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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-18-23 | Colorado +13 v. Arizona | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado is a side that is not easily intimidated , as was the case when they took out Tennessee on the road earlier this season. Arizona has a game with Arizona state up next, and they could easily find themselves looking ahead to that tilt. It must also be noted Colorado has revenge on board for a loss to the Wildcats in last years PAC 12 tourney. Boyle is 14-3 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ARIZONA) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 44-79 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Colorado to cover |
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02-18-23 | Georgia v. Alabama -18.5 | 59-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After losing at Tennessee last time out you can bet this ultra talented Alabama side will be primed to bounce back in a big way this week vs a Georgia side that defeated them in Athens last season as underdogs. So Im betting on bounce back and revenge minded home side to really come out here and lay down an ugly and merciless beatdown. Note: Georgia is 0-4/WU ATS L/4 on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22 . GEORGIA is 1-8 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Alabama to cover |
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02-18-23 | Winthrop -140 v. Charleston Southern | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Winthrop beat Charleston Southern by 74-64 count earlier this season at home and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation taking pace on the road . CHARLESTON SO is 1-9 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. CHARLESTON SO is 2-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. CHARLESTON SO is 1-11 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WINTHROP) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 33-5 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Winthrop has won 5 straight meetings in this series. Play on winthrop |
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02-18-23 | Old Dominion +4 v. Appalachian State | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Payback on board for Old Dominion as they are in revenge mode for a loss to App State earlier this season. Old Dominion is also off a loss last time out, and are viable team to back under those circumstances as they are 11-1 ATS L/12 off a SU loss . OLD DOMINION is also 6-0 ATS off a loss against a conference rival this season. These two sides are tied in the Sun Belt standings right now and Im betting on a dog fight with the points proving to be golden. OLD DOMINION is 6-0 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game this season. Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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02-18-23 | Queens NC +8.5 v. Kennesaw State | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Queens enters Saturday afternoon averaging 79.4 points per game on 45 percent shooting from the field and 35 percent from behind the arc. The Royals are the league's leading scoring offense and hold a 1.103 offensive efficiency rating. What I look for in this type of dog , is their ability to be able to back door a side in a losing effort and or being able to comnsistently get to the FT line. Note: The ASUN leads all NCAA Conferences in three-point attempts this season with a combined 9,445 attempts. The Royals are averaging 27.2 three-pointers per game which is the third most in the league. Queens is sinking an average of 9.6 three-pointers per game. Queens has gotten to the free throw line the second most in the ASUN and made the most free throws in the league. The Royals are top 50 in the nation in free throw attempts per game. Queens to cover |
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02-18-23 | Bucknell v. Boston University -4.5 | 61-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boston beat Bucknell 69-61 on the road earlier this season and matchup very well in this spot play at home vs a BUCKNELL side that is 0-8 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Boston U to cover |
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02-17-23 | Utah Tech v. Southern Utah -8 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah Tech beat Southern Utah 86-79 last month at home, but now revenge is on board here in the rematch on Southern Utahs home court where they almost always play their best hoops garnering a 11-1 record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31.8 ppg. Southern  Utah is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH TECH) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 7-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southern Utah to cover |
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02-17-23 | Penguins v. Islanders -105 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Islanders, are in big time desperation mode, after having lost 14 of their last 20 (6-9-5) since Jan. 1, and recently have now lost three consecutive tilts to non-contenders (Senators, Vancouver Canucks). They are looking more and more like the play off with elude them , if they do not put forth some top tier performances especially against teams like the visiting Penguins who are are above them in the standings and have games in hand. Tonight ,Im betting at least for now the Isles put their detractors behind them, and find a way to win on home ice where they usually play their best hockey.NY ISLANDERS are 9-1 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Islanders are 23-11 in their last 34 vs. Metropolitan. Penguins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Penguins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Play on NY Islanders to win |
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02-17-23 | Niagara v. Mt. St. Mary's | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
After a ugly 1-9 run into the middle of January are now back in the form that fits their talent levels and matchup well vs the Clippers at home. PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons like the Clippers. PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS vs. division opponents this season. The Suns defeated the Clipper back in Dec by DD as road chalk and get the nod again at home. LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 60-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns |
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02-16-23 | Weber State v. CS Sacramento OVER 126 | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 44-14 OVER  at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. Weber has gone over in 6 straight games. Sacramento state has gone over in 4 of their L/5 overall. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (WEBER ST) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -7 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Iowa is tops in the Big Ten and 22nd nationally in scoring offense (80.6). The Hawkeyes have led the league in scoring five of the last nine seasons, including the last four and here tonight vs a Buckeyes side that has shown itself to be offensively challenged of late scoring 70 or less points in 9 of their L/10 Im betting on Iowa getting a conclusive victory.After starting league play 0-3, Iowa has won eight of its last 11 games since Jan. 5. Hawkeyes are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawkeyes are 45-21-3 ATS in their last 69 home games. Hawkeyes are 38-18-4 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Buckeyes are 1-11 ATS L/12 overall. Iowa to cover |
