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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-21 | Georgia State v. Rhode Island -6 | 59-94 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-27-21 | Miami-OH -4 v. Western Illinois | 67-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-27-21 | UTSA v. North Texas +10 | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
   15th-ranked UTSA Roadrunners will be under extreme pressure to complete an undefeated regular season here against a stout opponent that has won 4 straight games covering all 4. The Mean Green still have to win their home finale for bowl eligibility and have plenty to play for other than just ruining the Roadrunners undefeated season .Advantage North Texas NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS  after playing a conference game this season.NORTH TEXAS is 16-5 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. CFB home team (NORTH TEXAS) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (UTSA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 25-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. North Texas to cover |
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11-27-21 | Troy v. Georgia State -6.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
When Georgia State records more than 25.1 points, it is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall and my projections expect a 28 plus or more point output. The Panthers have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 6.5 points or more (in three chances).This season, the Trojans have just one ATS victory in four games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more and are once again fade material here at a TD or less. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TROY) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 2-37 L/29 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.9 ppg qualifying on this ATS line offering. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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11-27-21 | Robert Morris +15.5 v. Davidson | 70-88 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-27-21 | South Dakota v. Nebraska -12 | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan +7.5 | 27-42 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
This Michigan football program is off one its worst in its history last season, and they have responded with poise and bounced back in a big way. The one loss to Michigan State was not completely surprising considering recent snake bites they have suffered in this series. However, wins vs Penn State and Wisconsin including some close road wins solidified their ability to compete. I know Ohio State is the better overall side, but with the grit the Wolverines have shown Im betting on a big effort here and cover as the redemption tour continues. MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS in games played on turf this season.  CFB home team vs. the money line (MICHIGAN) - off 1 or more straight overs, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game are 69-8 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.  CFB home team (MICHIGAN) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-27-21 | Texas Tech v. Baylor -14 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bears lead the Big 12 in total offense behind the duo of Abram Smith and Treston Ebner and are ultimately very fluid with their chess like attacks. This Bears team has a uncanny way of controlling the tempo of a game and Im betting Texas Techs wont keep up . Note: I know Blake Shapen is expected to be under center today for the Bears but this kid is talented and he will be out to make an impression and let the running game do the rest. Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Red Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS ( versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS ( in home lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS ( after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game this season with a ppg diff clicking in at +21.7 ppg. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TEXAS TECH) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after out gaining  opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 2-37 L/29 seasons for a 95% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Baylor to cover |
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11-27-21 | Miami-OH v. Kent State +1.5 | 47-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Kent State destroyed Akron last week by a 38-0 count and continue to show explosive offensive continuity averaging 46.8 ppg at home. On the flip-side , visiting Miami O is only averaging 19.8 ppg in offense when playing in the visitors role. Kent State has the advantage. KENT ST is 12-3 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (KENT ST) - off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival, with a winning record on the season are 48-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-26-21 | Oregon State +5.5 v. Wake Forest | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-21 | Iowa State v. Memphis -11 | 78-59 | Loss | -117 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
NIT Season Tip-Off - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (IOWA ST) - a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights are 16-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-26-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets +3.5 | 120-109 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight in the Mile High city. The Bucks are on a 5 game win streak, while Denver has lost 5 straight. With that said, I still like the Nuggets chances here to cover, as playing in this altitude is never easy out for any team. Note: Nikola Jokic is questionable but reports from insiders close to the team say he will prob start tonight. Malone is 37-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996. MILWAUKEE is 15-27 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 4-14 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 11-30 ATS  off 3 or more consecutive home wins. MILWAUKEE is 11-30 ATS L/41 off 3 or more consecutive home wins. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 38-16 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-26-21 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -1 | 132-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 6 straight games but playing on the road is not a strength of theirs as their 2-8 SU away record would indicate and Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side that has won 6 of 10 home games this season. Hawks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.Hawks are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games.Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. MEMPHIS is 15-5 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, first half of the season are 44-17 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 42-13 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-26-21 | Hawks v. Grizzlies OVER 225.5 | 132-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta ranks 6th in ppg in the NBA and 21st in ppg allowed while Memphis their hosts rank 7th in ppg scored in the league and 30th in ppg allowed with 7 of their L/9 games seeing a combined core of 227 or more points going on the board. Tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat offensive performance from the Grizzlies and enough efficiency from the Hawks for this offered total to be eclipsed. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 overall. MEMPHIS is 21-7 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 80-37 OVER L/ 5seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 66-33 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-26-21 | Avalanche -120 v. Stars | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
