rose got injured and is not expected to play today. New York has not won consecutive games in a month and is now 5-14 over its last 19 games while going 0-5 straight up and ATS following a victory. 10* (832) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-29-17 | Washington State +10.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Washington St. gave Arizona an unexpected fight on Thursday as the Cougars trailed by just six points at halftime and were down by only three points with eight minutes to go until the Wildcats eventually pilled away. They fell to 3-5 in the conference and 10-10 overall which are nearly identical records as the host yet Washington St. is receiving double-digits and the Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sun Devils are coming off a win on Wednesday over Washington as small favorites and they caught a break by going to the free throw line 21 more times than the Huskies. That win improved them to 3-5 in the Pac 12 and 11-10 overall. This is an extremely young team with only one senior on the roster so coming back from a big win has been difficult as previous wins over Colorado, San Diego St. and Stanford were followed up by losses. Arizona St. has won consecutive games only twice this season and it is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a win. 10* (857) Washington St. Cougars |
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01-29-17 | Michigan v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This has not been the typical Michigan St. team we have seen in recent years but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. Last season, the Spartans went 13-0 prior to the Big Ten season but went just 8-5 this season and that was due to a brutal November slate. The Spartans had never faced three Top 10 opponents in November until this season, and had never played four Top 20 non-conference opponents in a single month during the regular season. What is similar is the early conference record as they are 4-4 this season and after starting 3-4 last season, they went on to finish 10-1 over their final 11 Big Ten games. Michigan is coming off a 30-point win over Indiana on Thursday as it shot a ridiculous 63.3 percent from the floor. The Wolverines are 0-5 on the road compared to 14-2 in 16 non-true road games. Going back, the Wolverines are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (852) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-29-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -11.5 | Top | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Oakland is going through some struggles right now as this team was supposed to contend for the Horizon League Championship with Valparaiso but is now stuck in a three-way tie for third place at 5-4. The Golden Grizzlies lost at home to 7-2 Green Bay on Friday which was their fourth loss in their last five games and most surprisingly, their third straight home defeat after a 9-1 start at The Blacktop at the O'rena. Milwaukee is riding a three-game winning streak but two of those took overtime and all three came against the only three teams that are below the Panthers and those three teams are a combined 8-21 in the conference. The last victory came on Friday against Detroit on the road but that was just their second road win on the season, the first coming at Montana St. Going back, the Panthers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win while the Golden Grizzlies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. 10* (854) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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01-28-17 | Oregon v. Colorado +7 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Colorado finally broke through with its first conference win as it took out Oregon St. on Thursday after seven straight Pac 12 losses. The Buffaloes have definitely been the biggest disappointment in the conference but they have suffered some brutal losses including a pair of overtime losses and two other losses by three points or less. They led in the final minute of regulation or in overtime in all four of those games. Oregon continues to roll as it defeated a very solid Utah team on Thursday to run its winning streak to 17 straight games. Additionally, the Ducks have covered their last eight games and because of that, the linesmakers have had to make an overadjustment here. The run has been solid but the quality of opponents over the last six games has not been great with the exception of the Utes. The confidence of that first conference win for Colorado will have them in great shape here with an outright upset far from out of the question. 10* (662) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-28-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | Top | 72-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Iowa returns home following a loss at Illinois to fall to 0-5 on the road including four conference losses. Overall, the Hawkeyes have lost three straight games to fall to 3-5 in the Big Ten and they need to get a run going and it should start here with the first of three straight winnable games. Ohio St. is also 3-5 in the conference but it has been playing a lot better with wins in three of its last four games following a 0-4 start in the Big Ten. The Buckeyes own just one road win in the conference and that came by a point at Nebraska which came on a last second layup. The only other road victory came at Navy in their first game of the season. going back, the Buckeyes are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games. 10* (642) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-28-17 | Kings v. Hornets -7.5 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
We played against Sacramento last night which resulted in a push and we will be going against the Kings again tonight as they are in an awful spot. The loss last night was in overtime which was their second straight overtime game and with this being the third game in four nights, this is a fatigued team. Additionally, this is their sixth game in nine nights, all of which have taken place on the road so there has been travel involved every day. Charlotte has dropped its last three games and is now a game under .500 on the season. The latest defeat came last night in New York and while this is also the sixth game in nine nights for the Hornets, the first four were all at home so there has been minimal travel. As mentioned yesterday, the Pacers are the only team in the NBA that has at least 15 wins at home and at least 15 losses on the road so the venue matters. Well, Charlotte has joined that group as it brings in a 159 record at home. The Kings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (502) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-28-17 | Towson v. Northeastern -2.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Northeastern was pretty average during the non-conference portion of its schedule where it went 7-5 but that included a pair of solid wins over Connecticut and Michigan St. on the road. Of those 12 games, only two took place at home so in reality, the start to the season was arguably better than the record shows. The Huskies then opened CAA action with a perfect 5-0 record, four of those wins coming at home. The run did not last long however as Northeastern has lost its last four games including a loss to Elon on Thursday. Towson is also 5-4 in the CAA but it has had the opposite conference season as it opened with four straight losses but has bounced back with five consecutive wins and covers. This includes two road wins but those were against teams a combined 3-15 in the conference. This is also a revenge game for the Huskies which lost the first meeting by seven points and that was the start of this recent four-game skid. 10* (628) Northeastern Huskies |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
