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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-25-22 | Utah State -3 v. Washington State | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, H SMU upset Utah State last time out and Hawaii took out Washington State in tournament action. These two teams play different styles of hoops. Utah State plays a explosive style of offensive basketball while, the Cougars work at a slower pace and a strong defensive mind set. The difference makers today comes via ,  Utah State's bench that entered this tournament leading the Mountain West and were ranked fifth in the nation in points per game (36.10). Utah State's bench has outscored its opponents 361-185 (36.1 to 18.5) this season as its reserves have accounted for 41.7 percent of USU's. Utah State has had at least two bench players score in double figures in six of its 10 games this season as the Aggies are 6-0 when multiple bench players score in double figures during the campaign. Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games. Aggies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.Aggies are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Mouhamed Gueye (Foot) - Questionable () [12/23/2022] - Gueye exited the game before Hawaii with a foot injury, and it is unclear if he will take to the floor vs Utah State . If he plays he will be less than 100/% and puts Wash State at a disadvantage. Utah State to cover |
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12-25-22 | Iona v. Pepperdine UNDER 152 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-25-22 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 226.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers on the road- run and gun with wreck-less abandon and are usually punished defensively because their not focusing on their defensive responsibilities in transition. Overall they rank 2nd in pace in the league. They are scoring an average of 115.2 ppg game this season but rank 26th in in ppg allowed and on the road allow a whopping 121.7 ppg on the campaign. Dallas is the kind of team that can- really roll up points in a hurry against this type of side behind super star Doncic. Im betting on a much quicker pace and a more explosive offensive game than many might expect here on Christmas day. . LA LAKERS in 8 road games where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 232 points per game scored.LA LAKERS are 36-22 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-3 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 road games.Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-3 in Lakers last 12 overall.Over is 21-7 in Lakers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play over |
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12-25-22 | 76ers v. Knicks +2 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is on a 7 game win streak that Im betting will be in jeopardy here on Christmas day vs a Knicks side that had a 8 game win streak end recently and are now desperate to rebound after two consecutive losses. Most of the 76ers success has come at home this season, but on the road they are just 5-7 and recently lost 3 straight road games before their current streak , which was all achieved at home. Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW YORK is 27-13 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 61-32 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on the NYK to cover |
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12-24-22 | Seahawks +10 v. Chiefs | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 27 m | Show | |
 Kansas City clinched the AFC West last week, and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here this week vs a Seattle side Im sure they are overlooking. As the season winds down the Chiefs could start to rest some of their walking wounded more often and with Seattle still with an outside chance to make the playoffs I expect Pete Carrolls Seahawks will play hard here and get us the cover. . Reid is 0-8 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992. Carroll is 19-6 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE. KANSAS CITY is 4-21 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games since 1992. KANSAS CITY is 1-9 ATS after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 season Carroll is 19-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of SEATTLE Carroll is 12-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of SEATTLE Reid is 2-9 ATS in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of KANSAS CITY NFL Favorites (KANSAS CITY) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 18-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. Seahawks to cover |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -2.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -120 | 65 h 40 m | Show | |
Cleveland has Watkins back under center-  Browns are 2-1 since Watson returned. He completed 18 of 28 passes for 161 yards in a 13-3 victory against Baltimore in his home debut in nasty conditions last Saturday. With this Saturday includes a 48 percent chance of snow, winds gusting beyond 30 mph and a high temperature of 13 degrees before factoring wind chill its going to be a ugly weather situation one that does not favor the dome side New Orleans. Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win which was the case last time out. Browns are 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series and 8-1 L/9 vs AFC South opposition. Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 9-24 ATS against AFC North division opponents since 1992. NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS ( after playing a game at home this season. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 1-26 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 38-9 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Browns to cover |
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12-24-22 | Giants +4.5 v. Vikings | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
Last week the Vikings garnered a huge come from behind win scoring 33 points to outlast the Indianapolis Colts by a 39-36 count. That clinched their division and play off birth and now Im betting they are in a huge emotional letdown situation that could easily effect them here today vs a hungry NY Giants side. It must also be noted that Vikings have been out yarded in 5 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron and have been involved in 10 one score games this season. I know the Gmen may not inspire us, but they have cashed 7 of 9 as dogs, under HC Dabol and are viable investment options in this spot play. . Vikings are 1-6 ATS L/7 vs NFC East opposition. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 7-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 16-37 L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Giants to cover |
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12-24-22 | Seahawks v. Chiefs OVER 49 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 44 m | Show | |
 These teams the Chiefs and Seahawks have played scorched earth all out offensive slugfests in recent meetings going 5-0 OVER in the last 5 matchups with a combined average score of 62.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. With that said, Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this week, as the leagues most explosive offense lead by QB Mahomes takes on the  2nd worst road defense in the league this season as the Seahawks allow 56.7 ppg away from home. Im betting on the Chiefs doing some damage here offensively (projection of 28+ points) and for the Seahawks to be in all chase mode, which will help us see a combined score that eclipses this offering.KANSAS CITY is 7-0 OVER when they score 28 or more points this season with a combined average 52.2 ppg scored. SEATTLE is 12-1 OVER when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 68 ppg scored. Im also projecting Seattle to score 20+ points-SEATTLE is 8-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points this season with a combined average of 63 ppg scored.  Play on the OVER |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | 22-18 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
 New England lost a strange game last week, brain farts galore by some players best describes it. I wont get into it here, but it was embarrassing. Pros do not like to be embarrassed and coach Bellichick Im sure will have his team ready for redemption against a red hot Bengals side that is on a 6-0 run. Patriots are  6-1 ATS L7 in this series . and 4-1-1 L/6 vs AFC North opposition. NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. Patriots HC Bill Belichick is 14-0 ATS as a non-division dog coming off a loss with New England. NEW ENGLAND is 26-12 ATS as a home underdog since 1992. Play on Patriots to cover |
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12-23-22 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 231.5 | 128-125 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
 The Thunder enter Friday's game on a three-game winning streak, having garnered a win vs Portland 101-98 Wednesday to sweep back-to-back games against the Trail Blazers. It was their D, that showed up and played big and now against the run and gun Pelicans Im betting on them proverbially battening down the hatches again behind an improving D, that is now ranked 14th in the league in defensive efficiency. When these teams played on Nov 28 New Orleans took a 105-100 win and another physical battle Im betting is on tonights agenda. Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a win against a division rival are 28-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-23-22 | Pacers +6.5 v. Heat | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pacers despite of not being productive in the win column have been mostly competitive of late not losing by more than 7 points in their L/8 trips to the hardwood. Tonight Im betting they keep up their current never say die form and get us a cover a road dogs. the Pacers are fairly fresh and have had a lighter schedule of late and this will aid them tonight and keeping this game closer than the offered line. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Carlisle is 35-19 ATS  after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent in all games he has coached. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS ) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-23-22 | Canadiens v. Stars -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Dallas was pummeled  6-3 at home last time out and will now be primed to take out their frustrations against the struggling Montreal /Canadians. DALLAS is 72-38 ATS  off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more since 1996. Dallas beat the Habs 5-2 earlier this season in the visitors role and now Im betting on a similar rinse repeat situation at home tonight. MONTREAL is 0-11 ATS  after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking at -2.9. (they lost 2-1 to Colorado and will now be in a letdown spot. ) Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (DALLAS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 28-0 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this puckline offer. Play on the Dallas Starts to win on the puck-line |
