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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-05-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -104 | 7-3 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Phillies are 0-9 on the ML in franchise history with starter Vince Velasquez on the road when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start and the Phillies lost. He is off back to back quality starts , but that has not been a recipe for success going forward for his team when he starts . VELASQUEZ is 2-10 ( against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Phillies are 7-19 in Velasquezs last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 5-14 in Velasquezs last 19 road starts.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 2-9 in Velasquezs last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona. Play on Arizona to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | A's v. Cubs -147 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Chicago has captured 11 of its last 13 home games since June 27 and 22 of its last 31 after completing a three-game sweep over Milwaukee with Sunday's 7-2 win. The Cubs are now an impressive 39-18 overall at home and get my support here tonight vs the Athletics. Kyle Hendricks(8-8, 3.07 ERA, 107 SO) logged seven shutout innings in a win over the Cardinals on Wednesday, giving him a 2.25 ERA with 32 strikeouts vs. nine walks in 32 innings in July. The righty has gone 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA in nine home starts this year and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the As.Hendricks' only previous start against the Athletics was Aug. 7, 2016, in Oakland when he allowed one run on three hits in 7 1/3 innings. .HENDRICKS is 16-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) CHICAGO CUBS are 22-5 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 24-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 50-11 L/L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | White Sox -125 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito(11-5, 3.39 ERA, 150 SO) bounced back from his worst start of the season by allowing just one run over seven innings Wednesday vs. the Mets. This kid has proven his consistency and is a quality pitcher that deserves our support here tonight. Note: White Sox are 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Meanwhile, Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.65 ERA, 88 SO)is expected to be limited to around 75 pitches in his return from the injured list, having been shelved since July 18 with an upper back strain and rust maybe an issue here making him fade material in this spot. GIOLITO is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 4-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. DETROIT is 2-15 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. DETROIT is 1-16 (against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season. DETROIT is 4-24 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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08-05-19 | Brewers -140 v. Pirates | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Lyles will be facing his former club and will have something to prove after they traded him away. Im expecting a top tier effort from a pitcher the Pirates deemed ineffective and expendable. The Pirates are 0-15 on the ML in the history of this database in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a game as a home dog in which they drew one or fewer walks. MILWAUKEE is 22-9 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 32-16 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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08-04-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 10 | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
David Price(7-4, 3.86 ERA, 123 SO)Price has struggled since the All-Star break, going 0-2 with a 6.52 ERA in four starts. The lefty won at Yankee Stadium on June 2, holding the Yankees to two runs over 6 1/3 innings ad now primed fora bounce back effort I look for Price to limit the pinstripes offence tonight. Meanwhile,J.A. Happ(8-6, 5.19 ERA, 89 SO) returns from the paternity list for his 22nd start of the season. He took the loss his last time out, though he logged a quality start by holding the D-backs to three runs and eight hits over six innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order lineup matches up well vs the BoSox offence.He is 9-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 23 career appearances (22 starts) against Boston. Under is 6-1 in Prices last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-04-19 | Reds +113 v. Braves | 6-4 | Win | 113 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Sonny Gray(6-6, 3.45 ERA, 130 SO) acknowledged not having his best stuff during Monday's 11-6 win over the Pirates. His streak of five straight quality starts ended, but he's still 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last six games and is . viable underdog option this afternoon in Atlanta. GRAY is 10-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GRAY is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 of more) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 130-73 L/22 seasons fo a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML |
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08-03-19 | Cardinals v. A's -151 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cardinals rookie right-hander Dakota Hudson (10-5, 3.88 ERA) goes against A's righty Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.54) this Saturday.Fiers will take the mound riding a 15-game unbeaten streak in which he's gone 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA. He's gone 4-0 in his last eight home starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here today. Hudson has a 4.63 ERA in his last seven games, allowing 18 earned runs in 35 innings, but he has a 5-2 record in that span. . FIERS is 17-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 23-6 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 17-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. ST LOUIS is 0-11 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season MLB teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 100-148 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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08-03-19 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Bauer the Reds newly acquired starter is leading the majors in innings pitched (156 2/3) and ranks fifth in strikeouts (185). The Reds are hopeful that Bauer can bolster a starting rotation that already ranks third in the National League in ERA. Bauer did have a bad outing last time out, but however overall comes in hot, having allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his past 10 starts. Meanwhile, Keuchel the Braves starter a former Cy Young Award winner has allowed a season-high four earned runs in two of his past three starts, but those Im betting are anomalies, and today against a top tier hurler should have his juices flowing and ready to perform, which Im betting helps this total stay on the low side of the number.
KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. KEUCHEL is 8-0 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 22-6 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER against NL East opponents this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 17-5 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Reds last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 22-6 in Reds last 28 vs. National League East.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 Saturday games.Under is 24-8 in Reds last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 20-7 in Reds last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 45-18-1 in Reds last 64 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Reds last 25 games following a win.Under is 38-16-1 in Reds last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 52-24-4 in Reds last 80 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 overall.Under is 34-16-1 in Reds last 51 on grass.Under is 40-19-1 in Reds last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Grays last 10 road starts. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 9-1-1 in Braves last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 15-2 in Braves last 17 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3-1 in Braves last 17 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 on grass.Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 home games.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-3-1 in Braves last 13 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts on grass.Under is 8-0 in Keuchels last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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08-03-19 | White Sox v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Phillies send their ace on Saturday when Aaron Nola takes the mound. Nola is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA and over his past eight starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox , however , my power rankings suggest he matches up vs well vs this inconsistent Pale Hose batting order that is averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty pitching this season and that overall has scored two runs or less in 9 of their L/13 games. NOLA is 11-1 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with the average score deferential clicking in at 2.9 rpg. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 SU after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a rpg differential of 2.8 rpg registering on the final scoreboard. Home favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 42-4 SU L/22 seasons with a +3 rpg score differential making this a viable RL trend. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the -1.5 RL |
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08-03-19 | Sky v. Dream +3.5 | 87-75 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, but other than a couple of clunkers have been mostly competitive, and are viable underdogs vs a Chicago Sky team, that has lost 6 of 9 and 4 of their L/5 on the road this season, WNBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Dream are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Sky are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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08-03-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 11.5 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Sale faced the Yankees last Sunday, striking out seven and allowing six runs (two homers) in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park and was very unhappy after that effort and now with immense talent to back him Im betting he rebounds to limit the Red Sox offence here . Meanwhile,Domingo German(13-2, 4.08 ERA, 107 SO) "was on a mission" in his last outing, according to catcher Austin Romine, as he halted the Yanks' slide by limiting the Red Sox to three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Fenway Park. German tied his season high with nine strikeouts and is capable of limiting the Red Sox offence again. Im expecting a pitchers duel, and not a shootout, and score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-1-1 in Sales last 10 road starts. Under is 7-0 in Germans last 7 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Germans last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Five of the L/6 games here in NY have gone under. Under is 47-23-4 in umpire Estabrooks last 74 games behind home plate and 7-1 UNDER in his L/8 in Yankee games. Play UNDER @ 10 or more |
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08-02-19 | Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Lance Lynn (13-6, 3.83 ERA, 160 SO) has pitched at least six innings in 17 straight starts, going 11-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He has pitched 113 innings in that stretch, striking out 136 and walking just 25 and Im betting he remains on track here limits the Tigers offensive production in this spot. Meanwhile, tigers southpaw starter Tyler Alexander(0-1, 3.86 ERA, 14 SO)After a couple of solid outings to open his Major League career, the rookie was roughed up a bit in his third career start, getting clipped for four runs on eight hits and one walk in 4 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Saturday. However despite of the regression Alexander still showed his prowess with nine strikeouts and has the ability to limit damage here in this spot , which Im betting will help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 9-2-1 in Tigers last 12 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games. Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-3-1 in Rangers last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 Friday starts.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Lynns last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Lynns last 13 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Lynns last 12 starts on grass.Under is 7-3 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 17-5 in Rangers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 23-9 in Rangers last 32 games following a win.Under is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-02-19 | Ottawa v. Montreal UNDER 53 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
