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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-23 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago left-hander Drew Smyly (2-1, 3.21 ERA) opposes left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-1, 3.00) in the series opener. Smyly is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA over his past four starts. CHICAGO CUBS are 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Gore. Everything points to this being a pitchers duel. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. SMYLY is 12-2 UNDER (+10.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.Under is 37-18-6 in Cubs last 61 during game 1 of a series. Under is 13-3-3 in Nationals last 19 during game 1 of a seriesUnder is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 overall.Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the under |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Im betting that the Phillies will not get the series sweep as the Astros have the edge here, especially with Left-hander Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50) starting for Philadelphia. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 20-41 in their last 61 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. HOUSTON is 31-8 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-4 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 18-3 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 25-5 ( against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders as the manager of HOUSTON. Home teams (HOUSTON) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 36-16 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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04-30-23 | Pirates v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh put 16 runs on the board yesterday while allowing 1 run in a win vs the Nationals . Im expecting immediate regression offensively here today for the Pirates which will help us a cash a under ticket. Under is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series. PITTSBURGH is 22-11 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.Â
WASHINGTON is 42-26 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 7.9 rpg. Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Oviiedo. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Play under |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Golden States starting five have matched up well against the Kings in this this series as is evident by a +19.4 rating and are +6.2 with Curry on the floor. As we get into the gritty tough part of this series I expect coach Kerr to have his top men on the court for a good portion of this game and for the Warriors to have an edge in a bounce back situation after a down effort at home last time out. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 pointsKings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-30-23 | Orioles -149 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Orioles and Tigers split Saturday's doubleheader, with Baltimore pushing through with a 6-4 victory in the nightcap. That marked the Orioles 10th win in its last 12 games and like them to bring home the cash again this Sunday. Note: The Orioles Im betting will get out to an early lead vs Detroit's starter Spencer Turnbull (1-3, 7.25), who has had more strikeouts than walks in only one of his five trips to the hill this season.Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Turnbull. Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradish. Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Os starter Bradish. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Heat just shocked the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks and took a series hardly any of the pundits predicted. They finished of ftheir series with a explosive 128-126 victory and will now be in a emotional letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the MY Knicks. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following a ATS win.MIAMI is 8-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Meanwhile, the Knicks thanks to a top tier brand of defensive ball took out the Cleveland Cavaliers 4 games to 1 and now enter this tilt with momentum on their own home court. Advantage Knicks.Â
NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifiers on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 49-14 ATS L/5 seasons for. a72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks OVER 207.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
This matchup according to my projections estimate a combined score that eclipses this totals offering and should be closer to 211. Thanks to the Knicks top tier defensive play against another defensive minded team the Cleveland Cavs in their last series this total is now a little tainted in my opinion and offers value for over bettors even if key offensive cog- Randle misses this game for the Knicks. Â
NEW YORK is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 3 straight games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings +150 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The Kings trail 3-2 in the best-of-seven set with Game 6 in Los Angeles on Saturday night and will leave everything on the ice tonight against the Oilers. The Kings have been very competitive and despite of losing 6-3 last time out, still did not look outclassed .Los Angeles is getting as close to 100 percent healthy as it has been all series and deserve respect here in my betting opinion to take this series to a game 7. Oilers are 32-71 in their last 103 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Kings are 13-5 in their last 18 home game.Â
NHL Road teams against the money line (EDMONTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The Suns are favored to win the series and reach the NBA Finals, but projections don't quite see it that way as my power rankings suggest the Nuggets matchup well vs the Suns especially here at home in the Mile High city. Quote: "We like our chances," Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon said. "I feel like we've continued to take care of ourselves on and off the floor to give ourselves an opportunity to be healthy and get a chance to get our legs back against Phoenix." End quote. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record DENVER is 17-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 31-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 26-10 ATS  after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-29-23 | Rays -135 v. White Sox | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay outscored Chicago 16-11 to secure a three-game sweep last weekend in Florida and has continued the momentum by winning the first two games of this weekend series. Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 5-0 against CHI WHITE SOX this season and Im betting they make it 6 in a row in the south side tonight. TAMPA BAY is 25-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 15-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. TAMPA BAY is 13-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-17 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 6-19 (against the money line in April games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33)or less, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-123 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -105 | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs won their last two games here in TB , but the Bolts wont be easily beaten here as they have only lost 3 games at home once this season and have the 2nd best home record in the NHL this season with a 28-8-5 reg season record. Tampa Bay had the better chances vs Toronto 36-32 last time out and once again look to be the side to back. It must also be noted that the Maple Leafs were on the wrong end of 52-31 mark in scoring chances in Game 3 and 48-28 in Game 4. Advantage Tampa Bay based on momentum. key trend the Buds are just 0-11 L/11  when it comes to scoring more than 3 goals in an elimination game so, unless they play lights out D, the Bolts have an edge! With TBs star Goalie Vasilevsky in top form right now things dont look good for the Leafs. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 3.21) has the starting assignment for the Astros on Saturday and according to my projections has a high percentage chance of having a quality start. Meanwhile, Right-hander Zack Wheeler (2-1, 4.73 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Phillies which I also project to have a quality start. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 53-26-6 in Phillies last 85 vs. American League West. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. National League East. THOMSON is 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with s combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.THOMSON is 26-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play under |
