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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-13-22 | Fever +6.5 v. Liberty | 92-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
05-13-22 | Rangers v. Penguins +115 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rangers goalie Shesterkin was yanked in each of New York's losses in Games 3 and 4 in Pittsburgh, but coach Gerard Gallant was defiant in saying he is sticking with Shesterkin which Im betting is a mistake here in Pittsburgh tonight.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.Penguins are 14-5 in their last 19 games as a home underdog.Rangers are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh.Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on Penguins to win |
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05-13-22 | Astros -142 v. Nationals | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Astros are red hot as is evident by having won 9 straight games and deserve respect here as viable favorites. Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite and are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. Astros are 12-1 in their last 13 games following a win. Astros are 14-2 in their last 16 overall. Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 inter-league games as an underdog.WASHINGTON is 1-10  against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive home games this season.WASHINGTON is 10-39 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Astros to win |
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05-13-22 | Wings v. Mystics -7.5 | 94-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
05-12-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers -133 | 9-7 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Dodgers left-hander Tyler Anderson (3-0, 2.78 ERA) will enter his Thursday start coming off consecutive victories and gives an edge to a Dodgers team with the best win % at home in MLB so far this season. Meanwhile, Philadelphia will send right-hander Zack Wheeler (1-3, 4.10 ERA) to the mound on Thursday in his return from the COVID-19 injured list. My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest the Dodgers powerful lineup matches up well against the Phillies righty. Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Anderson. Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Phillies are 4-12 in their last 16 games as an underdog. PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.PHILADELPHIA is 1-13 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 season. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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05-12-22 | Suns -1.5 v. Mavs | 86-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns are one victory away from a second straight trip to the Western Conference finals and now Im betting with blood in the water are dangerous opponents in this spot . They made the adjustment they needed to vs Dallas and beat them 110-80 last time out, and that scheme series is highly probable to continue tonight. PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 22-54 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Suns are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Dallas. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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05-12-22 | Royals v. Rangers -128 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Kansas City has really struggled with offensive production so far this season, and are averaging just .197 vs LHP like Texas starter Hearn scoring an average of just 2.7 rpg . Meanwhile, the Rangers batting order goes against an inexperienced MLB starter  Heasley who is being called up from Triple-A Omaha for the start. Heasley made three major-league starts in 2021, going 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA. Advantage Rangers. Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - sub par offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 15-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Royals are 8-27 in the last 35 meetings. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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05-12-22 | Hurricanes +115 v. Bruins | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
I know this has been a homer series, thus far with each team winning at home. However, from a analytical standpoint the Canes have been the superior side over, and the Bruins have had to work alot harder than the Canes to make this a competitive series. Watching portions of game 5 the Bruins looked like they may have run out of gas, and now look vulnerable here in game 6. The Carolina Hurricanes hosted and defeated the Boston Bruins 5-1 in game 5 to take a best-of-7 NHL playoff series lead of 3-games-2. Note:When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 9-0 and a Game 6 record of 6-3. When trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 4-22 and a Game 6 record of 12-14. Advantage Carolina. Hurricanes are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Hurricanes are 9-2 in their last 11 overall. BOSTON is 3-9 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals this season. NHL Road teams against the money line (CAROLINA) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 40-11 L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Hurricanes are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play on Carolina to win |
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05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This series has been a homer event, since game 1 with the hosts holding an advantage in their own back yard and Im betting nothing changes tonight in Philly.  Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more points are 8-42 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to win/cover |
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05-12-22 | Astros v. Twins +121 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Astros pitching has been in top form, and if it were not for their hurlers, things could have been alot worse considering they are averaging just .217 BA as a team and a even uglier .205 vs LH starters like the Twins Winder. I know the Astros are on a 8 game win streak, but their Texas sized horse shoe Im betting wont get them over the hump today. BAKER is 18-30 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games in all games he has managed since 1997. Houston is just 6-5 in day games this season. Astros are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Twins are 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Houstons starter Garcia.  Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Minnesota is 11-5 in day games this season. MINNESOTA is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.MINNESOTA is 16-6 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 37-12 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 87-30 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game are 27-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-11-22 | Warriors -4 v. Grizzlies | 95-134 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Memphis in game 4 found a way to stay competitive without Ja Morant in the lineup, but I doubt they will be that good again as they rallying cry will fade as will Golden States previous inability to read the Grizzlies defensive schemes. What Im saying is that the Warriors will adjust here and get the win . MEMPHIS is 2-12 ATS when facing elimination in a playoff series since 1996. Kerr is 15-5 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 19-63 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-11-22 | Orioles v. Cardinals -1.5 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have lost three straight games but will be ready to bounce back behind Miles Mikolas (2-1, 1.53 ERA) and will primed for a strong effort here vs a side that they can handle.   BALTIMORE is 7-24 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with the rpg diff clicking in at -2.1. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 55-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicks in at +3.7 which qualifies on a runline wager. Play on Cardinals -1.5. |
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05-11-22 | Capitals v. Panthers -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Four of five previous games in this series were decided by 2 goals or more and Im betting that trend to continue tonight. I know Florida has not been as explosive as it was during the reg season, but they are more than capable of unloading at any time. With both teams at full strength, the Panthers had a 49-27 advantage in shots and a 21-14 edge in scoring chances and with the trend moving in their direction, a momentum style win after their 3-2 OT victory in this spot play. FLORIDA is 27-2 SU/ATS in home games off a win or tie in their previous game this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.6 . FLORIDA is 26-5 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. Play on Florida to win/cover -1.5 |
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05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