Montreal after a slow start to their current campaign has held its last three opponents to 58 total points 1,177 total yards. Meanwhile, Ottawa their opponents have not scored 20 or more points in any game during its currentfour-game losing streak, and last time out had just 13 first downs in the loss to the Stampeders. Im betting on the Red Blacks continuing to struggle offensively and for Montreal D to continue to stand tall, and for this tilt to be a very physical affair that stays under the set total. These teams have a history of low scoring affairs, with only one of the L/7 meetings seeing more than 52 combined points scored. All three of the most recent meetings here in Montreal have gone under with the average combined score of 48 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 15-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus division opponents since 1996 with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 31-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-02-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -140 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Zach Davies(8-4, 3.56 ERA, 76 SO)has allowed 14 runs (13 earned) over his last two starts, including a loss to the Cubs on Sunday in which he allowed seven earned runs in five innings and is fade material here in this spot in his current form. Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Brewers are 3-10 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Brewers are 4-11 in Davies' last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 48-21 in their last 69 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 69-32 in their last 101 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 41-19 in their last 60 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home game MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 63-17 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win on the ML |
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08-01-19 | Rays +114 v. Red Sox | 9-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Right-hander Andrew Cashner (10-5, 4.18 ERA) gets the nod for Boston opposite Tampa Bay rookie left-hander Brendan McKay (1-1, 3.72). Despite of McKays inexperience, Im still betting he does enough to thwart a BoSox team the Rays have played well against of late.Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games and is 8-6 against the Red Sox this season, with seven of those wins coming in Boston, matching a franchise record (2011). Im betting on more TB Rays positive momentum action in this spot. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Rays are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Boston. Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. MLB team (BOSTON) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 19-49 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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08-01-19 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Trent Thornton (3-7, 5.45 ERA) gets the start for the Jays in Thursday's game. He is coming off of the injured list (elbow inflammation) and could be rusty today and in the process allow this underrated Baltimore offence to unload on him offensively. In his last three starts Thornton garnered a bloated 7.34 ERA .Thornton owns a 1.54 WHIP and .270 batting average against in 21 starts this season.Meanwhile, Os starter Wojciechowski despite of two recent quality starts, was 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in his first four games (three starts) with Baltimore after he was acquired from the Cleveland organization July 1 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this sometimes explosive Toronto offence that is loaded full of young top tier talent. Over is 5-0 in Thorntons last 5 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall. MLB team (TORONTO) - a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record, in August games are 220-132 OVER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-01-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 154 | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
As we come closer to the WNBA play offs teams become more aware of their defensive responsibilities and play also gets more physical. These two teams are strong candidates for a run at a WNBA championship and Im betting play a hard core competitive game here today that will end up on the low side of the total. CONNECTICUT is 11-2 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.4 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-8 UNDER in road games after 5 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers for a combined average of 158.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, on Thursday nights are 41-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals are 34-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 59-22 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-31-19 | Giants v. Phillies -130 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Phillies are my choice to extend their 2 game winning streak, behind right-hander Vince Velasquez. In Velasquez's last start, he thew 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday . Phillies are 5-0 in Velasquezs last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.Phillies are 7-2 in Velasquezs last 9 home starts. Meanwhile, Giants starter SAMARDZIJA is 1-11 against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 4-22 in Samardzijas last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. Philadelphia is 7-1 L/8 vs the SF Giants and gets my backing to win again. Giants are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 26-52 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML |
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07-31-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 10 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez(6-6, 3.63 ERA, 87 SO)will make his fourth start this season against the Braves, after spending last season with Atlanta, and he is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his first three outings against them. He has won six straight decisions since May 29. Meanwhile, Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.44 ERA, 91 SO)was cruising against the Phillies on Friday before his night ended early thanks to a 37-pitch fifth inning in which he recorded only two outs. Still, he allowed just one run over 4 2/3 innings and is 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA on the road. The recency of yesterday high scoring game that saw these teams combined for 19 runs, had a bloated line attached to this tilt. Note: WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. SANCHEZ is 21-8 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 12-4 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.8 rpg. WASHINGTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Wednesday games.Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Nationals last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 overall.Under is 18-7 in Nationals last 25 on grass.Under is 9-4 in Nationals last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts on grass.Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 7-1 in Sanchezs last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Sanchezs last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 6-2 in Sorokas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2-1 in Sorokas last 8 road starts. Play on the UNDER |
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07-30-19 | Wings +12 v. Aces | 54-86 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Vegas has won seven of eight and shares the top spot in the league with Connecticut and are getting a negative public lean , which according to my power rankings gives us value with a underdog wager with the Dallas Stars. Add to that Dallas has not been able to win regularly in July, going 1-7 which gives us a recency bias. LAS VEGAS is 12-23 ATS in home games versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. AS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. WNBA Road underdogs (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-30-19 | Blue Jays -108 v. Royals | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Royals will start left-hander Mike Montgomery (1-3, 6.09). It will be his third start for the Royals since being obtained from the Chicago Cubs. Both his past two outings were against the Cleveland Indians, and he went 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and Im betting he gets hammered by a under rated Toronto offence. MONTGOMERY the Royals pitcher is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 6-17 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTOYO is 13-5 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game as the manager of TORONTO. MLB All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 41-23 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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07-30-19 | Rays v. Red Sox -131 | 6-5 | Loss | -131 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Price the BoSox starter tonight vs TB comes in off a hard-luck loss against the Rays his last time out, allowing three runs and striking out eight over six innings. However, the Red Sox are also 9-0 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher. The Red Sox are 21-0 on the ML with David Price as a home favorite when he went six-plus innings and gave up three or fewer runs in his last start and gets my support here tonight vs the Rays. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 33-8 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 33-82 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML |
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07-30-19 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Tyler Beede (3-4, 4.85 ERA, 62 SO) allowed career highs of 10 hits and three homers vs. the Cubs last time out, surrendering four runs in 5 2/3 innings and looks unstable entering this game and could easily get lit up vs a batting order Im betting he does matchup well against. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Drew Smyly (1-5, 7.69 ERA, 60 ) despite a decent effort in his debut with his new team, has still been very inconsistent this season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well against the Giants batting order. Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 11-2-2 in Giants last 15 games following an off day.Over is 15-3 in Giants last 18 Tuesday games.Over is 9-2-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 7-2-1 in Giants last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Giants last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-5-1 in Giants last 19 road games.Over is 18-7-4 in Giants last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games.Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 vs. National League West. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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07-29-19 | Dodgers -120 v. Rockies | 1-9 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Maeda has pitched well against Colorado , including three starts this season in which he is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Overall against the Rockies, he's 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 18 games (13 starts), with seven of those starts coming in Denver. In 10 career games at Coors Field, he is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and he gets my support here on the road vs the Rockies. Meanwhile, Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA, 128 SO) has struggled a bit of late and been unfortunate .Gray, left his last start with a left calf contusion after being struck by a line drive, was cleared to start Monday's series opener against the Dodgers. The Rockies have lost three of his last four start and is fade material here today. Dodgers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 7-23 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 starts vs. Rockies.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 road starts vs. Rockies MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are17-59 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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07-29-19 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 10 | 7-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Toronto's Thomas Pannone(2-4, 6.39 ERA, 43 SO) is being promoted for Monday's start and return to a full five-man rotation. The lefty allowed four runs over 4 1/3 innings against Boston his last time out, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings could easily give up alot of production the Royals in this spot. Meanwhile, Brad Keller is currently throwing hard, but the Jays are a explosive fast ball hitting team, that I have projected for a positive output . Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 13-6 in Blue Jays last 19 during game 1 of a series.Over is 17-8-1 in Blue Jays last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League East. KANSAS CITY is 12-3 OVER at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Over |
