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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-03-23 | Avalanche +124 v. Kings | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Colorado seems to leave their best hockey against winning teams cashing 5 in a row vs above opposition. Meanwhile, LA has lost 9 fo their L/13 at home and look like less than viable favs here. Road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and Colorado is 6-0 L/6 visits to LA and get the nod here on a value line. Note: Colorado will start No. 1 goalie Alexandar Georgiev after Ivan Prosvetov started against the Ducks on Saturday night. Georgiev was the first NHL goalie to reach 10 wins this season and continues to lead the league with 13 victories. Play on Colorado to win |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams OVER 40.5 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 49 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland has played low scoring games at home this season, but have gone over the total in all 5 of their road tilts with a combined average of 54.3 ppg scored. Last week Cleveland played in Denver, and that brings into play a situation where non division road teams that get a whiff of fresh breathable air after coming from the Mile Hight city are 9-0-1 over dating back 4 seasons. Im betting a Cleveland team that has not done much scoring here of late to feel rejuvenated and come out here swinging and put more points on the board than the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile the Rams are a side that is finally getting their offense in gear off scoring 37 points last time out will primed to keep that train going. McVay is 12-4 OVER off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored. Play over |
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12-03-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bucs | 18-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bays Bucs' will be with out three top tier defenders for this this game: LB Lavonte David (groin), LB Devin White (foot) and CB Jamel Dean (ankle) making a inept Carolina D, more proficient. Thats not a good omen considering The Bucs D since they came offt heir bye in Week 6, rank last in the NFL in EPA/play (0.069) On the flipside the Bucks offense with Bake Mayfield at the helm have proven to be bad bets when favored cashing just 13 of 38 times for a go against 65% conversion rate for his batting backers. With that said, Ill recommend we take the points with a Carolina team that has not pressure on them what so ever, as their play off hopes are already dead in the water. )TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS L/10 vs. struggling passing teams averaging 5.2 or less passing yards/att in the second half of the season. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CAROLINA) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games are 97-47 ATS L/30 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in December games are 87-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL road pups with one or less wins entering their eighth through 12th contest of the season are 63-30-5 (68%) ATS since 2003, covering by an veage 3.6 points per game. Play on Carolina to cover |
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12-03-23 | Creighton v. Nebraska OVER 149.5 | 89-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Both these teams can really shoot it. The Bluejays are a potent offensive club, averaging 83.3 points per game while shooting 50 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3-point range. Meanwhile, the Huskers are 13-3 over the last 16 games dating back to Feb. 1, 2023. A big reason for that is NU's offense, as NU has averaged 77.6 ppg on 48 percent shooting in that stretch.Nebraska is currently averaging 81.6 points per game, which is fourth in the Big Ten as of Dec. 1. The last time NU averaged more points per game in its first seven games was in 1995-96 (89.7 ppg).Hoiberg is 10-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of NEBRASKA.Hoiberg is 14-4 OVER in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of NEBRASKA.NEBRASKA is 7-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play over |
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12-03-23 | Fairfield v. Rider UNDER 142.5 | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play under |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins v. Commanders UNDER 49.5 | 45-15 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Hey I know the Washington D has looked atrocious of late , but the coaching staff have really been focusing on slowing down their game and for a more focused concerted effort on being more physical and disciplined on defense. Yes, I also know how explosive Miami has been, but with this being their 2nd straight away game a little bit of regression must be expected from this road weary group, playing a in division matchup. Only one of the Fins last 7 games has eclisped this totals offering and Im betting on another one staying under the number. the L/3 meetings here in Washington between these sides has stayed on the low side of the offered total. WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.1 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 33.6 ppg scored. Rivera is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or better rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 36 ppg .Rivera is 11-1 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 37.6 ppg scored. MIAMI is 26-9 UNDER L/35 against NFC East division opponents with a combined average of 39 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (MIAMI) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored. Play on the under |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Broncos have now won 5 in a row SU after starting the season 1-5 SU and deserve respect here as underdogs this week vs the Texans. Nothing comes easily for the Texans this season, and Im betting if they get the win here this week, it wont come easily. Advantage taking the points. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. DENVER is 6-3 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 and won the most recent meeting here in Texas. Payton is 13-4 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints UNDER 47 | 33-28 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
When you see a Detroit Lions game you want almost automatically look for reasons to bet the over, but this is not one of those games here in New Orleans vs the inept offense of the Saints that are averaging just 18.3 ppg at home this season. Note When team from the NFC are non-division Conference road favorites the total has failed to be eclipsed 9 of the L/10 times. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 UNDER versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 28 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 UNDER in December games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 30.5 ppg scored. Allen is 9-1 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored. Campbell is 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 40.6 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DETROIT) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 28-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (DETROIT) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 33-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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12-03-23 | Auburn v. Appalachian State UNDER 142.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play under |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lions looked bad in their Thanksgiving Day loss to the Packers, and have shown alot of signs of weakness at times this season despite of the consistent accolades they get from the media. From a trends perspectivee the Lions have also failed to cover 5 of their L/6 off a SU chalk loss . Meanwhile, the Saints are desperate and need a victory badly to stay inNFC Playoff race.as well as NFC South contention . I know the Saints have not looked good of late, but they are New s 6-0 ATS when coming off back-to-back SUATS defeats and are 7-2 ATS in this series and 4-0 ATS when getting points . NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS L/20 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season DETROIT is 16-31 ATSas a road favorite since 1992. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 45-91 ATS L/10 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans Saints to cover |
