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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-14-19 | Memphis v. South Alabama +19.5 | 42-6 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 30 m | Show | |
Memphis has started their season winning their first two home games including a week 1 15-10 victory vs Ole Miss and an easy 55-24 victory vs a FCS opponent Southern last week. Now in a let down spot vs a tough Sun belt opponent South Alabama Im betting covering this number will not come easily. MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games off 2 consecutive home wins since 1992.MEMPHIS is 4-15 ATS after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992 and is 13-33 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game since 1992. Memphis is just 3-16 SU in their L/19 road openers. Play on South Alabama to cover |
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09-14-19 | NC State v. West Virginia +7 | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 112 h 48 m | Show | |
The Mounties are coming off a 38-7 beat down at Missouri and now are being given a home dog classification by the lines-makers vs a over rated NC State football program that just got finished beating up on two sub par Carolina programs(East and Coastal). I know that West Virginia might be down a few notches this season with just 10 returning starters, and have a new head coach, but this line is over blown thanks to recency bias thus giving us value according to my projections. Note: West Virginia 20-1 L/21 at home vs non conference opposition. NC STATE is 8-22 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (W VIRGINIA) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference games are 32-9 ATS L/27seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (W VIRGINIA) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, in non-conference games are 33-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +8 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 102 h 45 m | Show | |
Temple and Maryland have alot of similarities this season. New head coaches and offensive systems. Inexperienced top tier talent everywhere. According to my power ranking projections both all match up very well, and Im not going to be swayed by Maryland 2 lopsided wins in the first couple of weeks of this season. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEMPLE) - team that had a winning record last season, in non-conference games are 74-33 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEMPLE) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, in non-conference games are 33-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Temple Owls to cover |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State +8 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 42 m | Show | |
Tonight Im betting a talented blue collar group in Kansas State under new HC Chris Klieman, will give a over rated Mississippi State program a much closer battle than many might anticipate. Kansas State annihilated their first two opponents, and while the Bulldogs also won their first two games they were far from spectacular, and with starting QB Tommy Stevens enduring a shoulder injury last week and backup QB Garrett Shrader expected to start further credence is added to my call .( Even if Sharder starts Im still expect KState to play a jack in the box role today metaphorically speaking-suprise suprise ) Mississippi State is in a look ahead revenge mode for their SEC season opener against Kentucky next week and may not be fully focused here, giving us value with the dog. New Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman, has won 23 away games in a row and knows how to get his troops prepared in the visitors role. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS ST) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 43-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (KANSAS ST) - allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 93-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Kansas State Wildcats to cover |
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09-14-19 | Eastern Michigan +8 v. Illinois | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 23 m | Show | |
Lovie Smiths Illinois is up-trending, with two straight wins to start their campaign but Im betting they will have their hands full with a Eastern Michigan side that is 21-7-1 ATS in its last 29 on the road. Meanwhile, Illinois is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 versus an opponent from the MAC and still don't have a winning culture in place as is evident by going 13-57 Su in regular season games over the last 12 seasons. Yes, Eastern Michigan lost to Kentucky last week 38-17 and failed to cover as 16 point dogs, but this hard nosed never say die group deserves our respect as does the football program that has gone 12-1 ATS L/13 vs .500 or better opposition and that is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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09-14-19 | Kansas State v. Mississippi State UNDER 51 | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas State comes into Starkville with a top 10 defense and wont be easily intimidated . On offence the Wildcats are a run first type of team, and because of this alot of clock time will be eaten up and quickly. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than many might think on what has become a bloated total since being released. KANSAS ST is 8-1 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.6 ppg scored. MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 UNDER after playing a game at home over the last 2 season with a combined average of 31.5 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS ST) - excellent rushing team (230 or more RY/G) against a team with a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/game), after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game are 39-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-13-19 | Ottawa +5.5 v. BC | 5-29 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 46 m | Show | |
The Redblacks are coming off their biggest meltdown of the season, a 46-17 loss to the last place, and provincial rival Toronto Argos. Coach Campbell of Ottawa was visibly upset and equally embarrassed and Im betting he motivates his team to bounce back here in a game vs another under performing team the BC . Lions. OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-12 ATS in home games versus awful passing teams averaging 6.9 or less passing yards/att - after 9 or more games since 1996.. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS in road games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game as the coach of OTTAWA. CFL Underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Ottawa to cover |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +9 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 62 h 38 m | Show | |
Tonights tilt at NRG Stadium, the home of the Texans will see the vast majority of the crowd rooting for Houston. which Im betting will give them a edge. It must be noted that Washington States HC Leach is just 2-7 ATS in weekday games and 5-14-2 ATS going against .500 or better non-conference opposition . Leach is also 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers in all games he has coached since 1992. With a top tier coach Dana Holgorsen, who stands 17-1 SU in non-conference games. and a Houston Cougars football program that are 13-1-1 ATS as 2 or more points underdogs we have a viable side to back here tonight on ESPN. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - in non-conference games, in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games are 64-27 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - porous defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 52-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Cougars to cover |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston UNDER 74 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
The Cougars used to be a fast paced team (No. 1 in seconds per play last season) but now under new coach Dana Holgorsen the pace has slowed alot .Houston ranks 100th of 130 FBS teams in plays per second at 28.4 and bleeding the clock Im betting will be on full display for Houston tonight. I know Washington State can score in bunches behind a strong passing game, but Houston has shown flashes of brilliance in their secondary already thiss season and are capable of slowing down the visitors attack tonight in a game I pegged to stay on the low side of what is a bloated total based on past assumptions . HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 62.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (WASH ST/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed) are 46-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-13-19 | Brewers +117 v. Cardinals | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Adrian Houser (6-5, 3.59 ERA, 99 SO) faced the Cardinals in consecutive outings toward the end of August, giving up a combined four runs (two earned) over 10 1/3 innings. His last win came in that first start on Aug. 21 at Busch Stadium and gets my support here tonight vs the Cards as the Brewers extend their current red hot 7 game winning streak. MILWAUKEE is 28-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - after a game where they hit 5 or more home runs, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 20-35 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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09-13-19 | Dodgers -126 v. Mets | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Clayton Kershaw( LHP13-5, 3.06 ERA, 171 SO ) Kershaw takes the bump to open the weekend series in New York. The southpaw has gone more than six innings just once in his last four outings, seeing his ERA rise above 3.00 for the first time since July 15 in the process, but Im betting he bounces back here as he has been showing alot of crankiness about his lack luster efforts and his egos on the line here tonight so expect a big effort from the super star hurler. Dodgers are perfect 6-0 L/6 as visitors vs Mets. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 141-49 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LADodgers to win on the ML |
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09-13-19 | Braves +146 v. Nationals | 5-0 | Win | 146 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer(10-5, 2.56 ERA, 216 SO)Dave Martinez said Scherzer threw a bullpen on Tuesday and reported feeling good, setting up the right-hander to start Friday at home against Atlanta. Scherzer has been easing his way back to full strength after a back injury and still not 100% so we have value here fading him against what can be an explosive Atlanta batting order. Meanwhile, Saroka the Braves starter always gives his team a chance at victory and has consistently gotten stronger as a game progresses. Note: If Soroka can get out of the first inning, he's hard to hit. He gave up two runs before retiring a batter against Washington in his last start. He has a 4.15 ERA in the first inning and a 2.46 ERA in the second inning or later. The two previous times he has allowed more than one run in the first inning, he hasn't given up another run. WASHINGTON is 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) - good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season, in September games are 49-31 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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09-12-19 | Nationals -124 v. Twins | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
