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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-07-23 | Nets v. Rockets +6.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on two game winning runs, with both getting their wins vs the lowly San Antonio Spurs. I know the Rockets don't inspire bettors, but here against a inconsistent Brooklyn team now playing with a average at best roster and in rebuild mode Im betting the Rockets can be competitive.BROOKLYN is 18-35 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 2-14 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 25-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 229 | 117-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Philly has really been ratcheting up their offense of late scoring an average of 124.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, and Im betting their aggressive offensive posture will continue here tonight against the Wolves who have allowed +115 ppg at home this season. Note: The 76ers have allowed more than 113 ppg on the road this season and my projections estimate a number closer to 114 for the Wolves offensive output. PHILADELPHIA is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with the combined average of 254.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 250.8 ppg scored. (Philly took a 147-143 win vs Pacers last time out) MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored.( Minnesota took out Sacramento last time out by a 138-134 count) NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 ( MINNESOTA/ PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-07-23 | Flyers v. Lightning -280 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay after 5 straight losses are in desperation mode and now have a Flyers team they should easily be able to handle and get back in the win column. I know we are laying a lot of lumber here, but in rare circumstances when the situation warrants it , Ill recommend we lay in one event what we would in two events from a a bankroll allocation perspective. Flyers are 4-13 in the last 17 meetings in Tampa Bay. Lightning are 50-21 in their last 71 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lightning are 44-19 in their last 63 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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03-07-23 | Georgia Tech -110 v. Florida State | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ACC Tournament - First Round - Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC  Georgia Tech is riding the second-longest winning streak in the ACC, winning their last three games and obviously enter this ACC Tournament game against Florida State with momentum and from a bettors perspective have cashed 8 straight times . GEORGIA TECH is 7-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. GEORGIA TECH is 17-4 ATSL/21 after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers . I know Florida State won the first meeting between these teams, but since that game both went in different directions. With revenge as an added incentive Im betting on the Yellowjackets to advance in this tourney. Note: Tech’s offensive efficiency rating is 104.3, they're highest for  in seven seasons under HC Josh Pastner. Tech’s season turnover rate of 10.8 per game is its lowest on record dating back to the 1992-93 season when turnovers became an official NCAA statistic. The Jackets have turned it over just 9.5 times per game in its last eight ACC tilts and deserve respect here in this spot play vs a Seminoles side that has lost 6 of their L/7 with the lone win coming a miraculous buzzer beater vs Miami Fl.  FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS  in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons . Georgia Tech to win  |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 160.5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
West Coast Tournament - Semifinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 UNDER  in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons. GONZAGA is 12-4 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 160 points (GONZAGA /SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Few is 9-19 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of GONZAGA. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 ATS in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games . CBB Neutral court teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 32-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (GONZAGA) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on SF Dons to cover |
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03-06-23 | Capitals v. Kings -140 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington is off two consecutive road wins vs San Jose with the last victory coming by a 8-3 count. In the recent past coming off conclusive wins has not been a recipe for success for the sub .500 Caps as is evident by and 0-7 ATS after a blowout win by 4 goals or more this season and a 0-6 ATS record after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game this season. Tonight against a Kings side playing at a very high level at the moment its an easy decision to take the home side that will be well aware of the Caps big win last time out and will not be overlooking their opponent.LOS ANGELES is 10-0 ATS against sub par defensive teams like Washington - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Sacramento is off a exhausting back and forth game vs Minnesota last time out losing a 138-134 dog fight and will be in a natural letdown state here and an obvious regressionary offensive output result could easily be the result . That Im betting directly effects this combined score to the under. Note: The Pelicans are banged up and their offensive flow is off, as is evident by averaging 105.4 ppg in their L/5 overall and have failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 2 of thier L/3. The Pelicans have also gone under the total in 6 of their L/7 and  20-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg. I know the Kings have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Pelicans back on Feb 5th but it must also be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 77-39 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 30-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 60-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-23 | CS Sacramento v. Weber State -2 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big Sky Tournament - Quarterfinals - Idaho Central Arena - Boise, ID WEBER ST is 10-2 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (WEBER ST) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in March games are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. WEBER ST is 6-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons. Weber State to cover |
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03-06-23 | Hawks +3 v. Heat | 128-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Heat host the Atlanta Hawks for the second straight game. the Heat took the last game but have been overall very inconsistent this season, and putting back to back top tier efforts in have been rare. Note: MIAMI is 9-21 ATS in home games this season and are 4-18 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.Trae Young is another example of inconsistency as was evident in the last game as he procured a season-low eight points on 2-for-13 shooting against Miami on Saturday. Im betting he wont be stopped two games in a row and will be the difference maker in the rematch. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-05-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers OVER 126.5 | 65-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 131 which gives us a full two plus possession value on this totals offering.  NORTHWESTERN in their L/34 games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 137.1 ppg scored. Pikiell L/34 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS have seen a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (RUTGERS /NORTHWESTERN) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 49-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-05-23 | Spurs +3 v. Rockets | 110-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Two bottom feeder who are evenly matched go back to back today after playing each other yesterday. The Rockets found a way past the Spurs in yesterdays tilt, but now Im expecting a bounce back effort from the visitors today. Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. HOUSTON is 3-15 ATSin home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 101-58 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Spurs have won their L/4 visits to Houston. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Bulls have revenge on board for two losses to the Pacers this season and will be primed for pay back here in this spot play at home. Indianas last four away versus opposition seeking same-season double revenge are 0-4 ATS .  