 The Dallas Stars ended Connor McDavid's 17-game point streak Tuesday night but now in a letdown spot are vulnerable vs a side with Stanley Cup aspirations. COLORADO is 14-1 ATS ( off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons.Avalanche are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (COLORADO) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period are 32-4 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (COLORADO) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game are 33-7 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Avs to win |
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11-26-21 | Wolves v. Hornets -2 | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Wolves have been playing some great ball but so have Charlotte who has won 7 of their 8 SU/ATS. Two teams with momentum but Im betting home court advantage is the edge breaker here. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +3.5 | 118-97 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
The Knicks ability to slow this game down (Ranking 22nd in pace) and to play hardcore D, will give them the edge here against a Suns team that is playing pedal to metal hoops of late as is evident by their 14 game win streak . I know the Suns are red hot, but after exerting that kind of relentless pressure , exhaustion eventually sets in , and here against what can be a physical Knicks side they could find the sledding tougher than anticipated.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. NEW YORK is 32-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 season. Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a home win against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 28-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-26-21 | Penn State +9 v. LSU | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-21 | Portland v. Montana State -7 | 66-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
E.Carolina is playing their best football of the season, as they enter this game on a 4 game win streak, and have played their best football at home this season winning 4 of 5 games while allowing just 18.8 ppg defensively. I know Cincinnati is a top tier team but they have played a long hard schedule, at a very high level and from time to time this season, have played games against lower tier sides like its a de-facto bye week. Advantage East Carolina Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Bearcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better . Houston is 12-2 ATS L/15 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E CAROLINA. Pirates are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. CFB home team vs. the money line (E CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on East Carolina to cover |
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11-26-21 | UNLV v. Air Force UNDER 50.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Air Force took part in a 41-39 offensive slugfest last time vs Nevada. However, previous to that shootout, the Falcons had allowed 10, 14, 17, 20, 21, 21 points respectively and only twice during that span scored more than 24 points. The Falcons love to pound the ball on the ground and here in a emotional letdown spot after their previous blockbuster will now be more conservative and ready to get back to playing solid D. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might indicate. Note: UNLV has averaged just 21.6 ppg on the road this season. AIR FORCE in straight home games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 39.2 ppg go on the board. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 34 ppg scored.  AIR FORCE is 21-5 UNDER in home games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (AIR FORCE) - after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 82-39 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas | 17-22 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Texas is in free fall after suffering 6 straight losses. Ending their futility today Im betting wont come easy if at all and Kansas States strong defense will be the difference maker. Im not saying this version of the Texas Longhorns is soft but their defense certainly is allowing 32.9 ppg overall and will be their downfall here today as it has been all season long. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 as a road underdog of 3 points or less . KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons  TEXAS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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11-26-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigans passing attack is explosive and the ground game has been balanced and hard to stop . That was evident in a 22-21 win over top tier Mac opponent Western Michigan. With a offense that rip points up on the board in bunches the Eagles are solid underdogs. Creighton is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 12-2 ATS  in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 16-4 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E MICHIGAN. E MICHIGAN is 15-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-26-21 | Boise State v. San Diego State +3 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This game has implications for the races in both the West and Mountain divisions and Im expecting both sides to leave everything on the field it what the lines-makers and myself expect to be a very close game, with the points in my betting opinion ending up being golden. The Aztecs defense is a wall against opposing ground games, and it all ties together with an offense that controls games in a very chess like conservative fashion. In a big game like this the home side looks like viable option getting points. SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.Hoke is 11-2 ATS in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-25-21 | San Francisco v. Towson +13 | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show | |
They both are dealing with a short week as they prepare to meet Thursday night in New Orleans which sets up well for a slower paced game. Two viable defenses go head to head in prime time football this Thanksgiving. Buffalo has allowed just 17.6 ppg and the Saints have given up an average of 21.8 ppg. Thursday home pups like the Saints have gone UNDER all 5 times this season with a combined average of 36.8 ppg going on the board. Note: From a historical perspective it must be noted that the Saints have gone UNDER in  in their last 9 Thursday nighters with a combined score of 39 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Buffalo was asleep at the wheel last week and were upset by a ugly 41-17 count by Indianapolis which Im betting will have them ready for a vigilant bounce back effort especially on D. Note: BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER off a home loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 30.9 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 10-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 42.3 ppg scored. McDermott is 12-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of BUFFALO with a combined average of 39 ppg going on the board. Under is 19-7 in Bills last 26 games on fieldturf. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Thanksgiving nigh tilts have stayed lower scoring in 10 of the L/14 events staying below the offered total by an of 5.8 ppg, with the under cashing 6 straight times. Play UNDER |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -1 | 31-21 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