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07-29-19 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Nats starter Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) has enjoyed plenty of success against the Braves, going 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) in his career against Atlanta. He gave up two runs on eight hits in five innings on July 19 at SunTrust Park. Corbin's 1.68 ERA at Nationals Park is the second-best home ERA in the Majors.CORBIN is 10-1 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Braves starter Keuchel is coming off a dominant 12-strikeout performance Tuesday against the Royals. The heavy dose of strikeouts were one shy of his career high and his most in a game since Sept. 6, 2015 the year he went on to win the AL Cy Young Award with Houston.KEUCHEL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Im expecting a pitcher duel here today. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-43 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-28-19 | Astros -136 v. Cardinals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Astros starter Wade Miley (8-4, 3.18 ERA, 100 SO) carried a shutout into the ninth inning of his previous start Tuesday against Oakland before getting a no-decision. In his last five starts, he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.88 WHIP as opposing hitters owns a ugly .159/.236/.295 slash line during that stretch. The southpaw gets my support here today vs the Cardinals vs anyone the Cards can send to the mound. HOUSTON is 27-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HINCH is 20-7 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Sunday are 133-53 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-28-19 | Rockies +143 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Colorado's starter Peter Lambert(2-2, 5.93 ERA, 31 SO)fastball-changeup combination kept him competitive in his last start, when he struck out eight and gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Washington and has momentum entering this game vs the Reds , making his team a viable underdog investment option. Meanwhile, the Reds starte Alex Wood 0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SOis scheduled to start vs. the Rockies in his season debut. Wood has been on the Reds' injured list all season with a lower back injury. The rust Im betting shows itself here today. Note: In 10career outings vs the Rockies Wood owns a 6.30 ERA. Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Reds are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. WOOD is 6-12 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 9-20 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-28-19 | Braves v. Phillies -135 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Gausman the Braves starter has had little success in his career against the Phillies, going 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three career starts against the club. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter has done well vs the Braves as is is evident In 15 career starts against the Braves, he is 9-3 with a 2.26 ERA. In three starts against them this season, he's 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA including a eight-inning scoreless effort on July 2 when he outdueled Atlanta's Dallas Keuchel in a 2-0 win. In five starts in July, Nola is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and gets my support here today in the favorite role. NOLA is 18-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 18-30 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA of 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies |
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07-27-19 | Braves -116 v. Phillies | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Zach Eflin (7-10, 4.25 ERA, 91 SO goes to the hill tonight. )The Phillies say Eflin is healthy and everything is fine, but Eflin has complained about a "heavy" body recently. He is 1-3 with a 9.38 ERA in his last five starts, and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, southpaw Max Fried of the Braves(10-4, 4.08 ERA, 102 SO)will return from the injured list to start for the first time since developing a blister during a July 15 win in Milwaukee. The young lefty's arm should be fresh. He's totaled just 10 innings in two starts this month. EFLIN is 0-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 29-10 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52 | 45-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
When these teams played on July 20 the Saskatchewan Roughriders came out of that game with a 38-25 win, and Im betting on a offensive similar output here this week in a game I have slated to eclipse the total. I know there has been alot of frustration in BC so far this season, but this is still a talented overall team, that Im betting can be explosive if they cant protect star QB Reilly. With that said Im betting the Lions will provide protection for Quarterback Mike Reilly tonight even though previous to this game he’s been sacked a league-high 21 times this season.Head Coach DeVone Claybrooks has confidence in his squad, telling the media earlier this week, “I have all the ingredients for this soup and I’m just trying to season it to get the right taste.” END QUOTE. It must also be noted that the Riders defence has shown some lapses this season, especially in their two road games and are currently allowing 33.5 ppg . Meanwhile, BC has allowed 33 or more points in 5 of their first 6 games, and despite of me expecting a uptick in offensive production it is their defence that really looks weak. Over is 4-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in Roughriders last 7 road games.Over is 5-2-1 in Roughriders last 8 Saturday games. Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 vs. West.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games overall. Play on the OVER |
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07-27-19 | Yankees +131 v. Red Sox | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Sabathia had a rough outing last time out, but was in top form for a long stretch before that and also notched a quality start vs. Boston on June 2, completing six innings of three-run ball while striking out eight in an 8-5 Yankees loss and gets my support in a contrarian spot here this after vs the BoSox in Fenway. I know Rodriguez has pitched well for the BoSox of late, but my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yankees hitters matchup well against him. BOSTON is 13-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 67-26 in their last 93 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 28-11 in their last 39 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 Saturday games.Yankees are 67-27 in their last 94 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 53-22 in their last 75 games on grass.Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 52-22 in their last 74 vs. American League East.Yankees are 80-36 in their last 116 games following a loss.Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 overall.Yankees are 92-45 in their last 137 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Orioles +185 v. Angels | 9-3 | Win | 185 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Asher Wojciechowski( 1-3, 3.91 ERA, 31 SO) is coming off the best start of his career. The 30-year-old righty threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings vs. Boston on Sunday, striking out 10 and taking a no-hitter into the seventh. His innings pitched and strikeouts were career highs and has momentum coming into this tilt and gets backing . LA ANGELS are 13-33 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 121-81 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Astros -104 v. Cardinals | 3-5 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Jose Urquidy (1-0, 5.54 ERA, 17 SO ) will make his fourth career start .He earned his first win on Saturday vs. the Rangers, when he allowed one run in seven innings. He's the second Astros pitcher to strike out at least nine with no walks within his first three games. This kids the real deal. Meanwhile, Jack Flaherty the Cards starter despite of pitching decently of late has not garnered a win since May 14 against the Braves and is fade material vs the Astros tonight. He is also just 1-2 with a 5.59 ERA over seven career interleague starts, including a 7.63 ERA over three appearances against the American League this season.Note: The Cardinals are 3-15 L/18 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start. I know the Cards have been hot, but playing against upper tier competition seems to ignite the Astros to playing their best ball. HOUSTON is 29-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 19-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON with the average margin of victory coming by 3.1 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Cubs -110 v. Brewers | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
When I first looked at this game, I was not sold on the Cubs with Hendricks on the hill as he has struggled a bit on the road this season. But after really running the numbers, my projections and power rankings say we do have some value here with the Cubbies vs the Brewers. Note: Hendricks despite of being winless in July still garnered a 3.60 ERA. In 20 career starts against Milwaukee, Hendricks is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA. Meanwhile the Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez will make his second start since a stint on the injured list for left shoulder inflammation and in his first start after the injury threw just 74 pitches, and could easily experience rust. Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day. CHICAGO CUBS are 30-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.MILWAUKEE is 2-9 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 37-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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07-26-19 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5 | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tiger-Cats are well rested coming off a bye week in week six and a win in week five against the Stampeders (30-23) and will be primed to pull he upset as home dogs vs the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Tiger-Cats are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. O'Shea is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - with a turnover margin of 0.75 or more /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 15-40 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton Ti cats to cover |
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07-25-19 | Toronto v. Edmonton UNDER 53 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show | |
Scoring has been an issue for the Toronto offence so far this season, averaging 15 ppg . Meanwhile, Edmonton is proving staunch on D, and are allowing an average of 20.4 ppg. Even if Toronto has a defensive breakdown, which is not uncommon, and Eskimos explode on them, Im still betting the combined total output by both teams will not eclipse this slightly bloated number. These teams met twice last season, taking part in 16-15 and 20-17 affairs in a home and away series. Im betting on more of the same here this Thursday night. Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Eskimos last 5 games in July. Play UNDER |
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07-25-19 | Yankees -115 v. Red Sox | 3-19 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA, 87 SO) just cant get himself in a groove . Though Porcello is 3-1 in his last five starts, he has a 10.57 ERA over that span. Porcello's last start against the Yankees was a rough outing on June 29 in London, when he retired just one batter and gave up six runs and Im betting against him and home side today vs the explosive Yankees. Meanwhile, Tanaka is undefeated in his L/7 starts, and is more than capable of getting us to the promised land here in this spot even though he will be backed by a tired bullpen. NY YANKEES are 28-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season Yankees are 44-14 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 28-9 in their last 37 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-25-19 | Cardinals +109 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 109 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Miles Mikolas(6-10, 4.17 ERA, 82 SO) gem got away from him on Saturday against the Reds with a three-run seventh inning, but he threw six scoreless innings prior to that to continue his good start to the second half. He allowed just three hits before the seventh and struck out four and is rounding into top form and has momentum entering this game. Meanwhile, Musgrove his Pittsburgh pitching opponent, is off a strong effort last time out vs the Phillies, but that has proven to be a negative in the past, as the Pirates are just 5-15 in last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. MIKOLAS is 10-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts vs. Cardinals. PITTSBURGH is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), playing on Thursday are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | Indians -131 v. Blue Jays | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Indians will send out right-hander Shane Bieber (9-3, 3.69 ERA) in the rubber match Wednesday against Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-10, 3.06). Stroman is the ace of the Blue Jays rotation, and won his last start , but that has not been a good omen for his team in his career as the following trend indicates. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-17 on the ML as a dog with Marcus Stroman when they won his last start.