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04-29-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost by 2 runs or more in 8 of their L/11 overall losses and this tilt projects out to be a runline win for the Twins. The Twins last 5 wins overall have come by 2 runs or more. Rinse and repeat in a projected mismatch. Note: KCs starter Brad Keller . Over the past 14 games, a Royals starter has been has garnered a win just one time , with all Royals starters combining to allow 57 runs (56 earned) in 67 2/3 innings during that span -- an ERA of 7.45. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 58-9 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this run line offering from the books. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins -1.5 runline |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a sub par road team all season long, and are fade material here against a senior laden Lakers team that knows how to win in clutch situations especially when they have home court advantage on this sides. I know the Grizzlies grabbed the win last time out, but thats not a good omen considering they are  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 1-15 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Warriors have won the last two games in this series vs the Kings and now come home, where they play their best basketball as is evident by a 35-8 SU record at home that has seen them cover 29 of those games. I'll follow the Warriors momentum for a cover. Warriors are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
We are getting into clutch time in this series, and Im now betting we begin to see a more physical type of basketball that leans on the conservative side. My own projections make this game closer to a 231 which gives us almost two full possessions value on this line offering from the books to the under. Under is 20-8-1 in Kings last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 home games.SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combine average of 230.5 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 UNDER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 41-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 71-28 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-28-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -105 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The last time the Mariners visited Toronto, they overcame an 8-1 deficit Oct. 8 to complete a two-game sweep of the best-of-three American League wild-card series. You can bet the Jays have some redemption in mind. Seattles starter CASTILLO is 10-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more.12-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Hawks thanks to the great work of Trae Young have now gotten the full attention of the Celtics and response Im betting we now see the Boston play a complete game . When they take a lead this time which Im betting they do , they wont let up. Full steam ahead. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. BOSTON is 16-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.( Atlanta shocked the Celtics with a late comeback win last time out by a 119-117 score) NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 41-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-34 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
These two teams have gone over in their L/4 meetings and Im betting nothing changes in this tilt. The Lightning’s 4.00 home goals per game lead the NHL during the regular season and Im betting we see them let it all hang out here in Toronto tonight with their season on the line. The Leafs Im betting will be forced into reciprocating with some run and gun action themselves which will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. TAMPA BAY is 25-9 OVER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Lightning last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 road games. TORONTO is 33-18 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. TORONTO is 9-2 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.  Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - off 3 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over |
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04-27-23 | Orioles -144 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles swept the Detroit Tigers in a three-game home series last weekend and matchup well against them according to my early season power rankings. Orioles starter GIBSON is 22-12 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) worked out of a bases-loaded jam in the first inning on Saturday and went on to limit Detroit to two hits and one run in 6 1/3 innings. The Orioles batting order matches up very well left-hander Joey Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA), who allowed five runs and six hits in four innings on Saturday. Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. Orioles are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series. BALTIMORE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Tigers are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The As look abysmal at this point in the season, and today Im betting they have huge problems with Angels super star starter Ohtani. Ohtani (3-0, 0.64 ERA) has made five starts this season and is yet to give up more than three hits in a game. OAKLAND is 1-15  against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with the average rpg diff clicking at -5.5. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-36 L/26 seasons. Play on the LAA to win -1.5 runline |
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04-27-23 | Padres -126 v. Cubs | 2-5 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
After being held to five hits getting shut out for the fifth time in a 6-0 series-opening loss on Tuesday, San Diego recorded nine hits during a 5-3 win on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt and deserve my betting respect on this line offering.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 5-18 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 137-53 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -1.5 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Kings emerging super star Fox,  is listed as doubtful, tonight . He has averaged 31.5 points, 7.0 assists and 6.0 rebounds in the series and has been a major catalyst for the Warriors. Golden State now has an edge. SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 14-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bucks have Giannis Antetokounmpo ready to go tonight and will primed to really get back their mojo against a Miami side that has been highly inconsistent all season long. Im not going to be lured into their current run of good luck in. a key game like this . Heat are 8-28-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS win.Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. MIAMI is 1-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in road games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons here at home. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in April games are 6-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a upset loss as a favorite are 51-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 23-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
I know these sides have eclipsed the total in 7 straight meetings and there are a ton of over trends. However, Im betting that the Heat will be in bubble mode tonight and will be conservative in transition knowing that the Bucks will come at them with everything they have. That in itself bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. The Heat are 2nd in ppg allowed and 29th in pace in the league and 30th in ppg production and we will see why these stats had been established this season, MIAMI is 14-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI/MILWAUKEE ) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average score of those 34 tilts clicking in at 202.4 ppg. Play under |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Smyly (2-1, 3.13 ERA) took a perfect game into the eighth inning Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers and now Im betting with upward momentum on his side and continues his top tier work.He is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA in four games (two starts) vs. San Diego. Padres hace average 2.8 rpg scored. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.  Scheduled San Diego starter Michael Wacha (2-1, 7.08 ERA) has struggled in his last two tilts but is a viable hurler who Im betting matches up well here vs the Cubs batting order in windy Wrigley. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the under |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have played their best hoops at home this season garnering a powerful 37-6 SU record, and tonight Im betting with their backs up against the wall we see them at their best. MEMPHIS is 29-13 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 109-170 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MEMPHIS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 41-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Down 3 games to 1 to the Knicks it's do or die tonight for the Cavaliers. Im betting they come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and get the job done in desperation mode. Cavaliers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 25-16 ATSas a home favorite this season CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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04-26-23 | White Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Chicago will start right-hander Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.97). In three career appearances (one start) against Toronto, Kopech is 0-1 with a 20.77 ERA. The Blue Jays answer back with Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (3-0, 3.80 ERA) who will start for Toronto on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 6.92 ERA in three career starts against the White Sox. Im betting on the explosive Blue Jays bats to be the major catalysts behind a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 9-3-1 in White Sox last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play on the over |