Pacers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Bulls are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.Bulls are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 14-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors, NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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03-05-23 | Temple +5.5 v. Tulane | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Owls (16-14, 10-7 AAC) and Green Wave (17-10, 10-6 AAC) will be in a winner take all battle for the third seed in the American Athletic Conference Championship that begins next week at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. Im betting this tilt will be closely contested. Temple also have revenge on board for a loss to Tulane earlier this season.Temple is 7-3 SU overall in games at Tulane and had won seven straight meetings in New Orleans before losing last season's meeting. Hunter is 0-8 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of TULANE.TULANE is 1-10 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.TULANE is 0-6 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. TULANE is 9-23 L/32 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game . TEMPLE is 10-1 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season. TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 3.7 . TEMPLE is 16-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at -.07. CBB road team (TEMPLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a sub par rebounding team (-6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 63-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Temple to cover |
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03-05-23 | Houston v. Memphis +6 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tigers have revenge on board for a loss to the Cougars earlier this season and will be primed for an upset in revenge mode in their final home game of the season. Note: Memphis is 13-3 ATS  series, including 6-0 ATS at home and 6-0 ATS when in revenge mode. The Tigers have played their best hoops at home this season going 13-1 SU and deserve respect here getting points at home vs a top tier side. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-04-23 | Arizona v. UCLA -5 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
UCLA has revenge on board for a loss they suffered on the road to Arizona earlier this season. With this being the Wildcats 2nd straight road game Im betting their legs may not be able to handle a all out attack by an explosive Bruins side . In the Wildcats last game they had to play strong and hard vs a USC side that is not an easy out , and mustering that same kind of energy again will be difficult in my opinion.Cronin is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of UCLA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20. UCLA is 9-0 ATS  in home games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on UCLA |
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03-04-23 | Creighton v. DePaul +12.5 | 84-70 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. DePauls last home game of the season, should see them play very competitive ball. CREIGHTON is 1-10 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season DePaul to cover |
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03-04-23 | 76ers +5 v. Bucks | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The visitor in this series is 4-1 L/5 . The 76ers are also 5-0 vs .666 or better non-division op during this current campaign. Meanwhile, the Bucks are an ugly 0-5 ATS L/5 vs .650 or better opponents like Philly. Milwaukee's latest victory, a 139-117 decision over the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. The Bucks hit a season-high 26 3-pointers in the win and now Im betting on immediate regression vs a much stronger defensive side. The Bucks have split their first two meetings against the Sixers this season, both at Philadelphia. Milwaukee won 90-88 in the season opener on Oct. 20 and lost 110-102 on Nov. 18. Im bettong another hard fought close tilt with the points proving to be golden. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in March games are just 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-04-23 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 231.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Houstons 10 division games this season have seen a combined average of. 224.2 ppg scored. The Rockets rank 29th in ppg offense and rank 15th in pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio is banged up and has scored an average of just over 108 ppg in their L/5 as they have slowed down their pace perspicaciously and focused alot more on on paying attention defensively in transition. Everything points to this being lower scoring than the lines-makers offered number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG are 70-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play under |
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03-04-23 | Connecticut v. Villanova +2.5 | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Villanova has won 6 of their L/7 overall while, UConn after a 14-0 start this season are just 9-6 L/15 overall. With their NCAA tourney appearance prob guaranteed there will be no urgency for them. On the flipside the Cats need a win here and prob a conference tourney championship to turn the trick . Also with revenge on board for a loss to the Huskies earlier this season, Im betting we see a never say die type of performance from Villanova here at home this Saturday . VILLANOVA is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS in road games after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Villanova has won 6 of the L/8 meetings and are 6-1-1 ATS , and have achieved victory in 9 of their their Last 10 Home finales. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VILLANOVA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, in March games are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Villanova to cover |
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03-04-23 | Blue Jackets v. Senators -260 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Ottawa defeated Columbus 4-0 the last time they played and once again matchup very well vs a Blue Jackets side in tank mode. Ottawa has won 4 straight games, and Im betting on a 5th straight victory. I know this is lots of lumber but risk reward ratio is strong based on the trend below. Look at this way- we are betting an allocated 2 game price for one game. Not a long term profitable method but in certain targeted circumstances its a viable method for short term profit procurement.  NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (OTTAWA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 31-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Senators to win |
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03-04-23 | Avalanche -105 v. Stars | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a key game with a major impact on playoff positioning this afternoon as the Dallas Stars host the Colorado Avalanche. The defending champions Colorado Avs Im betting have the edge, in big games like this .Dallas had been struggling since posting consecutive shutouts in mid-January, going 2-3-5, but now it has won three of its last four and are fade material in this spot play. Stars are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Road team is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Avalanche are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Dallas. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Avalanche |
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03-04-23 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -4.5 | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Huggins West Virginia team needs this game badly. It's their last home game of the season, and they are definitely on the NCAA tourney bubble. Add in revenge for a loss they suffered to Kansas State earlier this season, and you have one very motivated side. Huggins has also had time to prepare his team for this tilt. Note: HC Bob Huggins is 15-0 SU in last home Games in his carreer when playing with three or more days of rest, including 7-0 SU/ATS as the main man at West Virginia. CBB road team (KANSAS ST) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 27-61 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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03-04-23 | Georgia v. South Carolina +1.5 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Carolina to cover |
