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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-19-17 | Diamondbacks -117 v. Padres | 0-1 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (1-1, 4.32 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jhoulys Chacin (1-2, 7.80) The Arizona Diamondbacks are a team on the rise and look for their fourth straight victory Wednesday as they continue their three-game away series against their the host that San Diego Padres, a side that have struggled and lost five in a row. The DBacks starting hurler Greinke a former Cy Young award winner has owned the San Diego Padres in his career, going 8-1 with a 2.02 ERA in 16 career starts including a 4-1 record record along with a stingy 1.90 ERA in 10 starts at Petco Park. With that said Look for and bet on the DBacks team that is operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum compared to the Fathers, to deliver the dough in this spot. Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinkes last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (1-2, 8.59 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2-1, 2.53) Kershaw has recorded 22 strikeouts against just one walk over his first three outings while limiting batters to a .179 average. Scoring against this top tier hurler is never an easy proposition and I expect after losing for the first time to the Rockies in his first meeting will be primed to perform. Meanwhile, the Dodgers bats are struggling as they have lost three straight games, and despite of Rockies starting hurlers high ERA so far this season thanks to allowing (4 HRs in 14 1/3 innings of work), is more than capable of rebounding, as was evident, when Anderson made his major league debut in June of last season and in 114 1/3 innings allowed an average of just 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 vs. National League West.Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 20-9 in Dodgers last 29 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles. When Kershaw starts his team 15-3 UNDER vs. struggling baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 5.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. Colorados bullpen owns a 2.77 ERA on the season. LA despite of trying many remedies still struggles against southpaws as is evident by a .238 BA and just 3.2 rpg. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -7.5 | 111-115 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 |
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04-19-17 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 4-5 | Win | 112 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (0-2, 9.00 ERA) vs. Mets RH Robert Gsellman (0-1, 9.28)
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04-19-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (1-1, 7.56 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH Francisco Liriano (0-1, 9.00) Porcello and Lariano are two veteran hurlers who are starting a little slowly, but I'm betting they will get together in short order. Porcello had thrown at least six innings in 20 straight regular-season games, but got knocked around last time out, but I expect he will be keyed on rebounding here, vs a struggling Blue Jays side with a 2-11 record. Note: Under is 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, Larinao the Jays stater had a solid outing last time out, against Baltimore and should be primed to perform again in this spot.Under is 5-0 in Lirianos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 during game 2 of a series.Under is 20-9-2 in Red Sox last 31 overall.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.TORONTO is 24-8 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg going on the board. Toronto has averaged only 2.5 rpg vs righty starters this season. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers OVER 198.5 | 91-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers lost Game 1 of this series 97-95 to the Utah Jazz, at Staples Center because they played to the Jazz pace. Now I expect they will speed up their play and look for quicker transition into their offense. Their Clippers reserves were outscored by the Jazz's 47-20 , but Im expecting a different story this time around and a more aggressive offensive effort from the Clippers in a game 2. With that said, I am betting the combined score will eclipse the total. In Utah's last 12 games as a underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points a total of 200.6 ppg were scored. In the Clippers L/19 home games after a 1 or more straight unders a total combined score in the following game came up a 214.8 ppg and their L/26 games revenging a loss the total combined score clicked in at 208 ppg. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games, and than stormed in and took out Boston in game 1 of this series, hauling down an amazing 20 offensive rebounds, something Im betting they won't even close to replicating tonight in game 2 of this series. The question is what makes the Bulls so much better than they were during the regular season. They were a streaky mediocre team to say the least and despite of the late season run are still according to my power rankings the less of the two teams doing battle tonight. Meanwhile, while the Celtics took out 13 of their L/17 opponents,entering the play offs and despite of looking like they were asleep at the proverbial wheel in game one, are now wide awake and will be playing with immediate urgency .With that said, look for the Celtics to play a complete game what promises to be an energized home crowd. CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS L/31 off a road win over the last 2 seasons and is is 16-30 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Tigers +109 v. Rays | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Tigers RH Michael Fulmer (1-0, 2.25 ERA) vs. Rays RH Matt Andriese (0-0, 4.50) AL rookie of the year Micheal Fulmer the Tigers starting hurler today has owned Tampa Bays batting order as is evident by the Rays .128 batting average against him in his two starts last season. ( The young thrower struck out out 21 and allowed one run over 14 innings of top tier work). He shown some brilliance so far this season, and is a name that gets thrown around with respect on consistent basis around MLB pundit circles. Meanwhile, a pitcher I have ranked in the lower part of my pitcher power rankings Andriese has made five appearances (one start) against Detroit in his career, recording a 1-1 hashtag along with a bloated 5.73 ERA, and looks to be an d sub par form again this season. With TB slumping losing 6 of their L/7 ( all on the road) Im betting not even a return home will help their cause. Tigers are 22-5 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.Rays are 3-12 in Andrieses last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rays are 0-4 in Andrieses last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Rays are 1-5 in Andrieses last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay and 5 straight in TB. FULMER is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. FULMER is 10-1 L/11 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last couple of seasons and is 8-1 L/9 against the money line against AL East opponents over the last couple of seasons. TAMPA BAY is 13-28 L/41 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 8-0 L/8 against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last few seasons. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors are now 0-9 SU L/9 in opening games of first-round playoff series . The team came out very flat losing by a 97-83 count . It was noted that all star G Kyle Lowry , had flu symptoms and that some players were experiencing fatigue, because a virus or something similar was making the rounds through the locker room. Whether this was an excuse or rumor makes no difference as I now expect the talented Raptors to come out on fire and ready for redemption in game two of this series. Now with time to rest and get completely healthy I expect a reversal in the Raptors fortunes here in game two.MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS L/24 after allowing 85 points or less Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies +11 v. Spurs | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0 |
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04-17-17 | Capitals -141 v. Maple Leafs | 3-4 | Loss | -141 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Maple Leafs goaltender Frederik Andersen made 41 saves in Game 1 and 47 in Game 2 with the Leafs pulling off the upset in that last game by a 4-3 count and now have the full attention of the Washington Capitals. What became obvious in the first two games of this series, is that the Buds D, is atrocisous, and Im betting on the damn bursting tonight, as the Caps are expected to become much more physical and aggressive. I know there will be alot of energy from the crowd tonight in the ACC as the Leafs long play off drought now at an end, will have the worlds top hockey town in a frenzy. However, I expect HC Babcock will have problems settling his young team down, vs a vetern Capital side, that knows how to win key games. WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS L/30 in road games after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal and is 21-9 ATS in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite over the last couple seasons.TORONTO is 0-10 ATS in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against in the 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-17-17 | Pirates +125 v. Cardinals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (1-1, 2.25 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (0-1, 5.23) The Cardinals,enter this game looking horrendous, as they take the National League's worst record back to Busch Stadium for the opener of a three-game series tonight against the Pittsburgh Pirates, ranking 27th in fielding percentage and average almost an error per game.The Cards are a ugly minus-12, as the in-cohesive fumble handed D, has handed their pitching staff 12 runs, or just over a run per game. Meanwhile, the Pirates come into St.Louis off a weekend sweep of the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field, and once again look like solid bets on value line vs a struggling Cardinals team with a solid pitcher on the mound Monday night, right-hander Ivan Nova (1-1, 2.25 ERA). Note on starter: Lance Lynn (0-1, 5.23 ERA) starting hurler for the Cardinals. He looked in-cohesive coming off an 8-3 loss Tuesday night in Washington. ( The Pirates are hitting .276 and averaging 4.9 rpg vs right handed pitchers this season) Cards bullpen owns a ugly 7.34 ERA this season. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ( against the money line vs. an NL team like the Cards with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ST LOUIS is 2-9 L/11 against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive road games. MLB Home teams like the Cardinals - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 35-13 dating back over 20 seasons, for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Oilers +116 v. Sharks | 1-0 | Win | 116 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 These teams spit the first two games, but this young Edmonton team just seems to be playing with more confidence and must be respected as underdogs here tonight on the road. San Jose dropped each of the last two matchups as hosts vs the Edmonton Oilers this season, including a 4-2 defeat back on April 6, with three of eight goals allowed coming on the power play.The Sharks have been outscored 21-11 while going 1-5 in their last six playoff games with the Oilers and I am taking the visiting Oilers again in this spot as underdogs. Note: Oilers goalie Cam Talbot who got the shutout in game 2 of this series, was 2-0-1 with a 1.96 goals-against average in three road starts against the Sharks this season. SAN JOSE is 8-16 ATS against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. Play on the Edmonton Oilers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -7 | 87-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 |
