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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-17-17 | Packers +3 v. Falcons | 23-34 | Loss | -115 | 82 h 21 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers have revenge on their minds tonight against the Atlanta Falcons after last seasons, 44-21 conference final blowout that had them ousted from Super Bowl contention. Now in pay back mode, I expect the Packers who are 6-1 ATS Sunday night revengers, as dogs, and a bankroll expanding 9-1 ATS L/10 behind QB Aaron Rodgers when looking for revenge against a .750 or better opponent to get the job done here . Note: The Falcons have failed to cover 11 straight, as home chalk in reg season play following a victory when facing a side with revenge. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | LA Sparks v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 155.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chargers | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
The Chargers, on a short week after playing the back end of a Monday Night Football doubleheader, will be a little tired jet lagged and in an emotional letdown scenario after absorbing a heartbreaking 27-24 loss to Denver in the Mile High City in their opener. Meanwhile, Miami after having their last game cancelled because of Hurricane Irma will be well rested and fresh. |
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09-17-17 | Jets +14 v. Raiders | 20-45 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 6 m | Show | |
Last week Oakland travelled West to East in an emotional charged first game that saw them clip a strong Tennessee team in their own back yard. Now drained and tired (jet lag) and playing a side that they may over look, I expect a letdown performance that leads to a no cover decision. OAKLAND is 20-40 ATS  L/60 off a upset win as an underdog dating back 25 seasons and are 0-6 ATS following a dog win last time out and now playing a below .500 foe. Note: The Raiders are 1-7 ATS L/8 home openers. Any team NY Jets- team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in conference games are 24-5 ATS for a 83% conversion rate over the L/10 seasons. Home teams like the Raiders - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 18-44 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Dbacks starting hurler today Walker owns the 10th-best ERA road mark in the majors (2.71) and I'm betting on him once again being solid on the hill in the visitors role vs a Giants team that has been offensively challenged all season long. Meanwhile, SFO Stratton (2-3, 4.07) enters Sunday's contest well rested. He has pitched a total of only 4 1/3 innings in two September starts, and should be strong and fresh for this start. His issues today will come via run support, as was the case yesterday when the Giants were shutout. Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Giants last 13 home games.Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 5-1 inumpire Hobergs last 6 games behind home plate. WALKER is 14-5 UNDER  L/19 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board.ARIZONA is 17-8 UNDER   in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg getting scored.SAN FRANCISCO is 15-3 UNDER after being shut out in a loss to a division rival with a combined average of 5.1 rpg going on the board.SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 UNDER  in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season with a combined 6.1 rpg getting scored. Play on the UNDER |
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09-17-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. Washington Mystics UNDER 165.5 | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 147 h 38 m | Show | |
Early on in every season we get carried away with evaluating a certain team after just one game. Jacksonville looked great in beating up on the  Texans as road dogs in week 1 by a 29-7 count, while Tennessee lost to what many think will be a Super bowl contender this season the Oakland Raiders by a 26-16 score. However, its obvious to me that Tennessee is a special team with huge potential upside, behind one of leagues premier QBs Marcus Mariota , while the Jags are a side that while looking better, have shown very little pedigree in the past and must not be over estimated for their talent levels. With that said, I'm betting on the superior team according to my own power rankings ( Titans) to bring home the win in this spot and get us the cover as short road favs. NFL team vs the money line like the Jags - off a upset win as an underdog, team that had a terrible record last season (25% or worse) playing a team had a winning record last year are just 1-28 L/29 times dating back 34 years. Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 9 m | Show | |
KC may have taken part in a high scoring game with the NE Patriots last time out, (42-27) but Andy Reids teams are based on a grinding defensive style of play, and I'm betting the veteran coach reverts back to this type of football. Also the Eagles, despite of putting 30 points up on the hapless looking Washington Redskins last week, will find the sledding much tougher this week and I'm betting their  offensive output to be much more muted. This game Total is tainted in my opinion because of an over reaction to last weeks results which gives us value on the under side of this number. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 in the first month of the season over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 41.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.KANSAS CITY is 9-1 UNDER  L/10 in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 36.5 ppg going on the board. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 in home games after playing their last game on the road with a combined average of 35.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread with a combined average 36.8 ppg getting scored. KC HC Reid is 21-7 UNDER  L/28 as a home favorite with a combined average of 38.5 ppg getting scored and is 16-4 UNDER  in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 39.7 ppg going on the board. Reid is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach with a combined average of 37.4 ppg clicking in. The Chiefs have gone under in 14 straight as a favorite and vs a non-divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season going under by an average of 8.39 ppg, with the combined average score of 35.6 ppg scored, with no game exceeding the 48 point Totals plateau. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Patriots -6.5 v. Saints | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm not going to get over emotional and start judging the defending Super Bowl Champion, New England Patriots flat performance last time out, a 42-27 loss to the KC Chiefs. Being a successful team like the Pats, I think its hard sometimes getting up and motivated for any game, yes even for an opener. Add to that the amazing come from behind Super Bowl win, and an emotional letdown/hangover situation was not that surprising. Now this week, after being embarrassed in game 1 of their season, I expect Tom Brady and company will be wide awake this Sunday, which is not a good omen for the Saints chances in their home opener. NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS  L/20 in all games.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game .NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS L/10 after playing a game at home .NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS  L/19 as a favorite . The Patriots are 18-0 SU/ ATS L/18  on turf vs a non-divisional opponent when they are averaging less than 3.80 yards per rush and have won those games by an average of 18.83 ppg. Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Ottawa -2 v. Montreal | 29-11 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks after winning 3 straight games conclusively, fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and were upset by the lowly Hamilton Ti Cats 26-22. The usually hard working RedBlacks were dismal in that game, and now I'm betting they rebound in a big way vs a Montreal team that has lost 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 SU , and that they clobbered 32-4 at Montreal on Aug 31. . Ottawa is 7-1 SU/ATS L/8 meetings in this series. OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS  L/11 in road games after playing a game at home.OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS  in road games versus division opponents .MONTREAL is 3-14 ATS   in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less - after 9 or more games.MONTREAL is 0-6 L/6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Montreal - off a non-conference game are 43-11 ATS for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.  Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Stanford v. San Diego State +10 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Rocky Long has really put together a excellent football program at San Diego State, and really deserves a lot more respect than his team is getting from the lines-makers tonight. Meanwhile, Stanford despite of being a fine team, are in a huge letdown situation after being knocked out against USC last week and will find it difficult to get up off the proverbial matt(turf) here this week. San Diego State is a tough dog at home and have failed to cover only once their L/7 as hosts of 5 point dogs or more. Both these teams pound the ball on the ground consistently and both have stoppers on defense. I'm betting this is a grinding affair that will see getting  points being golden. Note: San Diego State limited Arizona State to 44 rushing yards and 1.4 yards per attempt. The Aztecs have won 20 of their last 23 home games. SAN DIEGO ST is 11-3 ATS  L/14 after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins . CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points Stanford - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are 14-40 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Ole Miss v. California +4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 3 m | Show | |
Mississippi in no way shape or form should be favs here, even against a rebuilding California program. Travelling from East to West for any North American team is difficult proposition especially for a side, like Ole Miss that has looked asleep at the proverbial wheel at times this season despite of their perfect record and may still be reeling with the shock of losing their coach because of sex scandal. |
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09-16-17 | Arizona State +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 45-52 | Win | 100 | 121 h 7 m | Show | |
