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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +2.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
 The Dolphins need this win badly to get into the plays offs which means their will be alot of pressure on them here on the road with a rookie QB at the helm of the offense. Its never easy traveling from west to east , which the Fins are doing. Also the Raiders have a few more days of preparation time for this tilt which Im betting gives them an edge.  Gruden is 21-9 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points in all games he has coached.  NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LAS VEGAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 36-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Raiders |
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12-26-20 | Magic v. Wizards -2 | 130-120 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow -thank you for your patience |
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12-26-20 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 122-112 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
My projections make the Grizzlies 5 point home favs here this according to that Im satisfied laying this number/lumber in this spot play.  ATLANTA is 11-23 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 9-21 ATS ( in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to coverÂ
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12-26-20 | Hawks v. Grizzlies OVER 237 | 122-112 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlanta plays a one way brand of run and gun basketball, and nothing should change with the full throttle Young leading the way. Meanwhile, Memphis must not be underestimated in their abiility to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. ATLANTA is 37-25 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-26-20 | Green Bay +15 v. Wright State | 53-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Green Bay to cover |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky v. Georgia State UNDER 50 | 21-39 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
  The W.Kentucky Hilltoppers rank fifth in the conference in scoring defense (24.1). They lead Conference USA in pass defense, allowing 170.1 yards per game and Im betting they are well suited to slow down Georgia States attack. Meanwhile, on the flip side the Toppers, are offensively unstable and have only averaged 18 ppg away from home this season, and Im betting their inability to score will once again be on display today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.   GEORGIA ST is 11-0 UNDER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games since 1992 averaging with an average combined score of 46.6 ppg going on the board.  CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 50 YPG of their opponents) are 42-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-26-20 | Kentucky +4 v. Louisville | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kentucky to cover |
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12-25-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets OVER 224 | 121-108 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Its still early on the season to use pace numbers, but I expect both teams will take part in a high octane type of affair rather than a defensive minded play off type game that they took part in during the recent bubble play off adventure both took part in. |
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12-25-20 | Michigan v. Nebraska +8 | 80-69 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Nebraska to cover |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | 33-52 | Win | 106 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
I know Drew Brees has looked rusty since returning from injury, but Im betting he will be ready to perform at a top level this week after having enough snaps last week to get back into a groove. He will especially primed to perform as will his team mates vs a Vikings side that defeated the Saints in overtime with a FG in last year’s Wild Card game. Revenge is a huge motivator and deserves attention. NFL team (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 37-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good rushing team (125-150 RY/G) against a poor rushing defense (125-150 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game are 23-2 L/37 seasons for a 92% conversion rate SU for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 ppg. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-25-20 | Warriors v. Bucks UNDER 232 | 99-138 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. Van Gundy is 187-141 UNDER in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average score of 198.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 297-266 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of MIAMI with the average combiend score of this big sample size clicking in at 198 ppg. NBA team (MIAMI) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a team who had a losing record last year are 53-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-25-20 | Maryland +5.5 v. Purdue | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
12-25-20 | Marshall +5.5 v. Buffalo | 10-17 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Two strong sides off of champinship games losses, are not looking as viable as they did earlier in the season. Marshall (7-2) was ranked as high as 15th after jumping out to a 7-0 start behind a staunch defense and I have more confidence backing them then a I do a Buffalo Defence, that has run mostly cold this season as is evident by allowing 41 and 38 points in 2 of their L/3 games. Note: MAC bowlers with a win percentage of .833 or better have lost 8 of the L/9 opportunities SU.ÂMARSHALL is 12-3 ATS in a bowl game since 1992. MARSHALL is 14-3 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return since 1992. BUFFALO is 12-25 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992. Play on Marshall to cover |
