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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-18-21 | Dodgers -184 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
 Dodgers starter Bauer had a great start to his campaign and is obviously a top tier pitcher, that has looked average of late. But this is a great opportunity to get back into early season form vs a struggling side in Arizona. ARIZONA is 2-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. ARIZONA is 3-22 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. ARIZONA is 1-15 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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06-18-21 | Twins -155 v. Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Twins starter Jose Berrios ( RHP-7-2, 3.49 ERA, 81 SO) In his last outing, José BerrÃos went seven innings and limited the Astros to two runs on five hits. BerrÃos was the winning pitcher in five of his last eight outings. He has pitched seven or more innings three times in that span and now still in top form entering this tilt gets my support on a moderate chalk line. The Twins are 20-0 L/20 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a road favorite in which they won by 5+ runs. TEXAS is 9-28 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 8-33 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 163-110 L/24 seasons for. a60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 Atlanta took game 5 by a  109-106 score in Philadelphia thanks to being able to slow the Sixers down defensively after going down early. Playing some physical hardcore D will continue to be the Hawks recipe for success vs a Sixers side that is streaky offensively. With that said, D, will also be the focus of the visitors in this big game, and Im betting will result in a tight lower scoring affair. Rivers is 38-21 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 197.8 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ATLANTA is 15-1 UNDER L/16 when attempting to close out a playoff series with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored.  ATLANTA is 24-7 UNDER  when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 185.6 ppg scored. Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 42-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 104-99 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The 76ers held a 26-point lead at home against the Atlanta Hawks in game 5 and took a 18 point lead into the fourth quarter. But however, in miraculous fashion the Hawks scored 40 points in the final quarter  to complete one of the biggest playoff comebacks in league history.In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947, road teams down 22 points as late as after two quarters had a game record of only 0-19 (.000). Now with huge momentum on their sides Im betting Atlanta has the edge vs a deflated 76ers group that have shown themselves to be less than brilliant on the road this season as is evident by their 19-19 ATS record. ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS in home games after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team ( 14.5 or less TO's) after 42+ games are 102-30 L/5 seasons for a 77% SU conversion rate. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons here at home in Georgia. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-18-21 | Cardinals +135 v. Braves | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Cards starter MartÃnez was sharp in his last start (two unearned runs over seven frames) and owns  a 3.90 ERA in 11 games (four starts) against Atlanta. MARTINEZ is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.240. ATLANTA is 7-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. ST LOUIS is 18-2 against the money line after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cards to win |
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06-17-21 | Brewers -148 v. Rockies | 3-7 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Milwaukee starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP-5-2, 1.52 ERA, 97 SO) 1.52 ERA and 0.72 WHIP is the best of the Brewers' three aces. He's coming off seven efficient innings last Friday against the Pirates, in which he threw 98 pitches. Im b etting on a rinse and repeat performance here in Coors today. Brewers stater WOODRUFF is 23-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts coming off a start where he got at least seven runs of support. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brewers to win |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -5.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home where they own a 30-10 SU record with an average 8.1 ppg diff, and tonight Im betting they come out here in a desperation mode and play a start to finish all out energy game . With no tomorrow if they lose you can bet we get the best out of the Bucks tonight vs a Nets side that 21-19 SU on the road this season. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Budenholzer is 35-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.4 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game are 169-56 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4 ppg. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-17-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | 2-10 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R) Both these starters have been reliable of late, and Im betting on them to continue their strong efforts and when needed these strong bullpens will be there to bail them out. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 UNDER vs. struggling speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.  MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 42-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-17-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +120 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams are more evenly matched than the lines-makers may suggest to the public with their line offerings. I know the defending champion Bolts know how to win, but the Islanders are very tough to play against in the Nassau County Coliseum, and they have the edge here.Â
NY ISLANDERS are 6-1 (against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +150 this season.NY ISLANDERS are 8-2 against the money line against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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06-17-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +109 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Yankees starter Michael King(RHP0-3, 3.77 ERA, 28 SO) In three starts since taking the injured Corey Kluber's place in the rotation, has pitched to a 6.35 ERA with two losses, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) in 11 1/3 innings. Im betting the mighty Blue Jays offense tees off here and brings home the W. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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06-17-21 | Orioles v. Indians -120 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The Orioles are 0-18 L/18 on the road and at this price Ill just continue to ride the curse of the Birds. Remember there is no such thing as due for a win.CLEVELAND is 31-9 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Indians to win |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
Pivotal game 5 goes tonight in Utah. Each team has won both their home games, and tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to continue. Advantage. Utah. Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. UTAH is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 15-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Clippers are 8-22-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Utah. UTAH is 5-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons at home . NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah  in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers  in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas is running hot offensively scoring 18 goals in their L/4 play off games. If the Habs have any chance of making this a series they are going to have to open up a bit . Hey I know Price and Fleury are top tier goalies, but when the action gets quicker and more aggressive even the best of goaltenders in this league look very mortal. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Vegas. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 playoff games as a favorite NHL team against the total (VEGAS /MONTREAL) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Rangers v. Astros -215 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 32-8Â against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) The Astros are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after their opponent left 18+ men on base individually last game. TEXAS is 5-28 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLBÂ team (HOUSTON) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team is 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Houston to win |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -6 | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia after exploding out of the gate last time out to take a commanding DD lead, in game 4, feel asleep at the proverbial wheel and ended up losing SU. It was an embarrassing result, that Im sure will have this 76ers crew ready to bounce back with a vengeance and keep the pedal to metal until the final whistle goes off which makes laying points a viable betting option. Note: Sixers star Joel Embiid, went 0 for 12 in the 2nd half, and despite of a light injury to his knee is good to go, and ready to shine up his big ego here tonight in a game his team needs badly to get their mojo back.PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with the ppg differential clicking in at +11 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season. ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.3 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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06-16-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh ha allowed 36 runs in their L/6 games ( 6.00 rpg) and Im betting the bleeding won end today. I know the Nationals offence is sometimes inconsistent but they matchup well here vs the Pirates pitching staff. Also its obvious that the Bucks dont do alot of scoring and or HR hitting but, it must be noted that MARTINEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 12.1. rpg scored. The Nationals are 11-0 OVER past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-16-21 | Padres v. Rockies +178 | 7-8 | Win | 178 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 0-6 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 3-8 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 0-7 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 when lefty Kyle Freeland starts at home in an afternoon game. Padres are 21-50 in their last 71 road games vs. a left-handed starter. COLORADO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 12-31 L/24 seasons for a 72/% go against conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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06-16-21 | Switzerland +1 v. Italy | 0-3 | Loss | -150 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Im betting Switzerland will spend a great deal of this tilt in a strong defensive stance that has displayed 3-4-1-2 formation with key contributors Ricardo Rodriguez and Kevin Mbabu leading the way. This will see a fluid Swiss team attack in transition, and give the Italian D some issues. Both sides can score , but I like the Swiss D, to be the difference maker on the spread. Thus getting a goal here is my choice selection of todays Euro action. Play on Switzerland to cover +1 |
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06-16-21 | Tigers +132 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 132 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Tigers start Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.35 ERA, 74 SO)is unbeaten in his last three starts after racking up 25 strikeouts in 17 innings against the White Sox and Yankees. His slider has become an increasingly effective swing-and-miss pitch, coupled with more consistent command of his fastball. He brings great momentum and top tier form into this matchup and gets my support to help the Tigers get the W here today vs a KC side that has lost 10 of their L/11 games overall. KANSAS CITY is 0-15 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to win |
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06-15-21 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Eflin is searching for his first win has gone 0-4 in his last five start and despite of some brilliance has been generally sub par lately and susceptible to be smacked around by a powerful Dodger batting order and could easily contribute to the Dodgers eclipsing this total all by themselves. Note: EFLIN is 17-4 OVER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LA Dodgers starter  URIAS is 7-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season. (Team's Record) as he continues to get run support .  URIAS is 16-1 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Dodgers are 10-0-1 OVER when Julio Urias starts after a quality start in his last start with a combined average of 12.27 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Angels v. A's -122 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
As starter Frankie Montas ( RHP 6-6, 4.37 ERA, 73 SO ) took a tough-luck loss against the Royals his last time out, looking unhittable through six innings before an unlucky sequence in the seventh that led to three runs scored. Im betting he continues his current trend of top tier efforts and that this time will result in a W. Angels starter HEANEY is 3-15 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 12-0 against the money line in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 23-9 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Play on the As to win |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5- No Irving or Harden in the lineup for the Nets has this Totals number taking a dive that is in my betting opinion over done by both the lines-makers and the market. Yes these games have been lower than the expected as compared to the totals offerings but with the current number according to projections being transiently low a high probability edge for an over wagering opportunity cashing looks promising in my humble betting opinion. With Milwaukee off two straight wins, Im betting they look to take advantage of this Nets injury situation with an aggressive approach which result in the pace here being favorable for an over wager to cash. Milwaukee is 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 93-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bolts now down 1-0 in this series will come out here all guns blazing and eventually Im betting they will drag the Islanders out of their defensive shell and that will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect. ' TAMPA BAY is 22-8 OVER L/30 when trailing in a playoff series . Over is 5-0-1 in Islanders last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS/TB ) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 60-28 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Orioles v. Indians -170 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Orioles starter Matt Harvey( RHP3-7, 7.41 ERA, 47 SO)  owns a ugly 11.79 ERA in his L/7 starts , with six of them registered as losses. Note: The Orioles are 0-16 L/16 on the road and continue to be fade material here today vs the Indians.  CLEVELAND is 8-0  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 29-9 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons Play on the Indians to win |
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06-15-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -118 | 6-5 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Hyun Jin RyuLHP ( 5-4, 3.34 ERA, 62 SO) hasn't been quite as sharp recently, but he is close to getting back to his ace form and looked great against the Yankees earlier this season, allowing just one unearned run over 6 2/3 innings on April 13. With upward momentum ready to peak he is a prime candidate to get the under rated and explosive Blue Jays into the win column tonight vs a Yankees team that has lost 7 of their L/9.  RYU is 48-16 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 41-14 against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOONE is 17-36 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight game are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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06-15-21 | Pirates v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Nats starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-5, 6.21 ERA, 48 SO) and Pirates starting hurler  Tyler Anderson(LHP3-6, 4.52 ERA, 61 SO) have in general terms been very hittable throwers.  PITTSBURGH is 44-23 OVER against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board.  ANDERSON is 14-2 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.7 rpg.  The Nationals are 10-0 OVER L/10 past the first game of a series vs a team that has lost at least their last three games with a combined 14.5 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 10 combined runs scored. Play OVER |
