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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-12-23 | West Virginia v. Houston +3 | 39-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
West Virginia is on a nice 4-0 ATS run but it must be noted they lost the stats battles in their last 2 wins both as underdogs and are being over rated here tonight vs what can be an explosive offensive foe in Houston. Note:CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (W VIRGINIA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-11-23 | Oilers v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Each one of these sides have alot of offensive talent , however in the recent pas these clubs have played fairly tight defensive tilts, as is evident by the the under going 6-1-1 in the L/ 8 meetings with the L/3 meetings in here in Vancouver has all stayed on the low side of the Totals offering. Im betting history repeats itself in this early season matchup. Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Pacific. VANCOUVER is 21-10 UNDER in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with an average of 6 gpg scored. Play on the under |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
I know these two starting pitchers LAs Lynn and Arizonas Pfaadt have some hefty ERAs, but both are still viable pitchers and have strong support from their respective bullpens. PFAADT is 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9. rpg scored. Lynn is 6-1 lifetime against the Diamondbacks with a 2.96 ERA in 14 appearances (12 starts). LA DODGERS are 11-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. ARIZONA is 14-5 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 22-9 UNDER  in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg. Arizona is 2-7-1 UNDER L/10 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 121 games (+12.35 Units / 9% ROI) MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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10-11-23 | UTEP v. Florida International -2 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Florida International has revenge on board for a ugly 40-6 road loss last season to UTEP and Im betting they will be prepared to get pay back here tonight. Florida International have proved they have improved this season already notching 3 wins vs , Uconn , N.Texas and Maine. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 straight up against UTEP since 1992 at home. Utep has lost 4 straight snd are winless in their L/ 5 tries against FBS teams, also going 0-5 against the spread (ATS). UTEP is winless in 3 road tilts this season, losing the last 2 games by 21 or more points. UTEP has lost 11 of their L/12 road games. UTEP is 1-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.UTEP is 0-6 ATS  after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 season. Play on FIU to cover |
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10-10-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 1.35 ERA) will start Game 3 for the Rangers Rangers starter EOVALDI is 19-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2  against the money line in playoff games since 1997. (Team's Record) Os Right-hander Dean Kremer (13-5, 4.12 ERA regular season) gets the ball for the Orioles. Im sure he has butterflies as he prepares for his biggest start of his life.Kremer, lost to Texas on May 27 when he gave up three runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings. Overall, he's 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in three career starts versus the Rangers and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this explosive Rangers offense. TEXAS is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season. TEXAS is 24-12 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. are 8-37 L/5 seasons for a go against  82% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games. are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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10-10-23 | Liberty v. Jacksonville State OVER 56.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Liberty has averaged 36.8 ppg per game on offense this season, and 46.5 ppg on the road in two tilts. Meanwhile Jacksonville State has averaged 30.5 ppg on offense and Im betting they will have to open up here against a Liberty side that can put points on the board in bunches against the best of defenses. It must be noted that Veteran coach Rich Rodriguez is well respected for his offensive prowess throughout his career and Im betting he formulates an aggressive effort here in this tilt. I know some of the current team trends might have many leaning to the under, but Im not one of them. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (LIBERTY/Jacksonville St) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), in conference games are 36-8 OVER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 70.7 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (JACKSONVILLE ST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 22-3 OVER L/31 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with a combined average of 68.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
 The Diamondbacks used a six-run first inning against Dodgers legend Clayton Kershaw in Game 1, scoring five of those runs before making their first out of the evening, to earn an 11-2 victory on Saturday and its now bounce back time for a now wide awake Dodgers team. Dbacks starter Gallen gave up five earned runs in a start seven times this season and two were against the Dodgers, including Aug. 28 at Los Angeles where he allowed  career-worst four homers whike serving up six runs in a 7-4 loss. That came during a three-game sweep by the Dodgers when the D-backs were outscored 23-5. My power rankings suggest Gallen does not matchup well here vs a explosive Dodgers batting order. Dodgers starter Miller faced the D-backs twice this season and went 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 12 innings. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Gallen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.3 which qualifies on this runline offering. LA DODGERS are 17-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.5 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. ARIZONA is 2-15 against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at -3.2 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB. Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 |
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10-09-23 | Phillies v. Braves -147 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Left-hander Max Fried (8-1, 2.55 ERA regular season) will start for the Braves against Philadelphia right-hander Zack Wheeler (1-0, 1.35 this postseason). Fried started once against Philadelphia this season and allowed one run in five innings during a no-decision. Wheeler has pitched well against the Braves this season, but are an explosive offensive side that will eventually figure opposing pitchers out, and that is what Im betting on tonight. ATLANTA is 20-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Wheeler whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. WHEELER is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) FRIED is 24-9 ( against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 22-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) or less (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 91-31 L/5 seams for a 75% conversion rate! MLB- Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 17-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | 10-42 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 31 m | Show | |
The pundits and media love how well RB Christian Mcaffery has played so far for the 49ers. But it must be noted that the Cowboys are 9-2 (.818) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .433. Also the Cowboys defense has allowed scores on 5% of opponent drives in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%. So as this game goes on Im betting on the Cowboys to be hard to score on in what Im aslo betting will be a very competitive affair with the points being golden in the end. DALLAS is 9-1 ATS in October games over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 16-3 ATS in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 3-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. McCarthy is 13-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in all games he has coached since 1992 NFL Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - out-gaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Cowboys are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco. |
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10-08-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -114 | 11-8 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Texas won the opener of the best-of-five series 3-2 over top-seeded Baltimore on Saturday for their third straight post season road win. But Im betting the run ends today. Rangers starter MONTGOMERY is 10-21 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 3-10 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 37-18 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Note: Orioles starter Rodriguez since returning from the minors in July was  5-2 along with a very respectable 2.58 ERA in 13 starts . According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs Montgomery and company. BALTIMORE is 17-6 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 76-29 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are just 12-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4.5 | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 59 m | Show | |
The Eagles are being over rated here today against the Rams. In the Phillies first game of the season, they were out gained handily by the Patriots and still found a way to win, and three of their victories were all one score decisions, including last weeks OT winner. Meanwhile, on the flipside the Rams have registered better offensive and defensive numbers than the Eagles, to this point in the campaign and must be respected here getting points on their own home field. PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.The Eagles have lost 16 of their 25 SU vs NFC West.Â
NFL Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 12-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Rams to cover |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
10-08-23 | Texans +2 v. Falcons | 19-21 | Push | 0 | 89 h 23 m | Show | |
We have an early season, QB alert on board as the Houston Texans’ C.J. Stroud is playing a top tier brand of football under center Entering this game he is off a 280 yard and two touchdown performance last week in a 30-6 thumping of the Pittsburgh Steelers . It must be noted that he is the first QB in league history to average 300 passing yards in the first tilts of the campaign and has given up no interceptions so far . The same cannot be said, about Atlanta QB Desmond Ridder who has seen his team score just 6 and 7 points in their last two trips to the gridiron including last weeks London England loss to the Jags. Now coming off a trip across the pond Im betting the Falcons will be a bit jet lagged and for the offense to continue to plummet. Atlanta is 0-7 ATS L/7 non division games. NFL Home favorites (ATLANTA) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 5-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game are 4-24 ATS L/10 seasons for ago against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texans to cover |
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10-08-23 | Giants +11.5 v. Dolphins | 16-31 | Loss | -112 | 89 h 57 m | Show | |
