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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-16-22 | Yair Rodriguez v. Brian Ortega OVER 4.5 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
07-16-22 | Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 10-0 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Marlins - M. Meyer-R vs Phillies - R. Suarez-L Only twice in their L/12 games have the Marlins scored more than 4 runs and nothing changes today against left hander Suarez and his bullpen. The Marlins have struggled against LHP this season averaging just 3.6 runs per game. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's explosive offense has suddenly gone quiet of late, scoring more than 3 runs only once in their L/7 trips to the diamonds . The saving grace for the Phillies sort of speak has been their pitching and D, as they have allowed more than 4 runs just twice in their 11, including 4 shutouts during that strong run suppressing span. Key stats:LAST 10 GAMES:  .189 batting average, 3.00 ERA,. Phillies: .212 batting average, 3.03 ERA. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road.The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.he total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home. Play UNDER |
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07-16-22 | Mariners -135 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter today Howard. Spencer Howard the Rangers starter has garnered a ugly 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks to be cannon fodder in this spot play. Seattles starter GILBERT is 7-0 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GILBERT is 16-4 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.033. SEATTLE is 9-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.SEATTLE is 12-3  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line in the second half of the season this season. Mariners are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-16-22 | White Sox v. Twins -115 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
BUNDY is 5-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 0.929. in 7 career starts with the White Sox winning all of those games. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again today. BALDELLI is 33-10 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA like the White Sox Lynn (6.97 ERA). Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 16-7 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. White Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 43-19 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota Twins to win |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan -2.5 v. Toronto | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Roughriders top tier rush game Im betting gives the Toronto Argos nightmares here this week.Toronto averages just 15 points/game which is 10.8 ppg less than the league average. It is unlikely they can keep up with this explosive Saskatchewan side. Dickenson is 13-4 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SASKATCHEWAN. Play on Saskatchewan to cover |
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07-15-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
The Yankees have lost four of their past five games after taking the first two contests in last week's four-game series at Boston vs the Red Sox. In the four losses, New York bullpen was pulverized for 19 runs (15 earned) in 12 innings for an ERA of 11.25 which culminated in a 7-6 loss yesterday to the Reds. The Yankees have now allowed 45 runs in their L/7 games and Im betting things dont get much better for them again today. Meanwhile, the BoSox relievers allowed 10 runs (six earned) in 11 innings against the Rays in this weeks series, and also look vulnerable against a NYY offense that can pound the best of hurlers. My projections estimate late run accumulation thanks to explosive offenses and tired pitching staffs get us over this offered total. Play OVER |
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07-15-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees -165 | 5-4 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Both these teams look tired entering this final series before the all star break, but Im betting the Yankees home field advantage and overall superior offense get the job done here tonight . Im betting on a redemption minded Yankee group that blew two leads and suffered losses in the last two games of their previous weekend series against this same Bosox side will be a key motivating factor. Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League East. Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 home games.Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter like BoSox starter Eovaldi. . MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 175-302 L/25 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Red Sox are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings in New York. Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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07-15-22 | Phillies +153 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 153 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami's starter Sandy Alcantara is a top tier starting pitcher, but the Phillies talented and explosive batting order can make the best of hurlers look average. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-4  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season. I know the Phillies have not looked good in the batters box in their L/few trips to the diamond , but it must also be noted that PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 L/9 against the money line in road games after 2 straight games with at least 7 less hits than their opponent. Considering the Marlins have scored more than 4 runs only twice in their L/11 games, its not a stretch to suggest they could be outscored tonight even with their all star on the hill.  Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Marlins are 17-40 in their last 57 during game 1 of a series. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 22-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 16-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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07-14-22 | Mystics -3 v. Mercury | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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07-14-22 | Astros -156 v. Angels | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Im betting after losing 7-1 yesterday to the Angels the top tier Astros will be ready to bounce back here behind the arm of Valdez. Note: Angels are 20-42 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.  LA ANGELS are 6-23 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. HOUSTON is 23-9  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Halos Detmers. Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Astros are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series. Astros are 38-18 in the last 56 meetings in Los Angeles. LA ANGELS are 1-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on Astros to win |
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07-14-22 | White Sox +143 v. Twins | 12-2 | Win | 143 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CUETO is 6-0  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CUETO is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.115. Minnesota's righty starter GRAY is 14-22  against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) Note: White Sox are 19-9 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter. White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win |
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07-14-22 | Reds v. Yankees OVER 8 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Yankees pitching and bullpen looks tired which is evident by allowing 38 runs in their L/6 games and have gone over the total in 6 of their L/7 overall. Six of the games saw the other side score 4 or more runs scored and 5 have seen 5 or more runs go on the board from their opposition. With the Reds recently showing some life offensively and the Yankees always a threat to explode with a boat load full of runs we have a situation that favors an over wager cashing. Play OVER |