LH Starter Patrick Corbin 11-7, 3.16 ERA, 210 SOwill make his first career start against the Twins. He has been excellent all season for the Nationals, but especially in his past 15 starts when he has posted a 2.29 ERA with 116 strikeouts and 31 walks in 94 1/3 innings and get the nod here today vs the Twins. Note:Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-9 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Gibson his pitching opponent from the Twins will be rusty after a long lay off. Gibson had a 7.18 ERA in his last five starts before going on the injured list.GIBSON is 4-13 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 3.000. Nationals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Both these teams lost their opening games, but it must be noted that during the L/6 seasons the UNDER is 9-1 in all Game 2s with home favorites of 3 or more points when both sides are coming off a SU loss . Note: Both teams we blasted for 31 and 30 points respectively which makes for a recency bias on this total. Note: During the 2018 campaign, the UNDER was dominant cashing 12 of 13 times when both teams gave up m 30 or more pts in their previous game, when the Total is within the parameters of 42 to 53 points. Carolina is also 3-21 under L/24 as division home chalk and have gone under 3 straight times after allowing 30 or more points. TB has gone under in 9 of their L/11 as 6 or more point dogs. t must be noted that Bruce AriansTB QB guru is getting set to help out his talented QB Winston cut down on turnovers and realize his potential as the No. 1 overall pick from the 2015 draft by running the ball more effectively.With second-year pro Ronald Jones II leading the way, Tampa Bay rushed for 121 yards in last week's loss and will once again be utilized to make this into a grinding type affair vs a Carolina team that has proven itself less than explosive over the last few seasons. These two teams have gone under 5 of the L/6 times they have met . Average Totals line: 49. The Average combined points per game clicked in at 39.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-12-19 | Cubs -137 v. Padres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
A 4-0 loss to the Padres on Wednesday dropped the Cubs into a tie with the Milwaukee Brewers for the final NL playoff berth and they will now be primed for a bounce back effort as losses are unacceptable at this juncture of their campaign. SAN DIEGO is 4-14 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more this season Padres starter LAMET is 0-7 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres are 0-9 in Lamets last 9 home starts. Cubs are 35-16 in their last 52 during game 4 of a series. Meanwhile, Cubs starter Yu Darvish(5-6, 4.12 ERA, 190 SO)After missing one turn (right forearm tightness), he returned Saturday with five shutout innings vs. Milwaukee. He struck out seven and walked one in a no-decision. Darvish has a 2.96 ERA with 85 strikeouts and four walks in his last 11 starts and gets my support here this afternoon in a West coast tilt. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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09-11-19 | Lynx +3 v. Storm | 74-84 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Seattle are deep teams with tons of experience and championship pedigree and both will not be easily intimated. The Minnesota Lynx enter the post season playing their best hoops of the season as is evident by winning 5 of their L/6 games while shooting an impressive 48 percent from the field in those 5 wins and are more than capable of pulling off the straight up upset here in their current form. I know Seattle has won all 3 games in this series this season, but my estimates still suggest we have leverage on this line getting 3 or more points. Storm are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. WNBA team (MINNESOTA) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival are 48-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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09-11-19 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 10 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Royals starter Sparkman owns a 3.24 ERA in three starts against the White Sox this season, which includes a one-inning outing on May 29 at Guaranteed Rate Field where he was ejected. Meanwhile, White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez . (9-12, 5.17 ERA, 149 SO)is off a top tier effort vs a Cleveland team where he allowed one hit and threw the first complete game of his career. In two of Lopez’s past three starts, he has allowed one or no hits and Im betting on him being tough on his opponents tonight, which will help this combined score stay under the total. LOPEZ is 12-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 13-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home after a game in which their opponent scored first and it is not a series opener. Play UNDER |
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09-10-19 | Cardinals -139 v. Rockies | 1-2 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Gonzalez (0-6, 7.29 ERA) made his only career start against the Cardinals on Aug. 24, a 6-0 win by St. Louis. He allowed five runs on three hits over 4 1/3 innings and took the loss and is fade material here tonight. Meanwhile, The Cardinals have recieved steady performances from their rotation while the Rockies' inconsistent staff has posted a 5.97 ERA this year, which ranks last in the majors. The Cardinals are 13-0 on the ML when their starter Michael Wacha starts as a favorite and he went fewer than five innings in his last start. ST LOUIS is 17-4 against the money line vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season.ST LOUIS is 40-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. COLORADO is 16-44 against the money line in the second half of the season this season Cardinals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 6-0 in Wachas last 6 Tuesday starts.Cardinals are 8-2 in Wachas last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 9-3 in Wachas last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 21-8 in Wachas last 29 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 28-85 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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09-10-19 | A's v. Astros -155 | 21-7 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Miley has a 3.41 ERA in 14 starts since his last loss and provides top tier stability for the Astros pitching rotation.Miley, owns a 7-0 record in 14 starts since his last loss, and has been strong against Oakland over three starts this season. He is 1-1 with a 1.83 ERA and has allowed just 12 hits and four runs in 19 2/3 innings.Miley holds a 5-2 record along with a stingy 1.71 ERA in eight career starts against the A's, allowing just 37 hits and 10 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings and once again gets my support ere tonight. MILEY is 10-1 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) MILEY is 18-4 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 20-2 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) this season.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more in a win over a division rival since 1997.HINCH is 25-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game as the manager of HOUSTON. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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09-10-19 | Dodgers v. Orioles +294 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Blach the Os starting pitcher faces a familiar opponent in the Dodgers, the team he famously blanked for five innings on Opening Day 2018 as a member of the Giants. Now in Baltimore, he gets another start after defeating the Rays in his last trip to the hill. BLACH is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.045. Im betting on a value line upset here in their interleague battle. LA DODGERS are 9-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 1-12 this season! Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 102 h 16 m | Show | |
The betting public are starting to be sold on the Broncos, who with QB Joe Flacco now in the fold and Vic Fangio back as the defensive ordinator are considered possible play off contenders . However, the Raiders despite of being expected to be without suspended star Antonio Brown for this game are being looked upon as bad bets here this week after starting as 3 point favs . However in my usual contrarian fashion I now see some value in a situation this is being over blown. Quite honestly Brown has been a distraction to this team since being acquired and his absence may not be a bad thing. Broncos are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC.Broncos are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.Broncos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC West.Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in September. Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. DENVER is 7-18 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oakland to cover |
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09-09-19 | Cubs v. Padres +136 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Quantrill the Padres starter has been in a funk over his last couple of starts but was 4-1 with a 1.31 ERA during a six-game stretch, before his current 3 game losing streak. Also Quantrill according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Cubs as was evident when he gave up just two hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings this last July 21 . The young Stanford product has also performed well at home where he is 4-2 with a 4.17 ERA this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 12-26 (against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. Note the Cubs are on a 3 game losing streak and have a hard luck pitcher on the hill of late Hendricks who has better home splits than away . The righty is 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA on the road this year, compared to 5-2 with a 1.77 ERA at home. HENDRICKS is 0-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cubs are 0-4 in Hendricks' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record . Cubs are 2-6 in Hendricks' last 8 road starts.Cubs are 2-7 in Hendricks' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 game are 83-41 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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09-09-19 | A's +173 v. Astros | 0-15 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Todays starter for the Astros Greinke has surrendered nine earned runs on 14 hits over 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts, with the Astros losing both of those contests. Meanwhile, Athletics starter Fiers is 12-0 with a 2.59 ERA over his last 21 starts, a streak that began with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7. He has allowed a .639 OPS during his winning streak, with the Athletics going 17-4 in those starts. Oakland has won Fiers' previous two starts against the Astros and gets my support tonight on a value line. FIERS is 16-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 23-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. MLB road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record, in September games are 39-24 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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09-09-19 | Texans v. Saints OVER 52 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This might seem like a public leaning total , but according to my projections this combined score here this Monday night between the Texans and their hosts the explosive Saints should breach this number. Note: Brees has thrown 37 scoring passes in 17 career Kickoff Weekend games, the most of any quarterback. I expect the Saints to light the scoreboard up here tonight and for the Texans to have no choice but to open things up behind quarterback Deshaun Watson, the first player to throw for at least 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns while rushing for 500 yards and five scores in a season and respond with some fireworks of their own in a tilt that Im betting eclipses this total. The Saints are 4-0-1 OVER L/5 games on turf on Monday night dating back 5 seasons with a combined average score eclipsing the total by more than 10 ppg. Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games in Week 1. Play OVER |