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04-16-17 | Cardinals +145 v. Yankees | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (0-2, 7.00 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Michael Pineda (1-1, 3.97) Wainwright has never faced the Yankees but has had success against several of their hitters in the past, as Starlin Castro, Chase Headley, Chris Carter and Matt Holliday are a combined 14-for-68 with no home runs against him. With NY struggling in the clutch going 1-for-30 with runners in scoring position over the last three games, and lucky to get a win yesterday, despite of striking out 17 times, leaving 12 men on base and going 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position. With that said, I'm betting Wainright has a chance at deent start after starting his season slowly. I know the Yankees are perfect so far at home this season, but all good things must evetually come to an end. Yankees are 4-10 in Pinedas last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 3-9 in Pinedas last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearanceCardinals are 40-17 in their last 57 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cardinals are 44-18 in Wainwrights last 62 starts during game 3 of a series. Cardinals are 9-4 in Wainwrights last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record. ST LOUIS is 11-4 L/15 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent dating back to last season and are 15-4 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games dating back to last season.WAINWRIGHT is 30-10 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career.PINEDA is 9-16 L/25 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7.5 | 106-102 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games, including a 112-73 beatdown of Brooklyn in their season finale. I mean this team worked really hard, and must be exhausted by now.I respect their effort, but what Im betting on now, is that not even the short rest , will be enough to avert a loss on tired legs vs what my own power rankings suggest is the far superior side and one of the top teams in the East. The Celtics took out 13 of their L/17 opponents, and once again look strong as favorites on their own home floor. In their L/meeting here on March 12 the Celtics handed the Bulls as 100-80 beatdown. Rinse and repeat in Game 1 of this series. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls- revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-32 ATS for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 211 | 107-114 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 26 m | Show | |
Atlanta saw an average of 202.6 ppg go on the scoreboard in their road games this season, and own the 27th ranked offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, the Wizards saw an average of almost 216 ppg go on the scoreboard in their home games this season. With that said, the Hawks who own the 4th best defensive rating in the NBA will Im betting attempt to give themselves a chance at winning on the road by implementing a slower more physical game plan to deal with the Wizards take no prisoners style of hoops. This will see the total combined score hit in a the 207-209 range according to my own player to player and systems matchup configurations. Thus giving value to an under wager. Note: The Wizards despite of some high scoring game outputs this season still rank only 11 th in pace in the league, Atlanta has seen 11 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the number. HC Budenholzer is 17-6 UNDER L/23 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the total combined score coming in at 208.5 ppg. ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER l/15 versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season and is 11-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% + with a combined average of 203.2 ppg getting scored.. Atlanta is 10-0 UNDER off a road loss by 10 points or more this season, which happened in their finale. ATLANTA is 30-9 UNDER after playing a road game this season.ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. division opponents this season.The Hawks from a long term perspective have seen a combined average of 187.3 ppg go on the board in their L/54 play off road games dating back to the late 90s. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Hawks +5.5 v. Wizards | 107-114 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The fourth-seeded Wizards (49-33) and No. 5 Hawks (43-39) open their best-of-seven first-round series in the nations capital this Sunday. Alot of pundits expect the Wizards to run all over the Hawks. But in this playoff opener. I expect Hawks Coach Mike Budenholzer will have his team playing a tougher brand of defense, and is expected to have Tim Hardaway Jr. and Taurean Prince starting Game 1, which gives the Hawks a much different dynamic , than the Wizards may have planned on playing against. I really feel the Hawks must not be underestimated as was the case when they won four in a row late in the season, including a home-and-home sweep over the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers.With that said, look for the Hawks to bang their way to a cover in game 1. ATLANTA is 31-16 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) and 17-8 ATS L/25 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. Play on the Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Mets v. Marlins +108 | 2-4 | Win | 108 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Mets RH Matt Harvey (2-0, 2.92 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (1-1, 7.56) Just looking casually at these two pitcher early season stats, and following the consensus that the Mets are a team on the rise, you maybe blinded by the fact that the Mets hitters are operating badly in the clutch and averaging just .237 vs righty throwers . The blinders also might be on when considering the Mets have also lost 2 straight, and that Straily the Marlins starter is a decent pitcher and in the above average category in my current pitcher categories/power rankings. Straily recovered from a rough first outing to beat Atlanta on Tuesday, striking out five while allowing two runs on just three hits in five innings in a 8-4 win last time out and is now ready to perform here today with confidence on his side behind a offense that is averaging 5.2 rpg vs righties this season.. It must also be noted that MLB teams like the Marlin s - National League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 3.70 to 4.20 last season, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games is a bankroll expanding 47-16 L/63 opportunities dating back over a 20 season sample size for a 75% conversion rate. STRAILY is 11-4 L/15 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse and s 10-1 L/11 against the money line in day games and is 9-1 L/10 starts against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125. There is enough value here for me to recommend we back the Miami Marlins on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -108 | 11-4 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (1-1, 2.70 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (0-2, 5.40) Happ, the Jays starter today is rounding into top form slowly but surely, and should now be ready for a top tier performance in this tilt vs Baltimore. Happ a 20 game winner last season was 11-2 at home and 2-0 versus the O's in 2016. Meanwhile, Bundy the Orioles starter will make his second, appearance of the season this Sunday vs the Jays. I expect the Jays top tier group of hitters in their second time around to be much harder on the righty then they were the first time they met when they scored just 1 run against him in his first start of the season. Orioles are 8-17 in their last 25 during game 4 of a series.Blue Jays are 8-0 in Happs last 8 Sunday starts.Blue Jays are 15-2 in Happs last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 5-1 in Happs last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.HAPP is 14-3 ( against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. This from a league wide long term MLB data base: Home teams like the Jays - cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 516-331 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Toronto - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings, a struggled offense team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games are a bankroll expanding 70-20 for a massive 78% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays 1 unit reg selection( late update ) |
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04-15-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -5 | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Clippers enter this play off series vs the Utah Jazz having won 11 of their L/13 games including 7 straight,and are back to playing at a very high level, after a mid season swoon because of key injury issues. Meanwhile, the Jazz are also playing a top tier style of basketball. However, from a matchup perspective my own data suggests the Clippers are the superior overall team when healthy as they are now , especially when playing here at home in the Staples Center. Utah is 11-22 ATS L/33 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record.UTAH is 1-10 ATS L/11 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and failed to cover 14 of 19 road games as dogs. UTAH is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.Jazz are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Jazz are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Jazz are 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. P:lay on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-15-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -155 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (1-1, 1.80 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (1-1, 6.30) |
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04-15-17 | Bruins -116 v. Senators | 3-4 | Loss | -116 | 29 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 Ottawa had the Bruins number during the reg season, but it seems the Beantown boys, have learned their lessons, and now looked primed to be the superior team in this play off round. Ottawa has now lost 7 of their L/10 after the game 1 loss in this series, and after watching key highlights of this matchup, and a portion of the middle and 3rd periods, it has become obvious to me the Senators are in trouble against this type of physical opponent. BOSTON is 21-10 ATS in road games vs. division opponents dating back to last season. BOSTON is 13-5 ATS in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season. OTTAWA is 0-9 ATS L/9 as a # 2 seed in the playoffs . When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-0, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 34-14 and a Game 2 record of 30-18.When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-0, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 2-11 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 4-9. Play on the Boston Bruins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-14-17 | Astros -125 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (1-0, 0.64 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (2-0, 2.08) Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel has been intop form to start out his campaign. He is just the the fourth pitcher in major-league history - and first since Nolan Ryan in 1979 - to give up fewer than three hits while working at least seven innings in each of his first two games of a season. ( Astros are 5-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts vs. American League West.) Astros batters are averaging just .202 BA this season vs southpaw hurlers . Meanwhile, Oakland starter Gravermans is also in good form, but is still in the mid range of my over pitcher power rankings.Astros are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter and averaging .293 BA and 5 RPG. Athletics are 0-4 in Gravemans last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. OAKLAND is 3-19 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better like the Astros own.OAKLAND is 4-15 L/19 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 . MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the As - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 15-39 for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-14-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens UNDER 5 | 3-4 | Loss | -133 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
The first game of this series, saw the Rangers win a 2-0 decision over the Habs. Im betting on another typical defensive/physical game here tonight. Montreals Coach Claude Julien owns a defense first philopshy, as does, NYR Alain Vigneault. With golaies Lundqvist and Price , possible future hall of famers between the pipes in this game the prospect of low scoring game is a high probability outcome. Lundqvist is 3-0-0 with a 2.01 goals-against average in his last four playoff appearances at Bell Centre. Heres a long term trend from a league wide NHL database: Road teams against the total (NYR) - off a road win where they shut out their opponent, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season have gone under in 33 or their L/45 opportunities for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Note: The Habs have killed off all four penalties in Game 1 and have not allowed a goal in 17 straight ppk situation in the past nine games.Under is 10-2-1 in Rangers last 13 vs. Atlantic.Under is 8-3 in Rangers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-1-3 in Canadiens last 12 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 9-2-4 in Canadiens last 15 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Montreal. MONTREAL is 9-3 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game like the Rangers with a combined average of 4.3 gpg getting scored. Only two of the Habs last 12 games have eclipsed the total.
