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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-16-22 | Florida State v. Louisville OVER 56.5 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Louisville QB Malik Cunningham has owned FSU’s defense the last two seasons and Im betting he helps his team land some big offensive punches against what is still not a complete FSU D that  struggled to contain the QB vs LSU .Florida State defense ranks outside the top 90 in Passing Success Rate and Passing PPA Allowed. . On the flipside FSU’s offense matches up really well against Louisville’s weak rush defense and does more than enough damage here with the option being key for big downfield offensive gains behind improved QB play and 3 dimensional run game. Louisville HC Satterfield and former QB is 15-3 OVER off 2 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 60 ppg going on the board. Over is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Louisville. Play on the OVER |
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09-16-22 | Rangers v. Rays -139 | 4-3 | Loss | -139 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup for the opening meeting will feature Texas left-hander Martin Perez (11-6, 2.77 ERA) and Rays right-hander Corey Kluber (10-8, 4.36). Kluber was roughed up by the Yankees in his last outing, but he has been a stable presence in the Rays rotation and  is 6-1 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 career starts vs the Rangers and my projections make him a solid fav here today. Texas starter PEREZ is 3-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.457. TAMPA BAY is 32-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 22-7 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 20-7 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB road teams (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 18-62 L/5 season for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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09-16-22 | White Sox -149 v. Tigers | 2-3 | Loss | -149 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Detroit starter Manning is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox with his team losing all 5 of those tilts. Today Im betting we see a rinse and repeat situation manifest. White Sox starter GIOLITO is 22-9  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 33-14  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 14-42 L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. White Sox are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Play on Detroit to win |
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09-16-22 | Rockies +127 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 9-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Marquez  is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last five road starts. Cubs starter STROMAN is 4-10 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 2-10 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 1-8 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Stroman is 0-5 with a 7.11 ERA in nine starts at Wrigley Field this season and is fade material in this spot play. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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09-15-22 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
D Lynch the Royals starter owns a 9.22 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill along with an equally ugly 2.048 WHIP allowing 14 ERS including 5 HRS in a 13.7 inning span. My projections estimate that he matches up poorly vs the Twins and should be lit up again. He is 0-1 with a 4.67 ERA in three lifetime starts at Minneapolis. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Bundy the Twins starter owns a 5.25 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill , while allowing 23 hits in 14.3 innings of sub par pitching and is set to be beaten around more than his two previous pitching Twins predecessors in the first two games of this series . BUNDY is 23-11 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 37-18-4 in the last 59 meetings in Minnesota. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Play on OVER  . |
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09-14-22 | Pirates +138 v. Reds | 10-4 | Win | 138 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
The Pirates send Roansy Contreras (5-4, 3.29 ERA) to the mound in the series finale. The 22-year-old right-hander will be making his 15th start of the season for the Pirates, and second this year against Cincinnati and according to my projections gives the Pirates a edge on the hill. CINCINNATI is 12-21 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. CINCINNATI is 8-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. CINCINNATI is 7-23 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse ), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-13-22 | Dodgers -190 v. Diamondbacks | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
Dodgers star hurler and expected starter today KERSHAW is 39-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) LA DODGERS are 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. LA DODGERS are 41-15 against the money line against division opponents this season. Meanwhile, Kelly the DBacks starting hurler despite of a strong season is off a 6-5 loss in his last out vs San Diego, and has shown some chinks in his proverbial armor of late, by allowing 4 HRs in his L/3 starts.KELLY is also just 0-7 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.567. Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 10-45 in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 59-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +7 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The upgrades to Denver Broncos football and the so called rebuilding of the Seattle Seahawks has the public hands down backing the visitors tonight. However, in my sometimes contrarian ways Im instead going with the home dog. I know newly acquired Broncos QB Russell Wilson knows his former team the Seahawks well, but likewise so do the Seahawks know Wilson well and his mode of operation and his weaknesses. As far as preseason football goes, I was not impressed by the Broncos, and their coaching staff. I really feel their are alot of kinks that need to be ironed out, for this Denver franchise to show the upward momentum expected of them making getting points with the home side a better deal than many might expect .Carroll is 21-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of SEATTLE.Carroll is 50-29 ATS  as an underdog as the coach of SEATTLE.Carroll is 14-5 ATS in home games in September games as the coach of SEATTLE. Denver 3-11-1 ATS L/14 Monday nighters. Monday night chalk in game 1 of the season are just 19-39-1 ATS L/42 seasons. Play on Seattle to cover  |
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09-12-22 | Angels v. Guardians OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Angels southpaw Reid Detmers (5-5, 3.67 ERA) will make his 22nd start of the season on Monday for Los Angeles. He is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts versus Cleveland. Meanwhile, another Left-hander Konnor Pilkington (1-2, 3.99) will make his 10th start (14th appearance) of the season for Cleveland. He hasn't started a major league game since July 23, spending most of the past two months at Triple-A Columbus. (Rust at the MLB level is a factor here) According to my projections both these pitchers do not matchup well vs the opposing sides batting orders aiding in my synopsis for this tilt to see more runs scored than the offered number from the lines-makers. Over is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 overall.Over is 10-4-3 in Angels last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-2 in Angels last 9 road games. Over is 7-2 in Guardians last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-11-22 | White Sox v. A's +150 | 3-10 | Win | 150 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CUETO is 8-14 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox clobbered the As yesterday 10-2 out hitting them by a 20-3 count. Note:CHI WHITE SOX are 2-9 against the money line after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent over the last 2 seasons. Regression now expected by the Pale Hose and a bounce back effort is at hand for a redemption minded As squad. MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 30-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland As to win |
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09-11-22 | Jaguars +3 v. Washington Commanders | 22-28 | Loss | -107 | 196 h 22 m | Show | |
Off season moves by Jags has WR Christian Kirk, in the lineup giving QB Lawrence the best receiver he’s played with in his NFL career and Im betting as long as they both stay healthy they will have a productive on field relationship that will aid the Jags offense greatly . Expected QB matchup Wentz vs Lawrence. Historical Trends: WASHINGTON is 16-36 ATS in home games in September games since 1992.WASHINGTON is 44-75 ATS as a home favorite since 1992. Commanders are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.Commanders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.Commanders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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09-11-22 | Ravens v. Jets UNDER 45 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 103 h 44 m | Show | |
Baltimores QB Jackson is still in contract negotiations, and may not be 100% focused and with key receiver Marquis Brown gone and Sammy Watkins also playing somewhere else this season, may not have as many options to move the ball as he once had. Offensive adjustments are now in play and could easily stymie the Ravens output early on this season and more importantly today. Meanwhile, NYJ banged up starting QB Wilson may not play this week or see limited action. No matter what materializes Im betting the Jets remain limited in their offensive prowess, and could easily have problems against a supped up Baltimore D. Everything points to this combined score not eclipsing the offered number. BALTIMORE is 22-10 UNDER L/32 in road games against AFC East division opponents with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games as a road favorite.Under is 11-4 in Ravens last 15 road games NY JETS in their L/6 September games over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 36.8 ppg go on the score board. Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games in September. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (/BALTIMORE /NY JETS) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 30-8 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average ppg total clicking in at 40.9 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-11-22 | Browns v. Panthers | 26-24 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