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09-09-19 | Texans v. Saints -6.5 | 28-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Texans had a good record in 2018 but it was all smoke and mirrors and they lost in the play offs in humiliating fashion by a 21-7 count vs the Colts as chalk, barely mustering a fight and now this season Im betting things will not get much better, starting tonight against explosive New Orleans Saints. The bottom line here is that the Texans just don't have the firepower to hang with the Saints in their home Opener on prime time TV where the Saints will want to start to with a bang after last seasons horrific officiating call that was partially responsible for eliminating them from the play offs. Note: Week one underdogs like the Texans of at least two or more points are 0-16 ATS/SU L/16 when they were beaten by 12 or more points ATS in their first playoff game last season with the average margin loss coming by 13.4 ppg. I know the Saints have lost their L/5 openers but all good and bad things must eventually come to an end. Texans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.Texans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Monday games. Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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09-08-19 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | 3-33 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 11 m | Show | |
New England willed their way to a Super Bowl championship last season , but in no way shape or form were they as over powering during the reg season as many might have thought, and now the departure of Gronk , Bradys main downfield target will see the team Im betting slowly adjust to his absence. Tonight Im also betting on Roethlisberger and company to make a game of this here at Gillette Stadium. Note: Big Ben is 35-18-2 ATS career as a underdog in the NFL and has won 30 of those games SU. Meanwhile, the Pats have failed to cover 8 of their L/11 at home under the Sunday night lights. Tomlin is 30-19 ATS as an underdog as the coach of PITTSBURGH. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog. The Steelers are 4-0 ATS L/4 as a dog. NFL Favorites (NEW ENGLAND) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins are 23-51 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover |
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09-08-19 | 49ers v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -120 | 101 h 35 m | Show | |
Bucs defense allowed 29 ppg last season and Im not expecting a miraculous bounce back season even though Bruce Arians is now on board. The lousy pass rush wont be able to challenge ,Jimmy Garoppolo and Im betting the now healthy QB will smash a still susceptible secondary. Meanwhile, James Winston despite of being highly inconsistent is a very capable passer, and he will be up the challenge here on the road this week, behind a speedy group of wide receivers. Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games in September.Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games in September. TB 8-2 OVER as fav/dog 3 or less. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers OVER 43.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 128 h 45 m | Show | |
No Andrew Luck at QB for the Indianapolis Colts, no problem. With a revamped offence engineered by offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni, and a offensive line that is uptrending, the interim QBs should do just fine and points production should not be the problem many pundits might anticipate. Players like RB Marlon Mack who rushed for 900 yards and nine touchdowns last season and , T.Y. Hilton who produced 1,200 receiving yards in 14 games, and tight end Eric Ebron led all NFL tight ends with 13 touchdowns is an explosive group who can do lots of damage and quickly. The Colts D, is still a work in progress, so they may also allow a fair amount of points and will need to be a pedal to the metal type offensive side to be competitive. Meanwhile, Chargers star QB Phillip Rivers will continue to put points on the board, especially with targets like receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams in the fold. Today against a susceptible Colts secondary this Im betting will become obvious, and will overall help us see a combined score that goes over the total. Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games in Week 1Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in September.Over is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games in Week 1. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Bengals v. Seahawks OVER 44 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 35 m | Show | |
The Seahawks were the NFL’s top rushing team last season, averaging 160 yards a contest and Im betting they will just explosive this season which will set up their passing game behind the arm of Russell Wilson and an over all increase in ppg production. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals were smashed for 137.8 rushing yards a game last season, and I expect there will be no immediate fixes for their defensive issues be a broken damn. The Bengals only saving grace will be the big red machine QB Andy Dalton who can be dangerous when in a groove. Im expecting Dalton to be very impactful here in new HC Taylor new offensive schemes. Over is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games in September. Over is 4-1-1 in Bengals last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games in Week 1. Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games overall.Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 home games.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Carroll is 27-11 OVER in non-conference games as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 48.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-08-19 | Blue Jays +186 v. Rays | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
Blue Jays starter Jacob Waguespack (4-3, 3.97 ERA, 46 SO)shut out the Rays on four hits over six innings back on Aug. 5, and is ready to send the Blue Jays home on a high note. Waguespack has a 2.92 ERA in six road starts this season and gives us a viable underdog opportunity here this Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile, TBs starter Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 1.86 ERA, 55 SO)Glasnow will be making his first start since sustaining a mild forearm strain in his throwing arm on May 10 against the Yankees and will take time to stretch out, so he wont be 100%, giving further credence to back the Jays on a value line. Rays are 0-4 in Glasnows last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays. Rays are 6-2 in Glasnows last 8 starts.Rays are 3-7 in Glasnows last 10 starts vs. American League East.Rays are 2-6 in Glasnows last 8 starts on astroturf.Rays are 1-4 in Glasnows last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 52.5 | 40-26 | Loss | -109 | 169 h 3 m | Show | |
The high octane offence of the KC Chiefs behind phenom Patrick Mahomes comes into the heat and humidity of Jacksonville this Sunday in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of a public leaning total. Im betting Jacksonville has had sufficient time to study this explosive group, and behind a top tier D, will slow the Chiefs here ( at least enough to keep their Chiefs output to reasonable levels). Meanwhile, Im also betting it will take time for the Jags, to jell offensively, thanks to their new parts, (QB Nick Foles) and for the Chiefs D, to be much improved over last seasons hands off version. ( Changed form a 3-4 to 4-3 scheme) Add to that a muggy Sunday environment we have a more methodical game than many might expect and a lower combined score than the public is counting on. The Jags L/13 home games since the 2017 season, have seen them allow an average of just 12.7 points per game and their offence has average just 19.9 points per game. Reid is 12-4 UNDER against AFC South division opponents as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 43 ppg going on the board.Reid in 74 games as a favorite as the coach of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average score of 45.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall.Under is 16-7 in Jaguars last 23 vs. AFC. Play on the UNDER |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 75 h 17 m | Show | |
Super Bowl teams like the Rams that lost have been bad bets in their followup campaign are just 17-31-1 ATS in non division road games as chalk dating back 19 seasons.It must also be noted that Defending Super Bowl loser in Game One of the season if they are away and facing a non-conference opponent are 1-15 ATS L/16 seasons. The Rams qualify here under those perimeters. Meanwhile, Carolina is according to my preseason power rankings a very under rated team that deserves respect as home dogs against any team in this league.Carolina is 5-0 ATS L/5 at home in this series vs the Rams and gets my support here today. Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.Rams are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 1. Take the points with Carolina to cover |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers UNDER 50 | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
The Panthers have gone UNDER in their in their last 7 opening games of a NFL season going under the number by 14 ppg and we all know how conservative this team is out of the gate and overall general terms. I know they will face an explosive offence here today, but last season the Rams played much more conservatively on the road then at home, going under in their L/5 road games, and Im betting that trend continues here today as they make the long arduous trip from the west coast to the east coast. It must be noted that week one none division road chalk of -2 or more are 4-24-1 UNDER dating back 20 seasons . These teams have gone under in 5 of their L/6 meetings with a combined average of 30.2 ppg going on the board and another lower scoring game will be on todays agenda according to my projections . The Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 away with a 50 or more point total. The rams have the Saints up next week ( 0-7 UNDER L/7before the Saints). Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 as road favs -2 or more. Panthers have gone under in 6 of their L/7 with a total of 48 or more. Play UNDER |
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09-07-19 | Rockies v. Padres -150 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Padres starter Joey Lucchesi(9-7, 4.00 ERA, 135 SO)In six August starts, Lucchesi posted a 3.58 ERA, and he was one of the Padres' most reliable starters and is a very viable pitcher to back in this spot play. COLORADO is 8-26 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.COLORADO is 16-42 against the money line in the second half of the season this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 55-8 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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09-07-19 | Miami-FL v. North Carolina +5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show | |
Mac Brown return as coach of North Carolina was impressive as he took out rival South Carolina. Now coming home his young men are feeling confident, which the same cannot be said, about a Miami Fl side that was run over by a speedy Florida D in game one losing by a 24-20 count. Last week the Gamecocks had just 270 total yards and went 3 for 13 on third down and Im betting they can slow the Canes in this spot. Meanwhile, N.Carolina;s new Offensive coordinator Phil Longo, previously of Ole Miss knows how to fire up a offence with different looks and Im betting he has this Canes D on their heels here today. Possible upset in the making , which makes getting points here a viable investment opportunity. HC Mac Brown’s career numbers are 14-0 last fourteen home openers) and 4-0 ATS as a conference home dog against opposition coming off a loss like the Miami Canes. Play on N.Carolina Tarheels to cover |
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09-07-19 | Western Michigan +16.5 v. Michigan State | 17-51 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has one the most talented experienced returning groups in the nation ( production wise) and won't be intimidated by the Michigan State Spartans. Considering look ahead tilts to Arizona State and Northwestern on deck over the next couple of weeks, Dantonio and company may not be fully focused on this up trending opponent which gives us value taking the underdog here. The Spartans are just 3-14 ATS L/17 at home in non conference action and 0-5 ATS L5 as 14 or more favourites. MLB Road underdogs (W MICHIGAN) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, after out-gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game and 48-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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09-07-19 | Wyoming v. Texas State +7 | 23-14 | Loss | -115 | 127 h 44 m | Show | |
