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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-04-21 | Nationals +105 v. Phillies | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Washington starter Max Scherzer(RHP4-4, 2.34 ERA, 95 SO)  is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his eight starts in Philadelphia since joining the Nationals in 2015. The Nats are 7-1 in those games. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons. Phillies starter  WHEELER is 6-11 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.439.  Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or worse ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Nationals to win |
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06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
If the Lakers have any chance of salvaging this series, they are going to have to come out of their defensive shell and open up. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring game affair than the lines-makers expect. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 11-1 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.4 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 78-41 OVER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-03-21 | Mets +161 v. Padres | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
NY Mets starter Taijuan Walker(RHP4-1, 1.84 ERA, 49 SO) returned from the IL to throw five scoreless innings and strike out eight in a win over the Braves last Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 1.33 ERA in five career starts against the Padres and gets my support here on a value line. I know the Padres starter Darvish has been in top form for most of the season, but he looked worn out last time out as he gave up five runs (four earned) over five innings vs. Houston. WALKER is 8-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WALKER is 15-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 36-90 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play in the NY Mets to win |
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06-03-21 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 6-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Halos starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-3, 5.40 ERA, 45 SO)  is coming off one of his better starts, allowing three runs across six innings with seven strikeouts in a win over the Rangers. The right-hander pitched well against Seattle on May 1, yielding no earned runs across 5 1/3 innings and gets my support here again today vs the Mariners.  Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The Mariners are 0-19 L/19 on the ML as a road dog of at least +140 when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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06-03-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -5 | 126-115 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
These teams are pretty evenly matched but Denver has found a way to be up 3-2 in this series, and now in pure all out desperation mode Im betting on the Blazers coming out here with all guns blazing and finding a way to get the win and more importantly for us the the cover. DENVER is 7-18 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-25 ATS L/24 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blazers to cover |
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06-03-21 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
 Central Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 The first two games in this series ended in 2-1 decisions for the TB Lightning. More tough physical defensive minded play off hockey Im betting is once again on tonights agenda. CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 3 seasons.Â
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season.  CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival this season. NHL Road teams against the total (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 24-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. The last 7 games in this series have gone under the total in Carolina. Play UNDER |
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06-03-21 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
These are two very inconsistent offense and my projections using multiple data points estimate a lower scoring game. The Diamondbacks are 0-9 UNDER L/9 on the road after they lost by one run last game.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road gamesUnder is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog. Play UNDER  |
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06-03-21 | Bruins v. Islanders +127 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
 East Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 The NY Islanders play their best hockey at home, where they own a 23-8 record this season. The Nassau coliseum will be rocking tonight and I look for Isles net-minders Varlamov or Sorokin to be the difference maker tonight as they feed of the the home crowd.NY ISLANDERS are 21-9 ATS  against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. NY Islanders to win |
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06-03-21 | Red Sox +120 v. Astros | 5-1 | Win | 120 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Im betting on the BoSox to salvage a game from this 4 game series vs Houston .  BoSox stater PEREZ is 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Red Sox are 10-0 L/10 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog after they lost by one run last game which was the case in a 2-1 heart breaker. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 4-14 in their last 18 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. BOSTON is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-03-21 | Nationals v. Braves -122 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Lefty Nationals starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-4, 6.23 ERA, 41 SO)  allowed his fifth first-inning home run of the year against the Brewers on Saturday, which is the second most in the Majors. The most first-inning homers Corbin has allowed in his nine seasons was six in 2017. He owns a 7.45 ERA on the road this season. I dont like his from as of now and more than willing to bet against him in this spot play. The Nationals are 0-7 L/7 on the ML when Patrick Corbin starts as a dog when they lost in his last start.  Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Davidson. MLB team (WASHINGTON) - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in June games are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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06-02-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 105-100 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
The Mavericks looked good in the first two games of this series, as they Clippers looked asleep at the proverbial  wheel. After their slumber the Clippers are now wide awake and will no longer take their opposition for granted and continue on their two recent DD dismantling's of the Mavs and get the win and cover here again in game 5.  DALLAS is 13-24 ATS after playing a home game this season. Carlisle is 40-59 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DALLAS. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 27-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.8 ppg. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two teams with a defensive shot conversion rate of (45.5-47.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Jazz | 110-126 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Despite of being down 3-1 in this series the Grizzlies have been competitive in all 4games and Im betting they don't go down here without an all out dog fight making them viable underdogs taking points. . MEMPHIS is 24-15 ATS in road games this season.Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Jazz are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Play ont he Grizzlies to cover |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 225 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams have been playing back forth high scoring hoops this entire series and nothing will change tonight. All 4 games in this series have gone over with the L/3 showing a combined average score of 245 ppg scored. Rinse and repeat. MEMPHIS is 16-7 OVER in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a combined average of 238.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 13-3 OVER in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MEMPHIS/UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 4 or more consecutive overs are 43-18 OVER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Todays under call is based on two very inconsistent offenses.  The Rangers are 0-8-1 L/9 UNDER off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average 6.2 rpg scored with no game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. TEXAS is 8-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season with a combined 4.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 22-10 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.6 Units) against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with an average of 8.1 rpg . Play on the UNDER |
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06-02-21 | Red Sox +135 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Nick Pivetta(RHP6-0, 3.86 ERA, 59 SO) is unbeaten since joining the Red Sox last season, going 8-0 with a 3.53 ERA in 12 starts. The righty struck out nine over six innings in his last start against the Braves to get the win. This is his first career start in Houston. Rinse and repeat.Â