Egg Bowl Mississippi State sits at 7-4 overall and 4-3 in the SEC West. Ole Miss is 2nd in the division at 9-2 overall, 5-2 in conference play. The Miss State Bulldogs have played well against higher-ranked teams, especially as hosts, taking out NC State, Kentucky, and Auburn at Davis Wade. All of those football programs were ranked at the time. Im betting Leach and company have the edge again vs their higher ranked opponent. Key tonight will be  the Bulldogs strong rush defense which ranks No. 21, in the nation and 4th in the SEC behind Georgia, Alabama and A&M which will take away from the Rebels being able to open up their pass game , which will limit their offensive options. On the flipside Im betting Miss State QB Rogers will meticulously follow a controlled game plan that will utilize everything available to him and give the viable Ole Miss D more than what they can plan for. Leach is 32-12 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.Leach is 22-7 ATS in home games after gaining 375 or more passing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 38-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on Miss State to cover/win |
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11-25-21 | Alabama v. Iona +12.5 | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State UNDER 52.5 | 40-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
 SAN JOSE STATE ranks 112th in points per game and 114th in yards per game and Im betting will once again struggle for consistent offensive flow vs Fresno State. Meanwhile, the The Bulldogs’ secondary is one of the tops in the nation , ranking eighth in Passing Success Allowed, and 5th in opponent completion percentage. On the flipside, Fresno State is more explosive offensively behind QB Haener, but it must be noted that the Spartans D is stout, ranking 23rd in coverage rating and 34th in yards per pass allowed with the defensive line ranking registering at 40th in pass rush and 48th in Sack Rate. This is a big game for San Jose State so Im betting they play this game like a chess match knowing they are outgunned, which in turn Im betting will see a muted combined score that fails to eclipse this offered total. SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (FRESNO ST) - after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 42-14 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SAN JOSE ST/FRESNO ST) - in conference games, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 188-122 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +7.5 | 40-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a big game for San Jose State, as a win would make it bowl eligible. Needless to say Im betting we pull out all the stops to find a way to get a victory here. Im betting on the Spartans top tier D to keep them in this game until the end. SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SAN JOSE ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game. Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field-turf. Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on the San Jose Spartans to cover |
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11-25-21 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 16-14 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
The Lions have a big reputation as Thanksgiving day money makers, but the truth it's usually when they are favs that they shine, but as dogs they have lost 12 straight times and covered only twice losing by an average of 9.8 ppg. I know Chicago may not inspire bettors but they are the superior side, and being very hungry for wins Im betting they dont pass up this opportunity to register a victory. Note: The Lions will start one of their woeful backups probably the horrendous looking Boyle this week and are down to just 3 healthy starting offensive lineman , so offensive continuity and scoring is going to be an issue. I know QB Fields may also not start for the Bears but to me veteran QB Dalton is a better option anyway . NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.3 ppg which qualifies from a. ATS level as well.  NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two struggling offensive teams (14-18 PPG) after 8 or more games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 21-3 ATS L/38 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFL  Road teams (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Chicago has won 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and their L/2 visits to Motown . Play on Chicago Bears to cover |
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11-24-21 | Senators v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 3-6 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a closely contested 2-1 affair back in October this season, and Im betting that we will see another close checking game that will be planned in transition and translate into a lower scoring affair that will not eclipse this offered number. Ottawa just took part in a 7-5 offensive slugfest last time out in a loss to Colorado and will be ready to play better D . Note:  In nine starts Sharks Goalie Reimer is among the league leaders with a 1.87 goals-against average and a .940 save percentage. SAN JOSE is 9-0 UNDER against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances this seasonSAN JOSE is 5-0 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.SAN JOSE is 6-0 UNDER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.Under is 4-0 in Sharks last 4 overall. Under is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 9-2 in Sharks last 11 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game .OTTAWA is 5-0 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Under is 4-1 in Senators last 5 vs. Pacific. Play UNDER |
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11-24-21 | TCU v. Pepperdine +11 | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
11-24-21 | Ducks v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Avalanche have won five straight games, scoring 31 goals in those wins without their top offensive players McKinnon in the lineup and Im betting that offense will continue to roll here tonight vs the Anaheim Ducks . With that said, look for the Ducks behind a well balanced offense to do some damage in return and for this total to be eclipsed. Note: The Ducks have eight players with 10 or more points this year. sCOLORADO is 7-0 OVER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances this season..COLORADO is 15-3 OVER after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 12-1 OVER  after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 OVER in November games this season.COLORADO is 13-3 OVER after a 4 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 7-0 OVER after playing a road game this season. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Colorado. Play OVER |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves -1 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Minnesota is playing at a high level right now having won 4 straight games, while Miami despite of their top tier status are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 5 nights and vulnerable vs a motivated team with momentum playing at home. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Minnesota has won the L/2 meetings here at home in this series. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-24-21 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -3 | 126-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have won three of their past four games, while the Raptors have lost three of the first four games on a six-game road trip. These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum and with that said the home side get the nod on a short chalk line. note:  The Raptors have played the past three games without OG Anunoby (hip pointer). He is averaging a team-best 20.1 points in 15 games.\ Without him the lineup the Raptors are at a disadvantage. Raptors are rested but that has not been a good omen for them recently as they are  are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 2 days rest. ORONTO is 7-18 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 81-12 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate and ppg diff that clicks in at +9.3 ppg. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves OVER 212 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