Play on the Indians to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | A's +193 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt 7-4, 3.96 ERA, 83 SO The right-hander pitched well in a June 2 loss to Houston, holding the Astros to three runs over six innings and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Astros batting order and offers substantial value as an underdog in this spot play. BASSITT is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The As found a way to win yesterday, and Im betting they stymie the Astros here. Verlander the Astros starter is top tier hurler but OAKLAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 17-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win on the ML |
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07-24-19 | Liberty +9.5 v. Sun | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
The NY Liberty started their season slowly but overall have performed well of late and been competetive as is evident by covering 8 of their L/11 games vs a winning side, and are off a impressive SU win vs the LASparks last time toout. Meanwhile, Connecticut despite of a impressive record this season have been inconsistent and are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. My own power rankings suggest this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the travelling dog. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. |
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07-23-19 | Yankees -119 v. Twins | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
The Yankees took it on the chin yesterday losing to the Twins in game 1 of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past under the following perimeters. Note: The NY Yankees are 25-0 L/25 on the ML in the second game of a series when they allowed six-plus runs as a 110-plus favorite in the series opener which was the case yesterday in a 8-6 loss to the Twins in game 1 of this series. D. German of the starter for the Yankees has won three straight starts since coming back from the injured list, giving up just three runs and striking out 18 batters in 18 innings pitched and is my choice to silence the Twins here tonight. Meanwhile, Twins starter Kyle Gibson allowed five runs at Yankee Stadium earlier this year, though three were unearned and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current NYY batting order. Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in Germans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.NY YANKEES are 41-14 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Twins are 0-7 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. Yankees. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 73-22 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-23-19 | Sparks v. Dream +2.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream are a very contrarian side to be on tonight. In my usual contradictory betting bias that the side Im recommending we take tonight in this battle against the visiting Los Angeles Sparks. It must be noted that Los Angeles (10-8) played the last three games with just eight players as Candace Parker (ankle), Alana Beard (hamstring), Alexis Jones (knee) and Maria Vadeeva (knee) are all hurt and Riquna Williams is currently suspended and with the all star break coming up Im doubting these players will be rushed back to the court. Los Angeles barely beat Atlanta 76-71 in overtime on the road July 14, and Im betting now on tired legs and short handed the Sparks could get upset. WNBA team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 23-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 5-32 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Atlanta Dream |
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07-22-19 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 10 | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Sampson the Rangers starter today 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA versus the Mariners in 2019, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Mariners inconsistent offence. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Gonzales allowed three runs or less in six straight starts before he was reached for six runs in six frames of a loss at Oakland on Tuesday, but Im betting he bounces back today and gets back to his usual consistent form. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games. Under is 13-3 in Rangers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-4 in Rangers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Rangers last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-6-1 in Rangers last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. TEXAS is 17-5 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MLB eams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 45-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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07-22-19 | Yankees -114 v. Twins | 6-8 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA, 77 SO) will make his 16th start of the season in the series opener on the road against AL Central-leading Minnesota. He has gone at least six innings in each of his last four outings and hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here tonight in Minnesota. SABATHIA is 22-9 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.211. Yankees are 7-0 in Sabathias last 7 road starts vs. Twins.Meanwhile, my power ranking suggest his pithing opponent form the Twins is over rated.Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA, 89 SO) Perez’s results finally caught up to his stellar hard-hit rate and exit velocity allowed Wednesday against the Mets, when he allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits in six frames before the defense and bullpen imploded in a blowout loss. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. NY YANKEES are 21-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 26-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA is 21-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).NY YANKEES are 19-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-22-19 | A's v. Astros UNDER 9 | 1-11 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Homer Bailey (8-6, 4.69 ERA, 87 SO) was sharp in his A’s debut, allowing just two runs over six innings in a win against the Mariners. The right-hander returns to his home state of Texas for a matchup with the Astros, whom he’s 4-0 against with a 1.46 ERA in eight career starts. Meanwhile, Astros starter Gerrit Cole (10-5, 3.12 ERA, 194 SO)has put himself in the American League Cy Young race, going 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his last 10 starts. He has struck out 94 batters in 64 innings in that span. Cole leads the Majors with 194 strikeouts and 13.47 strikeouts per nine innings. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. COLE is 24-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season for a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. OAKLAND is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season with a combined average 8.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 21-9 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. Under is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Athletics last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Athletics last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 road games.Under is 10-4 in Athletics last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a win.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 home games.Under is 39-17-2 in Astros last 58 Monday games. Under is 4-1 in Coles last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Play UNDER |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves -145 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Atlanta starter Kevin Gausman (2-5, 6.21 ERA, 64 SO) will return from the injured list to make his first start since June 10. The veteran right-hander has spent the past couple weeks expanding his two-pitch mix with the development of a cutter and curveball and reports say hes come a long way and is my choice here tonight against the Nationals. Meanwhile, Nats starter Joe Ross (0-1, 11.05 ERA, 12 SO) to start Sunday’s series finale to pitch for the injured Austin Voth and Max Scherzer. Ross appeared in 17 games for Washington this year during a failed experiment as a reliever before being sent to Triple-A work as a starter again andvery much looks like cannon fodder here tonight in Georgia. Note:Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against Atlanta. Current Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) against him. Braves are 4-1 in Gausmans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 9-3 in Gausmans last 12 home starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-33 L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 11 | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these pitchers have not faired overly well vs current batting orders. Washingtons batting order has gone 33-for-100 (.333) versus the Braves starter Gausman and Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) Nats starter against Ross. Gausman's splits are better overall, but all in all both pitchers in tandem should support this total going over the total. GAUSMAN is 8-1 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. We have a high total attached to this game , but rightly so. It must be noted that the last six Sunday Night Baseball games with an over/under of 10 or higher have seen the OVER cash 6 straight times season eclipsing the number by 3.3 rpg. (dating back 13 seasons) Play on the OVER |
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07-21-19 | Fever +5 v. Sky | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
My power ranking suggest Indiana despite of their dismal record matches up well against streaking Sky. When these teams played back on June 15 Chicago won 70-64 at Indiana in a game that essentially was up for grabs, and Im betting on a repeat confrontation here. Note: Indiana has won 4 straight on the road in this series and gets the nod to cover again. Sky are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Fever are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Fever are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Chicago. WNBA Road teams (INDIANA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 31-9 ATS L22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate! Play on Indiana to cover |
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07-21-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 0-9 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a 34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence . |
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07-21-19 | A's +123 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
