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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-17-18 | Davidson v. Wake Forest +2 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Deacons after being off for 10 days for exams are fresh and ready to  play a Davidson team Monday night that should rank as the best team Wake Forest has played this season.Before the break in a DD win, Wake Forest held Charlotte to a 3-for-18 clip from beyond the arc, a season-best in 3s made and in percentage allowed (16.7 percent). Davidson  is a trey heavy group  , with 47.6 percent of its shots coming from behind the arc. Im betting the Deacons ability to limit them will the difference maker here this evening. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DAVIDSON) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 12-40 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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12-16-18 | Eagles +11.5 v. Rams | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 60 h 13 m | Show | |
This must be very humiliating for a NFL championship team  like the Philadelphia Eagles to be DD underdogs to a LA Rams team that despite of being explosive and respected by the public and pundits a like has still not won anything. Im betting the Eagles are pumped to prove their detractors wrong and to finally show us what made them champs last season, vs a team that already has a play off spot marked on the calendars and have little left to play for and just want to stay healthy .  With that said, it must be noted that defending Super Bowl champions are 3-0 ATS since 1980 as underdogs of more than 9 points and Im betting they will be 4-0 ATS when this final whistle blows here tonight. Injury update: Wentz is a not a 100% go here this week and if he  does not play, the Eagles will go with Nick Foles, who led the Eagles to a Super Bowl victory last season. So either way this game remains a play on situation for the Eagles. NFLRoad teams (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December game are 43-16 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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12-16-18 | Raptors v. Nuggets +3 | 86-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Sunday night's key prime time matchup in the NBA features the top teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences. Both teams are banged up, and missing players. But one key players that Im betting makes a difference here tonight will be hard to replace for the Raptors and that is center Jonas Valanciunas, who just underwent surgery and is out for extended period of time.It must also be noted that Raps Forward Kawhi Leonard also just recently missed two games with a hip injury,  and is less than 100% and guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a thigh injury.The Nuggets snapped the Raptors' eight-game winning streak with a 106-103 victory on Dec. 3 and I know the Raps will be out looking for revenge, but you don'T always get what you want as the Nuggets matchup well vs this type of opponent. Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and are 3-8 ATS L/11 in Denver.Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall  Denver is 14-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Denver is 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Toronto. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 43-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-16-18 | Heat +7 v. Pelicans | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
I'll start off by saying  that I am not much an admirer of the Pelicans and HC Gentry system. I know he has hands full trying to find stablemates and side kicks for super star Anthony Davis, but this team, runs on Davis's energy, and when he's not 100% , which he's not, the team is also less than 100% The Pelicans have not won back to back games since mid November , and just don't have any real consistency. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Heat, are a well coached team behind, Spoelstra  who knows how to deal with teams like the Pelicans going 16-5 ATS L/21  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game. Miami despite of not having a super star like Davis in their lineup work hard, and Im betting they get us the cover in this spot via their usual blue collar efforts. Spoelstra is 22-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS  in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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12-16-18 | Pacific -4.5 v. CS-Northridge | 79-77 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
CSUN is coming off of a ugly loss at San Diego, which halted a two game win streak for the Matadors.They are 3-6 overall, which includes a 1-3 home record. Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Pacific team on a 3 game winning streak. The Tigers are 23-6 all-time, 8-4 on the road against the Matadors.Pacific holds a 4-0 record in its last four meetings with CSUN. Dorsey currently leads Pacific in points per game (14.0), converting on  44.5 percent  from the floor and a WCC-leading 95.8 percent effort from the free throw line. He has only missed two free throws all season (46-48) and has made 21 straight from the stripe. He will be the difference maker today for Pacific in what Im betting is a win and cover . -NORTHRIDGE is 9-19 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons and 6-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons and also just and just  0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 3 seasons.ÂCBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 1-44 L/5 seasons for a go against  98% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 9.8 ppg. Play on Pacific to cover |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -1.5 v. Steelers | 10-17 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 7 m | Show | |
New England  enters this tilt against struggling Pittsburgh behind future HOF QB Tom Brady  off a loss vs the Dolphins last time out (34-33), as their bad luck vs them was extended thanks to a freak play that saw the Dolphins win on the last play of the game . The Pats are now  just 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS  when Brady plays the Fins in Miami .There is a silver lining however, here, as Brady is 25-2 SU overall away during the final month of the season,  and when going against a  below .600 team that does not include the Dolphins he  is a  perfect 17-0 SU.New England is also 23-5 SU off a loss since 2010, including 15-3 SUATS away. With Pittsburghs Big Ben Rothlisberger not completely 100% healthy and showing signs of his advanced age, and the beatings he has taken in his career the Steelers don't look like solid options here. Belichick is 7-0 ATS L/7 off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons NFL Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) - mistake-free team (1.25  or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25  or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 29-7 ATS L/35 seasons for a 81% conversion  rate for bettors. Play on the New England Patriots to cover |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 81 h 44 m | Show | |
San Francisco has struggled on the road this season but have been competitive at home lately , beating Denver last week, and prior to that pounding Oakland 34-3 and then losing a heart breaker to the up trending NY Giants 27-23. Two weeks ago they were annihilated  on the scoreboard 43-16 by the team their hosting today the Seahawks back in Seattle . Note: Seahawks were however outgunned by 127 yards in that above mentioned tilt so the score was not indicative of the play, and as a matter of fact the Seahawks have managed Ws of late despite of being out yarded in 3 straight tilts. So Pete Carrolls  Seabirds are performing optimally behind a Las Vegas style smoke and mirrors magic show and are not solid road favs here despite of the all the accolades their getting. With revenge on board I now expect the 49ers to make a game of this and get us the cover, vs a side that in my humble opinion is a  over rated public favorite. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 56-25 ATS L/35 seasons for a 69% long term conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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12-16-18 | Troy State v. Western Kentucky OVER 143.5 | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky is averaging 87 ppg at home this season, and will force Troy into a uptempo game. Troy has averaged 75+ ppg so they can can reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their won when called upon. and scored 88 points last time out.  With that said, look for this tilt to end up on the high side of the Total. TROY is 7-0 OVER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 157 ppg scored. HC Stansbury is 15-4 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog in all games with a combined average of 149.8 ppg scored. ( W.Kentucky upset @ Arkansas 78-77 last time out) Look for them to run and with confidence in the followup) CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 27-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -2.5 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 100 h 25 m | Show | |
 The Cowboys are red hot right now and have won and covered 5 straight, but they are in an emotional letdown spot after a hard fought OT victory vs the defending Super Bowl Champion Eagles last time out. and susceptible to being flat in an unfriendly environment.  Thats not a good omen for the Boyz chances this week as  NFL teams coming off a SUATS OT victory are just  13-31-1 ATS the last four seasons, including 6-23 SUATS when  they're not the favorite. Furthermore, Indy QB Andrew Luck is a money QB and owns a  13-4 ATS career mark at home in games against foes with a better record,   The Colts are no pushovers and have won 6 of their L/7 and  deserve to be favoured in this tilt against Americas team , as they are  one of only three teams to rank in the Top 10 in both total offence and total defence. DALLAS is 14-30 ATS  L/44 in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 game. NFL Home favorites (INDIANAPOLIS) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover |
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12-16-18 | Titans v. Giants OVER 43.5 | 17-0 | Loss | -104 | 52 h 27 m | Show | |
The NY Giants offence is clicking on all cylinders and are off a 40-16 win vs the Redskins last time out. Look for a two pronged attack behind a talented receiving core, and the running game of future star RB  Saquan Barkley  to force the ultra conservative Titans into opening up this week behind the very capable QB Mariotta. . Note  Barkley became the first Giants running back to rush for 1,000 yards since Ahmad Bradshaw in 2012 and the first rookie in franchise history to accomplish the feat.  The Giants are 13-0 OVER at home off a six-plus point victory in which fewer than 30 percent of their first downs were from third down, as long as the OU line is less than 50 points.  NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (TENNESSEE/NY GIANTS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games are 28-4 OVER L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVERÂ
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12-16-18 | Titans v. Giants | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans must win their final three games to have a chance at the AFC's final wild-card spot, starting Sunday on the road against the New York Giants. Needless to say the Titans will be aggressive and hell bent on staying alive here vs the Giants today. I know the Omen have been playing well and have won 2 straight, but against a desperate opponent  with the backs up against the wall Im betting they 're  in trouble today. NY GIANTS are 7-20 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). Injury update: NYG Odell Beckham Jr is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Tennessee ( Quad ). NFLHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY GIANTS) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game are 8-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover |
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12-15-18 | LSU v. St. Mary's +3.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
at T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, NV After losing  to No. 24 Houston in its last outing, the LSU has to adjust to a aa different style of play here tonight  vs St.Mary's.(Saint Mary’s) runs a European-style offense, as they use alot of guard screen action, with a lot of different cutting actions. Im betting this poses some problem for the Tigers.Ford, the Gaels’ leading scorer at 22.5 points per game, is hitting 51.5 percent from the field and makes 44.0 percent of his shots from beyond the 3-point arc and will be key here.As a team, Saint Mary’s is connecting on 49.7 of its field-goal attempts and shoots 39.1 percent from 3-point range. Bottom line, this is a tough turnaround situation for LSU after playing Houston, and a slow start here could doom them here, or at least give us a very viable opportunity for us to get a cover here. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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12-15-18 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 226.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Clippers have struggled to score consistently of late and have scored 99 points or less in 4 of their L/5 games. Im betting their offensive woes will continue tonight vs a Thunder team  that ranks 5th in defensive efficiency.  This will translate in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers estimate.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 203.2 pig scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg and is 54-31 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 season s with a combined average of 211.9 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-15-18 | USC v. Oklahoma -8.5 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sooners enter this game against USC with a 8-1 start all out of conference wins, using defence rather than offence to get the job sone. The Sooners are coming off one of their best defensive performances in recent seasons , holding Wichita State to 48 points on 15-of-62 (.242) shooting their last time out, and has held its opponent to 60 or fewer points four of its last six games and are well prepared to face the Trojans are with momentum on their sides. Oklahoma’s defense has been especially dominate late in the game. In OU’s eight victories, its opposition are shooting a combined 30.1 percent (20.5 percent from 3)  in the last 15 minutes of the game, giving me confidence in the Sooners ability to finish this tilt strong and get us the cover  .The Sooners are 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents during the Lon Kruger era and they get the nod again and im more importantly the cover. OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS  as a favorite this season with he point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg this season. HC Enfield is 1-8 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of US and is 10-21 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) as the coach of USC with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.6 ppg. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Illinois +13.5 v. Bradley | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Eastern Illinois currently in top form looks to win its third straight game as the Panthers visit Bradley. The Braves 7-3 might have a winning record, but Im not overly impressed by them , and according to my projections are being over rated by the linesmakers here on the opening line. Bradley stopped a two game losing streak to Arkansas LR last time out, but had to come from behind to do it. Note: BRADLEY is 6-18 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half and  is just 3-11 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Eastern Illinois to cover |
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12-15-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Pistons | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Boston (18-10) has won eight straight, including a 129-108 victory over Atlanta on Friday night and enter this game against their hosts the Pistons with a full head of steam, and despite of a heavy schedule still lookalike very viable options to cover vs a team they matchup well against. Note: NBA Favorites SU (BOSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are good long term  bets going 43-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 10.5 ppg making this a viable cover situation for the Celtics . BOSTON is  also 12-1 ATS  off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics have already beaten the Pistons twice this season. They smashed them  at Little Caesars Arena 109-89 on Oct. 27, then beat them in Boston 108-105 three nights later. Note: The Pistons are just 0-6 ATS L/6 vs the Celtics with same season double  revenge . DETROIT is 2-12 ATS in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 4 ppg. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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12-15-18 | Red Wings v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
These two teams the visiting Detroit Red Wing and the their hosts the NY Islanders will square off for the second straight Saturday  at the Nassau Coliseum. When these teams met last week , the Isles won 3-2. The Islanders behind HC Barry Trotz have taken a conservative approach using transition for their scoring chances for much of this season and have recently gone under 8 of their L/9 games. I expect more of the same conservative and disciplined hockey tonight  vs a Detroit team that is in a bit of a offensive funk of late scoring 3 goals or less in their L/4 games and a score that remains on the low side of the total. NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.DETROIT is 28-16 UNDER (+9.3 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5%  or more of shots  like the Isles Greiss against over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Georgia Southern -1 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 73 h 42 m | Show | |
 CAMELLIA BOWL - Crampton Bowl - Montgomery, AL I was little surprised at how this line opened, so I looked as deep  into this bowl game, and found no key injuries or news that would effect it. Georgia Southern is a very good team and own a 9-3 record compared to Eastern Michigan’s 7-5 recored. Yes, Eastern Michigan is a tough under rated team, but despite of being competitive don't have a killer instinct and consistently find ways to lose close games. Meanwhile,  Georgia Southern should have more of their fans here than  E.Michigan, because of the proximity of the location of this football game, and thus have more support in what will likely be a mostly empty stadium. Bottom line: Georgia Southern is pound the ground type of offence , ranked 9th in the nation ( rush offence ) 260.8 ypg and  have an advantage vs E.Michigans, 93rd ranked rush D that allows an average  4.43 ypc, and 192.9 ypg. The Southern Eagles get my support here on a short line. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (E MICHIGAN) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets +7 | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 47 h 41 m | Show | |
The Texans were on a 9 game win streak heading into last week, and then lost . NFL teams that have won 9 in row in the past and  had their win streak abruptly end have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 followups.  I know  the Jets do not inspire bettors, but with QB Sam Darnold healthy again, and off a win last week, I expect a confident top tier effort from home team today. Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. exans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Texans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 15.Texans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in December. HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS L/30in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 350or more yards/game in the second half of the season.HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS ( in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons. The underdog has covered the L/4 meetings. NYJ are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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12-15-18 | Indiana v. Butler | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
at Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN On Saturday, Butler (7-2) takes on No. 25 Indiana (8-2) in the Crossroads Classic. This seasons Indiana team is much better than last years team and have already notched 4 top 50 kenpom victories. They have three straight victories over quality competition, and have a lot to prove here, on a national stage and Im betting they're up to it. Im also betting the difference will come at the charity stripe. Hey I know the Hoosiers have been highly inconsistent with their Its , but  they still own a top-80 free throw rate despite making just 63.6 percent of their freebies. Meanwhile, Butler is ranked in the 260s in both offensive and defensive free throw rate. Look for Indiana to convert a fairly high percentage of the free throws and snatch a superior advantage at the charity stripe. BUTLER is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and  is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) over the last 2 seasons.  Butler's  had an explosive performance at home last time out, with 95-68 rout of visiting Northern Illinois on Dec. 8. , but a regression should be expected bossed on recent top their efforts  as they are 1-10 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is  also 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons. CBB  underdog vs. the money line (BUTLER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 4-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-14-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +2 | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs the Thunder and beat them SU the last time they met in Oklahoma City back on Nov 28 this season winning 105-98  as 6 point rod dogs.and according to my matchup power rankings are still the  superior side when comparing system vs system output projections. I know the Thunder who are currently playing top tier hoops will be out to revenge that loss, but it must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is just 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 6-18 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 7-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, which was the case last time out, in a 105-99 win vs Memphis 3 days ago. Bottom line here. Is that Denver is well rested and matchup well vs the Thunder. especially considering this will be the Thunders 5 road game in their L/6 outings. Also after a ha rd fought affair and loss on Wednesday night in New Orleans and now playing in the thin air of the Mile High City I wont be surprised if the Thunder run out of gas as this tilt moves into the 2nd half. Advantage Denver. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 42-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +8.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