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12-25-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -1 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan State to cover |
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12-25-20 | Pelicans v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
Im betting people maybe surprised at how much improvement New Orleans will make defensively this season under Van Gundy. Meanwhile, Miami bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and tonight will be not differnet. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston UNDER 60.5 | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Hawaiis offense has not been as explosive as it has been in recent seasons, and that was evident in their 3 road games where they averaged 17 ppg. Meanwhile, the defense has not looked as bad as recent incarnations, and the program under Graham now looks different rankingn in the top 30 for Success Rate. This season Hawaii has had success via their run game, as the  rushing attack is top-10 in the nation in explosiveness while maintaining a Line Yards rank of 26th. Considering their current form and the way the Warriors play, Im expecting them to look to grind this clock down with a run heavy attack, and remain conservative in their game plan vs a Houston side that has run hot and cold on offense all season long. Note: Houstons HC Holgorsen is 9-1 UNDER in December games in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 55 ppg scored. |
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12-23-20 | Kings +8 v. Nuggets | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Thanks to the Denver Nuggets having a tremendous poast season, while showing their reslience and ability to come back time after time, has the market over pricing them here in their return to the court. Hey dont get me wrong the Nuggets are a fine team, but Sacramento after adding a big man defensive stalwart Hassan Whiteside in the offseason are now a side that will not be easily intimadated at both ends of the court. With that said, Im recommending we take the points here with the under reated visitor. Note: the last three meetings in this series were all decided by 7 points or less and a repeat situation Im betting on tonights agenda. The Kings are 8-2 ATS L/10 as dogs and have covered 19 of their L/26 as road underdogs. |
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12-23-20 | Heat -4 v. Magic | 107-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Miami has won the L/3 meetings in this series, and according to my new early seasons projections are once again deservedly a short favorite and my choice to get us the cover. |
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12-23-20 | Florida Atlantic +9 v. Memphis | 10-25 | Loss | -116 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic after allowing 20 points or less in 6 straight games, finally looked flat last time out in a loss to Southern Miss . With that said, Im betting on the FAU getting back to business and showing us how tough their D can be, against a Memphis side that is known for top tier offensive assaults. Note: Memphis HC Ryan Silverfield, is 1-7 SUATS in its last eight bowl games, including 0-5 SUATS the last five overall. Meanwhile, the Owls, are 4-0 SUATS all-time in bowl games .  MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS in December games since 1992. MEMPHIS is 21-38 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.Play on FAU to cover |
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12-23-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis UNDER 52 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
New Orleans Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA The Tigers took a backward step this season from an offensive perspective and ended the regular season going under the total in three straight tilts against FBS opposition while overall ranking of 99th in Rushing Success Rate and 109th in Line Yards . The Tiger just cant run the ball well thus making them easy to read. That will once again be the case vs a staunch Florida Atlantic D, that allowed 20 points or less in 6 straight games before a lackluster effort in their final game of the season vs Southern Miss, but that was because of their run D, something Mempjhis will not be able to exploit in the same way . Meanwhile, on the flipside the Owls offense has struggled all season long ranking  115th on offensive standard downs Success Rate. Considering both sides of offensive discrepancies and than adding in Florida Atlantic's top tier stopping unit, has me recommending we take the under.  CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (FLA ATLANTIC/ MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 50 YPG of their opponents) after 7+ games are 36-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-23-20 | Villanova v. Marquette +4 | 85-68 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
12-23-20 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -2 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
12-23-20 | Georgia Southern -6 v. Louisiana Tech | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
12-22-20 | Colorado v. Grand Canyon +10.5 | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Grand Canyon to cover |
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12-22-20 | Clippers +3.5 v. Lakers | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