As starter Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21 ERA, 34 SO) has gone 5-0 in six starts since losing to Cleveland in his season debut, allowing fewer than two runs in four of the outings and more than three just once. Mengden picked up a win against the Twins on July 2 in Oakland despite allowing five runs over 5 2/3 innings the one time he struggled so far. MENGDEN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-3 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MENGDEN is 8-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MINNESOTA has lost 12 of 18 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. .Athletics are 44-11 in their last 55 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Athletics are 36-16 in their last 52 games on grass.Athletics are 38-17 in their last 55 overall. PINEDA the Twins starter has pitched well of late as well but is just 13-23 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record) Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 road starts.Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-0 in Mengdens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Mengdens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Athletics are 6-1 in Mengdens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts vs. American League Central..Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 22-8 in Mengdens last 30 starts.Athletics are 21-8 in Mengdens last 29 starts on a natural surface. Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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07-20-19 | Mercury +1.5 v. Wings | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas, which has the worst record in the league, has dropped four straight and six of seven and dont deserve to be favs even against a banged up Mercury side. Look for the Mercury key contributors Grinner and Bonner to be the difference makers. Mercury are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Wings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Home underdogs (DALLAS) - good ball handling team - committing 14 turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 17-41 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 35-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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07-20-19 | BC +5 v. Saskatchewan | 25-38 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these teams the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders need wins, and I am expecting a hard fought affair here making getting points a viable investment option.The spread has shot up after opening at Saskatchewan -2 and now at this level is slightly bloated. I know the Lions have struggled to score, thanks to a struggling offensive line, but their better then their 17 sacks suggest and Im betting they prove that here in desperation mode vs another inconsistent side.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival ( Calgary clobbered the Riders last week 37-10) Play on the BC Lions to cover |
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07-20-19 | Phillies v. Pirates -120 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Zach Eflin (7-9, 4.16 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (6-8, 4.31). Pirates starter Joe Musgrove( . 6-8, 4.31 ERA, 90 SO ) is coming off an odd trip to the hill in which he worked only 4 2/3 innings on 104 pitches as the Cardinals annoyed him with foul balls. He's put together a 3.89 ERA with 39 strikeouts and seven walks in eight starts since the beginning of June and is up trending in my power rankings and gets the nod here today. Meanwhile, Phillies starting thrower Zach Eflin ( 7-9, 4.16 ERA, 88 SO) is 2-6 with a 5.73 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has allowed six or more runs in three of his last four starts. He was beaten up on in a six-run fourth inning on Monday against the Dodgers. Pirates are 4-0 in Musgroves last 4 home starts. Phillies are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh. Phillies are 2-11 in Eflins last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. PHILADELPHIA is 6-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.
Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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07-20-19 | Padres v. Cubs -128 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana (7-7, 4.21 ERA, 88 SO) picked up a win vs. Pittsburgh on Sunday after logging a quality start (three runs in six innings). He has gone 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his past three appearances and gets my support here this afternoon vs the Fathers. The southpaw hurler has a 1-0 record against the Padres with a 2.77 ERA in two starts. Note: Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter and have scored an average of just 3.7 rpg vs LHP this season via a lowly .229 BA.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. SAN DIEGO is 1-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 28-9 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 63-19 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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07-19-19 | Marlins v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Hyun-Jin Ryu 10-2, 1.78 ERA, 105 SOthe Dodgers starter tonight has bounced back nicely from his rocky June 28 outing at Coors Field, allowing just two earned runs over 13 innings in his last two starts (1.38 ERA). Aside from allowing seven runs to the Rockies, Ryu has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his 17 other starts. . The Marlins will counter with right-hander Zac Gallen (0-1, 4.24), who will be making his fifth career start. The rookie has never faced the Dodgers and is coming off an outing Saturday against the New York Mets when he gave up two runs on four hits over five innings in a no-decision and capable of slowing this Dodgers offence that is not acquainted with his decent stuff. Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 overall.Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 on grass.Under is 5-2-1 in Marlins last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 Friday games.Under is 4-0 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 home starts.Under is 16-5-2 in Ryus last 23 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-8-3 in Ryus last 32 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Ryus last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.
Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Aces v. Storm UNDER 157.5 | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The No.1 ranked D of the Seattle Storm, in the WNBA and 8th ranked pace, and 9th ranked offence take on the No.1 pace , and No 2 offense in the league of the Las Vegas Aces. When these teams played back on June 25 in Nevada the final score clicked in a 60-56 and was very physical. While these teams may not have the small of output this time , Im still expecting a tight game that does not exceed this total. Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 Friday games.Under is 13-3-2 in Storm last 18 games following a straight up win.Under is 16-4-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2-1 in Storm last 11 games following a ATS win.Under is 19-9-2 in Storm last 30 overall. Under is 4-0 in Aces last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 5-2 in Aces last 7 road games. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Aces -1 v. Storm | 66-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Aces are slight dogs here, but this team is an explosive group that already beat Storm at home 60-56 back on June 25th. Now well rested and off since Saturday I expect this young but powerful Aces group to battle hard and be fresh enough to come out on top. Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. WNBA team (SEATTLE) - a good offensive team (72-76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and 19-45 ATS for 70% go against conversion rate over the L/22 seasons. Play on the Las Vegas Aces to cover |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 53 | 1-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Efficiency on offence and a little luck have seen Winnipeg go 4-0 SU/ATS so far this season. However it must be noted that QB Matt Nichols despite of leading the CFL with 10 passing touchdowns and only one interception, still only has 855 passing yards and attempted only 98 passes in four games. So unloading here vs a decent RedBlack secondary wont come that easily. Meanwhile, Ottawa is currently struggling mightily , and are 0-2 L/2 as their offense has become stagnant, not scoring a offensive TD in those tilts with QB Davis under center. Even though they expect to replace injured QB Davis with Jennings the offensive line has shown weakness and Im doubting their attack will suddenly become more efficient. My power rankings suggest both teams strengths are based on solid defences and a hard nosed blue collar mind set . This will Im betting be on full display this week in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. WINNIPEG is 16-4 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1996 with a combined average 45.4 ppg scored.WINNIPEG is 6-0 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.8 ppg going on the board. OTTAWA is 13-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 47.7 ppg going on the board. Under is 9-2 in RedBlacks last 11 games in July.Under is 13-6 in RedBlacks last 19 road games.Under is 21-10 in RedBlacks last 31 games following a ATS loss. CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (WINNIPEG) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 43-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OTTAWA) - after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnoversUnder is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 home games are 64-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Winnipeg | 1-31 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The recency of Winnipeg going 4-0 SU/ATS to start their season give us value on what Im betting is a bloated line. I know the Red Black have struggled in their L/2 games , one of which came at home to Winnipeg by a 29-14 count,, but now this hard nosed Rick Campbell coached team with revenge on board must not be underestimated in their ability to cash . With that said look for Ottawa to be hard to handle this this week , just like was the case when they walked into Calgary in week 1 of this season vs the defending Grey Cup champs and won SU as underdogs. |
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07-19-19 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Wainwright the Cards starter tonight against the Reds despite of pitching well of late has struggled mightily in eight road starts, garnering a 1-5 record along with a highly bloated 6.20 ERA and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs the Reds. Meanwhile,Tyler Mahle the Red Starter (2-10, 4.82 ERA, 101 SO) took the loss in his last start as he allowed a season-high-tying six earned runs against the Rockies in 4 1/3 innings of work . He did not look right in that game, and Im betting that effort extends into this tilt. In his L/7 starts he is 0-5 with a 5.80 ERA. WAINWRIGHT is 16-4 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Over is 16-7-1 in Wainwrights last 24 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Reds. MAHLE is 9-1 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Play OVER |
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07-19-19 | White Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Rays starter Brendan McKay 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 13 SO in his fourth career start comes after a seven-strikeout performance against Baltimore on July 13. In two of his three starts, he held the opposing lineup scoreless. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lopez is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA in two career starts against the Rays, with four home runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings. Also after being swept by the Yankees in a double header yesterday to team will have a sense of urgency here and come out and play hard for us im betting vs a White Sox team on an ugly 7 game losing streak. Rays are 51-22 in their last 73 vs. a team with a losing record.MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 465-3 L/5 seasons with the average run differential clicking in at 3.4 rpg which qualifies under my perimeters for a value run line selection in this spot play. Play on TB Rays on the RL -1.5 |
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07-18-19 | Toronto v. Calgary UNDER 53 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 38 h 49 m | Show | |