There was enough aggressive offensive action in game 4 of this series, with a combined 224 points scored for me to consider this totals offering as an opportunity to cash an over bet.  Im betting on the Celtics being extremely aggressive tonight offensively knowing that the Bucks Kris Middleton is still not playing and have had time to access their best approaches against the Bucks ie Game 4s impressive victory.  I know Middleton is not a lockdown defender by any means but he is an excellent team defender and a key part of Milwaukee's defensive schemes due to his length and overall versatility, so with him continuing to be out you can expect Boston to be in a run and gun mode , which will force the Bucks into opening up offensively or be blown of the court. Over is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE/ BOSTON) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 198-122 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Play OVER |
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05-11-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -5.5 | 110-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
After watching the Celtics come back and almost take game 3 of this series losing 103-101 and than take command with a game 4 116-108 victory it became obvious to me the momentum had swung into the Celtics favor. With Kris Middleton still on the sidelines for Milwaukee the Celtics are a strong play , especially here at home.Bucks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 13-30 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 playoff games as a favorite. BOSTON is 11-1 ATS ( versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. BOSTON is 11-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-10-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
The home team has won every game and the series is tied 2-2 going into Game 5 on Tuesday night in Phoenix and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Suns super star lead the team with 35 points in the game 4 loss, but as quoted is ready for a the ups and downs of any post season series QUOTE: "We understand that it's a series," Booker said. "It's the playoffs for a reason. "We're going to make our adjustments. ... I think we just have to flush it and move on to the next game." END QUOTE. PHOENIX is 14-0 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a average pgg diff clicking in at +15.6 . PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. PHOENIX is 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +10. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 47-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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05-10-22 | Rockies +177 v. Giants | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rockies will send right-hander Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 3.75 ERA) to face San Francisco left-hander Alex Wood (2-2, 4.38).Senzatela is 5-1 with a 4.24 ERA in 10 career outings, including eight starts, against the Giants and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well again, and gives us a value line opportunity for profits. Note:Â Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Â
Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Wood. Play on Colorado to win |
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05-10-22 | Rays v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 0-12 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
Former Cy Young award winner Right-hander Corey Kluber (1-1, 2.36 ERA) will make his sixth start of the year for the Rays. The veteran hurler is coming off two top tier outings.  Rays starter KLUBER is 13-2 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored and Im betting he sklows down the Halos bats in this spot play which will contribute to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note: Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Detmers whoa] also owns a .3.21 ERA at home, along with a 0.857 WHIP.  Under is 5-1-1 in Angels last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-4-2 in Angels last 15 home games. Under is 7-3-1 in Angels last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), playing on Tuesday are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-10-22 | Guardians v. White Sox -175 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
The Guardians rallied Monday night to beat the White Sox in the first game of this series, and now a embarrassed Pale Hose side will be out looking for redemption. I'm betting on right-hander Lucas Giolito (1-1, 3.20 ERA) getting the White Sox back on track as he makes the start Tuesday. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CHI WHITE SOX) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 53-7 L/25 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. |
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05-10-22 | Astros v. Twins +128 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Two strong starting pitchers will go head to head today, with Twins right-hander Joe Ryan (3-1, 1.63) go to the hill and Astros veteran hurler  and right-hander Justin Verlander (3-1, 1.93 ERA) going to the mound. Both are supported by solid bullpens. Im betting the difference maker here today will be the Twins home field advantage a more consistent batting order.  Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Astros starter Verlander .Twins are 9-0 in their last 9 home games. Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Twins starter Ryan. MINNESOTA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.  MINNESOTA is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 13-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-10-22 | Lightning +115 v. Maple Leafs | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Lightning looked explosive on Sunday night in their 7-3 home victory vs the Leafs, and its obvious the Buds have gotten the Bolts attention, and ignited them into super sonic mode. The Leafs are a strong side, but the Lightning are proven winners, with the two way group that can really ratchet things up and Im betting they ride the momentum of the above mentioned previous win and once again over power the Leafs. Play on the TB Lightning |
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05-10-22 | 76ers v. Heat -3 | 85-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
This series has been a homer affair to this point and Im betting home court advantage to once again be golden as the 76ers visit south Florida to take on the Heat. Note:76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. 76ers are also 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Interesting anomaly:  PHILADELPHIA is 0-9 ATS on Tuesday nights this season. PHILADELPHIA is 9-22 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. MIAMI is 20-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Road underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams ( 36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 11-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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05-09-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -9.5 | 98-101 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
 Ja Morant suffered a knee injury and is officially doubtful and expected to miss Game 4, according coach Taylor Jenkins. This is a big blow for the Grizzlies both mentally and on the court as the young super star is heart beat of the team. Im betting Golden State takes this opportunity and makes the most of it in what should likely be a conclusive DD win much like in Game 3 .Grizzlies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2.  GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS in home games off a home win by 10 points or more this season with the average pgg diff coming in at +12.2. NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 174-116 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-09-22 | Rays v. Angels -124 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Hard-throwing Noah Syndergaard will be on the mound for the Los Angeles Angels on Monday night when they host the Tampa Bay Rays. The top tier hurler gives the Halos in edge at home here in game 1 of this series. Syndergaard (2-1, 2.63 ERA) has been steady in his four starts. He's lasted at least 5 1/3 innings in every start and has not allowed more than three runs in any of them and Im betting that type of continued pitching will get us to the promised land in this one. MADDON is 64-30 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62%) or better in all games he has managed since 1997 Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 100-24 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - in a game involving two top-level teams (62% or better ), playing on Monday are 31-12 L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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05-09-22 | Celtics v. Bucks | 116-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Im betting on key cog Giannis Antetokounmpo  to help lead Milwaukee to a 3-1 series advantage when the Bucks host the Boston Celtics on Monday night in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. In game 3 he potted 42 points, 12 rebounds and had eight assists and his dominance should continue tonight vs a defense that he matches up well against. Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games and  are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. The Bucks have lost all 3 games here at home this week. NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 11-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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05-09-22 | A's +110 v. Tigers | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Two teams on losing streaks try to break out here and grab a win. Detroit has lost 5 straight and the As 9 straight. Futility is something both have been good at so far this season. From a pitching standpoint the As Blackburn matches up very well vs the Tigers batting order, and so far he has been the one bright spot in the As lineup both offensively and defensively and deserves respect here against an offense that has generated a total of 8 runs during their current 5 game losing streak . The As right-hander, gave up three runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings against Tampa Bay in his last outing on Tuesday. He had four five-inning starts in April and only gave up three earned runs in totally. Blackburn has also fanned 23 in 24 1/3 innings while allowing just 3 walks. Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 home games. Athletics are 90-37 in their last 127 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 17-4 in the last 21 meetings in Detroit. Play on Oakland to win |