Wyoming according to my projections is being over rated here vs Texas State. Giving us value taking the points . Texas State had the No. 5 defense in the Sun Belt Conference in 2018, allowing 383.9 yards per game. Almost everyone returns this year and should continue to uptrend. With new HC Jake Spavital’s at the helm of the team the offence should also see improvement. The old ball coach has proven himself over and over again with seven previous coaching stops, his last three as an offensive coordinator for Power 5 schools.Texas State trails 2-1 in the all-time series, but the hosting team has won each game. Home field advantage will be the difference maker here again this week vs Wyoming. Bohl is 6-15 ATS in September games as the coach of WYOMING CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS ST) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 22-3 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas State to cover |
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09-07-19 | Western Kentucky +8.5 v. Florida International | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 108 h 16 m | Show | |
Florida International-was crushed last week vs Tulane 42-14, while Western Kentucky came out flat and was upset loss vs FCS Central Arkansas 35-28 as 10 point favs. There is a new HC in Western Kentucky as Helton takes over and gets 10 returning starters to build with. It might not seem like it after getting upset by a FCS side, last week but returning production and S&P+ projections for telling the Hilltoppers to improve to 101st overall, with a 6-6 record brings hope . With all 5 starters back on the O-line Im expecting bigger and better things from this Hilltoppers offence as the season progresses, starting today vs Florida International team that allowed 42 points to Tulane side that struggled mightily on offence last season. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 9-21 ATS after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game since 1992. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (W KENTUCKY) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 48-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on W.Kentucky to cover |
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09-07-19 | BYU v. Tennessee OVER 52.5 | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
The Vols 38-30 loss to a Georgia State team picked to finish last in the Sun Belt Conference was as shocking to say the least, and had the added bonus of showing me how bad their defence was going to be this season.Defensively, the Vols struggled against Georgia States option attack as quarterback Dan Ellington made the Vols look less than mortal. Im betting BYU quarterback Zach Wilson who is also mobile will do the same , which will inflict more damage on a injury plagued and struggling Vols defensive line. Needless to say Im betting BYU lights up the board here, while Tennessee will fire back with wreck-less abandon as they look for some kind spark from their offence. This Im also betting will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 13-3 in Cougars last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. . Play OVER |
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09-07-19 | Furman +7.5 v. Georgia State | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
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09-07-19 | Maine +11.5 v. Georgia Southern | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Maine is as tough as nails defensively behind their now infamous “Black Hole” defense that returns almost all their starters. The Black Bears rush D, was of the top tier variety last season on the FCS and they will once again be hard to run against and more than prepared to slow down Georgia Southern’s triple option attack. Meanwhile, with Georgia Southerns junior quarterback Shai Werts is banged up after last weeks run in with LSU and less than 100% the Eagles are being over rated. Bottom line here this is a nasty FCS group that Georgia Southern will face here today and a win wont come easily for them, thus Im recommending we take the points. Play on the Maine Black Bears to cover |
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09-07-19 | San Diego State +8.5 v. UCLA | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
UCLA still looks like its going to be while before they morph into a better team as last week they managed just 218 yards and 14 points against Cincinnati. Now this week off a tough as nails San Diego State D, that shut out their opening week opponent , the Bruins will once again having issues putting points on the board. The Bruins Quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson looked like a deer lost in headlights at times in week one, and his PTSD experience of fumbling twice and throwing two interceptions should spark more atrophy here.On the flip side I know San Diego State Quarterback Ryan Agnew did not look good last week and his top tier running back Juwan Washington on a tender ankle had just 55 yards last week in their 6-o win but, I don't think they wanted to open their play book and give the Bruins anything to look at. This week will be different. Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aztecs are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bruins are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 43-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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09-07-19 | Texas A&M +18.5 v. Clemson | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 123 h 47 m | Show | |
Jimbo Fisher has been competitive in previous tilts vs Dabo Swinney. Last season, Texas A&M gave Clemson fits in a a 28-26 victory by the Tigers in which the Aggies had more total yards. Texas A&M head coach has beaten Clemson or stayed within 10 points in a loss in previous recent meetings. This Texas A&M team is built to stand tall against teams like Clemson and Im betting we have value taking points here this week. TEXAS A&M is 12-1 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. ( Texas A&M beat Texas St in week 1 at home)Fisher is 21-7 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB road team (TEXAS A&M) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 40-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs (TEXAS A&M) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 48-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas A&M Aggies to cover |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska v. Colorado +3.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 96 h 37 m | Show | |
Colorado won last year's meeting 33-28 in Lincoln and despite of Nebraska wanting revenge and their stock in an up-trending mode Im betting the Buffaloes will be a hand full for them. The Huskers despite of always getting alot of public support have lost 7 straight road games and if they end their current negative run Im betting it won't come easily. The Buffaloes smashed Colorado State last week 52-31. Note:Buffaloes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Buffaloes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Cornhuskers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference games are 31-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Buffs to cover |
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09-07-19 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | 46-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Ottawa is having a bad season, and the usual hard nosed type of football they play under Campbell their coach is almost non existent. Meanwhile, Toronto, after dismal start to their campaign, have shown some spark lately winning on the road vs a a top tier Winnipeg team 4 weeks ago, and staying fairly competitive in recent games as McLeod Bethel-Thompson has thrown for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 appearances this season and he hasn’t been picked off in his last four outings. I know the Argos will not inspire bettors, but according to my current projections they matchup well vs the Red Black that has lost 7 of their L/8 and get my support here getting points. OTTAWA is 0-7 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 430 or less yards/game since 1996. OTTAWA is 5-24 ATS versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game since 1996. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 33-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover |
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09-07-19 | Ohio v. Pittsburgh OVER 53 | 10-20 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 38 m | Show | |
Pitts young OL vs UVA last week was struggling, as 4 new starters gave up 4 sacks and Panthers gained only 263 total yards, but somehow still found a way to put 14 points on the board vs a very tough Virginia squad . This week Im betting the Panthers find ways to do some offensive damage this week, vs a Ohio HC Solich side that does not have a reputation for staunch defences. Yes the secondary is experienced but, its not like they have shown much in the recent past. Meanwhile, Ohio is an explosive offensive group, behind the lethal Nathan Rourke who remains one of the most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Im betting the power run game of the Bobcats vs the weakness of the rush D of Pitt opens up this game for the pass game and mucho points go on the board in a tilt that Im betting eclipses the total. Note: Ohios FCS opponent Rhode Island put 21 points on the board last week and Pitt is more than capable of eclipsing that number. NFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (PITTSBURGH) - in non-conference games, in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games are 85-43 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-06-19 | Marshall +11 v. Boise State | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 77 h 56 m | Show | |
Boise State after travelling out to the east coast and erasing a DD deficit for a win vs Florida State last week will now be in a letdown spot. Yes, it is the Broncos home opener, but according to my power rankings Marshall is the type of team that is built to stay competitive against this type of opponent via a already solid defence and offence that has enough returning starters to make some noise. Harsin is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points as the coach of BOISE ST. Harsin is 1-9 ATS after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of BOISE ST. CFB Home favorites (BOISE ST) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game are 16-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Marshall to cover |
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09-06-19 | Angels v. White Sox -144 | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
White Sox ace Lucas Giolito(14-8, 3.30 ERA, 210 SO)The chance for 20 wins all but disappeared for Giolito with a tough loss to the Braves on Sunday. But he continues to finish strong during this All-Star season, with 90 strikeouts in his last 63 2/3 innings and gets my backing here tonight. Giolito is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against Los Angeles. Note:LA ANGELS are 12-35 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Rays last 10 starts. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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09-06-19 | Diamondbacks -113 v. Reds | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Arizona southpaw starter Robbie Ray (12-7, 3.97 ERA, 199 SO) has picked up a win in each of his last two starts. Last time out against the Dodgers, he allowed four runs over five innings in a 6-5 D-backs win and enters this contest offering stability and a viable ml option for his supporters tonight. Ray went 3-0 in August with a 4.30 ERA as the Diamondbacks averaged 7.8 runs in his five starts.RAY is 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Mahle (2-10, 4.72 ERA) his Reds pitching opponent is looking for his first win since May 31, having gone 0-5 with a 5.32 ERA in his past nine starts.MAHLE is 1-11 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MAHLE is 1-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) Arizona is finding ways to win and have won 9 of their L/10 overall and must be respected in their current form. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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09-06-19 | Yankees -118 v. Red Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
