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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Duke | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Gainbridge Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN The seventh-ranked Blue Devils face sixth-ranked and reigning national champion Kansas on Tuesday night in Indianapolis for the Champions Classic. Defending national champion Kansas is 3-1 straight up in the past four against Duke and get the nod again. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 104-58 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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11-15-22 | Fairfield +19 v. Xavier | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The price for playing a strong College basketball brand like Xavier gives value to the underdog number being offered here. Young is 13-5 ATS in road games after a non-conference game as the coach of FAIRFIELD. Young is 11-3 ATS in November games as the coach of FAIRFIELD. FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament from prior season who won their last 3 games, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 4-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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11-15-22 | Clippers v. Mavs -7 | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas has played their best hoops at home this season winning 5 of their 6 tilts , with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under +8. My power ranking suggest -8 is the correct line here favoring the host thus giving us an edge on this current line offering especially with the visitors playing short handed ie (Kawhi Leonard and John Wall) and now playing back to back nights. Luka Doncic scored at will against the Los Angeles Clippers last season and Im betting he will once be the catalyst in this contest. Note: Doncic  scored 96 total points vs the Clippers in two games that were 48 hours apart. Doncic, leads the NBA ins coring averaging 34.3 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. LA CLIPPERS are 5-21 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 9-65 L/5 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the |
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11-15-22 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -107 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
I know Columbus has not played as expected early on this season, but the Flyers have also been very inconsistent and have a recent history of sub par efforts vs struggling sides like the Blue Jackets . Note: PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. The Flyers are also on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights are at a disadvantage especially considering their current form. PHILADELPHIA is 2-15 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is also just 3-21 ATS after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 3-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on Columbus to win |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Pelicans | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis is off a DD loss last time out at Washington but have proven resilient under those circumstances in bounce back opportunities and have also played well against top tier teams in a groove like the Pelicans. MEMPHIS is 12-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 32-15 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are fade material here laying points against a quality opponent that does not take kindly to having lost last time out. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-15-22 | USC Upstate +21.5 v. Clemson | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC Upstate |
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11-14-22 | Hornets +1.5 v. Magic | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Charlotte is in desperate need of a win after 8 straight losses, and will primed to get a victory and revenge at the same time for a 113-93 loss they suffered to the Magic back on Oct 28th of this season. CHARLOTTE is 19-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Hornets are 46-16-2 ATS in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. The Magic have had a long history of crapping the bed vs sub .500 opposition. Magic are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.ORLANDO is 25-41 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, in November games are 88-48 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 63-107 L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-14-22 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Both Toronto and Detroit are a bit banged up entering this tilt with some nagging injuries through each lineup and key players out.Toronto has lost three of its last four games and four of its last six. Forward Pascal Siakam is out and they look like vulnerable road favs here vs a side they have failed to cover 6 straight times against. I know Motown is not playing all that well , but from a long term perspective DETROIT is 33-19 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. TORONTO is 13-31 ATS L/44 after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent . Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-14-22 | Richmond v. College of Charleston +3 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  North Carolina Tar Heels were tested by the College of Charleston program this past Friday night in Chapel Hill. Charleston held a 50-43 halftime edge against the nation's top-ranked team while outrebounding the Tar Heels 35-32 to put the country on notice . The Cougars are now well prepared and obviously talented enough to give defending league champs a run for their money tonight on home court. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-4 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.  CBB road team vs. the money line (RICHMOND) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RICHMOND) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 7-26 ATA L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 against the spread versus RICHMOND since 1997. Play on college of Charleston |
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11-14-22 | Princeton -5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 94-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PRINCETON is 15-2 ATS off a close road loss by 3 points or less which was the case last time out. MD-BALT COUNTY is 4-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Princeton to cover |
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11-14-22 | Islanders -115 v. Senators | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The New York Islanders will seek their ninth win in 11 games on Monday when they face a Ottawa side they matchup well against. The Sens did end a 7 game losing streak last time out, but once again look vulnerable to attach another L to that record. OTTAWA is 0-11 ATS in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons. Note: Varlamov is 3-2-0 with a 2.93 goals-against average this season, while Ilya Sorokin has a 2.17 GAA in winning seven of his 11 starts this season. Sorokin stopped 56 of 60 shots to win both of his starts versus Ottawa in 2021-22. OTTAWA is 2-16 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Isles have won the L/3 most head to head battles and get the nod again. NY Islanders to win |
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11-13-22 | Chargers v. 49ers OVER 45 | 16-22 | Loss | -114 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
 My own number on this total is 47 thus prompting to back recommending an over wager here. Im betting top tier QBs Jimmy Garoppolo and Justin Hebert take part in a back forth Sunday night event. LA Chargers have cashed on the OVER in 10 of their L/11 non division games  when the Totals offering is 51 points or less with the average combined score clicking in at 60.1 ppg. Chargers are 4-0 OVER L/4 in back to back road games and 7-1 OVER vs NFC West and 12-4 OVER as division road dog of 3 points or more . SF is 6-1 OVER off road dog victory and 5-1 OVER off division road win and .8-2 OVER at home after allowing 14 points or less . These teams have combined to average of 59.2 ppg in their L/4 meetings Over is 10-4 in Chargers last 14 games overall. LA CHARGERS are 19-8 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS are 19-9 OVER after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 54.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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11-13-22 | Nuggets v. Bulls +1.5 | 126-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
When Zach Lavine is in the lineup and healthy the Bulls are dangerous opponent for all comers. He is expected to play this evening vs Denver, and with the Bulls on 3 days rest the home side will be fresh and ready to perform. Note: Chicago swept the season series from Denver last season behind solid play from LaVine, who averaged 34 points in the two games, and Im betting he will be the difference maker yet again. CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 18-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-13-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -1.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 17 m | Show | |