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-13-17 | Flames v. Ducks -153 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 59 h 50 m | Show | |
Anaheim has won 9 of their L/11 games and enter the play offs playing their best hockey of the season. This big and nasty Ducks team is built for post season play and will I'm betting, once again prove be to much for a Flames team that lost 4 of their L/6 overall entering the post season and have also lost their 10 straight visits to Anaheim. Play on the Anaheim Ducks on the moneyline |
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04-13-17 | Flames v. Ducks OVER 5 | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Its been pointed out that is there is a weakness on the Ducks' playoff roster, it could be their goaltedning . John Gibson owned a (, 2.22 goals-against average) and Jonathan Bernier recorded ( 2.50 GAA) in the regular season, but their postseason numbers are less than tantalizing. Gibson is 2-4 with a 2.84 GAA and one shutout while Bernier has just 30 minutes of experience with the Los Angeles Kings in 2013. Meanwhile, Brian Elliot the Flames man between the pipes is very streaky, despite of having made 31 playoff starts in his career, and that was evident when he started his season with Calgary going 3-9-1 with a 3.31 GAA in his first 13 games, before righting te ship. He is by no means a stopper in pressure games like this. It must also be noted that Road teams where the total is 5 or less like Calgary - playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, off a road loss are 36-8 to the OVER for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. ANAHEIM is 10-1 OVER L/11 in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest with an average of 6.4 gpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 11-2-2 in Flames last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-13-17 | White Sox +173 v. Indians | 10-4 | Win | 173 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Indians RH Josh Tomlin (0-1, 11.57) I know the White Sox offense is struggling , but their pitching and bullpen have been brilliant making them upset possibilites here in this spot. Entering yesterdays play The Pale Hose Bull pen own s a 1.33 ERA on the season allowing just 3 ERS in 21 + innings of work. With that said, Cleveland is also struggling on offense averaging just .216 BA as a team and have scored 2 or less runs in 3 straight games entering yesterdays action. ( The White Sox won 2-1 yesterday, which was Cleveland 4th loss in 5 games)) Im betting Miguel Gonzalez the Indians starter will cause some headaches for the struggling Indians bats. Meanwhile, Tomlin Cleveland starter struggled in his opening assignment, and could provide the White Sox batters with a opening to produce more runs here, something I expect will be the case. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss. GONZALEZ team is 7-0 in his career against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 including a perfect 5-0 on the road under the same moneyline peremiters. His team has also won 4 of his 5 career starts vs the Indians. CLEVELAND is 7-14 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-13-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs -120 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (0-1, 3.86 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Brett Anderson (0-0, 1.59) The Dodgers enter this game having struggled against LHP pitching losing 9 of their L/10 vs southpaws dating back to last season and have failed in 17 of their 22 vs lefties. In four games this season vs unorthodox hurlers the Dodgers are batting just .238 and even the inconsistent Anderson will have an edge here. Note: LA DODGERS are 7-22 L/29 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 Meanwhile, the CHICAGO CUBS are 16-3 L/19 against the money line in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better like the Dodgers own and are 21-3 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. Also from a league wide data base : MLB home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - allowing 3.5 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top tier team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 35-9 cashing at a 80% clip for betting backers. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-12-17 | Nets +13.5 v. Bulls | 73-112 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The goal for the Bulls here tonight is to win this game , and get into the play offs, Its a simple scenario. Bulls win= playoffs. All that stands in their way is a sometimes explosive , Brooklyn Nets team. that have proven they can be a formidable opponent, for all comers over the last month of the season, and will not easily bow down to the Bulls in this spot. Another thing that must be considered concerning for Bulls backers is that the team, has been playing all out of late, and must be extremely tired. Last time out they played a full game at full speed, beating lowly Orlando 122-75 which sets up these dismal trends. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS L/11 in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 1-11 ATS L/12 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games dating back to last season. Also the two most recent meetings in this series were were decided by 1 and 2 points respectively, and Im betting on a much closer game than the lines-makers expect once again. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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04-12-17 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Kyle Freeland, a young southpaw , gave up one run and four hits in six innings, with six strikeouts, and came away with the victory in the Rockies' 2-1 win in his last start, and Im betting will give the Padres batters some problems in this spot . Freeland is backed by a bullpen that has been fairly solid this seaon, as is evident by a 2.64 ERA. Note the Padres have averaged 3.2 rpg this season behind a ugly .212 BA and have averaged 2.8 rpg in 6 road games with a .206 BA, including scoring just 2 rpg in 3 games vs left handers. Meanwhile, the Rockies will face a minor leaguer in LEE, who could pose problems for them , as he is a unfimiliar opponent. This above mentioned set of combinations will make for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the linesmkaers expect. SAN DIEGO is 17-6 UNDER L/23 in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse dating back to last season with a combined 7.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. COLORADO is 30-14 UNDER L/44 vs. slower speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game with an average of 9.4 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -124 | 4-3 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LHP Robbie Ray (0-0, 4.76 ERA) vs. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (0-1, 10.13) Arizona has started their season on fire, but hit a brick wall yesterday vs their hosts the SF Giants in a 4-1 loss. Im betting things don't get better today behind their starting hurler Ray who has seen his team lose 15 of this L/17 against the money line vs. struggling power teams like SF - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last couple of seasons. Meanwhile, the Giants starting hurler Samardzija pitched some of his best ball last season, vs Arizona going 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA in three appearences. Diamondbacks are 2-7 in Rays last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. MLB teams like Arizona - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games, which has just happened are 9-30 L/39 on the moneyline spanning 5 seasons for a go against a 77% conversion rate for bettors . Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Cole Hamels (0-0, 4.50 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (0-1, 8.44) Cole Hamels had a very average start to his season, but this top caliber pitcher Im betting returns with a much better performance this time around. Meanwhile, the Rangers thrower despite of a not so terrific first start, matches up well against this batting order, and is backed by a team with a top tier fielding defense and alot of range.Under is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 vs. American League West.Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Skaggs' last 5 home starts.Under is 5-1-1 in Skaggs' last 7 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Thunder v. Wolves -4 | 100-98 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter into this game with their super star Westbrook achieving his statistical goals, and the team guaranteed the 6th seed entering the play offs. With nothing left to play for in the regular season, and staying healthy the main focus, I'm betting against the Thunder tonight in Minnesota . Meanwhile, a young Wolves team that would love to end their season on a winning note in their final home game of the season, will be primed to play and play hard . It must also be noted that the team is unveiling a new logo, so getting off on the proverbial right foot is important, and thus we should have a motivated group to back in this spot. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Braves RH Bartolo Colon (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (0-1, 13.50) Thanks to Dan Strailys poor numbers and these teams having played some failry high scoring games this season, the total has been listed as a little over done. I now expect a lower scoring game here in this tilt. It must be noted that the Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.MIAMI is 31-14 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons with na average of 7.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Brewers v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Wily Peralta (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (0-1, 3.86) Happ owns a 6.13 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) against Milwaukee and Im betting gets roughed up again. Over is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Brewers RH starter Wily Peralta has seen the Over go 8-0 in his last 8 interleague starts.Over is 7-2 in Blue Jays last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 interleague road games.Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. My projections have this game eclipsing the beatable total. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox -112 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (1-0, 1.29 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (2016: 11-12, 3.32) Neither of these pitchers inspires bettors, but here at home at Fenway when looking at pitcher vs batter situations and strengths the home team has the edge. Red Sox are 22-8 in their last 30 during game 1 of a series. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Cavs v. Heat -2.5 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Tonight Miami needs a win badly to keep their play off hopes alive, and I am betting they will be primed to play hard, against a Cleveland team that may rest key players, for all or parts of this game. I know the Cavaliers have revenge on board, for a 120-92 loss to the Heat March 4th, where the Cavs also rested players, but once again the champs don't have alot of incentives to tire their stars for short term goals, considering they played last night, with super star James clocking 47 minutes . I am betting HC Lues' focus is on the play offs, and that will be evident tonight. The Heat have won 12 straight games in this series here in Miami and nothing changes tonight. Cavaliers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Mets -139 v. Phillies | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Mets RH Jacob deGrom (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.70) DeGrom has gone 4-0 in seven career starts vs the Phillies, with his team winning all those starts including a one-hit shutout on July 17 at Philadelphia last season. I'm betting despite of elbow surgery the hurler continues his dominance in this series vs the Phillies. It must be noted that the Mets smashed 34 home runs in 19 games against the Phillies in 2016 - their highest total versus any one opponent and will be primed to explode again here against a suspect bullpen. Phillies are 2-8 in Eickhoffs last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. .DEGROM team is 22-7 L/29 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26 L/35 against the money line after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base. Mets are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Astros RH Charlie Morton (0-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (0-0, 0.00) Over is 6-2 in Paxtons last 8 starts overall dating back to last season. Over is 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Houston is a good fast ball hitting team and should do well against Paxtons big time heater . Meanwhile, Charlie Morton is in my mid range American league pitcher rankings and Im betting he gets roughed up in this tilt. With that said, look for this total to be eclipsed. SEATTLE is 26-15 OVER L/41 in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last couple of seasons. HOUSTON is 19-7 OVER L/26 in road games in April games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 9.9 rpg gong on the scoreboard. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the Mariners - lower tier fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less are 30-9 to the OVER L/39 for a 77% conversion rate for over bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (1-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Giants LH Matt Moore (0-1, 5.06) Arizona's offense has been explosive out of the game this season, and has scored 48 runs in total in 7 games, with 27 of those runs coming in their opening series vs the Giants. The Giants responded with 19 and runs and must not be underestimated in that above mentioned series.. Im looking for more fireworks today, as struggling hurlers and hot bats go head to head. Over is 33-16-2 in Diamondbacks last 51 vs. National League West.Over is 16-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 8-1-1 in Giants last 10 overall.Over is 6-0 in Moores last 6 starts overall dating back to last season.Over is 4-0 in Moores last 4 home starts. ARIZONA is 30-18 OVER L/48 when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.SAN FRANCISCO is 14-3 OVER with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games over the last few seasons. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 8 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show | |