Giants have been embarrassed a couple times already this season, and are off a ugly home loss on Monday night vs Seattle. It must be noted however, that the Gmen are 6-0 ATS L/6 after a MNF battle. With Miami now hot with a reality blow last week to their egos vs the Bills, Im betting it will be hard for the Fins to get motivated and up off the matt vs a side that hardly brings respect with them. NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992. MIAMI is 1-9 ATS in October games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs of 10.5 or more points (NY GIANTS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 22-2 ATS L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Giants to cover |
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10-08-23 | Panthers +10 v. Lions | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 53 m | Show | |
I know the Panthers have not won this season, but they  held two of their four opponents to season-low yardage and must not be underestimated in this ability to be competitive vs the Lions today. Note: Reich is 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in all games he has coached in his career. Carolina is 16-8 ATS L/24 as underdogs against the NFC North . Detroit is 1-6 ATS L/7 as non division home favs of 3 points or more. Carolina is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series. NFL home favorites (DETROIT) - outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina to cover |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers +4 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 89 h 41 m | Show | |
After last weeks embarrassing loss to the Texans Im betting on a huge rebound here today against the Ravens by a 30-6 count. Pros dont like to be embarrassed and believe or not the culture of grit still remains in the Steel City. PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS in home games off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. The last 4 meetings in this series has seen the Steelers win 3 of those games with all of the tilts being low scoring physical grinders with each game decided by 3 points or less . Im betting nothing changes today. BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 33-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Steelers to cover |
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10-07-23 | Notre Dame -6 v. Louisville | 20-33 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 55 m | Show | |
.I know Louisville is getting alot of accolades this season, but the harsh truth is they are a level or two below the visiting Irish. Louisville in my opinion is not a national contender while Notre Dame is this season which was obvious in how they handled Ohio State, despite of their last second loss. Just one thing, I must mention and that is Im not bashing the Cardinal they are a fine looking speedy team, but the Irish are just a superior side. Also it must be noted that the Cardinal are 1-3 in the stats battles against FBS sides despite of being 5-0 this season. Cards passing D, is also allowing an average 7.4 YPP, which is not a good omen against a arm like QB Hartman and his accomplished WRs.  The Fighting Irish have owned the ACC in the recent past from a betting perspective going a perfect 10-0 SUATS L/10  and are 6-0 SUATS with HC Marcus Freeman on the sidelines with the average winning ppg diff clicking in at +19.5 PPG. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here and for the Iriish to come out of this with a conclusive victory and more importantly a cover. CFB home team (LOUISVILLE) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 5 through 9 are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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10-07-23 | Old Dominion v. Southern Miss -125 | 17-13 | Loss | -125 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these sides have had problems early this season and both are at 1-3 overall.Ole Dominion has over achieved when looking at their positive point spread work, while Southern Miss has failed to live up to some experts projections. Both are obviously desperate for a win, but when looking at my power rankings its obvious to me the home side has the slight edge based on some factors that may not come across in the msm sports media statistical analysis. After two back and forth tilts that Old Dominion lost but covered will now be in a huge letdown situation with this being their 2nd straight road tilt. With a big game against App State up next I expect Old Dominion to be in a vulnerable spot . OLD DOMINION is 2-10 ATS L/12 after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more . CFB road team vs. the money line (OLD DOMINION) - terrible ball control team, 28 or less minutes TOP, 16 or less first downs per game, after being controlled in time of possession 3 straight games( 27 or less min) are 1-25 L/26 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (OLD DOMINION) - after beating the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games are 1-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 96% go against conversion rate. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 30-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate! Play on Southern Miss to cover |
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10-07-23 | Phillies +184 v. Braves | 3-0 | Win | 184 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Phillies starter SUAREZ is 6-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Suarez, has previously faced this Atlanta batting order in the postseason, having allowed one run on three hits in 3 1/3 innings of a no-decision in Game 1 of the 2022 NLDS. He posted a 2-0 record with a 1.23 ERA and a save in five appearances (three starts) during the postseason and I m backing him today. Note:Suarez allowed just one run on four hits and struck out seven over six innings in a no-decision against Atlanta on June 20. On the flipside I know Atlantas starter Strider was 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four starts this season against the Phillies , but all good and bad runs must come to an end. ATLANTA is 5-12 against the money line in home games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against the money line in road games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6  against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Philadelphia |
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10-07-23 | Twins +137 v. Astros | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 57 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Justin Verlander (13-8) is the starter in game 1 of this series for the Houston Astros. The Minnesota Twins have yet to name a starting pitcher for this tilt. Houston, is rested but rusty after getting a bye in the first round as they smash and grabbed the AL West from the Rangers on the final day of the regular season. Before sweeping their last three tilts, the Astros were in a funk recording a sub par 13-14 record over their final 27 games any may.not be the perennial favorite vs the Twins. I know the the Astros are the defending World Series champions , so they get alot of respect, but here in game 1 they look vulnerable considering their late season form. It must also be noted that the Twins have a deep starting five -quality starters (Pablo Lopez, Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, Kenta Maeda) that can definitely keep them in this series. Also from. a offensive perspective Minnesota had the league’s highest OPS over the month of September and are capable of keeping up with the Astros vaunted attack. We have to remember that Minny took 4 of 6 from the astros this season and are viable underdogs here in game 1. The Twins are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been listed as underdogs in their last 10 trips to the diamonds. This year, Minnesota has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.  HOUSTON is 4-9 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. HOUSTON is 13-22 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 52-27 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-07-23 | Washington State +3.5 v. UCLA | 17-25 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 54 m | Show | |
The Cougars star  junior quarterback Cam Ward is really something to watch and must be respected . He has 14 TDs and no interceptions and leads the nations 2nd best offensive passing attack. The Cougars a team averaging 45 points per game, and are live dogs here in my betting opinion vs a UCLA side that does not look as fluid or a consistent as the Cougars. Note: Kelly is 4-12 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of UCLA . Advantage Washington State Washington States football program is 17-0 ATS L/17 in games following a SU underdog victory  . CFB home team (UCLA) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 5 through 9 are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA) - solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 4 straight games are 6-26 L/30 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB toad underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (440 or more YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 35-12 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington State to cover |
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10-07-23 | Central Michigan v. Buffalo +3 | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 69 h 39 m | Show | |
Buffalo has momentum after garnering a road win in OT last time out at Akron. BUFFALO is 16-6 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival. Meanwhile, Central Michigan despite of a 3-2 record this season, has been far from dominant with all 3 of their wins ending in 4 point or less margin differentials. Considering the Chips are 0-7 ATS L/7 as favs vs sub .500 sides like the Bulls it will not be a difficult proposition for me to take points here with the home side. C MICHIGAN is also just 1-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma +6.5 v. Texas | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 68 h 38 m | Show | |
Last season the Longhorns smashed the the Sooners by a 49-0 count and now Oklahoma has big time revenge on board. It must be noted 5-0 teams like Texas going against an avenging foe are just 23-43-2 ATS since 1980. Texas is also 0-9 ATS L/9 on the road vs conference side with revenge like the Sooners. The Longhorns are  1-5 SU all time when in. a battle of undefeated teams.  TEXAS is 9-22 ATS L/31 in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins. According to my projections these teams are evenly matched thus getting this many points is a blessing in disguise. I know  Mathew McConaughey might disagree but Im sticking to my guns here and taking the points with the Sooners at the Cotton Bowl today. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after 3 straight wins by 17 or more points are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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10-06-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois -3 | 20-7 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 13 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog now is up an arms against the viability of this Illinois team after a gutless effort against Purdue last time out in a ugly 44-10 loss as road chalk. HC Bret Bielema is now officially on the hot seat after being the darling of the Illinois fan base coming to this season. I know alot of ppl have lost faith in Illini, but Im going to actually back them against a Nebraska program that just cant get over the hump and maybe even more lacking in the respect category. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the first half of the season are just 42-1 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +22.5 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEBRASKA) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-62 L/10 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate with the qverqge ppg diff clicking in at -19.9 which easily qualifies in this ATS offering. Play on Illinois to cover |