The Panthers will start Baker Mayfield this week against a Cleveland side that will start back up QB Jacoby Brissett instead of the suspended DeShaun Watson. Im betting Mayfield will want a grain of redemption here to prove to the Browns what they gave up on. Note: Brissett has lost 23 of his 37 NFL starts for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Bottom line: The Panthers  with a motivated Baker in the lineup , and Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September. Play on Carolina to win |
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09-10-22 | Mississippi State v. Arizona UNDER 57.5 | 39-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
We. know how explosive Mississippi State can be with an air raid offense that never quits. But Arizona is use to explosive passing attacks and are currently well suited to deal with it. Meanwhile, I expect the Wildcats to really look to slow this game down via the running game, which Im betting makes for a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers current offering suggests. Under is 16-6 in Bulldogs last 22 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 21-8 in Bulldogs last 29 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. MISSISSIPPI ST is 24-10 l/34 UNDER after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Last week they won 49-23 ,but the coaching staff were emphatic about shoring up the D this week. Under is 6-1 in Wildcats last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 home games. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 MISS STATE /ARIZONA) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 30-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 52.9 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-10-22 | Baylor v. BYU -3 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 63 h 5 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears had a great season last year winning the Big 12 championship with an upset vs Oklahoma State. They also beat the Cougars last season by a 38-24 count, But now BYU will be primed for payback behind a explosive team that is very under rated in my humble opinion. It must also be noted that BYU ranks No. 1 overall and the Bears at No. 126. in returning production. With the home side winning and covering the last three meetings including a 6-1 ATS record  favoring the Mormons in their last seven meetings with Big 12 opposition I feel confident in a winning effort by the home side today.Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on BYU |
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09-10-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +104 | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks are 28-64 in their last 92 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rockies Urina. Rockies are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Colorado has won 3 straight while the Dbacks have lost 3 straight Im betting on the trend continuing tonight. COLORADO is 31-16 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 31-21 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Diamondbacks are 39-91 in their last 130 road games MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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09-10-22 | Boston College +3 v. Virginia Tech | 10-27 | Loss | -120 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech is off a loss to lower tier Old Dominion last week by a 20-17 count and are proving my assessments of them correct at this juncture of the season. Vtech lost to Boston last season by a 17-3 count and look incapable of payback . I know BC blew a lead vs Rutgers last week and lost 22-21, but that will make them all the more hungrier this week in a matchup that favors them getting points. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are 33-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston College to cover |
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09-10-22 | Kansas +13.5 v. West Virginia | 55-42 | Win | 100 | 71 h 53 m | Show | |
These teams played a regular season finale on Thanksgiving weekend last season with West Virginia barley getting by Kansas with a 34-28 victory in Lawrence. Kansas has 9 starters back on offense and 17 returning starters overall while West Virginia only has 4 on defense and 11 total coming back. The experience resides with Kansas and some key trends also support them as underdogs and possible out right winners. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS) - team with a below average scoring defense last season - allowed 35 or more points/game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning have won 19 of their L/27 opportunities SU. Kanas has covered 6 of the L/9 meetings in this series and 3 of their L/4 @ West Virginia.Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Mountaineers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on Kansas to cover |
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09-10-22 | UNLV v. California OVER 48 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
UNLV quarterback Doug Brumfield went 21 of 25 for 356 yards and threw four first-half touchdowns in last weeks 55-21 win over Idaho State and Im betting he does some damage again, while the Rebels D, will take some punishment from a PAC 12 offense that matches up well agains them. Note: Bears Cal QB Jack Plummer went 23 for 35 for 268 yards with three touchdowns and Im betting on even more consistency here as they get the rust off . Over is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 games overall. Over is 4-0 in Golden Bears last 4 games in September. Over is 38-18-1 in Golden Bears last 57 non-conference games. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (CALIFORNIA) - team that had a losing record last season, with just 9 or fewer total starters returning are 39-98 OVER L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 54.2 ppg. CFBeams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - team that had a terrible record last season (25% or less) playing a team that had a losing record are 49-17 OVER L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 53.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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09-10-22 | Alabama v. Texas +21 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 65 h 49 m | Show | |
Alabama's goes into Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns . Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian was Saban's offensive coordinator for two seasons, so both coaches are not strangers and know their opponent well.  New Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers, who transferred from Ohio State, passed for 225 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in his first start and is capable of doing some damage here again this week against a top tier defense that is still human in nature.Â
From a historical standpoint Texas is 7-1-1 all-time against Alabama with the loss coming in the BCS Championship Game at the end of the 2009 season. Sarkisian is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games in September games in all games he has coached since 1992. Sarkisian is 13-4 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Texas to cover |
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09-10-22 | North Carolina v. Georgia State +7.5 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 64 h 27 m | Show | |
Huge emotional letdown scenario on tap here this week vs Georgia State for the North Carolina Tar Heels as they come off a extremely hard fought victory against App St in OT by a 65-63 score. Biggest problem for the Tar Heels is a D, that has now surrendered 85 points in two games and once again looks vulnerable here, N CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Brown is 2-10 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of N CAROLINA. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA ST) - team that had a winning record last season 103-54 L/30 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA ST) - team that had a winning record last season, in non-conference games are 83-35 ATS L/30 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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09-09-22 | Boise State -17 v. New Mexico | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 39 h 49 m | Show | |
Boise State was beaten up on by Oregon state in their first game of the season, and will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort against a less than strong New Mexico side that they matchup very well against. In the two most recent meetings in this series the Broncos bashed the Lobos by scores of 37-0 and 42-9, and my projections estimate a rinse and repeat situation is on board for this Friday night. Yes, I know the Lobos clobbered a ugly looking Maine team at home in their opener by a 41-0 count, but the side their facing today is a multiple times better than what they saw last week. Note: New Mexico is just 1-12 ATS when off a 7 or more point win.Lobos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Broncos are 7-1 ATS when off an away defeat. Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Play on the Boise State Broncos to cover |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
The defending Super Bowl Champions the LA Rams host the Buffalo Bills in both sides opening tilt of the regular season this Thursday night. At the time of me releasing this selection the Bills are getting most of the publics support, but head coach Sean McVay and company have proved very competitive out of the gate in the recent past posting a 5-0 SU/ATS record in game 1 of the season and must not be underestimated. Buffalo barley eked out a 35-32 win during the 2020 campaign at home when these teams played and will be lucky in my opinion to get the job done again vs a top tier side that demands respect from opponents. Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.Rams are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in September. Defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 ATS as home dogs in the first six games of the season dating back 42 seasons.. NFL Underdogs or pick (LA RAMS) - good offensive team from last season - scored 24 or more points/game are 43-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Rams to cover |
