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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
The Jazz consistently bring their A game to tilts against top tier sides like visiting Milwaukee . Note: Jazz are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.The Jazz have also been particularly tough to play against at home when they are underdogs as is evident by their  10-0 ATS record as a home underdog this season. The edge goes to the Salt Lake city crew in this spot play. UTAH is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - sub par defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Bucks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Miami plays an explosive form of small ball , behind top tier guards , including a small ball super star in Norchad Omier. I know Houston is a strong side, but have failed to cover 7 of 8 vs elite opp with a .750 win % or better like the Canes. Advantage Miami. MIAMI in 23 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with both themselves and their opponents scoring an average of 72.2 ppg. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39%or less over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 11-3 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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03-24-23 | Devils -167 v. Sabres | 4-5 | Loss | -167 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these sides are off losses and both are not playing a top tier brand of hockey at the moment. However, according to my power rankings the NJ Devils very much have the edge here. Note:  Four of the Sabres last six losses have been by at least three goals and two have been by at least six goals so their obviously completely in disarray. Sabres are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. Devils are 23-5 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. Devils are 26-8 in their last 34 road games. BUFFALO is 0-9 ATS in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. Devils are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Buffalo. Play on NJ Devils to win |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama HC Oats is 12-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached since 1997. ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season. Alabama to cover |
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03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Clippers lost to Oklahoma city on March 21st by a 101-100 count as 7 point chalk and will be primed for a big bounce back effort here tonight in the rematch. I know the Clippers are without key player George, but they are a deep group and have the replacements ie(Eric Gordon, Robert Covington and Bones Hyland )to excel off the bench. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Thunder are 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73 road games. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 38-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-23-23 | Gonzaga +2 v. UCLA | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gonzaga started fairly slow this season, but kept picking up their pace behind an explosive offense and are now on a 11 game win streak. Meanwhile, UCLA after a top tier season, have had a few issues of late that Im betting hamper them in this battle. Those problems stem from their top defender bering absent (Jaylen Clark) injury and , David Singleton who is limping around after the Bruins win vs Northwestern in the 2nd round of this season tournament. UCLA is 2-10 ATS in the "sweet 16" round of the NCAA tournament since 1997. UCLA is 0-7 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.UCLA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -3.5 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arkansas pulled the upset vs Kansas last time out in a grueling physical game and Im betting the Hawgs wont have the needed energy to knock off a UConn side with a 13-0 SU/12-0-1 ATS record vs non conference foes this season. Note:Sweet 16 teams off an upset win over a No. 1 seed are just 4-7 SU and 3-7-1 ATS L/11 opportunities dating back 27 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 14-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 .CONNECTICUT is 13-3 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season. UConn to cover |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate both sides to eclipse the 70 point plateau giving us value with an over wager in todays NCAA matchup between Michigan State and Kansas State. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 OVER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season with a combined average of 1461. ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 6-0 OVER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 8-1 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored. KANSAS ST in their L/31 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 147.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to this same Chicago side at home few days ago and will now be primed on getting redemption in this home and home series. That defeat ended a 8 game win streak for the 76ers. Philadelphia has won and covered their L/5 trips to Chicago. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-22-23 | Spurs +17.5 v. Bucks | 94-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Don't be surprised if this ends up being a defacto night off for the Bucks as they are highly likely to rest players as this game goes on vs the lowly Spurs.Note: The Spurs have covered 3 of their L/4 overall. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are just 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors, MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS L/112 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season. Spurs are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -4.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Minnesota have been a inconsistent most of the season, but almost always save their best effort for top tier opposition like they will face tonight. With the Hawks off a win vs Pistons last night scoring 125 points in DD victory and now playing in a back to back situation Im betting they are a disadvantage vs a Wolves side that needs wins if they have hopes of getting a play in post season spot . Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards are expected to return to the lineup tonight. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 17-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Wolves to cover |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh offense has really stuttered of late as is evident by averaging just 2 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. On the season the Pens have averaged just 2.9 gg and Im betting they once again have problems scoring vs the Avs in this spot play. Meanwhile, Colorado is on a 6 game win streak allowing 2 goals or less in 4 of those 6 tilts. It must be noted that in their L/meeting back on 2/7/2023 the Pens squeezed out a 2-1 win and considering both sides current form another lower scoring affair is to be expected. COLORADO is 13-4 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with an averge of 5.1 gpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 10-3 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.7 gpg scored.Â