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10-05-23 | Bears +7 v. Commanders | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 59 m | Show | |
 Washingtons issues right now are on defense where they have allowed 33, 37, 34 points in their L/3 games. Also the Commanders are now in an emotional  letdown spot after playing all out football against the Eagles last time out before eventually losing in OT. I know the bad news Bears are really reeling, but after a 0-4 start will desperate for a win and in desperation mode have an edge vs a vulnerable Commanders side . WASHINGTON is 16-32 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. NFL Home favorites (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss, in the first half of the season are 25-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 55-24 ATS L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bears to cover |
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10-04-23 | Florida International v. New Mexico State OVER 49.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 53 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score that will be in low to mid 50s, making this Totals offer vulnerable .New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI) New Mexico State solid run game should really pile up the yards against an FIU defense that ranks 98th in Stuff Rate and 53rd in Defensive Rushing Plays Explosiveness. The Aggies coming in to their last game at Hawaii were averaging 33 points per game and 4.1 Points per Opportunity , but very high winds gave their offense some problems in that tilt, but here this week back at home should be ready to roll. Meanwhile, the Panthers have recorded one-score victories over Maine, North Texas, and UConn and must not be under estimated in their ability to fire back offensively here on the road in Las Cruces.  I know these teams have played a slow pace so far, but Im betting the Aggies ability to put points on the board via their run game will force the FIU to up the tempo and for total to be eclipsed. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 35-9 OVER L/30 season's for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 143 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The Phillies Im betting get the series sweep when they host the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of a wild-card series on Wednesday. Philadelphia took the opener of the best-of-three set 4-1 on Tuesday and my projections make them strong favs for a convincing victory tonight. My power rankings suggest Braxton Garrett, a f hurler who has never pitched in the playoffs and went 9-7 with a 3.66 ERA in 31 games (30 starts) this season does not matchup well here vs this explosive Phillies batting order. In yesterdays win every Philadelphia player in the starting lineup had at least one hit of the team's 11 total hits. Rinse and repeat here today. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), in October games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline |
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10-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -128 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Blue Jays right-hander Jose Berrios will take the mound in Game 2. He went 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 32 starts this season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up favorably vs Minnesotas batting order. Meanwhile, Gray the Twins starter finished strong down the stretch, recording a stingy 1.54 ERA in his final seven starts of the regular season. He walked five and struck out 36 in 41 innings and gets my support here. TORONTO is 6-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -105 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a record of 67-44, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season and once again according to my own projections have the edge in this tilt vs the Blue Jays. It must be noted despite of the talent the Jays have in their batting order they have for the most part failed to live up to expectations and are lucky to be in this position as their offense has a collective .256 batting average (just barely above the Mendoza line), and rank seventh in the league with 1422 total hits and 14th in MLB with 746 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks 16th in home runs (188) in all of MLB. Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 15-22 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.500.  MINNESOTA is 23-5 against the money line in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.Â
MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 8-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Rangers v. Rays -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
The Rays have entered the game as favorites 130 times this season and won 86, or 66.2%, of those games and my projections estimate they deserve their fav status here today vs a Rangers side, that has been highly inconsistent since the all star break. Note: Glasnow the Rays right-hander starter today is off five scoreless innings while surrendering just two hits.In 21 games this season, he has put up an ERA of 3.60, with 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .209 against him and he once again looks to help his team find the W column in the opening game of this post season tilt. I know the Rangers can light up the scoreboard when in form, but it must be noted that the Rays are among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 860 total runs this season. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 75-28 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 11-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants +1.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The Giants need a won here desperately as after tonight's game they go against, Dolphins and Bills in successive weeks. I know NYG has a some issues with key NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. NY GIANTS are 18-5 ATS L/23 after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Carroll is 15-25 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less as the coach of SEATTLE NFL Underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - terrible passing team (5.3 or less PY/Att.) against a horrible passing defense (7.3 or more PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 23-4 L/40 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY GIANTS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 39-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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10-01-23 | Raiders +5.5 v. Chargers | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 17 m | Show | |
Raiders QB Garoppolo may not start this week, but one thing is for sure he is not performing optimally right now and if hes replaced I dont believe the it will be a difference maker. Despite of this QB situation with Vegas, I do believe they matchup well here overall vs a San Diego Chargers side that played hard last week in Minnesota for their first win of the season, and is now in an emotional letdown situation . Chargers QB Herbert finished 40-of-47 for a career-high 405 yards and three touchdowns against the Vikings, but now regression must be expected. Bottom line : Considering the QB situation for Vegas I expect star RB Jacobs who rushed for a league-leading 1,653 yards and scored 12 touchdowns last season, averaging 4.9 yards a carry to be key here in keeping the Raiders on the edge of victory today. It must be noted that the Chargers have looked sub par on on defense this season,  ranking 31st in the NFL in total defense (450.7 ypg allowed) and 32nd in passing defense (337.0 ypg allowed). So even if Hoyer or the rookie Aidan O'Connell starts the Chargers sub par secondary should seal their fate with Jacobs setting up the pass with his legs. A CHARGERS are 14-28 ATS (L/42 in home games after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. NFL Home teams (LA CHARGERS) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Raiders to cover |
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10-01-23 | Liberty -5 v. Sun | 87-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Liberty are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Liberty are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.NEW YORK is 17-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS in road games after 4 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.  WNBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a good team (60% to 75%) after 15 or more games are 33-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors withnthe average ppg diff clicking at +9.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Liberty |
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10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -2.5 | 20-48 | Win | 100 | 138 h 1 m | Show | |
10-01-23 | Commanders +8 v. Eagles | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 89 h 19 m | Show | |
Philadelphia got blasted last season in embarrassing fashion in a Monday Night home loss as double-digit favs to the Commanders last season and now want revenge. However, like Mick Jagger of the iconic Rolling stones likes to say ' you don't always get what you want. With that said, Im betting on another gritty performance from a never say die group of commodores in what will be a much closer game the the lines-makers are estimating. Washington HC Rivera is 21-9 ATS L/30 vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached. NFL team (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 47-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-01-23 | Bengals v. Titans +2.5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 89 h 8 m | Show | |
Bengals are on short rest after a grinding and physical battle on Monday night vs the Rams, and are not 100% at the quarter back position with Joe Burrows playing banged up with a bad ankle. Here against a very strong defensive Titans front the Bengals Im betting have a hard time being consistent offensively. Advantage Titans. TENNESSEE is 11-3 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 8-1 ATS in October games over the last 3 seasons.TENNESSEE is 16-5 ATS  in home games after scoring 9 points or less last game. NFL Road teams vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - in a game involving two poor rushing teams (70-95 RY/game), after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 6-21 L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-01-23 | Vikings -4 v. Panthers | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 78 h 31 m | Show | |
Carolina despite of a top tier offense, are now in desperation mode as they search for their first victory of the season . Their issues have come mostly because of turnovers , but that should rectify itself as the season progresses. Luckily for the Vikes they take on a 0-3 Carolina side that is less talented and even more inept as is evident by -9 ppg diff on the season. Im betting on  quarterback Kirk Cousins, who enters Week 4 with a league-leading 1,075 passing yards to really light things up here this Sunday as the Vikings come away with a convincing victory. CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS n home games vs. sub par punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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10-01-23 | Rams +1 v. Colts | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 77 h 47 m | Show | |