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12-23-22 | Pistons +9 v. Hawks | 105-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
Detroit after 4 straight losses is in desperation mode and Atlanta has been very inconsistent this season thus far and recently lost 3 of their L/5 SU -making them according to my power rankings weak favs on this type of line offering. The line according to my projections should be -7. With a full possession advantage Im recommending we take the points.  Pistons are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS  in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 39-20 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Casey is 55-32 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more have won 20 of their L/33 opportunities SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - sub standard defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-23-22 | Wake Forest v. Missouri OVER 58.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
Gasparilla Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL When Wake Forest takes to the gridiron and top gun QB Hartman is leading the offense you can almost expect offensive fire works from them, even against the best of defenses. They enter this game, having scored 34, 45, 31 points respectively in 3 straight and even against a staunch Missouri D, they have the ability to rock the house with a boatload full of points. On the flipisde the Demon Deacons own a sometimes porous D, that has allowed more than 31 ppg on the road this season. Meanwhile, Missouri has played their best D, at home , but on the road their numbers surge to an average of 31.4 ppg. Tonight Im betting the Deacons to get into the 30s offensively and for Missouri to have to be aggressive and also do some damage, against a D, that will not be as daunting as those they faced in the SEC.Â
Clawson is 8-1 OVER after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game as the coach of WAKE FOREST with the average combined score clicking in at 65.8 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-23-22 | Bucknell +19.5 v. Rutgers | 50-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Bucknell ranks 33rd nationally in opponent field-goal percentage (.389), and the Bison are one of only two teams in the nation shooting over 50% while holding opponents under 40%. Its a tall order but Im betting Bucknell keeps it close enough for the cover via top tier offensive and defensive shooting skills. Bison are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. RUTGERS is 4-13 ATS in home games on Friday nights since 1997 Play on Bucknell to cover |
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12-22-22 | Flames -108 v. Kings | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Flames are coming off back-to-back wins in San Jose on Sunday and Tuesday. They combined to outscore the Sharks 12-5 and are getting into top form. I know their opponents are also on a winning run, but from a matchup viewpoint the Flames matchup well here and deserve to be slight favs in my humble betting opinion. Flames are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. LOS ANGELES is 9-20 ATS in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NHL underdog against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are just 3-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary to win |
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12-22-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Stanford OVER 124 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (STANFORD) - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a good 3PT defense 32% or better ), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 28-10 over L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with 130 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 38-10 over L/ L/26 seasons witn a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Jets | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
The Jags are finally playing top brand of football behind ,QB Trevor Lawrence who now leads the NFL in passer rating (111.2) and completion percentage, (14 TDs, 1 int)  going back to Week 9 . Tonight he will be challenged by a top tier D, but probably wont have to worry about going back and forth as the Jets offense is extremely atrocious. With the Jags still in the race for play off spot Im betting they get the job done with an all out effort and more importantly as far as we are concerned get the cover. Jaguars are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC. Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +4 v. Baylor | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 49 h 59 m | Show | |
Air Force behind their triple option offense is ranked No. 1 in the nation in Time of Possession and Im betting they burn plenty of clock time and slow down Baylors offensive prowess because of breaking up their flow. The Fly boys are also No. 1 team in the nation in Overall Defense and must not be disrespected in their ability to slow down a strong Baylor attack… The Falcons have also had great success in Bowl games cashing 10 of their  last 13 bowl games. With Big 12 sides just 0-3 L/3 vs Military schools and Baylor having lost 5 of their L/7 here at this venue SU its an easy decision to grab the points with the under rated underdog. Calhoun is 29-11 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of AIR FORCE NFL Neutral field underdogs (AIR FORCE) - excellent ball control team, 32 or more possession minutes/game are 75-36 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Air Force to cover |
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12-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Indiana State UNDER 155.5 | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northern Illinois thanks to their D, has struggled lately, and the coaching staff has said, that their D needs to upgraded and attention must be focused on slowing down opponents out of transition . Thats fits into most teams thoughts when in this type of downward momentum situation. Note: N ILLINOIS is 9-2 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 129.2 ppg scored. I expect N.Illinois to implement a more concerted effort on D, which will also limit their output offensively, helping us keep this game to the low side of the number. INDIANA ST is 6-0 UNDER in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (INDIANA ST) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 42-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-22-22 | Chicago State +13 v. Minnesota | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Chicago State to cover |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama v. Western Kentucky +4 | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
New Orleans Bowl - Caesars Superdome - New Orleans, LA Western Kentuckys explosive big play offense can do damage against the best of Defenses. Im usually a proponent of strong defenses in Bowl games, but like I said the Hilltoppers can make strong Ds like South /Alabama owns look very average as the football program has registered 350 or more yards of offense in 27 straight games. S ALABAMA is 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record . W KENTUCKY is 21-9 ATS L/30 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. W KENTUCKY is 32-13 ATS L/45 vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game. Helton is 15-6 ATS in road games in games played on turf as the coach of W KENTUCKY. Western Kentucky is 3-0 SU/ATS in bowl games vs. .666 or better opposition and are a bankroll expanding 13-2 ATS as a dog vs. Sun Belt foes and 11-3 ITS against Bowl sides since last season. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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12-21-22 | TCU +1.5 v. Utah | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah has a huge win against Arizona, but Im betting they are over rated. I know TCU started slowly this season, but with starting guard Damion Baugh back in the lineup the team is 4-0 SU since his return and up trending quickly. UTAH is 1-9 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 1-11 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.UTAH is 1-9 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. TCU is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Play on TCU ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-21-22 | Predators -175 v. Blackhawks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
The Chicago Blackhawks have imploded and alot of their top players want out. The Hawks have now lost 7 straight games by 2 goals or more. Here to take advantage of their dire situation is a Nashville side that despite of a sub par record has shown flashes of brilliance this season. With this being a strong win situation for them Im betting they will primed to heap more pain on a already down and out group in the Windy city. CHICAGO is also 1-15 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.Blackhawks are 19-45 in their last 64 home games. Play on Preds to win on the ML |
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12-21-22 | Magic -1.5 v. Rockets | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