Rays RH Alex Cobb (1-0, 1.59 ERA) vs. Michael Pineda (0-1, 9.82) Tampa Bay is hitting .271, and has scored 33 runs and hit seven home runs and are in top offensive form here early in the season. Im betting on them doing some damage today, and for a Yankees team that smashed out 7 runs yesterday to use that momentum to generate some runs again in game 1 of this series. Dating back to last season the Over is 6-0 in Cobbs last 6 road starts.Over is 7-1 in Cobbs last 8 starts overall.Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 4-1 in Pinedas last 5 home starts.Over is 5-1 in Pinedas last 6 starts vs. Rays.Pineda is 2-5 with a 4.65 ERA in 13 career starts against Tampa Bay. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the Yanks - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a struggling team (.380% or less ) playing a team with a winning record have gone over in 44 of their L/60 games for a 73% conversion rate! Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-09-17 | Wolves v. Lakers +5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being eliminated from the post season, and by all accounts having an overall dismal season, have been rolling of late winning three straight games and more importantly have covered 4 straight tilts. QUOTE:"I think we're playing more together," said Lakers forward Larry Nance Jr. . "We're not necessarily caring who gets the points, who gets the rebounds, who gets the steals. Everybody's focused on trying to get some wins." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, the visiting, Minnesota Wolves are looking a little fatigued of late , and that was evident in a 120-113 loss on Friday to Utah, after blowing a decent lead. With that said, the Timberwolves are 0-3 on their current four-game road swing and are weak favorites here in spot according to my own cross reference matchup guides. MINNESOTA is 12-22 ATS L/34 when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 11-26 ATS L/27 versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-09-17 | Mavs +2 v. Suns | 111-124 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavs dont have alot to play for as they have been eliminated from the post season, and look unmotivated in a loss last time out. However they do have to keep their pride intact going into the off season , which actually means something top pedigree coaches like Carlisle. Their hosts the Suns are bottom feeders in the Western Conference and a lowly 1 1/2 games below the Los Angeles Lakers . However despite of that have won two of three against Dallas this season and actually stunned the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out by a 120-99 count. With that said, Im now betting the young Suns after their all out, take no prisoners win last time out, will now be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a side that wants revenge for an earlier loss in this series this season. It must also be noted that the Mavericks entered the fourth in the league in scoring defense (100.5) and Phoenix was last (113.2) Even with a depleted Dallas lineup, I am betting they can keep pace with this opponent and even pull off the SU upset as road dogs. Suns are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Suns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. DALLAS is 21-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and is 11-3 ATS L/14 revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS L/22 versus poor offensive teams - scoring or less 98 points/game. NBA Road favorites like Dallas - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must be noted seems to like playing on Sundays , as is evident by a 10-0 ATS record in Sunday games this season winning SU by an average of 13 ppg. Also NBA Road favorites like the Mavs - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 31-13 ATS for 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-09-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Cincinnati got crushed yesterday by a 10-4 count vs their hosts the St. Louis Cardinals allowing 22 base runners. I don't think things will get much better today, as the Reds send Scott Feldman (0-1, 5.79 ERA) to the hill to face a suddenly explosive St. Louis' offense. Meanwhile, the Cards pitcher Martinez looked great in his opening day assignment, pitching 7 1/2 innings of scoreless ball vs the defending Wolrd Series champion Cubs. Martinez has alsp done well in his career against Cincinnati, going 5-1 with a 2.76 ERA in 16 outings ( 5 starts). He posted two wins last year over the Reds and is my choice in this spot. When Martinez starts in April his team is 9-0 SU L/9 winning SU by an average of 4.6 ppg. CINCINNATI is 4-19 L/23 against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons , losing SU by an average of 2 rpg. Dating to the start of the 2003 season, Cincinnati has won just four of its last 39 series at Busch Stadium, losing 32. Play on the St.Louis Cards on the runline -1.5 |
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04-09-17 | Yankees v. Orioles -119 | 7-3 | Loss | -119 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Yankees LH CC Sabathia (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Orioles LH Wade Miley (2016: 9-13, 5.37) Im betting on the Orioles being in a good spot , to get a three game sweep of th NY Yankees side that has lost 4 of their first 5 games and are going to be without their starting catcher Gary Sanchez today and first baseman Greg Bird because of injury. NY YANKEES are 12-31 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last couple of seasons.BALTIMORE is 42-15 L/57 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher and 13-2 against the money line in home games in April games dating back to last season. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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04-08-17 | Mariners -105 v. Angels | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (0-1, 3.60 ERA) vs. Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (0-1, 4.76) Nolasco had a 5.13 ERA in 21 starts for Minnesota last year but a 3.21 ERA in 11 starts for the Angels. Im betting his true talents lay somewhere between those two polarities. He is not a bad pitcher, but not great either, and is fade material for me in this spot vs former Cy Young award winner and Mariners starting pitcher today Felix Fernandez. I know Seattles offense has not been very productive so far this season, but from a longer term trends perspective the Mariners are 32-14 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span. Edge goes to the Mariners in this game. Mariners are 11-5 in Hernandezs last 16 starts vs. Angels. Nolasco is 1-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.60. Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Angels are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-08-17 | Braves +125 v. Pirates | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Braves RH R.A. Dickey (2016: 10-15, 4.46 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (2016: 5-4, 4.90) The Pirates starter Kuhl is at the moment is in the lower rankings of my pitcher assessment tables. The righty made 14 starts as a rookie in 2016, and despite of some possible future upside, is fade material at the moment . The Pirates starter did not pitch well at home last season in PNC, walking 14 in 24 1/3 innings while recording a ugly 7.03 ERA, with opposition batters clubbing him for a ..330 BA Meanwhile, the visiting Braves, are a team I have pegged for improvement this season, and look like viable value line bets with, veteran knuckleballer, RA Dickey going to the hill. Dickey had a off season, last year, but continued to pitch well on the road by recording a (7-7, 3.56 ERA). I know the Braves have struggled to produce runs through four games, but my pitcher to batter cross reference data suggests a above average break out day in this spot. Pirates are 7-18 in their last 26 home games and are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series.PITTSBURGH is a sub par 16-21 L/37 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
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04-08-17 | Pacers -4 v. Magic | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers look suddenly rejuvenated after the addition of former franchise juggernaut Lance Stephenson. Since his arrival the Pacers took the Cleveland Cavaliers to double ot and than proceeded to win their two following games. Now playing with confidence and also a sense of urgency I expect they will be primed to perform tonight vs a Orlando team out of the play offs and debuting D League prospects. From a matchup perspective the Pacers have owned the Magic this season, winning all three meetings, by an average of 14 ppg, including a 98-88 win here in the Magic Kingdom on Feb 1. What we have here is a Rinse and repeat situation based on head to head and matchup analysis. The Pacers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Central Florida to play the Magic. ORLANDO is 13-25 ATS in home games this season and 25-34 ATS as underdogs losing SU by an average of 8.5 ppg. Pacers HC McMillan is 35-15 ATS L/40 in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, winning SU by an average of 7 ppg. Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-07-17 | Wolves v. Jazz -9 | 113-120 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Jazz enter this game notching wins in four of their last five games despite of an array injury woes. I personally respect the Jazzs coach Quin Snyder and his ability to mix and match lineups while continuing to have players remain disciplined behind his system, despite of his walking wounded . Meanwhile, the Timberwolves blew another fourth-quarter lead in Thursday's 105-98 loss to Portland . This young team breaks down on a regular basis as that was their 21st time after leading by double digits that they lost a game, the worst such record in the league. With that said, I expect the home team will be primed to play tonight, and be very motivated to keep the all important fourth seed entering the post season, and to also be focused on reaping revenge for a a 107-80 home loss to the Wolves which ended a five-game winning streak in the series. Timberwolves are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-07-17 | Royals +166 v. Astros | 5-1 | Win | 166 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Royals LH Jason Vargas (2016: 0-0, 2.25 ERA) vs. Astros RH Mike Fiers (2016: 11-8, 4.48) Kansas City is desperate for a win after starting their campaign at 0-3 for the first time since 2001. Im betting they will be primed to perform in this spot, despite of their current negative run. This bet is based on an overall analysis of pitcher vs batter matchup scenarios, possbile bull pen matchups and pairings. Hey I know the Royals bullpen looked horrible in their series vs Minnesota, and their offense was not much better, but this is a better team than this moneylline suggests. Both these starting pitchers Fiers/Vargas have not faired well against the others batting order, in the recent past, but my own cross reference matchup predictions tell me we have considerable value backing the desperate visitng Royals in game 1 of this series vs Houston (3-1). Royals are 5-0 in Vargas' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Royals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-06-17 | Bucks v. Pacers -4 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers play host to the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night as both teams try to garner post season spots, but Indiana is the more desperate of the two and cannot afford a loss. The Milwaukee Bucks after a strong run, winning 14 of 17 have now lost two in a row in look exhausted in their last tilt losing by a 110-79 blowout decision vs the Oklahoma City. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers, have looked very rejuvenated since the return of Lance Stephenson and rode the energy of the home crowd last time out in a smash down of a good Toronto Raptors team by a 108-90 count. Now with Indiana needing wins to stay alive for the post season and the added incentive of getting revenge for three straight losses in this series this season Im betting we see a take no prisoners attitude and an extremely motivated (performance from the home team . ( The Pacers are 27-12 at home, while the Bucks have held their own on the road at 18-20.) It must be noted that he Indiana Pacers are 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 with same season triple revenge as hosts. Meanwhile the Bucks are just 1-11 SU and and 2-10 ATS L/12 away vs a side like the Pacers looking to get revenge for three straight losses in a series. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-06-17 | Nets v. Magic -2 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Two teams at the bottom end of my power rankings go head to head tonight in the Magic Kingdom as the Brooklyn Nets play the Orlando Magic. Granted Brooklyn has looked decent of late, but still have alot of problems to deal with in the off season, as they have a tendency of going into catastrophic breakdown mode when not consistently hitting treys from downtown and a defense that is porous to say the least. Also according to my own cross reference systems and play player to player matchup scenarios the Magic actually have the edge here on their own home floor. With Orlando playing with better flow, thanks to their wings ability to run and shoot in transition Im betting they matchup well and get my endorsement in this ugly betty spot play . The Magic are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series including a 118-11 win here back on Dec 16th of this season. (Brooklyn shot an amazing 64% from the floor in victory vs Philadelphia last time out, and now expecting for a reversion to the mean in a letdown effort scenario). Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-06-17 | Rockies +115 v. Brewers | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (MLB debut) vs. Brewers RH Chase Anderson (2016: 9-11, 4.39 ERA) Senzatela the Rockies starter has been an extremely strong pitching option in five seasons in the minors, as is evident by a 41-19 record and an ERA of 2.45 in 88 appearances (87 starts). Im expecting a decent effort from this tenacious young pitcher, and for the Rockies offense that scored 13 runs in the first two games of this series to support his efforts today vs Brewers starter, Chase Anderson. It must be noted that the Brew Crew hurler Anderson owns a bloated 5.30 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rockies. Anderson started 30 games for Milwaukee last season, posting a 4.39 ERA. MILWAUKEE is 93-145 L/238 against the money line against right-handed starters and is 16-37 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more which happened yesterday. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-05-17 | Mavs +12 v. Clippers | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won four of their last five overall and seven of nine, but one of the losses came to the Mavericks , a team that has won two straight meetings in this series. The Clippers are just 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record, and look to be over blown favorites in ths spot. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. With that said, Im betting on HC Carlisle formulating a game plan that helps his team be very competetive tonight. NBA Home favorites like the LA Cippers - a strong 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 or less reb/game). Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-05-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Suns | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Two teams at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight as the explosive Golden State Warriors visit the desert to play the young Phoienx Suns. The Warriors have won 12 straight SU while the Suns have lost 12 straight. The bottom line here, is that Golden State has virtually wrapped up the top seed in the West , but are still trying to keep momentum on their side, going towards the play offs, and despite of resting some players will still be primed to win. Im also sure HC Kerr has told his team not overlook tonight's opponent, which gives me confidence in laying points with my own rankings is the best and deepest team in the league. It must be noted that the Warriors have beaten the Suns 10 straight times, including three times this season by 6, 13, 29 points respectively, and Im betting on another conclusive win here. This from a league wide NBA data base: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Suns - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-31 ATS or a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors.
Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-05-17 | Angels v. A's OVER 8 | 5-0 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Angels RH Garrett Richards (2016: 1-3, 2.34 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (2016: 2-0, 2.15) Richards the Angles starter after injuring his right elbow , decided to bypass Tommy John surgery in the off season and instead use, stem cell injections, went into spring trainng feeling better, but that still did not translate in to great numbers as is evident by a bloated 5.11 ERA in 12 1/2 innings of work. RICHARDS is also 10-1 OVER L/11 in road games in night games with a combined average of 10.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 9-2 in Richards' last 11 road starts. Meanwhile, the As starter Cotton, looks like a solid pitcher, but was a surprise factor last year, and now with opponents getting a better feel for him I'm betting he will be less effective . The Angles took a 7-6 victory, yesterday and I expect another fairly high scoring affair tonight. Over is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 during game 3 of a series and they have gone over in 13 straight games in the final game of series when they scored first in their last game, which they did. OAKLAND is 20-9 OVER in home games after a one run loss over the last 3 seasons. Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Mavs +2.5 v. Kings | 87-98 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings are two teams that won't be in the play offs this season. The Kings will miss their 11th straight post season, and the Mavs will miss for only the second time in 17 seasons. The Kings are rebuilding , while Dallas looks for younger players to replace the old guard. Needless to say this game does not have alot excitement attached to it. However, more importantly it is a bankroll expansion money making opportunity , that has me recommeding we go against a Sacramento side, that meets my criteria as a weak favorite despite of winning 3 of their L/5 overall. DALLAS is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.DALLAS is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and is is 9-1 ATS after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more this season. SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing with 2 days rest. This is a key long term trend form a NBA Database: NBA Home teams like the Kings - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 18-51 ATS for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Angels -111 v. A's | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Angels RH Matt Shoemaker (2016: 9-13, 3.88 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Sean Manaea (2016: 7-9, 3.86) The As got the win in the opening game of this series last night, but now I expect the Angles to respond in game 2. Los Angeles Angels right-hander Matt Shoemaker will make his first start of 2017 on Tuesday night against the Oakland A's after suffering a head fracture last season.Shoemaker started slowly last season and went 9-13 with a 3.88 ERA last season in 27 starts but was 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last three starts before his season-ending injury, and will be primed to perform here. Shoemaker went 16-4 with a 3.04 ERA in 2014 as a rookie is is a capable hurler . His ptching south paw opponent, from the Oakland As, Manaea is 0-1 with a 3.55 ERA in two career starts against the Angels, and had an above average rookie campaign last season, but now with a decent scouting report on him may not fair as well in his sophmore campaign. Shoemaker is 4-2 with a 3.48 ERA in 10 career appearances, including nine starts, against Oakland, and was Shoemaker and was 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in three starts against Oakland last season and gets the nod today. OAKLAND is 11-22 L/33 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125.Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 1-4 in Manaeas last 5 starts vs. American League West.Road team is 6-0 in home umpire Hernandezs last 6 games behind home plate. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Bucks +5.5 v. Thunder | 79-110 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is slumping a bit of late, and Im blaming that on the one man show Russell Westbrook. Why you say? Westbrook is a super star. Yes, and he has an ego that matches his vast talents, and has a tendency to be selfish. With that said, and for now at least the Thunder have lost focus on their post season goals and don't seem to be as foused on more important factors, but rather on their super stars records status. Meanwhile, the Bucks , are a team fighting for a post season appearence and playoff positioning, and are capable of upsetting the Thunder in their own diggs. Last time out, they looked like the pressure of their current status, effected their play, in a 109-105 loss, but today I expect they bounce back in a big way. QUOTE: We didn't play hard enough, we didn't do what we usually do," key Bucks cog Antetokounmpo said. "That's the game, and we move on. We know how important these last five games are for us. We're going to play together and try to finish it off strong." END QUOTE Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Milwaukee has covered 3 of the L/ 4 meetings in this series and won a 98-94 decision at home back on Jan 2 of this season. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Nets v. 76ers -1 | 141-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has been playing decent basketball of late, and have won two straight, but despite of their better play, are still a team with all lot of deficiencies. The Nets are also on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. Note: BROOKLYN is just 11-27 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days , losing SU by an average of 11 ppg. Meanwhile, Philadelphia their hosts tonight despite of being banged up and depleted, are a side with some great work ethic, and seeing some great contributions from new faces like Alex Poythress who was in the NBA development league. With that said, I like the home team in this spot, from a systems matchup perspective and recommend we plug our noses , hold our breath and pull the trigger on the 76ers side that has won all three meetings in this series this season and 25-11 ATS at home during the current campaign including 5-1-1 ATS vs their division. PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS vs. division opponents this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. BROOKLYN is 4-13 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Tigers -118 v. White Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
igers RH Justin Verlander (2016: 16-9, 3.04 ERA) vs. White Sox LH Jose Quintana (2016: 13-12, 3.20) Verlander had a tremendous season in 2016, as is evident by a 1.96 ERA after the All-Star break and was 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three meetings with the White Sox. Meanwhile, Qunintana his Pale Hose pitching opponent has been a consistent hurler, but not a super star by any means and is just 5-4 with a a sighty bloated 4.08 ERA in 17 career starts against the Tigers. Tigers are 20-7 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.White Sox are 0-7 in Quintanas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 20-6 in Verlanders last 26 starts vs. White Sox DETROIT is 18-9 L/27 against the money line in road games in day games . Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyine 1 unit reg selection |
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04-03-17 | Angels -112 v. A's | 2-4 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (2016: 8-14, 4.42 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (2016: 10-11, 4.11 Angels starter Nalsco had a sub par season , last year, but it s quality hurler, and that was evident towards the end of the season, when he went 3-0 while allowing one unearned run over his last three outings of his 2016 campaign.Nolasco is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and a shutout in seven career starts versus the Athletics and looks like a solid starter to back tonight in Oakland against a team that has finsihed last in its division two years in a row. I expect the Halos super star Trout who hit .315 with 29 home runs, 100 RBIs and 123 runs last season to be te catalyst for the team on a consistent basis this season and tonight. Meanwhile, Athletics starter Gravermans is 0-7 last 7 starts vs. American League West and is fade material for me when considering opposition lineup expectations. OAKLAND is 11-22 L33 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons t. The Angels . are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.Athletics are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 7-23 in their last 30 vs. American League West.Athletics are 4-17 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Oakland. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina -1.5 v. Gonzaga | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show | |
After winning their respective Final Four matchups on Saturday, No. 1 seed Gonzaga will battle No. 1 seed North Carolina for the national title Monday night. Ok folks, now Im going to be as blunt and to the point as possible. I know Gonzaga has had a tremendous season, and I wont take that way from them, but beating lower tier teams in a lower tier conference and than taking out underdog upstarts like Xavier ad South Carolina , Northwestern , and over rated West Virginia from more respected conferences to get here is not overly impressive to me. I know some might argue about what I'm saying, but I'm not knocking the four teams I just mentioned , I just don't believe they are in the same company as speedy/ explosive offensive Tar Heels squad. I'm also not sold on Gonzagas coach Mark Few, who despite of being a great recruiter is a guy that has not ever proven he can deliver a national championship banner, and has failed in key big games in the past. With that said, look for Roy Williams years of winning experience to be the key difference maker here today. Also after watching, a very tough Joel Berry II play decently on his sore/sprained ankles Im starting to believe that this injury is being overblown by the media, and possibly even being used as a trojan horse by Williams and company, to make them appear vlnerable, and will not greatly effect North Carolinas offensive flow . This from a CBB ATS data base: All teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Heels - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are a bankroll expanding 23-5 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a very profitable 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-03-17 | Royals +100 v. Twins | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Royals LH Danny Duffy (2016: 12-3, 3.51 ERA) vs. Twins RH Ervin Santana (2016: 7-11, 3.38) Duffy the Royals starter today took a no-decision in his only start of the year at Minnesota on Sept. 7 . But that was not an indication of his overall performance as he recorded 10 strikeouts in that tilt. In another appearence he earned a victory against the Twins at home on