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05-09-22 | Rangers -103 v. Penguins | 2-7 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Some wild swings in this series so far, and back and forth offensive action have highlighted these meetings. Here tonight despite of Pittsburgh being the more experienced team, Im betting on a desperate Rangers team to come out here on fire and find a way to notch a victory and tie this series up.  Rangers are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.Rangers are 36-16 in their last 52 vs. Eastern Conference. Penguins are 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (NY RANGERS) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Rangers to win |
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05-09-22 | Panthers v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington blasted Florida 6-1 last time out and now Im betting on a much better defensive effort from the Panthers and more conservative style of hockey in transition here in game 4 which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the offered Total. FLORIDA is 5-0 UNDER after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored and are 9-3 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 5.6 gpg going on the score board. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 41-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-08-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The Sixers stormed back in game 3 of this series with a convincing win and proved that they are formidable opponents for the Heat especially here at home where Im betting the 76ers have the edge behind the energy of their vocal fans.Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. PHILADELPHIA is 47-34 ATS after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Philadelphia to win /cover |
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05-08-22 | Dodgers v. Cubs +176 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The Dodgers won the first two games of this series quite handily with 7-0 and 6-2 victories , but this has not been a good omen for success lately for the LAD and tonight Im going to bet against them as they try to make it 3 victories a row in this series. Note: LA DODGERS are 2-8 against the money line in road games after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.I know the Cubbies have looked horrid at times this season, but are much more capable than current trends might indicate and are value based underdog at home tonight with some pride on the line. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL) are 27-11 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to win |
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05-08-22 | Wild v. Blues -105 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Minnesota played better than the Blues in games 2 and 3 of this series, but the Blues are highly under rated and deserve respect here in game 4. They tamed the Wild in game 1 by a 4-0 count and have the ability to bounce back behind their goalie Husso who's stopping efficiency dropped in the last two games down to a 84.7 % . However a divergence to the norm which was .920 SV percentage during the regular season should be expected here. Advantage Blues. NHL Road teams against the money line (MINNESOTA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 24-55 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Wild are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in St. Louis. Play on St.Louis to win |
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05-08-22 | Cardinals +122 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Cardinals starting pitcher Dakota Hudson (2-2, 3.16 ERA) is coming off a 7-1 loss to the Kansas City Royals. After throwing 12 2/3 scoreless innings in his previous two starts. Today Im betting the under rated hurler bounces back vs a banged up Giants side that previous to yesterdays win in this series had lost 6 of their L/7 overall.Hudson is 2-0 with a 1.98 ERA in four career appearances against the Giants, including two starts and gets my support here today vs a lineup my power rankings suggest he matches up well against.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cardinals are 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road underdog and are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss. Cardinals are 37-16 in their last 53 overall.  Cardinals are 16-7 in their last 23 games as an underdog. Cardinals are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. National League West. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win |
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05-08-22 | Suns -1.5 v. Mavs | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Dallas rebounded at home in Game 3 with a 103-94 win over the Suns to get this series to 2-1. Trying to replicate another victory Im betting will not come so easily for the Mavs here in game 4. The Mavs allowed an   average of 125 points in the first two games and played with non stop energy in game 3, but like i said above replicating that type of energy wont be easy against a Suns side, that can easily rebound into explosive mode at any time. PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season. PHOENIX is 14-4 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 16-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Williams is 22-8 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.Suns are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games. Suns are 23-9 ATS in the last 32 meetings.Suns are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Dallas. Play on the Suns to win. |
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05-08-22 | A's v. Twins -173 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Im betting the focused Twins will complete a three-game sweep Sunday afternoon when they host the Oakland Athletics in Minneapolis. Twins right-hander Chris Paddack (1-2, 3.15 ERA) is scheduled to make his fifth start of the season.P addack is favored to get  back-to-back victories after a strong performance Monday in which he allowed one run on four hits in 5 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Athletics right-hander Daulton Jefferies (1-4, 4.81 ERA) is set to go the hill.  Jefferies earned a victory in his season debut April 10 against the Philadelphia Phillies but sicnce than been on a downhill trajectory notching  with four losses in a row and is fade material in his current form. Considering the pitching matchup and the fact the Twins seem to genrally take care of business vs lower tier sides that are struggling they are a viable wager here laying a little extea lumber. Twins are 45-21 in their last 66 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 Athletics are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 46-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Twins to win |
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05-08-22 | Hurricanes +115 v. Bruins | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
I know the Bruins broke through with a win last time out vs the Canes to make this a 2-1 series and now they have a chance to even this series. However the truth is that the Bruins do not matchup well vs Carolina, and despite of the urgency of game 3 still looked like a deer caught in headlights and some ways were lucky to notch a victory. Now in game 4 coming back with the same type of determination will be a difficult proposition, which gives credence to Carolina being a solid choice here on a value money-line offering.Hurricanes are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Bruins are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. BOSTON is 7-11 ATS in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against this season. NHL Road teams against the money line (CAROLINA) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 40-10 L/25 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina to win |