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06-15-21 | Germany v. France | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Germany's record since September in international play 6-5-2 (W-D-L) including being blasted by Spain by a 6-0 count. This young team, despite of being talented has yet to click, and here vs a versatile championship French side could easily find the action to be to much on them as this tilt goes deeper . Bottom line: France is far more talented at this juncture and deserve respect here.  Play on France to win |
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06-14-21 | Twins v. Mariners OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Mariners starter GONZALES is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 11.58 and a WHIP of 2.251 and according to my pitcher vbs batting order power rankings matches up badly here vs the Twins batting order. Meanwhile Twins Manaea has totaled a season-high 111 pitches in each of his last two starts and despite of being strong in those starts fatigue could easily rare its ugly head in this tilt. The Mariners are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 at home off a road game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent. MINNESOTA is 19-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MINNESOTA is 22-11 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. These teams have gone over in 8 of the L/10 meetings in this series overall. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz looked defensively lazy last time out, and were starting to rely on their offensive explosiveness to just run over opponents. The last game in this series that saw the Jazz get blasted was a wake up call for them, and now Im expecting a more defensive minded effort and also for the Clippers to regress offensively which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair as compared to the offered total. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 8-2-1 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-2-2 in Clippers last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. .LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 UNDER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 32-15 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 191.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 102-44 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. These teams have not gone over the total in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Habs star goalie Carey Price enters this  semifinals series leading all playoff net-minders with a .935 save percentage and will be key here for a Montreal side that plays a strong defensive system behind strong physical play. This Im betting will help them keep the Knights from exploding offensively here in game 1, and aid in this game staying under the total. Note: Vegas goalies Fleury and Lehner won the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals allowed in the regular season. In the playoffs, Fleury has registered a .923 GAA and will not be an easy roll over for the Habs limited attack strategy. Play UNDER |
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06-14-21 | Rays -107 v. White Sox | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
TB starter GLASNOW is 22-7 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) White Sox success rate vs righties has not been great as is evident by averaging just 4.4 rpg which is a detriment vs a Rays side that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season.  TAMPA BAY is 7-0 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. The Rays are 12-0 L/12 as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers. TAMPA BAY is 13-2 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - after sweeping a 3 game series at home against a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 34-12 L/ 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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06-14-21 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Royals starter Keller owns a ugly 7.20 ERA in 6 home starts this season. Meanwhile, Boyd the Tigers starter owns a equally nasty 5.47 ERA in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 9-0 OVER L/9 when Matthew Boyd starts when their opponent is on a 3+ losing streak with a combined average of 13.8 rpg scored.  KANSAS CITY is 15-5 OVER in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 97-44 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Three-time NBA champion Danny Green sustained a strained right calf during Philadelphia's 127-111 win over Atlanta on Friday and will now Im betting have problems adjusting without him and being as fluid. Im also betting on the streaky Trae Young to find his form after a couple crap shooting games in a row. Advantage Atlanta. PHILADELPHIA is 9-27 ATS in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 14-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons . ATLANTA is 20-8 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-13-21 | Suns -3 v. Nuggets | 125-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
it has become obvious to me the Suns are the superior side in this matchup which we see via the 3-0 strangle hold they have in this series that resulted in 3 DD victories. These Suns have morphed into a cohesive machine, with a killer instinct and I cant see them taking their proverbial feet of the pedal as they go for a sweep of the Nuggets. PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season.PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games DENVER is 9-19 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 74-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 24-8 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg game. Play on the Suns to win |
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06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Suns behind the 26th ranked pace, Im betting will precisely attack this game like they have every play off game to date, with patience and precision. They have Denver on the verge of elimination, and now without panic will methodically continue to play a top tier brand of defence, and take high %shot opportunities. This type of approach is a must here in the high altitudes of the Mile High city and this Im betting translates in a lower combined score than the offered total. DENVER is 20-9 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Denver in their L/78 home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more have seen a combined average of 192.2 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 100-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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06-13-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -120 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Zach Davies(RHP3-3, 4.45 ERA, 37 SO)   logged six shutout innings to beat the Padres on the road on Tuesday, ending with four strikeouts, two walks and one hit allowed. The righty has a 2.16 ERA in his last eight turns, including five shutout frames in St. Louis on May 23. Considering his form and momentum he is a good bet tonight to help the Cubs into the win column. DAVIES is 16-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cubs are 10-0 on the ML past the first game of a series when the opposing starting pitcher has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season by an average of 4.4 rpg. (Martinez the Cards pitcher owns a ugly looking 6.21 ERA) Cubs are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-13-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodger stater Walker Buehler(RHP5-0, 2.56 ERA, 72 SO) is unbeaten in his last 21 starts, tying Clayton Kershaw and Julio UrÃas for the longest streak since the team moved to Los Angeles. Buehler's last loss came on Sept. 21, 2019, against the Rockies. Rinse and repeat .Â
MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors. Dodgers to win |
