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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-16-21 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 43 | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
IOWA is 15-3 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.8 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (PURDUE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-2 with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-16-21 | Fresno State v. Wyoming +3.5 | 17-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on Wyoming pounding away on the ground and for the home town crowd and thin air of Larime to make life difficult for visiting Fresno this Saturday. Bohl is 18-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents as the coach of WYOMING CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 28-62 ATS L/5 seasons for 29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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10-16-21 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Michigan State is having a great season so far. But their record is based on beating . sub .500 teams so I wont get to carried away with singing their praises. Indiana head coach Tom Allen is officially on the hot seat and QB Michael Penix, Jr., needs to stand up and show some moxxy and get some how get some redemption for an ugly start vs a over rated team with a D that allows 420 plus ypg .” Indiana is well rested and if there was ever a time they make a run its today here and now . Indiana is 4-0 ATS L/4 after a bye week. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
The Gophers are. being under rated and if they had not taken a week off vs Bowling Green would be 4-1 right now instead of 3-2. The Gophers have owned Nebraska in the last two here at home spanking the Huskers 34-7 and 54-21 and today Im betting they get the job done again in the underdog role. MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Fleck is 35-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached . Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-15-21 | California v. Oregon UNDER 54 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Oregon and California have a long history of low scoring affairs with 9 of the L/10 meetings staying under the total. The two most recent meetings have seen 24 and 38 combined points go on the board. Rinse and repeat this Friday night. Wilcox is 12-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 47.7 ppg scored.Wilcox is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 42 ppg going on the scoreboard.Wilcox is 22-11 UNDER against conference opponents as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 46.7 ppg scored.Wilcox in 6 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3 in Golden Bears last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-3 in Ducks last 12 games in October.O record.Under is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games following a bye week. Play UNDER |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -136 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LCS - Best Of 7 - Game 1 Astros starter Valdez has permitted two runs and struck out 18 batters in 14 1/3 innings en route to posting a 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season. Meanwhile, Bostons starter Sale, is struggling was beaten on last Friday, allowing five runs on four hits in one inning of a no-decision against Tampa Bay. In his L/3 starts he owns a 10.39 ERA and on the road this season has recorded a 0-1 record in four trips to the hill along with a bloated 7.37 ERA. Needless to say Sale is fade material here today vs a potent Houston offensive attack. SALE is 4-8 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SALE is 1-7 (-9.4 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record) BAKER is 21-6 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. Play on Houston to win |
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10-15-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse +14 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson to me has been less than impressive this season with a 0-5 ATS mark, with their average margin ppg diff clicking in at just +6.4 ppg a far cry from recent seasons. Meanwhile, Coach Babers has the Orange playing some very disciplined defensive football, and they must respected on this Two TD line here at home. Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games .SYRACUSE is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game and 11-1 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. Babers is 7-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game as the coach of SYRACUSE. Babers is 12-3 ATS ( versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached in his career. CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games is 46-7 L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-15-21 | Marshall v. North Texas +11 | 49-21 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Marshall at .500 on the season has not been able to get any kind of momentum this season and have continually been in close games as is evident by four straight decisions decided by 7 points or less. Meanwhile, North Texas after giving Missouri all it could handle in a 48-35 loss as a 20-point dog, and subsequent cover. In their previous tilt they also showed their ability compete in a 7 point loss to Louisiana Tech as an 11.5-point underdog which resulted in a cover. Im betting the Mean Green continue to conjure up the spirits , and the gambling gods shine on their backers again here vs the Thundering Herd .MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS L/9 after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. Play on the N.Texas Mean Green |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants -104 | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
Starting pitcher WEBB is 10-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Dodgers pitcher Urias is a strong hurler but my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest Webb and his bullpen when needed have the edge. Giants are 22-5 in their last 27 games following an off day. Giants are 13-4 in their last 17 playoff home games. LA DODGERS are 19-33 L/52 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Dodgers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
Philadelphia D has ,held three of its five sides they have faced this season season-low yardage . Thats important against explosive 44 year old future HOF QB Tom Brady and company. In a historical context is must be noted that the Eagles have gone 7-0 SU L/7 in Thursday nighters while Tampa Bay is just 1-7 ATS in these prime time affairs. Basically at this number we have real value and recommend we take the points here with the home dog. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Buccaneers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games in October. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Play on Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern +3 v. South Alabama | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 16 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern under interim head coach Kevin Whitley have looked viable. The Eagles have won all 7 previous meetings in this series by an average score of 35.9-11.3 (24.6 ppg diff average) and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this Thursday night and a definite cover according to my projections. S ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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10-14-21 | Maple Leafs v. Senators +150 | 2-3 | Win | 150 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Leafs are on tired legs after playing a hard fought game against the Habs last night and now go against a Ottawa team that is playing their first game of the season at home. Im betting on an emotional letdown by the Leafs and for a spirited effort from a Sens team that has played the Buds tough in the recent past. TORONTO is 3-13 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at -1. Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Senators are 5-0 in their last 5 home games dating back to last season. Home team is 5-1 L/6 meetings. Play on Ottawa to win |
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10-13-21 | Blackhawks +175 v. Avalanche | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago has a new goaltender veteran Marc-Andre Fleury who is off a campaign where he put up a career-best .928 save percentage and earned his first Vezina Trophy and will be primed to prove that was not a fluke. The Hawks are deep down the middle and Im betting as long as they stay healthy will be one of the better teams in the West this season. I know Colorado has Stanley Cup potential but for now their high octane offense will take a hit with Nathan MacKinnon is downgraded to OUT Wednesday ( Quarantine ) making them vulnerable to being upset. Note:Head coach Jared Bednar won’t be behind the bench on Wednesday, giving added value to a Blackhawks underdog victory. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win |