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09-08-22 | Reds v. Cubs -138 | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Cessa has not faired well against the Cubs this season allowing five runs, six hits and three walks over 3 1/3 innings spanning four relief appearances. In eight lifetime outings vs. Chicago, Cessa has no decisions and a 6.14 ERA. Im betting the Cubs take advantage of him again today and get us the victory. Note: The righty hurler has allowed five runs over his L/11 11 innings of his previous three starts including giving up four homers.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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09-07-22 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Padres | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Dbacks starter Henry will face the Padres today and has been in good form away from home of late , going 2-0 in his last two road starts, with a 3.49 ERA. He took a bit of beating last time out, but is a quality hurler and Im betting he bounces back. Padres Starter DARVISH is 3-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 42-101 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dbacks +1.5 run-line |
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09-06-22 | Aces v. Storm OVER 165 | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
SEATTLE is 6-0 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with the average ppg hitting in at 175 ppg. |
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09-06-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Phillies dropped two of three against the Arizona Diamondbacks and were then swept by the San Francisco Giants to cap the 1-5 road swing and will now be hungry for redemption and to get their momentum back on a upward swing against a Marlins side that has lost 7 straight games. PHILADELPHIA is 23-4 SU vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8. MIAMI is 4-23 SU vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clikcing in at -3.1. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 13-77 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in a t-2.8 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 |
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09-05-22 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/6 games overall and are obviously struggling offensively in a big way entering this game against the Milwaukee Brewers. All 6 of those games have gone under the total and more of the same lack of production will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. Ryan Feltner the Rockies righty starting pitcher has seen his L/3 trips to the hill go under the total with combined runs of 5 , 4 and 7 combined runs going on the score board. Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-2-2 in Brewers last 11 during game 1 of a series.Under is 11-5 in Brewers last 16 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. COLORADO is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 30-16 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 36-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 71-35 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Colorado. Play UNDER |
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09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton -1 | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
The Tiger-Cats have won seven consecutive Labour Day contests and Im betting nothing changes here in the 2022 version- this Monday. Hamilton is 37-13-1 all-time against Toronto on Labour Day. Tiger-Cats are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Play on Hamilton |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +3 v. LSU | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 81 h 56 m | Show | |
The Brian Kelly era at LSU Im betting will be a difficult one for him in this ‘neutral field’ opening event at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans vs a Florida State program that looks ready to right the ship . Off course the media is all over LSU and how potent they will be this season . However hold your horses folks as FSU head coach Mike Norvell showed momentum late last season as the Seminoles won five of their last eight games,. It was to little to late, but now Im betting on bigger and better things for FSU. With QB Jordan Travis, the Louisville transfer, registering a 148.9 Passer rating last season, and back to back 1,000 yards rushing campaigns  this  more experienced FSU crew has an anchor. Note: LSU HC Kelly is 0-3 ATS in season openers the last three years . Meanwhile, : Norvell is  7-0 ATS the last seven tilts vs non conference opposition. Florida State 5-1 ATS L/6 a non conference favs of 8 points or less. Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-04-22 | Yankees -118 v. Rays | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
New York Im betting at least temporarily ends their current slide and and beat the Tampa Bay Rays when the American League East rivals conclude a three-game series Sunday afternoon in St. Petersburg, Fla. New acquisition Montas is 2-1 with a 1.87 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against Tampa Bay and according to my projections gives the Yankees the edge on the mound today. Note:Tampa Bay is expected to begin Sunday with Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.72) as its opener before using Ryan Yarbrough (1-8, 4.87) as its bulk reliever. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Pirates OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIPÂ 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the OVERÂ |
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09-03-22 | SMU v. North Texas +12 | 48-10 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 42 m | Show | |
North Texas is off a win in their opening game of the season vs UTEP and once again deserve respect vs a SMU team playing without HC Sonny Dykes who went over to coach TCU. This N.Texas  team this season returns eight starters on offense, while featuring and a under rated D that improved vastly last season compared to the previous season . The Mean Green are ranked No. 21 overall in Returning Production and deserve respect getting this many points. With this being a revenge situation for N.Texas after suffering losses in this series in three straight seasons Im betting on a motivated effort from the home dog. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons. Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NORTH TEXAS is 10-2 ATS in home games off a double digit road win since 1992.NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.Littrell is 6-0 ATS in home games off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of NORTH TEXAS. Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Mean Green are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. North Texas to cover |
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09-03-22 | Utah v. Florida +3 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 58 h 57 m | Show | |
 New Head coach Billy Napier is a top tier coach and Im betting he actually gets the most out of the rebuild with the Gators and talent he has on the field this season thanks to a strong coaching staff he brought over from Louisiana . I know he will face PAC 12 Champs Utah, but according to early season power rankings this SEC home side will be very competitive and the linesmakers agree with me. Note: Utah in one-score tilts the L/5 seasons, are just 1-6 SU on the road and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 as non-conference favorites the last four campaigns. Meanwhile, the Gators are 3-0 ATS run as a home pup, and have covered their L/3 gridiron battles vs Pac-12 sides . Add to that Billy Napier is 7-1 SU/ATS as a dog of 5 or less points and you have what I am recommending as a solid take option getting points. Play on Florida to cover |
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09-03-22 | Blue Jays v. Pirates +155 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Contreras, is a young gun that management are high on. In 15 appearances (12 starts) this season, he twice has pitched at least five scoreless innings including his last trip to the hill where he registered a a 5-0 win Sunday against Philadelphia, striking out seven in five shutout innings of top tier baseball. Pitching advantage goes to the Pirates |
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09-03-22 | Yankees +118 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Yankees won five straight after manager Aaron Boone smashed his hand down on the table in the Yankee Stadium interview room following a 5-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Aug. 20. Since its 3-2 win in Oakland on Aug. 26, New York is 1-5, has scored just 15 runs and gone 3-for-30 with runners in scoring position. Im betting hell broke loose again last night after their game 1 loss to the Rays in the confines of the lock room and that the Yanks will come out here and get themselves out a late season slump here today with a motivated redemption minded effort.Â
MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 23-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-03-22 | Troy +21.5 v. Ole Miss | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 36 m | Show | |
Miss HC Lane Kiffin might take a few games to get rolling as he has lost some key production from last year, so a blowout may not come as easily as this line suggests. Here today against a 18 returning starter the Bulldogs may find themselves in a closer tilt than anticipated. Note: Kiffin has failed to cover 7 of his L/10 as a non conference chalk of 20 or more points. ’17 returning starter ’pups in their season openers , are 113-84-3 ATS L/.198 opportunities . Play on Troy to cover |
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09-03-22 | Bowling Green +23.5 v. UCLA | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 20 m | Show | |
 The UCLA Bruins had a decent campaign last season, but Im betting they are over rated despite of some top tier offensive talent returning .According to my projections the Bruins are getting just a bit to much respect here today against MAC opponents Bowling Green.. The Falcons may not inspire bettors but with the amount of experience they have thanks to playing so many under class-man last season they become dangerous underdogs. Bowling Green coming into this season as the countries 6th ranked team in Returning Production experience, and also rank No. 3 in returning offensive production. . Note: UCLAs HC Chip Kelly is a perennial slow starter losing 5 of his first 8 openers SU and for me is fade material against a under rated opponent. Bruins are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games. Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on the Bowling Green Falcons to cover |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
