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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -131 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
After a long lay off the Panthers looked out of sorts in game 1 of this series, and it also looked like that extended rest broke the momentum held by their s goalie Sergei Bobrovsky who was red hot in the post season despite a mediocre reg season, mimicking his teams overall performance that saw them barely squeeze into the playoffs. Note:  Bobrovsky was 24-20-3 in 49 games during the regular season, and his 3.07 GAA ranked him 27th among the 42 NHL goalies who played at least 30 games. Meanwhile,  the Knights net-minder Hill is having an amazing postseason, leading all puck stoppers with a .938 save percentage including eight quality starts in 10 games during the playoffs Vegas is now a team to be reckoned with as was evident in their 5-2 game 1 victory. Note: Florida has never won a Stanley Cup Finals game, that was their 5th straight loss in championship round. Rinse and repeat. Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Golden Knights are 19-7 in their last 26 home games. Golden Knights are 15-4 in their last 19 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game Vegas is 6-0 L/6 vs the Panthers including 3-0 SU at home. Play on Golden Knights to win |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Martin Perez has pitched his best baseball at home this season garnering. a 1. 93 ERA in 18.7 innings of work and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Cards and should once again have. a stable outing . Under is 11-4 in Cardinals last 15 inter-league road games vs. a left-handed starter like Perez.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 inter-league games.Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 road games. On the flip-side , I know former cy Young award candidate Wainwright (2-1, 6.15 ERA) has yet to complete six innings, and his ERA is nearly double his career mark of 3.41, but hes to talented not see upward momentum, and must be respected to keep the explosive Rangers bats at bay. Under is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 overall. ST LOUIS is 28-15 UNDER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored in this 33 tilts. ST LOUIS is 20-9 UNDER in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for. a 82% conversion rate. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.Under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play under |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cardinals will be facing Texas left-hander Martin Perez (6-1, 4.43) and despite of not pitching at home in over a month showed he enjoyed being on the hill at home going 3-0 along with a stingy 1.93 ERA. Im betting on home cooking being favorable to him again and for the Rangers to bring home the cash.PEREZ is 15-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)PEREZ is 21-7 against the money line in June games in his career (Team's Record) Cardinals are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League West.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.  Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright.Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright.Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 20-7 in their last 27 overall. Cardinals are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Texas. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8 | 111-108 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are still well rested , while the Heat must still be feeling some exhaustion after their grueling 7 game series, with the Celtics and than immediately leaving for the Rockies to play in the Mile High City. This is never an easy venue to play in and nothing will change tonight for a Heat side, that according to my current power rankings is over matched . Hey Im not knocking the Heat, as they are a talented hard working group, but the physical toll of play off hoops Im betting will take its toll on them vs a very fresh Denver side, that has had one game to get the rust off, and now could easily be even more explosive in game 2 of this series. MIAMI is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season. MIAMI is 0-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season.Heat are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Denver is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 in this series including 4-0 SU/ATS as hosts. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 32-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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06-04-23 | Yankees +136 v. Dodgers | 4-1 | Win | 136 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
NYY starter German is in good form so far this season, garnering a 3-3 record along with a 3.98 ERA in 10 starts. He’s struck out 53 in 54.1 innings . His 0.98 WHIP is of the top tier variety and he must be respected here in LA on a vleu line tonight .GERMAN is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167. I know Miller the young Dodgers right handed hurler, has been strong since coming up from the minors because of rotational  injuries, going 2-0 along with a  1.64 ERA in his first two MLB starts, however, Im betting regression is imminent against an explosive veteran Yankees lineup that could easily make this kid look mortal. Note: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games.Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 34-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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06-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Mets -125 | 6-4 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Jays won the first two games of this low scoring series , but Im betting their vaunted but recently struggling offense will have problems today dealing with the ghost forkball a pitch used by Mets right-hander Kodai Senga (5-3, 3.44 ERA) . The pitch has accounted for 39 of the 70 strikeouts Senga has in 10 starts this season, according to information provided by the Mets. NY METS are 36-19 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. SHOWALTER is 29-13 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 as the manager of NY METS. TORONTO is 11-18 against the money line after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.Â
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 5-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Mets to win |
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06-04-23 | Rays -115 v. Red Sox | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Rays right-hander Taj Bradley (3-2, 3.60 ERA) will start against the team he opposed in his MLB debut on April 12. He struck out eight in five innings of three-run ball, helping the Rays in their four-game series sweep and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to manifest itself here today in Fenway. Rays are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 39-15 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like BoSox Starter Houck. TAMPA BAY is 37-13 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -123 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Panthers enter this game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals with nine days off . Im betting alot of the momentum they gained during this play off run may well have worn of now , and will be hard thier star goalie Bobrovsky to get back on the flow he had during these play offs. I know Florida has won 7 of 8 road games in the play offs, but 5 of those games went to OT, and they were far from dominating . Meanwhile, Vegas is rested , but not to the extent of Florida and will more easily get into the flow of things here in game 1 on their own home ice where they garnered a 6-3 play off record and a overall 25-15-2 record this season. The key difference maker tonight will be in even man play as Vegas is  averaging 3.42 even-strength goals per 60, ranking No,1 in the post season. Also Vegas netminder, Hill has been playing some of his best hockey of the season as he owns a 5-2 record, a 1.99 GAA and a .941 save percentage in his past seven tilts. VEGAS is 12-5 ATS as a # 1 seed in the playoffs this season.FLORIDA is 13-19 ATS in non-conference games this season. Golden Knights are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. Atlantic.Golden Knights are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.Golden Knights are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Play on Vegas to win |
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06-03-23 | Yankees -115 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Yankees starter COLE is 10-0 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record)COLE is 16-3 against the money line in road games in June games in his career. (Team's Record)Cole (6-0, 2.93 ERA) has not lost a game this season in 12 starts and gets the nod again. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with M. Grove (0-1, 8.44 ERA) has been out since April 21 with a strained right groin and fade material until he can get himself back in a regular rotational groove. Note:Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter and are 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague games. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rare for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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06-03-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates +125 | 3-4 | Win | 125 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
On Saturday, St. Louis left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2-6, 4.48 ERA) and Pittsburgh right-hander Luis L. Ortiz (1-2, 4.35) are expected to start. Montgomery is tied for the team lead with five quality starts but is 0-6 with a 5.03 ERA over his past nine starts and Im betting his luck will continue to be bad here today vs a under rated Pittsburgh side off a win vs the Cards yesterday and playing at home. Cards lefty starter MONTGOMERY is 0-6  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 1-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 2-9  against the money line in the first half of the season this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 2-7  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Pirates are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 14-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. ST LOUIS is 7-12  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.MARMOL is 6-17 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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06-03-23 | Rays v. Red Sox -110 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