Orlando is in a groove of late, and previous to 1 point loss to Atlanta last time out, had won 6 straight SU and have now covered 8 straight. Tonight Im betting they continue their top tier play on the road vs inconsistent Houston side, that has lost 3 straight games. HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS  in home games off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more. Silas is 3-13 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of HOUSTON.Silas is 3-17 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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12-21-22 | Pacers v. Celtics -9.5 | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired after an extensive 6 game road trip and then came home and showed their exhaustion in two straight losses to a well conditioned Orlando side that was in a groove. Now with a few days rest and finally acclimated to home cooking Im betting we the Celtics at their very best vs a the inconsistent Pacers who has lost 4 of their L/5 and 9 of 15 road tilts this season.. BOSTON is 12-1 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 8-0 ATS ( in home games off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite over the last 3 season NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (>=118 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 30-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31, which qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-2 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate, with the average ppg diff registering at +14.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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12-21-22 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
 The Bucks' 128-119 win over the Pelicans was an intense physically grueling affair that Im betting directly effects their ability to sustain the energy needed to defeat a talented Cleveland team tonight on the road. Cleveland, which has won four in a row, blasted their way 122-99 win over the Utah Jazz at home on Monday night and in their current form look capable of taking out the Bucks here as hosts tonight. where they are 15-2 on the season. CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS as a home favorite this season. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 19-9 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 24-41 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-21-22 | Michigan v. North Carolina UNDER 155 | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC Both these teams could really use a win, and Im betting that this will be a grueling affair and both will pay significant attention to playing a strong defensive brand of hoops in transition and for alot of elbow action in the paint. My projections estimate a score closer to 149 which gives us a significant edge on this Totals offering. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points MICH/ (N CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons. Play UNDER |
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12-21-22 | Incarnate Word +14 v. Florida International | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Panthers force an average of 17.4 turnovers on opponents and are at their best when able to get out in transition off turnovers, that will be a problem here vs a Cardinals side despite of being young has protected the ball well lately. Florida Inter has lost 4 games in a row and nothing seems to come easily lately and the same Im betting holds true today. Florida Inter is having problems on offense of late scoring 65, 59, and 53 points receptive and according to my power rankings are being over estimated in their ability to cash as this big a DD underdog. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-13 ATS L/15 as a favorite of 10 or more points .FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-19 ATS  after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play on Incarnate Word to cover |
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12-21-22 | Northeastern v. Davidson OVER 137 | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This total based on my own projections should be closer to 231 which gives us a 2 possession value with an under wager. 5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games. MEMPHIS is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season are 213.4 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
The Mile High city is not a friendly place for visiting teams to play in especially run and gun specialists like Memphis . The air in the Mile High city should slow them down enough to make them vulnerable to the more acclimated home side. MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. NBA opening line Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nuggets to cover |
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12-20-22 | Montana v. Gonzaga UNDER 147 | 75-85 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gonzaga is off a run and gun affair in their last game vs Alabama, with a combined score of 190 points going on the board. Im betting on immediate regression here vs a Montana side that has proven they can play strong defense when need be as is evident by allowing 59 or less points to their opponent in 5 of their L/11 games. GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus sub standard passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 135.7 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONTANA) - red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 53% or better of their shots are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-20-22 | Illinois-Chicago +16 v. Northwestern | 54-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Following a three-game winning streak, the Flames are flying high and must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive against a power 5 opponent. IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois Chicago to cover |
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12-20-22 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bulls, have lost four straight games and are now in desperation mode and hungry for a victory. The last loss was embarrassing to say the least as they were defeated 150-126 at the Minnesota Timberwolves, which was the most points allowed by the Bulls in regulation in the the past 40 years. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and thats why Im betting the entire team makes a concerted effort at getting redemption and a victory here and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover. I know Miami has won 4 straight, but they are just 2-2 ATS in those tilts and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 and have also be weak favs overall this season / especially at home. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-11 ATS in home games this season. Heat are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Donovan is 43-27 ATS after a non-conference game as the coach of CHICAGO. Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami. Play on Chicago to cover |
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12-20-22 | Toledo v. Liberty +4 | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Boca Raton Bowl - FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL Liberty Im betting is being under estimated here in their abilities to pick up a straight up win and more importantly a cover even though they finished a down not as the team looked disappointed that they may lose their coach Freeze to a power 5 team, that dis materialize and now Im betting they will be ready to play.LIBERTY is 9-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.LIBERTY is 37-19 ATS  in non-conference games .Liberty is 3-0 SU against MAC sides L/3 seasons.  Freeze is 9-1 ATS  after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached since 1992. Toledo is 3-9 ATS in bowl games since 2002,Candle is 0-6 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of TOLEDO.  MAC Bowl sides like Toledo are just 6-28 SU and 8-25-1 ATS vs. opponents like Liberty coming off a loss. Play on Liberty to cover |
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12-20-22 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Devils are slumping and have lost their defensive prowess, but because of this need to start o focus on good transitional hockey in D, the coaching staff has emphasized this and Im betting they implement it here against a red hot Carolina that plays.a strong brand of defensive hockey and have shown a propensity for shut down hockey against aggressive offenses like the Devils have brandished . Note: CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season. Carolina is also on tired legs so run and gun hockey is prob out of the question. CAROLINA is 11-1 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons Under is 12-4-1 in Devils last 17 overall. Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Under is 7-0 in Hurricanes last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 home game NHL Road teams against the total (NEW JERSEY) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 26-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams against the total (CAROLINA) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 23-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 17-7-4 in the last 28 meetings. Under is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Carolina Play on UNDER |
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12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
QB Baker Mayfield made his return to the gridiron last week and lead the defending champs to a 17-16 victory over the Raiders.  However, this Monday in the cold the tundra of historic Lambeau Field Im betting he freezes up and for the continually banged up Rams to falter.. Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Rams are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. It must be noted that the Green Bay Packers are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in this series since 2007 . Also QB Aaron Rodgers is 23-12-3 ATS in his career against NFC West opponents and  when he is coming off a Bye week is 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS at home in his career . GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and they get the nod again tonight on MNF. Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Green Bay. Rams are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Favorite is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Play on Green Packers to cover |