The Colts offense is less than spectacular and that corresponds to  QB Gardner Minshew’s record of 2-10 SU in his L/12 trips to the gridiron. I know the Indy thanks to some strong D and fine FG kicking found a way past the Ravens last week for their 2nd straight win , but it must be noted that the Colts despite of their decent run have been outgained in each of their games this season. . It must also be noted that the Colts are  0-8-1 ATS at home when coming off consecutive SUATS victories, . Add to that Sean McVay is 5-0 ATS when coming off a loss in his career, against opposition coming off a SU underdog victory. I like the Rams coaching their overall team chemistry especially Stafford at QB and feel strongly they come out of here with a cover this Sunday. NFL Road teams (LA RAMS) - after playing their last game on the road, in the first month of the season are 34-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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10-01-23 | Falcons v. Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 72 h 22 m | Show | |
After allowing 37 points in. a loss vs Houston last week you can bet this Jacksonville coaching staff went to work here to motivate their embarrassed players into having a much better and concentrated effort this Sunday. It must also be noted that after scoring just nine points in a 17-9 loss to Kansas City, Jacksonville failed to score in the first half last week and its obvious their offense is just not clicking . Thats   evident by  quarterback Trevor Lawrences one touchdown pass record in his last two games. Here against a Flacons side, that have been solid defensively I just cant see things getting much better from a production standpoint. On the flipside the Flacons depend greatly on their ground attack to keep the pressure of their young QB Ridder who is in his 2nd season. With that said, Im betting on alot of clock being eaten up here by the Falcons via the run game and for a much better effort from Jacksonville defensively to help us stay under the number here this week in London. Jacksonville is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons.  Games played at WEMBLEY STADIUM  have gone a perfect 6-0 UNDER  in the last L/5 seasons, with an average of only 35.3 combined PPG going up on the scoreboard. Play on the under |
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10-01-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Jaguars | 7-23 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence,  has just one touchdown pass in the last two games and its obvious this team is in a funk, and according to my power rankings fade material in this current form vs a solid Falcons D. Here in a game against and Atlanta side built to run the ball, Im betting a grinding clock will keep the Jags out of tempo on offense and cause more problems for them. What Im saying is this is not a good matchup for the Jags. Note:JACKSONVILLE is 5-16 ATS against NFC South division opponents since 1992 and is 1-9 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta owns a 2-0 ATS record  in the international series and have covered their L/ 6 ATS vs the Jags. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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09-30-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles -125 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Orioles (100-60) had won five in a row before losing 3-0 on Friday, a night after they clinched the American League East title with a 2-0 victory over the Red Sox. They were obviously in a emotional letdown situation in that game , and will be primed to get the win here as they do not want to enter the play offs in a losing mode.QUOTE:Â "It was a big night for us (Thursday) night, and we just didn't play our best baseball (on Friday), and those things happen," Hyde said. "Hopefully, we'll rebound and play a better game." END QUOTE Baltimores starter GIBSON is 15-6Â against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 22-11Â against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLBÂ Road teams (BOSTON) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 16-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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09-30-23 | East Carolina v. Rice -145 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 3 m | Show | |
Rice lost last week 42-29 to South Florida but QB JT Daniels threw for 491 of the Owls’ 492 total yards and is a dangerous man under center. Considering E.Carolinas D was sliced and diced by all three FBS sides they played this season, for 30,31, 43 points respectively including giving up a whopping 702 combined yards passing in those games, Im betting Rices star QB rockn rolls his team to victory here at home. Bloomgren is 6-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of RICE. RICE is 26-10 ATS in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). RICE is 17-4 ATS L/21 in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (RICE) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the first half of the season are 38-1 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +23.2 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Rice to win |
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09-30-23 | Ball State v. Western Michigan | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 127 h 33 m | Show | |
Im betting Western Michigans Jalen Buckley, who has registered 4 TDS already this season while averaging 125 YPG will be key to the Broncos finding the win column. Considering Ball State just cant move the ball inconsistently and constantly making bad reads on offense as is evident by a 5 interceptions and just 3 TDs.   Ball State is losing the stats battles an average of 172 YPG including allowing a whopping 40 or more points in their 3 ugly losses. CFB  Road underdogs vs. the money line (BALL ST) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-60 L/10 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Michigan |
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09-30-23 | Houston v. Texas Tech -8 | 28-49 | Win | 100 | 80 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas Tech lost West Virginia last time out on the road by a 20-14 count and will now be in bounce back mode at home here today. The Raiders are just 1-3 this season, but in a specific outing against top 10 Oregon they looked like they matched up well and only lost by a 38-30 count and must be respected here against a defensively deficient Houston side that has already lost to Rice and TCU while allowing 43 and 36 points respectively. TEXAS TECH is 6-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.7 . CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (Texas Tech) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the first half of the season are 38-1 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +23.2 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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09-30-23 | South Florida v. Navy -3 | 44-30 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 10 m | Show | |
South Floridas offensive line is horrendous already allowing 19 sacks and that will be their downfall today vs a physical Navy front 7. On the flip-side the Middies Im betting will plough through the Bulls defense via their vaunted one way ground attack. Also after a extra week of rest and now playing at home Im betting we see Navy at their very best.
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09-30-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-5 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays can clinch a wild-card spot and win their three-game series versus the visiting Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay already has a wild card spot in the play offs and now just want to make sure their lineup is healthy entering the post season. Meanwhile, the Jays still need to guarantee their post season appearance with a victory and will be ready to play all out baseball to get there. The Blue Jays are scheduled to start left-hander Hyun Jin Ryu (3-3, 3.31 ERA) on Saturday. The Rays are scheduled to open with right-handed reliever Shawn Armstrong (1-0, 1.41 ERA). In 18 career relief outings against Toronto, he is 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA. The Blue Jays got to him for two runs on four hits in just one-third of an inning on Sept. 23 and according to my pitcher vs batting order match up well against him. This will be a bullpen game for the Rays, and players will be rested so the advantage goes to the more motivated side. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-30-23 | UL-Lafayette v. Minnesota -12 | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 4 m | Show | |
Blowing a 31-10 lead in the fourth quarter to a Northwestern program that was on the ropes is arguably the worst loss of head coach P.J. Fleck's time in Minnesota. This kind of embarrassing loss will have Fleck prepared to coach a big game against a lower tier side. Getting off the hot seat is of prime importance and getting the Gopher fans to lay down their pitchforks I believe Fleck has the personnel to get it done this week in convincing fashion after last weeks gutless sleepy effort. Note: UL Lafayette has allowed an average of 36 ppg so far this season in what looks to be a wide open type of game plan. Im betting that wont work well against this power 5 opponent. LA LAFAYETTE is 0-9 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. (they beat Mac side Buffalo last week in a 45-38 shootout) Regression expected. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (Minnesota ) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the first half of the season are 38-1 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +23.2 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-30-23 | Penn State -27 v. Northwestern | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 68 h 6 m | Show | |
Penn State is the real deal and in my opinion a true national contender, and my thought s were reinforced after watching them slam dunk Iowa 31-0. With that said, Im betting they will be wide awake here knowing their opponent Northwestern came back form a 31-10 deficit in the 4th quarter last time out for a miraculous 34-31 win vs Minnesota. From a talent and coaching perspective this line does not do the discrepancies justice, and laying this may points is not a problem for me. Note: Penn State when coming off consecutive SUATS victories , is 13-0-1 ATS in conference tilts. Also NW is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS after a SU victory. Play on Penn State to cover |
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09-30-23 | Florida v. Kentucky -1 | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 65 h 3 m | Show | |
Im betting Kentucky has finally arrived as a SEC side to be feared and not because of their talent but their grit . I know Florida has the bigger brand name and following, but the Wildcats proved recently they can handle the Gators as was evident last season when they took out the Gators on the road and also ended a 14 game home losing streak in this series back in 2021. FLORIDA is 2-10 ATS  off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats defense has forced multiple takeaways in three of the four tilts and has been solid against the run and hasn’t allowed anyone to record 100 yards on the ground. Florida Im betting will be forced to be more one dimensional and despite of some good results this season, are in for a more formidable experience here today against a gritty Kentucky football program that plays with pride and passion. KENTUCKY is 14-4 ATS in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (KENTUCKY) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 17 or more points/game, after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Kentucky Wildcats |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +2.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 62 h 42 m | Show | |