BoSox starter  PIVETTA is 9-1 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7 on the ML when Nick Pivetta starts after he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start. BOSTON is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season . BOSTON is 27-14  against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Red Sox |
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06-02-21 | Canadiens v. Jets -135 | 5-3 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
After upsetting the Leafs in a very physical series Im betting the Habs will find themselves in a letdown situation there tonight in Winnipeg vs a side that can match them in a fight club scenario.MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.Jets are 6-0 in their last 6 overall. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win |
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06-02-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -1 | 103-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
NYK in desperation mode (and fear of elimination) Im betting will find a way to stay alive in this series with a victory here tonight. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 18-8 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. NEW YORK is 26-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons. (NYK) NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 49-10 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 8-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYK to cover |
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06-02-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229.5 | 112-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
 The Wizards went full tilt last time out, and avoided elimination ,behind the No.1 pace in the league, and now on the verge of elimination Im betting they attack in all out fashion which in turn will force the Sixers to open up , which will than result in what I project will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this offered number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 OVER in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average .  Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games as a favorite.  WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 16-6 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 244.4 ppg going on the board. Over is 11-4-1 in Wizards last 16 playoff games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 100-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 215 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 404-271 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the OVER |
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06-01-21 | Lakers +5 v. Suns | 85-115 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champs Im betting will be primed to grab back the lead in this series vs the Phoenix Suns and deserve respect getting points in game 5 of this series. LA LAKERS are 24-8 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. LA LAKERS are 19-9 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games. PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. Note: I know the Lakers are going to be without Davis , but as long as James is on the court they are golden .... even when Davis sits , as the Lakers recorded a +7.1 point differential per 100 possessions vs opposition this season. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The first 3 games of this series , saw this offered total eclipsed and despite of a lower combined score ,last time out, Im betting on a overall pace increase here as Denver in energized form will look to run the Blazers out of building in the thin air of the mile high city in what will be a fast paced affair.  PORTLAND in 31 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season have seen a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 19-9 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 36-13 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 53-26 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-01-21 | Pirates v. Royals -175 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Wil Crowe(RHP0-3, 5.67 ERA, 25 SO)Crowe was pulled after 1 1/3 innings on Wednesday after struggling to locate any of his pitches, though his quick hook led to only three runs going on his line. He's given up seven runs in his past 6 1/3 innings and struggling mightily entering this tilt and is fade material in his current form as is his team as they have lost 10 of their L/13 overall.  PITTSBURGH is 4-26 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 season The Royals are 12-0 L/12 as a favorite of at least -135 off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at least four separate innings.
MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 49-15 L/24 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the KC Royals |
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06-01-21 | Lightning +102 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Carolina played all out in game 1 of this series which was their 5th straight game decided by one goal and still ended up on the wrong side of the final score and I cant help but feel they may have a harder time putting out that kind of effort again vs an experienced Stanley Cup team that matches up well against them.CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 11-3 ATS in road games in the 2nd game of a playoff series since 1996. Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Lightning are 59-14 in their last 73 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Play on TB Lightning to win |
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06-01-21 | Nationals v. Braves -133 | 11-6 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlanta starter FRIED is 28-9 ( against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 20-5  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Braves are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when Max Fried starts after they won as an home favorite in his last start. WASHINGTON is 7-17 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 73-35 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to win |
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06-01-21 | Twins -155 v. Orioles | 4-7 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Twins starter Michael Pineda(RHP3-2, 2.62 ERA, 47 SO)looks to be healthy after a abscess that caused him to hit the injured list and miss a turn in the rotation, tossing six innings of one-run ball with a season-high eight strikeouts against Baltimore on Wednesday on 101 pitches. Im betting on more of the same top tier action today from the righty . Baltimore is 0-14 L/14 overall.Â
The Orioles are 0-12 L/12 in the second game of a series as a dog after a loss where they never led in the first game. Play on the Twins to win |
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06-01-21 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Yanks starter Domingo German(RHP4-3, 3.06 ERA, 47 SO) faced the Rays on April 10 in St. Petersburg, taking a loss after permitting four runs in four innings. My pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he does not matchup well and should give the Rays an opportunity to explode offensively which will aid this being a high scoring affair. The Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a road favorite with a combined average of 15.54 rpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 13-4 OVER in road games in night games this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-31-21 | Pirates v. Royals OVER 8 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 22-9 OVER vs. struggling power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. He is off a strong start last time out, but is MINOR in his L/6 after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored with his team allowing an average of 7.7 rpg. Pirates starter KUHL is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 ppg. KUHL is 11-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. The Pirates are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they lost by one run with a combined average of 13.6 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 23-10 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-31-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Bruins and Islanders took part in a closely contested game in the first two periods of game 1 in this series, before the Bruins exploded for 3 third period goals for a 5-2 victory. NYI HC Barry Trotz was not happy by his teams late breakdown and will now be making sure that his team gets back to what has made them a viable contender, and that is a top tier defensive system . Tonight Im betting on a very physical game from the Islanders and for them to pay special attention and transition, and for the Bruins to morph into the same style of play , which Im betting results in a very low scoring affair. NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 3.2 gpg scored.NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games following a win. Under is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