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12-02-23 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 235.5 | 126-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Dallas looked exhausted last night in a 108-94 loss to Memphis and now in back to back games will be even more tired and less likely to be in the shape to run and gun with this sometimes explosive visiting Oklahoma City side. Recently the Mavs have been paying better attention to D, and as a result have not been as proficient offensively, but it was a problem they needed address. Because of thier better defensive efforts they have seen 4 of their L/5 fail to eclipse the total. Here tonight on tired legs and going against a Thunder side that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry another more disciplined D plan should be in place, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.4 ppg scored. DALLAS is 41-26 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/OKLAHOMA CITY ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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12-02-23 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, ARIZONA - KAREL VEJMELKA The Coyotes have only scored three more than 3 goals in 3 of their L/11 overall and against a St.Louis team that allows an average of just over 3 gpg on the road this season Im betting they stay within their usual fairly low scoring parameters. Yes, the Coyotes started fast offensively this season, but now they are in full regression mode. Also the last time these teams met a 6-5 score went on the board, but both sides will be more weary here in the rematch. ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. (St.Louis scored a 6-4 victory last time out and offensive regression and a better defensive effort is a projected expectation) Goaltender Jordan Binnington made 42 saves to earn the victory, but the Blues know they need to give him more help and this will be key here this evening. Under is 11-5-2 in Blues last 18 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-2-1 in Blues last 8 overall. Under is 8-3-1 in Blues last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. NHL team against the total (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 85-43 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.9 gpg. Play under |
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12-02-23 | Cal-Irvine +6 v. Utah State | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sprinkle is 1-10 ATS after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 31 or less rebounds in all games he has coached since 1997. Turner in his teams last 33 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points as the coach of UC-IRVINE has seen average ppg diff of -1.4 ppg.UC-IRVINE is 9-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on UC Irvine to cover |
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12-02-23 | Louisville v. Florida State OVER 47.5 | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show | |
Florida State has average 38.3 ppg this season while Louisville has scored and average of 33 ppg and an average of 36 ppg on turf. My projections see the Cardinal/Florida State both scoring 28 plus points making this totals offering vulnerable . Note: LOUISVILLE is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average fo 71.3 ppg scored. FLORIDA ST L/18 when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 60.5 ppg go on the board. Note: Cardinal last three matchups to end the regular season - vs. Virginia, at Miami and vs. Kentucky - saw them Cardinal give up and average of 31.0 points and 403.0 yards per game. Even with a third string QB expected to play, Im betting the Seminoles do enough damage to get this score to eclipse the total. LOUISVILLE L/25 games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games have seen a combined average of 58.6 ppg scored. Brohm is 20-5 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored. Brohm is 10-1 OVER in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 72.4 ppg scored. Play over CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (LOUISVILLE) - quick starting team - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the first half, after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 32-9 OVER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-02-23 | Pacers +3.5 v. Heat | 144-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami took the first game of this back to back series by a 142-132 count, but Im betting they wont come out of this one so easily vs this run and gun Pacers side. That was a big output for the Heat and now regression is expected. However, the Pacers offense never seems to slow down as they are the highest scoring team in the NBA. Advantage Pacers.
NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 19-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa +22.5 | 26-0 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 15 m | Show | |
This is biggest spread in the history of the Big 10 Championship game. This behemoth line is what we get to bet in here with Iowa . Considering Big 10 chalk has failed to cover 8 of the L/12 events , it becomes obvious they we may have some top tier value with a team with a top tier D, playing at home. It thus must be noted that HC Harbaugh vs top tier Ds, who are .800 or better opposition allowing less than 12.5 PPG, is just 1-5 ATS as a big chalk fav of -18 plus points. After taking on the Buckeyes last week in a close win Im not sure Michigan will be 100% after that physical game and could also be in an emotional letdown state at the worst possible time. Im not saying the Hawkeyes will win, but covering is definitely a strong possibility here.Ferentz is in 32 vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA has seen a average ppg diff of - 3 ppg. Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-02-23 | Magic +2.5 v. Nets | 101-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Orlando is on a roll having won 10 straight games, and have the young legs and ambition not to let up here in Brooklyn tonight. Yes, the Magic played last night in a 130-125 win last night but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned teams and deserve respect here as underdogs. Note: ORLANDO is 13-2 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS in all games this season.ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 23-44 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 22-10 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover |
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12-02-23 | Washington v. Colorado State UNDER 156 | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . COLORADO ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.8 ppg.COLORADO ST is 9-2 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO ST is 20-9 UNDER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. Hopkins is 21-11 UNDER in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COLORADO ST) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record.are 167-103 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3.5 | 26-14 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 22 m | Show | |