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07-14-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Snell the Padres starter in nine starts this season,  is 1-5 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings actually matches up well vs the Rockies. Snell is also in good form after allowing  just two earned runs on seven hits through his L/ 11 innings of work. He is backed by a strong bullpen which ranks seventh in the league in ERA, 14th in BA, ninth in SLG and ninth in wOBA since June 1st. SNELL is 15-4 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Rockies starter   left-hander Kyle Freeland goes to the hill. Im betting he has an edge as , the Padres rank just 19th in the league in BA, 22nd in SLG, 21st in OPS and 21st in wOBA since the beginning of June vs southpaw pitching.In his two trips to the hill against the Fathers , Freeland is 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. He has seen 11 or less runs scored in nine of his L/ 10 starts. FREELAND is 29-10 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)  FREELAND is 35-16 UNDER at home when the total is 11 or higher in his career. (Team's Record)  Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 68-32 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-13-22 | Astros +110 v. Angels | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Angels starter Ohtani. HOUSTON is 30-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season (Ohtani) LA ANGELS are 16-35 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Astros starter Javier. Ohtani the Halos starter has the big name brand on his side, which is tainting this monehyline offering. No matter what the superior talent is on the Astros side of the field including all important team chemistry, something the Angels are lacking. Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West. Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on Houston to win |
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07-13-22 | Reds v. Yankees -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -150 | 1 h 44 m | Show | |
Mike Minor is for lack of a better word, crap during this campaign, as is evident by garnering a 6.33 ERA and 6.79 FIP. With that said Im betting on Stanton lighting him up.  Minor this has a ugly slash line vs righties .310/.385/.610 and with guys like Stanton in the lineup who is a top tier right handed batter.  |
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07-13-22 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
Pirates starting hurler BRUBAKER is 3-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 3-20 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Marlins matchup well here, and after losing the first two games of this series are going to be primed to bounce back. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Marlins are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 49-113 in their last 162 road games. Pirates are 19-40 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Home favorites with a opening money line of -175 to -250 (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Marlins to win |
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07-13-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -122 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter today vs the Giants ( Gallen) has not got a decision in five straight starts, during which he compiled a 4.97 ERA.  In seven lifetime starts against the Giants, he is 1-4 with a 5.50 ERA, including 0-2 with a 6.41 ERA in four starts in San Francisco and is fade material once again. The Giants took out the Dbacks by a 13-0 count yesterday and that momentum Im betting will carry into this tilt. Diamondbacks are 14-46 in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning record. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-6 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 9-36 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Diamondbacks are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco. Play on SF Giants to win |
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07-13-22 | Mets +139 v. Braves | 7-3 | Win | 139 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
NY METS are 35-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Atlanta's starter Morton. Mets are 14-5 in their last 19 during game 3 of a series. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 road games. NY METS are 19-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. NY METS are 27-11 against the money line against division opponents this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-15 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 17-37 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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07-12-22 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +139 | 6-7 | Win | 139 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Cards starter  Liberatore. The Dodgers are batting just .239 vs LHP this season and despite of being in good form are fade material here according to my power rankings. Dodgers starter WHITE is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.000. Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West. ST LOUIS is 26-18 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 11-2 ) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. ST LOUIS is 29-19 against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL) are 29-11 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on st.Louis to win |
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07-12-22 | Brewers v. Twins -131 | 6-3 | Loss | -131 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Probable Pitchers: Twins - J. Winder-R vs Brewers - J. Alexander-R Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Minnesota Twins to win |
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07-12-22 | Mets v. Braves -200 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
MLBÂ Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. |
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07-12-22 | Red Sox v. Rays +105 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Bostons starter Sale has been off with a while because of injuries, and Im betting he still is not 100% where he was before being sidelines, and is vulnerable vs the Rays batting order that despite of being banged up with injuries showed some explosiveness yesterday Look for the momentum to continue. . Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games on astroturf.Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 27-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 14-4 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. CASH is 35-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 9 runs or more as the manager of TAMPA BAY which was the case yesterday in a 10-5 win vs this same BoSox. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 72-37 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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07-12-22 | Pirates v. Marlins -142 | 3-2 | Loss | -142 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
MLBÂ Home favorites with a opening money line of -175 to -250 (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. |
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07-11-22 | Padres v. Rockies +139 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres play their home games at sea level and have developed some series issues winning in the mile-high altitude of Denver and have lost 10 straight games here at Coors field. With San Diego expected to start left-hander Sean Manaea (3-4, 4.18 ERA), who is making his third career start at Coors Field, the Padres losing streak according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings will continue. Note: Manaea lost both of those outings as a member of the Oakland Athletics. He has a 5.06 ERA in 10 2/3 innings in Denver COLORADO is 38-17 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 2-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 11 or higher over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (COLORADO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20 or less)-NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 24-11 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-11-22 | Phillies -114 v. Cardinals | 1-6 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Cardinals starting hurler Miles Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA) has suffered from poor run support all season. The Cardinals have been shut out in four of his starts and it scored just once in two others and because of this is fade material here today vs a explosive Phillies offense. ST LOUIS is 6-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season like Phillies starter Nola. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ST LOUIS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win |
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07-11-22 | Red Sox v. Rays +102 | 5-10 | Win | 102 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
After a big series against the NYY this past weekend and big come back victories in back to back games an emotional letdown situation is on todays agenda for the BoSox vs another key rival Tampa Bay. BOSTON is 1-7 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season. (Boston won 11 -6 yesterday after being down 6-3 early on in the game) CASH is 51-36 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY. Play on TB Rays to win |
