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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders OVER 43 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
The Chiefs are off a MNF defeat and Im betting will be primed to play a top tier brand of D, here against Vegas that will help keep this tilt under the offered totals number. NFL favorites off a Monday nighter home loss have gone a under in 8 straight games in the last three seasons. Note: Vegas has gone under in 7 of their L/8 overall. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this seasons with a combined average of 38 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER after the first month of the season this season with a combined average of 37 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS is 6-0 UNDER in dome games this season with a combined average of 35.5 ppg scored.LAS VEGAS is 7-1 UNDER in games played on turf this season with a combined average of 37.8 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (KANSAS CITY) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 71-37 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
Both the Eagles and the Bills have viable offenses averaging more than 26 ppg in out put. BUFFALO is the underdog here which is important considering they have gone 8-0 OVER as underdogs of +2 or more points in the last four seasons with a combined average of 67.5 ppl scored. On the flip side Sunday NFC Conference home favorites of 3 pts or more like the Eagles against AFC Conference opponents like the Bills have eclipsed the Total 9 of the L/10 times. Considering the Eagles home games have seen a combined average of 56.5 ppg scored it will be an easy decision here to go with an over wagering what my projections estimate to be a score that hits in the low 50s. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51 ppl scored. My projections also estimate both sides will score at least 20 or more points which is important as the Eagles are 12-1 OVER L/13 when that happens with the combined score clicking in at 61.8 ppg. Play over |
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11-26-23 | Canisius v. Bowling Green UNDER 145.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Blues -150 v. Blackhawks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
After stopping a five-game skid with Friday's overtime victory, vs Toronto the Chicago Blackhawks will vie for consecutive victories for the first time this season. Im betting they remain inept in notching back to back wins vs a Blues side that matches up well against them. Blackhawks are 17-38 in their last 55 games following a win. St.Louis after an embarrassing 8-3 loss to the Preds last time out will be hell bent on redemption. Blackhawks are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. NHL Road teams against the money line (ST LOUIS) - off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival, with a winning record in the first half of the season are 21-6 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS off a loss against a division rival this season. CHICAGO is 11-44 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on St.Louis to win |
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11-26-23 | North Carolina Central v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 144.5 | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-26-23 | Stonehill v. Quinnipiac -12.5 | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Quinnipiac to cover |
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11-26-23 | Brown v. Ohio UNDER 147 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers -1.5 v. Bengals | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Joe Burrows is out for the season, and the Bengals as a group Im sure in a letdown mentality and that Im betting plays out here today against a hungry Steelers group that must not be understimated . Note: Bengals will start veteran backup Jake Browning who will make his first start in just his third game since entering the league in 2019.this is important because QBs making their first career start vs. Steelers are 1-11 straight-up (SU) in their last 12 games dating back to 1987. Steelers to cover |
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11-26-23 | Steelers v. Bengals OVER 36.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
I know both offenses are expected to have a low output production today, but even with the Steelers offensive woes and the Bengals QB precarious situation, my projections still estimate a score in the high 30s which gives close to a FG edge on this offered number. Note: PITTSBURGH is 8-1 OVER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.9 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (PITTSBURGH) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 30-8 OVER L/30 seasons with the combined average score of 48 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-25-23 | Colorado State v. Hawaii +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
Colorado needs a win to become Bowl eligible but they just seem like a team that does not perform well under pressure and have been inconsistent all season long. Here tonight against a Hawaii side that has improved as the season has progressed and enter this game on a two game winning streak Im betting they choke. Note: Hawaii is 5-0 SU in their L/5 home finales the L/5 years and with that said, Im betting on the underdog getting points. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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11-25-23 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas 10-5 is the fresher team here entering this tilt against a LA Clippers (6-8) side that played last night. The Mavs rank 15th with. a+0.83 rating in the NBA in SRS while the Clippers, are ranked 21st with a -0.01 rating. Factoring in exhaustion adn performance levels the Play on Dallas cover |
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11-25-23 | California +10 v. UCLA | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 56 h 37 m | Show | |
The California Bears need a win here today at the UCLA to become Bowl eligible. With the Bruins off a big win vs USC last week by a 38- 20 score Im betting the Bruins are vulnerable to a letdown vs a hungry side. Note : the the Bruins are 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. . Cal Bears HC Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS L/18 as a home dog. Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win and get the nod here in desperation mode. CALIFORNIA is 23-10 ATS L/33 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Kelly is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of UCLA. UCLA is 13-26 ATS ( L/39 as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. NCAAF Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CALIFORNIA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 17 or more total starters returning are 36-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cal Bears to cover |