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03-04-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Islanders are in desperation mode as they fight for a wild card spot .After a 3 day rest Im betting the Isles will be primed for a big win vs a Detroit team they have dominated recently . Detroit is 0-6 L/6 visits to Long Island.Red Wings are 0-4 in their last 4 overall and are currently fade material as they are playing their 4th game in 6 days. Note:Red Wings are 15-39 in their last 54 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 ATS (in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2 . Play on NY Islanders to win -1.5 puckline |
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03-04-23 | South Alabama +1.5 v. Southern Miss | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Alabama blasted Southern Miss by a 85-54 score on Feb 16th. The matchup discrepancies were obvious and now even with adjustments and revenge on board, my projections still estimate South Alabama has the edge. SOUTHERN MISS is 1-8 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on South Alabama to cover |
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03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season, while Denver ranks 12th in ppg allowed along with a pace that ranks 19th in the league. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 230 giving us a 2 possession advantage to the under on this offering. Under is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (Denver poured down 133 points in a win vs Houston last time out and now a regression from a offensive standpoint is expected) Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 13-3-1 in Grizzlies last 17 overall. MEMPHIS in 10 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 27-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 26-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 24-10 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-10 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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03-03-23 | Clippers +6 v. Kings | 127-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played   seven days ago, they took part in the second-highest scoring game in NBA history with the Kings pulling off a 176-175 victory. While I dont expect any where near that offensive production from these teams in the rematch I do expect it to be closely contested. Note: LA CLIPPERS in their L/28 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons the ppg diff has clicked in at - 0.9 . Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Kings are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Clippers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-03-23 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 234 | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Both the Jazz and Thunder have been short-handed since the All-Star break and its interrupted their offensive flow. Utah has seen all 3 game they have played since the all star game stay under the total, and Im betting this contest will also fall below the lines-makers projections. OKLAHOMA CITY in their L/13 home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season  have seen a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-03-23 | Jazz -1.5 v. Thunder | 103-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah according to my head to head power rankings matches up well vs their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder.  Oklahoma City has suddenly gone down hill of tournament, and are on a current five-game losing streak and are fade material in their current form. OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Thunder are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 11-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. UTAH is 8-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 SU at Oklahoma City . Play on Utah to cover |
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03-03-23 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -4.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In this season's first meeting, Western Michigan led for the vast majority of the game and held a double-digit advantage over CMU for much of the contest before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel as the Chippewas stormed back late and narrowly got by the Broncos, 70-69. Im betting Western Michigan will be wide awake here on Seniors night and will be prepared to take a conclusive win. The Broncos own a dominant 50-15 mark against Central Michigan in Kalamazoo, and have won back-to-back meetings at University Arena, including a 77-63 win on Feb. 12, 2022 Chippewas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Western Michigan to cover |
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03-03-23 | Campbell v. Longwood OVER 131 | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score closer to 136 which gives us plenty of value to cash an over ticket . CAMPBELL is 10-3 OVER  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. Aldrich is 22-12 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of LONGWOOD with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (LONGWOOD) - off a home loss against a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 150.2 ppg. Play over |
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03-03-23 | Indiana State -3 v. Belmont | 94-91 | Push | 0 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The fifth-seeded Indiana State Sycamores made history Thursday afternoon as they recorded the largest margin of victory ever in the history of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament with a 97-58 win over No. 12 Evansville in the first round of Arch Madness inside the Enterprise Center. Looks like they mean business and with momentum on their sides will be hard to stop. BELMONT is 1-8 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Sycamores are 10-0 ATS L/10 overall. Play on Indiana State to cover |
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03-03-23 | Gardner-Webb v. USC Upstate UNDER 135 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored.GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114.8 ppg. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Pepperdine -1.5 v. Pacific | 71-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Favorites of less than 12 points in this Tourney have had alot of success in the past especially playing with revenge (cashed 13 of the L/14 times). Pepperdine has revenge on board for a loss they suffered earlier this season at Pacific.  Romar is 20-7 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts as the coach of PEPPERDINE. Romar is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick as the coach of PEPPERDINE. Pepperdine has cashed 9 of their L/11 tilts in this tournament. PACIFIC is 8-22 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997 Pepperdine to cover |
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03-02-23 | Arizona -1.5 v. USC | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona owned USC in the first meeting this season winning by 81-66 count and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Enfield is 3-15 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of USC. Play on. Arizona to cover |
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03-02-23 | Canadiens v. Kings -240 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Habs despite of playing well lately are pretty banged up and according to my power rankings do not matchup well here. Yes, we are laying some lumber here, but according to my projections this bet is highly probability to cash . Risk reward has been calculated. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games this season. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 30-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate. Play on LA Kings |
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03-02-23 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Both Calgary goalies are struggling- Flames Vladar owns a ugly .820 save percentage over his last five appearances while Markstrom is also exhibiting swiss cheese tendencies with a .846 SV% in his last five trips to the ice. The explosive Leafs offense is the type of team that can really rack up some goals against sides likes this in merciless fashion.TORONTO is 20-9 OVER against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Toronto lost last night, so Im betting they will be much more aggressive here tonight, in a bounce back situation.TORONTO is 6-0 OVER in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more this season. Meanwhile, Calgary is off a OT loss last time out.CALGARY is 7-0 OVER  after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" . So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just 21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect . INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Michigan +4 v. Illinois | 87-91 | Push | 0 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Illinois Star Freshman Epps is expected to be out for tonights game after hitting the floor in practice. The events leading up to him suffering the concussion are unclear. He will be missed in a key game down the stretch. Advantage Michigan. ILLINOIS is 9-20 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. MICHIGAN is 34-21 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Michigan is 6-1 SU L/7 overall. Michigan to cover |