After an extremely fast start to their season the Rays have finally cooled off as is evident by losing 8 of their L/11 games. Im betting on that regression to continue here today in Fenway vs a Red Sox team averaging 6 rpg at home this season. It must be noted the Boston's starting pitchers have allowed four or fewer earned runs in 12 of the past 14 games . Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bos sox starter Whitlock. BOSTON is 9-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East. TAMPA BAY is 8-19 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games and are 11-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. Play on Boston to win |
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06-02-23 | Orioles +145 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 145 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
Kremer went 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in five May starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gives his team a very good chance at pulling off an underdog win here vs the Giants and their top tier starter Logan Webb tonight. Orioles starter KREMER is 8-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 9-2 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 12-2  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-22 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 43-19 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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06-02-23 | Yankees +126 v. Dodgers | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
LA dodgers starter Kershaw (6-4, 3.32 ERA) will make his fifth career start against the Yankees. He does not have a win against them despite of a 1.67 ERA over 27 innings. Im betting he does not stay in tune with his previous efforts, as this version of the Yanks batting order own a .870 OPS against Kershaw in 140 plate appearances, With the Yanks sending right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.59), to the hill for his third start of the season after a lat injury Im betting the Yanks have an edge on a value money line offering. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 26-11 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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06-02-23 | Angels +117 v. Astros | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-hander Shohei Ohtani (5-1, 2.91 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Angels on Friday. He leads the majors in opponent batting average (.155), ranks second in WHIP (0.95) and fourth in strikeouts (90) and offers value as an underdog vs a defending World Series Champion side that does not look as potent as it has in recent seasons. The Angels after a out control event yesterday, that saw Manager Nevin ejected fro arguing balls and strikes will be primed to for a bounce-back effort after losing 5-2 yesterday. Motivation factor will be key for a Halos victory. HOUSTON is 2-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Astros starter Valdez. Play on the LAA to win |
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06-02-23 | Aces v. Dream +12.5 | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-02-23 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
We have two viable pitchers starting for each team (Gray vs Wheeler), but both bullpens are substandard as is their defenses. Its also going to be a hitters environment tonight as the wind is blowing out to center field with  temps  expected in the high 80s. With that said, Im betting this is value Totals offering that needs to be taken advantage of. Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings.Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Washington. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 39-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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06-02-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates +119 | 5-7 | Win | 119 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starter CONTRERAS is 10-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CONTRERAS is 9-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 7-20 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series. Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage Pittsburgh Pirates ( play to win) |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 39 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - NBA Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 1 The Miami Heat after a dominating game 7 game win and series clincher against the Celtics  will now be in an emotional letdown spot on the road in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Im betting the combination of a playing a grueling 7 game series, and than taking a long trip from the East to the West will take its toll on the Heat here for game 1 in thin air environment that is never easy for opposing sides to play in. MIAMI is 0-10 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season. Note: In Denver 38 home games this season the average ppg diff clicks in a +10.1 . NBA Favorites (DENVER) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.are 33-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Denver is 6-0 SU /ATS L/3 seasons vs the Heat including 3-0 SU/ATS at home. Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
After a grueling 7 game series vs the Celtics the Heat will be on tired legs here and in an emotional letdown spot, that will have them unable to play a physical style of defensive ball. On the flip side the Nuggets are well rested and healthy and should come out here on fire ready to run and gun.  This combination Im betting will see this Totals offering eclipsed in more wide open game than the lines-makers are expecting. Over is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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06-01-23 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 161.5 | 89-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 196-127 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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06-01-23 | Guardians +125 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee (1-1, 2.88 ERA) on Thursday giving the Guardians a good chance of cashing here as underdogs. Bibee will be opposed by right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-3, 4.11), a hurler that my power rankings suggest the Guardians batting order matches up well against. Note: The Twins are also in an emotional letdown spot after taking 2 of 3 from the defending World Series Champs the Houston Astros. Im betting a motivated group of Guardians that are now 3.5 games behind the Twins will be primed to claw out a win here in this spot play situation. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win and are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20) (AL), after 2 straight games with no home runs are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.Guardians are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings. Play on the Guardians to win |
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06-01-23 | Rockies +157 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks will send Zach Davies (0-1, 5.68 ERA) to the hill to face the Rockies this afternoon. I know the Rockies won the first 3 games of this 4 game series but Im betting they don't get the sweep. This will be Davies 2nd start since coming of the injured list, and he still does not look 100% and is vulnerable .  In four starts vs. Colorado last year, Davies had no decisions and a 4.05 ERA and looked average at best. Also veteran Charlie Blackmon returns from a stint on the bereavement list, and should boost the Rockies sometimes doormat offense giving us an edge with a value based dog. COLORADO is 12-6 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on Colorado to win |
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06-01-23 | Brewers +176 v. Blue Jays | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Neither the Jays or the Brewers have been playing top tier baseball of late. But the one thing that stands out about the Jays sub par performances is a sudden lack of offense more often than one would expect with this type of lineup. For example in yesterdays 4-2 loss the the Brewers the Jays went 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position. With that said, Im betting on the Brewers to win this game in what is a coin flip event. The price does not match the situation or data thus giving us value with the underdog. Jays righty starter GAUSMAN is 3-8  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GAUSMAN is 1-7  against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter. MILWAUKEE is 20-7 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 inter-league road games. The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers starter Peralta. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Play on the Brewers |
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05-31-23 | Yankees +129 v. Mariners | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Yankees are up-trending in top form as is evident by their 5-0 record in their last 5 vs. American League including a 6-0 record in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Seattles starterKirby .Yankees are also 6-0 in their last 6 road games and they get the nod again vs a Seattle side that is  3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.SEATTLE is 7-12 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 39-58. L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Yankees to win |
