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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-21-19 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R) These two pitchers give the assumption to public bettors that this looks like and easy slam dunk for the over. Truth is the number is frothy at this number, and offers us value on the under in contrarian fashion. Angels have eclipsed the total only one time in their L/10 games. Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 Tuesday games. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 51-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Bucks -2 v. Raptors | 102-120 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 The Raptors came out in game 3 of this series in desperation mode, and played like their play off lives depended on it, and still needed double OT to get barely get by the Bucks. After playing an exhausting 7 game series with the Sixers Im betting fatigue will now be in a factor for the Raptors and that they are at a disadvantage in game 4 here in Toronto because of that. Meanwhile, the Bucks are much fresher, and very ready to take advantage of the Dinos . It must be noted that no team in the NBA was better at rebounding of a loss this season than Milwaukee as is evident by going  22-1 SU with a +15 ppg diff and 19-4 ATS after a loss this season covering by an average of 7.6 ppg. Milwaukee is  20-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more in their last game with the average ppg cover diff coming by 6 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Raptors looked clumsy and less than fluent offensively in their last game vs the Bucks a OT win , and have actually been less than effective offensively for large portions of these play offs. Im betting that trend will continue tonight. The Raptors over all flow has also effected their opponents like a virus, as has been evident in this series vs the Milwaukee Bucks and the previous series vs the Philadelphia 76ers . Both the Toronto and Milwaukee  converted at less than 40% from the filed in game 3. Note: The Bucks have gone under 10 straight times when coming off a road loss in where they shot less than 40% from the field while the Raptors have gone under 7 straight times in post season play after a game as chalk in which they held their opponent to under 40% shooting from the field. The Raptors are also 0-7 UNDER L/7 in the playoffs with less than two days rest off a home tilt that was tied five-plus times. Im expecting a fairly low scoring game here, based on the factors I have pointed out above and on my score projection of this tilt. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 Its win or go home for the banged up Sharks tonight, so Im betting they will be very physical, and aggressive from the get go, but at the same time conscious of playing solid transitional hockey with alot more emphasis on being coherent defensively. Meanwhile, St.Louis despite of consistently finding ways to score timely goals, are a defence first team, with multitudes of patience , and when all else fails a goaltending phenom by the Bennington on their side. With so much on the line here in game 6 for both sides Im betting we see a hard fought low scoring game. SAN JOSE is 18-7 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 4.4 gpg.  JOSE is 21-8 L/29 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in 2 straight games. NHL team against the total (SAN JOSE) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 100-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (SAN JOSE) - after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 417-283 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-21-19 | Nationals +129 v. Mets | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
ERICK FEDDE (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R) NY Mets starter today Wheeler faces the Nats for the second straight start and fourth time already this season and the results have not been good as is evident by a 9.77 ERA. Last Thursday, Meanwhile,Fedde the Nats starter will make his first start of the season, joining the Nationals' rotation in place of the injured Anibal Sanchez. Four of Fedde's five outings from the bullpen have been scoreless, and is a viable pitcher with value attached to his performance results. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 2-7 in Wheelers last 9 home starts vs. Nationals. The Mets ended a 5 game losing streak last time out, but it must be noted that the NY METS are 1-9 against the money line in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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05-21-19 | Red Sox -150 v. Blue Jays | 3-10 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R) Blue Jays stater Marcus Stroman is off to a hot start this season with a 2.95 ERA over 10 starts. The problem is that he has just one win to show for it because of a lack of run support. Because of this he is less than a desirable hurler to back vs a BoSox team with a viable offence. Meanwhile, Bostons starter RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 21-4 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CORA is 16-8 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of BOSTON. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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05-20-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) vs. Padres RH Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99) Weaver has recorded three straight quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings and has been a road warrior for the D-backs this year, going 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts away from Chase Field. In four career starts against the Padres, he is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter Paddack's ERA sits below 2, and opponents have a .146 batting average against him, the lowest mark in the Majors. The young hurler owns a 49-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 45 1/3 innings in his first eight starts. The linesmakers expect a pitchers duel and Im on board, with a key number 7 offering value to the under according to my projections. SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Paddacks last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts overall. Play on UNDER |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 218.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total. PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-20-19 | Mariners v. Rangers -143 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Mariners starter Leake's worst outing of the year came against the Rangers on April 27 when he allowed 10 hits and 9 runs (5 earned) in 5 innings in a 15-1 loss in Seattle and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs Rangers. Meanwhile, Minor beat the Mariners, 15-1 in that above mentioned April 27 tilt, by holding them to one run in seven innings. He allowed three hits and struck out 13. Minor earned a victory in his last start last Wednesday, when he allowed one run over five innings as the Rangers cruised past the Royals 6-1 and has momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs Seattle team that has the worst record in baseball since April 27 . He entered Sunday ranked among the AL's top 10 in both ERA and strikeouts (tied for 10th with 56). SEATTLE is 1-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 7-43 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win on the ML |
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05-20-19 | Phillies v. Cubs -117 | 5-4 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Darvish the Cubs starter is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies and gets the nod and my support in this spot situation.Meanwhile, Phillies starter Arrieta got off to a solid start this season and was 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA after four outings, but has dropped his past two starts and is winless since April 27. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Arrietas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games. The Phillies are 0-17 L/17 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 I have not been impressed by the way the Raptors have played in the play offs overall especially the Philadelphia series, and the 2nd game of this series when they lost by 22 points. However, there is enough talent and pride with guys like Kawhi Leonard, and hardcore work ethic from key character players like Siakam to produce a top tier effort in desperation mode here at home today. Note: The L/14 seasons home favorites like the Raptors that were defeated their previous game by double digits have gone 117-79-5 ATS in the playoffs. MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS L/28 off 3 or more consecutive home wins . Milwaukee is 0-23 ATS as a rested dog when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they shot better than 25% from the arc and are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio of better than 1.50. NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a 108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total.  The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-19-19 | Blues +118 v. Sharks | 5-0 | Win | 118 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The St.Louis Blues despite of lacking experience have played some tremendous hockey since the midway point of the NHL season, and have been lights out in my humble opinion the best team in the league, and nothing has changed my opinion of that in this seasons play offs. Tonight in a game 3 Im betting on their ability to be physical and tenacious will be the difference maker in a game vs a good San Jose team that lacks consistent defence or goaltending which is a real negative that they have been able to overcome so far in these play offs because of a potent offence and bad officiating calls. SAN JOSE is 11-20 ATS off a close road loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons. (The Blues won game 4 by a 2-1 count) Blues are 8-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.Blues are 23-6 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Blues are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Pacific.Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 17-8 in their last 25 overall.Blues are 19-9 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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05-19-19 | Rockies +116 v. Phillies | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-5, 5.68 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 2.65) Freeland won against the Phillies on April 18, when he struck out seven and allowed only two hits in six scoreless innings. In two games against the Phillies, Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.0 ERA. also did not allow a walk. The lefty is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three day games this season and despite of some recent struggles is a quality hurler that matches up well vs thePhillies batting order according to my power rankings and offers us a viable chance to cash a value line ticket. EICKHOFF the Philies stater is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.826. Phillies are 6-15 in Eickhoffs last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 2-6 in Eickhoffs last 8 starts vs. National League West. FREELAND is 6-0 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Rockies are 8-0 in Freelands last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Colorado is 14-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Colorado to win on the ML |