After a great start to the season, Minnesota has hit a rough stretch. The Gophers opened the season 15-2 including a 3-1 record in the Big Ten but they have lost their last four games. To their credit, three of those losses came on the road while the lone home loss came against Wisconsin last Saturday in overtime by just two points. That was just their second home loss of the season and the first defeat was by just one point which also came in overtime against Michigan St. Maryland has cracked the Top 25 thanks to five straight wins to improve to 18-2 on the season. The Terrapins are 4-0 on the road and they are one of just three teams in the country that are still undefeated on the road, Arizona and Gonzaga being the others. It is very difficult to sustain that type of play on the highway and they catch Minnesota at the absolute worst time. Going back, the Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (538) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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01-28-17 | Providence +8.5 v. Marquette | Top | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Marquette pulled off a big upset on the road last Saturday at Creighton and it turned out to not be a fluke as the Golden Eagles backed that up with a home upset over Villanova on Tuesday. They definitely have the confidence going right now but this sets up as the classic letdown spot and because of those two big wins, they are overpriced here. Keeping the winning streak going is a definite possibility but now they are being asked to cover a bigger than expected number here. Providence has dropped two straight games to fall to 3-6 in the Big East. The Friars have struggled away from home but have covered five of those nine games including three of their last four. While they have lost three of their last five games, they are outshooting opponents by over four percent from the floor so things could be better at this point. The Golden Eagles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Friars are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (541) Providence Friars |
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01-28-17 | Florida State -3 v. Syracuse | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Syracuse picked up a much needed win over Wake Forest on Tuesday to improve to 4-4 in the ACC and while the home team is now 17-2 in its games this season, this is not a good spot. The Orange are 0-4 this season against teams ranked in the RPI Top 25 with all four of those resulting in blowout losses by at least 14 points. The Orange are struggling mightily on defense and this is not the game for that to improve. We played against Florida St. on Wednesday as it lost at Georgia Tech by 22 points which came after a 5-1 run. Most impressively, those six games all came against teams ranked in the Top 25 so it was a brutal stretch that they survived very well. The loss to the Yellow Jackets was just the third of the season for the Seminoles and they are a perfect 8-0 against teams ranked outside the RPI Top 100. The Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss while the Orange are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (521) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-27-17 | Rockets -8 v. 76ers | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Two teams trending in opposite directions square off on Friday as Houston looks to get back on track following a pair of losses while the Sixers look to keep their four-week run going strong. The Rockets have lost consecutive games for just the second time this season but they are still 12-2 straight up and ATS following a loss. Despite the last two losses, Houston is 17-10 on the road which is the third best road record in the NBA. Philadelphia has gone 10-3 in its last 13 games since December 30 and will be out to win its third straight game for the third time during this recent winning stretch. Seven of these wins have come against teams with a losing record and facing a dynamic offense of the Rockets will be an issue. The Sixers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA with Joel Embiid on the floor but he is likely to miss his fourth straight game. The Rockets are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a losing straight up record while going back, they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. 10* (851) Houston Rockets |
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01-27-17 | Bucks v. Raptors -4 | Top | 86-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
While Cleveland is the big talk with its recent slump, the Raptors have gone under the radar with their issues. They have lost five straight games and this is the longest losing streak since February of 2015 so this is a rare thing going on right now. Toronto has been without DeMar DeRozan for the last two games and he will be out again tonight and while he is a dynamic player whose absence is hard to replace, the Raptors will be ready to get out of this funk against a team it has dominated the last two seasons. The Bucks are struggling also as they have dropped six of their last seven games to fall three games under .500. The potential for Milwaukee is there with a cast of great young players but it is still missing a key cog in Khris Middleton who will hopefully be back in a few weeks. The Bucks have just eight road wins this season and are 6-11 both straight up and ATS as road underdogs. Additionally, the Bucks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (856) Toronto Raptors |
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01-27-17 | Kings v. Pacers -4 | Top | 111-115 | Push | 0 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is a great spot to go against the Kings which are coming off a big upset win over the Cavaliers for their second straight road win as underdogs. They have not won three straight road games in over a calendar year and this recent two-game stretch came after a horrid 1-8 run. Sacramento has allowed over 100 points in 15 of its last 16 games as the defense remains one of the worst in the NBA and it is third to last in effective defensive field goal percentage. The Pacers are coming off a rare road win last night at Minnesota which snapped a three game losing streak and put them back over .500 for the season. They are 16-6 at home and they are the only team in the NBA that has at least 15 wins at home and at least 15 losses on the road so the venue matters most for Indiana more than any other team in the league. The Kings are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (854) Indiana Pacers |
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01-26-17 | Louisiana Tech v. UAB -2 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
UAB opened the conference season with a loss at Middle Tennessee St., which is currently 7-0 in C-USA, but then ran off five straight wins before losing at Florida International this past Saturday. The Blazers were picked to win the conference and sitting just two games behind the Blue Raiders, they are still in great position. The front end of the schedule has been tough with five of the first seven conference games taking place on the road. They are 7-2 at home including four straight victories and going back, UAB has won 20 consecutive home games against conference opponents. Louisiana Tech has been one of the big surprises early on in the conference season as it is off to a 6-1 start. The Bulldogs have won and covered four straight games but the opposition has not been very strong and overall, they have played the fourth easiest schedule in the conference. All six conference wins have come against teams that are 4-3 or worse so the fact they are sitting in second place by themselves is a bit skewed. The Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (742) UAB Blazers |
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01-26-17 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -8 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