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10-13-21 | Canucks +1.5 v. Oilers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
The road team took 6 of 8 meetings between these Western rivals last season, and cashed all 8 times on the puckline. Im betting on a similar situation tonight making getting +1.5 goals here a golden opportunity. Both teams have up graded and much more closely matched than the line might indicate. |
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10-12-21 | Astros v. White Sox -108 | 10-1 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 4 White Sox starter RODON is 10-1 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) RODON is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season . (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 21-5 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 155-282 L/24 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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10-11-21 | Rays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Two tired pitching staffs/bullpens has me taking an over stance here today behind two explosive offenses. TAMPA BAY is 20-8 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 30-18 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. BOSTON is 16-6 OVER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings this season MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TAMPA BAY) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 110-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 53 m | Show | |
Buffalo to me is playing as a front runner for a Super Bowl ticket, at least in their current form and have a very good chance a SU victory as dogs here vs KC. BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 1-11 ATS (L/12 after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Bills QB Josh Allen is 12-1 SU in his NFL career against opposition coming off a SUATS win like the Chiefs. NFL Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 41-11 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Road underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 36 m | Show | |
This game is a one way street to an over in my betting opinion. Chiefs rank 30th in overall defense allowing. a whopping 438 ypg)and rank 30th in scoring defense at 31.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bills average 33.5 ppg and more than 400 ypd on offense. I know the Bills D is strong, but KC can score and explode offensively against any side, and put 40 points on the board last week. This is a pretty high total but Ill take a square stance here and take the over in what should be a prime time shootout. KANSAS CITY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.1 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER ( in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 57.3 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 73-36 OVER L/38 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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10-10-21 | Astros +109 v. White Sox | 6-12 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 3 White Sox starter CEASE is 1-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 0-7 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.600. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings give the Astros a big edge here today. The Astros have the edge tp clinch the best-of-five series behind right-hander Luis Garcia, who was 11-8 with a 3.30 ERA in 30 appearances in the regular season, including 28 starts. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games. White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 playoff games as an underdog. HOUSTON is 7-2 against CHI WHITE SOX this season. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-10-21 | Rays +107 v. Red Sox | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 3 Rays starter Rasmussen, who will make his first career postseason start, was 1-0 with a 2.30 ERA in five games (three starts) against Boston this season and gets my support here today in a bounce back game for the Rays who lost 14-6 on Friday night. BOSTON is 8-20 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 24-10 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 8 runs or more to a division rival are 12-27 L/24 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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10-10-21 | Browns v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 42-47 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two very solid defensive sides going head to head today. Cleveland has allowed 16.8 ppg this season, and LAC 18.5 ppg. More of the same looks to be on tap this Sunday. LA CHARGERS are 29-11 UNDER L/40 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 70 or less rushing yards/game with a combined average of 30.7 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.4 ppg going on the board. Cleveland in wins in which they allowed only 6 and 7 points which was the case against the Bears in Vikings have seen All non-division road teams off back-to-back wins in which they allowed 7 or less points EACH go under 7 straight times dating back 10 seasons. NFL Road teams against the total (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight game are 56-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA CHARGERS) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-10-21 | Titans -4.5 v. Jaguars | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 8 m | Show | |
I was never a big Trevor Lawrence fan no matter how well he did at the College level. I still maybe wrong but his style not mix well in the NFL and that has been obvious so far as he continues to be intercepted on a regular basis. Meanwhile last week, the Titans picked up 30 first downs and still found a way to lose vs the Jets in OT. However, Im still in on the Titans this season, and feel strongly they are the better side here. The Titans have victories in seven of their last eight meetings vs the Jaguars, with four of those wins by 21 points or more. Rinse and repeat. Also have not problem fading HC Urban Meyer. JACKSONVILLE is 6-17 ATS L/23 in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game.JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 3-0 SU L/3 overall vs Jacksonville. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-10-21 | Broncos +1 v. Steelers | 19-27 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh looks like their in a down cycle this season and continue to deal with a boatload full of injuries. With that said, knowing Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater is 23-3 ATS on the road in his career its not a hard decision to back Denver here today. Note: Ben Rothlisberger is 0-5 ATS L/5 starts as a favorite. DENVER is 8-1 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Tomlin is 9-23 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PITTSBURGH. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-09-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +100 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 2 Play on San Francisco to win |
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10-09-21 | Memphis +3.5 v. Tulsa | 29-35 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 50 m | Show | |
Tulsa (1-4, 0-1) was blasted 45-10 at home by Houston and now shell shocked will go against an explosive Memphis offense again this week. After 3 straight wins Memphis has lost 2 straight . Note: Memphis is 18-8 ATS away versus sub .500 conference opposition including 9-1 ATS when coming off a SUATS loss. Meanwhile, Philip Montgomery is 1-14 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than 6 points when coming off a defeat and 0-9 ATS in the last nine. In addition, Tulsa is 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS at home in this series, and the host in Tulsa-Memphis showdowns are just 3-14-1 ATS. Play on Memphis to cover |
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10-09-21 | Utah +3 v. USC | 42-26 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
Utahs new QB Cam Rising has completed 34 of 57 passes for 319 yards this season, with 4 TDs and has yet to be intercepted and deserves respect. Utah looked good in a win vs Washington State last week and enter this game with a 9-1 ATS mark off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, USC despite of a boatload of 4 star prospects are enigmas at this point with inconsistent efforts and have unable to string consecutive wins on the board. UTAH is 45-23 ATS L/48 as a road underdogs. USC has failed to cover 13 of 20 as PAC 12 home favs and have failed in that role 4 of their L/5 trips to gridiron as hosts. CFB team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team ( 4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 72-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3.5 v. Kentucky | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
