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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-19 | UL - Lafayette v. Wyoming -2 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Wyoming heads into the contest with 2-3 overall record after beating a talented Detroit Mercy program by a 76-49 count on Tuesday and have momentum entering this tilt. Wyoming is holding opponents to 38 percent from the field to rank third in the MW. Opponents are scoring 59.6 points per game, which also ranks third in the conference. Im betting its their defence is the difference maker here tonight vs a Lafayette side that liked to be play a more wide open style of basketball. LA-LAFAYETTE is 13-26 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less.WYOMING is 49-27 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more . Home teams as a favorite or pick (WYOMING) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, in November games are 59-25 ATS L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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11-21-19 | Avalanche -102 v. Wild | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
The Avalanche had a hot start to the season, going 8-1-1 out of the gate but stumbled to an 0-4-1 stretch after Landeskog and Rantanen went down. They've rebounded to win five of their last six and are viable bets here on the road tonight in Minnesota. MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS vs. division opponents this season. Play on Colorado to win on the ML |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech -2 | 26-28 | Push | 0 | 34 h 17 m | Show | |
The GT Yellow Jackets have opened as a small favorite in this matchup despite of some of their inadequacies . They had played 3 tough games, against Duke, Pittsburgh, and Miami, and than beatenn and battered were clobbered by VTech 45-0 last time out. Now its bounce back time for the under rated Ramblin reck. It must be noted that the NC State Wolfpack have lost all four of their road games this season by an average of 22.5 PPG . It's become obvious that the Wolfpack seem ill prepared to play their opposition away from home and are fade material here in this spot vs a side that needs redemption badly. NC STATE is 0-6 ATS vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game over the last 3 seasons.NC STATE is 0-6 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. NC STATE is 0-8 ATS L/8 after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnover. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NC STATE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-27 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on GTech to cover |
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11-21-19 | Utah -4.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 57-79 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
MYRTLE BEACH INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - HTC Center - Conway, SC The Utes enter the game 3-0 with close wins at Nevada and at home against Minnesota, with a record 94-point blowout against Mississippi Valley State sandwiched in between those tilts. Coastal Carolina has some athleticism and scoring punch but overall are over matched. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (UTAH) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 60-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 37% or less of their attempts are 108-161 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-21-19 | Wofford +3.5 v. South Florida | 55-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Wofford has lost three straight, including the first two on a four-game road swing , but this is an experienced and desperate team that wont go easily here today.
Play on Wofford to cover |
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11-21-19 | Loyola Marymount v. Air Force -2 | 78-64 | Loss | -119 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
JUNKANOO JAM - Round 1 - Gateway Christian Academy - Bahamas Dunlap is 10-20 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT. |
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11-21-19 | Mississippi State v. Tulane +12 | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
MYRTLE BEACH INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - HTC Center - Conway, SC The Green Wave have begun the season with three straight wins for the second time in the last three seasons following a 79-52 home win over Northwestern State last Saturday afternoon and have momentum on their sides as they take on old rivals Mississippi State tonight .Mississippi State owns a 4-0 record this season with consecutive home wins over FIU, Sam Houston State, UL Monroe and the University of New Orleans and according to my projections this will be their toughest team to date, and wont be an easy win for them. CBB Neutral court teams (TULANE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, team that had a losing record last season are28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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11-21-19 | Missouri State +7.5 v. Miami-FL | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
CHARLESTON CLASSIC - Round 1 - TD Bank Arena - Charleston, SC The Missouri State Bears play a methodical grinding type of basketball that is yielding just 57.2 points per game on 39.1% FG shooting. Meanwhile, Miami despite of being on a 3 game win streak, against mid major competition, are being over rated here on a neutral court. Im betting frustration awaits the Canes vs a pesky opponent. |
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11-20-19 | Arkansas State +12.5 v. Colorado State | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
A-State is 4-0 this season and is 26-4 SU under head coach Mike Balado, when scoring 65 points more points vs its opponent. My mathematical estimates suggest value with Arkansas State at +67 offensive output vs a Colorado State Rams hoops program getting just a little bit to much love here. |
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11-20-19 | UC-Davis v. CS Sacramento -4 | 51-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Sacramento State beat UC Riverside by 13 at home on Friday. UC Davis was defeated 89-84 in overtime to VMI on Sunday and will be in a bit of letdown situation. CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons and is 2-9 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Sacramento St to cover |
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11-20-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -1 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
These two teams are both struggling, but I personally see more promise with the Bulls at the moment because of their attention to better defensive play. The Detroit Pistons, are currently on a four game losing streak while allowing opponents an average of 112.2 points. Earlier this season the Bulls wont a 112 -106 matchup as hosts and Im betting they repeat that trick again. Note: The Pistons are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 as a road dog with rest off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA Teams like Detroit are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a road favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Pistons are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.Pistons are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Pistons are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Pistons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Pistons are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pistons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Home team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, playing with 3 or more days rest are 6-30 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-20-19 | Jazz -3 v. Wolves | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota handed Utah its first home loss of the season on Monday. The Jazz now have a quick pay back on their agenda vs the Timberwolves again Wednesday in Minneapolis. With Andrew Wiggins downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Utah ( Illness ) the advantage rests with the visitors in revenge mode. The Jazz are 13-0 ATS L/13 covering by almost 12 ppg on average on the road off a loss in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-20-19 | Austin Peay v. Vanderbilt -8 | 72-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Vandy is also looking to start a new winning streak after its first loss of the season. On Thursday, Richmond made a single free throw with less than a second to play in overtime and sent the Dores home with a 93-92 defeat. Now in bounce back mode on their own home floor Im betting on the Commodores to get win and more importantly cover. Vanderbilt has won the L/6 games at home in this series including last seasons 73-54 victory. CBB favorite (VANDERBILT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 8+ losses in last 10 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 40-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Vanderbilt to cover |
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11-20-19 | Magic +4.5 v. Raptors | 97-113 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Raptors despite of being shorthanded pounded Charlotte by a 132 -96 count last time out, and now Im betting on a regression to the mean for them here tonight against a up trending Orlando Magic team that has won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 overall SU. Raptors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA Teams like the Raptors are 0-15 ATS as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent like the Magic with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 10-0-1 ATS /10-1 SU L/11 on the road off a win as a home favorite when the total is at least 15 points less than their last game. Magic are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Atlantic.Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 110 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-20-19 | Belmont v. Lipscomb +10 | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
