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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-30-19 | Rockets +5.5 v. Warriors | 109-115 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 The Rockets are one of the few teams in the NBA that matchup well against the Warriors.The Dubs squeezed past Houston in game 1 , but game 2 Im betting will see the Rockets be in a position to pull off an upset and more importantly cover the number for the 2nd straight time. Note: Golden State has failed to cover 11 of their L/18 ATS this season in that next home game, after a win failing to cover the spread by 6.9 points per game Golden St is 0-8 ATS L/8 at home off a tilt in which Steph Curry was not their high scorer,(which was the case in game 1) falling to over by an average of 19.38 ppg. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche -118 | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
Western Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 It took them more than four periods into the series but the Avalanche started clicking consistently while controlling huge chunks of play as the second period wore on in Game 2. As soon as the Avalanche got on the scoreboard with Gabriel Landeskog's goal to make it 1-1 in the second period in Game 2, they started to out skate the Sharks the ice and the line of Nathan MacKinnon, Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen dominated  for long stretches as San Joses vulnerable defense looked like they were panic mode. It was the kind of push the Calgary Flames weren't able to handle in the first round, five-game loss to the Avalanche and the Sharks Im betting wont be able to handle it here tonight. Sharks are 2-5 in their last 7 road games. Sharks are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Home team is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings. Favorite is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the ML |
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04-30-19 | Yankees v. Diamondbacks -130 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
 C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R) The Yankees have won 11 of 13 since sweeping a two-game series from Boston on April 16-17 and have won four straight series. Arizona has won 10 of 14. However, I like the home team here today behind their starter Greinke who has made five straight quality starts, winning four, and has 13 scoreless innings in his last two games. GREINKE is 15-4 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 11-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. NY YANKEES are 1-11 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are just 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win on the ML MLB team (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 11-36 for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks -7 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics came in and upset the Bucks in game 1 of this series. It was in some ways surprising . In the past in the play offs the the Celtics were just 12-17 ATS as dog in their L/30 games as compared to being 19-3 ATS as a post season favorite. Both were rested for game 1 and both look similar to each other in some ways, but Im betting the difference maker in game 2 will be the Greek Freak Giannis Antetokounmpo. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season and is  18-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 On Sunday, the Celtics opened the series by cruising to a 112-90 victory, mostly because of how they defended Antetokounmpo Im betting they wont be able to keep the Greek Freak down in two games in a row, in a game Im betting will be played faster and the Bucks chosen pace. The Bucks own the no.1 offence and the 2nd fast pace in the league and they will be ready to run and gun tonight. The Celtics will be forced into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 30-9 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-30-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R Washington right-hander Anibal Sanchez (0-3, 6.00 ERA), has struggled this season, and it must be noted that current St. Louis hitters are 21-for-72 (.292) with four homers against Sanchez and he could find himself struggling again today.The Cardinals have won nine of 11 and exploded Monday for six runs in the top of the fifth against Corbin and won 6-3 and could get us over the total here all by themselves or at least get us close enough for Washington to do enough offensive damage of their own to help us over the proverbial fence here. ST LOUIS in their L/33 games against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.Over is 11-3-1 in Cardinals last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-4 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2-1 in Cardinals last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1-1 in Wainwrights last 6 Tuesday starts.Over is 12-3-2 in Wainwrights last 17 starts vs. National League East.Over is 6-2-1 in Wainwrights last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-1-3 in Wainwrights last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 14-5-1 in Wainwrights last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 13-5-2 in Wainwrights last 20 road starts. Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 Tuesday games.Over is 12-3-1 in Nationals last 16 games following a loss.Over is 18-6 in Nationals last 24 during game 2 of a series.Over is 19-7-1 in Nationals last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 20-8-1 in Nationals last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 35-15-2 in Nationals last 52 home games.Over is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. National League Central. Over is 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Nationals.Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-0-1 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. Nationals.Over is 15-6-5 in the last 26 meetings. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse ) (NL), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 58-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.Play OVER |
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04-29-19 | Orioles v. White Sox -135 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Orioles LH John Means (3-2, 1.74 ERA) vs. White Sox LH Manny Banuelos (1-0, 2.51) Banuelos gets a second starting opportunity after performing very well in spot duty in Baltimore, working four scoreless innings. He threw 71 pitches in that one. Prior, he had allowed two runs over 9 1/3 innings in three long relief appearances and he gets my support here in this spot. Orioles are 10-43 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter like Banuelos. White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.BALTIMORE is 2-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 15-53 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 220 | 94-89 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - TOR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series between the Raptors and their guests the 76ers was played at a very fast pace, but as it became obvious in the 4th quarter that the Sixers had no chance of winning the game slowed down to a crawl and both teams combined for just 30 points in the final end. In game one of this series the Raptors were in full flight with fast breaks the norm, while Philadelphia seems tentative and sat back for the most part . This time around I expect the Sixers to come out here flying , and for the Raptors to easily reciprocate in a game I have pegged to bounce over the total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 38-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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04-28-19 | Yankees -117 v. Giants | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Domingo German (4-1, 1.75 ERA) vs. Giants RH Dereck Rodriguez (3-2, 3.54)  Yankees right-hander Domingo German (4-1, 1.75 ERA) and Giants righty Dereck Rodriguez (3-2, 3.54) will warm up for the series finale.The Yankees are 8-4 on the road this season, outscoring opponents 76-60 while hitting 25 home runs and have the edge again and look like . viable bets to complete a 3 game sweep of the Giants despite of the their injury woes. NY YANKEES are 26-9 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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04-28-19 | Rockets +6.5 v. Warriors | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 My own projections and matchup stats suggest the Rockets matchup better than most teams in the west vs the defending NBA champion Dubs. Including the regular season and playoffs meetings, the Rockets are 8-6 SU against the Warriors over the last couple of seasons. After coming close to knocking off the champs in last year's Conference Finals, the Rockets will get their shot at redemption and will be primed to perform. HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on Houston Rockets to cover |
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04-28-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - CAR Leads 1-0 The first game in this series featured top tier defensive work from both teams in top quality goaltending as the Canes won 1-0 in OT, and nothing will change here in game 2. Under is 5-1-3 in Hurricanes last 9 Conference Semifinals games. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-28-19 | Tigers -121 v. White Sox | 1-4 | Loss | -121 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R Boyd (2-1, 3.16 ERA) won his latest start, holding the Boston Red Sox to three runs on three hits in seven innings on Tuesday and matches up well vs the Red Sox lineup. He credits attacking and finding the strike zone early as keys to his success and gets my support here. DETROIT is 11-6 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 8-26 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (DETROIT) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 42-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or less) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 35-13 for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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04-28-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The last time these teams played back in February the Bucks came out of that game with a 98-97 win, here in Milwaukee. This Sunday afternoon Im expecting another hard fought game, in a tilt between combatants that know each other very well. The Bucks have won 5 of the L/7 here straight up but the Celtics have cashed ATS in 5 of those games and Im recommending we take the points again in this spot.  Im betting on the Celtics to implement small ball game plan here with Horford vs Lopez at the center of the attention which will be key to aggravating the Bucks flow. Also with Malcolm Brogdon out for Milwaukee there is definitely room here and value with getting points with the Celtics. MILWAUKEE is 11-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 19-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 15-7 ATS against Central division opponents this season. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-28-19 | Rays +139 v. Red Sox | 5-2 | Win | 139 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