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05-31-23 | Rays -128 v. Cubs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Steele started fast this season in top form but has regressed lately going  1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his last four trips to the hill. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Steele. Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the CHICAGO CUBS are 14-24 against the money line against right-handed starters like Eflin this season.TAMPA BAY is 35-12 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a seriesEFLIN is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.326. STEELE is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 13.48 and a WHIP of 2.247. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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05-31-23 | Rangers v. Tigers +125 | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Texas starter Dunning has pitched well this season so far but is do for regression. Note: DUNNING is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.125.DUNNING is 2-12 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 2-14 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-10 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-7 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Motown.  MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% are 25-9 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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05-30-23 | Braves -1.5 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Braves behind top tier pitcher Elder (3-0, 2.01 ERA) look like viable bets here tonight on the run-line vs a downtrodden As side. The right-hander's ERA ranks third among all qualified major league pitchers. Oakland ended an 11-game losing streak with a 7-2 victory on Monday, giving the A's just their 11th win this season and sixth at home. Im betting on them having immediate regression here today and for the Braves to be primed for a big win in redemption mode. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. Braves are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oakland.OAKLAND is 1-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with the average run per game diff clicking in at +4 which easily qualifies on this run line offering.OAKLAND is 8-41 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Play on Atlanta Braves -1.5 to win |
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05-30-23 | Yankees +135 v. Mariners | 10-2 | Win | 135 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Yankees left-hander Nestor Cortes (4-2, 5.30 ERA) is scheduled to start Tuesday against Mariners right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.60). My power rankings suggest the Yanks have the edge here. Note:Gilbert is 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. GILBERT is 2-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East. SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Yankees are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.Yankees are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Seattle. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 10 runs or more are 11-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Yankees to win |
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05-30-23 | Reds +175 v. Red Sox | 9-8 | Win | 175 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Reds are expected to start right-hander Ben Lively (2-2, 2.65 ERA) on Tuesday night . It must be noted that the Bosox are below .500 vs (Â 15-19 )against right-handed starters this season. |
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05-30-23 | Brewers +135 v. Blue Jays | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
 Jays starter Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in his past three starts. He started this season off fast but now he is fade material in his current form. KIKUCHI is 3-8  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Recor Meanwhile, the Brewers are expected to start right-hander Adrian Houser (1-0, 2.25) who according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs a Jays side that is 4-10 L/14 overall. It must be noted Houser has pitched much better against right handed hitters than southpaw batters in his career, and considering the amount of righty hitting stars in the Jays lineup that is a good omen for us backing the Brewers on value line in this matchup.  MILWAUKEE is 19-6 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 28-13 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. COUNSELL is 25-13  against the money line against AL East opponents as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLBRoad underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 26-13 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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05-30-23 | Fever +13 v. Sun | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the Fever to cover |
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05-30-23 | Sky v. Dream UNDER 161.5 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the UNDER |
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05-29-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 34 h 20 m | Show | |
The Heat took the first 3 games of this series while the Celtics have won the last 3. But the Heat finally came to life in the last 5 min of the last game, and narrowly lost 104-103. Im betting the Heats regression is now over and will give what must be an exhausted Boston side all they can handle here in game 7. Teams like Boston that were down 0-3 in a NBA play off series are 0-149 lifetime . NBA team (MIAMI) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion. .Play on Miami to cover |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 203.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
Im betting game 7 of this series will be a grueling take no prisoners physical type of event that will have both sides focused on precise mistake free hoops out of transition. That Im betting will make for a lower scoring event that does not eclipse this total.BOSTON is 10-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games following a straight up loss.NBA ( BOSTON/ MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 7th game of a playoff series is 60-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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05-29-23 | Twins +118 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 118 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
Right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Twins and gives the Twins a strong opportunity to notch a victory at a value price. He leads the majors in ERA, adjusted ERA-plus (236) and fielding independent pitching (2.02), and has yet to give up a home run in 54 1/3 innings of quality work this season. His opponent, Rookie right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.43 ERA) has looked very viable at times but according to my power rankings this is a bad matchup for him. Houston is also set for major regression today after a season-high seven home runs the  in their 10-1 road win over the Oakland Athletics on Sunday. Note: HOUSTON is 3-10 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a game they hit 4 or more home runs over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 1-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-29-23 | Twins v. Astros UNDER 8 | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Twins and gives the Twins a strong opportunity to notch another top notch effort. He leads the majors in ERA, adjusted ERA-plus (236) and fielding independent pitching (2.02), and has yet to give up a home run in 54 1/3 innings of quality work this season. His opponent, Rookie right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.43 ERA) has looked very viable at times and will also help keep this score to the low side of the offered total. Both these bullpens have also been in good form this season and deserve respect to pick up where the starters left off. Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League Central.Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 16-5 in Astros last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gray. Under is 20-8 in Astros last 28 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 home games.  MINNESOTA is 18-6 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.Under is 32-15-5 in Twins last 52 vs. American League West.Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 during game 1 of a series. Under is 11-5-2 in the last 18 meetings. Play on the under |
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05-29-23 | Rangers -158 v. Tigers | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Detroit will send left-hander Matthew Boyd to the hill vs the Rangers. Boyd (3-3, 5.74) has a win and a no-decision in his last two starts but hasn't gone deep in those games and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here vs a Rangers side that has hit lefties hard this season as is evident by averaging 7.7 rpg via a 290 BA. Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi has overpowered opposing offenses in his last five starts. Eovaldi is coming off a complete-game victory at Pittsburgh 6 days ago. He held the Pirates to one run on six hits and one walk while striking out five and throwing 104 pitches. In three of his previous four starts before the above mentioned top tier effort vs the Pirates, Eovaldi (6-2, 2.60 ERA) held his opposition scoreless and lasted at least eight innings. Overall during the five-game span , the veteran righty has allowed four runs and 22 hits while garnering 35 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings of lightning work. Advantage on the hill goes to Texas. Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. TEXAS is 21-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. Tigers are 20-41 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 51-111 in their last 162 vs. American League West. MLB team (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 29-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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05-28-23 | Phillies +230 v. Braves | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Right-hander Dylan Covey (0-0, 3.00 ERA), acquired on waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 20, will get his first start with the Phillies against Atlanta. Im betting the Braves light him up and put a heaping helping amount of runs on the board that will help us get over this total. Meanwhile, the Braves will send fire baller Strider to the hill. We love heavy fastball pitchers but he has lost his past two decisions and allowed four runs in each of his two previous starts. In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Dodgers, Strider pitched six innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits, three walks and 11 strikeouts and Im also betting the Phillies sold offense should do some damage tonight,ATLANTA is 27-16 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the board.ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 4 of a series.Over is 12-4-1 in Phillies last 17 vs. National League East.Over is 7-3-3 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.Play over |
