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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-05-18 | Braves -127 v. Padres | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I did not expect the Braves to be in such a letdown situation yesterday, as they lost 11-4 in their first game out West after taking out the Nationals in 3 of 4 games on the weekend. The good news though for us is that we have an opportunity to now cash on the braves in a bounce back situation this evening. It must be noted that the Braves are 20-6 L/26 after a loss and are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter like  with a WHIP less than 1.15. Meanwhile, I know SD has been playing well but they have had a recent history of sudden catastrophic failure as is evident by a  3-20 record against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last few seasons. and are just  5-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs (lost 11-4 yesterday). Coming off a top tier  May, the Atlanta Braves starter  Newcomb will attempt to enhance what currently stand as strong All-Star credentials. The young southpaw has allowed two earned runs or fewer over at least six innings in seven of his 11 starts and get the nod here tonight against the San Diego Padres in the 2nd game of this series.Newcomb has the 10th-best ERA in the National League and is tied for fifth in wins. He is also riding a six-game winning streak, which is tied for the third longest in the National League this season. Newcomb also ranks among the league leaders in several other categories -- like seventh in opponents' batting average (.204), sixth in road ERA (2.06), third in winning percentage (.857) Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter lie Lyles with a WHIP less than 1.15 MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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06-05-18 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) Heaney the Angles starter gave up three earned runs over five innings, with seven strikeouts, against Kansas City on April 13 and matches up well vs the very inconsistent KC batting order. It must be noted despite of a few struggles of late, Heaney (2-4, 3.66) allowed two earned runs or less in six consecutive starts from April 27 to May 25. . The southpaw gets my backing tonight vs a KC Royals team that ha scored 3 runs or less in 7 of their L/11 overall games. LA ANGELS are 15-2  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. with by an average margin of 3.3rpg game going on the board .LA ANGELS are 12-2  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) this season winning by an average of 3 rpg. Play on the LA Angels on the runline -1.5 |
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06-05-18 | Phillies +200 v. Cubs | 6-1 | Win | 200 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R Zach Eflin has struggled of late and could be replaced in the rotation if he does not turn things around quickly. Its not like this pitcher does have the tools to succeed, and is more than capable of a big performance to save his starting job. Pitchers in these situations have a tendency of giving it their all, and I constantly keep an eye out for these kinds of opportunities,. With that said, I am recommending we take a Phillies side with capabilities to pull an upset on exceptional value line. Note: Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. It must also be noted that Chicago starter Hendricks (4-4, 3.19 ERA) has struggled with inconsistency this season, and has shown a susceptibility to be smashed around. HENDRICKS is 1-7 against the money line after a win this season (team record) and is just is 3-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.  Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. National League Central and are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 42-25 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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06-05-18 | Sun v. Dream UNDER 165 | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun have been running and gunning with their offensive attack since game 1 of this season. Atlanta knowing what coming their way will out to make sure that they slow this game down to crawl in order to compete. With that said, look for this to effect the combined score of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. CONNECTICUT is 19-6 UNDER L/25 in road games off a road win against a division rival since 1997 with the combined average score 147.1 ppg going on the board. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - off a road win by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 53-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with the average combined score clicking in at 150 ppg. Play UNDER |
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06-05-18 | Brewers v. Indians -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Kluber the Indians starter tonight pitched six brilliant shutout innings against the White Sox on Wednesday, piling up 10 strikeouts with zero walks. The Tribe ace is riding a streak of 112 batters faced with zero walks and has a 0.68 ERA in his past four turns and get the nod here on the -1.5 run line. I know the Tribe have struggled a little bit of late, but it must be noted that CLEVELAND is a perfect 11-0 against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by a whopping 4.1 rpg. ( Indians 7.6 Opp 3.5 which gives credence to my -1.5 runline call this evening.
Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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06-05-18 | Yankees -135 v. Blue Jays | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) The Yankees will start left-hander CC Sabathia (2-1, 3.73 ERA) against Blue Jays right-hander Marco Estrada (2-6, 5.68). Sabathia is who I'm backing  as he is in  better form and has an offense backing him that is more consistent than the Blue Jays attack. Eastrada the Jays starter in his last  seven starts  is 0-5 with a 5.89 ERA.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Yankees did have a 5 game winning streak snapped in the second game of a Double header vs the Tigers last time out, but are a very good bounce back candidate as is evident by their 36-16 record in their last 52 games following a loss.  SABATHIA team  is 23-9 when he starts  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 16-3  against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season and are 13-3 against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Blue Jays have lost 14 straight  as a home dog vs a southpaw when they lost the last three times they faced a left handed pitcher.  Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-04-18 | Braves +106 v. Padres | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L) The Braves just took 3 of 4 games in a weekend series from the Nationals, and are now flying out west feeling pretty good about themselves, standing in first place in the NL East and  and brimming with confidence. Sometimes situations like this can have a team in a letdown spot, but this Braves team has good chemistry and leadership and is taking nothing for granted, especially when they ponder how many struggles the organization has dealt with over the last few seasons. With that said, I'm going to ride the momentum of the Braves from East to West and bet on them to bring home the cash to their backers in the first game of this series. Tonight's pitching matchup features pitchers in good form, but not getting the support they need to get wins of late. But Teheran according to my power rankings matches up better vs the Fathers batting order than Richards does vs the Braves clutch hitters. Teheran is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in eight career starts against San Diego, including a win in his lone start against the Padres last season. SD starter Richard has never beaten the Braves and is 0-6 with a 6.75 ERA in nine career games - six starts. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 8-3 in Teherans last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Braves are 9-3 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season doing their best offensive work producing 5.6 rpg and 26 HRS.  Padres are 5-21 in Richards last 26 starts vs. National League East.Padres are 7-23 in their last 30 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. ATLANTA is 23-14 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season and is s 15-9  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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06-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - WAS leads 2-1
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06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - Golden St. leads 1-0 Both sides actually played decent defense in game 1 in an intense affair, where LeBron James stood tall as the Cavaliers top scorer and two way threat. The Cavs played well and still lost, so now I'm expecting the Cavs to take a no prisoners nothing to lose attitude and go balls to the walls in an all out  attack mode here ere in game 2 .  I'm also  betting defense takes a  back seat and instead an all out offensive explosion based on a fast transitional game to be the this agenda. Note: Cleveland has gone OVER 6 straight times as a underdog off a game as a pup where  Lebron James was the high scorer, eclipsing the number by an average of 18 ppg with the total combined score clicking at 239+ ppg. Meanwhile, the Warriors have gone over 8 straight times by more than 14 ppg with more than one day of rest off a 10 plus point victory  as  home chalk when facing a team they have beaten at least two straight times. CLEVELAND is 30-17 OVER  off a road loss over the last couple of  seasons with a combined average score of 221 ppg getting scored.CLEVELAND is 17-8 OVER  after allowing 115 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 60-24 OVER  L/21 years for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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06-03-18 | Dodgers -127 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R) The Dodgers (28-30) have won 12 of their past 16 games and are currently in good from, and get the nod here today according to my pitcher vs pitcher vs batting order power rankings. it must be noted that the Dodgers starter Bettis has yet to win or have a decision at home this season, going 0-0, 7.06 in four starts. His form has gone down hill of late despite of solid early season numbers, as is evident by his last four consecutive no-decisions covering 22 innings, Bettis has a 6.95 ERA, and opposing hitters are batting .315 with a .869 OPS during that time frame and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a solid 2.88 ERA , and despite of pitching here at the launching pad known as Coors Field should do enough to hold the Rockies very inconsistent offense in check. COLORADO is 9-18 L/27 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games . MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), playing on Sunday ae 95-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers  to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Mercury -1 v. Dream | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Two teams both off victories vs the defending WNBA Champion Minnesota Lynx play each other this afternoon. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS  in road games off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.Dream are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win. Dream are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. My own power ranking suggest that Phoenix is the superior side, and the early market also agrees with my assessments. WNBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 2 straight games are 22-55 L/5 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games are 36-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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06-03-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals -125 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
 NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
The Cards starter Wacha hasn’t lost since his season debut way back in March. He’s completed at least five innings in each of his 10 starts since. Cardinals are 5-0 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Kingman the Pirates starter  since taking a perfect game into the seventh inning in his debut against the Cardinals, he has allowed three or more earned runs in each of his past three starts. Pirates are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ST LOUIS is 16-3 L/19 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games dating back to last season, which happened yesterday.PITTSBURGH is 19-39  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), after a one run win are 97-38 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Nationals -106 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) Hellickson the Nats starter continues to be a pleasant surprise  since taking over as their No. 5 starter. In his last five outings, he owns a 1.30 ERA and Washington is undefeated in those five games.. In five career starts against Atlanta, Hellickson is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA. HELLICKSON team when he starts is 11-5  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Sanchez. Atlanta won the first two games of the series between the National League East frontrunners, but Washington won the four-hour marathon Saturday and pulled to within a half game of the Braves and are now my choice to get a split of this 4 game series set. WASHINGTON is 30-15 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 dating back to last season.Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - allowing 3.5 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 41-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Blue Jays +110 v. Tigers | 8-4 | Win | 110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. MICHAEL FULMER (R) Neither one of these two pitchers inspire me, but baseball is more than a pitching matchup. With that said, and even though the Tigers are in good form and the Jays in a slump, my own power rankings suggest a favorable matchup situation for the desperate Jays here in the final game of this series. The Tigers have struggled against RHP this season like the Jays Sanchez, and are averaging just 3.9 rpg via a below the Mendoza line .244 BA. The Jays are 15-4 L/19 after having lost 6 or 7 of their L/8 games. DETROIT is 61-99 against the money line against right-handed starters dating back to last season. The Tigers took the first two games of this series Note: Blue Jays are 23-10 in their last 33 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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06-03-18 | Cubs -151 v. Mets | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
JON LESTER (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L) Lester is coming off a win vs. the Bucs in which he not only struck out 6 over 6 innings but collected 2 hits himself. Even better, the lefty didn't walk a batter. He's 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Mets, including 5 quality starts. . Jon Lester is 17-0 L/17 a favorite of 120+ off a start in which he did not allow a walk. He goes against a  Mets team that has shown no clutch capabilities of late at all as they  stranded 11 runners and left the bases loaded in the 13th and landed their eighth loss in 10 games yesterday. LESTER team when he starts is 36-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Matz the Mets starter left his last trip to the hill after three innings due to a strained left index finger and is less than 100% here, but the Mets need him to start. He went through a throwing program over the week , but that tells me a lot about what could be expected of his here today. Matz is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in two starts against the Cubs NY METS are 2-15 L/17 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more . MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), playing on Sunday are 19-78 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-02-18 | Rays v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) TBs starter tonight Archer has notched three consecutive quality starts. On Monday, he held the A's scoreless on four hits in six innings, but he came away with a no-decision. Opposition batters are hitting just .204 against Archer in his last six starts. Under is 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 5-1 in Archers last 6 starts overall.Under is 8-1 in Mariners last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. I'm expecting both these pitcher to long and strong and for this Total not to be eclipsed.