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05-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -6.5 | 112-142 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The young Grizzlies left everything on the floor as they escaped with a 106-101 late surge victory in game 2 . Now in enemy territory in a hostile environment, vs an experienced post season team, Im betting an emotional letdown scenario is a viable scenario here in game 3, which will effect their ability to stay at the same level of energy the home side will have.  GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and are  16-6 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Kerr is 13-1 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 130-79 L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-07-22 | Brewers v. Braves -105 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Braves starter FRIED is 21-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 22-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) It must be noted that the Brewers offense has struggled vs LHP this season batting just .195 overall while generating just 2.7 rpg in production.  Meanwhile, the Braves are 15-5  against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Brewers starter Burnes.Â
MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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05-07-22 | Rangers v. Penguins +110 | 4-7 | Win | 110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Rangers evened this series at 2 games a piece with a win at MSG by a 5-2 count, and now with this series going to Pittsburgh for game 3 Im expecting a bounce back performance from a experienced Penguins side.PITTSBURGH is 20-6 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. the Pens have also faired well at home vs the NYR at home winning 5 of the L/6 meetings here in Pennsylvania. Penguins are 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite.Penguins are 13-5 in their last 18 games as a home underdog. Play on the Pittsburgh Pens to win |
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05-07-22 | Tigers v. Astros -180 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and  are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter like the tigers Rodriguez. Astros are also 6-0 in their last 6 home games and generally take care of business vs less talented teams than themselves as is evident by going  23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a teams with a .400 or less record. Advantage Astros laying extra lumber. Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Tigers are also 1-8 in their last 9 road games. HOUSTON is 27-8 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 45-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - struggling offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 44-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -1.5 | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The Celtics evened the series with a win at home last time out, and now Im expected a bounce back by the Bucks here at home in game 3 in true zig zag theory . Note: Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite and  are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 80-20 L/5 seasons for 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are 52-25 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 11-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are 25-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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05-07-22 | A's v. Twins -180 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Athletics have lost 7 straight and are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. Meanwhile, the Twins  are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. Twins are also 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like J. Kaprielian .Twins have also taken care of business vs struggling teams going 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 22-105 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 11-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-06-22 | Suns v. Mavs | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
The Suns matchup very well against the Mavs as was evident in game 2 of this series and have an edge here even as visitors. Suns are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Dallas. PHOENIX is 11-1 straight up against DALLAS as visitors over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 16-4 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHOENIX is 22-7 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 21-9 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 14-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover /win |
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05-06-22 | A's v. Twins -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Oakland is fade material in their current form as they currently in the midst of having lost 6 straight games. Meanwhile, the Twins, are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite and are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like As starter Irvin. Twins are also 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. While the Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. MINNESOTA is 13-4 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 21-104 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-06-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -125 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Now down two games to none in this play off series, the Bruins are in desperation mode. For the Bruins this game is obviously of the utmost importance, and tonight Im betting they leave everything on the ice and get us a profit based victory. Hurricanes are 2-8 in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. CAROLINA is 14-28 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more since 1996 NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (BOSTON) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 24-3 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Boston to win |
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05-05-22 | Stars +205 v. Flames | 2-0 | Win | 205 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
The Flames were lucky to squeak out a 1-0 victory in game 1 of this series. My own power rankings make this game closer to a coin flip based on matchup projections outside of the framework of how the lines-makers operate giving us a value with this money-line offering on the Stars. CALGARY is 6-19 ATS l/25 when leading in a playoff series . When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-0, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 8-6 and a Game 2 record of 3-11 (with an active six-Game 2 losing streak)  Irrespective of Game 1 outcome, the Calgary Flames bring a ten-Game 2 best-of-7 NHL playoff losing streak into series Game 2. CALGARY is 11-21 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.CALGARY is 18-25 ATS in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Stars to win |
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05-05-22 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Game one of this series saw old school knockem down hockey being played. Most of the game was out of transition with a great deal of attention to neutral zone possession by the opposition, which was overall conservative in nature.DALLAS is 31-18 UNDER in road games in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Under is 6-2-4 in Stars last 12 playoff games as an underdog. Under is 5-0 in Flames last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in Flames last 7 playoff games as a favorite. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - after a low scoring road game where both teams scored 1 goal or less, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 51-22 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-05-22 | Marlins +107 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
Marlins stater LUZARDO is 7-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 9-26 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen like the Marlins whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Luzardo own s a 1.81 ERA in 2 road outings this season and deserves respect here in the starters role vs the Padres batting order. Meanwhile, MIAMI is 20-11 L/31 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) like Padres starter Martinez. I know the Marlins just had a disastrous series against the DBacks after winning 6 straight games, but this pitching matchup favors them in this spot play as underdogs.Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East. Padres are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 of 6 at home vs a side that is above .500 on the season. Play on the Marlins to win |
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05-05-22 | Angels v. Red Sox +140 | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Hill has pitched scoreless ball in consecutive four-inning starts, and despite of not getting a win is now ready to help his team bust out of a early season slump. I know he is opposed by media darling Ohtani, but the Japanese phenom has been hampered with hamstring issues and may have problems going deep here today or being consistent. I know the Halos erupted for 10 runs yesterday in a 10-5 win , but that has not been a good omen going forward for them, as they are just 15-23 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Also overall the Angels bats despite of finding ways to win some games have batting just .209 in their L/7 overall. Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Angels are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 51-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Red Sox to win |
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05-04-22 | Mavs v. Suns OVER 215.5 | 109-129 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