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04-26-23 | Rangers -103 v. Reds | 3-5 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Reds will vie for the sweep on Wednesday when they send Graham Ashcraft (2-0, 1.88 ERA) to the mound opposite fellow right-hander Jon Gray (1-1, 3.72). Im betting the inconsistent Reds dont get the sweep and instead Im backing the Rangers here to salvage a victory behind the arm of Gray who is 4-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.348 with his team winning 5 of his all time starts vs the Reds.Rangers are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Play on Texas to win |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -12 | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
After an inconsistent season, the Suns are finally starting to find their legs and flow, and have now won 3 games in row in this series and are set to eliminate a Clippers side playing without two of leagues top players Leonard and George. You can literally feel the proverbial air coming out of the Clippers tires. Im betting its lights out on the Clippers season and that it happens in convincing fashion at the hands of the Suns . PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in home games off a road win this season. Williams is 15-3 ATS  after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached since 1996. Suns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 4-18 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-25-23 | Kings +205 v. Oilers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Pure grit and determination as well as great chemistry make this hard working Kings team a value bet on this line. They just never seem to stop working, and the Oilers Im betting will end up under great pressure tonight in their own building. Just to much value to pass up on in what has been so far a back forth evenly matched series. Forget the overall stats from the regular season, or media perceptions, they mean nothing in this series. Advantage Kings.Kings are 15-7 in their last 22 vs. Pacific. Play on LA Kings to win |
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04-25-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -135 | 5-4 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Kansas City lost for the ninth time in the past 10 games yesterday by a 5-4 count to the Dbacks. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as the Dbacks will be wide awake despite of their opponents ugly record so far this season. Quote:"I don't care if it's home or road. It's frustrating to lose, and everybody in there is frustrated," "It's a dangerous thing to start thinking about who you're playing and what their record is because we respect every opponent," Lovullo said. "If we start to look at them as less talented, which they are not, we're in trouble." Quote. Royals are 3-14 in their last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Nelson. .Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Neslson. Royals are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 22-51 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games.. Royals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Play on Arizona Dbacks to win |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota was able to stave off elimination in game 4 of this series, despite of relinquishing a late lead and having to go into OT. Now after leaving everything on the floor last time out and now having to travel to the Mile High City Im betting their season will come to an end in DD fashion at the hands of what is the superior side. DENVER is 15-7 ATS off a road loss this season. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -13 | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Celtics will be on a mission to eliminate the Atlanta Hawks when their Eastern Conference first-round series shifts back to Boston for Game 5 on Tuesday night. Im betting on the superior side coming out here with all guns blazing and to finish the job in this key situation. ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 16-2 ATS versus defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games off a home loss this season. BOSTON is 14-3 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Celtics to cover |
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04-25-23 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 8 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Two viable starting hurlers go to the hill today in this matchup between the Astros and their hosts the Rays. In the Astros' 8-1 victory on Wednesday, Garcia threw seven shutout innings and allowed just two hits. He struck out nine and walked one over a season-high 92 pitches and he enters this tilt with momentum. Meanwhile, Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 2.01) in his three victories has held the opposition scoreless -- six innings against the Washington Nationals, seven against the Oakland A's and five his last time outing in Cincinnati against the Reds this past Wednesday.Rasmussen holds a 2-1 record with a 3.00 ERA in three lifetime starts versus the Astros.My projections estimate both starting throwers will long and strong today and help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals offering. HOUSTON is 44-24 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 44-21 UNDER  when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Under is 20-7-3 in Astros last 30 vs. American League East.Under is 18-6-4 in Astros last 28 on astroturf. TAMPA BAY is 34-20 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-2-1 in Rays last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TAMPA BAY) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 30-5 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 28-9-3 in the last 40 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play under |
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04-24-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Left-hander Tommy Henry will make his season debut on Monday night against Kansas City right-hander Brad Keller (2-2, 3.00 ERA). The Dbacks consider themselves contenders this season, and Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo talked about in spring training when he said his ball-club could be a playoff contender "if we make the most of our opportunities." This is an opportunity they need to take advantage of as the Royals despite of a recent small crop of wins must be considered cannon fodder for a true contender. Ill give Lovullo and comapny the bdenefit of the doubt and take them as short favs here today. LOVULLO is 16-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like the Royals starter Keller. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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04-24-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -143 | 4-2 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Right-hander Colin Rea (0-0, 4.22 ERA), who has been called up from Triple-A Nashville after Brandon Woodruff went on the injured list, makes his third start for Milwaukee, while left-hander Matthew Boyd (0-1, 4.50) gets the nod for Detroit. Note:Boyd is 0-1 with a 14.09 ERA in two career starts versus Milwaukee, allowing 12 runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings, including five homers. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers Rea. DETROIT is 7-26 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.(Tigers are struggling with their offense) MILWAUKEE is 11-4 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Boyd. Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss. Tigers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on the Brewers to win |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 101 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The last two periods of game 3 of this series that saw tighter defensive hockey played may have some leaning on what could now be a more defensive type of series going forward. However, the truth is both these offenses are explosive and had plenty of chances to score, even though the game was alot tighter after the 4 goal combined outburst in the first period. Im betting on more high flying entertaining hockey here tonight, and for the Bolts to be more aggressive as they seemed to try to go into a defense bubble late against a lethal offense with dire consequences as they lost 4-3 in OT. I cant see that happening again. Advantage over. TORONTO is 31-19 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. TORONTO is 25-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 11-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 24-9 OVER s) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 OVER  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are The last 8 games played on TB between these sides have gone over the set total. Play over |