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11-25-23 | South Alabama v. Texas State +6 | 44-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Jaguars have played well lately but are just are 1-12 ATS following consecutive home chalk victories and and 1-11 ATS away off consecutive home tilts. I know Texas State is off a ugly loss last time out, but they have been very competitive this season and deserve respect here as pups. note: Texas State is 8-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss. S ALABAMA is also 0-12 ATS L/12 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) . TEXAS ST is 4-0 straight up against at home vs S ALABAMA since 1992. Texas State to cover |
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11-25-23 | Furman v. UAB -5 | 86-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FURMAN is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road teams as an underdog or pick (FURMAN) - after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 115 points or less are 7-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-25-23 | Alabama v. Oregon UNDER 160.5 | 99-91 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-25-23 | Georgia Southern +8.5 v. Appalachian State | 27-55 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
11-25-23 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Virginia | 55-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 38 m | Show | |
Virginia upset Duke last week and are now in a huge emotional letdown spot vs instate rivals Vtech and very vulnerable . Vtech is 11-1-1 ATS.in finales , Virginia is just 0-11 SU L/11 when facing a Hokies side with a better record on the season. VIRGINIA TECH is 32-16 ATS L/48 as a road favorite of 7 points or less . CFB road team (VIRGINIA TECH) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 89-52 ATS L/10 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vtech to cover |
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11-25-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +9 | 56-14 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 45 m | Show | |
James Madison had their undefeated season abruptly come to end vs App State last time and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a Coastal Carolina squad that had a 5 game win streak end last time out. With Coastal having a 7-4 record they need a win to get them to the Sun Belt title game vs. Troy and will be ready to play all out football here this week vs a program ineligible to play post season football this season/ CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (JAMES MADISON) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game are 62-31 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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11-25-23 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
Wisconsin is Bowl eligible after last weeks win while Minnesota desperately needs a victory to get a Bowl invite. Im betting the home, side has the edge. I know the Gophers have not looked good of late, but it must be noted that HC Fleck is 9-1 SU/ATS when coming off a pair of losses and than playing at home.MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS after being out-gained by 175 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. Fleck is 8-1 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of MINNESOTA. Minnesota to cover |
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11-25-23 | Canisius v. Western Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Rice -4 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Rice according to my power rankings sis the superior side here today and the line should be closer to -7 for the home side. RICE is 21-7 ATS in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.RICE is 27-10 ATS L/27 in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%. ). FLA ATLANTIC is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. RICE is 15-1 ATS L/16 in home games after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. CFB Home favorites (RICE) - in a game involving two average rushing teams (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) after 7+ games are 44-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Rice to cover |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 43 m | Show | |
This game has some huge implications as the winner will get to the College Football Playoff semifinals. With Michigan QB JJ Macarthy (ankle) less than 100% and going just 12-for-23 via pass including 1 interception against the Terrapins” last week some doubts about his ability to play vs this type of prime time Ohio State D loom large . The Buckeyes have been solid dogs in the past in n Big Ten Title games cashing 10 straight times as pups. . We all know how good the /Wolverines D as is evident by allowing 9 points and 253 yards per game. But the Buckeyes football program has won 15 of their L/18 SU versus conference opposition that allow less than 10 ppg. Wolverine iconic HC Harbaugh will once again not be on the sidelines for this big game- which is not a good omen for a side that has cashed only 2 of their L/ 9 opportunities ATS vs undefeated conference opponents . OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 or lesws rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (OHIO ST) - with a great scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-14 ATS L/.5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Spurs v. Warriors -10.5 | 112-118 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have struggled out of the gate this season and now have an opportunity to take on their frustrations out on a San Antonio team on a 10 game losing run and that they have beaten up pretty easily in recent meetings with 37,31, 15 points deficit victories in their L/3 meetings. I know Golden State has not covered any of their 7 home games this season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here with the DD fav. Note:GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in Phoenix. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 16-31 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 12-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Santa Clara v. Oregon UNDER 146.5 | 88-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Heat v. Knicks -5.5 | 98-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami has played some decent defensive ball of late , while winning at Cleveland and Chicago. But from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their betting backers as they are 2-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, NYK after a extensive 5 game road trip looked flat in tired in their final game of the trip with a 117-110 loss to Minnesota. However, they have now been off since Nov 20th and with extensive rest and back on home court Im betting on a big effort from the Knicks. . NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Note: Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 35-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff registering at +11.5 which qualities on this ATS offering. MIAMI is 18-32 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.( Heat beat Cleveland 129-96 last time out) NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 18-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rte for bettors. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-24-23 | Penn State -20.5 v. Michigan State | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn State continues to struggle against the top tier teams in the Big 10 losing to both Ohio State and Michigan this season. However, against the lower tier programs seem to always come to play in merciless fashion. Michigan State is a team that suddenly finds itself in the lower echilon of the conference and with nothing really to play for could easily come out flat here today and crushed by a frustrated Litany Lions side that will want to make a statement.PENN ST is 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at + 27.1. Play on Penn State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Seton Hall v. Iowa UNDER 155 | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Baylor v. Florida UNDER 158 | 95-91 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-24-23 | Missouri v. Arkansas +9.5 | 48-14 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