 The Sun Devils lost last week to a very good San Diego football program at home by a 30-20 count as -3.5 point favorites. Now at 1-1 they need a win to keep HC Graham from being thrown to the Wolves . The Sun Devils coach entered this season on wobbly legs, and the early season results have not been completely positive , so a sense of desperation now permeates around the team as they prepare for Texas Tech down in Lubbock this week. Last year, Texas Tech lost a offensive slugfest by a score of 68-55 to the Sun Devils and despite of being ramped up for revenge, will have a hard time coasting to a victory vs the type of team that matches up well against them. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. Take the points with Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection
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09-16-17 | Padres +177 v. Rockies | 0-16 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Colorados Anderson (4-5, 5.75) will oppose the Padres Jordan Lyles (1-2, 6.75), who spent just over 3 1/2 years with the Rockies before they released him Aug. 1. Needless to say Lyles would love to beat his old team today in a place he is used to pitching in. I''m betting he has a good chance at helping his team notch the underdog win vs a lineup he is very familiar with. I know San Diego has lost 4 straight , including yesterday opening game in this series, by a 6-1 count  but they have been a positive  bet in the past, under these circumstances as they are 15-5 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses. Also Colorado is a ugly  0-9 L/9 off a home win in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and never trailed. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Clemson -3 v. Louisville | 47-21 | Win | 100 | 98 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson had to face a very tough Auburn offense last week winning by a 14-6 count, and now this week against a porous Louisville D, this will seem like a walk in the park. I have come to the conclusion that the Cards defense is of the Swiss cheese variety after watching a rebuilding North Carolina offense slice and dice them last week for 35 points on 401 yds and Purdue put 28 points on them the week before . I know a lot is being made of Heisman Trophy front runner LaMar Jackson of the Cardinal, who helped his team stay unbeaten by buoying the offense with 47 points in that above mentioned game, but this top tier college QB will really have his work cut out for him against an elite defense that has allowed a total of 9 pts in two game and I'm betting will come down to earth in this spot. Remember , folks, as great as Jackson is , he cannot play D, and that will be his teams downfall this week. Play on Clemson to cover |
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09-16-17 | Kansas State v. Vanderbilt +4 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 71 h 20 m | Show | |
The Commodores enter this game vs Kstate averaging 384 yards of total offense while giving up an average of 159 yards per game. They're averaging 122 yards per tilt on the ground and 261.5 through the air. Most important, the Commodores have not had a turnover.Quarterback Kyle Shurmur has completed 76.1 percent of his passes for 249 yards per game and seven touchdowns. This young QB is super intelligent , and plays within his limitations, making him a dangerous foe. Meanwhile, on the flipside  I know KState's Coach (Bill) Snyder is one of the best in the business, but he's not perfect, especially on the road losing 3 of his L/13 non conference road games and 5 of his L/20 Sept road games. With my own projections estimating this game to be decided by a FG or a late score taking points here makes for a very viable wager. VANDERBILT is 13-2 ATS  L/15 off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points KState - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are 14-40 ATS dating 25 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Also CFB  home team Vanderbilt  - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 44-14 ATS dating back 25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB  home team like Vanderbilt  - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 29-7 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vanderbilt to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Tulsa +10 v. Toledo | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 119 h 44 m | Show | |
Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Tulsa - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 27-5 ATS going back 10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB. road team like Tulsa - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-8 ATS L/38 for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulsa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Purdue +8 v. Missouri | 35-3 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show | |
The Purdue Boilermakers (1-1) rebounded from an opening week loss to Louisville (35-28) by defeating Ohio 44-21 last week. They have looked very good in their first two games and must be respected here as road underdogs vs a weak looking defensive Missouri D, that  has allowed  74 points this season, in two games and an average of 426 yards per game. Considering the Boilermakers top tier coach Jeff Brohm is at the helm of the team, they are and will be  consistent dangerous foes for all comers going forward. Missouri , beware. Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. PURDUE is 12-2 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.PURDUE is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday. MISSOURI is 8-18 ATS L/26 games.
  CFB team like Purdue - poor rushing team from last season - averaged 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 38 -13 ATS , for a 75% conversion rate for bettors dating back to 1992. Play on the Purdue Boilermakers to cover 1 unit reg selection   |
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09-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State +10.5 v. Minnesota | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 35 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State took out the Syracuse Orange last week 30-23 on the road, and in the previous game , played a very good SEC team Vanderbiilt tough losing by a 28 -6 count. Now against a Minnesota side getting to many accolades after smashing a  Oregon State team with series issues, I'm betting they revert back to the norm and for Middle Tennessee State to  make a game of this and even possible pull off a SU upset. In the Gophers previous game to last weeks road win, they barely squeezed by the Buffalo Bisons of the MAC at home by a 17-7 count as 21.5 favs, and things won't come much easier here. With that said, I'll recommend we take anything that resembles +8.5 to+10 . Note: The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have won six of their last seven road games and  4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.The Golden Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse over. Play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | North Carolina v. Old Dominion +10 | 53-23 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 14 m | Show | |
Old Dominion may not be a big name school form a power 5 conference, but they are a viable underdog here against a rebuilding North Carolina program, that continues to exhibit very poor defensive abilities over the last few seasons. Last season Old Dominion was 7-0 SU at home and must not be underestimated in what is their biggest game of the season . With the Tar Heels QB expected to be less than 100% this week with a ankle injury, I'm betting that  N.Carolina at 0-2 and losing the stats war by an average 167 ypg has issues moving the ball with consistency , against a staunch Monarchs D , while their own D, will have problems stopping anything that can move. N CAROLINA is 10-25 ATS L/35 after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game which happened against Louisville last week. Play on Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | SMU v. TCU -19 | 36-56 | Win | 100 | 68 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU proved to me as long as they stay healthy they are going to be a juggernaut this season. Last week they owned Arkansas and were the more physical of both teams, winning a 28-7 decision . Now this week against SMU I'm betting we see an even more explosive effort vs a lower tier side that does not matchup well against them at all in almost aspects of the game. TCU is 7-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 17.5 to 21 points since 1992 winning by an average of 31.1 ppg. Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like TCU - good offensive team from last season - scored 31 or more points/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. are 40-13 L/53 for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. home team like TCU - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 29-7 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors over the L/25 years. Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Northern Illinois +14 v. Nebraska | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 116 h 13 m | Show | |
 Looking at this game in a casual way will have many assuming that Nebraska will blowout N.Illinois today in Lincoln. But N.Illnois has travelled well in the past and will not be easily intimidated by a team, that gave up 42 points to Oregon last week, and 36 points to lower tier  Arkansas State the week before. Nebraska was also hypoed for that last game vs the Ducks and will be in a natural let down spot here. There are some definite defensive issues that have yet to be addressed , by the Huskers and I expect a Northern Illinois side that is averaging 433 yards of offense this season with a pretty even split with their ground and aerial attack behind QB Daniel Santacaterina to do enough damage to stay within the number. It must also be noted that Northern Illinois is allowing only 17 PPG to opposing teams this season on the defensive side of the ball and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the home team here and make this closer than expected.  Play on Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | UCLA v. Memphis +3.5 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 68 h 6 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog loves, the UCLA Bruins after their amazing comeback against Texas A&M in their opener winning a 45-44 freak show and followed that up with a easy win vs Hawaii and their dysfunctional defense. But now against a Memphis  program that has proven they can take down big programs in the recent past, I'm betting things won't come so easily for the Bruins as they now go on the road travelling from west to east , which is never an easy trek, especially with an early start time to deal with . The Bruins did not have much of an emotional letdown after their big comeback win in their opener, but now on a delayed reaction basis I expect they will deflate. It must be noted that the /Tigers are 16-4 in their L/20 home games SU, and are 15-3 ATS as home dogs facing a team off consecutive wins including a perfect 6-0 ATS record vs non conference foes under the same perimeters. Also with UCLA looking ahead to the PAC 12 opener with Stanford, their attention won't be completely on this game. Note: (The Bruins are 0-6 ATS L/6 before facing Stanford) UCLA is 1-8 ATS  L/9 after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. CFB Road favorites like UCLA - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 84% for bettors. Play on the Memphis Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Kansas +7.5 v. Ohio | 30-42 | Loss | -107 | 65 h 23 m | Show | |