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06-13-21 | Royals v. A's -189 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP6-2, 3.44 ERA, 86 SO) Dating back to the start of the 2020 season, Bassitt is 11-4 with a 2.94 ERA in 24 starts. He has walked just one batter in each of his last four outings. He deserves our support here even with the extra lumber being layed. The Athletics are 14-0 L/14 when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 14-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 10-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee plays their best hoops at home, and just like they did in game 3 will try  to produce another strong defensive effort as they try to take the flow away from the explosive Nets. Im betting their physicality will  help them to another victory. Budenholzer is 34-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight in Wisconsin against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. The home team has won the L/6 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-100 ATS L/24 seasons for. ago against 70% conversion rate for bettors.  NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 11-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 76% to cover. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers success and failure is predicated on playing to tier defensive hoops, that is ranked 4th in ppg D and a precise mind set that is evident by a 28th ranked pace. Tonight Im betting that type of basketball will be on full display as they desperately need to win this game to avoid going down 3-0 in this series. Also betting on Rudy Gobert to continue his top tier defensive play and for the Jazz to show their ability to also play strong D wull be on full display. With that said, I expect we see a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.  UTAH is 32-14 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 190.1 ppg. Snyder is 105-84 UNDER off a home win as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1-2 in Clippers last 10 Conference Semifinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-12-21 | Astros -105 v. Twins | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Astros starter Luis Garcia(RHP5-3, 2.75 ERA, 68 SO) has been moving upward with effective momentum all season, but now that success is showing up in the win column. After an 0-3 start through his first seven games, he's won each of his past five. He has just two homers allowed in his past 29 innings and gets my support here todays vs a Twins side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings. The Twins are 0-10 L/10 on the ML in the second game of a series after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. MINNESOTA is 9-20 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MINNESOTA is 1-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Twins are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League West. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts with a combined average of 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Astros to win |
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06-12-21 | White Sox -165 v. Tigers | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Dylan Cease(RHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 78 SO) absolutely dominates the Tigers. He has a 7-0 record with a 1.91 ERA over seven career starts against Detroit, striking out 47 over 42 1/3 innings. Cease has 14 scoreless innings in two wins over the Tigers this season. Rinse and repeat . Note: Tigers starter :  URENA is 2-19 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-12-21 | Angels -112 v. Diamondbacks | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Halos starter Alex Cobb(RHP4-2, 4.24 ERA, 49 SO) has pitched well over his last four starts, garnering a stingy  2.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 24 innings and in his current form deserves respect here vs a struggling Dbacks side that has lost 8 straight games.ARIZONA is 2-21  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.  Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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06-12-21 | Mariners v. Indians -114 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
  Indians stater McKenzie has already made two starts in the Majors since his demotion to Triple-A, but this time, he'll look to stay with the big league team for good. Two starts ago, he tossed five scoreless innings before fanning 10 batters in his next outing and with experience Im betting will continue to improve.Â
The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a home favorite off a home game in which Jose Ramirez had multiple hits. Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) (AL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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06-12-21 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 8-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Angels have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs right handers like Smith and they could almost all by themselves eclipse this number. The Diamondbacks are 10-0 OVER L/10 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led.  ARIZONA is 17-4 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 10-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets -1.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
Its never easy for visiting teams like the Suns to play in the high altitudes of the Mile High City and tonight vs a desperate and extremely motivated Nuggets team that will become evident. DENVER is 14-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 32-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Suns are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are just 9-26 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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06-11-21 | Royals v. A's -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
As starter Cole Irvin(LHP4-7, 3.89 ERA, 50 SO)  bounced back from what had been a rough stretch , by tossing six innings of one-run ball in a win over the Rockies his last time out and now with momentum gets my support here vs the Royals.  The Royals are 0-15 L/15 on the ML as a road dog off a 5+ run road win. OAKLAND is 36-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.OAKLAND is 35-11 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season. Play on the As to win |
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06-11-21 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 11-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Im betting he shuts the Pirates down here this evening. Note: Pittsburgh has average just 2 rpg in their L/4 overall. Meanwhile, the Brewers have allowed more than 2 runs just twice in their L/6 games. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. The Brewers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start. Under is 20-7 in Pirates last 27 during game 1 of a series.  Play on the UNDER |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This Total offers value as my own simplified pace and shooting statistics algorithm chart indicates. The 76ers shot 54.9 % FG in game one and 52.9% in game 2. Atlanta shot over 51% in game 1 but fell to just over 45% in game 2. Ny projections estimate the Hawks will shoot above or around their season average here at home of around 48% while the Sixers will regress to the high 40s as well or better , which translates in a combined score that breaches this total.  ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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06-11-21 | White Sox -155 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.33 ERA, 68 SO) pitched well vs the White sox the last time they met, but now after scanning him, Im betting they have an edge against a left handed fast ball hurler. Meanwhile, White Sox starter  GIOLITO is 7-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 30-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-11-21 | Giants v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
We have two quality hurlers to start this game, but my power rankings suggest the both offenses matchup well against these pitchers. Note: Giants starter ANTHONY DESCLAFANI owns a 9.45 road ERA this season.  SCHERZER is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.144 WHIP.  Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 9-2 in Giants last 11 games as a road underdog. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Play OVER |