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04-24-23 | Bucks -5.5 v. Heat | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami finally woke up last time out and played a good game and upset the Bucks. However, Miami has not been consistent this season at all, especially after a victory ,while the Bucks have proved to be resilient off a upset loss. Advantage Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS  after a win by 10 points or more this season. MIAMI is 6-26 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rare for bettors. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-24-23 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
In Monday's series opener, Tampa Bay starts rookie right-hander Taj Bradley (2-0, 2.61 ERA), who will be making his third big league start. My early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he matches up well here vs the Astros. Meanwhile, the Astros are going with right-hander Jose Urquidy (1-1, 3.66), who will be making his fifth start this season. Urquidy has faced the Rays twice in his career, both starts, and he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings against them.Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. With two solid bullpens behind each starter a lower scoring tilt is my projection. HOUSTON is 26-14 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 28-14 UNDER (+12.8 Units) after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 25-10 UNDER against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Under is 18-5-4 in Astros last 27 on astroturf. Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 28-8-3 in the last 39 meetings in Tampa Bay. Under is 5-2-2 in Rays last 9 during game 1 of a series. Play under |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Minnesota sometimes seems to have to many internal conflicts to be able to deal with the business of fighting hard against their opposition. The Wolves have talent but no sense of unity or chemistry, while the opposite holds true for a cohesive group of Nuggets. Advantage Denver. MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS in home games after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent like the Nuggets. MINNESOTA is 18-44 ATS in home games off a home loss against a division rival. DENVER is 16-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.  Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings in Minnesota and have covered 4 straight vs the Wolves.Play on Nuggets to cover |
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04-23-23 | Mets -115 v. Giants | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Mets lost yesterday to the Giants, but now Im expecting them to bounce back here in this tilt. SHOWALTER is 51-21 against the money line after a loss as the manager of NY METS. Mets are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mets are 49-19 in their last 68 games following a loss. Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. NYM starter MEGILL is 12-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN FRANCISCO is 12-31 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like NYM starter Megill. MEGILL is 8-0 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)( The Mets righty lost to the Dodgers last time out) Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. like Ross Stripling of the Giants. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-12 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the money-line |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Boston was upset in game 3 of this series by a 130-122 count, as the Hawks played a top tier offense brand of hoops. The Celtics however, are a super talented well coached team that are resilient and Im betting they bounce back here in a big way vs a Hawks side that is ready for immediate regression. Note:Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Celtics are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. BOSTON is 15-2 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% - or more 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off an upset loss as a favorite are 70-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA  Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (ATLANTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 106-169 ATS L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 206.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Afternoon pro basketball can sometimes be a little bit slower and low scoring as it takes time for bodies that are used to playing most of their games in the evening to get acclimated to early starts . However, this total is just a little bit over done to the low side according to my estimates even though these two sides have taken part in 3 lower scoring affairs . ( My totals projection took into consideration that NEW YORK is 20-10 OVER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored and that in Cleveland last 14 games  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Also Bickerstaff in 8 road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. Play over |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have dominated at home this season, but on the road they have shown themselves to highly inconsistent, garnering wins in just 16 of their 41 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Lakers have played a strong brand of hoops at the Staples center, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here tonight. Advantage Lakers. MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 71-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. ( Grizzlies won the last game by 103-93 count) Lakers to cover |
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04-22-23 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost 7 straight and 10 of their L/11 with only one of the losses coming by 2 or less runs. Advantage Halos on the runline. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at -3.2. Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-34 L/5 seasons with the average rog didd clicking in at +2.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 4-41 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on the LA Angels to win -1.5 |
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04-22-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Heat | 99-121 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Even if Antetokounmpo is forced to miss this game tonight , the Bucks have proven they can compete without their super star and matchup well vs the Heat behind a deep talented side. Advantage goes to the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 45-19 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-22-23 | Astros v. Braves +104 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Braves starter WRIGHT is 26-6  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 19-0 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 20-4 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 25-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Wright scored the win in his only career start against Houston, going six innings with six hits allowed, two earned runs and seven strikeouts against the Astros last August. Im betting he gets the job done again in his third start of the season. Houston kicked off the series with a 6-4 victory Friday. Atlanta scored four first-inning runs, then was held scoreless for eight as the Astros chipped away at the lead and will be primed for a bounce back effort here at home. ATLANTA is 26-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better like Valdez. VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 19.27 and a WHIP of 3.212. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 41-10 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. American League West. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Astros are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.Astros are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-22-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Leafs bounced back from a 7-3 loss in game one and took game 2 by a 7-2 count. Im now betting on both sides continuing their aggressive offensive play in what my projections estimate will be a barn burner of an affair. TORONTO is 15-6 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. TORONTO is 19-8 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. TORONTO is 16-5 OVER after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 10-3 OVER in home games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 23-9 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. TAMPA BAY is 36-17 OVER against good offensive teams 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gog scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 88-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay..Play OVER |