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03-02-23 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama OVER 129 | 61-68 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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03-01-23 | Southern Indiana +2 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 54-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams split the season series with both sides winning on the others home court. SIUE won the first game but two weeks later Southern Indiana had adjusted and have the momentum and game plan needed to turn the trick again. SIU EDWARDSVL is 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. SIU EDWARDSVL is 1-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (S INDIANA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southern Indiana to cover |
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03-01-23 | Southeastern Louisiana -3 v. Houston Christian | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SE Louisisana took the first meeting between these sides this season by a 71-59 count. Cottrell is 1-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON CHRISTIAN. HOUSTON CHRISTIAN is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SE LOUISIANA) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 97-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southeastern Louisiana to cover |
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03-01-23 | Nets +7.5 v. Knicks | 118-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Big Apple rivalry Im projecting will be alot closer the linesmakers are estimating. The Knicks earned their sixth straight victory Monday when they rolled past the visiting Boston Celtics 109-94 but now Im betting the Knicks are in a letdown spot vs a Brooklyn franchise that has won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series. Knicks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in March games are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nets to cover |
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03-01-23 | Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Flyers have allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/7 trips to the ice and Im betting the newly improved and well rested offense of the Rangers will be prepared to light the Flyers up again much like they did back in December of this season by a 6-3 count. On the flipside look for the Flyers to have to open up or being blown off the ice which will help the combined score eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. ( Rangers beat the Kings 5-2 last time out)Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER in March games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. Over is 5-2 in Flyers last 7 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 10-4 in Flyers last 14 home games  NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 22-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-01-23 | Auburn +10 v. Alabama | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama played an exhausting back and forth game vs Arkansas last time out, and could easily find their energy levels depleted , especially with all the controversy surrounding the team of late. With that said, Im betting on Auburn being competitive tonight . Note: The Tigers are 10-2 ATS as a underdog of 10 points or more points in this series, including 8-0 ATS when the Tide are coming off a SU victory. I know Auburn was beaten up by Kentucky last time out, but it must also be noted that in their three previous games against Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Texas A&M on the road they lost by combined 8 points ( 2.66 ppg) . ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. ALABAMA is 1-11 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA is 0-10 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more over the last 2 seasonsALABAMA is 2-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. AUBURN is 22-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover  |
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03-01-23 | Tulsa +14 v. South Florida | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  The Bulls grabbed its first win against Tulsa ever two weeks ago in convincing fashion, beating TU 96-69 . However, now with revenge on board and this being the Canes last game of the season, Im betting they come out here and leave everything on the court in revenge mode, and to try to salvage a little bit of self respect after a horrendous season and play above themselves. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. S FLORIDA is 2-11 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (TULSA) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 consecutive home losses are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. TULSA is 6-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997 in Florida. TULSA is 6-0 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997 in Florida. Tulsa to cover |
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02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. UTAH is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Texas A&M -5 v. Ole Miss | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Aggies, who sit alone in second place in the Southeastern Conference, Im betting will continue their winning ways when they face a sub prime Ole Miss side on the road. The national leaders in free throws made and attempted, Texas A&M averages 1.5 more FTM/G than any other team in Div. I college basketball. Thats important when looking for a road cover .ÂOLE MISS is 1-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.OLE MISS is 3-11 ATS as an underdog this season and   4-13 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS A&M is 15-7 ATS as a favorite this season and is 33-18 ATS L/51 as a road favorite or pick . Texas A&M to cover |
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02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency .  DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Buffalo -1 v. Northern Illinois | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Off playing Toledo last time out in a DD loss, this will seem like a walk in the park for Buffalo.Buffalo won the first meeting on Saturday, Jan. 7 by a score of 80-62 and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question according to my head to head matchup stats. In his career Head Coach Jim Whitesell is 7-1 against the Huskies.Whitesell is 8-0 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of BUFFALO. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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02-27-23 | Blackhawks +120 v. Ducks | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks arrive in Anaheim, Calif., riding a season-best, five-game winning streak and are the better of these two bottom feeders. I know the Ducks have just won 2 straight road games, but are just 9-16-1 in their own building and have lost three consecutive games as hosts. Advantage Chicago. Blackhawks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.Blackhawks are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. CHICAGO is 5-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. Blackhawks are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Blackhawks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Anaheim. Play on Chicago to win |
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02-27-23 | West Virginia +4.5 v. Iowa State | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mountaineers own five Quad 1 wins and a 12-1 record against Quad two, three and four opponents and deserve respect here in this line vs Iowa State in a game I have pegged to be very competitive. CBB team (IOWA ST) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 55 points or less are 42-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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02-27-23 | Bruins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Edmonton on most nights especially at home play a one way style of hockey, that features probably the most explosive offense in the league led by super star McDavid. Unfortunately for them their weakest links come on defense and in goal and teams like the Bruins will make them pay dearly for their Swiss cheese D and poor transitional play . Because of the above scenario Im betting this game ends up being one that eclipses this total. EDMONTON is 20-8 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg . EDMONTON is 11-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 76-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the total (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 52-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring. BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-27-23 | Norfolk State v. North Carolina Central OVER 140.5 | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC CENTRAL is 7-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored. NORFOLK ST is 20-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. NORFOLK ST is 6-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined 151.5 ppg scored. Road teams against the total (NORFOLK ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-27-23 | Pistons +7 v. Hornets | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