 North Carolina did not look good in their opener vs a lower tier side and were up just 21-14 with 5 seconds remaining in the first half despite of Florida A&M having 25 ineligible players sidelined. They did win 56-24 but I was very unimpressed.  North Carolina barely made it to a Bowl game last season, and looked horrendous in a 38- 21 defeat as 13-point favs vs South Carolina With key personnel now gone  Mack Brown just does not look like he has a solid base for a team to suddenly begin to put wins on the board, especially here on the road against a Appalachian State program that has garnered a 11-1 SU at home record the last 3 seasons and a eye popping 32-3 SU record at home in their L/35 attempts and 21-3 ITS at home the last 4 seasons.  Brown is 1-10 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of N CAROLINA.Brown is 9-26 ATS after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on App state to cover |
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09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado +14 | 38-13 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU opens without head coach Gary Patterson for the first time in 20 seasons. Hes gone and and a new era begins at TCU.  Sonny Dykes, an so called offensive guru with a lack of respect for putting together decent defenses takes over ( At SMU he allowed an average of 430 YPG in four seasons . Thats not a good look for a Horned Frogs side that ranked 122nd against the run via 222 RYPG. Dykes is favored here by to many points despite of Colorados recent lack of success. Note: Dykes has failed to cover 17 of his L/25 as a road favorite , and 3-16 ATS the L/19 trips to the gridiron. Playing in the High altitudes is not an easy proposition for visiting sides, and Im betting the Buffs who are acclimated to the thin air make life difficult for TCU . TCU is 2-9 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Colorado to cover |
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09-02-22 | Marlins +170 v. Braves | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Alcantara (12-6, 2.13 ERA) will face Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (6-5, 4.10) in the opener. With that said, Im betting we have value with a possible Cy Young award winner on the hill here this evening. We know how potent Atlanta is but Alacantra and make the most powerful offenses look mortal. He is fifth in the National League in opponent batting average (.205) and strikeouts (167).He threw his league-leading fourth complete game of the season in his last start, on Aug. 27 against the Los Angeles Dodgers which proves my point.Alcantara has made two starts against Atlanta this season garnering a 2-0 record along with a minsicule 0.53 ERA, giving up four runs (one earned) with 21 strikeouts over 17 innings. He is 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA in nine career starts and has never allowed a home run to the Braves. ATLANTA is 6-14 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season. Play on Miami to win |
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09-02-22 | Yankees +115 v. Rays | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Rays Jeffrey Springs (6-4, 2.76 ERA) has pitched well lately but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the left-hander does not matchup well here and was roughed up in his latest trip the hill by the Red Sox who smashed him for five runs on eight hits in six innings. I know the Rays are in top form , but now the Yankees after a last season slumber will be motivated and now Im betting and ready to perform behind a very talented lineup. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day. Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series. Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 101-66 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-02-22 | Mariners v. Guardians +130 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Seattles starter CASTILLO is 0-5 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter is right-hander Zach Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA), who was winning pitcher last time he faced Seattle going seven innings and allowing just three runs last Saturday in Seattle. Im betting on. RINSE and REPEAT situation here and a value line victory. Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Guardians are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss. Play on Cleveland to win |
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09-02-22 | Virginia Tech v. Old Dominion +7 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
VTechs new HC Pry and Old Dominions HC Ricky Rahne, served under James Franklin at both Vanderbilt and Penn State, where they were dueling coordinators. Needless to say they know each other well and competitiveness should be on this agenda. Its also interesting to note that the last time Old Dominion played hosts to a Power 5 program was back in 2018 . That game saw the Monarchs take out the Hokies by 49-35 count as 29-point home underdogs. With 17 starters back, including 10 on offense, plus an array of transfers from Power 5 schools Old Dominion Im betting will be more competitive than the pundits might think vs a Virginia Tech squad that was just 6-7 last season and still trying to gauge how to win regularly. NCAAF Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLD DOMINION) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in non-conference games are 83-42 ATS L/30 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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09-01-22 | West Virginia +7.5 v. Pittsburgh | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
HC Browns needs to get his team off on the proverbial right foot here tonight as West Virginia starts this season on the road vs a Pittsburgh side that finds itself starting this campaign without NFL draftee QB Kenny Pickett and top tier WR Jordan Addison who took the transfer portal option and went out to USC. Im betting QB Daniels who previously was under center at USC and Georgia will have an advantage here today and get us the cover and possible outright victory. West Virginia is 9-3 SU/ATS and including 5-1 SUATS as underdogs. Meanwhile, Pitt has recorded a 1-6 SU L/7 record against Big 12 opponents. Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in September.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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09-01-22 | Dodgers v. Mets +120 | 3-5 | Win | 120 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Dodgers took the first two games of this series, and now in desperation mode Im betting we see a motivated bounce back effort vs Kershaw and company by the Mets. Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. NY METS are 16-3 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.Mets are 24-6 in their last 30 during game 3 of a series.Mets are 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  NY METS are 34-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 55-108 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 20-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Mets to win |
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08-31-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +124 | 18-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
 Arizona has won seven straight home games against Philadelphia including a come from behind 13-7 victory. Arizona has pushed 45 runs across the plate during their current five-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks had a season-best 17 hits on Tuesday and more of the same action Im betting is on board this Wednesday vs Phillies starter Falter (2-3, 4.41) who has struggled to keep the ball in the park, allowing up 12 homers in just 51 innings of sub par work . ARIZONA is 23-11 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.  MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win Paul Goldschmidt looks like a sure bet to win the NL MVP if he stays healthy down the stretch. He has owned Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Minor during his illustrious career, going 8-for-14 against the southpaw including three home runs. His slashline against Minor is absolutely impressive ringing in at .571/.600/1.286. |
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08-31-22 | Rays -168 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays have defeated the Miami Marlins in six straight games and Im betting nothing changes today. Tampa Bay, which leads the American League wild-card race, will start right-hander Drew Rasmussen (9-4, 2.77 ERA) on Wednesday and he matches up very well here vs the light hitting Marlins batting order according to my power rankings. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 17-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-31-22 | Cardinals v. Reds +200 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Cards starter QUINTANA is 0-5 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more in his career. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 4-13 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Cardinals will trot out southpaw Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.45 ERA) to the hill in the rubber match of the series. In his last outing Quintana suffered his first loss with the Cardinals since coming over from the Pirates at the trade deadline. He allowed four runs (two earned) and seven hits over five innings against the Atlanta Braves and Im betting with his momentum broken he continues to get hit around by a Reds side that averages 5.1 rpg vs lefties this season. CINCINNATI is 13-7 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) are 32-23 L/5 seasons. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -159 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Colorado stater URENA is 2-23 SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9. Jose Urena owns a ugly 10.39 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and looks like cannon fodder for the explosive Braves. Braves starter FRIED is 13-1 against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with average rpg diff recorded at +3.8. ATLANTA is 20-2 SU when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with the rpg diff registering at +2.8 . Atlanta is in a rebound mode tonight after two straight losses. Note:ATLANTA is 13-1against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season with average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 113-20 L/5 seasons with the average run diff clikcing in at +3.3 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 |