 Rams were shocked last week as with 35 seconds left on the clock Tom Brady engineered a come from behind victory with a TD that shocked and emotionally smacked the Rams down a few notches. Now in a rebound mode Im betting the redemption minded Rams come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and take down the visiting Cardinals. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 2-11 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Kingsbury is 0-6 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of ARIZONA. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 3-33 L/5 seasons a go against 92% conversion rate. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - poor team - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 2-29 L/5 seasons for 94% conversion rate. Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 in this series. Play on LA Rams to cover |
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11-13-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi State UNDER 138.5 | 47-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MISS VALLEY ST) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, team that had a losing record last season are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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11-13-22 | Texans +4.5 v. Giants | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
I respect how well the Giants have played this season overall but they have a long history of playing down to their opposition. It must be noted that the Gmen have failed to cover 12 of their L/16 vs sub .150 struggling sides like the Texans. Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 10. Texans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 8-19 L/27 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games . Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. NFL Favorites (NY GIANTS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced are 60-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Texans to cover |
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11-13-22 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 32 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings this game should be closer to a pickem even though the Bears have home field advantage thus giving us value with the road dog. DETROIT is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North. CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC North.Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Bears are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. NFL team (CHICAGO) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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11-13-22 | Saints -1.5 v. Steelers | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 13 m | Show | |
The inconsistent Saints played their most complete game of the season when they beat visiting Las Vegas 24-0 two weeks ago and despite of a loss last week are more than capable of a bounce back vs a Pittsburgh side they matchup well against. Not betting on another shut out, but against a  offense, which is averaging just 15 points per game and is tied for the fewest offensive touchdowns in the NFL (11) the Saints have a great opportunity for victory. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Saints are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous gam PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS L/15 against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse in the second half of the season . NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 35-2 L/39 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Saints to cover |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland according to my power rankings despite of a sub .500 record is very under rated and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a Miami side that are ranked 15th in rushing yardage allowed per game this season. Look for Nick Chubb to do what other RBs have not done to the Dolphins and rush consistently and for more than 100 yards. Chubb is second only to Derrick Henry in rushing yards per game (105.1) and leads the league in rushing touchdowns, with 10. Chubb will be the difference maker .  Miami is 0-7 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games since 1992. MIAMI is 6-21 ATS in home games after a win by 3 or less points .MIAMI is 16-30 ATS in home games after a win by 6 or less points. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games are 3-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. NFL Road teams (CLEVELAND) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a poor defense (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-13-22 | Jaguars +10 v. Chiefs | 17-27 | Push | 0 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is improving as is evident by winning the stats battles in 5 of 9 games this season and off a SU win last week and are capable of competing here vs a KC team in a letdown situation after QB Patrick Mahomes passed for 446 yards last week. Im now bettong on regression from the KC QB and his team. Note: KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 1-16 ATS L/17 after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games .  Reid is 1-9 ATS in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of KANSAS CITY. NFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games are 3-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Kentucky v. Cincinnati OVER 143.5 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E KENTUCKY is 12-1 OVER in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.3 ppg scored.Hamilton is 10-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of E KENTUCKY with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks v. Bucs -2.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 64 h 7 m | Show | |
Last time out future HOF QB Brady went on a , 60-yard drive with under 40 seconds left of last week’s victory vs the Rams and in doing so showed us you can never count him or his team out of any game. I know the Buccaneers opponents today the Seahawks have won 4 straight, su and ATS but they are an over rated bunch in my humble opinion and the lines-makers look like they agree with my assessment. It must be noted Brady  is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career in regular season games on neutral field and is now motivated to get his team back to .500. Look for the super star to be primed to perform on an international stage and to help his team to a win and cover over Pete Carroll and company. Buccaneers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. TAMPA BAY is 11-3 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TAMPA BAY) - after 3 or more consecutive losses including pushes against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 34-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Tampa Bay to cover |
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11-12-22 | Red Wings v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Wings enter this game having played well but they are banged up and have some key offensive cogs missing, like like Tyler Bertuzzi. With Johnathan Quick in top form of late allowing just 1 goal in his last two games and known as a streaky goalie the Kings should be able to shut the door on the Wings offense which Im betting helps keep this game on the low side of the total. Also after being smashed 8-2 the last time out you can bet the Wings will be paying alot of attention to their defensive transition game. DETROIT is 19-7 UNDER after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 season with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-12-22 | Georgia v. Mississippi State +16.5 | 45-19 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 15 m | Show | |
Georgia is off a huge win vs Tennessee last week by double digits . It was impressive to say the least against an explosive offense. Now in a letdown situation the Dawgs may not start as quickly vs a home side that deserves respect behind the viable arm of Will rogers and company. Note: Miss State HC Mike Leach has cashed 17 of 23 times in his career vs undefeated opposition. Georgia won 31- 24 at home last season in this series, failing to cover as -26.5 chalk and with a limited swing on this line, taking points with the home dog is not as far fetched as some pundits might suggest. Mississippi State has covered 2 of the L/3 meetings at home in this series.Georgia are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Miss State are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-12-22 | St Bonaventure v. Canisius +7 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Witherspoon is 19-5 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB road team (ST BONAVENTURE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius  to cover |
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11-12-22 | Jazz v. Wizards +3.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Playing without a couple of key players, the Wizards showed positive chemistry en route to a 113-105 victory over the Dallas Mavericks last time out and have the ability with this group to do the same to the visiting Jazz. I know Utah has played exceptionally well despite of key off season departures, but tonight after slugging it out non stop early this season against some strong opponents a letdown could be in order as was the case earlier this season when they lost too the young Houston rockets. . Washington has covered 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 and must not be underestimated as home dogs. Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. WASHINGTON is 18-4 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. UTAH is 25-44 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 3-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 13-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Washington to cover |