Statistical analysis based on recent performances might make these teams seem closely matched. But from an empirical view point home field advantage and what my power rankings suggest is the more talented side, laying this little lumber makes for a viable wagering opportunity with a team that has been ranked top 25 for much of this season. Add to that SMU QB SMU's star quarterback, Preston Stone, broke his fibula in last week's battle with Navy. The Mustangs will now turn to redshirt freshman Kevin Jennings who despite of being talented is just not as prolific as Stone. Tulane is 9-0 ATS L/9 as a favorite of 7 points or less. SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games. Road underdogs (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 12-35 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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12-02-23 | Georgia -4.5 v. Alabama | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Im doing the unthinkable and taking Georgia a program that has won 29 straight games to take out Nick Sabans Alabama this week and more importantly to cover. My power rankings suggest the Bulldogs are the best team in the country, and despite of Alabama looking good down the stretch, did not look like one of HC Sabans more cohesive or even talented groups that he has mentored in his long coaching career. That was most evident to me in the Tides loss to Texas , a side that is of the top tier variety, but not in the same spectrum as Georgia. Key : No opponent reached 150 rushing yards against Georgia the past three seasons and no opponent has scored more than 23 points total against the Bulldogs. Bottom line: This is by far the best defense Alabama has faced this season .On the flipside the Bulldogs get to crack open the gaps behind RB K Milton vs a Tide side that has given up more than 200 yards rushing in two of the last four games. Milton has rushed for 349 yards on 41 carries and 5 touchdowns the last three games with an 8.5 yards per carry average. Saban is 7-20 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA.Saban is 9-18 ATSL/27 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game as the coach of ALABAMA GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Georgia to cover |
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12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 9 m | Show | |
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels host the Boise State Cowboys this afternoon are playing at home . The Rebels have the better record which sets up a nice trend to continue as coach Odom is 12-1 SU at home in his career in games in where his side owns the better win percentage on the season, which UNLV does. On the season UNLV is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the underdog role. Yes, I know Boise State has won 3 straight but that kind of run has not historically been kind to them as they are 3-6 L/9 SU off a .3 or more game SU/ATS positive run. CFB Road favorites (BOISE ST) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 43-86 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover |
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12-02-23 | Detroit +11.5 v. Cleveland State | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Detroit to cover |
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12-02-23 | Marquette v. Wisconsin +3.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two experienced sides, in a game my projections estimate will be a close back and forth affair. Wisconsin has not faced the same competition as Marquette, but playing at home here gives them an edge on this line. Last year Wisconsin won by a 80-77 count and here as hosts I wont be surprised if there is a similar outcome. WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 season WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Wisconsin to cover Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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12-01-23 | Nuggets -2 v. Suns | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are expected to be almost fully healthy tonight as Jokic , and Murray are expected to play . The Nuggets have dominated their opposition when healthy and are 7-1 when Murray plays. I know the suns have played well, but are just 1-8 ATS versus good shooting teams like Denver - making 46% or more of their shots this season. The Suns couldn't stop the Nuggets in last years play offs and Im betting nothing changes today. Play on Nuggets to cover |
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12-01-23 | Connecticut v. Kansas -2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be a back and forth event , but home court advantage is in play here. Kansas enters Friday’s matchup averaging 81.3 points per game with a plus-16.6 scoring margin. Kansas and UConn are meeting for the fourth time in a battle of two big brand programs. Kansas has won all three previous meetings with the most recent matchup coming in the second round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament, a KU 73-61 win in Des Moines, Iowa. Im betting History will repeat itself. Hurley is 4-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Kansas to cover |
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12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +5.5 | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue didn't lose very often last season, but all five of its regular season losses came inside Big Ten action so their not immune to a down performance. Purdue went up to Northwestern as the #1 team in the country and Northwestern pulled off the 64-58 upset. While revenge will be a motivating factor their also the issue of Northwestern knowing what it takes to beat Purdue.
Zach Edey is still at Purdue. Im betting they battle to the end again and getting the points remain golden. NORTHWESTERN is 11-2 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 1-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons.PURDUE is 3-11 ATS as a road favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. Painter is 1-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more as the coach of PURDUE. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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12-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 224 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Both of these teams rank in the top five in offensive rating and should easily both top the 109-114 point plateau according to my projections. BOSTON is 12-1 OVER in home games when they allow 109 to 114 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 33-20 OVER after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 228.1 ppg. Play over |
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12-01-23 | Wizards +11.5 v. Magic | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Orlando took out Washington by a 139 -120 count in the first of these back to back games in this series, but I saw enough in the first game to believe that the Wizards can be more competitive in rebound mode. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wizards to cover |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State v. Liberty OVER 56.5 | 35-49 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
Liberty own an explosive offense that cannot be easily stopped not even from strong defensive units like New Mexico State. The Flames have averaged 39 ppg on offense at home this season, and Im betting they hit in the 30s again today. Meanwhile, New Mexico State has averaged 28.2 ppg this season, and will be forced into opening up , which Im betting results in a higher scoring tilt then the lines-makers are expecting. Note: Liberty's D, I would not describe as being of the top tier variety despite of their 12-0 record as has been evident lately, when allowing UTEP, 28 points and Mass 25 points , so I wont be surprised to see the Aggies put at least that many points on the board. Note: LIBERTY is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 74.3 ppg scored. NEW MEXICO ST is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 74.8 ppg scored. NEW MEXICO ST is 28-14 L/42 OVER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 64.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-30-23 | Golden Knights +112 v. Canucks | 4-1 | Win | 112 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights have not played optimally of late, as is evident by 3 straight losses, but because of that we are getting value on this money-line offering from the books. Meanwhile, Vancouver continues to play solid hockey and have won 8 of 10 home games but according to my power rankings do not match up well vs the defending Stanley Cup champion Knights. Note : The road side has won 5 of the L/6 in this series. VEGAS is 15-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the money line (VEGAS) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record in the first half of the season are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to win |