 Rays RH Tyler Glasnow (4-0, 1.53 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (0-4, 7.43) Glasnow's breakout has been a big reason why the Rays are off to one of the best starts in baseball. He has 29 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, BoSox starter Chris Sale despite of looking decent in his last start, delivering 5 innings of work still does not have a win this season, as he owns a 0-4 record along with a bloated 7.43 ERA. The star hurler just does not look himself yet and until he turns the corner is fade material. SALE is 0-5 ( against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 2-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.BOSTON is 3-9 against the money line in day games this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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04-28-19 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
 Glasnow's breakout has been a big reason why the Rays are off to one of the best starts in baseball. He has 29 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings of work and is extremely reliable. Meanwhile, Sale the BoSoxs southpaw starter, showed  some progress last time out in what was arguably his best start of the year, as he struck out 10 and allowed two runs over five innings against the Tigers. Sale's goal against Tampa Bay will be to pitch deep into a game for the first time this season and Im betting he does that. These teams took part in a 2-1 game yesterday with TB winning and similar type score is a high probability again. Note: TAMPA BAY is 20-6 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a left-handed starterUnder is 18-7-1 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 33-16-3 in Rays last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 10-3-2 in Glasnows last 15 starts overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Glasnows last 5 starts on grass.Under is 3-1-1 in Glasnows last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Glasnows last 8 starts vs. American League East.Under is 5-2-1 in Glasnows last 8 road starts. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 86-90 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I just don't like the flow the Spurs at this point of the season. The Spurs shooting on the whole looks horrendous for the most part and Im also not impressed with their rebounding. The Spurs have not played well away from home all season long, garnering just 17 wins in 44 games, and have already lost 2 of the 3 games here in the Mile High City in this series. After watching the Spurs flail away in the first half of the last game before their desperation and home town fans buoyed them to a win in game 6 , with a 2nd half surge, it became obvious to me the more talented team behind key technical players like Nikola Jokic make this young Denver team a bad matchup for the Spurs. With that said, Im backing the Nuggets to deliver the cash on a cover here in game 7 and advance. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.DENVER is 25-16 ATS as a home favorite this season. SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 11-21 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season.SAN ANTONIO is 16-29 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons Spurs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The inexperienced Nuggets must be a little nervous here as they play a game 7, and could easily start conservatively as they make sure not to make mistakes. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a big time offensive performance and conversion rate, and Im betting they naturally regress here today. That combination Im betting should help keep this game on the low side of the total. Note: DENVER is 38-17 UNDER L/55 in home games after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher with a combined average of 197.2 ppg. Popovich is 33-19 UNDER in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average score 189 .4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 223.5 | 95-108 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1 There is a huge amount of offensive talent on the court here today for both teams. The Raptors average 114.4 ppg, while the Sixers have averaged 115.2 ppg. Im betting both teams come at each other and for this game 1 to feature some offensive fireworks. Raptors: 119.0 ORtg | 58.9% eFG | 92.9 DRtg | 43.8% eFG allowed 76ers: 123.3 ORtg | 57.7% eFG | 101.1 DRtg | 46.3% eFG allowed. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA/TORONTO) - in the second round of the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 36-10 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-27-19 | Rays v. Red Sox -133 | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L) Price Bostons starting lefty held his own in last weekend's start at Tropicana Field, holding the Rays to five hits and two runs over five innings while notching 10 strikeouts and here at home Im betting he will even be better and gets my support as chalkvs a team that has lost 5 of their L/7 games. PRICE is 18-5 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) . (Team's Record) PRICE is 21-5 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Red Sox are 9-0 on the ML in franchise history with David Price at home when he averaged at least 4.20 pitches per batter in his last start. The Red Sox are 26-0 on the ML L/26 opportunities as a 130-plus favorite off a game as a favorite of 250 or less in which they scored first, trailed, and won and it is before the All-Star break. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 32-79 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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04-26-19 | Yankees -122 v. Giants | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Yankees LH James Paxton (2-2, 3.10 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-3, 3.66) Yankees starter Paxton is in top form has been brilliant in successive starts, recording 12 strikeouts without allowing a run against both the Red Sox and Royals. Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter has also pitched decently, but whats troubling is his teams lack of run support for him, as he has received just 10 total runs of support in 6 starts. Im betting things wont get much better for him here tonight. Yanks are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Giants are 0-6 in Bumgarners last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning recordGiants are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a combined score of 4 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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04-26-19 | Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
 Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 The Warriors are the defending NBA champs and have a core of veteran players that know how to win big games and championships. I know the Warriors have looked lazy as they took the Clippers for granted especially in game 5. But now wide awake and not wanting a game 7 look for this super star Dubs team to shine through and get the win and more importantly as far as we are concerned the cover . The key and difference maker int his game Im betting comes behind Greens defensive prowess around the rim. Golden State has won 7 of their L/8 visits to the Staples Center vs the Clippers and get the nod again. This is the biggest spread put on a NBA road play off game in at least 14 seasons, but the Warriors despite of showing chinks in their armour are still capable of covering this number , and the linesmakers and smart money know it. In the last 14 seasons, double-digit underdogs in the NBA playoffs are 10-107 straight up.  GOLDEN STATE is 29-13 ATS in the first round of the playoffs since 1996. Play on Golden St to cover |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - GSW Leads 3-2 I betting the Clippers will be a little fatigued here tonight, as they have played extremely hard in this series , and after going off in their last game a regression is expected by me, vs an under rated Golden State defence. That equals out to what I project will be a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. In the last 14 seasons , the under is 96-66 UNDER in Game 6 and 7s , for a almost 60% conversion rate for bettors. GOLDEN STATE in their L/23 games after allowing 120 points or more this season have seen a combined average score of 223.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Rivers is 14-4 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a above average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 68-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-26-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -130 | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Carolina Canes are off an exhausting 7 game series vs the Washington Capitals that saw game 7 go into OT on Wednesday night winning the series and game by a 4-3 count. Note: CAROLINA is 1-11 ATS off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival over the last 3 season. The Canes now completely wiped and on short rest, I expect the well rested Islanders despite of being rusty having the edge here at home, behind their top tier defence and under rated offence ie Matt Barzal. CAROLINA is 0-11 ATS in road games against excellent defensive teams - allowing 2.4 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 40-29 ATS against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 ATS off a road win against a division rival this season. Play on the NY Islanders to win on the ML |
