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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
The series starts with Michael Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) going to the hill for San Diego against Ryne Nelson (1-0, 3.71) in a match up of right-handers. Offensively the Padres enter this game struggling to score runs recently and were shutout two times in a row and then followed up with 1 run output last time out . So one run in their L/3 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in game in their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, Arizona has faired better offensively of late, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest that Wacha should cause their output status immediate regression. Advantage to the under. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games.Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 overall. ARIZONA is 50-33 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 home games. Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres expected starter Wacha. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play under |
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04-20-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs -113 | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Things don't look cohesive in Dodger town right now, and after a losing 3 of 4 at home to the NY Mets, bouncing back will not come so easy with jet lag a tailing factor in tonights Wrigley Field tilt after a late night flight in from the West coast. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-2 against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Grove. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. LA DODGERS are 6-13 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or better ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 48-16 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Toronto was caught flat footed to begin their post season and lost game one to the Tampa Bay Bolts by a 7-3 count. While I doubt the Lightning will put 7 goals on the board here in the 2nd game of this series I still believe on their current form they will hit 3 or more goals. On the flip-side, TB ha been mediocre defensively for much of this season, and now betting on more aggressive offensive posture from the Buds in rebound mode which will help us eclipse this total. It must be noted that 11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 23-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 35-17 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 20-10 OVER (+9.5 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 85-37 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-20-23 | Angels v. Yankees -155 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
 Nestor Cortes (2-0, 2.60 ERA) goes to the hill for the Yankees as he bids for a franchise record. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine straight starts, and gets my support here to go long in this tilt and help his team to victory. Cortes is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career games (one start) against the Angels. He earned a win vs. Los Angeles last June 2 in New York when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings.Rinse and repeat on board. LA ANGELS are 7-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons like NYY expected starter Cortes. LA ANGELS are 22-43 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 30-8 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 106-37 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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04-19-23 | Kings +205 v. Oilers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
My power rankings suggest the LA Kings matchup well vs the Oilers, and must not be disrespected in their ability to pull off a 2nd straight underdog win here in Edmonton vs a offensively explosive Oilers team that lacks consistent D. Like I have continually said, offense can get you into the play offs, but defense wins championships, and the Oilers lack solid consistent defense which is not a winning proposition in post season hockey. EDMONTON is 7-13 ATS  after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals this season.EDMONTON is 4-8 ATS off a close home loss by 1 goal this season. (LA win game 1 of this series 4-3) Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.Kings are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. Pacific.Kings are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a win.Kings are 24-11 in their last 35 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 15-7 in their last 22 overall. Play on the LA Kings |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6 | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to miss this game and thats why we are getting such a good line to back the home favs in this classic bounce back theory rebounder. ( Miami won game of this series 130-117) The Bucks are a deep team and have the ability to tie this series tonight at home. Meanwhile, with key Heat cog Herro is out with a broken hand and that will effect the flow of the visitors. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.Heat are 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS win.Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.MIAMI is 6-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate) Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-19-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Isles Im betting will continue to play a conservative style of defensive hockey, and force Carolina into the same type of transitional hockey, which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. (NYI G Sirokin qualifies)CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER in home games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.(Game one resulted in. aCarolina 2-1 victory). Play under |
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04-19-23 | Pirates -120 v. Rockies | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/4 games overall and Im betting they struggle here again today vs Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) who will look to extend the streak of Pittsburgh quality starts. . The Cuban right-hander allowed just one run and struck out 10 over seven innings in his latest start, but he has no run support vs St. Louis Cardinals, losing 3-0 . Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh gets to go against a lefty Gomer. The Pirates have lit up lefties this season for an average of 5.7 rpg and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation this afternoon in the Mile High city. Rockies are 9-25 in their last 34 overall. Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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04-19-23 | Guardians -133 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Quantrill, a 15-game winner last season, is 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career outings against the Tigers, including five starts and according to my power rankings matches up well vs this version the Tigers. Meanwhile, Turnbull (1-2, 9.00 ERA), who was sidelined all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, had allowed 12 runs in eight innings during his first two starts of the season and once again looks like cannon fodder. Guardians are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter. QUANTRILL is 18-9 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-121 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Guardians to win |
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04-19-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Reds | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter RASMUSSEN is 13-0 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.9 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Meanwhile ,the Reds will turn to a rookie making his major league debut Wednesday as right-hander Levi Stoudt gets the spot start. Needless to say this is a bad matchup vs an inexperienced MLB pitcher. Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Reds are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the TB Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers took out the Suns in game 1 but now Im betting on the zig zag theory taking hold, and for the Suns to mount a comeback in game 2. PHOENIX is 34-17 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 28-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more are 13-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. . Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-18-23 | Rangers -117 v. Royals | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Texas has won 6 of their L/8 while their hosts KC have lost 7 of their L/8. Its obvious these teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum. With that said, Ill ride the Rangers momentum here to what my power rankings suggest will be a victory. KCs starter KELLER is 1-10  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five lifetime appearances (four starts) against the Rangers, Keller is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA. Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter Eovaldi. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings. are 55-14 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