After a hard fought narrow win against Florida last time out, Im betting Missouri is vulnerable here today against Doctor Jekyll and Mr Hyde football team in Arkansas. Recent history also tells a story of Tigers futility as they are 0-5 ATS L/5 in Last Road Games, and are 0-6 ATS away in their final tilts of the campaign. ARKANSAS is 4-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI at home since 1992. ARKANSAS is 25-10 ATS L/35 in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-24-23 | Air Force +7 v. Boise State | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
After starting their season 8-0 this Air Force side has looked flat of late, with their current 3 game losing streak starting with a ugly make no sense loss to Army. That embarrassing defeat and deflating loss to their military foe has reverberated into two more losses. The 2nd loss came in Hawaii and I can see this group just licking their wounds and just laying back on paradise island and not preparing well for the Rainbow game where they looked lifeless or maybe hungover. Last weeks loss vs UNLV had them back on track despite of negative3 31-27 count. Now this week against the Broncos Im expecting Air Force will fly high again and possibly even pull of the upset vs a side that they matchup well against. . BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS after a win by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons (which was the case last time out)Calhoun is 34-13 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of AIR FORCE. Play on Air Force to cover |
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11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
Utah State was smashed last week in a 35-point home loss to Boise State in embarrassing fashion and are now in a key bounce back situation vs New Mexico this week, as they desperately need a win to become bowl eligible. Utah State is 6-0 SU/ATS series run and according to my power rankings should be more than TD fav here. I know the Lobos took out Fresno State last week in. big upset win, but will now be in a letdown spot and very vulnerable vs a hungry side. Note: Lobos’ 0-7 SU L/7 in games coming off an upset win as a dog of 16 or more points and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 at home under those perimeters. Play on Utah State to cover |
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11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets +10 | 34-13 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
The Jets have dropped three straight games and are turning to journeyman Tim Boyle under center when they face the Dolphins in a Black Friday clash at East Rutherford, N.J. Im betting he will be a blast of fresh air for this stale Jets attack. I know Miami has done well this season, offensively but the Jets D has been mostly solid and Im betting hold up well here in the cold windy conditions today against a team not so ready to play in the cool weather. NY JETS are 19-8 ATS L/27 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. NY JETS are 29-14 ATS L/43 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. NFL Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 34-9 L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-24-23 | Toledo v. Indiana State UNDER 165.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | Monmouth v. Belmont UNDER 155.5 | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-24-23 | TCU +10.5 v. Oklahoma | 45-69 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
TCU has obviously not had a great season, especially considering their appearance the CFB Playoff championship game last year. But with the experience on the sidelines, with the coaching staff and with the context of desperation in play here as the Frogs need a win to become Bowl eligible, Im betting on them putting alot of fight into this tilt and they won't go down without a fight. Note: The Frogs have covered their L/4 trips to Norman to play the Sooners and Im backing them to continue that run this Friday. TCU is 10-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons CFB road team (TCU) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 42 points or more last game are 24-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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11-24-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
The Hawkeyes are the 2023 Big Ten West champs yet are being placed as dogs here vs a Nebraska side that despite of needing a win here badly, are not a football program that has a recent history of winning games clutch or otherwise. Hey I know Iowa has problems scoring , but their D, is outstanding and should give a pedestrian Nebraska offense a load of problems here today in a game I doubt they deserve to be favorites in. Iowa has won 7 of the L/8 in this series, and must not be underestimated in the underdog role. IOWA is 19-7 in their L/26 road game where the total is 42 or less have seen a +2 ppg diff . CFB road team (IOWA) - with a great scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa to cover |
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11-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +10.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Its chilly in Massachusetts this time of year, and the Canes Cristobal and company may find their welcome from Boston College chilly as well. The Canes are off 3 hard fought losses, and doubt they have much gas left in the proverbial tank. Note :The Canes are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite when coming off three losses-exact,. I know BC has not been a very consistent side this season, but at home have a recent history of being a solid dog especially at home covering 5 in q row as +8 or more pup. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. Play on BC to cover |
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11-24-23 | Memphis -12.5 v. Temple | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