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11-30-23 | Stars v. Flames UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Stars generally play a tight defensive system that has seen them allow more than 3 goals just two times in their L/11 games overall. One of those 2 games saw Calgary score 7 goals in a loss, and here today in the rematch Im betting on a more concerted defensive effort from the Stars in a game that points towards a much lower scoring affair. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 4.6 gpg. Play on the under |
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11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. We are getting value with the underdog here based on the fact that OSU has played the last three-and-half games without their most consistent offesnive threat – senior guard Bryce Thompson (14.3 ppg, 6/12 3pt) – but other weapons have emerged in his absence and they must not be disregarded as viable underdogs here at home.OSU has scored 90+ points in back-to-back games for the first time under Boynton and have the capabilities to had here as pups. OKLAHOMA ST is 31-8 ATS L/39 in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. McDermott is 27-46 ATS in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of CREIGHTON. Play on Oklahoma state to cover |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Because Dallas has been top form of late, and also because they are Americas team they are being over rated here vs the Seattle Seahawks a side that has won 3 of the L/4 meetings vs the Boyz including 4 straight covers. I know Seattle has not performed optimally of late, and lost their last two games both as pups but it must be noted Seahawks teams are 10-0 ATS L/10 when losing consecutive tilts as underdogs. Carroll is 20-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 20-10 ATS against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. DALLAS is 17-38 ATS L/55 after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with a good offense - averaging 335 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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11-30-23 | Panthers v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Florida enters this game on tired legs , and have had a hard time converting on offense. They take alot of shots but with a very low success rate of 8.6 percent ranks near the bottom of the league. Im betting their woes continue tonight against the Habs. On the flioside the Panthers D , and strong play of goaltenders Sergei Bobrovsky and Anthony Stolarz and a red hot stopping penalty-kill unit which is a perfect 20-for-20 on penalty kills over the past five games and 43-for-48 on the kill over the past 16 games makes this contest vs Montreal a tilt that has a viable chance at staying under the total. Note: FLORIDA is 9-3 UNDER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or better of their chances this season like the Canadiens. FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 3.8 opg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 23-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the combined average gpg ringing in at 5.2 . Play under |
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11-30-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson +11.5 v. Fordham | 52-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (FARLEIGH DICKINSON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT shooting team (32% or less), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 12-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover |
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11-30-23 | Liberty +8 v. Florida Atlantic | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FAU is a top ranked team, but this balanced Liberty side is being highly underestimated in their abilities to hang here, vs FAU as Kenpom ranks them 39th in the country.Unbeaten Liberty received seven votes in this week's AP Poll, the second straight week the Flames have received seven votes. Im betting Liberty's slow tempe will pull FAU out of their flow and make this a grinding game that favors the visitors. LIBERTY is 21-8 ATS L/29 after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LIBERTY) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Liberty to cover |
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11-29-23 | Virginia Tech +10 v. Auburn | 57-74 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Hokies only hit 20-60 (33.3%) against No. 19 Florida Atlantic last time out and were just 2-17 (11.8%) from long range. • In Mike Young’s 131 games as Tech’s head coach, the Hokies have shot 35% or worse just nine times. Im expecting a big bounce back here tonight, along with top tier charity stripe conversion to be the diff maker in us covering this number. Pearl is 2-13 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN. Pearl is 12-25 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB underdog (VIRGINIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 35-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. VTech to cover |
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11-29-23 | 76ers -2 v. Pelicans | 114-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Philadelphia was hitting on all cylinders in their last game vs the Lakers, and Im betting with that momentum on their sides will continue to push forward here tonight vs a streaky Pelicans side that has lost 2 straight SU/ATS. Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NBA in SRS with 10.18 mark while, ranks 18th with a 0.45. Considering this the linesmakers in my humble opinion are over estimating the 76ers regression probabilities off a huge game . PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-29-23 | Boston University v. Albany OVER 141 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALBANY) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, on Wednesday games are 26-5 OVER L/26 seasons for. a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.2 ppg. Play over |
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11-29-23 | Gardner-Webb v. Queens NC +2 | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Queens NC to cover |
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11-28-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 123-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an important tournament game between division rivals , and Im betting it will be a hard fought physical affair that keeps this combined score to the low side of the offered total. SACRAMENTO is 25-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE L/33 vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 229.8 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 63-30 L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.9 ppg. Play under |
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11-28-23 | Rockets v. Mavs -4.5 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Houston has struggled with explosive offensive sides like Dallas recently especially on the road where they are here tonight. Advantage Dallas.HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS ) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. I know Houston has been an ATM machine for their backs of late, but now the market has adjusted and laying under 5 at home with the Mavericks according to my projections is viable investment option. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 4-38 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-28-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -3.5 | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wolves rank 3rd in the NBA in SRS with 7.70 mark while the Thunder are ranked 4th with a 7.69 mark. When taking into consideration the home court edge where the Wolves are almost always in top form we have a line as mentioned above that should be closer to 5, thus giving us value laying lumber here with the home fav. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-31 L/5 seasons for. a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff registering at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-28-23 | McNeese State v. UAB -6 | 81-60 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UAB is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots UAB to cover |