The 145th instalment of the “Battle of the Boulevard” as Belmont comes to Allen Arena.The Lipscomb-Belmont rivalry is the closest basketball rivalry in NCAA Division I as the two schools are separated by just two miles. Cincinnati/Xavier and Rice/Houston each sit three miles apart. Recdnt meetings between these teams have been spirited and closely contested and Im betting on more of the same tonight as Lipscomb covers. Belmont knocked off the Bisons 87-83 at Allen Arena in the first meeting of 2018, despite 27 points from Garrison Mathews.In the second meeting last season, the Bruins hit a go-ahead shot with 4.9 seconds on the clock and the Bisons rimmed out a game-winning three to allow Belmont to escape with a 76-74 victory at the Curb. LIPSCOMB is 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Lipscomb to cover |
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11-20-19 | Spurs v. Wizards UNDER 237 | 132-138 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Both these teams have shown to have some very porous defences, and both sides know they need to fix that situation, and are working hard to get stops . Wizards star guard Bradley Beal told reporters. QUOTE:We compete hard enough to win every game. We are top five in offense. We know that is not the problem. We just have to get stops." END QUOTE: Im betting tonight San Antonio trys to reverse a ugly 6 game win streak, by paying more attention to defence vs an explosive offensive side, which in turn will see a slighter slower pace than the Wizards would like to see. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 1-17 UNDER as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 18-8 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 26-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 60-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-20-19 | Northern Kentucky +8 v. Ball State | 59-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky is an experienced side that was in the NCAA tournament last season, and Im betting they will be wide awake and ready to upset a Ball State side that I personally believe is operating above all expectations. BALL ST is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.BALL ST is 2-10 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on N.Kentucky to cover |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings -1.5 | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Sacramento continues to uptrend in my power rankings and showed their toughness when they ended the 10-game winning streak of the Boston Celtics via a 100-99 victory on Sunday. Now with plenty of momentum on their sides, I like their chances of the Kings winning tonight on home court vs a Suns team that could be without key component the injured Ricky Rubio .If the two way star does play he will be less than 100% which will effect his teams cohesiveness. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS in November games this season.SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the Kings have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here at home SU in this series. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are just 3-26 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-23 ATS L/23 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 217.5 | 116-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Sacramento has gone under in 3 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in any of those tilts . The Kings own the 29th ranked pace, and 28th ranked offensive output. Look for more methodical action tonight, as they look to slow down the high flying Phoenix Suns! Walton is 21-8 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. The Suns are 0-14 UNDER L/14 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 with the verage combined score clicking in at 193.8 ppg. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER off a loss as a favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with a combined average of 193.1 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 8-40-2 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a home dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 207 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-19-19 | Detroit v. Wyoming | 49-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Titans have done a good job of rebounding in their first two games against two ACC opponents in NC State and Clemson, owning a +3 margin on the glass.Detroit Mercy outrebounded the Wolfpack, 40-33, and led for much of the game against the Tigers, where the Titans were edged, 39-38.This is a Titans side that must not be underestimated after playing power 5 competetion. Meanwhile,Wyoming is 1-3 on the year, beating Idaho State at home and dropping games to South Carolina, Cal State Fullerton and Oregon State, and according to my power rankings do not matchup well here. WYOMING is 3-13 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Davis is 7-0 ATS after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997 Play on Detroit Mercy to cover |
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11-19-19 | Lightning v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Blues also are coming off a home-ice loss Saturday -- 4-1 to the Anaheim Ducks. Prior to that loss the Blues earned points in nine consecutive games, going 7-0-2 , with 8 of 9 of those games seeing them allow no more than 3 goals. Also during their current 0-1-2 winless streak, the Blues scored just five goals. Tonight against an explosive TB offense Im betting we see the Blues hunker down in disciplined fashion and turn this game into a grinding affair, with limited offensive output from both teams, which will help keep this game to the low side of what my numbers say is a slightly bloated total.ST LOUIS is 60-40 UNDER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for low totals bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-19-19 | Radford +6 v. Northwestern | 67-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Radfords being under rated here by the linesmakers,. Offensively, Radford's 74.7 points per game ranks fifth in the Big South. On the other end of the court the Highlander defense is a tough as nails group allowing only allowing 60.7 points per game, which ranks first in the league. Radford is also winning on the glass with a +11.0 rebounding margin against opponents and averaging 41.3 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Opponents are outscoring Northwestern 67.0 to 66.5 and their offense Im betting wont get much room again tonight. |
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11-19-19 | Southern Illinois v. Murray State -9.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
One of the top regional rivalries in college basketball finds the Southern Illinois Salukis traveling to Murray, Kentucky, Tuesday to meet the Murray State Racers. The last time the Racers lost a game home was last January to the Belmont Bruins. Last season, the Racers were 3-0 against Evansville, SIU and Missouri State. The Racers are 262-44 (.853) SU all-time at home as they play the 22nd season in the arena and 108-17 (.850) against non-OVC opponents. Advantage Murray State. Murray State to cover |
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11-19-19 | North Alabama v. South Dakota State -9 | 73-78 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Jackrabbits, under the direction of first-year head coach Eric Henderson, are back in Brookings after a three-game and week-long road trip. The Jacks are 3-2 on the season and have won both home games in 2019-20 and get my support here on home court again for their 11th straight victory as a host. The Jacks own a 105-6 record at Frost Arena over the last seven seasons dating back to 2011-12, which includes perfect home records in five of the last seven years. This is not a good environment for a team like North Alabama. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 37% of their attempts, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 38-13 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on south Dakota State to cover |