Kansas lost last week to Central Michigan at home as favorites. Key mistakes finally saw them lose by a 45-27 loss in a game that was closer than the final score might indicate. Now this week as dogs on the road vs another MAC team I'm betting they have a good chance at covering. With Ohio looking forward to a big revenger against a strong E.Michigan team next week, I expect Kansas to catch Ohio napping like they did last season when they pulled off an upset win against the Texas Longhorns. Kansas has cashed their L/2 against MAC opponents as underdogs. Play on Kansas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Air Force +24 v. Michigan | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 64 h 14 m | Show | |
The Falcons (1-0) bring a seven-game winning streak into The Big House to play Michigan this week. Meanwhile, Harbaugh's Wolverines are 2-0 and looking strong. But Air Force behind their option offense, provides big problems , yes even for good coaches, especially when these top coaches have not faced these types of attacks regularly. The Falcons know how to put up points in bunches, as they never scored fewer than 27 last season, when they finished 10-3 and beat South Alabama in the Arizona Bowl. They have exceeded the 40-point mark four times during their winning streak,, and will do some damage again today against Harbaughs tough D, making them viable underdogs in this spot. Note: Air Force has won six straight games against non-conference opponents and have cashed 4 straight on the road vs non conference opposition of 17 points or more. With Harbaugh eyeing his Big 10 opener against Purdue, I'm expecting the old ball coach won't have his full attention here. Michigan is 0-7 ATS L/7 before facing Purdue. AIR FORCE is 20-8 ATS L/28 after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game.MICHIGAN is 16-35 ATS L/51 after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games . CFB Home favorites like Micigan - off a home win by 17 points or more, in a game involving two teams who had good records (60% to 80%) from last season are 11-33 ATS L/44 for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | Arizona -20 v. UTEP | 63-16 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show | |
Arizona beat N.Arizona in week 1 by a 62-24 count and then lost a hard fought 19-16 battle vs Houston last week. Meanwhile the UTEP Miners fell to 0-2 on the season after being crushed by the Rice Owls 31-14, this past Saturday. UTEP struggled offensively throughout the game which is not a good omen for their chances against a Arizona offense that will find this game like a walk in the park after facing a stout Cougars D last week. Note: UTEP has allowed an average of 43+ ppg in two tilts, and with a less than cohesive offense, that is now without  key RB Aaron Jones who declared for the NFL draft and left the program. , things won't get better for a side that is ranked 126th in the nation in offense.  UTEP is 1-8 ATS L/9 in September games with the average score ringing in at 43.1 to 19.7 ppg for a average margin of defeat coming by 23.4 ppg. UTEP is 2-11 ATS L/13 in the first half of the season with their opponents averaging 40.1 ppg and with them scoring just 17.4 ppg. Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Arizona  - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first month of the season are 43-14 ATS dating back 24 seasons. Play on Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | Illinois +17.5 v. South Florida | 23-47 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 59 m | Show | |
South Florida has not looked all that good in their first two games , maybe its the Charlie Strong effect, just maybe the Bulls over achieved last season, and now we expect more of them. In their first game, they were down to San Jose State 16-0 before coming back for the win, and vs Stony Brook were down 10-7 at the half before storming back. Last week their game against UConn was cancelled and instead of the rest doing them well, I'm betting it makes them rustier than they have already looked. Meanwhile, Illinois looks to be making progress under the tutelage of Lovie Smith, and must not be disrespected here in this spot. It must be noted that Illinois has covered 4 straight in their L/4 as 14 point or more dogs to a non conference foe. Meanwhile South Florida is 0-5 SU in the programs history vs the Big 10 with ACC teams going just 3-23 vs the Big 10. CFB road team like Illinois - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 126-72 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | White Sox +103 v. Tigers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Carson Fulmer (2-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-4, 7.43) Sanchez Motown's starter tonight vs the White Sox is winless in his last five appearances and was crushed for seven runs and 12 hits in 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on Sunday. In 11 home outings this season, he is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA..Chicago pounded out 25 hits is 17-7 rout of Detroit in Thursday's series opener and I'm betting this young group will unleash another barrage on a Tigers teams just playing out the string.  Detroit dropped its last six games and 12 of the past 14.and are fade material again. SANCHEZ team when he starts is 6-21  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game dating back to last season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-14-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks UNDER 155.5 | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 164 | 83-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | New Mexico +15.5 v. Boise State | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
Last week New Mexico came out flat against New Mexico state and fell behind by a 30-5 count, before coming back with 23 4th Quarter points, and than failing to tie it on a two point conversion. It was a valiant effort by a decent team, and now they will be primed to come out here , and upend a Boise State football program off a heart breaking OT loss to Washington State loss last time out and now in a huge emotional let down situation. With Boise State just 1-10-1 ATS L/12 at home as favs, and New Mexico showing heart as DD, conference dog going 12 -2 ATS L/14, we have value here . I know that Boise State whooped the Lobos last season at visitors to Albuquerque, by a 49-21 count, but New Mexico's HC Bob Davie is 11-2 ATS as a DD MWC underdog with revenge.  With that said, I'm betting on the Lobos staying close enough to cover here, and for the Broncos Bryan Harsin to fall to 0-8 ATS in his L/8 conference home games. NEW MEXICO is 12-2 ATS  L/14 off an upset loss as a home favorite. NM has covered 3 of their L/4 visits to the Blue Carpet. CFB Home favorites like Boise State  - in conference games, with 5 offensive starters returning are 49-93 ATS dating back 5 seasons. Play on the New Mexico Lobos to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-14-17 | White Sox +115 v. Tigers | 17-7 | Win | 115 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
White Sox RH James Shields (3-6, 5.40 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-2, 5.79) Bell has a 6.28 ERA in 10 games (one start) at home and is fade material here today vs the Chicago White Sox. Note: Motown has lost 5 straight with the offense only  providing 9 runs in total during that span. Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The White Sox are a perfect  12-0 on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a 110-plus dog in which they did not hit a home run. Which was the case yesterday. Play on the Chicago White Sox ( Late Steam) |
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09-13-17 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty (0-0, 6.00 ERA) will draw the start for the Cardinals opposite Tyler Mahle (0-2, 3.60 ERA) in a matchup of rookies this Wednesday night in game that I am betting eclipses the total. |
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09-12-17 | Astros v. Angels +113 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Astros RH Justin Verlander (11-8, 3.74 ERA) vs. Angels RH Garrett Richards (0-0, 1.13) Richards now healthy after rehab this season is (0-0, 1.13 ERA) and the Angels face the American League West-leading Houston Astros, as underdogs tonight and are a value selection in this spot. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Verlander a former Tiger hurler, gets the call tonight for the Astros. It must be noted that VERLANDER is 0-7 L/7 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. VERLANDER is 1-8 L/9 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts.Angels are 30-14 in Richards' last 44 home starts.Angels are 4-1 in Richards' last 5 home starts vs. Astros. MLB Road teams like Houston - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs , are 29-55 66% go against  conversion rate . Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-12-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks UNDER 157.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks -8.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 159 | 81-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Suter the Brewers starter tonight In five career games against the Pirates, including four in relief, is 0-0 along with a stingy 1.80 ERA. Meanwhile, Gerrit Cole (11-9, 3.93 ERA) starts Tuesday for Pittsburgh. Cole has a 3.27 ERA over his past 16 starts. He has faced Milwaukee four times already this season, going 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 27 innings. MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined 7.2 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Brewers- good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 147-104 for a 59% conversion rate under.The Brewers are have not eclipsed the number in 14 straight games after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-11-17 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rangers Cole Hamels (9-3, 4.03 ERA) will start the opener of a pivotal series against Seattle on Monday night when the Rangers host left-hander Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.72) and the Mariners.In Hamel's last three starts, he is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA and 12 career starts against them , his ERA is 5.06. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from Seattle Miranda during a recent  11-start stretch, has garnered a bloated  6.28 ERA, and he hasn't pitched more than six innings in any of the starts. With that said, I expect both these offenses to light up the board tonight in what I'm betting  will be a high scoring affair. The Rangers are 16-0-3 OVER when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite after they scored first in his last start won.HAMELS is 20-9 OVER L/29  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. HAMELS is 10-1 OVER ) in September games with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Giants +4 v. Cowboys | 3-19 | Loss | -105 | 103 h 27 m | Show | |