Golden State after the tremendous success they have had over the last few seasons, are not playing with alot of intensity of late and are showing signs of complacency. That was evident when the Raptors came into Oakland and clobbered the defending champions by a 113-93 count this past Wednesday night. Now the sometimes lethargic looking champs go into Sacramento to play a young high energy Kings team playing inspired hoops and is up trending. The Kings on most nights are handful to handle, and nothing Im betting changes tonight. So if Golden State does get the win Im betting it will not come easily making getting points here with the home dog golden in my opinion. Note: Golden State held off Sacramento 117-116 at home on Nov. 24. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be a high probability event again. Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. GOLDEN STATE is 12-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. NBA home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous gamePlay on the Sacramento Kings to cover are 51-14 SU L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings OVER 235.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Sacramento behind the 3rd ranked pace is feeling confident of late with a run and gun take no prisoners style of play. The last time the Kings had 33 or more fast break points in a previous game, which they did in their last win, they continued to ratchet up their speed and shot taking, as they took part in a 132-112 win vs the Rockets in the followup back on Nov.17. Tonight Im betting they fiercely come right at the Golden State Warriors and the Dubs will have no problems coming right back at a home team ranked 27th in points allowed with some explosive offensive fireworks of their own. This one has the making off a all star like show stopping point fest. Golden State owns the 3rd ranked offense and the 15th ranked D. Over is 9-0 in Kings last 9 vs. Western Conference.Play OVERÂ
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12-14-18 | Bucks v. Cavs OVER 218.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Milwaukee ranks first in the NBA in offensive output ( 118.1 ppg) and the 4th fastest pace and a defence, that ranks 11th in the league allowing 109.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Cleveland their opponents tonight rank 30th in the league in defensive efficiency (115.8 ppg) and are susceptible to being lit up like a Christmas tree vs a explosive offensive team like the Bucks. With that said, I expect the Milwaukee to do what they do best and that is run and gun, and for the Cavaliers to do what they do best, and that is chase the scoreboard from a negative output perspective. This Im betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect. MILWAUKEE is 20-9 OVER  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors wit a combined average of 227 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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12-14-18 | Senators v. Red Wings OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators and the Detroit Red Wings do battle in a division game tonight. The Sens have taken part in some very high scoring division tilts with the combined average of 7.2 gpg scored this season . Meanwhile, Motown has seen an average of 7.1 gpg in their 11 divison games this season . Im expecting more of the same high scoring action in this division tilt. Ottawa has allowed an average of 4.9 gpg on the road this season, and Im betting that average stays intact tonight, and for them to do enough damage in response, and get us over the total. OTTAWA is 7-1 OVER in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scoredOTTAWA is 9-2 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.OTTAWA is 10-3 OVER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average with a combined average of 8 gpg. Play on the OVER |
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12-14-18 | Pacers +4 v. 76ers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Pacers are a fine team, big and athletic and probably one of the best in the NBA . Indiana has won five straight, including a 16-point win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. I   know Philadelphia is very talented , despite of some recent down efforts, but from a matchup perspective the Pacers matchup very well against them and must be respected here as underdogs even though they are on the road. With With Victor Oladipo back from a knee injury that sidelined him 11 games, Indiana is back at a full strength and the are according to power rankings the beast of the east.  INDIANA is 9-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 0-13 ATS and 1-12 SU with rest off a home loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by just 2 points. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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12-14-18 | Illinois-Chicago +9.5 v. DePaul | 70-90 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
UIC will play a road game in essentially their own neighbour hood when the Flames travel less than three miles to take on the DePaul Blue Demons .The Flames won as guests at McGrath-Phillips Arena in Lincoln Park on Dec. 14, 2016, 80-75 and must not be underestimated tonight. UIC has already beaten instate rivals Bradley (Nov. 17) and Illinois State (Dec. 5) earlier this season at Credit Union 1 Arena.The Cardinals have not played since Dec. 9 at LSU and will be on fresh legs here and very ready to compete. IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS  in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 20-7 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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12-13-18 | Clippers v. Spurs UNDER 222.5 | 87-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Spurs are currently up trending and have won 3 straight, and are showing increased  defensive efforts and efficiency especially In their L/2 games, holding the Suns to 86 points the Jazz to 97 points. Im betting they will continue to play a tougher brand of defense first basketball here tonight against a Clippers team that despite of playing good hoops this season, have scored 99 points or less in 3 of their L/4 outings. Considering both sides current form I expect a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. Under is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/SPURS /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 40-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80%conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 54 | 29-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Game time temp is expected be a frigid 39 degrees this Thursday night in KC with moderate wind that will go across the field and could easily effect the fluidity of this game. The visiting  Chargers Im betting will very vigilant and conservative in their approach vs an explosive KC team here this Thursday night. QUOTE: "I think our guys have to be in tune for (big plays)," Chargers defensive coordinator Gus Bradley said. "Because every play you have to be ready because it could be the one." END QUOTE:  The Chargers learned alot about KCs offence in a. 38-28 loss to the Chiefs earlier this season, and will be better prepared this time around Mahomes and company down. Note: Chargers coach Anthony Lynn is well aware of Mahomes' ability. Both of them went to Texas Tech, and Lynn said he had many conversations with former Red Raiders coach Kliff Kingsbury about the 23-year-old. With that said, Im betting we get a much more muted total score than the public might anticipate. LA CHARGERS is 10-1 UNDER  vs. sub par defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 38.2 ppg going on the board.The Chargers  have gone under 8 straight times as a dog off a home game in which they had zero turnovers.LA CHARGERS is 8-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.9 ppg going on the board. The Chiefs are 0-12 UNDER since 2016 at home off a win in which they outgained their opponent.KANSAS CITY is 9-0 UNDER  in home games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored and is 9-1 UNDER  in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65  or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 43.7 ppg. The Chiefs  have gone UNDER 16 straight times as a home favorite after they had at least 3 more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average last game with the combined average score of 35.2 ppg scored, the highest combined score clicked in at 53, and the lowest at 16 points. NFL Road teams against the total (LA CHARGERS) - versus division opponents, off a no-cover where the team won as a favorites are 55-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-13-18 | Oilers v. Jets UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Both these teams have notable offensive weapons, but both Edmonton and Winnipeg can play a top tier brand of shutdown defence. With both teams knowing the other scoring potential,Im betting on both sides to look for scoring chances in transition, and be methodical in their approach , which will Im betting result in a lower scoring affair. The Jets have allowed an average of 1.8 gpg in their L/5 trips to the rink, and the Oilers have allowed an average of 2.4 gpg over the same span. Edmonton is off a high scoring game last time out when they won a 6-4 battle vs the Colorado Avalanche , but in the past have focused on tightening up their defence after games like that as is evident by a  9-1 UNDER record after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season , with a combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 5.1 gpg going on the board. NHL Road teams against the total (EDMONTON) - after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | 111-126 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Lakers (17-10) have won six of seven games  and are now fourth in the Western Conference. Their defense,  has been particularly strong while up trending, as they have recorded  a 101.4 defensive rating  ,  ranked third in the NBA  . Tonight Im betting they have a ATS advantage vs a host team  ( Houston) that can't find consistency and constantly 2nd guessing themselves and their overall  approach.  Needless to say the host team is far from being stable at the moment and weak favorites even here on their own home court. HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and  are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference. Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game NBARoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers |
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12-12-18 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 211 | 84-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Slow starts on offence have been common of late as Utah in back-to-back losses to San Antonio and Oklahoma City averaged just 41.0 first-half points in the two games. Im betting the Jazz who ranked 24th on offence ( 107.2 ppg) have problems consistently putting points on the board tonight again vs a Miami side that currently playing some of their best defence of the season allowing 101.6 ppg in their L/6 overall while holding 3 of those opponents to 100 points or less. ( 5 of those 6 games failed to eclipse the total) The Heat rank 9th in the league defensive efficiency, and own the leagues 22nd ranked offence. These team played a tight 102-100 game earlier this season, and another similar style physical game looks to be tonights agenda. MIAMI is 13-2 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of just 193 ppg scored. Miami  in their L/23 games  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 207 ppg go on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) -  scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a close loss by 3 points or less are 75-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-12-18 | LSU +4.5 v. Houston | 76-82 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
The Tigers are 7-2 after a 91-50 home win over Incarnate Word, while Houston comes in 8-0 after a 63-53 road win over Oklahoma State. The pundits look like their in love with the Cougars, and Im not  doubting how good of a team they have, Im just betting this line is bloated and will be bet down by sharp money quickly and Im on board. Note: Houston’s strength of schedule is currently ranked 350th out of 353 teams in Division I. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS  off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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12-12-18 | Portland State +16.5 v. BYU | 66-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Portland State is  4-1 under HC Barret Peery dating back to last season vs West Coast Conference. BYU 7-4 on the season, is a tough place to play, for visiting sides, and I doubt that the Vikings can win out right here, but catching this many points is good value considering my projections make this a 9.5 true value point spread. PORTLAND ST is 15-6 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND ST is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. BYU is 1-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Portland State to cover |
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12-12-18 | Thunder v. Pelicans OVER 231.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
We have a high total here but it's completely justified. The last time these teams played the Thunder won 122-116 at  home on Nov.5th this season, and according to the way both teams systems and players matchup another high scoring affair will be on tonights bayou agenda.This tilt  for the Pelicans against Oklahoma City will be New Orleans' eighth game in 15 days. The Pelicans have not had more than one day between games since Nov. 8- and are now on tied legs and will be in no way ready to play D, and with that said, I am betting the tThunder will light them up offensively, but thanks to a group of talented shooters averaging 49% FG at home ,  the the Birds will keep up in what will be a high scoring game according to my projections. Note: New Orleans home games have seen a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored.  . Note: NEW ORLEANS I in 20 games  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season have seen a combined average 241 ppg go on the board. My estimates are higher than the +105 point plateau that this trend uses, giving us alot of value with a over wager here as associated with those outputs. Play OVER |
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12-12-18 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Pacers, have won four games in a row, and are very ready to take on a very good Milwaukee Bucks team here tonight. The Pacers have been playing well without key cog  Oladipo and because of their never say die attitude and very physical athletic team, are never to be discounted .  Especially at  home where they are 9-4 this season, behind their No.1 ranked defence. Milwaukee took out the Pacers back on Oct 19 and now the host team has revenge on board. Note INDIANA is 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 29-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 16-64 SU last 22 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential clicking in at 8.9 ppg. Indiana to cover |
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12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers +4 | 123-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The Raptors enter this game against the Clippers struggling. Even a very good team like the Raptors go through slumps, and Im betting thats what thy are in the midst of right now as they are scoring just 105 points per game, while going 1-3 over their last four trips to the hardwood. With that said, I look for the Clippers to be very competitive here tonight on their own home floor where they have won 9 of their L/11 overall this season. Clippers are 2-0 SU L/2 as hosts in this series and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings overall. The Clippers are 10-0 ATS/SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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12-11-18 | Denver v. Wyoming UNDER 150.5 | 90-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
 Both these teams style of play  and versatility seems to change from game to game depending on their competition. Denver has held 5 teams to under 70 points in 10 games, while Wyoming has held 2 of their last 4 opponents to 66 points or less,  Im betting on both teams defences standing tall here today, as  my cross reference power rankings and system vs system analysis suggests a total combined score output of around 144.5 , thus according to those projections we have value with an under wager in this spot. DENVER is 60-31 UNDER  versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less  assists/game are with a combined average of 138.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 13-4 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more with a. combined average of 133.8 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DENVER/WYOMING) - in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%), in December games are 36-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-11-18 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 218.5 | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
HC Popovich of the Spurs , has been trying to make sure there has been a balance in the way his team is playing at both ends of the court. He has wanted to see an uptempo attack and concerted defensive effort in transition. Its been a work in progress, but last time out against Utah the Spurs finally played a complete game , winning as underdogs and holding their opponent to just 97 points. That was the Spurs second straight win as pups. With that success, and confidence on their sides, I once again expect for a strong defensive effort here vs a Suns team that has been held under 99 points in 6 of their L/7 overall, thanks in part to top scorer Devon Booker being out.  With that said, Im betting  the combined score here does not eclipse this number. SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog with a combined average of 178.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | 103-111 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Rockets are not the same team they have been the last couple of season and have  a lot of weaknesses that are becoming obvious. The Rockets defence is ranked 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions (112.2) and their week under the offensive glass ranking 29th in defensive rebounding rate (68.5 percent) and ahead of only the Washington Wizards. The Rockets are playing uninspired ball, and showing very little cohesiveness as a team and as a result have ,lost 7 of their L/9 games. Meanwhile, Portland after an extended slump, have come to life lately with two consecutive wins, and will be primed to continue to jump start themselves here by ending a 4 game road losing streak , which has me recommending we go o take here with the visitors in this spot. HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 5-14 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-4 ATS L/5 season for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-11-18 | Maple Leafs -125 v. Hurricanes | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs were humbled last time out as they are coming off the 6-3 loss at Boston.Meanwhile, The Hurricanes have been lacking on offensive production despite usually posting more shots than their opponents ."I'm betting the Canes don't have the finishing power to take this tilt vs a side out looking for redemption and revenge on board vs a C around team that beat them last time they played. TORONTO is 9-2 ATS (revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.TORONTO is 10-1 ATS  off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (TORONTO) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team (+0.4 or more goals/game diff.) vs an average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 25-2 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win |
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12-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. UCF UNDER 147 | 88-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
UCF runs  a slow down system which is methodical in nature.UCF owns the 17th-lowest Adjusted Tempo (65.5 possessions per 40 minutes) in the nation.According  to my cross reference rankings, this total should be closer to 140 which gives us sufficient value to the under here. Note: UCF is 20-8 UNDER  versus good teams like G.Southern - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 123 ppg scored. GA SOUTHERN is 8-0 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 131.2 ppg scored. CF is 7-0 UNDER  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 126.5 ppg going on the score board. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCF) - slow-down team averaging 53 or less shots/game on the season, in December games are 249-162 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-11-18 | Georgia Southern +12.5 v. UCF | 88-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Both these teams have played competitive basketball this season, via two contrasting styles. The Eagles (5-2 against the spread) shot 38.5% on 3s in their latest win over Mercer last time out. Im always on the quest for hot behind the arc shooting teams when Im looking for a DD cover, and they fit the bill. According to my line projections this line  should be closer to 9 point favourites, and offers us value with the visiting dog. Play on G.Southern to cover |