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11-19-19 | Texas Southern v. Arkansas OVER 149 | 51-82 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Arkansas put 91 plus points on the board vs Rice in their first game of the season, and are more than capable of repeating that performance here on their own home floor tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-0 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 163.4 ppg scored.TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 169 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-19-19 | Ohio v. Bowling Green +21 | 66-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Bobcats hopes for a MAC title or anything even close to that ranking were put to end over the last couple of weeks thanks in part to a porous defence. Now they are being made 21 point chalk. The line is viable, but the Bobcats motivational stimulus is not there , which makes taking the points a investment option.OHIO U is 0-7 ATS as a favorite this season.OHIO U is 9-21 ATS in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992. I know Bowling Green does not inspire most bettors, but they have shown flashes of life of late with wins vs Toledo and Akron of late. Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bobcats are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Bobcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Bowling Green.Bobcats are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 meetings. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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11-19-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 57 | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has shown itself to have a porous D, but N.Illinois is highly inconsistent and if it were not for big plays they would be a stagnant offence. Eastern Michigan’s defense has limited big plays bad, ranking 43rd in defending explosive plays. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is strong at controlling opposing run games, but weak in the secondary, however, Eastern Michigan has not been consistent through the air, even though their numbers look decent . Overall, the combination of the above factors have me taking an under stance here on a slightly bloated total. Note: N ILLINOIS is 33-17 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game . N ILLINOIS is 11-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992 with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (E MICHIGAN) - good passing team - averaging 255 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 45-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-19-19 | Flyers v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Flyers Net minder Hart, who had a 2.83 goals-against average as a rookie last season and is at 2.50 this year, credits veteran goalie Elliott as a mentor."Brian has been a big help to me," Hart said of Elliott, who has a 2.87 GAA. Both Flyers goalies look solid this season, as well as a D, that has allowed a total of 15 goals in their 7 games overall ( 6 of those 7 games went under the total). Here on the road tonight Im betting on a top tier defensive effort from the Flyers, vs the Florida Panthers and a subsequent under hitting on the board. The L/3 meetings here in this series have gone under all 3 times. PHILADELPHIA is 28-18 UNDER in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 5.1 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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11-19-19 | Wild -103 v. Sabres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The Sabres went 0-4-2 after recording a 2-0 win in Detroit over the Red Wings on Oct. 25 and are 2-6-2 in their last 10 games and not looking like they have confidence or flow. entering this home tilt vs the Minnesota Wild. I know the Wild dont inspire bettors either , but recently an uptick has taken place,I behind, left winger Kevin Fiala who has registered four goals and two assists while Zach Parise has three goals and three assists in the last 7 games and could light up a Sabres D that has allowed 21 goals over their L/4 games. MINNESOTA is 9-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO since 1996. Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the ML |
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11-19-19 | Bruins v. Devils +131 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Blackwood, the Devils goalie, who turns 23 next month, has gone 3-1-0 while starting the last four games, including both ends of the back-to-back set last weekend against the Canadiens and a night earlier against the Pittsburgh Penguins. He is now the future of the Devils and gives them a solid chance at holding down the explosive Bruins tonight. To much value to pass up with a up trending home side. Play on the NJ Devils on the ML |
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11-19-19 | New Hampshire -5 v. Central Connecticut State | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
This one is strictly mathematical as I have made New Hampshire a 7 or more point favorite which gives us value on this line. C CONN ST is 2-10 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.C CONN ST is 0-8 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.C CONN ST is 1-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Play on New Hampshire to cover |
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11-18-19 | Thunder v. Clippers -9.5 | 88-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The key super star duo of George and Leonard are both supposed to be on the floor tonight against the Thunder, which makes for a over powering situation that favors the Clippers to come out of this with a convincing victory. LA CLIPPERS are 21-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons Donovan is 1-10 ATS (in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Mexico KC has shown itself to be vulnerable against viable ground attacks of late and currently rank 31 st in defensive run success rate and because of this I expect the Chargers will focus on their run game to move the chains and eat clock time . This strategy will keep the Chiefs star QB Mahomes out of his flow and off the field for long chunks of time which Im betting equates to a lower scoring grinding affair than the public expects. Note: LA CHARGERS is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 43.8 ppg going on the board. LA CHARGERS is 15-4 UNDER after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.2 ppg scored. NFL Division games with high totals ( 44+) have gone under at a 180-109-3 62% clip since the 2003 season. NFL team against the total (LA CHARGERS) - off a road loss against a division rival, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 25-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate . NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents are 46-19 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-19 | Blazers v. Rockets -7 | 108-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Houston owns a run and gun offence that averages more than 118.5 ppg ranking 2nd in the NBA in output. The Rockets recently have also picked up their defensive play which makes them dangerous, as is evident by their current 7 game win streak. Meanwhile, Portland their opponents tonight have been highly inconsistent and has lost 6 of their L/8 overall and fade material in their current form. |
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11-18-19 | Bucks v. Bulls +8.5 | 115-101 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks will go for their fourth win in a row when they visit the Chicago Bulls on Monday night but Im betting that will not come that easily. The early market looks inefficient despite of the discrepancies in both teams current performance levels. However recency bias, is at play here giving us value on as slightly bloated line. The Bucks are 0-12 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite in which they held their opponent to fewer than 85 points. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-67 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.MILWAUKEE is 70-115 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-18-19 | Hawaii +16 v. Illinois | 53-66 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
The Rainbow Warriors heading into Monday night, are 3-1 so far this season.The Rainbow Warriors possess good guard scoring and rare height for a mid-major program and should provide the Illini with a viable challenge. HAWAII is 3-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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11-18-19 | Hornets v. Raptors UNDER 214.5 | 96-132 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Raptors were showing signs of fatigue Saturday and Pascal Siakam had an off night with 15 points on 6-for-24 shooting with five turnovers and with only one day rest in between games, I sure their still a bit exhausted. Also being without injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka. defence and a slower pace has been key for the Raptors and that will once again be the case tonight here on home court as they get reacclimatized to being on home court after an extensive 5 game road trip. Tonight Im betting the Raps will hold the Hornets to under their season ppg offensive average of 106 ppg, and for they themselves to have a limited out put because of being short handed. Under is 3-1-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season are 475-337 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-19 | Hornets +9 v. Raptors | 96-132 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
Toronto is short handed with injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka on the sidelines. Im betting the Raptors offensive flow will be curtailed as well as they ability to cover in a game that I also have pegged at being fairly low scoring. The Hornets are 9-1 ATS L/10 on the road. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
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11-18-19 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 209.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Both the Cleveland Cavaliers and the NY Knicks are struggling, and both are looking at this like a winnable game, and both Im betting will be primed to be aggressive here in transition which Im betting helps this combined score get over this total. Yes, I know both sides have been creating unders of late, but that wont be the case here tonight. Note: NYK L/47 home games have seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.CLEVELAND in their L/44 games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored. Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play OVER |