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11-12-22 | Northern Arizona +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 52-19 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Northern Arizona to cover |
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11-12-22 | Alabama -11.5 v. Ole Miss | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 49 m | Show | |
Alabama enters this game vs Ole Miss in very cranky mood , after falling flat on their faces and getting upset SU vs LSU last time out. You can bet life was miserable in practice this week for the Crimson Tide, and now this massive group of 4 and 5 star athletes will be ready to get redemption and what could easily be a merciless Alabama explosion. Saban is 13-0 SU in his career vs sides with a better record and 27-2 vs former assistants. ALABAMA is 16-6 ATS in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992 with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 20 ppg.Â
CFBÂ Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (OLE MISS) - in conference games, off a road win against a conference rival are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Alabama to cover |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 26 m | Show | |
After a slow start Louisville has gone 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 tilts and are in a upward momentum drive and now deserve respect here vs a over rated Tigers side that lost last time out to Notre Dame by DDs a a fav. Note: CLEMSON is 1-9 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite since 1992. CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LOUISVILLE) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-8 L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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11-12-22 | Rice v. Western Kentucky -12.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky football program has had a long history of over powering performances late in the season. In week 11 games they are a perfect 13-0 L/13 opportunities and 9-0 SU/ATS L/9 chances. Im betting on another explosive effort here vs a Rice side that has a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel like their ugly 56-23 upset loss to Charlotte at home as 15 point favs a couple of weeks ago. Western Kentucky smashed Charlotte last week 59-7 and beat Rice last season by a 42-21 count. Rinse and repeat on board. Owls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hilltoppers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Hilltoppers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (RICE) - with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 34-67 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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11-12-22 | James Madison v. Old Dominion +8 | 37-3 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show | |
JMU (5-3, 3-2) spent a week in the Top 25 after winning its first five games, including an upset of Appalachian State in Boone, North Carolina. But JMU has lost three games in a row since as has ODU . While, the Dukes are not going to Bowl or allowed to be a championship side because of this being their first season in the FBS, they may not be as inclined to fight it out like a do or die situation. Meanwhile, the Monarchs are  still in the hunt for a bowl bid, and need 3 straight wins to do so and with that said Im betting leave everything on the field today. CFB road team vs. the money line (JAMES MADISON) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 1-7 this season . Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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11-12-22 | SIU-Edwardsville v. IUPU Ft Wayne -10 | 76-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Fort Wayne took it on the chin vs Michigan in their opener, but now after they rude awakening vs a top tier side, this contest will seem like a walk in the park. SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-0 against the spread versus SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 5-0 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL since 1997 at home. Fort Wayne to cover |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
Im betting on a huge hangover for the LSU Tigers after upsetting the Alabama Crimson Tide last time out making them vulnerable to being upset here today vs Arkansas side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out and were upset. Razorbacks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game which was the case in a 21-19 defeat vs under rated Liberty. The two most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 3 points .  Arkansas is  8-1 ATS as a underdog of 16 or fewer points. Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.  CFB road team (LSU) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 22-52 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas |
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11-12-22 | St. Peter's +17 v. Seton Hall | 44-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS ( after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half since 1997. ST PETERS is 24-10 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Saint Peters to cover |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -1.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
After 8 straight wins the Cleveland Cavaliers have now lost 2 straight, and with this being their 5th straight road game Im betting their on tired legs and vulnerable to defeat here again tonight vs a Warriors team that have defeated them in each of the past 10 regular-season meetings in this series. I know Golden State has been erratic to start the season, but still owns an impressive  9-1 ATS  in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons and are on extended rest. Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Friday games.Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. . Meanwhile,CLEVELAND is just 19-39 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons and their conditioning according to some charts Ive kept on them is suspect.CLEVELAND is also 18-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 223 giving us a full possession value on a over wager. (The Bucks are the 2nd best ppg defensive team in the league at the moment while the Spurs are the worst). Im betting the Spurs here on their own home court behind a 5th ranked pace try to get the Bucks out of their comfort zone and turn this game in to a more wide open affair. This Im betting results in this total being eclipsed. Both these sides have a hsitroy of higher scoring non conference affairs. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 OVER in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg going on the score board. Budenholzer is 27-14 OVER against Southwest division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 45-25 OVER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. with a combined average of 235.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina +5 v. Cincinnati | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina deserves respect here after 3 straight victories vs BYU, UCF, and Memphis. Meanwhile, Cincinnati seems to not playing with alot of motivation and the offense seems much more inconsistent than over the last few seasons, giving credence to me recommending we grab the points with a never say die underdog that plays with passion. Houston is 9-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of E CAROLINA.E CAROLINA is 16-4 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points . Play on East Carolina to cover |
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11-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics UNDER 231.5 | 112-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston brings a 21st ranked pace into this tilt against the Nuggets. The Celtics FG conversion rate has been above average to start the season, and thats why in part their output has been near the top of the league, but regression should start to rare its ugly head at some point, and according my projections based on their expected offensive production dip in this tilt, this totals offering is a tad high and should be closer to 228-- giving us value on the under. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. BOSTON is 37-23 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
 Both these teams can put the puck in the net and both are experiencing goaltending issues. The Pens goaltending ranks 28th with an .870 team save percentage the last couple of weeks. Terry the expected starter tonight has garnered a nasty .867 save percentage over his last four starts.   Toronto's current starter Goalie Erik Kallgren owns a sub par .890 save percentage in six appearances this season. Over is 8-1 in Penguins last 9 games following a win. Over is 13-3 in Penguins last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 24-5-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Play OVER |