Dallas hosts the New York Giants at AT&T Stadium to kick off NFL’s Sunday Night Football schedule. A lot of pundits believe that the Cowboys will continue their upward trajectory from last season, but I in my usual contrarian fashion expect some hiccups behind sophomore QB Prescott. I do however, believe the Giants to be a key contender in what should be a wide open NFC East battle. Last year, the Gmens QB Eli Manning finally looked a little motivated last season  completing 63 percent of his passes for just over 4,000 yards and had a ratio of 26 touchdowns to 16 interceptions. In todays matchup according to my own power rankings he  matches up well against the Boysz offensive line and secondary, and should accumulate a hardy amount of yards through the air that will translate into an above average score count for the Giants. With the Cowboys RB Elliot probably out this week with a suspension, Prescott will not have an easy out if under continuous pressure which I'm betting he will be. If if Elliot plays, it must also be noted that the Boyz will be without, Tight end Rico Gathers (concussion) and. Defensive end Damontre Moore (suspension). Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings against Dallas. Cowboys are 1-8 ATS L/9 home openers. cowboys Garrett is 6-16 ATS as a division favorite and 3-10 ATS L/13 as a favorite of 5 points or less.DALLAS is 6-15 ATS  L/21 in games played on turf . Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Orioles +1.5 v. Indians | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Indians will attempt to extend their winning run to 18 games when they finish their three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles this Sunday night. Tonight's starter for the red hot Indians Bauer owns a 8-0 record along with a 2.47 ERA in his L/10 starts. Despite of this streak , and while, everyone and his dog will be Cleveland tonight, I'll be looking in the opposite direction.  It becomes very hard for a team to make runs like this without, having the other teams extremely motivated to take them down. Especially when that team has no pressure on them. It must be noted that Bauer despite of being in good form, has not liked facing the Orioles as is evident by his 0-3 record along with a bloated 6.75 ERA in four career starts . Meanwhile, Hellickson the Orioles, four career starts against the Indians, He is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA.HELLICKSON team when he starts is 10-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line 190 to +175) like Baltimore - after allowing 2 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 69-17 for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons and a perfect 9-0 100% conversion rate this season. MLB team like the Indians - red hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are just 19-38 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Baltimore to cover +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Washington Mystics v. New York Liberty UNDER 153 | 82-68 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 164.5 | 88-83 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Brewers v. Cubs -155 | 3-1 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
 Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.29 ERA) will go to the hill in his fourth start this season against the Brewers.Hendricks, who is 6-3 in 13 career starts against Milwaukee, hasn't lost since Aug. 4 and is currently in top form and gets the nod in this spot.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Brewers Meanwhile, The Brewers will answer back with right-hander Zach Davies (16-8, 3.77), who has lost two of his three starts against the Cubs this season and is fade material this afternoon. He's a quality pitcher but the Cubs offense matches up very well against him. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 24-11 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 114-45 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | 0-7 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (11-12, 4.11 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (11-7, 4.21). Both these pitchers are currently not in top form, but Nova has looked better to me than Wacha has and is a viable pitcher tp back here on a affordable runline price. Nova is also on extended rest and should be fresh here after 10 days off. I know the Cards are winning consistently, but their bats are not performing optimally, and look ready to fail, as they are 10-17 SU L/17 after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season, which has just happened. The Cardinals are 0-16 L/16 on the runline when Michael Wacha starts as a home favorite after a quality start in his last start. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 on the runline  |
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09-10-17 | Rays +138 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 138 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
The Rays throw Boston native Alex Cobb (10-9, 3.64 ERA) up against reigning American League Cy Young award winner Rick Porcello (9-16, 4.67) for the finale. Porcello has had a down year after last seasons great work and three of Porcello's losses this season have come against the Rays (1-3, 5.18 ERA), which is tied for his most defeats against a single opponent. Meanwhile, Rays starter  Cobb has fared well pitching in his hometown, going 4-1 with a 3.34 ERA in six career starts at Fenway Park and looks like a viable candidate to back today.
PORCELLO when he starts has seen his team go  2-7 L/9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season and is 3-11 against the money line against division opponents this season. Boston has scored 9 runs in two straight games, but are 6-13 L/19 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the BoSox - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 31-56 for a go against underdog conversion rate of 65% for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on TB Rays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Lions | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 44 m | Show | |
After last years less than desirable or expected results Arizona enters into this season with a chip on their shoulders, and will be primed for big opening day , vs the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the Lions are a decent team, that are over rated in my opinion and were lucky to make the play offs last season . I know their stud QB Stafford just signed a lucrative contract, but its not like he has been a big winner in the NFL as he owns a sub par 51-61 SU record and a 45-65-2 ATS mark. With that said, I'm betting on the Cards pulling off the cover here , while bolstering their current 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS mark in this series and converting for the 10th time in their L/11 road openers. It must be noted that the Lions have lost 19 of their L/24 vs the NFC West.Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC and have failed to cover 5 straight dating back to last season. Play on the Arizona Cardinals to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Falcons v. Bears +7 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 21 m | Show | |
Atlanta had a great season last year, and made it to the Super Bowl, but imploded in that tilt and eventually lost . I'm betting they experience a bit of a let down here early in the season, and have problems disposing of a Chicago Bears team that will be marginally improved this season. In the past Super Bowl finalists have not done well in their opening game of the following season, going 2-15 SU/ATS in away games. It must also be noted that the Bears are 6-0 ATS in home openers a underdogs vs non divisional opposition. Meanwhile, Atlanta has failed to cover 5 of the L/6 in this series as favorites. Chicago has a good history at home in opening games, 23-10L/33 with only 3 of the losses coming by 7 pts or more and get the nod here to stay within the number. NFL teams like the Bears -- team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in conference games is 22-4 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Jets +9 v. Bills | 12-21 | Push | 0 | 64 h 7 m | Show | |
The Jets over hauled their team in the off season, but that is not necessarily a bad thing. Many pundits have over done how bad the Jets will be this year as the drop off in talent if looked at closely is not that bad, and I'm sure with very little pressure on them may surprise the same pundits that are dismissing them, as irrelevant . Meanwhile, the team I'm not sold on is the Buffalo Bills, behind inconsistent QB Tyrod Taylor, especially here in this spot as 9 point chalk. Historically speaking the Jets are 19-7 ATS as division road dogs, and 7-1 ATS as a road underdog in openers. NFL team like the Jets  - team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in conference games are 22-4 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | San Diego State +4 v. Arizona State | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
San Diego State must not be disrespected here vs a Arizona State team that looked weak defensively in week 1 vs New Mexico State, winning 37-31 but were outscored 18-7 in the last quarter. The Aztecs have  won 22 of its last 25 games SU. while Arizona State has 1 victory over a team with a above .500 record since beating rival Arizona on November 21, 2015. Rocky Long is 5-2 as a dog vs PAC12 opponents, while HC Graham of the Sun Devils is 1-4 ATS L/5 vs the Mountain West. SAN DIEGO ST is 10-2 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. Take the points with San Diego State 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Utah -2.5 v. BYU | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Utah is a hard hitting team, that will give a struggling BYU offense behind QB Tanner Mangum a lot of problems this week. Meanwhile, Utah despite of new parts on offense are a well coached team that I'm betting will find ways to move the ball. Meanwhile on the flips side, it must be noted that the BYU rushing attack was horrible in their shut-out loss to the Tigers last week. Â The Cougars were held to minus 5 yards rushing which means big problems for the Cougars because the Utes have had one of better run stop defenses in college football over the past few seasons.