I know Charlotte is playing winning hoops of late, but Detroit has also looked competitive after the all star break losing by just 2 and 4 points to Orlando and Toronto. My projections make this line closer to -5 giving us a full possession advantage on this offering. CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and  in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% or less) in all games is just 10-24 ATS. DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 32-11 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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02-27-23 | Bellarmine v. North Florida OVER 140.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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02-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors OVER 233.5 | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Take no prisoners all out one way hoops is what Minnesota has implemented in last season games for a while, now is as is evident by the following trends. MINNESOTA is 10-0 OVER in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. Finch is 13-0 OVER in road games in February games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 249.8 ppg scored. Minnesota is 5-0 OVER L5 conf games and are 5-0 L/5 OVER awa . Golden State is banged up but there is still enough talent to soldier forward and put points on the board, especially against. side that will come out firing bullets and force them into a wide open affair. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. (Beat Golden State 116-100 last time out)  Golden State is 8-0-2 OVER L/10 playing on Sundays and 15-1 OVER  after a day off  Series These teams have combined for a (236.5 ) in their L/9 meetings. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State. Play on the over |
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02-26-23 | Rutgers v. Penn State -2.5 | 59-56 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Penn State brings a three-game win streak into this home tilt against the Scarlet Knights, which has lost four of five including an ugly loss last time out. Penn State needs wins and might also need a top tier Big 10 tourney performance to secure a place in the big dance so you can bet they will be ready to perform here tongiht. Penn State also has redemption on board as well as revenge for a nasty loss at Rutgers 65-45 on Jan. 24. Since that defeat the Lions have awoken from their slumber and are now in full steam ahead mode. Pikiell is 0-7 ATS in road games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points as the coach of RUTGERS. RUTGERS is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games after scoring 50 points or less . RUTGERS is 4-12 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Shrewsberry is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of PENN ST.Shrewsberry is 7-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game as the coach of PENN ST. Shrewsberry is 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog as the coach of PENN ST.Shrewsberry is 6-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog as the coach of PENN ST.PENN ST is 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PENN ST) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
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02-26-23 | UCLA v. Colorado +7 | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado completely fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out losing to USC, 84-65, at the CU Events Center on Feb. 23. It must be noted however, that Boyle has proved resilient after an ugly loss going 6-0 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite as the coach of COLORADO. Colorado has played it best hoops at home winning 11 of 14 games . note: The Buffaloes have enjoyed a plus-10.9 scoring margin at home. Colorado is shooting 46.3 percent at home, compared to 40.1 percent in road games. The Buffaloes are holding opponents to 62.4 points on 41.9 percent from the field at home compared to 71.5 points and 45.4 percent in road contests and Im betting are capable of being competitive vs a powerful UCLA side. Colorado has made 63 of its last 75 free throws over the last five games (.840) which is significant for a physical side like the Buffs. Remember despite of their inconsistencies this Colorado team showed their abilities in a win at Tennessee earlier this season and deserve respect here in an cover opportunity this Sunday.  Boyle is 6-0 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite as the coach of COLORADO.Boyle is 61-45 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game as the coach of COLORADO with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.2. Play on Colorado to cover |
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02-26-23 | Blue Jackets v. Wild -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Wild have played well of late winning 4 of their L/5 with the lone loss coming to a top tier Toronto team by a 2-1 count, which happened last time out. Now Im expecting a big bounce back situation vs a Blue Jackets side that despite of surprising 6-5 win vs the Oilers last time are a very inconsistent side , which is evident by sporting an ugly 18-40-1 record on the season.COLUMBUS is 14-46 ATS L/60 in road games after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more. Regression from a offensive output perspective must now be expected vs a side that plays a top tier brand of D. COLUMBUS is 3-21 ATS in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at -2.1.. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (MINNESOTA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 29-0 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this ATS puck-line  offering. Play on the Minnesota Wild to win /cover -1.5 |
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02-26-23 | Wisconsin +5 v. Michigan | 79-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Considering the line offering from the books it must be noted that Wisconsin has played 17 games this season decided by five points or less (five in overtime), holding a 10-7 record in those contests. UW is now 22-8 in games decided by five or fewer points over the last two seasons.Sunday will mark the second meeting between Wisconsin and Michigan this season, as the Badgers earned a 64-59 victory over the Wolverines in the first meeting on Feb 14. That first meeting proved to me the Badgers matchup well vs the Wolverines.WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. Right now the Badgers D, is playing at a top tier level, and in an important game like this defense is key.WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. I also feel Michigan is being over rated here on this line, after their big upset win vs Iowa last time out. Note: MICHIGAN is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. Wisconsin to cover |
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02-25-23 | Santa Clara v. San Diego +7 | 81-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Santa Clara is in a letdown spot after a senior night win at home vs Pepperdine last time out and are now vulnerable here in this road game. I know San Diego may not inspire bettors but they have been competitive overall as compared to how the books have lined their games as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 overall. San Diego to cover |
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02-25-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is 3rd in ppg allowed this season behind a slow pace that ranks them 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace. Today in a elite NBA eastern conference tilt Im expecting a physical battle that helps keep this score on the low side of the Total. BOSTON is 10-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored.  BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in their L/44 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 212.4 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 45-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