Cleveland lost 101-97 in game 1 of this series , and now in classic zig zag theory fashion Im betting on a huge bounce back here vs the visiting Knicks and game two of this series. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight game are 45-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 24-1 L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.8 which eawsily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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04-18-23 | Twins v. Red Sox +100 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY has a had a good start to his season but is just 15-24 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Twins right hander has also struggled agains the Red Sox in his career and owns   1-7 record when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.13 and a WHIP of 1.488. Twins are 13-31 in their last 44 road games.Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Sale. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.. Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go 89% against conversion rate for bettors . Play on the Red Sox to win |
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04-18-23 | Orioles -132 v. Nationals | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Orioles won three of four games against the Nationals last season, outscoring the inter-league foe 17-8. My power ranking suggest they still matchup well vs this current Washington squad and have the edge here as road favs. Orioles are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league road games.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league home games.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. WASHINGTON is 9-23 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. ( Washington did not play yesterday) WASHINGTON is 8-26 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MARTINEZ is 2-14 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of WASHINGTON. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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04-18-23 | Angels v. Yankees -149 | 5-2 | Loss | -149 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
 My projections make the NYY a viable fav here this evening vs a inconsistent Angels team that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games. NY YANKEES are 33-8 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. NEVIN is 12-35  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of LA ANGELS. Angels are 8-25 in their last 33 vs. American League East. Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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04-18-23 | Rangers +115 v. Devils | 5-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Rangers are expected to be a force in this year's postseason, the Devils are in the playoffs for the first time since 2018, and for just the second time in 11 seasons. The Devils are not an experienced play off side, and Im betting the pressure at least here in game 1 will be to much for them. New York was 12-3-4 in its last 19 games and Ill ride their momentum into this tilt on a value line. New York ranked first in the league at killing penalties (45-for-50) and ranked sixth in power-play percentage (16-for-59). Advantage NYR. Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.Rangers are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the NY Rangers to win |
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04-17-23 | Kings +176 v. Oilers | 4-3 | Win | 176 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
The Oilers offense got them into the play offs, but their Achilles heel their defense could be their undoing here in game one vs a LA side that my power rankings suggest matchup very well against them. Playing successful play off hockey is predicated on playing solid D, the Oilers are sub par in that category and very vulnerable here in game 1 of this series vs a tough two way Kings team that must not be underestimated.  LOS ANGELES is 18-4 ATS against sub par defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. EDMONTON is 1-6 ATS in home games after a 5 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.  Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Oilers are 32-70 in their last 102 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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04-17-23 | Mets v. Dodgers -143 | 8-6 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Mets have played better overall ball than the Mets early this season, but in this one instance (game) the Dodgers look to have the advantage with May on the hill. The Mets will send left-hander David Peterson (0-2, 4.91 ERA) to the mound in the series opener a hurler that the Dodgers matchup well against according to my power rankings. Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 19-39 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 88-26 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 103-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rare for bettors. Mets are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Dodgers |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia poured down 121 points in game 1 for the hefty DD win. The Nets will now have to become more aggressive offensively, while the Sixers will have not problem obliging them with a full blown offensive attack in response. BROOKLYN is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 28-9 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this seasons with combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 77-36 OVER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 56-25 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-17-23 | Islanders +163 v. Hurricanes | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The NY Islanders are built for play off hockey. Its been said, that they play a boring style of hockey. well get ready for more conservative action here tonight, and for the Carolina Canes to find the sledding tough vs a very experienced play off side, with world class goaltending between the pipes in Illya Sorokin.Islanders are 10-1 in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the NY Islanders |
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04-17-23 | Giants v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Marlins on Monday will start lefty Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.93 ERA). According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the SF batting order. When or iff he leaves this game Miami has well rested bullpen performers ready to go with lefty A.J. Puk, and righty Dylan Floro. Puk, a former starter in his college career, has a 1.50 ERA so far this season. He's using his upper-90s fastball against lefties and his slider versus lefties giving them fits.Floro a finesse pitcher, owns a 0.00 ERA in six appearances,  and gets hitters to chase by using his sinker-slider combo. Meanwhile, on the flipside Logan Webb armed and with his new 90 million dollar contract will be primed to perform here against a struggling Miami offense. Advantage to the under. Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East. SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.Â
Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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04-17-23 | Rays -136 v. Reds | 1-8 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Reds, who have lost five of their last seven and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Reds starting righty hurler GREENE is 5-20 ( against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GREENE is 4-20 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the Rays have absolutely demolished right handed pitchers like Green, averaging 7.8 rpg in offense via. a.284 BA. TAMPA BAY is 14-1 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-17-23 | Angels -130 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The Angels will look to avoid a 4 game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox today when they send Japanese phenom Ohtani out to the hill . Ohtani has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in Fenway.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BOSTON) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 8-54 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-11 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Halos to win |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Denver enters this play off game having lost 5 of their L/7 and look wobbly at the wrong time of the season. Meanwhile, Minnesota continues to play competitive hoops and have covered 5 straight games and will not be easily man handled .The Wolves also have a big time revenge scenario on their minds after suffering a blowout loss to the Nuggets back on Feb here in Denver. Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.  MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 13-25 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Timberwolves are 24-7 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Denver.Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on Wolves to cover |