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05-28-23 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Right-hander Dylan Covey (0-0, 3.00 ERA), acquired on waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 20, will get his first start with the Phillies against Atlanta. Im betting the Braves light him up and put a heaping helping amount of runs on the board that will help us get over this total. Meanwhile, the Braves will send fire baller Strider to the hill. We love heavy fastball pitchers but he has lost his past two decisions and allowed four runs in each of his two previous starts. In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Dodgers, Strider pitched six innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits, three walks and 11 strikeouts and Im also betting the Phillies sold offense should do some damage tonight,ATLANTA is 27-16 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the board.ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 4 of a series.Over is 12-4-1 in Phillies last 17 vs. National League East.Over is 7-3-3 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.Play over |
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05-28-23 | Reds v. Cubs -150 | 8-5 | Loss | -150 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Cincinnati starter Ashcraft is 0-3 with a 12.98 ERA in his last four outings and  0-4 with an 11.88 ERA in four career starts against the Cubs and is fade material here once again in Chicago today. Meanwhile, the Cubs will send left-hander Drew Smyly (5-1, 2.93) to the hill . The Cubs hurler, has allowed two or fewer runs in nine straight starts, posting a 2.13 ERA during that stretch and deserves respect here as a favorite. SMYLY is 31-18 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-4 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 9-24 in their last 33 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win |
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05-28-23 | Padres +140 v. Yankees | 7-10 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole (5-0, 2.53 ERA) is on a run of six straight no-decisions, since winning five of his first six trips to the hill. Of late , he has looked ordinary at best as is evident by a 4.67 ERA including allowing six HRs in 27 innings of mediocre work and as a result the NYY are being over rated today. Meanwhile, the The Padres will start Yu Darvish (3-3, 3.67), who owns a  3-1 record along with a 1.64 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees, and is a viable underdog selection that is backed by a solid bullpen and viable enough offense to find the win column. Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter like the NYY starter Cole. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres starter Darvish..Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Play on San Diego to win |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
The Celtics in their last two games are playing their best defensive basketball of the season, and Im betting they keep the pressure on tonight against a Miami Heat side that has regressed since game three of this series. Im expecting a very physical game here, as the proverbial noose gets tighter around the neck of the Heat, and with elimination at hand for the Celtics for them to be even more attentive in transition, which will combine to keep this game on the lower side this offered totals number .BOSTON is 9-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 149-94 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.Play under |
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05-27-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Heat | 104-103 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
The Heat after an amazing play off run and top tier game 3 performance in this series , looked to have hit their peak and now regression has reared its ugly head. With the Celtics now in top form the Heat are in trouble, and Im betting on at least one more meltdown here tonight by the home side in Miami against what my power rankings suggest is a superior Celtics side.Heat are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points while the Celtics own a 5-2 mark in their L/7 trips to Miami.BOSTON is 14-6 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. MIAMI is 8-21 ATS  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Play on Celtics to cover |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -131 | 4-2 | Loss | -131 | 39 h 55 m | Show | |
Dallas left everything on the ice in game 4 of this series with a 3-2 OT win to extend it to a 5th game in Las Vegas. The Stars even though they found a way to win last time out, just dont seem to have the same grit and fortitude as the Knights, and now in an emotional letdown spot, could easily regress against a very determined Knights group playing at home.  Stars are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Stars are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Golden Knights are 11-1 in their last 12 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Golden Knights are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Central. Golden Knights are 23-9 in their last 32 home games. Favorite is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Golden Knights to win |
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05-27-23 | Dodgers +116 v. Rays | 6-5 | Win | 116 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw (6-4, 2.98 ERA) takes to the mound after being away from the club a few days due to personal reasons and Im betting the veteran is now rested and fresh enough to give the Rays batting order all they can handle. KERSHAW is 4-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.846. KERSHAW is 93-34against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record). KERSHAW is 150-55 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Rays will reply with starter who Glasnow has been sidelined by injuries. Im betting he will take some time to get back to viability giving the Dodgers an edge.  Glasnow doesn't have much history facing the Dodgers. In four innings, all in relief, he has allowed six runs, leading to an bloated 13.50 ERA. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 72-24 in their last 96 during game 2 of a series. Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 8-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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05-27-23 | Pirates v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
 Pirates right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-3, 3.06 ERA) is expected to be activated from the injured list to face Seattle ace Luis Castillo (3-2, 2.97). Velasquez iw fresh but rusty after the lay off and Im betting the Mariners tag him for some offensive production early. Meanwhile , Castillo according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Pirates matchup well here, and more runs than anticipated by the pundits and lines-makers should easily help up get an over wager to cash here. PITTSBURGH is 15-4 OVER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons. Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 25-10-1 in Pirates last 36 vs. American League West. Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Velesquez. Over is 9-4 in Mariners last 13 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the over |
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05-27-23 | Padres v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Right-hander Michael Wacha (5-1, 3.58 ERA) will start Saturday for the Padres. He has allowed one run over his past four starts and is 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA in those appearances and Im betting on another strong effort today in NY. Meanwhile, the Yanks will respond with Right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.93) who will make his second start since returning from a right lat strain that cost him nearly two months to begin the season. Severino fell one out shy of qualifying for the win in Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon when he allowed one run on four hits and struck out five in 4 2/3 innings. Severino is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA in 16 career inter-league appearances (14 starts). Im expecting Severino   to be stronger here of the extended lay off. . With that said, im betting on a pitchers duel and bullpen relief that help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 interleague road games.Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. American League East.Under is 10-1 in Padres last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 8-1-1 in Padres last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 14-2-1 in Padres last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. SAN DIEGO is 15-2 UNDER\ when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 10-2 UNDER in home games after a loss this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League West. Play under |
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05-26-23 | Mets v. Rockies +200 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Scherzer has not pitched well in his career at Coors Field. In six career appearances in the Mile High city the veteran has gone 0-3 along with a bloated 6.39 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP and is fade material on a value line. Mets are 4-11 in their last 15 road games. NY METS are 1-8 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.NY METS are 3-8 against the money line in road games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.COLORADO is 61-49 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (NY METS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a sub par starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or higher ) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 13-34 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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05-26-23 | Nationals v. Royals -120 | 12-10 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