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11-11-22 | Michigan State v. Gonzaga UNDER 146.5 | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Armed forces Classic being played on deck of USS Abraham Lincoln - San Diego, CA- Winds expected in the 8 mpg range, which will effect shooting and offensive production because of more passing and in close physical basketball in the key. Play UNDER |
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11-11-22 | Detroit +9 v. Boston College | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Aside from its four top-100 players out of high school, the Titans have seven players that previously played in high-major leagues that generally send multiple teams to the NCAA Tournament. BC HC Grant is 9-23 ATS in home games in non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Detroit to cover |
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11-10-22 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona State -14.5 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Sun Devils are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season.Hurley is 11-2 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls in all games he has coached. NBA Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 28-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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11-10-22 | North Dakota v. Creighton -27.5 | 61-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Creighton’s offense is going to be explosive again this season and here against a North Dakota hoops program ranked in the bottom-five nationally on defense last season. Play on Creighton to cover |
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11-10-22 | 76ers v. Hawks -1.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Atlantas Trae Young had a ugly outing last night, but Im betting now with the rust off after a injury lay off he will be in rebound mode tonight. This is a well conditioned Hawks team that my own power rankings suggest matchup well vs the Sixers. It will be Atlanta's second back-to-back of the season. The Hawks split the first one on the road, beating Detroit and losing to top tier Milwaukee which can be forgiven. 76ers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.76ers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. ATLANTA is 47-31 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 44-28 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-10-22 | Flyers +115 v. Blue Jackets | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets have lost nine of their first 12 games and 5 straight even though they signed star free-agent forward Johnny Gaudreau in the offseason. At this point chemistry seems to be an issue with this group and they are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, the Flyers have won two straight and have an edge in momentum. Philadelphia have registered at least a point in nine of its first 12 games (7-3-2) after recording wins over Ottawa last Saturday and St. Louis on Tuesday night. PHILADELPHIA is 10-22 ATS against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 6-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 9-38 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the money line (COLUMBUS) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after allowing 5 goals or more 3 straight games are 7-37 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia Flyers to win |
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11-10-22 | Western Carolina v. Maryland UNDER 143.5 | 51-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Maryland top tier D, that allowed 49 points against Niagara last time out will be key here to this total not being eclipsed. Willard is 61-35 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MARYLAND) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 45-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Bellarmine +10 v. Louisville | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans v. Bulls +2 | 115-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Chicagos super star Zach Lavine despite of some nagging injuries is expected to play tonight against visiting New Orleans . With him in the lineup, the Bulls offense will be alot more balanced and thanks to improved defensive play this season, the Bulls look like viable bets here on their own home court.Green is 2-11 ATS in road games in November games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.Donovan is 32-18 ATS in the first half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bulls are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBAl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 9-32 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season is 8-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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11-09-22 | UMKC v. LSU UNDER 142.5 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams against the total (MISSOURI-KC) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-09-22 | Knicks v. Nets -135 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks hit a season-high 19 3-pointers in a victory at Minnesota on Monday and now regression is on the agenda . Thats fortunate for a Brooklyn side that struggled against downtown shooting. Meanwhile, the Nets have won 3 of their L/5 and have shown upward momentum and competitiveness as was the case in a loss last time out to Dallas by a 96-94 count. I like their chances here vs a NYK side they dominated from a SU perspective in recent seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in November games are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 3-22 L/5 seasons for ago against 88% conversion rate for bettors. BROOKLYN is 7-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 L/4 at home in this series. Play on the Moneyline - Brooklyn Nets |
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11-09-22 | Buffalo +1.5 v. Central Michigan | 27-31 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Buffalo had a five game win streak abruptly come to an end vs Ohio last time out. on the road . However, it must be noted that Buffalo is looking to win its fourth road game of the season. A win would make the Bulls bowl eligible for the seventh time in program history and the fifth time in the last six seasons so they will be very motivated and ready for a bounce back effort. Key projected difference maker: Buffalo has forced 19 turnovers on the season. The Bulls' lead the MAC with a +7 turnover margin. Add to that Bulls defense has been positively aggressive this season scoring a defensive touchdown in three of the last four games. BUFFALO is 19-5 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse since 1992BUFFALO is 14-3 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992. Chippewas are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. CFB road team (BUFFALO) - off a big upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-3 L/30 seasons for a 89% conversion rate! Play on the Buffalo Bulls to cover |
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11-09-22 | Davidson v. Wright State +4.5 | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Retooling with a young group in Davidson makes them vulnerable to a top tier Wright State side from the Horizon league. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DAVIDSON) - team that had a winning record last season, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 6-25 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (DAVIDSON) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 7-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wright State to cover |
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11-08-22 | Ohio v. Miami-OH +2.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Battle of the Bricks goes tonight as up-trending Ohio takes on Miami Ohio in Oxford tonight. Im betting- Ohio has surprised alot of ppl this season behind a offense thats piling up top tier numbers. It must be noted that rhe Redhawks have one of the best defenses in the conference. Miami ranks first in scoring defense (21.4), second in total defense (348.0), first in rush defense (107.8), third in sacks (23) and third in interceptions (7). Miami's rush defense ranks 18th nationally.  In five conference games the RedHawks are allowing 18.0 points per contest and have allowed just 10 touchdowns all MAC season.-- In conference play, opponents have reached the re zone 16 times, but have come away with touchdowns just 50% of the time. Meanwhile, Ohio is ranked 124th in tackling and 123rd in coverage.Thats important because Im betting on QB Gabbert who has won 11 of his 12 career starts in Oxford to keep up with Rourke and company and get us to the promised land with either a cover or a SU upset victory. Projected key difference maker: In his first year with the football program, Graham Nicholson has not disappoin ted . He finished the season 15-20 on field goals, including 6-of-7 on attempts between 40-49 yards. He added 30 touchbacks on 65 kickoffs in 2021. He is 13-for-16 on field goals in 2022. He also had his first game-winning field goal, connecting on a 36-yard field goal with 21 seconds to go in the 17-14 win at Northwestern. The RedHawks are 32-15-2 at home vs. Ohio, including a 30-28 victory in 2018 in the Bobcats' last visit. OHIO U is 4-15 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) MIAMI OHIO is 32-15 ATS ( L/47 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%)MIAMI OHIO is 21-8 ATS  off a double digit road win since 1992. which was the case last time out. Martin is 13-4 ATS as a home underdog as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. Play on Miami O to cover |