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05-18-19 | Twins -122 v. Mariners | 18-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Jose Berrios RHP 6-2, 3.05 ERA, 54 SO.......Berrios the Twins starter struggled for the first time in 2019 on Monday against the Angels, when he was tagged for a career-high 12 hits and a season-high five runs in 5 2/3 frames. It marked the first time in 10 starts that he did not complete at least six innings and gets my support here to bounce back and get us to the promised land. MINNESOTA is 10-0 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.The Twins are 11-0 on the ML as a road favorite when playing a team that has a worse record. MINNESOTA is 8-0 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. The Twins are 19-0 on the ML as a road favorite after a five-plus win if that was not a complete game by their starter which was the case in last nights 7 -1 win vs Seattle. SEATTLE is 0-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Play on Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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05-18-19 | Warriors +2.5 v. Blazers | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 After squandering a gigantic lead last time out vs Golden State in game 2 in this series, I can see the Blazers in a classic emotional letdown situation. When you exert that much energy and play much better than anyone anticipated and still lose, a follow up effort could easily be more muted than many expect here in game 3. I know alot of pundits point out that the Warriors are vulnerable without Durant in the lineup. However, it must be noted that the Warriors, play well together without Durant on the court, as they are 3-0 SU/ATS this season when he is out of the lineup, covering by more than 14 points per game, with all of the tilts coming on the road. Overall Durant is has been out, of the Warriors line 14 times since he came to Oakland and 5 of those games saw Steph Murray play, and guess what the Dubs were a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS in those tilts. Kerr is 11-2 ATS in road games after a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. NBA team (PORTLAND) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 44-100 L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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05-18-19 | Cardinals v. Rangers +130 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Dakota Hudson the Cards starter has shown some promise but his hard-hit rate of 45.8 percent is a concern, especially against a Texas team seeing the ball very well at the moment. In . his current form the kid is fade material in this spot. |
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05-18-19 | Rockies v. Phillies OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (3-2, 5.35 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.86) This contest today features a rematch of Philadelphia’s 8-5 victory on April 20 in Denver. Citizens Park in Philadelphia is also a hitters park like Coors is , and today Im expecting some offensive fireworks in a notorious hitters park .Nola has not pitched as well overall as he did last season, but thanks to an explosive offence is receiving superior run support to remain in the unbeaten column. Nola only has three quality starts in nine starts this season.NOLA is 8-1 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board. . Meanwhile, Rockies stater Senzatela has pitched well overall but of late has produced a 7.04 ERA in his last 3 starts, and according to my cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against him and and project do adequate damage to get us over the set total this afternoon. Over is 5-0 in Senzatelas last 5 starts overall.Over is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Nolas last 9 starts overall.Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Colorado is average 5.2 rpg this season and Philadelphia is averaging 5.3 rpg at home. COLORADO is 11-1 OVER in May games this season with an average of 14.7 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-17-19 | Twins -115 v. Mariners | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Twins starter Perez (5-1,3.11 ERA 46 SOs) suffered a contusion after taking a line drive off his left foot in his last outing, but he is expected to make his next scheduled start in Seattle here tonight. His 15-inning scoreless streak was snapped vs. Detroit, but he allowed only four hits in five innings and comes into this tilt looking very sharp and qualifies for an investment option on the money-line . His pitching opponentGonzales started strongly this season, but he's been roughed up of late after two rough outings in his past three with short stints and high pitch counts against the Cubs and Red Sox. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings he just does matchup well here tonight vs the Twinkies and considering his current form is fade material. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Twins are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 12-1 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West. SEATTLE is 3-17 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SEATTLE is 0-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-33 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins to win on the ML ( Best Bet of the Day) |
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05-17-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 215 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
 Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors starters logged a lot of minutes last time out, in game 1 of this series vs the Bucks  and were previously off a 7 game series with the Sixers . So fatigue factors come into play for the Dinos as was the case in the fourth quarter of the last game where  the Raptors were rolled over by a team that they had lead by DDs at different junctures of this matchup. Contrary to belief it takes more effort and stamina to play strong physical defence than to run and gun and wide open fashion and tonight Im betting the Raptors are forced to open up in transition because of the inability to  defend vs a fresher side . This is the lowest total the books have offered from the 5 games these teams have played this year, and the one with the most value for an OVER wager to cash. MILWAUKEE in 49 games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. Toronto in their L/11 after failing to cover the spread in 3 game or more have seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg scored. Note: The Raptors have gone  6-0 OVER L/6 as a pup with less than two days rest after a loss in which they were ahead by double digits at some point, going over the number by an average of 23.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 7-0 OVER L/7 with less than two days rest off a win as chalk after a victory where they were behind by double digits, going over  the Total by an average of 20 ppg.  NBA  teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 40-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-17-19 | Brewers v. Braves -134 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
There is more to baseball than just pitching, and while I do focus on starting pitching and bullpen support, sometimes a pitching matchup that might look like it favors a certain team is void. Thats the situation here tonight as the Brewers Chacin, is in better form than Fried the Braves starter, but despite of this I like the home team to come out of this with a victory based on the teams overall form of late that has seen them go 5-1 L/6 and how they matchup vs the Brewers from an array of head to head power rankings that I use. As you can see the lines-makers and market agree with my assessments. There is public support for the Brewers , but the smarter money win or lose is on the Braves here and rightly so. Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 road starts.Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings in Atlanta. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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05-17-19 | Astros -130 v. Red Sox | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R) The opener of the three-game series will see Houston right-hander Gerrit Cole (4-4, 3.88 ERA) take the mound opposite Boston righty Rick Porcello (3-3, 5.15).Cole is coming off a start in which he allowed one run on four hits with a season-high 12 strikeouts against the Rangers last Saturday. Over his last four starts, Cole has a 2.39 ERA across 26 1/3 innings, with 42 strikeouts and six walks and gets my support here on the road tonight behind a batting order that has produced 8.1 rpg and a .316 BA in their L/7 overall (wins). HOUSTON is 18-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 season. HINCH is 32-11 against the money line in road games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span as the manager of HOUSTON. HINCH is 41-17 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of HOUSTON. The Astros are 18-0 L/18 on the ML with rest in the first game of a road series when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 3.4 on the season and it is before the All-Star break. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 38-10 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 217.5 | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State rolled to a 116-94 win vs Portland in the first game of this series, and Im betting they are just getting ramped up. Portland had issues converting from the field and despite of being on tired legs did play more efficient conservative ball like they did against Denver, but the Warriors have just to much firepower, so their efforts were muted . With that said, Im expecting this Portland Blazers team to man up here and play more aggressive offensive hoops behind their splash brothers Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum  vs the explosive Dubs in a game Im betting will be much higher scoring than the first game. Over is 26-8-1 in Trail Blazers last 36 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 11-4 in Trail Blazers last 15 games following a straight up loss.Over is 19-8 in Trail Blazers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-5 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Warriors are 8-0 OVER L/8  in  playoff games when they are off a home victory where they held their opposition under their season-to-date shooting percentage average by more than ten percentage points,  going over by an average of +21 ppg.  NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight game are 130-89 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-16-19 | Cardinals -102 v. Braves | 2-10 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Thursday's pitching matchup features St. Louis right-hander Adam Wainwright (3-3, 4.15 ERA) against right-hander Julio Teheran (2-4, 4.26).Wainwright made his first seven-inning start in 13 months his last time out and generated a season-high 23 called strikes. Key to his early-season success has been his curveball and with that confidence is a dangerous hurler at the moment.Wainwright is 9-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 18 career games (13 starts) against the Braves and gets my support again tonight in Georgia. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright! Cardinals are 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Braves.Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Braves Atlantas starter Teheran has not notched a win in 5 starts and is lacking support in his appearances. ST LOUIS is 14-4 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIKE is 35-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS. MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-18 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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05-16-19 | Brewers +113 v. Phillies | 11-3 | Win | 113 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)  Brewers starter Davies at 4-0 is in top form entering this afternoon tilt. The light throwing righty has allowed  two or fewer runs in each of his eight starts. Only five times this season has a Brewers starter worked into at least the seventh inning. Davies has three of them. With that said, he gets my backing on a value line this afternoon in Philadelphia. Phillies are 1-4 in Eflins their starters last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Brewers. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 18-44 L/22seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bewers to win on the ML |