Rain is in the forecast in Calgary, with a predicted 60 percent chance of precipitation . The Argos own the worst scoring offence, averaging 14.8 points per game this season and I doubt they will eclipse that amount here this week vs a staunch Calgary D. Meanwhile, the Stamps allowed 4 sacks last week, and showed weakness on their offensive line, which Im betting going forward will hinder back up QB Arbuckle, who replaces the injured Bo Levi Jr. Arkbuckle was sacked 4 times last week. Im expecting the Stamps to be in a letdown mode after their loss to Hamilton last week 30-22 and for them to start slowly on offense vs a 0-4 Argos side that Im betting they are not motivated to face. With that said, bet on a total combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Argonauts last 5 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Stampeders last 5 games in July.Under is 6-2 in Stampeders last 8 games overall. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Calgary. Play on the UNDER |
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07-18-19 | Wings +8 v. Sparks | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wings played the Mercury hard yesterday and covered, and now according to my power rankings Dallas is being underestimated in their ability to cover vs LA here today, which gives us value on this line. I know the Wings are on short rest, but the Sparks are banged up with Candace Parker, Alan Beard, Alexis Jones, and Maria Vadeeva out, and short handed with key starter Riquna Williams' taking a lengthy suspension. Dallas has an edge especially from a ATS standpoint. Dallas is 7-1 ATS L/8 meetings in this series and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to LA. WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 52-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-17-19 | White Sox +123 v. Royals | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Danny Duffy 3-5, 4.64 ERA, lasted only two-plus innings on Friday against the Tigers after being struck by a line drive on the pitching hand. Duffy faced three more hitters -- all of whom reached -- before exiting with numbness in his left hand. He is said to be healthy, but Im betting he is still not 100%. Note: Royals are 0-9 on the ML when Danny Duffy starts at home and he had a WHIP of at least two in his last start. Meanwhile, Nova despite of struggling earlier this season is up trending and could easily have a strong second half Since posting a 7.42 ERA in his first nine starts, he has compiled a 4.14 ERA in his past 10 appearances and showed his abilities by blanking the Chicago Cubs in 5 2/3 innings on July 7 for a win. He gets my support here tonight. White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. KANSAS CITY is 4-16 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 11-0 win last night. Royals are 17-59 in their last 76 during game 3 of a series.Royals are 6-21 in their last 27 games following a win.Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 Wednesday games.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts on grass.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 Wednesday starts.Royals are 9-23 in Duffys last 32 starts vs. American League Central.Royals are 4-12 in Duffys last 16 starts during game 3 of a series.Royals are 2-6 in Duffys last 8 starts.Royals are 1-4 in Duffys last 5 home starts.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Royals are 0-5 in Duffys last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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07-17-19 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Indians starter Mike Clevinger(2-2, 3.99 ERA, 46 SO)After a slow start coming off the injured list, Clevinger said he has felt more like himself on the mound in his past two outings. In that span, he's pitched to a 0.82 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 11 innings and in his current form will be a nightmare for Tigers hitters. Meanwhile,Spencer Turnbull(3-8, 3.59 ERA, 85 SO)Turnbull’s return from the injured list on Friday in Kansas City showed a rejuvenated arm , and is more than capable of at least slowing the Tribes offence here today to some extent , which Im betting translates into a combined score that remains on the low side of this total.TURNBULL is 10-3 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. TURNBULL is 11-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 21-11 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 23-10-5 in Tigers last 38 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1-1 in Turnbulls last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts overall.Under is 4-1-1 in Turnbulls last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Turnbulls last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Turnbulls last 9 road starts.Under is 3-1-1 in Turnbulls last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts overall.Under is 21-8-2 in Clevingers last 31 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 23-9-2 in Clevingers last 34 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League Central.Under is 7-2-1 in Indians last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 39-15-2 in Indians last 56 Wednesday games.Under is 7-3 in Indians last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 35-16-1 in Indians last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games. Play UNDER |
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07-17-19 | Wings +7.5 v. Mercury | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Mercury on a two game losing streak and losses in 4 of their L/5 proved to me they dont matchup all that well vs the Wings. In the first meeting with the Wings this season on June 20. the Mercury two key offensive threats Griner and Bonner were held to a combined 20 points as Phoenix shot 24.6 percent and was outrebounded 49-28. While I dont expect that lopsided of a occurrence here I do believe we have value taking points with the visitors. Note:Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Dallas Wings ( Back ). Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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07-17-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh's Chris Archer (3-6, 5.42 ERA) is scheduled to face St. Louis' Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 1.99) in a battle of right-handers. Archer the Pirates starter had his best stuff in his second-half debut on Friday vs. the Cubs. He leaned on his four-seamer and slider to strike out a season-high 10 batters and comes into this tilt with momentum.Archer is 0-0 with a 2.20 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon gets another opportunity after allowing one run in 6 2/3 innings in an emergency start Friday against the D-backs. Note: Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. National League Central.Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 11-3 in Cardinals last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 21-6-1 in Cardinals last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 games following a loss.Under is 20-7 in Cardinals last 27 home games.Under is 10-4-1 in Cardinals last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 35-15-2 in Cardinals last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 55-25-3 in Cardinals last 83 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Ponce de Leons last 5 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Ponce de Leons last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts on grass.Under is 7-1 in Ponce de Leons last 8 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Ponce de Leons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 16-7 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. ST LOUIS is 30-17 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 18-6 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Play under |
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07-17-19 | Dream +7 v. Sky | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 1 h 60 m | Show | |
Atlanta according to my power rankings is being under rated here thus giving us value taking points with the with the Dream vs Chicago. Atlanta won two of the three games between the teams last year, including an 89-74 romp at home in the most recent matchup. WNBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-57 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-16-19 | Astros v. Angels +104 | 2-7 | Win | 104 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
LAA starterHeaney, who was the late Tyler Skaggs' best friend, is coming off an emotional outing in which he allowed two runs over five innings in Houston. His start began with a slow curveball to honor Skaggs and will prepared to honor his close friend again here vs Astros this evening. Angels are 9-4 in Heaneys last 13 home starts. Note: Mike Trout is not 100% and suffering with a calf injury and may miss this game. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 17-35 for a go against 67% conversion rate. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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07-16-19 | Pirates +166 v. Cardinals | 3-1 | Win | 166 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Under rated Dario Agrazal(2-0, 2.81 ERA, 7 SO)has earned an extended look in the Majors, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over 16 innings in his first three starts for the Pirates and is a viable underdog in this spot play. The Cardinals are 0-8 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and they won in his last start against their opponent. St Louis was the favorite in five of the eight games as they are here tonight.Cardinals are alsoe 0-4 in Flahertys last 4 starts and are fade material here tonight against the Pirates. FLAHERTY is 4-9 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)ST LOUIS is 4-15 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. I know these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Pirates on a 4 game losing streak and the Cards on a 3 game wining run, but all good a bad things must come to end, and thats what Im betting on here. Note: HURDLE is 31-19 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses as the manager of PITTSBURGH. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 52-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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07-16-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers -157 | 9-2 | Loss | -157 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Lynn has owned the Diamondbacks in his career. He is 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) vs. Arizona, including a victory in Phoenix this season. He gave up just one run in six innings on April 10 in a 5-2 victory and gets the nod again here this evening. Note: Rangers are also 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts and he has garnered a minuscule 0.82 ERA in his L/3 starts overall. LYNN is 15-2 against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LYNN is 9-1 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) LYNN is 17-3 against the money line in home games in July games in his career. (Team's Record) Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 Tuesday games. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML |