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11-08-22 | Canucks +115 v. Senators | 6-4 | Win | 115 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Ottawa enters this game in a down mode, having lost 5 straight times and are once again vulnerable to suffering another loss vs a hungry Canucks side that are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the visiting Nashville Predators on Saturday. Previous to that the Canucks had won 3 of 4 in are still in my betting opinion up trending and better shape to pick up a win here than their opposition. VANCOUVER is 8-3 ATS in road games after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 3 seasons. OTTAWA is 1-14 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. Senators are 5-14 in their last 19 vs. Pacific. Canucks are 9-1 in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest. NHL Home teams against the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 26-5 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Canucks are 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Play on Vancouver Canucks to win |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue UNDER 144.5 | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies UNDER 231.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I know both these sides can pour down points, but when need be both are solid defensively as well in this battle of top tier sides, Im betting on a more physical type of tilt that will result in a slower pace than the pundits and lines-makers expect based on overall data. the Celtics own the 21 ranked pace in the NBA while Memphis ranks 14th. MEMPHIS is 24-13 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 41-23 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival with a combined average of 194.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-07-22 | Celtics v. Grizzlies +3.5 | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Two top tier teams, play tonight as Boston visits Memphis. Im betting home court advantage with a team that went 30-11 SU as hosts last season and are already 3-0 straight up at home this season offers up value . Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 33-17 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. Jenkins is 101-75 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game as the coach of MEMPHIS. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-4 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Take the points with Memphis to cover |
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11-07-22 | Ravens -1.5 v. Saints | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 36 h 49 m | Show | |
The Saints are off a top tier 24-0 effort last time out vs a very inconsistent Raiders team. However it must be noted that NFL teams off a shutout home win are just 1-4 ATS/SU L/5 opportunities dating back 37 seasons. Also the Saints have proven themselves very inconsistent this season, losing 5 of 8 games. Allen is 3-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached and is vulnerable to a letdown scenario here. NEW ORLEANS is also just 9-22 ATS L/31 against AFC North division opponents . Harbaugh is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse in the second half of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE. Favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 31-3 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. New Orleans is 0-5 ATS under the Monday night lights of prime time action, Baltimore is 6-1-1 ATS on Monday night away tilts. Play on Baltimore to win /cover |
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11-07-22 | Murray State v. St. Louis -13 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-07-22 | Morgan State +23 v. Xavier | 73-96 | Push | 0 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Musketeers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Musketeers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. CBB favorite (XAVIER) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) from last year are 3-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on Morgan state to cover |
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11-07-22 | Rockets v. Magic -4.5 | 134-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Orlando has played well at home this season beating Charlotte and Golden state and playing closely contested tilts vs Boston and Sacramento. Meanwhile, Houston has lost 6 straight, with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more points and 9 of their L/10 games overall this season, and all 7 road tilts they have played. Advantage to Magic. HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 21-48 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47% or more ) against a terrible defensive team ( 47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's). are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
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11-07-22 | Blues v. Bruins -179 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston had a 7 game win streak end last time out against the /Toronto Maple Leafs by a 2-1 count. Note: BOSTON is 12-1 ATS in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, the Blues are 0-6 L/6 overall and in complete disarray. ST LOUIS is 0-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Advantage Boston. NHL team against the money line (ST LOUIS) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after 3 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more are 6-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Bruins to win |
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11-07-22 | Tarleton St +15 v. Arizona State | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TARLETON ST is 7-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA ST is 1-8 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (ARIZONA ST) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Tarleton to cover |
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11-07-22 | The Citadel +18.5 v. Clemson | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Monday games. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-26 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 5-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Citadel to cover |
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11-07-22 | South Dakota State +4 v. Akron | 80-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Dakota State to cover |
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11-06-22 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jazz have played alot better hoops than many had expected after some departures in the off season. However its still early, and Ive noticed the Jazz have played a lot of run and gun hoops on a heavy schedule, so they are on tired legs and vulnerable entering this tilt vs a Clippers side that has won 3 straight games behind a solid D. With that said, Im recommending we ride the momentum of the Clippers at Staples today. UTAH is 8-18 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 9-21 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. UTAH is 15-31 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Jazz are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Jazz are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line. Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 42.5 | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 25 m | Show | |
 .These two sides in head to head action have taken part in some high scoring tilts with the last five meetings going over the set total with a combined average of , 65.4 combined ppg registering on the scoreboard. Im betting two hungry sides who need to get untracked go after each other from the get fo today and contribute to a higher scoring affair than the data might project. Note:  The Rams were off their Bye last Sunday before their defeat to the 49ers at home. Despite of being well rested the Rams lost . NFL sides like the Rams have gone over 7 straight times when off a SU/ATS home chalk loss after their Bye Week. Another interesting trend: Tampa goes to Europe next week . Dating back 17 seasons, non-division NFC sides before playing in a neutral site tilt like the Bucs will the total has been eclipsed , 20 of 22 times , when the Total offering is between 39 and 49.5 points .  Bowles is 12-2 OVER in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 54.5 ppg scored. McVay is 12-4 OVER in road games off a division game as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. McVay is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog as the coach of LA RAMS with a combined average of 55.5 ppg scored. TB is 5-0 L/5 vs NFC West. Play OVER |
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11-06-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | 13-16 | Push | 0 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