COLORADO is 23-9 UNDER when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. NHL Home teams against the total (COLORADO) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-22-23 | UABÂ v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Vanderbilt now on a 12-2 run since January owns a top-25 unit in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and deserve respect against a UAB side that is considered to by offensively dynamic. Here against a Blazers team that allows alot of downtown action from beyond the arc, Im betting the Dores have the edge. Stackhouse is 31-19 ATS (versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. The Commodores are 4-1 in the all-time series versus UAB. The Commodores have won 14 home games, their most since the 2014-15 season. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The Kings will need to ramp up their D here against a strong Boston side. The Kings have done a decent job on defense for the most part of late, but did have a down effort defensively last time out allowing 128 points in a loss to the Jazz. SACRAMENTO is 39-21 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.Under is 3-1-1 in Kings last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Celtics rank 7th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating and ranked 19th in pace, and will be primed to stand tall here defensively against an explosive side. Under is 18-8 in Kings last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in Celtics last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 35-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 74-32 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento. Play UNDER |
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03-21-23 | Coyotes v. Jets -253 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jets will return home for a Tuesday night meeting with the 26th-placed Arizona Coyotes in need to post wins if they hope to remain in a positive play off position. I know we are laying a lot of lumber, but this is a matchup the Jets will be primed to win. This fav line is the cost of two separate games but considering the situation and the trend listed below is worth the wager %. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (WINNIPEG) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on a ml/ puck-line offering. Play on Winnipeg Jets to win |
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03-21-23 | Senators v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Ottawa has lost 5 of their L/6 and are not in good form and also on tired legs after playing last night. Yes, they did find a way to win last night in Pittsburgh, by a 2-1 count, but now going against the top team in the NHL the Sens Im betting are at a disadvantage. . Meanwhile, the Bruins are 27-6 at home this season with the average margin of victory clicking in at +1.9 gpg . Considering the Bruins merciless efforts against sub par .500 sides this season a wager on the puck-line Im betting is viable wagering opportunity. BOSTON is 15-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Play on Boston to win -1.5 |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 124 | 65-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections mkae this total closer to 128 giving us value with on over wager. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N.Texas OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 136.9 ppg. Play over |
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03-20-23 | Pacers -1.5 v. Hornets | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Charlotte has lost 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall and are fade material in their current form , even here in their own backyard. Mean while, Indiana has won 7 of their L/11 , and have not dropped back to back games in more than a month.( The Pacers lost to Philadelphia last time out) Both of these sides are not in play off contention but the Pacers seem to be more interested in improving as the season winds down and get the nod tonight as short favs. Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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03-20-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Charlotte | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Sanchez is 2-11 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of CHARLOTTE Wisconsin Milwaukee to cover |
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03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga UNDER 156.5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TCU will not run and gun here today with a superior offense, and instead will be primed to turn this into a grinding physical affair . The Horn Frogs have slowed some of the most explosive offenses in the nation that come from the Big 12. TCU has allowed an average of 68 ppg this season. GONZAGA is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season . GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games this season. TCU is 8-2 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season. TCU is 10-1 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA/TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Absolutely respect the top guard play of this Miami Fl team. Watching them at the end of the last game vs Drake has me very much riding that momentum in this game .With that said, Im backing the Canes to cover vs what can sometimes be a very inconsistent Hoosiers side. . MIAMI is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 20-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Hurricanes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hurricanes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Miami FL to cover |
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03-19-23 | Jets -122 v. Blues | 0-3 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Jets played last night but according to my power rankings are one of top conditioned teams in the entire NHL/Jets are 5-0 in their last 5 games playing with no rest. Meanwhile, the Blues have lost 10 of their L/14 overall, and  are just 1-6 in their last 7 home games.Blues are also 1-7 in their last 8 vs. Central and 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost both their games to the Jets already this season. ST LOUIS is 1-11 ATS playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season. Jets are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in St. Louis. ST LOUIS is 2-14 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with the average gpg diff clicking at -2. Jets are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.  Meanwhile, the Jets are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. Central and are 24-10 in their last 34 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -3.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Huskies are 12-0 SU and 11-0-1 ATS in their last eleven non-conference games. Rinse and repeat on what could surprisingly be a mismatch. ST MARYS-CA is 0-8 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on UConn to cover  |