The KentuckyWildcats enter this game against LSU off their first home victory over Florida since 1986 and are now in a classic emotional letdown situation. Note: Kentucky football program is 13-33 SU S in SEC games after a victory as an SU as an underdog.With Ed Orgeron’s love affair fading with LSU faithful, you can bet he will be primed to get a win here today and will make sure his young men leave everything on the field. LSU is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 10-1 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. Orgeron is 18-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of LSU. NFL home team (KENTUCKY) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for 80% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 11-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (LSU) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 36-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-09-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has a strong passing attack but today they go against a UTSA D that ranks 6th in the conference in pass defense and 1st in total defense. On the flip-side the Hilltoppers rank 12th in the Sunbelt in total defense while the Roadrunners rank 4th in total offense. In my humble opinion we have value with the underdog based on obvious statistical anomalies. UTSA is 12-3 ATS L/15 as an underdog , including 6-1 SUATS as a dog of 7 or fewer or points. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (W KENTUCKY) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - off a home win, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 62-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA to cover |
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10-09-21 | UTSA v. Western Kentucky UNDER 72 | 52-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky one way offensive pass crazy attack will have problems penetrating the red zone here this week against terrific UTSA pass defense and Im expecting UTSA to pound away on the ground here in methodical fashion and eat up alot of clock time , which will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect . UTSA is 11-1 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons UTSA is 12-4 UNDER in all games over the last 2 seasons. UTSA is 7-0 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (/UTSA W KENTUCKY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (W KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 turnovers/game committed) are 40-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-09-21 | Braves +114 v. Brewers | 3-0 | Win | 114 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 2 Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 4-9 (against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 4-10 against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Braves starter FRIED is 25-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 23-8 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 2-1 loss in game 1 of this series. MLB team (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 103-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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10-09-21 | Penn State +2 v. Iowa | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show | |
Two strong undefeated teams go head to head here today in a huge Big 10 matchup. From the beginning of the season, I took out futures tickets on the Nittany Lions and Im not about to keep backing them in certain spots , especially as underdogs. Penn State also has revenge on board for a loss to Iowa last season. Note: Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz is 2-7 ATS as a favorite in tilts when both teams are undefeated and the opponent is seeking revenge. Play on Penn State to cover |
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10-09-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. BYU | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Boise State has been very competitive this season and shown flashes of brilliance and according to my projections have the ability to hand with BYU here this afternoon. Im not basing this recommended wager on this stat but its interesting to note, that Boise State is a perfect 21-0 since 1999 in their 6th game of the season. Also they are 21-1 SU after a loss a favorite as was the case last week vs under rated Nevada. BYU is 10-23 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. BYU is 10-23 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. BOISE ST is 30-16 ATS as an underdog since 1992. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOISE ST) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 58-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Boise State to cover |
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10-09-21 | San Jose State +3 v. Colorado State | 14-32 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
Colorado State is off a bye week after playing a power 5 team Iowa very tough, and are expecting a big crowd this week. However, an emotional letdown situation should be expected here, against a Spartans side that is under rated according to my power rankings and off a win last week.
Colorado State is 1-6 ATS record in this series. CFB road team (SAN JOSE ST) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. San Jose State to cover |
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10-09-21 | Georgia v. Auburn +15.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Auburn is being over rated here vs a Georgia side that despite of big numbers . The Tigers offense is well balanced (1,191 rushing and 1,199 passing) and the Tigers D is staunch and capable of slowing Georgias explosive attack. Note:the Tigers’ 22-6 SU and 20-8 ATS L/28 as hosts against undefeated opposition, including 8-1 ATS as underdogs. Auburn to cover |
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10-09-21 | Virginia +2.5 v. Louisville | 34-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
The Louisville pass defense is the worst in the ACC. Thats not a good omen vs Virginia's QB Brennan Armstrong and the passing game are bombing away with close to 2,000 yards in the first five games of the season. Overall the Cardinal D is just downright bad and the worst in the ACC, and from matchup perspective an unfavorable situation. Louisville will battle back with some fireworks of their own, but it's their downtrodden D, that gives Virginia the edge. This game is very important to Virginia and Im betting they leave everything on field here. Virginia to cover |
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10-09-21 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +5.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Last week, Rutgers (3-2, 0-2) was hammered by a 52-13 count to Ohio State while Michigan State (5-0, 2-0 ) took out a lower tier Sun Belt opponent in Western Kentucky by a 38-27 count. The Scarlet Knight looked asleep at the wheel last week, but Im betting they will be wide awake here and ready for redemption vs a side that might be just a bit over rated and vulnerable road favs. Note: The Spartans have been out-gained in their last two games while giving uo 1,000 yards.RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71.5 | 17-66 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
10-08-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +109 | 0-4 | Win | 109 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Logan Webb is 7-0 in 16 starts with a 2.71 ERA and just 5 home runs allowed in just under 97 innings of top tier work and deserves respect here even against Buehler and the dodgers who are in an emotional letdown spot after that big game against the Cards that got them here last time out. LA DODGERS are 9-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Giants are 12-3 in their last 15 playoff home games. Dodgers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 23-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on San Francisco to win |
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10-08-21 | Temple +29.5 v. Cincinnati | 3-52 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
Huge letdown this week for Cincinnati after last weeks big time win vs Notre Dame by a 24-13 count easily covering the spread. Im expecting the Bearcats to start slowly here and for the Owls who are uptrending in my power rankings to grab the cash as substantial underdogs. Temple has owned this series of late from a ATS perspective cashing 5 straight meetings and , and on a a 5-0 ATS run as dogs of 20 or more points. Advantage Temple Take the points |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my projections this game should be closer to a pickem which gives us an edge taking points here this evening. Both sides defences have allowed season highs in 3 straight games. Some may say the Rams D is superiors, but Wilson and can slice and dice the best of stopping units and here at home, Im betting he will along with a run game that should have success. Seattle QB Russel Wilson is 4-0 ATS at home off a win and 8-2 ATS at home as an underdog including 9-1 SU and 7-1-2 ATS in games on Thursdays. Rams are just 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in division battles on Thursdays, including 0-4 ATS when favored. LA RAMS are 3-16 ATS L/19 after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA RAMS) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. . Play on Seattle to cover |