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02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Wizards enter this tilt as consistent money makers for their backers of late going 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall including 6-2 ATS L/8 away tilts. WASHINGTON is also 11-3 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. Meanwhile, Minnesota has shown a great deal of inconsistencies and not won back to back games since late Jan . They are off a win last time out, so another letdown vs a side that my power rankings suggest is a viable opponent taking points with the road side makes for what Im betting is a profitable option. MINNESOTA is 7-19 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Washington has won and covered 6 straight meetings in this series including their L/2 visits to Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-16-23 | Jacksonville v. Austin Peay OVER 125 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total in low 130s giving us a substantial edge on this Totals offering. AUSTIN PEAY is 33-18 OVER L/51 when the total is 120 to 129.5 with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored.  CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (JACKSONVILLE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (AUSTIN PEAY) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 43-23 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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02-16-23 | Bucks -7 v. Bulls | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Double revenge on board for Milwaukee tonight from two losses to the Bulls already this season and Im betting with the all star break on deck, that the Bucks wont worry about pacing or rest and come at the Bulls with e for everything they have.Note:The Milwaukee Bucks are 60-6-1 ATS in matchups they win SU when playing with same-season double revenge. Bucks are 13-2 ATS L/15 visits to Chicago. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 34-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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02-16-23 | Panthers -115 v. Capitals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Since Jan. 5 the banged up Capitals have averaged 2.1 non-shootout goals while going 6-9-0 and in their current form are fade material. Meanwhile, Florida while not having a consistent season matchup well here vs a side playing without Super star Ovechkin. Panthers' Sergei Bobrovsky made 41 saves against the Capitals ilast time these teams play and has been hot lately procuring a 1.73 GAA and .951 save percentage while going 3-1-0 as a starter in February. He is expected to be in goal tonight giving an edge to the Panthers as short road favs. Capitals are 3-10 in their last 13 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Play on the Florida Panthers to win |
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02-16-23 | St Francis PA v. St Francis NY UNDER 136 | 72-64 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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02-15-23 | Avalanche +124 v. Wild | 3-2 | Win | 124 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
The defending Stanley Cup champion Colorado Avalanche are in a dogfight with the Minnesota Wild for a playoff berth. Im betting the Avs big game experience will help get the victory they desperately need here in Minnesota tonight. I know Colorado is playing back to back games after a hard fought 4-3 loss to TB , but it must be noted that the Avs are are 16-5 in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.Colorado won the last meeting here earlier this season by 6-3 count as road chalk. COLORADO is 15-3 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Colorado to win |
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02-15-23 | TCU +4 v. Iowa State | 59-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor made five of its last six field goal attempts to facilitate TCU third straight loss * a 72-68 heart breaker) last time out which will make the Frogs all the more hungry this week vs a Iowa State hoops program that has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. TCU has won eight of the last 11 meetings in this series, including four of five in Ames and get the nod again to cover. Last season, TCU won in Ames, 59-44, over the No. 15 Cyclones. Dixon is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of TCU.TCU is 6-0 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Play on TCU to cover |
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02-15-23 | South Florida v. Tulsa +4.5 | 96-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these sub par sides do not inspire many bettors, but it must be noted that Tulsa is undefeated in the series against South Florida, wining all 12 of the previous matchups, six of which have happened in the Reynolds Center. According to my projections this tilt should be closer to. a pickem, so getting points with the home side in my humble opinion makes for a viable wagering opportunity.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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02-15-23 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 228.5 | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
The Celtics played last night, which sets up a trend that shows them going over the set total in their L/6 home games with no rest and overall they are 6-0 over vs sides with a .300 win percentage or less like visiting Motown. With this.being both sides, last game before the all star game, Im betting this will be a wide open affair as both sides will see no reason to pace themselves. The Pistons have gone over in 4 straight before extended rest. BOSTON iin thier L/23 games as a favorite of 10 or more points on the opening line over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 73-36 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. Last 5 meetings in Boston have eclipsed the total. Play over |
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02-15-23 | Knicks +3 v. Hawks | 122-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Knicks are seventh in the Eastern Conference and hold a 2½-game lead over the Hawks and will be primed to keep that lead intact here tonight as they also play with revenge for a 15 point loss the last time these teams played. NEW YORK is 48-29 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta. NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season.NEW YORK is 31-17 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS  in road games after playing a home game this season. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has revenge on board against Cleveland tonight at home after suffering an embarrassing DD loss playing on the road in Ohio back on Nov 30th, Now with redemption at hand Im betting the 76ers will come out here with their hair on fire and get the cover and the win at home where they are 22-8 SU this season. Cleveland is a sub par .500 road side, and are at a disadvantage here in enemy territory vs a talented side with a chip on their shoulders.CLEVELAND is 26-44 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATSÂ in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATSÂ in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBAÂ Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, second half of the season are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on 76ers to cover |
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02-15-23 | St. Joe's +8 v. Duquesne | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Joseph's enters Wednesday on a two-game win streak, and have won seven of its last nine and have revenge on board for a loss suffered to Dequesene earlier this season. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Hawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Dambrot is 5-14 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of DUQUESNE.Dambrot is 10-20 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of DUQUESNE. DUQUESNE is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games . Play on St.Joe's to cover |
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02-14-23 | Kings +3 v. Suns | 109-120 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Kings pulled off a 133-128 win vs the Dallas Mavs last time out, and with momentum on their sides are a good matchup for the Suns here tonight . Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. On the flip-side , the Suns despite of playing much better of late, are off a exhausting 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to playing on their own home court.Suns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Kings also have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns earlier this season, Advantage Kings. SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Sacramento to cover |