Both BYU and Cincinnati are off losses last week, but Im betting the Bearcats wont be able to bounce back as easily as they were physically smothered and battered by the Oklahoma D, only scoring 6 points and when nearing the red zone looked completely lost. In the Cougars loss to Kansas BYU ran more plays for more yards than the Jayhawks but turnovers proverbially killed them. This week in this matchup Im betting on a BYU D, that has looked good against the run to slow down the Beracats attack, and on the flipside for the potent Cougars passing attack to do well vs a Cincinnati D, that does better against the run than the pass. I know BYU has had a tremendous amount of trouble running the ball, but their passing attack behind Slovis has been explosive and that Im betting will be key to them getting the cover here at home. CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons CFB road team vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-29-23 | Aces -6 v. Wings | 64-61 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Aces enter this game on a 8 game win streak, and are showing complete dominance over their opponents, and over a recent 5 game span have outscored their opposition by an average of 17.2 ppg and by the first two games of this series vs Dallas by 14 and 7 points respectively. Dallas did play better last time out, but that will make the Aces all that more aware, and concentrated. Note:LAS VEGAS is 13-4 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicked in at 13.9. Play on Vegas to cover |
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09-29-23 | Utah v. Oregon State -160 | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 63 h 32 m | Show | |
Oregon State is off a road loss to Washington State last time out, but are now in a bounce back mode as they take on one of the favorites to win the PAC 12 championship this season (Utah). Oregon State has been a strong bet at home recently especially against conference opposition  as is evident by their 9-0 ATS record as hosts vs PAC 12 brethren over the last 3 seasons. OREGON ST is also 8-0 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. After sustaining a lopsided 42-16 loss last season on the road to the Utes a revenge scenario will have this Beavers side ready to deliver pay back in merciless fashion this Thursday night on home turf. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (OREGON ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the first half of the season are 38-1 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +23.2 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Oregon State to cover/win |
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09-29-23 | Louisville v. NC State +3.5 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show | |
Cardinal getting a little bit to much respect here as they have failed to cover both road games this season. Meanwhile, NC State 3-1 has yet to really get untracked behind QB transfer from Virginia Brennan Armstrong who according to my QB matchup ratings matches up well vs this Louisville secondary. Advantage to the home underdog. LOUISVILLE is 27-44 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NC STATE) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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09-29-23 | Guardians -105 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland starter QUANTRILL is 11-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 18-8  against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Quantrill threw six shutout innings at Detroit in a vwin on April 19. He is 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA in nine career outings against the Tigers, including six starts Meanwhile, Left-hander Joey Wentz (3-12, 6.45 ERA) will start the series opener for Detroit. He pitched well against the Guardians this season in two starts, but Im betting the Guardians will have him figured out in the third starts a charm scenario. This baseball group from Motown has been playing better of late, but that has not been a recipe for success this season as DETROIT is 4-13 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. DETROIT is 13-25 against the money line in home games in night games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 57-18 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), playing on Friday are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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09-28-23 | Temple v. Tulsa OVER 55.5 | 26-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Temple according to my power rankings is improving , and tonight I expect Owls QB Warner to light up a ugly looking Tulsa secondary for some decent production. I expect most of Qwls offense to come through the air, as their run offense has been quiet to say the least as evident by ranking 120th in the nation in rushing success . Defensively, Temple has some issues ranking   105th in Defensive Finishing Drives and 126th in Havoc .With that said Im betting on Tulsas run heavy offense to really do some damage here vs a Temple side that ranks 67th in Rushing Success Rate Allowed and 90th in Rushing PPA. Both sides should see some explosive offensve production all be it in two different ways, but the bottom line remains intact and that is a higher socring game than the linesmakers totals offering suggests. My projections estimate both sides will score more than 28 points.TEMPLE is 27-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points with the combined average score clicking in at 77.8 ppg.TULSA is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 72.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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09-27-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockies when playing at home, area dangerous underdog opponent. Coors Field is a wild card environment, and that was evident when Colorado took game one of this series as close +200 underdogs. Im once again betting on the spoilers giving the Dodgers all they can handle today making the runline a viable investment option. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 11-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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09-26-23 | Astros +131 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Astros starter JAVIER is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) George Kirby the Mariners starter has slowed considerably of late, after a decent campaign, as is evident by a 5.16 ERA in his L/3 starts. With Houston averaging 5.8 rpg on the road this season, the Astros look like viable bets here today behind Javier going against Kirby. Both bullpens are viable, so the staring p[itching and offensive production considerations are what have me on the Astros. HOUSTON is 33-14 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. SEATTLE is 8-14 against the money line in September games this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-26-23 | Sun v. Liberty -9 | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Sun are fourth in the WNBA in points scored (82.7 per game) and best in points allowed (79).The Sun make 7.2 3-pointers per game and shoot 36% from beyond the arc, ranking sixth and fourth, respectively, in the league.In 2023 the Sun are second-best in the league in 3-pointers conceded (6.7 per game) and best in defensive 3-point percentage (32.1%) which matches up well against a three point centric Liberty offense. Sun are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.Sun are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Sun are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Liberty have been propelled by their explosive offense,  ranking second-best in the WNBA by scoring 89.2 points per game. They rank fourth in the league in points allowed (80.6 per contest). The Liberty average 7.5 three-pointers conceded per game, and are fifth in the WNBA. They are allowing a 34.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks fifth in the league. Which is not a good omen for them covering vs a a strong 3 point D. New York has beaten the spread just 19 times in 41 games despite of a strong w/L record. As 9.5-point favorites or more, the Liberty are a sub .500 9-12 ATS. In closing it will be the Sun out side D, that will be the difference maker. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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09-26-23 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox +1.5 | 15-4 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
 The Diamondbacks will give the ball to right-hander Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81 ERA).  Davies has not pitched more than four innings in any of his past three starts. His ERA was 7.11 on June 18, and it has not gone below 6.37 since then. He is fade material in his current form, and is being over rated here on this RL line offering. In two career starts against the White Sox, Davies is 0-1 with a 10.57 ERA. He gave up nine runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings during those tilts. I know the White Sox Urena has not pitched much better, but it must be noted that the Dbacks are  0-6  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11 ) against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or more over his last 10 starts are 63-17 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox on the +1.5 runline |
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09-26-23 | Cubs v. Braves -130 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup in the series opener features Atlanta right-hander Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) against Chicago lefty Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00). Steele has been beaten around  in his last two outings, giving up six runs in each start. He lasted only three innings and allowed six runs on eight hits in his most recent start last Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates and is fade material here in his current form.  ATLANTA is 24-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Steele. CHICAGO CUBS are 3-10 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents this season MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 93-31 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-25-23 | Rams +2 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Bengals QB Joe Burrow is not 100% after he aggravated his right calf strain in Sunday's 27-24 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. His calf has not been 100% since training camp started. Burrow did not practice Thursday and was expected to practice Monday morning but even if he plays will not be as mobile as he needs to be against aggressive groups of Rams. Meanwhile, Rams star QB Stafford recently passed Peyton Manning for the third-most passing yards by a player in his first 200 regular-season games (52,723 yards in 193 games). Rams won their first game of the season, but lost to their nemesis last week the Niners. Stafford completed 34 of 55 passes for 307 yards and is primed to come back strong this week vs what has looked like a unstable Bengals secondary so far this season. I know the Bengals are desperate for a win, but without a healthy Burrows at the helm of the offense that task will not be an easy one. NFL Home favorites (CINCINNATI) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, in the first half of the season are 34-83 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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09-24-23 | Bears +13 v. Chiefs | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 26 m | Show | |