German, the Yankees starter tonight faced the Red Sox just last month, earning the victory by allowing two runs over seven innings against the club on Aug. 3. For his career, he's 2-0 with a 3.98 ERA in five games (four starts) versus Boston. GERMAN is 13-1 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) and s 12-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) and also 9-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GERMAN is 11-0 against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) |
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09-06-19 | Fever v. Liberty +2.5 | 86-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Two non play off teams the Fever and the Liberty go head to head here tonight in NY where Im betting the home team has the edge. NY won the last meeting by a 82-76 count at Indiana last time out. In the first game of the year between these sides in NY the Fever won 81-80 on a buzzer beater. Im projections make this a close game, but home court and desperation have me backing them taking points. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 2-13 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 47 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public seems to love this game to go over , but the public has a tendency to not delve to deeply into statistical data and trends. In preseason the Packers did not play their star QB Rodgers as well as two other key offensive weapons Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams so Im betting it will take some time for the Packers to become cohesive offensively here tonight , especially considering they will be facing a Chicago Bears team that was first in weighted D last season, ranking first in pass efficiency and 2nd and run efficiency. Meanwhile, the Packers Defence, was upgraded in the off season, using their first two round picks to pick up linebacker Rashan Gary and safety Darnell Savage, and then also acquiring free-agent linebackers Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith to bolster a tough hard nosed group. Im expecting barring injuries for the Packers D to be stringent this season and tonight. Considering Bears QB Trubisky is getting a reputation for being sloppy with the ball , his play calling maybe limited by the coaches, and a more conservative game 1 plan could be in the cards. Note: The Bears offence ranked 30th in the league in pace last season, so "slow as she goes" could once be the mantra here tonight. Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games on a natural surface.Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 vs. NFC. Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games overall dating back to las season.Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games on grass.Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 vs. NFC.The L/10 times these teams have met the average combined score has in clicked in at 44.9 ppg. Bears home games have gone under 58% of the time since the 2016 campaign. Nagy in 6 games versus division opponents as the coach of CHICAGO has seen a combined average score of 43.7 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CHICAGO) - good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game, in conference games are 53-22 UNDER since 1983 for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-05-19 | Twins +135 v. Red Sox | 2-1 | Win | 135 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Twins starter Martin Perez (9-6, 4.89 ERA, 120 SO)had a off game last time out as he was shelled by the Tigers for eight runs in 2 2/3 innings on Saturday and felt that his cutter was moving too much, which he hoped to address in bullpen work between starts. He had allowed four runs in 11 frames over his previous two outings and is more than capable of bouncing back here tonight vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile,Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 6.23 ERA, 46 SO)is not yet fully stretched out since returning to the rotation, and could easily end up as cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota batting order averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season. The linesmakers are expecting a high scoring game but it must be noted that the Twins excel in these situations. MINNESOTA is 16-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher this season. BALDELLI is 41-18 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of MINNESOTA. BALDELLI is 14-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, in September games are 89-45 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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09-05-19 | Cubs -114 v. Brewers | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana (12-8, 3.90) will start against Milwaukee for the second straight time and is 8-1 with a 3.08 ERA in his last 11 starts. He opposed Anderson last week and tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings when he allowed three runs or less for the 21st time.Quintana is 8-4 with 2.65 ERA in 16 career starts against the Brewers. Cubs are 7-0 in Quintanas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in Quintanas last 11 starts.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 road starts vs. Brewers. Meanwhile,Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.58 ERA) will start against Chicago for the second straight time. He allowed five runs on seven hits, including two homers to Castellanos, in four innings of a 7-1 loss Friday afternoon at Wrigley and is fade material here tonight.Anderson is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his three outings against Chicago this season. Brewers are 0-5 in Andersons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. MADDON is 60-27 against the money line when playing on Thursday as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 28-84 L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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09-05-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Todays starters TBs Pruitt is 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in eight career appearances (one start) against the Blue Jays. Thornton the Jays starter is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA in three starts against the Rays and Im betting both get lit up tonight according to my offence vs pitching projections. THORNTON is 11-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. TORONTO is 10-2 OVER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Blue Jays are 13-0 OVER L/13 in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TB/TORONTO) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 47-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-04-19 | Angels v. A's -151 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
As starter Tanner Roark (8-8, 4.04 ERA, 135 SO)had allowed two or fewer earned runs in four starts since being traded to the A’s, until Thursday vs. the Royals. He turned in six innings, but gave up four runs on five hits in Oakland’s 6-4 loss, but today I expect a more focused effort and a victory. Roark in 3 career starts against the Angels, has garnered a 1.89 ERA.ROARK is 6-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 51-17 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. The Athletics are 7-0 on the ML L/7 in the second game of a series as a home 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. The As have crushed their opposition in those tilts winning all won seven games by multiple run deficits ( 5.86 rpg run). Play on the As to win on the ML |
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09-04-19 | Phillies -130 v. Reds | 5-8 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.45 ERA, 194 SO) going to the hill every five days the rest of the season. The Phillies are winless in his first two starts since making the announcement, although he has a 2.70 ERA in those games and is more than capable of helping his team get a win here vs the Reds tonight.NOLA is 13-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Reds starterTrevor Bauer (10-12, 4.53 ERA, 222 SO) enters this game in a funk as is evident by allowing a combined 14 runs (13 earned) over his past two outings, spanning just seven innings. The right-hander has an 8.40 ERA across six starts since being traded to the Reds at the end of July and is fade material in his current form. BAUER is 4-12 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML |
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09-03-19 | Tigers v. Royals -130 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Tigers will send left-hander Daniel Norris (3-11, 4.66 ERA) to the mound Tuesday. Norris is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in three appearances (two starts) against the Royals in 2019. For his career, he is 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 12 appearances (11 starts) vs. Kansas City and has dropped 10 of his L/11 decisions and is once again fade material in this spot.NORRIS is 1-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 20-8 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 13-31 (against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville UNDER 55 | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show | |
Scott Satterfield new era at Louisville will be tested when he steps onto the field against Notre Dame with the most talented team overall he’s had in his coaching career. Admittedly Louisville . is a broken football program, that self disintegrated over the last few seasons and now has to be cautious moving forward. That Im betting is the game plan today vs a explosive Notre Dame fighting Irish team. The Cardinal have been a mistake prone team lacking discipline , but that is something the new head coach wont tolerate. Quote:“I can’t stand sloppy play. I can’t stand it,” Satterfield said during Monday’s press conference with the media. Im also betting that Louisville wont turn over the ball as much here , after ranking 126th in the nation last season. All and all Im backing the idea that Satterfilelds group keeps it simple , which Im betting makes for more of snail pace than many might believe is possible, which gives credence to my under wager recommendation here tonight. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 non-conference gamesUnder is 7-3 in Fighting Irish last 10 games on fieldturf. Play on the UNDER |
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09-02-19 | Edmonton +3.5 v. Calgary | 9-25 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 17 m | Show | |
The battle of Alberta between Edmonton 6-4 and Calgary 5-4 has the makings of a hard fought battle, that makes getting points a golden opportunity. Both sides are off home losses as it might seem their attention might have been in a look ahead spot and diverted to this inter provincial rivalry. Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Eskimos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss Stampeders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.Stampeders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.Stampeders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Stampeders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. CFL Underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 38-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover |
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09-02-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Loss | -126 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA), is 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four career outings at Comerica Park and gets my support here today. He has allowed one run in 13 innings against the Tigers in 2019. Meanwhile, the Home Run heavy Twins look well equiped to beat up on a 2 seam fastball hitter in Zimmerman who is 1-9, along with a bloated 6.24 ERA. MINNESOTA is 13-1 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse this season with the average run diff clicking in at 5 rpg. DETROIT is 3-22 SU in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run diff clicking at at 4.6 rpg. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the RL -1.5 |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma UNDER 80.5 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