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05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 114-122 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Sixers clobbered the Wizards last time out 132-103 and by the end of that game you could see the DC group was in a dejected mood, which Im betting will carry into this game. Meanwhile, Philly Im betting will regress offensively while continuing to play a top teir brand of defense that ranks 6th in the league in ppg allowed. WASHINGTON is 15-7 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 223.4 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 18 road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 52-25 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-31-21 | Red Sox v. Astros +104 | 2-11 | Win | 104 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Astros starter Jose Urquidy (RHP3-2, 3.22 ERA, 33 SO) returns from the IL (inflammation in right shoulder) to make his first start since May 12. He’s 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts, walking just two batters and allowing four earned runs and 15 hits in 23 2/3 innings and gets my support here int his spot vs struggling lefty Rodriguez who has had a rough May, going 1-3 with a 6.48 ERA. The Red Sox are 0-10 L/10 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after a game as a home favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers. Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter.HOUSTON is 37-8 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Houston to win |
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05-31-21 | Rays v. Yankees -115 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
I know the Yanks have been struggling but what I have learned is that you never count this current version of the Yankees out , no matter who the opposition is. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML at home after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led. NY YANKEES are 32-13 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 season.  NY YANKEES are 33-14 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or worse ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 9-31 L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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05-30-21 | Clippers -3 v. Mavs | 106-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 The Clippers finally woke up after looking like they were asleep at the wheel in the first two games of this series back in LA. Now back in a groove Im betting on the Clippers to come right back and tie this series with a win tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 18-7 ATS in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 season  Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. DALLAS is 0-8 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 season. Clippers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Dallas. Play on the LA Clippers |
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05-30-21 | Lightning +100 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Im betting the defending Stanley Cup Champs will be wide awake here vs a Carolina side that maybe getting just a bit to much respect. My ratings suggest the Bolts  5-on-5 will matter most in a series against the Hurricanes. Lightning are 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog. TAMPA BAY is 27-7 ATS in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. NHL team against the money line (CAROLINA) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home win where they shut out their opponent are 5-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on the TB Bolts to win |
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05-30-21 | Cardinals -112 v. Diamondbacks | 2-9 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
The Arizona DBacks are on 13 game losing streak, and completely in disarray. In their current form they are fade material. The Diamondbacks are 0-9 L/9 after they left 18+ men on base individually last game. Cards starter KIM is 11-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIM is 11-4 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 11-2 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Play on the Cards to win |
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05-30-21 | Angels v. A's -129 | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
As left-hander Irvin has allowed nine runs on 18 hits in his last two starts after posting a 2.49 ERA over his previous seven. Hes a quailty hurler and Im betting he bounces back here vs a batting order my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Meanwhile, angles starter Qunitana owns a ugly 12.54 ERA in 3 road starts. The Athletics are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a home favorite on the opening line of more than -135 after they did not score after the third inning last game. OAKLAND is 31-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.  OAKLAND is 21-9 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. LA ANGELS are 1-13  against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons. Play on the As to win |
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05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 209.5 | 100-92 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a pivotal game in this series and /Im betting the Suns down 2-1 in this series will have to be more aggressive offensively and try to push the Lakers out of their comfort zone. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the first 3 games of this series saw. LAKERS in 33 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season have seen a combined average of 214 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 21-12 OVER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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05-30-21 | Phillies v. Rays UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Zach EflinRHP2-4, 3.84 ERA, 63 SO has pitched six or more innings in each of his 10 starts this season. It is the longest streak by a Phillies pitcher since a 12-start streak by right-hander Aaron Nola from April 10-June 12, 2018 and Im betting he puts another solid effort in this spot play vs the Rays. Meanwhile, the Rays COLLIN MCHUGH and a bullpen that owns a solid 2.95 ERA will Im betting also limit offensive productions from a inconsistent Philly offense with a .224 team BA . The Rays are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. Play on the UNDER |
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05-30-21 | Knicks v. Hawks UNDER 209.5 | 96-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The opus Morandi of the NY Knicks has been a grinding defensive style of hoops and nothing changes here today. The Knicks rank 26th in ppg offense No.1 in ppg defense and No.30 in pace in the NBA. With that said, Im betting on a very physical game here as NY will continue to try to disrupt the Hawks flow. This Im betting results in a fairly low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered number. NEW YORK lost game 2 here in Atlanta in this series and are also 16-4 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored.  NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Cardinals -128 v. Diamondbacks | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Dbacks are on a 12 game losing streak, and there is little very little light at the end of the tunnel considering their current form. Today against a hurler that my power rankings suggest they do matchup well against the Dbacks are fade material once again. Cards starter  Adam Wainwright (RHP 2-4, 3.95 ERA, 51 SO)was let down by his offense, Wainwright earned a no-decision Sunday despite eight shutout innings of one-hit ball vs. the Cubs. It was his second consecutive scoreless home start and he deserves betting respect here as a short favorite.Note: The Cardinals are 11-0 on the ML when Adam Wainwright starts on the road when their opponent is on a 4+ game losing streak. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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05-29-21 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Mike Foltynewicz (RHP1-4, 4.53 ERA, 42 SO) is coming off his best start of the season, a seven-inning shutout outing vs. the Astros on Sunday . Im betting his current momentum transferring into tonight tilt vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Mariners starter  Justin Dunn (RHP 1-2, 3.40 ERA, 37 SO) kept the Padres' potent offense in check in his last start, allowing just one earned run across five innings with four strikeouts and looks like a viable option here to keep the inconsistent Mariners offense at bay as well. The Mariners are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a favorite after they scored in at most two separate innings last game with a combined score of 6 rpg scored with none of the games seeing more than 8 runs scored.  Under is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a home favorite.Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | 121-111 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The last game in this series was a high scoring offensive slugfest , but now in game 3 Im expecting regression from these offenses and for the Grizzlies to step up their defensive play here at home and for Utah to follow suit behind the No.3 ranked ppg D in the NBA . UTAH is 31-10 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 185.4 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.  Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. MEMPHIS is 19-4 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. Jenkins is 13-2 UNDER after allowing 130 points or more as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 211.9 ppg going on the board. Jenkins is 13-1 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.Jenkins is 9-0 UNDER  in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 219 ppg going on the score board.Jenkins is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 37-15 in Grizzlies last 52 home games. Under is 21-10 in Grizzlies last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - averaging 9 or more steals/game on the season, on Saturday games are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 69-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 31-9 in the last 40 meetings in Memphis. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