Aug. 21 allowing just one run in 6 2/3 frames and once again looks like a solid pitcher to put some bukcs behind here in this spot. Meanwhile, the Twins starter Santana was 7-11 with a 3.38 ERA last season. He is a quality hurler, but overall is just above average pitcher , even though compared to a rotation that gave up the 2nd most runs in the league, he looks better than he is. Overall Kansas City matches up well against anyone in the AL, and will be primed to bounce back off last seasons disappointment with a quick start , vs a Minnesota side that has not won an opener since the 2008 campaign. MINNESOTA is 16-32 L/48 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 .SANTANA is 8-22 against the money line in all games.DUFFY is 5-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.336. Play on the Kansas City Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-03-17 | Blue Jays +124 v. Orioles | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (2016: 9-9, 3.48 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (2016: 9-12, 3.61) Toronto enters this rematch of last seasons wild card game,that the Jays won looking lIke a soild team despite of ghe loss of Encarncion. The Jays rotation also remains deep enough to make them contenders in the AL again, and a viable bet in their opener today. The Jays starter Estrada is healthier than he was last season with his fast ball clocking in around 90 ph in spring training. The righty hurler owns a 4-1 record along with a 3.22 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) versus Baltimore.Meanwhile, his opponent Gausman has looked good in spring training but he has been average at best vs the Jays in his career, as is evident by 2-3 record and a 4.40 ERA. The Os starting hurler GAUSMAN is 8-19 L/27 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 . With that said, I like the Jays on Value line here. Play on the Blue Jays on the moneyline |
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04-02-17 | Nuggets v. Heat -4 | 116-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets, both need to get in the win column today, and this will be an important play off type game for both of them as they vie for a post season appearance. Due to tiebreakers, the Chicago Bulls are in seventh place, the Heat are eighth. With that said, the the Heat matchup well vs the Nuggets and have won three straight games in their series and once again get my backing here today. It must be noted that the Nuggets are banged up and have three players who are questionable for Sunday: point guard Jameer Nelson (calf); shooting guard Will Barton (foot) and forward Darrell Arthur (knee) which I: betting effects their flow. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts and is 13-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game and also 12-1 ATS L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.DENVER is 0-7 ATS L/7 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MIAMI is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite this season winning SU by an average of 8 ppg. Play on Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-02-17 | Mavs +6 v. Bucks | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
When there was no pressure on Milwaukee they looked to be in a flow, and have gotten themselves in a position for a play off spot by winning 14 of their L/18 overall. But now with added pressure , Im wondering about their ability to be as dangerous. Their last effort punctuated my current thought processes , as they struggled to beat a Motown Pistons team that is mired in a deep funk, working extra hard to get a 108-105 OT win after blowing a 18 point lead. Milwaukee is also expected to be without guard Malcolm Brogdon, a Rookie of the Year candidate , and his absence was missed last time out , and Im betting will be missed again. Meanwhile the desperate Mavericks come to Milwaukee looking to stop a four game losing streak and need wins badly to stay in the play off picture. The odds are they won't make it to post season play, which means I expect they wil be playing loose and dangerous with nothing really to lose.It must be noted that Dallas has won eight of the last 10 meetings with the Bucks, including an 86-75 overtime victory earlier this season. and I'm recommedning we back them today getting points. MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season.DALLAS is 9-0 ATS in Sunday games this season. MILWAUKEE is just 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-02-17 | Hornets +5.5 v. Thunder | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
I have been hard on Charlotte this season because of their wild inconsistencies, but they are presently playing at a high level, winning 6 of their L/8 SU/ATS and must be respected. My own player to player and matchup systems analysis also tell me that actually matchup well against their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder . The Hornets beat the Thunder 123-112 on Jan 4 th, and Im betting they will be competitive today vs a team off a hard fought heart breaking loss to the Spurs, last time out by a 100-95 count that will now have them in a letdown scenario this Sunday. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest. Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-02-17 | Yankees -105 v. Rays | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 47 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R) The Yankees have the tools to win and be a decent team this season,but how good remains to be seen, behind the likes of newly signed Matt Holliday as well as Aaron Judge C Gary Sanchez, Greg Bird and today's starting pitcher Mashiro Tanaka the ace of the staff. Last season Tanaka was third in the AL with a 3.07 ERA while working 199.2 innings despite of some nagging injuries. This powerful and tenacious hurler when healthy is one of the best in baseball, and I expect after a decent spring will once again be hard to stop. The Japanese wonder kid, has also pitched well in day time games and has cashed on the moneyline consistently when he starts for his team cashing 10 of his L11 matinee starts. Meanwhile, TB is a side , that I'm betting might be in for another down season, but I'm still debating their overall talent level so I won't get to down on them. However, today I do feel that their starting hurler Chris Archer is at a disadvantage vs Tanaka who owns a career record of 6-0 vs the Rays with his team winning all 8 of his overall appearances in this series. It must also be noted TBs Chris Archer is just 6-20 on the moneyline in his L/28 starts when the moneyline is between +125 and -125 and has seen his team lost 12 of his L/16 home starts , despite of a decent ERA. With that said, I'm betting on the better pitcher, and offense to bring home the cash in game 1 of this opening day series. (NY Yankees) This from a MLB data base: MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Rays - American League team who had a batting average of .260 or worse last season are bankroll depleting 46-87 over the L/5 seasons for go against conversion rate of more than 65% for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-01-17 | Oregon +5 v. North Carolina | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 98 h 25 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - University of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ North Carolina is a team with some big time pedigree and has a huge amount of respect from the nations basketball pundits, Meanwhile, Oregon does not get the same respect from the meida, but has proven to be a very strong side this season. With that said, the Ducks have been ranked high on my power rankings during my current betting campaign, and after watching them take out Michigan, and than a very good Kansas team, in what was essentially a road game for them, they have gained my respect and admiration. From a matchup standpoint the Ducks have proven all season long that they can slow down the best of offensive teams ie Arizona and UCLA, and I have confidence that they can do it again. Meanwhile, North Carolina is off a huge emotionally charged last second win vs Kentucky, and may now have problems mustering up the same energy here this Saturday despite of the rest. With the Tar Heels star guard Joel Berri II expected to play with a banged up ankle, Im betting the Ducks take their flow away and possibly end up advancing to the championship game with a outright win as dogs. However more importantly I expect Altamn to out coach Roy Williams and get us the cover. OREGON is 20-7 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.OREGON is 8-1 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 7-1 ATS L/8 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Altman is 30-13 ATS L/43 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-01-17 | Hawks +4.5 v. Bulls | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Two teams on 2 game winning streaks, enter into this tilt in decent form, and vying for a play off spot. The Hawks prior to their wins , had a ugly 7 game losing streak, but have been wildly inconsistent all season long, as have their opponents today the Chicago Bulls, who proved their inefficiencies in a loss to lowly injury riddled Philadelphia recently. From a head to head matchup perspective the Hawks , however, have the edge against a team that depends to much on a hot shooting from downtown, as their coach Hoiberg prefers. I know the the Hawks are playing with out key cog Millsap, but watching their recent adjustments to his absence gives me confidence in them making this a hard fought affair, that gives them the edge taking points. Note: The Hawks own a seven-game winning streak vs the Bulls including three this season and get the nod again with points in hand. CHICAGO is 17-32 ATS L50 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS L/33 after a win by 6 points or less which happened against the Cavs last time out.Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 18-40 ATS in their last 58 vs. NBA Southeast. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-31-17 | St. Peter's v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi +4.5 | 62-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Championship Game The line of this championship game opened at -1.5 with St.Peters as favorites. Than both public and smart money flowed in on the Peacocks. With that said, St.Peters is a fine team, and have really come together late in the season, but now we are dealing with mathematics and lack of overall respect for Texas AM Corpus Christi. While its not always a good thing to go against the marker flow, there comes a time when it is over done, and thats what Im betting on here. Currently according to my own numbers and cross reference systems and player to player matchup configurations this line is now slightly bloated, and a very underrated Texas AM CC has an edge as the underdog getting points. This also from a CBB trend data base: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Texas A&M CC - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 67-29 ATS and 5-0 ATS this season for a very profitable long term 70% conversion rate for betting backers.