I like the Royals today as they had the day off and their bullpen should be fresh and able to support Lyles if he gets in trouble. The Royals also got to rest at home during this extended home stand and will be ready to play.  Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Washington starter CORBIN is 4-19 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Royals starter LYLES is 12-7 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter like KC starter Lyles. WASHINGTON is also 1-10 L/11 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse  Nationals are 6-13 in their last 19 inter-league games. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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05-26-23 | Padres v. Yankees +117 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Joe Musgrove (1-2, 6.75 ERA), , goes to the ill for the Padres. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yanks matchup well against him and haver an edge playing at home .Meanwhile, the Yanks will start international signee Randy Vasquez who makes his major league debut, he is being called up from the minors because of Germans suspension for using foreign material on balls. I actually betting this is more a bullpen pitching affair for the Yankees and Vasquez will be closely monitored and allowed to go til he gets in trouble. Bottom line the Padres despite of beating up on the lowly Nats in this last series, have not played consistent baseball this season and are being over rated in this tilt vs a the Yankees. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 inter-league games vs. a team with a losing record.Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Yankees are 73-35 in their last 108 home games. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.SAN DIEGO is 7-13  against the money line in May games this season. Padres are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in New York. Play on NYY to win |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
The Heat played their best game of the play offs in game 3 of this series and after an amazing run during the post season, they finally showed some regression as they suffered a down effort in game 4 losing by a DD deficit . With that said, Im betting on further regression here to the mean as the Heat begin to play down to true talent levels against a Boston side that is overall superior in talent and also in desperation mode as they look to avoid elimination and extend this series. Quote:"Yeah, everybody was in good spirits, everybody was upbeat, and as cliche as it sounds, we just tried to take it one game at a time," Tatum said. "We didn't play well the first three games, we didn't deserve to win, but we didn't want that to define us, define the season."We've still got a long uphill battle to go. But (Tuesday) was a good start. Just to try to carry this momentum toward Thursday." End quote. Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Celtics top tier D, was finally on display last time out holding the Heat to under triple digits and Im betting on more top tier defensive hoops from the Celtics in transition tonight and for the Heat to suffer further offensive regression after a top tier performance in game 3 of this series.BOSTON is 8-0 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 201.3 ppg scored.MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 100 points or less this season. with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 74-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -110 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Im betting on Dallas to find a way to extend this series to 5 games with a home win tonight in desperation mode. (Vegas won the last game 4-0 after taking two narrow 1 goals wins in the first two games of this series) Stars are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.DALLAS is 32-12 ATS off an embarrassing home loss where they were shut out since 1996. DALLAS is 20-8 ATS after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.Stars are 9-3 in their last 12 home games. Play on Dallas to win |
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05-25-23 | Padres v. Nationals +172 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
. Padres southpaw starter SNELL is 4-11  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 1-8 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 1-14 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Nationals have done their best work against lefties this season garnering 5.1 rpg via a .289 BA and deserve respect here as home underdogs in this spot play. Meanwhile, the Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Nats starting hurler Irvin. Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays -140 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Todays pitching matchup features:  Toronto's Alek Manoah (1-4, 5.15 ERA) opposite Tampa Bay's Zach Eflin (6-1, 3.45) in a duel of right-handers. Jays starter MANOAH is 9-15  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rays are 124-51 in their last 175 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Manoah and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings is fade material here vs the Rays . Rays starter EFLIN is 24-7 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Elfin has looked good this season, and shown great consistency with his breaking stuff, and deserves respect here as a favorite. Blue Jays are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League East. Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. TAMPA BAY is 22-5 against the money line in home games this seasonTAMPA BAY is 55-28 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 4 of a series. Blue Jays are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on the Rays to win |
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05-25-23 | Cardinals v. Reds +161 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
The Cardinals, have dropped two of the first three in the series and Im betting against them here again today as their starter Mikolas makes his 17th career appearance and 15th start against the Cincinnati Reds . The Cards righty hurler has just one victory in his last 12 appearances against the Reds, recording a 0-3 record along with a bloated 7.94 ERA in his last six starts in Cincinnati and is fade material here this afternoon, MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 31-16 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.( Reds Starter Weaver qualifies) CINCINNATI is 21-7 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher since 1997. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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05-24-23 | Orioles v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Tyler Wells (3-1, 2.94 ERA), who is the major league leader in WHIP (0.79) and opponents' batting average (.168, second), will start for the Orioles on Wednesday. Im betting he keeps the explosive Yankees bats at bay. Meanwhile, Nestor Cortes (4-2, 5.21 ERA) will be on the hill for the Yanks . The southpaw allowed two runs on five hits in six innings at Toronto on Thursday and is finally starting to uptrend in my power rankings after a slow start to this season. Cortes 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against Baltimore and Im betting he continues his upward momentum tonight in what will be some cool night time temps that favor the pitchers. CORTES is 19-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 24-12 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League East.Under is 8-3-2 in Orioles last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the UNDER |
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05-24-23 | Orioles v. Yankees -121 | 9-6 | Loss | -121 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Baltimore's starter. Wells is 3-0 with a 2.52 ERA in his past six starts, but has not had any luck facing the NYY as his 0-4 record along with a 4.68 ERA would indicate. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Wells. Meanwhile, Cortes the Yanks expected stater who is off a strong effort last time out for a win has momentum entering this tilt vs a Orioles side that he has had success against as is evident by a   4-0 record along with a 1.37 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts). BOONE is 106-42 against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of NY YANKEES Orioles are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in New York. Play on the NYY to win |
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05-24-23 | Marlins v. Rockies +156 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Alcantara is a top tier hurler, but this season for some reason hes giving up plenty of hard contact and alot of line drives which is never a good omen when especially here in the Coors Field launching pad. The line is just to off, according to Alcantara's current form. Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Marlins are 1-11 in their last 12 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Colorado.Play on Colorado |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -106 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The Panthers are playing their best hockey of the season, and thanks to the play of their star goaltender Bobrovsky look to be headed towards a Stanley Cup finals appearance. CAROLINA is 0-5 ATS in road games after getting shutout in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. (Panthers pulled off a 1-0 victory last time out )FLORIDA is 6-1 ATS  when leading in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons.CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons. Hurricanes are 3-13 in their last 16 Conference Finals games. Hurricanes are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Florida.Hurricanes are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CAROLINA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season are 19-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Panthers to win |