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11-28-23 | Hawks +5 v. Cavs | 105-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Atlanta can run and gun with anyone in the NBA and despite of tnheir defensive failures recently are side that must be respected getting points especially the way their star Trae Young is shooting the ball.Young's most recent top teir offensive effort came on Sunday in a 113-103 loss to the Celtics, when he connected on a team-high 33 points and added seven assists in the second game of a back-to-back.Meanwhile, the market was slow to catchup with Cleveland as this season began , but now they have caught up and are starting to over adjust giving us value with this underdog selection. Advantage Atlanta. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. .Atlanta has won five of seven games over Cleveland, dating to the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-28-23 | Miami-FL v. Kentucky -6.5 | 73-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two weeks ago, Kentucky lost to top-ranked Kansas in a tight game in the Champions Classic. Now, the Cats take on their second Top 10 foe of the season when eighth-ranked Miami visits Rupp Arena on Tuesday night in the SEC/ACC Challenge and this time they are now better prepared and organized. Kentucky has now scored at least 81 points in each of its first six games and will have no problems dealing with Florida States balanced attack. Kentucky to cover |
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11-28-23 | Islanders v. Devils -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
The Islanders are down two key defenseman ( Aho and Pelech) and are just not flowing with this aging lineup. Somethings not right, and it seems to be getting worse. Against a sometimes explosive NJ Devils line up I just don't believe they have the fire power to keep up here . The Isles are also on tired legs as they play their 3rd in 5 nights. Note: NY ISLANDERS are 2-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. I know the Devils have not looked great of late, but they did notch a 7-2 win vs Columbus last time out and have momentum on their sides, Play on the Devils -1.5 on the puckline |
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11-28-23 | Mississippi State v. Georgia Tech +8.5 | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGIA TECH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Tech to cover |
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11-28-23 | Western Carolina v. Tennessee Tech +5.5 | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (W CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games are 8-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Tennessee Tech to cover |
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11-27-23 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Clippers | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Denver is 11-6 on the season but just 3-6 on the road, but Im betting those numbers will turn around to upside in Nuggets away games, as they are just to talented to not get into a groove even away from the Mile High City. DENVER is 8-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons and according to my power rankings have an edge here taking points. I know the Nuggets played last night, but they are a well conditioned side, that will be ready to play here tonight in LA even without Jamal Murray in the lineup. The Clippers rank 9th (3.62) in /SRS while the Cliipers ranks 13th with a 1.31 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-27-23 | Pelicans v. Jazz UNDER 231 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game having gone under in their L/4 trips to the hardwood while Utah has gone under 3 straight times. I know New Orleans has been explicit about picking up their defensive play and you can see it in their play, and here tonight in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City Im betting on an even more stringent defensive effort , as their 5th game in a week. Advantage under. NEW ORLEANS is 11-2 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 215.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 48-21 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average score of 227 ppg going on the score board. Play under |
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11-27-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +2 v. Fresno State | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 34-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%) or better , after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 33-6 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 5-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1997. Play in US Santa Barbara to cover |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
The Vikings had their 5 game win streak snapped last time out, and now enter this home game vs a side they beat earlier this season, but saw them out stated while putting just 220 yards of offense on the board. The Vikings /Horse Shoe might be starting to loosen, and the proverbial wheels looks ready to fall off the cart. Remember that above mentioned game that the Vikings won saw Bears QB Justin Fields get injured and with him fully healthy again I like the Bears odds of being competitive. Note the Vikings are 0-6 ATS on MNF when coming off a loss. Vikings are 3-9 ATS L/12 as division home chalk. Bears are 6-1 ATS L/7 Monday night away games. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-27-23 | Houston Christian v. TCU UNDER 164 | 64-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TCU can light up the board and name their score here but Houston Christian on flipside wont be able to penetrate a very TCU D, this Im betting will lead to combined score that does not eclipse this offered total. TCU is 11-3 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (TCU) - an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score clicking in at 156.9 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers UNDER 48 | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Prime time games have been fairly low scoring this season with 26 of 34 games failing to eclipse the offered totals number. The Ravens are off playing a Thursday night game last week, and this sets in play a positive under trend as NFL away sides off a Thursday nighter as hosts have eclipsed the total only 5 of 28 times L/3 seasons. Another strong trend associated with this tilt shows AFC teams like Baltimore with bye week up next have gone under in their L/13 opportunities. Also NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BALTIMORE) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 6-27 UNDER L/10 seasons under for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 29.2 ppg. Harbaugh is 17-4 UNDER ( after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 40.