I know everyone is in love with the SF 49ers , but Im one of these guys who still believes they are a bit over rated. Note: Im betting this is a close battle and getting a TD here is viable investment opportunity Seattle HC Pete Carroll as a home dog in his NFL career, is 9-2 ATS as a when getting f 4 or more points. SEATTLE is 17-6 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO L/23 at home. NFL Road favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-44 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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11-23-23 | Commanders v. Cowboys OVER 47.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Dallas /Washington games have seen some big total scores go on the board here in Dallas in the past with each combined score easily eclipsing this offering and Im betting nothing changes here today. The combined average score of those tilts rings in at 60.7 ppg. The Commanders own the worst scoring D in the NFL and the Boyz will do damage. But Im also betting the Commanders will also do their share of scoring in what Im betting will be a more back and forth tilt than the linebackers expect. Note: DALLAS: 10-0vOVER as division home chalk of 3 points or more and WASHINGTON: 6-0 OVER as division road dogs of 3 pts or more. Play over |
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11-23-23 | Commanders +13.5 v. Cowboys | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas has a long history of less than stellar Thanks Giving Day outings as is evident by a current 5-7 SU and 1-11 ATS run the the last 12 seasons. Meanwhile, the inconsistent Commanders seem to bring their best stuff for big games against top tier sides like the Cowboys. Hey I know Dallas has looked explosive of late, but it must be noted that from a historical angle they are in a play against situation.Favorites (DALLAS) - after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are just 11-33 ATS 5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons.WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS in road games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs since 1992.WASHINGTON is 35-19 ATS L/54 in road games after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.DALLAS is 16-38 ATS L/54 after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. Play on Washington to cover |
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11-23-23 | Michigan State v. Arizona UNDER 146.5 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score in the high 130s to low 140s, giving us an significant possession edge to the under. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ARIZONA) - after scoring 85 points or more, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 40-12 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.7 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points ( MICH ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 148-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with thre average ppg diff clicking in at 141.1 ppg. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Colorado State v. Creighton UNDER 154 | 69-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Butler +7 | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 27-12 ATS L/49 in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 with the average ppg diff clicking at 0.00 (even). CBB Neutral court teams (FLA ATLANTIC) - good shooting team from last season - made 45% of their shot attempts, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season are 11-32 L5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Butler to cover |
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11-23-23 | Villanova v. North Carolina UNDER 146.5 | 83-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -8 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
This might seem like a crooked number at just over a key TD offering , but the Lions are by far the better side, and a line closer to -10 should be on the board, making this a viable lay. Note: Thanksgiving Day favorites of more than 7 points qnd facing sub .500 squads , are 6-0 SUATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS win which the Lions are. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 9-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Motown to cover |
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11-23-23 | Penn State +8 v. Texas A&M | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PENN ST is 34-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 8-0 ATS in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Penn State to cover |
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11-22-23 | Mavs -2.5 v. Lakers | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are scoring 122.8 points a game, which is second-most in the league, in wide open run and gun fashion, and that makes them viable options against a Lakers side that is due for offensive regression after last nights 131 output vs the Jazz. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing with 2 days rest are 95-84 L/5 ATS for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - an explosive offensive team (118 or more PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 25-6 L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a average ppf diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. DALLAS is 3-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-22-23 | New Mexico v. Rice UNDER 166.5 | 90-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 157 | 86-71 | Push | 0 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | 76ers v. Wolves -5 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves have won 10 of their first 13 games to jump to the top of the Western Conference standings and according to my power rankings matchup well here vs the Philadelphia 76ers here tonight with home court advantage on their sides. The Wolves rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency which is important in game that features the 76ers top ranked offensive efficiency. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins against the New Orleans Pelicans and New York Knicks, and it has won nine of its last 10 trips to the hardwood and have momentum on their sides, vs a Philadelphia side on a short rest after taking the Cleveland Cavaliers last night in a tilt that went to OT in a 122-119 loss at home. Now exhausted and off a red eye to get here the 76ers are at a disadvantage. Finch is 13-3 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more as the coach of MINNESOTA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.9. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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11-22-23 | Flyers v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The Islanders are well rested and will have fresh legs here tonight against the Flyers.There has been pressure on HC Lane Lambert to be more aggressive offensively and thats what Im betting will trigger a high scoring affair than the lines-makers anticipate. Isles have allowed 4 ore more goals in 8 straight games. With the flyers currently hitting on all cylinders Im betting that current run of allowing 4 or more goals will continue and force the Isles into opening up.