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07-16-19 | Rays v. Yankees -150 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The Yankees lost to the Rays yesterday but Im betting on a bounce back here behind veteran starting hurler CC Sabathia. When the Yanks have lost at home against Tampa, they are 11-1 L/12 in their follow up at home and when Sabathia has taken to the hill at Yankee Stadium off a team defeat the NYY have proven resilient going 14-3 on the ML. SABATHIA is 15-3 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NY YANKEES are 15-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.NY YANKEES are 26-6 against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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07-15-19 | Braves -102 v. Brewers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Two struggling young pitchers will attempt to get their teams off on a win column in the series opener when Braves left-hander Max Fried (9-4, 4.29 ERA) goes against Brewers righty Adrian Houser (2-3, 4.01). Despite of both hurlers struggling one hurler Fried has shown the abilities needed to win on the road as is evident ,by the following trends: Braves are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Braves are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 road starts. The Braves are 13-0 L/13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite after a game in which they scored first.The Braves are 9-0 L/9 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season., winning convincingly by an average of 5.65 runs per game. ATLANTA is 15-3 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. MILWAUKEE is 3-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.Brewers are 2-10 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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07-15-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 10 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Norris is in the midst of a 10-game winless stretch after giving up six runs on eight hits and three walks over five innings in a 7-5 loss at the Chicago White Sox on July 3. My power rankings suggest he will once again struggle against a up trending Tribe offence. Meanwhile, Plutko the Indians starter has gone three starts without a decision and did not complete five innings in any of them and also looks like cannon fodder in a game that Im betting goes over the set total. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 road games.Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. American League Central.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a win.Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 overall.Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 on grass.Over is 9-3-1 in Tigers last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-4-3 in Tigers last 17 during game 1 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Tigers last 18 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-1 in Norris' last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 36-14-2 in the last 52 meetings in Cleveland. DETROIT is 16-7 OVER as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season with the combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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07-15-19 | Giants +183 v. Rockies | 19-2 | Win | 183 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
The Giants starter Jeff Samardzija is set to start the first game for the Giants. Samardzija (6-7, 4.01 ERA) is coming off seven shutout innings in a 1-0 win against the Cardinals on July 7 and enters this game up trending and pitching very well of late and value dog investment option this afternoon in Colorado vs a struggling Rockies side that has lost 7 of their L/9 overall. Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts.Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West. Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series. MLB team (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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07-14-19 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -103 | 7-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
BoSox starter David Price(7-2, 3.24 ERA, 95 SO) beat the Dodgers twice in last year’s World Series, including in the decisive Game 5. He has carried that into 2019, leading the Boston rotation with a 3.24 ERA and gets my support here tonight in Fenway. RYU the Dodgers top tier starter is just 3-12 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. RYU is 1-10 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons. PRICE is 17-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Dodgers are 1-4 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. American League East. LA DODGERS are 2-9 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 19-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - average AL hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against an excellent NL starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less) are 57-26 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML |
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07-14-19 | Liberty v. Storm UNDER 154.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Seattle is ranked No.1 in the WNBA in defence, 8th in pace and 10th in offensive rating, and are more than capable of controlling the action here today in a very precise manner, which Im betting leads to a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Liberty last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-4 in Liberty last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 6-0 in Storm last 6 Sunday games.Under is 7-1-1 in Storm last 9 games following a ATS win.Under is 12-2-2 in Storm last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 15-5-1 in Storm last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 7-3 in Storm last 10 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Storm last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Play UNDER |
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07-14-19 | Sky +1.5 v. Wings | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Chicago recorded a 78-66 home win over Dallas last Sunday to snap a five-game losing streak and once again have the edge according to my projections that make them a -1 point favorite instead of a dog. Note: Dallas is expected to be short-handed along the frontcourt for this match, with Azura Stevens sidelined with a foot injury and center Isabelle Harrison's status uncertain as she is in concussion protocol and unlikely to play. Sky are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Sky are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. Wings are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.Wings are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings UNDER 153.5 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago had a huge offensive output last game out for a win but today I expect a more muted effort that will see them regress offensively. However, I also like the way their defence matches up against Dallas, as was evident when they held them to 66 points in last week 78-66 home win vs the Wings. With that said, Im expecting this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Sky last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Sky last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-0 in Wings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Wings last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 7-1 in Wings last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Wings last 7 Sunday games.Under is 17-5 in Wings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 10-3 in Wings last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Wings last 26 overall. Play UNDER |
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07-14-19 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 10 | 8-3 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
SF Giants starter Beede is coming off the best start of his nascent career after firing seven innings of one-run ball against the Padres on July 2 and Im betting he holds down the Brewers to limited production this afternoon. CHACIN the Brewers starter is 31-19 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 24-12 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored during that 50 game sample size. Under is 7-0 in Chacins last 7 starts vs. National League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Calgary is a defence first team and has gone below the total in each of its last four road games, including last week’s 37-10 beatdown of the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Against this explosive run and shoot Hamilton offence Im expecting they drag out their offensive plays, and slow the game down, and on defence show their formidable presence by limiting the Ti Cats production in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: HAMILTON is 12-2 L/14 UNDER in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 6.0 or less yards/play with a combined average of 46.4 ppg going on the board. CALGARY is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 28-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Mets v. Marlins +125 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
N. Syndergaard posted a 5.94 ERA with eight walks in 16 2/3 innings over his last three starts before the break and enters this game in struggling form and is fade material here tonight in Miami against a Marlins side that is 21-8 against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NY METS are 17-35 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Mets are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing low scoring games with 5 of the L/6 staying on the low side of the number, and 3 straight here in Montreal. None of the L/6 meetings have seen more than 46 points scored and the average combined score of those tilts has clicked in at 38.8 ppg and Im expecting another low scoring tilt this week. The Alouettes hav gone under in 10 of their previous 13 games away from Montreal, and are 41-17-1 to the under in their past 59 games against divisional rivals. Meanwhile, the the RedBlacks are 4-13 to the UNDER in their previous 17 outings against the East. OTTAWA is 10-2 UNDER versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.8 ppg. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER in July games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg going on board. Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starting hurler Lyles surrendered season highs of seven runs, 10 hits and three homers against the Cubs in his final start before the break on July 4 in Pittsburgh. That ballooned his ERA from 3.71 to 4.36 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs.LYLES is 18-7 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored in those 25 games. Meanwhile, Lester lasted only two innings vs. the Pirates on April 8 due to injury and in my power rankings also suggest the Pirates matchup well against him.LESTER is 17-7 OVER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.LESTER is 24-11 OVER (+12.0 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored in those 35 games. Over is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-5 in Pirates last 26 games following a loss. Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 overall.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 on grass.Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 during game 2 of a series. Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Over is 12-3-1 in Lesters last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts on grass.Over is 18-6-2 in Lesters last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts.Over is 20-7 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 2 of a series. Play OVER |