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10-07-21 | Houston v. Tulane +6 | 40-22 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Houston will be a formidable opponent for Tulane , but after playing tough non-conference tilts with games against UAB, Ole Miss and Oklahoma their more than capable of hanging tough here tonight. HC Willie Fritz is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in his career on Thursdays . TULANE is 7-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULANE) - with 16 total starters returning are 72-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Tulane to cover |
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10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Both these starting pitchers have alot of postseason experience, with Lynn having pitched in 26 times (seven starts), with a 5-4 record and 4.80 ERA, while McCullers has gone 1-2 with a 3.28 ERA in 14 playoff games (seven starts). They go against two explosive offenses and my pitcher vs batting orders rankings suggest a score of 8+ runs giving us value with an over wager according to my projections. HOUSTON is 14-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.HOUSTON is 30-17 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Over is 11-3-1 in Astros last 15 Divisional Playoff home games. Over is 11-3 in Astros last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Play OVER |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals +205 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cards got here by winning 17 -in a row in September including victories in 11 straight road games and no matter who their opponent is seem to find ways to win and Im betting that continues here this evening in LA vs the Dodgers. We have two top tier hurlers on the hill for both sides with Scherzer going to the hill for LA and the veteran Wainwright stepping up for the Cards. But what is interesting to note, is that Scherzer was smacked around in his final two starts of the 2021 season at Coors Field against Colorado and than vs the San Diego Padres. He allowed 10 runs in those two starts and his ERA took a direct hit because of it. So he comes in here maybe not feeling as confident as he was prior to those tilts vs a side that seemingly finds way to win on a very consistent basis no matter what the venue and the opponent is. Chemistry and confidence are great attributes to bet into especially on a value line.WAINWRIGHT is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.Cardinals are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on St.Louis to win |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +108 | 2-6 | Win | 108 | 34 h 25 m | Show | |
The Yankees played an emotionally draining game yesterday and garnering a 1-0 win. Now in a huge letdown situation Im betting the Red sox have the edge behind their starter Eovaldi who has a career year and emerged as the ace of the Boston rotation. Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. CORA is 14-3 against the money line in October games in all games he has managed since 1997. BOSTON is 90-64 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. BOSTON is 60-39 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 10-17 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 18-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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10-03-21 | Rays +128 v. Yankees | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay (100-61) is 7-2 this year in New York and must not be underestimated here even though the Yankees need a win, for various play off implications to take fold. The Rays are also 51-24 against AL East teams this year, including a 26-6 clip since July 29 and wont have any problems trying to make the Yankees lives miserable. The Rays play a merciless hell bent brand of baseball and get the nod here today as value line underdogs. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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10-03-21 | Washington Football Team -1 v. Falcons | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 75 h 3 m | Show | |
Washington did not look good last week, in a loss vs Buffalo. Its still early in the season, and some of numbers could easily be skewed or misrepresented . The talent especially on defense remains intact for the football team of DC , and Im betting we see them establish their hard hitting ways this week against the Falcons. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of winning last week lost the stats battle vs the NYG, and their key player QB Matt Ryan looks to be getting more inconsistent with age, and is now owns an overall QB Rating this season of (87.1) which puts him at No. 24 overall in the NFL. With that said, Im betting on the Washington D, to disrupt Ryan and for the Football team to deliver the cash to their backers. ATLANTA is 15-32 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less last game since 1992. Rivera is 26-9 ATS off a road loss in all games he has coached since 1992. NFL team (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears offense and team have been kind of a laughing stock of the early part of this NFL season. Everybody and his dog now wants to take a proverbial piss on Nagy and what many look like a mismanagement of the team, especially on offense. This week I expect instead of Fields under center we s instead get Dalton or Foles, and a team that now has a chip on the shoulders. Remember , pro do not like to be embarrassed, and that Im betting ignites this Bears team , for at least this week. Detroit has allowed an average of 31.7 ppg this season, and must also be looked upon with extreme suspicion. DETROIT is 5-16 ATS off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less since 1992.CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS in home games after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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10-03-21 | Titans v. Jets +7.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
Titans coach Mike Vrabel calls Jets' defensive line 'one of the best' and will be that defensive line that will be the difference maker in a cover here today. First year HCs like NYJ Robert Saleh that are 0-3 SU/ATS to start their seasons are 47-16-2 ATS in non-division games. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS in home games after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. TENNESSEE is 16-32 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season . NYJ are 4-0-1 ATS AFC South opponents at home. Titans are 3-10 ATS L/10 vs AFC East. NFL Favorites (TENNESSEE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NFL Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - terrible passing team ( 5.3 PY/Att.) against a horrible passing defense ( 7.3 or more PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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10-03-21 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 54.5 | 42-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
KC has played some back and forth affairs this season, scoring and allowing more than 24 points in all 3 games. In the past this has resulted in NFL teams going 0-7-1 UNDER in the last 4 season in the following tilt when the following perimeters have been met- NFL road favorites of 3 or more pts after scoring and allowing 24 pts or more in EACH of their last three tilts. With the Eagles on short rest off a Monday night game Im expecting a more subdued conservative effort vs a more rested team. Also I doubt highly the Eagles will be willing to take part in a shootout here and this Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.5 ppg . PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 29.5 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.1 ppg scored. . PHILADELPHIA has gone an UNDER- 13-31 UNDER for a 70% conversion rate in all home games over the last 5 seasons including having gone under in 9 of 10 games as home pups of 7 or less points . Play UNDER |
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10-02-21 | Boston College +15.5 v. Clemson | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 56 h 33 m | Show | |
. BC enters this game being disrespected despite of a 4-0 record as it prepares to play its ACC opener. vs a Clemson side that no longer sends shivers down the spines of their opponents. Clemson's 121st-ranked offense will find the sledding tough against BC's 20th-ranked defense and thus taking points here is an easy decision. Clemson is last in the ACC in Yards Per Game and Points Per Game. Advantage BC to cover. Play on BC to cover |
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10-02-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -2.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 22 m | Show | |