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05-24-23 | Cardinals v. Reds +146 | 3-10 | Win | 146 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Cards lefty starter MATZ is 0-6 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 8-0 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season. Cincinnati has clobbered LH pitchers this season averaging 5.3 rpg game via a .274 BA and are being under rated tonight. Cardinals are 20-41 in their last 61 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Reds Starter Lively. ST LOUIS is 3-9 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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05-24-23 | Astros v. Brewers -102 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Houser is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two career appearances, including one start, against the Astros, allowing one earned run in 6 1/3 innings. He is according to my pitcher power rankings and under rated hurler. Houser is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two career appearances, including one start, against the Astros, allowing one earned run in 6 1/3 innings and get the nod here vs a Houston side expected to be without Jose Altuve . Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Astros Bielak. Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league home games.Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Play on the Brewers to win |
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05-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies +107 | 5-6 | Win | 107 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Gallen is the superior pitcher in this matchup vs the Phillies Suarez, but the Phillies have the superior bullpen and a more explosive offense. SUAREZ is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SUAREZ is 11-6  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Â
MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phillies to win. |
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05-24-23 | Rangers v. Pirates +120 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
I cant see how the Rangers are road favs here. There is not that much of a difference in the pitching matchup according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Rangers Perez. Also the Pirates have the superior bullpen and deserve respect here as underdogs. PITTSBURGH is 23-12 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 20-40 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Rangers are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 92-76 L/5 seasons. Rangers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Pirates to win |
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05-23-23 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Heat are playing their best hoops of the season in the play offs, and their peak performance of entire play offs was last time out a they  shot a blistering 56.8 percent from the field (46 of 81) and 54.3 percent from 3-point range (19 of 35) and  now have a strangle hold on this series.A resounding and over powering 128-102 victory now has me expecting a immediate regression and for a soul searching group of the Celtics to leave everything on the floor tonight. and get us the cover. MIAMI is 0-9 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season. Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Celtics are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Celtics are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 36-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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05-23-23 | Dream +2.5 v. Lynx | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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05-23-23 | Giants v. Twins OVER 7.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Alex Cobb and Sonny Gray are average at best pitchers but have performed very well out of the gate. Based on early season performance charts the total seems right, but after delving in deeper, and highlighting these two hurlers career averages a regression looks to be inevitable. MINNESOTA is 50-30 OVER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.7 runs per game scored over that 80 game sample size. Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 6-2 in Giants last 8 interleague road games.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota. MLB team (MINNESOTA) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 30-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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05-23-23 | Mets v. Cubs +100 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Chicago has been struggling but with starter Drew Smyly (4-1, 2.86 ERA) on the hill they have a strong opportunity for success in this tilt vs the Mets. The lefty allowed a run on four hits and SO eight in six innings at Houston on Wednesday, but the Cubs choked on a 6-1 lead and eventually lost by a 7-6 count . The Cubbies southpaw, has allowed just three runs over 12 innings of his last two starts, and is 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in four career starts against the New York Mets and get the nod vs a inconsistent Mets offense. SMYLY is 33-19 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) Note: Senga the Mets starter is 1-1 along with a 7.98 ERA, with opponents batting .323 on the road this season. Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. NY METS are 1-6 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.Mets are 20-41 in the last 61 meetings in Chicago. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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05-23-23 | Cardinals v. Reds +130 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Veteran hurler Adam Wainwright no longer seems imposing and very much looks to be on the downside of his career, as his velocity has dropped significantly. With that said, my pitcher vs betting order power rankings also suggest we have an edge . Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.ST LOUIS is 11-21 against the money line in night games this season. Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series. Cincinnati Reds to win |
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05-23-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 20-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
These offenses are explosive to say the least . When looking at the pitching matchup of Berrios and Bradley some powerful trends pop up. BERRIOS is 9-0 OVER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. BERRIOS is 16-4 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. It must also be noted Berrios owns divergent numbers at home (3.74 xFIP) and road (4.58 xFIP) during his career, and once again is vulnerable in the Rays backyard where they have 5.8 rpg this season. Meanwhile, Bradley the Rays starter has not pitched all that well at home this season where he has garnered a 5.40 ERA and against a Blue Jays side that averages 4.8 rpg on the road this season looks like cannon fodder for a strong offense. Over is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradley. Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on the over |
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05-23-23 | Rangers -154 v. Pirates | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rangers lost to the Pirates yesterday, but have proven resilient in the past as is evident by going  5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter like Hill and matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: The Rangers own a top-three offense against both righties and southpaws this season. Meanwhile, Pirates are 26-59 in their last 85 interleague games and are 17-39 in their last 56 during game 2 of a series. The Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Eovaldi who owns a 5-2 recored on the season including a solid .283 ERA and a 3-1 record and a stingy 1.83 ERA on the road. Everything points to a conclusive Rangers win in game 2 of this series. MLB team (TEXAS) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent NL starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games are 26-8 L/seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Rangers to win |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers are now 1 loss away from losing this series and suffering a sweep at the hands of the Denver Nuggets. Now in desperation mode Im betting on a hugely aggressive effort from the senior laden Lakers, that will see them leave everything on the floor . As has been evident of late, the Nuggets just wont go away and give this game to the Lakers, but instead fire back with offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that Im betting eclipses this total.Â
DENVER is 48-33 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games.Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 Conference Finals games. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 85-43 OVER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 33-16-2 in the last 51 meetings.Over is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings in Los Angeles. Play over |
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05-22-23 | Dodgers +140 v. Braves | 8-6 | Win | 140 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