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04-25-19 | Yankees -110 v. Angels | 5-11 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R) Tanaka bounced back from a loss to pitch seven strong innings of one-run ball vs the Royals in his last trip to the hill and has lasted into the sixth inning in four of his five efforts and looks to be getting stronger . Meanwhile, Cahill his Angels pitching opponent , has some troubling numbers, that indicate teams are seeing the ball well against him. Note: Cahill gave up only eight homers in 110 innings last year but has already equalled that total in 26 1/3 innings this year. The Yankees despite of being banged up have enough talent in their offensive lineup to really put a deep ball hurt on Cahill and the Halos, making them my choice here on the ML. LA ANGELS are 0-9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 23-9 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. TANAKA is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.958 and his team has won all 6 of his career starts vs the Halos. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -2.5 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 Denver looked good last time out, but this Spurs team has for some reason, struggled on the road this season, so I was not completely surprised when they lost the key game 5 in the Mile High City. The Spurs are 33-10 SU home this season and have an edge here on their own floor against almost anyone in this league. When the going gets tough having a guy like Popvich in your corner is a good thing . Note: The Spurs behind Popovich are bankroll expanding 30-17-2 ATS in Games 5-7. SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on San Antonio to cover . |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 207.5 | 103-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2  This series is getting more physical, and both sides are figuring the other sides schemes out. Last time out we saw a lower scoring affair, and Im betting nothing changes here tonight, especially considering the Spurs have to fight for their playoff lives to force a deciding seventh game in Denver on Saturday. In the last 14 seasons , betting the under in Game 6 and 7 of a playoff series has gone 96-65 UNDER for a just under 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 99-57 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-25-19 | Indians +141 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 141 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R) Houstons starter tonight Cole, finished fifth in the 2018 American League Cy Young Award voting with an 15-5 record and 2.88 ERA, is off to just a 1-3 start with a 5.22 ERA this season. Thanks to his reputation and that of his teammates he is still listed a hefty favorite despite of going against a top tier hurler in the Tribes Trevor Bauer.Bauer (2-1, 2.20), and finished sixth in last year's Cy Young voting behind Cole, is a perfect 7-0 with a 3.18 ERA in eight career starts against the Astros and gets my support here tonight on a value line. HINCH is 6-15 against the money line vs. struggling power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of HOUSTON . Play on Cleveland to win on the ML |
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04-25-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Play UNDERÂ |
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04-24-19 | Jazz +8 v. Rockets | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - HOU Leads 3-1 Harden and the Houston Rockets are not an easy team to play against, but Utah as time has gone in this series, look to be catching on to ways to slow this behemoth side down. In game 3 they were the better team , and they still lost, but in game 4 they dominated and won . In the L/2 meetings of this series the Rockets have been held to a 35.2 % FG conversion rate, and in game 4 the Rockets were held to a 97.8 offensive rating as the Jazz owned the Rockets in the paint while allowing them to convert just 47.6% around the rim. Here in game 5, I don't think the Jazz can do as much damage as last time, but their toughness and resiliency make them a viable side investment option at this number The public loves the Rockets and with all the money coming in on them you think the line would go the other way, but the books have chopped a half point off the opener knowing that contrarian market moves have been coming in this tilt. I like our edge here, and recommend we take the points with a side fighting for its play off lives. D'Antoni is 18-35 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Utah Jazz to cover |
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04-24-19 | Dodgers -113 v. Cubs | 6-7 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (2-0, 5.40 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Cole Hamels (3-0, 2.77) Dodgers lost last night to the Cubs, but Im betting they bounce back here in this spot and make it 10 wins in 12 games . Buehler had eight strikeouts while limiting Cincinnati to an unearned run and three hits over 6 1/3 innings on Wednesday and gets my support. Look for a LA offence that  averages a National League-best 5.52 runs per game to buoy their pitcher and deliver the cash to us . HAMELS the Phillies starter is 23-31 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 20-50 L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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04-24-19 | Hurricanes +145 v. Capitals | 4-3 | Win | 145 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 The public is assuming that in a game 7 at home the defending Stanley Cup champion Washington Capitals have an edge. However,, it must be noted the Canes won a 60.3% shot share in this series and a 58% high danger zone edge and have been one the leagues top 5 vs 5 teams in the NHL all season long. I know the Capitals have a game changer in Ovechkin, but the team as a whole just don't look as cohesive as last season, and with no Barry Trottz behind the bench, and key cog TJ Oshie out the Caps are simply just not as dangerous, and susceptible to being upset here by a side that I feel is every bit as good as the Caps. To simply put it there is just enough value for us to pull he trigger . WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS in home games when attempting to close out a playoff series since 1996. Play on the Carolina Canes to win on the ML |
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04-24-19 | Diamondbacks +110 v. Pirates | 11-2 | Win | 110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. JORDAN LYLES (R) LYLES the Pirates starter is 13-41 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record) LYLES is 2-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.762. The DBacks  have faired well here in Pittsburgh over the last few seasons winning 7 of their 8 games, and get my support again on a value line.  ARIZONA is 30-17 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons ARIZONA is 24-13 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB  favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are  12-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win on the ML |
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04-24-19 | White Sox v. Orioles -115 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JOHN MEANS (L) The struggling Orioles smashed the White Sox 9-1 last night and have an edge tonight vs a team that is just as bad as themselves. "Means is going to make a lot of starts," Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said of the 25-year-old rookie. "It's something we're going to play with because I do like John in the rotation. He's pitching really well and deserves to stay in the rotation." Means pitched well in his last start, permitting one run on four hits in five innings of a 4-0 setback at Boston on April 14. White Sox are 5-11 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. White Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. White Sox are 17-42 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. White Sox are 6-18 in their last 24 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Home team is 7-1 in Fairchilds last 8 games behind home plate vs. ChicagoHome team is 22-6 in Fairchilds last 28 games behind home plate vs. Baltimore. White Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 games with Fairchild behind home plate. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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04-23-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -3 | 115-118 | Push | 0 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
The Thunder showed flashes of brilliance earlier this season, and even before the play offs started I looked at them as a possible dark horse contender. But in never ending chase for value and a readjustment on my estimated market price attached to them, I changed my opinion. The Thunder continue to struggle with their shooting , and they just dont look like they have an answer for McCollum and and Lillard and with Paul George struggling with nagging injuries and his lack flow for long periods of time, it very much looks like their party is over. I know the public loves the Thunder, but there comes a time when illusion transgresses back into reality. PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-15 ATS after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 138-37 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with a point differential of 7.9 ppg clicking in! NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 55-12 L/22 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 8.8 ppg whihc qualifies as value on this spread. Portland to cover |
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Game 7 , is a do or die for both teams. Neither one of these sides will be wanting to make mistakes, and will play this game in transition. After studying their game plan techniques , it makes sense for me to recommend an under wager here. SAN JOSE is 17-6 UNDER when facing elimination in a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -110 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 Hertl guaranteed that the Sharks would force a deciding Game 7 and then he ensured it would happen by scoring the game-winning short-handed goal in double overtime in Sunday night's 2-1 victory. With the momentum and home ice advantage in their favor Im betting they deliver to us a winning ticket tonight in San Jose. VEGAS is 5-12 ATS revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals this season. Play on San Jose to win on the ML |