My projections place this total closer to 231 giving us a full two possession value to the under on this totals offering.  Memphis owns the No.1 ranked defensive efficiency rating in the league. Denver ranks 19th in pace. MEMPHIS is 25-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 MEMPHIS/(DENVER) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-25-23 | Pelicans +3.5 v. Knicks | 106-128 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Knicks are playing a back-to-back set after they returned from the break on Friday and overcame a 19-point, first-half deficit to edge the host Washington Wizards 115-109. The Knicks exerted alot of energy io that game and regression must be expected here on tired legs. Meanwhile,  the Pelicans are in a three-way tie for seventh place in the Western Conference with the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State and need wins immediately to get them in a position for. aplay off run. NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA team (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 58-103 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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02-25-23 | Heat -4.5 v. Hornets | 103-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Charlotte has been playing decent basketball of late winning 3 straight while Miami has not and lost 3 straight . From a coaching and overall player personal standpoint Im betting the more desperate side flips the tables on both these trends tonight as the road team cruises to a victory and cover. MIAMI is 11-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.. CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in February games are 33-71 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA favorites (MIAMI) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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02-25-23 | Oral Roberts v. South Dakota State +4.5 | 69-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Since the 2005 season, South Dakota State has recorded a 71-40-1 ATS (64%) at home in conference play and must not be underestimated to compete here vs a Oral Roberts.  ORAL ROBERTS is 0-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.S DAKOTA ST is 0-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (S DAKOTA ST) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 42-16 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on South Dakota State to cover |
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02-25-23 | Arkansas +8.5 v. Alabama | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. To many points here to lay with Alabama. I know their 14-1 in SEC play and loaded, but with all the crap thats happening around the program right now Im sure this team wont be as focused as they need to be against what is now a fully healthy Razorbacks side. I know Alabama beat up on the Arkansas in their first meeting winning by DDs, but it must be noted that ARKANSAS is 8-0 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. ARKANSAS is 26-13 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. ARKANSAS is 16-3 ATS  in February games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALABAMA) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent are 32-66 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Arkansas to cover |
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02-25-23 | Maine v. Binghamton -2.5 | 71-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Binghamton to cover |
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02-25-23 | Texas v. Baylor -3.5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor looking to bounce back off two straight losses to Kansas and Kansas state will be primed to play hard here at home in a revenge spot vs Texas who has not played all that well on the road of late losing 3 of their L/4. In the first meeting between these two teams that essentially went down to the wire the Bears were missing some key players, but now their healthy and motivated and ready to lay down the hammer in a building they have accumulated a 13-2 record in this season. TEXAS is 0-8 ATS  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 4-15 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Baylor to cover |
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02-25-23 | Rangers -134 v. Capitals | 3-6 | Loss | -134 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Two teams on losing streaks play this afternoon in Washington as the NY Rangers come to town. The Caps have lost 6 straight and have lost their L/5 home games while the Rangers have lost 3 consecutive games.During the streak, the Capitals are getting outscored 24-10 and are fade material in their current form in this spot play. the Rangers are also in revenge mode for a 4-0 loss they suffered to the Caps back in late December.  NY RANGERS are 9-1 ATS  in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season. NHL  favorite against the money line (NY RANGERS) - after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games against opponent after 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more are 39-7 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rangers to win |
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02-25-23 | Missouri v. Georgia +3.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia after strong season, have lost back to back games by big DD margins, but from a long term trends standpoint it must be noted that sides like the Dawgs that are playing as underdogs at home  with an above .500 record and off consecutive losses of 28 or more points are 7-1 ATS dating back 43 seasons. Georgia has covered 5 of their L/6 as home dogs and is also 3-0 ATS hosting as a pup or a chalk of 4 points or less in this series, and also 3-0 SU/ATS as a conference home dog when after suffering a defeat of 30 or more points.  Georgia to cover. Meanwhile, Missou off a hard fought 66-64 win vs Miss State last time out. Note: Missouri is 0-6 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons MISSOURI is 3-11 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Georgia to cover |
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02-24-23 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Golden State is pretty banged up with key starter Curry out. I know the Rockets never inspire bettors but they have frequently played teams tough this season, and must not be underestimated catching 10 points here on rested legs after the all star break. Yes, I know they were annihilated in back to back games before the break, but now this young group with time to stew over those embarrassments will be primed for a bounce back effort. HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more. GOLDEN STATE is 4-15 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 32-13 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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02-24-23 | South Alabama +4.5 v. UL - Lafayette | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Lafayette beat S.Alabama 79-76 in their first meeting this season, and now its redemption time for the visitors who are 6-0 ATS (revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (S ALABAMA) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. South Alabama to cover |
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02-24-23 | Nets +2 v. Bulls | 87-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bulls entered the all star break with 6 straight losses, and according to my projections a 7th straight loss should be in the cards for them again tonight against a Brooklyn team that will be more focused after unloading players who were not happy with the organization ie Kyrie Irving.Nets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Vaughn is 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of BROOKLYN. Vaughn is 30-13 ATS (in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots in all games he has coached .BROOKLYN is 18-4 ATS  in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Nets to cover |
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02-24-23 | Heat +2 v. Bucks | 99-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these sides are rested but have some injuries, but key here is the expected absence of Bucks star  Antetokounmpo as well as Khris Middleton (knee) and Pat Connaughton (calf) . Im betting the Bucks are at a disadvantage without their big man in the liuneup. HC Spoelstra teams are 7-1 ATS when his side is on eight or more days of rest during the regular season. Heat are 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Heat to cover |