The first game in this series saw a combined score of 235 points go on the board and Im betting on rinse and repeat type score here again in game 2. The Suns will attack non stop and force a Dallas side that ranked 30th in pace this season and 24th in offense out of their comfort zone and have to open up or be blown off the court like in game 1 . Suns are 5-1 over L/6 overall. PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 17-8 OVER in home games after playing a home game this season with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored. Play on OVER |
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05-04-22 | 76ers v. Heat -7.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
With key cog Joel Embiid out of the Sixers lineup, they are very over matched and vulnerable to another DD beatdown at the hands of a deep Miami Heat squad. Miami is 5-1 SU/L/6 at home in this series.Â
NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 33-2 L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 . Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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05-04-22 | Lightning +119 v. Maple Leafs | 5-3 | Win | 119 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
As this series becomes more physical Im betting the Tampa Bay Bolts have an edge. Tonight Im looking for old school rockem sockem hockey and for the defending champs with their superior physicality and size to give Leafs players like Tavares and Mathews issues. In other words Im betting the Lightning bouncing back in game 2 of this series. TAMPA BAY is 11-1 ATS in road games revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. NHL team against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival against opponent off a home win where they shut out their opponent are 22-9 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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05-04-22 | Yankees -135 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Yankees are red hot as is evident by having won 14 of their L/15 games. They are finding new ways to win every night, behind a explosive veteran lineup. More of the same winning action is my call here tonight in Toronto as we back the stripes to come through again as manageable chalk. Note: Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home underdog. .Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games as a favorite. Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Jays starter Kikuchi. Yankees are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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05-04-22 | Rays -115 v. A's | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Oakland As starter MONTAS is 4-10 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 15-6 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons like Montas. Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Kluber. and are 0-5 in their last 5 home games and are fade material in their current form. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Rays are 23-8 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record. TAMPA BAY is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons. CASH is 12-0 against the money line in road games vs. sub par fielding teams - averaging 0.9+ errors/game as the manager of TAMPA BAY. Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oakland. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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05-04-22 | Padres v. Guardians +115 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Two former Padres' first-round picks, right-hander Cal Quantrill (1-1, 3.27) of the Guardians and rookie left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-0, 1.76) of the Padres will be on the mound in the first game of todays double header between these two sides. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 8-33 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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05-03-22 | Warriors -1.5 v. Grizzlies | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
The Warriors squeaked out a 117-116 win and game 1 of this series, and have the guns to turn the trick here again in game 2. GOLDEN STATE is 35-19 ATS L/54 off a road win by 3 points or less . Kerr is 15-4 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. Jenkins is 8-20 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less as the coach of MEMPHIS. Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. GOLDEN STATE is 36-17 ATS L/53 vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season . NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-71 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-03-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 227.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Golden state ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 1st in the league in defensive rating and only 15th in the league in offensive output, so D, is what got the Warriors here, and their defense will remain key to their possible advancement into the next round vs a explosive Memphis side. This above hypothesis is what Im basing an under wager on , plus a long list of trends that also support it. GOLDEN STATE is 40-21 UNDER in road games after a close win by 3 points or less since 1996 with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. Kerr is 21-9 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored. .GOLDEN STATE is 43-29 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg going on the board. Kerr is 34-19 UNDER (+13.1 Units) off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 51-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-03-22 | White Sox v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The White Sox bats are slumping averaging 2.6 runs per game , via a .206 BA and have homered just 10 times in their L/14 games winning just 3 times and do not matchup well according to my pitcher vs power rankings vs Cubs starter Drew Smyly (1-2, 2.79 ERA). Meanwhile, the Pale Hose will trot out Michael Kopech (0-0, 1.42 ERA) . The right-hander has allowed three earned runs and struck out 18 with nine walks over 19 innings of his four starts and should do well vs a Cubs team that is hitting just the Mendoza line at .246 on the season. Advantage under. CHICAGO CUBS are 34-17 UNDER after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 9-4-3 in White Sox last 16 interleague road games. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 44-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 4 runs or less are 45-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-03-22 | Twins -152 v. Orioles | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and have won 9 of their L/10 overall.Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter like Zimmerman and have an edge here according to my power rankings. Twins are 42-19 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MINNESOTA is 11-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. MINNESOTA is 12-3 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. BALTIMORE is 7-36 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BALTIMORE) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 22-109 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
 The Celtics came out flat in game 1 of this series and played an absolute clunker losing a 101-89 count vs a Bucks side that probably played their best defensive game of the play offs. Now Im betting on the Celtics bouncing back with a big effort here and for the defending champs to have a regressive event after playing such an emotionally charged game 1. Note: BOSTON is 9-0 ATS after scoring 95 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 24-9 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. BOSTON is 15-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Dallas is a fine team, and matched up well against the Utah Jazz in their last series, but I dont believe at this point that the Mavs do not matchup all that well vs the Suns as was evident by losing three times this season to Phoenix . With the previously injured Devon Booker back in the lineup for the Suns they have an edge here on their own home floor. Suns are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. PHOENIX is 27-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 47-87 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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05-02-22 | Lightning +114 v. Maple Leafs | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
No matter how good of a season the Leafs had they still have to go against a seasoned Stanley cup champion side that will not easily be intimidated and knows how to win in the play offs. Great value with the underdog in this spot play.  Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TORONTO) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season are 14-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Road team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Lightning are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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05-02-22 | 76ers v. Heat -7.5 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Previously injured Jimmy Butler (knee), is expected to return at home to face the Sixers on Monday in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Meanwhile, the Sixers with be without key offensive cog Joel Embiid (concussion). The Sixers went 6-8 without Embiid during the regular season and are at a disadvantage here vs a deep side. PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS off a road win this season (Took To out on the road last time out) NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are just 19-48 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-7 L/26 seasons with a pgg diff of +9.3 which qualifies on this offered ATS line. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 32-2 L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 5-33 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors with a ppg diff og -8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering, Play on the Heat to cover |