It was a solid start to the conference season for Western Kentucky as it opened 3-0 including a pair of road wins where it came in 1-6 but things have started going the wrong way. The Hilltoppers have lost four straight games including the last three that all came on the highway. The schedule has not been in their favor with five of the first seven C-USA games taking place on the road but this start a stretch of five of the next seven games coming at home. Western Kentucky has gone 0-5 ATS in its last five games which gives us some value in the number tonight. UTEP is having the opposite start to its conference season as it opened 0-3 in its first three C-USA games, all on the road, but has won its last three games, all at home. Two of those came by a point in overtime and the latest win came over UTSA which was riding a three-game winning streak at the time. The recent win over the Roadrunners snapped an eight-game ATS slide. Overall, the Miners are winless on the road and going back, they are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games following three or more consecutive road games. 10* (736) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Northwestern is in great position to make its first ever NCAA Tournament as the Wildcats are 16-4 overall including a 5-2 record in the Big Ten. Currently, they are projected as a No. 8 seed which is pretty secure at this point barring a monumental collapse. The remaining schedule is a monster and a look ahead to Indiana on Sunday would not at all be surprising. The Wildcats opened 15-3 last season but failed to make the Big Dance so the solid record this season does not necessarily mean this team is any more dominant. Nebraska has been up and down this season as it is now 9-10 following an upset loss at Rutgers this past Saturday which was its fourth straight defeat. This comes after a 3-0 start in the Big Ten including very solid wins over Indiana and Maryland on the road. This recent skid has been tough considering all four losses have come by eight points or less with the last two coming by three points combined. The Huskers have played the second toughest schedule in the country after playing non-conference games against UCLA, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Creighton and Kansas. They have covered five straight games as an underdog. 10* (731) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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01-25-17 | Heat v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
Brooklyn is coming off one of its worst losses of the season as it not only lost by 26 points against San Antonio but it came against a Spurs team missing Kawai Leonard, Tony Parker and Pau Gasol so it was clearly not motivated to be playing a short-handed team. Those are type of losses that we can take advantage of next time out. Brooklyn has dropped 13 of its last 14 games but one look at the schedule will show a reason why as the Nets have played 11 of those games against teams currently in playoff positions with the other three coming against Philadelphia and New Orleans which are both playing their best basketball of the season. The Heat enter on a four-game overall winning streak but also on a four-game road losing streak and on the season, they are 2-9 on the road against the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a last second victory against Golden St. which presents a letdown especially facing the Nets in this next game. Miami has dominated this series with wins in nine of the last 10 meetings but those were dominant Miami teams and this is the first meeting this season. The Nets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record while Miami lost and failed to cover its only game as a road favorite. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-25-17 | Creighton -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Creighton is laying a short price on the road and at 5-0 on the road this season, there is no reason to think the Bluejays will not keep it going. They are coming off a loss against Marquette on Saturday and while it seemed like a bad loss at the time, the fact the Golden Eagles defeated Villanova last night shows that it was not a poor loss after all. That was just the second loss of the season, the first coming against Villanova, and Creighton responded with a blowout win next time out. While that may have come against St. Johns, Georgetown is not much better this season. The Hoyas were a disappointment last season as they finished with the worst record in the John Thompson III era and while a turnaround was expected this season, it has not happened. They are 10-10 which is not horrible but their 1-6 record in the Big East is horrible and Georgetown has not even hit the tough part of the schedule. The Hoyas still have Creighton once again, Butler and Villanova twice. The Bluejays lost point guard Maurice Watson for the season two games back which definitely hurt against Marquette but now have had extra time to adjust. The Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite while the Hoyas are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (539) Creighton Bluejays |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Florida St. is coming off a brutal, yet very successful, stretch so it is in position for a big letdown. The Seminoles are coming off a run of six straight games against nationally ranked opponents where they went 5-1 and the victory over Louisville was the sixth win over a ranked opponent this season which ties a school record. Four of the six games during the recent run came at home where they are 14-0 this season but just 1-1 on the road. Georgia Tech has played better than expected this season as they Yellow Jackets are 11-8 overall including 3-4 in the ACC. Those three wins are pretty impressive as well as they won at home against Clemson and on the road at NC State but the big one was a home victory over North Carolina by 12 points as a 17-point underdog. Georgia Tech is coming off a three-game roadtrip that resulted in that win over the Wolfpack and a tough one-point loss at Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech leads the ACC in field goal percentage defense against ACC teams and that is a key component when facing the Seminoles which have been fairly potent on offense this season. In its last game, Georgia Tech held Virginia to its third-lowest point total of the year and eight points below its season scoring average entering the game. The Seminoles are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Yellow Jackets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. 10* (532) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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01-24-17 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
If the season ended today, 10 ACC teams would be heading to the NCAA Tournament with two additional teams on the bubble looking in. This list does not include Syracuse which is 11-9 overall and 3-4 in the ACC. The problem is the Orange have only one quality win which came at home over Miami three weeks ago. The problem has been their lack of success on the road where they are 0-4 in conference action and all of those have been double-digit losses. Syracuse is 3-0 at home in the ACC and in need of a win here following blowout losses at North Carolina and Notre Dame last week. One of those 10 teams currently in the Big Dance is Wake Forest despite also being 3-4 in the ACC and having a 0-5 record against the RPI top 25. The Demon Deacons are coming off a pair of upset victories over Miami and NC State which has helped their rundown. They were picked to finish near the bottom of the ACC so we can definitely see a dropoff coming soon. The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Demon Deacons are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* (740) Syracuse Orange |
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01-24-17 | Spurs v. Raptors +3 | Top | 108-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Instead of this game being a matchup of potential NBA Finals candidates at full strength, it is more about the injuries that are bringing down the status of this game. The good news is that we know the situations so there will be no late surprises. San Antonio is coming off a 26-point win last night in Brooklyn despite missing three starters and a key reserve but it should get Kawhi Leonard back after sitting Monday with a sore hand but it was more about rest in the first game of a back-to-back. The Spurs have won four straight games including a win at Cleveland on Saturday but now are playing their third game in four nights and while they have been perfect in back-to-back road games, the other three games were against Washington, Minnesota and Portland. Toronto will be without DeMar DeRozan who is sitting with an ankle injury and while he is tough to replace, it will be up to Kyle Lowry and Jonas Valanciunas to take this one over and their usage and production increase significantly when DeRozan is off court in past seasons. The Raptors will be out for revenge from a 28-point loss in San Antonio earlier this month and going back, they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (706) Toronto Raptors |