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02-14-23 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 234.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 thus giving us an almost 2 full possession advantage to the under. The Suns are in a jet lag situation after a 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to home cooking . Note: The Suns are ranked 5th in ppg allowed and 22nd ranked pace and will primed to try to slow down their run and gun opponents. SACRAMENTO is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 7-0 UNDER  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO in 27  road games this season have seen a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better- 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-7 UNDER as a home favorite this season NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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02-14-23 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 221 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Playing on tired legs will have Orlando at a disadvantage from a transitional standpoint and that Im betting will lead to them giving up some extra points beyond what the lines-makers are projecting. Over is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 17-8 in Magic last 25 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day TORONTO is 19-7 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.6 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in February games are 43-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 49-24 L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto Play on the over |
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02-14-23 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Caps are on tired legs and in no condition to play a wide open game. Under is 8-0-1 in Capitals last 9 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Under is 5-0-1 in Capitals last 6 home games. Meanwhile, Carolina has played their best defensive hockey on he road this season and nothing will change tonight. Carolina has allowed just 2.6 gpg in road tilts this season. CAROLINA is 15-7 UNDER in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. WASHINGTON L/29 games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season have seen a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 32-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-14-23 | Buffalo v. Ohio -5 | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio is coming off a 90-81 win against Akron last Friday and have momentum on their side vs a Buffalo side that beat them earlier this season and the Bobcats now have the added incentive of redemption. Ohio U is 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS as hosts in MAC games when seeking same-season loss revenge. Ohio is 11-1 in the Convo this season. • Last season Ohio finished 15-2 in the Convo. BUFFALO is 2-9 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - an excellent offensive team (76 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (76 or better PPG), after a combined score of 165 points or more are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Ohio to cover |
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02-14-23 | Missouri +6.5 v. Auburn | 56-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tigers have won five of their last six, including an 86-85 win at No. 6 Tennessee Saturday. Mizzou ranks 13th in the country with a scoring offense of 82.1, while allowing 75.2 points.MU has won its last 22 games when scoring at least 70, including a perfect 18-0 mark this year and with my projections estimating a offensive total of 70 plus I feel confident in a underdog wager backing Mizzou vs Auburn who are off 3 straight losses and fade material in their current form. MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.MISSOURI is 11-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB team (AUBURN) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 18-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri to cover |
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02-14-23 | Kent State v. Western Michigan +11.5 | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Western Michigan suffered a 80-72 loss in Kent back in Jan. Im betting the Broncos bounce back off a ugly effort at NIU last time out in a sleepy DD loss.Im betting ti will be their tenacious rebounding that keeps them competitive in this tilt. The Broncos enter the week atop the MAC in both rebounding margin (+5.6) and     offensive rebounding (12.5).WMU is 25th in the nation in rebounding margin and 26th in offensive rebounding. Golden Flashes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Broncos are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (KENT ST) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 9-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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02-14-23 | Georgetown +12 v. Seton Hall | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In their last contest earlier this season, the Hoyas lost 66-51 in Washington, D.C. Spears. Im betting they make the needed adjustments to be more competitive today in revenge mode. GEORGETOWN is 7-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. GEORGETOWN is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. SETON HALL is 9-22 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.SETON HALL is 2-9 ATS ( in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.SETON HALL is 4-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.  CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals are 23-5 ATS this season. Play on Georgetown to cover |
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02-13-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -130 | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
LeBron James is expected to miss his third consecutive game when the Los Angeles Lakers visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night. James who averages of 30.2 points, 8.5 rebounds and 7.0 assists will be sorely missed here tonight as he has been the main catalyst for any short lived momentum the Lakers have had. Portland has not been generating much consistency of late, but they do play decently at home and with D Lilliard in the lineup are always dangerous. Lakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to win |
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02-13-23 | West Virginia v. Baylor -6 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Bears have a quick turnaround, hosting West Virginia for Big Monday just 48 hours after their 72-68 victory over TCU. Then they travel up to Lawrence to play Kansas on Saturday. Some might think this sandwich game, will have them in a letdown spot and looking ahead, but I beg to differ as Im betting at this time of the year, the team will be prepared to play at a high level, no matter the situation at hand. W VIRGINIA is 2-9 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons. W VIRGINIA is 2-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons/W VIRGINIA is 5-13 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. W VIRGINIA is 17-33 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1997 BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (W VIRGINIA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover |
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02-13-23 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost three straight games and look a little tired on the whole, and are vulnerable here against a young well conditioned Magic side. The Magic are 11-4 ATS L/15 but are off a loss last time out. However, they have shown plenty of resilience, as is evident by their  7-0 ATS mark in their last 7 games following a ATS loss which includes a 9-1 ATS run in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. The Magic also have the added motivation of revenge for a ugly 128-109 loss they suffered to the Bulls back in Orlando on Jan 28. ORLANDO is 16-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season. Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play on Orlando to cover |
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02-13-23 | Magic v. Bulls UNDER 226.5 | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 overall The Magic and Bulls are both off losses, in what were low scoring affairs. Both are playing solid d, and with the Bulls looking especially tired Im betting on a slower grinding type game here as well. The Bulls rank 9th in defensive efficiency on the league, behind a 14th ranked pace, and have gone under in 10 of their L/12 overall while, the Magic rank 19th in pace and own the 27th ranked offensive output and have gone under in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 overall. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in road games off a home loss this season.with a combined average of 216 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 13-5 UNDER off a road loss this season with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 34-19 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons are 219.7 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 35-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 115-66 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago Play on the UNDER |