both these sides are operating at high level and both Im betting will be pushed into action tonight in what Im betting will see the combined score push into the upper 215+ area which projects an over wager cashing. Yes, I know both defenses are playing well but an aggressive posture by these teams will push is over the offered number. MIAMI is 8-1 OVER in non-conference games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 220.7 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.  Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate wih the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg. Over is 6-0 L/6 meetings overall in this series. Play on the OVER |
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11-24-21 | Wizards -3.5 v. Pelicans | 102-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Washington makes sure they take advantage of lower tier teams like New Orleans and they almost never asleep against sub par sides. Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Wizards are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Wizards are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Wizards are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wizards to cover |
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11-24-21 | Lakers v. Pacers -3.5 | 124-116 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Lakers are currently not operating optimally as is evident by losing 4 of their L/5 games wiht the the one win coming against the lowly Pistons as they came back from a DD deficit. than after that game they played a hard fought affair vs the Knicks an lost 106-100 which sets them up to come in to this their 5 straight road game on tired legs which makes them vulnerable to a down game, vs a Indiana side that plays their best hoops at home where they have won 4 straight tilts. .Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Lakers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana. LA LAKERS are 2-16 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 season.LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-24-21 | Nicholls State +1.5 v. Utah Valley | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-23-21 | Portland v. Portland State UNDER 147 | 69-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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11-23-21 | Gonzaga v. UCLA UNDER 156.5 | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) are 44-17 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
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11-23-21 | Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks are 5-1-0 since Derek King replaced Jeremy Colliton on Nov. 6, after winning just once in 12 games under Colliton and Im betting they wont be an easy out here. Meanwhile, as of Sunday the Flames had played eight games in 13 days with two back-to-backs and Im sure they are still a little fatigued, and may not be prepared to play a top tier brand of defense on tired legs. I expect the Blackhawks to be aggressive and for Calgary to answer back in a tilt that will be higher scoring than anticipated. Over is 8-3-2 in Blackhawks last 13 games as a road underdog. CALGARY is 6-0 OVER in home games when playing against a lower tier win percentage team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (CALGARY) - excellent defensive team - allowing 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games are 82-51 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Calgary. Play OVER |
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11-23-21 | Illinois State +12 v. St. Louis | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-23-21 | Lakers v. Knicks -2.5 | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
The Lakers exerted alot of energy in a brawl filled comeback win against the Detroit Pistons last time out and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry NY Knicks side that is desperate for momentum. NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of NEW YORK. Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Vogel is 5-16 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of LA LAKERS. NBA Road underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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11-23-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 207 | 100-92 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Detroit took part in a big brawl against the Lakers last time out. They also blew a big lead for a loss and will now want some sort of redemption. Meanwhile, with Miami knowing they should not overlook this opponent, and they themselves off a loss, Im betting the Heat will come out here firing bullets, and Motown will have to respond with some fireworks fo their own or be blown off the court in classic chase action -which will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games as a road favorite.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.MIAMI is 11-1 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 18-4 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222 ppg. DETROIT is 9-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.Casey is 34-19 OVER in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of DETROIT. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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11-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 61.5 | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois clinched the MAC West and motivation this week maybe an issue as well as trying to stay healthy before they go to Ford Field and play for the conference title. So Im betting on a muted effort here, by N.Illinois while Western Michigan really does not have alot to play after a very inconsistent season as they are projected to get an invite to a lower level bowl. Western Michigan has one of the better running games and today I expect they will employ that in grinding fashion, as they try to keep the explosive attack of the Huskies off the field, which in turn will keep the clock churning in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game than the pundits anticipate. Note: These two sides rank 104th and 96th in tempo in the nation. N.Illinois ha clinched a N ILLINOIS is 24-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 52.9 ppg scored.N ILLINOIS is 17-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 53.5 ppg scored during that 23 game sample size. CFB team against the total (W MICHIGAN) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 85-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-23-21 | Southern Utah v. Yale -130 | 88-85 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-22-21 | Suns v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Suns romped to a big DD win last night and are currently firing on cylinders behind the 4th best ppg offense and 5th ranked pace. Note:PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored in the 17 game sample size . Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, San Antonio has allowed 115+ ppg at home this season, and rank 24th overall in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 4th in pace which sets up for what I expect will be a speedy game that will eclipse this offered totals number. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 home games NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 31-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the combined average score of 233 ppg going board. Play OVER |