Over is 4-0-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more on the open (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games against opponent after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 50-23 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more on the open (NY ISLANDERS) - sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after winning their previous game in overtime are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-22-23 | Arkansas v. Stanford UNDER 154.5 | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Indiana State v. Pepperdine UNDER 159 | 90-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Michigan v. Memphis UNDER 157.5 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Michigan +1.5 v. Memphis | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan has opened the season winning its first three games by 23.7 points before suffering its first loss against Long Beach State, 94-86, at Crisler Center in a freakish back and forth event. Note: Howard is 35-18 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread as the coach of MICHIGAN.( Upset by Long Beach St last time out) Rebound redemption mode in play. Michigan has scored 45-plus first half points in all four games; the Wolverines have scored 85-plus points in all four games; U-M has had at least one 20-plus point scorer in all four games; and the Maize and Blue has had 38-plus rebounds in all four games and matchup well vs the Tigers attack. MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN is 88-57 ATS in all tournament games since 1997. CBB underdog (MICHIGAN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 35-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan to cover Michigan to cover |
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11-22-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Colorado State v. Boston College UNDER 147.5 | 86-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Long Beach State v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 151.5 | 82-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-22-23 | Appalachian State v. Murray State UNDER 147 | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Toledo +3.5 v. New Mexico | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. • Toledo 4-0 leads the MAC in FOUR categories — 52.2 FG%, 44.4 3PTFG%, 10.7 spg, and a 1.7 A/TO ratio. Toledo to cover |
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11-21-23 | Toledo v. New Mexico UNDER 162 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Kansas v. Marquette UNDER 157.5 | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Jazz v. Lakers OVER 235.5 | 99-131 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The last four meetings between the Lakers and Jazz have all eclipsed this total with a combined average of 253.25 oog going on the board. My own projections for this contest come in the high 230s to the low 240s giving us a significant edge to the over. Utah has consistently played run and gun ball with 7 of their L/9 going over the offered number and Im betting they drag the Lakers into a wide open tilt here today that goes over the digits.Hardy is 10-1 OVER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored.Ham in 36 games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a. combined average of 237.1 ppg go on the board.UTAH in its L/57 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored.UTAH L/22 against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-21-23 | Hofstra v. Wright State UNDER 160.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Colorado v. Florida State UNDER 152 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Georgia Southern +5.5 v. Northeastern | 76-93 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Southern to cover |
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11-21-23 | Buffalo v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 153.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Marshall v. Oakland UNDER 149.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Prairie View A&M +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Prairie View A&M to cover |
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11-21-23 | Binghamton v. Sacred Heart UNDER 146.5 | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -140 | 21-17 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Chiefs matchup well here as their top tier defense will Im betting slow down the Philadelphia Receivers. On the flipside KCS start QB Mahomes could easily have a field day vs Eagles defensive secondary , that ranks 25th against short passes, and 28th against the slot and 28th over the middle of the field, including 32nd against tight ends -which wont be a good omen against KCs Kelce. . Bottom line is KC has won 4 straight meetings in this series and I dont see things changing this week, with home field advantage on the Chiefs side. At -140 on the ML we have an edge here tonight in Arrow Head. Key Note: Eagles QB Hurts has some nagging injuries and is not 100% for this tilt. NFL Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are 7-30 L/30 seasons for. a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Chiefs |
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11-20-23 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | 93-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been an inconsistent commodity this season, but they have recent wins against top tier opponents Denver, and Dallas, and 1 point loss to Minnesota and must be respect as underdogs here at home tonight vs the Sacramento Kings. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less) are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-20-23 | Rangers +121 v. Stars | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
The Rangers have points in 11 straight games and deserve respect here as underdogs vs Minnesota ,especially with star goalie Shesterkin healthy again and sporting a 5-0 recored along with a brilliant .932 SV% and 1.96 GAA over his last five trips to the golden pond. The Russian export is 4-0-1in his career vs the Stars along with a .913 SV% and 2.60 GAA. Note: Stars Goalie Oettinger has not looked good recently , as is evident by a .876 SV% and 3.71 GAA over his previous three trips to the golden pond. Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Stars are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NY RANGERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored are 35-19 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Rangers to win |