teams where the line is +3 to -3 like BYU - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. are 20-51 ATS for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Utah has won 6 straight meetings in this series, and are 16-0 SU in their L/16 non conference games. Look for both streaks to stay alive in this spot. Play Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Stanford +6.5 v. USC | 24-42 | Loss | -107 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
Stanford (1-0) well rested and fresh returns to action from a one-week layoff after opening the season Aug. 26 in Sydney, Australia, with a explosive one sided beat down of Rice. The Cardinal seeks to win a fourth straight against the Trojans (1-0). Meanwhile, USC had some early problems against Western Michigan but pulled away late for a DD win. Their D, especially the run D, looked a little porous allowing a whopping 263 yards and will be part of what I'm betting will be their failure to cover tonight vs Stanford.  The Stanford Cardinal have a defense that I'm betting rivals that of Alabama. Call me crazy for saying that , but this group is razor sharp and extremely physical and will be the difference maker here today vs the USC Trojans. Winning on the road is a key theme for the Cards.The Cardinal have taken 3 straight from the Trojans, and 7 of the last 9.Dating to 2007, the Cardinal have won four of five games at the Coliseum. USC is undefeated at the Coliseum since Helton took over as head coach midway through the 2015 season -- but also winless against Stanford at 0-2. Play on the Stanford Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Giants -149 v. White Sox | 1-13 | Loss | -149 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
SF starting hurler Samardzija (9-12, 4.31 ERA) pitched a three-hit shutout vs the Padres on Aug. 28 and allowed that performance up vs the Cardinals allowing just  one run and two hits in seven innings on Sept. 2. He went 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in six starts in August, his best month of the season and enters this game in top form, and a viable hurler to back against a struggling White Sox team that has lost 8 of their L/10 games.The Pale Hose respond, with veteran righty James Shields (2-6, 5.72 ERA) . SF beat the White Sox 9-2 yesterday and won 11-3 the day before and now with momentum on their side I like their chances again today. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 L/16 against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more SHIELDS when he starts has seen his team go 9-27 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. The White Sox are 0-14 L/14 past the first game of a series as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game. MLB team like the White Sox - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 24-53 dating back 5 seasons. Play on the SF giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Auburn +6 v. Clemson | 6-14 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
Both teams are off lopsided easy wins in their week 1 matchups. Auburn lost a hard fought tilt to the Clemson last season by a 19-13, count , but I' betting their even better this season, and  are going to be hyped up about taking down the defending champs and get revenge for their loss to last season. I'm betting that this game will be hard fought and that getting points will be golden for a team I have pegged as the most improved in the SEC this season. AUBURN is 13-4 ATS  L/17 in road games after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards.AUBURN is 34-19 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games CFB Road underdogs like Auburn - after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 40-14 ATS for a 74% conversion rate for bettors dating back 10 seasons. Also CFB  Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Clemson - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 38-12 ATS for a 76% conversion rate for bettors over a 10 year period. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Auburn - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 40-11 ATS for a 78% conversion rate for bettors dating back 25 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Toledo -9.5 v. Nevada | 37-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 44 m | Show | |
Nevada is getting a lot of accolades for staying close in a game vs Northwestern last week even though, their defense allowed over 500 yards and the home team to convert 26 first downs. If they are as porous this week, as last, which I think they will be, I'm betting their in big trouble vs the MACs best team. Last week against Northwestern the Wolfpack only controlled the ball offensively for just 21 minutes and turned the ball over twice during that game. Needless to say, from my standpoint , Nevada's performance was more smoke and mirrors than a top tier effort like it was being painted. Meanwhile, Toledo despite of starting slowly last week in a win, looked to put things together in the 2nd half, on route to a blow out 47-13 victory and will now use that momentum to take down a over rated opponent in this spot. The Rockets had 24 first downs and 553 total yards in the game. Rinse in repeat here for a DD margin of victory. Toledo 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.TOLEDO is 6-0 ATS in September games over the last 3 seasons.TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS L/12 after playing a game at home.TOLEDO is 21-6 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. Play on Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | UNLV +7 v. Idaho | 44-16 | Win | 100 | 105 h 11 m | Show | |
The Rebels fell to Howard as a 45-point favorite at home last time out, the worst point spread loss in history. Meanwhile, Idaho took an FCS opponent, notching a win vs  Sacramento, 28-6. As far as the Howard/UNLV games goes, Howard must not be disrespected, as their HC Mike London won a National championship with Richmond, and was able to recruit a very strong QB in Caylin Newton who is the brother of Cam Newton. The  UNLV D, was ugly, and the team on a whole. was caught looking ahead to greener pastures, which was in hindsight a mistake, that now has them embarrassed and ready for redemption this week in Idaho. UNLV can score in bunches, and that is why they have a chance this week to stay very close. Last season these teams played each other tough, with Idaho pulling off a 33-30 win, and I'm expecting another hard fought battle this week, with the points in my humble betting opinion ending be golden. IDAHO is 0-7 ATS  L/7 when the total is greater than or equal to 70.IDAHO is 8-20 ATS  L/28 in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. HC Petrino is 6-15 ATS  L/21 after playing a non-conference game . CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Idaho - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 14-41 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.CFB  Road underdogs like UNLV  - after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 40-14 ATS L/54 opportunities for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | TCU -3 v. Arkansas | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 90 h 47 m | Show | |
Last year TCU lost 41-38 to Arkansas in Double OT as 10 point home favs, despite of out stating the Hogs 572-403. Now this season with revenge on board I expect Gary Andersons troops to be hell bent on laying down some pay back. I know Anderson and TCU had a losing season in their last campaign , but the two times he had losing seasons , he came back with 12 -1 and 11-1 marks. Last week they won 63-0 vs Jackson State and now come in rocking and rolling and in a vengeful mood. Note: Game 2 Chalk off a shut out win like TCU are 7-0 ATS L/7 winning every time by DDs. Bielema is 0-6 ATS  in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game which happened vs Florida A&M last week in a 49-7 win. Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Rutgers OVER 50.5 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan enters this game off a 24-7 home win over Charlotte, while the Knights are off a 30-14 home loss to Washington. I was impressed by Rutgers ability to move the ball vs a top tier Washington football program last week. This week my own projections estimate that Rutgers will put 28+ points on the board vs Michigan, behind Louisville transfer, QB Kyle Bolin  . Last year E.Michigan allowed 29.8 ppg. E MICHIGAN is 8-1 OVER L/9 in road games when they allow 28 or more points with a combined average of 71.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, on the flip side, E.Michigan has shown the ability to score in bunches in the past, behind QB Brogan Roback who last year had  a viable season as he threw for 2694 yards with 18 TDs .  Last year Rutgers were smashed  for 264.2 ypg on the ground, which was 126th in the nation, and while some think they will be improved , I'm not one of them . I'm betting E.Michigan does some damage this week, and both accumulate enough points to put this score over the listed total. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 like Rutgers - off a home loss, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 games are 23-2 OVER dating back 10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Indiana -3 v. Virginia | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 5 m | Show | |
Indiana showed me a lot , when they played one of the best teams in the nation (Ohio State) very tough, this past Thursday night and were actually tied in third quarter before things got away from them. After that major tune up against a top tier team, I'm betting this game against Virginia will be like a walk in the park. Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. CFB home team like Virginia  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 15-45 for a go against conversion rate for a 74% for bettors. Also CFB home teams like Virginia - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 6-22 SU during the L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State -7 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 90 h 22 m | Show | |
Western Michigan travelled out to the west coast last week to play the USC Trojans. New Head Coach Tom Lesters team played valiantly for a while, before getting beaten by 49-31 count . Now tired and in an emotional letdown scenario the Broncos, go against a DAntonio coached Michigan State team, that has a lot to prove after last seasons dismal results. The Spartans looked determined a 35-10 beat down of Bowling Green last week, and get the nod to bring home the cash to their backers this time around as well. MICHIGAN ST is 26-9 ATS after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game . CFB Road underdogs like Western Michigan- after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 18-46 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Mich State - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games are 34-10 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mich State Spartans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -2 | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan took out the Bombers last week in a big Labor Day game by a 38-24 count as home favs of -2.5. Now in the rematch I expect home field advantage to once again be golden, and for the Bombers to get the revenge they so dearly want. WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATSÂ Â L/10 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATSÂ Â in home games after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game .SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATSÂ Â Â in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Iowa -2.5 v. Iowa State | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 112 h 9 m | Show | |
Iowa defensively  smothered what was supposed to be a offensively explosive Wyoming offense last week in their first game a 24-3 win. Now here in week 2 I expect that same D, will stand tall and be the catalyst for a win in cover vs instate rivals Iowa State . Iowa has taken the two most recent meetings in this series conclusively by scores of 42-13 last season and 31-17 in 2015. I'm betting on another easy win here today. IOWA is 17-5 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less and 8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest. CFB home teams like Iowa State - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 6-22 SU L//28. Play on Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Louisville -10 v. North Carolina | 47-35 | Win | 100 | 73 h 29 m | Show | |
Coach Fedora and the Tar Heels, have almost always shown a lot of defensive deficiencies, as was the case last week in a loss to the California Bears by a 35-30 count. Thanks to first round pick QB Mitch Trubisky and some good wide receivers those defensive deficiencies were masked by simply outscoring their opposition. That won't be the case this season, as the gunslinger is now in the NFL and much of the offense is being reassembled. Last week the Tar Heels simply made a lot of mistakes on both sides of the ball, throwing two interceptions, losing a fumble and giving up big plays on defense and this week vs a hungry Lousiville program things will only get worse in my humble betting opinion. Louisville has covered the L/3 meetings in this series. CFB home team like N.Carolina  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 31-6 ATS L/37 for a go against conversion rate of 84% for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Montreal +8 v. BC | 18-41 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 25 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on 3 game losing streaks and both are hungry to get back into the win column. With that said , I'm betting  for this tilt to be a hard hitting and grueling affair that will see getting points being golden. Underdogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 57-18 ATS for a 76% conversion rate over the L/21 seasons. AQnd under the same perimeters if its a same season loss these teams like the Als are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS during the same time line for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Ohio +4.5 v. Purdue | 21-44 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