According to my projections the Ti Cats should be 6 point favs here this giving us value on this line. HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 9-1 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 season. HAMILTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons. is 5-19 ATS L/24 in road games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 6.9 or less passing yards/att. MONTREAL is 16-32 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play. CFL team (HAMILTON) - after allowing 9 points or less last game against opponent after a loss by 8 or less points are 35-12 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - after allowing 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-5 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.1 ppg. Play on Hamilton to cover |
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10-02-21 | Oregon v. Stanford +8 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 55 h 8 m | Show | |
Stanford is coming off a loss, to UCLA that saw a 4 point difference in the fourth quarter before the Bruins scored late to pull away. The Cardinal should not be underestimated here vs 4-0 Oregon and have shown flashes of brilliance this season, as was the case vs the USC Trojans earlier this season and are my choice getting points in this spot play. Shaw is 31-19 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of STANFORD. Play on Stanford to cover |
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10-02-21 | Ole Miss +14.5 v. Alabama | 21-42 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 14 m | Show | |
Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin will be highly motivated to pull the upset this afternoon over former boss Nick Saban and Im betting he will get us at least the cover. He knows big Nicks ways. Im expecting future NFL QB Nick Coral and company to do more than enough damage vs Sabans top tier D. Kiffin is 5-1 ATS L/6 as a DD conference dog. Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS L/4 on the road in SEC play as 14 or more point underdogs. Mississippi is 11-5 ATS in the last sixteen meetings, and 6-2 ATS on visitors. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ALABAMA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 13-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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10-02-21 | Nevada +6.5 v. Boise State | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 5 m | Show | |
Nevada is off a bye week after losing to KState. Now rejuvenated and hungry Im betting on a big effort here this week vs Boise state side that has lost the stats battles in 3 of 4 games this season. The Wolfpack Rank No. 6 overall in the nation in Returning Production and have all 22 returning starters from last season and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Cowboys team that is not as dominant of Blue Carpet as the once were. Nevada is 6-1 ATS L/7 after a bye. Nevada is 9-1 ATS in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS vs a side like Boise coming off a victory. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 54-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Nevada to cover |
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10-02-21 | Cincinnati v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 24-13 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 18 m | Show | |
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have won 18 straight regular season tilts and 26 consecutive home games and have the deeper lineup with more talent than the Bearcats. After watching the Irish against Wisconsin last weeks it's obvious their starting to jell now and are going into this game in peak condition. Hey Cincinnati is a fine team and deserve respect, but as as favorites not so much especially here on the road. It's one thing to roll up on a inconsistent Indiana side, with a negligible history and it's another thing to stroll into Notre Dame and garner a win vs the Irish. While anything is possible, taking points here is the smart money play. NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Kelly is 10-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. Kelly is 12-2 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 69-32 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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10-02-21 | Rays +120 v. Yankees | 12-2 | Win | 120 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rays continue their postseason practice and will now attempt to prevent the Yankees from clinching Saturday afternoon when the American League East rivals meet. Rookie Shane Baz (2-0, 1.69 ERA), the sixth pitcher in team history to win his first two starts, takes the hill for Tampa Bay. He last pitched Sunday against the Miami Marlins when he retired the first nine hitters, allowed three hits and struck out nine in 5 2/3 scoreless innings. He went 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA in 10 starts for Triple-A Durham before joining the Rays and is ranked by Baseball America as the 11th-best overall prospect and gets my support here today against the Yankees. TAMPA BAY is 8-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.TAMPA BAY is 40-19 against the money line in day games this season. Rays are 23-11 in the last 34 meetings. Rays are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in New York. Play on Rays to win |
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10-02-21 | Minnesota +2.5 v. Purdue | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota was extremely impressive in a 30-0 road shutout of Colorado a couple of weeks ago and than in a huge emotional letdown spot fell asleep at the proverbial wheel vs non conference opponents Bowling Green and lost a 14-10 sleeper. This week Im betting Minnesota being much more awake and ready for redemption against a Purdue team that is dealing with a crap load full of injuries coming into this game. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 24-12 L/29 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (PURDUE) - after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-02-21 | Western Michigan v. Buffalo +7 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has won 3 straight games but this is a bad road matchup for them vs a Buffalo Bulls side that are 17-1 ATS at home since 2017, including 14-0 ATS in conference games. Lester is 1-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of W MICHIGAN. Lester is 0-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of W MICHIGAN. BUFFALO is 22-10 ATS in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game. W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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10-02-21 | Memphis v. Temple +11.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 49 m | Show | |
The Owls are up trending in my power rankings and despite of a .500 record at 2-2 SU, they have out-gain their opposition by 56 YPG. Meanwhile, Memphis has proven themselves highly inconsistent this season, and going back a few seasons HC Silverfield 0-6 ATS on the road in Saturday tilts. Memphis is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series. TEMPLE is 19-4 ATS L/23 after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game which was the case in a 41-7 win vs Wagner. CFB home team vs. the money line (TEMPLE) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 46-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Temple |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State +8.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 29 m | Show | |
Im betting Utah State got caught looking ahead to this tilt vs BYU last week when they suffered a home loss vs Boise State after winning their first 3 games vs Washington State, N.Dakota and Air Force. I know tonight opponent BYU has proven themselves to be a very strong side to this point in the season, but according to my own projections this line is over done, and the home underdog has value . It must be noted that BYU has failed to cover 10 of their L/12 as favorites, and USU head coach Blake Anderson is 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS at home in his career when coming off a home defeat which was the case last time out. BYU is 1-10 ATS vs. inconsistent passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. Play on Utah State to cover |
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10-01-21 | Twins v. Royals +101 | 6-11 | Win | 101 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Twins starter Gant has lost seven of his last eight decisions and Im betting against him here today. Lets ride Royals super star Salvador Perez, who leads the majors in home runs (48) and RBIs (121) to be the key contributor. MINNESOTA is 21-41 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. Both these teams lost last time out but KC has proven resilient after a loss lately going 5-0 after a defeat. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3 | 51-14 | Loss | -103 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