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12-19-22 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 227 | 121-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City has only eclipsed the total in 1 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Portland in their 17 road games this season seen a combined average of 219.6 ppg go on the scoreboard. and rank 28th in the NBA in pace. with this being the Blazers 4th straight road game in the L/6 days Im betting they will hold to their usually methodical pace which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the Totals offering. Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. PORTLAND is 29-17 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a ATS win which was the case last time out.  .NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 33-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Oklahoma City. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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12-19-22 | Stonehill +16.5 v. Bradley | 50-79 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Stonehill has seen eight different players record double-figure scoring games through its first 12 game and despite of a sub par record have been very competitive only losing by more than this spread to times to power 5 sides, Providence and Connecticut. With that said, Bradley with a better record has played only 1 power 5 team this season, (Arkansas) last time out and lost by 19 points and were also pounded by Utah State by DDs. Looking at their schedule , it seems very likey Bradley is over rated on this line. Advantage Stonehill. BRADLEY is 1-11 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons which was the case vs Arkansas last time out. CBB home team (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 40-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 11-37 /ats L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. Play on Stonehill to cover |
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12-19-22 | Raptors +8 v. 76ers | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
I know Toronto has lost 5 straight games, but that will make them all the more hungry and dangerous. On flip side -Even playing without Tyrese Maxey (fractured left foot), Tobias Harris (back) and Furkan Korkmaz (non-COVID illness) the Sixers have been putting up victories but these missing bodies Im betting will have an effect on them sooner or later. Nurse is 27-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO. Rivers is 85-118 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in all games he has coached in his career .  NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Raptors to cover |
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12-19-22 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Florida enters this game playing tight defensive minded hockey and have seen 7 of their L/9 games stay under the total. Meanwhile, BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons and overall have seen 7 of their L/9 tilts fail to eclipse the total and have allowed an average of just 2.1 gpg in their L/10 trips to the ice. Florida beat Boston 5-2 back on Nov 23rd and now in the followup Im betting the Bruins pay alot of attention to their defensive game in transition as they make sure the same mistakes made in the last meeting dont repeat themselves tonight. Under is 4-0-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 road games. Under is 7-3-1 in Panthers last 11 vs. Atlantic. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, a top-level team (70% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 22-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 27-13-9 in the last 49 meetings. Play UNDER |
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12-19-22 | Stars v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets have been very inconsistent offensively this season and in their L/12 games have averaged just 2.33 gpg. Today against a Dallas side allowing only 2.2 gpg in their L/5 and just 2.7 gpg on the road this season, Columbus scoring out-put problems should persist. This lack of production Im betting will effect this combined score to stay under. this offering  COLUMBUS is 8-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season. Under is 6-0 in Blue Jackets last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. DALLAS is 15-6 UNDER in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons .  Under is 5-1 in Stars last 6 road games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 106-50 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate! NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 48-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on UNDER |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut +11 v. Marshall | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Bowl - Brooks Stadium - Conway, SC The  Uconn Huskies played well this season and got bowl eligibility under first year HC Mora who has got this group to play disciplined tough football. It must be noted that first year HC s have cashed 10 of their L14 Bowls as double-digit dogs . Here today, Im betting UConn stays fairly competitive vs the lowly No. 127 in the nation Red Zone Offense. CONNECTICUT is 19-6 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.  Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Thundering Herd are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Play on UConn to cover |
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12-18-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Wolves | 126-150 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota Im betting will be in a letdown situation after a upset win vs the Thunder last time out. the game was physically grueling and now the Wolves are vulnerable in this tilt vs a quality opponent, that is desperate for a win after suffering 3 straight losses. CHICAGO is 46-29 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 5-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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12-18-22 | Notre Dame -155 v. Georgia | 62-77 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Notre Dame was lethargic in a loss to Marquette last time out. Its extremely important to note Notre Dames HC Coach Brey has used the phrase bounce-back mode alot recently . Notre Dame is 2-0 this season after being defeated with wins over No, 20 Michigan State and Boston U. Dating back to last season, they own a 8-game win streak following a loss. Thus, they haven’t suffered back-to-back losses since Nov. 29 of last year when they lost at Illinois.The Irish are currently leading the country in fouls per game, only committing an average of 11.6. that Im betting will be the difference maker today vs Georgia. On the flip-side GEORGIA is 2-10 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Play on Notre Dame to win SU |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +4 | 34-23 | Loss | -115 | 46 h 27 m | Show | |
Tom Brady has a big chip on his shoulder right now after a bad game against the SF 49ers last time out.   It was embarrassing as it was  third-worst loss in Brady’s NFL career.  But now with a week of rest (bye week) you can bet the GOAT will be out looking hard for redemption. I know the Bengals have won and covered 5 straight, but looking maybe a little bit to over confident. note: Brady 11-1 ATS in career as a home underdog and 10-0 SU/ATS off a loss of more than 7 points. Advantage Brady and company. NFL Underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. are 38-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay Bucs to cover |
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12-18-22 | Titans +3 v. Chargers | 14-17 | Push | 0 | 46 h 16 m | Show | |
Chargers are in a good mood after an upset, of the Dolphins last week. But now after that emotional win will be in a letdown mode and vulnerable to a down effort vs a side that is having some problems and now with a new HC. Note:NFL .500 or greater NFL sides like Tennessee that are 0-3 SUATS in its last three games versus an opponent that is coming off a SU/ATS win are 8-1 SU and 16-3 ATS taking on a side  off a SU underdog win. We also know the Titans are a run first team , and here against the worst run D, in the league allowing an average of 5.4 rpc , trouble in brewing for the favs. Titans are 6-1 ATS L/7 vs West.LA CHARGERS are 1-8 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons LA CHARGERS are 21-39 ATS L/60 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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12-18-22 | Oakland v. Boise State UNDER 142.5 | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Oakland is struggling to score and Im betting on Boise State shutting them down , while they themselves will have offensive regression after a big output last time out. BOISE ST is 8-2 UNDER in all games this season. BOISE ST is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Rice is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games off a home win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of BOISE ST with a combined average score of 135.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. are 31-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-18-22 | Belmont +5.5 v. Chattanooga | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In their last game over a week ago Belmont lost in OT. Previous to that they had won 5 of 6 games. This is a talented Belmont program is getting more acquainted to a newer lineup as they replaced their 7 top scorers from last season. Note:  Alexander is 8-0 ATS off a home loss in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile UTChatanooga is on a 6-0 run, but from a matchup perspective using my early season power rankings Belmont despite of alot of inexperience matchup well here.Earl is 4-15 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Belmont to cover |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