The Braves sill have some issues Im betting against rookie Gavin Stone, who will make his second MLB start after an impressive spring including Triple-A action. It must be noted that Gavin Stone garnered 24 swinging strikes while generating a season high 10 strikeouts for OKC. With a fastball that averaged 94.4 - t96.3 Braves hitters could end up taking time to figure this kid out. Meanwhile the LA DODGERS are 28-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Morton whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons .MORTON is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.396. Advantage Dodgers on the money-line Dodgers are 60-24 in their last 84 during game 1 of a series. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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05-22-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays -107 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Rays are 27-12 in their last 39 games vs. a right-handed starter like Jays starter Bassitt. Rays are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 39-12 in their last 51 home games.Rays are 23-8 in their last 31 during game 1 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 15-2  against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game this season. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rays Kelley.Blue Jays are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games on astroturf. TORONTO is 0-6 (against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Blue Jays are 18-37 in the last 55 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 17-42 L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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05-22-23 | Rangers v. Pirates +120 | 4-6 | Win | 120 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Ortiz has not looked great from a data standpoint early on this season, but this young Pirates starter has above average stuff, and must be respected here on a value line. Meanwhile, the Rangers Dunning is a capable mid rotation pitcher, but not at this level of favoritism, making the Pirates a viable underdog. DUNNING is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-14 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 2-13 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like Ortiz.Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 inter-league road games. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. Pittsburgh Pirates to win |
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05-21-23 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Celtics felt the effect of their grueling 7 game series vs the Sixers in the previous play off round, and looked a little tired against a Miami Heat side that is currently playing their best hoops of the season. The talented and deep Celtics subsequently lost the first two games of this series at home, and are now in desperation mode making them a dangerous opponent for the Heat. Note: BOSTON is 12-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 9-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Celtics are 38-17-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record NBA team (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 48-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.Play on Boston to cover |
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05-21-23 | Guardians v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
A pair of former Cy Young Award winners go to the hill tonight as the Guardians' Shane Bieber (3-2, 3.20 ERA) and the Mets' Justin Verlander (1-2, 4.76 ERA) do battle. Both hurlers have looked average at best, making this number offered by the books vulnerable .With the Cleveland bullpen struggling of late and the Mets bullpen having struggled for most of this season, it will be an easy decision to take an over stance .  My projections make this total closer to 8 giving us value on the over cashing.Over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings. Play on the over |
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05-21-23 | Sky v. Mercury -3 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My WNBA basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating back over 27 years) In other words no stone is left unturned. WNBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are 10-24 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Mercury |
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05-21-23 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
 Cubs starter Justin Steele after a fast start to his season is finally starting look human. Steele in his last  outing allowed a season-high five runs on four in the fourth inning -- and five hits in barely getting through six innings of Chicago's 7-3 loss at Houston on Tuesday. Today against the sometimes explosive bats of the Phillies Im betting Steel will be humbled again. Thanks to Chicagos 4.9 rpg game offensive output on the road this season, Im also betting the Cubbies dont go down without a fight in a game I have pegged as an over result. Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia. Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.Over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 games following a loss.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 3 of a series.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 road games.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. .Over is 11-1 in Cubs last 12 overall. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PHILADELPHIA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 48-15 OVER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.Play over |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Down 2-0 the senior laden Lakers have their backs against the proverbial wall and now need a win desperately and Im betting will now play all out hoops at home where they are undefeated in the this seasons play offs. Denver is a fine team but when experienced super star ballers like James and Davis feel cornered look out. LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.LA LAKERS are 10-1 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Coming off a loss during this campaign, the Lakers are 28-16 ATS and 5-0 in the playoffs. Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. DENVER is 4-13 ATS ( in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.DENVER is 11-23 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games. Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 222.5 | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Because the Lakers are backed into the proverbial corner after going down 2-0 in this series Im betting they come here in aggressive run and gun fashion and the Nuggets will have no choice but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. Advantage to the over. Note: LA LAKERS in their L/36 games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 33-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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05-20-23 | Emily Ducote +130 v. Lupita Godinez | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
05-20-23 | Viacheslav Borshchev -156 v. Vanessa Melo | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
05-20-23 | Vanessa Demopoulos v. Karolina Kowalkiewicz -130 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
05-20-23 | Tigers +102 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The Tigers won the opener 8-6 on Friday night and once again look like viable bets with momentum on their sides and now going against a very inconsistent Nats hurler Left-hander Patrick Corbin (2-5, 4.65 ERA) . He had a good outing last time out, but has shown very little ability to stay hot for very long over the last few seasons and is fade material in this spot play opportunity.  Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Motowns starter Faedo. Nationals are 4-18 in their last 22 interleague home games.Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. .DETROIT is 6-1 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. DETROIT is 11-3 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Tigers have won 3 of their L/4 games. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win |
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05-20-23 | Tigers v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
 Based on my power rankings projections this total should be closer to 10 thus giving us value with an over wager. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter like the Nats Corbin. Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 inter-league games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 inter-league road games.Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 inter-league games.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.DETROIT is 12-2 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season.Over is 21-8-3 in Tigers last 32 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 inter-league home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-3 in Nationals last 11 vs. American League Central. Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington. Play over |
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05-20-23 | Rockies +180 v. Rangers | 5-11 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Colorados starter FREELAND is 26-13 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings. When hes running hot the Rockies are viable bets . To much value to pass up on here in this spot play. In three career starts vs. the Rangers, Freeland is 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA. I know Texas starter Texas starter Jon Gray (3-1, 3.15 ERA) has pitched well , but the Rockies batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings match up well here. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 26-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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05-20-23 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 9 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
After missing nearly three weeks, Taillon has thrown a combined 10 1/3 innings over his past three starts, recording a 9.58 ERA and once again looks to be cannon fodder for the Phillies sometimes explosive bats.  Taillon has made five career starts against the Phillies, garnering a 1-2 record along with a bloated 6.86 ERA. Meanwhile, Aaron Nola (3-3, 4.53 ERA) is scheduled to take to the hill for the Phillies. Nola is 4-2 with a 4.74 ERA in seven starts in his career against the Cubs.NOLA is 19-6 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Everything points to this total being eclipsed. Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 road games.Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 10-1 in Cubs last 11 overall. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0 OVER in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 10 games are 35-10 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. Play over |