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11-18-19 | Presbyterian v. Notre Dame -24.5 | 53-63 | Loss | -124 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Presbyterian was picked this preseason to finish 10th in the 11-team Big South and are completely out gunned vs a Notre Dame hoops group that has a stead fast philosophy in place and has won its first three by an average of 24.6 points. Notre Dame is at home tonight and Im betting they dont take their foot of the peddle until the end, making them viable DD chalk favs. CBB team (NOTRE DAME) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 27-8 . L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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11-18-19 | Middle Tennessee v. Coastal Carolina -3 | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
My power rankings make Coastal Carolina a -4 or better favorite which gives us a solid buffer on this line which makes this a solid wagering opportunity. MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-9 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 season. COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIDDLE TENN ST) - poor shooting team from last season - made 42% or less of their shot attempts, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences are 5-24 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Coastal Carolina to cover |
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11-18-19 | Fairleigh Dickinson +1 v. Army | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Army is off a loss to Air force last time out, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot after that spirited by fall short effort. Fairleigh Dickinson beat Army last year by DDs at home, and now will once again take the advantage on a short lined rod tilt. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 9-2 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 9-2 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 7-0 ATS L/7 a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5. Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover |
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11-18-19 | Bryant v. Niagara +4.5 | 73-62 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
The Purple Eagles ushered in a new era with first-year head coach Greg Paulus taking over the program , and have started out with three straight losses, and now here at home will be primed to bounce back. ( Hopemism- Niagara had season-highs in points (80), 3-pointers (8), free throws (22), rebounds (29), assists (16), and steals (6) against Stephen F. Austin. The Purple Eagles shot over 55 percent (55.6 %) from the field for the first time since February 23, 2018. BRYANT is 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5. NIAGARA is 12-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (NIAGARA) - in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 24-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Niagara to cover |
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11-18-19 | Hartford v. Oakland UNDER 131.5 | 50-60 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
After scoring only 50 points in a loss to Maryland last time out, Im betting the home team comes out here ready to get back into a offensive groove vs a Hartford side that they can light up. After playing the Terps this will seem like a walk in the park metaphorically speaking. Hartford will also have to open up offensively with some fireworks of their own or be blown of the court which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. OAKLAND is 62-38 OVER in all home games since 1997 with a combined average of 155.3 ppg. Play OVER |
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11-17-19 | Bears +7 v. Rams | 7-17 | Loss | -120 | 85 h 16 m | Show | |
There looks to me to be big trouble ahead for the Rams this Sunday after they lost their starting center and a starting OL to injury in the Steelers’ game last week a 17-12 loss. With QB Jared Goff looking like he has lost his flow recently facing Khalil Mack and the nasty Bears’ defensive line this week without key starters will be. a miserable task. Advantage Bears taking points. Rams have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 Sunday nighters. Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 8-28 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 53-26 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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11-17-19 | Texas-Arlington +16.5 v. Oregon | 47-67 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The Texas Arlington Mavericks didn't shoot well against Nevada in a loss last time but had leads during the game which they couldn't hold. They started the game slowly on offense before picking things up and have the guns to stay close enough for a cover vs a PAC 12 team in Oregon that is off a potential letdown spot after a big win vs the Memphis Tigers last time out. Also being off for 5 days will not be a cohesive situation for the Ducks vs a pesky opponent. TX-ARLINGTON is 38-19 ATS off a road loss since 1997 and is 15-6 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. Play on Tx Arlington to cover |
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11-17-19 | Georgia State v. Georgetown OVER 151.5 | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
My owns projections make this Totals closer to 155 thus giving us value with a over wager. GEORGETOWN is 12-3 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.9 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GEORGIA ST) - after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more are 174-106 OVER L/23 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-17-19 | Wizards v. Magic OVER 223 | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Washington has the 3rd best offence in the league the 28th worst D ppg allowed, and 8th fastest pace. This is almost always recipe for a high scoring back and forth tilt. Meanwhile, Orlanso has seen an uptick in their offensive outputs of late, and Im betting they will need that extra offence against a team that plays wide open run and gun ball. The Wizards are 19-0 OVER with less than two days rest off a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 232.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER off a road win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 83-49 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-17-19 | Wake Forest v. Charlotte +4 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Ron Sanchez's system is beginning to really be working as the 49ers (1-1). are getting balanced scoring as four players are averaging between 11.5 and 13.5 points. From my matchup power rankings they look like viable underdogs vs a 2-0 Wake Forest team that has not won 3 games in row since the 2017 season. The 49ers' cohesiveness was on full display in a 71-58 victory Tuesday night over a Davidson team many pegged as an Atlantic 10 title contender. WAKE FOREST is 23-38 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons. Manning is 4-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of WAKE FOREST.Manning is 7-16 ATS after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of WAKE FOREST. FOREST is 5-14 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.WAKE FOREST is 7-20 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Charlotte to cover |
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11-17-19 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -1.5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi the hosts of this tournament has an edge here on home floor. My power rankings also suggest we have value . I know .the Islanders (0-4), and have lost five straight games dating to last season, but this makes them all the more desperate vs a side they matchup well against. Play on Texas A&M CC to cover |
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11-17-19 | Ball State -2 v. Indiana State | 69-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
This instate battle of Indiana actually features 16 players from Indiana combined from both the Ball State and Indiana State rosters. This long standing rivalry will be played on a neutral court today for the first time , in the history of their meetings.QUOTE: "It's kind of like a conference game because we play them every year," Tahjai Teague said. "I know most of the guys from AAU, high school and now college. I've been playing them all my life." END QUOTE Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-17-19 | Patriots v. Eagles +4 | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 104 h 38 m | Show | |
New England before their bye week showed some chinks in their armour by getting blown out by the Baltimore Ravens. Now the public believes that the mighty Pats will bounce back and impose their will on the Eagles via the arm of NFL senior citizen Tom Brady. Personally Im one of these guys, that believes Father Time is Undefeated and that the future HOF QB Tom Brady will soon begin to regress as will his team. I also believe this line offers value on a what my power ranking suggest is an up trending Eagles side on two game win streak. Note: The Eagles are 14-1 SU L/15, including 5-0 ATS as a dog with rest in non-division games. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS vs. top tier offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game in the second half of the season. Pederson is 11-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. NFL Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the second half of the season are long term profitable side propositions going 187-121 ATS L/36 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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11-17-19 | CS-Northridge v. Richmond -14 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