Future HOF QB Brady and the Buccaneers are no longer to be feared as is evident by their sub par play so far this season. Brady has averaged a substandard 6.7 yards per attempt and the offense is tied for 25th in third-down efficiency (34.6 percent). TAMPA BAY is 9-21 ATS in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS in games played on a grass field this season. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS  in games played on a grass field this season which was the case last time out. After a negative outing vs the SF 49ers last /Sunday the defending Super Bowl Champs will be in redemption and bounce back mode and are very dangerous. Sean McVay is 10-5 ATS as a road dog and 10-3 ATS and 9-4 ATS i vs NFC South opposition , including cashing and winning 3 straight as a dog. The Rams’ also own a 8-1 ATS series record vs the Bucs and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits to Tampa Bay. Small non-Division Away Pup (+5 or less points) if they lost their last game as a Home Dog/pk and scored 20 points or less are 24-2 ATS . Rams qualify. NFL team vs the money line (TAMPA BAY) - poor rushing team - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rams |
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11-06-22 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 49 m | Show | |
 The Buffalo D ranked 1st in the NFL is staunch to say the least allowing an average of 14 ppg overall and have seen their 6 of their 7 games games stay under the total and all 4 of their home games with a combined average of 43.6 ppg go on the score board while allowing an average of 9.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Jets defense ranked 6th in the league has allowed 19.5 ppg in division games and 13.7 ppg in their L/3 games overall with all going under the set total. AFC East division confrontations have gone 4-21 UNDER L/10 seasons and have gone under 16 of their L/18 dating back 5 season  when the Host side is an underdog of +3.5 or more points .  NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - versus division opponents, off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite 23-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 38 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros -140 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Theres blood in the water and Houston Im betting will be ready to finish off their opponents here today. This is a championship side with lots of experience and are capable of top tier efforts in situations like this while the Phillies under pressure have a better chance of succumbing to having their backs up against a wall. Astros starter VALDEZ is 21-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)VALDEZ is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.883. Phillies starter WHEELER is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800. HOUSTON is 44-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Play on Houston to win - |
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11-05-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks UNDER 233 | 121-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks go head to head Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Both of these teams have been taking part in some high scoring events, but my projections tell me that is offered total is a little over blown considering the Pelicans played last night and are on tired legs. The Hawks are much fresher, but Im betting the Pelicans try to slow this game down to a manageable tempo which will in turn help us stay under this offered number. Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.3 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 17-2 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg going on the board. ATLANTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-05-22 | Pelicans v. Hawks -2 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
New Orleans played last night in a win vs Golden State and will now be on tired legs against a well rested Atlanta Hawks side that is built to take on bigger teams like the Pelicans. ATLANTA is 29-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. Pelicans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games. Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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11-05-22 | Celtics v. Knicks +4.5 | 133-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Last time out -The Knicks came back from a 12-point deficit , in the fourth-quarter Friday to edge the host Philadelphia 76ers 106-104. The Celtics are off a hard fought victory Chicago Bulls to take a 123-119 event. Both teams are now ion tired legs, but the Knicks under HC Thibodeau has proved themselves to well conditioned. Note: Thibodeau is 18-7 ATS  when playing on back-to-back days as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. BOSTON is 14-30 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. The Knicks have won the L/3 meetings SU at home in this series. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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11-05-22 | Nets v. Hornets +5.5 | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is off a much needed win last time out playing a complete game vs the Washington Wizards. by a 128-86 count. But now Im betting on regression, vs a Charlotte side that is desperate for some positive results after 3 straight losses.Note:  BROOKLYN is 9-25 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.Udoka is 1-14 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached. BROOKLYN is 10-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 18-43 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-30 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 27-17 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Im not recommending we make this a ML bet, but giving an example of a possible outright upset that makes taking points a very viable option. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-05-22 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
 Two explosive offenses go to the ice today as the Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs do battle. Leafs goalie Kallgren has allowed three or more goals in 12 of his 17 NHL games and owns a .875 save percentage and 0-1-2 record in his three outings.Im betting on a repeat of that here today while the Leafs who are picking up the pace offensively as this season progresses should also do damage against the Bruins. Note: In the last couple of weeks, the Maple Leafs have ranked second in high-danger chances per 60 (15.74) and 22nd in high-danger chances against per 60 (13.21). Back in forth action is in play here with an over wager being a viable opportunity for bankroll expansion.TORONTO is 24-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 19-9 OVER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 8-0 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. The last 3 meeting in this series have all gone over the total. Play OVER |
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11-05-22 | Navy +18.5 v. Cincinnati | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 17 m | Show | |
Cincinnati lost last week to UCF and now are in a emotional letdown spot and vulnerable to starting slow despite of being in bounce back mode. Since last seasons play off run the Bearcats own a 1-6-1 ATS mark. NAVY is 7-0 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 9-1 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 8-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Niumatalolo is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points as the coach of NAVY. Niumatalolo is 15-4 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of NAVY. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - mistake free team - 42 or less penalty yards per game, after dominating the time of possession last game (36 or better minutes) are 55-16 SATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Navy to cover |
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11-05-22 | Michigan State +17.5 v. Illinois | 23-15 | Win | 100 | 54 h 25 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with Illinois getting national accolades, while Michigan state seems completely lost. However, for today at least Im betting on Michigan state finding a way to be competitive. After a huge passing game last week vs Nebraska (91% completion rate)-- Illinois Im betting regresses especially after having to endure a emotional letdown after playing in type of stadium that can sap your energy. Michigan State needs wins badly to get a Bowl invite, so Im betting they leave everything on the field today. ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att.  ILLINOIS is 2-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 42 or less since 1992. ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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11-05-22 | Tennessee v. Georgia -8 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 5 m | Show | |
Both these sides Tennessee and Georgia are explosive offensively but the difference maker comes via the Dawgs far superior D. The Dawgs are 10 ppg and 131 yards better on defense than the Volunteers. Georgia ranks 1st in red zone offense, and No.2 in Red Zone defense. Meanwhile, the Vols are ranked 82nd in the nation in overall D. Note: Dawgs HC  Kirby Smart is 36-7 SU covering 31 times as a favorite of less than 20 points, and has won 8 straight games against undefeated foes. CFB road team (TENNESSEE) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (GEORGIA) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. are 48-19 ATS L/30 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