Play UNDER |
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06-02-18 | Liberty v. Fever +6.5 | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Indiana fell to 0-5 with its 86-77 loss to Connecticut Sun on May 26, which concluded a exhausting stretch of five games in eight days to begin the 2018 campaign. Now with 6 days rest and back in their own digs I'm expecting a big time effort from a desperate group in this spot vs the visiting NY Liberty.
Liberty are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 11-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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06-02-18 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) Tanaka has won back-to-back starts, and he's coming off an outing against the Angels where he allowed a run on three hits over six innings. Tanaka struck out eight, including Shohei Ohtani twice. He did lose to the Orioles on April 5. and will now be primed for a big bounce back here vs an offense that has averaged just 3.3 rpg vs righties this season via a ugly .217 BA. I'm betting the Os having a hard time getting runs on the board in this spot.Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 UNDERÂ in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDERÂ as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play UNDER |
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06-02-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)  Kuhl the Pirates starter has pitched decently of late, but is one of those pitchers that just cant find consistent positive results even when he's in a groove. The righty has given up one run or fewer in three of his last five trips to the hill overall but has only one win to show for it.Pirates are also just 2-7 in Kuhls last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Weaver after a strong run, has struggled of late, and is on the verge of losing his spot in the rotation. Because of this however, I expect we see him out to prove his detractors wrong and be hell bent on mowing down the Pirates inconsistent offense. Note: The Pirates have  given up 59 runs and have lost 9 of their L/11 and own a lowly.285 OBP in their L/7 games overall. Pirates are 0-4 in Kuhls L/4 starts vs the Cardinals .Pirates are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis. Cardinals are 8-2 in Weavers last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. PITTSBURGH is 18-38  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - good offensive team ( 4.7 ror more uns/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are not long term good bets going just 44-77 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-02-18 | Brewers -140 v. White Sox | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R) Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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06-01-18 | Sun v. Sky +7.5 | 110-72 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Connecticut (3-0) will make its road debut after winning each of its first three games on its home court this season. Here on the road against a competitive opponent being this big a road favorite makes for viable opportunity to cash with the well rested home dog Chicago (2-2). Sun are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Sky are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Sky are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Below are some league wide SU trends that give credence to us taking the points. WNBA Road teams SU (CONNECTICUT) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 9-24 L/21 seasons for a go against 73% SU conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams SU (CONNECTICUT) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 10-25 L/35 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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06-01-18 | Brewers -130 v. White Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) These are two teams are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Milwaukee consistently keeps finds ways to win, and the Chicago White Sox keep finding interesting new ways to lose. The Brewers have won 20 of their L/28 overall and  10 of their L/13 away tilts and the Pale hose have now lost 4 straight and are off being swept by the Cleveland Indians. Chase Anderson the Brewers starter today has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a stingy 2.19 ERA and 2-1 record in 4 road starts this season and is my choice today on what my own projections estimate to be a Brewers victory. He will be backed by a top tier bullpen that has registered a equally stingy 2.35 ERA on the road this season. Brewers are 11-4 in Andersons last 15 starts.Brewers are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 6-1 in Andersons last 7 road starts.White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Southsiders return fire with Hector Santiago a southpaw that has not liked pitching in Chicago this season, as is evident by his nasty looing 10.61 ERA. Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.White Sox are 0-5 in Santiagos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.White Sox are 0-6 in Santiagos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-22 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. White Sox are 0-9 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. MILWAUKEE is 9-0  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-2  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MILWAUKEE is 20-8 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-7  against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) dating back to last season. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a losing record are 18-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 11-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 |
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05-31-18 | Phillies v. Dodgers -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
AARON NOLA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-2, 2.27 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.86) Kershaw the Dodgers ace struggled earlier this season before going on the disabled list, allowing 7 HRS and offenses to hit .234 against him. He is said, to be healthy and strong again, and I expect he gets back to the form that saw the southpaw hold  opponents below .200 in four straight seasons and a career .206 BA .Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said there isn't a definitive pitch limit for Kershaw, saying, "I think he's fine to go deep, depending on how he's throwing." I know the Phillies starter Nola is a top quality pitcher, and right now looks like one of the betters hurlers in MLB, but he has a recent history of sub par road efforts, and not getting the support he needs from his teams inconsistent offense as is evident by the following trends.Phillies are 1-7 in Nolas last 8 road starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Nolas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. KERSHAWs team when he starts  is 31-7  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last few seasons. KERSHAWs starts have seen his team go  69-24  against the money line in day games in his career. Dodgers are 15-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts during game 4 of a series. Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games umpire Little behind home plate. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP = 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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05-31-18 | Angels v. Tigers +1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. RYAN CARPENTER (L) The Halos starter Hanley has pitched quite well of late, but it must be noted the Angels southpaw has seen his team go  1-5 in his  last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance . He lost a 2-1 decision to the Yanks, last time out and could easily find himself in a natural letdown spot. The Angels are also 1-6 in Heaneys last 7 road starts. He has also walked 9 batters in his L/3 starts which has a way of manifesting itself over time in a negative outcome scenario algorithm according to my power rankings charts.  I know Carpenter his Tigers  pitching opponent may not inspire bettors, but the Angles have been inconsistent of late offensively, scoring 1, 1, 3, 1 runs in 4 of their L/6 games. From my perspective there is enough value here for us to take the underdog on the +1.5 runline based on SU data. DETROIT is 9-3  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season and is 7-2  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.DETROIT is 11-5  against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.DETROIT is 10-4 against the money line in home games in May games this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are not quality bets, going just 60-66 L/21 seasons. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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05-30-18 | Capitals +139 v. Golden Knights | 3-2 | Win | 139 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Stanley Cup Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - VGS Leads 1-0 There was a lot exuberance being displayed by the Vegas Knights as they made it to the Stanley Cup play offs as an expansion team at 500-1 early season odds. Truly an amazing achievement. You could see the excitement on the players faces, and the anticipation of hoisting the cup over their heads. The Knights played with a great deal of energy, and now I'm betting a emotional letdown scenario to be at hand here today, in game 2, because of the amount of energy they exerted in game 1 victory (6-4). Meanwhile, the Caps a veteran group, will I'm betting regroup and push the Knights both with physical and aggressive two way action, and eventually notch the win this evening and take advantage of the irrational exuberance being displayed by the Knights . This is an atmosphere where Caps super star Alex Ovechkin will shine. Note: WASHINGTON is 8-3 ATS in road games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs this season Capitals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.Capitals are 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. WASHINGTON is 18-10 ATS L/18 in road games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or more.WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season and is 17-6 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent this season. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline |
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05-30-18 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R) Keuchel is the only Astros starter with a losing record but he leads the American League with a groundball rate of 57.7 percent and never an easy pitcher face for any offense. .The southpaw is also 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA in his last five outings, including May 2 when he was on the losing end of a 4-0 decision to the Yankees in Houston. Meanwhile, the Yankees return fire with starter Luis Severino (7-1, 2.28) who  pitched lights out vs the Astros four weeks ago in Houston. In that tilt he pitched a five-hitter with 10 strikeouts on 110 pitches. The Yankees and Astros took part in a higher scoring game yesterday, which saw the Yanks win 6-5, but this one has the ear markings of a much lower scoring affair. Note: HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent this season with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored , , and overall 9-0 UNDER after a one run loss this season with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. Under is 7-1 in Keuchels last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-2 in Keuchels last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-3 in Astros last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in Keuchels last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. HOUSTON is 12-4 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 35-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-29-18 | Mystics v. Storm -4 | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington and Seattle are looking pretty good at the moment, with the Storm garnering a 3-1 record and the Mystics at a perfect 4-0. Three of the Mystics 4 wins have come on the road but they have a recent history of flat road performances, and are is 2-10 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons losing SU by just under 10 ppg. WASHINGTON is also  5-13 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  The Mystics are just 4-14 SU here in Seattle, and I'm betting on another inconsistent effort away from DC , with added problem of being banged up and having to find a replacement options for the injured trio of [F] 05/27/2018 - Elena Delle Donne is "?" Tuesday vs Seattle Storm ( Dehydration ) [C] 05/19/2018 - Emma Meesseman is out for season ( Personal ) [G] 05/19/2018 - Tayler Hill is out indefinitely ( Knee )WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 24-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate winning by an average of 12.3 ppg. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off an home win scoring 85 or more points, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 29-65 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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05-29-18 | Twins -125 v. Royals | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) Gibson a usually reliable hurler, who owns a 2.61 ERA on the road this season, but  has struggled a little bit in has last few efforts. However, it must be noted that the Royals are less than capable of taking advantage of pitchers in a funk as they are just 3-23 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 plus they struggle vs orthodox pitchers as is evident by a 2-15 record in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Royals starter Duffy despite of a quality effort in his last trip to the hill has seen his team go 0-5 in his followups  after a quality start and 0-5 in his L/5 home starts overall, and is 4-17 in his last 21 starts vs. American League Central . Needless to say Duffys numbers should not inspire anyone, and give credence to me fading him and a KC team that has lost 20 of their L/27 home games. Twins are 6-0 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Royals.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central Twins are 19-3 in Gibson's last 22 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.GIBSONs team when he starts is 9-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons and is 9-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game during the same time period. GIBSONs team when he starts is also 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse dating back to last season. GIBSON is also 25-8 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season .GIBSON is 11-1 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last few seasons.
Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline |
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05-29-18 | Wings +3.5 v. Liberty | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Liberty have started their season with a 0-2 record, after a hard fought gut wrenching loss to the defending champion Minnesota Lynx and could now easily find themselves in a letdown situation vs a under rated 2-2 Dallas Wings side that is a capable of pulling off the SU upset. The Wings took out the Liberty and preseason action by 10 points and matched up well against them overall. These teams played last September in regular season action and the Liberty pulled off a hard fought 82-81 win and another closely contested affair according to my own matchup stats is a high probability situation that warrants backing the underdog. It must be noted that the Liberty are expected to be without three guards in Brittany Boyd (Achilles), Sugar Rodgers (sore left knee) and Epiphanny Prince (concussion) . WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 16-33 L/5 seasons with the average margin deficit coming by 3 ppg. WNBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 70 points or more are 70-38 L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with the average margin deficit clicking in a 1.5 ppg. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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05-29-18 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R) My own power ranking suggest this is a huge pitching mismatch, and the runline is a very viable option here in this spot play. I know that the Tribes starting hurler  Clevinger has been a hard luck hurler in his last few efforts, despite of some decent  work, but I look for his team mates to back him up and  buoy him to victory here. It must be noted that the Tribe are a perfect  25-0 on the money-line  as a 120-or more  favorite when they are off a game as home chalk and they lost the last two games their starter started, as long as that thrower went a combined 8-plus innings in those two defeats. It must be noted that the  average margin of victory has come  by a WHOPPING  5.02 rpg and Indians have cashed 11 straight for their backers on the -1.5 runline under those above mentioned parameters. Lucas Giolito the Pale Hose starter owns a ugly 8.31 ERA in his L/3 starts, which is not a good omen for him and his team as the Tribe are heating up offensively and scored 8 and 10 runs vs the vaunted Houston Astros pitching staff this past weekend and scored 9 runs yesterday and the first game of this series in a victory. The Indians are now averaging around 6 rpg this season, at home. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-19 SU vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game this season with the average margin loss coming by 2.4 ppg. MLB  Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 8-37 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors, with the average margin loss coming by 3.5 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the -1.5 runline |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 208.5 | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Game 7 - Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets (Tied 3-3) |
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05-28-18 | Astros -121 v. Yankees | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R) Verlander the Astros starter has allowed one earned run or less in all five starts this month and gets the nod today for me vs Yankees starting hurler Domingo German who  has given up six runs in each of his last two trips to the hill. I know the Astros blew a 5 run lead yesterday and succumbed to the Tribe in extra innings, but that I'm betting makes this top tier team even hungrier and anxious for redemption. Yes, the Yankees are also a hot team, but the veteran Verlander according to my power rankings is a viable matchup for the pinstripe 9. Note: HOUSTON is 36-14  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season and is 47-18 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 during the same time parameters.  Astros are 8-2 in Verlanders last 10 road starts.Astros are 6-1 in Verlanders last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 12-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 200 | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 I'm betting this deciding game 7 will be an all out nasty physical affair that stays on the low side of the number. Boston will be out to pressure James and with Love out with an injury concentrate on making the super stars life miserable.  In this series, James has averaged 39 points per game at home, 27.7 per in the three games in Boston, which is more than 11 ppg less. .Cleveland's veteran core has struggled with their offensive game in Boston and the defense I expect to be ready to compete in what should be an all out hard-core defensive tit for tat punchem out  battle.  note: BOSTON is 12-3 UNDER  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over dating back to last season with the average combined score of 195.3 ppg scored. The Celtics have also gone UNDER 8 straight times, when the line is within 3 of pick off a defeat as an away dog when going against  an opponent averaging less than 4 blocks per game, staying under by more than 20 ppg. Also the Celtics have gone under 8 straight times by more than 14 points  off a game as a underdog in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws .Meanwhile,  Cleveland has gone under 9 straight times as a pup off a win as a home chalk  in which their opposition shot under 60% from the free throw line. Shooting badly from the charity stripe is sometimes related to exhaustion issues , which both sides will exhibit here this evening and this will also contribute to a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers might expect. Under is 4-1 in the L/5 meetings here in Boston. Cleveland has gone under in 15 of their 21 after an ATS win which happened in game 6. Play UNDER |
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05-27-18 | Storm v. Aces +6.5 | 105-98 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
Bill Lambeer has assembled some decent young talent in Las Vegas and they should not be underestimated here at home vs a Seattle team on tired legs and in an emotional letdown situation  after a hard fought come from behind over time victory vs Chicago last time out. I'l gladly takes the points with a hungry home team looking for positive momentum. SEATTLE is 4-12 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons and are 5-16 ats last 21 after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - horrible defensive team from last season - allowed 75 or more points/game, after scoring 40 points  are 8-23 L21 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to cover |
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05-27-18 | Reds v. Rockies -146 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Harvey the Mets starter is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA overall. He went 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in eight games (four starts) with the New York Mets and is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts for the Reds and is fade material here today in Colorado. Harvery is 0-1, 7.94 in one start at Coors Field in May 2016.COLORADO is 7-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The Reds have had a hard time vs RHP like Marquez, going  14-31 in their last 45 games vs. a right-handed starter and have lost 12 of 17 on the road vs orthodox pitchers.Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds took out the Rockies yesterday by a 6-5 count ,coming from behind for the win, but it must be noted that the Rockies have won 19 straight games as a favorite of more than 125 when they are off a loss as a favorite in which they led the lead, winning by an average of more than 5 runs per game.Reds are also 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Reds are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Colorado. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 51-16 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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05-27-18 | Astros v. Indians +115 | 9-10 | Win | 115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35) Gerrit Cole the Astros starter today is getting all the headlines, because of his top tier start to this campaign (5-1 1.86 ERA), but his pitching opponent and former UCLA teammate Bauer is no pushover and has garnered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is every bit as strong looking as Cole is at the moment. Bauer has not allowed  a run in his last two outings, permitting just  11 hits on just two walks and  16 strikeouts in 14 innings of quality work. Yesterday, the Indians showed some positive energy by blasting 4 HRs in a 8-6 win vs the Astros, and I;m betting on them feeding off that today and notch a win. Indians are 29-13 in their last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series and are also 47-21 in their last 68 home games. BAUERs team  is 14-2 in his starts against the money line in home games against AL West opponents in his career. BAUER is perfect  7-0 in his career when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.076. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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05-26-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
 JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) The Dodgers are finally getting over last seasons, play off hangover, and starting to notch wins (7-1 L/8). They were hard luck recipients of a lot of bad breaks earlier this season, as was evident by the Dodgers plus-19 run differential but a below .500 23-27 record. Today the pitching matchup I'm betting favors the Dodgers as Alex  Wood as he  goes to the hill in top form. Wood has garnered  a very viable 3.32 ERA over 10 starts during the season's first two months. He  is 4-2 in 13 appearances (nine starts) over his career against the Padres, while posting a 2.39 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Meanwhile, the Padres return fire with Lyles who despite of decent starts of late  is just  0-3 with a 6.97 ERA in 15 career appearances against the Dodgers, six of them starts. My own power rankings suggest that the Dodgers nine matchup well vs the righty hurler. Note: LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 2-18 L/20 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 losing SU by an average of 3.1 rpg. LA DODGERS are 13-0 SU in  line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons. which happened last time out, with the average margin of victory coming by 3.3 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 8-68 L/21 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate over the L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.7 rpg , which makes the runline option here a tangible proposition. Play on the LA Dodgers on the runline -1.5 |
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05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 213 | 86-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU Leads 3-2 This series is becoming intense and defense and not offense I'm betting will win this series. Golden State needs this game badly, or a surprising elimination from the post season will be on tomorrows media agenda. With that said, you can bet the Dubs will come out with all guns blazing, but the Rockets under rated D, will be primed to slow them down. On the other end of the court , Houston 's offense has been sputtering , and James Harden is slumping offensively and Chris Paul is out, so great deal of emphasis for the Rockets will center on their defense. Under the total is my call this evening.  Golden State has gone under 16 straight times as a rested favorite of at least five points when they are off a game in which they rebounded 15% or less of their own misses. Houston has gone UNDER 11 straight times by an average of more than 13 ppg after a game with 8+ lead changes and has stayed under 8 straight times by more than 17.6 ppg with less than two days rest off a home win when they are facing a side that is averaging more than five blocks per game. HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season with the combined average score of 201.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined score of 203.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER  in home games in all playoff games since 1996 with t combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 48-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-26-18 | Astros -101 v. Indians | 6-8 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R) Houston has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-4 and once again look like they matchup very well against the Tribe.On May 20 in Houston, McCullers and the Astros beat Carrasco and the Indians 3-1 and a repeat type performance is a strong possibility. Note: HOUSTON is 15-3 against the money line in road games after a win by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which happened yesterday. CLEVELAND is 4-12 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. The Cleveland Indians are 0-9 on the moneyline in franchise history with Carrasco at home when their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday. Carrasco has six straight non-quality starts as the Indians lost by multiple runs. CARRASCO is 1-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or less ), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 37-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros on the moneyline |
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05-26-18 | Fever +14 v. Sun | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Connecticut Sun blasted out of the gate this season with a huge win vs the Las Vegas Aces by a 101-65 count, and than followed that up with a hard fought come from behind 102-94 win vs a top tier LA Sparks team. That last game, was exhausting both physically and mentally and now a natural letdown scenario is a strong possibility, as I'm betting they will take more casual approach to this game against an Indiana side that is a lowly 0-4 on the season. CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS L/25 in home games off 2 or more consecutive home wins .
NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in May, June, or July games are 41-83 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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05-26-18 | Diamondbacks v. A's -150 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. DANIEL MENGDEN (R) Losers of seven straight and 13 of 14 before making the trip to Oakland, Arizona was in a full nose dive entering play here in Oakland yesterday, until a miraculous complete team effort buoyed them to a win yesterday in the the opening game in this series. However, their inconsistency remains an issue, and I'm doubting they have suddenly found their way out of this slump just yet and I'm betting against them here in this spot. The DBacks will send former Boston Red Sox starter out for his  10th career start against the A's. He has a winning record ( 4-2 ) vs the As but has a troubling  6.85 ERA in the first nine.He has not enjoyed pitching at the Coliseum in Oakland, going 1-2 with a 9.58 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, As starter Mengden (4-4, 3.30) has never faced the Diamondbacks, but h has gone 3-3 with a 3.74 ERA in seven interleague starts. The righty hurler has looked to be in top form in May, allowing just four earned runs in 24 2/3 innings over four starts and get the nod again here. Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. OAKLAND is 21-10  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last couple of seasons. MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 45-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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05-25-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 99-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-2 |
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05-25-18 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | 99-109 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3- This is a big game, and neither of these teams want to make mistakes here. With that said, I'm betting on a methodical and  very physical game especially from the Celtics as they look to slow down the Cavaliers sometimes explosive offensive attack via newly implemented bigger lineup. But don't underestimate the Cavs ability to push back and push back hard as is evident by the following trends.Cleveland have gone under 16 straight times  with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. In their last eight tilts  under those perimeters the Cavaliers have  allowed an average of just  90.9 ppg. BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER in the 6th game of a playoff series since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 182.4 ppg. Boston has gone UNDER 10 straight times by an average of more 12 ppg  as a dog with rest after a game as a home favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points . Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 90 points or less are 87-48 UNDER L/21 seasons for 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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05-25-18 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) After a pair of scoreless outings to start May, Teheran has given up 10 runs in his last two starts (11 innings), and his ERA jumped, from 3.14 to 4.17. He allowed a season-worst six runs in five innings against the Marlins during his previous start.He has not been great in two career outings against the Red Sox, one of them at Fenway, going 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA and yielding 19 hits in 13 1/3 innings. His ERA at Fenway is 8.53.The current Red Sox are a collective 14-for-40 (.350) with two homers against Teheran. Mookie Betts is 4-for-8 (.500), Brock Holt 3-for-6 (.500) with a homer and Xander Bogaerts 3-for-7 (.429). look for the BoSox do some damage here in this spot and come close by themselves to eclipsing this Total. TEHERAN in 6 games with when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season has seen a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored. Rodriguez I believe is very over rated as was evident last time out, giving up nine hits but no runs over 5 2/3 innings while throwing 110 pitches. He's not efficient, and teams like Atlanta I'm betting can take advantage of him. The lefty walked none and struck out just seven. In 37 career starts at Fenway, Rodriguez is 10-9 with a 4.64 ERA. Atlanta has done their best offensive work vs LH starters this season averaging 6.3 rpg on a strong .288 team BA which includes 19 HRs and overall vs all pitching 37 HRS on the road so far this season. I'm betting The fans standing on the Green Monster will get a workout here tonight. Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts on grass Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts.Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox have gone OVER 10 straight imes by an average of 6 rpg as an unrested home favorite in a series opener after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led which happened yesterday . Play on the OVER |
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05-25-18 | Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Eflin since being placed in the Phillies rotation has done well , but he showed some chinks in armour last time out as he struggled vs the Cardinals. The Blue Jays have been inconsistent offensively , but according to my power rankings matchup well vs Eflin . Note: The Jays have averaged 5 rpg vs RHP like Eflin this season. It must also be noted that Eflin gave up eight earned runs, nine hits (three homers) and three walks against the Blue Jays on June 14, 2016 in MLB debut. Some of the effects of the PTSD he suffered after that set back might come into his head here this evening. Meanwhile, Gaviglio the Jays pitcher, has to small a sample size to really get a grasp of his overall form, but from scouting reports he is average at best and susceptible to being lit up by a Phillies offense that has scored an average of 5.1 rpg at home this season. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 14-2 in Blue Jays last 16 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-3 in Blue Jays last 16 vs. National League East.Over is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 interleague road games. Over is 6-0 in Eflins last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. The Phillies have gone over 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest off a game as a favorite in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.The Blue Jays have gone OVER 12 straight times as a dog with no rest in a series opener when they are off a game as a dog and facing a team with a better record. Both trends went over by just under 5rpg. TORONTO is 8-0 OVER L/8 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.TORONTO is 9-1 OVER against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.TORONTO is 10-1 OVER  in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-24-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
 Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The last two meetings in this series have stayed under by more than 20 points. At the start of this series I suggested that the series would be won by the team that exhibited the best ability to control the others explosive offense. I'm expecting both sides to be physical tonight when defending and for them to move the ball around a lot when in the offensive end , which will result in a lot of clock eating taking place which I'm betting will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers are obviously expecting. HOUSTON is 15-4 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 201.7 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 209.2 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg getting scored. Houston's HC D'Antoni is 30-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. Golden States HC Kerr is 18-5 UNDER L/23 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more with the combined average score clicking in at 209.6 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 27-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-24-18 | Orioles v. White Sox +127 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R) Baltimore enters this tilt vs the White Sox experiencing a disappointing season to this point, while the Pale Hose have been exhibiting an uptick in their performance date as they shake themselves out a funk off their own after having won 4 of their L/5 games and are off a 11-1 smash down of the O's yesterday. Baltimore will now send the supposed ace of their pitching staff right-hander Dylan Bundy (2-6, 4.70 ERA) out to the hill to make his 11th start of the season. The power pitcher has really struggled of late as he mimics his teams lack of success. Since April 26, Bundy is 1-4 with a 9.41 ERA in five starts. He has allowed 23 earned runs in 22 innings, including 12 home runs and he has given up at least three home runs in three of his past four starts. His mechanics are way off and he is telegraphing his pitches, and once again looks like fade material vs a team that feeling a lot more confident of late and starting to heat up offensively. BALTIMORE is 0-11 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 0-9 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. BALTIMORE is 8-23(against the money line against right-handed starters this season like White Sox Starter right-hander Lucas Giolito . MLB All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70 or less) -AL, in May games are 44-28 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 10 runs or more are 33-15 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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05-23-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Freeland the Rockies starter held the Giants to one run in 6 2/3 innings and notched his fifth straight quality start. He has a 1.59 ERA over that stretch.Freeland has won all three of his starts in May, posting a 1.35 ERA in that stretch. Freeland 4 lifetime starts vs the /dodgers have all gone under the total. FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER L/10 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse with the average combined score clicking at 6.5 rpg. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season with a combined average of 5.2 rpg scored.FREELAND is 16-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 12-3 UNDER against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starting hurler Maeda gets an extra day of rest for Wednesday night’s start against the Rockies and Kyle Freeland. He now well rested and fresh and he is coming off his best start of the year -- eight scoreless innings on two hits against Miami. Maeda (3-3, 3.89) and has had plenty of success against the Rockies in seven appearances (five starts), going 4-2 with a 2.56 ERA. Maeda faces a Colorado offense that despite of looking good on paper before the season began, are hitting just .217 on the road as a team. Under is  4-1 in Maedas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 5-1 in Maedas last 6 home starts. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. I'm betting for both of these hurlers to go long and strong tonight and to help keep this score on the low side of the Total. Play UNDER |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 206 | 83-96 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Cleveland had a hard time finding their scoring touch in the first two games of this series, here in Boston, but I'm betting they solved their offensive  problems and the way Celtics HC Stevens was playing them. With that said, I now expect the Cavs to continue with a cohesive attack, and for the Celtics to come back with some offensive fire works of their own here in their own building, where they play their best hoops,  in a tilt I have pegged to go over the number. Note: Cleveland has seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored on the road this season while the Celtics have seen a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored on their won home court. I'm betting on the combined score to fall in between these to totals parameters tonight. Note: BOSTON is 15-4 OVER when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game this season with the combined average score clicking in at 208.8 ppg. The Cavaliers have gone OVER 15 straight times by more than 18 ppg  with rest off a home game when their last four games are L-L-W-W and their opponent is off a loss. The Celtics have gone OVER 17 straight times  off a loss in which they had a basket-assisted percentage (BAP) of 80% or less, and at least nine percentage points higher than their opponent's BAP. BOSTON is 22-10 OVER  in home games versus below defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 221.7 ppg going on the board.BOSTON is 14-4 OVER  in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-23-18 | Capitals +135 v. Lightning | 4-0 | Win | 135 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3 The Bolts are lucky to still be in this series. Why this series is tied 3-3 and game 7 now being played is because  the Caps have lapsed in some key spots, but have been the overall superior team in this series, as is evident by the Capitals winning the Corsi For percentage  battle during 5 on 5 in all six games . What I'm betting here is that the Capitals do not lose concentration and finish off this series as deserved winners. Capitals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games.Capitals are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Capitals are 21-9 in their last 30 vs. Eastern Conference.Road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline |
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05-23-18 | Braves +111 v. Phillies | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