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07-11-22 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
The first game of the doubleheader features a matchup between the Tigers' Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Royals' Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37). Pineda, 33, has made two starts since missing nearly two months with a fractured right middle finger. The right-hander allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday and gives the Tigers an edge as underdogs in this spot play. KCs starter KELLER is 0-10 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KELLER is 1-12  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. KANSAS CITY is 3-16 against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season. Royals are 10-23 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter. Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. |
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07-11-22 | Tigers +126 v. Royals | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
The first game of the doubleheader features a matchup between the Tigers' Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Royals' Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37). Pineda, 33, has made two starts since missing nearly two months with a fractured right middle finger. The right-hander allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday and gives the Tigers an edge as underdogs in this spot play. KCs starter KELLER is 0-10 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KELLER is 1-12  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. KANSAS CITY is 3-16 against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season. Royals are 10-23 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter. Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Play on Detroit to win |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox +118 | 6-11 | Win | 118 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Im betting the Boston Red Sox ride the momentum of a energy charged comeback victory last night into a series split. Note: Yankees starter Tallon maybe starting to show signs of fatigue lately, as he has  allowed 14 earned runs and 23 hits in 16 innings over his last three starts. Advantage Red sox batting order. BOSTON is 10-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 Sunday games. Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, playing on Sunday are 20-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 20-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate. Play on Bosox to win |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R) Two quality offensive lineups, go head to head vs two pitchers that have registered  ERAs over five in their last three trips to the hill. Both bullpens are also exhausted and depleted and this Im betting relates to a higher scoring affair. BOSTON is 17-4 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.7 rog scored. CORA is 20-7 OVER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed . BOONE is 40-15 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.4 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 45-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play on the OVER |
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07-10-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Gilbert will make his fifth start of the season filling in for the injured Zach Davies. Gilbert is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERÅ in one career start against the Rockies and Im betting the Rockies do damage here and help eclipse this total. Meanwhile, Right-hander German Marquez (4-7, 5.90 ERA) will start the series finale for Colorado and my power rankings suggest the Arizona batting order matches up well against him furthering our bid to see an over wager cash here today.  ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 26-15 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored in those tiolts. The Rockies are 15-0-3 OVER when the line is +100 or less off a game in which their starter gave up multiple runs and his strike-to-ball ratio was less than 2.05. Play OVER |
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07-10-22 | Marlins +101 v. Mets | 2-0 | Win | 101 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Taijuan Walker (7-2, 2.86 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.82) in a battle of right-handers.Walker is a top tier hurler but Miami's Alacantara is a Cy Young award winning candidate, and must be respected as he has now gone 7 plus inning in 11 straight games. Note: Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Yesterday the Mets took a comeback win , but now Im betting on a bounce back situation from the redemption minded Marlins and a emotional letdown situation to be hamper the Mets. Play on the Miami Marlins to win |
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07-09-22 | Blue Jays v. Mariners +112 | 1-2 | Win | 112 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Blue Jays starter Manoah owns a bloated 4.38 ERA and has surrendered a .308 on-base percentage in his last four trips to the hill all starts. Meanwhile, former Jay , the Mariners starter today, Ray has been brilliant in his L/33.2 innings of work allowing just three-runs in his last five starts ,for a minuscule 0.80 ERA. Opp batters have garnered a sub par .216 on-base percentage over during that span. The Blue Jays are 1-3 in their starter Manoah’s last four starts while the Mariners are 4-1 in Ray’s last five starts. The Mariners are red hot having won six straight games and have now won nine of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have lost seven of their last 10 games and are winless in seven of their last eight series and are fade material in this current form. SEATTLE is 21-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TORONTO) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 46-73 L/5 seasons for an61% conversion rate. Play Mariners to win |
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07-09-22 | Giants -105 v. Padres | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rodon is off a down outing last time out , but in his four previous starts the southpaw had allowed two runs on 14 hits and six walks with 30 strikeouts in 27 innings. That's a 0.67 ERA and Im betting on a rebound here today vs the Fathers. Meanwhile, Padres starter Darvish will be facing the Giants for the second time this season. In first matchup @ San Francisco he offered up his ugliest start in his 227-start career. On April 12, in his second outing of the season, Darvish gave up nine runs on eight hits and two walks in just 1 2/3 innings and is fade material here again this Saturday Darvish has a 2-2 career record against the Giants with a 7.13 ERA over eight starts.DARVISH is 1-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DARVISH is 9-24 against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Padres are 8-18 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on SF Giants to win |
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07-09-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox +145 | 5-6 | Win | 145 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Bosox have lost the first two games of this series vs the NY Yankees but in the past have proven themselves resilient in this situation. Note: Red Sox are 41-15 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like NYY starter Montgomery. Play on Red Sox to win |
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07-09-22 | Marlins +158 v. Mets | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Mets starter CARRASCO is 18-25  against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) He is off a top tier effort last time out and is set for regression. Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Marlins starter Barrett. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. MIAMI is 23-15 against the money line against division opponents this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 35-53 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate! Play on Miami Marlins to win |
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07-09-22 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the Angels will send out left-hander Patrick Sandoval (3-3, 3.09 ERA) to oppose Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer (2-1, 2.48). Both pitchers should go long and strong and offer up a viable opportunity for an under wager to cash. Under is 8-2-1 in Orioles last 11 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-4-1 in Orioles last 18 overall.
Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League East.Under is 5-0-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 road games. Under is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2-2 in Angels last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 11-4-2 in Angels last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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07-09-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Detroits offense has woken up recently and have scored four or more runs in seven of their last eight games. With the White Sox starter struggling at home this season, Im betting on the tigers to continue to crush the ball. Cueto owns a  4.97 ERA and a 5.03 FIP over 29 innings at home this season. CUETO is 8-0 OVER  in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg. Over is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 overall.Over is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games following a loss. Meanwhile, despite of being in a slump the White Sox offense continues to be dangerous offensive force and must not be underestimated in their ability to put a boatload full of runs on the board. Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 3 of a series. Play OVER |
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07-08-22 | Blue Jays v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
 When Stripling goes to the hill during this campaign slugfests are not uncommon as is high scoring affairs continue to be registered when he toes the rubber . The Blue Jays have eclipsed the total in eight of his last 10 starts and in L/4 consecutive outings.Considering the Mariners have been heating up as is evident by having scored six or more runs in each of their last three trips to the diamonds Im betting , they contribute enough to see this combined score to go over the set total. Note: STRIPLING is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667. Meanwhile, the Jays have a talented batting order and at any time and against any pitcher explode. Even is they continue to regress here Im betting they do enough damage to get us over the total. Over is 20-8 in Blue Jays last 28 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 17-7 in Blue Jays last 24 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 11-3 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League East.Over is 11-3 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League East. Play OVER |
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07-08-22 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -104 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Mariners are playing some top tier baseball at the moment having won eight of their last 10 tilts and are on a current 5 games winning streak . The catalyst behind their top tier performances is buoyed by a 2.66 ERA over the last 2 plus weeks which ranks second in the majors during this span while allowing opponents a .226 batting average. With Jays Ross Stripling owning a ugly 11.81 ERA in three career appearances against the Mariners, with one start and a personal power ranking projection that tells me he will be bombed again Im betting on a combination of momentum , pitching and offense offering us up the magic of 3 for a win backing Seattle starter Kirby. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 overall. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 70-37 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-08-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -168 | 7-5 | Loss | -168 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The White Sox were upset yesterday as hefty favs vs Detroit, but Im betting on a rebound performance here today by the Pale Hose. CHI WHITE SOX are 43-18 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 45-145 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Play on White Sox to cover |
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07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
PITCHING PROBABLES: Tigers: Beau Brieske (1-6, 4.54 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 46 strikeouts); White Sox: Dylan Cease (7-3, 2.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 125 strikeouts) White Sox: 6-4 L/10, .280 batting average, 4.00 ERA, outscored opponents by eight runs. Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 overall. Tigers: 6-4, .272 batting average, 3.89 ERA, outscored opponents by 10 runs. Both offenses are operating fairly efficiently of late and my projections estimate both will do enough damage here to eclipse this total. DETROIT is 39-19 OVER after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival with the average rpg count clicking in at 10.1 . (Tigers just swept the Guardians ) MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 44-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-07-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -230 | 2-1 | Loss | -230 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
CEASE is 10-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.158. |
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07-07-22 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show | |
Probable pitchers: Braves - S. Strider-R vs Cardinals - M. Liberatore-L Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games. ATLANTA is 27-15 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 38-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox +152 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
 Yankees Cole owns a 5-3 record along with a 4.00 ERA vs the Red Sox. However, In two postseason starts vs. the Red Sox, including the AL wild-card game last year, he is 0-2 with a 7.86 ERA and my current pitcher. vs batting order power rankings suggest this version of the BoSox offense matches up well against the right hander. Meanwhile,Boston's starting hurler Josh Winckowski (3-2, 3.12) will make his first appearance against the Yankees. The 24-year-old right-hander recorded victories in three of his past four starts and has allowed just 1 HR. Im betting the Red sox righty keeps them in the game. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 games on grass. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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07-06-22 | Cardinals v. Braves -162 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Fried is 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against St. Louis. He last beat the Cardinals 6-1 on Aug. 3, 2021, by throwing six scoreless innings. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cards starter Mikolas. Braves are 25-7 in their last 32 overall. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. MLB opening line favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 75-19 L/25 seasons for a for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Cardinals are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Atlanta to win |
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07-05-22 | Giants -158 v. Diamondbacks | 2-6 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
I know the Giants are struggling at the moment, but now in desperation mode, Im expecting them to come out with a strong effort vs Giants starter  Gilbert (0-3, 7.88 ERA). SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 23-7 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.  MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 39-15 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on SF Giants to win |
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07-05-22 | Twins +124 v. White Sox | 8-2 | Win | 124 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
The Twins improved to 4-0 against the White Sox this season with a 6-3, 10-inning win on Monday and overall have won the L/6 meetings in this series. Im betting the Twins continue to garner wins vs the Pale hose as they face   right-handed hurler Michael Kopech (2-5, 2.78 ERA). He does not have a victory since June 7, a span of four winless starts. Kopech, garnered a 5.19 ERA in six June starts, and is fade material in his current form.KOPECH is 1-8  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 5-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Play on Minnesota to win |
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07-05-22 | Rangers -103 v. Orioles | 9-10 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Baltimore is 2-0 in their L/2 trips to the diamonds, but they have a recent history of being alertic to long term success. Note: HYDE is 4-20 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins as the manager of BALTIMORE. Rangers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series. Rangers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win |