CS Northridge has proven itself to be defensively challenged early on this season, allowing a whopping 100 ppg in 3 road tilts this season. Meanwhile, Richmond is showing that they love the run and gun game, with a offensive output of 96.5 ppg in two games so far with one of those wins coming against Vanderbilt of the SEC. Im betting on more of the same fireworks from Richmond today, and for CS Northridge not to have enough ammunition to keep track in what should be a easy DD margin of victory for the Spiders. Note: Chris Mooney’s offense has evolved into a system that embodies the concept of “basketball without positions.” While short- er players will begin most possessions further away from the basket and taller players will begin most possessions on the wing or in the paint, they will rare- ly end up anywhere near where they started. On each possession, every player on the court is equally as likely to handle the ball, shoot a three, cut back door, or set up on the low block. The Spiders offense places a premium on passing, cutting, and outside shooting, and Richmond’s coaches focus on developing those skills in each Spider. Richmond’s offense often results in a high team field goal percentage, a ton of opportunities for assists, and relatively few turnovers. Over the previous five seasons (2014-15 through 2018-19), Richmond ranks 26th in D-I in field goal percentage (46.9), 17th in assists per game (15.6), 10th in fewest turnovers per game (10.2), and sixth in assist-turnover ratio (1.52). Richmond has won 4 straight games vs a non-conference opponent dating back to last season, Play on Richmond to cover |
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11-17-19 | Celtics v. Kings +3.5 | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
The Kings are a team that must not to be overlooked, having won four of six since an 0-5 start. I know the Celtics are a public favorite but because of this we have value line with the home underdog to bet into. Meanwhile, the Celtics narrowly closed out a 105-100 win over the Western Conference's worst team, the Golden State Warriors, on Friday night, and looked less offensively cohesive without Gordon Hayward who is out indefinitely. Boston has won seven of its past eight meetings with Sacramento, but the three most recent victories have been by single digits. The Kings are 6-0 ATS L/6 covering more than 7 ppg. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play Sacramento to cover |
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11-17-19 | Dartmouth -2 v. UMass Lowell | 80-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Dartmouth went into Buffalo in their first game of the season and abruptly ended a long time home winning streak for the Bulls, and have overall looked impressive this season so far and deserve our support on a short line here. UMASS-LOWELL is 2-9 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 seasons.UMASS-LOWELL is 3-12 ATS after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dartmouth cover |
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11-17-19 | Detroit +15.5 v. Clemson | 65-87 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Clemson has scored only 100.4 points per 100 possessions (124th in the NCAA) despite turning the ball over on just 15.2 percent of their offensive possessions (31st in the NCAA). Clemson charity stripe conversion rate of only 19.4 percent (328th in the NCAA), and when they get their FTs, they are converting at 67.6 percent as a team (208th in the NCAA). To me that flashes reg flags when trying to cover a mid range DD spread vs a Detroit team with a player like Antoine Davis that can take over a game offensively and control the offensive flow of a game. Davis is 102-64 ATS after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-17-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Central Arkansas +3.5 | 76-56 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
UCA (1-3) and Little Rock (1-1) have met a total of seven times since the 2015-16 season. The Bears have won the last three matchups against the Trojans. Last season, UCA swept the two-game series, winning 78-65 in Conway and 85-82 in Little Rock and have the edge again getting points. C ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up at home against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-17 ATS L/20 versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse .ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on Central Arkansas to cover |
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11-17-19 | Yale v. Oklahoma State UNDER 143.5 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State in their usual methodical ways will pound the glass with their big bodies in what Im betting they will force into a a very physical affair. OKLAHOMA ST is 18-8 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA ST is 13-2 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 23-6 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 10-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-17-19 | Saints v. Bucs +6 | 34-17 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 27 m | Show | |
QB Drew Brees was sacked six times in a loss at home loss to the Atlanta Falcons. Im now sure the pundits and obviously the lines-makers believe the mighty Saints will now bounce back and cover a 6 point road spread here in Tampa Bay. However, Im not sold on the Saints in this spot, and have noticed the franchise is just 14-27-2 ATS as a favorite in games when coming off a home loss and Payton is 2-9 ATS off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. It must also be noted that TB has revenge on board for a 31-24 loss they suffered to the Saints on he road earlier this season. TAMPA BAY is 18-7 ATS L/25 in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points. Also From a league wide trends perspective : NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TAMPA BAY) - revenging a same season loss against opponent, off a home win are 37-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. (TB beat Arizona last week at home by a 30-27 count) Arians is 12-2 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached in his career. Play on the Tampa Bay Bucs to cover |
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11-17-19 | Jets v. Redskins -1 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 5 m | Show | |
A battle between two NFL bottom feeders who are in last place in their respective NFL divisions. go head to head this Sunday. I know there is recency bias here as the Jets are off a win vs Giants last time out and the Skins just continue to struggle. However, having a bye week will give their young QB Dwayne Haskins some more time to get acclimated under center and to use the offence in the best way possible to get positive results. With that said, Im betting on the Skins here , and fading the a Jets side that are improbable back to back winners and just 1-9 SU and 0-9-1 ATS L/10 against opposition off a bye week and 2-9 ATS in back to back NFC tilts. Play on the Washington Redskins to cover |
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11-17-19 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 73 h 23 m | Show | |
Atlanta is off a top tier defensive effort last time out holding the Saints on the road to only 310 total yards in a surprisingly dominate 26-9 road win. Now in a divisional battle they take on a Carolina team that they have a history of playing low scoring grinding games against with 9 of the L/11 staying UNDER the total. with a combined average of 39.5 ppg game going on the board. At this time of the season, from a historical stand point it must be noted that the UNDER in NFL division games when each team has played 10 games has cashed 21 of the L/24 times since 2008 and has cashed 10 straight times overall when the total is 44 points or more. .It must also be note that the Panthers have gone under in 26 of their L/30 games dating back to 1999 as division home chalk of 10 points or less. ATLANTA is 10-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.9 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games are 36-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-17-19 | Jacksonville State +15.5 v. VCU | 65-93 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville State men's basketball team travels to Richmond, Va., Sunday, Nov. 17 to take on VCU in the opening game of the Emerald Coast Classic. VCU is they stay healthy will be a national contender this season in my humble opinion, but this line is bloated to an extent based on what the college basketball community believes is a top tier team. The public will blast this chalk , but the true value is with the underdog . Note: The Gamecocks' last outing was a 125-55 victory over Brescia in their home opener Nov. 5 at Pete Mathews Coliseum. All 12 Gamecocks that saw the floor in the game scored at least one basket, leading to a program-most points scored in a single game and single-game high of 46 field goals. This team can light it up in hurry and are viable underdogs here whether it be in a competitive manner or in a back door situation. Play on Jacksonville State to cover |