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08-30-22 | A's v. Nationals OVER 8 | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The Nationals will start right-hander Erick Fedde (5-8, 4.88), who will make just his second appearance of August. FEDDE is 21-8 OVER in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.6 rpg going on the board. Left-hander Cole Irvin (6-11, 3.16 ERA) will get the start for Oakland. Irvin lost four consecutive starts before his no-decision Wednesday vs the light hitting Marlins. Cole owns a 4.73 road ERA and according to my pitcher vs batting order matchup power rankings does not matchup well vs the Nationals . I know the Nationals offense has been stagnant but they have a chance to bust out here today giving us value for an over wager to cash. Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games following an off day. WASHINGTON is 29-13 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored.Over is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 during game 1 of a series. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 34-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play over |
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08-30-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Marlins | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The host Miami Marlins, have previously lost five straight games to the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays and Im betting nothing changes today. It must be noted that in two career starts against the Marlins, Rays starter McClanahan is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA. That includes a 4-0 win on May 24 when McClanahan pitched brilliantly with nine strikeouts in six scoreless innings. Rinse and repeat scenario now in play. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - bad NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 8-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win -1.5 |
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08-29-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tony Gonsolin has been over powering this season as is evident by a 16-1 record along with a stingy 2.10 ERA . Im betting he continues to add to his Cy Young award chances here today vs a very inconsistent Miami Marlins side. Advantage on multi run victory for the powerful Dodgers offense . GONSOLIN is 14-1 SU line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5. MIAMI is 2-15 SU vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg dfff clicking in at -3.5 . MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 112-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games are 37-11 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers -1.5 |
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08-28-22 | Braves +115 v. Cardinals | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Odorizzi (5-5, 3.95 ERA) threw a solid six innings in a 2-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last time out . He allowed the one run on four hits while striking out seven batters and stopping 14 of the final 15 batters he went against .He is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals. Cards offensive stars Albert Pujols (0-for-10, three strikeouts) and Paul Goldschmidt (0-for-3, two strikeouts) have not faired well against the righty. I know the Cards Adam Wainwright has pitched well of late, but this version of the Braves matches up well against him giving us value with the Braves as road dogs. Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 road games. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after 5 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base are 46-23 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Braves are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis. Braves are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-28-22 | Yankees v. A's +1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 122 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
These teams played two tight games so far in this series with each side squeezing out 3-2 victories. More of the same projected action is now on board giving us value with a runline wager with the As. BOONE is 26-30 SU in road games revenging a one run loss to opponent as the manager of NY YANKEES. Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss. Yankees are 6-15 in their last 21 road games. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 5-10 SU in road games in day games this season. NY YANKEES are 5-11 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Martinez. Road teams (NY YANKEES) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games are 19-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win +1.5 runline |
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08-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter URIAS is 14-1 SU in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.1 . URIAS is also 17-2 SU in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Miami squeezed by the Dodgers yesterday, but a repeat performance is not on the table here today. Note: MIAMI is 5-16 against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 111-20 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 run-line |
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08-27-22 | Orioles v. Astros -165 | 3-1 | Loss | -165 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Astros righty starter URQUIDY is 26-9  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 22-7 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 71-162 in their last 233 road games vs. a right-handed starter. HOUSTON is 51-27 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Orioles starter Kremer. HOUSTON is 32-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. HOUSTON is 34-15 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-27-22 | Reds v. Nationals -120 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The pitching matchups are a toss up, but this is game that favors the Nationals to grab a win based on pitcher vs batting order power ranking projections. Reds are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East. Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 16-39 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series. CINCINNATI is 10-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL are 49-22 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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08-27-22 | Charlotte +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 13-43 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
Charlotte brings back some experience from last season -ranking 19th in the nation in returning experience. Considering Charlotte has revenge on board for a humiliating loss last year to the Owls you can bet this group will primed for payback . With that said Im betting on QB Chris Reynolds and his experienced offensive group to stay in this game against FAU and possibly win the tilt outright. FLA ATLANTIC is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points . FLA ATLANTIC is 7-18 ATS L/25 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. NCAAF Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHARLOTTE) - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 41-15 ATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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08-27-22 | Rays -120 v. Red Sox | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rays starter nJeffrey Springs owns a 6-3 record along with a tight 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. The left-hander is in top form of late as well garnering a  3-0 record while registering a 1.66 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his L/4 trips to the hill. Im betting his recent success will continue vs a very inconsistent BoSox batting order. Meanwhile, Rich Hill the Red Sox starter has garnered a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and on the season, 7.12 ERA at home in 30.3 innings of sub par work. The Rays also according to my own data matchup well against him and the tired looking Boston bullpen. BOSTON is 2-12 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 17-35 against the money line against division opponents this season. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-27-22 | Wyoming v. Illinois -10 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 104 h 32 m | Show | |
Wyoming returns just 4 starers on each side of the ball and is expected to have a sub par season in the Mountain West Conference. Note: Wyoming ranks 129 out of 131 teams in terms of returning production. Meanwhile, Illinois is up trending- behind HC Bret Bielema who has 13 starters back in Champaign. I know the Illini did not have a strong season last year, but Im betting they start this season off with a big bang effort behind new OC Barry Lunney Jr. who comes over with his successes from UTSA.  Bielema is 13-0 SU in home openers in his college head-coaching career.  Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Play on Illinois to cover |
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08-27-22 | Angels v. Blue Jays -140 | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
The Angels crushed the Blue Jays yesterday by a 12-0 count and now the Jays will be primed to bounce back after that embarrassing outcome. Note:TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after a loss by 12 runs or more since 1997. Note: In two career outings against Toronto, Ohtani is 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA. He took a loss against the Blue Jays on May 26 when he allowed five runs in six innings, though he struck out 10. I know the Blue Jays starter Manoah has suddenly gone cold, but this big man still is a top tier pitcher and deserves respect here to help his team get some redemption today. Manoah owns a 1-0 record and a 2.84 ERA in two career starts against the Halos. LA ANGELS are 7-22 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
Game to played on a neutral Field in Dublin, Ireland . Nebraska's Scott Frost returns 12 starters  from a 3-9 SU team from last season and are being vastly over rated against a Northwestern side that had a atrocious season in 2021. Meanwhile, the Wildcats bring back 14 starters, and will be primed and very motivated to stay competitive after last seasons nasty 56-7 beatdown at the hands of the Corn huskers. Cornhuskers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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08-26-22 | Yankees v. A's +211 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