Ohio destroyed a lower tier Hampton program by a 59-0 count last time out, hardly breaking a sweat in the process. Meanwhile, Purdue lost a grueling hard fought battle, to Louisville in their first game of the season, by a 35-28 count. That effort will now have them in an emotional letdown situation which will translate I'm betting into a muted effort that might actually see them upset by a pretty good MAC side. OHIO U is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games in non-conference games.PURDUE is 1-10 ATS L/10 in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ohio - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, team that had a winning record last season are 36-10 ATS over the L/25 seasons. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ohio U - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 40-11 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.  CFB  home team like Purdue  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning are 15-42 ATS dating back 25 seasons. Play on Ohio U to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Orioles v. Indians -148 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
The Friday night pitching matchup has Baltimore left-hander Wade Miley (8-11, 4.91 ERA) opposing Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger (8-5, 3.50). Both pitchers have done well of late, but I'm betting the hotter bats of the Indians and home filed advantage will be the difference maker. BALTIMORE is 9-26 L/35 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season and is 2-15 L17 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better .CLEVELAND is 21-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive wins this season. Orioles are 11-24 in their last 35 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 7-0 in Clevingers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like Cleveland - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 47-12 L/59 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors spanning 5 seasons. Play on the Cleveland Indians |
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09-07-17 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Lynn the Cards starter against the Padres tonight, has recorded a solid 3.25 ERA in six starts versus the Padres in his career , and  ranks in the National League top 10 in many pitching categories which includes, opposing batting average (.211), ERA (2.99) and hits/nine innings (6.79).He's held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in 12 starts, which leads the majors. Meanwhile, Richard, the Fathers starter is 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA in 13 games (nine starts) against the Cardinals. He is highly respected by his peers and leads a young pitching staff by example and work ethic unmatched in modern day baseball. He also leads the Padres in innings pitched (173) and in seven of his last eight games he's gone at least six innings. Under is 10-2 in Lynns last 12 starts overall.Under is 8-2 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 41-18-1 in Lynns last 60 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 road starts.Under is 11-5 in Padres last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. Padres.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 7-1 in umpire Tichenors last 8 Thursday games behind home plate and the last 8 times he has been behind home plate in a Cards game the total has stayed under. LYNN is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season dating back over the last few seasons. LYNN is 17-3 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career.RICHARD is 31-14 UNDER  when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-07-17 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Dan Straily (9-8, 3.91 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (2-8, 4.31) Miami will send Straily (9-8, 3.91 ERA) to the hill in the opener of a four-game series at SunTrust Park, and Atlanta will counter with rookie Sean Newcomb (2-8, 4.31) on Thursday. Straily the Marlins man on the mound has been extremely strong in three starts against Atlanta this season, going 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Straily has struck out 20 batters in 17 innings, has walked only three and has allowed just one home run. He matches up well against the Braves batters. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Newcomb is in good form at the end of his rookie season . He was 1-3 with a 4.02 ERA in six starts in August but allowed three or fewer runs in five of those starts. He lost to Chicago on Aug. 31 despite allowing only two earned runs in five innings with seven strikeouts. So the W's are not there , but solid pitching performances are which solidifies my bet that this tilt will stay under the Total. NEWCOMB is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg getting scored. ATLANTA is 24-9 UNDER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. MIAMI is 31-18 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.ATLANTA is 16-8 UNDER in home games against division opponents this season. The Marlins are 0-13 L/13 UNDER in the first game of a series when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em when they are off two losses in which they never led going under by 3.62 rpg game. Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 7-0 in Newcombs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record including 5 straight at home vs a below .500 team.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-06-17 | Texas Rangers - Game #2 -117 v. Atlanta Braves - Game #2 | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Cole Hamels the ace of the Texas staff will make the start for the Rangers here in the 2nd game of this double Header. Meanwhile,  Julio Teheran (9-11, 4.75 ERA) will start for the Braves , making his first start at SunTrust Park since ending a nine-game home losing streak with a victory over the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 25. Unfortunately for him, and despite of pitching well of late I'm betting he reverts back to his losing ways here at home again. He threw 109 pitches in his last outing, allowing just 1 run in a win and will not be so fresh here and could tire early. Also with that in mind it must be noted that Atlanta is 0-11 L/11 when Julio Teheran starts at home and he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. |
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09-06-17 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Royals send Boyd to the hill to face the KC royals this week. He owns a 8.67 ERA in his L/3 starts.  The Motown hurler has been hit  hard in his eight career outings against them. He has a 2-3 record and 8.27 ERA in those appearances. He is 1-0 with a 6.52 ERA in two starts against Kansas City this year. Meanwhile, Hamels goes to the hill for the Royals. He has recorded a 5.21 ERA in his L/3 starts. Hammel is 2-2 with a 6.70 ERA in 12 career outings (nine starts) against the Tigers and is winless in his last six starts vs. Detroit dating back to 2011. Both hurlers look like they will be cannon fodder in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 28-11 OVER  L/39 in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season , with a combined average of 10.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. KANSAS CITY is 23-9 OVER in September games dating back to last season.KANSAS CITY is 10-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more with a combined average of 12.2 rpg going on the scoreboard.DETROIT is 20-11 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg getting scored. Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Royals  - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 46-23 to the OVER dating back 5 seasons.  Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-06-17 | Phillies +103 v. Mets | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
The Mets have lost 17 of their last 23 and are fade material here this evening, vs a Philadelphia team that despite of being bottom feeders still have some fight left in them behind with a fairly young lineup with promise. The Phillies Pivetta the teams starter tonight in his most recent trip the hill allowed one run over six innings Friday as the Phillies beat the Miami Marlins 2-1 and gets the nod here in this spot. PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this season and 8-2 after scoring 9 or more runs which happened yesterday in a 9-1 victory vs the Mets. NY METS are 14-37  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.NY METS are 4-15 L/19 against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Phillies - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest are 43-16 dating back 20 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for betting backers of this league wide trend. |
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09-05-17 | Royals -123 v. Tigers | 2-13 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Royals LH Jason Vargas (14-9, 3.87 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 6.95) Sanchez the Tigers starter I'm betting exhibits some rust today after being on the disabled list over the L/2 weeks. Prior to his being sidelined, he allowed 17 runs on 23 hits - nine home runs - over 11 1/2 innings in three trips to the hill. I'm expecting he will be cannon fodder for the royals bats tonight. I know Vargas his pitching opponent tonight, has not been good form since the all star break, but is still a stable commodity compared to his counterpart. With that said, I'm betting the Royals hand the Tigers their 6th straight loss in this spot. VARGAS has seen his team go 20-9 L/29 when he starts against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.KANSAS CITY is 19-6  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. SANCHEZ team when he starts is  is 5-18  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher.Royals are 13-4 in Vargas' last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.The Tigers are 0-14 as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 12+ hits. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the tigers - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 26-82 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 72-24 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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09-05-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.32 ERA) vs. Pirates LH Steven Brault (0-0, 5.93) Hendricks the Cubs starter tonight vs Pittsburgh  is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts since the end of July when he came off the disabled list  .The righty hurler has made four straight quality starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any appearance since his return. Meanwhile,  Brault the Bucks starter will make his first big-league start of the season after six appearances out of the bullpen and has made seven major-league starts last season and went 0-3 with a 4.26 ERA, so he is still looking for his first major-league win. Brault has allowed 17 runs (nine earned) in 8 2/3 innings over four career trips to the hill(one start) against the Cubs and according to my cross reference pitching vs offensive power rankings is fade material tonight. (it must be noted that the cubs offense has done their best work against southpaw hurlers like Brault this season averaging 5.7 rpg in offense The Pirates smashed  the Cubs 12-0 in the series opener, and now embarrassed I expect they come here with intentions of getting back on track today and handing out some big pay back of their own.The Pirates are 0-14 L/14 on the runline and moneyline  as a 170+ dog after they scored six-plus runs and it is after the All-Star break , losing by an average of 4.43 rpg on the moneyline and 2.93 rpg on the runline. HENDRICKS when he starts has seen his team go 24-7  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Pirates - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 24-90 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors. Play on Chicago Cubs -1.5 on the runline  1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia Tech OVER 55 | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech and Tennessee both have defensive issues when it comes to stopping the run. Last year Gtech front 7 was a sad group that recorded only 18 sacks all season long, and I'm betting early in this campaign, vs a decent recruitment core of Tennessee options ie (junior John Kelly)  their going to have issues again being able to sustain pressure and keep the field from opening up.. With both teams expected to be running the ball down the throat of the other side all night long a boatload full of accumulated yards and points must be expected. Both teams have question marks on offense, but both have more than enough reloaded talent behind attacking systems to do some damage here tonight vs defenses that should be soft at best. My own projected estimates suggest the Tennessee will allow the Ramblin Wreck 28pts+….It must be noted that Tennessee is TENNESSEE is 7-0 OVER when they allow 28 or more points with themselves and their opponents combining for a total of 76.7 ppg. Im also betting that Tennesse allows 300 yds + rushing ….TENNESSEE is 9-1 OVER  when they allow 300 or more rushing yards with a combined average of 64 ppg getting scored. I also expect GTech to allow at least 28 + points.....TENNESSEE is 6-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 79.6 ppg going on the board. GEORGIA TECH is 40-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points with a combined average of 79.6 ppg getting scored.  Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay will send right-hander Alex Cobb (9-9, 3.72 ERA) to the mound on Monday. Cobb is 0-3 in his past four starts but his pitched well in those three starts, recording a stingy 2.20 ERA . I'm expecting both there teams to have problems scoring today vs pitchers in top form.