There was a time earlier this season when I gave hope for Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence,. but now my hopimism has turned positive as is evident by his 111.7 passer rating over his L/3 outings. I know he goes against a red hot Dallas side, but this Jags teams looks to have come to life and will highly motivated to steal a win here and more importantly as far as we are concerned get us the cover. In the only game here against Dallas in the history of the Jags, they are 1-0 SU/ATS. NFL Home teams (JACKSONVILLE) - in non-conference games, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 31-9 L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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12-18-22 | Steelers v. Panthers OVER 37.5 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections estimate both sides will eclipse the 20 point plateau giving us strong value with an over wager . Note: PITTSBURGH is 14-1 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 57.7 ppg scored. CAROLINA is 8-0 OVE when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 57.8 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (PITTSBURGH) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, after the first month of the season are 22-3 OVER L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (CAROLINA) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival are 50-21 OVER L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. The L/6 meetings in this series have seen both teams combined to average 48.8 ppg. Play on the over |
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12-18-22 | Lions +1.5 v. Jets | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
My power ranking suggest Detroit is the better side and currently in better form. than their opponents the NY Jets. The Lions are 6-0 SU L/6 overall while the NYJ have 4 of their L/6 and have overall shown long droughts of not being able to put points on the board averaging just 20.3 ppg on the season. Advantage Lions. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 season,DETROIT is 12-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (NY JETS) - after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 1-26 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-17-22 | Boise State v. North Texas +11 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl - Toyota Stadium - Frisco, TX North Texas is getting to many points here according to my projections. Note: Conference title game losers like North Texas as DD underdogs have cashed 8 of their L/10 opportunities. Also … CUSA Bowl sides are a perfect 5-0 ATS off a Double digit defeat when going against. MWC opposition. NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. Bennett is 12-4 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of NORTH TEXAS.  Boise State also lost their conference championship game to Fresno State- teams like this that lost their conference title tilt are 2-8 ATS in their Bowl appearances. key matchup stat:NORTH TEXAS is 9-2 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +2.7. Play on North Texas to cover |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
The young men from Florida wont get much of welcome in the cold climate of Northern NY state this Saturday night against a revenge minded Bills who have redemption in mind for a loss they suffered in Miami earlier this season. I know the Bills already took a 16 point deficit win in the first revenge go around, but believe me , teams like this double down this time of year and really come out to play. With this being the Dolphins 3rd straight road Im betting their a bit exhausted . Note: The Fins are 1-6 ATS L/7 in their 3rd game on the road. MIAMI is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) in the second half of the season. BUFFALO is 19-5 ATS in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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12-17-22 | Blazers v. Rockets OVER 227 | 107-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Houstons D has been playing well lately, but the run and gun Damian Lilliard Blazers will test that prowess here tonight forcing the Rockets out of their recent comfort zone. I know the Blazers played last night in Dallas, but they are a well conditioned group and more than capable of finding their legs in a back to back situation. It must also be noted because Dallas took such a big lead last night in their win vs the Blazers the Lilliard only played 24 min. So the super star will be fresh tonight and ready to continue his offensive assault. The first meeting this season between these sides saw a combined 236 points go on the board. Houston ranks 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency at 115.4 . My projections estimate that Portland eclipses that average and the chasing Rockets chase their output and help us cash an over ticket.  PORTLAND is 7-0 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 30-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-17-22 | BYU +4.5 v. SMU | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 58 h 46 m | Show | |
New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM I was surprised to see SMU as favs in this game vs BYU even though they will play without star RB Lopini Kotoa as there are viable alternatives in that position on this team looking to make a statement  The Mustangs enter this game 0-5 ATS as favs and 0-3 SU all-time in this series. . Considering this is Mustangs’ HC Rhett Lashlee’s first ever bowl game , his lack experience could easily work against him here, and I expect BYU to pound their way to cover  .SMU is 4-15 L/19 ATS (in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry . SMU is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less (which was the case last time out winning by 34-31 count vs Memphis.Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.SMU is 2-11 ATS  in road games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games . CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (SMU) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences have lost 17 of L/27 opportunities SU. Play on BYU to cover |
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12-17-22 | Clemson -2 v. Richmond | 85-57 | Win | 100 | 1 h 58 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Clemson has exceeded the preseason poll projection nine times in Head Coach Brad Brownell’s 12 full seasons leading the program, including last season. This season they are much better than many expected as team chemistry is a key factor to their effectiveness. Clemson ( Late Steam) |
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12-17-22 | Rice v. Southern Miss OVER 45.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 46 m | Show | |
LendingTree Bowl - Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL   Southern Miss defense can stop run games cold as is evident by having limited the opposition to fewer than 150 rushing yards on average per game this season.That makes me believe Rice despite of throwing more than their share of picks this season will be forced to air the ball out, which will see them also score above the expected output, and see some extra points go up on the board against them because of their atrocious turnover ratios. On the flipside,  Frank Gore Jr., who ran for 1,000 plus rushing yards this season for Southern Miss should have a field day on the ground vs a Owls side that struggles against ground attacks ranking  91st against the run, allowing 166.5 rushing yards per game. Southern Miss also has alot of turnovers (22) so some unexpected offense could easily be stymied but go the other way. Sloppy game expected and more points than the lines-makers are projecting to go on the board. Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 vs. S-Belt. RICE is 8-0 OVER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 62.9 ppg scored. Rices L/24 games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 58.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-1 in Golden Eagles last 6 non-conference games. Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Play OVER |
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12-17-22 | Toledo v. Marshall UNDER 166 | 85-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projected combined score clicks in at 161 giving us top value with this Totals offering. TOLEDO is 18-7 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season with a combined average of 139 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 13-5 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored.  MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER ( after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (MARSHALL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-17-22 | Florida A&M +16.5 v. Louisville | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Cardinals enter a new era led by Coach Kenny Payne, who came from the New York Knicks (2020-22) before spending a decade at Kentucky (2010-20) as an assistant and associate head coach and finally notched their first win last time out. Its obvious this version of Louisvilles hoops program has a long road back to respectability and are currently getting this much respect from the linesmakers because of their brand and not the talent on the floor. I know Florida A&M may not inspire many bettors but they are battle tested already taking on five power 5 sides. this season and it looked like it helped as they held their lower tier opponent last time out to under 50 points for a win.  Note:  McCullum is 10-1 ATS after allowing 50 points or less in all games he has coached McCullum is 14-2 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of FLORIDA A&M. LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FLORIDA A&M) - team - outscored by their opponents by 12+ points/game, after a combined score of 110 points or less are 48-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate! Play on Florida A&M to cover |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