These 4-0 teams go head to head here this Friday night in game that Im betting will see the underdog cash and possibly spring the SU upset. Iowa has got to this point with a staunch defense (11 ppg), but their offense is needless to say less than championship caliber scoring just 27 ppg on average which puts them at a disadvantage on the road vs a a side that has also shown a strong D (14.3 ppg), but has also shown an explosive offense (37.3 ppg) while out-gaining opponents my 200+ ypg. 4-0 or better college football home underdog versus a 4-0 or better opponent have cashed 12 of the L/13 opportunities. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 27-7 80% L/5 seasons. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games are 34-10 L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Maryland to cover |
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09-30-21 | Rays +138 v. Astros | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 10-20 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career( Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 13-27 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 4-12 against the money line in September games . (Team's Record) TB starter MCHUGH is 40-18 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Note: Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (9-6, 5.09 ERA) will be the bulk pitcher for the Rays in the series finale on Thursday. He is expected to follow starter Collin McHugh (6-1, 1.60). Im betting TBS pitching will do just fine vs a Astros side thats suddenly finds itself in a funk having scored just 12 runs in six games. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. TAMPA BAY is 19-3 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TB Rays to win |
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09-29-21 | Phillies v. Braves -133 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Fried (13-7, 3.12 ERA) will face Philadelphia's Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.64) on Wednesday. Atlantas starter FRIED is 28-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 37-13 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 16-4 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 24-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 14-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies righty starter NOLA is 11-21 against the money line in September games in his career. (Team's Record) Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 18-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-28-21 | Angels v. Rangers +101 | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Halos starter Naughton (0-3, 5.23 ERA), a lefty, is not in good form and fade material here vs the Rangers tonight. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Alexy (2-1, 5.00 ERA) has shown flashes of brilliance as he began his career by becoming the first pitcher in modern MLB history to pitch at least five shutout innings as a starter. Hes got the stuff needed to go long and strong today and help us garner a win. From a motivational standpoint- Texas first baseman Nathaniel Lowe said he'd like to end the season on a high note.quote: "We've got a week left, and we can't quit for one inning, regardless of who we're playing, whether it's a 100-win Giants team or a 100-loss Baltimore team," he said. End Quote TEXAS is 20-14 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 26-44 against the money line against division opponents this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 9-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win |
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09-28-21 | Sky v. Sun -7 | 101-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and once again have the edge here in this tilt as favorites. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season. I know Chicago has been flying high entering this tilt, but it must be noted CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more since entering the WNBA. CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since entering the league. Connecticut to win /cover |
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09-27-21 | A's v. Mariners -111 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Meanwhile, As starter IRVIN is 0-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 7.56 and a WHIP of 2.160 and is fade material here vs a Mariners team that has beaten the As in 9 of their L/10 meetings and overall are running hot having won 7 of their L/8 overall. Play on the Mariners to win |
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09-26-21 | Dolphins +4 v. Raiders | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 55 h 54 m | Show | |
The Dolphins (1-1) will be 4-point underdogs on Sunday against the Raiders, a line that is at least partially inflated by the quarterback situation. Miami will play without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa . However, Brisset his back is a viable QB and deserves respect as he is above .500 ATS QB in his career with a 17-16-1 record. Meanwhile, Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (toe/ankle injury) is less than 100% and may not play. Raiders are 0-8 ATS L/8 after playing Pittsburgh. Flores, meanwhile, is 1-0 against the Raiders. Gruden is 2-5 in his career against the Dolphins.Miami 5-1-1 ATS L/7 in this series. MIAMI is 15-4 straight up against LAS VEGAS since 1992. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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09-26-21 | Saints v. Patriots -144 | 28-13 | Loss | -144 | 94 h 29 m | Show | |
NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ENGLAND) - in non-conference games, off a road win against a division rival are 29-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-26-21 | Falcons +3 v. Giants | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 52 h 32 m | Show | |
What has me looking at Atlanta this week vs NYG was veteran QB Ryans effort last Sunday vs Tampa Bay that saw him throw for 300 yards in a 48-25 loss at Tampa Bay.Ryan, is showing consistency for his team as it attempts to work its way down the field.Quote: "I think that's a recipe for success moving forward," Ryan said. "The percentages are much higher of converting drives (and) converting third downs when we are at third and five or less, so I think that's been pretty good so far this year." END Quote. Im not a big believer at this time in the Giants. I know both these teams are 0-2, but one looks more viable than the other. Note:NYG Saquon Barkley's rehab and play on the field is still sub par overall. Yes, there have been flashes of brilliance, but he still has a long way to go. ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992. Visitor is 8-2 ATS in this series and the Giants are 2-6-1 ATS L/8 as home favorites. NFL Road underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 24-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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09-26-21 | Bengals +3 v. Steelers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
Steelers are banged up and have a key injury to T.J. Watts (groin injury) and to me have not looked cohesive this season. Something just not right , while the Bengals have shown some grit so far this season. The Bengals snapped a 10-game losing skid to the Steelers in the second meeting last season, a 27-17 win in Cincy and I wont be surprised of QB Joe Burrows and company find a way to get the straight up win here, and more importantly at least get us the cover. Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 3. Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Bengals are 21-10-2 ATS in their last 33 games in September. Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-26-21 | Royals v. Tigers +101 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Motowns starter PERALTA is 13-2 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. like KCs starter Bubic. Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. DETROIT is 49-46 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. DETROIT is 10-3 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record are 32-72 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to win |
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09-25-21 | White Sox -180 v. Indians | 0-6 | Loss | -180 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn (10-5, 2.47 ERA) will look for his first win in two months on Saturday so Im betting he will stretch out and be ready to perform. CLEVELAND is 2-12 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 36-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on White Sox to win |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska +5 v. Michigan State | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 56 h 15 m | Show | |
Nebraska looked cohesive vs Oklahoma before succumbing by a 23-16, count and deserve respect here as underdogs . Meanwhile, Michigan State is off a strong 38-17 road victory vs Miami and could easily find themselves in a letdown situation vs a side that has had their number of late . Nebraska 8-1 ATS L/9 and has won 9-of-11 vs. MSU, and the last two meetings overall.