Play on UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Angels -137 v. A's | 11-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
 Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27) Right-handers Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27 ERA) of the A's and Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52) of the Angels will kick off a series this Monday.Smith the Athletics starter today is among my lowest ranking pitcher in my personal power rankings list. It must be noted that LA is 17-0 as a 125-plus road chalk on the moneyline off a road tilt when facing a team that is under .550 on the season whose starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.625 like Smith. Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 road starts.Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings. BRIDWELLs team is 8-0 when he starts  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season and is 9-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 7-22 l/29 against the money line in home games in September games over the last few seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher As - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or mote over his last 3 starts are just 21-86 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Yankees v. Orioles -122 | 7-4 | Loss | -122 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (13-8, 3.94) Bundy the Orioles starter is coming off his first career complete game, a one-hit shutout vs the Seattle Mariners  in which he registered 12 strikeouts. I'm betting he uses the momentum of that game to take out the NY Yankees to Monday afternoon. Bundy (13-8, 3.94 ERA) went 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five starts in August. Meanwhile, the Yankees will start rookie Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA). In his latest trip to the hill, Montgomery took the loss against the Cleveland Indians by allowing four runs and six hits over just four innings. He actually looked a little tired in that game, and is fade material here this afternoon in Baltimore in game 1 of this series. The Yankees I'm betting will also be in a natural letdown situation after beating the ace of the BoSox rotation last night Chris Sale by a 9-2 count. It must be noted however, that the Yankees have not performed all that well in this situation , as they are 4-15 against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this season. Yankees are 2-8 in Montgomerys last 10 starts.Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomerys last 5 road starts.Yankees are 1-8 in Montgomerys last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Orioles are 7-0 in Bundys last 7 starts.Orioles are 5-0 in Bundys last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Baltimore.The Orioles are 12-0 on the moneyline with no rest as a favorite in the first game of a series when playing a team that has a better record. BALTIMORE is 29-11 L/40 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-17 | Phillies +117 v. Mets | 7-11 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Mark Leiter Jr. (2-4, 3.88 ERA) vs. Mets RH Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12)  New York's Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12 ERA) is expected to face Philadelphia's Mark Leiter (2-4, 3.88 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers at Citi Field this Monday afternoon. In his past 15 games (11 starts), Montero is 3-5 with a 4.27 ERA and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 72-30 in 71 1/3 innings. He opened the season by going 0-4 with an 8.24 ERA in his first 13 games (two starts) and had a great outing last time out, but watching this young man pitch I'm betting that was an anomaly and I am going against him here this afternoon.Montero is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in six career trips to the hill (two starts) against the Phillies. Leiter, a left-handed hurler, allowed one run over five innings of relief in his lone appearance against the Mets on Aug. 10 and gets the nod today. NY METS are 10-17  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.NY METS are 12-29  against the money line in day games this season.The Phillies are 17-0 on the moneyline  in the first game of a series as a dog off a road game when their opponents starting pitcher has same-season-revenge and it is after the All-Star break.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 1-6 in Monteros last 7 home starts.Mets are 3-12 in their last 15 home games. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-03-17 | Red Sox -115 v. Yankees | 2-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Chris Sale (15-6, 2.77 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (11-6, 3.14)  Sale owns a 2.12 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings against New York this season but is just 0-2 in four outings due to poor run support He is off a .dominating effort at Toronto on Tuesday, when he struck out 11 without walking a batter and scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings. Needless to say he enters this game with fire in his eyes, and is a quality hurler to back in this spot. Meanwhile, the Yankees will return fire with Luis Severino who's worst start of the season came in a home game home against Boston on Aug. 12, when he was crushed for 10 runs ( eight earned ) over 4 1/3 innings of ugly work. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter projections , tells me the BoSox offense should give Sale all the run support he will need tonight. Red Sox are 5-1 in Sales last 6 road starts. BOSTON is 37-19 L/56 against the money line in September games.BOSTON is 27- against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season dating back to last year.SEVERINO is 5-12 L/17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over.
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M v. UCLA -3 | 44-45 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 5 m | Show | |
With UCLA's QB  Josh Rosen healthy again, the Bruins will be a dangerous foe for all comers. Texas A&M is a fine team, but in games that are expected to be close recently they have not performed all that well going just 2-11 ATS L//13 as a dog of 7 points or less. Last season Sumlin and company up ended UCLA 31-24 at home in their opener, but it must be noted that the Aggies HC is just 4-13 ATS facing a team with revenge. Tonight I expect Mora 's Bruins to be hell bent on payback while getting their mojo back.   UCLA is 28-14 ATS L/42 in home games in non-conference games. TEXAS A&M is 15-35 ATS   L/50  as a road underdog. CFB home team like UCLA - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are a bankroll expanding 73-35 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia +5 v. Virginia Tech | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
No. 21 Virginia Tech and No. 22 West Virginia Square off at FedEx Field in Landover this Sunday night. Both these long time rivals will have new starting QBs, but one side I'm betting has the egde.That team in my betting opinion is the West Virginia Mountaineers with Florida transfer Will Grier under center . He was 6-0 as a starter as a freshman before testing positive for performance-enhancing drugs, subsequently suspended, and then transferring. This kid has the goods and is a top quailty performer and will be supported by the Big 12's leading rusher from last season Senior Justin Crawford and a a deep core of powerful backs .   Meanwhile, VTech will start a red shirt freshman, in Josh Jackson, who will I'm betting experience some jitters here right out of the gate and take time to acclimate to game speed. Yes, I know West Virginia is retooling this season on many fronts, but the pipeline of talent is solid and may surprise a lot of the pundits. TodayI'm betting they stay within the number and get us the cover.  Vtech is just 2-9 ATS L/11 an non conference favorites of 3 pts or more and have failed to cover in 5 of their L/7 neutral site games. CFB team like VTech - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record are 5-30 ATS L/35 opportunities for a go against conversion rate of 865 for bettors. . Play on the W Virginia Mountaineers to cover 1unit reg selection |
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09-03-17 | Connecticut Sun v. LA Sparks UNDER 161 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
09-03-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 160 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
09-03-17 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan UNDER 61.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 6 m | Show | |
These two CFL teams took part in a 43-40 offensive slugfest in their first meeting this season with Winnipeg notching the win. Now in the rematch I'm expect a more subdued and conservative approach by both teams. I also expect both defensive coordinators to shore up their Ds, in preparation for this tilt.   SASKATCHEWAN is 10-2 UNDER  revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of just 40 ppg going on the board. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 like Sask- off 1 or more straight overs, a good offensive team (28-32 PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-32 PPG) are 24-5 UNDER the l/20 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-03-17 | New York Liberty v. Dallas Wings UNDER 167.5 | 82-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
09-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -137 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
 The Blue Jays enter this game vs Baltimore despite of winning yesterdays game having dropped three consecutive road series. Overall, they are 8-16 in their last 24 road games and 3-7 in their last 10 and once again look like fade material here this afternoon in Maryland. Toronto is also 0-4 in series against the Orioles this season. |
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09-03-17 | Reds v. Pirates -116 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Reds RH Sal Romano (4-5, 4.91 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Trevor Williams (5-7, 4.37) The Pirates took out the Reds 5-0 yesterday which is a good omen for us as they are 17-0 as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they shut out their opponent. CINCINNATI is 7-26  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 2-11  against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 6-20  against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the  Reds  - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 runs/game or more per game on the season (NL), in September games are just 15-58 over the L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-02-17 | BYU v. LSU UNDER 47 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