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01-24-17 | Purdue v. Michigan State +2.5 | Top | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This has not been the typical Michigan St. team we have seen in recent years but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. Last season, the Spartans went 13-0 prior to the Big Ten season but went just 8-5 this season and that was due to a brutal November slate. The Spartans had never faced three Top 10 opponents in November until this season, and had never played four Top 20 non-conference opponents in a single month during the regular season. What is similar is the early conference record as they are 4-3 this season and after starting 3-4 last season, they went on to finish 10-1 over their final 11 Big Ten games. Coming off two straight road losses, this is a huge game. Purdue has won two straight games but those were at home against Illinois and Penn St. and the Boilermakers have not been great on the road, going 1-2 with the lone win coming by just a point at Ohio St. Going back, the Spartans are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (728) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-23-17 | Oklahoma v. Texas -2 | Top | 83-84 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Texas opened the Big XII season with a loss to Kansas St. and then a win over Oklahoma St. but has since dropped five straight games to sit in last place in the conference. While the Longhorns are 1-6 in the conference, they are 6-1 against the number which shows the record could be better than it actually is. Half of the losses have come by just one possession and all four road Big XII losses have come against teams with winning records in the conference. The last three games came against top ten teams and this marked the first time in program history that the Longhorns have faced three consecutive opponents ranked in the AP Top 10. Oklahoma got off to a rough start with four straight losses to begin conference play but was able to put together a pair of wins including a big upset at West Virginia before losing on Saturday in overtime against Iowa St. The Sooners were stacked last season in their trip to the Final Four but they are clearly feeling the effects from losing three starters including dynamic guard Buddy Hield. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss while the Sooners are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. 10* (538) Texas Longhorns |
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01-23-17 | Rockets v. Bucks +5.5 | Top | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
The Bucks are in the midst of their worst stretch of the season as they have dropped five straight games after falling in Miami on Saturday by 12 points to make it a 0-3 roadtrip. One of these five losses came at home where Milwaukee is above .500 on the season and will be out for some quick revenge following a loss in Houston last Wednesday by 19 points. The Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Houston bounced back from a loss against Golden St. with a win at Memphis the following night to improve to 12-1 straight up and ATS following a loss this season. The Rockets have beaten up on the poor teams this season, going 20-3 against teams ranked outside the top 16 but just 14-10 against teams within the top 16. Obviously one of those wins was against Milwaukee last week but we are getting incredible line value here as Houston closed at -6.5 at home and now it is favored by only a bucket less on the road so the typical six to eight-point swing on venue change is not happening here. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win. 10* (512) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-22-17 | Nuggets v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 108-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
It has been a busy week for Denver since returning home from its London game against Indiana as the Nuggets re now playing their fifth game in seven days including their second back-to-back over this stretch. They took care of the short-handed Clippers last night as they never trailed and led by as many as 35 points for their fourth win in five games. Denver is 5-11 in its last 16 road games while going 1-5 ATS in its last six games playing with no rest. Minnesota is also coming off a win over the Clippers as it took care of them on Thursday and while it has struggled following a win this season, the ample time off negates that. The Timberwolves have won three straight home games and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games here and two outright losses were by just two points against the Rockets and Jazz who are a combined 34 games over .500. Minnesota will be playing with double-revenge as well following a pair of losses against Denver, both coming by just one possession each. 10* (838) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 8 m | Show |
The Patriots are riding an eight-game winning streak and are 12-1 since the return of quarterback Tom Brady. Is this the product of a very elite New England team or the product of a very soft schedule? While it consists of both, it is more of the latter. Great teams win and the Patriots are doing just that but there is more too it since there has been little resistance from opposing offense. New England is No.1 in the NFL in points allowed and since Brady returned, here is the list of quarterbacks he has faced. Brock Osweiler, Matt Moore, Bryce Petty, Trevor Simien, Joe Flacco, Jared Goff, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Colin Kaepernick, Russell Wilson, Tyrod Taylor, Landry Jones, Andy Dalton and Cody Kessler. The quarterback with the highest rating of the group was Russell Wilson and that resulted in a loss. There is a reason the defense has looked good because the numbers are skewed. Now they get to face Ben Roethlisberger who missed the first meeting back in Week Seven and the Steelers still won the yardage battle in that game. Not to be outdone, Pittsburgh has won nine straight games and has been outgained only once over that stretch which was the regular season finale when the big three on offense rested. While the Steelers won by just two points last week, they dominated Kansas City, outgaining the Chiefs by 162 total yards. The defense is unspectacular but still very solid and can certainly slow down the New England offense. While New England is more accustomed to this spot, the Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Conference Championships games while the Steelers are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (313) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 75 h 9 m | Show |
The Packers are the popular public play to make it to the Super Bowl as after Aaron Rodgers said they were going to run the table, they have done just that. They have won their last eight games, putting up 30 or more points in their last six, while covering seven of those games and taking three of those outright. Rodgers is playing at a high level right now as he has had a quarterback rating surpassing 100 in seven of his last nine games. Turn on any sports talk show and he is all you hear about in this game. Well, Matt Ryan may have something to say about this. He led the NFL in quarterback rating and he has surpassed a 100 rating in eight of his last 10 games. Many will point to the fact that Green Bay is once again getting more than a field goal for a second straight week but this week, the challenge will be more difficult. Last week, Green Bay jumped out to a 21-3 lead but could not pull away as the defense allowed the Cowboys and rookie quarterback Dak Prescott to get right back in the game and nearly had to go to overtime. The Packers secondary is a mess and they will be challenge even more here against the top ranked offense in the NFL. Last week, we played against Atlanta thinking the Seahawks defense could slow the Falcons down and that was not the case as Ryan tore them apart. Playing the final game ever in the Georgia Dome, the Falcons will have an even greater home field advantage which will help the defense which we saw last week. They will not shut Green Bay down but have the potential to slow them down enough to be able to allow their own offense to pull away. 10* (312) Atlanta Falcons |
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01-22-17 | La Salle v. VCU -7 | Top | 52-90 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
LaSalle is tied with Dayton and Richmond for first place in the Atlantic Ten Conference thanks to a schedule that has been pretty tame thus far. The Explorers opened the conference season with a loss at Dayton but have won five straight games to get everything turned around. Four of those games however took place at home and while a road win at Rhode Island was impressive, they are going into a bad spot on Sunday. VCU has had the complete opposite A-10 season thus far as it opened with four straight wins but lost both games last week against Davidson and Fordham, the latter taking place in overtime on Wednesday. Both of those defeats were on the road and the Rams head back home looking to improve upon their 8-1 record, the lone loss coming in overtime against Georgia Tech. LaSalle is 0-2 ATS this season as a single-digit underdog while the Rams are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games against teams with a losing record away from home. 10* (854) VCU Rams |