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the LA CHARGERS are 23-7 UNDER L/30 vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. in the second half of the season with a combined average of 35.4 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS are 32-16 UNDER L/48 in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 44.8 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS are 7-0 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.5 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Bulls +4 v. Nets | 109-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is on tired legs as they play their 2nd back to back games this season and are vulnerable .The Nets earned a 109-107 win in Chicago during an in-season tournament game on Nov. 3 and Im betting on another close game here with the points to be golden. BROOKLYN is 11-24 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 4-15 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 21-37 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.Vaughn is 11-25 ATSin home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-26-23 | Suns v. Knicks -3 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Knicks have looked a little lethargic offensively in back to back games . The first tgame came at the end of a exhausting 5 game road trip and the 2nd was when they played their first game at home after that for-mentioned away rodeo. Now acclimated to home cooking and well rested Im betting on the Knicks will be primed and motivated to play at an optimal level, against a Phoenix Suns squad on a 5 game win streak. NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Suns beat Memphis last time out by DDs, but this is not a favorable spot from a historical standpoint for the Suns as Vogel is 12-26 ATS (- in road games off a road win by 10 points or more in all games he has coached. Key injury updates: Beals still out for Suns and Durant(foot) is questionable tonight and if he plays is less than 100%. PHOENIX is 26-44 ATS L/70 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game . NBA Favorites on the opening line of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-26-23 | Mississippi Valley State +21 v. Pacific | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pacific played a hard fought game and get the win last time out by. a 73-71 count vs lower tier LeMoyne and could easily find themselves flat here. PACIFIC is 3-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.PACIFIC is 3-11 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 19-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (PACIFIC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are just 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Favorites of 20 or more points (PACIFIC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss St Valley to cover |
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11-26-23 | Bellarmine v. West Virginia -9.5 | 58-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. West Virginia to cover |
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11-26-23 | George Washington v. Delaware UNDER 151.5 | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3.5 v. Eagles | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
Buffalo has had a bit of disappointing season but still rank in the Top 10 on both offense and defense and should be respected here against a foe in a letdown spot after a huge upset win vs KC last time out. NFL home sides who pulled an upset vs the defending Super Bowl champion in its last game like the Eagles did , have failed to cash 6 straight times, dating back to the 2020 season. BUFFALO is 14-4 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games . McDermott is 12-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of BUFFALO. NFL Road underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - with a sub par passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 58-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cash |
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11-26-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders OVER 43 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
The Chiefs are off a MNF defeat and Im betting will be primed to play a top tier brand of D, here against Vegas that will help keep this tilt under the offered totals number. NFL favorites off a Monday nighter home loss have gone a under in 8 straight games in the last three seasons. Note: Vegas has gone under in 7 of their L/8 overall. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this seasons with a combined average of 38 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER after the first month of the season this season with a combined average of 37 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS is 6-0 UNDER in dome games this season with a combined average of 35.5 ppg scored.LAS VEGAS is 7-1 UNDER in games played on turf this season with a combined average of 37.8 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (KANSAS CITY) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 71-37 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
Both the Eagles and the Bills have viable offenses averaging more than 26 ppg in out put. BUFFALO is the underdog here which is important considering they have gone 8-0 OVER as underdogs of +2 or more points in the last four seasons with a combined average of 67.5 ppl scored. On the flip side Sunday NFC Conference home favorites of 3 pts or more like the Eagles against AFC Conference opponents like the Bills have eclipsed the Total 9 of the L/10 times. Considering the Eagles home games have seen a combined average of 56.5 ppg scored it will be an easy decision here to go with an over wagering what my projections estimate to be a score that hits in the low 50s. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51 ppl scored. My projections also estimate both sides will score at least 20 or more points which is important as the Eagles are 12-1 OVER L/13 when that happens with the combined score clicking in at 61.8 ppg. Play over |
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11-26-23 | Canisius v. Bowling Green UNDER 145.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Blues -150 v. Blackhawks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
After stopping a five-game skid with Friday's overtime victory, vs Toronto the Chicago Blackhawks will vie for consecutive victories for the first time this season. Im betting they remain inept in notching back to back wins vs a Blues side that matches up well against them. Blackhawks are 17-38 in their last 55 games following a win. St.Louis after an embarrassing 8-3 loss to the Preds last time out will be hell bent on redemption. Blackhawks are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. NHL Road teams against the money line (ST LOUIS) - off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record in the first half of the season are 21-6 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS off a loss against a division rival this season. CHICAGO is 11-44 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on St.Louis to win |
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11-26-23 | North Carolina Central v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 144.5 | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Stonehill v. Quinnipiac -12.5 | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Quinnipiac to cover |
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11-26-23 | Brown v. Ohio UNDER 147 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers -1.5 v. Bengals | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Joe Burrows is out for the season, and the Bengals as a group Im sure in a letdown mentality and that Im betting plays out here today against a hungry Steelers group that must not be understimated . Note: Bengals will start veteran backup Jake Browning who will make his first start in just his third game since entering the league in 2019.this is important because QBs making their first career start vs. Steelers are 1-11 straight-up (SU) in their last 12 games dating back to 1987. Steelers to cover |
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11-26-23 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 36.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
I know both offenses are expected to have a low output production today, but even with the Steelers offensive woes and the Bengals QB precarious situation, my projections still estimate a score in the high 30s which gives close to a FG edge on this offered number. Note: PITTSBURGH is 8-1 OVER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.9 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (PITTSBURGH) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 30-8 OVER L/30 seasons with the combined average score of 48 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-25-23 | Colorado State v. Hawaii +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