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06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Clippers behind the 28th ranked pace and 4th ranked ppg defense in the NBA will continue to disrupt the flow of the explosive Utah Jazz in a game I have pegged to be physical and to stay under the the offered total.  LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 218.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-0-2 in Clippers last 9 Conference Semifinals games. UTAH is 49-21 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less with a combined average of 190.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH is 32-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of just 189.3 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Avalanche +127 v. Golden Knights | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Colorado is in desperation do or die mode and Im betting we see them at their very best in this game and avoid elimination. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (VEGAS) - after a 3 game unbeaten streak, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are just 10-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on the Colorado Avs to win |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these top tier teams have alot of fire power and big name stars in the lineup but this series Im betting will continue to be more physical than anticipated . Remember this is not a international competition and or an all star game, its NBA post season action which has a tendency of producing alot more battles on the inside, which can make a game have alot less flow and thus less points going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 125.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 17-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | 83-86 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Brooklyn took the first two games of this series, but the Bucks now in desperation mode and playing at home will come out here with all guns blazing. With the Nets Harden expected to miss this tilt Im betting the edge resides with the Bucks. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bucks have won 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series in Milwaukee.  MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 16-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 60-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to win |
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06-10-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -109 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
 The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts in the last game of a three-game series when they lost the first two games. RODRIGUEZ is 22-6 ) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 19-32 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons Road teams (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 29-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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06-10-21 | Dodgers -209 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP8-2, 3.48 ERA, 80 SO)  bounced back well following his worst start of the season with five innings of one-run ball against the Braves on Friday. Since the beginning of May, the left-hander has struck out 48 and walked five over seven starts and gets my support here in this spot. The Dodgers are 27-0 L27 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game.  PITTSBURGH is 3-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PITTSBURGH is 6-27 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. LA DODGERS is 8-0  against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons. Play on the LA dodgers to win |
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06-10-21 | Brewers -111 v. Reds | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Freddy Peralta(RHP6-1, 2.25 ERA, 92 SO)  came within five outs of a no-hitter last Friday against the D-backs before Nick Ahmed hit a slider below the zone for a single. Peralta's last two starts: 14 1/3 innings, five hits, two runs. Rinse and repeat here and we will back Peralta. Reds starter  CASTILLO is 1-9  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a home dog after they had a comeback win last game. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 against the money line in road games in day games this season MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), playing on Thursday are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-09-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Angels starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-4, 5.82 ERA, 50 SO)  is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners, allowing four runs over 3 1/3 innings. He has an 8.74 ERA over his last three starts and in his current form could contribute this total being eclipsed all by himself. The Angels are 11-0-2 OVER L/13 when Griffin Canning starts after they lost in his last start. A ANGELS are 12-4 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Denver behind the 27th ranked pace and No.8 ppg offense operates at a precise speed behind precision shooting but Im betting they will be forced to speed up their play against a Phoenix side that they do not matchup well against overall. The Suns put 122 points on the board in the opening game of this series, and after watching that tilt, I feel strongly the Nuggets will have to go on the attack more aggressively vs a explosive offensive side that ranks 7th in the NBA in ppg offense that can and will will fire back with some consistent offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that will Im betting easily eclipse this total.Note:  6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Arizona. DENVER is 11-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 239.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg going on the board.PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg going on the. board.PHOENIX is 16-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 229.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 277-178 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-09-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -143 | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
White Sox starter right-hander Lance Lynn is 6-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a .150 opponents average over his past seven starts. Lynn has 36 strikeouts in his last 39 innings of work and deserves respect here on the M L. LYNN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 8-16 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The White Sox are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after their opponent scored first last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 against the money line vs. a struggling bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the White sox to win |
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06-09-21 | Diamondbacks v. A's -210 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
As starter Sean Manaea( LHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 70 SO)  pitched a masterpiece in his last time out, throwing a shutout with eight strikeouts against the Mariners. In his last four starts, Manaea owns a 1.69 ERA with 25 strikeouts to seven walks and my support here on a big chalk line.  MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ARIZONA is 2-19 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (OAKLAND) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on Oakland to win |
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06-09-21 | Giants -104 v. Rangers | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
I know Gibson the ace of the Giants pitching staff takes to the hill today, but the way the Rangers bats have shown inconsistency this season, Im fading them here as run support could easily lead to SF finding a way to win in this spot play. GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.000. The Rangers are 0-10 SL/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.TEXAS is 1-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 0-9 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Play on SF Giants to win |
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06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 220.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Utah was able to run over the Memphis Grizzlies in their first round series, but Im betting their offensive flow will not be as fluid here vs a LA Clippers team that can ramp things up defensively . Im betting on hardcore action on the inside to be key for the Clippers and for a very physical series to manifest itself in game 1 of their competition vs a explosive Utah side that they know they must handle with kid gloves. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 20-5-2 in Clippers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 182.6 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/LAC /UTAH) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 40-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Salt Lake City. Play UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Diamondbacks +193 v. A's | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt RHP5-2, 3.53 ERA, 80 SOis coming off his shortest start of the season, going just four innings against the Mariners in his last outing and looks vulnerable entering this tilt vs a side the As maybe overlooking.  ARIZONA is 8-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 11-0 L/11 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. ARIZONA is 26-9 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win |