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02-24-23 | Canadiens +140 v. Flyers | 5-2 | Win | 140 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The Habs behind top tier goal tending (  Sam Montembeault) and some decent offensive outputs have won 4 of their L/6 games and matchup well here vs a Flyers side off a grueling 4 game western road trip. Im betting ti will take time for the Flyers to get acclimated to home cooking again, and for the up-trending Les Canadiens to take advantage of that .Flyers are 7-30 in their last 37 vs. Atlantic.Flyers are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.Road team is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.Canadiens are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on Montreal to win |
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02-24-23 | Fairfield v. Niagara OVER 124.5 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the over |
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02-23-23 | San Diego v. Gonzaga UNDER 165.5 | 72-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 161 which gives us a two possesion edge on this totals offering. GONZAGA is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored.GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149 ppg scored. Lavin is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 147.8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (GONZAGA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-23-23 | Pelicans +6 v. Raptors | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Raptors had won two straight and five of their past six games while New Orleans has won 4 of their L/6 overall despite of a lazy outing against the Lakers on the road before the all star break that saw them lose. The Pelicans won at home, 126-108, against the Raptors on Nov. 30 and matchup well here even with the Raptors getting healthier. From a SRS perspective the Pelicans rank 11th in the league with a 1.44 mark while, the Raptors rank 13th with a 0.87 . Advantage Pelicans even though the Raptors  have home court advantage of 4 auto points. My line projections estimate the Raps. should just be 3 point chalk here giving us a full possession advantage on this line offering. ***SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 25-41 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 ATS L/2 here in TO. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-23-23 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 233.5 | 142-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Indiana beat the Celtics as road dogs earlier this season, and now the Celtics will have redemption in mind and which usually centers on them playing their best form of defensive basketball. BOSTON in 12 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored..BOSTON in 8 games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season have allowed that opponent in the rematch to score an average of 108.3 ppg while themselves have also average roughly 108.1 points for a combined average of 216.4 ppg. BOSTON is 15-6 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.with the average combined score clicking in at 223.4 ppg. BOSTON is 12-4 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with the combined average score of 226.5 ppg scored.Â
Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDERÂ |
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02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
After procuring a 6 game win streak the Cavs lost 118-112 and will now be primed to bounce back after extended rest. The Cavs also have revenge on board for a  a 13-point loss they endured in Denver earlier this season.  The Cavs have proven resilient this season when coming off a loss going 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS , and have won and coved 8 of 12 this season in revenge mode for a loss of * plus points. CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND is 15-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. DENVER is 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better this season. DENVER is 1-10 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 134-83 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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02-23-23 | Ducks v. Capitals OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Ducks are in the midst of a six-game losing streak in which they've been outscored 36-15 allowing 6.00 GAA during that span in wide open hockey. Im betting on another all out affair as the team knows its not a play off team. I know Washington is banged up, but there is still enough talent here to do some offensive damage against a defensively regressing side. ANAHEIM is 24-8 OVER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 7-1 OVER in road games after playing 4 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored this season. ANAHEIM is 10-1 OVER against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 90-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play over |
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02-23-23 | Northeastern v. Drexel -5.5 | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Dragons have won four in a row vs Northeastern, including a 76-55 win in Boston back in January proving to me from a data standpoint that they matchup well in tonights confrontation. I know Drexel has been slumping of late, losing three straight , but that is a good thing as we get to buy low here in this spot play ( Two of the losses came by 1 point and 3 points) The /Dragons can clinch 5th place with a win here in their final regular season game so a top tier effort is to be expected. Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Dragons are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. Dragons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Dragons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Dragons are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. Spiker is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since 1997. Coen is 18-31 ATS L/49 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DREXEL) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 75-5 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Drexel to cover |
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02-22-23 | Wake Forest +6 v. NC State | 74-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC Carolina State got by Wake Forest 79-77 in the first closely contested meeting this season and Im betting on another close match here today. The Deacons 3 point shooting is what gives them the capability to be a force here tonight. In. a hard fought loss to top tier Miami Fl last time out Wake Forest showed off their downtown skills and are the only team this season to make more than 12 triples against Miami. note: WAKE FOREST is 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots over the last 2 seasons. Keatts is 9-19 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of NC STATE. Keatts is 5-14 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of NC STATE. NC STATE is 2-11 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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02-22-23 | South Florida v. UCF -8.5 | 82-75 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCF has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to South Florida earlier this season and now its redemption time. After two one possession point losses to Memphis and Cincinnati the home side will be well prepared to take on this lesser talented school and hungry as hell to get back into the win column. The Knights are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 when seeking same season revenge vs USF. Home side is 14-3 ATS in this series. UCF to cover |
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02-22-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. North Florida +2.5 | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This N.Florida is a dangerous and explosive side thats being under rated here at home where they are 9-2 SU this season North Florida ranks 10th in the nation in three-pointers made per game at 10.1 per contest. The Ospreys have poured in double-digit three-pointers in 15 games, including four games of at least 15 treys. Eastern Kentucky Colonels despite of a strong record are 4-8 in road games this season. N FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.N FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 3 seasons.N FLORIDA is 23-9 ATS L/32 in home games after playing a road game. E KENTUCKY is 5-16 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.E KENTUCKY is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.E KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E KENTUCKY) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 6-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on North Florida to cover |