East Division Playoffs - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 These teams play similar styles of tough physical defensive transitional hockey . Both also have talented offenses , but they play within in their systems well and know how to back check. NY ISLANDERS are 13-3 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5 or more shots on goal per game this season. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season this season. former KHL super star Sorokin started four games in Round 1 for the Isles and posted a .943 save percentage. He gets the nod tonight. Bruins starter tonight Rask post .941 save percentage in round 1. UNDER 6-1-2 L/9 meetings in this series in Boston. Play UNDER |
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05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards OVER 227 | 132-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Down 2 -0 in this series the Wizards 3rd ranked ppg offense and 1st ranked pace will have to open up and play the type of hoops they were built to play and because of their 30th ranked ppg defense the edge goes to what Im betting will be a high scoring game. I know the Sixers are a defense first team but they will also be forced to open up which they can do well when pushed. This game projects to be in the 230s (combined score). This total is still relevant even if Russell Westbrook does not play for the Wizards tonight.Â
WASHINGTON is 14-6 OVER (+7.4 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined score of 245.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 34-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-29-21 | Yankees -130 v. Tigers | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Tigers' took a 3-2, 10-inning walk-off victory on Friday and now the Yankees Im betting rebound here in a big way vs Tigers starter TURNBULL who is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600. Yankees are one of baseballs best fast ball hitting teams and with Stanton now back in the lineup despite of a less than stellar 0 for 5 return to the lineup yesterday still matches up well here and could easily be a catalyst for NYY. The Tigers are 0-11 on the ML as a home dog off a home game that went to extra innings. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 32-109 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Yankees to win |
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05-29-21 | Reds v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-10 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
MLB Zach Davies(RHP2-2, 4.96 ERA, 26 SO) continued the string of strong outings by Cubs starters by tossing five innings of scoreless ball on Sunday. He'll face the Reds on Saturday, against whom he allowed two runs (one earned) in just four innings on May 1.  DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Castillo the Reds hurler despite of struggling this season, does matchup well vs the Cubs according to my pitcher vs batting order ratings, and the last time he pitched a Wrigley   he struck out 10 and earned the win. Note: Cubs batters are averaging just .217 vs right handed starters this season like Castillo. Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 30-11-3 in Cubs last 44 vs. National League Central. Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-4 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CINCINNATI REDS/ CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 31-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-29-21 | Royals v. Twins -165 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
J Happ the Twins starter has pitched his best baseball at home this season garnering a 3.86 ERA and gets my support here at home vs a side that he has won his last 3 outings against. The Twins are 12-0 L/12 on the ML at home in the first 100 games of the season after they lost by 5+ runs last game. (After a 4 game win streak they got blasted 8-3 in the first game of this series and now its bounce back time). Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 59-106 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Royals are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-29-21 | Bucks v. Heat +5 | 120-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Down 3-0 in this series the Heat excuse the pun, need to bring the Heat and leave everything on the floor tonight. In game 1 they did what I thought they would, but after that heart breaking close loss in the opener, they have suffered and extended emotional letdown. Quote:"Our rhythm is off," Heat guard Goran Dragic said. "It's way off. We lose our confidence." End quote: Needless to say alot of soul searching has been done since that last game, and now Im betting on the Heat coming up big here and getting us the cover in an all out due or die performance. Note: The Heat haven't been swept in the playoffs since 2007 against the Chicago Bulls. Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 road games. MILWAUKEE is 5-16 ATSafter 3 or more consecutive wins this season.MILWAUKEE is 6-21 ATS  after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 2 seasons. Key Injury :Bucks  starting guard Donte DiVincenzo out for play offs. Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 26-68 L/24 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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05-28-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -190 | 8-5 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Dodger starter Walker Buehler( RHP3-0, 2.78 ERA, 59 SO)  is 2-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts at Dodger Stadium this season, striking out 38 over 33 1/3 innings. He allowed one run over seven innings in his lone start against the Giants this season and gets my support here laying extra lumber on the money-line. The Dodgers are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when Walker Buehler starts at home after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday. LA DODGERS are 68-20 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.  Dodgers are 24-9 in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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05-28-21 | Cardinals +123 v. Diamondbacks | 8-6 | Win | 123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Arizona enters this game having lost 11 straight games and are fade material in their current form. Considering Dbacks starter Madison Bumgarner (LHP -4-4, 4.53 ERA, 56 SO) lost his last start as he allowed seven runs (five earned) over six innings and is also in bad form entering this tilt Im liking the value we have with the visitors in this spot play. ST LOUIS is 14-3  against the money line in road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons which was the case yesterday in their 5-4 victory vs struggling Arizona.ST LOUIS is 14-3 against the money line in road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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05-28-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Vegas was shutout in game 6 of this series, which saw Minnesota tie this series and for a game 7 finale. Im betting both sides will continue to be very careful in transition. However, there are multiple variables situations at play here which includes open netters late if one team is up and the strong possibility of OT. edge to the over. MINNESOTA is 7-1 OVER in road games off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival this season. Over is 17-7 in Wild last 24 road games. NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (VEGAS) - revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 49-21 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 227 | 119-125 | Win | 101 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
 Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 Boston is now down 2-0 in this series after 130-108 loss last time out. Unfortunately now for the Celtics they are going to have to open up if they have any chance of competing , which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair here in game 3. Note: Over is 20-8-1 in Celtics last 29 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.  Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 home games. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER in home games after allowing 120 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 OVER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN in 70 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 23-11 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 41-16 OVER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-28-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Hawks | 94-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 From a SRS comparison there is data that suggests these teams being very evenly matched . The Knicks rank 11th at 2.13. Atlanta ranks 10th at 2.14 . Thus getting points for me is a strong option here especially after watching the first two games. Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness which is unmatched and their top ranked ppd defence to be the difference maker. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average NEW YORK is 23-13 ATS in road games this season NEW YORK is 10-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 ATS L/4 visits to Atlanta. NEW YORK is 18-4 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 22-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 | 120-115 | Loss | -114 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Portland took game 1 in convincing fashion then the Nuggets returned the favor in a DD win in game 2. Now in true zig zag theory convergence we go back to the Blazers tonight here at home. Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. DENVER is 6-17 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. Malone is 26-44 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 61-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Trail Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Blazers to win/cover |