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04-16-23 | Clippers +8 v. Suns | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My power rankings make the Clippers viable underdogs on what Im betting is a over blown home fav line for the Suns. PHOENIX is 9-33 ATS off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1996. (The Clippers just beat the Suns last week 119-114 and I wont be surprised by a repeat situation manifesting itself here today) LA CLIPPERS are 15-3 ATSin road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Clippers are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Houstons starter VALDEZ is 22-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and this year so far are averaging just 2.5 rpg in production vs southpaws. .Meanwhile,HOUSTON is 45-15  against the money line against left-handed starters like Heaney over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9. The Astros superior starter and bullpen will help us cover this runline offering. Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Lakers are an older team but along with that comes alot of experience and the ability to perform under pressure. I know the Grizzlies are a strong side, with alot of young talent but their lack of experience in pressure situations makes them vulnerable.Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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04-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Marlins Right-hander Sandy Alcantara, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner im betting matches up very well vs the the Dbacks batting order and should limit their production to a minimum here today. Meanwhile, , Arizona will start right-hander Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA). Gallen is coming off a career year in 2022, when he went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA in 31 starts for Arizona. After a rough start this season, Gallen settled down last time out and pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers. He struck out 11 and allowed just three hits and one walk and has momentum entering this tilt. Im betting these two hurlers go long and strong and we see little offensive production making for a lower scoring affair. Miami hurler ALCANTARA is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 15-5 UNDER at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 3-1-2 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Arizonas Gallen . Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 10-3-2 in Marlins last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-16-23 | Twins v. Yankees -153 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) has won three straight starts to begin a season for the third time in his career (2013, 2020) and is once again ready for a shutdown performance against a batting order he matches up well against. MINNESOTA is 14-34 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 17-37against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. COLE is 4-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.143 and his teams have won all 5 of his starts vs the Twins in his career. NY YANKEES are 32-8 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-126 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 37 m | Show | |
Warriors have a great deal of play off experience on their sides, and that Im betting will be their edge here in game 1 of an expected close game. Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. GOLDEN STATE is 33-15 ATS in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. I know the Warriors have not been great on the road this season, but Kings are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. SACRAMENTO is 6-17 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-15-23 | Braves -133 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this game having won 4 straight games, and have momentum on their sides entering this game vs a struggling KC Royals side that has lost 4 of their L/5 and 10 of 14. I know Bubic the Royals starter has looked solid so far this season, but run support has been hard to come by for the Royals southpaw, as Kansas City scored scored just one run in each of his first two outings of the season. Run support behind a side that averages just 2.5 rpg will once again be the Royals undoing. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 118-34 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-15-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -123 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Saturday's pitching matchup will feature Miami left-hander Braxton Garrett (0-0, 4.70 ERA) and Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson (1-0, 4.91). The key here will not be the starting pitchers but Miami's bullpen which has been strong with A.J. Puk (1.50 ERA) and Dylan Floro (0.00). The Marlins won 5-1 yesterday and look like viable shot home favs in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter lie Garrett. Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 91-43 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 4 m | Show | |
Entering the play offs Atlanta s offense is hitting on all cylinders averaging 123.6 ppg in their L/5 trips the court, and Im betting they will for the most part keep up that tiop tier offensive pace tonight in Boston . We know Boston is a solid defensive side, but when pressured can turn up their offense, and thats what Im betting the Celtics will be forced into doing today. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combine average of 244.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 15-3 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 242.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-15-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these offenses are of the sub prime variety and Im betting they will once again find the sledding tough in todays matchup. In the first two games of this series a total of 8 runs have been scored with each side recording a shutout and a rinse and repeat scenario from a total runs perspective is a good bet here. The Cards have gone under in 9 of their L/10 overall, and the Pirates have gone under in 3 straight and 4 of their L/6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games.Under is 12-2 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Matz. PITTSBURGH is 22-10 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SHELTON is 31-17 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 run or less as the manager of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 8 rpg scored.  Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. MARMOL is 20-9 UNDER  after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of ST LOUIS with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. ST LOUIS is 7-0 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. . MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 44-13 UNDER L/276 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-15-23 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
 The Nets have built chemistry since the deadline trades sent away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. They have been fr from easy outs on most nights since  Mikal Bridges and Spencer Dinwiddie have come on board and they have alot of confidence heading into this series and here game 1 Im betting they are being under rated. BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days . BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. Vaughn is 35-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots in all games he has coached.Vaughn is 30-15 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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04-14-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Wolves | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota defeated the Thunder back on Dec 16th by a 112-110 final score. Now in revenge mode in a key play off play in game Im betting Oklahoma City will be ready to play and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Wolves as was the case the last time they met. Daigneault is 8-0 ATS in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season.MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS as a home favorite this season. From a SRS perspective the Thunder rank 15th in the league at 0.26 while the SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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04-14-23 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets OVER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams will not be in the post season, and Im betting on this being a loose run and gun tilt that sees very little attention paid to solid defensive transitional hockey. Edge to the over. Im projecting both sides score 3+ goals. BUFFALO is 37-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. COLUMBUS is 28-1 OVER ( when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. BUFFALO is 12-1 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored.BUFFALO is 7-1 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored.  COLUMBUS is 6-0 OVER off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg. COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER  off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 12-1 OVER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg going on the board. Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Columbus Play on the over |