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04-22-23 | Suns -7.5 v. Clippers | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Suns have a big time advantage vs a side playing without George and Leonard. Right now the Clippers look like a defeated team, while on the flip-side the Suns are playing their best basketball of the season. PHOENIX is 33-18 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. \ Play on Phoenix to cover |
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04-22-23 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 10.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rockies starter FREELAND is 20-2 UNDER  as a road underdog of +150 to +200 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Rockies starter Freeland. Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 home games. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Phiiles stater Sanchez.Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Phillies starter Sanchez.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 22-8-3 in Rockies last 33 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with q combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. THOMSON is 22-7 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Play on the under |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -1.5 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
The mismatch continues today as Im betting the Sixers take care of business again vs Brooklyn. BROOKLYN is 4-19 ATS  in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 0-10 ATS in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA underdogs (BROOKLYN) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. LATE STEAM- Play on Philadelphia |
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04-21-23 | Mets +100 v. Giants | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Giants, who have lost six of seven and are not in good from, and my power rankings suggest they are being over rated here today . Giants starter DeSclafani,  recorded a 6.63 ERA while being limited to five starts last season due to a right ankle injury, and despite of being a solid pitcher overall, is a go against option for me today against a solid NY Mets side that are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like  Desclafani . Note: DeSclafani is 0-4 with a 5.91 ERA in eight career games (seven starts) against the Mets. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Mets Lucchesi .Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  .Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 42-25 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 22-5 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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04-21-23 | Oilers v. Kings +147 | 2-3 | Win | 147 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
The Kings twice have trailed 2-0 by the end of the first period before mounting comebacks, and despite of losing game 2 to the Oilers by 4-2 count have proven to me they matchup well vs the Oilers. The best-of-seven series is tied 1-1 and wont be surprised if the underdog takes the lead in this play off series. Kings are 12-4 in their last 16 home games.Kings are 14-6 in their last 20 vs. Pacific. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets -2.5 v. Wolves | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have proven to me that they mtchup very well against the Wolves, and more of the same advantages they were able to garner in game 1 and 2 will continue here. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. DENVER is 15-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 23-7-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Minnesota.Play on Nuggets to cover |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -1 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
The fifth-seeded Knicks went 3-1 in the regular season against the fourth-seeded Cavaliers and then stole home-court advantage with the Game 1 win and according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs the visitors. NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. Thibodeau is 19-7 ATS in April games as the coach of NEW YORK. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons NEW YORK is 14-2 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. CLEVELAND is 6-14 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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04-21-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Hawks | 122-130 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
The Hawks usually explosive offense that averaged 118.7 points per game during the regular season, have been limited to a total of 205 points in their two playoff games by a tenacious Celtics D. Atlanta has shot 40.7 percent from the field in those two games and Trae Young the Hawks star has also been limited and I cant see things changing much here.BOSTON is 15-1 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more - 2nd half of the season this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons. Mazzulla is 23-9 ATS (off a home win as the coach of BOSTON. Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Celtics are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 Conference Quarterfinals games. ATLANTA is 6-14 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-21-23 | White Sox v. Rays -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Rays are off to a 16-3 start with a plus-83 run differential, the largest through 19 games in the modern-baseball era and Im betting on some rinse and repeat action here this evening as they host the White sox they will send Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.32 ERA) to start the series opener for Chicago. Tampa Bay ahs averaged 7.8 rpg at home this season and blasted righty starters like Kopech for an average 7.2 rpg. TAMPA BAY is 20-2  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.9 which qualifies on this run-line offering.TAMPA BAY is 12-0 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the rpg diff registering at +5.8 which qulaifies on this runline offering. Play on TB to win -1.5 |
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04-20-23 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | 129-124 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
The Suns matchup well vs the Clippers, and are more than capable of pulling off the victory here on the road in game 3 of this series. The Suns took game 2 of this series, 123-109 and deserve respect here as short road chalk. Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 1-8 ATS in home games off a road loss this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-15 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on the Suns to cover |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
The Warriors lost the first two games of this series on the road at Sacramento but have played their best hoops at home this season where they have garnered a 33-8 record and are more than capable of a bounce back performance. GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 35-11 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. GOLDEN STATE is 6-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons at home. Play on Warriors to cover |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 235 which gives us close to 2 full possession advantage to the under. SACRAMENTO is 13-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored . GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with combined average off 228 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season with s combined 216 ppg scored.  GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 UNDER  after 4 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 219 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 54-16 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion. Play on the under |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
The series starts with Michael Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) going to the hill for San Diego against Ryne Nelson (1-0, 3.71) in a match up of right-handers. Offensively the Padres enter this game struggling to score runs recently and were shutout two times in a row and then followed up with 1 run output last time out . So one run in their L/3 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in game in their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, Arizona has faired better offensively of late, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest that Wacha should cause their output status immediate regression. Advantage to the under. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games.Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 overall. ARIZONA is 50-33 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 home games. Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres expected starter Wacha. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play under |