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05-15-19 | Raptors +6 v. Bucks | 100-108 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors looked clumsy at best in their game 7 win vs the Philadelphia 76ers, and overall in that series. Overall, I believe both teams in that series, somehow effected the energy flow of each other in a negative way, which resulted in some of the ugliest basketball in this years playoffs. One thing did stand out to me in that above mentioned series, and that is the absolute dominance of Kawhi Leonard, and how he is a top tier player and game changer at the height of his career . His efforts were key for the Dinos in the play offs so far and nothing will change tonight vs a rested but rusty Milwaukee team that easily disposed of Boston in their last series victory. Im being careful here not to use any head to head matchup stats from the regular season, as the hoops that we will see tonight, wont be the same kind of hoops we have seen previously. I know the Raptors have a poor game 1 history in the play offs, but they did win game 1 vs Philly, and their still in game shape after a long series with the Sixers, while the inexperienced Bucks, are off a long lay off, and could easily start slow, which Im betting on a entire game basis effects their ability to cover, giving us value with the underdog Raptors. NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points in their last ten games are 11-43 . ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-15-19 | Sharks v. Blues -131 | 5-4 | Loss | -131 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Jordan Binnington saved 24 of 26 shots in the Blues' Game 2 win, and Im betting on him repeating in follow up performance as the series moves St. Louis. I also expect Sharks Logan Couture to be concentrated on by the Blues here tonight and for his presence to be muted. St.Louis remains a consistent team, cold as is ice sort of speak, as they consistently show speed in the offensive zone of transition, and hard fore checking from start to finish making them a dangerous team and my choice here tonight vs the Sharks. ST LOUIS is 21-6 ATS against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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05-15-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R) Right-hander Mike Soroka (3-1, 1.21) will face St. Louis right-hander Michael Wacha (3-0, 5.35) in the second game of the three-game series in Atlanta.Last time out, Soroka became the first MLB pitcher since earned runs became official in both leagues in 1913 to allow one or fewer earned runs as a starter in eight of his first 10 career games. Im expecting both hurlers to hold their own here against batting orders that my projections suggest they matchup well against.  Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 9-4-1 in Cardinals last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Sorokas last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. ATLANTA is 20-9 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-15-19 | Cubs v. Reds -123 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
YU DARVISH (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R) Cubs starter Darvish (2-3, 5.40 ERA) leads the majors with 33 walks in 36 2/3 innings. He has 11 walks and 11 strikeouts in eight innings this month, the main reason he is winless in his first two starts in May with a 6.75 ERA. In his current form he is fade material. Meanwhile, GRAY the Reds starter is is 14-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati. Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 7-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219.5 | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Portland has really piked up its defensive intensity in these play offs. That was evident vs the Denver Nuggets in this last series. Note: Since late December of 2015, the Denver Nuggets were held to under 37.1% shooting from the field at home in only two games - both were in their playoff series vs Portland. Now the Blazers will go against an explosive Golden State team that they know they wont easily compete against in a run and gun affair, and instead Im betting will focus on a more conservative physical approach here that will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 UNDERÂ in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 Conference Finals games Play UNDERÂ |
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05-14-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 The Bruins dominated the Carolina Canes in game 2 at home in this series, after getting lucky and taking game 1. However, Im betting the Canes in desperation mode with their home town fans behind them, get a must needed win here tonight. I know after their last debacle , its hard to back Carolina, but they have been one of the best 5 on 5 teams in the NHL this season, and one of the few teams that can battle with the Bs straight up. CAROLINA is 12-5 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season.CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on Carolina to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Angels v. Twins -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
FELIX PENA (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)  Gibson struck out a career-high 11 hitters on Wednesday, when he allowed only one run and two hits to the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. He is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA, 28 strikeouts and three walks in his last four appearances and gets my support here tonight. LA ANGELS are 1-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 season.LA ANGELS are 11-33 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home. Play on Minnesota to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Cardinals -122 v. Braves | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) Atlanta's starter today vs St.Louis Foltynewicz hasn't had a quality start in his first three outings of the season, going 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA. Now the right-hander faces the Cardinals, against whom he owns an 8.06 ERA in five career starts and is fade material in this spot play.FOLTYNEWICZ is 3-13 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) I know the Card sin their current struggling form dont inspire bettors, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 24-10 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons and get my support today to get us the win. MIKE is 34-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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05-14-19 | Brewers -114 v. Phillies | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Woodruff is 5-1 with a 4.25 ERA in eight starts this season. He has allowed just three earned runs over the last 16 innings in three previous starts and enters this game looking like he has top tier momentum, and a viable pitcher to back here tonight in Philadelphia. Note:Woodruff has struck out at least six batters in each of his last seven starts, the most by a Milwaukee pitcher since Zack Greinke had seven in a row in 2011. Â MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons MLBÂ team (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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05-13-19 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks -153 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
 NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L) Arizona starter Ray took a no-decision in his last outing against the Rays when he threw 5 2/3 shutout innings while striking out 11 batters. He is six strikeouts away from 800 for his career and would be the second fastest lefty in terms of games pitched to reach that mark and gets my support today to over power this Pirates batting order. RAY is 19-4 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Arizona has won all 4 meetings in this series this season outscoring the Pirates by a 30-7 count and matchup well vs this Pirates side. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 43-9 L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAN Leads 1-0 San Jose won game 1 of this series by a 6-3 count, and Im betting on more high octane work here tonight by both teams in a game Im betting eclipses the total. Considering how erratic Martin Jones San Jose goalie has been all season, its an easy decision to take an over stance here. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 road games. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-0 in Blues last 4 Conference Finals games. Over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 games as an underdog. Over is 2-0-2 in Blues last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. NHL team against the total (ST LOUIS) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 56-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-13-19 | Angels +123 v. Twins | 5-4 | Win | 123 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R) Skaggs is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota with 15 strikeouts in 13 innings and gets y support here today vs a batting order that my pitcher vs power ranking suggest he matches up well against. Twins are 9-22 in their last 31 vs. American League West and their starter Berrios is 2-5 vs the West in his L/7 starts.Angels are 6-2 in Skaggs' last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Angels are 7-3 in Skaggs' last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MINNESOTA) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games are 18-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +138 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L) Boyd Detroits left-handed starter has won his last two starts and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his eight outings, becoming Detroit's most reliable starter in the process and is a viable underdog in this spot. Astros are 5-16 in their starters Peacocks last 21 starts with 4 days of rest. Tigers are 14-3 in Boyds last 17 home starts.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 6-2 in Boyds last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Tigers are 9-3 in Boyds last 12 starts on grass.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts vs. American League West.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts. BOYD is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BOYD is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-17 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -138 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-3, 5.03 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (2-1, 1.41) Lester has been stellar since returning from the IL, allowing just one earned run over 18 innings (three starts) with 19 strikeouts and one walk. The southpaw has not faced the Brewers this year, but went 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts (11 2/3 IP) in '18 and gets my support here this Sunday night. CHICAGO CUBS are 15-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.Â