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11-05-22 | Central Florida v. Memphis +3.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
 The UCF Knights are strong team especially when playing at home but have yet to notch a victory on the road in the American Athletic Conference this season and have not grabbed a win in Memphis since 2018 season. Im betting UCF will find it hard again to find a way to win here this week on the highway, vs a  Memphis side that 11-0 coming off an open date going back 8 seasons and 3-0 under Silverfield. key here will be the tigers discipline Note: Memphis ranks sixth for fewest penalties in FBS football and are averaging just 4.25 penalties per game. Memphis is also 7-0 ATS as a home dog since 2016. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS off 2 consecutive road lossesMEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season since 1992.MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game . MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus UCF since 1992 at home. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-05-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 53 h 4 m | Show | |
 Baylor is 6-1-1 ATS as Big 12 away pups and are viable dogs in this spot based on their overall body of work during this campaign as compared to the Sooners inconsistent displays. BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. Baylor is 20-1 ATS as a conference underdog against an opponent coming off a SU/ATS win. BAYLOR is 46-27 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992. Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bears are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.Bears are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Bears are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win.Bears are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Bears are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in November.Bears are 47-23 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sooners are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Sooners are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Oklahoma is 0-5 ATS at home against a side likr BU coming off consecutive SU/ATS victories. Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Oklahoma.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. CFB home team (OKLAHOMA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 18-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on Baylor to cover |
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11-05-22 | Texas Tech v. TCU -9 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
TCU is red hot entering this game winning 8 straight and still undefeated, ranking 3rd in the nation in Scoring Offense, averaging 44.3 PPG.and go against a Texas Tech side that was blasted vs Baylor last week and looking emotional and physically drained after taking on quality opponents in 5 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. CFB road team (TEXAS TECH) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are just 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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11-05-22 | Iowa +4.5 v. Purdue | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
Purdue upset the Hawkeyes as 11-point pups on the road at Iowa last season and now the Hawkeyes have revenge on board. I know both sides have played at the proverbial opposite end of performance spectrum , but Iowa showed some offensive uptick last week in a victory, and with a solid defensive group on the field ranking 5th overall on D Im betting they can make a game out of this and possibly get SU playback. IOWA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Road team is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 60-26 ATS L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Iowa to cover |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Golden State took part in a back and forth event last night with the Orlando Magic losing 130-129 and are now on tired legs headed into this tilt against Zion Williamson and company and at a disadvantage after losing 4 straight games, thanks to a shoddy D, that ranks last in the league in ppg allowed (122.2). Im betting on the Pelicans who will be prepared as hosts to take advantage of an opponents not operating on all cylinders.GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 22-34 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 11-22 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 11-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.2. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-04-22 | Duke -9.5 v. Boston College | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 37 m | Show | |
Wow what an ugly outing for the Boston College last time out, losing 13-3 as 8-point road favorite vs UConn which drops their ATS record vs FBS sides this season to 1-6 ATS. With that said, Im betting on another ugly outing for the Golden Eagles this week vs a Duke side that has registered 35 and 45 points in back to back games . With BC averaging 17.3 PPG on offense this season I highly doubt they can keep up here tonight and as the game progresses should find themselves down by DDs. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Blue Devils are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf. Blue Devils are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Eagles are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CFB road team (DUKE) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 63-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Duke to cover |
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11-04-22 | Blue Jackets v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
We all know how explosive offensively the Avalanche are, and its now becoming obvious the Blue Jackets D, is atrocious allowing 4.8 gpg in their L/5 trips to the ice. Im betting the Avs take advantage of their vulnerable opponents and for this to end up in a wide open affair as Columbus desperately trys to revitalize a very slow start to their campaign with an all out leave everything on the ice outing.  COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gog scored. COLORADO is 8-1 OVER in November games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLUMBUS) - after a division game against opponent after 3 consecutive non-conference games are 52-18 OVER L/5 SEASONS FOR A 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 46 | 29-17 | Push | 0 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
The Eagles defense (allowing 16.9 ppg) ranks second in DVOA against the pass and in no way will the Texans game plan be based on play option, rather, Im betting it will focus on making this into a sleep fest with a slow deliberate ground attack. Note: Texans QB Mills ranks 29th in EPA/play, 30th in ANY/A and 31st in yards per attempt in the league among starting QBs. Meanwhile, on the flip-side the Texans have been viable in their secondary, ranking 17th in DVOA vs the pass , so the explosive Eagles run attack will be put into primary action vs a porous Houston run D. What Im expecting here is for a run heavy game to take place, and for it to be grinding in nature which will aid us in my recommendation that we take an under stance here on this Totals offering. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.9 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games.Under is 16-5 in Eagles last 21 games in November. Under is 10-4 in Texans last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Thursday night NFC sides like Philly in away tilts vs AFC opp like Houston  have gone under 10 of the L/12 times with the average combined ppg averaging 35.6 . Thursday non-division away sides like the Eagles off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins have gone under 8 straight times. Thursday night pups like the Texans off a SU/ATS division loss have gone under 7 straight times since the 2016 campaign. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 68-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-03-22 | Islanders +105 v. Blues | 5-2 | Win | 105 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The Islanders come into this game as winners of four straight while the Blues are on a five-game losing streak. Two teams going in opposite flow directions. Instead of swimming up steam, Ill ride the momentum of the under rated pups NY Islanders. Im betting the Isles special teams, now explosive offense under Lambert and top tier goaltending behind,Sorokin’s  .935 SV% and a 2.04 GAA to have the edge. NY ISLANDERS are 20-3 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on NYI to win |