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03-19-23 | Heat v. Pistons +9.5 | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami has been very inconsistent when it comes to a betting perspective as they have been consistently over rated by the lines-makers as is evident by failing to cover 13 of their L/18 games overall which includes a DD loss last night in Chicago. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games . MIAMI is also 4-14 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons like Motown.MIAMI is also just 7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MIAMI is 2-13 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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03-19-23 | Hawks v. Spurs +9 | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Atlanta is not a reliable favorite as is evident by a  8-17 ATS record as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Hawks are coming off a home win, but their ability to keep momentum alive after a home victory has not been a good look for their betting supporters as they are 9-24 ATS after playing a home game this season and 4-14 ATS off a home win this season and overall are  8-21 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know San Antonio may not inspire bettors, but they do offer value on this home underdog line and have been fairly competitive of late.  Popovich is 113-81 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. AN ANTONIO is 21-4 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996. Play on the San Antonio Spurs |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pittsburgh's been on my radar since early on this season and will not be surprised if they upset Xavier straight up. Since. we are getting points that makes for ultimate value with the underdog on this line offering. Capel III is 8-0 ATS after a game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 28% or less in all games he has coached since 1997. PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. PITTSBURGH is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. PITTSBURGH is 20-6 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Pittsburgh to cover |
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03-18-23 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
 The Canucks D, has really shored itself up of late allowing 3 or less goals in 7 straight games.Meanwhile LA has not allowed more than 2 goals in 7 straight games. Considering both sides stellar defensive play of late another lower scoring affair is a reasonable expectation on a value Totals offering. Under is 3-0-1 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific. Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 home games. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 36-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.  Play on the UNDER |
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03-18-23 | Heat -2.5 v. Bulls | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Heat have looked good recently against some top tier teams, with with wins Cleveland , Memphis, and Atlanta and are once again viable opponents for a Bulls team playing back to back games on tired legs. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, playing with 2 days rest are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 30-51 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Penn State has won nine of its last 11 games and earned a 76-59 win over No. 7 seed Texas A&M in Thursday's first round game and deserve respect here as underdogs despite of how formidable their opponent Texas is. Nittany Lions are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. PENN ST is 8-0 ATS in all tournament games this season.. PENN ST is 7-1 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season. PENN ST is 11-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.PENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons.Shrewsberry is 13-1 ATS  in all neutral court lined games as the coach of PENN ST. Play on Penn State to cover |
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03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Auburn is the winningest program, by wins and percentage, over the last six years in the SEC with an impressive 75-15 overall record (.833) versus non-conference opponents. Auburn to cover |
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03-18-23 | 76ers -6 v. Pacers | 141-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Indiana has lost its last five meetings against Philadelphia, including the first three matchups this season. Sixers star Joel Embiid scored 42 points in a 147-143 win over the Pacers on March 6 . The front runner for MVP Im betting will once again be ready to bring down the hammer and help his team to a conclusive victory vs a over matched inconsistent opponent. Im also not worried about this being a back to back situation fro what my power ranking suggest is the best conditioned side in the NBA. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-29 L/5 seasons wirh the average ppg diff clicking in at - 11.7. Play on 76ers to cover |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Kansas | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arkansas head coach Eric Musselman is 15-1 SU and 14-1-1 ATS as HC in NCAA hoops vs .800 to .875 or better opposition when his team is coming off a win of 5 or more points. Arkansas took out Illinois by DD in round 1 of this tournament and according to my projections are formidable opponents for the Jayhawks here today. ARKANSAS is 28-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS is 0-6 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games this season. Arkansas to cover |
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03-18-23 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Knicks | 110-116 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets took a conclusive  win at Detroit on Thursday night when they snapped a season-long four-game skid and officially clinched a playoff spot. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they will be primed to keep the winning going against a viable opponent. DENVER is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 season. Meanwhile, after a grueling 4 game west coast road trip, and despite having a few days off Im betting the Knicks will take time to acclimated to home cooking and to also shake of the rust . DENVER is 24-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-18-23 | Furman +5.5 v. San Diego State | 52-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furman has momentum after upsetting Virginia in the opening round of the tournament, and according to my projections matchup well vs San Diego State. Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Paladins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. FURMAN is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.FURMAN is 9-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. Furman to cover |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. USC UPSTATE is 7-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season with a combined average of 134 ppg going on the board. Dickerson is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls as the coach of USC UPSTATE with a combined average of 128,5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (USC UPSATE/INDIANA ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-17-23 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston has won two straight vs the Lakers and Celtics and seem to have momentum thanks to an intense defensive style of play that is currently clicking on all cylinders. Considering the Pelicans uneven form, it wont be a hard decision to fade them here as road favs. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Rockets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. Houston Rockets to cover |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 33 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Drake to cover |
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03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Golden State is banged up with a huge injury list and personnel playing at less than 100%. Considering this and the Warriors struggles away from home it is an easy decision to back the Atlanta Hawks at home. GOLDEN STATE is 0-9 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-25 ATS in road games this season. Kerr is 37-58 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Cleveland runs at a snails pace ranking 30th in the NBA and rank 1st in ppg allowed in the league and just 25th in ppg offense . CLEVELAND is 13-4 UNDER in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons like Washington with a combined average of 209.2 ppg going on the board. Im betting Cleveland will control the pace of this game , which will result in a lower scoring affair. Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER |
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03-17-23 | NC State +5.5 v. Creighton | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 23 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC State to cover |
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03-17-23 | Vermont +11 v. Marquette | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 51 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Vermont to cover |
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03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Mary's  to cover |
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03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +11 v. Baylor | 56-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pasternack is 17-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of UC-SANTA BARBARA. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-1 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997. UC Santa Barbara to cover |
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03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier UNDER 152 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 93 h 41 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando took out the Suns by a 114-97 count the last time they played this season back on Nov 11. Because of the style of hoops both sides play against comparative sides, a under wager makes sense , based on my own projections which estimate a total closer to 225. PHOENIX is 14-3 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored..ORLANDO is 10-1 UNDER  after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. The Magic played little or no D, in a ugly loss to San Antonio last time out, and the coaching staff was not impressed. Im expecting a more concerted and attentive effort in transition here tonight by the Magic. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 34-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-16-23 | Colgate +13.5 v. Texas | 61-81 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colgate enters this tourney game on a 20-1 SU run and deserve respect  against a highly ranked Longhorns program that has a history of sub par tourney appearances going just 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS L/12 . COLGATE is 7-0 ATS in March games over the last 2 seasons. Colgate  to cover |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke UNDER 146.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 82 h 37 m | Show | |
Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | 51-74 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 4 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ACC tourney champions in the NCAA Tournament, 0-7 ATS as a No. 3 or worse seed. Oral Roberts to cover |
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03-16-23 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Pistons | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Denver will not be taking the tanking and banged up Pistons lightly tonight Quote: "Right now we're just in chill mode, and you can't be in chill mode with 13 games to go in the season," Malone said. "We've got to try to find a way to get our swagger back." End Quote. Heres another one -"Maybe we've gotten a little soft with success," Malone said. "We've been on cruise control for so long, No. 1 in the West since like Dec. 15. I just told our players we've gotten away from who we are." End Quote. Im betting on the Nuggets trying to get some lost mojo back and gain momentum towards the play offs with a big effort vs a less superior side tonight. Denver also has the added incentive of revenge for a embarrassing 110-108 loss to the Pistons, Dec 22. Im sure Malone will have his side ready to get some redemption. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 49-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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03-16-23 | Avalanche v. Senators OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators D, has collapsed recently as is evident by having allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/ 5 trips to the ice. The Sens have also seen at least one team score 5 goals in each of their L/10 games, and this trend Im betting stays intact tonight. OTTAWA is 6-0 OVER in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gog scored. Meanwhile, the Avs offense has been mostly proficient recently scoring 4 or more goals in 7 of their L/13 overall and have averaged 4.2 gpg in their L/5 games. Colorado has really ratchet up their shots on goal to, which sets up this strong trend.COLORADO is 15-5 OVER after 3 straight games with 8+ more shots on goal than opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Mhy projections estimate both sides will in the worst case scenario score 3+ goals.COLORADO is 20-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season.OTTAWA is 19-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (OTTAWA) - after allowing 5 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 73-45 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-16-23 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. San Diego State | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MWC is 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in first round games since 2010. Charleston to cover |
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03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 26 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. HOWARD is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Howard to cover |
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03-16-23 | Utah State v. Missouri +1.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Missouri has wins against Illinois and Kentucky this season, and are more than capable of upending Utah State in this tilt. Mountain West Conference Mountain hoops programs 10th or worse seeds have lost 20 straight times in this NCAA tournament. Play on Missouri to cover |
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03-16-23 | Furman +5.5 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Furnan to cover |
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03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Clippers are deliberate side, that ranks 24th in pace, and Im betting they will be even more conservative here in transition tonight against an explosive offensive opponent which will result in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers estimate. Kerr is 21-8 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.( Golden State took a 123-112 event vs the Suns last time out). LA CLIPPERS are 25-8 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 21-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78 Play on the UNDER |
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03-15-23 | Islanders -1.5 v. Ducks | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
The Isles are in desperation mode as they lost last night in LA vs the Kings for the 2nd straight loss and are now in jeopardy of losing a grip on the wild card play off spot . Getting a win is paramount to the Isles organization and Im betting they will be in full blown kamikaze mode tonight. ANAHEIM is 1-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.ANAHEIM is 3-19 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Play on the NYI on the puckline |