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04-14-23 | Angels -112 v. Red Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
After getting swept in four games by the undefeated Rays in St. Petersburg, Fla and now with no momentum on their sides the BoSox are vulnerable to another defeat. My power ranking suggest that with  Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 1.64 ERA) going to the hill for the Angels that they have an edge. Red Sox are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Note: Red Sox righty starter Houck is 1-1 with a 14.54 ERA against the Angels in two career starts, both in relief last year. Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. BOSTON is 15-34 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 11-33 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Angels to win |
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04-14-23 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers Clevinger and Wells , matchup well here vs each opposing batting order according to my early season power rankings. Factoring in the bullpens and edger to the under makes for viable wagering opportunity. Under is 15-6-1 in Orioles last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Clevinger. Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Baltimores Wells. Under is 6-0-2 in White Sox last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League East. BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 25-12 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. The last 6 games in this series played in south side Chicago have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . Play under |
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04-14-23 | Rays -105 v. Blue Jays | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
The Rays own a 13-0 record and are 12-1 against the run-line, as they’ve won all but one game by multiple runs. That one game was a 1-0 shutout. Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter like Berrios and have an edge here as short road favs.BERRIOS is 7-21 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) TBs starter RASMUSSEN is 15-4 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | 91-102 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Chicago upset Toronto as underdogs last time out and well positioned to pull off another win as pups. Meanwhile, the Heat are off a 116-105 loss and just have not looked like a play off team for much of this season and do not deserve to be this big a fav in this tilt vs a Bulls side that has won 11 of their L17 tilts overall. Chicago has won the L/3 most recent meetings and deserve respect here as road dogs. MIAMI is 9-24 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.MIAMI is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.MIAMI is 5-14 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.MIAMI is 9-22 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on the Bulls to cover |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat OVER 208 | 91-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Chicago has won 3 straight in this series, with all those games eclipsing this offered total. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 home games. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, second half of the season are 41-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami. Play on the over |
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04-13-23 | Kings -1.5 v. Ducks | 5-3 | Win | 110 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
\The Kings know they need momentum entering the play offs and will be primed to put together a complete game against a Ducks side that has nothing left to play for. LA looked great in their last game taking a 3-0 win and another top down effort is what Im expecting from them tonight in Anaheim. Kings are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season ANAHEIM is 0-13 ATS in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.ANAHEIM is 0-15 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.ANAHEIM is 0-14 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season. Play on LA Kings to win -1.5 puckline |
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04-13-23 | Brewers +125 v. Padres | 4-3 | Win | 125 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
After the first two weeks of the 2023 season, the Brewers are off to an 8-4 start. The Padres are 7-6. The Brewers according to their win loss record are also playing a more consistent brand of baseball and deserve respect here as road dogs. I know the Brewers lost yesterday to Arizona by a 7-3 count but they have been resilient recently after suffering a defeat as is evident by going 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game while registering a 4-0 record in their last 4 games following a loss. Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. MILWAUKEE is 12-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 39-19 against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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04-13-23 | Twins v. Yankees -140 | 11-2 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Yankees matchup well here vs the Twins in the opener of their 4game series according to my early season power rankings. The Yankees are averaging 5 plus runs while their pitching staff is giving up 2.75 runs per game. Ryan has pitched well for the Twins, but Yankees expected starter Johnny Brito owns a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.90 and is in top form. RYAN is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.750. ( Ryan's one start was here at Yankee Stadium in a 7-1 loss last season in September) NY YANKEES are 30-6 (against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 6-22 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 8-24 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 11-44 in the last 55 meetings in New York. Twins are 12-39 in the last 51 meetings. Play on NYY to win |
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04-13-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
The Rays have been in top form so far this season and have recorded 4 shutouts and registered 12 straight wins and now Im betting on lucky 13 to be a conclusive victory. The 12 wins to start their season have seen 11 of those games decided by 2 or more runs and a rinse and repeat situation is my bet today vs a Red Sox side that has lost 3 straight .TAMPA BAY is 20-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons as hosts.Rays are 42-11 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.Red Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 13-40 in their last 53 games on astroturf. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 |
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04-12-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Pelicans | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City and New Orleans rank nearly identically in most major statistical categories which makes taking points here a viable wagering option. From a SRS perspective the Pelicans have a small edge even when factoring in home court advantage. New Orleans owns a 1.63 SRS while Oklahoma City has registered 0.96 SRS. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Oklahoma City has covered their L/4 visits to New Orleans winning 3 of those games SU. NEW ORLEANS is 7-15 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season. Play on Oklahoma city Thunder to cover |
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04-12-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Rangers | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Brad Keller. In his first two starts of the year Keller has a 1-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and nine Ks in 10.1 innings and has the ability to keep his team in this game. Meanwhile, Texas sends Eovaldi who is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA. According to early season power rankings KCs struggling offense matches up well here giving us an edge on a runline wager backing the visiting Royals. TEXAS is 38-60against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), playing on Wednesday are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Royals +1.5 run-line |
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04-12-23 | Nationals v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Washington left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-0, 2.38), who will start Wednesday's game, has pitched well in his first two start and now expecting he has another good start and will help contribute to what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Washingtons starter GORE in 6 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Under is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Canning. LA ANGELS are 19-7 UNDER in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg. LA ANGELS are 23-11 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 30-15 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play under |