 Im not buying in this favorite line on the Lakers . Yes, the champs have beefed up in the off season with the likes of Gasol, Schröder, Matthews, and Harrell, but here on a neutral court environment with no fans in attendance  the Clippers must be respected  getting points. You have to remember this is a Clippers team despite of losing steam late in the season, are still a world class hoops group, that owned  the league’s second-best Net Rating (6.3), second best Offensive Efficiency (113.3) and fifth in Defensive Efficiency (106.9). ÂOpening night favorites in the NBA recently are just  14-17 ATS for a lowly sub .500 conversion rate dating back to the 2005 season and championship sides like the Lakers have failed to cover 9 of 15 chances.  Clippers are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. LA Clippers to cover |
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12-22-20 | St. Mary's v. San Diego State -2.5 | 49-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Gaels are off a 53-33 beatdown of Colorado State, while the Aztecs took their first loss of the season to BYU, by a 72-62 count. Both sides have one loss this season, and Im betting that St.Mary'swill suffer their 2nd loss tonight and have their extened win streak abruptly end. SAN DIEGO ST is 11-1 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.  Dutcher is 13-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST. SAN DIEGO ST is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida +4.5 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 46 m | Show | |
The matchup pits two of the top offenses in the country against each other. UCF ranks second in the nation in total offense (585 yards per game) while BYU is 10th (510 yards per game). The game features two of the best quarterbacks in the nation. I look for both teams to tee off on each other and for this to be a one possession game that favors the side getting points according to my projections. BYU is 0-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. Sitake is 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of BYU. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (BYU) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 9-21 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. UCF to cover |
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12-22-20 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma +2.5 | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oklahoma to cover |
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12-22-20 | Nebraska +17 v. Wisconsin | 53-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Nebraska to cover |
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12-22-20 | North Carolina v. NC State +1.5 | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC State to cover |
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12-22-20 | Cincinnati -2 v. UCF | 70-75 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Cincinnati to cover |
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12-22-20 | Idaho State v. Northern Colorado -10 | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N.Colorado to cover |
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12-22-20 | Tulane v. Nevada OVER 57 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID Despite the Green Wave overall good defensive numbers they have had issues against top tier passing sides, as is evident by defending pass explosiveness, ranking 124th in the nation. Meanwhile, Nevada QB Carson Strong finished the season as one of the top passers in the nation, ranking sixth among all quarterbacks in adjusted completion percentage. So Im betting the Wolfpack have some cohesiveness through the air today, and will look downfield quite alot knowing how tough the Green Wave run defense can be. On the flipside one again, Tulane does like to run the ball alot that can grind down the clock, but new New offensive coordinator Chip Long formerly with Notre Dame after having two week to prepare for thsi tilt, will be ready to throw some new stuff into the mix and Im betting Nevada wont be able to deal with it all that well. This is not a conference game, and will be played alot less tightly than those type of affairs thats why I expect this total to be eclipsed. CFBeams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (NEVADA) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with a poor defense (390-440 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 43-14 OVER l/28 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-22-20 | Tulane v. East Carolina -5 | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. East Carolina to cover |
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12-22-20 | Ohio v. Akron +2.5 | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Akron to cover |
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12-22-20 | Northern Illinois +14.5 v. Toledo | 55-78 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N.illinois to cover |
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12-21-20 | San Jose State +18.5 v. Utah State | 62-107 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
A key area in which JC Priloux wanted to see improvement in was the team's 3-point defense after finishing 10th in the conference at 35.8 percent last season. So far the plan is working as the Spartans are the conference leader and rank 33rd nationally by holding opponents to 26.3 percent and Im betting this will be key for the Spartans to cover today vs a team/program that always played their best hoops at home.  Play on San Jose State to cover |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 40 | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 11 m | Show | |
Im betting on Pittsburgh grinding away in methodical fashion here this week on the road in Cincinnati, while the Bengals offense will struggle to score on the Steelers top tier group. The Steelers are 0-20-1 UNDER L/21 on the road facing a team scoring less than 23 points per game. Play Under - Home teams against the total (CINCINNATI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season are 25-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 38.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-21-20 | Steelers -14 v. Bengals | 17-27 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