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06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -135 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Jays southpaw Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA, 69 SO) has pitched well this season, but hes going against a Pale Hose offense that rips apart left handed pitching averaging 6.8 rpg. Advantage White Sox. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1  against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-08-21 | Mariners v. Tigers -125 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 19-70 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Tigers to win ( LATE STEAM) |
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06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 102-118 | Win | 101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Game 1 in this series was a high octane affair thanks to the Sixers slow start and that saw them try to catch up furiously by chasing a DD deficit . Im now looking for the experienced Sixers who key to success is top tier D, to come out here with a more physical game plan, that will center on taking the young Hawks out of a steady flow. This will result in a lower scoring affair than the Totals offering might indicate. Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 playoff games as an underdog. ATLANTA is 9-0 L/9 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 182.9 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 23-7 UNDER  when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 184.1 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 L/52 UNDER in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average score of 212.2 ppg scored. Under is 13-4 in 76ers last 17 games following a ATS loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Tuesday nights are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Under is 7-0 in 76ers last 7 Tuesday games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Brewers v. Reds -132 | 5-1 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
 Brewers starter HOUSER is 7-16 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). Reds starter GRAY is 19-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 19-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 0-9 L/9 off a win as a favorite in which they scored 3 runs or less.  MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on the Reds to win |
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06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Aaron Nola (RHP4-4, 3.84 ERA, 78 SO) became the ninth pitcher in Phillies history to record 1,000 strikeouts. He is the third Phils pitcher to reach 1,000 before turning 28 . He continues to be a consistent hurler for the Phillies and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Braves.NOLA is 17-4 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, Drew Smyly (LHP 2-3, 5.98 ERA, 43 SO)  will make his second start against the Phillies, and despite of some inconsistent numbers could easily The Braves are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog after they did not give up a walk last game . Play on the UNDER |
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06-08-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes +107 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is and has been a hard fought series, and Im betting on the Canes finding a way to get the win here. CAROLINA is 9-0 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Carolina to win |
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06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -116 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Padres starter Ryan Weathers(LHP2-2, 2.06 ERA, 29 SO)  suffered through his roughest outing as a big leaguer against the Cubs on Tuesday, allowing four runs over five innings. Still, he's been one of the most effective rookies in the sport, and he's allowed four runs, total, in four starts at home and now Im betting he bounces back in a big wauy here at home in Petco where he loves to pitch. The Padres are 7-0 L/7 on the ML as a favorite when they lost the last two games their starter started. The Cubs are 0-7 L/7 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a road dog after they had a comeback win last game. CHICAGO CUBS are 22-40 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Padres to win |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The two most recent meetings in this series have eclipsed the number, with a combined average of '244 ppg going on the board. Rinse and repeat for an over wager. PHOENIX is 23-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 12-4 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.Malone is 17-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 32-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 24-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 48-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series here in Phoenix have gone over the total. Play OVER |
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06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 234 | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Watching the first game of this series, and than applying pace numbers, and the fact that the play off hoops between top tier teams are usually more physical than regular season games, than a projected combined score of the high 220s makes this total beatable according to my estimates.Â
Budenholzer is 38-23 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 222.5 ppg. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-07-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
With this series tied 2-2 Im betting on both these defenses ramping up and for play to be extremely physical and close with both sides not wanting to make mistakes. This Im betting translates into a very low scoring game 5. NY ISLANDERS are 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. division opponents this season. NY ISLANDERS are 16-4 UNDER in road games off a home win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 UNDER in home games off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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06-06-21 | Avalanche +101 v. Golden Knights | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
 With a little over five minutes to go on Friday night, the Colorado Avalanche looked like they were on their way to a commanding 3-0 series lead against the Vegas Golden Knights then suddenly lightning struck and in a  span of 45 seconds the Knights miracle rallied an then smashed and grabbed their way to a 3-2 victory. Kudos to the Knights, but to that point in this series the Avs looked like the superior side. However, thanks to Colorado falling asleep at the proverbial steering wheel and the god s blessing the Knights with some fortunate bounces, Im now betting that the visitor will come out very wide awake and in a foul mood, which has me taking what my power rankings suggest is the superior side. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Avalanche are 47-13 in their last 60 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous gameCOLORADO is 27-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (VEGAS) - off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival, on Sunday games are 6-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Avs to win |
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06-06-21 | Jets +124 v. Canadiens | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Habs are up 2-0 in this series after a close 1-0 win last time out. Note: WINNIPEG is 10-1 ATS off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. Also Montreal has played a crap load full of games of late taking out the Leafs in a hard fought 7 games series and then 2 physical games against Winnipeg. While there is no such thing as due, that is what Les Canadiens are set for a down effort with the fatigue factor playing a key role . Also the Jets desperation of not wanting to go down 3-0 goes into my decision to take the underdog in this spot play. Jets are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog. WINNIPEG is 15-9 ATS in road games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (MONTREAL) - off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival, on Sunday games are 6-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jets to win |