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04-12-23 | Mariners v. Cubs -102 | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
 Stroman (2-0, 0.00 ERA) is 5-0 with a 1.18 ERA in his past six starts. In his five home starts going back to last season.  Stroman has yielded just two runs, with 17 hits and 11 walks, while striking out 32 in 32 innings to earn five consecutive victories and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today vs the visiting Mariners. . Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 of their L/7 road games.  Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.   Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. cubs are 5-1 L/6 overall. CHICAGO CUBS are 31-16 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. Mariners are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Mariners are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings. Play on Chicago to win |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers OVER 231 | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score that reaches the mid 230s plus here. With the Wolves defensive stalwart Rudy Gobert out because of suspension, Im betting the now healthy Lakers really push this pace and force a capable and willing Wolves group into a run and gun affair. The Lakers ranked 3rd in pace in the NBA this season and 6th in ppg offense and 20th in ppg allowed. (Lakers have gone over in 8 straight games) The Wolves ranked 18th in ppg allowed and 8th in pace in the NBA and were in the top half of the league in scoring offense. MINNESOTA is 7-0 OVER  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 247.9 ppg scored. (Lakers beat the Wolves 123-111 L/week) MINNESOTA is 31-19 OVER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 30-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these teams will be in the play offs and both can still move up in the standings before we enter the post season. With both sides still playing hard Im expecting an aggressive game and with more than enough goals going on the board to eclipse this soft total.. Over is 3-0-1 in Golden Knights last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 6-1 in Golden Knights last 7 home games.Over is 9-4-1 in Golden Knights last 14 overall. Over is 6-2-1 in Kraken last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Kraken last 5 road game. NHL Road teams against the total (SEATTLE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (SEATTLE) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the 2nd half of the season are 23-5 OVER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. Play over |
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04-11-23 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +115 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 straight games and have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and roll into this game with offensive momentum and deserve respect here as home underdogs. It must be noted the Dbacks starter Kelley has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Brewers and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today. Especially considering the Brewers starter Burnes has struggled so far this season as is evident by garnering a bloated 9.65 ERA so far this season. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Brewers are 7-18 in their last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Kelly. MILWAUKEE is 9-16 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.  Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play on Arizona to win |
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04-11-23 | Nationals v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Angels starting hurler OHTANI is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg going on the board.OHTANI is 20-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) OHTANI is 12-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Across his first two starts Ohtani is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. He has 18 Ks in 12.0 innings total. I know Washington   scored 6 or more runs in each of the past 4 games , but 3 of those were in the launching pad known as Coors Field, but here against a top tier hurler like Ohtani Im betting on offensive regression which will contribute to a lower scoring affair. NEVIN is 15-4 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse as the manager of LA ANGELS. Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 15-5-3 in Nationals last 23 interleague road games.Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 22-9-4 in Angels last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play under |
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04-11-23 | Padres v. Mets -136 | 4-2 | Loss | -136 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
 On Monday versus the Mets, San Diego had just two hits in a 5-0 loss and Im betting their offense struggles to be consistent today vs Mets starter Peterson Meanwhile, the Mets are 17-8 in their last 25 at home versus a southpaw starter and 46-22 in their last 68 at home vs lefties like the Padres starter Weathers. Mets are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record. NY METS are 23-5  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 47-20 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons Play on the NY Mets to win |
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04-11-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -141 | 8-4 | Loss | -141 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Yesterday the Phillies put 15 runs on 20 hits, including nine runs and 10 hits against top tier hurler Alcantara. This is an explosive Phillies lineup and Im betting on another top shelf effort today against a lesser pitcher in Luzardo. Marlins are 18-37 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola. Marlins are 12-32 in their last 44 vs. National League East.Marlins are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series. PHILADELPHIA is 32-8 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.Â
MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 25-58 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies to win |
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04-10-23 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Lefty Wiley goes to the hill for the Brewers and he is backed by a strong looking bullpen that has recorded a minuscule 0.84 ERA. The Dbacks have struggled against southpaws this season so far as is evident by a .220 BA and those struggles Im betting continue today. Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona. Play on the UNDER |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The Angels will be primed for a redemption performance today after blowing a big lead to the Blue Jays yesterday and finally succumbing in extra innings by a 12-11 count.  Washingtons starting hurler CORBIN is 2-19  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this run line offering. CORBIN is 4-25  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at -3.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (WASHINGTON) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 10-61 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Angels -1.5 runline |
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04-10-23 | Royals v. Rangers -165 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Royals enter this game against Texas with a 41-88 record in their last 129 vs. American League West and are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series. Royals are also 16-35 in their last 51 road games and are fade material here at Texas tonight. Meanwhile, the Rangers ,  are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Greinke and  are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Rangers are also 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and according to my projections have multiple edges in this tilt. Rangers starter HEANEY is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.887. KANSAS CITY is 2-15 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons.  MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base. Play on Texas |
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04-10-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My projections make this a very close game, with strong value attached to taking the plus goals on the puck-line. It must be noted that the L/4 most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 1 goal. BUFFALO is 6-2 ATS in road games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against this season . BUFFALO is 6-3 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season. BUFFALO is 5-1 ATS in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season. BUFFALO is 11-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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04-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -120 | 12-11 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My power rankings suggest Kikuchi the Blue Jays expected starter does not matchup well vs the LA Angels batting order. KIKUCHI is 4-12 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). KIKUCHI is 1-6 against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.61 and a WHIP of 2.222. Meanwhile, Blue Jays are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos starter Detmers. Detmers pitched at a top tier level in his lone start against the Jays , allowing just four hits and no runs in 5 plus innings while striking out five batters. Rinse and repeat situation on board. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. The Angels have won four of their last seven games and are in a groove  offensively, scoring 16 runs in their last four trips to the diamonds. Play on LA Angels to win |