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05-02-22 | Braves +104 v. Mets | 5-2 | Win | 104 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Left-hander Max Fried (2-2, 3.00 ERA) is scheduled to start for Atlanta against New York right-hander Chris Bassitt (3-1, 2.25 ERA). Fried is 4-3 with a 2.78 ERA in 16 career games (11 starts) against the Mets. Bassitt has never faced the Braves. My power rankings suggest southpaw Fried has the ability to slow down the Mets offense which gives the Braves the edge here in game 1 of this series. Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. National League East. Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 Monday games. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL) are 37-15 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors, Braves are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play on Atlanta to win |
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05-02-22 | Yankees -106 v. Blue Jays | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays send right-hander Ross Stripling (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the hill Monday. New York will start left-hander Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 2.70).Stripling went against the Yankees twice last season, going 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA. In five career games (2 starts) against the Yankees, he is 0-4, 4.50 and is fade material here vs a Yankees team that has won 11 of their L/12 games. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. I know the Jays have played well, but so have the Yanks.Yankees are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. I like the way the entire Yankees team is contributing and that Im betting will be the difference maker here at least in game 1 of this series. Play on NYY to win |
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05-02-22 | Bruins +109 v. Hurricanes | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Boston coach Bruce Cassidy said he expects his team to be "100 percent healthy" for the start of the series and Im betting some of the problems the Bruins had vs the Canes will be a thing of the past here after game 1 tonight. Quote: "Obviously, they had their way with us this year," Cassidy said. "Some of that was a while ago, and I think our team's in a much better place than when we played them earlier in the year. So we're not going to take too much stock in that." END QUOTE. Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Bruins are 6-1 in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games. Bruins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Bruins are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. Metropolitan.Bruins are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Bruins are 13-6 in their last 19 road games. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CAROLINA) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season are 14-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Bruins to win |
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05-02-22 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -150 | 5-4 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Marlins had a seven-game winning streak  broken Sunday with a 7-3 setback against the visiting Seattle Mariners. Now Im betitng this under rated team rebounds vs Arizona in this spot play.The Diamondbacks own a ugly (.181 BA ) and one of the worst fielding percentages and are fade material. Arizonas starter GALLEN is 1-10  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Play on Miami to win |
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05-01-22 | Phillies v. Mets -166 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Zach Eflin (1-1, 3.20 ERA) is expected to start for the Phillies against the Mets' Max Scherzer (3-0, 1.80) in a battle of right-handers. Eflin is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 13 starts against the Mets. Scherzer is 15-4 with a 2.47 ERA in 26 career starts against the Phillies. Advantage NYM. Mets starter SCHERZER is 19-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies qualify. PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. SCHERZER is 12-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  SCHERZER is 25-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies starter. EFLIN is 1-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets qualify. Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog.Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 Sunday games. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 45-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 220.5 | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Golden State ranks 3rd in ppg allowed in the league and is ranked 15th in ppg offense, which tells you this team despite of some top tier offensive talent has gotten this far based on a top tier brand of D, and nothing will change here against the Grizzlies. At this number we still have value for an under wager and wont be deterred by all the attention centered on how explosive offensively the home side is. GOLDEN STATE is 17-7 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 218 ppg.  GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.Kerr is 21-8 UNDER (+12.2 Units) versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 20-8 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Five of the lat 6 meetings here in Memphis between these two sides has gone under the set total. Play UNDER |
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05-01-22 | Mariners v. Marlins UNDER 6.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will counter with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA. Miami starter SANDY ALCANTARA is 9-0 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 14-3 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. With another strong hurler on the hill for the Mariners ( Gilbert) Im expecting a pitchers duel and lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. MIAMI is 14-4 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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05-01-22 | Mariners +117 v. Marlins | 7-3 | Win | 117 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will fire back with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA.  Gilbert will enter Sunday's game on a streak of 17 1/3 scoreless innings. GILBERT is 13-2 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GILBERT is 10-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ALCANTARA is 2-12 against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) With the Mariners top hurler on the hill they have an edge, via. value moneyline offering. Play on the Mariners to win |
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05-01-22 | Twins v. Rays -145 | 9-3 | Loss | -145 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday, the Twins will start rookie right-hander Josh Winder (0-0, 3.48), who has never faced the Rays. Im betting the kid is in over his head here according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 road games. TAMPA BAY is 34-12 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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04-30-22 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 7.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Brewers lefty starter Lauer has gone 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four previous outings against the Cubs, including three starts . Meanwhile, Cubs starter Steele (1-2, 5.40 ERA) pitched the controversial second game of the season, a 9-0 home victory over the Brewers. Needless to say Milwaukee has a semblance of revenge on board, and will be prepared to light up the Cubbies hurler at home today. After popping 11 runs on the board yesterday another onslaught with momentum is a good bet. Considering the starting pitching matchup and both bullpens abilities vs these batting orders, a over wager on my projections is a viable option. Over is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-2 in Brewers last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 Saturday games. Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 games as a road underdog.Over is 10-3 in Cubs last 13 during game 2 of a series.Over is 18-8-1 in Cubs last 27 games as an underdog.Over is 11-5 in Cubs last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on the OVER |
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04-30-22 | Mariners -103 v. Marlins | 1-3 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Mariners batting order has done their best work against southpaws like Luzardo this season averaging 5.8 rpg .  Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Marlins  are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. The Marlins have average just 2.7 rog via a lowly .180 BA vs lefty starters and are fade material here in this spot according to my early season power rankings. MIAMI is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 4-19 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to cover |