Bears are not a respected team, and after 12 straight losses are a side that is not getting much respect from the linesmakers against what is obviously a far superior side the KC Chiefs. The Bears are not expected to be competitive this week, but I think few are considering that the Chiefs may not be very motivated while the opposite will hold true for a Bears group playing loose and with nothing to lose. With that said Im willing to take the DD point spread in complete contrarian action. KANSAS CITY is 0-8 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - after playing their last game on the road, in the first month of the season are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Bears have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to KC. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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09-24-23 | Panthers +6 v. Seahawks | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 24 m | Show | |
Im not buying in on a Seattle resurgence, and this week against Carolina Im betting on an emotional letdown scenario to hamper the home side. Last week the Seahawks, grabbed a overtime victory against the Detroit Lions in a heart pumping affair. Meanwhile, the Panthers were edged out by a FG at home against the New Orleans Saints in prime time Monday night action. I myself see major upward momentum and confidence building in Carolina, Note: Seahawks are 0-4 ATS L4  vs the NFC South,  Also I know Carolina rookie quarterback Bryce Young, the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL draft in April, is banged up and didn't participate in Wednesday's walk-through practice because of an ankle injury and is questionable to play against the Seahawks (1-1) But Veteran Andy Dalton is a more than capable starter for the Panthers and could easily make the Panthers offense more cohesive. SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 11-39 ATS since 1983 for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 41.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 77 h 50 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of taking part in some high scoring affairs as is evident by the L/7 meetings eclipsing the total with a combined average of 52.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. I know Carolinas offense has not looked all that explosive out of the gate this season, but they  do go against a Seattle side that is off a 37-31 slugfest last time out and that also allowed 30 points in a loss to the Rams in week 1 play. With that said, my projections estimate both these sides will score 21 plus points. SEATTLE is 10-0 OVER  when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Carroll is 31-17 OVER after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of SEATTLE NFL team against the total (SEATTLE) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 26-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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09-24-23 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 10.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 13-12 slugfest Im betting on immediate offensive regression here in a game with huge post season implications for the Reds. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 21-8 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 55-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play under |
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09-24-23 | Pirates +140 v. Reds | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh (74-81) rallied from a 9-0 deficit on Saturday, putting up 13 consecutive runs from the fourth into the eighth inning in a wild, 13-12 final and have momentum coming into this tilt in the spoilers role. Note: Reds starter Brandon Williamson (4-5, 4.56 ERA) will start Sunday . The rookie left-hander has not posted a win since striking out nine over 6 2/3 innings against Miami on Aug. 7 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. CINCINNATI is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.  is 1-8 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Pirates to win |
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09-24-23 | Broncos +6.5 v. Dolphins | 20-70 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami has started their season at 2-0 while their opponents the Denver Broncos have lost their first two games but by a combined 3 points. Denver has consistently been competitive but just cant get over the hump for a W, but when getting points must respected from. a ATS perspective. Denver has lost 9 straight games where it had the lead at half time. Quote "As we've learned the past few years, almost every game is one score -- seven points, three points," Broncos center Lloyd Cushenberry III said. Quote "We need to finish those games 'cause we've lost too many over the past four years that I've been here." end quote. Today Im betting new HC Sean Payton finds a way to stay in this game here in Miami against a Fins side, that is coming home after two hard fought affairs, vs the Chargers and Patriots and could easily be in a emotional letdown situation this week. Its not an easy proposition to keep your energy levels up as a team for three straight games in the ultra physical NFL. Note: HC Payton  24-6-2 ATS in his NFL career against sides coming off a victory. MIAMI is 47-22 ATS (+22.8 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992. Play on Denver Broncos to cover |
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09-24-23 | Texans +9.5 v. Jaguars | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 78 h 38 m | Show | |
Houston has owned the Jags in previous meetings here in Jacksonville Florida winning  15 of their L/18 visits here SU and have cashed  5 of their L/6 SU/ATS as a underdog in this series overall. I know  Houston has lost both their games so far this season, but they did win the stats war in both games and must not be underestimated in their ability to get the job done here again. I know The Jags smashed the host Texans 31-3 in Week 17 of last season to end a nine-game losing streak against Houston, but now with big time revenge on board and the desperation of needing a victory Im betting on a big time effort from the visitors. Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence has never won at home as a NFL favorite going 0-4 ATS while losing 3 of 4 SU. It must also be noted that Jacksonville is 1-14 ATS as a favorite if they were a underdog in their last game. JACKSONVILLE is 22-38 ATS L/60 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. NFL Home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, in the first half of the season are 34-83 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Texans to cover |
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09-24-23 | Patriots -145 v. Jets | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 77 h 35 m | Show | |
The Patriots have beaten the Jets 14 straight times and after going down 0-2 already are desperate for a win , which is unfortunate for QB Zach Wilson and his NY Jets. Considering  Bill Belichick 18-3 SU L/21 in games when coming off back to back losses Im betting the Pats winning streak against the Jets remains intact. Also it must be noted without Aaron Rodgers under center for the Jets they will have major problems moving the ball. Play on New England to win |
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09-24-23 | Chargers +1.5 v. Vikings | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 46 m | Show | |
I like the Chargers here this week despite of some early season ugly defensive performances especially in the secondary. . As result of their defensive issues they are 0-2 with both losses coming via FG or less margin of defeat,  This a very good Chargers team and their record is not indicative their true talents  On the flipside, Ive watched the Vikings and they are a team that is set for major regression, both on offense and defense, and thanks to a -6 turnover margin are side that does not deserve respect here even at home, especially against an extremely hungry team that is much deeper in my opinion. NFL Road teams (LA CHARGERS) - after playing their last game on the road, in the first month of the season are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (LA CHARGERS) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 24-5 ATS since 1983 for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chargers to cover |
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09-23-23 | Central Florida v. Kansas State -3.5 | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 57 h 21 m | Show | |
KState lost at Missouri last time out as favs and will now be very prepared to bounce back at home this week vs visiting UCF. Note: KANSAS ST is 8-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS STATE is also 11-2 ATS when coming off their first loss of the season. UCF against their only FBS opponent this season lost to Boise State by a 18-16 count, and things look to be alot more tougher this week against a motivated opponent looking to get back into the win column. UCF is 0-7 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. (UCF beat up on a lower tier Villanova side last week by a 48-14 count ) CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the first half of the season are 36-1 L/5 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking at +23.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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09-23-23 | Sam Houston State +12.5 v. Houston | 7-38 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 25 m | Show | |
What stands out here for me when I decided to take the points is Sam Houstons D, which held their first two opponents to under 260 yards while holding BYU and Air Force to 14 and 13 respectively. With the Cougars off a TCU battle, and now looking ahead the Bearkats have a team that could find their motivational skills tested . Houston has lost the stats battle in all 3 games this season , and just dont look all that cohesive vs a upstart that will rattle them physically. Note: Sam Houston is 2-0 ATS this season. HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Sam Houston to cover |
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09-23-23 | Arkansas +18 v. LSU | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 11 m | Show | |
Wow what an embarrassment last week for the Razorbacks , at home vs BYU. Talk about falling a sleep at the proverbial wheel. The reason why I say this is that the Hogs owned the stats battle, outing gaining the Cougars by a 424-281 margin. Now going against a team that they were probably looking ahead in a revenger for last season loss against LSU (LSU beat Arkansas 13-10), I expect  Sam Pittman who has only failed in one of  8 ATS as is visitor with revenge to get the job done here . Note: Arkansas is also  7-1-1 ATS on the road with conference revenge on board. .  : LSU is 0-8-1 ATS L/9 when favored by 13 or more points in conference home openers. . Play on Arkansas to cover |
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09-23-23 | Brewers -116 v. Marlins | 4-5 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Woodruff in limited action has been brilliant this season -- 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA. In  his past five starts, Woodruff is 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA and in three career starts against the Marlins, he is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Rinse and repeat here vs a Marlins side that is slumping as is evident by three losses in their past four games. They also have lost four of five matchups with the Brewers over the past two weeks and Im betting on them adding to those negative numbers today. MILWAUKEE is 22-15 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 38-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIAMI is 16-37 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 53-109 L/26 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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09-23-23 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -165 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 23 m | Show | |
09-23-23 | BYU v. Kansas OVER 54.5 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