These teams met in the 2016 opener, and No. 15 Houston pulled a 33-23 stunner over the third-ranked Sooners. Oklahoma eventually won the Big 12 and beat Auburn in the Sugar Bowl, but the Sooners missed out on the playoff for the only time in the past four seasons. Tonight in a game the public has pegged as a super shoot out, Im betting we have value with the under. Both offenses will once again be explosive. However, I am expecting the Sooners off season hiring of Alex Grinch from Ohio State to help the Sooners D immensely .It must be noted that when he was with the Washington State Cougars of the PAC12 he knew very well how to handle that pass heavy conference. Meanwhile, Houston despite of still having a a capable attack, will still see a head coach Dana Holgorsen who in the past used pocket passers to move the ball efficiently. None of his previous QBS however were like D’Eriq King behind the 2nd adjusted pace. At W.Virginia they had a adjusted pace of 48th so there is a difference here that the Sooners new D could take advantage of, and subsequently slow down as this game progresses behind what will be a more aggressive pressure defence. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (OKLAHOMA) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, with 8 defensive starters returning are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (HOUSTON) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 40-13 UNDER UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-01-19 | Mets -106 v. Phillies | 2-5 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Mets won Saturday afternoon as Wilson Ramos had four hits to extend his hitting streak to a career-high 24 games and Todd Frazier delivered three hits and a pair of RBIs in a 6-3 win and Im betting they notch a win here tonight in prime time action. Todays pitching matchup features: the Mets Stroman who is 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Phillies and Z Eflin who is 3-4 with a 6.00 ERA in nine starts against the Mets, whom he's faced more than any other opponent. in his career. Philadelphia is also 0-8 on the ML with Eflin as a underdog and he gave up no walks in his last start. EFLIN is 0-11 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) EFLIN is 0-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) NY METS are 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 26-6 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. KAPLER is 8-20 against the money line in September games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML |
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09-01-19 | Fever +9.5 v. Lynx | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Lynx star Maya Moore is sitting out and fellow superstar Seimone Augustus not 100 percent and with a play off spot locked up Im betting we see this team more interested in staying healthy than playing all out hoops. With that said, look for up and coming star rookie Teaira McCowan (9.6 ppg, 8.8 rpg) to lead Indiana in what Im betting will be a competitive effort. MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 58-19 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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09-01-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-3 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Dodgers Ross Stripling (4-4, 3.64 ERA, 76 SO)Stripling will be activated from the injured list to make his first start since July 24. The right-hander is expected to pitch only two or three innings before the Dodgers turn to righty Dustin May, who made four starts in August and Im betting he has his hands full with the suddenly hot Arizona team on a 6 game win streak and output of 22 runs in their L/3 games. Meanwhile, Young the Dbacks starter had his shortest start of the season at Dodger Stadium on Aug. 10, giving up four runs and five hits in 3 1/3 innings of a 4-0 loss. Note: The Dodgers have scored 29 runs in their L/5 games and Im betting continue their ferocious hot hitting in their quest for a play off spot here this afternoon. Over is 20-6-1 in Dodgers last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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09-01-19 | Orioles v. Royals -123 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Southpaw KC hurler Danny Duffy (5-6, 4.93 ERA, 90 SO)Duffy is expected to be activated on Sunday. He last pitched last Sunday on a rehab assignment with Double-A Northwest Arkansas and gave up one run over five innings. He likely will have a 90-pitch limit. My own projections tells me he matches up well vs this very inconsistent Os batting order and gets my support here today. Duffy won his last start against the Orioles, 15-7, on May 8, 2018 in Baltimore. He's 3-2 with a 2.17 ERA lifetime vs. Baltimore, his lowest ERA vs. any opponent (minimum three starts) in his career. These teams split the first to game of this series.. However it must be noted that the Orioles are 1-12 on the ML L/13 away when it is the last game of a three game series and they split the first two games. DUFFY is 43-22 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 6-23 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 54-18 L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State v. USC UNDER 52.5 | 23-31 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Im betting Fresno States D, remains their strong point, and that their 25 game streak of holding opponents to 30 points or less remains intact. Meanwhile, look for USCs core of 4 and 5 star recruits on D, to stand tall and limit Fresno States offence to a minimal output . Early on in the season Defences have an edge on offences and that gives me credence in my under projection here in game 1 for both teams in this non conference battle. FRESNO ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg going on the board. FRESNO ST is 6-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. USC is 18-6 L/24 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 with a combined average of 47.9 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-31-19 | Padres v. Giants -105 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Lucchesi a native of Oakland California has gone 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in two San Francisco homecomings this season and is fade material here today again. LUCCHESI is 7-18 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 3-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 32-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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08-31-19 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. Texas | 14-45 | Loss | -102 | 59 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas upset Georgia in the Sugar Bowl, 28-21 and since than Longhorns nation has been standing proud. . However, with starting QB Ehlinger now having to deal with three of his starting offensive linemen gone and current group RBs banged up in camp as per reports Im betting the sledding could be a lot tougher than many might expect. On defence the Longhorns have to replace three starting defensive linemen, two LBs and both starting CBs. I know that Texas will be motivated to honour former RB Cedric Benson who passed a couple of weeks ago in a motorcycle accident, but covering the number here could still prove difficult considering the alliterations this football program will have to endure here early in the season. Meanwhile, HC Skip Holtz remains a very good coach and operates and recruits a never say die group of kids that have endured five 1-point losses over the last three seasons. Im betting he once again makes life difficult for an opponent, and gets us the cover. It must be noted that Texas has failed to cover 19 of their L/27 as non conference favs while Holtz on the other hand thrives in the underdog role cashing (49 of the L/63 times for a 77% conversion rate for bettors).Holtz is also 34-16 ATS as a road underdog in all games he has coached since 1992. Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in August.Bulldogs are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 road games. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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08-31-19 | Georgia Southern +28 v. LSU | 3-55 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 35 m | Show | |
LSU's Orgeron is a well liked coach, but from a bettors perspective his backers may not be all that fond of him considering his 0-4 ATS record in his last four non-conference home games, and his 1-4 ATS record as a favorite of 21 or more points. It must also be noted last season, against SE Louisiana a lower tier football team, the Bayou Bengals looked very average and unmotivated. Today a under rated Georgia Southern team off a 10 win campaign must not be underestimated in their abilities to find a way to cover here today vs a behemoth SEC foe.HC Chad Lunsfords reinstatement of the power running game, made GSouthern dangerous and nothing changes today. The Eagles are 3-0 ATS all time vs SEC and have covered 5 of their L/6 as 20 point or more underdogs. With Texas on board for Oregeron and company, the Tigers full attention, might be lacking making them unreliable favs here despite of public perceptions. LSU is 0-6 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | 30-14 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh's QB Kenny Pickett is a veteran quarterback and under rated and , his receiving corps is of the top tier variety and wont be intimidated by Virginia's experienced D. Meanwhile, on my over rated charts,Cav QB Bryce Perkins is key here, as he and his team are expected by most pundits to win their conference this season. But today things wont come easily vs a well coached Panthers team that has won 4 straight in this series grabs the cash. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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08-31-19 | Incarnate Word v. UTSA -6.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
UTSA has bigger and better athletes, and despite of what Incarnate Word was able to do in a lower tier division their out of their league ( co champions and undefated in San Antonio) and should be pounded by the Roadrunners as this tilt progresses. No one is going to take UIW for granted , thus Im expecting an all out effort by UTSA, which makes this an easy lay. Play on UTSA to cover |
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08-31-19 | Sam Houston State +9.5 v. New Mexico | 31-39 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Lobos are in a transition season with new dynamics and schemes and are expected to possibly highlight four QBs today. Needless to say their cohesiveness could be tested. Meanwhile, the Sam Houston BearKats come in nationally ranked, 22nd in the preseason poll by Stats FCS, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a team like New Mexico. Lobos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in August. Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Lobos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Lobos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.v Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Play on Sam Houston to cover |
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08-31-19 | Duke +35 v. Alabama | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
The public is all over Alabama but it must be noted that HC Saban has been inconsistent as a large favorite covering just 11 of 33 games when favored by 30 or more points. Meanwhile, Duke HC Cutcliffe is 15-3 SU lifetime in season openers with the three losses coming by an average of 5.56 ppg. The Blue Devils return the top two rushers and the most experienced part of their defense. abd look fairly solid and more than capable of being competitive. Meanwhile, Alabama loses Damien Harris and most of the offensive line and it must also be noted that this game is being played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, where QB Tagovailoa had a bad game while looking uncomfortable playing on that surface ,converting just t 10-of-25 passes for just 165 yards and 2 interceptions against Georgia in the SEC Championship game. Could this environment trigger a PTSD event? Im betting it does . DUKE is 6-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.DUKE is 24-8 ATS in games played on turf. ALABAMA is 8-19 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.DUKE is 28-13 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992. Take the points with Duke to cover |
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08-31-19 | Mississippi State -20 v. UL-Lafayette | 38-28 | Loss | -108 | 76 h 23 m | Show | |