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12-10-18 | Long Beach State v. Pacific UNDER 152 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
 Considering both teams systems and player personnel Im betting this number is slightly bloated to the upside giving us value with an under wager. My number sits at 147.5 which is close to a 2 possession game in the difference making this viable wagering opportunity. PACIFIC is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game with a combined average of 133 ppg scored. LONG BEACH ST is 17-7 UNDER (+9.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. LONG BEACH ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.7 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 173-119 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-10-18 | Long Beach State +6 v. Pacific | 68-74 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
LBSU returns a pair of All-Big West honorees from a season ago. Both Yussuf and Booker were Honorable Mention All-Big West selections and are key members on a team that must not be disrespected, despite of their losing record so far this season .  I know Pacific has played well of late, and 7-4 this season and boast a solid 5-1 home record, but I have to stick to my power ranking assessments that say this game should be closer to a 3 point line favouring Pacific thus giving us value backing Long Beach State. Play on Long Beach St to cover |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks UNDER 46.5 | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Seattle has been taking part in some back and forth fairly high scoring affairs of late, but Pete Carrol has voiced concern about his D, and especially about the young secondary, and will be concentrating on making sure break downs are kept under control vs the visiting Vikings tonight. Meanwhile, Minnesota remains a defence first team, with a methodical hard nosed old school approach , and should once again be ready to bang and grind tonight in a game that I have pegged to stay under the total. The overall assessment comes from my own power rankings system that uses a system vs system projections. Those estimations points to a combined score that hits in the low 40s ,thus giving us value on the offered number. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games in December.Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games on fieldturf. Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 Monday games.Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. MINNESOTA is 15-6 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games with a combined average score of 28.8 ppg going on the board. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MINNESOTA) - average team (+/- 0.4 YPP) against a poor team (outgained by 0.4 to 1 YPP) after 8+ games are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 48-18 UNDER L/35 seasons 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-10-18 | Kings -2.5 v. Bulls | 108-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bulls are a mess and have lost 12 of their L/14 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, losing to a very good Indiana side. Wha tIm betting on here tonight is for Chicago hoops team to continue to struggle in rebuilding mode, and for the Kings to be keen on taking care of business vs a lower tier team. In their last two road games vs sub par competition the Suns and the Cavaliers the Kings came out of those tilts with DD victories and more of the same kind of one sided action looks to be on their agenda tonight .SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-10-18 | Kings +105 v. Red Wings | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Detroit has taken part in a vicious part of their schedule and are on tired legs. DETROIT is 7-18 ATS  in home games when playing their 4th game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons Red Wings are 8-21 in their last 29 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Red Wings are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Pacific.Red Wings are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. Western Conference.Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Red Wings are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Red Wings are 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DETROIT) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Meanwhile, the Kings have momentum, and are off a 5-1 win vs Vegas last time out. Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 Monday games.Kings are 16-7 in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Kings are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Play on the LA Kings to win on the moneyline |
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12-10-18 | Morehead State +13 v. Marshall | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
 Marshall is off a hard fought 75-74 loss to Toledo last time out at home and will now be in a letdown spot here in the followup tilt Note: MARSHALL is 7-18 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less . Play on Morehead State to cover |
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12-09-18 | Devils v. Ducks -113 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The Devils  have been struggling of late losing 6 of their L/7 despite notching a win last Time out and do not travel well as they are  just 5-17 in their last 22 road games.Devils are also 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Meanwhile, Anaheim despite of a boatload full of injuries are overall performing quite well, despite of a loss last time out Carolina 4-1 that halted a 5 game win streak. Note:Anaheim is 20-7 ATS  after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons and Im betting they bounce back here tonight. NEW JERSEY is 4-13 ATS against poor defensive teams  29  or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. ANAHEIM is 17-4 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. NHL favorite against the money line (ANAHEIM) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 52-11 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Anaheim to win on the money line |
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12-09-18 | Hornets v. Knicks +6 | 119-107 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks in their current form don't inspire bettors, but my projections estimate this line to be bloated, making the Hornets fade material in this spot. Also the Hornets are off a hard fought win vs Denver last time out. I watched part of that game and you could tell this  Charlotte team was working hard and playing with intensity, which Im betting will have them in a natural letdown situation here today vs a side that not only does not inspire bettors, but their opposition as well. CHARLOTTE is 11-29 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 6-1 ATS L/7 overall in this series and 4-0 SU/ATS  L/4 here at home in MSG. Play NY Knicks to cover |
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12-09-18 | Jazz -3 v. Spurs | 97-110 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Im very surprised at how badly the San Antonio Spurs have performed this season, and how atrocious their defence has been overall. With that said, and  from a matchup perspective when factoring in player vs player and system vs system, Utah matches up very well vs their hosts and get my support here based on some long standing strategies I've had success with over the years from a long term perspective. Note:  The Jazz set a franchise record with 20 three-pointers made in Monday's win over San Antonio, shooting 60.6 percent (20-33) from beyond the arc on their way to their 34-point win.  I know the Spurs showed some life last time out coming from behind to win 130-122 vs the Lakers, but they exerted a great deal of energy in that game, and could suffer the effects of that hard work here vs a physical Utah Jazz team.Note: The Spurs, haven't won back-to-back games since winning four straight in an eight-day span Oct. 27-Nov. 3 and Im betting they falter here today. Utah is off a 118-91 win vs Houston last time out. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 70-13 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average point differential clicking in at 9.8 pg. NBA Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 15-45 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-09-18 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon +12.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
at Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ Nevada (9-0) is off to its best start in school history and is currently 5-0 during a six-game road trip, with 25 days between home games. Thanks to this big time start, they are being made hefty DD chalk in a neutral court environment.But the 5-3 Antelopes, who are coached by Dan Majerle, who spent a good portion of his professional career in the Valley of Sun must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number and be fairly competitive vs a behemoth side.In two of their losses, Grand Canyon let a late lead slip away against Seton Hall  and a slow start saw them lose to Utah despite of not looking out of place and at times dominated that game. Since those two losses, however they have won two straight, defeating LaSalle and Boise State and come in here with momentum. Play on Grand Canyon to cover |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +6 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 128 h 23 m | Show | |
The Broncos at press time of this recommended investment option are 6-point favorites on the road against the San Francisco 49ers. The line was bet up squarely from 3.5 on the opener, by public money, but after the rapid upswing in that movement ,sharp bettors came in with their money on the home underdog and rightly so based on line value alone. Despite of the Broncos current 3-0 run and the Niners dismal back to back blowout losses at the hands of Seattle 43-16 last week and TB the week before 27-9 I still believe that the Niners can bounce back here at home or at least be very competitive. In the 49ers L/2 home efforts before the above mentioned road fiascos they beat up an up-trending Oakland side 34-3 and stayed very close vs a better than advertised NY Giants group 27-23. With that said , Im betting on the disrespected home dog, to stand tall here and get us the cover behind the arm of a improving QB Mullens who has completed 64.5% of his passes for 1,147 yards, seven touchdowns, and has also posted a 91.5 passer rating so far this season and must not be underestimated. I am also betting on a SF side that was ranked 10th vs the run before last Sundays tilt vs the Seahawks to rebound this week, and slow the Broncos key mode of moving the chains running back Phillip Lindsay, Broncos are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 14.Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game Play on the 49ers to cover |