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11-22-21 | Penguins v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Winnipeg is well rested and will go after the Penguins in aggressive fashion here, and Im betting the Pens will be forced to open up because of this in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. WINNIPEG is 10-2 OVER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. I know the Pens have been tough as nails on defense the last two games, posting consecutive shutouts, including a 2-0 back checking event last time out, but that will make the Jets even more aggressive right out of the gate. PITTSBURGH is 21-10 OVER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored in those 24 tilts. Over is 9-3 in Penguins last 12 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.  Over is 6-2 in Penguins last 8 games as a road underdog. NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team in the first half of the season are 31-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | 10-30 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants’ defense is top form and have been really been stoppers in the last three weeks giving them the ability to be competitive against any NFL team even the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs . On the flip side, the giants rarely get much push from the offensive line but against shaky TB secondary I expect for some big plays and scores. With Big Blue getting healthy they are solid bets here to cover vs a Bucs side that is definitely not playing a top level at the moment. . Giants are 19-4 ATS L/23 as road underdogs. Judge is 8-1 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of NY GIANTS. NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS against NFC East division opponents over the last 3 seasons. TB has lost 19 of its L/26 SU after two consecutive road losses. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 35-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (NY GIANTS) - off a home win, a struggling team, winning 25% to 40% of their games, in the second half of the season are 46-19 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NY Giants to cover |
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11-22-21 | Troy State +5.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 83-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  |
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11-22-21 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 58-69 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  WISCONSIN is 5-15 ATS L/20 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.Gard is 5-13 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less as the coach of WISCONSIN. CBB Neutral court teams (TEXAS A&M) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, team that had a losing record last season are 24-7 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.Â
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11-22-21 | Vermont v. Oakland +3.5 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  |
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11-21-21 | Capitals v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Seattles D and goal tending have been atrocious of late, allowing 31 goals in their L/5 games and things do not look to get much better tonight against the explosive Washington Capitals.The Kraken Im betting will be forced to open up here because of their inability to stop their opponents. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: Kraken Goaltenders Grubauer, has the worst save percentage (.875 SVP) in the NHL among goalies who have played 10 or more games. his backup Driedger's owns a .791 SVP ( 3 games). SEATTLE is 11-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.SEATTLE is 9-0 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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11-21-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -5 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
After. a fast start to their season the Knicks have now lost 6 of their L/10 and are not looking cohesive especially in the offensive end of the court averaging just 101.9 ppg during their current sub par 10 game run. Meanwhile, the Bulls are now in top form behind some tremendous defensive play and clutch offense. Note: The Bulls have held their opp to a 44.4% FG conversion rate while ranking eighth best in Defensive Rating, allowing 104.1 points per 100 possessions. With revenge on board, for a earlier 103-104 loss to the Knicks Im expecting a redemption run here tonight and a subsequent win and cover at home for a Bulls side that has covered 11 of their L/16 overall. Interesting anomaly -CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 8-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-21-21 | Nuggets +8.5 v. Suns | 97-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Because the Suns are red hot there is a premium being added to their chalk lines giving us an edge in spot situations. I know the Suns have revenge on board for a home loss to the Nuggets from late in October , but Denver matches up well from a style of play perspective and must be respected getting points . I also know that these two teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but it must be noted Malone is 14-4 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 3-14 ATS L/17 in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins . Suns are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - giving up 11 or less off. rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 112-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Take the points with Denver |
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11-21-21 | Lakers v. Pistons +7.5 | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers Key starters Davis and James is they play today vs the Pistons will see limited time because of injuries and the team as a whole, have shown a lack of chemistry and determination and are fade material here in Motown tonight. LA has also just 1-4 SU on the road this season, and don't deserve this much respect based on brand recognition along. No not even against the lowly Pistons. LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 42-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 48 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
We have a top tier West Division battle between Arizona and Seattle this Sunday afternoon, both were off losses with the Seahawks getting shutout . Seattle’s enters this game playing a top tier brand of defense football, allowing 13, 7, and 17 pts allowed in their last 3 games and  come in with a having eclipsed the total just once in 9 games this season and were shutout last time out with a total of 17 points being scored . The average line of Seahawks tilts has been 48.9 with the average  combined score clicking in at 40.7 ppg. Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games as an underdog. Whether QB Kyle Murray plays (ANKLE) or is less than 100% Im betting he is kept mostly at bey.  It must be noted that NFL WEST DIVISION games L/37 seasons when the home team is an underdog of 6 pts or less the under has hit 75% plus of the time after game 8 or greater (15-49-1 UNDER ).  Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road favorite.Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 games on fieldturf. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games ARE 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL  team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - with a struggling passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Niagara -1 v. Youngstown State | 58-53 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  NIAGARA is 16-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games in November games . CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 30-5 ATS L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Niagara to cover |