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02-13-23 | Hartford v. South Alabama UNDER 134.5 | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-13-23 | Morgan State -1 v. South Carolina State | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Carolina State enters Monday night's coming off a 94-84 win against Coppin State on Saturday afternoon at S-H-M Arena. With the win, the Bulldogs snapped a 7-game losing streak and improve to 4-20 and 1-7 in conference play, but Im betting that short lived win wont carry into this tilt vs Morgan who has won the last six meetings against the Bulldogs since the 2019-20 season.Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Play on Morgan State to cover |
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02-13-23 | Hawks -5 v. Hornets | 138-144 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Charlotte is tanking and has lost 7 straight games and are fade material in their current form. The Hawks have been fairly consistent for a while now, winning 4 of the L/6 SU/ATS and have revenge on board, for a 122-118 loss back on Jan 21st. McMillan is 26-9 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 18-32 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 10-21 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 99-53 ATS L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-13-23 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 225 | 104-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Rockets' defense was in good form last time out against the Heat in a 97-95 loss. However, that has not been the case in four previous losses -- 117-111 to the Toronto Raptors, 153-121 to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 140-120 to the Sacramento Kings and 130-128 to the Kings. Im betting they regress here into their former state and also progress offensively after that last outing, which will produce a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers are expecting. These teams took part in a 132-123 Houston win back on dec 5th of the season. Im sure the Sixers will ramp up their energy here in revenge mode and will be prepared to bring down the hammer and merciless fashion which will also aid our quest for cashing an over ticket. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 8-1 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 9-2 in 76ers last 11 home games. PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 20-7 OVER (after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 26-4 OVER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-13-23 | Northeastern +16.5 v. College of Charleston | 63-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Coen is 16-7 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NORTHEASTERN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals are 122-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - an explosive offensive team (78 or more PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northeastern to cover |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 156 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chiefs are being under valued here by the linesmakers and some of the betting pundits. Phillies passing D while ranked No.1 in the league, still remains their weakest link against top tier pocket passers like Mahomes, and Im betting that will be the difference maker in the end. Both drop back passers Dak Prescott and Gared Goff both put up big numbers on the Eagles this season, and Mahomes will also thrive. On the flip-side Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is not 100% with a shoulder issue, and despite having a solid running game to aid him, that wont be entirely enough to produce the offense needed to beat an experienced super bowl QB and league MVP like Mahomes. Mahomes is 9-1 ATS as a underdog in his NFL career, as well as 19-3 SU in non conference games and 4-0 SU vs NFC East opposition. Reid is 13-4 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of KANSAS CITY. Play on Kansas City to cover |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 41 m | Show | |
Im betting the Eagles have no intention of turning this into a shootout, but rather a war of attrition and that means they will stubbornly stick to their vaunted ground attack which in turn will eat up alot of clock time. Meanwhile, the Chiefs under rated D, will not be easily be run over and points for the Eagles will Im betting be muted . These two key projections have me taking an under wager here this Sunday for the Super Bowl. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season this season.KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 3 or less points over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 UNDER L/20 after allowing 250 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games  Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games on grass.Under is 16-5-1 in Eagles last 22 playoff games.Under is 60-27 in Eagles last 87 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.  Play UNDER |
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02-12-23 | Pistons +11 v. Raptors | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Toronto is highly inconsistent and cannot be trusted to cover this big of a spread no matter how lowly their opposition may be perceived. I know Detroit may not inspire bettors, but they did show some grit last time out with. alate come from behind win in OT and Im betting that adrenalin filled steam will give them momentum entering this tilt. Note: Detroit is 7-0 ATS L/7 meetings in this series and 3-0 ATS L/3 here in Toronto as visitors.Raptors are 31-45-1 ATS L/77 games vsw sub .500 sides like Motown. Play on Pistons to cover |
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02-12-23 | Pistons v. Raptors UNDER 228.5 | 118-119 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and the early start time which play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall. MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-12-23 | Grizzlies v. Celtics UNDER 227.5 | 109-119 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Two quality teams who can light up the board, but also play a top tier brand of D, go head to head in NBA afternoon tilt. The combination of this tilt having expectations of being a grinding style post season type affair, and the early start time which play havoc with both sides energy levels making this an outlook that leans on this tilt staying on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Grizzlies last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 Sunday games.Under is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.Under is 9-2 in Grizzlies last 11 overall. MEMPHIS is 13-5 UNDER ) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 19-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-10 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-12-23 | Seattle Kraken -140 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Conditioning has been a major problem for the Flyers recently as these trends will support.PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 4-21 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons. The Flyers are once again in a position where they are on extremely tired legs. After an exhausting 2-1 shootout win over the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday, the Philadelphia Flyers suffered a hard fought 2-1 overtime loss to the Nashville Predators on Saturday and will be in a major letdown situation vs the visiting Kraken who are desperate for a win after 3 straight losses. PHILADELPHIA is 7-25 ATS after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (SEATTLE) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, on Sunday games are 59-19 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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02-12-23 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Ohio State | 62-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State has not looked good in Big 1o play going 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS and here vs a NCAA bubble team Michigan state Im betting things wont get much better as Tom Izzo will have his troops ready to compete as victories are paramount to his programs chances of making 25 consecutive NCAA tourney appearances. OHIO ST is 0-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games this season.OHIO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing !4 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. OHIO ST is 1-11 ATS after a conference game this season. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.  CBBH ome teams as a favorite or pick (OHIO ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less are 40-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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02-12-23 | Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 136.5 | 62-41 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER  in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 12-4 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 54-18 OVER l/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 149.3 ppg. Play on the OVER |