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07-04-22 | Mariners v. Padres -165 | 8-2 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Padres LH starter MANAEA is 27-9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Mariners are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 3-14 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 30-126 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to win |
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07-04-22 | Giants -176 v. Diamondbacks | 3-8 | Loss | -176 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
SFs starter Rodon has gone 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in six dominating June starts and Im betting he shuts down the Diamondbacks today as the Giants batting order takes advantage of veteran Left-hander Madison Bumgarner (3-8, 3.63 ERA) who rarely seems to get run support. MLB Road teams against a 1.5 run line (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 172-63 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF Giants to win |
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07-04-22 | Cubs +138 v. Brewers | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cubs have won 2 of 3 of Steeles last three starts vs the Brewers. The Chicago left-hander has garnered a 2-0 record along with a 3.03 ERA last month after allowing one earned run in three of his five trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Lauer, owns a 1-2 record of late along with an inflated 6.83 ERA in June after surrendering 20 earned runs and 25 hits over his last four starts. Lauer is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) versus the Cubs. Advantage Cubbies. MILWAUKEE is 11-18 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Brewers are 4-9 in their last 13 home games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in July games are 27-15 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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07-04-22 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Marlins starter Braxton Garrett is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.70 WHIP including a .346 xwOBA, .294 xBA and a .457 xSLG.  Over the last month the Marlins’ relief pitching ranks just 27th in the league in ERA, 28th in BA, 29th in SLG and 29th in wOBA. Meanwhile, Nationals starter Corbin is 4-10 with a 6.06 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP including .390 xwOBA, .307 xBA and a .553 xSLG. He has allowed   11 earned runs over 15 innings.There have been nine or more total runs scored in five of his last seven starts. In the last month the Nationals’ relief pitching ranks 25th in the league in ERA, 23rd in BA, 27th in SLG and 26th in wOBA. Everything points to this being a high scoring affair. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a below avg. starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR are 37-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-03-22 | Cardinals +141 v. Phillies | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 26-12 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 14-4 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 7-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.140. Wainwright is 7-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 17 career outings against the Phillies, including 15 starts. Wainwright threw seven shutout innings in his most recent start, a 9-0 victory over the Miami Marlins on Monday and has momentum entering this tilt. Phillies starter Wheeler is 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals. PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 against the money line in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less this season. (Cards took yesterdays tilt 7-6) Play on the Cards to win |
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07-03-22 | Royals v. Tigers -135 | 7-4 | Loss | -135 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
SouthpawTarik Skubal goes to the hill for the Tigers. Through 15 starts this season, Skubal is 5-6 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP and despite of the average numbers he has very strong metrics garnering a .301 xwOBA, .248 xBA and a .403 xSLG. In each of his last two starts against the Royals, holding them scoreless through 9 2/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board here again today. Play on Detroit |
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07-02-22 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -140 | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel (2-5, 7.93) was on the verge of being let go or reassigned by the Chicago White Sox at the end of May after giving up six runs in back-to-back starts, which pushed his ERA to 7.88 on the season . The Diamondbacks signed him to a minor-league deal on June 6, and he was recalled from Triple-A Reno on Sunday. He than got the call against the visiting Detroit Tigers, allowing four runs and six hits in 4 1/3 innings of the 11-7 victory. This is a bad matchup for him today against a Colorado side that seems to play their best offensive baseball at the launching pad known as Coors Field. |
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07-02-22 | Padres +136 v. Dodgers | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Anderson the Dodgers starter is off his first loss of the season last time out and Im betting he may suffer another registered loss here today vs the Padres. With Darvish who own s a 2.14 ERA in his L/3 starts on the hill for the Padres Im betting they will be a tough out in this tilt. Padres have averaged 5.2 rpg on the road this season.
SAN DIEGO is 18-5 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in July games are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in July games are 27-14 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the SD Padres to win |
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07-02-22 | A's +162 v. Mariners | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
As starter BLACKBURN is 6-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-2 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 6-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season. Blackburn is 5-0 on the road this season while garnering a 1.44 ERA and gives his team viable edge here on the road on a value moneyline. SEATTLE is 7-14 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons.  OAKLAND is 9-3 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Play on Oakland to win |
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07-02-22 | Angels +142 v. Astros | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Halos starter Sandoval is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP and  has been in top form of late allowing two or less runs in six of his last seven starts. The Angels starter also owns a viable looking .328 xwOBA, .259 xBA, and .401 xSLG and has the big gun to keep the marauding Astros hitters and offense at bay. Houston rocked the Angels yesterday 8-1 but Im expecting the downtrodden Angels to bounce back today. LA ANGELS are 10-3 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 3-9 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this seaso  MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 42-65 L/25 seasons for a 61% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Angels to win |
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07-02-22 | White Sox v. Giants -131 | 5-3 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Both these starters are in top form entering this tilt, however, here at home with a more consistent offense the Giants have the edge. Giants starter WEBB is 10-0 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-3  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 20-2 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-14 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 96-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on SF Giants to win |
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07-02-22 | Marlins v. Nationals +100 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Marlins starter Castano has logged 6 2/3 innings while going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA vs the Nationals in his previous starts against them, and a rinse and repeat type situation is my bet here today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Jackson Tetreault (2-1, 4.24 ERA) goes to the hill for the Nationals for his fourth career game, all starts. He won each of his last two outings, throwing a combined 13 innings while allowing four runs (one earned) and deserves respect here in the underdog role. Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a terrible team (38%) or less, in July games are 18-45 L25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on Washington Nationals to win |