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01-21-17 | Rockets +1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
The marquee game from last night turned out to be a dud as Houston fell apart in the second half and lost to Golden St. by 17 points. The Rockets are in a good position to bounce back though as they have had no issues playing with no rest, going 10-1 this season in the second of a back-to-back set. Additionally, Houston has responded when coming off a loss, winning 11 of 12 games this season coming off a defeat. The Grizzlies had no issues last night against the short-handed Kings as they won by 16 points against Sacramento which was playing its first game without Rudy Gay and it showed. Memphis snapped a two-game skid with the victory and the Grizzlies have been pretty average over the last month, going just 8-10 over their last 18 games. While Houston was not looking ahead to this game by playing the Warriors on Friday, there will be motivation tonight as the Rockets lost the first two meetings this season and will be out to extend their 16-8 road record as those 16 road wins are third most in the NBA. 10* (513) Houston Rockets |
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01-21-17 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -5 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
It has been a pretty average season for Tennessee as it is off to a 9-9 start overall including a 2-4 record in the SEC. This is a very young team but now that the Volunteers have been together for half of a season, the chemistry is getting better and that has been evident. They have had a tough schedule to open conference action with four of six games taking place on the road with two home games coming against two of the top teams in the SEC. they lost at Mississippi on Tuesday which came after a win at Vanderbilt so a trip back home should get them back on track. Mississippi St. is another very young team going through a complete overhaul and it has exceeded expectations thus far with a 12-5 record overall and a 3-2 start in the SEC. However, the majority of the wins have been unimpressive as the Bulldogs have played the easiest schedule of any team in the conference while the Volunteers have played the No. 5 ranked schedule in the nation. Mississippi St. is coming off a hard-fought loss at home against Kentucky so getting up once again will be extremely difficult. 10* (624) Tennessee Volunteers |
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01-21-17 | BYU v. Pacific +9 | Top | 62-47 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
We played against BYU last Saturday as the Cougars went to San Diego and lost by 13 points as a double-digit favorite and this game looks like a very similar setup. BYU is 5-2 in the conference following a 29-point home win over Pepperdine on Thursday. They are doing all of this without Kyle Davis, their best returning interior player, who is gone for the season with a knee injury. They are just 3-4 ATS in the conference and 8-9 ATS overall which shows how inflated their lines have been and that is the case again here as they travel to Pacific. The Tigers are off to an opposite start as they are 2-5 in the conference following a pair of road losses at San Francisco and St. Marys. They are 1-2 in the conference at home with one loss against Gonzaga and the other coming by just four points. Another reason we played on San Diego last week was that it was out to avenge a 58-point loss to the Cougars last season and the Tigers have even more recent revenge as they went to Provo on January 7 and was blasted by 29 points and they certainly have not forgotten that. 10* (626) Pacific Tigers |
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01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
The Big Ten seems to be in a transition period and that is a good thing as there is no dominant team right now as the conference is wide open. Maryland has the lead at 5-1 but there are eight teams within two games of the Terrapins including both teams in this matchup. Minnesota has been a pleasant surprise this season with a 15-4 record including going 3-3 in the Big Ten. This does include losses in two straight games but those came on the road where the defense was as strong as ever but the offense forgot to show up, scoring just 47 and 50 points. The Gophers are 12-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Michigan St. by a single point in overtime. Wisconsin meanwhile is coming off two straight wins against Ohio St. and Michigan but both of those were at home where the Badgers are 11-0. They are just 2-2 on the road and there is not much of a difference with them and Minnesota as who they play as Wisconsin is 4-3 against the top 25 while the Gophers are3-3 against such teams. Minnesota is in excellent shape to snap a five-game losing streak against one of their hated rivals. 10* (602) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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01-21-17 | Colorado -5.5 v. Washington State | Top | 89-91 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
It is not too often that you will see a 0-6 team in conference play favored by this much on the road but that is the case here and we will bite on this one. Colorado is one of the most disappointing teams in the country since conference play started as the Buffaloes are winless in the Pac 12 following a 10-3 nonconference season. They have played a tough schedule thus far as they have faced the top four teams in the conference and after coming off an overtime loss Thursday against Washington, they will be out to put the hurt on Washington St. The Cougars were picked to finish dead last in the Pac 12 and they are headed in that direction. After a 2-0 start, Washington St. has lost its last four games including a 41-point bludgeoning at home against Utah on Thursday. That is a difficult defeat to recover from and at 6-4 at home, there is no real home court edge for the Cougars. Colorado needs this game to get going in the right direction and playing their typical game means they can name the score here. 10* (597) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -4 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
Florida St. won on Wednesday but failed to cover for us as the Seminoles let a big late lead go by as Notre Dame got the backdoor cover. The Irish stayed in the game thanks to going an unheard of 15-21 (71.4 percent) from long range so Florida St. was pretty unlucky. The Seminoles conclude a six-game run of facing ranked opponents and the fact they are 4-1 through the first four games shows this team is for real. They are now 17-2 overall and are in a first place tie with North Carolina and Notre Dame in the ACC. The fact they remain home is big as is the fact that Louisville is coming off a Thursday game which gives Florida St. the travel edge. The Cardinals were involved in a close game early on against Clemson but pulled away in the second half for the big victory. Louisville is 2-1 on the road with two very weak wins and a loss at Notre Dame and coming off a three-game homestand is never a good situation for a team, especially going to a very hostile environment. Florida St. surely has not forgotten the 19-point loss suffered at Louisville last season almost a year ago to the day. 10* (546) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-20-17 | Pacers v. Lakers +3 | Top | 96-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
We lost a tough one with the Kings on Wednesday as they blew a 22-point lead and they checked out mentally when they lost Rudy Gay to a ruptured Achilles in the third quarter. "Obviously, it was on our minds," forward Arron Afflalo said. "But that's still no excuse to blow that game." It certainly should not be an excuse but it is human nature and the Pacers escaped with a fortunate come-from-behind win. Indiana has now won seven of its last eight games but five of those wins came at home where it is 16-5 but the Pacers are still just 6-13 on the road while going 3-8 ATS on the highway against losing teams. Going into that 3-8 record is the fact the Pacers are just 1-5 straight up and ATS as road favorites. The Lakers are in the midst of a five-game slide, both straight up and against the number, and this is now a big game for them because the upcoming stretch is not good. Eight of their next nine games are on the road and leading up to the All-Star break, they play nine of their last 11 con the highway. Los Angeles is a respectable 6-8 straight up and 7-7 ATS as a home underdog and overall, it has played the No. 5 ranked schedule in the league while the Pacers have played the easiest schedule in the NBA. 10* (868) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-20-17 | Blazers -2 v. 76ers | Top | 92-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