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04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 212 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Now that this series is tied 2-2 Im betting we start to see this series turn much more physical as a proverbial dog fight unfolds. I know Denver has shown some offensive flow in the last few games, but they have been hitting 3s at a high rate, but only converting around the rim at a 47.8% clip and a regression must be expected according to my projections. Meanwhile, San Antonio has only taken shots from beyond the arc in 18.3 % of their possessions and continually look to push the ball inside which indicates a concerted effort to dig in play physical ball and do their offensive work around the rim. This Im betting will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers and public might expect. Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 road games.Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 vs. Western Conference. Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. .Under is 11-3 in Nuggets last 14 home games.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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04-23-19 | Magic v. Raptors -11.5 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - TOR Leads 3-1  Since game 2 of this series the Raptors have absolutely dominated and dismantled the young Magic and Im betting nothing changes tonight in TO. The Raptors are cleaning the glass at a high rate, not allowing open 3s and just plain old showing us all how dangerous and deep they are. This matchup reminds me alot of the lopsided Milwaukee /Detroit series . Note: The Raptors Net Rating +23.7 which is almost on par with the Bucks. TORONTO is 9-0 ATS in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg. In the L/14 seasons, chalk  favored by double-digits in Game 5 are 25-1 SU, with the average wining point diff clicking in at 14.4 points per game Play on Toronto to cover |
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04-23-19 | White Sox -133 v. Orioles | 1-9 | Loss | -133 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) The Chicago White Sox pounded the Orioles yesterday 12-2 and Im betting they come out here and get the job done again behind a up-trending offence. Note:  Baltimore is just 1-10 this season at home and now have dropped four in a row -- losing a three-game weekend series to the Minnesota Twins in Baltimore before the White Sox came in. The Pale Hose starter Nova is 8-4 in his career against the Orioles with a 4.98 ERA. He's made 17 starts and pitched in 18 contests and get my support here today.NOVA is 23-8 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 10-5 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like the Os starting hulrer Cashner. The Orioles are 0-28 on the ML when their opponent's starter is a righty and has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than two on the season. Play on the White Sox to win on the ML |
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04-22-19 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 213 | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 3-0 James Harden shot 3-of-20 (15%) from the field in the Rockets’ Game 3 victory in Utah and now Im expecting a more efficient outing from the super star and his team as a whole. I know Utah is a defense first team, and really protect the rim well with Gobert , but because of this the Rockets will have space to shoot 3s, because when the vacuum cleaner as I like to call him, is pulled out of the paint he's out of his comfort zone. With elimination on board for the Rockets Im expecting they become aggressive, and this in turn will force the Jazz to open up which in turn will make for a higher scoring game than the public leaning linesmakers are expecting.  NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 79-33 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-22-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 3-0 The Jazz did everything possible to beat the Rockets last time out and they still lost. Now completely letdown the Jazz have to face a group that gives them alot of matchup difficulties and their just not built to handle them. That's why Im betting on a sweep here and for the Rockets to end this tonight. Note: Favorites with a 3-0 series lead in Game 4 are 24-17-1 ATS last 14 seasons. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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04-22-19 | Nationals v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Right-hander Jeremy Hellickson (2-0, 2.63) starts against the Rockies. He is coming off a strong effort against the San Francisco Giants in which he allowed two runs in 5 2/3 innings. Note: The Nationals are 0-13 UNDER in franchise history with Jeremy Hellickson when he averaged fewer than 4.1 pitches per batter in his last start. Meanwhile, Colorado continues to get good starting pitching, and is expected to activate Anderson for this start. He had arm inflammation , but now better should provide his team with a stable performance. He's 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts against the Nationals for his career. HELLICKSON is 10-2 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg.Â
COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg. Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 18-8-2 in Nationals last 28 Monday games.Under is 6-0 in Hellicksons last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Hellicksons last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 10-1 in Hellicksons last 11 road starts.Under is 8-1 in Hellicksons last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2 in Hellicksons last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-5 in Hellicksons last 21 starts on grass.Under is 16-5 in Hellicksons last 21 starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 overall.Under is 8-2-1 in Rockies last 11 on grass.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 19-6-2 in Rockies last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 23-8-2 in Rockies last 33 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3-1 in Rockies last 11 during game 1 of a series. Play UNDER |
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04-22-19 | Bucks v. Pistons OVER 218 | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 3-0 The Pistons haven't shown enough of a defensive presence against a Bucks team that averaged a league-high 118.1 points a game and their obviously not capable enough of stopping them again tonight. With Milwaukee on the verge of their first play off round series win in 18 seasons you can bet they will be ready to end this tonight in full beatdown mode. The Pistons will have no choice but to open up and try to keep pace which will make for a total score that eclipses this number. Budenholzer in his L/8 road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MILWAUKEE has seen a combined average score of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER Play OVER |
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04-22-19 | Brewers +143 v. Cardinals | 5-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R) Flaherty allowed five runs on nine hits to Milwaukee last week -- including homers to Lorenzo Cain and Yasmani Grandal in just 2 2/3 innings to take the loss. Im betting the Brewers matchup well against Cardinals starter and get my support again here on a value line. Note: ight-hander Adrian Houser, who will make his first career start in the majors in place of the injured Freddy Peralta (shoulder). The 26-year-old has pitched well with Triple-A San Antonio this season, posting a 1-0 mark with a 1.10 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in three starts (16 1/3 frames). The Brewers are 8-0 on the ML on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits. Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 17-5 in their last 22 Monday games.Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Brewers are 56-20 in their last 76 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cardinals are 2-8 in Flahertys last 10 starts.Cardinals are 2-8 in Flahertys last 10 starts on grass.Cardinals are 1-4 in Flahertys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-5 in Flahertys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-5 in Flahertys last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-4 in Flahertys last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Brewers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis.Brewers are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Cardinals are 2-5 in Flahertys last 7 starts vs. Brewers. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ST LOUIS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 36-50 L/5 seasons . MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 17-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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04-22-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -108 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - WAS Leads 3-2 Washington took a 3-2 series lead with Saturday night's 6-0 home victory. The win for the Capitals was bitter sweet, as they lost one of their key cogs, T.J. Oshie who will not play for the rest of the play offs. That loss is as huge as a Trump wall plan, as Oshie is one of the team leaders and Im betting his departure will effect the flow of the Capitals here in this very important game 6 matchup . CAROLINA is 11-4 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 19-22 ATS after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season. Capitals are 6-14 in their last 20 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Favorite is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Carolina Canes to win on the ML |