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05-27-21 | Suns v. Lakers -7 | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
When the the defending champs are in top form the Lakers are hard to beat as was the case last time out when they took out the Suns by a 109-102 final score. Now with play off action in full swing Im betting we will now see an experienced side take advantage of the young inexperienced Suns behind a defensive style of play that will disrupt the visitors flow. LA LAKERS are 23-8 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. PHOENIX is 7-20 ATS  off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 85-49 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-27-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators +125 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
The Hurricanes garnered wins the first two games of this series by a combined score of 8-2 before the Predators got home to Nashville and banged out back-to-back double-overtime wins in Games 3 and 4, tying the series before Carolina regained the advantage Tuesday with a hard fought OT victory. considering how important home ice has been in this series for a while now including the post season Im going to ride the momentum of ice advantage in this this tilt. Home team is 11-0 in the last 11 meetings. Hurricanes are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road favorite. Hurricanes are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Hurricanes are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville. Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog. NASHVILLE is 5-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season this season.NASHVILLE is 6-1 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.NASHVILLE is 7-1 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or more - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on Nashville to win |
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05-27-21 | Angels v. A's -147 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
As stater Chris Bassitt9RHP4-2, 3.69 ERA, 65 SO) enters Thursday's start on a roll, going 4-0 with a 3.26 ERA over his last eight starts. This will be his second consecutive start against the Angels. He held the Halos to two runs while striking out eight across 7 2/3 innings in a win last Saturday. Momentum and form have us taking him to help his team to the promised land. W ......The Athletics are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a 140+ favorite when they won in his last start.BASSITT is 25-8  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to winÂ
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05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox -210 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-3 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. (Orioles starter Zimmerman is a southpaw hurler) The Pale hose have blasted left handers this season averaging 7.8 rpg via a .292 BA. Rinse and repeat here today. BALTIMORE is 3-18against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. CHI WHITE SOX are 30-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game without an extra base hit are 51-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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05-27-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Yanks looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last time they played on and the Blue /jays took advantage of the situation to end a 6 game losing streak and at the same time end of the Yanks 6 game winning streak. The Yankees are 17-0 L/17 on the ML in the second game of a series at home after they allowed 12+ hits. Note: NYY starter GERMAN is 11-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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05-27-21 | Royals v. Rays -175 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
TB phenom starter Shane McClanahan(LHP1-0, 4.03 ERA, 26 SO)Most teams haven't seen the rookie McClanahan yet, and that includes the Royals. The league's hardest-throwing lefty starter (averages 97.4 mph on his fastball) allowed one run in five innings his last time out against Toronto. Pull the trigger here with the Rays.Â
TB is red hot having won 12 of their L/13 and must be respected in this spot play . The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a road dog vs a left-handed starter when they won the last three times they faced a left-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 15-74 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate.  MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 26-105 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on TB to win |
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05-27-21 | Rockies v. Mets -128 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
Mets starter Marcus Stroman (RHP) 3-4, 2.75 ERA, 43 SO----Although Stroman hasn't been quite as sharp in May as he was in April, the right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the month -- six innings, two runs and eight strikeouts in a no-decision against the Marlins. Hes a streaky pitcher and deserves respect here on a short chalk line. Meanwhile, the Rockies are 0-11 L/11 on the ML when German Marquez starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.  COLORADO is 3-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 3-18 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 22-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 218 | 129-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a dangerous opponent for all comers as this season has progressed and their aggressiveness has. been obvious, for anyone watching. Nothing will change tonight as they will come right back at the talented Jazz and force their opponent to open up in what Im betting will be a high scoring affair. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.MEMPHIS in 24  road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season have seen a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored.  Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Jenkins is 14-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored.Jenkins is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 237 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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05-26-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -2 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
NYK lost a closely contested game last time out vs the Hawks . The Hawks actually kept up with the tenacious work ethic of the Knicks which has been rare this season. The difference maker Im betting will come via the Knicks consistent never say style of play something I believe the Hawks will not be able to contend with in game 2.  NEW YORK is 9-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons NEW YORK is 17-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 17-4 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.  NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 100-64 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on the NYK to cover |
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05-26-21 | Royals v. Rays -196 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Glasonw the Rays staff ace is still off to a solid start,, averaging nearly nine strikeouts per outing and after a sub par outing last time will be fully focused and ready to perform. MLB favorites with a opening money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - after a game without an extra base hit are 50-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or worse) (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 8-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TB to win |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are built for post season hoops and Im betting their top tier defense and physical style of play will try to slow down the run and gun Wizards which will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers might expect here in game 2 of this series. I know game one saw a higher scoring final result but Im betting the Wizards will feel the effects of a grueling schedule and the physical tenacity of game one which will result in a less explosive offensive effort.  PHILADELPHIA iin 22 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more are 53-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 41-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 27-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-26-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -108 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