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04-20-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs -113 | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Things don't look cohesive in Dodger town right now, and after a losing 3 of 4 at home to the NY Mets, bouncing back will not come so easy with jet lag a tailing factor in tonights Wrigley Field tilt after a late night flight in from the West coast. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-2 against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Grove. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. LA DODGERS are 6-13 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or better ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 48-16 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Toronto was caught flat footed to begin their post season and lost game one to the Tampa Bay Bolts by a 7-3 count. While I doubt the Lightning will put 7 goals on the board here in the 2nd game of this series I still believe on their current form they will hit 3 or more goals. On the flip-side, TB ha been mediocre defensively for much of this season, and now betting on more aggressive offensive posture from the Buds in rebound mode which will help us eclipse this total. It must be noted that 11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 23-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 35-17 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 20-10 OVER (+9.5 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 85-37 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-20-23 | Angels v. Yankees -155 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
 Nestor Cortes (2-0, 2.60 ERA) goes to the hill for the Yankees as he bids for a franchise record. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine straight starts, and gets my support here to go long in this tilt and help his team to victory. Cortes is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career games (one start) against the Angels. He earned a win vs. Los Angeles last June 2 in New York when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings.Rinse and repeat on board. LA ANGELS are 7-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons like NYY expected starter Cortes. LA ANGELS are 22-43 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 30-8 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 106-37 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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04-19-23 | Kings +205 v. Oilers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
My power rankings suggest the LA Kings matchup well vs the Oilers, and must not be disrespected in their ability to pull off a 2nd straight underdog win here in Edmonton vs a offensively explosive Oilers team that lacks consistent D. Like I have continually said, offense can get you into the play offs, but defense wins championships, and the Oilers lack solid consistent defense which is not a winning proposition in post season hockey. EDMONTON is 7-13 ATS  after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals this season.EDMONTON is 4-8 ATS off a close home loss by 1 goal this season. (LA win game 1 of this series 4-3) Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.Kings are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. Pacific.Kings are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a win.Kings are 24-11 in their last 35 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 15-7 in their last 22 overall. Play on the LA Kings |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6 | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to miss this game and thats why we are getting such a good line to back the home favs in this classic bounce back theory rebounder. ( Miami won game of this series 130-117) The Bucks are a deep team and have the ability to tie this series tonight at home. Meanwhile, with key Heat cog Herro is out with a broken hand and that will effect the flow of the visitors. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.Heat are 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS win.Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.MIAMI is 6-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate) Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-19-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Isles Im betting will continue to play a conservative style of defensive hockey, and force Carolina into the same type of transitional hockey, which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. (NYI G Sirokin qualifies)CAROLINA is 10-2 UNDER in home games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.(Game one resulted in. aCarolina 2-1 victory). Play under |
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04-19-23 | Pirates -120 v. Rockies | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/4 games overall and Im betting they struggle here again today vs Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) who will look to extend the streak of Pittsburgh quality starts. . The Cuban right-hander allowed just one run and struck out 10 over seven innings in his latest start, but he has no run support vs St. Louis Cardinals, losing 3-0 . Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh gets to go against a lefty Gomer. The Pirates have lit up lefties this season for an average of 5.7 rpg and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation this afternoon in the Mile High city. Rockies are 9-25 in their last 34 overall. Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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04-19-23 | Guardians -133 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Quantrill, a 15-game winner last season, is 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career outings against the Tigers, including five starts and according to my power rankings matches up well vs this version the Tigers. Meanwhile, Turnbull (1-2, 9.00 ERA), who was sidelined all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, had allowed 12 runs in eight innings during his first two starts of the season and once again looks like cannon fodder. Guardians are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter. QUANTRILL is 18-9 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-121 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Guardians to win |
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04-19-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Reds | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter RASMUSSEN is 13-0 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.9 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Meanwhile ,the Reds will turn to a rookie making his major league debut Wednesday as right-hander Levi Stoudt gets the spot start. Needless to say this is a bad matchup vs an inexperienced MLB pitcher. Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Reds are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the TB Rays to win -1.5 runline |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers took out the Suns in game 1 but now Im betting on the zig zag theory taking hold, and for the Suns to mount a comeback in game 2. PHOENIX is 34-17 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 4-16 ATS in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 28-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more are 13-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. . Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-18-23 | Rangers -117 v. Royals | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Texas has won 6 of their L/8 while their hosts KC have lost 7 of their L/8. Its obvious these teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum. With that said, Ill ride the Rangers momentum here to what my power rankings suggest will be a victory. KCs starter KELLER is 1-10  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five lifetime appearances (four starts) against the Rangers, Keller is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA. Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter Eovaldi. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings. are 55-14 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
Cleveland lost 101-97 in game 1 of this series , and now in classic zig zag theory fashion Im betting on a huge bounce back here vs the visiting Knicks and game two of this series. CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight game are 45-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 24-1 L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.8 which eawsily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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04-18-23 | Twins v. Red Sox +100 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY has a had a good start to his season but is just 15-24 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Twins right hander has also struggled agains the Red Sox in his career and owns   1-7 record when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.13 and a WHIP of 1.488. Twins are 13-31 in their last 44 road games.Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Sale. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.. Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go 89% against conversion rate for bettors . Play on the Red Sox to win |