Play on Texas A&M CC to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-31-17 | Pistons v. Bucks -10 | 105-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons stopped a five-game losing streak Thursday but nothing comes easy for the Pistons, and its seems they are just plain tired and wiped out as the regular season finish line comes closer. The Pistons have lost 8 of their L/10 SU and after watching some of their games, it has become obvious to me that things are a mess with Motown hoops. I know the Pistons are still in pursuit of a play off spot, and HC Van Gundy is saying all the right things, but the results on the court are much different than his perceptions. Meanwhile, Milwaukee a team that looks destined for the play offs improved to 13-3 SU in its last 16 games with a 103-100 road victory against a strong Boston Celtics on Wednesday, and Im betting this tilt we be like a walk in the park after playing a superior side last time out. With that said, and according to my own matchup stats the Bucks are the far superior team in a head to head matchup, and I'm recommending we lay the lumber here with the young men from Wisconsin. Milwaukee is 5-2 in the last seven home meetings with Detroit and have crushed them by DDs in their L/2 meetings this season. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. division opponents this season losing SU 22.7 ppg and 1-10 ATS L/11 off a road win, losing SU by ana verage of 15 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-31-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Hornets | 114-122 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Denver after losing last time out to the red hot Portland Blazers 122-113, have dropped out of the final play off spot in the Western Conference. Its not like the Nuggets will now throw in the towel as regaining their post season status is very attainable as long as they can muster up wins. More importantly they are now under pressure to get a victory tonight vs the inconsistent Charlotte Hornets. With that said, Im betting the Nuggets leave everything on the floor and will not easily be taken down tonight, which makes taking points a viable wagering situation. QUOTE: "I've been in the league a long time, and you expect the unexpected," Nuggets coach Michael Malone told the Post. "If we stop believing and letting go of the rope, it could get ugly. I didn't get that sense (Thursday). Our guys are disappointed that we had a bad home loss against New Orleans and a tough loss against a Portland team that is playing very well. We have an opportunity to get back on track." END QUOTE. I like the Nuggets drive , while I dont have the same confidence in the tired looking Hornets , a side that will most likely not make a play off appearence this season. DENVER is 14-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival .CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-30-17 | Cavs v. Bulls +6 | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Two rivals the Chicago Bulls and the the banged up Cleveland Cavaliers go head to head tonight in a prime time battle that Im betting will be a hard fought one. The Cavaliers have recently been slumping and the players have echoed their frustration , but have not shown any urgency in their tones, or performance on the court as HC Lue said his long term focus is on the post season and staying healthy. With that said, look for a hungry and desperate Bulls team to come out here and give it their all ,as they vie for a post season appearance vs what looks to be a Cavaliers team just gojng through the motions. I know the Bulls have struggled, of late but they have matched up well against the Cavaliers, winning all three meetings this season and wont go down easily in this spot, as they are well rested and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. CLEVELAND is 13-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are just 15-22 ATS on the road including 1-4 ATS L/5 overall. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-30-17 | Islanders +123 v. Flyers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
After losses to the Bruins and Predators the Isles now find themselves scrambling to try to get back into a wild card spot. It desperation time for the Islanders, and their desperation is what makes them a viable betting option tonight. Note: NY ISLANDERS are 6-1 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. "The importance of this game is dire," Islanders coach Doug Weight said. The HC is right, and alot of heads could roll an their will be a price to paid, if the Isles cannot beat a Flyers team that is currently out of the playoffs and beatable. Play on the NY Islanders to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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03-29-17 | Blues -169 v. Coyotes | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
I am not a big proponet of consistently laying alot of lumber in moneyline matchups. But tonight the red host St.Louis Blues, winners of 10 of their L/12 look very much like soild bets , as they will primed to perform in a big way , as they are in pursuit of teams ahead of them in the standings. The Blues are one point behind Calgary for the top wild card spot and one in back of the Nashville Predators for third place in the Central Division entering Wednesdays games. The Blues has also dominated this series as is evident by a 14-game point streak (13-0-1) against Arizona and has not lost in regulation to the Coyotes in nearly five years and have won 8 straight visits to the desert. Meanwhile, Arizona has lost 3 straight while scoring just one goal in those tilts, and is chalked load full of kids debuting and auditioning for rioster spots for next season. This is defintely a team that deserves to be even bigger dogs than they are tonight. ST LOUIS is 12-1 ATS L/13 against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year dating back to last season winning SU by an average of 2.3 gpg. Blues expected starting G Jake Allen is 7-0-0 lifetime against Arizona. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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03-29-17 | Hawks -1 v. 76ers | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Two injury-riddled teams the Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers go head to head on Wednesday night in the City of Brotherly Love. Both sides are off wins last night. The Sixers upset the Nets as road dogs, and the Hawks took a victory over the lowly Suns, but failed to cover. Looking at a long term data base, as part of tonight's handicapping analysis my betting direction centered on the struggling Hawks ability to notch a 2nd straight win vs a side trying to do the same. My attention also focuses on my player to player systems matchups which centers on bench strength , which favors the Hawks. Also it must be noted that Philadelphia is coming home, off 5 straight road games, and will take time to acclimate themselves to their own digs, which I'm betting will be an advantage to the visitors. I know both these teams do not inspire bettors, but according to my own humble opinion is that the Hawks are a very viable betting option in this particular spot. ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasonPHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season,are just 22-51 ATS in their followup tilt. NBA Home underdogs like Philadelphia - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 45-76 ATS datng back 5 seasons. Also NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Hawks - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-37 ATS for 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-28-17 | TCU v. UCF +3 | 68-53 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 39 m | Show | |
NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY TCU after suffering through a 7 game losing streak at the end of the season, finally came to life with surprising wins vs Oklahoma and schizophrenic Kansas before being blown out by explosive Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament. They have won all 3 of the NIT games , but now against a unfimiliar and tenacious defense first opponent UCF , Im betting they will have problems, keeping their offensive flow alive It must be noted that UCF held a potent Cincinnati Bearcats team to 49 points in a win back o Feb 26, and if they can repeat that type of game plan here, which I beleive they can, a upset as underdogs is not far fetched. Thus taking the points with them is a very viable option. UCF is 7-1 ATS L/8 in all tournament games this season and 9-1 SU L/10 overall with their only loss coming to to top tier SMU hoops program.TCU is 0-6 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games dating back to last year and is 2-10 ATS in road games off a home win. TCU is 0-7 ATS L/7 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 7-20 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games during the same time peremiters. Play on UCF to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-28-17 | 76ers v. Nets -2.5 | 106-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has showed remarkable improvements over the last month, and have been very competitive covering 9 of their L/12 overall and have also won 3 of their L/4 overall , with the one loss coming to a strong Washington Wizards team. Meanwhile, the visiting Philadelphia 76ers have lost 11 of their L/14 games, and will now go against a team with revenge on board, for a 105-95 loss here at home back on Jan 8. With that said, I'm betting on the Nets getting the revenge they want. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. From a NBA Trends data base: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 9-32 ATS dating back 5 seasons, Favorites like the Nets - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for betting backers. Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-28-17 | Heat v. Pistons +2.5 | 97-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami has some back court injury issues they are dealing with at the moment. Which is not a good omen for their chances tonight, vs their struggling but desperate hosts Detroit. It must be noted that the Heat have lost three of its last four games with shooting guard Dion Waiters (15.8 ppg) on the sidelines with ankle injury. Guess what he is expected to be out again tonight, which I'm betting effects the Heats flow. Also key cog Hassan Whiteside, has a cut hand that is still healing and other nagging injuries that are slowing him which is another reason for a negative outlook for the Heat tonight. Add to that Dragic is also banged up with a sore hip, and you can see that Heat are getting far to much respect from the linesmakers in ths spot. . With that said, I feel that the Heat are fade material tonight despite of having the superior team when healthy. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS L/10 home games when playing against a team with a losing record and is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents - 2nd half of the season over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit won both games in this series this season and are 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 here in Motown. |
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03-28-17 | Bucks +3.5 v. Hornets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is a team that has won 11 of their L/14 games. and still looking very much like a side on the rise in the NBA. Yes, they had a bad game last time out, vs the Bulls, but after their previous two losses they bounced back, and I once again expect another rebound in this spot. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing decent ball at the moment, the Hornets are still very inconsistent, which was evident last time against the the Phoenix Suns. In that tilt, the Hornets ran out to a huge 17-1 lead, and up 22 points at the half, and were up by 25 in the third quarter. But than the wheels fell of the proverbial apple cart . Towards the end of the game they were up just 105-101 before pulling away late for the victory. that was ugly and told me a story of a team with problems.My own power ranking suggest their wildly erratic play , and player to players systems do not match-up well vs a Bucks side that can perform well vs best teams in the NBA, especially at their current level of over all play. CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Milwaukee has covered 5 straight meetings here in Charlotte. The road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-27-17 | Cavs +5 v. Spurs | 74-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
It seems the media in general is proclaiming that the Cleveland Cavaliers are on a down trend, and that LeBron James is degrading and has lost a step and that the Cavaliers defense is not of a championship quality. Now with all detractors out in full force, the Cavaliers visit another top tier team the San Antonio Spurs. I have alot of respect for the Spurs, but tonight Im betting on James ,who is now, entering this tilt with a big chip on his shoulder, to rally the troops and come out here with a all out effort in what I expect to be a subsequent cover.