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11-21-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -2 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Dallas is off two exhausting back and forth losses to the Phoenix Suns and could find themselves vulnerable here on tired legs in a letdown spot . Meanwhile, Im betting the Clippers will be very focused as they get back on track after a lackluster 94-81 loss at New Orleans lat time out. These clunkers in the NBA happen all the time even to well coached teams like the Clippers so I wont take a-lot of time to over analyze, especially considering that was the Clippers 5th game in 7 nights .With Dallas young star Luka Doncic hobbled by an ankle injury and less than 100% if he plays the Mavs will be at a disadvantage. Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 53 m | Show | |
Green Bays defense shined last time out with a 17-0 polishing of Seattle. Im expecting their D, to stand tall again this week in this key divisional battle vs Minnesota, a side of a hard fought victory last week vs the Chargers. Note: Minnesota has allowed 20 points or less in 5 of their L/7 overall. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 home games. Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games overall.Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 vs. NFC. GREEN BAY is 8-1 UNDER (when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER vs struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 6-0 UNDER  vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season with a combined average of 34.5 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games are 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season ere 42-14 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 45 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 43 m | Show | |
I know the Jets D is atrocious but the Dolphins are not a team that can take huge advantage of this situation. Meanwhile, the Jets are not trusting Mike White under center, and the play calling from the offensive coordinator is amateurish at best making futility the call here today and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total.  NY JETS are 12-2 UNDER L/14 in home games versus struggling rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games in November.Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC.Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC East.MIAMI is 41-14 UNDER vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return . MIAMI is 61-39 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. NFL team against the total (NY JETS) - after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 23-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFLHome teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 35 points or more in 2 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MIAMI) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 29-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Texans v. Titans UNDER 45 | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 66 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas has scored 9 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games and today if they can muster that many points Ill be surprised vs a Titans team that held KC to just 3 points a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, Tennessee after 5 straight grueling games against top tier competition could end up using this game as a de-facto bye week, and not put the pedal to the metal or even be inclined to do so as they save some juice for the play offs . This equates to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers might expect. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. DD road dogs like Texas off their bye week have gone under in 9 of their L/10 trips to the gridiron when the total is 42 or more. Texans are 1-10 L/11 under as a road dog of 3 points or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-13 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NFL team against the total (TENNESSEE) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 36-14 L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Panthers -3 | 27-21 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
The Washington football team after upsetting the defending Super Bowl Champs last week will now in a huge emotional letdown situation on the road. It must be noted that sides off a upset of the defending Super Bowl champion by 10 or more points have covered just 3 of the 19 times  when facing a .400 or better side like the Panthers in their following tilt. With Carolina looking like a viable side to back with Cam Newton or former XFL star QB PJ Walker under center Im recommedning we pull the trigger here and lay a few points with a team that has plenty of momentum and crowd support this Sunday. NFL Favorites (CAROLINA) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (27 or more PPG), after scoring 30 points or more last game are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-21-21 | Green Bay +14 v. Weber State | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.   WI-GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 222 | 123-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this game ranked 27th in ppg defense and rank 7th in pace. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 3rd in offense behind a mid range pace as compared to the league. Using these numbers, and head to head style of play factors Im projecting a combined score in the mid 220s giving us value with an over wager.  SACRAMENTO is 18-6 OVER in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. Walton is 29-12 OVER  in home games after playing a home game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home which was the case last time out, which from my perspective will make the Kings more aggressive especially in an environment that has nothing to lose written all over it. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - playing on back-to-back days, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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11-20-21 | Western Illinois v. DePaul -10.5 | 80-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Heat v. Wizards +1.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and must be respected here vs a very good but exhausted Miami side that will be playing their 7th game in 10 nights. Redemption now on board for a 112 -97 loss in South Florida a couple of days ago. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasonWASHINGTON is 31-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 23-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 30-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover  |
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11-20-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -7 | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana made a late run last night in a loss to Charlotte but they are well conditioned and will be ready in a friendly home environment to take down a Pelicans side off an upset win last night. Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. (5 of those losses came by DDS) NEW ORLEANS is 0-9 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.3 ppg. NBA team (INDIANA) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-20-21 | Flames v. Islanders -112 | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