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11-17-19 | Montana State -6.5 v. Tennessee Tech | 52-39 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Spartan Invitational - Final Round - Fleming Gym - Greensboro, NC My power rankings suggest Montana state is the superior side both defensively and have a viable edge here on anything under 8 point chalk or less. CBB Neutral court teams (MONTANA ST) - team who 8 or more 3 point shots/game last season, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better and 70-34 ATS for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montana State to cover |
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11-17-19 | UC-Davis v. VMI +3 | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Red Wolves Classic - 1st National Bank Arena - Jonesboro, AR VMI has lost 5 games in a row but 3 of the losses have come by 2,3,1 point respectively. This is another matchup Im betting that will see getting points to be a viable betting opportunity. CAL DAVIS is 3-11 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 season. Les is 16-30 ATS in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on VMI to cover |
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11-16-19 | Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 223 | 101-150 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard and Amir Coffey are expected to miss tonight for the Clippers which will effect their flow. Meanwhile, Atlanta is also short handed with a boat load full of injuries, something that will also effect their flow, especially since they will be on tired legs playing their their 4th straight road game in west coast road trip in less than a week. The Clippers are 0-5 UNDER L/5 as a home favorite with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-16-19 | Bucks v. Pacers +7 | 102-83 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Indiana played last night in Houston so they should be on tired legs, but what impresses me about this team is their never say die attitude. I mean these guys are like energizer bunnies and must never be underestimated , even against a top tier team like Milwaukee. Last night the Pacers limited the sharp shooting Rockets to 14 of 46 (30.4 percent) from long distance and just 40.4 percent shooting overall and Im betting that can replicate those numbers again here on their own home floor in a key divisional matchup vs another strong downtown shooting team. Indiana is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series at home. Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Pacers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Pacers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are just 30-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-16-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss +21.5 | 58-37 | Win | 100 | 36 h 46 m | Show | |
LSU after a monumental win vs Alabama last week, will now find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a Mississippi program, that needs two wins before the reg season ends to become Bowl eligible. After a week of celebrating the Tigers hangover is real, and mustering the energy to play at 100% will be nearly impossible if improbable which opens up the door for a motivated home dog that has cashed in 4 of their L/5 at home vs .850 or better opposition to get us the cover. Note: Underdogs who win matchups of 6-0 or better teams are 0-6 ATS in the followup as favorites of 21 or less points since 1980. LSU is 2-10 ATS L/12 off an upset win as a road underdog. CFB team (OLE MISS) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 92-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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11-16-19 | James Madison +6.5 v. George Mason | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The George Mason Patriots will be going for their fourth consecutive win when they take on the James Madison Dukes in a rivalry game on Saturday night but Im betting that wont come easily vs a side that matches up well against them according to tiered powered rankings. GEORGE MASON is 2-15 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on James Madison to cover |
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11-16-19 | Nets v. Bulls -2 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is 1-3 on the trip and is coming off three straight losses to the Phoenix Suns, Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets and in their current form fade material vs the Chicago Bulls. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Nets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.Nets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Nets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Nets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. The Nets are 77-238 ATS since 1995 as a road dog after playing as a road dog. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-16-19 | Montana State +15 v. NC-Greensboro | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Spartan Invitational - 2nd Rd - Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC MONTANA ST is 11-2 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. UNC-GREENSBORO is 11-25 L/36 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less. |
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11-16-19 | Stanford +10.5 v. Washington State | 22-49 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 7 m | Show | |
The under achieving Cardinals lost in Colorado in their last game 16-13. But its important to note Stanfords coach Shaw in his career has been a bounce back specialist to the extreme, as his team when coming off a SU favorite loss, are 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS , including 15-0 ATS the last fifteen tilts . With Stanford getting double digits on the road Saturday we have a value side to bet into vs a Washington State side, that despite of owning a top tier offence, also have a horrendous D and because of this , sit at the bottom of the PAC 12 North. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and Im betting will get the cheese again. STANFORD is 23-9 ATS in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game . STANFORD is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON ST since 1992. CFB team (WASHINGTON ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a struggling defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (WASHINGTON ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average offensive team (330-390 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 80 h 9 m | Show | |
Minnesota has surprised alot of pundits this season, and are now 9-0 on the season after beating a very good Penn State team last week. The Gophers were sky higher for that game, and left everything on the field and now a natural regression and emotional let down situation is at hand here in Iowa this Saturday. Note: College Football 8-0 or better away teams off a double-digit ATS win as an underdog are 0-6 ATS dating back 37 seasons. IOWA is 20-7 ATS L/27 vs. explosive offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game. OWA is 11-1 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992. CFB team (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 17-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa to cover |
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11-16-19 | Stars +108 v. Oilers | 5-4 | Win | 108 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
The reason for the Dallas Stars' early-season rebound? According to center Tyler Seguin, they've gotten back to their "greasy ways." What Sequin means by that is the team is back to playing a very disciplined defensive system. The Stars opened the season 1-7-1, but are 9-1-1 since and are my choice here vs what is a talented but undisciplined Edmonton side. DALLAS is 11-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. EDMONTON is 1-9 ATS after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (EDMONTON) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to win on the ML |
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11-16-19 | Hawaii v. UNLV +7 | 21-7 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 39 m | Show | |
HC Nick Rolovich, of Hawaii is 1-12-1 ATS as a favourite in his tenure with the Paradise Island football program and is once again laying points here on the road at UNLV. I know the Rebels may not inspire bettors but they did upset SEC opponent Vanderbilt earlier this season, and on occasion have shown flashes of brilliance , so they truly are not as bad some think, just very inconsistent . Meanwhile, HC Sanchez has seen his Sin City team cash at a 4-0-1 ATS rate in the last 5 meetings. I know the Warriors can really do some offensive damage , but as good as their attack is their defence is equally horrendous and have allowed an average 510 YPG over the last five tilts, and ripe to take on more punishment here against a team desperate for positive results. Play on UNLV to cover |
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11-16-19 | Georgia v. Auburn +3 | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 6 m | Show | |
Auburn is being under rated here vs what my projections are currently telling me is a slightly over rated Georgia Buldogs team that had numerous injuries last week in their game against Missouri. The Tigers have been strong at home this season with a 4-0 record, and lost by just 3 points to new SEC power house LSU and deserve out respect here as home dogs. AUBURN is 11-1 ATS in home games vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game and is15-1 ATS in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game. Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn is 10-0 SU with rest in conference games in his career, as well as 8-0 SU off a bye versus unrested opponents. Play on Auburn to cover |