There is something special about the NY Islanders goalie Sorokin who is a. former KHL super star. This kid is in the process of revolutionizing goaltending. If you watch him for an extended period of time that will become more obvious than words can describe. With that said he gives an edge to a well coached and disciplined Isles side that is tenacious in their work ethic. I know the Pens have the big name players, but the as a team their are few sides in the NHL with better chemistry than the Isles and they must be respected here with a chance to end this series at the Nassau Coliseum where they play their best hockey. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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05-26-21 | Rangers v. Angels -111 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Angels start Griffin Canning ( RHP3-3, 5.56 ERA, 38 SO)  saw his stretch of three-straight strong starts come to an end against the Twins, allowing four runs over two innings. He gave up a grand slam in the first that spoiled his outing. I am now betting on a bounce back. Rangers starter DUNNING is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400. The Rangers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML in the second game of a series as a road dog after they lost by 5+ runs last game. MLB team (TEXAS) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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05-25-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Ok kudos to Dallas in game 1 of this series as they pulled of the upset as dogs. However, now wide awake Im betting on the Clippers coming back here with a huge effort and what Im betting will be a subsequent cover. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-8 L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.6 ppg. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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05-25-21 | Celtics v. Nets -9 | 108-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Brooklyn took game 1 of this series 103-94 covering as 8.5 point chalk and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. Note: BROOKLYN is 6-0/SU L/6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons at home.BOSTON is 3-17 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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05-25-21 | Reds v. Nationals -178 | 2-1 | Loss | -178 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Max Scherzer(RHP4-2, 2.24 ERA, 76 SO) is 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 55 strikeouts in five starts against the Reds while with the Nationals. He fanned eight over five innings in his last start on Wednesday against the Cubs. Rinse and repeat in play here. Reds starter MAHLE is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 12.14 and a WHIP of 2.099. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 38-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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05-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -170 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Yankess starter Corey Kluber(RHP4-2, 2.86 ERA, 50 SO) hrew the Yankees' first no-hitter since David Cone's 1999 perfect game in his last start, tossing 101 pitches in his gem over the Rangers in Arlington. The two-time Cy Young Award winner walked one and struck out nine in the effort. In his current form he will be hard to beat . These teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum with the Yankees having won 6 straight while the Jays have lost 6 straight, making the team on a ;positive momentum run the play here.Â
TORONTO is 0-9 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after they allowed 6+ runs. TORONTO is 3-11 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. Play on the Yankees to win |
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05-25-21 | Mystics v. Fever +2.5 | 85-69 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana won the first meeting in this back to back series vs Washington and matchup well vs the Mystics as the final 89-77 score would indicate. INDIANA is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog . Thibault is 2-12 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS in road games after 2 straight games attempting 70 or more shots over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 63-31 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Fever to cover |
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05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 109-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Denver will play this game with desperation as they do not want to go down 2-0 to Portland and completely obliterate their home court advantage. Finally adjustments will be made especially from a defensive perspective and their game will take on a stronger defensive focus which Im betting results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total. Note:DENVER is 8-0 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of these tilts ringing in at 212.1 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record for 110-71L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-58 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-24-21 | Mariners v. A's -155 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
As starter MONTAS is 12-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Athletics are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series. OAKLAND is 59-23 against the money line against left-handed starters like the Mariners Kikuch over the last 3 seasons . OAKLAND is 32-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 road games. MLB team (SEATTLE) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. Play on Oakland to win |
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05-24-21 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | 98-132 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Game 1 was a closely contested tilt , with the lead changing back and forth throughout the contest in a game that was never controlled by either side. Im betting things don't change that much today making the underdog Heat once again a viable wagering opportunity. Spoelstra is 10-1 ATS in road games in the 2nd game of a playoff series as the coach of MIAMI. MILWAUKEE is 9-24 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season and overall have failed to cover 7 of their L/8 overall including game 1 of this series.
No Zig Zag theory in play here. Play on the Miami Heat. |
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05-24-21 | Padres v. Brewers -114 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP 2-2, 1.58 ERA, 65 SO )  Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.   WOODRUFF is 18-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 9-0 L/9 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which Christian Yelich had multiple RBIs. Padres starter  SNELL is 5-14 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 104-54 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brewers to win |
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05-24-21 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Brandon Woodruff(RHP2-2, 1.58 ERA, 65 SO) 1.58 runs of support per nine innings is the lowest in the Majors for a qualifying pitcher. That explains how he's winless in four May starts despite having gone at least six innings with no more than two runs allowed in those games which Im betting will help contribute to another lower scoring affair here today. Meanwhile, Padres southpaw Blake Snell(LHP1-0, 3.79 ERA, 60 SO) is coming off his best start as a Padre and his first outing of at least six innings since 2019. Snell's stuff has been electric all year, but he hasn't been in the strike zone enough. On Tuesday, however, he K'd 11 with one walk. WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Team's Record.. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 UNDER ( vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.WOODRUFF is 10-0 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.  )  SNELL is 19-6 UNDER  in road games after giving up 2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record) Play UNDER |
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05-24-21 | Islanders +123 v. Penguins | 3-2 | Win | 123 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
The /isles looked like the superior side last time out in a dominating 4-1 win and play with an extra amount of confidence with former KHL super star goalie Sorokin between the pipes. From the outset of this series I liked the Islanders chances vs the Pens because of how I perceived the Islanders system and how it was suited to play off hockey. Meanwhile the Pens despite of being a talented group with big name offensive players still looked like a much softer less physical group. With a value line attached to this tilt taking NYI in this spot makes for what Im betting is a viable wagering opportunity.Penguins are 3-9 in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the NYI to win |
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05-24-21 | Rockies v. Mets -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rockies are inconsistent bunch and even against sub par teams have had problems maintaining any kind of momentum. Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Rockies are 0-9 L/9 on the ML on the road after they scored in at least four separate innings. COLORADO is 1-11 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  COLORADO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  COLORADO is 5-24 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons. BLACK is 6-19 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of COLORADO. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or worse), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mets |