LUIZ GOHARA (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R) Braves starter Gohara, is a big strong 6-foot-3, 265 pounds hurler , that made five starts for Atlanta at the end of the 2017 season . In those efforts he registered 31 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. The Phillies thrower is under rated according to my own power rankings and matches up well vs this Philly lineup. Meanwhile, Arietta the Phillies starting pitcher, is in top form of late, but  has seen his team lose 12 of his L/19 starts vs divisional opposition and his L/4 starts overall . ARRIETA is 3-10 L/13 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 . ATLANTA is 7-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-5  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and is 11-2  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Atlanta has won seven of its first 11 games against the Phillies this season, and the team is 20-10 against divisional opponents. Braves a perfect 8-0 this season in the rubber game of a three-game series this seasons and are 12-1 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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05-23-18 | Angels -115 v. Blue Jays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (2-4, 4.47 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays against Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 2.88). |
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05-23-18 | Dream v. Sky -2.5 | 81-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Chicago has started their season at 2-0 and they are looking pretty strong in their current form and possible dark horse play off contenders after a dismal season in 2017. Even though their four-year streak of playoff qualification came to an end, the team did end in a positive direction at the end of last season. Point guard Courtney Vandersloot set the WNBA record for highest assist average for a season (8.1), while Allie Quigley made her first All-Star team and won the league’s 3-point contest and its extending into this season. I'm betting Atlanta will be over matched in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS vs. division opponents over the last few seasons. Chicago has won 3 of the L/4 meetings here on their own floor. WNBA team vs the money line (ATLANTA) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 14-35 L/21 seasons for a go against  72% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by 5 ppg. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after a loss by 10 points or more are 14-42 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors with the average margin loss coming by 6.2 ppg. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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05-22-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. BROCK STEWART (R) Despite of finding ways to win the Colorado Rockies offense, has really struggled, especially on the road, averaging 3.8 rpg on a lowly .218 BA, and  ranks 26th in K% against RHP (24%), 25th in RPG on the road (3.8), and 27th in WOBA over the last 2 weeks (.269) . the Rockies team OPS of .703 was 23rd in baseball before todays tilt.  I'm betting who ever starts for the Dodgers will find a way to keep their very inconsistent offense from unloading in any big way. Their only saving grace is a pitching staff that has been in top form on the road, and todays starter for the Rockies Bettis is part of this qualifying data as he owns a stingy 1.83 ERA in 6 games a visitor. He will face a Dodgers nine, that owns a equally ugly  .222 BA while scoring an average of 3.6 rpg at home in Chez Ravine. Everything points on a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse the number. Under is 4-0-1 in Bettis' last 5 road starts. Under is 20-5-1 in Bettis L/26 starts. Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Rockies starter CHAD BETTIS is 11-0 UNDER  L/11 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).  Play UNDER |
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05-22-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -8 | 95-92 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 2-1 Golden State is an 8 to 8.5-point favorite in Game 4. The betting line I'm betting is very beatable based on past performances by the Warriors at home in Oakland, California .Since Kevin Durant came over to the  Warriors via free agency, Golden State has gone 16-0 in home playoff games, with the average margin of victory coming by an astonishing 17.1 points per game. The team is 7-0 at Oracle Arena in their years play offs with four of the victories coming by DDs and six wins by eight points or more. Some thought that the Rockets might make a series of this after a surprising game 2 win , but that woke the Warriors up and now their on the war path . With that said, the Warriors once again get the nod here to cover on this line in front of the own fans. The Rockets are 22-7 ATS L/29 at home vs a team with a .600 record or better. GOLDEN STATE is 19-9 ATS  off a home blowout win by 20 points or more dating back to last season with the average margin of victory coming by 14.3 ppg. Kerr is 18-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE witht he average margin of victory coming by 14.9 ppg. Rockets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Pacific. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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05-22-18 | Braves +114 v. Phillies | 3-1 | Win | 114 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) I said it before this season started, that the Atlanta Braves would be a dark horse possibility, and I'm now saying that their recent top tier play is not an anomaly, but their opponents the Phillies, strong performance to this point in the season might be. The Braves have been especially strong on the road where they have recorded 17 wins in 26 games. They lost yesterday to the Phillies, by a 3-0 count, but today I expect the Braves to bounce back. Note:Braves are 4-0 in their starters McCarthys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game . Braves are also 5-1 in McCarthys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Velasquez has seen his team lose 15 of his last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Braves .Phillies are also just 5-12 in Velasquezs last 17 home starts.VELASQUEZ is 0-8 L/8 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season.Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. Braves. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. ATLANTA is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.  Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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05-22-18 | Aces +16 v. Mystics | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Connecticut clobbered Vegas in both teams opener , by a embarrassing 101-65 count. Washington is now because of the Aces dismal performance being made 16 point chalk on the opening line.It must be noted that After a long tenure with the New York Liberty, the well respected Bill Laimbeer left to become the coach and general manager of the former San Antonio Stars, which relocated to Sin City and believe me when I say he not taking this kick in the face lying down. Laimbeer does have the  talented  National Player of the Year A’ja Wilson of South Carolina and  guard Kelsey Plum in the lineup  and despite of their ugly effort last time out are talented enough to stay within the number here and at least redeem themselves to some extent by being competitive. LAS VEGAS is 13-4 ATS L/17  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or more over the last few seasons. LAS VEGAS is 10-2 ATS L/12 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last few seasons. Mystics HC Thibault is 1-10 ATS  as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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05-21-18 | Rockies +162 v. Dodgers | 2-1 | Win | 162 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
 GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R) The Dodgers are on a 5 game win streak, after finishing off a east coast road trip by sweeping the Nationals . But now after travelling all the way back out to  the West coast last night and now tired and in the precarious situation of having to get acclimated to being home again.  I now expect the Dodgers will be prone to a let down situation against a Colorado team that travels well as is evident by their 18-11 away record and are  13-4 record  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Note: LA DODGERS are 7-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season The Rockies will send right-hander German Marquez to the mound Monday . He has pitched his best ball away from the launching pad known as Coors field posting a 2.25 ERA in his five road starts. He is an under rated hurler who gives the Rockies a great opportunity for a outright underdog victory. Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter . LA DODGERS are 7-15 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 8-0 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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05-21-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -6.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 2-1 The Cavaliers finally pushed back physically in game 3 of this series, with a top tier defensive effort, that resulted in a 116-86 win and the guy that lead the way was surprisingly LeBron James , who played his best defensive tilt of the season and tossed in 27 points to boot. The Cavs put him up against Brown -- the Celtics' top player in the first two games of this series -- and Brown didn't even score until there was 8:20 left in the second quarter.I respect the Celtics , but I could feel a monumental shift taking place in that game, as the Cavaliers got their mojo back. I know the young Celtics are talking about rebounding, but after that clobbering, their mental state of underdog invincibility may have gone out the window. Stevens is already talking about lineup changes which could change the dynamic of the Celtics core, after that startling game 3 result.  With blood in the water , and the possibility of tying this game at 2 games a piece before going back to Boston for game 5 , you can bet James and company will be in top form and ready to put the hammer down vs a inexperienced group. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 11-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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05-20-18 | Mercury +2.5 v. Storm | 87-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Phoenix opened their season with a 86-78 win as 5 point chalk vs Dallas and look like viable underdogs in this spot vs the Seattle Storm. PHOENIX is 6-0 ATS  in road games off a win against a division rival over the last few seasons.  Mercury C Brittney Griner looks primed for a  season as does C Marie Gulich. F DeWanna Bonner, back after having twins, plus former  Fever PG Briann January. Finish off with future HOF Diana Taurasi  and you have a dangerous Mercury side to back vs a Storm side depends way to much on 3 point shooting and veteran Bird who at 37 has slowed considerably despite of still having great basketball prowess. WNBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 85 or more points are a long term good bet going 63-32 L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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05-20-18 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 159 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Phoenix looks set to play much better defense than many might give them credit for being able to do. I watched portions of their opening win vs a potent Dallas offense, and feel confident they matchup well vs Seattle and have the ability to slow them down offensively and clamp down a side that takes way to many three pointers to compete. I'm betting on this game staying on the low side of the number. My own Totals projections set this numbers at 154 to 156 so we have value on this line. Play UNDER |
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05-20-18 | Sparks +5.5 v. Lynx | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The core of the Sparks that  led to success recently remains intact as  F Nneka Ogwumike (2016 MVP) and F/C Candace Parker (2008, '13 MVP) are still on the court . New faces include veteran G Cappie Pondexter and rookie C Maria Vadeeva and make them viable contenders. Their two way play is their strength , and I'm betting it keeps them in this game vs Minnesota side that had to replace a lot of their bench in the off season. The defending champs beat the Sparks in last years finals , and are a still a top tier  team, but their overloaded veteran presence  , makes them vulnerable to injuries and exhaustion late in games, and their hunger to beat up on a team they beat last season, may be less their opponents urge for revenge.  Take the points in what should be a competitive game. LOS ANGELES is 27-15 ATS in all games dating back to last season. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 6 or more points/game, vs. division opponents are 26-5 L/21 seasons for a powerful 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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05-20-18 | Dodgers v. Nationals -137 | 7-2 | Loss | -137 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) Strasburg the Nats starter today is in top form of late, going 3-0 along with garnering a stingy 2.61 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets my support here today vs a LA Dodgers team tht has  lost 19 of their L/27 games vs a RHP starter. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter is a off a good effort last time out, but that has not been a recipe for continued success as his team is 0-4 when he is  off a quality outing. STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-0 against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. WOOD is 6-18 against the money line in day games in his career. Someone seems to like Sunday baseball. STRASBURG teams when he starts are 28-4 against the money line when playing on Sunday .Nationals are 58-18 in Strasburgs last 76 starts. Nationals are 14-3 in game 3 of a series. MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more on the opening line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 88-21 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline |
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05-19-18 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 205 | 86-116 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 26 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0 I finally expecting for the Cavaliers to come out here in front of their own fans and leave everything on the floor as they make an effort to make a comeback in this series down 2-0. Last time out James had 42 points for the Cavs, and Love 22 ,but the rest of team looked old bored and worn out. Its not like they cant wake up as a group on occasion, as was evident vs the Pacers and Raptors , because they can. With that said, tonight I'm now betting the Cavs as a whole after that embarrassment will be firing on all cylinders offensively and that they will force the Celtics into reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. My own projections estimate that both teams will hit the 105 point plateau. Note: BOSTON is 20-1 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season and CLEVELAND is 24-7 OVER in home games when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game over the last few seasons and are 35-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. CLEVELAND is 21-12 OVER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 16-6 OVER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg going on the board. CLEVELAND in 20 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season have seen a combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. BOSTON is 22-11 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. BOSTON is 24-13 OVER L/37 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored. NBA team (BOSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 49-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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05-19-18 | Capitals +150 v. Lightning | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The road team has won all 4 games in this series, and I'm betting on the visitor cashing again in this spot. In game 4 the Caps looked to be in control, but somehow lost focus and succumbed to the Bolts. I really believe that very little separates these teams, except for the caps superior grit, and tonight, their physicality will be the difference maker. Note: Evgeny Kuznetsov and Alex Ovechkin both have 10 goals to pace the Capitals, who now have the confidence that comes with playing on the road. Overall in the playoffs, road teams are 40-34, on pace to challenge the NHL record for most postseason wins by a road team -- 47 in 2012. WASHINGTON is 9-4 ATS   in road games against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS  in road games in the conference finals since 1996.WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS   in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline |
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05-19-18 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R) Baltimore enters this game as poster boys for road futility in Major League Baseball having garnered 13 straight losses. Tonight I'm betting on their tourist visas getting cancelled again and for the O's to end up on the wrong side of the lopsided score. After three rough starts in a row, Bundy the Os starter rebounded to limit the inconsistent Rays to two hits in seven scoreless innings on Sunday. That I'm betting was an anomaly and he will revert back to his previous form in this spot vs a much more explosive BoSox offense. The righty is 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA in 13 appearances against Boston. Meanwhile, Porecello started his season 5-0 , but has had a couple of down games, but I'm betting he will respond here at Fenway where his  is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season. BUNDY the Orioles starter is 3-12 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average margin deficit clicking in at Opp 6.4 Balt 4 BALTIMORE is 1-12 SU in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average loss coming of 2.7 rpg.BALTIMORE is 4-20 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better with the combined average victory coming by 2.2 rpg.BALTIMORE is 7-34 L/31 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more with the average combined loss coming by a whopping 3.3 rpg. The Red Sox are 10-0 SU as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and have won these ten games by an average of 4.90 runs, scoring an average of 7.90 runs per game in those tilts. Play on Boston Red Sox on the -1.5 on the RL |
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05-18-18 | Indians +160 v. Astros | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R) Clevinger the Indians starter is in top form, as is evident by his 3-0 record and stingy 2,70 ERA. He has pitched some of his best ball on the road recording a 10-5 record along with a 3.22 ERA in 24 appearances (19 starts) . The Tribes right hander will now face a Houston team that has been futile at home from a offensive perspective scoring just 3.9 rpg on a nasty looking  .223 team BA. Clevinger, is 1-1 along with a minuscule  1.04 ERA in two starts versus the Astros. It must be noted that HOUSTON is 0-6  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season and is is 0-5  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Clevinger qualifies under both these trends. Meanwhile, the Astros will return fire with Charlie Morton who is also in top from with a 5-0 record along with a 2.03 ERA. He is looking good , but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings, does not matchup excessively well vs the Tribes hitters.Edwin Encarnacion and  Jason Kipnis have Homered in a combined nine at-bats versus Morton, who is a lowly  0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts versus Cleveland. Cleveland has won 24 of the 34 meetings since the Astros joined the AL in 2013, including five of six during this campaign. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston. HOUSTON is 9-16 L/25 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games. MLB Any team (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 43-75 L/5 seasons for a go against  64% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 21-43 L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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05-18-18 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - VGS Leads 2-1 During these play offs the Vegas Knights have rarely been taken out of their comfort zone as evident by storming back from 1 game down to take a 2-1 lead in this series.. Their aggressive and methodical robot like demeanour and defensive prowess are to be respected. Look for nothing to change tonight.  Knowing the importance of this pivotal tilt, I'm betting we will see both teams take part in  a very physical , and conservative game plan that bases scoring chances on transitional hockey. This will limit goal scoring and will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of their shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored.VEGAS is 14-5 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 8-1 UNDER   in road games revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-18-18 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 8-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
JON LESTER (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R) Bailey the supposed ace of the Reds  is struggling , with a 5.59 ERA and a .285 opponent batting average. He's allowed 12 homers in 48 1/3 innings of sub par work. He got a win last time but gave up 10 hits and is fortunate . Bailey last faced the Cubs in successive starts last season Aug. 16 and 22, allowing six runs in 8 2/3 innings. According to my own cross reference pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs, and could easily get blasted again. Note: Chicago has drawn 47 walks over the past 10 games after earning only 18 free passes in its previous 11 contests and they should continue to get base runners in scoring positon here vs this type of pitcher and score above their season average of 5 rpg, and help eclipse this total.Over is 8-2 in Baileys last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-3-1 in Baileys last 17 starts vs. Cubs. I also expect the Reds capable hitters to do just enough damage vs Lester a Cubs hurler that must be respected, but that has also shown some inconsistencies over the last couple of seasons especially against sub par teams.  Over is 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 12-5 in Lesters last 17 starts overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Lesters last 6 road starts vs. Reds. Over is 5-0 in Lesters L/5 starts overall vs Reds. CINCINNATI is 16-5 OVER   in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 20-7 OVER (+12.9 Units) as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse  over his last 3 starts are 36-8 OVER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-17-18 | Rockies +129 v. Giants | 5-3 | Win | 129 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) Right-handers Chad Bettis (4-1, 3.12 ERA) of the Rockies and Jeff Samardzija (1-2, 6.94) of the Giants  are the two starting pitchers in this series opener. Bettis in 5 road starts owns a stingy 1.35 ERA and that is where his 4-1 record has been garnered. Meanwhile, his Giants pitching opponent SAMARDZIJA has not liked pitching at home in AT &T this season as is evident by  recording a ugly 8.30 ERA in two starts, and recently has notched a equally nasty 7.36 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, allowing 12 ERS spanning 14.7 innings of sub par work. Needless to say Bettis is in better form and gets my backing here tonight. Giants are 1-5 in Samardzijas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies. BETTIS is 30-19  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAMARDZIJA when he starts has seen his team go  15-32 L/47  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125. COLORADO is 14-1   against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base dating back to last season, which happened vs SD last time out in a 4-0 loss.  COLORADO is 11-4  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. COLORADO is 10-4  against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season. Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game over the last couple of seasons. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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05-17-18 | Padres v. Pirates -155 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)  To open the series Thursday, the Padres will send out rookie left-hander Eric Lauer (1-2, 8.27 ERA) against Pirates right-hander Chad Kuhl (4-2, 4.17).   I don't regularly lay a lot of lumber, but the averages according to my head to head power rankings are on our side in this spot, and worth the extra outlay. The Pirates have clobbered southpaws like Lauer this season, for an average 5.9 rpg via powerful .286 team BA. Yes, I know the Padres have been playing decently of late, but that has not been a recipe for success for this team In the past as is evident by their  8-25 record against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last couple of seasons.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, in May games are just 18-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 | 105-127 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0  Golden State ratcheted up their D in game 1 and showed us how tough they really are. I cant bring myself to bet against the Dubs SU, no matter what the circumstances are if their completely healthy, which they are. Meanwhile, Houston must also come out and play physical  D, if they have any chance of getting back into this series, which I also have my doubts about. What I am confident about is that this game will be more grinding then game one and much more physical. Houston owns the 6th ranked Defensive effecnicy in the league, and Golden State is very under rated from a defensive perspective but must be respected behind a boat load full of talent. Look for the Rockets to leave everything on the floor here and for Golden State to break the Rockets by  slowing  their opponents offensive flow down. This will result in a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are anticipating. HOUSTON is 13-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with the combined average score  of 205.9 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER   in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-3 L/18 UNDER  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better ) with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. Golden State in their  27 games as a road underdog have seen a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 UNDER  after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 UNDER off a road win this season with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 UNDER   in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON/GOLDEN STATE ) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 114-98 L/5 UNDER seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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05-16-18 | Rays -101 v. Royals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
JACOB FARIA (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R) Hammel the KC Royals starting pitcher today is currently struggling as is evident by having allowed 20 ERS in L/3 starts spanning 15 innings on 24 hits and 5 HRS. Meanwhile, I know the Rays are dealing with some nagging injuries, but I'm betting they still have enough offensive weapons to get the job done this afternoon vs a Royals team that are ranked last in the majors with a 5.48 ERA, including 5.64 from the bullpen - the second-highest average in mlb.. KANSAS CITY is 5-20 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. KANSAS CITY is 4-13 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERAÂ 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERAÂ 5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 47-17 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the moneyline |
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05-15-18 | Reds v. Giants UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. TY BLACH (L) |
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05-15-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 94-107 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - BOS Leads 1-0 The Cavs looked rusty in game 1 of this series after a lengthy layoff after disposing of the Toronto Raptors in 4 straight games. Meanwhile, the Celtics after a 5 game series win vs Philadelphia  remained cohesive, after a short lay off. I liked the way the Cavs matched up vs the Celtics before game 1, and despite of being wrong about the outcome of that game I still like the Cavaliers on a pickem line in game 2.