Brewers are 1-4 in Chacins last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 overall.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 Sunday games.Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 6-1 in Lesters last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 Sunday starts.Cubs are 10-3 in Lesters last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 11-4 in Lesters last 15 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 38-14 in Lesters last 52 home starts.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 37-16 in Lesters last 53 starts on grass.Cubs are 36-16 in Lesters last 52 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 37-17 in Lesters last 54 starts.Cubs are 39-18 in Lesters last 57 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 19-9 in Lesters last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | 76ers +6 v. Raptors | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Philadelphia awoke from a 2 game slumber last time out in game 6, and forced a game 7 here in Toronto this Sunday. From the outset of this series I thought these teams were fairly evenly matched, and my thoughts have not changed. With that said, Im now betting we have value on the line getting points with Philadelphia in a game that has a high probability according to my projections of being hard fought to the very end. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Raptors are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games.TORONTO is 2-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 77-58 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average margin deficit of those 135 games clicking in at 5 ppg. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | 90-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I know that play off series when they go deep have a tendency of going under. However all games must be treated independently of each other. There is just to much offence on the floor here tonight in a game that I have pegged to be closely contested for this total not to breached . PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 53 games vs up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-12-19 | Nationals v. Dodgers -141 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-2, 3.71 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-1, 2.03) Dodgers starter Ryu’s last trip to the hill was a 93-pitch, four-hit shutout of the Braves. It was another walk-less start for the Korean hurler , who has 45 strikeouts and only two walks and in his current form is a viable chalk call here. Note: Ryu owns a 1.93 ERA in three career starts versus the Nationals. Dodgers are 21-6 in Ryus last 27 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Hyun Jin Ryu starts as a favorite and they scored more than 6 runs in his last start.The Dodgers are 16-0 L/16 on the ML in the last game of a home series when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start. Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. National League West. WASHINGTON is 0-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. ROBERTS is 36-8 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Reds +105 v. Giants | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
 Reds RH Tyler Mahle (0-5, 3.69 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2-4, 3.99) Reds starter Mahle, has allowed only one run in each of his last two appearances and despite of not showing it with his record is a viable hurler on a value line here today in SF. The Reds have outscored their opponents 15-4 during their three-game winning streak and are showing the upward momentum needed for them to sweep this series and notch a victory in this spot. BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Giants are 1-7 in their starts Bumgarners last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance which was the case vs Colorado last time out.Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. National League Central. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Angels v. Orioles +159 | 1-5 | Win | 159 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
RH Griffin Canning (1-0, 4.66 ERA) Vs. Orioles LH John Means (4-3, 2.48) Means a long shot to make this roster is a key component in the Baltimore rotation and held the Boston Red Sox to one run and three hits over seven innings on Monday to earn his third victory in his last four trips to the hill. The rookie has only allowed one or no earned runs in eight of his nine appearances and has garnered 29 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings of quality work. Means is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in five outings at home this season and gets the nod today on a value line. Note: The Orioles are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a 150-plus pup against a team that has won at least their last three games like the Halos. Angels are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. LA ANGELS are 8-26 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 2 seasons MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 12-28 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 As in all NBA play off games that have gone deep into a series the opposing sides are a bit fatigued and both sides are very accustomed to each others offensive schemes and all the necessary defensive adjustments have been accounted for thus a lower scoring affair is not out of the ordinary. Add that both sides do not want to make mistakes, and conservative hoops is the norm that makes a under wager here a viable investment option. The L/14 seasons have seen the under go 97-69 UNDER in game 6 and 7s of play off series. Under is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 14-5 in Nuggets last 19 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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05-12-19 | Padres v. Rockies -123 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
LH Nick Margevicius (2-3, 3.47 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-2, 5.67) After beginning the year on the injured list with an infected right heel blister, Senzatela the Rockies starter faced the Padres in his season debut and gave up one run and six hits -- and fanned four -- in 6 2/3 innings of a win at Petco Park and gets the nod again in this spot. Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts vs. Padres.Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatelas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 12-5 in Senzatelas last 17 starts vs. National League West.Padres are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings. SAN DIEGO is 1-12 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 3-18 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are 56-28 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to . win on the ML |
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05-11-19 | Reds v. Giants +119 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 3.65 ERA) vs. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (2-1, 3.16) Samardzija will be primed to bounce back after a down effort last Sunday in Cincinnati, during which he gave up four runs over five innings, including three homers on consecutive pitches in the first. Prior to that, he had a 2.53 ERA over his first six starts and Im betting he bounces back. Reds are 1-7 in DeSclafanis last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.DESCLAFANI is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.384. Reds are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. The Reds are 0-15 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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05-11-19 | White Sox +150 v. Blue Jays | 7-2 | Win | 150 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R) Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. White Sox Toronto's Opening Day starter Stroman has allowed 11 runs over his last eight innings while registering just five strikeouts and in his current form is fade material. Nova is one of only two White Sox starters to work at least seven innings this season, accomplishing that goal for a second time on Monday in Cleveland. Nova, who allowed one run in the victory, feels as if his velocity is climbing. Im betting he has upward momentum, while his opponent does not making this a value line situation Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 home starts.  WHITE SOX are 13-8 against the money line in road games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 14-27 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 213 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 These teams have had alot of half court games over the last few seasons, but the two games played in Houston in this series, showed some more wide open hoops. With Houston on the verge of elimination Im betting they unload here in a big way and leave everything on the court in aggressive fashion which will force the Warriors to run and gun with their desperate opponents in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. The Rockets in their L/10 games since Mar 17, 2019 as a home favorite have seen a combined average score of 220.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-2 OVER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg going on the score board. GOLDEN STATE is 20-8 OVER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 104-52 OVER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-19 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
In his past four starts,Twins starter Odorizzi is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings. He has a 3-1 record and 3.77 ERA in eight career starts against the Tigers and gets the nod tonight on this runline wager. Meanwhile,Tigers starter Tyson Ross (1-4, 5.34 ERA), gave up five runs on seven hits in 1 1/3 innings in a 15-3 loss to Kansas City this past Saturday, will make his second start of the season against the Twins. Ross, is 0-4 with a 5.30 ERA in six games and four career starts against Minnesota and is fade material in his current form. JAKE ODORIZZI is 13-5 against the run line in home games over the last 2 seasons. The Twins are in top form and 11 games over .500 (23-12) and swept the Tigers in an abbreviated 2 game sweep earlier this season, and matchup well vs Motown , especially here tonight in a game that Im betting ends in a 2+ run or more positive deficit for them. Play on the Minnesota on the -1.5 RL |
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05-10-19 | Marlins +163 v. Mets | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R) New York lost five of six on a road trip to San Diego and Milwaukee and is 4-10 since its last back-to-back wins, so going against them even with under rated Miami is not an issue for me here today. I know the Marlins dont inspire confidence after having lost 10 of 12, but they have taken become more competitive over the last week. Miami ended a home stand Sunday by losing to the Atlanta Braves 3-1 in 10 innings before beating the Cubs on Monday and suffering walk-off defeats Tuesday and Wednesday. Note: Miami's starter Lopez's only start against the Mets came in his major league debut last June 30, when he started and earned the win by allowing two runs over six innings as Miami earned a 5-2 victory and gets my support in this spot on a value line. WHEELER the Mets starter is 1-10 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets are 4-11 in Wheelers last 15 starts during game 1 of a series.Mets are 1-4 in Wheelers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. NY METS are 5-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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05-10-19 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
 GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L) Chicago left-hander Jose Quintana (4-1, 3.40 ERA) will make his second start against Milwaukee this season.  Quintana is 6-2 owns a 1.62 ERA vs the Brewers. Last year alone, Quintana was 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA vs Milwaukee and Im betting on him having a quality start today. Meanwhile, Gonzalez the Brewers starter has made two starts for the Brewers each against the New York Mets and he has a 2.61 ERA with no decisions in 10 1/3 innings. He has gone at least five innings in each start and has allowed nine hits, just one walk and no homers. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 home starts vs. Brewers.Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.MILWAUKEE is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons with an average of 7.2 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg. MADDON is 32-13 UNDER after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS with a combined 7.4 rpg scored. The wind is blowing in from center field today at Wrigley Field. In the recent past , the under 105-72-8 L/185 record at Wrigley when the wind is blowing in , and we once again have value on the under here today. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record and are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 108-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 Denver phenom Nikola Jokic continued his top tier play with 25 points and 19 rebounds in Game 5 . The big man is averaging 26.4 points, 14.4 rebounds and 8.8 assists and controlling play while hes on the court. His emergence into the associations list of up and comers and the good energy he creates for his hard working teams mates makes this Denver hard to beat in their current form and they get my backing again tonight to cover this spread. PORTLAND is 11-22 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 6-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. Play on Denver to cover |
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05-09-19 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -102 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R) Weaver the DBacks starter has allowed more than three runs just once this season, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his past four starts. The righty over powered the Rockies over seven innings his last time out, allowing one earned run on three hits and striking out eight and gets my support here tonight in the desert.  ATLANTA is 3-11 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. ARIZONA is 11-4 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a favorite of -150 or more, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 12-31 L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 34-19 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona to win on the ML |
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05-09-19 | Raptors -2 v. 76ers | 101-112 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 It has become painfully obvious to Sixers backers over the last couple of games that the young men from the City of Brotherly Love, are having issues dealing with the Raptors super star Kawhi Leonard who is proving himself as the best player in this series. Add to that the sudden emergence of Kyle Lowry , as he finally is showing us he can play well in a play off environment and you have a situation that favors the Raptors to advance to the next round with a win tonight. Note: Leonard has become the fifth player in NBA history to register150 points, 30 rebounds and 15 assists through the first four games of a playoff series in NBA history, and Im betting he will be the difference maker in this spot. Note:  Since the 2014-15, season, home underdogs in game 6 are 0-10 SU, losing by an average of 19.5 ppg. Philadelphias Embiid is averaging just 17 points and 7.6 rebounds in the series ( injuries, ailments, exhaustion, and lack of play off experience is key here ) 76ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 14-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212.5 | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 With the way the Sixers are shooting, and their flow has been for the last couple of games Im betting they wont just suddenly come out here and light things up. Add to that when the Sixers star Embiid is off the court his team has been a wreck, and with him playing they have really not been been much better, as its obvious to me hes not 100% as rumors swirl about his fitness and possible ill health at a very inopportune time. Because the Sixers chemistry looks to be a shambles entering this game I fully expect them to have a muted offensive effort in a game that has a high probability of not eclipsing the number. Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games.Under is 6-0-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 Thursday games.Under is 4-0-1 in Raptors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Raptors last 10 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-2-1 in Raptors last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in 76ers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.TORONTO is 24-7 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored.  Play UNDER (LATE STEAM) |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The opening line on this game was -9.5 which is pretty accurate , and now because of public perceptions about Houstons ability to compete with Golden State a flurry of public money has lowered this line down to value level and Im now all over Golden State elevating their play here tonight in coming out here like their hair is on fire. Note:  NBA playoff teams like the Rockets that won two straight games vs a one or a two seed to tie the series at two games are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 times in game five with the average margin defeat coming by 17.4 ppg. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-08-19 | Avalanche +125 v. Sharks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 San Jose is the older of these two teams and more experienced but their overall age and the fact that this is their 2nd straight 7 games series, flashes fatigue factor red flags all over the place. With that said, Im betting on the young legs and natural offensive talent of play makers like Nathan McKinnon to be the difference maker here tonight in this pivotal tilt. Plus I can't trust SJ goalie Martin Jones, who is as inconsistent any goalie in the entire NHL.  Avalanche are 13-3 in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest and  are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Avalanche are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog. Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the ML |
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05-08-19 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
 KC Right-hander Jorge Lopez (0-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his first career appearance against the Astros in the series finale. Lopez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the road this season and does not matchup well according to my power rankings vs this Houston batting order. Note:HOUSTON is 53-14 SU vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2.7 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 9-33 SU against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 1.8 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Houston is in revenge mode today after being embarrassed by the Royals yesterday losing by a 12-2 count. Note: MLB chalk of more than -200 coming off a 10+ run loss are 22-3 SU in their followup game winning by an average of 3 rpg .  Play on Houston Astros RL -1.5 to win and cover |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218.5 | 91-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - MIL Leads 3-1 The Celtics are now in desperation mode and must get back to what made their opening game in this series a successful one. In game 1 the Celtics held the Bucks to 90 points and got a win, and since than gotten away from the type of defensive ball that has made them successful over the last few seasons. Tonight Im betting they pay very strict attention to D, knowing that they can not out score the Bucks in a fast paced game and are a big time disadvantage. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers and public might expect. BOSTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-08-19 | Angels +106 v. Tigers | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L) Angles starter Skaggs has been solid since missing two weeks with an ankle sprain, allowing two runs and striking out 10 over his last 11 innings. Both runs came in his six-inning outing against Toronto on Thursday, which was a win. In his current form he is hard to face, especially against a inconsistent offence like the Tigers own.  LA ANGELS are 18-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 25-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 41-13 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
 Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Denver has shown me they are the superior team in this series conflict with Portland thanks in part to a top tier defence, better open court shots, and a young man by the name of Jokic who is averaging 24.5 points per game, 12.5 assists, 9.3 assists and shooting better than 50% from the field, which are to this point the greatest numbers ever put up by a rookie in play off history. The big man logged alot of minutes last time out, but hes well conditioned and young, and more than capable of having another big game here at home in the Mile High City where the Nuggets have played their best hoops this season. Portland has failed to cover 18 of their L/23 after a straight-up loss in the playoffs under HC Stotts. Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games. Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest. Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home loss are 63-19 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate with the average ppg dif clicking in at +6.6 . NBA Road underdogs (PORTLAND) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 8-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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05-07-19 | Giants v. Rockies -115 | 14-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-4, 3.92 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 4.03) Colorados stater Senzatela, is 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in eight games (six starts) against San Francisco. His team won all 6 starts, and he gets the nod again today vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. The Giants have lost six straight tilts at the launching pad knows as Coors Field and are 2-17 on the ML in the Mile High City since 2017 , winning one game in each of the last two campaigns and Im betting on the Giants losing another one in this spot. Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. BOCHY is 9-27 against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more as the manager of SAN FRANCO. (SF lost 12-4 to the Reds on Monday.) BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 0-7 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. SAN FRANCISCO is 4-21 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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05-07-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 These teams base most of their successes and failures on playing hard nosed hockey that keys on top tier defences and goalies . Also in game 7s refs usually make sure the game is not decided on border line calls, so penalties and power plays should be limited. Add to that the Vegas Knights penalty fiasco and you can make a case for the refs being very cautious with their whistles in what will be a grinding conservative affair that will be based on each sides transition game, which Im betting aides in us cashing on with a under ticket. Play UNDER |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 89-125 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 These teams are pretty evenly matched according to my head to head power rankings . I know Joel Embiid looked horrible in the final half of the last quarter, and possibly single handily handed the Raptors the win in game 4 of this series , with ugly charity stripe shooting, turnovers, and very nervous and overall big man clumsiness, and his lack of being an experienced closer . Despite of all this he is very talented and being on the road should help him be more balanced. With that said, Im betting the young man comes out here and adjusts , with a much better effort and leads his team to a cover. Raptors are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Semifinals games. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdogs are 41-22 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate . Play on the 76ers to cover |