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05-20-23 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates -134 | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Keller (5-1, 2.38 ERA) will face Diamondbacks rookie right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-1, 8.59) on Saturday. ARIZONA is 12-46 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons like the Pirates Keller.  Pirates starter Keller in his L/3 starts has garnered a minuscule 0.43 ERA and 0.714 WHIP. Keller has already matched his win total from last season. He has not given up a home run over his past five starts. He is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA in four home outings.and gets the nod here. PITTSBURGH is 10-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 38-75 L/6 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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05-20-23 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Jays starting right-hander Alek Manoah (1-4, 5.40 ERA) is winless in his past seven starts, and has garnered a bloated 7.98 ERA in three starts this month. Meanwhile, Baltimore sends right-hander Grayson Rodriguez (2-1, 6.57 ERA) to the hill to start against the Blue Jays . He is 1-1 and has recorded a ugly 11.37 ERA this month. Everything points to these sometimes explosive offenses teeing off today and for this total to be eclipsed. Over is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Orioles starter Rodriguez. Over is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 vs. American League East. Over is 33-16-7 in the last 56 meetings.Over is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.Over is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 road games.Over is 12-4-1 in Orioles last 17 on astroturf. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, in May games are 38-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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05-19-23 | Marlins v. Giants -110 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
Miami starter Alcantara reigning NL Cy Young Award winner has yet to win on the road this season, going 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA. With the Giants,, offense in high gear as was evident during a three-game home sweep over the Philadelphia Phillies to start the week, totaling 17 runs in the victories Im betting that momentum carries on into this tilt against the Marlins. This is also an interesting anomaly or trend:  ALCANTARA is 1-12  against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Giants  offense ranks top 7 against righties like Alcantara. SFO starter DESCLAFANI is 22-9  against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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05-19-23 | Red Sox +134 v. Padres | 6-1 | Win | 134 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Red Sox starter Paxton is throwing heaters at a very high velocity right now ( 96.3 mpg on average) which is his highest since 2019. Whatever he is doing- the veteran is successfully turning back the clock and must be respected here on the road as an underdog. Note: Paxton in three career starts against the Padres, owns a 1-1 record along with a 1.98 ERA, a 1.527 WHIP and a .241 opponents' batting average. Padres starter SNELL is 1-7 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 1-13 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record key trend:The Padres are struggling to hit in the clutch, possessing a majors-worst .196 average with runners in scoring position, while the Red Sox's .294 average in those situations ranks second behind the Texas Rangers' .331 mark. SAN DIEGO is 0-8 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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05-19-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
All three games played between these Western conference rivals stayed under the total this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. Im betting on more tough defensive hockey here tonight in the series opener. VEGAS is 6-0 UNDER off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival this season with a combined average of 3.8 gpg scored. (Vegas wrapped up their series vs the Oilers last time out with a 5-2 victory).VEGAS is 10-1 UNDER (+9.2 Units) in the conference finals (lifetime) with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. DALLAS is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.-3 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (VEGAS) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win are 302-215 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-105 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
In the first game of this series, the well rested Heat took advantage of a emotionally drained Boston team that had previously took part in a grueling 7 game seres . Now a fire has been lit under the proverbial butts of the Celtics and now more rested and rejuvenated mentally Im betting on a big bounce back zig zag theory win and over. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.  NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 5-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-19-23 | Royals +118 v. White Sox | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Veteran right-hander Zack Greinke (1-4, 5.01), is coming of a strong outing last time out ,as he allowed two runs on three hits in five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers last Saturday, striking out five without issuing a walk. He actually looked close to the pitcher who was hard to beat in his prime and gets my backing here on a value line. Meanwhile, Kopech is preparing to make his first start against Kansas City this season after going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three trips to the hill against them last season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here. Pale Hose staeter KOPECH is 0-6  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 9-21 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 2 straight one run wins are 38-17 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals to win |
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05-19-23 | Mariners +154 v. Braves | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Seattles starter Bryce Miller is absolute fire. His fastball is of the top tier variety and Im betting the Braves will have a hard time catching up with the flame throwers over powering stuff. He has the lowest WHIP (0.421) in any pitcher's first three career starts in MLB history. I know Elder has looked really good for the Braves, but this line according to my projections offers great value as the pitching matchup is being undervalued in relation to the dog. SEATTLE is 41-32 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.SEATTLE is 94-68 ( against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.SEATTLE is 12-2 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. Play on Seattle to win |
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05-19-23 | Guardians +135 v. Mets | 9-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Mets right-hander Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 8.56 ERA), is expected to come off the injured list to pitch against his former team for the first time. The veteran hurler  hasn't pitched for New York since April 15 due to right elbow inflammation and Im betting his rust despite of some minor league rehab will not help his situation. Note:Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter like Carrasco.Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 inter-league road games.Guardians are 25-9 in their last 34 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Mets did get a win yesterday bit that has not been a omen for success so far this season as is evident by a 1-7 record in their last 8 games following a victory. QUANTRILL is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 7-1against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 11-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons NY METS are 3-9 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season MLB team (NY METS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are just 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The senior laden Lakers were off playing a grueling series against the Golden State Warriors previous to the the first game of this series and came out flat in the first half. In that game 1 tilt here in the Mile High City the Lakers tried to comeback from a DD deficit at half time but failed on the comeback attempt despite of a huge effort that Im betting will have them very tired here . James and Davis are great players but their durability must be questioned at this stage of their career, making the exhausted Lakers fade material in game 2 of this series. Denver has won all their post season games this season at home and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation as well as an all important cover .
DENVER is 16-7 ATS in home games off a home win this season.  NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 32-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The Nuggets came out of gate in game 1 running and gunning , but looked a little weary in the 2nd half of that tilt with the pace dropping perceptively and the Lakers adjusting on defense.  Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in Lakers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-3-1 in Nuggets last 15 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 43-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA play off Game 2’s after a Game 1 over result , have seen the under go 41-26 for a 70% conversion rate for bettors in the last five seasons. Play under |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Florida has gone under this total in four consecutive trips to the ice as they come off a low-scoring series against the Toronto Maple Leafs. In that series, the Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrovsky  stopped 164 of 174 shots for a .943 save percentage and Im betting he remains hot here tonight in Carolina. Meanwhile, Carolina has also played top tier D in this season play offs , allowing the second-fewest goals per game (2.55) in the post season which was a continuation of a top tier defensive effort during the regular season where they garnered a stingy 2.56 GAA. It must also be noted that Goalie Frederik Andersen has been in top form for the Hurricanes garnering a .931 SVP in his last 5 appearances. CAROLINA is 30-18 UNDER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA is 18-6 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season. These teams played under this total in2 of 3 meetings this season and Im betting on a risne repeat situation tonight. Play on the under |
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