NYY starter COLE is 0-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cole has also struggle of late as is evident by his gone 0-4 record along with a fairly bloated 4.62 ERA in his last six starts. Meanwhile,A's, starter JP Sears (5-0, 1.93 ERA) has gone 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA since a recent trade from the Yankees. Im betting he makes the Yankees wish they never traded him here this evening. I know the Yankees blew out the As yesterday but it must be noted that the NY YANKEES are just 8-15 against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 23-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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08-26-22 | Braves -140 v. Cardinals | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Braves will open the series by starting Spencer Strider (7-4, 2.95 ERA), who has held opponents to one run in four of his last five starts. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Qintana despite of pitching well overall for the Cards since coming over in a trade, had a bad outing last time out, and   lost the last time he faced the Braves, when he allowed four runs in five innings on June 12 while still with the Pirates. He is 2-2 with an 8.37 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta. Note:  Braves are 42-19 in their last 61 games vs. a left-handed starter. ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-26-22 | Padres -180 v. Royals | 13-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Royals will send Kris Bubic (2-8, 5.29 ERA) to the mound in the opener, and the Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove (8-6, 2.91 ERA). The pitching matchup favors the Padres. Musgrove the San Diego-area native is a first-time All-Star this season, currently holding a career-low ERA, and has delivered quality starts in each of his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Bubic the Royals starter has struggled at home this season going 1-4 along with a bloated 5.55 ERA in 11 outings, having allowed 54 hits in 48.7 innings of sub par work. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 36-6 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. MLBt team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 32-11 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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08-26-22 | Giants v. Twins -126 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Twins bring a season-worst, six-game losing streak into this tilt t following a 6-3 loss to the host Houston Astros on Thursday night and will be extremely motivated to get back on track with  a victory here this evening. Meanwhile, the Giants are off a 6-1 loss to the Tigers, as their inconsistent play continues. Note: SAN FRANCISCO is 3-15 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season. Rookie right-hander Joe Ryan, who was born in San Francisco, will be motivated to end the Twins' losing streak. Ryan (9-6, 3.86 ERA) recorded a solid start in his latest trip to the hill , vs the Texas Rangers on Sunday, but his team still lost. A better overall result is expected by me today behind the arm of a viable hurler and a desperate side. Note: Giants are 6-22 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Ryan. Giants are also 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter lie the Giants stater Wood who owns a 4.64 road ERA in 13 outings this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins |
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08-26-22 | Cubs +140 v. Brewers | 4-3 | Win | 140 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has lost 14 of its past 22 games to plummet six games behind the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals and in their current form look like fade material vs a up trending Chicago Cubs side that have a pitcher on the hill (Steele) who is in top form as is evident by a 0.79 ERA with 33 strikeouts over 22 2/3 innings in four starts this month. MILWAUKEE is 4-12 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 overall. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 52-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on Chicago Cubs to win |
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08-26-22 | Rays +111 v. Red Sox | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay visits Boston having won six consecutive games -- which is currently the longest active streak in the majors including 11 of 13, and a four-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels this week. The Rays are on a top tier run, allowing just 16 runs in their last eight games overall with their pitchers having allowed three or less runs in 12 of the past 13 games. Tonight we will tail that momentum vs a struggling Boston side playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. MLB team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-25-22 | Cardinals -120 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Marcus Stroman has thrown the ball quite well for the Chicago Cubs of late, but at home this season he has generally struggled going 0-3 along with a bloated 6.62 ERA. Cubs starter STROMAN is 9-14 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) After losing yesterday the Cards will be primed for a come back and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here. The Cardinals' Dakota Hudson (6-6, 4.33 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA in seven career games against the Cubs, including four starts and gets my support here today. The St.Louis pitching staff owns a 2.12 ERA in their L/15 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. ST LOUIS is 17-4 against the money line in August games this season.ST LOUIS is 26-9 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on Cardinals to win |
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08-24-22 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Royals | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks righty Zac Gallen is in top form and has garnered a 0.92 ERA over his last six starts . He matches up very well against this light hitting Royals side and gives his team an obvious edge in this matchup. Not since the 3rd week of  July  Gallen has allowed only five runs (four earned) in 39 innings of quality work with opposition batters registering a lowly .152/.200/.182 slash-line against the righty. GALLEN is 6-0 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) LOVULLO is 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like KCs starter Singer. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more on the opening line (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 43-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dbacks to win |
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08-24-22 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Cubs | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
 The red hot visiting Cardinals Im betting will grab their 10th victory in 11 games when they face the Cubs on Wednesday night . Im also betting it comes in conclusive fashion. The NL Central-leading Cardinals have hit .310 with 18 homers while averaging seven runs over the last 10 trips to the diamonds. Meanwhile, their pitching staff has a 2.17 ERA with an opposition batting orders averaging f .178 in the last 12 contests. Rinse and repeat here tonight behid Cards starter Mikolas who  has given up three runs and six hits while going eight innings in each of his last two starts, both wins. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (ST LOUIS) - off a win of 10 runs or more over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 35-10 L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 17-55 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on the Cardinals -1.5 runline |
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08-24-22 | White Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
White Sox starter GIOLITO is 9-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. GIOLITO is 16-5 OVER  on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 20-8 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. The Pale Hose righty enters this game with a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the mound and looks vulnerable to being lit up again vs a sometimes explosive batting order.  . Giolito L/3 outings have all gone over the offered total. Meanwhile, Baltimores stater Watkins, owns a 4.35 ERA at home this season in 9 outings, allowing 46 hits in 39 plus innings of work with a low strikeout rate (21). Hitters are making contact consistently and the White Sox are the kind of team that can make him pay for his beachball type offerings. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 15-7-4 in White Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-2-2 in Orioles last 13 during game 2 of a series. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE/CHI WHITE SOX) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%), playing on Wednesday are 106-54 OVER L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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08-24-22 | Braves v. Pirates +1.5 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
In this series finale, Atlanta right-hander Kyle Wright (15-5, 3.14 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-9, 4.49). Keller according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings matches up well here vs the Braves giving us the edge on the run-line. The Braves won all four games in a home series against Pittsburgh in June and have won the first two this series 2-1 and 6-1 but Im betting on some regression here today. ATLANTA is 18-22 against the money line in day games this season. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 runline |