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12-09-18 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Pistons | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis  loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging  30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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12-09-18 | Panthers -1 v. Browns | 20-26 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
Carolina has lost 4 straight games despite of winning the stats battles in the L/3 tilts and  are now .500 on the  season and desperately need a win here this week to have hopes of being in the NFL playoff picture.  This week I expect the Panthers get what they so desperately want, vs a Cleveland team that despite showing promise,  are being out gained  -63 YPG during the 2nd half of the season behind a 30th ranked defense .  note: HC Ron Rivera is 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS career mark during the final four games of the season when coming off a loss . Rivera is also 8-0 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of CAROLINA. CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS  vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (CLEVELAND) - good rushing team (4.5 or more YPR) against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR), after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game are 5-23 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Carolina to cover |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 19 m | Show | |
The KC Chiefs are explosive offensively but they have really struggled on D ranking 2nd to last last in the league . Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens own the best defense in the league and a viable enough offence to put a boat load full of points on the board vs this type of porous side. It must also be noted that the Ravens are strong  12-0  ATS L/12 as a underdog on a natural surface when they are playing a team with a better record than them and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the Chiefs here. Baltimore is also 11-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.  Chiefs are fun to watch but they have some short comings, and as public favs look week in this spot. Remember despite of  10-2 this season,  5 wins have come vs dregs like  Browns,, Bengals, , Raiders ,Cardinals and 49ers. Baltimore has won their L/3 visits to KC and get the nod here again. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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12-09-18 | Panthers v. Browns UNDER 47.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 73 h 37 m | Show | |
The Panthers QB Cam Newton is throwing alot of interceptions of late, and now this week I expect the Panthers to go to the ground a great deal and play hard fought defensive brand of physical football. It must be noted that Cleveland has gone UNDER 14 straight times when they are off a road game and facing a non-divisional opponent that has endured  a negative takeaway margin in each of their last two games, as long as they are not getting more than TD.The  Browns are  also 0-20 to the UNDER at home off an ATS loss by more than five points when they are facing a side that is under .600 on the season and they are not more than a FG favorite. Im expecting this to be a hard part affair that stays on the low side of the Total. Panthers are 1-5 O/U vs NFC South and 1-4 O/U L5 non-conference  home game. The L/4 meetings in this series have seem a combined average of 32 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 15-4 UNDER L/19 against NFC South division opponents with a combined average of 36.7 ppg scored.Williams is 7-0 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 32.2 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CAROLINA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 25-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 50 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 52 h 22 m | Show | |
 These two teams are struggling despite of having very talented QBS. Green Bay has struggled so much they fired their long time coach McCarthy.  Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 4 straight. The quarterback matchup will be in the spotlight and Im betting will produce some offensive fireworks, as both teams look to blast off and out of their slumps with aggressive actions. It must be noted  the Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan's numbers do match his teams record as he has  completed 70.9 percent of his passes with 25 touchdowns, five interceptions and a 109.3 rating. Meanwhile, Rodgers considered one of the leagues top pivots is also  a streaky QB, but could explode and go at a run at any time . But from a historical standpoint one can see how talented he is by looking at how accurate and instinctive s he has been in his career having  thrown 336 consecutive passes without being picked off and is closing in on Tom Brady's NFL-record 358 record. GREEN BAY is 12-1 OVER after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 8-1 OVER vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 games in December.Over is 21-7 in Packers last 28 vs. NFC.Over is 12-3 in Packers last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Falcons last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The last 3 meetings in this series have seen a combined  (67.3 ppg ) go on the board. Play OVER |
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs +10 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
 The public is all over the Saints here this week against the lowly Bucs. But it must be noted from a long term historical trends perspective this type of fav bet is not a very good one as NFL Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less last game , which happened last time  out, are just 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must also be noted that the Saints are just 3-4 in the stats battles in their L/7 and off a ugly loss to Dallas last week, Im betting we a have a public favourite that Im betting won't live up to expectations here on the road this week in TB a place where Drew Brees and company have lost their last two trips. HC Payton is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Bucks are 6-1 ATS L/7 as home dogs and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3. Take the points with the TB Bucs |
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12-09-18 | VMI +5 v. Chattanooga | 65-83 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Coming off a game vs nationally ranked Virginia will have VMI ready to compete here vs a Chattanooga side that they matchup well against in this conference opener. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-18 ATS L/26 in all home games over the last 3 seasons. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 2-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and is 6-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 season. The Keydets have taken three of the past four matchups including a season sweep last year (70-69 at Chattanooga, 68-65 in Lexington).VMI is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here. Play on VMI to cover |
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12-08-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -2 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-08-18 | CS Bakersfield -1 v. Idaho | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
After racing past UC Merced on Tuesday, Bakersfield will take momentum to  MoscowIdaho for Saturday's matchup with the Vandals(3-5) .In a matchup of small schools my projections like Bakersfield 4-4 to cash here. Bakersfield has won four of the last five contests and swept a pair of games last season and get the nod again.  Bakersfield to cover |
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12-08-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -2 | 111-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies,  played no one more than 35 minutes and  took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks UNDER 220.5 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Nets pulled out a 106-105 overtime win over the Eastern Conference-leading Toronto Raptors on Friday night, and will now be on tired legs, and be less than ready to run and gun vs the NY Knicks here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks off shooting 39.6 percent shooting from the field in the loss, are a team that is struggling mightily to be consistent offensively. What was horrendous was the Knicks allowed the Celtics to shoot better than 53% in that loss, and now HC Fizdale will demanding his squad play better D, and to be more methodical with their approach. The above combinations Im betting will see this total combined score stay on the low side of the total. NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER  when playing against a below .500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 206.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 28-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Kings v. Pacers UNDER 222.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana is a big strong athletic team that bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and are allowing just 97.5 ppg at home this season. On the season they are ranked first in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. I know the the Kings run and in gun in with reckless abandon, but Indiana has the ability to dictate the pace here especially at home. The Pacers are ranked 26th in pace  in the NBA and are methodical in their approach and nothing changes here today. INDIANA is 9-0 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 15-5 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.5 pig scored.INDIANA is 12-4 UNDER versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 200.7 ppg scored.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 39-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Islanders v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