The Islanders have not been playing well, but tonight it will be all men on deck for their home opener in their new arena. The Isles in part were faltering because of having to play their first 13 games of the season on the road , which would take the piss out of any team . Make no mistake the Islanders are still a championship caliber side and must be respected here as short hame chalk. Favorite is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Islanders are 6-1 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Islanders are 37-17 in their last 54 games as a home favorite. NHL team against the money line (CALGARY) - after shutting out their opponent in their previous game against opponent after allowing 6 goals or more are 15-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Islanders to win |
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11-20-21 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
There is plenty of offensive fire power in these lineups and Im betting we see some fireworks tonight.With Crosby back in the line for the Pens after a covid protocol they will be more aggressive and that was evident when the Penguins lit up the board Thursday night with a 6-0 victory over the host Montreal Canadiens . The Pens now bring that momentum in here against a Leafs side that has won 10 of their L/11. Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 games as an underdog. PITTSBURGH is 9-2 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons.  PITTSBURGH is 16-7 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average 7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 23-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on OVER |
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11-20-21 | Oral Roberts -11 v. Central Arkansas | 67-70 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Syracuse +11.5 v. NC State | 17-41 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
After being very competitive this season , Syracuse looked tired/lifeless vs Louisville last week in a 41-3 loss. Previous to that 5 of their L/6 games were all decided by 4 points or less and they have won the stats battles in 8 of 10 games this season. There is good news coming for Syracuse bettors this week as Babers is 8-0 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE. On the flip-side NC States HC Doeren is 0-9 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game as the coach of NC STATE like Syracuse. I expect Syracuse to pound away on the ground today and to take advantage of Wolfpack side that has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as 10 or more point home fav in conference tilts. SYRACUSE is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return. SYRACUSE is 8-2 ATS in all games this season.Â
Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-20-21 | UCLA v. USC +3.5 | 62-33 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
Rivals go head to head today in southern California , and Im betting the under performing but under rated home side has the edge. The UCLA secondary is vulnerable as is evident by allowing an average of 240 yards per game. The one thing that USC can do consistently is go deep and make passes, and that what will be the difference maker here today. UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). USC has been a recent ATM when faltering going 6-0 ATS as a home pup when coming off consecutive losses, including a 6-0 ATS mark as a home dog with a below .500 record. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 76-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play USC to cover |
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11-20-21 | Connecticut v. Central Florida UNDER 56 | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
UConn has averaged 13.8 ppg on offense this season and my projections estimate a even lower aggregate here vs UCF that allows just 15.8 ppg at home vs better competition. This outlook leans heavy on this being a game that will not see this combined score eclipse the offered number. Note: UCF allowed 55 points in a loss to SMU last week, but prior to that they allowed 7, 7 10 points respectively and a return to strong defensive play is key here for the home side. Malzahn is 10-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored. CFB  teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCF) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game.are 24-3 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-21 | Illinois-Chicago +19.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | North Carolina v. Purdue -6.5 | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Rice v. UTEP -8.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (RICE) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -19 ppg. Play on UTEP |
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11-20-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -20.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
Alabama has crushed  Arkansas 100-10 count  in the last two meetings and Im betting on another beatdown here, as the Tide ramp up into championship form, especially on defense, where they have allowed just 15.8 ppg at home this season. Alabama is 5-1 ATS as home favorite of less than 24 points. Lay and it and play it on Alabama to cover |
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11-20-21 | UAB +4.5 v. UTSA | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The UTSA Roadrunners come into this game undefeated, but Im betting they will have their hands full with UAB this week in a key game. Its alot of pressure for a team to stay undefeated in College Football, and Im betting they feel the heat here today vs a UAB side that is ntorious for picking up big wins in key games. Note: The Blazers allow a little over 100 rushing yards per game, and they lead the league in total defense. Defence wins championships and in this case gets us the cover in this spot play. |
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11-20-21 | Villanova -125 v. Tennessee | 71-53 | Win | 100 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
11-20-21 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
Iowa State has big time revenge on board vs Oklahoma this Saturday , after having their butts handed to them in last year’s Big 12 Championship. Note:Iowa State is a profitable 5-1 ATS L/6 away with conference revenge .I know the Cyclones are also off a loss last week in heart breaking fashion, but now that will make them even hungrier as a collective. Advantage Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in weeks 10 through 13 are 45-85 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.(Lost a Baylor last week 27-14) |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Clemson slowly but surely has gotten back towards championship form and now must be respected here at home to handle a one way Wake Forest offensive juggernaut. The Clemson D, Im betting will give Wake a real test, while the Deacons D, is usually their weak link and wont stand up very well in the end. (Wake ha allowed an average of 42 ppg on the road this season) Clemson HC Swinney is 14-2 SU L/16 when having won three straight games.. WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 50-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Clemson to cover |
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11-19-21 | Bulls v. Nuggets -3 | 114-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Bulls are playing much better hoops but they are in a bad spot here at the tail end of their West Coast rodeo tour as they play their 5th straight road game in the thin air of Mile High city. Im betting on Denver here taking advantage of their tired hosts. Denver has won 19 of the L/23 meetings here in Denver. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Denver to cover |