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08-23-22 | Brewers v. Dodgers -135 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 13-1  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 18-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter like  Gonsolin. LA DODGERS are 31-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Milwaukees starter Burnes. Dodgers are also 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record. LA DODGERS are 16-4 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-22 | Guardians v. Padres -135 | 3-1 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.63 ERA) will start for the Guardians Tuesday night against Padres right-hander Mike Clevinger (4-4, 3.63). On the season, Civale has given up 70 hits in 64 innings with a 1.34 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .277 against him and overall has not pitched well away from home, going 0-2 along with a bloated 7.26 ERA in 31 innings of sub par work. In his current form he is fade material. Guardians are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Guardians are 16-43 in their last 59 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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08-23-22 | Mets v. Yankees -122 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA) is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a ugly 6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen. Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired  from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win. Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games. Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York. |
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08-23-22 | Mets v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA) is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a ugly 6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen. Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired  from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win. Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games. Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York. |
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08-22-22 | Braves v. Pirates +175 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Atlanta is off a hard fought series against the Houston Astros this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot on the road this Monday vs the Pittsburgh Pirates making them vulnerable to being upset in game 1 of this series.  Atlantas newly acquired starter Odorizzi has made three starts for Atlanta since coming over from Houston on Aug. 1 and is 0-2 along with a bloated 5.93 ERA. He was smacked around in his last start against the Mets at home this past Wednesday, allowing five runs on eight hits in five innings. Im betting Pittsburgh takes advantage of his tired arm in this spot. Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 5-1 SU when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 25-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-9 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to win +1.5 runline |
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08-22-22 | Mets v. Yankees +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
After watching the Yankees find a way to salvage a game from their weekend series with the Blue Jays yesterday I feel their is a momentum edge here taking the Yanks to find a way to pull off another victory and get them selves out of this late season funk. I know The Yanks starter German has looked far from spectacular since his return from the IR, but now I expect after enough innings of work should also be ready to help his team get going in the right direction. Note:GERMAN is 14-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) Its obvious he pulls in a diff gear in these kinds of tilts at home. I know the Mets will send out top tier hurler Scherzer (9-2, 2.15 ERA) but a we know this Yankees team can make the best of hurlers look bad. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games. Play on the Yankees +1.5 runline |
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08-22-22 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox have seen alot of low-scoring tilts in recent weeks as is evident by having eight or less combined runs scored in 14 of their past 18 trips to the diamonds for a (.780) conversion rate to the under. Im betting on another low scoring affair as both the White Sox and Royal send pitchers with viable form to the hill. The White Sox Kopech in  22 starts this season, has garnered a 3.25 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. The righty in his his L/ 7 starts, owns a viable a 3.08 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP and top tier .303 xwOBA, .210 xBA and a .365 xSLG during his current campaign. Add to he has pitched well vs the Royals this season, registering a 3.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHP in two quality starts. KOPECH is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.3 rpg scored. KOPECH is 11-3 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Royals starter Lynch has been up-trending lately recording a 3.18 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in his last 8 starts. In two starts against Chicago, Lynch is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here in what promises to be a constipated offensive output by both sides. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Under is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 1 of a series. Under is 7-2 in Royals last 9 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings.Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Kansas City. Play UNDER |
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08-21-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-10 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Todays Im going to back a potential Cy Young award front runner in this tilt featuring the visiting Marlins vs the LA Dodgers. The Marlins stater Sandy Alcantara owns a stingy 2.78 xERA, and is allowing  a .243 xwOBA, with opposition batting orders garnering a lowly .209 xBA against the strong righty. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with inexperienced R Pepiot. The Dodgers right hander has made just six starts in the the big leagues and despite of no losses, recorded a sub par 5.03 xERA, a 7.11 BB/9 rate, and 1.77 HR/9 rate. These are obviously not good numbers, and even the light hitting Marlins look capable of doing some damage here against him. The Dodgers are a great team and own a consistent offense so they are always dangerous, but Im betting Alacantara can keep them in this game and they could possibly steal it. Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Marlins are 12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 25-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami +1.5 |
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08-21-22 | Mariners v. A's +198 | 3-5 | Win | 198 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Seattles starter CASTILLO is 3-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 5-9 ) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, As new acquired pitcher Sears has been impressive in two starts for the A's, allowing two runs and seven hits over 10 1/3 innings. The southpaw is  of a five inning shutout performance  on the road against the Texas Rangers in a 5-1 win on Tuesday. The kids got a good slider and Im betting he gives the Mariners all they can handle. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -175 or more (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 22-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate with a average 0.2 rpg diff which qualifies on a run-line offering. Play on Oakland to win |
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08-21-22 | Royals v. Rays -159 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
The Royals Zack Greinke has not pitched well on the road this season where he has garnered a 0-6 record along with a bloated 6.48 ERA and 1.600 WHIP . My projections once again see a non quality start and a situation where the home side has the edge. The Royals as a team have generally  not played well away from home and  are 5-16 in their last 21 road games. I know the Royals found a way to win on Friday , by a score of 3-2 but lost yesterday by a 5-2 count and todays outcome Im betting will be similar to yesterdays Rays victory. Meanwhile, the Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. Rays are also 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game Royals are 16-35 in their last 51 games on astroturf.Royals are 19-42 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Royals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. Royals are 8-19 in the last 27 meetings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 25-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-20-22 | Mariners v. A's OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Right-hander Logan Gilbert (10-5, 3.51) is the scheduled starter for the Mariners,. The southpaw is winless in his last seven starts overall, during which his ERA has gone up from 2.61 to 3.51 and Im betting he continues to regress. The predominately fast ball hurler has a very significant hard hot rate and Im betting he gets lit up more than the lines-makers estimate here today. Meanwhile,  A's right-hander James Kaprielian (3-7, 4.33 ERA) goers to the hill knowing he owns a  5.40 ERA in eight games, including five starts, in his career against the Mariners. He registered a  xERA ( 4.79) and a xFIP ( 5.13). He is also predominately a fastball pitcher something the Mariners offense excels against +16.7 rv). Everything points to total being eclisped. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 55-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-20-22 | Royals v. Rays -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rasmussen (7-4, 2.80 ERA) had a bid for a perfect game last time he took to the hill and enters this game in top form. In three career outings (one start) vs the Royals, Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA . He defeated the Royals  on July 22 in Kansas City when he threw five innings of one-run ball in a 7-3 win. Meanwhile, the Rays offense will go against  left-hander Kris Bubic (2-7, 5.11 ERA). Advantage Tampa Bay -1.5. Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Rasmussen. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 107-21 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4 which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-20-22 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Cubs pitchers have been in top form garnering a 2.98 ERA since the All-Star break . Cubs starter Marcus Stroman in his last seven trips to the hill has been solid as is evident by registering a 2.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP along with 33 strikeouts in 36.2 innings of top tier work and has owned the Brewers during this current campaign recording a 0.75 ERA in 12 innings . Im betting on him having another strong outing vs a very inconsistent Milwaukee offense. Cubs offense meanwhile, has strong momentum on their sides averaging  five runs per game in their L/11 tilts and matchup well vs Brewers starter Peralta . The righty has not gone past 5 innings since returning from IR and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this up-trending Cubs batting order. MILWAUKEE is 2-10 SU vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or less in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 3-11 SU vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 1-6 SU in road games in August games this season. Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meeting. Play on the Cubs +1.5 on the runline |