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04-22-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Caps took a 6-0 win last time out, for a 3-2 lead in this series. Now with one of these teams on the verge of elimination and the other looking to extend this series both sides will be really paying attention to keeping their mistakes to a minimum via a very conservative game plan that will focus on scoring in transition.  CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER off a road loss against a division rival this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-21-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - POR Leads 2-1 The first two games of this series stayed well below the Total, and in game 3 the total was barely eclipsed very late in the game. Im betting on another hard fought tilt between a Portland side struggling to convert consistently right now, and Oklahoma city team that has underachieved and shot below average all season long. With that said, Im recommending we hit the under again here in game 4. Under is 25-11-2 in the last 38 meetings in Oklahoma City. PORTLAND is 37-17 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 211.9 ppg. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 35-15-1 in Thunder last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 18-7-1 in Thunder last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-5 UNDER off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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04-21-19 | Blazers +5.5 v. Thunder | 111-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - POR Leads 2-1 Thanks to Westbrooks great shooting in game 3 of this series, the Thunder muscled past the Blazers, as they played like their hair was on fire and also as a team shot at 50% with their treys. Now in a sort of a letdown scenario I expect Westbrook who is off one of his worst shooting years from beyond the arc (29.3%) to regress here, and to take his team with him . Im betting on Damian Lillard to stand tall here for the Blazers and get us the cover. Thunder are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Thunder are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 Sunday games.Thunder are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Portland to cover |
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04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - VGS Leads 3-2 Vegas in five playoff games against San Jose in Las Vegas with goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury between the pipes has garnered shutouts in two games, including a 28-save performance in a 5-0 win on Tuesday in Game 4. Im betting on Fleury standing tall again, and for San Jose to struggle burying the biscuit in their decisive game 6 showdown. Both teams will be proactive in their approach to playing mistake free hockey in this important tilt. VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER in home games after a division game this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in April games are 54-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-21-19 | Braves v. Indians -121 | 11-5 | Loss | -121 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
MAX FRIED (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R) The Braves starter today Fried worked 16 1/3 innings before allowing his first earned run this season. The lefty's velocity was down during his most recent start, but he still managed to complete six innings . But that downgrade in velocity is a concern, and gives me cause in fading him here vs a streaking Cleveland team. Meanwhile, the Tribes starter Bieber didn’t have his best stuff on Tuesday in Seattle, but he battled through six-plus innings and gave up just one run on four hits. He’s throwing his slider at a higher rate this year, and hitters are just 4-for-29 against the offering which is a plus here vs a Braves group that prefers straight up heat. Cleveland has the edge this Sunday night and Im recommending we take them on the ML. Braves are 17-36 in their last 53 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 17-37 in their last 54 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-17 in their last 22 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass. Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts.Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts on grass.Indians are 7-1 in Biebers last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Indians are 6-1 in Biebers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Indians are 5-1 in Biebers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Indians are 5-1 in Biebers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more /game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 6-39 /5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win on the ML |
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04-21-19 | Raptors -5.5 v. Magic | 107-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - TOR Leads 2-1 The Raptors have now won and completely controlled back to back games in this series to take a 2-1 lead, and look like viable road favorites tonight to deliver the goods again vs a Orlando Magic side that is in a shooting funk for the first time since they made their late season run to the play offs. We have concurring momentum patterns forming, with the Magic slumping at the worst possible time, and the powerful Dinos finally starting to show their dominance. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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04-21-19 | Blue Jays v. A's -147 | 5-4 | Loss | -147 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L) As Left-hander Brett Anderson (3-0, 2.63) is in top tier form, and gives us a strong opportunity to cash a ticket here this afternoon in Oakland. SANCHEZ the Jays starter is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.401. OAKLAND is 21-9 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The Athletics are 17-0 on the ML off a game as a favorite in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter and it is not a series opener. Toronto is 0-18 ML as a dog of more than 130 in the last game of a road series when they are off a game as a dog in which they had more team-left-on-base. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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04-21-19 | Warriors -8.5 v. Clippers | 113-105 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 I know alot is being made of the DeMarcus Cousins injury, but from a defensive perspective thats a good thing for the Warriors. As for the Warriors offence they have more than enough guns , to make up for his absence and like I said, they now no longer have a defensive liability on the floor. I know the Clippers played a tremendous game last time out, and shocked the Warriors, but it must be noted that the Warriors are 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in the game after a defeat when taking on a Western Conference team in the playoffs. Overall the Dubs have cashed 13 of their L/18 on the road and can go from being up by a few points to DDs in the flash of an eye, so laying points with them here in a bounce back situation is not that scary a proposition vs a LA CLIPPERS team that is 2-11 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -13.2 ppg.  Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-21-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TOR Leads 3-2 #1 GOALTENDERS: BOSTON - TUUKKA RASK, TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN With one of these teams on the verge of elimination and the other looking to extend this series both sides will be really paying attention to keeping their mistakes to a minimum via a very conservative game plan that will focus on scoring in transition. TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season TORONTO is 11-1 UNDER in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg. BOSTON is 9-1 UNDER in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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04-21-19 | Red Sox v. Rays -111 | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R) The Rays’ starter today vs the BoSox, Tyler Glasnow, has been brilliant and over powering since being acquired by the Rays in the Chris Archer deal at last seasons deadline. The righty hurler in 80 innings of top tier work owns a solid 4-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.01. He offers is alot value here on this line as the public gravitates to the BoSox because of them grabbing the first two games of this series. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter Price, goes against a strong LHP hitting team in the Rays. The Rays have cashed 60% of theirL/52 vs southpaw starters.TAMPA BAY is 15-10 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 2-7 against the money line in day games this season. Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 Sunday games.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Rays are 14-4 in their last 18 games following a loss.Rays are 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rays are 17-6 in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Rays are 46-19 in their last 65 home games.Rays are 28-12 in their last 40 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rays are 42-18 in their last 60 overall.Rays are 54-24 in their last 78 games on astroturf.Rays are 26-12 in their last 38 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rays are 38-18 in their last 56 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 4-0 in Glasnows last 4 starts. Play on TB to win on the ML |
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04-21-19 | Celtics -2 v. Pacers | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 3-0 Boston can wrap this series up this Sunday, and thats what Im betting they do. The men from Bean town have owned the Pacers and nothing suggests anything will change today. I think some pundits are surprised the Celtics have righted their ship after a bumpy ride the end of their season, and Im not 100% sure that they can continue this type of play into the next series. But what i do know is that the Celtics matchup well vs a Pacers team that did not look cohesive entering the playoffs. Note:Â Â INDIANA is 4-12 ATSÂ versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Teams down 3-0 are 3-12 SU L/15 times dating back the 2016 season.
Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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04-20-19 | Bucks -8.5 v. Pistons | 119-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0 This game and series between the Pistons and the Bucks is a complete mismatch, and the first two lopsided scores favoring Milwaukee were no flukes. No even home court advantage Im betting will save the Pistons from another beatdown. MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with the average margin of victory coming by 13 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS vs. division opponents this season with the average point differential clicking in at +13 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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04-20-19 | Jets +130 v. Blues | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 This is a hard fought series between two pretty evenly matched teams. With the Jets on the verge of elimination I look for Winnipeg in all out desperation mode to keep the road team winning trend alive here in this game, and take this to a 7th game. WINNIPEG is 19-8 ATS in road games in April games since 1996.WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS in road games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game this season. Winnipeg is 8-1 SU L/9 here in St.Louis. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the ML |
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04-20-19 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - STL Leads 3-2 The Blues won Game 5 by a 3-2 margin Thursday in Winnipeg, overcoming a two-goal deficit in the third period and getting the winner from Jaden Schwartz with 15 seconds remaining in regulation. With this game being a do or die situation for one team and series clincher for the other Im expecting both sides to be extra careful with mistakes, which Im betting translates to total score that will remain on the low side of the total. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE sprinkled in with top tier goaltending has me recommending an under wager tonight in this tilt. Play UNDER |
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04-20-19 | Red Sox +130 v. Rays | 6-5 | Win | 130 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R) Porcello has struggled out of the gate this season, but is still a viable hurler, who has pitched well at Tropicana in his career, going 8-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 15 starts. Meanwhile, TBs Morton who got off to fast start this season looked mortal after is off his shortest outing of the season where he went just 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays last time out. Value here on a Red Sox team that will be woken up out of their World Series hangover slumber vs a strong looking Rays team. BOSTON is 12-7 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 3 starts are 17-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox on the ML |
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04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets UNDER 232 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
According to my projections tell me we have value with an under wager here in this tilt between the Sixers and Nets. This total has gotten bigger with each game, and now the linesmkaers have over adjusted . Brooklyn cant keep on just trying to run and gun and blow by the Sixers, and Im betting their coaching staff makes enough adjustments here today to thwart the Sixers flow. Afternoon games have a long term tendency of being played at a slower pace which Im betting this aids our under wager cashing. PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996.PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 15-3 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road win, in April games are 51-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion .rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-19-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 222 | 108-120 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - POR Leads 2-0 The Oklahoma City Thunder have exhibited less than stellar shooting prowess all season long,ranking 22nd in in 3 point shooting and things are not getting much better, and have now shot a combined 10-61 (16.4%) from 3-point range in the first two games of this series. Tonight Im betting the Thunders long range futility will contribute to a lower scoring game as will Portlands horrendous 2nd to last play off FG% conversion rate vs a strong rim protection Thunder group. PORTLAND is 21-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 204.5 | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 The two first games of this series have not gone of the Pacers way thanks to in ability to keep their offensive flow going and converting on easy shots, while also allowing them selves to get up in defensive affairs , which the Celtics are looking better at implementing . So tonight Im expecting more flow to the Pacers game as they look to resurrect their chances in this series/ With that said, Im betting on a tilt that will feature more offence and a faster pace. NBA team (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 60-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-19-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L) With a 2-1 loss at Oakland on Wednesday, Houston saw its 10-game winning streak come to an end, but that game was a blip on an upward momentum chart and Im betting they rebound in a big way here today with Verlander on the hill for them. DREW SMYLY the Texas starter is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.741 he has seen his team lose all 4 of his career starts vs the ASTROS. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 42-1 L/5 seasons winning by an average of 3.7 rpg. Play on Houston on the -1.5 RL |
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04-19-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Two Eastern Conference series ended this week in four-game sweeps, but the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs are battling it out in a series that has come down to a best two out of three. With these teams beating each other up and playing a more physical type of game plan, Im betting on more conservative efforts that base their respective attacks on transition, which will equate to less quality scoring opportunities and less goals going on the board. Last time out these teams took part in the highest scoring affair of this series with the Bruins winning by a 6-4 count, but now Im betting both sides knowing this type of hockey is not sustainable or equitable to winning a tight series will revert back to being much more defensive minded in this game and going forward in this series. TORONTO is 16-7 UNDERÂ revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.BOSTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game this season. Play UNDER |
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04-19-19 | Maple Leafs +130 v. Bruins | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The Leafs and the Bruins are in a tit for tat battle for their play off lives and tonight I like the value attached to the Leafs here .  In game 5 the Bruins got out to a 5-2 lead before the Leafs looked to rip into another gear yet seen from them in while, but still lost 6-4. Tonight Im betting that high octane attack that the Leafs can produce will be on full display and will get them to them a 3-2 lead in this series. The Bruins D, will stand tall but it wont be enough to get them out of this game without a loss.TORONTO is 20-6 ATS off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Maple Leafs to win on the ML |
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04-19-19 | Raptors -4.5 v. Magic | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The Raptors after losing game 1 came storming back with a convincing two way performance, crushing Orlando by a 111-82 count. After watching the Raptors dismantle, the Magic, Im betting the zig zag theory does not apply to this matchup. I know Orlando has had quite a 2nd half run ,but right now I feel the Dinos talent level and hunger for victory will trump what this young group has to offer.Note: NBA play off road favs are  30-11-1 against the spread over the last couple of seasons for a 73% conversion rate. I like this game alot and would bet it as high as -6. TORONTO is 33-19 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 71-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 Denver may have found a way to win and cover in game 2 of this series, but San Antonio still looked like the better overall team, and deserve my backing here tonight. Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games. DENVER is 6-15 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. Spurs are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons in San Antonio. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents this season. Play on the San Antonio Spurs . to cover |
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04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 210.5 | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
These teams play contrasting styles both home nd away. The Nuggets went under in 25 of their 41 road games and were the most profitable UNDER road team in the league this season , while the Spurs were 23-18 to the under at home. With that said, after a fairly high scoring game in Denver last time out, Im betting on this one being more conservative and physcial in nature as the young inexperienced Nuggets try to find their footing in a hostile environment. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 Thursday games.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up win. Under is 14-4 in Nuggets last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 overall.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games.Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 14-6 in Nuggets last 20 vs. Western Conference.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Spurs last 13 home games.Under is 16-5 in Spurs last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Spurs last 8 overall.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-3-1 in Spurs last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 36-16 in Spurs last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 210.5 (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 64-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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04-18-19 | Phillies v. Rockies +102 | 2-6 | Win | 102 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L) Colorado will send left-hander Kyle Freeland to the mound to face righty Zach Eflin in the opener of the series. Eflin (2-1, 3.94) was was hit hard in a 10-3 loss at Miami on Saturday. He gave up six runs on 10 hits in just four innings. He is 1-2 in three career starts against Colorado and sports a 9.20 ERA and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rockies and is fade material here today on the road. I know Colorados Freelend has had some issues thanks to blistering, but he is said to be good to go and when hes on he is hard beat.FREELAND is 16-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies are 1-7 in Eflins last 8 road starts.Phillies are 1-8 in Eflins last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 starts vs. National League West. Rockies are 7-0 in Freelands last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 7-0 in Freelands last 7 Thursday starts.Rockies are 8-1 in Freelands last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 7-1 in Freelands last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts vs. National League East.Rockies are 13-3 in Freelands last 16 home starts.Rockies are 22-6 in Freelands last 28 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rockies are 13-4 in Freelands last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 12-4 in Freelands last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 23-8 in Freelands last 31 starts on grass.Rockies are 23-9 in Freelands last 32 starts. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 27-44 L/22 seasons for a long term go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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04-18-19 | Blues +107 v. Jets | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