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05-07-19 | Mariners v. Yankees -150 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka goes to the hill Tuesday on five days' rest, and looking fresh enough to continue his dominance over Seattle. The Japanese hurler is 7-0 with a 2.02 ERA in eight career starts against Seattle and has lasted at least seven innings in seven of those starts.It must be noted that Tanaka is among four active pitchers with an ERA of 2.50 or less and a 7-0 record or better against one opponent. Dominance is the name of the game here and confidence that is carries , as Tanaka's ERA against the Mariners is his lowest against any American League team, as is evident by holding Mariners hitters to a .199 average (42-for-211). He also owns a 12.80 strikeout-to-walk ratio (64 strikeouts, five walks) vs. Seattle, the fourth highest against any opponent by any pitcher with at least 50 strikeouts since 1913. The Yankees are 17-0 on the ML in franchise history with Masahiro Tanaka as chalk of more than 135 when they used five pitchers yesterday and their starter had at least three more strikeouts than their bullpen. GONZALES Seattle start is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.53 and a WHIP of 1.422. Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 overall. NY YANKEES are 31-7 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Lay the lumber here with the NY Yankees on the ML |
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05-07-19 | White Sox +132 v. Indians | 2-0 | Win | 132 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.32 ERA) vs. Indians RH Jefry Rodriguez (0-1, 2.13) Cleveland has been steamrolled in back to back games by 10-0 and 9-1 counts and look in disarray as injuries eat away at their starting pitching core and lineup. I know the White Sox dont inspire bettors , but their catching the Tribe at a perfect time, and knocked them around last night and look like viable investment options on a value ML here again this evening. White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Note: GIOLITO the Pale Hose starter is 11-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2 The Avalanche have given the Sharks all they can handle in this series, but Saturday it was San Jose that controlled the game and bottled up Colorado's best player. Oilers center Nathan MacKinnon, who came into Saturday with an eight-game playoff point streak, was held scoreless and managed just one shot. Im betting that wont happen again and Colorado takes this to a 7th and deciding game . SAN JOSE is 6-17 ATS in the 6th game of a playoff series since 1996.COLORADO is 26-16 ATS revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Colorado Avalanche to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAN Leads 3-2 A combined total of 6 goals have been scored in the L/2 games of this series, and Im betting on the tight play and top tier goal tending and defence continuing here tonight. Martin Jones turned aside 21 of 22 shots on Saturday, improving his save percentage to .936 over the last eight games. Colorado G Philipp Grubauer owns 3-1 mark with a 1.69 goals-against average and .945 save percentage at Pepsi Center in the 2019 playoffs. Play UNDER |
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05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
 Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 In game 3 of this series I expected a fairly high scoring game , and it went into OT, and we cashed on the OVER. I saw a tendency towards a faster paced set in game 2, which led me to my assessment, but now Im expecting a more conservative approach here from both teams, and a half court game which is the norm when these teams go head to head over the last few seasons. Remember both teams saw key players play an extreme amount of minutes ( Harden) and now a fatigue factor must be considered.   Houston is and 0-6 UNDER by an average of more than 14 points as a favorite in the playoffs after a game with eight-plus lead changes while the Warriors are 0-8 UNDER L/8 staying below the number by more than an average 13 ppg as a road pup with less than two days rest off a road loss in which there were eight-plus lead changes. GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 215.3 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 77-37 UNDER L5 seasons for 68%conversion rate. Play on the UNDER  . |
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05-06-19 | Nationals v. Brewers -104 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R) Chacin worked six scoreless innings against the Rockies earlier on this homestand that he delivered a scoreless start and looks to be finally rounding into form after a mediocre start. Meanwhile,Max Scherzer (1-4, 4.08) will start for the Nationals, who played with a mix-and-match lineup Sunday against Philadelphia due to the assorted injuries.The Nationals have lost six of Scherzer’s seven starts on the season, and him and his team are fade material in their present form. SCHERZER is 0-5 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) CHACIN is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 18-1 against the money line after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 21-50 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Diamondbacks +173 v. Rays | 1-12 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Kelly the Dbacks starter tonight has proven to be a valuable pickup for the D-backs, who signed him in December after he spent four years in Korea. Kelly allowed one run on five hits over 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees and is my value choice here this Monday vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Note:The Rays have won eight of 11 series this season but are only 7-8 in their last 15 games following a 14-4 start and do not look as strong as they did earlier this season. Snell TBs starter the defending AL Cy Young Award winner, gave up a career-high seven runs in his last start, when he went three-plus innings in an 8-2 loss to Kansas City on Wednesday and looks vulnerable at the moment.It's the first time in his career he has gone 3 1/3 innings or fewer in back-to-back starts. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - after getting shut out against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Arizona has scored 26 runs in their L/3 while TB has scored 3 runs or less in 6 of their L/9 overall. Play on Arizona to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Twins +104 v. Blue Jays | 8-0 | Win | 104 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Martin Perez takes the mound in search of his fourth straight victory after holding the Astros scoreless over eight innings in his last start. Perez is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA since joining the Twins' who  have won seven of 10 and 11 of 16. Perez and the Twinkies get my support here again in this start vs the inconsistent Blue Jays. Note:TORONTO is 18-32 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Perez over the last 3 seasons. Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 11-2 in their last 13 games following a loss.Twins are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall. Blue Jays are 17-41 in their last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 12-30 in their last 42 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Blue Jays are 3-8 in Stromans last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-7 in Stromans last 9 starts.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 home starts.Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts on astroturf. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 221 | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 Milwaukee has imposed their offensive will on the Celtics in back to back games in this series, scoring 123 points in both tilts (wins), and now Im betting nothing changes tonight as they hit or eclipse that number, again with Boston having no choice but to open up with their own capable offence and also have a substantial output performance. The Bucks are 6-0 L/6 OVER on the road eclipsing the Total by more than 18 ppg, with the average combined score clicking in at 244.2 ppg.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER in road games versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.3 ppg. Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 road games.Over is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 10-2 in Bucks last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 13-3 in Bucks last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Bucks last 22 games following a straight up win.Over is 24-8 in Bucks last 32 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 26-9 in Bucks last 35 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 11-4 in Bucks last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a straight up loss.Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 11-4-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings here in Boston. Play OVER |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 | 113-101 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
The Celtics have to come out of their defensive minded shell and compete with the Bucks, who just refuse to slow down. It's not like the Celtics don't have the fire power or determination to compete, and tonight I expect some adjustments that make them more aggressive offensively. Look for Kyrie Irving to come out of a 2 game shooting funk here and really put forward a top tier effort. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 19-79 SU L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-06-19 | Giants v. Reds -134 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