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02-12-23 | Temple +9 v. Memphis | 77-86 | Push | 0 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Temple will be looking to rebound after falling for the first time on the road as favs in conference play against SMU (72-71) Wednesday. The loss snapped a streak of five straight road wins to open league play. Im betting they were in a letdown situation after Houston beat up on them in their previous tilt in a revenge situation for the Cougars. Now I expect they will be in the mood for redemption against a Memphis side my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. In their first meeting this season, the Tigers beat the Owls 61-59 and Im betting on another closely contested affair. Note: McKie is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of TEMPLE. TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS after playing a game as favorite this season. TEMPLE is 15-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -0.1. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 1-7 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. Play on Temple to cover |
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02-11-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Kings | 128-133 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas just beat Sacramento 122-114 last night and matchup well enough to bring home the cash again, especially with the added components from recent trades in the lineup. Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Kings are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS L/27 in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. DALLAS is 25-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 40-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-11-23 | Heat v. Magic OVER 215 | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Heat recorded 110-105 decision against the Magic on Jan. 27 and the offered total is now mimicking that score. However, tonight Im betting on that number being eclipsed as the Heat play on tired legs after being in action last night. Note: Miami is 14-2 OVER away when playing with no rest. Last night the Heat also played a grinding affair that was low scoring squeaking out a 97-95 victory and now will be ready to get their offense rolling against instate rivals Orlando, a side that is on one days rest and 8-1 OVER facing unrested opposition.Over is 16-7-1 in the last 24 meetings in Orlando.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out. Play over |
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02-11-23 | Sam Houston State -1 v. Abilene Christian | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Sam Houston had a 5 game winning streak end last time out at Texas Arlington, by a 70-58 count and now are in bounce back mode. SAM HOUSTON ST is 9-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Hooten is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of SAM HOUSTON ST. ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 1-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season. Play on Sam Houston |
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02-11-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Southern -5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Woods is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points as the coach of SOUTHERN U. Woods is 15-2 ATS in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of SOUTHERN U. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SOUTHERN U) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) after 15+ games are 40-12 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Southern U to cover |
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02-11-23 | 76ers v. Nets +1.5 | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Irving and Durante are gone and now the Nets can get down to the business of playing basketball. Meanwhile, Philadelphia after playing last night will be on tired legs vs a team that feels much lighter after shedding some un wanted baggage that was causing major distractions. Brooklyn has won 23 of 34 games this season vs Eastern Conference competition SU. BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season.Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 47-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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02-11-23 | Connecticut v. Creighton UNDER 142.5 | 53-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn defeated Creighton, 69-60, at Gampel Pavilion on Jan. 7 and Im betting on another grinding affair here this Saturday. CREIGHTON is 8-0 UNDER in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. CREIGHTON is 10-3 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Play UNDER |
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02-11-23 | James Madison v. Coastal Carolina +6.5 | 73-66 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
02-11-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oklahoma has lost 3 straight overall and 5 straight conference games and are in desperation mode . Considering how well they played overall in a close 4 point loss in Lawrence earlier this season I can see them being competitive once again. OKLAHOMA is 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS is 6-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 season. Play on Oklahoma to cover |
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02-11-23 | Oilers -140 v. Senators | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Oilers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. Atlantic. and are 5-1 in their last 6 road games and are also 8-2 in their last 10 overall and deserve respect here as road chalk. I know Ottawa has won 4 straight but 2 of those victories came against the lowly Habs. OTTAWA is 1-14 ATS in home games against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 2 seasons. . EDMONTON is 5-0 ATS in road games on Saturday games this season. Home underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (OTTAWA) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, in February games are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Favorite is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Oilers are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Oilers are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Ottawa. Play on Edmonton to win |
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02-10-23 | Cavs -2 v. Pelicans | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland took the first meeting between these two sides earlier this season by a 113-103 count and a rinse and repeat situation here on the road is high probability outcome once again. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW ORLEANS is 10-20 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the SU/ ATS offering. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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02-10-23 | Jazz v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Raptors having won 3 straight while the Jazz have lost 3 straight. With Westbrook being traded , the Jazz are at a disadvantage vs a side playing at home with momentum. UTAH is 0-7 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 5-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. Play on Raptors to cover |
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02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The 76ers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Knicks in NY last week. Im betting home court advantage and the motivation of getting redemption gets us a cover with the Sixers. PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Rivers is 30-16 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 76ers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (Philadelphia ) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the SU/ ATS offering. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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02-10-23 | Spurs +4 v. Pistons | 131-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