Jayhawks are the nation’s top-ranked team overall in returning production, and are currently outgunning their opponents this season by an average +231 net YPG and averaging 37 plus points per game on the season. Meanwhile, BYU in back to back games have scored 38 and 41 points and thanks to not being able to run the ball consistently have been firing away down field via their passing game. Today Im betting on a back and forth all guns blazing tilt with the combined average score eclipsing this number. My projections estimate both sides will score 28 plus points. KANSAS is 40-5 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points with a combined average of 77.5 ppg scored. .BYU is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. BYU is 9-0 OVER when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored. Leipold is 10-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached with a combined average of 76.4 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 41-16 OVER L/31 seasons. Play over |
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09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -6.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 3 m | Show | |
Its obviously taking some time to get this version of the Crimson Tide to tho jell, but you can bet HC Saban will be primed to have his team prepared for undefeated Ole Miss here this week, after his first home game of the season vs Texas ended in surprising disaster. Last time out after that debacle the Tide started slowly but the D, shined in. a17-3 win vs USF, and once again will be the key to a Alabama victory here today vs a program they have beaten 15 of the L/16 times. It must also be noted that Saban in his  career when his team is coming off consecutive double-digit ATS losses, is 8-0 SUATS the L/8 opportunities and is also 8-0-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit victory and 4-0 SU/ATS versus undefeated sides with huge DD margin of victory being registered . Its been tough sledding on offense for Alabama but this week vs a over rated Ole Miss D, they do enough to get us the win and cover on a beat down opening line.  . Play on Alabama to cover |
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09-23-23 | Kentucky -13 v. Vanderbilt | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 103 h 54 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt could not even beat a Mountain West team last week losing to UNLV by a 40-37 count. I know that Kentucky plays Florida next week, but Im absolutely sure they will still be focused enough to dispose of this defensively deficient Commodores team in what will be a near empty stadium this Saturday. CFB Road favorites of -425 or higher vs. the money line (KENTUCKY) - after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 43-1 SU with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +23.5 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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09-23-23 | Florida State v. Clemson +2.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
 Clemson not getting much respect here as the Seminoles are listed a road favs. Thats interesting since considering  Dabo Swinney is 93-8 SU since taking over the program 15 seasons ago , and in Death Valley against undefeated opposition is  14-0 since 2015. It must also be noted that the Seminoles may not be as good as they record suggests after a ugly late game effort vs Boston College last week, where they just about lost,. With head coach Mike Norvell losing 3 of 5 SU and just 1-4 ATS away in conference games when coming in with no losses, its not like the Seminoles deserve this much respect as Norvell has lost both meetings against Swinnney in his career. Tigers are also a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS in the last five in this series and get the nod again on their own home turf. CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS  in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game since 1992. FLORIDA ST is 21-37 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992 CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEMSON) . an excellent offensive team (34 PPG or more) against an average defensive team (21-28 PPG), after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 45-16 ATS since 1992 for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -109 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
 Rookie right-hander Bryce Miller (8-5, 3.88 ERA) will start the opener for Seattle.Miller is winless over his past five starts and has looked fatigued on occasion. Meanwhile, Right-hander Dane Dunning (10-6, 3.78) will go to the hill for Texas. He gave up six hits in five shutout innings during a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday and enters this tilt in good form. Dunning won vs the the Mariners on May 10 when he gave up two runs and six hits over six innings and gets my support here tonight. TEXAS is 19-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season.(Beat Boston 15-5 last time out) SEATTLE is 8-20 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 89-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.  MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 32-85 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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09-22-23 | Wisconsin -5.5 v. Purdue | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show | |
Wisconsin has owned this series winning 16 straight meetings and covering 13 of those. With HC Fickell looking like he has this Badgers team on the rise again, Im betting they get the job done vs a disorganized looking Purdue side, that continually makes bad offensive reads and a defense that has allowed and average of 30 plus points per game. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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09-21-23 | Giants +10.5 v. 49ers | 12-30 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 41 m | Show | |
Oddsmakers aren’t giving the Giants much of a chance this week. However, my projections estimate this line is bloated and gives us value with the road underdog. The The Giants proved their offense can be explosive as was evident in a 31 points second half output against the Cardinals in Week 2 for a come from behind victory and must be underestimated in their ability to some damage here this week in San Francisco. I know the Gmens top tier RB Saquon Barkley is banged up and may not play, but even then my projections say this is just to much lumber for the 49ers to lay. Advantage Giants. NY GIANTS are 22-9 ATS L/31 in road games after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game .NY GIANTS are 18-4 ATS L/22 after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. NFL Road teams (NY GIANTS) - after playing their last game on the road, in the first month of the season are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (NY GIANTS) - after playing their last game on the road, in September games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
Georgia State looked explosive in thier first 3 games of the season with wins vs Rhode Island Connecticut and Charlotte scoring 42,35, and 41 points respectively. With revenge on board for a ugly loss to Coastal Carolina last season, you can bet we will be backing a wide awake side that will come out here with all guns blazing. With that said, its interesting to note that the Chanticleers are 0-6-1 ATS L/7 vs a side that will play them with revenge as a motivating factor.  GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.  GEORGIA ST is 11-1 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored since 1992. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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09-20-23 | Orioles -103 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Baltimore took out Houston yesterday by a 9-5 count and are viable options to do the same again today. The Astros dropped to 38-39 at home with four games left on the home schedule. Orioles starter BRADISH is 10-0 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)  BRADISH is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Bradish is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros. The righty went eight scoreless innings against Houston on Aug. 26, 2022, then he garnered another 8 2/3 shutout frames vs. the Astros on Sept. 22, 2022. Bradish has allowed just four hits and two walks while striking out 16 in those outings. The flipside, Houstons starter Javier went 2-0 in five starts in August despite of garnering 6.17 ERA and .922 opponents' OPS with 16 walks and 16 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings. In his current form he is fade material agains this type of sometimes explosive offense. HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in home games in September games this season. BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents this season.BALTIMORE is 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-19-23 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Colorado has allowed 22 runs in their L/2 games, and with their bullpen showing exhaustion Im betting they get pummeled again vs a Padres offense that come to life of late as is evident by average 7.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Considering the Rockies bats have also looked alert in recent games averaging 7 rpg in their L/7 games Im betting we see a fairly high scoring affair. COLORADO is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 13.1 rpg scored. COLORADO is 24-12 OVER after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scorecd.Â
Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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09-19-23 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Los Angeles (68-82) without their injured star Shohei Ohtani are fade material in their current form. Halos starter SANDOVAL is 1-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 14-31 SU when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with the average rpg diff clicking in -2.3 .Â
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 SU vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with the 3.6 rpg diff .TAMPA BAY is 37-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which easily qualifies on this runline offering from the books. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 38-8 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the a rpg diff of +3.1. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Mike Tomlin's team was completely embarrassed last week vs the 49ers by a 30-7 count. Ugly to say the least. Pros dont like to be embarrassed and Im betting the Steelers as a group bounce back here in a big way. It must be noted that Tomlin is  8-1 SU when his side needs to even up their record. Tomlin is also   14-4-4 ATS as a home dog in his career as Steelers coach. . I know Cleveland had a big victory last week vs Cincinnati , but it the recent past this has not been a good omen for this group as they are  1-9 ATS L/10 when coming off a SUATS victory.  CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS L/15 in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival . NFL Underdogs or pick (PITTSBURGH) - off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Pittsburgh ahs won and covered the L/2 meetings at home between these sides.PITTSBURGH is 28-3 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1992 in Pittsburgh. Play on Pittsburgh Steelers to cover |