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11-03-22 | Astros v. Phillies +144 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Astros starter Verlander World Series history has been less than faltering as is evident by garnering a 0-6 record in eight starts along with a bloated 6.07 ERA.  Thats the worst ever recorded among pitchers who threw at least 30 innings in the Fall Classic. Needless to say, Im not betting on a sudden turn around performance. Meanwhile,Philadelphia sends Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA regular season; 0-0, 1.69 postseason). He is well rested and under rated in his ability to control this Astros batting order. PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 World Series games. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina are home dogs tonight where they deserve respect as is evident by a 17-2 SU in their last 19 overall , including 6-0 SU in revenge, and 2-0 SU/ATS as a underdog. Coastal Carolina lost in OT last season 30-27 in Boone and with big time revenge on board you can bet the home side will be fully awake and ready to perform. Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win which w the case last time out. Chadwell is 6-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA. APPALACHIAN ST is 0-7 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons.  CFB home team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a double digit road win, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 62-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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11-03-22 | Warriors v. Magic UNDER 227 | 129-130 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Orlando ranks 29th in offensive output, and 12th in ppg allowed and rank 18th in pace. Meanwhile, Golden state is almost the complete opposite, running and gunning behind a fast paced attack. The clashes of these opposites bodes well however, according to my projections for seeing a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. The Magic dont have the overall talent or system to push back hard on the Warriors, and the visitors Im betting after a grueling start to their campaign may treat this like a defacto game off and make a it a more pleasure orientated trip to Disney. Grinder on board. GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE L/12 road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25% or worse) playing a team with a losing record are 65-35 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah despite of supposedly being in a rebuilding or remodeling mode have played well this season. However, now with opponents aware of the Jazz grit and top tier play to begin the season will now have zero surprise factor working for them, and will face a Dallas side prepared to play them. Also after falling asleep at the wheel in a loss vs the Orlando Magic last time out the Mavericks will be primed for a bounce back effort.  Jazz are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 road games.Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in November games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA team (UTAH) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 7-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series vs Utah. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-02-22 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 222 | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Houston continues to be inconsistent offensively and tonight against a banged up Clippers side, Im betting this total will not be eclipsed as both teams flow issues lean towards a lower scoring affair. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.4 ppg.Â
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. Play on the UNDER |
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11-02-22 | Pistons +11.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Milwaukee pulled off a 110-108 win in the first game of this 2 game set in Wisconsin with the visiting Detroit Pistons. The Pistons showed alot of fight and grit in that above mentioned tilt and Im betting they're not going down without a fight tonight. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record DETROIT is 30-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 8-29 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA  team vs the money line (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 22-6 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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11-02-22 | Astros -101 v. Phillies | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
After a flat performance yesterday the Astros will be keen on a big rebound and Im betting they get it . The Astros starter Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA regular season; 1-0, 1.35 ERA postseason) will help pivot the momentum back to the Astros side. Javier has allowed only one run in 6 2/3 innings in the playoffs. Phillies starter NOLA is 7-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 30-10 ( against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.HOUSTON is 41-17 against the money line after a loss this season. Play on Astros to win |
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11-02-22 | Penguins v. Sabres +122 | 3-6 | Win | 122 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is slumping after having lost 4 straight games. Things dont look to get much better here this evening against Buffalo as the Pens play on tired legs with this being their 5th straight road game after playing last night in a 6-5 loss to Boston . Meanwhile, the Sabres are playing a strong brand of hockey as is evident by their 6-3 SU record so far this season. PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS in road games after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. Penguins are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Penguins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Penguins are 1-4 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.Penguins are 3-13 in their last 16 road games. Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. Home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Sabres to win |
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11-02-22 | Western Michigan +4.5 v. Bowling Green | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these offenses are less than explosive, but overall according to my data and power rankings projections the difference maker will come via Western Michigan superior red zone defense  where they rank top-30 in opponent conversion rate. Last time out the Broncos was suffocating allowing Miami just 10 points in a win and smashed and grabbed their way to 7 sacks. Note:The Broncos have seen a decrease in their FBS opponent rushing yards in each of the last four games since giving up a season-high 238 to Pittsburgh and Im betting the ground the lanes will once again be shut down forcing Bowling Green to the air making them alot more one dimensional and readable. Advantage Western Michigan. Falcons are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in November.Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.  Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) head to The Valley on Tuesday night to take on the Phoenix Suns (5-1) at Footprint Center.
Williams is 15-34 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more in all games he has coached MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 6-25 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.  Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-01-22 | Islanders -178 v. Blackhawks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Islanders are on a roll having won 3 straight games vs viable opponents including a come from behind win vs defending Stanley Cup champs Colorado last time out. More winning from the Isles is on tap. CHICAGO is 2-17 ATS against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at - 2.2. NHL underdog against the money line (CHICAGO) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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11-01-22 | Astros -115 v. Phillies | 0-7 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The Phillies came back from a 5-0 deficit to win 6-5 in 10 innings in Game 1 and then were taken out by 5-2 count in Game 2 Saturday. I know the Phillies are 5-0 at home this season, but Im betting that comes to end in game 3 of the World Series. Houston will send Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA regular season; 0-0, 2.45 ERA postseason) to the hill here and my data suggests he matches up well here vs the Phillies . Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games.Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Â HOUSTON is 20-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. BAKER is 39-17 against the money line when playing with a day off as the manager of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 23-8 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 World Series games.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games. Play on Houston to win |
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10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz UNDER 235 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
 The Jazz grabbed a 124-123 win vs Memphis last time out , and once again face the Grizzlies for the second time in three nights Monday in Salt Lake City. Memphis shot 56.8 percent, but Utah countered by hitting 51.7 percent of its shots. It was a wide open event, but now Im betting on offensive regression. Previous to the Jazz last tilt they saw 3 straight unders, and Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse this offering. UTAH is 24-13 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games. Under is 19-7-1 in Jazz last 27 games following a straight up win. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 52-19 UNDER L/26 for a 73% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 93-37 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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