The Colts have not looked good lately and got beat up badly last time out vs Dallas, losing 54-19 allowing 33 points in the last quarter wow. Combination of bad luck and just plain ugly football has them embarrassed and out looking for immediate redemption. Pros dont like to be embarrassed like that and you can bet they will play like their proverbial hair is on fire. Colts are 7-0 ATS L/7 vs NFC North opposition. Considering how inconsistent the Vikings have been this year wont be surprised if they have a down game. INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 season NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Indy to cover |
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12-17-22 | Bryant +4.5 v. Liberty | 62-82 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Hall of Fame ClassicÂBoth teams enter the week ranked in the CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 and according to my power rankings more evenly matched than the line might indicate. Bryant was ranked 17h and Liberty No.20.) Thus giving us an edge taking the dog . (Bryant) CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BRYANT) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (6 or better reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bryant |
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12-16-22 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 237.5 | 108-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Denver scored 141 points last time out and now Im betting on some major regression from an offensive output perspective. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Im betting his directly effects this total to the under here in this tilt vs LAK. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 101-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-16-22 | Islanders v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The last three most recent meetings between these teams have seen a shutout posted ( 2 by the Isles, and 1 by the Coyotes). an average of 3 total goals were scored in those tilts  and Im now betting on a rinse and repeat situation with tow viable goalies expected to be between the pipes (Sorokin vs Vejmelka) Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona.  NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%). are 28-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-16-22 | Blazers v. Mavs OVER 225 | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Portland has won three straight and five of its last six with Lillard leading the way. He is shooting 52.9 percent from the field and 50.7 percent from 3-point range since returning. Im betting he prompts Doncic and company in all out offensive slugfest. Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 overall. PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. Over is 13-3 in Mavericks last 16 games following a straight up loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 season for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Play on the over |
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12-16-22 | Chicago State +15.5 v. Southern Illinois | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Cougars are 0-9 in road games and that's why we have this over done line to bet into. I know its an ugly away record, but Chicago State behind Jahsean Corbett who scored 25 points in Chicago State's 66-65 loss to the Murray State Racers last time out and up-trending is capable of being competitive here in foreign territory. That was the Cougars 2nd straight loss by 1 point. CHICAGO ST is 14-5 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO ST is 16-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. S ILLINOIS is 5-15 ATS L/20 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CHICAGO ST) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago State to cover |
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12-16-22 | Missouri State v. Oral Roberts OVER 145 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 148, which gives us value on the over . Oral Roberts has averaged 97.5 ppg at home this season and play a run and gun all out type of basketball that does not pay much attention to defense in transition. I know Missouri State will try to slow down this game, but its not an easy proposition to implement against this type of no prisoners hoops program.  MISSOURI ST is 20-8 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. ORAL ROBERTS is 8-1 OVER in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 175.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 150.7 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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12-16-22 | Dartmouth +11.5 v. South Florida | 55-59 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In each of Dartmouth's last five games, a team has ended the first half on a significant run (four times coming from the Big Green). On Tuesday, it was 12-0 Dartmouth. Last Friday at Central Connecticut State, the Big Green ended the first half on a 13-2 run. Against Vermont, it was 13-0 Catamounts to end the first. In the two previous games (both at home), Dartmouth ended the first with a 13-0 run against CSU Bakersfield and 14-0 vs. NVU-Johnson. It may be foreign to some , how I look at runs like this but, from my perspective these long bouts of domination, tell a story of a side that once they get into top condition, will be a hard side to handle . They can dominate, and are rarely dominated. Dartmouth has had issues with complete game performances, but when considering this matchup, their overall talent looks viable enough to compete and get us the cover vs USF. side that struggles with Free Throws and allows opposing 3 point shooters to convert for 37.8% when at home .  Gregory is 12-23 ATS in home games after playing a road game as the coach of S FLORIDA.Gregory is 35-50 ATS in all home games as the coach of S FLORIDA. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATSin home games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 3 seasons. S FLORIDA is 4-14 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons McLaughlin is 15-6 ATSin road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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12-16-22 | Troy +1.5 v. UTSA | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Cure Bowl - Exploria Stadium - Orlando, FL These two teams enter this Bowl tilt on 10-game win streaks . There is a difference here though between both sides and that comes on defense.Troy’s defense has held the seven bowl teams they played to 17 PPG/326 total YPG on average . Meanwhile,UTSA has had defensive problems against Bowl sides this season allowing, an average of 29 PPG/409 total YPG on average. There is on old adage that says defense wins big games but offense gets you to those big games. This was never truer here in this matchup as UTSA has shown more offensive prowess than the Trojans, but the Trojans defense is superior according to the numbers and its obvious how tenacious their D is if you have watched any of their games. Troy is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS against Bowl teams this season and have won their L/4 appearances. Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December. TROY is 7-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season. UTSA has never won a Bowl game and are 0-3 SU . Play on Troy to cover |
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12-15-22 | Suns v. Clippers -2 | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
 Suns enter this game struggling after suffering 5 straight losses and are  banged up and also exhausted as they finish up their four-game road trip, in LA at the Staples Center tonight against the Clippers. note: key Suns players Booker and Ayton are both listed questionable for Thursday's game, and if they do play could see limited time and be less than 100%. Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate! Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine +2 v. Santa Clara | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Irvine is ranked top-50 nationally in the following categories: scoring offense (48), scoring margin (17) rebounds per game (21), rebound margin (10), assist per game (36), field-goal percentage defense (41), three-point field goal percentage (7), and three-point field goal percentage defense (50) and must be taken seriously in their ability to come in here at Santa Clara and steal this game. The Anteaters almost stole a game from ranked San Diego State earlier this season, and behind a capable rebounding and physical presence around the rim present problems for all comers including another good rebounding side Santa Clara. Key: The Anteaters don't fire alot of 3-balls, but they are extremely consistent when they do as is evident by a 40.4% rate from beyond the arc , ranking 10th nationally from downtown. SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 1-8 ATS  in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. UC Irvine has won the L/6 meetings in this series including their L/4 visits to Santa Clara. Play on UC Irvine to cover |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3 | 21-13 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 0 m | Show | |
 QB Brock Purdy, and his 134 passer rating were impressive last week to say the least in the 49ers DD win vs the visiting Tampa Bay Bucs . Meanwhile Seattle was taken out by a play off hungry Panthers last week by a 30-24 count, and failed to cover for the 4th straight time.  Despite of the two opposite trajectories these teams are on, Im betting the old ball coach Pete Carroll has some magic he can deploy in desperation mode as the Seahawks still have play off hopes. With Star Deebo Samuel out with a sprained ankle and MCL and a expected regression from media darling Purdy and a desperation effort from the home side should help as cash a underdog ticket. ,Seattle is 4-0 ATS at home off a home game, as well 9-2-1 ATS in Thursday nights while the 49ers have failed to cover in three straight Thursday prime time tilts.  SAN FRANCISCO is 13-28 ATS L/41 in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game . SEATTLE is 41-18 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. . Carroll is 6-0 ATS  in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in all games he has coached NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SEATTLE) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 22-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to cover  |