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11-16-19 | Harvard v. Buffalo -1 | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
at Scotiabank Arena - Toronto, ON UB is looking to do something no MAC program has ever done before and thats win a third straight MAC Title. They have the ability and the talent, and must never be underestimated via a balanced group that has five different players averaging double figures in scoring through the first two games this season, led by Graves, who is averaging 16.0 points per game.UB features one of the more veteran teams with an average age of just under 21-years old and have an edge vs Harvard in this Tournament game here this afternoon. CBB Neutral court teams (HARVARD) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-16-19 | Northwestern State v. Tulane -10.5 | 52-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Tulane looks to start the season 3-0 for the second time in the last three seasons and build on its +15.0 scoring margin against opponents following its first two wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Jackson State. My power rankings and matchup stats say they can do it and convincingly. CBB favorite (TULANE) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 7+ losses in last 8 games are 60-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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11-16-19 | Belmont +1.5 v. Boston College | 100-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
The Bruins are entering the 2019-2020 season following some of their most historic seasons ever. Fans saw coach Rick Byrd’s 800th win, the program’s first ever at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament and even its first ever win in the tournament and with with young superstars like Nick Muszynski, Grayson Murphy and Mitch Listau, this team remains capable of huge things, and matchup well here vs BC today. BELMONT is 9-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.BELMONT is 15-4 ATS after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.Alexander is 8-0 ATS in road games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997.Alexander is 18-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Belmont to cover |
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11-16-19 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +21 | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 57 m | Show | |
Alabama is off a disheartening loss to LSU at home last week, which will have the Crimson Tide in an emotional letdown situation, as DD road chalk, which has me backing the home dog in this spot. ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons. Saban is 4-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses as the coach of ALABAMA. MISSISSIPPI ST is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Crimson Tide are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Crimson Tide are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bulldogs are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. CFB home team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 80-38 ATS L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-16-19 | Florida v. Missouri OVER 50.5 | 23-6 | Loss | -112 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
The Gators smashed visiting Vanderbilt 56-0 last weekend, and come in here with revenge on their minds for losses to Missouri in each of the past two seasons. The Tigers won 45-16 at home in 2017 before prevailing 38-17 in The Swamp last season. However, this Gators team is different from those groups, as this team can put points up in bunches averaging 33.3 ppg. Today I expect very little mercy from Florida as they pile up the points, and for Missouri to finally wake up from a recent ugly 3 game road trip where their usually efficient offence went to sleep. Here at home where the Tigers thrive ( 5-0) Missouri has averaged 40.4 ppg and a rebound is expected as QB Kelly Bryant returns to the lineup. (The graduate transfer from Clemson missed last week's loss at Georgia after suffering a hamstring injury two weeks earlier at Kentucky.)Bryant has completed 140 of 225 passes (62.2 percent) for 1,845 yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions in eight games this season. Note: My projections estimate that Florida will score 28+ points. FLORIDA is 7-0 OVER in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.2 ppg going on the score board. Offensively, Florida averages 419.5 yards (ranked 56th nationally), while Missouri is at 402.9 yards per game (72nd nationally). FLORIDA is 6-0 OVER as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 59.5 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-16-19 | Columbia v. Virginia -23 | 42-60 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Im betting Tony Bennetts pack line D, is going to over power Columbia here this afternoon . Virginia has already held Syracuse and James Madison to 34 point outputs, and already this season ranks No.1 in the country in defence. Meanwhile, Columbia with a 0-2 record already this season on the road and ranking 181st in the nation and offence, will find the sledding very tough here today, in what Im betting will be a vast DD margin of victory for the Cavaliers on their own home court for their 8th straight cover dating back to last season. VIRGINIA is 15-4 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.VIRGINIA is 21-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +24.7. Play on Virginia to cover |
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11-16-19 | Portland State v. Hawaii -5.5 | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Hawaii squares off against Portland State in an early season matchup. Hawaii beat Pacific by five points at home on Monday, while Portland State came up short in an 85-74 game at Indiana on Saturday. Although it’s a small sample size with just three games played into the season, acting head coach Chris Gerlufsen believes the team has extreme potential. QUOTE:"I think we’re tough,' said Gerlufsen. “I was super proud of our group, we showed resolve and grit and really as a coach that’s all you can ask for, that a team is bought in and will play a full 40 minutes.” END QUOTE: I tend to agree with him. END QUOTE PORTLAND ST is 0-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Ganot is 10-2 ATS in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of HAWAII. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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11-15-19 | Celtics v. Warriors +7.5 | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Im betting the flow of the Celtics will be tested here tonight in Golden State as they play with out .high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward who has a broken left hand. I know the Golden State Warriors look to be a shambles right now, but Im betting they gather up some pride and make a game of this here tonight on their own home floor. GOLDEN STATE is 23-7 ATS L/30 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. NBA Road teams (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% . or less) are 6-25 ATS L/23 seasons for go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors |
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11-15-19 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 222.5 | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Celtics won't be at full strength for the trip out west, and for at least a month after that, with the loss of high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward to a broken left hand earlier in the week. Im betting this will hamper the offensive flow of the Celtics and they will take a more defensive, stance for a while to compensate for their offensive loss. Tonight because of this Im betting this Total is slightly bloated with the value towards the under. BOSTON i in 13 road games after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 216.1 ppg. These teams have gone under in the L/4 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-15-19 | Fresno State v. San Diego State | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 25 m | Show | |
San Diego State is off a ugly loss toNevada last week. Rocky Long in my opinion has one his very few sub par teams, even though the pundits would disagree with me. As usual the defence is staunch, but when you can only muster an average of 20.8 PPG (112th nationally) you have problems. Im betting on a talented Fresno State side to do some damage here this week via a run game that averages 5.3 ypc, and for the Aztecs to continue to struggle putting points on the board. FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons and have cashed 13 of their L/17 ATS on the road.FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. DIEGO ST is 1-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO ST is 2-9 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Fresno State to cover |
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11-15-19 | Gonzaga -7 v. Texas A&M | 79-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