NBA team (BOSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 22-51 ATS in the follow up the L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 34-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland  Cavaliers to cover |
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05-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 2-12 | Win | 108 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.09 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Blue Jays left-hander Jaime Garcia (2-2, 5.40 ERA). These pitchers are being a little over rated here by the linesmakers here tonight, and despite of both the Mets and Jays struggling a bit with their offenses of late , my own power rankings suggest these batting  lineups should under nominal circumstances to do well enough to be breach this total. The Blue Jays have scored an average of 5.2 rpg vs RHP this season, and the Mets have averaged 4.1 rpg overall, but should up these numbers vs a Jays pitcher in Garcia that has garnered a 8.36 road ERA this season, and a ugly 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts overall allowing 13 runs in 13 unlucky innings. Market moved this Totals line from a 7 to 7.5 very quickly after opening. I'm betting the market has it right. I know we are now dealing with having to win by more run , but in the recent past Toronto is 21-3 OVER when the total is 7 or less . Note: The Blue Jays entered Monday ranked fourth in the majors with 56 homers. TORONTO is 9-1 OVER   in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.  Over is 12-2 in Blue Jays last 14 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 interleague road games.Over is 6-2-2 in Blue Jays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 17-5 in Mets last 22 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Mets last 19 vs. American League East. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 55-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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05-15-18 | Dodgers v. Marlins +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)   It seems everyone in the media and baseball circles continues to keep crapping on the Marlins . I'm not arguing that  their not bad, but sometimes there is value attached to their games because of these perceptions presented us by the media propagandists. Today is one of those games, as an equally disappointing team the LA Dodgers are being pegged as big favorites. The LA DODGERS are just 3-16 SU as chalk of -125 to -175 this season and are far from viable favorites against any team in MLB in their current form. Meanwhile, Chen the Marlins starter despite of his struggles is 15-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher in his career and seems to wake up just long enough to perform at optimal strength before going back to sleep under these types of circumstances. Chen goes against a Dodgers team that struggles against southpaws like him, as is evident by their 3.3 rpg game output and nasty looking .220 team BA. CHEN is 2-0 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.105 and gets the nod today on a value +1.5 RUNLINE situation. |
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05-14-18 | Rockies -101 v. Padres | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L) Anderson the Rockies starter has a eight-game unbeaten streak come to an end Wednesday, when he allowed four runs over five innings in an 8-0 set back to the Los Angeles Angels. I'm expecting he will bounce back here today.Anderson is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five career starts versus San Diego, including a 1.50 ERA with no-decisions in two outings this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 road starts. Anderson goes against Padres team off a win yesterday, but in the recent past this has not necessarily been a good omen for the Fathers  as they have lost 7 of their L/9 after notching a victory. Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings and 4-1 L/5 here in beautiful San Diego. COLORADO is 12-3 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. COLORADO is 13-5 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 11-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.COLORADO is 5-0  against the money line in road games in May games this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to cash on the moneyline |
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05-14-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 | 119-106 | Push | 0 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 |
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05-13-18 | Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0 The Capitals came at the Lightning in game 1, and took them out of their flow with aggressive fore-checking for a 4-2 win . I'm betting the Bolts will be more prepared to play in transition tonight, and for this to be a fast paced offensive style game with a take no prisoners mentality attached to it. TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER   in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. NHL team against the total (TAMPA BAY/WASH) - in the conference finals, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 55-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-13-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) Jeremy Hellickson, the Nationals starter is currently in top form, and owns a minuscule 1.02 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and I once again expect he will provide his team, with a another strong effort vs a struggling Arizona offense, that has only twice in their L/9 games scored more than 3 runs, and have averaged just 3.7 rpg at home this season. Hellickson has seen his L/5 starts vs the DBacks stay under the total. HELLICKSON is 20-7 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons. Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall. Meanwhile, the DBacks starter Zack Godely has pitched his best ball at home this season where has garnered a stingy 1.96 ERA in 3 starts, allowing just 4 ERs in more than 18 innings of work. He goes against a Nationals offense that has a .246 BA that registers under the Mendoza line . Under is 3-1-1 in Godleys last 5 home starts..Under is 5-0 in Godleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. ARIZONA is 15-1 UNDER   in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  ARIZONA is 13-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.  ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  .ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. ARIZONA is 15-4 UNDER in home games this season. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER in home games in May games this season . Arizona games have seen a combined average 6.8 rpg scored this season. WASHINGTON is 32-14 UNDER against NL West opponents over the last couple seasons. WASHINGTON in 14 games against the  vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season have seen a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Home plate umpire Foster has seen 5 of his L/7 appearances go under the set total. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 48-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-13-18 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L) Wainwright comes off the DL for his first  start since April 17 when he looked great vs the Cubs. His surgically repaired elbow was sore but his effort was a quality one. Wainwright is 6-3 in his career against the Padres with a 2.07 ERA and a .238 opponents' batting average. . His ERA against the Padres is the second lowest among active starters to Clayton Kershaw's 1.94.He is only 1-3 against the Padres at Petco Park, but he does own a stingy 2.63 ERA in those games. Under is 4-0 in Wainwrights last 4 starts vs. National League West. Under is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 8-2-2 in Cardinals last 12 overall. Meanwhile, the Padres starter. Richards despite of a tepid start to his season, has produced top tier results vs the Cards going  3-0 with a miniscule  0.95 ERA in his three starts against the Cardinals at Petco Park. Richards numbers may not be inspirational overall, but the hurler has pitched well outside of the National League West as was evident vs the Washington Nationals when he allowed  three runs on seven hits and no walks with eight strikeouts over eight innings Tuesday for his longest outing the of the season and his best performance since Opening Day. Note: RICHARD is 17-4 UNDER  in his career at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 . RICHARD in his L/25 games overall  when the total is 8 to 8.5 has seen a combined average score of 6.8 rpg scored. Richards L/4 games vs a winning team have gone under. These teams have gone UNDER in 4 of the L/5 meetings here and I'm betting another low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the number. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 125-68 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UNDER |
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05-13-18 | Cavs -1 v. Celtics | 83-108 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 47 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The young Boston Celtics played like grizzled veterans in their first two series vs two teams Milwaukee and Philadelphia who showed their inexperience. The Celtics  played physical athletic ball, and came out on top thanks to their grit and chemistry. However, with that said, I'm betting the Celtics will not have an answer for a well rested LeBron James and a talented play off tested Cavaliers , that has matched up well against this Beantown Hoops group in the recent past. With that said, I'm recommending we back Cleveland to come out on top in a game the lines-makers have pegged as a pickem.  It must be noted that Cleveland hammered the Celtics in Boston back on Feb 11 by a 121 -99 score, covering a 5 dogs and have won 4 of the L/5 meetings. ( I will watch this series closely, and possibly adjust my assessments based on game 1, but for now on this line the Cavs get the nod. ) CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 off a home blowout win by 20 points or more . ( Cavs beat Toronto 128-93 in the last game of a 4 game series sweep)  NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - an excellent offensive team (102 PPG) or more against a average at best defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a huge blowout win by 30 or more are 28-3 L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.  NBA Home underdogs (BOSTON) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close home win by 3 points or less are 8-34 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against  81% rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover |
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05-13-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Kluber the Indians starter had a 4 game winning streak snapped last time out, and will be very ready to bounce back in this spot vs the KC Royals. In two starts against Kansas City last year, Kluber was 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA. Meanwhile, Duffy KCs starter . In three starts against the Indians last year, he was 0-3 with a 4.60 ERA. His team has also lost his L/6 starts vs the Tribe. DUFFY is 3-12 L/15 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg.
MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL are 101-20 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. Play on the Indians on the RUNLINE -1.5 |
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05-12-18 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R) The Astros entered their three-game series with the Texas Rangers at Minute Maid Park averaging just 3.8 runs at home compared with 5.9 runs on the road. Texas has enough offensive fire power to take out a team like the Astros that is struggling with run production at home, making them dangerous underdogs in this spot. Last season, the Astros averaged 4.9 runs at home with an .812 OPS while scoring 6.2 runs per game on the road with an .834 OPS, so their is definitely an issue , and something that must be examined. Tonight I'm betting that Rangers Right-hander Doug Fister (1-3, 4.02) is a capable of giving his team a chance to cash as underdogs in this spot.  Fister is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA in his four career starts against the Astros.