This series between the Jets and Blues has featured four straight wins by the road team and here in Winnipeg tonight Im betting the trend stays intact. Look for Blues, Rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington who has lost two in a row for the first time in his career despite answering a six-goal performance with a sterling 37-save effort on Tuesday to be instrumental for the Blues here tonight. The 25-year-old stopped 50 of 54 shots in the Blues' two victories in Winnipeg. ST LOUIS is 17-4 ATS against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS in road games in the first round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons. WINNIPEG is 10-21 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins since 1996. Blues are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +201 or greater. Blues are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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04-18-19 | 76ers v. Nets +3 | 131-115 | Loss | -104 | 35 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 This series is now tied 1-1 and swings back to Brooklyn in a more favorable environment for the Nets. The Nets stole game 1 before the Sixers stormed back in game 2 and won in convincing fashion.Now on a couple of days rest the Nets will now be ready to rebound. Note: The Nets are 16-5 ATS in their past 21 games on two days of rest. During the regular season, Philadelphia was 20-21 as visitors, while Brooklyn was 23-18 as hosts and have the edge here getting points. In the last 13 + seasons, teams like theNets that allowed 125 or more points in a loss have gone 28-18 (61%) ATS in the playoffs BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 19-32 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more 41-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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04-18-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -120 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
After going down 2-0 in this series the Canes came flying back in game 3 for a 5-0 win and now with two days rest are very ready to tie this series with the defending Stanley Cup Champion Washington Capitals. Im betting special teams will be key to what Im betting Washington is 0-for-10 in the power play since Ovechkin scored with 1:55 remaining in the first period of Game 1.. Carolina has scored on three of its last 10 chances with the man advantage in the last two contests. Capitals are 6-14 in their last 20 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Favorite is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Carolina to win on the ML |
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04-18-19 | Royals v. Yankees OVER 9 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Homer Bailey (1-1, 5.29 ERA) makes his fourth start for the Royals, who signed him as a free agent after he was 1-14 with a 6.09 ERA in 20 starts for the Reds last season. Im betting a hot hitting NYY team off a sweep vs the BoSox to come out here and really rack up some runs vs Bailey which will help this score get eclipsed. Note: Bailey is 1-1 with a 5.84 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees and both of those outings occurred in New York with a combined average of 11 and 14 runs scored in the two games. He is backed by a bullpen that has garnered a 6.37 ERA this season. Over is 15-7 in Yankees last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-0 in Royals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Play OVER |
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04-17-19 | Predators v. Stars -115 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
From a matchup perspective I like the Stars in this series , so Im betting they come up big tonight based on my futures projections. After losing the 3rd game in this series here Dallas the Stars knowing the seriousness of going down 3-1 in this series will be primed to perform  tonight and tie this series.
Play on Dallas to win on the ML |
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04-17-19 | Pistons v. Bucks OVER 215 | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 Milwaukee began its pursuit of the franchise's first title since 1971 by cruising past Detroit, 121-86, in Game 1. It was the ninth-most lopsided NBA playoff game of the century and the biggest rout since the Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Boston Celtics, 130-86, in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals on May 19, 2017. I dont think it was a fluke, and Im betting the Bucks do more damage here tonight, but this time around the Motown crew open things up as well, with some offensive fireworks of their own as they try to avoid being embarrassed two games in a row, which will make for a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. DETROIT is 12-3 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 32-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-17-19 | Angels v. Rangers -129 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R) Harvey the Angels starter pitched to a 5.93 ERA over his last 2 1/2 seasons in New York and Im betting things wont get much better for him here tonight in Texas.HARVEY is 9-22 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 0-7 ( against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. The Rangers are 15-0 on the ML in the second game of a home series when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than two on the season. NBA underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 16-53 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas on the ML |
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04-17-19 | Pacers +7.5 v. Celtics | 91-99 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics prevailed 84-74 in the best-of-7 opener.The Pacers, meanwhile, have rallied to win the series on two of the last three occasions when they lost Game 1 so Im not counting them out from the game 1 preview and still believe they have what it takes to compete.Â
The Pacers are 17-0 ATS covering by more than 10 ppg in the playoffs off a loss in which they had a BAP at least 9.5 points higher than their opponent and were 13-4 SU with none of the 4 SU losses coming by more than 6 points. NBAÂ Â team (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 85 points or less are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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04-17-19 | Pacers v. Celtics OVER 206.5 | 91-99 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Celtics and Pacers combined to scored 158 points in Game 1, going way under the total. Both teams shot below 40% from the field. Both teams missed wide open shots on a consistent basis and now Im expecting a bounce back and a reversion to the norm and a much high scoring game then last time. BOSTON is 25-10 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. NBA team (INDIANA) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 42-17 OVER L/22 seasons for a 71 % conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-17-19 | Mets +106 v. Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Two quality hurlers go head to head today, but the value attached to road dog makes the Mets my choice this afternoon. I know Wheeler has been subpar out of the gate, but his stuff continues on a upward trajectory. Wheeler the Mets starter this afternoon is 3-0 with a 3.96 ERA lifetime in Philadelphia and 4-1 with a 3.36 ERA in 10 total starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile Phillies starter Arrieta is 2-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 career outings against the Mets. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 17-35 L/5seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML |
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04-16-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 218 | 94-114 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 53 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - POR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series was low scoring ,but that matchup was an anomaly as compared to the 4 previous meetings between these teams this season which were all high scoring affairs with 250, 231,237, 220 combined points scored. Im betting on a return to the previous type of offensive affairs in game 2 of this series. PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus teams that are allowing - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 242.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are126-84 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over |
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04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6.5 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
 Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0 Denver lost a101-96 decision to the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinal series thanks to some atrocious shooting by key players. Note:The Nuggets  shot just 42% from the field and 6-of-28 from 3 and still almost won. Now in  a must-win situation for Denver as; (a loss drops the No. 2 seed in an 0-2 hole heading back to San Antonio for two games ) Im betting the Nuggets young guns nerves now settled come out here and play like nbnbtheir hairs on fire and get us the win and cover. NBA play off seeds (1-3) have historically hit a 58% conversion rate when playing as a home favorite after a loss and non-cover. SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 12-3 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play onDenver Nuggets |
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04-16-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +120 | 3-7 | Win | 120 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - COB Leads 3-0 The Tampa Bay Lightning have not had a real slump all season long and now suddenly their in one and having difficulties dealing with the adversity and strong possibility of being swept in four straight games. Since taking a 3-0 lead in the first period of Game 1, the Lightning have been outscored 12-2 by the Jackets. With key cog Victor Hedman (, last year's Norris Trophy winner as the league's top defenseman) the Bolts the Presidents Trophy winners are in trouble against a Jackets team very ready to end this series at home as they don't want to give the Lightning a chance a staging a comeback. COLUMBUS is 17-5 ATS (after a 5 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons. Take ColUMBUS on the moneyline |