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12-15-22 | Stars v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas has played a heavy schedule of late and Im betting on them using a more conservative game plan out of transition tonight, that should help them slow this game down . This will directly translate into a combined score that will help us cash an under wager. DALLAS is 15-5 UNDER in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 47-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 22-4 UNDER L/526seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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12-15-22 | Lehigh +23 v. Wisconsin | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wisconsin (8-2, 2-0 B1G) is coming off a pair of physically draining Big Ten wins over No. 13 Maryland (64-59) and Iowa (78-75, OT) and here against. a lower tier side could easily experience a letdown. Reed is 22-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) as the coach of LEHIGH. Reed is 32-21 ATS in road games after playing a home game as the coach of LEHIGH. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (LEHIGH) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 58-18 ATS L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (WISCONSIN) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Lehigh to cover |
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12-14-22 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 223 | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Minnesota in a recent defeat were bashed by a 133-112 count on Monday when the Wolves saw their opponent shoot 45.7 percent (21 of 46) from 3-point range. The current form of their D, portrays a situation where the Clippers project to score above their current offensive averages. This will aid in overall offensive output projections. Minnesota ranks 2nd in pace, and even without Townsend in the lineup are in all out attack mode which leaves them vulnerable in transition. MINNESOTA is 23-6 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 29 games clicking in at 241.1 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average of 234 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 285-192 OVER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with the combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-14-22 | Kings v. Raptors -4.5 | 124-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento looked tired last night in a DD loss to Philadelphia. Now playing their 5th straight road and this being a back to back Im betting that they are at a disadvantage against rested side , playing at home with redemption in mind for back to back losses vs lower tier Orlando. TORONTO is 20-9 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 13-3 ATS in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 28-1 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild -240 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Detroit has lost 3 straight games and have scored just 3 goals in that span, and Im betting on more struggles tonight on the road in Minnesota. Minnesota has given up just one goal in the last two games. The Wild shutout Vancouver 3-0 on Saturday, then pulled off a 2-1 victory over the high flying Edmonton Oilers on Monday. "We were defending, and not only just playing defense," coach Dean Evason said. "We were doing the right things offensively that we didn't have to play as much defense. Advantage Wild to win. MINNESOTA is 14-2 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 3-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (MINNESOTA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 27-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this puckline offering. Play on the Minnesota Wild |
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12-14-22 | Mississippi State v. Jackson State +22 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. JACKSON ST is 13-4 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record are 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Jackson State to cover +22 |
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12-14-22 | Drexel +15 v. Seton Hall | 49-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Hall is coming off of a rivalry victory as it retained the Garden State Hardwood Classic trophy with a 45-43 win at Rutgers on Sunday and now Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown situation vs a lower tier non conference opponent making them vulnerable to a slow start or overall lethargic effort. SETON HALL is 4-13 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (SETON HALL) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Drexel to cover |
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12-14-22 | Ohio v. Florida UNDER 143.5 | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Amalie Arena - Tampa, FL My projections make this Total closer to 140 giving us at least one or two full possession edge on this offering from the books. OHIO U is 14-2 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.7 ppg scored. OHIO U is 11-2 UNDER in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA/OHIO U) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%) are 82-36 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-13-22 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Jazz | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Pelicans roll into Utah on a 7 game win streak and deserve to be favs here at Salt Lake City vs a side that started fast but has now lost 11 of their L/16 games SU. Considering the walking wounded that the Jazz are dealing with Im betting they are at a disadvantage. ie  Lauri Markkanen (illness), Mike Conley (injury management), Jordan Clarkson (bruised right hip) and Collin Sexton (right hamstring strain) . NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 5-24 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NO Pelicans to cover |
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12-13-22 | New Orleans v. Boise State UNDER 142 | 50-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to 148 which gives us a full two possession value on this offering. Advantage to the under. Boise has allowed 59.3 ppg at home this season, and Im betting New Orleans will be bogged down for much of this game aiding in our under cause. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-13-22 | Oilers -125 v. Predators | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Oilers behind the explosive offensive duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nashville Predators, a side they have defeated  seven straight times . and out scoring them by a 34-15 count in those tilts. I know the Oilers lost last night by a 2-1 count at Minnesota , but this is one of the better conditioned teams in the NHL and viable favs here on the road.    Note: EDMONTON is 14-2 ATS when playing their 8th game in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. Oilers are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. NASHVILLE is 3-12 ATS against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season.. EDMONTON is 4-0-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons and have won 7 straight meetings. Play on Oilers to win |
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12-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks -4.5 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors are off an impressive win vs the Boston Celtics in a two way complete DD win las time out , but now in an emotional letdown spot on the road, Im betting a Bucks side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out , losing against Houston has the advantage. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 23-9 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE. Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-53 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.4 which easily qualifies on this /ATS offering. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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12-13-22 | UMass Lowell v. Rhode Island +2.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. I know UMass Lowell is on a big winning streak, but Rhode Island has played more top tier teams than their opposition and deserve respect as home dogs according to my projections. note: This young catalyst brings alot of chemistry to this Rhode Island squad and hes expected to play tonight. Redshirt junior guard Jalen Carey returned for RI team's win over Army Dec. 10 after missing the previous five games with an injury.In 27 minutes off the bench, Carey had a season-high 12 points, six rebounds and a career-best five assists while posting a plus-minus of +8.Carey has been an efficient scorer when available, shooting .520 from the field (13-of-25).CBB road team (UMASS-LOWELL) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are just 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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12-13-22 | VMI +11.5 v. American | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. VMI is coming off a thrilling 77-74 win over Radford last Saturday at Cameron Hall where five VMI starters scored in double figures, for their third straight win. Meanwhile, the The Eagles now stand at 7-2 and have not lost a game since Nov. 13 at George Mason and deserve to be favs here , but not by this much as my line is cloder to -7, which according to my projections gives us a excellent opportunity at cashing with the underdog. VMI is 15-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Brennan is 6-15 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of AMERICAN. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AMERICAN) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on VMI |