The Sixers are playing their best basketball of the season as they are coming off another win to put them 7-2 over their last nine games. Going back further, they are 10-8 over their last 18 games and are a surprising 5.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia has been able to get the job done in the weak Eastern Conference, going 10-14 while covering over 65 percent of those games, However, Philadelphia is just 4-12 against the Western Conference this season and while Portland is not part of the elite group of the conference, it is still a talented team that has dealt with injuries which as hurt continuity. The Blazers have lost three straight games including the first two games on this four-game roadtrip and with Boston on deck tomorrow night, this is a must win for Portland. The Blazers have struggled on the road with a 7-17 record including a 2-4 record over the last month. The four losses came against teams that will be going to the playoffs while the two wins came against the Lakers and Timberwolves which are both a game better than the Sixers. The favorite is 31-11 in Portland games this season and the Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. 10* (851) Portland Trailblazers |
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01-19-17 | Wolves v. Clippers -2 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
This is what we call an overreaction line. The Clippers bad luck continued on Tuesday as point guard Chris Paul went down with a thumb injury and after surgery, he will now be sidelined for six to eight weeks. This is the fifth and final game of this five-game homestand and taking a look at three other comparable teams, the Heat, Magic and Lakers, we see a massive overadjustment. Those three teams have 12, 17 and 15 wins respectively and Minnesota comes in close to all of those with 14 wins yet the line differential between those three games to this one is seven, eight and nine points respectively. No player in the NBA is worth that many points and this is a situation where the rest of the Clippers step up in the wake of adversity. Additionally, this is a huge game for Los Angeles with 11 of its next 13 games on the road which includes three matchups with the Warriors, two with the Hawks and away dates against the Raptors, Celtics and Jazz. Minnesota continues its struggles as it has lost two straight games and going back, has dropped its last six road games. The Timberwolves may feel confident to pick up a win here but the Clippers have a roster that is still very solid without Paul and Blake Griffin and we can take advantage of this generous home number. 10* (710) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-19-17 | Clemson +7 v. Louisville | Top | 60-92 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Clemson opened the season 11-2 but has hit a major roadblock in the ACC. The Tigers two losses were against Xavier and Oklahoma by six points and they opened conference play with a win at Wake Forest but has lost the last four games. The schedule has not been in their favor as three losses came by three of the top teams in the ACC, North Carolina, Notre Dame and Virginia which are a combined 47-9 including 14-4 in the conference. Also in the mix was a bad loss at Georgia Tech but that was a tough sandwich spot. Clemson held their own in those three tough losses as they fell by 3, 4 and 5 points. Louisville has won its last three games after a 0-2 start in the conference including a win over Duke last time out. The Cardinals paid a price for that win however as they lost point guard Quentin Snider for the foreseeable future with a hip injury. Snider is second on the team in scoring with 12.1 ppg and leads the team with 4.0 apg. While the Tigers rely on Jaron Blossomgame, who is averaging 18.2 ppg, they are balanced beyond that as six players average between 8.0 and 11.3 ppg and all of which have posted multiple double-digit scoring games. 10* (745) Clemson Tigers |
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01-19-17 | Maryland v. Iowa -2 | Top | 84-76 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Two teams coming off opposite efforts over the weekend square off in Iowa City and this is a much bigger game for the host. Iowa is coming off its most lopsided loss of the Fran McCaffery era and its worst loss ever to Northwestern, an 89-54 rout at the hands of the Wildcats on Sunday night. The last time the Hawkeyes suffered a blowout loss, a 22-point setback at Purdue, they returned to Carver-Hawkeye Arena for its next game and won over Michigan as an underdog. Big Ten scoring leader Peter Jok scored just four points against Northwestern so expect a big rebound performance from him. Counting its win over Illinois on Saturday, Maryland is playing four out of five games on the road so this is a tough stretch. The Terrapins have won three straight games and they have been the underdog in all three games so winning another one in a similar role is going to be difficult. Maryland is average to below average nationally in defensive turnover percentage and opponent offensive rebounding percentage. If Iowa can operate without ball pressure or the passing lanes being filled, the Hawkeyes could make the Terrapins pay dearly. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (716) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-18-17 | Pacers v. Kings -1 | Top | 106-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
Sacramento concludes a seven-game homestand tonight and desperately needs a victory before hitting the highway for an eight-game roadtrip. The Kings have not done well during this home stretch as they have gone 1-5 but the schedule has played a big role in that as they have faced the Clippers, Warriors, Cavalier and Thunder, all resulting in losses. They defeated Detroit and lost a close one against Miami and are now laying their shortest price during this stretch. Sacramento is 15-8 ATS this season following a loss. Indiana defeated New Orleans on Monday following a blowout loss against Denver in London four days before that and the Pacers have the biggest home/road disparity in the league as the home team is 30-10 in their 40 games this season. They are just 5-14 on the road and while this is a manageable game to win, they have struggled in these spots, going just 2-8 ATS on the road against teams with a losing record including four straight losses. Sacramento is 4-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than five points while Indiana is 3-9 ATS as an underdog of fewer than five points. 10* (516) Sacramento Kings |
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01-18-17 | Illinois State v. Bradley +11 | Top | 69-49 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
We won with Illinois St. for a small play on Saturday as it took care of Wichita St. outright, handing the Shockers there first conference loss while taking over sole possession of first place in the MVC. The Redbirds were expected contenders but coming off a massive home win like that can lead to a big letdown next time out and we see that happening here. They have covered three straight games and six of their last seven and are now laying a huge number on the road, by far their biggest of the season and this is just the third time all season they are laying double-digits. Bradley is 3-3 in the conference following a loss at Indiana St. and those three wins have already matched the conference win total from all of last season. The Braves were the youngest team in the country last season so their 5-27 overall record was not a surprise so their decent start this season should not come as a surprise either. They are 5-4 at home and while Bradley is 0-8 following a win this season, it is 7-3 following a loss and while winning this one outright will be a huge challenge, staying within this inflated number will not. The Redbirds are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites between 7 and 12.5 points. 10* (556) Bradley Braves |