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06-06-21 | Mets v. Padres -136 | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Chris Paddack( RHP2-4, 4.24 ERA, 42 SO) At long last, it's time for Paddack's rematch with the Mets and Pete Alonso. Paddack famously called out Alonso before a start two years ago, and the two didn't square off last year during a COVID-19-shortened season. Paddack had a 3.09 ERA in May. Motivation for Paddock makes him and the Padres my choice in this spot play. NY METS are 14-30 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (NY METS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-97 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 209.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers will play host to Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks with a spot in the second round, and a matchup against the Utah Jazz, on the line and because of what's at stake they will both leave everything on the floor in what Im betting will be a much higher scoring affair than some of the previous games in this series. If the game is close down the stretch and one teams pulls ahead late expect a boatload full of fouls and points, and if one side is up big dont expect them to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal at which point the game will open up. Other variables including OT, also take precedence for me in making this an over wager on a fairly low total according to my projections which make the number 216 which is a 2 possession difference. Â
LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored. Clippers in their L/9 home games as a favorite have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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06-06-21 | Rays v. Rangers UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Dunning has put up a 2.33 ERA in five home starts where he has pitched his best baseball. Meanwhile, TB defense and pitching has allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11, and Im betting they once again hold form here vs a Texas side that averages just 3.7 rpg vs a lowly .222 BA at home. TEXAS is 12-4 UNDER in home games against AL East opponents this season. The Rays are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. Play UNDER |
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06-06-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -196 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP3-2, 3.79 ERA, 68 SO) has a proven track record of success against Detroit, as is evident by his 6-0 record with a 2.29 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings over six career starts against them. Rinse and repeat here again today. Note: CEASE is 11-1  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Tigers starter URENA is 2-18  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Tigers are 0-17 L/17 on the ML as a road dog coming off a one-run win on the road. Detroit upset the White Sox yesterday and now Im betting on the Pale Hose to be fully awake in revenge mode here today. Play on the White sox to win |
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06-06-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -3 | 128-124 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Congratulations to the Hawks for beating the Knicks in the first round of the play offs, but now against a battle hardened and experienced play off team that is playing at home, the Hawks are at a disadvantage vs the 76ers. ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-24 ATS in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. Hawks are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 Conference Semifinals games. Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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06-06-21 | Marlins v. Pirates +118 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami has lost 8 straight games and are fade material .The Pirates are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Chad Kuhl starts at home when they lost in his last start. MIAMI is 0-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. Marlins are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 64-110 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate. Play on the Pirates to win |
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06-06-21 | Indians -113 v. Orioles | 5-18 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Orioles starer Lopez Historically has not done well vs the Indians . His 9.00 ERA against the club is his fourth highest against any team he's gone against. Orioles are 17-40 in their last 57 vs. American League Central. The Indians are 12-0 L/12 on he ML on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs. MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 239.5 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Its obvious both these sides are obvious with explosive offenses, but at this time of year during the post season, a much more physical brand of hoops is going to be played. With that said, Im betting these two heavyweights slowly accustom themselves to their opposition, and for the inside action to take the form of a ufc battle zone. Edge under. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 21-10 in Bucks last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 25-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 144 career games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 210.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 32-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Dodgers -120 v. Braves | 4-6 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Dodgers stater Clayton Kershaw(LHP7-4, 3.33 ERA, 77 SO)  has been slightly better on the road this season, going 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in six starts away from Dodger Stadium. He has struck out 31 over 32 1/3 road innings and gets my support here today. KERSHAW is 7-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.934. MORTON is 0-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.477. The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11 on the ML after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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06-05-21 | Bruins v. Islanders +132 | 1-4 | Win | 132 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
According to my these sides are very closely matched , but the with the Isles playing at home and in desperation mode as they look to tie this series and avoid being down 3-1 I look for them to find a way to come out of this with a win. BOSTON is 0-5 ATS in road games on Saturday games this season.  NY ISLANDERS are 18-7 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.Islanders are 11-5 in their last 16 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Islanders are 23-9 in their last 32 home games. NHL favorite against the money line (BOSTON) - off a road win against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season are 17-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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06-05-21 | Bruins v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Both these teams play a very strong brand of defensive hockey. In an intense environment like this Im betting on another low scoring affair. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER after winning their previous game in overtime this season. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER  off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival this season.NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 UNDER in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting on these two long time rivals to keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. Note: The Red Sox are 0-10 UNDER L/10 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a dog when they lost in his last start.BOSTON is 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.  Red Sox stater RODRIGUEZ is 20-7 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 16-3 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Twins -109 v. Royals | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Twins starter Jose Berrios(RHP5-2, 3.36 ERA, 69 SO) became the Twins' first starter to pitch into the ninth inning during a 101-pitch outing against the Orioles on Monday, allowing one run on five hits with six strikeouts. He hasn't allowed more than four runs in a start all season and gets my support here to slow down the Royals.  I know the Royals are hot however, MATHENY is 13-24 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive wins in all games he has managed since 1997.