Play on Nebraska to cover |
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09-25-21 | Kansas State +6 v. Oklahoma State | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas State is a well coached team, and know how to win via a tough as nail defense as was evident last week in a 38-17 win vs Nevada. Oklahoma State in their 2nd straight road game will be in tough environment here after their road win vs Boise state last week. Advantage KState. KANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS ST) - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 27-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Kansas State is 7-0 ATS as a dog of more than 4 points in this series. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +5 | 35-24 | Loss | -111 | 55 h 59 m | Show | |
Stanford has won 12 of the last 13 meetings with the Bruins and Im wont be surprised by an upset here in this spot play as home dogs. The Cards took out USC in conference play a couple of weeks ago, and now against a public favorite could easily grab the cash for their betting backers vs a over hyped Bruins team. CFB home team (STANFORD) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 30-7 L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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09-25-21 | Rutgers +20.5 v. Michigan | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 70 h 36 m | Show | |
Rutgers has covered in its last 6 road games and according to my power rankings matchup well vs this Michigan football program. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. MICHIGAN is 5-18 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992. MICHIGAN is 6-17 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games. Michigan has failed to cover in its last 5 conference games. Schiano is 21-7 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992 CFB Road underdogs (RUTGERS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game are 91-46 ATS L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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09-25-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Memphis | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show | |
The Roadrunners average 39.3 points per game, 7.3 more than the Tigers surrender (32.0) and have the edge here this week vs a Memphis side in a letdown spot after a upset victory last week vs Mississippi State. MEMPHIS is 10-22 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. CFB home team (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA to cover |
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09-25-21 | Louisville v. Florida State +2.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 10 m | Show | |
Louisville is coming off a top tier 42-35 win at home over UCF last Friday night and will now be in a huge letdown scenario vs a desperate Florida State program. Louisville, when coming off a victory as host win as a dog of more than 7 points, are a lowly 28-49-2 ATS dating back 41 seasons. Norvell is 9-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in all games he has coached . Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show | |
The Tigers' may not be as proficient as the early prognosticators thought as is event by the offense ranking 114th nationally and DJ Uiagalelei ranking 88th in passing yards per game . Meanwhile, NC State ranks 16th in total defense and 30th on offense behind and average 455 YPG this season as QB Devin Leary shows his top prowess. With that said we have an edge here taking points. NC STATE is 33-17 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NC STATE) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 148-87 ATS L/29 years for a 63% conversion rate. Play on NC State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Kent State +14.5 v. Maryland | 16-37 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
I believe according to my projection matchups that the Flashes are well suited to hang tough here vs a inconsistent Maryland football program. Maryland are just 1-17 SUATS in their last eighteen games when coming off a conference victory which was the case in their win vs Illinois. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. MARYLAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MARYLAND is 7-20 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season. Lewis is 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Kent State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Toledo v. Ball State +5 | 22-12 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 28 m | Show | |
After last weeks fiasco in Wyoming where Ball State was annihilated, we now have value with a MAC championship team, that must not be underestimated. The Cardinal have won the last two meetings vs Toledo and according to my matchup projections have an edge as underdogs in this spot play. Its obvious to me at least that Cards are in a championship hangover mode, but should be wide awake. Candle is 3-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as the coach of TOLEDO. 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss of 20-plus points Play on Ball State to cover |
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09-25-21 | UMass +36 v. Coastal Carolina | 3-53 | Loss | -107 | 46 h 2 m | Show | |
UMass did not look completely out of place against Boston College or Eastern Michigan and stayed with a 17 point margin, and according to my power rankings are up-trending. Yes, they were at close to bottom of my rankings, but non the less they are much more formidable opposition than they were last season when they lost by 34 to Coastal Carolina. CFB home team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or better YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), in non-conference games are 35-72 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UMass to cover |
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09-25-21 | Missouri v. Boston College +2 | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 50 h 0 m | Show | |
Boston College has looked strong to this point in the season as they are off to a 3-0 start , outscoring their opposition by a 124-31 count. Today vs what has been an explosive Eagles offense, Im betting Missouris crap defense that allows a ugly 455.7 YPG will get run over in a big way. I know the tigers can really pile point on but, BC has shown a strong D, allowing just 256 ypg and is well suited to slow down the Missouri locomotive. MISSOURI is 1-9 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game and are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Boston College to cover |
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09-24-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter T. Gonsolin 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA in six appearances and five starts at Chase Field. Meanwhile, Dbacks starter HUMBERTO CASTELLANOS has seen his L/3 starts feature a combined 10 runs or more all of which went over, while garnering a 7.07 ERA. LA DODGERS are 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38%) or less in the second half of the season.