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01-18-17 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Texas Tech and TCU are meeting for a meaningful game in a very long time. The Red Raiders fell to 2-3 in the conference with a loss at Oklahoma on Saturday but a win here can vault them back up in the Big XII standings and into a tie for fourth place. So far, the home team is 5-0 in their five conference games with two wins coming at home by Texas Tech against West Virginia and Kansas St. The Red Raiders are 11-0 at home this season and going back, they have won 16 consecutive home games and at 13-4 overall, they are in decent shape for making back-to-back NCAA Tournament appearances for the first time since 2004-2005. TCU has matched its best start in program history as it is 14-3 including a 3-2 record in the conference following a pair of wins over Texas and Iowa St. The Horned Frog are 13-0 this season when they outrebound their opponent but face one of the top rebounding teams in the country as Texas Tech is tied for No. 9 in rebounding percentage. Even though the Red Raiders made the NCAA Tournament last season, it was a stressful entry after losing to TCU in the first round of the Big XII Tournament so revenge is on the table. 10* (540) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-18-17 | Grizzlies v. Wizards -3 | Top | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
Washington has turned its season around and looks to continue that tonight before hitting the road for a three-game trip. The Wizards opened the season 7-13 while winning consecutive games only once but since then, they have gone 14-6 over their last 20 games to move two games over .500. they have been unable to gain ground on the red hot Hawks but have gained on the rest of the Eastern Conference and has moved into a tie for fifth place. During this recent solid stretch, the Wizards have gone just 2-6 on the road but have quietly put together a 12-game home winning streak, covering 11 of those games, missing the one by just a half-point. Memphis lost at home against Chicago on Sunday and it has been pretty average of late, going just 7-9 over its last 16 games. There have been some impressive wins over this stretch including two wins over Houston, and single wins over Golden St. and Oklahoma City. The Grizzlies have struggled against the Eastern Conference however, going 8-10 straight up and 6-12 ATS. 10* (504) Washington Wizards |
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01-18-17 | Notre Dame v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Florida St. had a 12-game winning streak snapped at North Carolina on Saturday as they lost to the Tar Heels by 13 points. It has been a brutal stretch for the Seminoles and they have certainly held their own as they have huge wins over Duke, Virginia Tech and Virginia and it does not get much easier tonight against Notre Dame followed by a home game against Louisville on Saturday. The Seminoles are just the third team in ACC history to play six consecutive nationally ranked opponents and are the first to win three or more games during the stretch. Florida St. is a perfect 12-0 at home including additional impressive wins over Florida and Minnesota. Notre Dame has been equally impressive as it has won seven straight games as it the lone remaining undefeated team in the ACC. The Irish are 3-0 on the road this season but they are in a tough spot here as this is their third straight road game and all three have come in a span of seven days. Florida St. is 8-2 ATS this season as a home favorite and we will see a big bounce back effort tonight. 10* (536) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-17-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
We played against Boise St. on Saturday as it suffered its first conference loss of the season at Fresno St. The Broncos were coming off a big win over San Diego St. in their previous game but a week off after that hurt the momentum from a perfect 4-0 start in the MWC. They will be fired up to get back into the win column tonight as they head home where they are 7-0 this season and 60-8 in their last 68 games at Taco Bell Arena. New Mexico snapped a three-game losing streak with a road win at Colorado St. on Saturday as they defeated the Rams by 13 points as a three-point underdog. The Lobos are 3-3 in the conference and the three losses have been tight ones as all three were by five points or fewer. That makes this line look pretty tempting to back the underdog but the situation is not in their favor. New Mexico has won only twice as an underdog and is just 3-6 following a victory. Boise St. has yet to lose as a favorite while going 5-1 ATS in its last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (742) Boise St. Broncos |
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01-17-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
The Lakers won a pair of games last weekend over Miami and Orlando but they have sense dropped four straight games and are now 5-20 over their last 25 games since the start of December. Four of those wins came at home where they are a respectable 10-12 on the season compared to just 5-18 on the road. In the recent four-game slide, Los Angeles was an underdog in all of those games and it has been much better as a favorite and it is laying a small number tonight. Denver has caught fire on offense the last two games, putting up 140 points against Indiana in London and then 125 points yesterday in a win over Orlando. The Nuggets are 7-7 over their last 14 games but only one of those wins has come in a true road game and on the season, they are 4-10 following a victory. Additionally, the Nuggets are 1-6 playing with no rest including a 0-4 record when going from a home game to a road game. Denver could also be caught looking ahead to a game against the Spurs as it looks to avenge a 28-point loss at home 12 days ago. 10* (710) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-17-17 | Ohio v. Akron -5 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
The two top teams in the MAC East square off with first place on the line. Akron is off to a 4-0 start in the conference including a pair of big road wins last week. Overall, the Zips have won seven straight games and since a season opening loss at Youngstown St., they have lost just twice with those coming against Creighton and Gonzaga which are a combined 35-1. Akron owns the third longest home winning streak in the country behind Kansas (52) and Oregon (36) as it has won 25 straight games at Rhodes Arena, dating back to the 2014-15 season. Ohio lost its first MAC game at home on Saturday against Eastern Michigan as he offense managed just 49 points. The big reason was that reigning MAC Player of the Year Antonio Campbell left the game after just three minutes with a foot injury. Campbell leads the team in scoring (16.4), rebounds (8.9) and blocks (1.1) and has been the anchor of the Bobcats much improved interior defense this season. He will travel with the team but is very doubtful to play. The Zips are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bobcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (724) Akron Zips |
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01-16-17 | Thunder v. Clippers -7.5 | Top | 98-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
It has been a weird season for the Clippers as they started out 14-2 and then went on an 8-12 run from late November through the end of December but they have now won all six games in 2017. The competition has not been great during the winning streak but this is an important run as they try to get to get some separation from teams below them and remain in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference which comes with a first round home court advantage. Additionally, they are just four games behind the Spurs for second place. Los Angeles will have the full attention of the Thunder as its last loss came in Oklahoma City on December 31 where it fell behind by as many as 35 points so revenge comes into play here. The Thunder had won three straight games prior to a loss at Minnesota on Friday but they bounced back with a win at Sacramento last night behind another triple-double from Russell Westbrook, his 20th of the season. They moved a season-high eight games above .500 for the second time this season but have been horrible in these spots, going 0-4 on the season when playing the second of back-to-back road games with no rest. Those losses have come by an average of 15.8 ppg. 10* (518) Los Angeles Clippers |