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07-01-22 | Orioles +196 v. Twins | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Orioles right-hander Spenser Watkins (1-1, 5.14 ERA) Im betting could notch back-to-back victories after beating the Chicago White Sox in his most recent outing. He gave up one unearned run on five hits in five innings and has momentum entering this game and will keep his team in this tilt and give us an opportunity to cash a nice underdog ticket. BALTIMORE is 6-0 against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season- ( lost to Seattle 9-3 L/time out) Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central. MLB team (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 10-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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07-01-22 | Angels v. Astros -157 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Astros. In his second career start with the Angels, he allowed four runs on four hits and two walks with two strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings in an 8-3 road loss to the Astros on April 18 and Im betting the Astros get to him again. JAVIER is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.843. LA ANGELS are 6-19 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. LA ANGELS are 5-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. HOUSTON is 33-14 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. HOUSTON is 41-18 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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07-01-22 | Aces v. Lynx +4.5 | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
07-01-22 | Rangers v. Mets -185 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
 NY Mets BASSITT is 18-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 12-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 31-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 13-4 in their last 17 home games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 3 -38 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with a rpg diff of -3.5 rpg. Play on NY Mets to win |
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07-01-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies +132 | 3-5 | Win | 132 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Phillies offense is hitting on all cylinders right now and scored 15 runs yesterday and in their current form must be respected against all teams and their pitchers making them a viable underdog investment option. PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win |
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07-01-22 | Rays +136 v. Blue Jays | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 9-17 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five career starts against Tampa Bay, Berrios is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA. Tampa Bays starter Kluber has pitched well of late and owns a 2.08 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gives the Rays the edge they need here in game 2 of this series. TAMPA BAY is 27-8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 64-13 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 27-50 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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06-30-22 | Rays +110 v. Blue Jays | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
This is probably going to be a bullpen day for the Rays, but this team is well established as a group that has become experts at this approach. On the flip-side, it must be noted that own power rankings suggest that Tampa Bays batting order matches up well vs Jays starter Kikcuchi. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate! MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 46-71 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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06-30-22 | Brewers -117 v. Pirates | 7-8 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is 6-0 against the Pirates this year, having swept a pair of two-game series in April and are picking up speed after dropping 9 of 10 games, and now on a 4 game win streak. I now expect the Brewers momentum to continue here vs a side they matchup very well against . Note:The Pirates have lost eight of their past 13 games. Brewers starter , Houser is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.964 WHIP and is backed up by one of the best bullpens in pro baseball. Pirates starter  Brubaker is 0-2 and has given up seven runs on eight hits in 11 innings vs the Brewers in his most two recent starts agains them and is susceptible to being beaten up on again and if he falters he is backed by a bullpen that ranks 20th in MLB. PITTSBURGH is 11-38 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like the Brewers starter Houser. MILWAUKEE is 16-4 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-30-22 | Dream v. Liberty UNDER 161 | 92-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
06-30-22 | Braves +139 v. Phillies | 4-14 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Phillies starter NOLA is 0-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)NOLA is 2-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)  NOLA is 11-20 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Braves starter ANDERSON is 13-2 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Braves improved to 21-5 in June with a 4-1 victory over the host Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 11-2 in their last 13 road games. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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06-29-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies +175 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 8-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 7-2 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  MARQUEZ is 5-0 against the money line in June games this season. (Team's Record) Dodgers starter URIAS is 2-6 ( against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)  URIAS is 1-6 against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record) LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. Play on Colorado to win |
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06-29-22 | Reds +125 v. Cubs | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
The Reds won yesterdays game against the Cubs 5-3 and Im now betting on a similar result today. CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.  Cubs starter STEELE is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 9.82 and a WHIP of 2.091. Cubs are 8-22 in their last 30 during game 2 of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 overall. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 road games. CINCINNATI is 9-1  against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 29-45 L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.  Reds are 5-2 L/7 meetings vs the Cubs. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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06-29-22 | Red Sox +151 v. Blue Jays | 6-5 | Win | 151 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Jays found a way to win last night, but despite of all the accolades they are getting I still see alot of flaws and today against a redemption minded BoSox side Im betting their deficiencies are exposed. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like \Red Sox starter Pivetta. The Boston hurler owns a stingy 1.64 ERA in his L/3 starts all wins and Im betting he keeps his team in this one as well. Red Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games following a loss.Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 39-15 in their last 54 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-29-22 | Astros -120 v. Mets | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
 Astros top tier hurler Justin Verlander is in top form as he enters this start with a 9-3 record and 2.22 ERA. Every-time he goes to the hill his team has a chance to win, and here at short chalk deserves respect. Opponents are batting .192 against Verlander, who has posted an 84-16 strikeout-walk ratio through his first 14 starts this season. The Astros showed me last week in their 2 game sweep of the Mets that they are the better side, and nothing Im betting changes today. Note: MY Mets will start T Walker, who owns a 5-5 mark and 5.04 ERA in 13 career starts against Houston. my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Mets starter is at a disadvantage vs this very consistent Astros offense. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East. Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
Play on Houston Astros to win |
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06-29-22 | A's v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Athletics starter Irvin has posted a 5.03 ERA and a 5.92 FIP in his L/34 innings of sub par work and here today in the finale of this series Im betting the Yankees unleash their offense and easily come away with a 2 more run victory.OAKLAND is 0-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the Yankees starter Taillon with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this runline investment option. TAILLON is 12-1 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.5 rpg. Play on the Yankees to win -1.5 RL |