This is one of the few teams that the Spurs matchup well against. The Spurs beat the Pistons on January 6th by a 121-109 count and Im betting will be primed for a rare win here in Motown tonight. Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. DETROIT is 1-18 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. NBA road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - ice cold team - having lost 18 or more of their last 20 games against opponent cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games are 48-19 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-10-23 | Suns +2 v. Pacers | 117-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Suns are finally starting to live up to their talent base and have now won 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Indiana has lost 13 of their L/15 overall and are very much fade material in their current form even here at home. Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Indiana and get the nod to cover here again tonight. Williams is 28-11 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in all games he has coached . INDIANA is 10-25 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 62-106 L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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02-10-23 | Robert Morris v. Cleveland State OVER 134.5 | 55-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CLEVELAND ST is 24-12 OVER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147 ppg scored.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 OVER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. CLEVELAND ST is 12-1 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 149.5 ppg scored. Toole is 8-1 OVER off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of ROBERT MORRIS with a combined average of 138,8 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more are 87-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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02-10-23 | Xavier -6.5 v. Butler | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Xavier has revenge on board for being knocked out in the donkey round of last year’s Big East tourney, by a 89 -82 score and Im betting they come here spitting bullets. BUTLER is 2-11 ATS as an underdog this season. BUTLER is 4-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. Play on Xavier to cover |
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02-10-23 | VMI +10.5 v. East Tennessee State | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. E TENN ST is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season. E TENN ST is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons. E TENN ST is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (E TENN ST) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are just 6-28 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on VMI to cover |
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02-09-23 | Arizona v. California +19 | 85-62 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona took out California by 15 points at home last time out, and my projections estimate a similar diff here which gives us an almost 2 full possession value with taking points here. CALIFORNIA is 18-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CALIFORNIA is 22-12 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Fox is 18-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of CALIFORNIA. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. |
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02-09-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State +15 | 62-47 | Push | 0 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCLA is 1-8 ATS in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons.  UCLA is 3-12 ATS  after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 2 seasons. Cronin is 4-13 ATS  in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 2 seasons.OREGON ST is 32-19 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (UCLA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 11-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Oregon state to cover |
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02-09-23 | Middle Tennessee +1.5 v. Western Kentucky | 89-93 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MTSU has won three straight and seven of the last 11 matchups vs W. Kentucky and Im betting they turn the trick again. MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MIDDLE TENN ST is 15-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on Midd Tennessee state to cover |
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02-09-23 | Nuggets v. Magic +6.5 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is the second meeting between these two sides, with Nuggets getting the narrow win at home on Jan. 15 when Nikola Jokic hit a 3-pointer in the final seconds. Orlando proved in that game they matchup well vs the Nuggets. note: The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. ORLANDO is 15-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season. ORLANDO is 14-6 ATS in non-conference games this season. DENVER is 1-9 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.  DENVER is 4-13 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a blowout win by 30 points or more over a division rival, in February games are 8-21 L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 136 points or more are 31-10 L/5 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover  |
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02-09-23 | Avalanche +113 v. Lightning | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Colorado lost to the Penguins in OT last time out by a 2-1 count and will be primed for a bounce back and redemption effort against a top tier group of Bolts that the Avs when healthy matchup well against. Note: The Lightning current two-game losing streak against the Panthers and San Jose Sharks. were not good looks for them coming into this tilt. COLORADO is 20-4 ATS after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons. Avalanche are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Avalanche are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. NHL Road underdogs against the money line (COLORADO) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 30-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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02-08-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Jazz | 143-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
When these teams met on Jan 16th the Jazz got by the Wolves by a 126-125 count, and Im betting on another closely contested affair here again tonight. UTAH is 11-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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02-08-23 | UCF v. Wichita State -125 | 72-67 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wichita state is moving up in my power rankings while UCF has moved down after 5 straight losses.Some injury issues have been hampering the Knights.  The Knights remain without their starting big man in the middle, Michael Durr, and have been 1-5 in his absence since being diagnosed with a thumb injury after the contest against SMU on Jan. 8. Since then, UCF has allowed an average of 83 points per game, including 76.2 points in regulation. Prior to Durr's injury, the Knights were ranked top 25 in the country in scoring defense, allowing 60.3 points a contest. Both teams are hungry, but Im betting on the home side prevailing. Wichita State is 5-0 SU all time at home vs UCF. UCF is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasonsUCF is 1-10 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Wichita State to cover |