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02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State -3 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MSU is 20-2 SU L/22 at home in this series, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking same-season revenge from DD defeat. Note: Indiana beat up on the Spartans 82- 69 at home last month. I know Indiana has played well recently, but despite of this have only cashed in only 2 of their L/10 road games. INDIANA is 0-7 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Home team is 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings. Play on Michigan State to cover Michigan State to cover |
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02-21-23 | Ducks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Anaheim has allowed a whopping 30 goals in their L/5 games for a 6.00 GAA while allowing an average of 47.6 shots on goal per game. With that said, Im betting on them being peppered with a giant shot count tonight against a Tampa Bay side that I have pegged for a 4 plus goal output in this spot play. ANAHEIM is 13-5 OVER  when they allow 4 goals over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 7 gpg. Over is 5-0-1 in Ducks last 6 vs. Atlantic.Over is 10-1-1 in Ducks last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 8-1 in Ducks last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0-2 in Lightning last 6 vs. Pacific.Over is 38-15-5 in Lightning last 58 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. (TB is off a 4 game road trip) ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored.  ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gog scored. ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg going on the board. ANAHEIM is 9-1 OVER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after losing their previous game in overtime are 44-19 OVER L5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors are 16-4 OVER this season for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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02-21-23 | Kent State v. Ball State +4 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Ball State Cardinals are averaging 24.4 free throws per game, which is third in the NCAA and leads the MAC. Ball State is averaging 16.4 free-throws made per contest, which is tied for 19th in the nation and is second in the conference.The Cardinals are also currently shooting 47.3 percent from the field, which is tied for 41st in the NCAA and is second in the MAC. Ball State has been profecient from behind the arc with a 37.6 percent from the land of the trey, which is tied for 27th in the country and third in the MAC. This is the kind of shooting and conversion rates a team needs to compete with a explosive Kent State side. The Cards also have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss at Kent earlier this season, so this side will be extremely motivated to pull off the upset on their own home floor. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Ball State to cover |
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02-21-23 | Bowling Green v. Miami-OH -1.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami heads into this match  against the Falcons with revenge on board for a loss to Bowling Green after falling 73-83 earlier in the year on the road. Home court advantage and being in redemption mode Im betting will propel Miami O to a cover this evening. The RedHawks hold a lifetime 51-18 home record vs Bowling Green who are 4-9 on the road this season.Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. In a game that the linesmakers consider to be a close one, taking a team like Miami that can convert at the charity stripe is a key. Miami University currently ranks 12th in the nation in free throw shooting percentage. BOWLING GREEN is 0-11 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.BOWLING GREEN is 3-15 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Miami O |
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02-20-23 | Cal-Irvine v. Cal Poly +11 | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Irvine's 78-76 Saturday home victory against UC Davis was a hard fought affair and now against a Cal Poly side on a ugly 15 game losing streak, are being over rated on this line. No doubt in my mind that Cal Irvine is the superior side, but they will Im betting be in a letdown situation against a side they could easily be overlooking. Its of interest to note that in their first meeting this season, the Anteaters barley go by the Mustangs 55-54. Smith is 6-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of CAL POLY-SLO.CAL POLY-SLO is 6-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.CAL POLY-SLO is 10-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Mustangs are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (UC-IRVINE) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 13-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cal Poly to cover |
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02-20-23 | UC San Diego +8.5 v. UC-Davis | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  The Tritons enter Monday's contest against Cal Davis fresh off a 1-1 week after a closely contested loss to Cal State Fullerton, 76-73 on Wednesday, before defeating CSUN 75-62 on Saturday. Cal Davis is off a hard fought loss to Cal Irvine last time out by just 2 points and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot. Tritons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.Tritons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Aggies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Cal San Diego to cover |
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02-20-23 | Flyers v. Flames OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Over the L/7 days both the Philadelphia Flyers and Calgary Flames have looked defensively  The Flyers have procured the worst team save percentage in the NHL over the last week with an extremely weak .774 SV %. having allowed four goals or more in three straight tilts for. a 5.33 goals against average. Meanwhile the Flames. They own the second-lowest team save percentage in the league across the last seven days garnering a .841 SV %. Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 vs. Pacific. Over is 6-2 in Flames last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. PHILADELPHIA is 11-4 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. (Calgary beat Philly 5-2 earlier this season)  NHL team against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 87-39 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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02-19-23 | Oilers v. Avalanche -108 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
The Oilers are rested but they go against a hungry defending Stanley Cup Championship side today that is 4-0-0 in afternoon games this season and 17-3-1 since the start of the 2019-20 season.Sunday's matchup will be Oilers first visit to the Mile High City since last seasons Western Conference finals. In the two games at this venue in last years play offs , the Avalanche scored 12 goals. The Oilers really struggled against Colorado's offense and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. With Colorado finally getting back to full strength after a rash of injuries, they look like a viable option in this spot play.Avalanche are 72-27 in their last 99 home games and  are 20-8 in their last 28 games playing on 0 days rest.Oilers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Oilers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.Oilers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.Favorite is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Play on Colorado to win |
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02-19-23 | Memphis +14 v. Houston | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Houston smashed Memphis, 71-53, in the finals of the AAC title game last season and now the Tigers have revenge on board . Note: Memphis is 12-3 ATS L/13 vs the Cougars, including 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge. Considering the Cougars current top form having won 8 of their L/9 with the one loss coming by 1 point to Tulane, Im betting they are capable of being very competitive vs their ranked opponent. Hardaway is 15-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games as the coach of MEMPHIS. Play on Memphis to cover |
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02-19-23 | Ohio State +13 v. Purdue | 55-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State had a 69-66 with under a minute to play but Purdue rallied to score the final five points and escape Columbus with a 71-69 in their first meeting this season. Im betting the slumping Buckeyes find a way to stay competetive here as they try to save some face from a disappointing season. Boilermakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Ohio State to cover |
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