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03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
After playing a physical wide open game vs the Bucks last time out Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here tonight in Chicago for Sacramento. I also expect a more concerted defensive effort from the Kings after imploding defensively in the 2nd half of the above mentioned game vs the Bucks . Meanwhile the Bulls who rank 20th in offense and 10th and defense behind the 17th ranked pace will be especially careful in transition tonight vs an explosive side which will help us keep the combined score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.Â
Brown is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-11 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with acombined average of 213.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Boston are off a embarrassing loss to the Rockets last time out (111-109 as 13 point chalk), and will now be primed for a bounce back performance vs a side they match well against. The Celtics defeated the Wolves 121-109 earlier this season and covering as 4 point road chalk wont be a difficult prospect here especially after their recent loss to a lower tier side. BOSTON is 21-6 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Finch is 4-17 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA.  NBA Home underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 2-28 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Celtics to cover |
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03-15-23 | Alcorn State +17.5 v. North Texas | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to -13 giving us a more than 2 possession value with the underdog. Bussie is 32-18 ATS in road games as the coach of ALCORN ST. Bussie is 27-14 ATS as a road underdog or pick as the coach of ALCORN ST. Bussie is 9-2 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of ALCORN ST. Alcorn State to cover |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Surprise , surprise look who made it into NCAA play in game. FDU behind a high-powered offense that led the conference in points, assists and threes per game will be primed to compete here, after a miraculous come back from last seasons 4-22 debacle. Jones is 7-19 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of TEXAS SOUTHER TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-11 ATS as a favorite this season. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts after 15+ games . Fairleigh Dickson to cover |
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03-14-23 | Seton Hall +4.5 v. Colorado | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holloway is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since 1997. Seton Hall to cover |
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03-14-23 | Islanders v. Kings -126 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Los Angeles is 5-0-1 in its past six games, with its only set back coming in a 2-1 shootout loss to the Nashville Predators on Saturday to open a seven-game homestand. Meanwhile, the Isles despite of being in desperation mode as they chase a wild card spot do not matchup well vs the Kings, even with emerging super star goalie Sorokin between the pipes.Islanders are also just 5-11 in their last 16 road games and are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.NY ISLANDERS are 3-16 ATS against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. Play on LA Kings to win |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 52 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miss state enters this game having lost 4 straight games and are fade material in their current form against a hard working Pittsburgh side with top tier team chemistry. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit is a highly inconsistent team, and after coming off a surprising 117-97 win last time out vs Indiana , that ended a 11 game losing streak Im betting this banged up group will have a down effort . Their opponents the Wizards are in desperation mode after suffering 3 straight losses and in need of wins if they hope to procure a play in game spot. Note:DETROIT is 1-14 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.1 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-13-23 | Bucks -1.5 v. Kings | 133-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee blew a OT loss Golden State last time out , and lost 125-116 affter making a late comeback surge and erasing 15 points . Thanks to that loss, and they way it happened you can bet the defending champs will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort. I Dont think their is an argument here who is the better team making this an easy choice on a short chalk line. Sacramento has lost 5 straight meetings against the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 15-4 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.   MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS  as a road favorite this season. NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 232, giving us tremendous value on this public totals offering.  MILWAUKEE is 26-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The Dallas offense is rolling having scored 4 goals or more in 7 straight games. Their style of hockey as morphed from a defensive mind set into a more wide open brand of hockey which has resulted in some high scoring affairs. Note: Over is 6-0-1 in Stars last 7 overall. Now Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a sub par defensive/goal tending side the Seattle Kraken, that has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/10 while also scoring 4 or more in 6 of their L/10 overall trips to the ice. Over is 5-1-1 in Kraken last 7 home games. DALLAS is 5-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 8.9 gog scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 OVER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. DALLAS is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 33-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-13-23 | Celtics v. Rockets +12.5 | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
To tank or not to tank, that is the question for Houston. Im betting this young group with a chance to upset a top tier opponent will be primed to play hard here and leave everything on the court. Meanwhile, the Celtics could easily overlook this opponent and rest players as the the game progresses. Rockets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-13-23 | Wolves v. Hawks -5 | 136-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are in desperation mode tonight as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves. as they look to be included the play-in tournament . The Hawks are chasing the  New York Knicks who are ahead of them by 4 1/2 games in the chase for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs with only 14 contests left. With that said, Im betting the Hawks come out here with their proverbial hair on fire. Note: Minnesota is banged up and are without Karl-Anthony Towns, . Jaylen Nowell and Austin Rivers is less than 100% and missed Friday's game with back spasms. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS in non-conference games this season. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +1.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have not played well on the road this season or more precisely have not been a consistent side on the road as their 12-21 SU /11-20 -2 ATS road record would indicate . MEMPHIS is also just 6-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.