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12-21-20 | Tulsa v. Memphis -8 | 56-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The Tigers have won five of their past six after a slow start to their season , and are playing cohesive team basketball and must be respected here as favs of anything under DDs.Golden Hurricane are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-21-20 | North Texas v. Appalachian State OVER 66.5 | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The Mean Green own one of the fastest offenses of all FBS ranking second in tempo and this team takes a no prisoners approach to moving the chains through the air. I know App State owns a tremendous secondary, but I still expect N.Texas to do a degree of damage while their own D, which ranks outside the top 100 in tackling, Line Yards and Finishing Drives. App State has not always had alot of flow on offense this season, but the offensive line has still produced a top-30 ranking in Line Yards and Power Success Rate and Im betting they have a great deal of success today in what promises to see a combined score that eclipses the total. Play OVER |
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12-20-20 | Colorado v. Washington +10 | 92-69 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Washington to cover |
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12-20-20 | Browns v. Giants +6.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The Giants and Browns both are looking for a play off appearance but the Gmen are more desperate in a bid for their first playoff berth since 2016. The Giants had their four-game winning streak snapped by Arizona last weekend and fell a game behind first-place Washington (6-7) in the NFC East and will now be ready to rebound and play this game like its their last.  The Browns are 0-8-2 ATS coming off a loss where they failed to cover. The Browns are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a road favorite. The Giants are 8-0 ATS L/8 when the total is over 46 and they are coming off a home game. |
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12-20-20 | Georgetown v. St. John's -4 | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Johns to cover |
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12-20-20 | Air Force +11 v. Nevada | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Air force to cover |
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12-20-20 | Weber State v. Portland State +5.5 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Portland to cover |
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12-20-20 | Youngstown State +3.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 70-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Youngstown State to cover |
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12-20-20 | Marist v. Manhattan +1.5 | 72-67 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Manhattan to cover |
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12-20-20 | Oklahoma State +6.5 v. Texas | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oklahoma State to cover |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 47 | 33-27 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
The Bears have averaged 30.3 points over their past three games, with their revamped offensive line playing a part , but Minnesota will be ready for whats coming and have a better group on D than Houston and Detroit. Im betting on limited combined points.
The Bears are 0-9 UNDER L/9 coming off an upset win where they scored at least 24 points. NFL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 23-3 UNDER L/ 5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate fro bettors with a combined average of 38 ppg scored. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots +1.5 v. Dolphins | 12-22 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
The Patriots (6-7) head into Sunday's game against the Dolphins and Tagovailoa with their NFL-record run of 11 consecutive playoff appearances in dire jeopardy, and their reign atop the AFC East at an end. Needless to say the Pats need this game badly and Im betting they leave everything on the filed here and get us a cover. |
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12-20-20 | 49ers v. Cowboys +3.5 | 33-41 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Dalton the Cowboys starting QB is currently in top form after four straight starts, while winning twice and coming off a season-high 122.6 passer rating in a 30-7 win at the Bengals. Im betting the under rated Cowboys will once again be a handful for their comeptetion here and get us the cover. |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -2.5 | 33-27 | Loss | -122 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
 Minnesota had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, but Im betting they will be ready to rebound here this week vs the Chciago Bears a side getting far to much respect in my humble opinion. Hey I kniow Bears QB Trubisky is suddenly on fire, but he has shown throughout his career he not be counted on in big games and or with his consistency. Note: Vikings are  13-1 ATS with a win percentage of .400 or better at home off a loss. Also Kirk Cousins is 5-0 ATS at home in December when coming off a defeat , and has covered 14 of his L/18 off a loss. |
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12-20-20 | Illinois v. Rutgers +2 | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
RU has started the season off with a 5-0 mark, winning all its games by double-digit margins. Today Im  betting Rutgers D, will be able to contain the super star duo of  Dosunmu and Cockburn here and for the Scarlet Knights to get us the cover . Rutgers is 3-0 ATS L/3 meetings in this series and gets the nod again. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-20-20 | Texans +8 v. Colts | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