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04-16-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees -102 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Two struggling AL rivals go head to head tonight in NY. The Yankees thanks to a lineup dealing with injuries has faltered out of the gate, while the Red Sox deal with a nasty world series hangover. In todays matchup the Yankees have the advantage of playing at home and another edge against a top tier hurler in Chris Sale that is probably pitching his absolute worst at the moment. Sale has said he cant remember being this inconsistent with his location in his career. With that said Im betting Yankees starter Paxton who is 2-0 along with a 2.13 ERA in 4 career starts vs the BoSox to get us the win here tonight. BOONE is 17-3 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of NY YANKEES MLBÂ Â favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees |
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04-15-19 | Clippers +13.5 v. Warriors | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 In true zig zag theory Im going to take the points here with the LA Clippers on a value spread. I know Golden State has owned this series of late, but I saw enough from them in game 1 to feel comfortable taking points with them here in game 2. GOLDEN STATE is 11-27 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 23-10 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a loss against a division rival are 94-47 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent offensive team (102 r more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102r more PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are  60-90 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-15-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State prevailed by blocking 14 shots, limiting the Clippers to 40.4 percent shooting , but both still still a combined 225 points went on the board in game 1 of this series in the Warriors 121-104 win. Im now expecting theClippers to come out here more aggressively as they try to keep track with the explosive Dubs in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games off a road loss this season have combined to average for 235.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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04-15-19 | Indians v. Mariners -101 | 6-4 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Mariners are off being swept by the Houston Astros and will be primed for a bounce back win here tonight at home vs the visiting Cleveland Indians. Note: Bauer the Tribes starter is just 1-4 with a 4.60 ERA in eight career appearances against Seattle, including seven starts. The Mariners are 13-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that has lost at least their last two games. SEATTLE is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.  MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 18-48 L/5 seasons for ago against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle to win on the ML |
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04-15-19 | Flames v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 101 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Avalanche, coming off the 3-2 win in Calgary on Saturday night, to tie this series at 1 game apiece had even more good news as they announced the signing Sunday morning of 20 year old Hobey Award winning Cale Makar who is considered a generational talent.This kid is a real game changer, and will see the Avs flying here tonight on home ice, which is worth a full goal according to my estimates which makes for a solid over wager in this spot. CALGARY is 13-4 OVER revenging a home loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. Over is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on the OVER |
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04-15-19 | Bruins +105 v. Maple Leafs | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The Bruins played a far more physical game Saturday and limited the skating game of the Maple Leafs, who took the opener 4-1. The Leafs could not match the Bs physicality and Im betting will once again have issues here in game 3. Bruins are 10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bruins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Boston to win on the ML |
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04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Washington won 4-2 on home ice in the series opener and followed with a 4-3 overtime victory Saturday. Carolina never led in either game and now 2 games down in tjis best of 7 series and now Im betting the Canes come out here in high octane fashion and go into full attack mode and for the defending champs to answer back which will make for a game that will see 6 + combined goals go on the score board. WASHINGTON is 17-9 OVER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime this season. NHL Road teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in April games are 33-17 over L/5 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -6 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 75 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The last playoff series to tip off in the NBA’s first round is the No. 5 Utah Jazz visiting the No. 4 Houston Rockets in the Western Conference on Sunday night. This is a rematch from last season’s Western Conference semifinals. . The Rockets took the series in five games, with every game in the series decided by at least eight points and Im betting this game will follow suit. Im betting on the Rockets super star  Harden who led the league in scoring at 36.1 ppg, more than 8 points better than No. 2 Paul George to once again lead the way . Note: Harden’s average is the most since Michael Jordan’s 37.1 in 1986-87. Rockets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Rockets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)are 17-62 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 54 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Rockets despite of their explosiveness rank 26th in the NBA in pace and own the 10 best D in the league, and they have gone under the set total in 14 of their L/19 games entering the play offs. Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz own the 4th best ppg D in the league, and bae all their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here on the road in Houston Im betting they turn this tilt in a slug fest as they try to take the Rockets out of their flow, which will result in a lower score play off affair. HOUSTON is 24-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 13-5 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-14-19 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Houstons Cole (0-2, 3.32 ERA) is still searching for his first victory of the season, while Seattles starter Gonzales (4-0, 3.16) has won each of his starts and offers us value on the runline . SEATTLE is 11-3 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games and are 48-17 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 190 to +165) (SEATTLE) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL 38-6 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle on the RL |
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04-14-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 49 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Boston ranked 8th in ppg defence this season and 16th in pace, and 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana ranked 1st in ppg allowed, 24th in pace, and 22nd on offence and base all their successes and failures on this stopping abilities. Nothing will change today as they force an inconsistent Boston side, in operating in a defensive mode as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more of their shots this season NBA team (BOSTON/INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA/BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-13-19 | Astros v. Mariners +159 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) Verlander the Astros hurler is a top tier hurler, but the way the Mariners are hitting scoring 66 runs in 7 games going into Friday nights action, any hurler they face right now could end up as cannon fodder. With that said, there is value with the home dog tonight. Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Mariners are 14-2 in their last 16 games on grass.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. HOUSTON is 12-18 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62%or better ) over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 8-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this seasonSEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games are 48-15 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Seattle to win on the ML |
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04-13-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins +150 | 1-4 | Win | 150 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - TOR Leads 1-0 |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
 Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors are an explosive side, but their D, was key to their successes this season and ranked 4th in defensive efficiency this season. Meanwhile, Orlando, ranked 5th in ppg allowed behind the 25th ranked pace and the 24th ppg ranked offence and obviously got to the post season thanks to their methodic defensive nature and nothing will change today. ORLANDO is 21-8 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg. Clifford is 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of ORLANDO with a combine average of 211 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-6 in Raptors last 19 Conference Quarterfinals games.NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 52-23 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors -9 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Im expecting the Toronto Raptors to shut the Orlando Magic down today, on their way to a DD win. Toronto after recent early departures from the play offs have a huge chip on their shoulders and will be out to get some real momentum going. ( LATE STEAM) Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 17-45 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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04-13-19 | Hurricanes +145 v. Capitals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0 The Hurricanes were No.1 in the NHL in expected goals for per 60 minutes and expected goal differential per 60 minutes this season and must not be underestimated in their ability to pull of a upset here tonight vs the defending Stanley Cup Champion Washington Capitals. CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 9-15 ATS in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996. Play on Carolina to win on the ML |
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04-13-19 | Nets +7 v. 76ers | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Brooklyn has come along way and are now in the play offs, for the first time in a very long time, and Im betting they will be sky high here and leave everything on the floor here in game 1. I know the Nets dont have much play off experience but it must be noted that  During the last 13 seasons, road teams without playoff experience are 74-47-4 (61.2%) ATS in the first round when taking on an opponent that made the postseason the year before. Meanwhile, Philadelphia enters these play offs suffering with a few nagging injuries to key players Joel Embiid(knee) and Jimmy Butler (back) and could find themselves in a real battle. Note: During their meetings in the regular season, the Nets outscored the 76ers by 40 points in 58 minutes with Embiid off the floor. Nets have the deeper bench in this series and get the nod from me to cover in game 1. Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.  76ers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 19-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Brooklyn to cover |
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