New York is struggling offensively.The Islanders in their past five games have only scored eight goals which is not a good omen for them tonight for snapping out of a drought, against a Detroit team, that has allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to score 3 goals or less and are off playing four explosive teamsB oston, Colorado, Tampa Bay and Toronto. that will have them prepared for this pedestrian  Isles attack.  Note: DETROIT is 19-9 UNDER  in home games when they allow 3 goals over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER  in home games against good starting goalies - saving  91.5% or more of shots against over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +3 | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle  10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-08-18 | Illinois-Chicago +11.5 v. Colorado | 72-84 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Flames rank 16th in the NCAA with 93 3-pointers made and 19th with 10.3 3-point field goals per game this season.Nine different players have converted at least one 3-pointer through nine games, and seven have made at least five. This makes them viable cover options thanks to their downtown abilities to cover vs the back door and put points on the board in bunches. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 4-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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12-08-18 | Wisconsin v. Marquette -110 | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams  Wisconsin and Marquette will meet for the 125th time Saturday afternoon in Milwaukee. Wisconsin (8-1, 2-0 Big Ten), ranked No. 12 coming into the game, but Im betting will have their hands full with this strong looking Marquette group. Wisconsin plays a methodical type of basketball, and are not built to run and gun , and since I expect Marquette to bomb from the land of the trey constantly here this afternoon, the Badgers will be in trouble.Also aside from Happ Wisconsins rebounding is average at best and that always is a problem, vs a Marquette team playing tough in the paint and surprisingly playing good D, which has not been the case over the last couple of seasons. Right now Maquette looks very balanced , and Im backing them here. Home court advantage has not been a real advantage lately with the road team winning the last 4 meetings, but today Im betting that changes. MARQUETTE is 8-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. CBB- A home team (MARQUETTE) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 75-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Marquette to cover |
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12-08-18 | Tulane +2 v. South Alabama | 60-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The South Alabama  Jaguars enter Saturday's game with losses in three of their last four, including a 71-60 setback at the University of New Orleans on Wednesday night and are looking very inconsistent so far this season. The Jags area team that is lead by one man band Kory Holden who has back to back 40 point games. Im betting the Tulane  Green Wave  who  currently lead all American Athletic Conference teams in 3-point field goal percentage, converting at a 37.5 percent clip to bomb there way to a win from downtown here this afternoon vs what can be best described as a one man team. Play on Tulane  to cover |
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12-08-18 | Houston v. Oklahoma State OVER 138 | 63-53 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
You have to be able to put points up on the board to beat Oklahoma State, no matter how good a defence you might think you have. Yes, Houston can play lock down D, but they can also run and gun  when prompted which is what Im betting they will be forced into here today.  CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (HOUSTON/OKLAHOMA ST) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 85-42 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-08-18 | UC Davis v. Eastern Washington UNDER 70 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Eastern Washington hosts UC Davis on Saturday with a spot in the FCS Playoffs semifinals.These two teams met less than a month ago in a game that saw Eastern emerge with a 59-20 victory. So now theirs an inclination for public bettors to look at the over here as viable wager. In my usual contrarian fashion, I think this total is bloated and that we have value wth an under wager here according to my projections even though both these teams have prolific  offensive attacks. I do expect to see a lot more from the ground game from UC Davis in this rematch as they try to slow E.Washington down. On paper it looks like a shootout, but from a strategy perspective a more muted methodical and targeted effort from both sides won't come as a surprise. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Tennessee-Martin v. East Tennessee State -14 | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
TENN-MARTIN is 9-24 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing by more than 20 points per game. My projections agree with this long term trend. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games this season with a average point differential of 18.2 ppg. Play on ETSU to cover |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army UNDER 41.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 140 h 10 m | Show | |
 When Military Football Academies get together to play (Air Force, Navy, Army), points and offence are always lacking in what almost always results in a low scoring game . Its usually a war in the trenches, in what  is a take no prisoners physical confrontation. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE Im betting is on todays agenda. The UNDER is 32-8-1 for a 80% conversion rate since 2006. Play UNDER |
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12-08-18 | Rutgers -7.5 v. Fordham | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Fordham Rams are coming off a double overtime defeat on Tuesday night to previously winless Maine by the score of 75-68 and are now in a letdown situation vs a under rated Big 10 team Rutgers. Fordham is undefeated at home, but this will be their biggest test yet, and despite of probably being competitive early will falter Im betting as this tilt progresses. Look for rebounding to be key here for the Scarlet Knights, as  was the case in previous recent meetings as they owned a +29 rebounding margin in the win over Fordham in 2017 and +18 in last year’s victory both by DD margins of victory. Add a third win and cover here today is what Im expecting. FORDHAM is 1-10 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CBB ome teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-08-18 | Louisville +6 v. Indiana | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Louisville rebuild is way ahead of schedule, and are very viable underdogs here vs Indiana.  Louisville is at its best in the paint and are good at either making easy buckets  there or  drawing fouls. The Cardinals are making 23.6 free throws per game and rank second in the nation in free throw attempts per field goal attempts and this Im betting gives them a big advantage over Indiana .Indiana was outscored in the paint in two of its last three games and is prone to fouling down the stretch. It's also worth noting that Morgan got into early foul trouble in both the Hoosiers' losses. Louisville plus the points makes sense here considering the matchups. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70%  go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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12-08-18 | Western Michigan -2.5 v. Youngstown State | 88-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Broncos head into Saturday's match-up with an overall record of 4-4 after falling to USC Upstate last Saturday. This will be the third team from the Horizon League that WMU has faced this season, coming away victorious over Detroit Mercy and Oakland early this year and matchup well here vs Youngstown State. Im betting on Seth Dugan who is one of just 22 NCAA players   averaging a double-double at 19 points and 10.5 rebounds per game to lead the way here and for the Broncos superior FT shooting to be the difference maker later in this game. Note: WMU is one of just five schools in the Mid-American Conference to have two or more players rank in the top 15 in free-throw percentage. Sophomore Kawanise Wilkins leads WMU and ranks second in the MAC with a .885 free-throw percentage.  ST is 5-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons CBB favorite (W MICHIGAN) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite against opponent off a home loss  are 140-84 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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12-08-18 | UNLV +8.5 v. Illinois | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
The Runnin' Rebels had won four straight games from Nov. 13-23, but have lost their last two. UNLV is coming off a 65-61 loss last Saturday to Cincinnati, which closed its season-opening seven-game homestand. Despite of that this is a good team  that is more than capable of covering vs a Illinois Side on a three game losing streak including coming off a hard fought loss vs Ohio State last time out and will now be in a letdown spot here vs a  feisty non conference foe. ILLINOIS is 7-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. UNLV is 15-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. UNLV has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and gets my support again. Play on UNLV |
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12-08-18 | St. Joe's +11.5 v. Villanova | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. Play on St.Joes to cover |
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12-08-18 | South Dakota State v. Kennesaw State +7.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
KSU has the third-longest active home winning streak in FCS at 15 games and is one of five programs with a winning streak of 10 or more games. QB Chandler Burks has started 36 consecutive games at QB and has led the Owls to a 31-5 (.861) record. He is also 17-1 as the starting QB inside Fifth Third Bank Stadium. If South Dakota State wins here today Im betting it won't come easily. Take the points with Kennesaw State to cover |
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12-07-18 | Idaho State v. Santa Clara -4 | 68-66 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Injuries have hampered the Broncos early this season, but after averaging 64.0 points over the first six games, the Broncos have produced a season-best 81 in each of the last two outings and enter this tilt winning 3 of their L/4 and with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, Idaho Stat win my opinion is to one dimensional, and when team key on slowing guard Brandon Boyd (17.3) who ranks third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring their chances become above average for beating this team. Santa Clara is more than capable of doing just that.  The series is knotted at 2-all with the home team claiming each victory and Im betting the home team grabs the cash again. IDAHO ST is 5-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and is 16-28 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
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12-07-18 | Warriors v. Bucks UNDER 240 | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light the scoreboard up, but when quality teams like this get together, a more physical brand of basketball is not unusual. GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 UNDER L/40  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average score of  224.6 ppg scored. Also HC Kerr is 20-8 UNDER  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. Golden State allowed Milwaukkee to smash them 134-111 at home in their last meeting an now Im betting on them playing down lock down defence and responsible transitional basketball. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-07-18 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 225.5 | 120-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