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02-08-23 | Spurs +11 v. Raptors | 98-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Toronto pounded the Spurs 143-100 in San Antonio on November 2. It was an embarrassing event for Popovich and company and now Im betting he has this group ready to compete in a revenge mode here this Wednesday night. NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less. are 28-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. TORONTO is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +4 | 75-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Seton Hall is out looking for revenge after an ugly 22 point blowout loss to the Blue Jays on the road earlier this season. Creighton is a fine team, but away from home seem average at best . Note: Since that loss the Pirates have won 7 of their L/8 overall are 8-3 at Prudential Center this season and their average margin of victory in Newark coming by 21.4 points per game. Im betting it will be Seton Halls top tier D, that is the difference maker tonight. Seton Hall has one of the top defenses in the country as it ranks 14th in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency and it tops the BIG EAST in scoring defense (64 ppg), field goal percentage defense (40.4 pct) and three-point field goal defense (29.4 pct). Seton Hall has played one of the most difficult schedules in the country as KenPom ranks the Pirates' slate as the 15th toughest in Division I and its NET SOS ranks 21st. Holloway is 20-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) in all games he has coached since 1997.Holloway is 39-21 ATS ) as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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02-08-23 | Hofstra v. Northeastern OVER 142 | 72-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-07-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | 112-146 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 giving us a two possession edge on this current offering. Denver runs at a slow 20th ranked pace while Minnesota ranks 20th in ppg offense and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 . MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 91-57 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-07-23 | Ducks v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
The Ducks have gone over in 8 of their L/9 overall and Im betting on one more over tonight vs a defensively deficient opponent that has gone over in 6 of their L/8 games overall. Over is 6-1 in Ducks last 7 road games. After playing last night in OT Im betting the Ducks will be on tired legs and could easily suffer defensively. Over is 21-6 in Ducks last 27 games following OT on the previous day. ANAHEIM is 15-6 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. (Chicago defeated them 3-2 in an earlier meeting) ANAHEIM is 8-1 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 7-1 OVER  against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season. ANAHEIM is 11-4 OVER in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season. CHICAGO is 13-6 OVER in home games against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. Over is 25-12-2 in Blackhawks last 39 games playing on 3 or more days rest. NHL Home teams against the total (CHICAGO) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 32-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-07-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders -110 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Isles have new life after getting top tier scorer Bo Horvat via a trade and are currently on a 3 game win streak. Add to that the Isles have revenge on board for a ugly 4-1 loss to the Kraken on Jan 1st in Seattle and you have an advantageous situation with a Islanders team that plays their best hockey at home.  NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.Kraken are 4-10 in their last 14 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. Pacific. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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02-07-23 | Avalanche +100 v. Penguins | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams visiting Colorado and their hosts the Pittsburgh Pens are hanging around the wild-card spots in their respective conferences. Both are in need of wins, but the superior side according to my power rankings is the defending Stanley Cup champs Avalanche.Colorado was heating up before the All-Star break, winning seven of eight and now Im betting that momentum continues here in Pittsburgh tonight.Avalanche are 22-6 in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Avalanche are 70-24 in their last 94 vs. a team with a losing record.Penguins are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (COLORADO) - off a home win against a division rival, in February games are 23-3 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Avs to win |
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02-07-23 | Cincinnati v. Tulane UNDER 153.5 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a total closer to 148 giving us a full two possession plus advantage to the under on this offering. TULANE is 36-20 UNDER in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game with a combined average of 133.5 ppg in that 56 game sampling size.Â
CINCINNATIÂ in their L/149 road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) have seen a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.Â
CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TULANE) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 45-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 60-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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02-07-23 | Toledo +2.5 v. Akron | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Toledo has won 10 of its last 13 meetings vs. Akron but dropped a 70-62 decision to the Zips in last year's MAC semifinals and now have some extra motivation with revenge on board . TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Toledo to cover |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Indiana | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Rutgers and Indiana will meet for the 16th time, with RU leading the series, . RU has ran its winning streak against the Hoosiers to six straight and eight of the past nine game and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Pikiell is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since1997. Its going to be Rutgers extremely strong defense that gets us the cover. Note:Rutgers has been moving upward this season thanks to an outstanding defense. The Scarlet Knights are 16-1 when holding its opponent to 65 or fewer points and 8-0 when doing so in Big Ten games. Rutgers has allowed 65 points or fewer in all but 3 games this year.Scarlet Knights are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado OVER 141.5 | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WEBER ST is 23-7 OVER L/30 versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse after 15+ games with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored. N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.  N COLORADO is 21-8 OVER l/29 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick with a combined average of 150.8 ppg scored. Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WEBER ST) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 74-25 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 152.9 ppg. Play over |
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02-06-23 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 236 | 114-141 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Without the injured Curry in the lineup Im betting the Warriors offensively flow will be negatively effected which will also effect this totals offering to the low side . The Thunder have seen 6 of their L/9 games stay on the low side of the Total. Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games.Under is 7-2 in Thunder last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER ( in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 33-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 62-23 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings. Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Golden State. Play UNDER |
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02-06-23 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 222.5 | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Nine of the L/10 meetings in this series have not seen todays offered number eclipsed and Im betting nothing changes today. The L/4 most recent matchups have seen a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored. Note: Dallas ranks 29th in pace in the NBA and 8th in ppg allowed, and will look to slow down a Jazz side that ranks 14th in pace, and that has gone over the offered total only twice in their L/7 games overall. Im betting on the Mavs putting us to sleep here and for this to be a slow grinding affair. Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 home games. Play UNDER |