HC Williams of Texas A&M has this to say about his battle with the Gonzaga Bulldogs. He says many of his players are not aware of what awaits. END QUOTE: "A portion of our team is unaware of what Gonzaga is," Williams said Wednesday. "They don't know they played in the Elite Eight last season. They don't know they played in the Final Four in 2015. They don't know they've been to the NCAA Tournament 21 straight years. END QUOTE. I feel sorry for Williams if this is true, and not some lame story he's telling his young group to illustrate to them that you cant fear what you don't know . Anyway my projections make Gonzaga closer to 10 point power ranking favs here, thus giving us value laying the lumber on the current line. TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 ppg. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more are 88-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Gonzaga to cover |
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11-15-19 | Minnesota +5 v. Utah | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
no stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. Minnesota to cover |
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11-15-19 | UC-Davis +4 v. Arkansas State | 67-80 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of this sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. Play on UCDavis to cover |
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11-15-19 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | 137-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game ranked 8th in pace in the league 8th in ppg(115.6) , and 28th in ppg allowed(120). Meanwhile, Minnesota is ranked 5th in pace, 4th in offensive output (117.2), and 25th in ppg allowed(116.2). Its obvious both sides run and gun with reckless abandon, while exhibiting an inability or disinterest in playing D. It is what it is. A far is this total is concerned, and how high it might seem, you have to remember this is the new NBA , and totals like this will show up more and more often as the league continues its quest to entertain the public. There can be under value with bloated totals, but this one not one of them. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244.6 ppg scored. MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Wolves average 119.2 ppg and opposition average 114.7 ppg. Based on a aggregate output system I use, 3-6 . points per team is projected above these numbers making this a viable over situation based on past performance trends and current form. Play OVER |
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11-15-19 | Pacers v. Rockets -5.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
After an impressive win by 102-93 win against the Los Angeles Clippers , Im now sold on the Rockets as a two team. My power rankings make the Rockets a 7 point fav here so we have value on this line. HOUSTON is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 19-79 L/ 5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in -9.2 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-15-19 | Oral Roberts +12.5 v. Iowa | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
No stone is left uncovered in making a advantageous calculation on the outcome of the sporting event,. The process includes using trends, injury reports , weather , and situational factors. The entire process of bringing winning long term selections to clients guarantees long term profitable results. Oral Roberts to cover |
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11-15-19 | Alabama v. Rhode Island | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is the second time in three seasons Rhode Island and Alabama will meet. Rhody played at Alabama two seasons ago, falling 68-64 in a closely contested tilt and now pay back is on the agenda.The only other meeting in the series came as part of the 1992 Cable Car Classic in Santa Clara, Calif. Alabama won 79-78.Friday night will mark the first time the Rams have hosted an SEC program in the Ryan Center and Im betting this place is going to rocking giving the home side the edge. Look for the physical take no prisoners play of RI senior Cyril Langevine who is leading the nation with 16.0 rebounds per game to be the catalyst for a Rhode Island victory. Crimson Tide are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10. Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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11-15-19 | Pistons v. Hornets +3.5 | 106-109 | Win | 103 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Charlotte is on a four-game losing streak, while the Pistons have dropped three games in a row. Both are obviously not performing optimally and both are desperate for wins. With that said, Im betting on a hard fought game here tonight thus getting points with the home dog is viable wagering opportunity.CHARLOTTE is 17-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte has won 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series SU. NBA team (DETROIT) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are just 32-73 U L/23 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 211 | 109-111 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando are No.1 in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 30th ranked pace. San Antonio is currently struggling and Im sure the Magic game plan will be to further take them out of their game with a suffocating physical effort which Im betting will contribute to a lower scoring affair. ORLANDO is 27-15 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season ARE 39-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-15-19 | Penguins v. Devils +105 | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Penguins must figure out how to be competitive without top scorer Sidney Crosby.Crosby leads the Penguins with 17 points (five goals and 12 assists). Meanwhile, New Jersey is 5-4-2 since opening the season with six straight losses and are a becoming alot more cohesive and a dangerous opponent in their current form. The Devils are 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings with the Penguins. Play on the NY Devils to win on the ML |
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11-15-19 | Cleveland State v. South Carolina UNDER 137.5 | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
South Carolina improved to 2-0 on the young season when it posted a 66-32 victory over Wyoming at Colonial Life Arena on Sunday behind a top tier D, which Im betting will once again play a smothering style of basketball. The Gamecock defense is holding opponents to just 24.0 percent from the field thus far, which leads the SEC and ranks third nationally. Needless to say, I expect Cleveland will not do much offensive damage here and only put up 50 points vs Minnesota on the road in their opener and just 53 points on the board vs Missouri state as visitors. Clevelands output and Carolina D and pace make this an under wager. Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 non-conference games. Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Gamecocks last 6 home games.Under is 5-0 in Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 7-1 in Gamecocks last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 9-3 in Gamecocks last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.Under is 14-5 in Gamecocks last 19 Friday games. Play UNDER |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -6 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
I know LA Techs Skip Holtz is known as a cover machine, as an underdog and is on a 8 game win streak overall and obviously red hot, but Marshall is no push overs and the most physical team in the CUSA holding opponents to 3.8 ypc. This Thunder Hered team must be respected here as short faves as Marshall can clinch the East with a win tonight. |
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11-15-19 | CS-Northridge v. Auburn -23 | 70-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Cal State Northridge is going to play this game without the reigning Big West Player of the Year, Lamine Diane. That is a monumental task for a team that is ranked 311th in adjusted defensive efficiency and are allowing a 92.7 pp. Meanwhile, Auburn always seems to play their best at home where they have covered 6 straight times, and considering the mammoth divide in their D, vs the Matadors D, it becomes obvious that this has blow out written all over it. Auburn owns the 45th-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. Play on Auburn to cover |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Phoenix is 8th in pace in the NBA and 6th in offensive output,(116.6) and will push all comers into speeding up their game, and opening up or be blown off the court. That is exactly the situation we have here tonight as Atlanta visits in their 3rd western road game in 5 nights. Run and gun until the clock tips in at zero. The two most recent meetings between these teams last season saw 230 and 232 combined points cored. Atlanta has gone over in 3 straight games with the combined score of 237.7 ppg scored. Suns have gone over in 4 straight with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 12-2 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 249.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-14-19 | Michigan State v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Seton Hall will play without star guard Myles Powell and that will adversely effect their offensive flow of a team that is defensive minded in nature. Meanwhile, Michigan State is expected play without senior guard Joshua Langford which will also effect the Spartans offence as he compliments star guard Cassius Winston. With that said, Im taking the under here in a game that should be grinding and physical in nature. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 UNDER after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 100-47 beatdown of Binghamton last time out. Play UNDER |
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