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01-16-17 | Kansas v. Iowa State +2.5 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
By the time this game tips off tonight, Kansas will be the new No. 1 team in the nation as it will take the spot vacated by Baylor following the Bears loss against West Virginia this past week. The Jayhawks improved to 16-1 overall and 5-0 in the Big XII following a win at home over Oklahoma St. on Saturday. They are riding a 16-game winning streak following a season opening loss in overtime against Indiana so Kansas is the best team in the nation at this point but that No. 1 ranking will be short-lived. The Jayhawks are a huge public consensus for tonight which comes as no surprise. Iowa St. lost at TCU on Saturday to fall to 3-2 in the conference, the other loss coming by just two points at Baylor. The Cyclones only home defeat came against Cincinnati by a point in overtime and going back, they are 83-8 at home over the last six seasons. Additionally, Iowa St. is 5-0 the last two seasons at home following a road Big XII loss. Another notable loss came against Gonzaga by just two points and it is important because it is one of only three games for the Bulldogs that has been decided by single digits. Kansas is just 4-10 ATS as a favorite while the Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (546) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-16-17 | Hornets +5 v. Celtics | Top | 98-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This line came out late due to the questionable status of Celtics shooting guard Avery Bradley and all indications are that he will be back after missing four straight games. Boston is coming off a win on Friday over Atlanta thanks to a last second three-pointer by Isaiah Thomas which was its second straight victory. The Celtics return home as they remain two games behind Toronto in the Atlantic Division and they will look to continue being fueled offensively by good ball movement and attacking the rim which in turn should result in lots of good looks from three-point range which is clearly a strength of this team. That being said, this is a huge game for Charlotte which will look to salvage the final game of this five-game roadtrip after dropping the first four. Losses against Houston and San Antonio were predictable and we expected them to bounce back against the Sixers on Friday but that resulted in another loss. Because of the opposite runs from both sides, we are catching value on the Hornets. The Celtics are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on two days of rest while the Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. 10* (511) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-16-17 | Cleveland State v. Oakland -14 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is one of those under the radar games that may be overlooked but it sets up exceptionally well for the home team. Oakland is one of three teams in the Horizon League that has a legitimate shot at winning the conference and heading to the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Grizzlies stumbled over the weekend however as they lost at home against then 2-14 Detroit by five points as an 18.5-favorite. That was the first conference loss for Oakland and just its fourth loss overall, three coming by single digits. This was simply a bad loss to the Titans and one that the Golden Grizzlies should be pretty upset about which should strike some fear into Cleveland St. The Vikings are just as bad, if not worse, than Detroit yet are getting four fewer points than the Titans were getting on Friday which gives Oakland some significant value in this spot. Cleveland St. fell to 1-5 in the conference with a loss at home against Valparaiso, the lone victory coming at home against Milwaukee. On the season, the Vikings are 0-9 on the road and it has been ugly as the losses have been by an average of 17.5 ppg and all but three have come by double-digits. Oakland steamrolled Cleveland St. at home last season which was also following a loss and we will see a similar result here. 10* (532) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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01-16-17 | Creighton v. Xavier -2.5 | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
Xavier had a tough week last week due to the schedule as it hit the road to face two of the top teams in the Big East Conference and those resulted in losses at Villanova and Butler. To the Musketeers credit, the Wildcats and Bulldogs are a combined 18-0 at home and Xavier can be put in that same club as well as it is 9-0 at the Cintas Center this season. it has won 15 straight games here as well as 24 of its last 25 home games. This is a very similar situation for the Musketeers. Xavier lost two straight road games back in early December and came back home to defeat a very solid Utah team. Creighton is coming off a glorified exhibition over the weekend as it rolled at home over Truman St. the Bluejays are 4-0 on the road but this is the biggest test of the season on the highway. This is clearly one of the best teams in the nation but this is a tough matchup as the Musketeers have a huge edge in the rebounding category as Xavier is No. 7 in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage while Creighton is just No. 213. The Musketeers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bluejays are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (522) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-15-17 | Steelers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 58 h 40 m | Show |
The Chiefs backed into a first round bye thanks to the Raiders losing Derek Carr for the season and them losing their final game of the regular season so it is very fortunately than Kansas City is sitting in this position. Despite a 12-4 record, the Chiefs were outgained on average by 23.6 ypg which is the fifth worst differential in the NFL. They were only better than the 49ers, Browns, Rams and Dolphins and we saw what happened to the latter last week in Pittsburgh. Hitting the road and winning will be a challenge for the Steelers but they are the better team and the only thing that can hurt them here is turnovers. Pittsburgh has won eight straight games and while the opposition has not been great, winning is winning and they have done it in a variety of ways. Running the ball has been successful as LeVeon Bell has rushed for 1,002 yards over his last seven games while Ben Roethlisberger to Antonio Brown is the explosive part of the passing game. On the other side, Since Week Nine, the Steelers defense is averaging 3.5 sacks per game with consistent pressure from traditional pass rushers or timely blitzes. The Steelers have a fully stocked roster for the first time in the last three playoff appearances which is huge for this team that has so much talent all over the place. Going back, the Steelers are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. 10* (305) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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01-15-17 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -6.5 | Top | 60-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
While it was a great season last year for Northern Iowa that included another trip to the NCAA Tournament, the Panthers knew that this season would be more of an uphill battle. What they are currently experiencing however was not expected. They opened the season 3-0 but then back-to-back losses sent them into a tailspin and they are now on a 2-11 run that includes losses in seven straight games. Northern Iowa is 0-5 in the Missouri Valley Conference and it is in its longest losing streak since 2000-01. The offense has struggled big time but Northern Iowa is 5-1 when scoring 70 or more points while going 0-10 when scoring less than 70 points. The good news is the Panthers now face a team that does not play defense as Drake is allowing 77.6 ppg on the season including 83.4 ppg in conference games. The Bulldogs have won two straight games after taking care of Indiana St. on Wednesday but those wins were at home and they come in with a 0-5 record on the road. The last three road losses have been by an average of 18.7 ppg and they head to Cedar Falls at the wrong time. The Panthers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (874) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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