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04-30-22 | Angels +100 v. White Sox | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
After starting the season 6-2, the defending American League Central champs have lost 10 of 11 and in no shape or form playing a decent enough brand of baseball to easily upend a red hot Angels side that has won 6 straight and that also owns a 8-2 record here in Southside Chicago . According to my power rankings the Halos matchup well Right-hander Vince Velasquez (0-2, 6.75 ERA) who prepares to make his fourth start of the season for the Pale Hose. VELASQUEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. American League Central. Play on LAA to win |
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04-30-22 | Astros +121 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Astros bats woke up late night and took a 11-7 win. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting on another Astros win here today. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Astros are also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Astros starter GARCIA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 0.923. With Vlad Guerrero not 100% with a foot injury the Astros have an edge on the hill. Right-hander Jose Berrios (1-0, 4.91 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season for Toronto on Saturday. the righty is 3-3 with a 5.46 ERA over six career starts against the Astros and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Houston roster. Play on Houston to win |
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04-30-22 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -160 | 2-0 | Loss | -160 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
ARIZONA is 0-16 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better over the last 2 seasons. Cards starting right-hander Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.21). Advantage St.Louis. Note: Arizona stater Kelly has pitched against the Cardinals twice in his career, both times in 2019. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 against St. Louis, giving up nine runs (six earned) in 11 innings. ARIZONA is 46-109 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ST LOUIS) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 94-25 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Cardinals to win |
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04-29-22 | Guardians +140 v. A's | 9-8 | Win | 140 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Cleveland is faltering of late but this is a great opportunity for them to get back into the win column vs a Oakland side that has almost no offensive consistency . Note: Guardians starter CIVALE is 10-3 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Athletics are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home favorite. FRANCONA is 105-65 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
We are down to the nitty gritty here in this series, as Memphis can advance with a win tonight on the road in Minnesota. With that said, Im looking for a a more conservative tentative game in transition that translates into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 games as a home underdog. MEMPHIS is 20-9 UNDER versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 32-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
These teams are evenly matched according to my current numbers, with home court advantage Im betting being the difference maker. Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games. Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Timberwolves are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-29-22 | Yankees -184 v. Royals | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Yankees will hand the ball to Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.15 ERA), while Kris Bubic (0-1, 14.14) will start for the Royals in a matchup of left-handers. One pitcher is in good form the other is not, and the same goes for the Yanks or hot and the Royals who are not, Advantage Yanks. KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 6-33 L/26 seasons. Play on NYY to win |
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04-29-22 | Phillies v. Mets -118 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 2-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 3-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-15 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Mets matchup well here and Im betting on a bounce back performance here after yesterdays loss. Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Play on the Mets |
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04-29-22 | Mariners -105 v. Marlins | 6-8 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Marlins starter Hernandez throws his fastball 49% of the time and it has been beaten around like a rag doll as is evident by a opposition .323 batting average. The Mariners matchup very well here. Meanwhile, Matt Brash the Mariners starter has some vicious action on his curveball and breaking stuff, and deserves respect here against a inconsistent Marlins batting order. MIAMI is 1-15  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 49-10 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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04-28-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Since Devon Booker went down the Suns have not looked like the same team, and that was very evident the last time these teams played here in New Orleans as the Pelicans won by 15 points. Im betting the desperation of the do or die situation here tonight will have the Pelicans ready to extend to this series to a final game 7. Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Pelicans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. NEW ORLEANS is 38-24 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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04-28-22 | Cubs v. Braves -175 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
 The Braves won the first game of the series 3-1 and the Cubs rebounded to win the second game 6-3 in 10 innings. Im now betting the Braves get their first series win of the season. Note: Braves starter Wright (2-0, 1.06) has allowed only two runs this season . He's KOd 26 batters in 17 innings and walked only two. Wright struck out a career-high 11 batters in his last start against the Marlins on Friday. This kid is magic and gets my support to help his team garner a victory. Cubs are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-15 in their last 20 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League East.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 21-53 in their last 74 games as an underdog. Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 49-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Cubs are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-28-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +1.5 | 132-97 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 54 m | Show | |
04-28-22 | Tigers +128 v. Twins | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
The Tigers southpaw starter Skubal (1-1, 2.30 ERA) matches up well against the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings. Twins are 11-24 in their last 35 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Twins are also just 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I know the Twins have won the first two games of this series, but the under rated Tigers have proven resilient in the recent past when losing the first two games of a series going 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. DETROIT is 11-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 47-31 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after a game where they had 2 or less hits are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to win |
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04-28-22 | Orioles +200 v. Yankees | 5-10 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Bruce Zimmermann (1-0, 1.20 ERA), who shut out the Yankees in five innings of four-hit ball on April 17 in Baltimore, takes the hill for the Orioles here today and gives his team an edge on this ML offering. BOONE is 29-31 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game as the manager of NY YANKEES. NY YANKEES are 27-36 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 77-38 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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04-27-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 225 | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