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04-18-23 | Orioles -132 v. Nationals | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Orioles won three of four games against the Nationals last season, outscoring the inter-league foe 17-8. My power ranking suggest they still matchup well vs this current Washington squad and have the edge here as road favs. Orioles are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league road games.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league home games.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. WASHINGTON is 9-23 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. ( Washington did not play yesterday) WASHINGTON is 8-26 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MARTINEZ is 2-14 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of WASHINGTON. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win |
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04-18-23 | Angels v. Yankees -149 | 5-2 | Loss | -149 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
 My projections make the NYY a viable fav here this evening vs a inconsistent Angels team that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games. NY YANKEES are 33-8 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. NEVIN is 12-35  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of LA ANGELS. Angels are 8-25 in their last 33 vs. American League East. Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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04-18-23 | Rangers +115 v. Devils | 5-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Rangers are expected to be a force in this year's postseason, the Devils are in the playoffs for the first time since 2018, and for just the second time in 11 seasons. The Devils are not an experienced play off side, and Im betting the pressure at least here in game 1 will be to much for them. New York was 12-3-4 in its last 19 games and Ill ride their momentum into this tilt on a value line. New York ranked first in the league at killing penalties (45-for-50) and ranked sixth in power-play percentage (16-for-59). Advantage NYR. Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.Rangers are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.Devils are 1-4 in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the NY Rangers to win |
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04-17-23 | Kings +176 v. Oilers | 4-3 | Win | 176 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
The Oilers offense got them into the play offs, but their Achilles heel their defense could be their undoing here in game one vs a LA side that my power rankings suggest matchup very well against them. Playing successful play off hockey is predicated on playing solid D, the Oilers are sub par in that category and very vulnerable here in game 1 of this series vs a tough two way Kings team that must not be underestimated.  LOS ANGELES is 18-4 ATS against sub par defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. EDMONTON is 1-6 ATS in home games after a 5 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.  Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Oilers are 32-70 in their last 102 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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04-17-23 | Mets v. Dodgers -143 | 8-6 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Mets have played better overall ball than the Mets early this season, but in this one instance (game) the Dodgers look to have the advantage with May on the hill. The Mets will send left-hander David Peterson (0-2, 4.91 ERA) to the mound in the series opener a hurler that the Dodgers matchup well against according to my power rankings. Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 19-39 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 88-26 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 103-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rare for bettors. Mets are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Dodgers |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia poured down 121 points in game 1 for the hefty DD win. The Nets will now have to become more aggressive offensively, while the Sixers will have not problem obliging them with a full blown offensive attack in response. BROOKLYN is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 28-9 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this seasons with combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 77-36 OVER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 56-25 OVER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-17-23 | Islanders +163 v. Hurricanes | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The NY Islanders are built for play off hockey. Its been said, that they play a boring style of hockey. well get ready for more conservative action here tonight, and for the Carolina Canes to find the sledding tough vs a very experienced play off side, with world class goaltending between the pipes in Illya Sorokin.Islanders are 10-1 in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the NY Islanders |
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04-17-23 | Giants v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Marlins on Monday will start lefty Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.93 ERA). According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the SF batting order. When or iff he leaves this game Miami has well rested bullpen performers ready to go with lefty A.J. Puk, and righty Dylan Floro. Puk, a former starter in his college career, has a 1.50 ERA so far this season. He's using his upper-90s fastball against lefties and his slider versus lefties giving them fits.Floro a finesse pitcher, owns a 0.00 ERA in six appearances,  and gets hitters to chase by using his sinker-slider combo. Meanwhile, on the flipside Logan Webb armed and with his new 90 million dollar contract will be primed to perform here against a struggling Miami offense. Advantage to the under. Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East. SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.Â
Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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04-17-23 | Rays -136 v. Reds | 1-8 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Reds, who have lost five of their last seven and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Reds starting righty hurler GREENE is 5-20 ( against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GREENE is 4-20 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the Rays have absolutely demolished right handed pitchers like Green, averaging 7.8 rpg in offense via. a.284 BA. TAMPA BAY is 14-1 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-17-23 | Angels -130 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
The Angels will look to avoid a 4 game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox today when they send Japanese phenom Ohtani out to the hill . Ohtani has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in Fenway.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BOSTON) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 8-54 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-11 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Halos to win |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Denver enters this play off game having lost 5 of their L/7 and look wobbly at the wrong time of the season. Meanwhile, Minnesota continues to play competitive hoops and have covered 5 straight games and will not be easily man handled .The Wolves also have a big time revenge scenario on their minds after suffering a blowout loss to the Nuggets back on Feb here in Denver. Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.  MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 13-25 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Timberwolves are 24-7 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Denver.Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on Wolves to cover |