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11-20-23 | Bucks v. Wizards +9.5 | 142-129 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off a physical high octane battle against Dallas that they won by a 132-125 count last time out and could easily be vulnerable to being a letdown spot here vs Washington on the road tonight. I know Milwaukee has looked unstoppable of late, but with all the running and gunning their doing , their proverbial tank is probably on empty and it should not come as a surprise that they could also be over looking a lower tier opponent. Note:MILWAUKEE in their L/34 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games have seen a average ppg diff clicking in at -0.2. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 116-182 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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11-20-23 | Bruins -125 v. Lightning | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay and Boston go head to head tonight in Florida, with my power rankings giving us an edge taking the Bruins on the Money-line. The Bolts posted a 1-3-0 record vs. BOS last season, going 1-1-0 at home and 0-2-0 on the road. both these sides can score but the difference mkaer comes on defense and goaltending. The Bruin lead the league in gpg against , with a 2.00 GAA. They alos board Vezina Trophy winner Linus Ullmark between the pipes . this season the top tier goalie owns a 2.23 GAA and 0.928 SVP in eight starts and deserves alot of respect. Meanwhile, the Bolts have Jonas Johansson in goal . His 3.40 GAA and 0.894 SVP tells a stroy of diversity here tonight. Advantage Bruins. Bruins are 42-11 in their last 53 overall.Bruins are 42-11 in their last 53 games following a win.Bruins are 60-17 in their last 77 vs. a team with a losing record. Bruins are 39-13 in their last 52 road games.BOSTON is 31-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Lightning are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference.Lightning are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Lightning are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. Atlantic.Lightning are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (BOSTON) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 29-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors Play on Boston Bruins to win |
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11-20-23 | St. Joe's v. Kentucky -15 | 88-96 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kentucky basketball is playing with a shortened rotation as their 3 big men are not going to be available to play. But St.Josephs is not a team that can take advantage of this situation. Plus remaining talent on this Kentucky roster is more than capable of controlling play here tonight. Kentucky to cover |
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11-20-23 | Tennessee v. Syracuse +14 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Syracuse has won their first 3 games of the season, but have failed to cover each time and today Im betting they finally get out of their ATS funk for their betting backers and get us the cover vs Tennessee.Barnes in 9 road games against ACC opponents as the coach of TENNESSEE has seen the average ppg diff click in at +7.6 ppg. SYRACUSE is 44-24 ATS L/68 as a neutral court underdog or pick with the average ppg diff clicking at -0.5. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-19-23 | Suns v. Jazz +5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jazz, host the Suns again on Sunday night in Salt Lake City, after a hard fought battle that saw them lose 131-128 to Phoenix in an NBA in-season tournament game. Now here at home, in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City where alot of teams have have some problems playing will see the Jazz get revenge or more importantly get us the cover. UTAH is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-19-23 | Northern Iowa v. South Florida UNDER 145.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score to reach the high 130s which give us a solid 2 to 3 possession edge on this totals offering to the under. S FLORIDA is 14-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 119.2 ppg scored. Jacobson in 184 road games after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of N IOWA ihas seen a verage combined score of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S FLORIDA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 182-95 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 139 ppg going on the board. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks -1 v. Rams | 16-17 | Loss | -103 | 56 h 8 m | Show | |
The Rams in my humble opinion continue to get to much respect from the pundits and betting public and even the lines-makers. Yes, the Rams are rested, but their overall inconsistencies and HC McVay poor coaching decisions just make them bad bets .Meanwhile, Seattle is a side, that has taken care of business against these types of teams, and with a top tier coach in Carrol on the side lines deserve respect here as a pickem or slight fav according to my power rankings. LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-23 L/10 seasons for ago against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seahawks to cover |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 55 h 9 m | Show | |