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05-23-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -1.5 | 107-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Knicks have shown a great deal of chemistry this season, and have proven themselves disciplined while implementing a top tier brand of defensive hoops that is difficult to play against as is evident by ranking 1st in ppg defense in the NBA behind a deliberate 30th ranked pace. Meanwhile, their first round play off opponents the Atlanta Hawks, own the 23rd ranked offensive deficiency which does not bode well here in what will be a grinding game that will test their will to grind it out in the key in their own zone. Note: The Knicks took all three meetings this season between these teams, once on the road and twice at home by DDs. Rinse and repeat here in game 1.  Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games. Knicks are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.NEW YORK is 16-2 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season.NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS versus average to sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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05-23-21 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
West Division Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 The Colorado Avs are in top form and have been pressing the action, as is evident by scoring 26 goals in their L/5 games and if the Blues want to avoid elimination will have to come out here with an equally aggressive mindset which Im betting leads to a tilt that eclipses this total. ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 8-0 OVER after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ST LOUIS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 42-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. NHL road teams against the total (COLORADO) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, second half of the season are 61-31 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | A's -107 v. Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
As workhorse starter Sean Manaea(LHP3-2, 4.41 ERA, 48 SO) pitched around heavy traffic on the basepaths to limit the Astros to just three runs on Tuesday, despite allowing 10 hits over six innings. His quality outing kept the A's in striking distance of what was an eventual 6-5 walk-off win over Houston. He is a nnever say die hurler that deserves respect on a short chalk line. MANAEA is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)   LA ANGELS are 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season which the As have.  Angels starter UNDY is 5-22 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 12-2 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Oakland As to win |
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05-23-21 | A's v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Angels starter Dylan Bundy(RHP0-5, 6.02 ERA, 46 SO) has been dealing with a foot issue, but was cleared on Friday for his next start. He has a 10.13 ERA in three starts in May, allowing 15 runs in 13 1/3 innings and Im betting him and sub par bullpen will be responsible for helping this total get eclipsed.   LA ANGELS are 7-0 OVER in home games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 17.2 rpg. (S.Manaea the As starter is a southpaw. )LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 13 rpg scored.  The Angels are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored with each game eclipsing this offered total.  Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 213 | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The Lakers opus Morandi has been based on playing solid defense this season, but this team with players like James and Davis can gear it up with the best of teams offensively and today Im betting their going to have to do just that , vs a Suns side that Im betting will be very aggressive in transition . The suns in their 72 games this season have seen a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 8-1 OVER in home games after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LAL/PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 30-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -139 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Jon Gray(RHP4-4, 3.48 ERA, 45 SO) has thrived at Coors Field (4-1, 2.00 ERA in six starts), including 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball vs. Arizona on April 8. Rinse and repeat.Â
The Diamondbacks are 0-8 L/8 on the MLÂ Â as a road dog after a loss where they never led. ARIZONA is 1-12Â against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 season. ARIZONA is 4-23 ( against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLBÂ team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games are 26-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLBÂ Road teams (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 51-115 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. |
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05-23-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
The Indians squeaked out a 5-3 win with late inning runs yesterday vs the Twins which is emotionally deflating for a struggling side like the Twins making them fade material here in this spot . Note: Twins starter J.A. Happ (LHP 2-2, 5.35 ERA, 20 SO) has had less than viable starts recently and is on a two-game losing streak that has seen him total seven innings over his last two starts. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win |
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05-23-21 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 8 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Red starter  fell to 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA in nine starts this season, including a seven-start winless streak and five straight losing decisions despite of 11 SOs last time out. Hes in a groove to be hard luck pitcher in his current form , and Im betting because of some glitches in this delivery his previous strong effort could easily be derailed here vs a Brewers batting order that my pitcher vs offense power ranking suggest is a bad matchup for him. The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when their starter Freddy Peralta starts as a favorite when they won in his last start with a combined average of 13.67 rpg scored. PERALTA is 13-3 OVER  as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 16-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 21-10 OVER in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | 123-109 | Win | 101 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 Portland has been on my radar for a while now as the teams chemistry has improved as this season has progressed and look like a viable dark horse entering the play offs. After watching game video of the last time these teams met on May 16th in game the Blazers won 132-116 it became obvious to me that unless the Nuggets made improbable changes that they could find themselves in trouble in this series. Im not counting the Nuggets out in this series, but here in game 1 I am betting they will not make the changes necessary for victory.   PORTLAND is 16-7 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. PORTLAND is 19-7 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. DENVER is 16-25 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.DENVER is 5-13 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 12-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 70-19 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Portland to win |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | 113-103 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 From a power ranking and SRS perspective the superior side here is the Clippers. The Clippers rank 2nd in the league in SRS with a 6.02 data point while the Mavericks rank 9th with a 2.26 mark. When factoring in home court advantage for the Clippers laying single digit lumber is a viable betting opportunity. Note: SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. DALLAS is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.  Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-2 L/24 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 ppg which qualifies this trend on a ATS line. (Qualifying factor: Dallas beat the Clippers back in March and LAC lost their last two games this season) NBA Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-6 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
This play off game is being played early in the afternoon here on the west coast, and Im expecting a slower grinding game that will result in a lower scoring affair. Add to that the Clippers modus operandi is based on a more physical precise game plan behind the 28th ranked pace and the 4th best ppg defense and the 10th ranked ppg offense. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 playoff games as a favorite. Meanwhile, Dallas , is 13-1 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored and are  8-0 UNDER  vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored and 12-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 216 .6 ppg scored.DALLAS is also 10-1 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 212.5 ppg scored. So what Im getting at here is that Mavs HC Carlisle adjusts his game against teams like the Clippers which  always look has me look at the offered total with a lower scoring result in mind. With that said, Im betting this number is beatable with an under wager. Note: Dallas ranks 9th in ppg defense, and 17 in ppg offense, and run at a slow 24th ranked pace. Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 20-6 in Mavericks last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-4 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play UNDER |