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07-12-19 | Reds v. Rockies -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 ERA, 115 SO)Coors Field does not seem to bother this viable Rokis hurler as Gray maintained a 4-1 record and 3.35 ERA at home in eight games (seven starts). One key is his 44:17 strikeout-to-walk ratio at home. Jon Gray is 4-0 with a 4.37 ERA in four career outings against the Reds and gets the nod again in this spot at home. Note: The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Jon Gray starts as a home favorite when they lost his last start, winning by an average of 6.5 rpg. Reds starter the other GRAY is 1-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 4-19 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-4 against the money line at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 over the last 2 season. Colorado is averaging 6.9 rpg at home this season while Cincinnati is averaging 4 rpg as visitors via a lowly .224 BA. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-12-19 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 51.5 | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Getting up for the 0-3 Argos will be difficult for the 3-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and Im betting they're offence start slow as motivation becomes a key factor. This will effect the the total combined score to the under. WINNIPEG is 16-3 UNDER L/19 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread with the average combined score clicking in at 44.1 ppg. TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER L/30 versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing 4.25 or less rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 home games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall. Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Tigers v. Royals -134 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Left-hander Danny Duffy goes for Kansas City vs the Tigers. Duffy (3-5, 4.28 ERA) has not been credited with a victory since May 19, though he's delivered four quality outings in his last five starts. He held Cleveland to two runs on five hits in 6 2/3 innings in his last start on July 3 and gets my support here tonight at home. Royals are 12-3 in Duffys last 15 starts with 8 or more days of rest. Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Tigers are 0-7 in Turnbulls last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Tigers are 0-4 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 0-5 in Turnbulls last 5 starts. KANSAS CITY is 14-4 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 16-6 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - below average hitting team (AVG .265) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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07-12-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 153.5 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting their season on fire and failing to pace themselves the Connecticut Sun now look to be exhausted as is evident by a 5 game losing streak that has seen them score an average of just 70.6 ppg. Meanwhile, Phoenix is off an explosive two way performance last time out beating Washington by a 91-68 count. Im betting on an offensive regression here today by the Mercury even if super star Diana Taurasi plays , and for a D that has held 5 of their L/7 opponents to 70 point or less to continue their top tier stopping modus operandi. This combination of expected projections makes for a score that will be lower than the linesmakers and public expect. Both teams have gone under in 3 of their last 4 trips to the court. Under is 6-1-1 in Mercury last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 road games. Under is 11-3 in Sun last 14 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sun last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western ConferenceUnder is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up loss.Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Sparks v. Fever +3 | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
L.A. has shown flashes of brilliance of late at least when at home, but is a different stroy on the road where they are 3-5 SU and been outscored by an average of 14.7 points while losing three in a row and are expected to be without Candace Parker tonight ( Candace Parker is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Foot ). Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream despite of having problems getting into the win column consistently are a under rated side, and on most nights a very competitive team that just cant get over the hump. With that said, getting points with the host Fever according to my projections is a viable wager. LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-12-19 | Pirates +147 v. Cubs | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Yu Darvish (2-4, 5.01 ERA, 111 SO) will open the Cubs' second half against the Pirates, whom he faced on July 3. In that no-decision, the righty gave up four runs with six strikeouts and no walks in 6 2/3 innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the Pirates. . Darvish is 0-6 with a 5.91 ERA in 13 career starts at Wrigley Field and is fade material according to my projections this afternoon. DARVISH is 3-9 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DARVISH is 5-16 against the money line in July games in his career. (Team's Record) Pirates are 4-0 in their starters Archers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Pirates are 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts.Cubs are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cubs have lost 16 of their L/26 overall. PITTSBURGH is 28-13 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 51-17 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 11.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn ,11-4, 3.91 ERA, 123 SOLynn is 9-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in his last 13 starts. He is averaging 4.73 strikeouts per walk, which ranks eighth best in the American League. He lost his only start against the Astros this season, but he is 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in seven career starts against them and Im betting will limit the Astros offensive output here tonight. LYNN is 26-6 UNDER in July games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Lynns last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. American League West.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Lynns last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, Framber Valdez goes to the hill for the Astros. He has been less than effecient this season, but Texas has had issues with LHP as is evident by their .226 BA vs southpaws, and could easily find the sledding tough , which Im also betting limits their output vs projection estimates. HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 65-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky +1 | 73-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The Chicago Sky have shown a lot improvement since opening 2019 with a lopsided loss to the Minnesota Lynx and now in revenge mode are viable bets here on an almost pickem line. Minnesota is off a hard fought win vs Connecticut last time out by a 74-71 score , and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a hungry team. Note:MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Chicago sky to cover |
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07-10-19 | Mercury +9.5 v. Mystics | 91-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
According to my projections this line is slightly bloated giving us value with the under rated Phoenix Mercury who now have Diana Taurasi travelling with the team and is expected to back in the lineup after a lengthy lay off. Meanwhile , Washingtons, star Delle Donne broke here nose last time out, and is less than 100% entering this game giving the Mercury and edge here on this line. The Mercury have won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here to Washington DC. Thibault is 19-30 ATS in home games in non-conference games as the coach of WASHINGTON.
WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 8-23 su L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Phoenix to cover |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public is all over the over here , which is not a surprise, considering last years all star game saw 14 runs go on the board. However, my projections estimate a much lower score than many might anticipate as these top tier hurlers from both the AL/NL matchup up very well vs each other star batting orders. The so called juiced ball myth goes down in flames here this Tuesday night.(At least for now) Nine of the last 11 MLB all star games have gone under 8.5 runs. The L/11 all star games have seen an average of 6.8 rpg scored. Pitchers: AL: Astros' Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.86 ERA) and Gerrit Cole (AL No.1- 161 strikeouts), Chicago's Lucas Giolito (11-2, 2.72 ERA) Rangers' Mike Minor (8-4, 2.40 ERA). NL:major-league ERA leader Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-2, 1.83), . Clayton Kershaw (eighth All-Star appearance), Walker Buehler (8-1, 104 strikeouts) and 2018 Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom most probably coming out of the bullpen. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-19 | Mystics -3 v. Sparks | 81-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Washington has won the L/4 meetings in this series, and are showing that they are contenders for a WNBA championship if they can stay healthy. They have won 5 straight games, and are showing no signs of slowing down, making them viable road favs here vs the inconsistent LA Sparks. WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games are 33-11 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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07-07-19 | Rockies -126 v. Diamondbacks | 3-5 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Colorado starter German Marquez (8-3, 4.38 ERA, 120 SO) Away from Coors Field, Marquez is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts. Home or away hes a reliable hurler (4-1, 5.73 at the launching pad known as Coors Field). Even with the elevated ERA, the contact against him has not been solid and he gives us a solid opportunity to cash a ticket today with the visitors. Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.ARIZONA is 17-29 against the money line against division opponents this season. LOVULLO is 10-18 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 61-15 L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-07-19 | Brewers -103 v. Pirates | 5-6 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
In the series finale, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.31 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (6-7, 4.13). It's a rematch of a game May 30, also at PNC Park, when Anderson got the better of Musgrove in an 11-5 Brewers win. Im betting on Anderson getting the edge here today again. I know Milwaukee has been slumping offensively of late but it must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee was blasted 12-2 yesterday by the underdog Pirates but the Brewers have proven resilient in this spot in the past as is evident by the following trend. Note: MILWAUKEE is 21-4 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Brewers are 8-2 in Andersons last 10 starts vs. Pirates.Brewers are 4-1 in Andersons last 5 road starts vs. Pirates. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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07-07-19 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies starter has been on a roll as of late. He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings in his last three starts, striking out 28 and walking five and Im betting on the more of the same here today vs the NY Mets. Meanwhile, Wheeler the Mets starter has been his team’s most significant hurler of late as he owns a 1.86 ERA his last three starts. Im betting on both these throwers going long and strong and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. (Wheeler owns a 2.95 ERA in 13 career starts against the Phillies. Nola has garnered a 3.48 ERA in 11 starts against the Mets.) Under is 4-0-1 in Wheelers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. NOLA is 21-9 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. )NOLA is 16-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.NOLA is 13-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. NY METS are 31-14 UNDER in home games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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