I know the Mavs are also very inconsistent but they seem to come to life vs top tier oppomnents and deserve respect here at home. Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have averaged just 107 ppg on offense in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and depend on being conservative on transition which results in slow placed games. The current 5 game run has see a combined average of just 218.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans currently rank 8th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland has also had problems being consistent on offense of late , and despite of a big output last time out in a 120-119 loss to the 76ers have seen 5 of their L/7 overall remain on the low side of the offered total. Im expecting offensive regression here especially with this being the Blazers 6th straight rad game. Im betting their tired legs will have them not willing to take part in a run and gun affair, which the Pelicans dont want any part of anyway.  Under is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.NEW ORLEANS is 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 UNDER \ when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 18-9 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Trail Blazers last 17 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 70-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Play under |
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03-12-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams in the recent past have take part in High-scoring tilts as is evident by the fact that six or more total goals have been scored in 12 of their last 16 meetings. Recently Vegas  has scored 4 or more goals in in four of their L/5 wins and Im betting they get on the scoreboard in a big way here tonight against a Blues side that has seen six or more total goals scored in each of their L/6 games, thanks in part to their struggling goal tending that has seen Bennington procure a ugly .894 save percentage (SV%) and 3.31 goals against average (GAA). Add to that the Kngihts are expected to start a inexperienced goalie tonight ( Jiri Patera ) we could see a much higher score than the the linesmakers offering suggests.Â
ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 58-24 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue has defeated the Nittany Lions twice this year (76-63 at The Palestra on Jan. 8; 80-60 in Mackey Arena on Feb. 1). Im betting on a output somewhere in the same range which gives us an edge with a over bet.Painter is 15-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of PURDUE.Shrewsberry in his L/23 games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better as the coach of PENN ST has seen a combined average score of 139.7 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale -3 | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ivy League Tournament - Championship - Jadwin Gymnasium - Princeton, NJ Yale, the league's top defensive team, is set to meet Princeton in Sunday's championship game. Defense wins championships and nothing changes today. Yale won both games against Princeton this season and matchup well here once again.YALE is 8-0 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.YALE is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. Play on Yale to cover |
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03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams split the season series with each winning on their own home court. UCLA took the final meeting. Note: ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Arizona beat the Bruins 84-76 last year for the title and a rinse and repeat scenario Im betting is now on board. UCLA has been forced to adjust in the Pac-12 Tournament without wing Jaylen Clark, the Pac-12’s Defensive Player of the Year and he will be missed in this big game. UCLA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona to cover |
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03-11-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Warriors | 116-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Golden States lost 3 straight games, and getting are not the same side that dominated the NBA a few seasons back.Yes, they have played their best hoops at home , but they still have procured 7 losses as hosts and are not invincible. Meanwhile, MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Im betting on the defending NBA champs to be wide awake here in this spot play situation. Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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03-11-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost 7 of their L/10 overall and now go against a side that plays their best hoops at home where they have garnered a 27-5 record. With the added incentive of revenge for a ugly DD loss on the road back in October to the Mavs Im now betting the combo of home court advantage and redemption will have the Grizzlies in top form and ready for merciless retribution. Yes, I know Ja Morant is out for the Grizzlies and they are a bit banged up, but Dallas is in the same boat with key stars Doncic and Irving also injured and less than 100%. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us at least a two full possession value to the under. Bostons well rested and with the play offs approaching quickly will continue to hone their key defensive skills . Boston operates at the 20th ranked pace in the NBA and owns the 4th best defensive rating on the league. Note: Boston has gone under in 8 of their L/9 with 2 days rest and have gone under in 14 of their L/16 as 8 point or less road chalk. Atlanta has gone under in 8 of their L/9 as conference home dogs and are 0-5 under L/5 in this series vs Boston with the average combined score clicking in at 208.2 ppg. Snyder is 44-22 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored.BOSTON is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 15-7 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a win against a division rival are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-11-23 | Jazz v. Hornets +2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Charlotte has played alot more consistently of late winning 7 of their L/10 including 2 straight. The same cannot be said about Utah a side that has lost 9 of their L/13 overall and 4 of their L/5 . The performance divergence has me recommending we take the home dog in this spot play against a tired side now playing their 5th straight road game. Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win UTAH is 3-12 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 15-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons UTAH is 43-61 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons  NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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03-11-23 | Oilers +111 v. Maple Leafs | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Edmonton’s playing strong hockey at the moment with victories in 4 of their L/5 games and have played well on the road this season winning at 61% clip and must be respected here as underdogs vs the Leafs behind the what is an explosive offense. The Oilers have won nine of their last 14 road tilts. Considering the Leafs Leafs are in the process of sorting out their defense after Luke Schenn, Jake McCabe and Erik Gustafsson were added in deals before the trade deadline its an easy decision for me to back an offense that could have the leafs skating in circles. Oilers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Oilers are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Atlantic. EDMONTON is 16-8 ATS in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. Play on Edmonton to win on the ML |