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04-16-23 | Clippers +8 v. Suns | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My power rankings make the Clippers viable underdogs on what Im betting is a over blown home fav line for the Suns. PHOENIX is 9-33 ATS off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1996. (The Clippers just beat the Suns last week 119-114 and I wont be surprised by a repeat situation manifesting itself here today) LA CLIPPERS are 15-3 ATSin road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Clippers are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Houstons starter VALDEZ is 22-5 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and this year so far are averaging just 2.5 rpg in production vs southpaws. .Meanwhile,HOUSTON is 45-15  against the money line against left-handed starters like Heaney over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9. The Astros superior starter and bullpen will help us cover this runline offering. Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Lakers are an older team but along with that comes alot of experience and the ability to perform under pressure. I know the Grizzlies are a strong side, with alot of young talent but their lack of experience in pressure situations makes them vulnerable.Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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04-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins UNDER 7 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Marlins Right-hander Sandy Alcantara, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner im betting matches up very well vs the the Dbacks batting order and should limit their production to a minimum here today. Meanwhile, , Arizona will start right-hander Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA). Gallen is coming off a career year in 2022, when he went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA in 31 starts for Arizona. After a rough start this season, Gallen settled down last time out and pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers. He struck out 11 and allowed just three hits and one walk and has momentum entering this tilt. Im betting these two hurlers go long and strong and we see little offensive production making for a lower scoring affair. Miami hurler ALCANTARA is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 15-5 UNDER at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 3-1-2 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Arizonas Gallen . Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 10-3-2 in Marlins last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. Play under |
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04-16-23 | Twins v. Yankees -153 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) has won three straight starts to begin a season for the third time in his career (2013, 2020) and is once again ready for a shutdown performance against a batting order he matches up well against. MINNESOTA is 14-34 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 17-37against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. COLE is 4-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.143 and his teams have won all 5 of his starts vs the Twins in his career. NY YANKEES are 32-8 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-126 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 37 m | Show | |
Warriors have a great deal of play off experience on their sides, and that Im betting will be their edge here in game 1 of an expected close game. Warriors are 32-14 ATS in their last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. GOLDEN STATE is 33-15 ATS in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. I know the Warriors have not been great on the road this season, but Kings are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. SACRAMENTO is 6-17 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-15-23 | Braves -133 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this game having won 4 straight games, and have momentum on their sides entering this game vs a struggling KC Royals side that has lost 4 of their L/5 and 10 of 14. I know Bubic the Royals starter has looked solid so far this season, but run support has been hard to come by for the Royals southpaw, as Kansas City scored scored just one run in each of his first two outings of the season. Run support behind a side that averages just 2.5 rpg will once again be the Royals undoing. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 118-34 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-15-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -123 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Saturday's pitching matchup will feature Miami left-hander Braxton Garrett (0-0, 4.70 ERA) and Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson (1-0, 4.91). The key here will not be the starting pitchers but Miami's bullpen which has been strong with A.J. Puk (1.50 ERA) and Dylan Floro (0.00). The Marlins won 5-1 yesterday and look like viable shot home favs in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter lie Garrett. Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 91-43 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 4 m | Show | |
Entering the play offs Atlanta s offense is hitting on all cylinders averaging 123.6 ppg in their L/5 trips the court, and Im betting they will for the most part keep up that tiop tier offensive pace tonight in Boston . We know Boston is a solid defensive side, but when pressured can turn up their offense, and thats what Im betting the Celtics will be forced into doing today. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combine average of 244.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 15-3 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 242.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-15-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these offenses are of the sub prime variety and Im betting they will once again find the sledding tough in todays matchup. In the first two games of this series a total of 8 runs have been scored with each side recording a shutout and a rinse and repeat scenario from a total runs perspective is a good bet here. The Cards have gone under in 9 of their L/10 overall, and the Pirates have gone under in 3 straight and 4 of their L/6 overall. Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games.Under is 12-2 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Matz. PITTSBURGH is 22-10 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. SHELTON is 31-17 UNDER in road games after scoring 1 run or less as the manager of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 8 rpg scored.  Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. MARMOL is 20-9 UNDER  after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of ST LOUIS with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. ST LOUIS is 7-0 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. . MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 44-13 UNDER L/276 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-15-23 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
 The Nets have built chemistry since the deadline trades sent away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. They have been fr from easy outs on most nights since  Mikal Bridges and Spencer Dinwiddie have come on board and they have alot of confidence heading into this series and here game 1 Im betting they are being under rated. BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.BROOKLYN is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days . BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. Vaughn is 35-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots in all games he has coached.Vaughn is 30-15 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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04-14-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Wolves | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota defeated the Thunder back on Dec 16th by a 112-110 final score. Now in revenge mode in a key play off play in game Im betting Oklahoma City will be ready to play and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Wolves as was the case the last time they met. Daigneault is 8-0 ATS in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season.MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS as a home favorite this season. From a SRS perspective the Thunder rank 15th in the league at 0.26 while the SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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04-14-23 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets OVER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams will not be in the post season, and Im betting on this being a loose run and gun tilt that sees very little attention paid to solid defensive transitional hockey. Edge to the over. Im projecting both sides score 3+ goals. BUFFALO is 37-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. COLUMBUS is 28-1 OVER ( when both teams score 3 or more goals this season. BUFFALO is 12-1 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 gpg scored.BUFFALO is 7-1 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored.  COLUMBUS is 6-0 OVER off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg. COLUMBUS is 8-0 OVER  off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 12-1 OVER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 gpg going on the board. Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Columbus Play on the over |
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