Colorado needs a win to become Bowl eligible but they just seem like a team that does not perform well under pressure and have been inconsistent all season long. Here tonight against a Hawaii side that has improved as the season has progressed and enter this game on a two game winning streak Im betting they choke. Note: Hawaii is 5-0 SU in their L/5 home finales the L/5 years and with that said, Im betting on the underdog getting points. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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11-25-23 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas 10-5 is the fresher team here entering this tilt against a LA Clippers (6-8) side that played last night. The Mavs rank 15th with. a+0.83 rating in the NBA in SRS while the Clippers, are ranked 21st with a -0.01 rating. Factoring in exhaustion adn performance levels the Play on Dallas cover |
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11-25-23 | California +10 v. UCLA | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 56 h 37 m | Show | |
The California Bears need a win here today at the UCLA to become Bowl eligible. With the Bruins off a big win vs USC last week by a 38- 20 score Im betting the Bruins are vulnerable to a letdown vs a hungry side. Note : the the Bruins are 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. . Cal Bears HC Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS L/18 as a home dog. Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win and get the nod here in desperation mode. CALIFORNIA is 23-10 ATS L/33 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Kelly is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of UCLA. UCLA is 13-26 ATS ( L/39 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. NCAAF Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CALIFORNIA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 17 or more total starters returning are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cal Bears to cover |
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11-25-23 | South Alabama v. Texas State +6 | 44-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Jaguars have played well lately but are just are 1-12 ATS following consecutive home chalk victories and and 1-11 ATS away off consecutive home tilts. I know Texas State is off a ugly loss last time out, but they have been very competitive this season and deserve respect here as pups. note: Texas State is 8-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss. S ALABAMA is also 0-12 ATS L/12 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) . TEXAS ST is 4-0 straight up against at home vs S ALABAMA since 1992. Texas State to cover |
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11-25-23 | Furman v. UAB -5 | 86-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FURMAN is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road teams as an underdog or pick (FURMAN) - after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 115 points or less are 7-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-25-23 | Alabama v. Oregon UNDER 160.5 | 99-91 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-25-23 | Georgia Southern +8.5 v. Appalachian State | 27-55 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
11-25-23 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Virginia | 55-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
Virginia upset Duke last week and are now in a huge emotional letdown spot vs instate rivals Vtech and very vulnerable . Vtech is 11-1-1 ATS.in finales , Virginia is just 0-11 SU L/11 when facing a Hokies side with a better record on the season. VIRGINIA TECH is 32-16 ATS L/48 as a road favorite of 7 points or less . CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 89-52 ATS L/10 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vtech to cover |
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11-25-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +9 | 56-14 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 45 m | Show | |
James Madison had their undefeated season abruptly come to end vs App State last time and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a Coastal Carolina squad that had a 5 game win streak end last time out. With Coastal having a 7-4 record they need a win to get them to the Sun Belt title game vs. Troy and will be ready to play all out football here this week vs a program ineligible to play post season football this season/ CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (JAMES MADISON) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game are 62-31 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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11-25-23 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
Wisconsin is Bowl eligible after last weeks win while Minnesota desperately needs a victory to get a Bowl invite. Im betting the home, side has the edge. I know the Gophers have not looked good of late, but it must be noted that HC Fleck is 9-1 SU/ATS when coming off a pair of losses and than playing at home.MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS after being out-gained by 175 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. Fleck is 8-1 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of MINNESOTA. Minnesota to cover |
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11-25-23 | Canisius v. Western Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Rice -4 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Rice according to my power rankings sis the superior side here today and the line should be closer to -7 for the home side. RICE is 21-7 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.RICE is 27-10 ATS L/27 in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%. ). FLA ATLANTIC is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. RICE is 15-1 ATS L/16 in home games after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. CFB Home favorites (RICE) - in a game involving two average rushing teams (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) after 7+ games are 44-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Rice to cover |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 43 m | Show | |
This game has some huge implications as the winner will get to the College Football Playoff semifinals. With Michigan QB JJ Macarthy (ankle) less than 100% and going just 12-for-23 via pass including 1 interception against the Terrapins” last week some doubts about his ability to play vs this type of prime time Ohio State D loom large . The Buckeyes have been solid dogs in the past in n Big Ten Title games cashing 10 straight times as pups. . We all know how good the /Wolverines D as is evident by allowing 9 points and 253 yards per game. But the Buckeyes football program has won 15 of their L/18 SU versus conference opposition that allow less than 10 ppg. Wolverine iconic HC Harbaugh will once again not be on the sidelines for this big game- which is not a good omen for a side that has cashed only 2 of their L/ 9 opportunities ATS vs undefeated conference opponents . OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 or lesws rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (OHIO ST) - with a great scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-14 ATS L/.5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Spurs v. Warriors -10.5 | 112-118 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have struggled out of the gate this season and now have an opportunity to take on their frustrations out on a San Antonio team on a 10 game losing run and that they have beaten up pretty easily in recent meetings with 37,31, 15 points deficit victories in their L/3 meetings. I know Golden State has not covered any of their 7 home games this season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here with the DD fav. Note:GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in Phoenix. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 16-31 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 12-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Santa Clara v. Oregon UNDER 146.5 | 88-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Heat v. Knicks -5.5 | 98-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami has played some decent defensive ball of late , while winning at Cleveland and Chicago. But from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their betting backers as they are 2-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, NYK after a extensive 5 game road trip looked flat in tired in their final game of the trip with a 117-110 loss to Minnesota. However, they have now been off since Nov 20th and with extensive rest and back on home court Im betting on a big effort from the Knicks. . NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Note: Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 35-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff registering at +11.5 which qualities on this ATS offering. MIAMI is 18-32 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.( Heat beat Cleveland 129-96 last time out) NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 18-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rte for bettors. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-24-23 | Penn State -20.5 v. Michigan State | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn State continues to struggle against the top tier teams in the Big 10 losing to both Ohio State and Michigan this season. However, against the lower tier programs seem to always come to play in merciless fashion. Michigan State is a team that suddenly finds itself in the lower echilon of the conference and with nothing really to play for could easily come out flat here today and crushed by a frustrated Litany Lions side that will want to make a statement.PENN ST is 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at + 27.1. Play on Penn State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Seton Hall v. Iowa UNDER 155 | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Baylor v. Florida UNDER 158 | 95-91 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas +9.5 | 48-14 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
After a hard fought narrow win against Florida last time out, Im betting Missouri is vulnerable here today against Doctor Jekyll and Mr Hyde football team in Arkansas. Recent history also tells a story of Tigers futility as they are 0-5 ATS L/5 in Last Road Games, and are 0-6 ATS away in their final tilts of the campaign. ARKANSAS is 4-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI at home since 1992. ARKANSAS is 25-10 ATS L/35 in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-24-23 | Air Force +7 v. Boise State | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
After starting their season 8-0 this Air Force side has looked flat of late, with their current 3 game losing streak starting with a ugly make no sense loss to Army. That embarrassing defeat and deflating loss to their military foe has reverberated into two more losses. The 2nd loss came in Hawaii and I can see this group just licking their wounds and just laying back on paradise island and not preparing well for the Rainbow game where they looked lifeless or maybe hungover. Last weeks loss vs UNLV had them back on track despite of negative3 31-27 count. Now this week against the Broncos Im expecting Air Force will fly high again and possibly even pull of the upset vs a side that they matchup well against. . BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS after a win by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons (which was the case last time out)Calhoun is 34-13 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of AIR FORCE. Play on Air Force to cover |
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11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
Utah State was smashed last week in a 35-point home loss to Boise State in embarrassing fashion and are now in a key bounce back situation vs New Mexico this week, as they desperately need a win to become bowl eligible. Utah State is 6-0 SU/ATS series run and according to my power rankings should be more than TD fav here. I know the Lobos took out Fresno State last week in. big upset win, but will now be in a letdown spot and very vulnerable vs a hungry side. Note: Lobos’ 0-7 SU L/7 in games coming off an upset win as a dog of 16 or more points and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 at home under those perimeters. Play on Utah State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets +10 | 34-13 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
The Jets have dropped three straight games and are turning to journeyman Tim Boyle under center when they face the Dolphins in a Black Friday clash at East Rutherford, N.J. Im betting he will be a blast of fresh air for this stale Jets attack. I know Miami has done well this season, offensively but the Jets D has been mostly solid and Im betting hold up well here in the cold windy conditions today against a team not so ready to play in the cool weather. NY JETS are 19-8 ATS L/27 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. NY JETS are 29-14 ATS L/43 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-9 L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-24-23 | Toledo v. Indiana State UNDER 165.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Monmouth v. Belmont UNDER 155.5 | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10.5 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
TCU has obviously not had a great season, especially considering their appearance the CFB Playoff championship game last year. But with the experience on the sidelines, with the coaching staff and with the context of desperation in play here as the Frogs need a win to become Bowl eligible, Im betting on them putting alot of fight into this tilt and they won't go down without a fight. Note: The Frogs have covered their L/4 trips to Norman to play the Sooners and Im backing them to continue that run this Friday. TCU is 10-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons CFB road team (TCU) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 42 points or more last game are 24-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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11-24-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
The Hawkeyes are the 2023 Big Ten West champs yet are being placed as dogs here vs a Nebraska side that despite of needing a win here badly, are not a football program that has a recent history of winning games clutch or otherwise. Hey I know Iowa has problems scoring , but their D, is outstanding and should give a pedestrian Nebraska offense a load of problems here today in a game I doubt they deserve to be favorites in. Iowa has won 7 of the L/8 in this series, and must not be underestimated in the underdog role. IOWA is 19-7 in their L/26 road game where the total is 42 or less have seen a +2 ppg diff . CFB road team (IOWA) - with a great scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa to cover |
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11-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +10.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Its chilly in Massachusetts this time of year, and the Canes Cristobal and company may find their welcome from Boston College chilly as well. The Canes are off 3 hard fought losses, and doubt they have much gas left in the proverbial tank. Note :The Canes are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite when coming off three losses-exact,. I know BC has not been a very consistent side this season, but at home have a recent history of being a solid dog especially at home covering 5 in q row as +8 or more pup. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. Play on BC to cover |
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11-24-23 | Memphis -12.5 v. Temple | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
I know everyone is in love with the SF 49ers , but Im one of these guys who still believes they are a bit over rated. Note: Im betting this is a close battle and getting a TD here is viable investment opportunity Seattle HC Pete Carroll as a home dog in his NFL career, is 9-2 ATS as a when getting f 4 or more points. SEATTLE is 17-6 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO L/23 at home. NFL Road favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-44 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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