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04-09-23 | Royals v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My projections expect a total combined score of 9+ runs here giving us value with an over wager. Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Giants expected starter   A. Desclafani. Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-1 in Royals last 9 road games. Over is 11-3 in Royals last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5 in Royals last 20 interleague games. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. KAPLER is 21-6 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 40-12 OVER L/26 seasons. Play over |
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04-09-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +17 | 157-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Warriors mission will be to stay as healthy as possible entering the play offs and I wont be at all surprised if they rest alot of key players as this game proceeds giving us an edge with the home dog. GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATSÂ in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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04-09-23 | Mariners v. Guardians +117 | 6-7 | Win | 117 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
In the series finale, right-hander George Kirby (0-1, 8.31 ERA) gets the start for Seattle. The Guardians counter with right-hander Zach Plesac who is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.533. These teams have played each other 6 times already this season, with Seattle winning 3 of 4 in Seattle. Now here in Cleveland the Mariners took the first two games of the series, but now Im betting on a bounce back scenario for the Guardians. FRANCONA is 36-14 (against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of CLEVELAND. CLEVELAND is 27-9 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 95-36 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-09-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers +106 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Red Sox will send right-hander Kutter Crawford (0-1, 15.75 ERA), who was battered in his season debut by Pittsburgh on Monday, giving up seven runs in four innings . My early season power rankings suggest he does not matchup well here vs the Tigers batting order. Advantage to the Tigers. HINCH is 19-12 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. Boston pounded Motown yesterday 14-5) Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing recordTigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home game. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-09-23 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 105-121 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
The Bucks will be resting almost the entire core of their team, and Im betting that they will instead concentrate on playing a conservative defensive minded game behind a coaching staff that recognizes the importance of being disciplined in transition entering post season play. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. Also with a depleted lineup last time out the Bucks allowed the Grizzlies to pound down 137 points, they will be more aware here defensively in this spot play vs the Toronto Raptors who could also rest a big portion of their team.Under is 10-4 in Bucks last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 11-3 in Raptors last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. Play UNDER |
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04-08-23 | Avalanche -118 v. Kings | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
The defending Stanley cup champion Avalanche have won 12 of their past 14 games to climb into a tie for first with the Dallas Stars atop the Central Division standings and in their current form look like. a team on a mission with huge momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, LA after a hot run, have cooled off thanks to a boatload full of injuries and have now lost 4 of their L/6 games. It must be noted that the Avs have the added incentive of revenge for a 5-2 loss suffered at home to the Kings back on March 9th. COLORADO is 15-3 ATS in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season.COLORADO is 12-2 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on Avs to win |
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04-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
LAA southpaw starter ANDERSON is 16-9  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and according to my early season power rankings matches up well here vs the Jays.ANDERSON is 25-10 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 14-22 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Note:Anderson was 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and named to the All-Star team for the first time in his career last year with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jays starter BERRIOS is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 1.598.  Berrios (0-1, 12.71 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays after a poor performance in his first start of the season. Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West. Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Advantage LA Angels to win |
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04-08-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 8-12 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter DAVIES is 12-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 16-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 during game 3 of a series. Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bolts have a play off spot wrapped up and right now they are more interested in staying healthy than garnering wins as post season play approaches. What Im betting the Bolts are interested in, however, is to be more conservative in transition, and to focus more on good defensive fundamentals after allowing 6 goals in two straight games. Because of this Im expecting a concerted effort on D from the Lightning and for a Ottawa side that has not scored more than 3 goals in 4 straight and 7 of their L/10 to struggle to score goals. This combination will Im betting result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. TAMPA BAY is 12-4 UNDER in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gg going on the scoreboard. OTTAWA is 26-13 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. Play under |
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04-08-23 | Yankees v. Orioles +118 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Baltimore is one of the American Leagues most under rated teams, and thanks to what has been so far an explosive offense look to be underrated in this spot play vs the NYY.  Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Irvine and with my early season power rankings suggesting he has an edge against this NYY batting order especially with Josh Donaldson expected to miss. Im also betting on this hardcore offense of the Orioles having a good day against a rookie hurler in Brito. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-08-23 | Wolves v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | 151-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Minnesota has been off since Tuesday, and will have plenty of energy to run and gun here tonight vs what is usually a poor Spurs defense ranked last in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The Spurs are off 129-127 win vs Portland last time out and run the 2nd ranked pace in the NBA and Im betting on more wide hoops tonight against a fresh Wolves side. Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 35-16 in Timberwolves last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-4 in Spurs last 14 games following a straight up win. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in San Antonio. Play on the over |
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04-08-23 | Royals v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Royals right-hander Brady Singer (1-0, 1.80 ERA)Im betting will duplicate his effort in a 9-5 home victory over the Toronto Blue Jays this past Monday. He worked the first five innings, allowing the Jays to one run on two hits. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Manaea will be making his first home start since joining the Giants as a free agent in December and Im also betting he will be primed to compete.Under is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Note: KC has scored 3 or less runs in 4 straight and 5 of 8 games and have already been shutout 3 times. SF has been shutout twice already this season and scored 3 or less runs in 4 of 7 games. More offensive struggles look imminent today, Play under |