12-20-20 | Creighton v. Connecticut +3.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn to cover |
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12-19-20 | UCF v. Florida State -14 | 86-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Florida State to cover |
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12-19-20 | Panthers +8 v. Packers | 16-24 | Push | 0 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
No way am I going to overlook the Teddy Bridgewater effect has his has been money in the bank when his team looks to be a non factor vs superior opposition. Note: that Bridgewater is  18-2 ATS  in his NFL career in game as a non-division underdog, including 10-0 ATS when he is a 3 point or more underdog. Hey I know Aaron Rodgers is having an MVP season, but Im betting things will not come so easily today vs the Panthers . NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - off a road win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are just 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. Play on Carolina to cover |
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12-19-20 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -14 | 24-27 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 27 m | Show | |
Tulsa has a fine hard working defensive group and have made large strides this season and deserve respect but not my backing as DD underdogs in this spot. The reason Im willing to lay this much lumber with the Bearcats is because this is a top teir group on a national level, while Tulsa despite of a top 25 ranking is not. Tulsa just does not in my humble opinion have the guns to hang with Cincinnati as this game moves into the 2nd half.Â
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12-19-20 | Stanford +7 v. UCLA | 48-47 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
After a slow start Stanford has finally started to operate optimally, as they have now won three stragijht games all on the road. Now this sweek, Im betting on the Cardinal flow and momentum to continue upward vs a UCLA side in an emotional letdown scenario after blowing a DD lead to USC last week, and finally succumbing to a loss. The Cardinal have ewon 11 of tne L/12 meetings in this sseries SU and will not be easily disposed of this week. STANFORD is 32-17 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game. STANFORD is 13-4 ATS in December games since 1992. UCLA is 1-7 SU and 0-7-1 ATS L/8  in Last Home Game of the season features. |
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12-19-20 | Eastern Washington v. Northern Arizona +10.5 | 80-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NAU to cover |
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12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos +6 | 48-19 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos UNDER 49 | 48-19 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Buffalo is off a huge win vs Pittsburgh last time out, and will be in an emotional letdown spot here this week, and could easily find themselves starting slowly on offence which will directly effect the total combined score here in this tilt vs a Denver side that almost always struggles on offense averaging just 15.7 ppg at home this season. The Broncos are 0-10-1 UNDER coming of a road game where they threw for at least 250 yards. DENVER is 11-1 UNDER vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 3 seasons. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. NFL Play Under - Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (75% or more) playing a team with a losing record are 39-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER NFL Play Under - Any team against the total (DENVER) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games are 424-290 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. |
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12-19-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +10.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
 Clemson has revenge on board for a loss to Notre Dame earlier this season, and odds are they will probably get it , but Im betting ti wont come easily. In the first meeting the Irish outrushed the Tigers by 208- 34, count and that was not a fluke. On the flip side they were able  to stop cold Clemson RB Travis Etienne allowing him just 28 yards on 18 carries. . It must also be noted that same-season revengers in conference championship games when they sport a better record are 0-12 SU L/7 seasons . Add to that Notre Dames QB Ian Book owns a 30-3 SU record as a starter for the Irish and in my humble opinion is a better sgnal caller than all world QB Lawrence and we have a go to take points here with a Fighting Irish side that deserves respect as DD dogs. Play on Notre Dame to cover  |
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12-19-20 | Minnesota +13 v. Wisconsin | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
Wisconsin has lost 3 straight games and score a total of 20 points in those tilts and are now being asked to cover by almost 13 points. Im not buying in on this number, and instead suggest we take the points with Minnesota side that will grind away on the ground behind the legs of Mohammed Ibrhim the  Big Ten Conference Running Back of the Year . The hard driving kid needs just 75 yards to reach 1000 yards and will be key here to the Gophers being competetive. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers over the last 3 seasons and are 5-1 ATS L/6 visits here. |
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12-19-20 | Baylor v. Kansas State +17 | 100-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-19-20 | Ole Miss -2.5 v. LSU | 48-53 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 35 m | Show | |