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ARIZONA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show | |
Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going against strong opponent. SAN DIEGO is 19-3 against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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09-24-21 | Middle Tennessee State +3 v. Charlotte | 39-42 | Push | 0 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
Charlotte took out the Blue Raiders 34-20 last season as 5 point home dogs under HC Will Healy. That was the Niners first victory in this series in 5 meetings. I like the grit that Charlotte plays with and Middle Tenn state may not inspire some bettors, but here in revenge mode vs a home side that has only covered 3 of 8 games as FBS chalk my projections estimate a possible upset and cover by the visitors. MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 9 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 225 or more rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Middle Tenn State to cover |
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09-23-21 | Liberty +9 v. Mercury | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters this game reeling, having lost 3 straight entering the play offs while, the Liberty won their L/tilt of the season, and have covered 4 of their L/5 overall. Tonight Im betting on these two negative and positive momentums to continue and for the Liberty to get us the cover. WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more in 5 straight games are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a home loss versus opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals are 23-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on NYL to cover |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans +8 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog loves the Carolina Panthers , and the lines-makers are following suit and almost completely discounting the Texans ability to hang tough here and get the cover. I know their are some negative images put into the minds of the public, because franchise quarterback Deshaun Watson has been made inactive because of on going legal issues . But overall Im betting his absence is actually a good thing and makes this Houston team more cohesive chemistry wise. Ill recommend we take the points here even with Mills in at QB. * By the way Mills is tough as nails, and he will have a pro bowl left tackle in the lineup to keep him afloat here tonight in prime time. Carolina 0-6 ATS L/6 Thursday nighters. Texans 8-2 ATS on Thursdays. NFL home underdog of 7 points or more with a .500 record or better , going against an undefeated side are 31-9 ATS L/40 seasons. . NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 32-7 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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09-22-21 | Giants v. Padres +102 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going agains strong opponent. SAN DIEGO is 19-3 against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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09-21-21 | Mets v. Red Sox -135 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Boston has won five straight after sweeping the Baltimore Orioles over the past weekend and bring [positive momentum into this tilt vs the Mets. Red Sox starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-3 against the money line in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record) NY METS are 9-21 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. CORA is 18-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. ( Stroman of the Mets qualifies) MLB team (BOSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 43-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 37 m | Show | |
After the disaster of week 1 , for Green Bay which resulted in a lopsided 38-3 loss to New Orleans I expect a disciplined effort from the Packers in what will be a conservative mind set vs their long time division rivals the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the gridiron crew from Motown will also be ready to be more defensive minded after a 41-33 shootout in week 1 that resulted in a loss. Note: DETROIT is 37-20 UNDER L/57 in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 31-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 22-2 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-20-21 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Peters (1-2, 2.66 ERA) was in top form against the Reds on Tuesday, throwing five shutout innings for his first MLB win since Sept. 24, 2019, when he played for the Los Angeles Angels. Im betting he and the Reds Guiterrez matchup well against both batting orders and that their bullpens should do enough to keep the combined score here on the low side of the total. PITTSBURGH is 15-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Under is 6-1-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 games as a favorite. Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 overall.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 on grass.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 46-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 60 h 21 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog is jumping off the Baltimore Ravens bandwagon. Last week they lost in OT to the Raiders, and now the football world believes in their demise after a sub par 2020 campaign. I however, am not one of those skeptics, and still believe this is a talented team that deserves respect as underdogs at home vs a very public side in KC. Hey I know Patrick Mahomes and company are a top tier group, but they have had problems covering of late in games that are deemed to be considered close by linesmakers like this game . Note: KC is 10-0 SU in regular season tilts but just 0-9-1 ATS in one-score games since the start of last season. It must also be noted that Ravens QB Jackson is 31-11 in his NFL career, while winning 15 of 21 home games His only game as a home dog during that victorious stretch was the season before last . How did he respond to that , well Ill tell you. His team won as 3 point dogs to Football god Tom Brady of New England by a lopsided 37-20 count. Im a believer and will back the Raves to cover. Harbaugh is 10-2 ATS in home games in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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09-19-21 | Phillies +117 v. Mets | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Right-hander Kyle Gibson (10-7, 3.49 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Phillies against left-hander Rich Hill (6-7, 3.88). The Mets have lost 5 straight games and are trying to avoid being swept by the visiting Phillies. But Im betting they wont be successful in stopping the Phillies momentum. NY METS are 1-9 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season. The Phillies are in hot pursuit for a play off spot and will have plenty of motivation to be merciless here in NY. Phillies are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Phillies to win |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 50 m | Show | |
Sometimes the pundits make to big a deal of week 1 results, and this is what Im betting into here this week. Minnesota ,looked a little uneasy and made mistakes in their first game against under rated Cincinnati. Penalties and false starts etc,. However, despite of what the so called experts say, they will have a better offensive line this season if they stay healthy, and the D, Im betting can and will deal with the mobile Cards QB Murray. As big chunks of public money come in on the Cards Ill swing the other way with the maligned Vikings. Zimmer is 6-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 3 or less points as the coach of MINNESOTA. Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. ARIZONA is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game . Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Road underdogs or pick (MINNESOTA) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 230 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MINNESOTA is 12-4 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992.Underdog is 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.Vikings are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Vikings to cover |
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09-19-21 | Bengals +2.5 v. Bears | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 1 m | Show | |
Cincinnati has a deep scouting report on Dalton the ex Bengals and current Bears QB starter, and will be well prepared to slow his production options. Plus Chicagos offensive line looks wobbly at best. I also suggest that the Bengals D, is very under rated , and that QB Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase could easily be big stories in the NFL this season. With that said, Im betting on Burrows to take advantage of the Bears weak secondary, for big gains, and for the Bengal D to stand tall against a QB thats seen his best days pass him by. CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS L/20 after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs. CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game . NFL Underdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1992 at Chicago. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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09-18-21 | Fresno State +11.5 v. UCLA | 40-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections and power rankings suggest this line should be no higher than 10 points and thus according to my estimates we have value attached to under rated Fresno State. It must be noted UCLA is getting way to much respect for their win vs LSU. Note: The Bruins have failed to cover 6 of the L/8 games vs non conference opposition as a home favorite. Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Pac 12. Fresno State is also 8-1 ATS L/9 as underdogs of 10 or more points. CFB home team (UCLA) - excellent rushing team ( 4.8 or more YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), in non-conference games are 33-70 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (FRESNO ST) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 90-46 L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fresno State to cover |
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09-18-21 | Braves +121 v. Giants | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Charlie Morton will go to the hill for the Braves on Saturday. He has been in top tier form, and has garnered a 13-5 record this season along with an ERA of 3.49, a WHIP of 1.05 including 192 Ks. He brings enough quality form into this tilt to give credence to me backing him as an underdog. Meanwhile, Alex Wood goes for the Giants, and despite of being a viable hurler, will be in deep here vs a Atlanta side that has feasted on lefty hurlers this season, as is evident by averaging 5.8 rpg of output. The Braves lost yesterday in the first game of this series by a 6-5 count, but they have proven resilient in the past after a defeat going 24-9 in their last 33 games following a loss. Braves are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.Braves are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco. ATLANTA is 21-8 against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-18-21 | Oklahoma State +4 v. Boise State | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 62 h 2 m | Show | |
The Boise State Broncos are still looking for steady direction under new head coach Andy Avalos and inconsistencies have looked common here early this season. The one consistency I do see, is that the defense has some work to do, and here against an explosive Oklahoma State squad difficulties will definitely arise here against Cowboys star QB Spencer Sanders and company. Note: The Cowboys beat BSU, 44-18, the last time these teams met back in 2018. Gundy is 38-24 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - in non-conference games, after playing a non-conference game are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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