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04-07-23 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 225.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Phoenix has won a season-high seven straight games entering this meeting against the Lakers, and Im betting will push the home team hard today in a tilt I have pegged to be a back forth event that will see aggressive offensive action. With this being a back to back situation for the Suns Im sure they wont get physical and their defense positioning  will suffer. I do also expect the Lakers James and Anthony to suit up despite of being questionable . The Lakers are trying to avoid playing play in game so all decks should be on the agenda tonight. the most recent meeting in this series sae a combined 233 points scored. Rinse and repeat . Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 road games. Play over |
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04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs UNDER 229.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 225 ppg giving us almost a two two full possession edge on an under wager cashing. DALLAS is 12-1 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. NBA team (DALLAS/CHICAGO) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 28-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DALLAS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 36-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Colorado shutout Washington yesterday 1-0 and another low scoring game is my forecast here today . Colorados starter URENA is 16-4 UNDER  in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Colorado has not scored more than 4 runs in 6 straight games. Washington has scored 2 or less runs in 5 of their 7 games this season. COLORADO is 11-0 UNDER after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. ( the combined score of these games were all well below this offering) Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League East. COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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04-07-23 | Yankees v. Orioles +108 | 6-7 | Win | 108 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
The Orioles have 11 home runs so far this season -the same amount as the Yankees -- and their 34 runs scored are five more than the Yankees' total. So from a offensive perspective the Orioles must not be discounted here as underdogs. Im betting that they get a decent start from Kremer today, which put them in a great spot to cash a underdog ticket for us. KREMER is 14-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.  MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 94-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers going against each other for the second time this season. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings in the first meeting. Im betting we see them continue their successes here today and for both bullpens to stand tall in support.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road gamesUnder is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days .NY METS are 13-3 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the UNDER |
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04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders -145 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
The Islanders need this win desperately if they want to remain in the hunt for a play-off spot. With Tampa already having clinched a play off spot Im betting they will rest some players and not be extremely motivated and on tired legs after playing last night. Advantage Isles.  TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days this season. Play on NY Islanders to win |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | 129-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
As Philadelphia prepares for a play off run, they have begun to hone their defensive skills and are not not running and gunning like they were during their mid season portion of their so far successful campaign. Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the NBA in ppg allowed. the last time the 76ers played the Heat back on March 1st the held the Heat to just 96 points. MIAMI is 10-2 UNDER  in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210.3 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Heat have gone  Under in 4 straight road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games. Im betting on another lower scoring affair in this spot play. Spoelstra in 280 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI has seen a combined average score of 202.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. The L/4 meetings in this series have not eclipsed this Totals offering. The L/4 meetings in this series have also seen one of these teams not eclipse the 100 point plateau. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), in April games are 94-50 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-05-23 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | 131-138 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Pelicans played last night, and Im betting dont have the legs to get the cover here vs a Memphis side that is being under rated on this line offering. NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Pelicans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, playing on back-to-back days are 40-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-05-23 | Nets -10.5 v. Pistons | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Detroits season has been abysmal as is evident by a 16-62 SU record and have now lost 9 straight . Their biggest problem has been a lack of shooting consistency as they convert just 45.4% from the floor, which is 30th in the league. Tonight against Brooklyn Im betting the tanking Pistons are in trouble. Note: Pistons are   1-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Brooklyn lost 107-102 to Minnesota last night, as it snapped a three-game home winning streak , but now need to rebound quickly as they stay in the hunt for play in spot into the post season. Full effort here tonight is the prognosis against a proverbial dead corpse Pistons side playing with no emotion. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-05-23 | Knicks v. Pacers +8.5 | 138-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Indiana has nothing to play for but pride, since their play off hopes are gone. However it must be noted the the Pacers are 15-8-1 ATS home dog this season . On the flip -iside NYK has played top tier basketball of late, but Im betting missing star Julius Randle will eventually effect their flow. With that said, I expect a well rested Pacers group that are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest will be primed to compete. NYK have covered only 3 of their L/8 overall. Pacers have covered 2 straight. Pacers to cover |
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04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Cleveland bats are currently on fire and have brought 18 runs across the plate in their L/2 games, and Im betting they light up As starter Muller here today which gives us an a pronounced edge to the over.Note: Oakland has allowed 31 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds. These teams took part in a 12-11 slugfest and Im betting on not of lot of regression in this meeting. Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Over is 4-0-2 in Athletics last 6 vs. American League Central. Over is 6-0-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the over |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees OVER 7 | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Two quality right handed pitchers Cole (NYY )and Nola for Philadelphia go head to head against two quality offensive lineups. Both teams hit righties well and even the best of pitchers in this league would have problems with these batting orders. Im expecting a decent offensive utput by these sides today in a game that I pegged to eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.  COLE is 25-11 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 15-1 OVER L/16 vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-10 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game are 79-38 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-04-23 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Sharks | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
With just over a week left in the regular season, the playoff fate of the Colorado Avalanche is still unknown, but one thing that is know is that they need to keep picking up wins. With the previously injured Lehkonen and Landeskog who are top-six forwards retuning to the lineup they have a strong chance of doing just that against the San Jose Sharks this Tuesday night.SAN JOSE is 8-27 ATS in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.COLORADO is 13-3 ATS in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season. Play on Colorado -1.5 puckline |