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05-22-21 | Twins +152 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Indians starter Shane Bieber(RHP4-3, 3.17 ERA, 92 SO)  Last time,  lasted just 4 2/3 innings vs. Seattle. His slider (and command, overall) hasn't been as sharp as it was to start the year, and he is showing flaws in his mechanics which not a good sign, making him fade material on a value line. The Twins are 13-0 L/13 on the ML past the first game of a series on the road after they shut out their opponent last game. Manager BALDELLI is 29-13 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB team (CLEVELAND) -struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 8-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-22-21 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 9-12 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Two pitchers with alot to play. for as they try to solidify their standing in their rotations makes for what Im betting will see them limit two very inconsistent offences outputs. Both sides have viable bullpens so mop up action should be generally successful. Note: Nationals starter  LESTER is 15-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.272. The Orioles are averaging just .224 BA on the road this season.  MARTINEZ is 32-18 UNDER  against AL East opponents as the manager of WASHINGTON with an average of 8.2 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 20-8 UNDER  at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +105 | 6-7 | Win | 105 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
DBacks Madison Bumgarner(LHP4-3, 4.15 ERA, 54 SO) exited his last start early after having a spasm in his left adductor muscle and is still not 100%. The left-hander felt the injury during his pregame warmups, but he made it through four innings against the Dodgers before leaving the game. Im betting on his health effecting this out come which favors the rockies collecting the cash for their backers on a value moneyline offering. Rockies starter  SENZATELA is 13-6 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 0-13 L/13 on the ML as a dog after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. ARIZONA is 4-22 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11  against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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05-22-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -110 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
 Big game here for the NY Islanders as they find themselves down 2-1 in this series. Im expecting Isles HC Barry Trotz to go with former KHL super star Sorokin between the pipes today and for late season acquisition Kyle Palmieri's energy to permeate throughout the lineup and for the Isles to even this series at 2-2. PITTSBURGH is 4-10 ATS  in road games off a road win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. The home side is 4-1 L/5 meetings and I expect that trend continuing today. Play on the Islanders to win |
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05-21-21 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 14 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER, ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON Colorado won the first two games in this series by 4-1 and 6-3 counts and Im betting on even more offensive fireworks here as the Blues must open up or be blown out again.Â
ST LOUIS is 14-4 OVERÂ in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg.Â
NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (COLORADO) - off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 27-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVERÂ |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies +5 v. Warriors | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors put an all out effort vs the La Lakers last time out and still lost , and will now be in a huge letdown situation that will benefit the tenacious and well conditioned Memphis Grizzlies . Advantage Memphis. Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season. NBA Road teams (MEMPHIS) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 76-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.  Play on Memphis to cover |
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05-21-21 | Pirates v. Braves -180 | 1-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Braves starter Ian Anderson (RHP3-1, 3.20 ERA, 47 SO) carried a no-hit bid into the seventh inning of Saturday's start in Milwaukee. The young right-hander has held an opponent hitless through the first five innings of two of his first 15 career starts and is a very viable option to back in this spot play. ATLANTA is 22-9 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. ( T Anderson qualifies) ATLANTA is 14-2 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. The Pirates are 0-9 L/9 on the ML as a dog after they scored first lat game before trailing and coming back to win. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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05-21-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -195 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Orioles starter Jorge Lopez(RHP1-4, 6.35 ERA, 34 SO) was hit hard in his last outing, allowing five runs in two innings to the Yankees on Saturday. The right hander has completed at least five innings in just two of his seven starts this season and is fade material in his current form. BALTIMORE is 4-20 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 10-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Nationals to win |
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05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -145 | 11-3 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Red Sox starter Perez is pitching better lately, after some early season struggles, but watching his delivery has me a little alarmed at is overall health. Note: Peréz labored in a start at Philly last season, walking six and allowing five hits and four runs over five innings in a no-decision. The Phillies are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter Aaron Nola starts as a home favorite of -140 or greater when they lost in his last start which is the case here. Nola has ben his best at home this season recording a 2-0 record along with a 1.40 ERA. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 24-10 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win |
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05-21-21 | White Sox -101 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Carlos Rodon(LHP5-1, 1.47 ERA, 49 SO)After five starts and five decisive victories, Rodón lost for the first time in 2021 during his last trip to the mound Saturday against the Royals. Rodón has 49 strikeouts against 12 walks over 36 2/3 innings this season. Im now betting on a bounce back effort today. Note: Rodon is 3-0 on the road this season and has garnered a minuscule 0.56 ERA.  Meanwhile, the Yankees will trot out southpaw Montgomery a hurler my power rankings suggest the White Sox hitters matchup well against.  CHI WHITE SOX are 24-2 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.The White Sox are 10-0L/10 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 237 | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Indiana plays a one way style of hoops, and cannot adapt to what can sometimes be a grinding style play off basketball in any way shape or form. Its not an attack on them its just the way their built to run and gun, and thats what they will do. The Pacers rank 5th in pace in the league, 25th in ppg allowed and 6th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Washington ranked No.1 in pace and 30th in ppg allowed and 3rd in offensive ppg output , and run their attack in a very  similar way to the Pacers, and operate a game paln that is suited for high octane action. With that said, Im betting on both sides, to come out here and blaze a trail on the court and for this combined score to eclipse this offered number. Yes, the first game only saw 218 combined points but this game Im betting sees the Wizards attack from the beginning and for the Pacers to have to follow suit or be blown off the court. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 41-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 37-17 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. INDIANA is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-2 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. Bjorkgren is 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of INDIANA. Over is 11-1 in Wizards last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-6 in Wizards last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play OVER |
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05-20-21 | Pirates v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
 The Braves will send veteran left-hander Drew Smyly (2-2, 5.23 ERA) to the mound against Pittsburgh right-hander Wil Crowe (0-2, 4.35). both hurlers have been highly inconsistent so far this season.  Over is 21-8-2 in Pirates last 31 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Smyly. The Braves are 9-0 OVER L/9 as a favorite off a home game in which Freddie Freeman had multiple hits with a combined average 15.56 rpg scored.  ATLANTA is 20-8 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-5 OVER as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board. SNITKER is 25-11 OVER vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of ATLANTA with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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