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03-27-17 | Wyoming v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 154 | 81-91 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3) Championships are usuallywon with top tier defesne, and with that said, tonight despite of both teams ability to score in bunches , Im betting on a more phsycial slower paced affair, especially here in game 1 as both tems feel each other out in conservative fashion. COASTAL CAROLINA in their L/6 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons have seen an average of 131.2 ppg.WYOMING in 14 non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 148.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. Coastal Carolina in their L/10 after taking part in a fairly high scoring game where 155 ppg were put on the board, have followed up with a combined score of 140.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. Wyoming off a home win going on the road have seen a combined score of 133.4 ppg get scored, spanning a fairly decent 23 game sample size.COASTAL CAROLINA is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 137.13 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Rangers +125 v. Ducks | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Rangers are finally healthy, and ready to get positive momentum going in their direction as the play offs approach, and have played well against the Western Conference teams this season.Rangers are 44-19 in their last 63 vs. Western Conference. Meanwhile, Anaheim, despite of a 3 game win streak, do not matchup well against the Rangers system, according to my own data. Ducks are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a win. Rangers are 38-18 in their last 56 road games.NY RANGERS are 10-4 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season NY Rangers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road.and are are 16-4 ATS in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season and are 25-9 ATS L/34 in road games against mistake free teams - opponents allow an average 4 or less power plays/game this season.NY RANGERS are 21-5 ATS L/26 in non-conference games this season.NY RANGERS is 5-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Anaheim. Play on the NY Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5 | 115-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The only two losses Denver has suffered in their L/8 games have come to the explosive Houston Rockets. Since those losses, the Nuggets have shot 50 percent from the field and have missed only three of their 56 free throws in their last two games. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite of playing better of late, with Cousins and Anthony jelling, this particular matchup is not a good one for them ,as they will be in a letdown state and on tired legs in a high altitude after running and gunning but losing to the Rockets last time out. The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 107-102 in the season opener on Oct. 26 despite Davis' 50 points and 15 rebounds, and Im betting on a repeat performance here from the Nuggets and more importantly a cover. DENVER is 15-6 ATS L/21 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 21-11 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game and make 6 or more treys per game. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Kentucky +2.5 v. North Carolina | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
Kentucky started slow this season, but as time progressed this group of top tier collegiate players has now become a force to be reckoned with, both defensively and on offense. After taking down UCLA on Friday night, it has become apparent to me that this team has arrived and are now playing with a chip on their shoulders, which is not a good thing for their opponents the North Carolina Tar Heels. With Monk and Fox at the top of their game and the Wildcats D, playing shutdown hoops, I'm betting Roy Williams team will find the sledding very tough and could easily end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard when the final buzzer goes. With that said, getting points for me is a solid investment option. Play on Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -5.5 | 125-137 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The explosive Houston Rockets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a game between to hot teams that could face each other in the play offs. With that said, despite of the Thunder playing some very good hoops at the moment, I still rank them well below the Houston Rockets in head to head play, especially here in Texas. With the Rockets out looking to establish dominance over a potential post season partner, I expect they will be very primed here at home to make a statement. Look for key offensive catalyst James Harden to be the deal breaker today. The stars current streak of four straight games with at least 30 points and 10 assists is the longest since Michael Jordan accomplished the task in five consecutive contests in 1988-89. This from a NBA team vs team ATS data base: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games of the season, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 39-10 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers. OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and s 1-8 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Thunder HC Donovan is 5-16 ATS in road games versus Top tier offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game, losing SU by an average of 7.6 ppg. Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Play on Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Liberty v. Maryland-Baltimore County -3 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 51 h 36 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals The UMBC Retrievers explosive offense has averaged 86.2 ppg as hosts and have been tough to beat at home this year, posting an 11-4 SU record at the RAC Arena. Meanwhile, Liberty plays decent defense, but from a offensive perspective averaging just 66.6 ppg I'm betting they don't have the guns, to keep pace as this tilt progresses. Also from a cross conference player to player and systems matchup perspective the home team has the edge. Play on UMBC to cover |
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03-26-17 | Nets +7 v. Hawks | 107-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, and are getting more frustrated by the day, as their once strong play off hopes slightly fade. Meanwile, Brooklyn despite of getting hammered by one of the leagues top teams last night the Wizards, are playing some overall good hoops and have covered 8 of their L/10 games overall. Nothing comes easy for the Hawks,and Im betting that is once again the case tonight, against a Nets team that is currently capable of running and gunning with some of the better teams in the East . In their most recent meeting on March 8 Atlanta did win 110-105 but failed to cover as 10 point dogs. The linesmakers have lowered the Hawks favorite status here, but it is still bloated in my humble betting opinion. When the Hawks are slumping they have not been a good bet in the past, as HC Budenholzer is 5-18 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.ATLANTA is 18-29 ATS as a favorite this season. Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-25-17 | Oregon +6.5 v. Kansas | 74-60 | Win | 100 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
Kansas dismantled its first three opponents of this tournament, and are now 6 point opening chalk.I know how much love Kansas is now getting, but according to my own cross conference reference match-ups data base, Oregon matches up very well against them, and their guard heavy attack behind Mason. You have to remember this was a Ducks team, that had to deal with speedy attack oriented PAC 12 teams like Arizona and UCLA this season, so they will be well prepared for this tilt. With that said, what I expecting to happen is that Oregon will win the rebounding battle behind under rated Jordan Bell, like they did against Michigan and control the interior game, which will free up Dillion Brooks and Dorsey to pound down points in bunches from the inside and perimeter. I won't be surprised if Oregon pulls off the upset, but the prudent position here to take the points. Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-25-17 | St. Peter's v. Texas State | 49-44 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals To put this simply St.Peters has really come together as a team, winning 8 of their L/9 and have been playing some great two way basketball for a month and half. According to my own numbers, they should come out this with a conclusive victory as a pickem or short chalk vs a lucky to have gotten this far Texas State squad. ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less this season which happened against a pretty decent Albany hoops program last time out .ST PETERS is 13-1 ATS in road lined games this season. Play on St.Peters to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-25-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
In what could be a possible play off matchup, the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Clippers square off Saturday at Staples Center. These teams don;t seem to like each other much, so both should be prepared to play tonight.The Jazz are coming off a 108-101 win on Thursday over the New York Knicks, which ended a three-game losing string, but while watching that game, the Jazz truly looked a little tired to me. Their tenacious defense first type of play not only tires their opponents but also themselves, and that at least to me is apparent at the moment.With key components Derek Favors and and Shelvin Mack expected to not play tonight, and this being their 5th road game in their L/6 games, Im betting their tired legs will not serve them well tonight. Meanwhile, the Clippers lost 97-95 to the host Dallas Mavericks on Thursday and are now 7-7 in March. Their Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde outputs may be troubling, but this is still a solid overall team, with the likes of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin patrolling the hardwood. The Clippers are 23-11 at home in Staples this season, outscoring their opponents by an average of 8 ppg. UTAH is 1-8 ATS L/9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 13-28 ATS as a road underdogs dating back to last season. Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-24-17 | Wisconsin +2 v. Florida | 83-84 | Win | 100 | 82 h 0 m | Show | |
Wisconsin with 5 returning starters and one of the best players in the nation Nigel Hayes patrolling the hardwood are a team that stands out as a strong side, that deserves an elite 8 appearance. The Badgers matchup very well against the Florida Gators especially in the paint, and in what promises to be a physical affair their superior interior play will be the difference maker. Florida when off a low scoring physical game like they took part in last time out, in a 65-39 win vs Virginia, are just 1-11 ATS L/12 after a combined score of 115 points or less went of the scoreboard. Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3 | 70-50 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 37 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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03-24-17 | Butler +7.5 v. North Carolina | 80-92 | Loss | -107 | 81 h 6 m | Show | |
NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - FedExForum - Memphis, TN Right or wrong Im not a big believer in this version of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Yes they are a quality team with great pedigree, but this group in my humble opinion does not have what it takes to be a solid elite 8 or final 4 team and if they do get by this hardworking and tenacious Butler side that recently beat Villanova , it won;t come easily. N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS L/8 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game like Butler. BUTLER is 10-1 ATS versus top tier teams like North Carolina - shooting 45% or more of their shots with a defense of 42% or better this season and is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.BUTLER is 12-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. BUTLER is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season and BUTLER is 6-0 ATS in a post-season tournament game over the last few seasons. Play on Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-24-17 | Cavs -3 v. Hornets | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland enters this game having lost 2 of their L/3, but they match up very well vs their hosts tonight the Charlotte Hornets, as is evident by winning three straight meetings this season, including a 121-109 beatdown here in Charlotte back on Dec 31. With that said, and as the play offs approach, the defending champions are trying to strategiclly rest players but at the same time maintain momentum. After their recent mini downturn, Im sure their will be an uregency to get things moving in the right direction again and they will be in top form in this spot, with the core of the team healthy and expected to play. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing better of late and on a 3 game winning streak, are a team that is wildly inconsistent, and in the lower tier levels of my power rankings. CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS L/13 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season .CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS L/7 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings all as favorites. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-23-17 | Clippers -4 v. Mavs | 95-97 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers enter this game against their hosts the Dallas Mavericks , with momentum as they chase the down the Utah Jazz for 4th seed in the Western Conference play off race. I am expecting the Clippers who are on a three game winning streak to be primed on keeping the pedal to metal in this spot vs a struggling Mavericks team that has lost 4 of their L/6 overall SU/ATS. The Clippers have won the last 2 visits here to Dallas, and get the nod again. Mavericks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-23-17 | West Virginia v. Gonzaga -3 | 58-61 | Push | 0 | 56 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - SAP Center - San Jose, CA Gonzaga point guard Nigel Williams-Goss will be important cog for his team against the Mountaineers' press. This kids ability to protect the ball, and adjust to pace will be an important factor in Gonzaga's quest to move forward. The Mountaineers biggest weakness is their lack of a over powering center who can match up against Gonzaga's huge 7-foot-1 300 pound player Przemek Karnowski, and Im betting this will be a key deciding factor as the game progresses and gets more physical. I know we are hearing alot about the Mounties defense, but the Zags must not be underestimated , and Im treating their big turnover anomaly in the 2nd half of their last game vs Northwestern as nothing more than a ghostly aberration by the time this tilt comes to an end. GONZAGA is 12-3 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season winning SU by an average of 15.8 ppg and 8-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season winning SU by an average 11.5 ppg. Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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