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02-06-23 | Idaho State +3.5 v. Northern Arizona | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After a heart breaking OT loss last time out, Im betting Idaho state will be out looking for quick redemption and who better to get it against other than a N.Arizona program they have defeated in their L/3 visits here. CBB underdog (IDAHO ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 103-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho State to cover |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +3.5 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Cleveland played yesterday and grabbed a road win vs the Indiana Pacers, but are now on tired legs . Note: The Cavs are 1-11-1 ATS as a road favorite with no rest. Meanwhile, the Wizards are rested and desperate to get back into the win column after suffering 2 straight losses, after a 6 game winning streak. Washington has held their own against the Cavaliers of late winning 3 of the L/4 here in DC as hosts and once again have an advantage taking points.Bickerstaff is 9-22 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of CLEVELAND and is 19-35 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of CLEVELAND.CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-06-23 | Islanders -128 v. Flyers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Islanders are now armed with a new acquired top tier goal scorer Bo Horvat to compliment their other star center Matt Barzal . The energy of having their new star in the lineup should see the team as a whole ready to perform art top level. Islanders are 53-25 in their last 78 vs. a team with a losing record. PHILADELPHIA is 11-32 ATSin home games against offenses - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.  Flyers are 19-56 in their last 75 vs. Eastern Conference. NHL Road teams against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) - well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NY Islanders to win |
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02-06-23 | Duke +4 v. Miami-FL | 59-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams have a recent history of playing closely contested games. Duke defeated Miami fl 68-66 earlier this season at home, and the three previous meetings have been decided by 4. 2, 2 points and Im betting on another. tight affair , with getting  points being golden . It must also be noted that the Canes are off a hard fought win on the road vs Clemson last time out, and getting up and putting out the needed energy here as this game progresses may be a problem.MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. CBB Home teams where the opening line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 20-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Duke to cover |
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02-05-23 | Stanford v. Colorado -4.5 | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colorado plays their very best hoops at home and are averaging 73.0 points , nearly eight points per game more than on the road (65.3 ppg). The Buffaloes have enjoyed a plus-12.4 scoring margin at home. Colorado is shooting 46.7 percent at home, compared to 40.4 percent in road games. The Buffaloes are holding opponents to 60.6 points on 40.6 percent from the field at home compared to 72.1 points and 45.7 percent in road contests. I know Stanford has won 5 straight, but all good and bad runs must come to end . The Buffaloes have won five straight and 15 of the last 17 over the Cardinal and as hosts here in Boulder have won the last eight. Rinse and repeat. Play on Colorado to win |
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02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks +4.5 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Knicks lost a heart breaker in OT ot the Clippers last night, but are one of the leagues better conditioned sides and Im betting they find the energy to compete against tonight at home vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Knicks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing with no rest. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 224 | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day which was the case in the OT loss to the Clippers last night. Over is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Philly is 6-0 over a division road fav last two seasons. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points which was the case last time out in a 137-125 win vs the Spurs. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record like the Knicks. . Knicks have gone over in 7 straight division tilts. PHILADELPHIA is 29-11 OVER as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW YORK) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 32-9 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBAl teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game.   are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-05-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Temple | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Houston Cougars were home chalk vs Temple in their first meeting this season and lost by a 56-55 effort. It was a sleepy effort for a Cougars team that was considered one of the strongest in the nation. Now in redemption mode Im betting we really see the Cougars bring the heat here today in a what Im betting is a one way contest favoring the Cougars. Houston is 8-0 ATS on the road this season. Note: Temple when they lose SU at home vs a revenging opponent are 0-38-1 ATS. HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.HOUSTON in their L/ 58 games as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons have seen a average ppg diff click in at +22.6 ppg. Play on Houston to cover |
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02-05-23 | California v. Utah OVER 127.5 | 46-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After losing two straight games Im betting Utah will out of frustration play a start to finish game here today and really bring the heat in a more wide open tilt that the pundits might expect. These teams played a very low scoring sleeper the last time they met earlier this season with Utah winning by a 58-43 count. Note: CALIFORNIA is 9-1 OVER  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. CALIFORNIA is 9-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 133.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.CALIFORNIA is 7-0 OVER after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average off 144.2 ppg scored. UTAH is 25-12 OVER L/37 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-05-23 | DePaul +11 v. Seton Hall | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SETON HALL is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Stubblefield is 14-2 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days as the coach of DEPAUL.DEPAUL is 6-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. DePaul to cover |
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02-04-23 | Gonzaga +3.5 v. St. Mary's | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This may not be one of Gonzaga's best teams, but they are still explosive offensively eclipsing the 100 point plateau 6 times this season behind one of College Hoops top players, Drew Timme. They must not be underestimated, vs a strong Saint Marys side, that is coming off a grueling game against USF last time out that seen them win late with a hard to believe shot. This is a huge letdown situation for the Gaels at an inopportune time. Few is 51-37 ATS as an underdog as the coach of GONZAGA with the average ppg diff clicking in at -2.9. Advantage Gonzaga . ST MARYS-CA is 17-35 ATS L/52 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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02-04-23 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas behind the 29th ranked pace in the league and 7th best ppg D, will be primed to slow down the run and gun Golden State Warriors tonight as road underdogs. This results in a lower scoring game than many of the pundits might expect. On the flipside the Warriors viable 3 point D, will also highlight this lower than expected combined score. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 32-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-04-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 221.5 | 115-123 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami has defeated the Bucks twice already this season in physical lower scoring altercations, and Im betting nothing changes today. Miami won 108-102 and 111- 95 and a rinse and repeat type of score is being projected by me for this spot play. MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 8-1 UNDER  after 4 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER against Central division opponents this season with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 8-1 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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