The two longtime SEC rivals meet in their regular-season finale Saturday afternoon at Baton Rouge, La. Ole Miss needs this game badly as they look for a Bowl invite.LSU (4-5) can't have a winning record and is bowl ineligible after self-imposing a postseason ban amid an NCAA investigation into the program and are not and motivated and thus fade material here for me this week. |
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12-19-20 | North Carolina v. Kentucky +3 | 75-63 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Im betting the market has over reacted to Kentuckys uneven start. This young group is however very talented and must not be underestimated getting points vs a North Carolina side that has not exactly been shooting the lights out either. N CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons. N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS ( versus struggling 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-19-20 | Northwestern +20 v. Ohio State | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 43 h 1 m | Show | |
The Buckeyes (5-0, 5-0 Big Ten) are looking to cement their spot in the College Football Playoff despite critics contending they haven't played enough games and weren't impressive when they did play.  Northwestern (6-1, 6-1) knows the odds are against it, just as they were in the 2018 conference title game, which the Buckeyes won 45-24. This time around I like the chances of Northwestern being a little more competetive after a season that saw them see a  9 PPG increase on offense and 9 less PPG on defense from last season. Note: Underdogs in Big Ten conference title game is 7-1 ATS all-time. |
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12-19-20 | Gonzaga v. Iowa UNDER 169.5 | 99-88 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-18-20 | Weber State v. Portland State -1 | 94-66 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
12-18-20 | Iowa State +15.5 v. West Virginia | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
 No. 8 Mountaineers (6-1) host Iowa State on Friday night, with a chance for their fourth straight win in their Big 12 opener, but Im betting if they win it wont come as easily as the linesmakers number suggests. West Virginia comes off a resounding win last time out, but it must be noted that the program is just  2-10 ATS after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 56-35 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.Prohm is 24-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games as the coach of IOWA ST. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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12-18-20 | Oregon v. USC -3 | 31-24 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
The Ducks and No. 15 Trojans will play for the Pac-12 championship on Friday night at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. My projections make the Trojans 6 point favs here vs what my power rankings suggest is an over rated opponent. USC is 20-7 L/27 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. CFB home team vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG), after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-2 SU l/5 seasons with the ppg diff clicking in at +17.4 ppg. Play on USC to cover |
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12-18-20 | Ball State +14 v. Buffalo | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 49 h 26 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bulls Jaret Patterson leads the nation in rushing at 205 ypg. However, the Ball State Cardinals own  the best run defense the future NFLer has faced to this point in the campaign as they have given up an average of just 148 yards per game. It must also be noted that Ball State also owns the second-best offense that Buffalo has faced this season. Considering the Bulls have shown some inconsistencies on defence this season with some breakdowns, as was the case when thye recently allowed Kent State to score 41 points on them it will not be a hard decision here to take points here. BALL ST is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 6-0 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or mkore yards/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Ball State to cover |
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12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +6.5 | 28-21 | Loss | -104 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
Rutgers has looked very competitive of late winning 2 of their L3 while Nebraska has ,lost 3 of their L/4 and continue to have issues with offensive flow averaging just 22.4 ppg on the season. There is no way Nebraska deserves to be more than a 3 point fav here if at all and recommending we take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Frost is 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of NEBRASKA. Schiano is 18-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEBRASKA) - after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 43-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-18-20 | UAB v. Marshall -4.5 | 22-13 | Loss | -108 | 47 h 51 m | Show | |
Marshall (7-1 overall, 4-1 C-USA) holds an 8-2 edge all-time against UAB (5-3, 3-1), including a 5-0 mark inside Joan C. Edwards Stadium. The only loss the Thundering Herd have was two weeks ago against Rice by a 20-0 count. While it may not have been a complete fluke is was a very strange event, and now after a week off and redemption on board vs UAB im betting there will be a huge pent up demand to smash this or any opponent mercilessly . Note: Marshall won its first seven games, climbing into the top 15 in the national rankings for the first time since 1999. The Herd also spent multiple weeks in the College Football Playoff rankings for the first time in program history and deserve our respect here at a TD or less. UAB is 6-16 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. |