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03-11-23 | Utah State +2 v. San Diego State | 57-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah state rolls into this tilt having won 7 straight all by DD deficits, and are well prepared to take down the San Diego state Aztecs in the MWC championship game . No. 2's seeds in this tourney like the Aggies are 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS L/14 opportunities in MWC title tilts. UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. Odom is 12-2 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of UTAH ST. Play on Utah State to cover |
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03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Ivy League's most explosive offense owned by Yale will meet the most stifling defense (Cornell), and the rubber game will move the winner one step closer to the NCAA Tournament. In post season games like this D, top tier Ds, almost always have an edge. Cornell to cover |
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03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
 Cavaliers held off a late Miami rally in a 104-100 win in South Florida the other night but now Im betting the Heat fight back and get the win in revenge mode. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons and are a sub .500 road side this season. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread are 80-33 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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03-10-23 | Hawks -1 v. Wizards | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The current No. 8 Hawks scored a 122-120 win over the Wizards, who were No. 10 entering Thursday's play and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Streaky super star Trae Young, the Hawks' leading scorer on the season at 26.7 points per game, procured 28 points in Wednesday's win and added 10 assists and Im betting he will be their main offensive catalyst again. Washington now enters Friday's contest trailing the Hawks by two games and ninth-place Toronto by a half-game through Wednesday's action and Atlanta can put a proverbial dagger in their hopes with a win here and will be very motivated to do so. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in home games on Friday nights this season. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 2-26 L/27 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. Play on Atlanta to win |
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03-10-23 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Kansas | 58-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Iowa State held all but one (Texas Tech-Overtime) Big 12 opponent below its season scoring average. That total includes holding No. 8 Kansas to 53 points, the lowest conference total under Bill Self. The Cyclones are holding their opponents to a league-best 62.5 points per game this season and deserve respect here in the underdog role. Iowa State os 16-1-1 ATS L/18 post season games. Iowa State to cover |
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03-10-23 | Temple +5.5 v. Cincinnati | 54-84 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The teams split the season series with each winning on their own court. The Owls defeated the Bearcats, 70-61, on New Year's Day at the Liacouras Center with Cincinnati defeating Temple, 88-83 in overtime, on Feb. 22 at Fifth Third Arena. TEMPLE in 13 games as an underdog this season have seen a 1 ppg diff. . TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Miller is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival as the coach of CINCINNATI. Miller is 0-6 ATS  in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival as the coach of CINCINNATI. Temple to cover |
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03-10-23 | Mississippi State +7.5 v. Alabama | 49-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  The Bulldogs have plenty of experience against this top ranked Crimson Tide squad after the two teams squared off twice already this season in close matchups and Im betting this one will close as well. MSU has proven that it can matchup well against any hoops program in this country, making nearly every matchup a competitive game which includes wins vs top-25 opponents such as TCU and Texas A&M over the past few weeks. Jans is 9-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.Jans is 20-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. ALABAMA is 4-15 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be the sixth meeting (2015, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021) with TCU at the Big 12 Championship, including the fifth in the last 6 seasons, with K-State winning each of the last 4 such meetings. Rinse and repeat on board here.  Ive been saying this is a special version of this hoops program and Im betting they leave everything on the floor tonight. Note: KState was a perfect 5-0 SU  this season against .833 or better opposition. KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.KANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. CBB Neutral court teams (KANSAS ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 35-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on K State to cover |
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03-09-23 | Nets v. Bucks -11.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has beaten Brooklyn by 10 ,18 14 points this season and now with their key starters now gone they look like cannon fodder once again. Thanks to the Nets current 3 game win streak the Bucks will not overlook them. NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 4-115 L/27 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Memphis has lost both games to the Warriors this season, and are in revenge mode here this evening. The Grizzlies are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 when seeking same season revenge. I know Memphis has been a small funk of late, but they are a resilient bunch, going  9-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS as a road favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS in home games versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-09-23 | Stars v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Dallas has been playing some high scoring games of late, with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Buffalo has allowed 3 or more goals in 7 of their L/8 games, thanks to shoddy goaltending at times and to conservative of a stance as they push for a wild card spot. Their lack of aggressiveness has cost them, as was the case last time out in a 3-2 loss to the Isles and now Im betting with their play off hopes fading they will play more wide open hockey which should lead to higher scoring affairs. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. BUFFALO is 15-6 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-09-23 | Western Kentucky +11 v. Florida Atlantic | 51-75 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. When these teams played last , Hilltoppers battled for a full 40 minutes, but an uneven 3-point shooting night caused the Hilltoppers to fall 70-63 to No. 21 Florida Atlantic. Im betting they find a way to stay close here again today. WKU has advanced to the semi-finals of its conference championship in 14 of the last 17 seasons.  Western Kentucky is 17-1 ATS as an underdog in postseason play. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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03-09-23 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Baylor | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Entering this tourney Iowa State just came off beating up on their first round opponents Baylor in their final regular season game . It was a complete no show for the Bears, and Im once again betting they matchup well against them. From a historical standpoint the Cyclones have covered 6 straight meetings vs Baylor and are 15-1-1 ATS L/17 in this the Big 12 Tournament, Baylor is 0-6 L/6 ATS in the Big 12 Tournament going back 3 seasons. I know Iowa State has been very inconsistent in Big 12 play, but they always seem to bring their A game to tilts facing top tier opponents as is evident by wins vs TCU, Kansas, Kansas State and of course Baylor. Im betting on another big effort here from the underdogs in this tilt. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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03-09-23 | Miami-OH +13.5 v. Toledo | 75-91 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami University currently ranks 10th in the nation in free throw shooting percentage which is important in what Im betting will be a very physical tourney game. Im not saying the Redhawks will win this game, but a cover is a viable wagering opportunity. Toledo is 0-9 ATS L/9 in MAC Tourney and 0-6 ATS as the No.1 seed. Play on Miami O to cover |
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03-08-23 | Hawks v. Wizards +3.5 | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Hawks are being over rated here as road favs vs their hosts the Washington Wizards according to my projections especially considering their current form that has seen them lose 3 of their L/4 overall. I know Washington played last night, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned sides. . Wizards are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 games playing on no rest. Wizards are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (They lost to Miami 130-128 last time out. ) ATLANTA is 7-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. ATLANTA is 15-26 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 20-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-08-23 | South Carolina State +8 v. Howard | 55-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The last time these teams played S Carolina St lost a 82-78 loss at home to Howard and here in a neutral court environment Im expecting another affair that favors the underdog getting points. Howard should once again squeeze past S Carolina St , but while looking at some previous matchup stats they are favored by to many points in a tourney game. S CAROLINA ST is 10-0 ATS L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games. S CAROLINA ST is 17-4 ATS L/21 revenging a home loss vs opponent. S CAROLINA ST is 20-8 ATS L/28 as a neutral court underdog or pick HOWARD is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.HOWARD is 0-9 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.HOWARD is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on South Carolina State to cover |
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03-08-23 | Colorado v. Washington +4 | 74-68 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Pac Twelve Tournament - First Round - T-Mobile Arena - Paradise, NV Washington swept the season series against Colorado . The Huskies have now won three consecutive games in the series and nine of the last 12 and once again look like a viable opponent for the Buffaloes in the first round of the PAC 12 tourney.Washington is tied for the Pac-12 lead and ranks 10th in the NCAA in blocks per game (5.3). The Huskies also have the second-best success at the free throw line of any team in the conference. Their three-point defense ranks atop the league leaderboard and is 16th nationally and matchup well here. COLORADO is 1-8 ATS  versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game this season. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-08-23 | Fresno State v. Colorado State -135 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mountain West Tournament - First Round - Thomas & Mack Center - Paradise, N Colorado State closed out its regular season schedule with a 92-84 win over New Mexico on Senior Night and now with momentum on their sides look like viable bets here to advance in the MWC tourney vs Fresno State. COLORADO ST is 6-0 straight up/ATS against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons including a 70-67 win at Fresno State a few weeks ago. FRESNO ST is 4-16 ATS L/20 in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 . Play on Colorado State to win |
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03-07-23 | Ducks v. Seattle Kraken -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Seattle has won 4 straight games and Im betting they matchup well here vs the Anaheim Ducks. I know Anaheim has played decent hockey of late, but Seattle current form gives credence to me making this puck-line call. Ducks are 9-42 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. Kraken are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. ANAHEIM is 1-16 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 3-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 11-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins this season. Play on Seattle to cover -1.5 puckline |
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03-07-23 | Nets v. Rockets +6.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on two game winning runs, with both getting their wins vs the lowly San Antonio Spurs. I know the Rockets don't inspire bettors, but here against a inconsistent Brooklyn team now playing with a average at best roster and in rebuild mode Im betting the Rockets can be competitive.BROOKLYN is 18-35 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 2-14 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 25-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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