Superdome - New Orleans, LA The Mississippi State Bulldogs delivered 8 wins last season and ranked No. 1 in the nation in defence and this season Im betting their offence chips in and makes this side very under rated. Meanwhile, the Ragin Cajuns despite of a top tier recruiting class and success last season in a 7 win campaign, are over matched here today. The Cajuns might be out looking for revenge for a 56-10 smash down last season to the Bulldogs, but Im betting they will fail as they make it 36 straight losses to a SEC school. Note: UL-Lafayette are an ugly 0-28 ATS in their last 28 SU home losses versus lined opponents. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 81-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% covnersion rate for bettors. Play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs to cover |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 17 m | Show | |
Toledo continues to recruit top tier offensive players as was evident by scoring at least 50 points in six games during their 2018 campaign, and something that will aid them covering here today . Meanwhile, Kentucky is a depleted team with players going to the NFL and other departures that no longer make them a contender in the SEC. Mark Stoops has his work cut out for him this season, and some serious regression is not out of the question. It must be noted as far as this matchup is involved the Wildcats are being over rated in my humble betting opinion. Note Kentucky is 1-7 ATS as home favourite the past two seasons, while the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in road openers . The MAC owns a 9-0 ATS L/9 record vs SEC opposition. KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (TOLEDO) - poor defense from last season - allowed 400 or more total yards/game, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 61-27 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toledo Rockets to cover |
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08-31-19 | Akron v. Illinois -18 | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show | |
This bet is not so much about Lovie Smiths Illinois even though Im betting they will be significantly better this season, but this bet is rather about the matchup discrepancies here today , that favor Illinois. The Zips have a completely new coaching staff, and only have a couple returning starters on the defensive side of the ball back, and a new offensive scheme that will take time to be cohesive.I know the MAC has a reputation for doing well against the Big10 in the past, but today the Big 1o will dominate . Illinois in their 4 wins last season averaged 39.5 ppg so they can score when in a groove and should prove even better this season. Overall from a historical standpoint it must also be noted that Illini have won 21 straight home openers by an average of 24 points per game. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ILLINOIS) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 81-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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08-30-19 | Mariners +103 v. Rangers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Marco Gonzales(14-10, 4.17 ERA, 126 SO)is his teams No. 1 starter and is 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA over his last 14 starts, including a win over the Rangers in Seattle on July 22, when he allowed two runs in seven innings. He's 2-2 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts vs. Texas on the season. He gets the nod again here tonight vs the Rangers.GONZALES is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. TEXAS is 15-30 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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08-30-19 | Astros v. Blue Jays UNDER 10.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Astros starter Miley is 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his last 11 starts, and in the top five in ERA in the American League at 3.13. Opponents are hitting .233 against him. Im betting he will slow down this young Blue Jays offence that has scored and average of just 2.6 rpg in their L/10 overall and limit their output today. The Astros have allowed an average of 2.8 rpg in their L/10 tilts overall. MILEY is 15-7 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those 22 games clicking in at 8.4 rpg. Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts vs. American League East.Under is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Thorton his pitching opponent form the Blue Jays continues to flash glimpses of brilliance, and despite of inconsistencies is a capable hurler that can slow down this Astros offence. Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games following an off day.Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games. Play UNDER |
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08-30-19 | A's v. Yankees -137 | 8-2 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Senior citizen CC Sabathia looked good in his last outing at Dodger Stadium, where he permitted two runs and five hits over four innings, walking one with seven strikeouts. Sabathia has pitched seven innings in two starts since returning from a right knee injury and will be ready to go longer and stronger here tonight vs the As. The Yankees can almost always depend on him go be a stable force in their rotation, especially late in the season. Meanwhile, his Athletics pitching opponent Anderson is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA in his last six starts, and fade material here in this spot. Note: Anderson is 0-6 with a 6.86 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees. The Athletics are 0-13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest on the road off a one-run road win. NY YANKEES are 15-4 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 39-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.NY YANKEES are 18-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa +23.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Last season the Michigan State Spartans ranked 127th in scoring nationally and put up an average of 8 ppg in their final 4 tilts. It was a frikin embarrassment. However, Im betting they will be improved this season , but tonight they might not show off their improved attack and playbook options as the Spartys have a reputation for staring slowly failing to cover 4 of their L/5 openers and are also 0-6 ATS as home chalk of more than 17 points. Meanwhile, Tulsa behind head man Phil Montgomery have really been bitten the by the injury bug the last couple of seasons, but have remained fairly competitive behind a under rated D as they have eight one-possession losses, Note:The Golden Hurricane were ranked eighth in the country in pass defense last season. With alot of experience returning this season and Montgomerys need to post some wins to save his job Im betting on him pulling out all the stops this season. Considering Tulsa has covered 6 of their L/7 ATS as a under dog of 20 or more points they get my support here vs what we can usually count on to be a disinterested Mark Dantonio group. Play on the Tulsa Canes to cover |
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08-30-19 | Rice +22 v. Army | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 58 h 56 m | Show | |
Army had a tremendous season in 2018, and some regression must be expected this around especially with their two top Full Backs gone, and a new defensive coordinator in the fold . But hey Art Monkin has done a great job with the Black Knights and they should be fine this season. However today they go against a very under rated Rice squad with a huge amount of returning experience in the lineup, and with some luck the Owls won't be as injury prone as last season ie ( 4 QBS played last year). Army because of their recent success is now a public team but because of this we are getting a decent line to bet into here with the underdog, especially considering that I highly doubt that Army will open up their playbook this week with Jim Harbaughs Michigan up next. I also expect the Knights may not play their starters late into this tilt, which gives credence to back door cover opportunities if need be. Note: Rice HC Bloomgren has said he has been preparing for Army's Triple option since last February. Rice has cashed 10 of their L/15 as 20 point or more dogs. Army has failed to cover 15 of their L/24 as DD favorites( 38%). Army is 4-11 ATS L/15 season openers. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (ARMY) - good defense from last season - allowed 315 or less total yards/game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB, in the first two weeks of the season are 16-44 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rice Owls to cover |
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08-29-19 | Raiders v. Seahawks UNDER 33.5 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 58 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all abut staying healthy. Look for most backups to see action in a tilt Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. Gruden in his L/9 after playing a Thursday game in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 27.7 ppg scored. Carroll is 12-3 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 32.7 ppg scored. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 29-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (SEATTLE/OAKLAND) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record in the preseason playing another winning team are 22-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. PLAY UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Texas State +33.5 v. Texas A&M | 7-41 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 16 m | Show | |
Texas State Im betting is a under rated commodity here in game 1 vs respected Texas A&M football program However, this Bobcats team is loaded with experienced players with 19 returning starters and the O-Line completely intact. Meanwhile, the Aggies, despite of a decent season last year, have to now endure a new batch of players on defence, having to replace 6 of 7 players in the front 7, which will effect them here today. With Clemson up next for Texas A&M concentrating on this matchup, could be difficult. Texas State has also been solid as an underdog of 20 or more points cashing 5 of their L/6 opportunities, and Im betting they don't roll over so easily here, and find the way to get us a cover on a almost 5 TD spread. Bobcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in August.Aggies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Thursday games. Play on Texas State to cover |
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08-29-19 | Wings +11.5 v. Sky | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
After winning 3 straight Dallas has dropped three straight and failed to cover . But it must be noted that Agler is 36-20 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Its interesting to note that Chicago has average 44.3 % with their FG conversion rate at home, but DALLAS is 21-9 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Chicago Sky have already clinched a playoff berth, so playing all out here is not a priority. However staying healthy is , which makes for plenty of back door cover options if the Sky get up big and rest their top players . WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
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08-29-19 | Ravens -6 v. Redskins | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 50 h 33 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens go into Washington with momentum as they ride a 16-game winning streak in pre-season play and have won and covered each of their three exhibition tilts this season.Rookie QB Trace McSorley has looked tremendous and completed 19 of his 28 passing attempts for 203 yards, two touchdowns, last time out in a Ravens, win and should get more snaps tonight with Lamar Jackson not expected to play. Meanwhile, Washington despite of a preseason win last time out, is suffering through some scattered key injuries and will want to stay relatively healthy, going forward so Im betting they play alot of backups and sort out the bottom half of the depth chart . Looks very much like Baltimore makes it 17 straight here, and covers for the 11th time in 13 trips to the gridiron. BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points . Play on Baltimore to cover |