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12-18-20 | Belmont v. Tennessee State +7.5 | 88-63 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
These teams already played each other this season, with Belmont winning, by a 79-64 count at home, but Im betting the Bruins wont come away with that easy of a vcitory here on the road vs a program that owns a 60-40 ATS 60% conversion rate when revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1997 .TENNESSEE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. BELMONT is 6-16 ATS in road games after allowing 55 points or less. |
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12-17-20 | NC State +5 v. St. Louis | 69-80 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Two unbeatens face the toughest test of their young seasons Thursday when North Carolina State visits Saint Louis in a hastily scheduled nonconference game. Im betting on a hard fought game that could come down to the final few possessions.NC STATE is 15-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  Play on NC State to cover |
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12-16-20 | Northern Colorado v. Denver UNDER 143 | 83-75 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-16-20 | East Carolina v. SMU UNDER 143 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-16-20 | Samford v. Troy State UNDER 148.5 | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-16-20 | South Florida +8.5 v. Cincinnati | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the Bearcats nearly upset top tier opponent on the road to beat the highest-ranked team UC has faced over the last two seasons. But the Bearcats fell aprt down the stretch and only made one basket while turning the ball over, taking contested shots and committing offensive fouls. Now in an emotional letdown state, after being sky high in teir last game now makes them vulnerable vs an under rated opponent the South Florida Bulls.  S FLORIDA is 15-6 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.S FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.S FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-16-20 | Northeastern +18 v. Syracuse | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
12-16-20 | Richmond v. Vanderbilt +6.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
One bad game against a good team dropped Richmond out of the Top 25 rankings. Im betting that may not be a complete anomaly as the Spiders from my projected forecasts are being over rated , which includes this line, against a 2-0 Vanderbilt side that has had more games canceled than played and are fresh here .The Commodores and Spiders met last year, with Richmond taking a 93-92 overtime win at home and Im betting on another close game. Take the points with Vanderbilt |
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12-15-20 | Indiana State v. St. Louis UNDER 142 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-15-20 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech -125 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Clemson at 5-0 is looking strong, and because of this recency bias we are getting an opportunity lay short lumber with the 4-1 home side. The Hokies' game plan against Clemson Im betting will feature them establishing Keve Aluma inside, wjhich will force the Tigers will have to devote two defenders to him on post touches. That would allow Virginia Tech's contingent of 3-point threats to have cleaner looks. Advangage VTech. |
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12-15-20 | Stanford -16.5 v. CS-Northridge | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
12-14-20 | Marquette v. Creighton -7 | 89-84 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Creighton enters the game on a three-game series winning streak and Im betting their top tier 3 point shooting and explosive offense will be the difference maker again vs a Marquette side that will have problems containing the Blue Jays downtown shooting group of senior Denzel Mahoney (43.8%), junior Marcus Zegarowski (41%) and senior Damien Jefferson (38.5%). CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. is 11-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CREIGHTON) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 85 points or more are 103-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Creighton to cover |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The Ravens have gotten most of their players back following a stretch of 10 straight days with positive COVID-19 tests and Im betting they will be primed to play hard tonight against a side they matchup well against as was the case in Baltimore in Sept as the Ravens rolled to a 38-6 win. I know the Browns are playing better, and want revenge but the matchups according to my projections tell me a different story. BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS ( after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 4-22 SU L/37 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 25-60 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win/cover |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 46 | 47-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Tonight games is supposed to be a windy affair with gusts of 20 mph and average winds clicking in at 14-17 mpg. With that said, Im betting on both sides reverting to run heavy ground games, and short passes which will eat alot of clock time and help keep this score to the low side of the total. Note: Divisional under reg/playoffs since with a total of between 44.5 to 60 since 2005 are 204-124-4 UNDER for a 62% conversion rate. CLEVELAND is 22-10 UNDER L/34 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game with a combined average of 37 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 12-3 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 42.2 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 15-6 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.2 