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09-18-23 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Milwaukees starter PERALTA is 16-2 OVER in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. (Peralta allowed one run on two hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 3-1 victory over the Miami Marlins last Tuesday) PERALTA is 1-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.580. Cards starter Wainwright (4-11, 7.95 ERA) picked up victory in his last out in the Cardinals' 5-2 victory over the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. However, prior to that he went 0-10 with a 10.72 ERA.MILWAUKEE is 12-1 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse over the last 2 seasons like Wainwright with 12.5 rpg going on the board. Wainwright owns a bloated 7.95 ERA on the season, and looks to be worn out entering this game, giving credence to what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring game right out of the gate. Play over |
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09-17-23 | Padres v. A's +1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 13-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse since 1997 like San Diegos starter Martinez who currently owns a 1.935 WHIP on the season overall. SAN DIEGO is 31-42 against the money line in road games this season. Oakland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games and Im betting they keep it close today or pull of the ML underdog upset. The safest high probability bet at the most viable price is to take the run-line. Play on the As to cover +1.5 on the runline |
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09-17-23 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 45 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 51 m | Show | |
Niners had the league’s No.1 scoring defense last season allowing just 17.2 ppg and are off holding the Steelers to 7 points and a total of 239 yards on offense. On the flipsdie, the Rams, travelled to Seattle in week 1 action and slowed the Seahawks down to a crawl, as is evident by allowing just 180 total yards and only 13 points. Needless to say both the LA Rams and the SF 49ers looked very good defensively in game 1 of the season. Both did this while playing in the visitors role. Note:NFL Game2 sides playing in the their 2nd  of back-to-back away tilts like the 49ers  have only eclipsed the offered total just twice in 18 opportunities dating back 7 seasons. Also away sides like SF, have  gone under 13 of their L/14  road games after allowing 7 pts or less  on the road in their previous game. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER in road games after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. Defense, Defense and more defense today in what Im betting will be a grinding tilt. NFL Road teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 5.7 or more yards/play, versus division opponents are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 64% or better, versus division opponents are 56-23 UNDER L/5 season for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-17-23 | Bears +3 v. Bucs | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 104 h 55 m | Show | |
There might have been to much hype surrounding the Bears in game 1 of the season against a Green Bay Packers side that has now beaten them in 9 straight and 24 of the L/27 meetings. Yes, the Bears looked bad in their first game of the season, but I still believe they will be an improved team, despite not necessarily being a play off contender. Here today against the Bucs Im betting they give their backers something to feel good about, as QB Fields and new acquisition DJ Moore should up their games, after that previous embarrassing effort. Meanwhile, their opposition, the Bucs might even be a worse of than the bad news Bears, as in game 1 of the season the offense averaged just 3.6 yards per play while the defense allowed 5.9 YPP. The Bucs still managed to win because of a 3-0 turnover margin, but they looked horrendous in the victory, and are being over rated while their opponents the Bears todays opponent might be under rated in this matchup. Whatever, the case I like the points here and Im recommending we go on the take the lesser of two evils. TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season are 22-2 ATS L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (TAMPA BAY) - team that had a losing record last season, in conference games are 99-171 since 1983 for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Bears to cover |
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09-17-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -3 | 27-24 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 46 m | Show | |
Bengals star QB is off a ugly game week 1 performance vs Cleveland, where he registered a unfamiliar 52.2 passer rating. You can now bet the top gun quarterback will be primed for a big bounce back this week against the Baltimore Ravens. Bengals QB Burrow is 13-1 SUATS in his NFL career in games against opposition coming off a SU/ATS win like the Ravens.CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons.CINCINNATI is 3-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons at home. Rinse and repeat. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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09-17-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Texans | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
Colts QB Richardson was overall impressive in his first NFL start. He  ran for a score but also completed a 39-yard touchdown pass to Michael Pittman Jr. He passed for 223 yards, completed 24 of 37 attempts and looks to be very poised under center and must be respected here in the underdog role. Meanwhile, his QB opponent Stroud, is a viable young arm, but Richardson looks more polished at this point and from my perspective the Colts are the overall deeper , healthier  and more talented side and I wont be surprised if they win this game straight up. Stroud did not get a TD in first outing and the sledding promises to be less than easy in this tilt. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - sub par team from last season - outgained by their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play are 5-26 L/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. NFL Road teams (INDIANAPOLIS) - off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season are 22-2 ATS L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 in Houston and won their last visit here. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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09-17-23 | Lynx v. Sun OVER 158 | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Connecticut blasted Minnesota by a 90-60 count in game 1 of this series, and Im betting they light the board up again, but for the Lynx to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own in a tilt Im projecting to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER  revenging a blowout loss versus opponent by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 176.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 10-3 OVER  in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this season with aq combined average of 167.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Sunday games. Over is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Sun last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 13-5 in Sun last 18 home games. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 165 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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09-16-23 | Kansas -28 v. Nevada | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 51 m | Show | |
Ken Wilson’s  Nevada are a defensively challenged team as is evident by  allowing 552 yards per game ranking them (No. 123 in the country). thats not a good omen heading into this tilt vs an explosive Kansas Jayhawks side, that ranks No.10 in the nation in offense averaging 530 yards per game averaging 41 point per game. With that said, this looks very much to be a mismatch of mammoth proportions. Note: Kansas is  10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS L/10 as 20 or more point favorite . NEVADA is 0-6 ATS when they allow 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 30.2 . CFB home team (NEVADA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 8-40 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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09-16-23 | Wyoming +30 v. Texas | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 60 h 30 m | Show | |
After upsetting Alabama last week the Texas Longhorns are in a huge emotional letdown situation. Also because of this the line is becoming public heavy offering us a great opportunity for a underdog cover vs a Wyoming side that is stable on both sides of the ball and off a win vs Texas Tech last time out . This is a tough spot for the Longhorns as they have Baylor on board next time out, so their attention may not be fully where they need it to be. TEXAS is 21-37 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. Longhorns are also  0-4-1 ATS as a double-digit favorites  in matchups when they are off an upset victory as a underdog of 7 or more points. Wyoming is 3-0 ATS L/3 meetings in this series. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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09-16-23 | New Mexico State +1.5 v. New Mexico | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 58 m | Show | |
The New Mexico Lobos are 0-8 ATS the last eight as a favorite and Im betting their losing run continues today in the battle of instate rivals here today. Lobos, are also 1-7 ATS the last eight games in this series.Last season NM State took a 21-9 win as 7-point chalk at Las Cruces and I dont believe that the Lobos have made enough changes to get the revenge they want . New Mexico State to cover |
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09-16-23 | Syracuse v. Purdue +2.5 | 35-20 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 53 m | Show | |
Syracuse Orange have looked impressive in their first two games, but they haven't faced any top tier opponents, only taking out a Group of Five opponent and a nonmajor side.Syracuse won last season's meeting with Purdue at home by, 32-29 count, as the teams combined for 42 fourth-quarter points , but now Im betting on the home side once again finding a way to come out on top . Dino Barber is a good coach , but this according to my power rankings is bad matchup for his side. Note: the Orange have struggled on the road, winning just five of their last 20 road games. They have also won just three of their L/17 tilts against Big Ten opposition. Play on Purdue to cover |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 71 h 5 m | Show | |
Tennessee has lost 10 straight visits to the Swamp and Im betting knocking out that jinx run wont come easily today behind QB Joe Milton who cant seem to find a rhythm. You can bet HC Napier and company will play hard here vs a side, that will finally play a tough opponent after two FCSc cupcakes. Napier is also 3-0 SU/ATS with Florida as an underdog at home. CFB home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 22-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 33-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% onversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 27-6 ATS L/31` seasons for  a 82% conversion rate. Play on Florida to cover |
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09-16-23 | James Madison +3 v. Troy | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 31 m | Show | |
JMU took out Virginia last week 36-35 and must be respected here against Troy getting points. Troys 12 game undefeated run came to a screeching halt in their tilt last week, in a 42-13 loss to KsState and now they are in jeopardy of a two game losing streak. JMU is 22-8 in conference openers, which includes winning its past eight between 2015 and 2022.This is also JMU's fifth straight conference opener on the road.Last season, JMU rallied back from down 28-3 at App State, scoring 29 unanswered for a thrilling 32-28 win. Play on James Madison to cover |
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