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04-04-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -3.5 | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
The Bulls (38-40) are four games ahead of their closest rival for the final spot in the play-in, but are not yet officially part of the field. Chicago can get into the play offs withj one more victory or one Orlando Magic loss.A victory vs the Hawks would be an important one though, as the Bulls would secure the season-series tiebreaker over the Hawks . With Hawks star Trae Young dealing with an illness the Hawks are at a disadvantage vs a motivated side playing at home. Note: The Hawks have not win back to back games since early March ( they coincidentally won last time out) Hawks are 18-41 ATS in their last 59 games following a straight up win. Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Chicago beat Atlanta at home back in January by a 111-100 count. Play on Chicago to cover |
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04-04-23 | Celtics +2.5 v. 76ers | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
 The Celtics won the first two head-to-head meetings by nine and seven points, respectively and matchup very well vs the Sixers .Mazzulla is 14-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 24-11 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7. 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Celtics are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON is 24-9 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 16-5 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-04-23 | Wolves v. Nets +1 | 107-102 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota has lost 3 straight while /Brooklyn has won 3 straight. Both teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Ill ride with the hotter team on their own home court. Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS in non-conference games this season.  Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 2-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-04-23 | Bucks -12.5 v. Wizards | 140-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Washington is expected to be without leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis ( 23.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game)  and Bradley Beal who averages 23.2 points per game. With little left to play. for the wizards I will not be surprised by a big double digit win by the Bucks here against a short handed side. MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at+13.5 ppg. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 which easily qualifies on this current ATS offering. |
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04-04-23 | Cavs v. Magic +5 | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
The Magic come into this tonights meeting with the Cavaliers in top form, as is evident by winning five of six since March 21, and six of eight since March 18. Cleveland has proven to be a top tier team this season, but the Magic must not be disrespected as home dogs.  ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Orlando is the Eastern Conference's sole team outside of the top 10 not yet eliminated from the play-in race so Im betting they play all out hoops tonight. ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. I know the Cavs have won both meetings in this series this season with the last back in December , but it must be noted that NBA  team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Orlando is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings at home in this series. Play on Orlando to cover |
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04-04-23 | Twins +130 v. Marlins | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Marlins starting pitcher today ALCANTARA despite of being one of MLBs top hurlers is just 5-17 against the money line vs. teams like the Twins outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ALCANTARA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 13.49 and a WHIP of 2.355. The Twins have won 4 straight out of the gate this season and deserve respect here as road dogs. vs a Miami side that has lost 4 of their first 5 home tilts. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter dating back to last season. Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 interleague home games.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series. MIAMI is 20-46 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-29 ( against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Minnesota to win |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
The Padres send Yu Darvish to the hill this afternoon vs the DBacks. The right hander finished eighth in the 2022 Cy Young voting and matches up well here according to my early season power rankings. DARVISH is 12-0 UNDER ( when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 4.6 rpg scored. Arizona's Zac Gallen, who finished fifth in the 2022 Cy Young race goes for the Dbacks. He has struggled of late in the spring and his opener, but he matches up well vs the Padres batting order.Gallen, who went. 12-4 in 31 starts last season with a 2.54 ERA, a league-leading 0.913 WHIP and a .186 opponents' batting average. Im betting both hurlers go fairly deep today and both bullpens stand tall behind them when need be. Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn does everything better than San Diego State according to my power rating projections. Big East teams are 7-1 ATS in the championship round game. CONNECTICUT is 15-0-1 ATS after a non-conference game this season and are 15-0 SU and 14-0-1 ATS in non conference tilts this season. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after 2 straight close wins by 3 points or less against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. UConn to cover |
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04-03-23 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Nashville has played strong defense of late allowing 3 goals or less in 6 of their L/7 games overall and after a 6-1 blowout win vs the Blues last time out Im now betting their top tier defensive posture continues and for them to regress offensively here today vs Dallas which will give us an edge on a under bet cashing. Note: NASHVILLE is 9-0 UNDER in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.NASHVILLE is 8-1 UNDER off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Under is 8-3 in Stars last 11 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game Also the Stars are on tired legs . . Under is 20-8-1 in Stars last 29 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Under is 33-14-4 in Stars last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have seen 5 combined goals or less go on the board, with one of those game seeing 6 combined goals go on the board. Rinse and repeat to the under. Play on the under |
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04-03-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox -147 | 7-6 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
In the first series of the season vs Baltimore, The Red Sox restructured batting order looked like it would be an explosive offensive group and that what it was . The offense scored nine runs in each of the first three games and now with momentum on their sides look like a side on a mission here vs the light hitting Pirates today. Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 home games. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 11-37 against the money line in road games against AL East opponents since 1997. Pirates are 8-26 in their last 34 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 7-24 in their last 31 interleague road games. SHELTON is 3-21 against the money line in road games when playing on Monday as the manager of PITTSBURGH. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 48-17 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Play on Red Sox to win |
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04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Its never easy playing in the high altitudes of the the Mile High city, but for a poor traveling side like Golden State a house of horrors could easily await them. The Nuggets according to my projections also matchup very well against the Warriors as was the case the last time these teams met back on Feb 2nd when the Nuggets procured a 134-117 victory. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. I know Denver looked lethargic last time out in a loss but they are a resilient group and playing a top tier group of Warriors should have them motivated to get redemptionDENVER is 10-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3. GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATSin road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the average ppg diff registering at -8.9. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff registering at -10.2. GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 45-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 15-41 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia  in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS . MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on Pacers to cover |
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