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season 104-53 L/37 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills OVER 48 | 15-26 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has stalled in its last two games in recent weeks, but Im betting Tomlin and company will be more aggressive this week and get back to the 24 to 37 point output consistency they managed previous to those tilts. Meanwhile, Buffalo has really started to roll , scoring 44, 30,27, 34 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the gridiron and more than capable of piercing the Steelers top tier defence. The above combination will see this tilt eclipse the total. My projections estimate both sides will score 20+ points. Note: BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points this season with a combined average of 60.3 ppg scored. PITTSBURGH is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 54.7 ppg going on the board. BUFFALO is 7-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 60 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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12-13-20 | Packers v. Lions OVER 54.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
Detroit plays wide open football at home in the dome the past two years. The Lions are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 at home. DETROIT is 10-0 OVER L/10 in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 60.3 ppg scored. The Packers are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 on the road coming off a game where they allowed less than 310 total yards. Play OVER |
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12-13-20 | Falcons -1 v. Chargers | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
The Chargers are off a 45-0 embarrassment last week, and overall dont deserve alot of respect based on their three wins vs side that dont have more than 2 wins - the Jets (0-12), Jaguars (1-11) and Bengals (2-9). Meanwhile, Atlanta is exhibiting signs of life, with Raheem Harris as the coach winning 4 of 7, after a 0-5 start. The Chargers are 30th in  DVOA, 18th in offense and 26th in defense and look like fodder here vs a Falcons side that is.  7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record .Chargers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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12-13-20 | Colts -2.5 v. Raiders | 44-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Colts QB Philip Rivers is set to take on the Raiders for a record 29th time so he will feel comfortable here and that will be the edge needed for the his team to get by their hosts here this week. |
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12-13-20 | Jets v. Seahawks -14.5 | 3-40 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
There is absolutely no value here on this underdog line with a Jets side that has shown very little cohesiveness this season, and now expected to without their most explosive offensive player rookie wide receiver Denzel Mims (personal). With Seattle looking to bounce back off a loss, I see very little mercy being shown here as Im betting on the Seahawks behind QB Wilson to blitz the Jets secondary all day long and for a Seattle D, that has finally rounded into top form having allowed an average of 19.5 ppg to take a dominant DD victory.NY JETS are 0-7 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 22.5 ppg. Play on Seattle to cover |
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12-13-20 | Air Force +11 v. Drake | 53-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 51.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting the Titans explosive offense will tee off on a Jaguars defense that ranks 31st in Football Outsiders DVOA. Meanwhile, on the flipside Tennesse ranks in the  bottom five in DVOA and could easily get pierced by a Jacksonville side that has scored 25 or more points in 4 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. These teams have seen 60 plus points go on the board in recent meetings. Note: Titans QB Tannehill has seen 21 of his L/25 games go over the set total in a regular season game. The Titans are 11-0 OVER L/11  facing a team Derrick Henry ran for at least 75 yards against last meeting. TENNESSEE is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an average of 57 ppg going on the board in those gamesTENNESSEE is 8-1 OVER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 58.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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12-12-20 | UNLV +20 v. Hawaii | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
12-12-20 | San Diego State v. BYU -16.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
BYU is coming into this game off a loss to Coastal Carolina last time out and will be primed to come out here with a huge effort at home in the land of the Mormons. Quote: "It hurts," Milne said. "I think that happening honestly just put a chip on our shoulder, that we're not done yet. We've got a lot more to say, and we'd like any opportunity we can to just go prove ourselves." END Quote. The Cougars rank seventh in the nation in scoring offense (44.5 points per game) and total offense (522.7 yards per game) and Im betting after having to endure a strong defensive side last week, will now be acclimated to take another staunch D and will have more success. |
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12-12-20 | Oregon -7 v. Washington | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Defending conference champion Oregon opens Pac-12 play at Washington and will be primed to roll over a Huskies side that is showing no improvement over last season dismal group.  CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower 95-51 ATS L/23 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Oregon to cover |
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