 Giants LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 4.08 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 3.48) DeSclafani is 1-0 with a 0.51 ERA over his last three starts, including back-to-back outings in which he has not allowed a run and deserves our support here as chalk. Giants are 19-40 in their last 59 overall.Giants are 11-24 in their last 35 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 17-40 in their last 57 games on grass.Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Giants are 5-17 in their last 22 vs. National League CentralGiants are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati. SAN FRANCISCO is 19-51 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities 50-126 L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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05-05-19 | Cardinals +130 v. Cubs | 5-13 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Cubs - J. Quintana-L vs Cardinals - A. Wainwright-R  Cub starter Wainwright is 15-10 with a 4.01 ERA in 45 career appearances (36 starts). This will be his 21st career start at Wrigley Field, where he has a top tier record garnering a 11-3 record along with a 3.78 ERA.The Cardinals are 12-0 on the ML since 2008 with Wainwright on the hill when he won his last start and they are facing a NL team like the Cubs that has won at least 4 straight. In his last 4 starts under these premiers  he averaged 7 + innings  of work and allowed a total of just one run.WAINWRIGHT is 30-19 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) I know the Cards have lost three straight, but this is strong situation for them, as they have shown resiliency of late when on a 3 game losing streak cashing 23- of the 32 times . ST LOUIS is 11-4 against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. WAINWRIGHT is 16-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team on base percentage of .340 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210.5 | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played they went into extended OT, and now, so many in the public are expecting a muted offensive effort here today because of fatigue factor. But now with all the value sucked out of the total in downward fashion, Im now betting the OVER is a value wager and a game that should see both teams eclipse the 105+ plateau based on my own projections. Note:DENVER is 33-9 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 44-10 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 245.3 ppg scored. The Nuggets are 6-0 OVER (18.83 ppg) since Apr 07, 2019 as a road dog with a combined score of 232.5 ppg scored. DENVER is 10-1 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PORTLAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers -2 | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting the Raptors are in trouble without the injured Siakam in the lineup here today in Philadelphia, especially in transition where he is one of the best in the league. It must be noted that Toronto has decreased its FG% conversion rare by 4.7% margin with Siakam not playing . When Siakam is on the bench during the these playoffs, the Raps are recording an Offensive Rating of 94.2 and an eFG% of 42.9%; they’ve been at 109.7 and 55.2% with him on the floor. The Raptors bench is weak, and volatile and with the way Lowry continues to struggle, and the Dinos ultra dependence Kawhi Leonard for offence, things just don't look good for them despite of being desperate for a win. During the L/5 play of seasons,sides that were defeated in their previous game by 10 ppg or more and then are underdogs in their next playoff tilt have really let their betting backers down going 45-76-1 for a go against 61% conversion rate on the spread . NBA Road underdogs (TORONTO) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 7-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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05-04-19 | Warriors +4 v. Rockets | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 Golden State are still the odds on favs to win the NBA championship, and rightly so. I know Houston is one of the few teams that matchup well against the Warriors, but the Dubs are still the superior side, and are a dangerous road dog, making them my choice here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. Lots of value at this line. Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. HOUSTON is 7-16 ATS after allowing 115 points or more this season which was the case in the game 2 loss. Play on Golden State to cover |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 221 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 52 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have a history of playing alot of half court games that have gone under the total. However, I noticed an interesting trend of faster paced basketball starting unfold in game 2 in Oakland as the combined score clicked in at 224 points. The Rockets for the most part were expected to wanted these games to be slower paced, while the Warriors want to run. Now here in Houston Im expecting the Rockets to be more aggressive and to push the action, and for the Warriors to have no problems reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that Im betting eclipses the total. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. GOLDEN STATE in their L/25 games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-04-19 | Blue Jays v. Rangers -124 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
 THOMAS PANNONE (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R) LYNN the Rangers starter is 36-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)Lynn has won three of his last four starts and gets my support here today vs the Jays. Blue Jays are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays defeated the Texas Rangers yesterday by a 1-0 count, but the the Rangers have proven resilient in this situation recently cashing at a 12-0 ML clip as a home 140+ favorite when they were shutout yesterday, winning by an average of 7.33 runs per game .  MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 26-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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05-04-19 | A's -102 v. Pirates | 4-6 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) As starter Bassitt has been brilliant in two starts since coming off the injured list,  The right-hander has allowed just one run over his first two starts with an impressive 16-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 12 innings. The righty owns a 2.87 ERA in three previous interleague trips to the hill and gets my support here today. OAKLAND is 46-18 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons/ Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 overall.Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games on grass.Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 home games. Note: American League teams have won +126 + units in interleague play dating back 14 seasons. MLB team (OAKLAND) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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05-04-19 | Cardinals v. Cubs -126 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-0, 4.78 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.02) Darvish is coming off his best start of the season, one run allowed on two hits over six solid frames against the D-backs on Saturday. After a slow start Im betting he continues to round into form and gets my support here today vs the visiting Cards. Note: His pitching opponent Wacha is 4-8 with a 6.65 ERA in 18 outings (16 starts) against the Cubs, including a 1-4 record and a 5.98 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) at Wrigley Field. Cardinals are 3-8 in Wachas last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cardinals are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Chicago MLB eam (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start), with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) are 29-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 After a top tier performance in game 1 the Nuggets then looked fatigued in game 2 of this series vs the Blazers. Do I think 2 days rest, is enough for the the young men from Denver to get back the form they had against the Spurs and then in the first tilt of this series? Yes, I do and suggest we take the points. Note: Denver really struggled from beyond the arc in game 2 , converting on just 6 of 29 shots for a 20.7% conversion rate. It not all bad however, from a ATS perspective as teams over the L/14 seasons, who hit 21% or less of their down town attempts, were positive money earners cashing at 101-77-4 ATS clip in their follow up game. PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 215 | 137-140 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Denvers success has been predicated on their ability to play top tier defence, as is evident by their 6th overall ppg D, and their 20th ranked offensive output, which includes, a 27th ranked pace. Here on the road Im betting on a very conservative attack set of schemes from Denver, and a physical type approach that will slow down the run and gun Blazers which Im betting results in a much lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. DENVER is 15-5 UNDERÂ in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season which was the case in game 2 of this series ( 187 total point output in a 97-90 loss) NBAÂ teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 37-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBAÂ teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-03-19 | Stars v. Blues -145 | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
 Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The Blues won the first and third games of this series, while the Stars took the second and fourth, so it's up to St. Louis to respond after their first road loss of the playoffs and Im betting they come out here like their hairs on fire and get the job done. Im a big believer in the Blues, and their grit, and I believe it will be the difference maker in this series. Note:ST LOUIS is 36-19 ATS second half of the season this season. Stars are 4-12 in their last 16 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Play on the Blues |
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05-03-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The teams split games in Boston during the regular season, with the Celtics winning 117-113 in November and the Bucks prevailing 120-107 in December. But since the beginning of this season the Bucks have morphed into a power house in this league and must be respected here as road underdogs. The Bucks started this series very slowly, but boy did they ever pick things up last time out with a dominating 123-102 victory, and Im betting they continue to surge here on the road where they have covered their L/4 as visitors overall. BOSTON is 5-15 ATS off a road loss this season and are fade material here. I just cant get over the fact of how the Celtics struggled for long periods of time this season, and how they have been bad bets at home of late, failing to cover 8 of their L/10 at home and 10 of their L/14 as home chalk. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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05-03-19 | A's +104 v. Pirates | 14-1 | Win | 104 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Athletics LH Brett Anderson (3-2, 4.35 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (1-2, 1.54) After looking like the A's best pitcher through his first four starts, Anderson has not completed five innings in his past two outings. He has pitched well at PNC Park, though: 1-0 with a 1.38 in two career starts and Im betting on him bouncing back here today. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Musgrove is winless in his last four outings despite recording a quality start in each tilt. He is just not getting support from his team, and Im also betting nothing changes here today.MUSGROVE is 1-8 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record).MUSGROVE is 4-14 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 games on grass.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.Pirates are 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 home starts.Pirates are 1-4 in Musgroves last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Pirates are 2-11 in Musgroves last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (OAKLAND) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win on the ML |