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11-19-21 | Air Force +2 v. Nevada | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
Air Force has impressed me this season, winning the stats battles in 9 of 10 games and are 4-0 SU/ATS on the road this season  and after watching them take down Colorado state last time out on the road by a 35-21 margin it became clear they are for real. Now the talented and gritty Falcons crew take to the road again and Im betting they wont be intimidated at all here by a Nevada side that did not completely live up to expectations this season and now in a emotional letdown spot, after losing a key heart breaker to San Diego State last week. . CFB  team (AIR FORCE) - after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover |
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11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 60 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis games have not eclipsed the total in 4 straight opportunities. Meanwhile, I know Houston ash really been lighting up the scoreboard but it must be noted  Holgorsen is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 52.7 ppg scored. Im expecting a harder fought battle than many expect with less points than the most expect. MEMPHIS is 23-5 UNDER L/28 in road games in weeks 10 through 13 . CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (HOUSTON) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 33-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 52.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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11-19-21 | Memphis +9 v. Houston | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
There is alot of pressure here on the Houston Cougars as a win this week against a dangerous Memphis side and another next week vs UConn and HC Holgernson and company will take on Cincinnati in the AC Conference Championship game. However, Memphis would love to play spoiler here and they do have the offensive weapons to make Houston sweat and to get us the all important cover. Note: Memphis is 5-1 SU/ 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series and must be respected because of their explosiveness and ability to get a upset win or backdoor cover. |
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11-19-21 | Florida International -3.5 v. Green Bay | 63-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Florida International to cover |
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11-19-21 | Lakers v. Celtics -1.5 | 108-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this game against the Lakers with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite. Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and offer us an edge at home a short line. BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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11-19-21 | Pacers v. Hornets -1.5 | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won 4 straight games while Indiana has lost 2 straight. Ill chase the momentum here and the side playing in top from at home. INDIANA is 15-27 ATS L/42 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS ( after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 28-12 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-19-21 | NC-Greensboro v. Massachusetts OVER 130.5 | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-18-21 | Raptors v. Jazz OVER 214.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
TORONTO is 24-11 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average for 225.6 ppg . Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. are 56-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-18-21 | Raptors +10.5 v. Jazz | 103-119 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto has fallen from their previous championship levels but they are still a talented team. Yes, they are in a funk, but correcting their current skid is not going to be problem going forward if they can stay relatively healthy. As for tonights battle against top tier opponent Utah, Im betting they will be competitive  and get us the cover. Note: Raptors are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah. Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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11-18-21 | Jets +132 v. Oilers | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Connor McDavid is no doubt a scoring super star and the Oilers are taking on his momentum to be recognized as attacking juggernauts. The fans love this type of hockey, but I still feel the Oilers can be undisciplined at times, as was the case in a 5-2 loss at Winnipeg the other night and are vulnerable vs disciplined sides like Winnipeg. With the Jets top tier goalie Hellebuyck, in top form as is evident by his current  to 6-0-2 run over his last eight games Im betting we have value here with the invaders. Jets are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Pacific.Oilers are 1-4 in their last 5 in the second game of a home-and-home situation. Play on Winnipeg to win |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +6.5 | 25-0 | Loss | -102 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons suffered their worst loss in almost 20 years this past Sunday vs Dallas 43-3 and with that said it must be noted pros do not like to be embarrassed. Remember these NFL rosters are made up of some of the top athletes in the world, and they own some of the biggest egos on earth. Im expecting a big effort from the entire Falcons group here at home in this national broadcast tilt and what Ill peg as redemption night in Georgia. I know New England smashed Cleveland last time out by a 45-7 count , but a repeat performance is unlikely here as is Atlanta having another muted offensive effort. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Patriots are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta to cover |
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11-18-21 | Clippers -1 v. Grizzlies | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers are in strong current form having won 8 of their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Memphis has been less than consistent and are off snapping a 3 game losing streak. From a SRS perspective the Clippers are ranked 4th in the NBA ( 6.57) while the Grizzlies are ranked 22nd ( -2.31). Even with home court advantage, the Clippers according to the data is the superior team even with their injury issues and the Grizzlies playing with a healthy group tonight. The Grizzlies took out the the Clippers in Los Angeles on Oct. 23, 120-114 and now with revenge on board for the visitors a return of the favor is a strong possibility. LA CLIPPERS are 44-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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11-18-21 | Spurs +3 v. Wolves | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Both these sides to do inspire me, but what does stand out, is that the Wolves are not a side that should be laying points under any circumstances in their current form even at home vs another struggling side. From a SRS perspective - Spurs are ranked 23rd while the Wolves were ranked 24th. Advantage Spurs. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.   MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. is 9-21 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-18-21 | Texas-Arlington +11.5 v. North Texas | 36-64 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
11-18-21 | Ball State v. Florida International -1 | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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