BYU showed their physicality and defensive power in their first game of the season vs Portland State as 20-6 win, as well as their ability to smash the ball on the ground in grinding fashion on offense Yes. the offense did struggle, and QB Magnum Tanner looked like he had a lot of rust on him, gaining just 194 passing yds. I'm betting BYUs D, will once again be solid this week vs LSU and in an effort to slow this game down and eat up clock the same type of offensive game plan will be implemented here as was the case in their first game. Meanwhile, Bill Oregeron's LSU will play their first game of the season, and rust and kinks may not make them as fluid offensively as they will be later on this season, which will curtail their overall offensive output in this spot as they get accustomed to new offensive coordinator Matt Canada . I also expect LSUs to use a large dose of key back Gucie this week, which in turn will eat up even more clock time,  and for the Bayou Benglas D to be  stopper tonight and for BYU to struggle to put points on the board. With that said, I am betting Saturday's affair will  remain on the low side of the Total. BYU is 11-3 UNDER L/14 in all games .LSU is 10-2 L/12 UNDER in all games.LSU is 10-1 UNDER  when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 39.6 ppg going on the board. LSU is 6-0 UNDER in the first half of the season last season with a combined average of 39.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
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09-02-17 | Florida State +7.5 v. Alabama | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 81 h 25 m | Show | |
No. 1 Alabama plays No. 3 Florida in the Chick-fil-A Classic on Saturday night in what has been called the biggest opening game ever in college football. Alabama, bidding for a perfect 15-0 season, lost 35-31 to Clemson on a last-second touchdown in the College Football Playoff title game last January after a 24-7 victory over Washington in a semifinal pairing at the Georgia Dome and showed many of us that the Tide may have turned (pardon the pun). Now enters Jimbo Fisher's Florida State that is 30-5 SU in non conference battles, and 9-1 SU vs the SEC. Meanwhile, Alabama the No.1 ranked team in the nation, has some interesting ATS numbers attached to their status, as these top ranked teams are just 16-15-1 ATS in openers, and just .45-65-1 ATS when not listed a DD favorites.  Nick Saban the Tides formidable HC is also just 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS in openers vs non conference competition as single digit favorite. Florida State to cover |
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09-02-17 | South Alabama +24 v. Ole Miss | 27-47 | Win | 100 | 82 h 39 m | Show | |
South Alabama to cover vs Ole Miss - The Sex scandal that lost head coach Hugh Freeze his job, has this Ole Miss program reeling. That’s not a good omen for a team that also lost 5 of their L/7 games last season. Here today vs a South Alabama Jaguars side that  pulled an  upset at Mississippi State in last year's opener, anything is possible. Coincidentally the Jaguars also upset a very good San Diego State program last season, as DD home dogs, so this is a team that is not easily intimidated and thrives in the underdog role.  S ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS in road games in September games since 1992 and is 14-3 ATS in road games in the first half of the season since 1992. Play on the South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-02-17 | Angels -115 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (6-12, 5.09 ERA) vs. Rangers RH A.J. Griffin (6-5, 5.26)
Angels are 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Angels are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB Road teams LA Angels - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 63-32 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the LA Angles to win on the moneyline |
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09-02-17 | UMass v. Costal Carolina +2.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 55 h 18 m | Show | |
. The UMass minutemen are sure to be jet lagged and an emotional let down state after playing in Australia last week while losing to Hawaii with under 1 minute left on the clock (38-35).  Now they go against a tough head coach Joe Moglia (Coastal Carolina) who owns a magnifcent  51-15 SU record in five years , including a 10-2  record last season – with both losses coming  by a single point! The  CC offense has averaged at least 34 PPG every season under Moglia and are expected to be offensively effecient this season, vs one of last seasons worst Ds. I know the Minutemen has 17 returning starters , but like I have said, before that not neccisarily a good thing considering their continued futility. Play on Costal Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-02-17 | Troy +11 v. Boise State | 13-24 | Push | 0 | 75 h 11 m | Show | |
Troy enters this game with what might end up being their best team ever, as 16 solid starters (10 on offense) return along with a boatload of under rated talent. With their Blue Carpet opponents the Broncos returning QB Brett Rypien QB and his best WR Cedric Wilson, many think the Broncos will remain a force, but I disagree with this assessment as much of offense is now departed, and 4 key tacklers on D are now also gone. The pipeline of talent that Chris Peterson left behind is also now mostly gone, and I'm betting HC Harsins team won't be as formidable, which could see Boise State face a drop off this season. It must be noted that the Broncos have failed to cover 16 of their L/25 and re just 1-10 ATS L/11 at home. With Boise State eyeing Washington State in their next game, the Broncos may not as focused in a dangerous opponent in their opener. Troy has covered 5 of their L/7 opeing games as underdogs and have covered 8 of their L/12 as a non conference DD pup. BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-02-17 | Michigan -4 v. Florida | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 30 m | Show | |
There is just not enough respect being shown to Jim Harbaugh and company this week vs Florida. Yes, I know Harbaugh has hardly any key returning starters back, but this guy is a behemoth recruiter and has a boatload full of talent in the pipeline and is now ready to reload. Meanwhile, despite of the accolades the Gators are getting, I'm still not sold on their ability to move the ball behind QB Jim McELwain or any of the other Gator Qbs. Also with a key suspension to WR Antonio Calaway, the Gators are at a disadvantage both mentally and physically as is evident, by the rash of suspensions the team will suffer from this Saturday. Florida has also shown a propensity to implode against top tier opposition, while Harbaugh has proven he can be trusted as a favorite of 7 points or less winning 6 of 7 opportunities ATS and is a perfect 7-0 SU. Harbaugh is also 6-0 SU/ATS as chalk of 7 or less before game 6 winning su by an average of 24.5 ppg. Michigan is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings in this series and get the nod again this week on a neutral field. Play on Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-02-17 | Wyoming +11.5 v. Iowa | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 31 m | Show | |
Wyoming to cover vs Iowa  Wyoming QB Josh Allen is  a projected first-rounder in the 2018 NFL draft and I'm betting his offensive talents will be even more explosive this season than last years 28 TD performance. Yes, The cowboys D was bad last season but with Scott Hazelton now running the defense things should be much improved. Today against an Iowa football program that was nearly dead last in the FBS (121st) on offense last year, those problems may not seem as hightligted today. It must be noted that Iowa has failed to cover 5 of their L/6 non conference tilts as favorites of 14 points or less and were only 4-3 SU at home last season. The Cowboys have also covered 5 season openers as underdogs. WYOMING is 6-0 ATS L/6 when the total is between 49.5 and 56.  Play on Wyoming to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-02-17 | Maryland v. Texas -18.5 | 51-41 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
The Horns start a new error today as HC Tom Herman takes over the reigns for the Texas Longhorns. You can bet he will have his team ready for a win in merciless fashion today as he makes sure his team gets of on the right foot. I know Maryland had a Bowl bid season in 2016, but I was not all that impressed by them and were a team that was out yarded by 49 ypg and finished their season losing 2 of their L/9 games and lost and failed to cover 5 straight games vs FBS opposition on the road last season losing by just under 23 ppg.  Herman is 9-0 SU and 7-0 ATS L/9 non conference games. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Texas- excellent offense from last season - averaged 425 or more total yards/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-8 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Also CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Texas - good offensive team from last season - scored 31 or more points/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 38-10 ATS over the same time perimeters for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-02-17 | Ball State +7 v. Illinois | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 11 m | Show | |
Muncie, Indiana is just 170 miles away from Champaign, Illinois , and this is not much of a road trip for the Cards.Ball State is now a very underrated MAC East that is going to make some noise this season. It’s the second year for head coach Mike Neu, and he’s got a team that despite of having a rebuilding tag on it, must be respected behind second year starter QB Ryan Neal and RB James Gilbert 1332 yds, 12 TDS. Meanwhile, Illinois is going to have a very inexperienced team, and have a new starter under center Chayce Crouch who will take over for former Chicago Bears head coach Lovie Smith. Illinois only averaged 19.7 points per game in 2016, ranking at 122nd in the nation and getting points on the board will be a problem again here this season. I'm betting the Illini inability to move the ball consistently will be their downfall today. |
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09-01-17 | Atlanta Dream v. LA Sparks UNDER 158.5 | 56-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
09-01-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 170 | 66-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
09-01-17 | Boston College -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 201 h 27 m | Show | |
BC defensive front I'm betting will be dominant here in the opener vs N.Illinois and control their opponents offensive line. Both teams have been trying to move forward and get more explosive offensively, but the key factor here today will be the ability of Boston College to stop cold the N.Illinois run game, thus rendering the Huskies ability to spread the field and have an effective pass attack. Both teams should be subdued offensively, but BCs superior top tier D, will be the difference maker. Play on Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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