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05-03-19 | Mariners +129 v. Indians | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Mariners - Y. Kikuchi-L vs Indians - S. Bieber-R Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Seattle after a fast start to their campaign ,have struggled of late , but tonight Im betting this matchup vs Cleveland is favorable for them. Note: SEATTLE is 13-3 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 road games. SEATTLE is 8-1 against the money line in road games in night games this season. SEATTLE is 29-13 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 22-9 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (SEATTLE) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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05-03-19 | Twins v. Yankees -145 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
James Paxton struck out eight and scattered five hits over 5 2/3 solid innings against the Giants for the win in his last outing. He walked two batters in the 106-pitch effort and continues to be in top form and deserving of my backing here tonight. Meanwhile, Gibson the Twins starter, despite of pitching better of late, after a slow start, does not matchup well against the Yankees current batting order. Note :Twins are 0-6 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Yankees. Twins are 2-5 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. MINNESOTA is 19-43 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 35-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 Friday games.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass.Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 41-16 in their last 57 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 57-23 in their last 80 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 64-28 in their last 92 games following a loss.Yankees are 59-26 in their last 85 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Yankees are 55-26 in their last 81 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts.Yankees are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts on grass. Twins are 19-56 in the last 75 meetings.Twins are 13-44 in the last 57 meetings in New York. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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05-02-19 | Blue Jays v. Angels -150 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L) Skaggs returned from the injured list to throw five scoreless innings last Friday at Kansas City. Skaggs allowed just three hits and matches up well according to my estimates vs this Toronto lineup. Meanwhile, Blue Jays starter Sanchez despite of a good record, has completed six innings only twice during that span and continues to pile up a high pitch count early in starts, and is my opinion in a downward regression slot. This is at the outer limits of the amount of lumber I like to lay, but its a viable enough opportunity to cash a ticket that the outlay outweighs the risk. Blue Jays are 16-39 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 7-21 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 Thursday games.Blue Jays are 3-11 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 2-9 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.Angels are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Blue Jays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Blue Jays are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings LA ANGELS are 40-17 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 66-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angles to win on the ML |
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05-02-19 | Raptors +1 v. 76ers | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The 76ers and the Raptors spilt the first two games of this series, in Toronto , but I feel the Raptors are better and deeper team, and have an edge here tonight in Philadelphia. Im not the only one who feels like this as is evident by the market shift and overall smart money that has steamed in on this since the line was posted. TORONTO is 32-19 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 33-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. In the last 14 seasons teams that cashed an underdog in their last game, like the Sixers, are long term bad bets as is evident by going 176-208-8 ATS including 80-102-2 ATS when those same sides play at hosts in their next tilt. The Sixers are just 3-7 ATS after a SU win as an underdog, failing to cover by 5.9 points per game and this season after a SU win , the 76ers are a bankroll depleting 22-33 ATS for their backers for a go against 60% conversion rate for opposing bettors. Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Raptors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Raptors are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 vs. NBA Atlantic. 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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05-02-19 | Rockies v. Brewers -115 | 11-6 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Jon Gray (2-3, 3.65 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Freddy Peralta (1-0, 7.13) Gray gave up five runs, eight hits (two home runs) and three walks in 4 2/3 innings of un inspiring work in Colorado's 9-5 victory at Atlanta on Saturday. His mechanics just did not look right, and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs this current Brewers lineup. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Peralta made a rehab start Saturday with Double-A Biloxi, striking out seven over 4 2/3 innings and 75 pitches and a key 52 throws for strikes and looked strong and worth my support here today. Peralta allowed one hit and two walks with a career-high 13 strikeouts in 5 2/3 shutout innings of his major league debut - a 7-3 victory at Colorado back in May of 2018.  Rockies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.Rockies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 57-23 in their last 80 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Brewers are 20-9 in their last 29 games following a loss.Brewers are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 54-25 in their last 79 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Brewers are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Brewers are 5-2 in Peraltas last 7 home starts. Play on Milwaukee Brewers on the ML |
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05-01-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - STL Leads 2-1 This series between St.Louis and Dallas is turning into a real hardcore battle. Both these teams successes and failures this season, have been predicated on play top tier defensive hockey and here in this crucial game 4 tilt, nothing will change. The Blues ranked 6th in gpg allowed this season, and 15th on offence. Meanwhile, Dallas , ranked 2nd in gpg defence, and 29th in offence. DALLAS is 16-5 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season and is 16-4 UNDER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. The DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 4.1 gpg. DALLAS is 20-9 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 games as an underdog. Under is 17-8-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 44-21-4 in Blues last 69 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 217 | 97-90 | Win | 103 | 35 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0 The Nuggets key to success this season, and what has gotten them this far is their defence. The Nuggets offensive output is ranked 20th in the league the defence ranked 6th in ppg allowed and they own the 27th ranked pace. I know Portland can light things up in a hurry, but Denver is built to slow teams like this down, and here in the thin air in the Mile High City are better suited for physical action which can be exhausting, and also directly effect the total combined score out come to the low side. Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7 in Nuggets last 25 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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05-01-19 | Blazers +3.5 v. Nuggets | 97-90 | Win | 102 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - DEN Leads 1-0  Denver after a long series against San Antonio kept their momentum alive in game 1 of this series vs Portland with a win. However, this Nuggets team must be tired and their fatigue could easily be a factor tonight against a motivated opponent that needs a win here to gain a split in this series. These teams are just to evenly matched from alot of perspectives that make me feel confident about taking points here. DENVER is 12-27 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.Trail Blazers are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Trail Blazers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss.Trail Blazers are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Trail Blazers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. Nuggets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nuggets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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05-01-19 | Indians v. Marlins +135 | 2-4 | Win | 135 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-2, 5.81 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Caleb Smith (2-0, 2.17) In his last three trips to the hill, Smith has allowed just 2 runs in 18 innings along with 22 strikeouts. The Marlins have won all three of those starts. The southpaw also is a difficult hurler to make solid contact off of. His hard contact rate, per Statcast, is 21.5 percent, in the top 6 percent in the Majors. Lots of value here backing him against Kluber and company tonight. Note: KLUBER is 17-26 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 4-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 7-17 in their last 24 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 6-15 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Marlins are 4-0 in Smiths last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Marlins are 4-0 in Smiths last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Marlins are 7-1 in Smiths last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Marlins are 4-1 in Smiths last 5 home starts.Marlins are 7-2 in Smiths last 9 starts. MLB team (MIAMI) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less ) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 29-9 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are just 12-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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05-01-19 | Islanders +106 v. Hurricanes | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - CAR Leads 2-0 The Islanders despite of being what I thought was the superior team in the first two games of this series find themselves down 2-0 and desperate need of a victory. Timely scoring a top tier goaltending was the difference maker but there is good recent precedent for the underdog Isles here tonight as they are 16-1 ATS after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season and are 11-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Im betting on them coming out here like their play off lives depend on getting a win and to upset a banged up injury riddled Carolina side here on the road. Play on the NY Islanders to cover |
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05-01-19 | Pirates -137 v. Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R Miller is 1-0 with a 6.10 ERA in his last two starts after allowing four runs in five innings against the Mariners on Friday. He is 2-7 with a 4.88 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates and is fade material here this afternoon. TAILLON the Pirates starter is 13-5 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TAILLON is also 10-2 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PITTSBURGH is 18-5 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.HURDLE is 14-3 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents as the manager of PITTSBURGH. Play on Pittsburgh to win on the ML |
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