The Royals are 0-16 L/16 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game. Play on Minnesota to win |
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06-05-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
This series has been very tightly played from the very beginning and there is no reason for same very disciplined defensive hockey to continue here with all offense being played out of transition which Im betting results in combined score that stays under this total. 8 of 8 games in this series in TB have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-05-21 | Rays v. Rangers OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Rays hurler Hill is in top form but the Rangers have done fairly well vs the southpaw pitching this season averaging 4.1 rpg. Meanwhile, TB continues to be explosive offensively away from home averaging 6.1 rpg on the road. Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.500 (spanning 4 innings of relief). TAMPA BAY is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. TAMPA BAY is 11-1 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Rays are 13-0 OVER L/13 as a road favorite. Play OVER |
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06-04-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
After being blasted 7-1 in the opening game of this series, the Knights Im betting learned their lesson and will not want to open this series up as was evident in the 2nd game when they payed special attention to transition ,in a close 3-2 loss. Nothing changes tonight as Vegas will be out to make this a physical  grinding affair in the hopes of getting a win here this evening. VEGAS is 10-2 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game - 2nd half of the season with z combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. VEGAS is 20-9 UNDER  in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 10-3 UNDER in home games off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.  COLORADO is 22-11 UNDER in road games after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons NHL Home teams against the total (VEGAS) - quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 36-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams against the total (COLORADO) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games in the 2nd half of the season are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 216.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 According to the overall pace of this series and style of play my projections suggests a tilt where both teams score 107+ points which gives us an edge to the over on a total that I have projected at 219 which gives us a full possession plus advantage on this offered number, Note: DALLAS is 33-7 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.9 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 32-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS in 42 games when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. Clippers HC Lue is 17-5 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all games with a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DALLAS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, on Friday nights are 47-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies +116 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Jon Gray ( RHP4-5, 3.71 ERA, 50 SO)  is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and he is 8-1 with a 3.06 ERA against American League teams and gets the nod here vs the As tonight. The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Jon Gray starts at home and he had a WHIP of 2+ in his last start in a Rockies lost. COLORADO is 12-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent AL starter (ERA 4.20 to 4.70), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 37-16 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockies to win |
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06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Jon Gray the Rockies starter owns a sting 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and has also recorded a solid 3.06 ERA against American League teams. Meanwhile,  Montas has pitched well lately garnering a viable .3.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and a 2.50 ERA in his L/3 road starts this season. The Rockies are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits. COLORADO is 17-6 UNDER in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 14-5 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 32-9 UNDER  when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-04-21 | Reds v. Cardinals -134 | 6-4 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Cards starter Kwang Hyun Kim( LHP1-3, 3.65 ERA, 33 SO) was in top form facing the Reds on April 23, allowing one earned run in 5 2/3 innings while striking out a career-high eight batters. Rinse and repeat here as the under rated Cards have the edge at home. KIM is 6-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordNote: Reds starter  CASTILLO is 0-8 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-17 L/17 on the ML after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, then trailed and came back to win.  Play on the St.Louis Cards to win |
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06-04-21 | Canadiens v. Jets -109 | 1-0 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Habs have been involved in 8 straight physical games, and their energy levels must be starting to wane. With Winnipeg playing in the confines of Winnipeg and enjoying home cooking Im betting their much more ready to play the high octane type of game that will be played here this evening. Advantage Jets. MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.Canadiens are 7-17 in their last 24 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 overall. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win |
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06-04-21 | Indians -110 v. Orioles | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
 Jean Carlos Mejia (RHP1-0, 0.00 ERA, 7 SO) The Indians are ready to give MejÃa, who's made three scoreless appearances in relief, a chance to earn a spot in the rotation and now Im betting he will be primed to perform . The Indians are 13-0 L/13 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game. HYDE is 16-30 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of BALTIMORE BALTIMORE is 2-11 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. Play on Cleveland to win |
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