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12-12-22 | Wolves +4 v. Blazers | 112-133 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota had defeated Portland five consecutive times before falling short on the second contest of their five-game road trip but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Wolves against Lilliard and company. PORTLAND is 18-31 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 57-96 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 19-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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12-12-22 | Kennesaw State +16.5 v. San Diego State | 54-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Owls' road stretch has been a very successful one, as KSU is 4-2 over the first six games behind a group of 5 returning starters . That includes a road victory at Appalachian State. KSU has also been very efficient from the land of the trey this season, currently ranking 12th in the nation in three-point percentage at 40.4% which makes them viable back door cover choices here vs a ranked side.  Take the points |
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12-12-22 | Patriots -1.5 v. Cardinals | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
 New England well rested after a bye week is one game ahead of the Jets and currently sits as the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff race and come into tilt in need of wins to stay relevant for post season action, while the Cardinals are pretty much toast when it comes to making the play offs , unless they can string together wins here to finish of the season. Im betting both sides will be motivated, but the coaching edge , resides with Belichick going against Kingsbury. Arizonas coach  Kingsbury is just 5-15 ATS at home when his side is s 2 point or less underdog. and his side is 0-3 SUATS the last three in Monday night prime time tilts . Meanwhile,  Bill Belichick is 22-9 SU/ATS against NFC West opposition sides in his NFL career, and 13-0 SU if that team is coming off a loss like Arizona is. Also the Pats despite of coming off a loss are a resilient bunch as is evident by their  6-0 ATS record off a home loss by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and are also  7-0 ATS after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons. Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS  in home games against AFC East division opponents.ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS)in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.. Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pats are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Arizona. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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12-11-22 | Mississippi State v. Minnesota +8 | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Minnesota has only faced Mississippi State once in school history, but coming just last year in Starkville, Miss. The Gophers earned an 81-76 win over the Bulldogs on Dec. 5, 2021. Revenge might be on board for the visitors but you dont always get what you want , like Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones like to say. Even if Miss st gets the win , Im betting it wont come as easily as the linemkaers expect. MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Jans is 4-13 ATS  off a home blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS for. go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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12-11-22 | Capitals v. Jets -121 | 5-2 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Winnipeg will be looking for its fifth straight victory while Washington is riding its first three-game winning streak of the season and Im betting the home side has the edge . Winnipeg plays it best hockey at home having won 10 of 13 games. I know the Jets have played a heavy schedule of late, but they are a well conditioned team. Note: Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Capitals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games. Capitals are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Central. WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS  against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season. WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS (+16.3 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season. NHL Home Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) - off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 52-8 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate . Play on Winnipeg to win on the ML |
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12-11-22 | Bulls v. Hawks -2.5 | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Chicago played a complete game yesterday in a DD beatdown of the Dallas Mavs, scoring 144 points on the offense. Now on tired legs and emotionally drained Im betting we see major regression on the road in Atlanta. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS after a non-conference game this season. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. McMillan is 41-26 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA. Play on Atlanta |
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12-11-22 | Lakers v. Pistons +5.5 | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers are on a 3 game losing streak and exhausted as they play their 6th straight road game. Detroits young legs have the edge on this aging group at home in Motwon today.  LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. LA LAKERS are 5-18 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Lakers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less ) are 28-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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12-11-22 | Bucs +3.5 v. 49ers | 7-35 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
49ers starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo went down with a season-ending foot injury last time out and now a backup QB will go to the field ie probably Purdy who took over from Jimmy last time . With Tom Brady and company out seeking revenge for a previous loss to SF Im betting the Bucks have edge . Brady is 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and his 24-6 overall ATS record when getting points. Considering San Francisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home favorite of less than four points its an easy decision for me to back the future HOF QB to come up big here as the Bucs make a run at post season action . I know SF is ranked in No.1 in D, but Tampa Bay's defense is also of the top tier variety as the Buccaneers rank eighth in the NFL in total defense (313.8), fifth in scoring defense (18.3) and fourth in sacks (38). Tampa Bay to cover |
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12-11-22 | Panthers +4 v. Seahawks | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 59 m | Show | |
Seattle had to come from behind and take a late win vs the banged-up Rams in Week 13. Seattle is getting far to much respect from the lines-makers this week, despite of playing a sub par side. We have to remember  Carolina (4-8), and are off a bye week so their well rested and believe it or or not sill in a playoff position in the slumping NFC South. With that said the Panthers still have plenty to play as they are only two games out of first place. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Meanwhile, Seahawks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (SEATTLE) - excellent passing team (7.3 or less PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina Panthers to cover |
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12-11-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 34-28 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver just cant put points on the board, consistently especially with Wilson under center. Note: Wilson’s 83.5 Passer Rating ranks No. 29th of all starting quarterbacks during this campaign. I know the Chiefs pass D is sometimes porous , but DENVER is just 8-1 UNDER vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season with a combined average of 32.4 ppg scored. Meanwhile, we know the Chiefs can pile up points but it must also be noted that Denvers D is a solid group, as as a result of this are  9-2 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.3 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 vs. AFC. NFL road favs off a road chalk defeat in their last game like the Chiefs have gone under in their following game in all 6 times this has happened this season. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team ( 7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. DENVER is 9-0 UNDER in games played on a natural surface field this season and 11-1 under on the season. Under is 22-7 in Broncos last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play UNDER |
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12-11-22 | Suns +3.5 v. Pelicans | 124-129 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Suns enter this game on a 3 game losing streak, and now are very motivated for redemption and revenge as they face a New Orleans side that beat them a few days ago. I know the Pelicans are playing great ball, but a letdown maybe in order after the intensity they put into beating the Suns last time out. Williams is 54-36 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 23-7 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -2 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 49 h 60 m | Show | |
Both teams were blown out last week, but one of these teams is more motivated than the other as ,  Jacksonville (4-8) has one shot to get it self into contention for post season action. It either wins this week or it will miss the playoffs for the fifth straight year since advancing to the AFC finals in 2017, when it held a fourth-quarter lead before losing in New England. Motivational factors support taking the points here with the Jags. Pederson is 14-3 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992. TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS L/28 vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season.  TENNESSEE is 9-22 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight game NFL Favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-17 L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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