The Bills are surprisingly just 5-5 on the season , and really need to get the wheels moving on their season . Their piss poor efforts are thanks in part to turnovers and a banged up D. Now n desperation mode Im and playing at home Im betting they come up big here this week vs a Jets side that is playing their 2nd straight road game after a loss at Las Vegas last time out. It must be noted that the Jets are just 1-8 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss and 1-6 ATS as a underdog after a chalk rating in their previous tilt. NY JETS are 1-8 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons. BUFFALO is 26-11 ATS L/37 after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NY JETS are 4-17 ATS L/21 in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-19-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jags look like weak favs here as they are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS as division home favorites. I know Tennessee is off two straight losses, but it must be noted that HC Verbal has only failed to cover 1 of his L/8 as an underdog when coming off back-to-back defeats. The public is all over the Jags after the Titans miserable effort last week, but my data base has picked up on a NFL situational trend that is successful 61% of the time as it focuses on teams of that kind of ugly outing. TENNESSEE is 12-3 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Pederson is 6-16 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 in all games he has coached since 1992 NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 16-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NF Lteam vs the money line (JACKSONVILLE) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-23 L/10 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. ( Tennessee lost 20-6 last week at Tampa Bay) Play on Titans to cover |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals +5 v. Texans | 16-21 | Push | 0 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
Texans are off an emotionally charged 30-27 upset of the Bengals in Cincinnati last week and Im betting will be in a letdown situation this Sunday against a Arizona squad with QB Kyle Murray back under center. Yes, he started a little slow after the long lay off last week, but this guy is dangerous two way threat with his legs and arm and makes this Cards side dangerous in the underdog role . Arizona is 5-1 ATS L/6 vs the AFC South. ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 6-20 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game. HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS in home games after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - with a terrible passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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11-19-23 | Giants v. Commanders OVER 37 | 31-19 | Win | 100 | 52 h 27 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst defenses in the NFL. Washington ranks 31 st allowing 27.4 ppg and the NY Giants are ranked 29th allowing 26.6 ppg. Washington has on occasion shown some offensive pop and Im betting they do damage this week, vs a shell shocked group of Giants, while the pedestrian offense of the giants finally gets a defense they can handle. NFL Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (NY GIANTS) - terrible offensive team - scoring 14 or less points/game, after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points are 45-19 OVER L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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11-19-23 | Mississippi State v. Northwestern +4.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern and Miss State are two evenly matched teams , but Im betting it will Northwestern rebounding abilities that will keep them in this game against their SEC opponents. NORTHWESTERN is 13-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion to cover. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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11-19-23 | Connecticut -12 v. Indiana | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this has mismatch written all over it.The defending national champions Connecticut are loaded and dominating at both ends of the court , They are backed by the back court withTristen Newton and Donovan Clingan at center, and Cam Spencer who can shoot the proverbial lights out.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country and have covered all 3 of their games in impressive fashion. Meanwhile, Indidana despite of their brand name and expected strong projections, are a one dimensional side, that just dont matchup well vs UConn.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country. with the average ppg diff clikcing in at 16.6 ppg.CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS ( after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons Play on the UConn to cover |
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11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 125-132 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks ranked 4th in pace have for most of the season run and gun at a high octane rating and Im sure nothing will change here except their oppositions ability to slow them down and grind away with more physical type of game plan. Im looking for a much more grinding type of affair between two strong teams, and a score that remains on the low side of the offered total. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 230s giving a 2 possession plus edge on the number to the under. MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in their L/33 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-8 UNDER L/37 in home games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more with a combined average score of 202.8 ppg scored.(Beat Charlotte last time out 130-99) DALLAS in their L/33 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/ MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 223.2 ppg. NBA eams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 39-13 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score registering at 227.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score of 225.6 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 37-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 222.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Oregon v. Arizona State UNDER 55 | 49-13 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 45 m | Show | |
Arizona State has only averaged 17.7 ppg on offense this season, and will try very hard to slow the pace of this game down, via slow snap counts and their running game as they play for survival here vs an explosive foe, and that Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are projecting.
CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (ARIZONA ST) - after gaining 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-4 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 40 points per game scored. Play on the under |
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11-18-23 | Minnesota +27.5 v. Ohio State | 3-37 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota got caught looking ahead to this game with Ohio State this week, and were flattened by Purdue . That was the Gophers second straight loss but there is good news from a historical trends chart that I use. Notably Minnesota is 9-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS losses, and HC Fleck is 5-0 ATS as a road dog of 25 or more points, and has coincidentally covered 4-0 straight as a double-digit pup versus undefeated opposition. Meanwhile, Ohio State Im betting will be looking ahead to their battle with Michigan next week and could easily find themselves more concentrated on staying healthy and play with less enthusiasm than usual. Fleck is 20-6 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return as the coach of MINNESOTA.Fleck is 13-4 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached.MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992. CFBroad team (MINNESOTA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 87-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-18-23 | North Carolina +7 v. Clemson | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 13 m | Show | |
The better team with the better record here is North Carolina vs a over rated Clemson side that should be. no more than a FG fav here based on home field advantage in Dearth Valley and not necessarily the talent gap. Mack Brown’s 16 -5- ATS in his career as a underdog with the better record, with 13 SU wins during that span, including 5-0 S/UATS the last five tilts. North Carolina has won the stats battles this season in 9 of 10 games and get the nod here to cover the number. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina to cover |
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11-18-23 | Cincinnati v. West Virginia UNDER 55 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
West Virginia has allowed 18.2 ppg at home this season, and Im betting they hold the inconsistent offense of the Cincinnati Bearkats within that range today. Look for key mode of moving thte ball to be their fairly efficient run game , and slower snap counts to see them try to grind out conservative game plan. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers average 213.8 rushing yards per game, No. 7 in the country and Im sure they will pound the ball again which in turn will eat alot of clock time. Lots of rsuh action makes for what Im projecting to be a combined score that stays on the low side of this totals offeirng. Brown is 12-4 UNDER in November games as the coach of W VIRGINIA with a combined average of 47.3 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons are 43.3 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. with pf 46.4 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 10-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games with a combined average of 43.3 ppg scored.. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W VIRGINIA) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 36-8 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 44.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. La Salle UNDER 144.5 | 78-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score ranging from the high 130s to a maximum of 141 which gives us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this number. LASALLE is 9-1 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LASALLE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Golden Knights -148 v. Flyers | 3-4 | Loss | -148 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Flyers have won 3 straight while Vegas after a hot start has cooled lately losing 3 of their L/5 but are off arousing 6-5 victory vs the Habs and have regained momentum. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest Vegas is the superior side. Also after a exhausting 4 game road trip to the West Coast Im betting the Flyers take time to get acclimated to home cooking again making them vulnerable in this spot play. Flyers are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Flyers are 14-47 in their last 61 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Flyers are 0-8 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.Flyers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Golden Knights are 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games.Golden Knights are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan.Golden Knights are 11-2 in their last 13 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game VEGAS is 11-1 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 7-32 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more are 7-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to win |
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11-18-23 | Louisville v. Miami-FL +100 | 38-31 | Loss | -100 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Louisville is a dangerous side at home but are just 0-4 ATS in road games this season are 0-5-1 ATS as road favs the last two years. Here against Miami Fl, a side that is quite high in power rankings Im betting they have the edge here at home where they have covered 5 of their L/7 as dogs or pickem. LOUISVILLE is 0-6 AT in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 2-0 SU L/2 at home in this series. Play on Miami to cover |
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11-18-23 | Mississippi State -7 v. Washington State | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KenPom ranks the Cougars 82nd nationally and outside the top 85 in Offensive and Defensive Efficiency despite of 3-0 record to begin this campaign. Yes the Cougars did win last time out in convincing fashion but this is still not a good matchup vs a staunch and physical Mississippi State' defense . The Bulldogs have smashed their opponents by DDs and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup vs a far less superior side.WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS ( in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-18-23 | Sacred Heart v. Loyola Maryland +2.5 | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Loyola to cover |
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11-17-23 | San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-17-23 | Mercer +30.5 v. Alabama | 67-98 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tide are one of the best teams in the nation and because of this will be getting a great deal of public money which in turn will bloat this number from where the true market value is. Taking points is the right choice here because of this. The last time Mercer and Alabama met was Dec. 19, 2017 when the Tide held off a late charge by MU before prevailing, 80-79. MERCER is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points . ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better which was the case last time out vs South Alabama in a 102-46 victory. CBB favorite (ALABAMA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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11-17-23 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | 126-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be primed to snap a two-game skid and a 1-3 ATS run when they face the host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA in-season tournament on Friday night. In the two losses tge 76ers looked tired but now with extra day of rest Im betting they will be good to go. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Hawks are off a 116-114 home loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday and are on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Also key star Trae Youngs wife just had a baby so Im sure life has been hectic for him and it could show on the court tonight at some juncture. ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 16-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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