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08-20-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
The Yankees offense has sputtered of late as is evident by having been blanked five times in their last 13 games and have been held to three runs or less 12 times in the past 15 trips to the diamonds. Today here against Toronto starter White, who is set to make his third start since being acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers at the trade deadline. The Jays new starter has allowed four runs and nine hits in 9 1/3 innings , against the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians. Im betting he will continue to uptrend here vs the slumping Yanks offense. Meanwhile, Yanks starter Cole has allowed one run on nine hits in 13 innings over his past two starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Jays . I know the Yanks bullpen has looked tired lately but Im betting on Cole going deep and helping keep the combined score on the low side of the Totals offering. Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play |
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08-19-22 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona has won eight of its past 12 games and is fresh off a four-game road split against the San Francisco Giants and off a win yesterday and deserve respect here getting runs vs the Cards who easily be in a letdown mode after an extended home stand . Note: Left-hander Tommy Henry (2-1, 4.15) will make his fourth career start for the Diamondbacks. The southpaw won his last two outings and is in top form. ST LOUIS is 1-8 SU in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games this season MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 165 to -135) (ARIZONA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more are 29-5 L/22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dbacks to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-22 | Giants v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Giants starter WOOD is 5-11 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Giants have struggled to find consistency most of the year, and that was on full display yesterday vs Arizona as they lost 5-3. More of the same sleepy action in Colorado tonight. Giants are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. National League West. COLORADO is 11-1 SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 7-0 SU in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Rockies to win |
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08-19-22 | Saints v. Packers -3 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 63 h 56 m | Show | |
 HC Matt LaFleur and his coaching staff looked more concerned with just getting the gears started on the Packers proverbial football machine than finding a way to win last time out.(SF 28- GB 21) But this week Im betting the old ball coach looks at putting his team in a winning frame of mind as we head into week 2 of preseason NFL football. This is a rematch of a ugly 38-3 loss in the 2021 season opener at New Orleans. It was LaFleur‘s and also QB Aaron Rodgers’ most lopsided loss in their NFL careers. It must be noted that the Saints new head coach Dennis Allen is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away in previous nfl preseason tilts. With that said Im betting on Green Bay to improve to 6-0 SUATS vs the Saints in nflx action. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-19-22 | Astros v. Braves -118 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-13  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Atlantas starter WRIGHT is 14-0  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Houston exploded for 21 runs yesterday in a win vs the Chicago White sox. Im expecting big regression here vs a viable side in tonight matchup in Atlanta. Note: HOUSTON is 0-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season. ATLANTA is 18-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-22 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Lynn has been in decent form lately, but  the last time he faced the Guardians in Cleveland, he allowed eight runs on nine hits in just ugly four innings of sub par work. Lynn has also not pitched well on the road this season as his is 0-3 record along with a 7.46 ERA in five away starts would indicate. If he fails, he has an exhausted and ravaged bullpen to back him. Note: Yesterday the Astros put 21 runs on the board against the White Sox. Meanwhile, McKenzie, the Guardians starter owns a 0-2 record along with a nasty 7.28 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) vs. Chicago. Yes he pitched decently against them this season, but according to stat regression charts I keep the sometimes powerful Pale Hose batting order should catch up to him in this matchup. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 16-6-4 in White Sox last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 3-1-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. CLEVELAND is 13-5 OVER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 8.9 rpg scored. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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08-19-22 | Blue Jays -103 v. Yankees | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 11-3 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Toronto is within nine games of the Yankees, the closest the Blue Jays have been since they also trailed by nine on June 15. Needless to say this is a big game and series for them. Expecting the Blue Jays to leave everything on the filed here this weekend and at least open this series with a win. TORONTO is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Toronto Blue Jays |
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08-19-22 | Brewers -136 v. Cubs | 7-8 | Loss | -136 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
 Milwaukee despite of offensive production problems showed some life this week in a series vs the Dodgers , and yesterday homered three times and pulled out a 5-3 home victory to salvage a four-game split with the powerful Los Angeles Dodgers. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting they find a way to get the win in Chicago this afternoon. COUNSELL is 15-6 against the money line in road games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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08-18-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -135 | 5-0 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants starter WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WEBB is 21-3  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Arizona starter GALLEN is 1-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.261. LOVULLO is 19-57 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better as the manager of ARIZONA. Diamondbacks are 17-56 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. SAN FRANCISCO is 19-2  against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Francisco to win |
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08-17-22 | Dodgers v. Brewers +160 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Dodgers starter   T. Gonsolin. MILWAUKEE is 33-17 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Note: Brewers starter Lauer owns a 6-0 record when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.101 and is currently in top form recording a 4-1 record and a 2.65 ERA at home this season. I know the Dodgers have been hot but the value here on the moneyline is out standing and worth taking on a bet with the Brewers.  . Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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08-17-22 | Mets v. Braves +139 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Scherzer (8-2, 1.93 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.80) on Wednesday. Scherzer did well against the Braves earlier this season, but you can bet the Braves are now better prepared for the right hander and motivated for revenge. Note: Braves are on a 8 game winning streak and have strong positive momentum on their sides. NY METS are 2-11 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 54-25 against the money line in night games this season. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-17-22 | Rays +128 v. Yankees | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Yankees are in a 2-11 skid and are 8-17 since registering a 64-28 record at the All-Star break and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has outscored its opponents 19-4 during a four-game winning streak and matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings vs NYY starter German, Note: German despite of a a 3-1 record has still put together a bloated 6.40 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Rays. TAMPA BAY is 50-18 against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES are 13-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 11-21 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 1-7 against the money line in home games off 3 straight losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 20-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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08-16-22 | Tigers v. Guardians -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Garrett Hill the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season, going 0-3 along with a 7.80 ERA. Im betting he gets blasted again vs a Cleveland Guardians side that has won 9 of their L/11 overall . The Tigers are averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .212 BA on the road this season. Note: Guardians starter PLESAC is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 0.908. CLEVELAND is 30-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 2.2 rpg which qualify on this runline offering. Tigers are 14-43 in the last 57 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland -1.5 |
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