There is value here on the moneyline but I'm recommedning we take the bonus +1.5 runs for what will still be a plus payday if my betting assumptions on this game are correct . Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the Runline +1.5 |
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05-12-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights are the most successful first-year franchise in the history of professional sports with  the key to their success being  an ability to play a hard core structured defensive system that scores a lot in transition. Its pretty obvious to anyone that watches them in action, that you cant intimidate them, and or take out of their system. Winnipeg was able to take Nashville out of their comfort zone, and won their last series, but I'm betting a more difficult task awaits the Jets here. Vegas is also fresh after being off for a week, after quickly disposing of San Jose .Meanwhile,  Winnipeg might be a little let down, after their grueling 7 game series vs Nashville and will be out to make sure mistakes are not made here in game 1 that will put them immediately behind the eight ball. With that said, I'm expecting these two big punchers to take part in  a respectful hard hitting conservative affair that stays on the low side of the Total. VEGAS is 13-4 UNDER against good starting goalies - (saving 91.5% or more of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER   in home games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season. NHL team against the total (WINNIPEG) - off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 46-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-12-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
 Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-3, 3.52 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Troy Scribner (2017: 2-1, 4.18) Strasburg the Nationals starter has recorded back-to-back quality starts after going 0-2 over his previous three trips to the hill. Strasburg owns a 3.59 ERA in 10 career starts. He goes against , a Arizona team that has scored more than 3 runs only twice in their L/8 games, and that averages just 3.8 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Scribner the DBacks expected starter at  Triple A-Reno this season has struck out 24 in 25 1/3 innings of work. "I'm anxious to show everybody what I can do," Scribner told reporters, "and hopefully I can show them why I belong here and can stay here to help the team." He will be primed to perform, and should provide a decent deterrent to a struggling  group of hitters that are not accustomed to his stuff. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total. ARIZONA is 14-1 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.  ARIZONA is 12-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER   in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. ARIZONA is 9-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Strasburgs last 10 road starts. Under is 24-11-3 in Nationals last 38 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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05-12-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 9 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (3-1, 4.41 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Domingo German (0-1, 2.66) These starters today have looked capable this season, but both according to my power rankings are susceptible to being lit up by two explosive offenses. Yesterday, the Athletics smashed  out 14 hits - four home runs - to romp to a 10-5 win in the series opener. I'm expecting more fireworks this afternoon. Note: Oakland has averaged 5 rpg on the road this season , while the Yankees have scored an average of 6.4 rpg at home. The Athletics are 8-0 OVER in franchise history with Triggs on the hill when he had more K's than hits allowed in his last start which happened last time out. NY YANKEES are 9-1 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season with a combined average score of 12.4 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 8-0 OVER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 13-4 OVER in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-11-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (6-1, 1.74 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Matt Koch (2-0, 2.13) Koch the DBacks starter tonight vs the Washington Nationals made his season debut in relief but has made four starts since, allowing fewer than three earned runs in each while working at least six innings three times. Meanwhile, Three time Cy Young award winner Scherzer is in top form and continues to be a strike out king, as is evident by reaching double digits in strikeouts in five of his eight trips to the hill this year, and should once again give his opposition the DBacks fits here tonight. With that said, I'm expecting a pitcher duel in the desert tonight and for this combined score to stay on the low side of the number. ARIZONA is 13-1 UNDER   in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  ARIZONA is 11-0 UNDER   in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.  ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER  in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  ARIZONA is 10-0 UNDER   in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.ARIZONA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. Under is 4-0 in Kochs last 4 home starts.Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 2 of a series.Under is 34-16-6 in Nationals last 56 road games.Under is 23-11-3 in Nationals last 37 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings including last nights 2-1 Nationals 11 inning  win. Play UNDER |
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05-11-18 | Capitals v. Lightning OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 These two explosive offenses are well rested and ready to run and gun tonight in the opening game of their best of 7 eastern conference finals series. With that said, I expect this total to be eclipsed. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER  when playing with 3 or more days rest this season with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season with an average of 7.3 gpg scored. ( The caps wrapped up their last series vs the Pens with a 2-1 road win)Over is 21-7-1 in Capitals last 29 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. TAMPA BAY is 42-24 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their pp this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. Anomaly or not its still interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 10-2 OVER   in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. Over is 21-8-1 in Lightning last 30 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play OVER |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Hammel the Royals hurler has been what is regarded as a inning filler for his team of late. The right handers performances are less than respectable and in his L/3 trips to the hill he has garnered a bloated 7.00 ERA. Add to that he's backed by a bullpen that owns a ugly 7.37 road ERA and you have a recipe for Cleveland's offense to feast . Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter Bauer has been a steading presence in his teams rotation and owns a 2.52 ERA , and a stingy 1.91 home ERA. He will be backed by a offensive attack that has done his best work at home this season averaging 5.4 rpg via a solid .272 BA. With that said, I'm recommending we lay the lumber with a value -1.5 RL situation here this evening in Ohio with the Indians. HAMMEL is 0-9 L/9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game losing by an average of 3.5 rpg  and is 1-10  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse dating back to last season with the average loss coming by 2.6 rpg. (Team's Record) HAMMEL is also 1-19 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 in his career with the combined average deficit clicking in at 3.5 rpg (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after a win by 4 runs or more are 41-3 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 3.7 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians OVER 8.5 | 10-9 | Win | 104 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Jason Hammel the Royals starter is in struggling form and has garnered a 7.00 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. He faces a Indians side that has done its best offensive work at home this season, averaging 5.4 rpg via stable .272 BA .It must be noted that the Indians are 7-0 OVER at home after a game in which Francisco Lindor had multiple hits.( He had two vs the Brewers last time out in a 6-2 road win) The Tribe have gone over the total by an average of 7 runs per game in this situation. I'm betting the Indians will do some damage here tonight and almost single handily eclipse this number. CLEVELAND is 31-10 OVER vs. a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Indians last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-1 in Indians last 13 home games.Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 road games. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start, with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) are 50-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-10-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -121 | 5-4 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) Sabathia the Yankees starter  is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list April 19, and that includes a top tier effort in his last trip to the hill as threw six scoreless innings and a season-high seven strikeouts against Cleveland on Friday. Sabathia, owned the BoSox last season going  4-0 with a 1.04 ERA in four starts and is my choice tonight vs another strong pitcher in Rodriguez, who despite a s strong start to his campaign has given up 5 runs in back to back trips to the hill. It must be noted that after a strong start to their season , Boston has lost 9 of their L/17 and not operating at a high level , while the Yankees are red hot winning 7 straight and look to be run away freight train that you want to ride and not  stand in front of in their current form. BOSTON is 3-8  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 20-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 12-0 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. NY YANKEES are 9-1 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA team when he starts is 21-9  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game. SABATHIA when he starts has seen his  team go 8-0 L/8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 . Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Yankees are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts.Yankees are 17-4 in Sabathias last 21 home starts.Yankees are 42-17 in Sabathias last 59 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. Red Sox. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyliine |
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05-09-18 | 76ers v. Celtics +1 | 112-114 | Win | 102 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - BOS Leads 3-1 The Boston Celtics with 3-1 series lead are one win away from clinching the Eastern Conference finals for the second straight season when they host the Philadelphia 76ers this Wednesday night at the TD Center in Boston. The Celtics were the superior side in 3 of the 4 games, each time as an underdog and were head to head with the 76ers at the mid way point of the last game, before running out of gas in the 2nd half vs a desperate team, that exerted a lot of energy in that win. I'm betting the Celtics are fresher than their opponents after game 4, and will be very inspired here to end this series at home an avoid a dangerous game 6 situation. They are my choice in this tilt. Note NBA HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading Win/Win/Win/Loss: Game 5 record, NBA , Quarterfinals round: 16-3 (.842). Also HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ Home /Home/Visitor/Visitor than Home : Game 5 record, NBA, Quarterfinals round: 52-13 (.800) HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWWL @ HHVV:Game 5 record, NBA, Quarterfinals round: 14-3 (.824).From a historical trending perspective the Celtics have an edge. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a 26-0 series record.Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1,the Philadelphia 76ers have a 0-14 series record. No NBA team has ever rallied from a 3-0 deficit to win a playoff series. BOSTON is 10-0 ATS as a home underdog this season and is 9-0 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season.BOSTON is 10-0 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season and is 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. Boston is 7-1 SU L/8 meetings here in Boston. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 165-104 ATS L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-09-18 | Pirates -108 v. White Sox | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Trevor Williams (4-2, 2.63 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.43) Pirates starter Williams has held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average, and he also owns a viable 3-1 record and an ERA of 1.69 in interleague play, and must be respected here as a short favorite. The Pirates currently own a 7-2 record in interleague play this season, and have the edge vs a struggling  White Sox team has lost 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Pittsburgh also owns a  23-9 against the AL Central dating to June 15, 2015. I know the Pale Hose starter Lopez has been very capable this season, but with a offense that is capable of very little run support he is currently fade material. Note: HURDLE is 34-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The White Sox are a team that rarely takes advantage of any teams weaknesses because of a inconsistent offense as is obvious by their  4-16 record against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and struggle against strong defensive teams like the Pirates as they are 2-13  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 1-9 against the money line in home games in day games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 10-41 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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05-08-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 226 | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - GSW Leads 3-1 The explosive Golden State Warriors with a chance to clinch this series vs the New Orleans Pelicans will come out here with all guns blazing, and the Pelicans who can also score in bunches will have no other choice but to open up with some offensive fire works of their own or be blown of the court. This game either goes back and forth as both feed off each others energy, or the Warriors romp and the Pelicans chase. Which ever of these likely scenarios emerges , the end result I'm betting will see the combined score eclipse this Total.  It must also be noted that both teams are well rested , 2 days off, which bodes well for a high energy run and gun affair. My own projections estimate that both sides will score north of +105 points. GOLDEN STATE is 35-11 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 234.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 52-14 OVER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 232 ppg going on the board . Play OVER |
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05-08-18 | Indians v. Brewers +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 103 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L) The Indians have a recent history of not playing well enough to win consistently in interleague play . The reasons are complex but the results are obvious. note: Indians are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games. Indians are 3-12 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 1-4 in Klubers last 5 interleague starts.Indians are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Not only have the Indians struggled in interleague play in the past,  but so far this season, they have had issues garnering road wins, losing 9 of their 15 games. Needless to say, even though the Indians have a top tier hurler on the mound a win is not a guaranteed thing.  With that said, we have  value taking +1.5 runs on the RL with the Brewers , and that's what I'm recommending we do. MILWAUKEE is 24-14  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start .Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.MILWAUKEE is 9-0 L/9 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite which was the case vs the Pirates last time out on Sunday. CLEVELAND is 0-7 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. CLEVELAND is 1-7 L/8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs which happened vs the Yankees in their last game. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the RL +1.5 |
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05-08-18 | Twins v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) Martinez the Cards starter this afternoon vs the visiting Minnesota Twins has allowed just three runs over 40 2/3 innings in his L/6 starts, and currently is in top form. Meanwhile, Ordizzi the Twins starter despite of some inconsistent efforts is a stable pitcher that can produce quality starts.Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts versus the Cardinals. I'm betting both these starting pitchers go long enough and strong enough to help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. MARTINEZ is 13-3 UNDER after giving up 1or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings.ST LOUIS is 63-33 UNDER  in home games against AL Central opponents Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 3-0-1 in Martinezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-1 in Martinezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 interleague road games. Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis. Under is 11-0 in the last 11 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-07-18 | Raptors v. Cavs -5.5 | 93-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - CLE Leads 3-0 The Cleveland Cavaliers have proven that they matchup very well against the Toronto Raptors as is evident by their commanding 3-0 series lead. The Raptors have done everything but win in the three games that have been played in this series and are now a deflated team. You could see it in game 1 when they lost 113-112 in OT after leading for much of that game, and than in game 3 when the king of basketball, LeBron James made a last second shot, and snatched victory away from a horrified and demoralized Dino's group.  With the Cavaliers now smelling blood in the water, and a chance to close out this series at home ,  I expect it will be them and not the Raptors that will come out here firing on all cylinders. I'm betting its party over for the Raptors. Note: When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-0, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 9-0 and a Game 4 record of 9-0. When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-0, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 0-2 and a Game 4 record of 0-2. Cleveland has won 10 of the L/11 meetings in this series SU. Casey is 17-31 ATS  in all playoff games as the coach of TORONTO. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75% are 48-8 L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 7.5 ppg. NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 15-52 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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