San Antonio are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th game in 10 days and enter this game ranked 29th in the league in defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Lakers rank 9th in ppg in the league, averaging 113.1 ppg and 17th in ppg allowed at 111.1 ppg. When considering both sides current form, and system vs system analysis and player matchup trends, my projections estimate a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 OVER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored. These teams combined to put 235 ppg on the board in LA 2 days ato in their last meeting, which was a back and forth affair, and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Friday games.Over is 5-0-1 in Spurs last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 8-0 in Spurs last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1-1 in Spurs last 12 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Spurs last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 18-7-1 in Spurs last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 74-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-07-18 | Thunder v. Bulls +9 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines. The Bulls have now lost seven straight and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road, in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS  in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.  NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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12-07-18 | Maine v. Weber State UNDER 44 | 23-18 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Maine Black Bears visit Weber State on Friday night in a key FCS play off tilt. These are two tough defensive teams. Maine allows 21.6 points per game (Weber State allows 21.0). Weber's rushing attack of Josh Davis and Treshawn Garrett are a key mode of moving the chains but will have tough sledding; Maine allows just 74.5 ground yards per contest, second-best in the country, and 295.3 per game overall. Im expecting a very physical affair played in cold temps today, and for this contest to stay on the low side of the Total. Play UNDER |
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12-07-18 | 76ers v. Pistons +2.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Note: Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion.  Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. 76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz -2 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to the hardwood and Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their last six games and converted on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall. Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season are 69-115 ATS for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is off a 6-0 win vs Indianapolis last time out at home. But whats obvious is that just can't move the chains regularly or put TDs on the board, averaging just 16.9 ppg on the season and with Cody Kessler under centre I doubt if things get much better vs the Titans. Also despite of the Jaguars exhibiting great D, at home this season, on the road they have  proven to have a gridiron split personality allowing 27+ ppg.  Meanwhile, the Titans are also off a win taking out the Jets 26-22 in come from behind fashion, which will have them exuding confidence here this Thursday night.  The Jags are 1-4 ATS L/5 Thursdays when taking points.Thursday night NFL home teams have won 12 straight times. Titans are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. Note:The Jags are 0-12 SU/ATS as underdogs during the regular season when coming off a SU underdog win and facing a opposition coming off a victory. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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12-06-18 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 217.5 | 100-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Boston has been really lighting up the scoreboard of late, scoring 124,128, 118 in their L/3 trips to the floor. Tonight I expect they will continue to roll against a less than consistent NYK defence, that ranks 27th in D efficiency and 26th in points allowed ( 114.4 ppg). What Im betting is that for the Knicks to have no choice but the chase the Celtics and try to post some explosive offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair the eclipses this Total. My projections estimate that Boston will score within 115 to 121 points. Note: NEW YORK is 10-2 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons ands 11-2 OVER after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 28-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-06-18 | Avalanche v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado is a strong team with probably the most explosive offensive line in the league , center Nathan MacKinnon and wingers Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen, but their on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting will be more muted than usual. Meanwhile, Florida, a team that posted a shutout last time out and has allowed 3 goals or less in 4 of their L/5 games will be prepared to play shut down D, at home vs a dangerous offensive side. Under is 9-2-1 in Panthers last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Panthers last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 16-5-5 in Panthers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 28-6 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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12-05-18 | Spurs +8.5 v. Lakers | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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12-05-18 | Temple +10 v. Villanova | 59-69 | Push | 0 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Villanova after losing players to the NBA last season, look vulnerable this season, as was the case when they were smashed by Michigan at home losing by 27 points and upset loss to Furman. Don't get me wrong theirs alot of talent on this Villy roster, but HC Jay Wright just does not have the top tier depth he had last season when  the Cats ,\made their national championship run. Meanwhile, Temple has lost just once this season, by 6 points, and sport a 8-1 record, and here in this Philadelphia neighbourhood battle must be respected as DD dogs. TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS  in road games in non-conference games.  Temple to cover |
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12-05-18 | Mavs +6.5 v. Pelicans | 106-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
 The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans  are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including  starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans  Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS  in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS  when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-05-18 | St. Louis +3 v. Southern Illinois | 56-61 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Saint Louis enters Wednesday’s game at Southern Illinois red hot with a 6-1 record.The Billikens are coming off a impressive 64-52 victory over Butler on Saturday afternoon. SLU played a lock-down defense, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot just 28.1percent from the field en route to a season-low 52 points. I know the Salukis have reeled off three consecutive wins against Tulsa, Colorado State and SIUE, but it will will be the Billikens defence that once again makes them very competitive and Im betting will allow us to cash a ticket here. Play on St.Louis to cover |
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12-05-18 | Tennessee-Martin v. Tulane UNDER 151 | 74-87 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
My own numbers make this total closer to the 144 mark, thus giving us value with a under wager. Tenn Martin has had a couple of big offensive outputs, so far this season, but Tulan has held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 68 points, and are well suited in this matchup for repeat performance which aid this total score staying under the Total. TENN-MARTIN is 8-1 UNDER  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-05-18 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 232 | 131-117 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Washington is on a two game win streak thanks to paying better attention to defence, and being much more careful in transition.WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta continues to struggle to score consistently, with the 30th ranked offensive efficiency despite of procuring the No 1 pace in the league . Im betting despite of Hawks trying to run and gun , their efficiency , thanks to missing one of their key offensive players Prince will see their flow thwarted as well as their total output.  Meanwhile, the Wizards will remain steadfast in their wish to play a better controlled brand of basketball. What Im betting on here is a lower scoring game than the hefty number might indicate. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER  vs. struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 22-7 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-05-18 | Bowling Green -3 v. Cleveland State | 64-82 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland State is in free fall losing 5 straight games, and are fade material here vs a Bowl in gGreen team that according to my power rankings should be closer to a 4 point fav here, giving us value with the road team as short chalk. BOWLING GREEN is 9-0 ATS  after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons .CLEVELAND ST is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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12-05-18 | Ohio State v. Illinois +5.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Illinois' spread offense features multiple ball handlers on the court with an emphasis on passing which has resulted in opening the court up for their big shooters. Illini have been filling it up from 3-point range to start the season. Illinois have made at least nine threes in six of its first eight games, averaging 10.3 treys per game to rank second in the Big Ten and 22nd in the NCAA. When your backing  an underdog in college Hoops knowing you have side that can light the score board up out of the gate or in back door cover mode makes for a confident bet. Alternately on the flip side, the Illini defense ranks seventh in the nation in turnover rate, forcing turnovers on 24.8 percent of opponent possessions on the season. Opponents are averaging 17.9 turnovers against the Illini, with the Illini leading the Big Ten and ranking 16th in the NCAA in forced turnovers per game.Illinois is currently averaging 18.9 points off turnovers, outscoring foes by 5.3 points per game in that category. Im betting on their ability to light it up from down town and force trunovers keeps them in this game against a very good Ohio State hoops program. Buckeyes are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games.Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Illinois to cover |
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