All the tilts in this series have been fairly high scoring with all 4 games going over the set total. With series victory at hand for the Warriors Im betting they come here firing darts. This will force Denver into opening up and chasing as they fight for their lives. This could easily be the highest scoring game in the series. DENVER is 13-4 OVER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 230 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 23-9 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-2 OVER versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after one or more consecutive overs against opponent after 3 or more consecutive overs are 122-76 OVER L/26 seasons for a 62%. conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-27-22 | Guardians +181 v. Angels | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.53 ERA) will make his fourth start of the year for , coming off his best start of the season last Thursday and today Im betting on the sleepy streaky bats of the Guardians to wake up and support him vs a inconsistent and overly propagandized arm belonging to Japanese duel threat phenom Ohtani.. Note: Plesac is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in two starts against the Angels in his career. Ohtani went 1-for-4 with a run scored and one strikeout on Tuesday and is now hitting .213 with a .645 OPS. Guardians are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 52-36 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-27-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | 1-3 | Loss | -190 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
04-27-22 | Mets -116 v. Cardinals | 5-10 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Mets are playing top tier baseball heading onto the this 3rd game of their series at St.Louis and deserve respect on a value money line offering . Note: Cards starter  MATZ is 6-12  against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,The Mets will counter with Carlos Carrasco (1-0, 1.47 ERA), who took down the San Francisco Giants 6-2 in his latest start. He allowed the two runs on just four hits in 7 2/3 innings on Thursday, striking out seven with no walks and an edge vs a St.Louis side, that has scored just 14 runs in their past seven games. Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis. Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Play on NY Mets to win. |
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04-26-22 | Guardians +145 v. Angels | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Angels southpaw starter Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his third start of the season Tuesday, opposing McKenzie.Sandoval is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in two career starts vs. Cleveland and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Guardians batting order. I know the Guardians are struggling at the moment losing for straight games and were shut out yesterday but this is a under rated team, that offers us value on this money line offering in this spot play.CLEVELAND is 12-2 against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons. Note: Cleveland starter MCKENZIE is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429 and has pitched relatively well this season and is a viable hurler to back as a starter. Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League West. Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 home games.Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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04-26-22 | Golden Knights -105 v. Stars | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Vegas Golden Knights will try to keep their slim playoff hopes alive when they begin a three-game road trip on Tuesday night against the team ahead of them in the Western Conference wild-card standings, the Dallas Stars. Its obvious they need this game, and Im betting they leave everything on the ice here this evening. I know the Stars have played well at home, but are just 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.VEGAS is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season which has been the case of late. Vegas has won 5 of their L/6 visits here. Play on Vegas |
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04-26-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This has been a big time back and forth series between two young talented teams. The Wolves played lights in the last game in this series and won. Now Im betting on a bounce back scenario here tonight, at home where the Grizzlies have thrived this season, as is evident by a 31-12 SU record along with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +9.1 . MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and is is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a win by 6 points or less this season. MEMPHIS is 14-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS off a road loss this season. Interesting anomaly, MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS on Tuesday nights this season. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs are 102-163 L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7 | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat are the far superior side here according to my power rankings and for the most part have proved that prognosis correct during this series. More of the same one sided action is my call here again tonight in South Florida. MIAMI is 18-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.
ATLANTA is 1-12 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 52-105 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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04-26-22 | Rockies +152 v. Phillies | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Todays itching matchup features Phillies starter Eflin who has struggled in five career starts against the Rockies, going 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA. Meanwhile, Rockies starter Marquez, a first time All-Star last season, is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA in seven career starts against the Phillies. My pitcher vs batting order projections estimate a rinse and repeat situation here giving us an edge with the road dog. The Rockies lost game one of this series but are 4-1 L/5 after a loss and are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are also 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog and get my support in this series spot play in the city of Brotherly love. MARQUEZ is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 16-9  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 18-7 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 21-8 against the money line when playing against a sub .500 team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Colorado to win |
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04-26-22 | Mariners +105 v. Rays | 8-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Mariners enter this game with a 6-1 record in their last 7 overall and are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series and offer value here on this line vs a very inconsistent Tampa Bay side. Mariners man on the hill Gilbert (2-0, 0.54), has allowed one earned run over his first three starts covering 16 2/3 innings. Note: GILBERT is a perfect 9-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 8-1  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ILBERT is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Mariners are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings in Tampa Bay. Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.  Play on Seattle on the ML |
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04-25-22 | Guardians -115 v. Angels | 0-3 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Guardians were humbled in a 3 game sweep at Yankee Stadium this past weekend and were also physically attacked by Yankee fans. Now bruised and battered emotionally , Im now betting on their PTSD to be used as a spring board to a bounce back effort against the Angels here in game 1 of this series. With Shane Bieber starting today for the Guardians Im expecting they have the needed edge to get the job done.BIEBER is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.831. Guardians are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite.Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Angels are 2-10 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This usually offensively explosive Utah side has been really tamed by the Mavericsk top tier defense, and now with home court advantage on their side and Doncic back in the lineup the home team looks very much like a viable side to back on a short fav line. Note: Not only has the Jazz offense faltered, but their perimeter D continues to be exposed like in last seasons post season tilts. Advantage Dallas.Â
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. DALLAS is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (UTAH) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 36-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to. cover |
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04-25-22 | Celtics v. Nets -1 | 116-112 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
This is it for Brooklyn- do or die. Im betting on do, and for the Nets to extend this series to game 5. Im obviously expecting Kyrie Irving to do as well as he did in game 1 and for Durant to finally break through after being continually frustrated by the Celtics . Based on what we have seen in the series so far I know the Nets do not look like a viable option. However, this is a more talented Brooklyn team than both Denver and Toronto and both sides have found a way to extend their series and Im betting the Nets do as well. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off a home loss against a division rival are 26-3 L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are 25-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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