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06-29-22 | Brewers v. Rays -122 | 5-3 | Loss | -122 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
The Rays have smashed LHP lately and Im betting Brewers starter Lauer gets beaten up here today . I know this is a bullpen day for the Rays, but they are one of the teams in pro baseball that does this quite often and it wont throw them of their pace what so ever.TAMPA BAY is 15-6  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 21-5 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 17-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League Central.Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Beeks. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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06-28-22 | White Sox +117 v. Angels | 11-4 | Win | 117 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
LA ANGELS are 9-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cueto qualifies on these trends. Advantage White Sox. Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. White Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 2 of a series. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on White Sox to win |
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06-28-22 | Astros v. Mets OVER 8 | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Mets starter CARRASCO is 17-5 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. CARRASCO is 34-13 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 15-4 OVER in home games against AL West opponents in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. Astros starter Valdez has posted a 4.00 ERA along with a 1.111 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the mound. Hes looking average of late after a fast start , and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the NYM. Over is 5-0-2 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series. Over is 11-4 in Mets last 15 home games. Over is 16-5-2 in Mets last 23 interleague games. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series. Play OVER |
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06-28-22 | Red Sox +126 v. Blue Jays | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Right-hander Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.34) will start for Boston. Wacha earned a win on April 27 when he held the Blue Jays to four hits and one run in six innings and Im betting on a similar rinse and repeat situation. WACHA is 9-2  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 13-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BOSTON) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 59-41 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate! Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-27-22 | White Sox +123 v. Angels | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Halos start Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (4-6, 3.86) will be on the mound to face the White Sox. He is 0-4 with a 5.31 ERA in his last four starts and is fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. I know Giolito the White Sox starter is also off consecutive down outings, but he according to my power rankings matches up well here vs the Angels. GIOLITO is 27-13 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 1-7 against the money line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 4-14 in their last 18 home games. White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-27-22 | Twins -118 v. Guardians | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Guardians starter McKenzie is 1-4 lifetime with a 6.39 ERA in six career starts against Minnesota. He is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA in two outings against the Twins this season and is fade material here vs the Minnesota Twins again. The Guardians have proved very streaky this season, and after being swept this past weekend are not good bets in their current form, and are bet against investment options instead. Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. FRANCONA is 65-85 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better as the manager of CLEVELAND like the Twins starter Gray. Play on Minnesota to win |
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06-27-22 | Red Sox +170 v. Blue Jays | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Red Sox are red hot and are off a 8-3 victory over the host Cleveland Guardians on Sunday afternoon to finish a three-game series sweep. I know Toronto is an explosive opponent and deserve respect, but this offering on the moneyline is to generous according to how well the BoSox have played and how they can make the best of pitchers look average at best. I know Gausman, has pitched well in two April outings vs the Red Sox already this season , but now that they know what hes offering this very resilient lineup will be primed to perform and get some revenge. BOSTON is 19-4 against the money line in June games this season.BOSTON is 13-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-27-22 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The Yankees are off a hard fought series vs the Houstons Astros this past weekend that resulted in a series split. Now in a emotional letdown state, Im betting the Yankees are vulnerable to a sub par performance vs a top tier hurler in the form of the As starter Blackburn 6-3, 2.97 ERA).  BLACKBURN is 6-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Blackburn's only career appearance against the Yankees was on Aug. 29 in Oakland when he opposed Montgomery and pitched five scoreless innings. He goes against Montgomery again and I like what he brings to the table again. OAKLAND is also 29-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like Montgomery. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland on the RL. +1.5 |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -110 v. Lightning | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
 Colorado, has won the first three series on the road and is a red hot 8-1 away from home in the postseason and now Im betting we see them hoist the Stanley Cup tonight in TB. Complete respect for the defending champions but in back to back elimination and cup clinching situations the odds favor the Avs and line-makers  and markets obviously agree with me. Avalanche are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Favorite is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (COLORADO) - poor defensive team- 29 or more shots against,17.5% or more power play killing rate in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal are 58-17 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Avs to win |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
When the series started I was betting on a load of goals going on the board, and as this series has progressed I can see its getting more and more defensive and conservative as both these heavyweights begin to respect the other sides abilities out of transition. This has kept the last few games under the total and now I expect a even more conservative effort from these sides as do or die hockey is on the proverbial table.  Here is an interesting anomaly -Under is 6-0-1 in Avalanche last 7 Sunday games. Under is 7-0 in Lightning last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Lightning last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 home games.Under is 9-2 in Lightning last 11 games following a win. NHL Road teams against the total (COLORADO) - off a close home loss by 1 goal, a top-level team (70% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 21-4 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-26-22 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 17-5 UNDER  vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. TONY GONSOLIN owns a 1.56 ERA along with a minuscule 0.635 WHIP in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Strider despite of a down effort last time out, saw his two previous starts replicate 2 run outputs from the opposing side.  LA DODGERS are 32-19 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. LA DODGERS are 13-4 UNDER  on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.  Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game which was the case yesterday in a 5-3 loss. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 games following a loss. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League East.Under is 5-1-3 in Dodgers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 141-75 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-26-22 | Lynx +7 v. Sky | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 15 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-26-22 | Phillies v. Padres -148 | 8-5 | Loss | -148 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