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08-29-19 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 32.5 | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 41 m | Show | |
Week 4 of the preseason is usually more of scrimmage for NFL teams, and all about staying healthy. Look for mostly backups to see action in a tilt which Im betting will be very conservative in nature and low scoring. The L/2 preseason meetings in this series, have seen scores of 13-7, and 17-6 go on the board and Im betting on a similar ouput in this battle. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.Under is 7-1 in Jaguars last 8 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 Thursday games. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. NFLX team against the total (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent off 3 or more consecutive unders are 23-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFLX team against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-29-19 | Vikings -3 v. Bills | 23-27 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings opened at 2.5 point dogs vs the Buffalo Bils, but that number was knocked down, and now the value despite of the divergence still lies with the Vikings of favorites of 3 points. Zimmer is 12-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. Zimmer is 9-2 ATS in road games as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFLX teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after a 2 game home stand against opponent after playing their last game on the road are 29-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NFLX Road teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive home wins, undefeated in the preseason are 41-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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08-29-19 | UCLA +3 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Coach Chip Kelly has 19 returning starters in the lineup and come into this season with experience and momentum after outgunning 3 of their L/4 opponents last season. Meanwhile, the Bearcats despite of being fairly solid team , are 0-4 ATS L/4 in non conference home games and according to my projections could get lit up by QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Joshua Kelley who could have a big day vs a D, that has lost their 3 top players from last season. With instate rivals Ohio State on deck, we may not see the Bearcats fully focused and unreliable favs. Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover |
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08-29-19 | Mercury v. Dream +5 | 65-58 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won the two meetings between the teams by a combined 11 points and Im betting on another close game , as both teams are competing for a play off birth against each other. The Mercury dont have as tough a path as Atlanta, but the Dream still have a chance if they can win their L/4 games of the season, so they wont easily fold here tonight. Atlanta has won 2 straight. WNBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 73-129 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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08-29-19 | Sparks v. Fever +6 | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Los Angeles' weakness is, perimeter defending, was again exposed as Washington knocked down nine first-half 3-pointers and put the Sparks in a 17-point halftime hole and tonight Im betting they wont easily get off the matt after being KOd last time out. LA has proven themselves at home but on the road they have lost 9 of 15 straight up and are fade material as hefty road favs. LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1997. Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-29-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Berrios the Twins starter is 0-2 along with an 8.44 ERA in four starts this month after giving up five runs and 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit tigers this past The Twins righty has allowed six homers in his last four trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Cease (3-6, 5.76) the Pale Hose starting thrower today, has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts, allowing nine runs and 12 hits and once again looks like cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota offence averaging 6.2 rpg on the road this season. Everything points to a high scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Berrios' last 6 starts overall.MINNESOTA is 34-18 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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08-29-19 | A's -1.5 v. Royals | 9-8 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Athletics starter Chris Bassitt has seen (9-5, 3.59 ERA, 117 SO) has een Left-handed batters hitting .198 off him compared to .255 against righties. He's close to averaging one strikeout per inning (117 in 125 1/3 innings) and his 1.18 WHIP is solid. Athletics are 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. American League Central. Meanwhile,Royals right-handed starter Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA), has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts and is fade material here. Royals are 0-8 in Sparkmans last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. OAKLAND is 30-8 SU vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.OAKLAND is 28-5 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-13 against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season losing by an average of 3.9 rpg. Play on the Oakland AS on the runline -1.5 |
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08-28-19 | Rays +195 v. Astros | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Cole despite of being in top form has not fared well vs TB as he is 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA over three career starts against the Rays, including a 4-1 loss on March 29 when he allowed four runs (one earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts over six innings in St. Petersburg, Fla. Meanwhile,Rays lefty starter Ryan Yarbrough(11-3, 3.29 ERA, 93 SO)s last start may have been cut short due to rain, but it was no less dominant. The lefty now owns a 1.48 ERA across 61 innings over his past 12 appearances, which includes a staggering 59 strikeouts compared to just four walks and must be respected on a value line no matter who the opposition is . Yes even the mighty Astros. CASH is 17-11 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY. The Rays are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a underdog of more than 160 vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not a series opener. MLB team (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 over his last 3 starts are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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08-28-19 | Yankees v. Mariners OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Yankees' James "Big Maple" Paxton (10-6, 4.43 ERA), who spent his first six seasons in Seattle, will go up against the Mariners' Justus Sheffield (0-0, 6.43), who will be making his second major league start. Im betting both offences do enough damage here this afternoon to help us eclipse this total. The Yankees won yesterday 7-0 but in the past this has been an omen for a fairly high scoring game as SERVAIS in his L/31 after getting shut out as the manager of SEATTLE has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. PAXTON is 10-2 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg going on the board. PAXTON is 8-0 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.2 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 20-9 OVER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.9 rog scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. The Yankees have gone over 14 straight times and its not the first game of a series as a road chalk vs a team that has lost at least their last two games with the average combined score of 14.15 rpg scored with no game seeing less than a combined 11 runs scored. Play OVER |
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08-27-19 | Red Sox -130 v. Rockies | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Bostons offence is built to destroy parks like Coors Field and matchup well vs the Colorado Rockies. Red Sox are 14-3 in their starters Porcellos last 17 interleague starts. Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 interleague road games.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 21-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 41-17 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 161-89 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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08-27-19 | Twins v. White Sox +104 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lucas Giolito (14-6, 3.20 ERA, 194 SO) termed his shutout of the Twins last Wednesday as the “best I’ve ever felt pitching in my life.” Giolito struck out 12 in that three-hitter, without issuing a walk. Giolito needs six strikeouts to reach 200 for the season and gets my support again vs a team that matches up well against. GIOLITO is 11-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox on the ML |
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08-27-19 | Orioles v. Nationals -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals starter Patrick Corbin(10-5, 3.17 ERA, 184 SO) ranked fifth in the NL in strikeouts, joining teammates Max Scherzer (second) and Stephen Strasburg (third) in the top five. His 1.76 ERA at home this year (12 starts) is the second-best home ERA in the NL and deserves his big chalk status here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Brooks despite of coming off a good effort vs a struggling team in KC, is just 1-4 with an 8.07 ERA in eight starts for Baltimore overall and fade material in this spot on the runline. Home favorites with a money lines of -200 or more (WASHINGTON) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 50-4 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average score of 6.1 to 2.9 - with a diff of +3.2 rpg qualifying as a solid run-line situation. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the RL -1.5 |
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08-26-19 | Diamondbacks -103 v. Giants | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede the Giants starter is 0-4 with an 8.23 ERA over his last six starts, each of which the Giants have lost and is fade material here in this spot play vs the Arizona DBacks.He is 0-3 in eight home games (seven starts) in his two-year career, and has never beaten the Diamondbacks (0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three starts).Meanwhile, Young his pitching opponent from the DBacks has pitched his best on the road this season, where he 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA so far this season. Giants are 10-21 in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Giants are 13-32 in their last 45 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 62-33 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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08-26-19 | Reds v. Marlins +145 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Gray the Reds starter has a mixed history against the Marlins. In three career appearances against them, he is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA. But he is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start at Marlins Park. GRAY is 4-15 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,Pablo Lopez (5-5, 4.23 ERA, 73 SO) will come off the injured list and make his first start since June 15 when he beat the Pirates, working seven innings. The 23-year-old made 14 starts before his shoulder injury. At home, he is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA. The Marlins are 4-0 L/4 on the ML as a home 140-plus underdog after a game in which they left fewer than ten men on base, which happened yesterday. CINCINNATI is 2-13 (against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 overall. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor OBP (.310or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less ) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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