The Phillies are off a win yesterday vs the Padres, but the home side has proved to be resilient this season, and are very capable of a bounce back today. Padres are 17-7 in their last 24 games following a loss. With the red hot Darvish on the hill for the Padres we have an edge laying lumber. ( Darvish owns a 3-0 recored along with a 0.82 ERA and a .0592 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill).Â
Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series. SAN DIEGO is 13-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 Sunday games. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to cover |
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06-26-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CEASE is in top form but is must be noted that he is 15-5 OVER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. The White Sox have allowed 35 runs in their L/6 games ( 5.83 RPG) and with the Orioles bats showing some life of late averaging 5 rpg in their L/3 trips to the diamond Im betting they do enough damage here to help this total be eclipsed. Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series. Over is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. BALTIMORE is 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the White Sox Cease. Orioles starter LYLES is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.13 and a WHIP of 1.909. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 44-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-25-22 | Mariners +123 v. Angels | 5-3 | Win | 123 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
 MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 46-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. |
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06-25-22 | Rockies v. Twins -174 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Chris Archer takes to the hill for the Twins. He owns a 1-3 recored with a 3.44 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season, but despite of the losing record is a solid hurler . Archer is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Rockies and gets my support here. After getting upset yesterday the Twins Im betting will primed to bounce back. Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series MINNESOTA is 6-0 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. COLORADO is 17-34 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.  MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 50-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota |
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06-25-22 | Dodgers +140 v. Braves | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Mitch White the dodgers starter today has been solid of late garnering a 1.93 ERA in his L.3 trips to the hill and deserves enough respect here for me to back him vs a talented but inconsistent Atlanta batting order. I know his pitching opponent from the Braves Fried is a quality pitcher, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitchers look bad. Considering my pitcher vs batting order ranking suggest the LAD side matches up well here its an easy decision for me to back the Dodgers on a value money-line offering. FRIED is 2-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.294. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Dodgers are 40-11 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series. Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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06-25-22 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Astros starter Cristian Javier is a good looking hurler , but considering the Yankees own a MLB-best 151 wRC+ in June off of right-handers Im betting they do more than enough offensive damage to help this total get eclipsed. Javier also wons a hefty 5.78 road ERA this season. Meanwhile, Cole the Yanks starter being a top tier hurler, his supporting cast ( bullpen) is banged up and vulnerable. Add to that the Astros bats can make the best of hurlers look bad. Everything points to a higher scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 during game 3 of a series. HOUSTON is 19-8 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg. Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 3 of a series.Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Play OVER |
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06-24-22 | Lightning +163 v. Avalanche | 3-2 | Win | 163 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
Colorado came back from a 2-1 deficit entering the 3rd period of game 4 , but found a way to comeback and tie the game and then win it in OT. I know the Bolts look like toast, but these two time defending champs must not be over looked in their ability to dig deep and keep themselves alive here and take this to game 6. The matchup does not justify this moneyline offering and from a value perspective taking the Lighting is a viable investment option. Lightning are 91-27 in their last 118 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. TAMPA BAY is 13-1 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Play on TB Bolts to win |
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06-24-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Sitting back and being more defensive minded last time out in game 4 cost the bolts a loss. Now with elimination on the line expect the Bolts to be more aggressive offensively and with Colorado on the verge of a Stanley Cup clincher at home Im betting for the Avs to be equally aggressive right out of the gate.  COLORADO L/19  home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season have seen a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 games following a win. Over is 5-1-1 in Avalanche last 7 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1-2 in Avalanche last 7 Stanley Cup Finals games.Over is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 Stanley Cup Finals games. Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 vs. Western Conference. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game are 81-46 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-24-22 | Rockies v. Twins -153 | 1-0 | Loss | -153 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
06-24-22 | Nationals v. Rangers -147 | 2-1 | Loss | -147 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals enter this road game off a 7-0 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles in their last matchup.Note: Nationals are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Rangers have momentum and I expect them to build on back-to-back wins over the Philadelphia Phillies. WASHINGTON is 10-30 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.WASHINGTON is 13-33 (against the money line in night games this season. Nationals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Rangers to win |
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06-24-22 | Pirates v. Rays -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
From a matchup perspective the Rays are the overall superior side and deserve respect here even as big chalk. TAMPA BAY is 14-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 27-6 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons.
Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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06-23-22 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-0, 1.59 ERA) takes to the hill for the Padres on Thursday vs the Phillies. Musgrove is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in four career appearances, three starts, against the Phillies and could easily have a shut down performance vs a formerly hot run Phillies side that has suddenly gone cold as is evident by having lost 3 straight games while only producing 5 runs total in those defeats and in their L/4 have only put 7 runs on the board. Note:All of Musgroves starts have been quality efforts .The righty hurler owns the second-lowest earned run average in the major leagues, along with a 0.924 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. Meanwhile, the Phillies lefty starter Suarez is 3-0 in his four quality starts, during which he issued only four walks in 26 innings. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three games (no starts) against the Padres. The Fathers are hitting just .229 at home this season, and with Tatis and Machado expected out today production may also be an issue. These teams have saw 3 straight lower scoring affairs when these teams mets in May 3-0, 2-0, 3-0 (all three meetings featured a shutout). Im betting on more of the same lackluster action here again today. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 108-52 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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